Thursday 9-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::speak::

[New York Knight]

John Anthony Sports

Cleveland Indians - 260

[New York Knight]

Atlantic Sports

Colorado +270

[New York Knight]

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Thursday, September 7, 2017

(901) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS (902) WASHINGTON NATIONALS.

Play UNDER the total.

[New York Knight]

Roz Wins

(901) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS (902) WASHINGTON NATIONALS.

Take: Washington.

[New York Knight]

Jim Feist

(901) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS (902) WASHINGTON NATIONALS.

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Your free play for Thursday, September 7, 2017 comes in baseball as Philadelphia and the Nationals clash in Washington. This is a good park to pitch in and a weak Philadelphia offense is in town. The Phillies have a good arm going in Aaron Nola (3.72 ERA), with more strikeouts than innings pitched. Washington is on a 16-6-4 run under the total, 18-6-3 under during game 1 of a series. Starter Tanner Roark (11-9) took the 1-0 loss against the Brewers on Friday despite allowing only one run on five hits and a walk while striking out 10 over seven innings. Roark now has five quality starts in his last six trips to the mound, missing the sixth by only one out, and his 3.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 37:12 K:BB in 38 innings over that stretch. Play Philadelphia/Washington Under the total.

[New York Knight]

R&R Totals

OVER 48 1/2 New England/Kansas City

[New York Knight]

BRAXTON MYLES


Patriots vs. Chiefs +9.5

I love this spread for the first official game of the NFL season! Everybody's money is on the returning Super Bowl Champs and for good reasons, in my opinion this may be the smartest line your may get against the patriots all season. The Chiefs are going to have one of the best turnover defenses in the league this season and I hope for them to start the season off right with getting a few turnovers against New England's weak running game. Alex Smith is 1-1 at New England ATS and 13-9 as a road underdog ATS. New England is a tough team to go against on the spread, especially at home but for the first game with all of the starters being in a 9.5 line for New England is to much here against a very good Chiefs team. I am giving this Thursday night NFL game a 4 star rating.

[New York Knight]

MARC LAWRENCE

Play - Chiefs-Patriots OVER (Game 452).

Edges - Patriots: 13-6 OVER home in season opening games… Chiefs 6-2 OVER as a visitor in this series… With defending Super Bowl champions having played OVER in 15 of 23 home games in season openers, look for Thursday night season openers to improve to 4-1-1 OVER in the last six years here tonight. We recommend a 1* play on the OVER total in this game. Thank you ad good luck as always.

[New York Knight]

The Vegas Steam Line

Take ST LOUIS/SAN DIEGO UNDER the total of 8½ runs

[New York Knight]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Take MIAMI/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9½ runs

[New York Knight]

Razor Sharp

Take WASHINGTON (Roark) -160 over Philadelphia

[New York Knight]

High Stakes Syndicate

Washington Nationals -160

[New York Knight]

Hawkeye Sports

Washington Nationals -160

[New York Knight]

Huddle Up Sports

NY Yankees Gray +102

[New York Knight]

Golden Dragon Sports

Philadelphia Nola +150

[New York Knight]

Platinum Plays

Colorado/LA Dodgers UNDER 6½ Runs

[New York Knight]

#1 Sports

Colorado Rockies +270

[New York Knight]

Totals4U

Philadelphia Phillies/Washington Nationals under 8 1/2

[New York Knight]

Mike Wynn

Cincinnati/NY Mets Over 8 Runs

[New York Knight]

When: 8:30 PM ET, Thursday, September 7, 2017
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts


Seven months removed from the greatest comeback in Super Bowl history that burnished the legacies of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots open the 2017 season on Thursday night against the visiting Kansas City Chiefs. Emotions should be high as the Patriots celebrate their fifth world championship in a pregame ceremony.

Brady, who turned 40 last month, became the first quarterback in history to win five Super Bowl titles, rallying New England from a 25-point deficit in the second half to a 34-28 overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons. New England, the last team to repeat as Super Bowl champ in 2003-04, was not content to stand pat in the offseason and brought in an elite wide receiver in Brandin Cooks -- an acquisition even more noteworthy after fellow wideout Julian Edelman suffered a season-ending knee injury last month. The Chiefs face a daunting challenge against a club that has won 24 in a row at home against non-division AFC opponents, but they have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, having won 23 games over the past two seasons and claiming the AFC West title in 2016 with a 12-4 mark. "If you're in this business, that's what you thrive on, and I'd tell you both sides feel that way," Kansas City coach Andy Reid said of facing the Patriots. "The players, that's why they play the game. They want to play against the best. You want to coach against the best -- that's a beautiful thing."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Patriots -9. O/U: 48.5

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (2016: 12-4, 1st in AFC West): Quarterback Alex Smith doesn't put up big numbers -- his 3,502 passing yards in 2016 were a career high -- and has been tagged with the label of game manager, but the former No. 1 overall pick has tossed only 28 interceptions versus 76 scoring passes in four seasons in Kansas City. With the departure of veteran Jeremy Maclin, Tyreek Hill becomes the top target following a flashy rookie season in which he amassed 12 touchdowns -- six via scoring passes, three on the ground and three in the air. Rookie running back Kareem Hunt, a third-round pick who piled up nearly 5,000 yards over four seasons at Toledo, ascended to the starting job when Spencer Ware underwent season ending knee surgery, while Travis Kelce is widely considered the league's No. 2 tight end behind New England's Rob Gronkowski. There's plenty of talent on the other side of the ball, with perennial Pro Bowl safety Eric Berry leading a secondary that tied for the league high in interceptions, and Dee Ford and linebacker Justin Houston providing a pass rush that needs to pressure Brady.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (2017: 14-2, 1st in AFC East): Brady missed the first four games in 2016 while under suspension for the Deflategate saga, but returned to throw for 28 touchdowns against only two interceptions before capping the season with a record 466-yard performance in the stunning comeback in Super Bowl LI. Edelman was Brady's most trusted target with at least 92 catches in three of the past four seasons, but Cooks provides a dynamic big-play threat with 17 scoring passes over the past two years in New Orleans while touchdown machine Gronkowski (68 in 88 games) returns after back surgery ended his season after eight contests. New England was willing to let LeGarrette Blount and his NFL-high 18 rushing TDs leave via free agency, bringing in Mike Gillislee from Buffalo and Rex Burkhead from Cincinnati to go with Super Bowl hero James White in the backfield. New England led the league with an average of 15.6 points allowed last season and bolstered the defense with the signing of free-agent cornerback Stephen Gilmore, who registered a career-best five interceptions for Buffalo in 2016.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Patriots have won eight consecutive season openers and seven in a row on Thursday night.

2. Kelce had 85 catches last season and led all tight ends with 1,125 receiving yards.

3. Brady, the 13th QB to start a game at age 40 or older, is 9-0 with 24 TDs and two interceptions on Thursday night.



PREDICTION: Patriots 30, Chiefs 23

[New York Knight]

Trends - Kansas City at New England

ATS Trends
Kansas City

Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

New England

Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Patriots are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Patriots are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.

OU Trends
Kansas City

Over is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games in September.
Under is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games overall.


New England

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Thursday games.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games in Week 1.
Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 home games.
Over is 60-28 in Patriots last 88 games on fieldturf.


Head to Head

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.

[New York Knight]

NEW ENGLAND is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

[New York Knight]

TNF - Chiefs at Patriots
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider



Kansas City at New England (-9, 48.5), 8:30 pm ET, NBC/NFLN

Nine years ago on the exact same date as Thursday's season opener, the Patriots opened the season against the Chiefs at Gillette Stadium and saw disaster strike almost immediately. Tom Brady suffered a season-ending ACL tear when Kansas City safety Bernard Pollard took out his knee in the first half, resulting in the only games he's missed since 2002 not related to Deflategate.

If not for eerie similarities between today and 2008, this game would be more easily billed as a potential AFC Championship preview given how stacked the Chiefs look coming off a 12-4 season. They finished with the second-best record in the conference behind the 14-2 Patriots but never ran into them in the playoffs, lasting only a single round following an 18-16 divisional playoff loss to Pittsburgh. Although Kansas City cut top receiver Jeremy Maclin and will be without top running back Spencer Ware for the season after he tore his PCL in the third preseason game, there are still plenty of weapons for New England to be concerned with.

Travis Kelce has emerged as a Rob Gronkowski type and has managed to stay healthy enough to replace him as the NFL's most productive tight end, leading the league in receiving yards and yards after catch while finishing second with 85 receptions. Tyreek Hill's speed makes him a dangerous weapon who scored 12 touchdowns last season as an electric return man and emerging receiver. Rookie Kareem Hunt, versatile Charcandrick West and veteran import C.J. Spiller are in the mix to help replace Ware, so Andy Reid will have plenty of options to try and trouble a Patriots defense that struggled some in the preseason and saw LB Shea McClellin and DB/KR Cyrus Jones join receiver Julian Edelman in being lost for the season.

Despite those injuries, the defending champion Patriots' hold on the favorite's role entering this season has strengthened following the preseason. Rob Gronkowski looks to be 100 percent and newly acquired receiver Brandin Cooks should be a valuable weapon whose role likely increases with Edelman out of the equation. James White, Mike Gillislee, Rex Burkhead and Dion Lewis are all on board as backfield options, so replacing LeGarrette Blount should also be manageable for Bill Belichick.

Even replacing Brady, as Belichick managed to do to the tune of a 3-1 start during last season's suspension, hasn't proven too daunting a task for the Pats of late. Unless he's out there mopping up after a blowout, New England doesn't want to see backup Jimmy Garoppolo doing anything but holding a clipboard. Brady had a productive preseason, throwing three touchdowns and completing 75 percent of his 24 passes. His 10 yards per attempt ranked among the highest in the league.

Alex Smith was inconsistent, but still easily held off the challenge of first-round pick Patrick Mahomes II. The Chiefs generated big plays on both sides of the ball in a 30-12 preseason Week 2 win against Cincinnati, then struggled mightily in Seattle in the dress rehearsal game, falling 26-13 after failing to execute on plays that were there to be made.

The Patriots are 14-1 in home openers in the Belichick/Brady era, while Belichick is 13-4 with New England in Week 1 (15-7 overall). Andy Reid has won three of four openers since joining Kansas City and won four of his last five with Philadelphia, so there's little doubt both teams should be prepared to get things started.



Kansas City Chiefs

Season win total: 9 (Over -120, Under +100)
Odds to win AFC West: 2/1 to 9/4
Odds to win AFC: 10/1 to 12/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 20/1 to 25/1


New England Patriots

Season win total: 12.5 (Over +100, Under -120)
Odds to win AFC East: 1/14 to 1/25
Odds to win AFC: 3/1 to 5/4
Odds to win Super Bowl: 6/1 to 11/4


LINE MOVEMENT

The Patriots may as well have already won their division as far as the odds are concerned since they're a wild 1-to-25, which is almost as amusing as the Jets going from 100-to-1 to 200-to-1 to win the AFC East before playing a game that counts in the standings. Since 2003, New England has prevailed 13 of 14 times, with the lone outlier coming in '08 after Brady was lost for the season and Matt Cassel was pressed into duty.

Kansas City has the second-best odds to win the AFC West, placed behind favored Oakland (5/4) and ahead of Denver and San Diego (9/2). Considering the Chiefs have won 22 of their last 26 regular-season games, a projected win total placed below double-digits raised a few eyebrows. Between the loss of Ware and their inconsistent preseason, the Chiefs have seen their conference and Super Bowl future odds become more longer overthe last few weeks.

As far as this matchup is concerned, the Patriots are currently laying 9 points in this first contest after the line initially opened at 7 and hovered at 7.5. The total opened at 49.5 but is set at 48.5 at many books as of Wednesday afternoon. Weather conditions are supposed to be clear and perfect for football.



INJURY CONCERNS

Kelce made this week's injury report due to a calf injury but was removed and is expected to play without limitations. The news isn't as positive on guard Parker Ehringer, who was downgraded to doubtful along with new linebacker Reggie Ragland. DT Bennie Logan (knee) and kicker Cairo Santos (groin) are also expected to play.

The Patriots have seen speedy WR Malcolm Mitchell limited by a knee injury throughout camp, so we'll see whether he can be a factor. The Patriots traded for WR Philip Dorsett from the Colts and also envision a larger role for Danny Amendola. Backup offensive tackle Cameron Fleming returned to practice but is uncertain here. Safety Nate Ebner is also questionable for New England.


RECENT MEETINGS (New England 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS last five; UNDER 3-2)

1/16/16 New England 27-20 vs. Kansas City (NE -5.5, 43)
9/29/14 Kansas City 41-14 vs. New England (NE -3, 46)
11/21/11 New England 34-3 vs. Kansas City (NE -17, 47)
9/7/08 New England 17-10 vs. Kansas City (NE -16, 43.5)
11/27/05 Kansas City 26-16 vs. New England (KC -3, 51)


PATRIOTS AS A HOME FAVORITE

Since losing to Seattle at Foxboro in Week 10, New England is a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS at home, including playoff wins over the Texans and Steelers. They're averaging 33.4 points in those wins. Both of the Patriots' losses last season came as a home favorite.


CHIEFS AS A ROAD UNDERDOG

Kansas City was a road 'dog only four times last season and won three of those instances outright, carrying a streak into 2017. The Chiefs beat the Panthers, Broncos and Falcons in a four game streatch from mid-November to early December in 2016. The Chiefs haven't been this heavy an underdog since Week 2 of the '14 season when they covered at Denver in a 24-17 loss as a 13-point underdog. The last meeting between these teams saw Kansas City in this role in the 2015 Divisional playoffs. New England won and covered.

[New York Knight]

Chiefs @ Patriots

Last 14 years, defending Super Bowl champ is 12-2 in its first game the next year (8-3-3 vs spread). Patriots are 6-2 in last eight games with KC; Chiefs lost last six visits here- their last win in Foxboro was in 1990. New England is 12-1 in last 13 season openers (lost @ Miami in ’14); they’re 14-1 in last 15 home openers, but just 1-4 vs spread in last five- their last four wins in HO’s were by 7 or less points. Chiefs won three of last four season openers; they’re 3-8 in last 11 road openers (under 8-4 in last 12), but 6-5 vs spread in last 11 AO’s as an underdog. Under Reid, Chiefs are 4-7 vs spread as a non-divisional road underdog. Since ’13, Patriots are 17-8-3 as a home favorite, 11-4-1 vs non-division opponents.

[New York Knight]

NFL

Dunkel


Week 1


Thursday, September 7

Kansas City @ New England

Game 451-452
September 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
137.425
New England
151.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 8
47 1/2

Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-8); Over

[New York Knight]

Thursday, September 7


KANSAS CITY vs. NEW ENGLAND

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing New England
Kansas City is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
New England is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City

[New York Knight]

Chiefs looking to make statement against champion Patriots



FOXBOROUGH, Mass. (AP) The New England Patriots are set to kick off another season in the afterglow of a Super Bowl title.

Seven months after completing the largest comeback in Super Bowl history, the Patriots will raise the franchise's fifth championship banner prior to Thursday night's season opener against the Kansas City Chiefs.

It's what's come to be a familiar sight ever since Bill Belichick and Tom Brady captured their first Lombardi Trophy together in 2001.

Trying to spoil this latest party will be a Kansas City team that has been chasing its own post-championship commemoration since the franchise won its lone Super Bowl in 1970.

The Chiefs were the No. 2 seed in the AFC playoffs last season before having their postseason run truncated by an 18-16 loss to Pittsburgh in the divisional round.

The Patriots are 4-0 in season openers following a Super Bowl win, but have vast respect for a Kansas City team that has been responsible for some sour Patriots memories during the Belichick-Brady era.

The previous time Brady opened a season at home against the Chiefs in 2008, it ended with him limping off the field with a season-ending knee injury . Then in 2014, Kansas City flatly embarrassed New England 41-14 in Arrowhead Stadium.

''I respect the way they play. They're always tough. We've always had great battles with them,'' Belichick said. ''I can't think of too many teams that have handled us better than the way they handled us in 2014.''

But that win was Reid's lone head-to-head victory against Belichick.

''He does a heck of a job with his team,'' Reid said. ''To be able to sustain as long as he's sustained is really something. That's a phenomenal thing in this profession.''

Professional respect aside, the matchup will be an early glimpse of how formidable the Patriots are after only losing a few pieces off last season's roster. They will reveal a new-look running game after not re-signing LeGarrette Blount, last season's rushing touchdowns leader. In addition, receiving stalwart Julian Edelman is out for the season following a preseason knee injury.

And on defense they're without a dedicated edge rusher with Chris Long leaving in free agency and Rob Ninkovich retiring. But several familiar and important contributors remain.

''When the schedule comes out, you've got this first game that is the only one you're really looking at and all the preparation, everything's building for this week,'' Brady said. ''It goes for both sides. I'm sure they're looking forward to it, too.''

Here are some things to watch for:

EAGER DEFENSE: As much continuity as New England will have on the field, the Chiefs will trot out an equally stout defense that had a league-best 33 takeaways in 2016. They're eager to see how it fares against a now 40-year-old Brady and the defending champs.

''Nothing is downplayed,'' safety Eric Berry said of the matchup. ''We have our own perspective in the building among each other and we have big expectations for this season, but it takes place one game at a time. We are going to put everything we have into this game and this game plan and take it from there.''

R-E-S-P-E-C-T: Reid and Belichick have matched wits plenty of times over the years. Belichick has the most wins among active NFL coaches with 263, while Reid is second with 184.

GRONK RETURNS: Being a spectator over the final eight games of the regular season and playoffs was not fun for Gronkowski. While rehabbing from back surgery this offseason, he also adopted the strict diet regimen that Brady says has helped keep him healthy since the 2008 injury. Gronk says he's eager to show he still has the skills that made him one of the most dominating tight ends in football.

''It's been a while, and I just can't wait to get out there,'' he said.

ROOKIE WATCH: The Chiefs planned to use Spencer Ware and Kareem Hunt in tandem at running back, but Ware went down with a season-ending injury in a preseason game at Seattle. So it's up to Hunt, a third-round draft pick, to carry the load for Kansas City. Charcandrick West and C.J. Spiller will give him a breather.

''We put a good amount on his plate,'' Chiefs offensive coordinator Matt Nagy said. ''So far, he's done a great job with it.''

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.3f on the Turf. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 67

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $7,500 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1A SHAMROCK PARTY 12/1

# 6 TARHEEL RAVEN 5/2

# 9 EXTRA SALSA 9/2

SHAMROCK PARTY looks to be a formidable contender especially at a long price. Caiazzo has this filly travelling well and is a formidable choice based on the strong Equibase Speed Figures garnered in route races recently. With Davis getting the mount, watch out for this animal. TARHEEL RAVEN - Toledo and Merryman are a strong pair for profits. Has to be given a chance based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. EXTRA SALSA - Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figs of this group in her last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 2

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 2-3)


Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 1:39P
FOR NY-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (THE (PLUS $7,000 NYSTBDF) ARE ADDITIONAL FUNDS THAT WILL BE PAID OUT TO THE WINNER IF SIRED BY A NEW YORK STALLION APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SONG FOR THE SOUL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SONG FOR THE SOUL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
7
SONG FOR THE SOUL
9/5

2/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 1

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)


Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 1:15P
(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TOIKIN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. GODS GREATNESS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. IGO FORGREATNESS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. POLICY PORTFOLIO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last st art was within the last ten days. FATHER LOVE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
TOIKIN
5/2

6/1
3
GODS GREATNESS
8/1

6/1
2
IGO FORGREATNESS
2/1

7/1
6
POLICY PORTFOLIO
7/2

7/1
4
FATHER LOVE
20/1

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Kentucky Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:52pm - Allowance - 10.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $140,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: 4

#7 AMERICAN COWGIRL (ML=6/1)
#2 IWISHITWOULDRAIN (ML=20/1)
#6 KITTEN'S SLEW (ML=15/1)


AMERICAN COWGIRL - My handicapping 'sense' tells me to be on the alert for this horse in this event IWISHITWOULDRAIN - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Bradley. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Borel is right back for another contest today after racing atop this animal for the first time on August 1st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign she can close well, and should be right there at the wire this time. Based on her last TrackMaster turf number alone, I'm going to play this mount. KITTEN'S SLEW - The rider and trainer combination have a profitable ROI when they team up. Have to make this filly a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp effort on August 12th. This horse could be tough this time, especially since Miranda rode last race out and now should be familiar with this one. PP data show this horse with three improving Equibase speed figures. Miranda should be on a horse ready to win right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WICKED LICK (ML=9/2), #9 NEVER GROW OLD (ML=5/1), #11 COCO CHANNEL (ML=6/1),

WICKED LICK - This horse showed little last time finishing sixth. Don't expect any betterment today. NEVER GROW OLD - This runner hasn't been close to the winner at the finish lately. Not probable that the rating she registered on Aug 17th will be enough in this clash. COCO CHANNEL - This filly probably won't be really close at the finish line.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 AMERICAN COWGIRL to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,6,7] with [2,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Penn National

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Penn National, Race 4 (Thursday September 7, 2017)

J C'S DIAMOND
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PEN-4 1m1/16 DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 4,000 3YUP $11,400
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

2 J C'S DIAMOND 8/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
1 e-STONESCAPE 2/1 36% 9/5
3 BELLY DANCER 4/1 17% 5/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: 3

#3 GHOST GIANT (ML=7/2)
#1 CAPTAIN MAD JACK (ML=6/1)
#6 SUMMER GEMS (ML=5/1)


GHOST GIANT - Really have to figure this fine animal is going to be very close at the wire. CAPTAIN MAD JACK - Morales is back for another race today after getting on board this animal for the first try on August 9th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a strong effort on Aug 9th. Ranks uppermost in earnings per start. A strong outing in this race will boost that total. SUMMER GEMS - Trainer Stokes gave this colt a nice long work. That's a really good indicator. This horse could be an overlay today at M/L odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Presque Isle Downs but was close at the finish. 54-57-76 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 CHATEAU (ML=4/1), #10 MADEYE (ML=6/1),

CHATEAU - This mount didn't go to the lead and didn't close down the lane last time he ran. MADEYE - Unlikely that the speed rating he recorded on August 28th will hold up in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 GHOST GIANT on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $36300 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 PATERNAL PRIDE 7/5

# 12 TENSPEED 8/1

# 8 MAV MASTER 3/1

My pick for this event is PATERNAL PRIDE. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 93. With a very good 101 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. The average class figure of 93 makes this entrant tough to beat.

[New York Knight]

Andrew Jett

TWINS

[New York Knight]

Chris Ruffolo

REDS

[New York Knight]

Randy Chambers

DODGERS

[New York Knight]

Valley Sports

CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑270

[New York Knight]

Ace / Line Beaters

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +8.5

[New York Knight]

Mikey Money

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS under 48

[New York Knight]

Sports Betting Tips

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS over 48

[New York Knight]

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Cubs -130

[New York Knight]

JACK BRAYMAN


While the Cleveland Indians are looking for a team-record 15th straight win, they'll trot Corey Kluber to the hill. Bad mix for the Chicago White Sox, as the Tribe are poised for another big win.

Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Kluber and Carlos Rodon. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.

Kluber is 14-4 and comes into Thursday's start against the White Sox with an American League-leading 2.56 ERA and the league's lowest opponents' batting average (.194). The right-hander has arguably been the best pitcher the past five weeks, as he was named the American League Pitcher of the Month in August after going 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA.

He domination spilled into September, as he allowed one run in eight innings with seven strikeouts in Detroit on Saturday.

Take the Indians, as they win big.

1* INDIANS RUN LINE (Kluber over Rodon)

[New York Knight]

JEFF BENTON


Your Thursday freebie is the Indians on the Run Line over the White Sox.

Very little mystery here, and while the juice is a little "steep", no choice but to play Cy Young candidate Carey Kluber and his sizzling team to control the White Sox.

Kluber stands at 14-4 for the season, and owns a 2.56 ERA to go along with his record. His team is in the midst of a 14-game winning streak - 6 straight wins coming by 2 runs or more - and is also on a 20-6 run on the road their last 25 games, and an overall run of 36-15 their last 51 games played!

Oh, did I mention that Cleveland has also won the last 3 series meetings, and 7 of the last 9 games played between these division-rivals!?!

The Pale Hose have managed just 2 wins in their last 9 games, and starter Carlos Rodon stands at 2-5 for the season.

Like I said, no mystery here....Cleveland by at least 2 runs!

4* CLEVELAND -1 1/2 RUNS

[New York Knight]

JOEY JUICE


My Thursday free play for you is the Chiefs and the Patriots to go Over the total.

Always bet over when Tom Brady is playing. Even in a snow storm!

There will be no snow storm in New England Thursday night, sorry Al Gore.

There will be a storm however, and that storm is Tom Brady.

NE adds deep threat Brandin Cooks just in the nick of time to make up for Edelman's absence. Gronk is back, Brady is 100%.

This one is going over the total.

2* KANSAS CITY-NEW ENGLAND OVER

[New York Knight]

Winning Colors Picks
TJ Elliot


#451/2 KC Chiefs/NE Patriots Over

[New York Knight]

Billy Irish Picks

Original Pot of Gold Top Play

#913 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

TDS Pucks & Dunks

Sloan Shannon
Home of the Original Dog Pound

#901 Philadelphia Phillies

[New York Knight]

Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux

#913 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith

'Railside' Harry MLB Expert

#901/2 Ph Phillies/Wa.Nationals Over

[New York Knight]

Arthur Ralph Sports

REDS w/Mahle-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 7


Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 7, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 16.058
Kansas City
(Gaviglio) 14.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
September 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 19.608
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 15.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-260
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-260); Under

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
September 7, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 12.453
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 13.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-300
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-300); Over

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 909-910
September 7, 2017 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Lynn) 15.994
San Diego
(Richard) 14.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-125); Over

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 907-908
September 7, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Straily) 14.493
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 13.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-115); Over

Cincinnati @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
September 7, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 15.855
NY Mets
(Harvey) 12.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-115); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.310
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 15.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 901-902
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.890
Washington
(Roark) 13.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+155); Over

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
September 7, 2017 @ 3:35 am

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 14.627
Baltimore
(Gausman) 17.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (53 - 86) at WASHINGTON (85 - 54) - 7:05 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-86 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-59 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-67 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-55 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-54 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-27 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 388-435 (+50.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 432-431 (+46.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 180-160 (-53.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 21-21 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 1-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.0 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 6-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 63) at PITTSBURGH (67 - 73) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-51 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-36 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 824-774 (-161.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 414-423 (+40.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TAILLON is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-24 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 29-8 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 96-39 (+34.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 96-116 (-32.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-54 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 68-87 (-25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.2 Units)

JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LESTER is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 4-7 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
TAILLON is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (61 - 79) at NY METS (60 - 79) - 7:10 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 53-53 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 424-398 (+46.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 60-79 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 30-40 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 123-142 (-60.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 52-54 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-59 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 24-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 17-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HARVEY is 11-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TYLER MAHLE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT HARVEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARVEY is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (67 - 72) at ATLANTA (61 - 77) - 7:35 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 59-78 (-26.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-50 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-35 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
STRAILY is 34-25 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 18-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 20-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 42-68 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NEWCOMB is 1-8 (-7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 (+2.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRAILY is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. MIAMI since 1997
NEWCOMB is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (72 - 67) at SAN DIEGO (62 - 78) - 9:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 92-120 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 62-78 (+3.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 61-70 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-35 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 46-34 (+21.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 46-50 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 79-93 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-21 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 83-69 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-26 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-21 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LYNN is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RICHARD is 3-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (74 - 65) at LA DODGERS (92 - 47) - 10:10 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 669-1026 (-183.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 441-704 (-144.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
KERSHAW is 20-2 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 31-6 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 24-3 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 74-65 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-16 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 68-73 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-6 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-28 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 202-151 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

JON GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 2-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. COLORADO since 1997
KERSHAW is 21-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.113.
His team's record is 27-9 (+15.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-19. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (83 - 56) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 84) - 8:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-15 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 52-20 (+28.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-5 (+0.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KLUBER is 8-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 10-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-11. (-5.6 units)

CARLOS RODON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
RODON is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (72 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (69 - 69) - 8:15 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 69-69 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 82-57 (+24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-66 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 74-61 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-49 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 37-32 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-30 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-67 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-30 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-11 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-37 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-48 (+5.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-30 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 8-3 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 8-1 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 9-3 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 279-395 (-107.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-6 (+2.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.4 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIBSON is 6-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 10-4 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.9 units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (74 - 64) at BALTIMORE (71 - 68) - 1:35 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-6 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
13 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+11.9 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GRAY is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.7 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GAUSMAN is 5-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 7

National League
Phillies @ Nationals
Nola is 1-3, 8.10 n his last four starts (over 3-1). He is 1-0, 3.27 n two starts vs Washington this season. Phils are 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-7

Roark is 2-1, 3.37 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in their last seven. He is 0-0, 4.08 in three starts vs Philly this year. Washington is 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-2

Phillies are 8-7 in their last 15 games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Philly is 9-15 in road series openers. Washington won four of its last five games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games. Nationals are 14-9 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 8.87 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Cubs are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10-6. Last time he faced the Pirates, they scored 10 runs in less than an inning against him (July 9).

Taillon is 2-0, 4.18 in his last six starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five home starts. He is 1-1, 3.75 vs Chicago this year. Pirates are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-5

Cubs won seven of last ten games (under 7-3). Pittsburgh won four of their last five games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Reds @ Mets
Mahle is 0-1, 2.45 in two starts this year (under 2-0)- Reds scored 2 runs in those games. Cincy lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Harvey is 0-1, 9.56 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Mets are 3-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7

Reds won five of last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Cincy is 4-1 in last five road series openers. Mets lost five of last seven games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. New York is 11-7 in last 18 home series openers.

Marlins @ Braves
Straily is 2-0, 4.76 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-1, 2.65 vs Atlanta this season. Miami is 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-4

Newcomb is 1-1, 4.35 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts. Atlanta is 2-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10

Marlins lost nine of last 10 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. Miami is 10-12 in road series openers. Atlanta played a DH yesterday; they’ve lost five of last seven games. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Braves are 10-12 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Padres
Lynn is 2-0, 3.00 in his last seven starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Cardinals are 6-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-2

Richard is 1-1, 3.90 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. San Diego is 6-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-14-2

Cardinals won six of last seven games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. San Diego lost its last three games; over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Gray is 2-2, 3.04 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Colorado split his eight road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-1

Kershaw is 9-0, 1.68 in his last 10 starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 3-1, 2.42 against the Rockies this season. Dodgers are 10-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-2-3

Colorado lost seven of their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Rockies are 3-11 in last 14 road series openers. Dodgers lost 11 of their last 12 games; under is 5-1 in their last six home games- they’re 16-7 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
New York @ Baltimore
Gray is 2-4, 3.89 in six starts for NY (under 5-1). New York is 0-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 (13.2 IP) in his last two starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight starts. He is 1-1, 8.84 in four starts vs NY this season. Orioles are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-14-1

New York won four of last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Baltimore won 10 of last 13 games; three of their last five games stayed under.

Indians @ White Sox
Kluber is 6-1, 1.86 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). He is 2-0, 2.95 in three starts against the White Sox this season. Cleveland is 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-2

Rodon is 1-1, 3.00 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. White Sox are 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

Indians won their last 14 games; under is 4-2 in his last six games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 home games.

Twins @ Royals
Gibson is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 8-5 in his last 13. He is 2-0, 3.31 in three starts vs KC this season. Twins are 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12-1

Gaviglio is making his first start for the Royals; he was 0-4, 6.65 in his last four starts for Seattle. Under is 5-1-1 in his last seven starts.

Twins lost four of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Minnesota is 13-9 in road series openers. Royals won four of last six games (over 5-1). KC is 11-11 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague



______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Phil-Wsh: Nola 11-12; Roark 15-10
Chi-Pitt: Lester 15-12; Taillon 11-10
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 5-9
Mia-Atl: Straily 14-14; Newcomb 4-11
StL-SD: Lynn 13-15; Richard 11-17
Colo-LA: Gray 9-6; Kershaw 20-2

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 16-8; Rodon 5-7
Minn-KC: Gibson 13-11; Gaviglio 0-0 (6-5)

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Phil-Wsh: Nola 6-23; Roark 10-25
Chi-Pitt: Lester 9-27; Taillon 5-21
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 7-14
Mia-Atl: Straily 6-28; Newcomb 4-15
StL-SD: Lynn 7-28; Richard 9-28
Colo-LA: Gray 4-15; Kershaw 4-22

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 4-24; Rodon 4-12
Minn-KC: Gibson 8-24; Gaviglio 4-11

_________________________

Umpires
National League
American League
Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 146-127 AL, favorites +$438

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 141-125-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/6/17
Ariz 28-26-19……37-21–11……..65-47
Atl 26-34-9……24-37-7………..50-71
Cubs 31-31-8…….34-22-13………..65-53
Reds 22-38-8……..29-36–7……….51-74
Colo 34-27-6…….37-29-5………..71-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-21-9……….72-45
Miami 28-32-8…….35-26-10………63-58
Milw 33-27-9…….35-27-9……….67-54
Mets 31-34-4……..27-37-6……….58-71
Philly 17-42-15……26-31-8…………43-73
Pitt 30-32-6…….28-30-13………59-62
St. Louis 30-31-9……35-24-9…………65-55
SD 20-39-8……..35-29–9……….55-68
SF 15-47-9……..28-30-12……….43-77
Wash 42-23-7……32-27-8………….74-50

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-36-7………57-69
Boston 30-32-10………31-35-2…….61-67
White Sox 21-37-10………26-40–4…….47-76
Cleveland 43-23-8……..31-24-8……….74-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….28-33-10……..54-67
Astros 34-25-10……..43-24-5……..77-49
KC 26-33-10……..27-28-12…….53-61
Angels 26-36-8………29-27-13……..55-63
Twins 37-21-11………32-32-8…….68-52
NYY 30-36-6……….36-27-4…..…66-63
A’s 25-36-7……..30-31-11……..55-67
Seattle 26-35-9……..36-25-10………62-60
TB 35-26-10……..38-21-9……..73-47
Texas 34-26-11……..35-24-8……..69-50
Toronto 29-37-5……..27-31-10……..56-68

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/6/17)
Ariz 22-71……..25-67………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-70……….35
Cubs 19-70……..25-69………..44
Reds 25-68……..26-72…………51
Colo 17-67……..25-71..……..42
LA 20-68……..25-70..……..45
Miami 29-68……..26-71………55
Milw 23-69……27-72…..……50
Mets 31-69……..24-70……….55
Philly 16-74……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..22-72……….42
StL 15-71……..21-67………..36
SD 23-67……….23-72……….46
SF 17-72……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..26-67……….52

Orioles 15-66……..24-74……….39
Boston 20-72……..15-68……….35
White Sox 21-68……18-70………..39
Clev 21-75……..21-65……….42
Detroit 16-68…….26-71………42
Astros 20-70……..28-70………48
KC 18-70……..13-69……….31
Angels 25-72……..20-70……….45
Twins 16-67……..18-71……….34
NYY 16-71……..18-67……….34
A’s 16-68……..27-72………43
Seattle 21-70…….24-73……….45
TB 21-70……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-67………57
Toronto 24-72……..19-71………43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 7

Trend Report

1:35 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 7-17-1 SU in their last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing NY Yankees
Baltimore17-7-1 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Washington is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs15-7-1 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 7-15-1 SU in their last 23 games ,when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games

7:35 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games

8:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
St. Louis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Opening Line Report: Sharps cause massive movement in Week 1 betting lines

The long national nightmare is almost over. Real, meaningful NFL games start this week, and thankfully we only have to wait until Thursday for the first regular-season contest.

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-7)

New England is coming off a historic Super Bowl comeback, rallying from a 28-3 deficit to beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-28 in overtime and cash as a 3-point favorite. In fact, the Patriots were tops in the league SU and ATS in 2016, going 17-2 SU and an equally superb 16-3 ATS, winning their last 10 SU while covering in nine of those contests.

Kansas City won the AFC West last year on a tiebreaker with the Oakland Raiders, earning a first-round bye. But the Chiefs’ playoff stint was short-lived, as they lost to Pittsburgh 18-16 laying 2.5 points at home to finish 12-5 SU, 9-8 ATS.

Bookmaker.eu first posted NFL Week 1 lines back in April, and bettors have since pushed the defending champs to -8 for the Thursday night season opener.

“Steady action on New England over the last few months has caused this number to tick upward, but I don’t expect it to be north of a touchdown come Thursday,” Cooley said. “The sharps are likely going to wait and see how high the public can push it, and then start picking off the numbers. (Chiefs coach) Andy Reid is great with time to prepare, and I wouldn’t be surprised one bit at an outright upset.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

Chiefs at Patriots
Play: Under 49

Last season the Patriots were #4 averaging 386 YPG on offense while the Chiefs finished #20 at 343 YPG. However, looking at their scoring New England (also #3) averaged 27.6 points/game while KC was #13 in the league scoring 24.3 points/game. Both teams offenses were aided by the fact that these two teams were the NFL’s #1 and #3 teams in regards to turnover margin as KC was +16 TO’s, with 33 takeaways and 17 giveaway’s while NE was +12 with 23 “only” takeaways and a league low 11 giveaways.

When we look on the defensive side of the ball the Patriots were #8, allowing 326 YPG while the Chiefs were #24 at 368 YPG. What set these two teams apart from the rest of the NFL was their scoring defenses as New England led the league allowing only 15.6 PPG while Kansas City was #7 allowing 19.4 PPG. The Chiefs finished #5 in the league in Red Zone defense while New England was #3 in Goal to Goal defense.

The Over/Under line is certainly inflated with having two top ten scoring defenses. Both teams have ‘bend but don’t brake’ defenses with offenses that that prefer to run the ball and rarely play up-tempo. While the opening Thursday Night means we have last year’s Super Bowl Champ in this case it is also the only AFC game with two of last year’s post=season participants. It will be a low scoring affair tonight!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buster Sports

Kansas City at New England
Play: Kansas City +7.5

The last time these teams played each other it was in the divisional playoff on January 16th 2016. The Patriots won 27-20 went on to meet Denver and lost to the eventual Super Bowl Champions. Move forward to opening night of the 2017/2018 football season and the New England Patriots are fresh off of their 5th Super Bowl win in the Tom Brady era and their 2nd Championship in 3 years. Kansas City opens the season trying to slay the Number 1 team at Gillette Stadium where the Patriots are almost unbeatable. In fact, in games that Tom Brady has started, the Patriots have lost only one home game to an AFC opponent since 2007. By the way that loss was to Buffalo in 2014 and the game meant nothing to the Patriots.

So why pick the Chiefs. We believe the Chiefs will be one of the top teams in the NFL this season. They have been right there on the cusp and this year could be their year. What better way than to start the season and beat the Patriots in Foxborough. Unlike other Super Bowl winners, HC Belichick will not let the Patriots have a hangover from winning the Super Bowl. The last time the Patriots won the Super Bowl they beat Pittsburgh on opening night by 7. The Chiefs have always played the Patriots tough for the most part and everyone remembers the beatdown that KC gave the Patriots on a Monday night in 2014. HC Andy Reid no matter what people may say/think is an excellent football coach with time to prepare. Everyone is well aware of his Bye week prowess. Although this is not a bye week we like the fact that the Chiefs will be well prepared to face the Patriots. Both these teams play very good defense and this may end up being a very tight game from start to finish. We are more than happy to take the large number with the Chiefs as we write this in May even with the game at Foxborough.

We see this being a close game coming down to a FG. Yes the Patriots are great at home, but if anytime you can get these guys it is going to be early in the year. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and we will be happy to take the 7 1/2 points here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Cincinnati at New York
Play: New York +109

The 61-79 Reds just swept the Brewers at Cincy in a three-games series and now head to Queens to take on the equally inept Mets (60-79) for a four-game series at Citi Field. The Mets opened a seven-game homestand by taking two of three from the MLB-worst Phillies (53-86) Monday-Wednesday. The Reds took two of three from the Mets at Cncinnati from August 29-31 New York has won six straight vs Cincinnati at Citi Field.

Tyler Mahle (0-1, 2.45 ERA) will get the ball for the Reds. Mahle has pitched 155.1 innings this season in stints with Double-A and Triple-A but this marks just his third major-league start in 2017. He's still looking for his first win (Reds are 0-2) and this marks his first appearance against the Mets. Harvey, like many of New York's starters this year, has been limited by injury. In his first start since spending time on the disabled list with a stress reaction in his right shoulder, Harvey allowed seven runs in a career-low two innings at Houston on Saturday (Mets lost 12-8 ). "I thought his delivery was good," Collins told reporters. "Have to get his command down. Step one, it's just nice to see him back out there."

The Mets are desperate for Harvey to give them some hope he can regain his former status. He is just 8-14 with a 5.35 ERA in 31 starts since the start of last year after opening his career by going 25-18 with a 2.53 ERA in 65 starts from 2012 through 2015. Harvey has had good success against the Reds, going 3-0 with a 2.75 ERA over five career starts (Mets are 4-1), so why not right here?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

5* FREE MLB ML Play

Cincinnati vs. NY Mets, 09/07/2017 19:10 EDT

Money Line: -112 Cincinnati

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Cincinnati -111

This is a fade Matt Harvey play on Thursday.

The Mets season has been a huge let down. Everything that could go wrong has seemingly gone wrong. Through many injuries, poor play, and traded players, the Mets are pretty much ready for this season to be over.

Matt Harvey will take the ball and he returned to an absolute beat down against the Astros last time out. Harvey allowed 7 runs in just 2.0 innings of work as he just hasn't been able to figure anything out this season.

Some trends to note. Mets are 3-9 in Harveys last 12 starts on grass. Mets are 1-4 in Harveys last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

It goes without saying, but even after looking at the trends, Harvey has just been a wreck this season.

Back Cincinnati.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

5* FREE MLB ML Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 nfl free pick

Kansas City vs. New England, 09/07/2017 20:30 EDT

Total: -110/+49 Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: chiefs know if they want to win they have to keep Brady on the sidelines . And the pats will have to get creative with there #1 receiver out for the season . Look for this to be a grind it out game and 50 points to beat us will be a chore making the under my nfl free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter
Free Play

Colorado vs. LA Dodgers, 09/07/2017 22:10 EDT

Point Spread: +1½/+113 Colorado

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Rockies +1.5- Jon Gray has a high upside and this Dodgers lineup is really slumping right now. There's nothing bad to say about Clayton Kershaw, but given the performance of the rest of the team, I believe LA is overpriced here. Plus money on the run line is a good way to look here.

[New York Knight]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJIGpX0UwAAj5po.jpg

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, defending Super Bowl champs are 12-2 SU & 9-4-1 ATS in Week 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Sep 07 '17, 9:10 PM
MLB | Cardinals vs Padres
Play on: Cardinals -123 at BMaker

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cardinals -123)

St Louis leap frogged over the Brewers for 2nd in the NL Central, just 4 games back of Chicago. They are also a mere 2 back of Colorado for the final Wild Card spot and the Rockies are up against Clayton Kershaw tonight. This is a golden opportunity for the Cardinals to at worst make up ground in the Wild Card and they have the advantage on the mound in this one with Lance Lynn squaring off against Clayton Richard. Lynn has quietly won 10 games and posted a strong 2.99 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 28 starts and comes in with a 2.57 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Richard is 6-13 with a 4.94 ERA in 28 starts, owns a 4.93 ERA and 1.533 WHIP at home and a 5.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Cardinals -123.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Sep 07 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: OVER 9 -101

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Reds/Mets OVER 9

Thursday is the start of a series between two of the best OVER teams in baseball. The Mets are a ridiculous 79-49 to the OVER this season, while the Reds are 75-60 to the OVER. I think we see plenty of runs in this Game 1 of this 4-game set.

Matt Harvey gets the ball for the Mets in what has been a disastrous season for him. He has gone 4-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Harvey has spent half the year on the disabled list. He just came back on August 2nd from nearly a three-month absence. He promptly got rocked for 7 earned runs in 2 innings of an 8-12 loss to the Astros.

Tyler Mahle is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he's done in a small sample size. He has gone 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in two starts this season. But both of those came against the light-hitting Pittsburgh Pirates.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in Harvey's last seven home starts. The OVER is 4-0 in Mets last four games overall. The OVER is 4-1 in Reds last five during game 1 of a series. The OVER is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in this series. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin
Sep 07 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +120 at betonline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Pirates +120

The Pittsburgh Pirates have taken two out of three games from the Chicago Cubs in this series to go 4-1 in their last five games overall. They still play for pride when they play the reigning World Series champs and would love to take Game 4 today to take the series. Jameson Taillon is 7-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 21 starts this year. He has a 0.90 ERA in his last two starts while allowing 1 earned run in 10 innings. Jon Lester has gone the other direction, going 1-1 with a 9.94 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in his last tree starts. He has been rocked for 11 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts. Lester has also allowed 16 runs, 9 earned, in 6 1/3 innings while losing each of his last two starts against the Pirates. Taillon is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts against Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach
Sep 07 '17, 1:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles -107 at BMaker

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Thursday MLB Baltimore Orioles Money Line (-) vs New York Yankees @ 1:35 ET - The Orioles Kevin Gausman has been a different pitcher the past two months. He went 4-0 in July with a 3.63 ERA and though he went only 2-2 in August he had a 3.48 ERA for the month. Gausman then began September by going 6 scoreless innings in his first start of the month. The O's have been hotter than the Yankees and have been making a playoff push and while they have done a fair amount of winning in recent months with Gausman on the mound, the same can't be said for the Yankees and Sonny Gray. The right-hander is 0-3 on the road since coming to the Yankees and, keep in mind, Gray also was just 1-3 on the road during his time with Oakland earlier this season. Grab the value here with the home team at a pick'em price. Free Pick on BALTIMORE on the money line in early day game action Thursday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Sep 07 '17, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: OVER 9 -110

1* on Reds vs Mets over 9 -110

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, favorites of 7 or more points in Week 1-3 ...

63-80 ATS (-16.9 units)


Patriots -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Schroeder

Love this division rivalry at SunTrust Park to soar into double digits, as I see a marathon in the opener of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins.

disclaimer

Let's start with Straily, who in 13 road starts is 5-5 with a 4.62 ERA. And since the All-Star break, the right-hander has struggled with a 2-4 mark and 5.06 ERA. The Marlins are struggling as it is, too, so I think the Braves will get to him early.

Meanwhile, with Newcomb, walks and longevity continue to be a concern for the rookie left-hander. And in facing a team like the Marlins, who need victories while chasing the wild-card race, he could be doomed. The southpaw hasn't recorded an out in the sixth inning in any of his past three starts, while he's walked more than six batters per nine innings.

This one is going high.

5* OVER Marlins-Braves (Straily-Newcomb)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

My Thursday comp release is the Dodgers on the Run Line to finally win a game over the Colorado Rockies.

Los Angeles stands at 1-11 their last 12 games, and they have lost 6 in a row heading into this series with division-rival Colorado. The only win in that stretch comes when Clayton Kershaw was on the hill back on September 1st.

Colorado comes to La-La Land with just 3 wins in their last 9 games, and the Rockies are just 9-24 their last 33 games played away from Coors Field.

Los Angeles has won the past 3 season series meetings, and 6 of the last 8 series meetings against Colorado this year. The Dodgers are also 24-5 the last 29 times Kershaw has started against the Rockies.

As for Mr. Kershaw, he is 16-2 this year, and the Dodgers are 20-2 when he starts.

Hey, L.A. has to win sometime, don't they?

Tonight is that night.

Dodgers on the Run Line the Thursday call.

5* L.A. DODGERS -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free winner is on the Los Angeles Dodgers, as they once again turn to their ace, and hope he can stop the bleeding after a dismal series with the streaking Arizona Diamondbacks.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play: Clayton Kershaw and Jon Gray. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Kershaw makes his first home start since hurting his back on July 23, which then landed him on the disabled list. The southpaw has already put the back to the test, and showed no signs of rest in throwing six scoreless innings versus the San Diego Padres in his first start back off the disabled list.

Kershaw will get the run support he needs, as the Rockies hand the ball to Gray, who needed 100 pitches to navigate his way through five frames on Saturday. The right-hander's only runs came off a three-run homer in the first, but he still struggled with command and tonight he faces an angry lineup.

Dodgers win big.

3* DODGERS RUN LINE (Kershaw over Gray)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Teaser - Patriots -2.5 & Ravens +9.5

I know there will be ‘distractions’ in this game for the Pats, but this team has been there before (at least their QB and HC have been J) and I think there’s enough of difference in quality here for the Pats to win by FG+.

Ravens at this ‘teased-up’ number look appetizing. This is a divisional matchup so the two teams know each other very well. Plus, Cincy will be without Jones, Burfict, and their 1st round pick Ross in this one. The Ravens had the 3rd best defense last year, and I expect them to be just as good this season on that side of the ball. This one should be a close contest, and I’ll grab the teased-up points in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

St. Louis (-125) over San Diego

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems, and the Cardinals have the superior pitcher on the mound Thursday night. The Padres have hit just .229 as a team lifetime against Lynn, and Lynn has pitched solid this season in night games with an ERA of just 2.84. Opponents have hit just .213 against Lynn in night games this season, and since the All-Star break Lynn has posted an ERA of just 1.99. The Cardinals have hit .284 as a team lifetime against Richards with an OBP of .363, and he has struggled at home this season with opponents hitting .308 against him.

[New York Knight]

Cubs 12-2 in Lester’s last 14 road games vs. teams sub .500

Pirates are 0-4 in last 4 vs. a lefty.


CHC -129 / PIT +119

[New York Knight]

NSA(The Legend) MLB - Mets +110

Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden MLB - Indians -1.5

VegasSI.com MLB - Mets +110

SportsAction365.com MLB - Mets +110

Gameday Network MLB - Nationals -160

Vegas Line Crushers MLB - Padres +110

InsiderSportsAction.com MLB - Nationals under 8

Lou Panelli MLB - Nationals under 8

Gerry "Big Cat" Andino MLB - Orioles over 8.5

VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB - Dodgers -1.5

William E. Stockton MLB - Dodgers -1.5

Vincent Pioli MLB - Pirates +120

Steve "Scoop" Kendall MLB - Pirates +120

SCORE MLB - Mets +110

East Coast Line Movers MLB - Braves +110

Tony Campone MLB - Braves under 9.5

Chicago Sports Group MLB - Dodgers -1.5

Hollywood Sportsline MLB - Indians over 7.5

VIP Action MLB - Orioles over 8.5

South Beach Sports MLB - Braves +110

Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB - Padres +110

Sports Cash System MLB - Orioles -110

BettingOnlineUSA.com MLB - Pirates +120

Sports Betting Professor MLB - Nationals -160

NY Players Club MLB - Indians over 7.5

Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB - Pirates +120

Michigan Sports MLB - Padres +110

National Consensus Report MLB - Nationals -160

Fred Callahan MLB - Padres under 8.5

PointSpreadReport.com MLB - Padres +110

[New York Knight]

Philly Gambler

Sharp $$ Purchase Order


101 Kansas City Chiefs +9

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ...



While the over the counter money is heavy Patriots tonight, the account action is 2x $$ wagered on Chiefs spread.

More two way than thought would be

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

NEW ENGLAND -8½ over Kansas City

As the only mainstays, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have won five Super Bowl rings in seven attempts with a rotating door of players surrounding the 12-time Pro Bowler on the field. This year will be no different. The Patriots did what they always do this offseason after cutting ties with the likes of Martellus Bennet, LeGarrette Blount and Chris Long for reasons like money and age. They then addressed a true need with the signing of former Bills cornerback Stephon Gilmore, who has yet to reach his potential as a true number one, but there is little doubt he'll be given every opportunity to shine under Belichick’s structured system. The Pats paid handsomely for Gilmore, something they rarely do, but if there was a weakness on this team in 2016 it was their inability to cover the other teams' top receivers, as they ranked 20th in DVOA (a relevant metric that measures defense adjusted value over average). The Pats had the most high profile injury in the preseason when they lost wide receiver Julian Edelman for the year but his loss is being blown out of proportion. We have little doubt that New England will be just fine with whoever slaps the pads on, as that has been their way in the BB/Brady era. Let's not forget this team won 11 games when Brady was sidelined in 2008. The Patriots went 14-2 last year and this year they’re personnel is improved.

The Football gods were smiling down on us when this opening night contest was announced. Pencil us in for an opportunity to fade Andy Reid in a high profile prime time game to kick off 2017. The Chiefs will get plenty of exposure this season with an NFL high six games scheduled in prime time. More importantly, the Chiefs are perceived as a quality team in this market so those big points look very appetizing. They may be fool's gold.

Last season, it looked like the stars were all aligned for the Chiefs to make their run. Quarterback Alex Smith was playing mistake free football and they were on the right side of some close games including a 29-28 win at Atlanta after Eric Berry took a two point conversion attempt by the Falcons back to the house. Kansas City also overcame a 21-point deficit in San Diego, a 17-point hole in Carolina and put together a game tying 75-yard touchdown drive including a two point conversion at Denver to win it in overtime, 30-27.

Perhaps the biggest slap in the face to the 2016 Chiefs was the field goal fest that ended in an 18-16 home playoff loss with Pittsburgh beating Kansas City at its own game behind six Chris Boswell kicks. Ol’ Andy never saw a field goal chance he didn’t like and last year that was more evident than ever. The Chiefs were brutal in the red zone ranking 28th in DVOA and 30th in goal-to-go situations. Another Reid specialty is passes at or behind the goal line, a stat the Chiefs led the NFL in again last season at 25%. The league average was 16% and no other team was over 22%. That’s what happens when you throw more screen passes to your wide receivers and tight ends than anybody else (68%, the next closest 50%). If the Chiefs need 10 yards in the red zone, Andy would rather dial up a short pass play that has no chance at a first down, kick his field goal and then head for the buffet.

The window is quickly closing on the duo of Reid and Smith but it’ll be Alex Smith being the odd man after Reid signed a four-year contract extension. To that point, the Chiefs were the first playoff team since 2006 to use their first round pick on a quarterback while returning their starter from the previous year, which is not exactly a vote of confidence in Smith from the front office. At the end of the day, the Chiefs kick FG's while the Patriots score TD's and by game's end, that will usually end up being a double-digit victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Minnesota at Kansas City
Play: Kansas City +100

This is a huge series for the Kansas City Royals in terms of their chances of making the playoffs. The Minnesota Twins are currently the 2nd wild card team in the AL, and the Royals trail them by just 2.5 games. They need to take at least 3 out of 4 games from the Twins, and it starts with Game 1 tonight. Kyle Gibson should not be favored here. He is 9-10 with 5.33 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 24 starts this year. Sam Gaviglio is 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA in 11 starts, but 1-2 with a 3.69 ERA in 6 home starts. The Royals are 15-3 in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 15-2 after scoring 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

My Thursday comp release is the Dodgers on the Run Line to finally win a game over the Colorado Rockies.

Los Angeles stands at 1-11 their last 12 games, and they have lost 6 in a row heading into this series with division-rival Colorado. The only win in that stretch comes when Clayton Kershaw was on the hill back on September 1st.

Colorado comes to La-La Land with just 3 wins in their last 9 games, and the Rockies are just 9-24 their last 33 games played away from Coors Field.

Los Angeles has won the past 3 season series meetings, and 6 of the last 8 series meetings against Colorado this year. The Dodgers are also 24-5 the last 29 times Kershaw has started against the Rockies.

As for Mr. Kershaw, he is 16-2 this year, and the Dodgers are 20-2 when he starts.

Hey, L.A. has to win sometime, don't they?

Tonight is that night.

Dodgers on the Run Line the Thursday call.

5* L.A. DODGERS -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Juice

My Thursday free play for you is the Chiefs and the Patriots to go Over the total.

Always bet over when Tom Brady is playing. Even in a snow storm!

There will be no snow storm in New England Thursday night, sorry Al Gore.

There will be a storm however, and that storm is Tom Brady.

NE adds deep threat Brandin Cooks just in the nick of time to make up for Edelman's absence. Gronk is back, Brady is 100%.

This one is going over the total.

2* KANSAS CITY-NEW ENGLAND OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIC DUKE

Twins vs. Royals
Play: Twins -107

Royals had a brief patch in late August when they didn't score a run in four straight games; however, they've won 5 of their last 8 since. Nevertheless, I can't side with converted reliever Sam Gaviglio who was shipped in from Seattle. Gaviglio hasn't started since July 18th. His last two starts resulted in 12 ER in 10 2/3 IP. I don't expect him to last long tonight; after all, he rarely, if ever, turns in 6 innings. Therefore, more pressure put on the KC bullpen. On the other hand, the Twins counter with Kyle Gibson who is finding his form off three outstanding starts (1.37 ERA / 1.07 WHIP). Twins are 8-2 on the road with Gibson and they're 5-0 with him against KC including that 17-0 white washing September 2nd. We'll take the road savvy Twins here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUG UPSTONE

Chiefs vs. Patriots
Play: Chiefs +9

New England opened up as touchdown favorite months ago and has been steadily rising in the last two weeks to -9 as of today. It is would seem nearly impossible to bet against the Patriots even at that many points and home teams on the first game of a new season played on a weekday are 9-3-2 ATS the last 14 years. However, not a fan backing any team by more than a touchdown in Week 1 and will have lean with Kansas City to cover.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bruce Marshall

Twins at Royals
Pick: Over

When last seen, Sam Gaviglio was pitching for Seattle in early July and getting battered, losing his last four starts. Demoted after a July 18 loss in Houston, Gaviglio now surfaces for the Royals. Minnesota should be able to do some business at the plate, and though pitching better lately, most of Kyle Gibson's starts for the Twins this season have been "over" results.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FRANK JORDAN

Chiefs vs. Patriots
Play: Over 48.5

These two teams scored last season with New England scoring 27 points a game last year and Kansas City scoring 24 points. These teams also had solid defenses, but early in the season with no tape on the offenses yet they have the advantage. In their first three games the Patriots scored 27 points per game and Kansas City put up 23 points per game. Look for the offenses to click early and the defenses to make adjustments in the third quarter and a little more offense later to push the total over the 50 point mark as the winning team will have low 30's and the losing team will be in the mid 20's as there will be more touchdowns their field goals in this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

Kansas City / New England Under 48.5

Yes, the New England offense is going to be high-scoring once again this season, but we think there will be an adjustment period in the early going of this season as the team deals with the loss of WR Julian Edelman. On the other side of the ball, KC is the classic “bend-but-don’t break” team and the last thing they want to do is get in a shootout with Tom Brady and Co. The Chiefs have gone under in 20 of their last 24 games in conference play when the line is 47 points or higher and these two teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings with an average of just 41 points per game. Go under tonight!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Cubs -130

The Cubs have looked good and are starting to get back to their original lineup right in time for the postseason. This team is locked in and on their way to winning the division. The Cubs have the better pitching matchup tonight and the Pirates are just not that great against left handed pitching. Look for Lester to be in total control this evening.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

Twins / Royals Over 9.5

Tonight's rotation spot was supposed to be for Kansas City ACE Danny Duffy but due to injury the Royals were forced to go on the waiver wire to acquire tonight's "fill in" starter. In the past two years in the month of SEPTEMBER Kansas City is a resounding 24-9 OVER the total. Minnesota's Kyle Gibson when facing opposing offenses whose hitters draw on average 3-or-less walks per game is a staggering 14-4 OVER in his career