NFL Betting Info

[New York Knight]

DeShone Kizer starting opener for Browns


Since 2003, rookie QBs in Week 1 are 12-9 ATS

[New York Knight]

The Colts will be without Andrew Luck for at least their first game

He is week to week ...


Jacody Brissett will be QB

[New York Knight]

Line goes from Colts -3 to Rams -3


The total drops from 47 to 42

[New York Knight]

Correction ...



Scott Tolzien will start the Colts' Week 1 matchup against the Rams.

Jacoby Brissett was acquired over the weekend, but GM Chris Ballard said he views that as a long-term move and not a short-term fix. Perhaps Brissett will get a look if Luck is still not back in a couple weeks and Tolzien is really struggling, but Tolzien should hold onto the job while Luck is sidelined. Tolzien starting is bad news for all the Colts' position players, but it makes the Rams DST an intriguing streaming option.

[New York Knight]

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[New York Knight]

Bears name Mike Glennon starting QB

[New York Knight]

Chiefs @ Patriots


Last 14 years, defending Super Bowl champ is 12-2 in its first game the next year (8-3-3 vs spread). Patriots are 6-2 in last eight games with KC; Chiefs lost last six visits here- their last win in Foxboro was in 1990. New England is 12-1 in last 13 season openers (lost @ Miami in ’14); they’re 14-1 in last 15 home openers, but just 1-4 vs spread in last five- their last four wins in HO’s were by 7 or less points. Chiefs won three of last four season openers; they’re 3-8 in last 11 road openers (under 8-4 in last 12), but 6-5 vs spread in last 11 AO’s as an underdog. Under Reid, Chiefs are 4-7 vs spread as a non-divisional road underdog. Since ’13, Patriots are 17-8-3 as a home favorite, 11-4-1 vs non-division opponents.

[New York Knight]

Jets @ Bills


Buffalo led NFL in rushing yardage last two years; will that change under the new coach? Bills had won five in row over the Jets before getting swept 37-31/30-10 in two meetings LY. Jets lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 19-23-5 points. Jets open on road for first time since ’09; they’re 5-1 in last six season openers, 15-5 vs spread in last 20 road openers. Buffalo is 7-3 vs spread in last ten home openers- three of last four stayed under. Last five years, Bills are 9-6 vs spread when hosting AFC East foes; since 2012, they’re 12-10 as a home favorite. Over is 12-4 in their home games the last two years. Jets are 2-4-2 as road underdogs under Bowles. Under is 10-6 in Jet road games the last two seasons.

[New York Knight]

Falcons @ Bears


Last 14 years, Super Bowl loser is 5-9 in its first game the next year (2-12 vs spread). Atlanta also has two new coordinators this year; they’re 3-2 in last five season openers, 4-3 as a road favorite under Quinn. Under is 15-9 in their road games the last three years. Chicago is 6-11-1 vs spread as a home underdog since ’12 (4-1 LY). First meeting in three years between these two; Falcons lost last six games in Windy City- their last win here was in 1983 (also in Week 1). Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five road openers. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 AO’s. Chicago lost its last three home openers, by 3-8-15 points; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Bears were -20 in turnovers LY, are 14-34 SU the last three years.

[New York Knight]

Jaguars @ Texans


Houston won last six games in this division rivalry; they swept Jaguars LY, 24-21/21-20. Jax lost five of last six games in Houston, losing last three by 1-24-6 points. Texans are 12-4-1 as a home favorite under O’Brien; they’re also starting 4th different QB on Opening Day in his four years as Texans’ coach. Since ’09, Jaguars are 24-29-1 as a road underdog; over is 11-5 in their road games the last two years. Jax lost its last nine road openers (2-7 vs spread)- they stared 0-1 the last five years. Houston won six of last seven season openers, are 5-2 vs spread in last seven home openers. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home openers, 10-6 in their home games the last two seasons.

[New York Knight]

Eagles @ Redskins


Washington won last five series games, sweeping Iggles 27-20/27-22 LY. Philly lost last three visits here, by 3-3-7 points. Last two years, Redskins are 12-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points- they’re 4-8 as a home favorite under Gruden. Eagles are 8-9 vs spread as a road underdog the last three years. Redskins Philly won seven of last eight road openers- they covered last five tries as an underdog in AO’s. Over is 5-2-2 in their last nine AO’s. Washington lost four of its last five home openers; five of last six went over total. Last two years, Eagles are 7-10 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Over is 22-10 in Philly road games the last four years.

[New York Knight]

Cardinals @ Lions


Redbirds are 10-6 vs spread on artificial turf, 10-7 as road underdogs under Arians. Detroit is 11-4-3 as home favorites under Caldwell. Arizona won its last seven games with Lions; five of those seven were in desert. Redbirds won 31-24/42-17 in last two visits here; their last loss to Lions was here in 2005. Arizona had covered eight road openers in row before losing Week 3 AO in Buffalo LY- three of their last four went over. Cards won five of last seven season openers. Detroit won five of last six season openers, lost last two home openers, scoring 12-15 points. Over is 5-2 in their last seven HO’s. Over is 13-3 in Cardinal road games last two years. Over is 23-17 in their home games the last five years.

[New York Knight]

Raiders @ Titans


Silver/Black was 7-1 LY in games with spread of 3 or less points; they’re 12-4 vs spread on road under Del Rio. Oakland won in Music City last two years, 24-21/17-10; road team won last three series games. Last four years, Titans are 9-20-3 vs spread at home; since 2011, they’re 13-22-3 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less. Oakland lost four of last five season openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten road openers— over is 12-5-1 in their last 18. Tennessee won three of last four season openers, but lost its last three home openers. Titans are 5-13-2 vs spread in last 20 non-divisional home tilts. Under is 7-3 in their last ten season openers. Oakland is 15-5 vs spread in its last 20 non-divisional road games.

[New York Knight]

Buccaneers @ Dolphins


Since 2007, Miami is 11-31-1 vs spread as a home favorite; dogs are 26-12-2 vs spread in their last 40 home games. Series is 5-5; home side is 7-3. Bucs lost three of four visits here, with one win in 2000. Three of last four meetings were decided by 3 or less points. Tampa Bay won its last two road openers, covered five of last seven; over is 6-3 in their last nine. Miami won four of its last five home openers- their last eight home openers went over the total. Last three years, Tampa Bay is 6-11 vs number in games with spread of 3 or less points. Since 2013, under is 17-14-1 in Bucs’ road games; over is 15-9 in Miami’s last 24 home tilts. Since ’12, Tampa is 15-10 vs spread in non-divisional road games.

[New York Knight]

Falcons favored by a touchdown in Chicago to start the season





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[New York Knight]

Defending Super Bowl champs are 9-4-1 ATS in Week 1 since 2003

[New York Knight]

Patriots (-8) vs. Chiefs




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The defending champions will kick off the 2017 NFL season. New England is favored to repeat and begin the year as big favorites in Foxborough against Kansas City. The Chiefs have the potential to upset New England with a good coach, a veteran quarterback and a solid defense but this trend for Thursday Night Football points to the Pats.

[New York Knight]

49ers vs. Panthers (-5.5)




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One of the most profitable betting strategies is fading the public. Whatever side casual bettors are one, take the opposite. In the NFL, the best time to do this is when less than 25% of spread bets are on an underdog.

[New York Knight]

Packers (-3) vs. Seahawks




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The Packers and Seahawks renew their rivalry in Week 1. Green Bay is favored at home and a majority of spread bets are on the Cheeseheads. This is a great spot to bet on Russell Wilson who has been the most profitable quarterback against-the-spread when getting less than 50% of bets since coming into the NFL in 2012.

[New York Knight]

Le'Veon Bell says he's ready for a "full load" in Sunday's opener.

[New York Knight]

DeAndre Hopkins (hand) said he is "1,000 percent" healthy.

Hopkins was sidelined late in the preseason with a hand injury, but it looks like he will be ready to go for Week 1.

[New York Knight]

Tyrod Taylor (concussion) returned to practice Monday.

It is a bit of a shock after coach Sean McDermott said his Week 1 status was "up in the air" on Monday morning. He is not out of the protocol and only working in individual drills, but this work gives Taylor a good shot to suit up against the Jets on Sunday.

[New York Knight]

Odell Beckham (ankle) did not practice Monday.

Beckham rode an exercise bike on the sidelines before heading inside. The Giants are "hopeful" the star receiver will be ready for Week 1, but it is far from a lock. While he likely does not have to practice to play, it would be heartening to see him on the field in the next couple days.

[New York Knight]

The Miami Herald's Adam Beasley reports Dolphins officials are "closely watching" Hurricane Irma, which could affect their season opener against the Bucs.

Beasley reports the team is "considering a range of options" if it looks like the storm will hit the area during Sunday's game. In the past, the NFL has moved games up a few days to avoid potential storms. Miami and Tampa Bay both have the same bye, Week 11, but moving the game there would require both teams to play 16 straight weeks. If the game is going to be moved, Beasley expects the decision to come by Wednesday.

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, the Super Bowl runner-up is 2-12 ATS in Week 1

[New York Knight]

Cleveland in season openers ...

(since franchise resumed in 1999)

1-17 Straight-Up

4-14 Against The Spread

[New York Knight]

In Weeks 1-4, dogs getting <25% of spread bets are 71-51 ATS


Bears +7 vs ATL

49ers +5 vs. CAR

[New York Knight]

Jeremy Hill is listed as the starting running back on the Bengals' Week 1 depth chart.

[New York Knight]

Bryce Petty has been officially named the Jets' No. 2 quarterback.


Christian Hackenberg's stinker of a summer left the Jets no choice. Petty was excellent in the preseason, completing 32-of-48 passes (66.7 percent) for 426 yards (8.9 YPA), three touchdowns and an interception. Considering Josh McCown's fragility, Petty is a lock to make starts this season.

[New York Knight]

NFL arbitrator Harold Henderson expects to reach a decision on Ezekiel Elliott's appeal of his six-game suspension before the "close of business" on Tuesday.

[New York Knight]

Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said Le'Veon Bell is in "great physical condition."

[New York Knight]

Brandon Marshall (shoulder) said he is ready to go for Week 1.

Marshall missed a week of practice and the final two preseason games after suffering a shoulder injury, but he will be all systems go for the opener.

[New York Knight]

Sports Insights ...


Most Lopsided Week 1 Games


81% on Panthers -5.5 at SF

78% on Falcons -7 at CHI

73% on Texans -5.5 vs JAX

[New York Knight]

NEW ENGLAND is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

[New York Knight]

BUFFALO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.


NY JETS are 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

[New York Knight]

CHICAGO is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.


CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

[New York Knight]

HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons



HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

WASHINGTON is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home games since 1992.


WASHINGTON is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.


WASHINGTON is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.


WASHINGTON is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.




WASHINGTON is 4-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons


WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons


3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

TENNESSEE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.


OAKLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.


OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


TENNESSEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

[New York Knight]

BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


CINCINNATI is 71-97 ATS (-35.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

[New York Knight]

PITTSBURGH is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.


CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.




PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons


PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons


3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

LA RAMS is 175-224 ATS (-71.4 Units) in all games since 1992.


LA RAMS is 175-224 ATS (-71.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.


LA RAMS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


LA RAMS is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in September games since 1992.

[New York Knight]

GREEN BAY is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.


GREEN BAY is 181-127 ATS (+41.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

[New York Knight]

CAROLINA is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.


CAROLINA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

[New York Knight]

DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.





NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons


NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

MINNESOTA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.


MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

[New York Knight]

LA CHARGERS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.


DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.


LA CHARGERS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

[New York Knight]

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This Pro System is 56% ATS since 2004, +64.6 units

[New York Knight]

September Dogs (since 2003)


Division
145-116 ATS (55.6%), +22.17 units


Non-Division
228-232 ATS (49.6%), -12.55 units

[New York Knight]

Once again, Odell Beckham (ankle) was officially listed as not participating in practice, leading up to the opener

[New York Knight]

Super Bowl runner-up: 5-9 SU and 2-12 ATS in Week 1 since 2003


Falcons big road favorites to start season