Monday 9-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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::speak::

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Mark Lawrence's PLAYBOOK

New Orleans by 3 over Minnesota
LA Chargers by 10 over Denver

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The Gold Sheet

New Orleans 23 - Minnesota 16 (Key Release)
Denver 20 - LA Chargers 19

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Powers' Picks NL (Brad Powers)

Minnesota 26-23
Denver 23-20

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Platinum Sheet

Statfox Forecast

New Orleans 25-24
Denver 23-20

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 106

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 11, 2017 ALLOWED 5 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 LINE OF BEST FIT 6/1

# 1 BISHOP'S POND 9/5

# 2 LOVE CAME TO TOWN 5/2

LINE OF BEST FIT is my choice. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Magee has her trained very well to break promptly out of the gate. Her earnings per start in dirt route contests alone makes you take a look at her. BISHOP'S POND - Could provide positive profits based on competitive recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 92. The speed figure of 96 from her latest affair looks very strong in here. LOVE CAME TO TOWN - The speed figure of 93 from her latest affair looks respectable in here. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (87 average) at today's distance and surface lately.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 84

FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 11 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 TAINTED ANGEL 3/5

# 1 STONE SUPPLIER 5/1

# 3 GROTON ST SCOUT 6/1

I think TAINTED ANGEL is a very good choice. Should best this field here, showing respectable figures of late. Lately Rodriguez has provided wagerers with a quite good winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this lot. STONE SUPPLIER - When a trainer brings any equine back this quickly it is a positive signal. She has been racing well recently while recording strong speed figures.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #1 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: 4

#3 MY SILVER OAKS (ML=5/1)
#1 SHIPLAP (ML=3/1)


MY SILVER OAKS - When Dominguez and Foster combine forces on horses the return on investment has been great at +705. SHIPLAP - First-timer has morning works over the Louisiana Downs strip, which is always a plus. Delany, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this race. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FLYING ROSIE (ML=5/2), #5 N. D. FREE (ML=9/2), #2 VALINA (ML=9/2),

FLYING ROSIE - This runner hasn't been near the winner at the wire lately. N. D. FREE - Not a good enough price on this entrant at the probable odds of 9/2. VALINA - Not easy to play this questionable contender today. Make her show you something in a short distance event before you play her in a race of 6 furlongs. This filly notched a rating in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 MY SILVER OAKS to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:28pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 67

Rating: 4

#5 KODIAK CUTIE (ML=8/1)
#3 INDYGO TIGRESS (ML=4/1)


KODIAK CUTIE - Filly won on May 21st at this class and distance. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound right here, with some pretty good odds. Recent speed figs show strong pattern of improvement. INDYGO TIGRESS - Could be an overlay in today's race at morning line odds of 4/1. Finished fourth in last race at Mountaineer Park but was close at the finish. This filly is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figs of 27, 44, 71 last three out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CHERYL'S WAY (ML=6/5), #1 DUNKIRK SURVIVOR (ML=6/1), #9 MY STAR OASIS (ML=8/1),

CHERYL'S WAY - This racer hasn't been on the track since August 16th. Not even any morning activity. Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two grueling stretch runs. DUNKIRK SURVIVOR - Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the questionable challengers list. MY STAR OASIS - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint affairs in order to back her. This mount hasn't shown much effort in the last pair of races. Finished seventh in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 KODIAK CUTIE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 1

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) $1 Daily Double (Races 1-2) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $10,700 • Post: 1:40P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BROOK'S BAY B is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BROOK'S BAY B: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SECRET INVASION: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DISCREET INVESTOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1A
BROOK'S BAY B
7/2

9/2
6
SECRET INVASION
8/1

6/1
5
DISCREET INVESTOR
3/1

7/1

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

ZIA - Race 2

2nd Half Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / Fifty Cent Trifecta Ten Cent Superfecta / 2nd Leg of Fifty Cent Pick 4 1st Leg of Fifty Cent Pick 3


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 12:37
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ELEUTHEROS is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ELEUTHEROS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
ELEUTHEROS
6/5

6/5

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Arthur Ralph Sports

MON Toronto w/ Estrada -125

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Tony Brown

Tony's *5 mlb free pick

Colorado vs. Arizona, 09/11/2017 21:40 EDT

Total: +107/+8½ Under

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: grinke has been lights out at home going 13-1 with a sub 2 era i expect him to stay hot and shut down Colorado and 9 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick .

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When: 7:10 PM ET, Monday, September 11, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Preview: Saints at Vikings

Adrian Peterson may have served as the face of the Minnesota Vikings' franchise for the majority of his 10-year career, but the 2012 NFL MVP plans to show his now-former team that he has plenty left in the tank. Peterson brings his new club, the New Orleans Saints, into U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday night for its season opener against the Vikings.

"Of course I want to stick it to them. I want to stick it to everyone we play," the 32-year-old Peterson told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. "But going back to Minnesota, playing the Vikings? Yeah, I want to stick it to them." That plan of attack likely will go through quarterback Drew Brees (NFL-best 5,208 passing yards in 2016), who looks to keep New Orleans' top-ranked total offense (426.0 yards per game) in gear with second-year wideout Michael Thomas aiming to take the next step in the wake of the offseason departure of Brandin Cooks (New England). Minnesota boasted five Pro Bowl selections on its defense that ranked third in the league last season in yards allowed per game (314.9). "It makes it more interesting once he bounces it outside or catches the ball," Pro Bowl cornerback Xavier Rhodes told the newspaper. "You have that extra adrenaline, whatever you want to call it, if you can stop him so you can talk trash later on that day."

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Vikings -3. O/U: 48

ABOUT THE SAINTS (2016: 8-8, 3RD PLACE IN NFC SOUTH): Long the centerpiece in Minnesota's backfield, Peterson likely will take a complementary role with third-round rookie Alvin Kamara joining incumbent starter Mark Ingram, who is coming off career highs in rushing yards (1,043), scrimmage yards (1,362) and total touchdowns (10). While the offense rarely is an issue, New Orleans' defense has languished near the bottom of the NFL for the last three seasons - including a 31st rank in points allowed in 2016. Cameron Jordan (team-leading 7.5 sacks) and linebacker Craig Robertson (club-best 114 tackles) made their marks last year and rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore is hoping to do the same with the NFL's worst pass defense. "People think we're still at the bottom of the barrel. ... I love proving people wrong anyway, so I'm ready for it," the 21-year-old said.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2016: 7-9, 3RD PLACE IN NFC NORTH): Sam Bradford benefited from a short-yardage passing game to set an NFL record for completion percentage last season, due in large part to the team's inability to run the ball. Minnesota addressed its sputtering running game by selecting Florida State's Dalvin Cook in the second round of the 2017 draft and acquiring Latavius Murray in the offseason, shortly after Peterson bolted to the Bayou. Stefon Diggs (team-leading 84 receptions) and Adam Thielen (career-high 967 receiving yards) serve as Bradford's wideouts while Kyle Rudolph's 83 catches in 2016 were the most by a tight end in franchise history.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Minnesota DE Danielle Hunter recorded 12.5 sacks, which ranked tied for third last season in the NFL.

2. New Orleans WR Willie Snead will serve the first contest of his three-game suspension following an offseason DWI arrest.

3. The Vikings enjoyed a plus-11 turnover ratio in 2016 while the Saints were minus-3.

PREDICTION: Saints 27, Vikings 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 10:20 PM ET, Monday, September 11, 2017
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado

Preview: Chargers at Broncos

The Denver Broncos aim to rebound from a subpar season by their standards, while the Los Angeles Chargers begin a new era when the two long-time AFC West rivals meet on Monday night in the Mile High City. Both teams also feature new coaches - Vance Joseph for Denver, Anthony Lynn for Los Angeles - while the Chargers play their initial game since unceremoniously ditching San Diego after 56 seasons.

The Broncos missed the playoffs last season after winning the Super Bowl following the 2015 campaign and once again will revolve around a defense led by star linebacker Von Miller. Denver rehired Mike McCoy to rev up the offense after he spent the last four seasons as the Chargers' coach, going a woeful 9-23 over the past two years before being fired. Broncos cornerback Aqib Talib took notice that Los Angeles wideout Keenan Allen is healthy after tearing an ACL in the 2016 season opener and cautioned that the Chargers are a dangerous foe. "They're healthy now, and they've got all of their guys and all of their guns are on deck," Talib told reporters. "They have Philip Rivers as their quarterback, so if you have a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback, you're probably going to be pretty good on offense."

TV: 10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Broncos -3.5. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2016: 5-11, fourth in AFC West): Rivers still wings the ball all over the field at age 35 and has topped 4,000 yards eight times to go along with five seasons of 30 or more touchdown passes. Melvin Gordon missed a 1,000-yard rushing season by three yards when he sat out the final three games with hip and knee injuries, while veteran Antonio Gates has 111 career touchdown receptions - tied with Tony Gonzalez for most by a tight end in NFL history. Pass rushers Joey Bosa (10.5 sacks as a rookie) and Melvin Ingram (eight) will test a Denver offensive line that has four new starters while cornerback Casey Hayward (NFL-best seven interceptions) leads the secondary.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2016: 9-7, third in AFC West): Trevor Siemian begins his second year as a starter after passing for 3,401 yards last season and has a solid pair of receivers at his disposal in Demaryius Thomas (five straight 1,000-yard seasons) and Emmanuel Sanders (three straight). Running back C.J. Anderson is healthy after playing just seven games in 2016 before undergoing season-ending knee surgery while former Kansas City star Jamaal Charles will try to revive his career after appearing in only eight contests over the last two seasons due to his own knee woes. Miller is second in the NFL in both sacks (73.5) and forced fumbles (19) since entering in 2011 while Talib is tied for fourth in league history with nine career interceptions returned for touchdowns.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Broncos have won five of the last six meetings and hold a 63-50-1 series advantage.

2. Allen, who recorded 1,046 receiving yards as a rookie in 2013, played in just nine games over the last two seasons.

3. Miller has registered 13 sacks in 12 contests versus the Chargers.

PREDICTION: Broncos 26, Chargers 16

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Trends - New Orleans at Minnesota

ATS Trends
New Orleans

Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1.

Minnesota

Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall.
Vikings are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.

OU Trends
New Orleans

Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games in Week 1.
Over is 8-3 in Saints last 11 games in September.
Over is 11-5 in Saints last 16 games on fieldturf.
Over is 11-5 in Saints last 16 Monday games.

Minnesota

Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 Monday games.
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games in September.
Under is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 vs. NFC.
Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

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Trends - L.A. Chargers at Denver

ATS Trends
L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Chargers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
Chargers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

Denver

Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC West.

OU Trends
L.A. Chargers

Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 Monday games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 vs. AFC West.

Denver

Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games in Week 1.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games in September.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. AFC West.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 13-6-1 in Broncos last 20 home games.

Head to Head

Chargers are 8-2-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Denver.
Road team is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Denver.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 11

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 11, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 15.952
Kansas City
(Hammel) 12.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+160); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 913-914
September 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Miranda) 15.420
Texas
(Hamels) 16.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-135
10
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-135); Under

Detroit @ Cleveland

Game 911-912
September 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Jaye) 12.776
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 19.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-340
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-340); Over

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 909-910
September 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 18.631
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 14.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-125); Over

Baltimore @ Toronto

Game 907-908
September 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Jimenez) 15.516
Toronto
(Estrada) 14.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+100); Under

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
September 11, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 11.319
San Francisco
(Stratton) 13.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+170); Under

Colorado @ Arizona

Game 903-904
September 11, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 14.259
Arizona
(Greinke) 16.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-185); Over

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee

Game 901-902
September 11, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 16.166
Milwaukee
(Woodruff) 14.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+140); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, September 11

National League
Pirates @ Brewers
Brault allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 4-3 win over the Cubs. Pirates’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Woodruff is 1-1, 1.52 in four starts this year (under 4-0). Brewers are 0-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

Pirates lost their last five games; under is 5-1 in their last six. Bucs are 1-6 in last seven road series openers. Milwaukee just swept Cubs three games; they’re 4-1 in last five home games. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games. Brewers are 7-3 in last ten home series openers.

Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-1, 4.09 vs Arizona this season. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-1

Greinke is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six starts. He is 2-1, 3.62 in four starts vs Colorado this year. Arizona is 16-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-6-5

Rockies won six of their last seven games; their last six games went over. Colorado is 4-11 in last 15 road series openers. Arizona is 14-2 in its last 16 games, 16-7 in home series openers. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.

Dodgers @ Giants
Maeda is 1-2, 5.85 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1). Dodgers are 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-6-3

Stratton is 2-1, 1.99 in his last four starts (under 4-2). Giants are 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-1

Dodgers lost 10 games in row, 15 of their last 16 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. LA is 12-3 in last 15 road series openers. Giants are 4-12 in last 16 games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five. SF is 3-13 in last 16 home series openers.

——————————–

American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Jimenez is 0-2, 10.39 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six road starts. Baltimore is 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-3

Estrada is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts; Jays scored 23 runs in the three games. Over is 4-1 in his last five starts. He is 2-0, 3.16 in four starts vs Baltimore this year. Jays are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-15-3

Orioles lost their last four games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Baltimore is 9-13 in road series openers. Toronto lost six of last nine home games but won last two; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Blue Jays are 4-10 in last 14 home series openers.

Tigers @ Indians
Boyd is 0-4, 8.38 in his last six starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 starts. He is 1-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Cleveland this season. Detroit is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-6

Carrasco is 4-1, 1.90 in his last six starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. He is 3-1, 2.14 in five starts vs Detroit this year. Indians are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 19-7-2

Tigers lost 8 of last 10 games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine road games. Detroit is 6-10 in last 16 road series openers. Cleveland won its last 18 games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 home games. Tribe won its last eight home series openers.

New York vs Tampa Bay (@ Citi Field in NYC- Rays are home team)
Sabathia is 2-0, 3.33 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts. He is 2-0, 3.77 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this season. NY is 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-1

Odorizzi is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts; over is 11-4 in his last 15 starts. Tampa Bay is 4-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-4

This series is in the Mets’ stadium because of the hurricane. New York won six of last eight games; eight of their last nine road games went over. Tampa Bay lost three of last four games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Rays won five of last six series openers.

Mariners @ Rangers
Miranda is 1-0, 4.50 in his last four starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. Seattle is 10-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-3

Hamels is 0-2, 8.81 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts. He is 0-0, 6.55 in two starts vs Seattle this season. Rangers are 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-2-2

Mariners lost their last five road games; their last six games overall stayed under. Seattle is 10-3 in last 13 road series openers. Texas lost three of last four games; over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games. Rangers are 12-6 in last 18 home series openers.

White Sox @ Royals
Lopez is 0-3, 5.51 in his last three starts (under 3-1). Chicago lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3

Hammel is 3-1, 4.68 in his last four starts; KC scored 27 runs in those four games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Royals are 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-7

Chicago lost five of last seven games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. White Sox are 6-16 in road series openers. Royals are 5-3 in their last eight games; over is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Kansas City is 1-4 in last five home series openers.

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Interleague



______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Pitt-Mil: Brault 1-0; Woodruff 2-2
Colo-Az: Gray 10-6; Greinke 20-8
LA-SF: Maeda 15-8; Stratton 3-3

American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 11-11; Estrada 13-16
Det-Clev: Boyd 8-13; Carrasco 20-8
NY-TB: Sabathia 15-8; Odorizzi 10-14
Sea-Tex: Miranda 15-13; Hamels 11-8
Chi-KC: Lopez 1-3; Hammel 10-18

Interleague

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Pitt-Mil: Brault 1-1; Woodruff 0-4
Colo-Az: Gray 4-16; Greinke 3-28
LA-SF: Maeda 8-23; Stratton 1-6

American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 7-22; Estrada 10-29
Det-Clev: Boyd 5-21; Carrasco 5-28
NY-TB: Sabathia 6-23; Odorizzi 7-24
Sea-Tex: Miranda 12-28; Hamels 8-28
Chi-KC: Lopez 1-4; Hammel 5-28

Interleague

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 81-56 AL, favorites -$236
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 148-128 AL, favorites -$201

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 69-66-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 143-125-11

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/10/17
Ariz 28-26-19……39-22–11……..67-48
Atl 26-34-9……25-39-8………..51-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-24-14………..66-55
Reds 22-41-9……..29-36–7……….51-77
Colo 38-27-6…….37-29-5………..75-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-25-9……….72-49
Miami 30-33-9…….35-26-10………65-59
Milw 35-27-10…….35-27-9……….69-54
Mets 31-34-4……..30-37-7……….61-71
Philly 19-43-16……26-31-8………..45-74
Pitt 30-34-7…….28-31-13………59-65
St. Louis 30-32-9……37-24-10………..67-56
SD 21-41-8……..36-29–9…………57-70
SF 16-49-9……..28-30-12……….44-79
Wash 42-23-7……33-29-9………….75-52

Orioles 27-36-5……..30-37-7………57-73
Boston 30-32-10………33-36-2…….63-68
White Sox 21-37-10………29-42–4…….50-78
Cleveland 44-23-8……..34-24-8……….78-47
Detroit 27-35-10…….28-33-10……..55-68
Astros 35-27-11……..43-24-5……..78-51
KC 26-33-10……..29-29-13…….55-62
Angels 26-39-8………29-27-13……..55-66
Twins 38-23-12………32-32-8…….69-54
NYY 32-38-6……….36-27-4…..…68-65
A’s 25-36-7……..32-32-12……..57-68
Seattle 26-35-9……..39-25-10………65-60
TB 36-28-10……..38-21-9……..74-49
Texas 34-26-11……..37-25-8……..71-51
Toronto 29-37-5……..28-32-11……..57-69

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/10/17)
Ariz 22-71……..25-70………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-75……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-72………..45
Reds 28-73……..26-72……….54
Colo 20-71……..25-71..……..45
LA 20-68……..26-74..…….46
Miami 31-72……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……27-72…..……51
Mets 31-69……..25-74……….56
Philly 17-78……..20-66……….37
Pitt 20-71……..22-73……….42
StL 15-72……..22-70………..37
SD 23-70……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..28-71……….54

Orioles 16-69……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-71……….37
White Sox 21-68……20-75………..41
Clev 22-76……..23-68………45
Detroit 17-71…….26-71………43
Astros 21-74……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..15-73………..33
Angels 27-75……..20-70……….47
Twins 17-71……..18-71……….35
NYY 18-75……..18-67……….36
A’s 16-68……..27-76………43
Seattle 21-70…….25-76……….46
TB 21-73……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-70………57
Toronto 24-72……..21-74………45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, September 11

Trend Report

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Baltimore's last 24 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

7:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games when playing on the road against Texas
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:15 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (67 - 77) at MILWAUKEE (75 - 68) - 7:40 PM
STEVEN BRAULT (L) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-77 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 96-120 (-36.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-57 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 109-129 (-31.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 32-44 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 131-271 (-75.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 75-68 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 50-35 (+15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-42 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-32 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-34 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 8-5 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.5 Units)

STEVEN BRAULT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BRAULT is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (78 - 65) at ARIZONA (83 - 60) - 9:40 PM
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 444-704 (-137.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 83-60 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-25 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 38-25 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 59-40 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 51-31 (+18.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 33-27 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GREINKE is 20-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 44-10 (+24.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 99-48 (+38.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 68-26 (+35.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 78-65 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 37-34 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 4-0 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in September games this season.
COLORADO is 35-25 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 19-15 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
COLORADO is 31-25 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 237-235 (-57.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-6 (+2.7 Units) against COLORADO this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

KYLE FREELAND vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FREELAND is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
GREINKE is 9-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 14-9 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-13. (-4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (92 - 51) at SAN FRANCISCO (56 - 89) - 10:15 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 81-74 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-10 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-32 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 133-97 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 90-87 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-9 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 116-67 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 51-18 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-89 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-62 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-38 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-38 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-57 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-64 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-51 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-7 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MAEDA is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.678.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

CHRIS STRATTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (71 - 72) at TORONTO (66 - 77) - 7:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 59-84 (-25.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-30 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 212-339 (-105.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
JIMENEZ is 67-100 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 31-60 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 159-146 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 66-77 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 161-179 (-53.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 26-38 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 37-52 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 25-41 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 30-32 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ESTRADA is 6-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 11-5 (+7.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.9 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
JIMENEZ is 8-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.274.
His team's record is 11-6 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.4 units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ESTRADA is 6-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 9-3 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-5.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (77 - 65) at TAMPA BAY (71 - 73) - 7:10 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 10-19 (-9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 15-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-27 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 15-8 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 11-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 23-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 73-35 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 139-166 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 72-78 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 11-23 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-110 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-5 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-14 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 24-20 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-22. (-4.6 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ODORIZZI is 5-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (60 - 82) at CLEVELAND (87 - 56) - 7:10 PM
MYLES JAYE (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-82 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 35-57 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 40-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 87-46 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-8 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-13 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CARRASCO is 30-38 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 13-20 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 13-19 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-6 (+0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

MYLES JAYE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. DETROIT since 1997
CARRASCO is 8-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 11-8 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-12. (-6.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (71 - 72) at TEXAS (71 - 71) - 8:05 PM
ARIEL MIRANDA (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 71-71 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 91-62 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 74-58 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 123-96 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-66 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-15 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 36-34 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HAMELS is 35-17 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 30-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 25-11 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 29-11 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 33-14 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 18-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MIRANDA is 10-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
MIRANDA is 13-7 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 35-38 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-4 (+4.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

ARIEL MIRANDA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MIRANDA is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAMELS is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-7. (-4.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (56 - 86) at KANSAS CITY (71 - 71) - 8:15 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-42 (-18.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-71 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 85-68 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 76-63 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 55-51 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-33 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 405-412 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 280-397 (-108.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HAMMEL is 17-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 7-6 (-0.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

[New York Knight]

GAME: Baltimore Orioles (71-72) at Toronto Blue Jays (66-77)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 7:07 PM EST
WHERE: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Orioles at Blue Jays
Gracenote
Sep 11, 2017

The Baltimore Orioles still find themselves in the thick of the cluttered American League wild-card race despite their four-game losing streak. Baltimore looks to end the slide when it continues its 10-game road trip Monday with the first of three contests against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Orioles concluded their 6-4 homestand Thursday with a 9-1 loss to the New York Yankees and began their trek in disappointing fashion as they scored a total of four runs while being swept in a three-game set at Cleveland over the weekend. Baltimore fell one game under .500 with the setback and is three behind Minnesota for the AL's second wild-card spot with three teams between them, Seattle even with the Orioles and Tampa Bay trailing the two clubs by one-half game. Jonathan Schoop went 8-for-21 with three multi-hit efforts during a four-game home series against Toronto from Aug. 31-Sept. 3 and began gearing up for another strong performance versus the Blue Jays by recording three of Baltimore's seven hits in its 3-2 loss on Sunday. Toronto trounced Detroit 8-2 on Sunday for its second straight win as the bottom-third of the lineup went a combined 8-for-12, with No. 7 hitter Teoscar Hernandez registering two homers, five RBIs and three runs scored.

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, MASN (Baltimore), Sportsnet, TVA Sports (Toronto)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (5-9, 6.80 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (7-8, 5.00)

Jimenez worked a scoreless inning of relief against the New York Yankees on Tuesday after getting pounded in each of his last three starts. The 33-year-old Dominican surrendered at least five runs for the third straight outing on Aug. 30, when he escaped with a no-decision after yielding six over 2 2/3 innings against Seattle. Jimenez improved to 8-5 with a 4.12 ERA in 19 career appearances (17 starts) versus the Blue Jays when he allowed two hits and struck out eight over eight scoreless innings of a victory at Toronto on June 29.

Estrada settled for a no-decision at Boston on Tuesday after scattering three hits over seven scoreless innings. The 34-year-old Mexican is riding a four-start unbeaten streak during which he notched a victory at Baltimore on Aug. 31 despite being tagged for six runs and 10 hits in five frames. With the win, Estrada improved to 6-1 lifetime and 2-0 in four turns this season against the Orioles.

WALK-OFFS

1. Blue Jays INF Darwin Barney collected four hits on Sunday, has gone 6-for-8 over his last two games and recorded three multi-hit performances in his last five contests.

2. Toronto announced that RHP Aaron Sanchez, who hasn't pitched since July 19 due to a blister on his right middle finger, will miss the remainder of the season.

3. Baltimore OF Craig Gentry, who suffered a fractured right middle finger on Sept. 1, will be examined on Monday and hopes to be activated from the 10-day disabled list the following day.

PREDICTION: Blue Jays 6, Orioles 4

[New York Knight]

GAME: Detroit Tigers (60-82) at Cleveland Indians (87-56)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 7:10 PM EST
WHERE: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Tigers at Indians
Gracenote
Sep 11, 2017

The Cleveland Indians look to continue the longest winning streak in baseball since 2002 when they go for No. 19 in a row against the visiting Detroit Tigers on Monday in the opener of their three-game series. Francisco Lindor remained hot with a double and a homer as the Indians topped Baltimore 3-2 on Sunday to move within two victories of equaling Oakland's 20-game run of 15 years ago and three away from matching the 1935 Chicago Cubs' major league-record 21-game streak.

Lindor is 8-for-17 with a pair of doubles, a triple and three homers over the last four games of the streak while Carlos Santana has recorded five multi-hit performances in his last seven contests for Cleveland, which has outscored its opponents 121-32 during the magical run. Carlos Carrasco goes after his career-best 15th victory when he takes the mound for the Indians on Monday, while Detroit counters with rookie Myles Jaye. The Tigers have dropped eight of their 10 contests this month, including a pair at Toronto over the weekend, and already has lost the season series to Cleveland, going 6-10 with former MVP Miguel Cabrera hitting only .191 with three homers and nine RBIs. Nicholas Castellanos has hit safely in seven straight games, going 11-for-27 with a pair of homers and nine RBIs for Detroit.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN Detroit, SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Myles Jaye (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (14-6, 3.53)

Jaye makes his first major-league start after two scoreless relief appearances, including 3 1/3 innings of two-hit ball against the Indians on Sept. 2. The 25-year-old Georgian issued two walks and has not struck out a batter in 5 2/3 overall frames with the Tigers while surrendering three hits. Jaye is 4-13 (3-6 at Triple-A Toledo) with a 3.96 ERA in 25 starts at two levels of the minor leagues this year, serving up just 11 homers in 131 2/3 innings.

Carrasco has been outstanding in his last three starts, permitting a total of just two runs over 23 innings with 25 strikeouts and zero walks. The 30-year-old Venezuelan needs eight strikeouts for his second season with at least 200 and can earn his fifth victory in six decisions. Cabrera is 12-for-46 with a double and a homer versus Carrasco, who is 9-7 lifetime against the Tigers and 3-1 with a 2.14 ERA in five starts this year.

WALK-OFFS

1. Detroit SS Jose Iglesias, who was re-instated from the paternity list on Saturday, has not been able to join the team as he is stuck in Miami due to Hurricane Irma.

2. Indians CF Bradley Zimmer suffered a broken bone in his left hand Sunday and will be re-evaluated on Monday.

3. Tigers OF Tyler Collins, who batted .200 in 40 games earlier in the season before being sent to the minors, is expected to be added to the roster for the series opener.

PREDICTION: Indians 6, Tigers 2

[New York Knight]

GAME: New York Yankees (77-65) at Tampa Bay Rays (71-73)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 7:10 PM EST
WHERE: Citi Field, New York City, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Yankees at Rays
Gracenote
Sep 10, 2017

The Tampa Bay Rays will have a hard time concentrating on baseball Monday, when they host the New York Yankees in the opener of a three-game series to be played at Citi Field - home of the New York Mets - due to Hurricane Irma’s arrival in Florida. The Rays ended a three-game slide with a 4-1 victory over Boston on Sunday as Irma was reaching shore on the Southwest Coast of Florida and barreling toward Tampa and St. Petersburg.

“There’s a lot of guys in this locker room that could wake up tomorrow and not have a place to live, me included,” Monday’s scheduled starter Jake Odorizzi told the Tampa Bay Times. “A lot of us wake up and it’s mass destruction, whatever it is, it’s going to be tough to focus on a baseball game.” The Rays are 3 ½ games out in the race for the American League’s second wild card and Odorizzi hopes to provide some inspiration with his third straight win while facing the veteran CC Sabathia on Monday. The Yankees have won six of their last eight to grab a comfortable hold of the top wild-card spot and move within 3 ½ games of first-place Boston in the AL East. Aaron Judge became the second rookie in major-league history to slug 40 homers (41), joining Mark McGwire (49 in 1987), with two blasts and Gary Sanchez (10-for-21 in last five games) also went deep twice for the Yankees in Sunday’s 16-7 rout of Texas.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, YES (New York), FSN Sun (Tampa Bay)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (11-5, 3.91 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (8-7, 4.58)

Sabathia escaped with a no-decision last time out at Baltimore after surrendering five runs and eight hits - three homers - over 5 1/3 innings in a 7-6 setback. The 37-year-old gave up a total of four runs in 19 frames over his previous three outings, picking up a pair of victories along the way. Evan Longoria is 32-for-76 with eight homers, 17 RBIs and 15 walks against Sabathia, who is 16-14 with a 3.80 ERA in a career-most 44 starts against the Rays.

Odorizzi has won his last two starts, including Tuesday's outing against Minnesota in which he permitted one hit over 6 2/3 scoreless innings. The 27-year-old Illinois native has had trouble keeping the ball in the park as he has surrendered 28 homers in 24 starts, including two in a loss to the Yankees in his season debut. Matt Holliday is 3-for-7 with two blasts versus Odorizzi, who is 5-6 with a 4.40 ERA in 13 career appearances (12 starts) against the Yankees.

WALK-OFFS

1. Judge worked his 107th walk of the season Sunday to set a new major-league rookie record, eclipsing the mark set in 1942 by Les Fleming.

2. Rays 1B/DH Lucas Duda, who returns to the stadium in which he started the season as a member of the Mets, has gone deep four times in six games and is one away from his second 30-homer campaign.

3. Yankees INF Chase Headley (13-for-36, three homers, six RBIs) and OF Jacoby Ellsbury (12-for-28, five RBIs) both have hit safely in nine straight games.

PREDICTION: Yankees 5, Rays 3

[New York Knight]

GAME: Pittsburgh Pirates (67-77) at Milwaukee Brewers (75-68)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 7:40 PM EST
WHERE: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Pirates at Brewers
Gracenote
Sep 10, 2017

The Milwaukee Brewers have greatly improved their chances in the National League Central and will try to pick on one of the division's lesser teams when they begin a three-game series against the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday. A three-game sweep over the Chicago Cubs in Wrigley Field - capped by Sunday's 3-1 win - pulled the Brewers within two games of the Cubs in the division race.

Milwaukee, which has also crawled within three games of Colorado in the race for the second wild card, hosts Chicago for four games on its next homestand. Travis Shaw's two-run homer was the difference Sunday for the Brewers, who outscored the Cubs by a 20-3 margin in the series. The dominant stretch by Milwaukee pitching might continue against a Pirates squad that was blanked 7-0 on Sunday in St. Louis and has produced six runs total during a five-game losing streak. Pittsburgh won eight of the first 11 meetings this year before the Brewers swept a two-game set at home last month.

TV: 7:40 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Pittsburgh, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.79 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (1-1, 1.52)

Brault made his first start of the season after six relief appearances Tuesday against the Cubs, giving up three runs over five innings in a no-decision. He is 0-3 with a 4.42 ERA in eight career starts while allowing opponents to hit .307. Three of those starts - and two of the losses - came last year against Milwaukee.

Woodruff was dominant against Washington his last time out, yielding a run and two hits with eight strikeouts in seven frames. The rookie has surrendered 17 hits - 15 singles - in 23 2/3 innings with Milwaukee. Woodruff walked just one batter against the Nationals after issuing eight free passes over his previous three starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. Shaw has five home runs in 13 games against Pittsburgh this year.

2. Pirates LF Starling Marte is 1-for-19 over his last five games.

3. Milwaukee has slugged 202 home runs, tied for the fifth-highest total in franchise history.

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Pirates 4

[New York Knight]

GAME: Seattle Mariners (71-72) at Texas Rangers (71-71)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 8:05 PM EST
WHERE: Globe Life Park in Arlington, Arlington, Texas
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Mariners at Rangers
Gracenote
Sep 10, 2017

A pair of American League West teams vying to stay close in the wild-card race meet Monday in Texas, where the host Rangers begin a big four-game series against the Seattle Mariners. Texas enters 2 1/2 games behind Minnesota for the second wild card in the AL, while the Mariners are three back after both teams suffered losses Sunday.

Seattle won eight of the first 12 meetings with the Rangers this year, including two of three in its previous visit to Arlington. Five Texas pitchers gave up four home runs, one triple and five doubles in a 16-7 loss to the New York Yankees on Sunday. The Mariners finished a 5-4 homestand with a 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Angels and will be looking to snap a five-game losing streak on the road. Ariel Miranda tossed six hitless innings before being removed after 112 pitches his last time out for Seattle, and he will oppose fellow lefty Cole Hamels for the Rangers.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, ROOT Northwest (Seattle), FSN Southwest (Texas)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners LH Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.72 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Cole Hamels (9-3, 4.03)

Six walks helped to run Miranda's pitch count up in his hitless effort Tuesday, which resulted in a no-decision in a 3-1 loss. It marked the second time in a span of five starts that the 28-year-old has walked exactly six batters, but he has limited opponents to 19 hits in 24 2/3 frames during that stretch. Miranda was roughed up for five runs (four earned) in 5 2/3 innings at Texas on Aug. 2.

Hamels has been stuck on nine wins for three straight turns while going 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA. The four-time All-Star is 6-0 with a 3.39 mark in nine home starts this year, including a quality start in a no-decision against the Mariners on July 31. Hamels is 5-3 in his career versus Seattle but he has a 5.06 ERA in their 12 matchups.

WALK-OFFS

1. Texas C Robinson Chirinos is 5-for-8 with a home run, three doubles and three walks over his last three games.

2. Mariners DH Nelson Cruz continues to lead the AL in RBIs (107) and needs one more to match his career high.

3. The Rangers on Sunday activated RHP Matt Bush (knee) from the 10-day disabled list.

PREDICTION: Rangers 6, Mariners 4

[New York Knight]

GAME: Chicago White Sox (56-86) at Kansas City Royals (71-71)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 8:15 PM EST
WHERE: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: White Sox at Royals
Gracenote
Sep 11, 2017

The Kansas City Royals hope a visit from the worst team in the American League will help them close the gap in the wild-card race. The Royals are 2 1/2 games behind Minnesota for the second wild card as they begin a three-game home series against the last-place Chicago White Sox on Monday.


Kansas City has won its last two contests to earn a split of its four-game weekend set against the Twins and remain within reach of the final playoff spot. The Royals need to make a move, though, as they begin an 11-game road trip Thursday with the opener of a four-game series at red-hot Cleveland. The White Sox have won two straight following a five-game skid, and they did so in dominant fashion, beating San Francisco 13-1 on Saturday and 8-1 the following day. The Royals lead the season series 7-6 and have won five of the last six meetings.

TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, CSN Chicago, FSN Kansas City


PITCHING MATCHUP: White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-3, 4.84 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jason Hammel (8-10, 4.73)

Lopez is winless in four major-league turns this season but has posted quality starts in three of those outings. The 23-year-old allowed one run and six hits over six innings last time out against Cleveland, but the White Sox scored only one run behind him for the second straight start. Lopez faced the Royals in his White Sox debut on Aug. 11 and gave up two runs and four hits over six frames in a no-decision.

Hammel has won two straight starts and three of his last four. The 35-year-old continues to allow home runs at an alarming rate, surrendering nine in his last five starts, but he limited the damage to two runs over six innings to win at Detroit on Wednesday. Hammel is 2-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 10 career games (three starts) against the White Sox and won the only meeting last year, which marked the first time he faced Chicago since 2013.


WALK-OFFS

1. The Royals have hit 173 home runs, surpassing the previous club mark of 168 set in 1987.

2. The White Sox have homered in seven consecutive games, hitting 18 blasts over that stretch.

3. Kansas City 2B Whit Merrifield is 13-for-32 with seven RBIs during his eight-game hitting streak.


PREDICTION: Royals 7, White Sox 5

[New York Knight]

GAME: Colorado Rockies (78-65) at Arizona Diamondbacks (83-60)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 9:40 PM EST
WHERE: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Rockies at Diamondbacks
Gracenote
Sep 10, 2017

The Arizona Diamondbacks hope to all but wrap up the first wild card in the National League this week as they begin a four-game series against the visiting Colorado Rockies on Monday. Arizona salvaged the finale of its three-game set versus San Diego with a 3-2 triumph to maintain a five-game lead over Colorado, which occupies the second wild-card spot.

J.D. Martinez snapped a 2-2 tie in the sixth inning with his second blast of the contest, giving him a pair of multi-homer performances over his last six games. The 30-year-old has belted seven shots in the past week, including four against the Dodgers in Los Angeles last Monday, and is one away from tying the career high of 38 he set with Detroit in 2015 as he has gone deep 21 times in 45 games with the Diamondbacks. While Arizona has won 14 of its last 16 to pull within nine games of the first-place Dodgers in the NL West, Colorado, which is three games ahead of Milwaukee and St. Louis for the second wild card, has captured six of seven after completing its first four-game sweep at Los Angeles since 1993 with Sunday's 8-1 victory. Mark Reynolds belted a grand slam in the triumph and is one shot away from reaching the 30-homer plateau for the first time since he hit 37 with Baltimore in 2011.

TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Rocky Mountain (Colorado), FSN Arizona

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (11-10, 3.99 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (16-6, 3.01)

Freeland's winless streak reached six starts on Wednesday, when he surrendered five runs - three earned - and seven hits over 3 1/3 innings of a loss to San Francisco. The 24-year-old native of Denver has suffered three setbacks during his drought despite allowing three earned runs or fewer on five occasions, and hasn't won since July 30 at Washington. Freeland is 1-1 in two turns against the Diamondbacks during his rookie season, including a victory at Arizona on April 28 in which he gave up one run over six frames.

Greinke looks to grab a share of the major-league lead in victories as he aims to win his third straight decision. The 33-year-old Floridian did not factor in the decision against the Dodgers in Los Angeles on Tuesday despite allowing just one run and four hits over seven innings. Greinke owns a 9-5 record and 4.00 ERA in 23 career starts and one relief appearance against Colorado, including a 2-1 mark and 3.62 ERA in four turns this season.

WALK-OFFS

1. Rockies OF Carlos Gonzalez played in his 1,099th game with the club on Sunday, passing Vinny Castilla for third place on the franchise list.

2. Arizona purchased the contract of 1B Christian Walker from Triple-A Reno on Sunday, and the 26-year-old was retired as a pinch-hitter in the win over San Diego in his debut with the team.

3. Colorado activated LHP Tyler Anderson (knee) from the 60-day disabled list and recalled RHP Jairo Diaz (elbow) from Triple-A Albuquerque in order to be placed on the same list.

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 5, Rockies 2

[New York Knight]

GAME: Los Angeles Dodgers (92-51) at San Francisco Giants (56-89)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 11 - 10:15 PM EST
WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Dodgers at Giants
Gracenote
Sep 10, 2017

Two of the most frustrated teams in the majors meet Monday in the opener of a three-game series as the cellar-dwelling San Francisco Giants host the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have lost 10 straight contests and 15 of their last 16. The Dodgers still own the majors’ best record at 92-51 and hold a nine-game lead over Arizona in the National League West, but they're beginning a 10-game road trip with definite reasons for concern.

Rookie Walker Buehler allowed a grand slam in Sunday’s 8-1 loss to Colorado, which completed a four-game sweep at Dodger Stadium for the first time since their inaugural season of 1993. Rookie Alex Verdugo belted his first career homer, but the Dodgers went 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position and leadoff hitter Chris Taylor went 0-for-5 for the second straight game. The Giants will have little sympathy for their rivals after losing back-to-back games to the Chicago White Sox while being outscored 21-2. One of several candidates to become San Francisco's left fielder next season, Jarrett Parker returned to the lineup Sunday after missing nearly two weeks with a mild left oblique strain and homered in four at-bats.

TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, SportsNet LA (Los Angeles), NBCSN Bay Area (San Francisco)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (12-6, 4.02 ERA) vs. Giants RH Chris Stratton (2-3, 4.10)

After struggling in his previous start, Maeda allowed one unearned run and four hits over five innings of a no-decision on Wednesday against Arizona. The 29-year-old native of Japan has solidified his role in the second half, going 5-2 with a 3.42 ERA in nine turns since the All-Star break. Joe Panik is 3-for-7 with a home run against Maeda, who went 3-1 with a 4.58 ERA in four outings against San Francisco last season.

Stratton is looking to bounce back from a rough outing last Monday, when he allowed three runs and eight hits over four innings against Colorado. The 27-year-old has bolstered his case for a spot in next season’s rotation by going 2-2 with a 3.15 ERA in six turns, including three quality starts. “You hate to say you’re surprised, but he has exceeded what we thought,” manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “He’s doing stuff that elite pitchers do.”

WALK-OFFS

1. The Dodgers are moving LHP Clayton Kershaw’s start from Wednesday to Tuesday.

2. The Giants must finish at least 7-10 to avoid the second 100-loss season in franchise history.

3. Los Angeles MGR Dave Roberts said 1B Adrian Gonzalez (back) likely will start at least one of the three games against San Francisco.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 6, Giants 2

[New York Knight]

Mike Wynn

Free Play: MLB Milwaukee w/Woodruff -160 Over Pittsburgh

[New York Knight]

Platinum Plays

Free Pick: MLB Pittsburgh/Milwaukee Game UNDER 9 Runs

[New York Knight]

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, September 11, 2017

(909) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (910) TAMPA BAY RAYS.

Take: over the total.

Reason: Your free play for Monday, September 11, 2017 comes in baseball as the NY Yankees and Rays clash in Tampa Bay. This is a good home run park and a strong New York offense is in town. New York is 7-1 over the total on the road. C.C. Sabathia got pounded by Baltimore on the road in his last start, a 7-6 defeat. Tampa Bay is 17-7 over the total at home vs. a team with a losing road record. Starter Jake Odorizzi (4.58 ERA) has a 4.71 ERA at home and the over is 11-4 when he starts. Play NY Yankees/Tampa Bay Over the total.

[New York Knight]

Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh/Milwaukee under 9

[New York Knight]

#1 Sports

Monday's Free Selection: San Francisco Giants + 175

[New York Knight]

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Monday, September 11, 2017

(903) COLORADO ROCKIES (K FREELAND - L) VS (904) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (Z GREINKE).

Take: over the total.

[New York Knight]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: Take DETROIT/CLEVELAND OVER the total of 8½ runs

[New York Knight]

Atlantic Sports

Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee - 160

[New York Knight]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Monday: Take PITTSBURGH/MILWAUKEE UNDER the total of 9 runs

[New York Knight]

Hawkeye Sports

Monday's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers - 160

[New York Knight]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Kansas City Hammel -175

[New York Knight]

The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Monday: Take TEXAS (Hamels) -135 over Seattle

[New York Knight]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Monday: Seattle Mariners + 130

[New York Knight]

John Anthony Sports

Monday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Dodgers - 185

[New York Knight]

DARRYL TUCHOLSKI

NFL | Sep 11, 2017
Chargers vs. Broncos

Chargers+3

1* play, on what should be a closely contested game. The Chargers will have Keenan Allen back, and a great pass rush led by Melvin Ingram

[New York Knight]

CAPPERS CLUB

Broncos -3

This play just missed out on premium card. The Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers finish off the week one slate at Monday night, and with the line close the Broncos value is high.

The last two times these teams faced off in the Mile High City the Broncos won 27-19 and I suspect something like that will be the case again in this one.
The Chargers still have Phillip Rivers and they have Melvin Gordon but after that there is a lot of question marks.

The offensive line was a struggle last year, and if they can't keep Rivers upright this year, that is going to cause a lot of issues.

He will also be facing a Broncos defense that he has struggled against the last couple of years. I think the Broncos will make the most of that and use that to cover the spread.
Some trends to note. Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

[New York Knight]

RED DOG SPORTS

Soccer | Sep 11, 2017
Silkeborg IF vs. Aalborg

Aalborg-125

The free soccer play takes place Monday afternoon in Sweden. Take Aalborg.

Silkeborg 1
Aalborg 2

[New York Knight]

CHRIS JORDAN

My free winner is on the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line over the quickly sinking Pittsburgh Pirates.

Believe it or not, the Los Angeles Dodgers aren't the only story in the National League right now, as the defending World Series champion Chicago Cubs are also struggling in their division.

The race in the National League Central has heated up once again, and the Milwaukee Brewers are back at the party. The Brew Crew swept the Cubs over the weekend, and now Milwaukee is a mere two games behind the champs in the Central.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.

This one is more about momentum, as the Brewers are looking for a run to the top of the division, the Pirates have lost five in a row and Milwaukke has won four of the past six meetings in Milwaukee.

Lay the run line with the Brewers.

5* BREWERS RUN LINE

[New York Knight]

ERIC SCHROEDER

My free winner on the Oakland Raiders on Sunday was about as easy as it comes, as they took care of the Tennessee Titans outright. Let's carry that momentum over to baseball with tonight's complimentary winner, as I'm playing the San Francisco Giants over the struggling Los Angeles Dodgers.

Though we're talking about the last-place Giants, and a Dodgers team that not too long ago was considered the best in baseball, this is also one of the best rivalries in baseball.

I'm not sure when the Dodgers are going to win another baseball game, or if we're headed toward an all-time collapse. But the fact remains this team has just finished an 0-7 homestand, is mired in a 10-game losing streak - its longest in 25 years - and that has lost 15 of 16.

Los Angeles (92-51) now opens a 10-game trip just nine games in front of the Arizona Diamondbacks (83-60) in the National League West and four ahead of the Washington Nationals (88-55) for the overall best record in the N.L.

The Giants would love nothing more than to add to Los Angeles' woes. I'll take the home dog.

4* SAN FRANCISCO

[New York Knight]

JACK BRAYMAN

Play the Toronto Blue Jays tonight as my free winner, as they'll easily take care of the Baltimore Orioles, who are mired in a four-game losing streak.

Though the O's would love nothing more than to keep their wild-card hopes alive, this is a bad spot for them, in traveling to Toronto after finishing up a series with the streaking Cleveland Indians.

Toronto steps into this series after back-to-back wins over the Detroit Tigers, the first time the Jays have scored consecutive wins since mid-August.

Baltimore has struggled offensively, hitting a mere .220 this month - third-worst in the majors. The struggle continues tonight, as the Jays win.

5* BLUE JAYS

[New York Knight]

TOMMY BRUNSON

Monday comp play will be the Yankees over the Rays.

Because of Hurricane Irma, this series is being contested at Citi Field - home of the Mets - and while the Rays are officially listed as the "home" team, you can assume the Yankees will not only have more fans in the stands, but they also get the luxury of sleeping in their own beds this week....BIG advantage New York!

The Yankees just slugged their way to a pair of wins in their 3-game weekend set in Arlington against the Texas Rangers, and they have now won 7 of their last 10 games overall to grab a firm grip on the first wild-card spot in the A.L.

The Rays snapped a 3-game slide with the Sunday win over Boston, but have lost 5 of their last 8 as they have dropped a little further back in the chase for the second wild-card spot in the A.L.

Sabathia and Odorizzi will go, and the Yanks are 8-0 the past 8 times CC has started against Tampa Bay.

Odorizzi has won his last 2 starts, but did lose his season debut this year to the Yankees, and is just 5-6 for his career with a 4.40 ERA versus New York.

Have to lay it with the Yankees tonight.

5* N.Y. YANKEES

[New York Knight]

Sports Book Edge

Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert

#909/0 NY Yankees/TB Rays Over

[New York Knight]

Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux

#902 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish

Original Pot of Gold Top Play

#902 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon

Home of the Original Dog Pound

#908 Toronto Blue Jays

[New York Knight]

Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot

Football & Basketball specialist

#481/2 LA Chargers/Den Broncos Over

[New York Knight]

Vegas Hotsheet

#479/0 NO Saints/Min Vikings Over

[New York Knight]

Chris Ruffolo

Denver

[New York Knight]

Randy Chambers

VIKINGS

[New York Knight]

Andrew Jett

RAYS

[New York Knight]

Mark Roberts

RANGERS

[New York Knight]

Team Underground

MLB NEW YORK YANKEES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AASI Wins

NFL NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monster Sports Picks

MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS/LOS ANGELES DODGERS o8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tys Terrific Tips

NFL MINNESOTA VIKINGS ‑3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins

MLB TEXAS RANGERS ‑135

[New York Knight]

Simple Strategy for Betting Monday Night Football



Week 1 of the 2017 season concludes with a Monday night doubleheader. First the high-powered Saints offense travels to Minnesota to take on the stout defense of the Vikings. Then in the nightcap, the Chargers head to Mile High for a division showdown with the Broncos. Will you be watching? Of course, and you might even place a wager. If so, here is a simple strategy for betting Monday Night Football.

To start, in primetime games, the favorite has been undervalued by bettors.

This trend will be our starting point. Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in primetime games have gone 199-159 (55.6%) ATS. Minnesota and Denver are each 3-point favorites in their season opener.

If the game is expected to be high scoring the win rate improves.


Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in high scoring games (45 or more points) have gone 97-64 (60.2%), +28.17 units in primetime games.


Every time a Drew Brees led offense takes the field points will be scored. The total for the Saints/Vikings game opened 48 and a majority of bets are on the Over. With the game expected to be high scoring and the Vikings small favorites, there is value betting Minnesota at home.


Unfortunately, the Broncos/Chargers game falls out of this system. That’s ok, we got an actual Pro System pick for the late game on Monday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ace / Line Beaters

NFL MINNESOTA VIKINGS ‑3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Line Mover Sports

NFL NEW ORLEANS SAINTS/MINNESOTA VIKINGS ‑110 o47.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsbook Advisor

MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Dog LB

NFL LOS ANGELES CHARGERS +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Shelf Sports Pick

MLB KANSAS CITY ROYALS ‑175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price
Sep 11 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Orioles vs Blue Jays
Play on: Orioles +101 at 5Dimes

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Baltimore Orioles +101

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles at 71-72 are still alive in the wild card chase, just 3 games back of the Twins. The Blue Jays have been out of it for a week or so now and are 66-77 on the year. The Orioles clearly have the edge in motivation today and should not be dogs to the Blue Jays. Ubaldo Jimenez is 8-5 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. In his last two starts against the Blue Jays, Jimenez has gone 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 14 2/3 shutout innings. Take Baltimore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA
Sep 11 '17, 9:40 PM
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +110 at betonline

ASA FREE PLAY on Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line (-1.5 runs) over Colorado Rockies, Monday at 9:40 PM ET

The Diamondbacks, though only 1-2 in their last 3 games, had won 13 straight games. Each of the last 8 victories during that winning streak came by a margin of 2 runs or more. With the Monday pitching match-up favoring Arizona in a big way, we expect another big win by a multiple-run margin for the Diamondbacks in this one. Arizona is 10-3 in the last 13 starts that Zack Greinke has made and 9 of the 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more. Greinke is 13-1 with a 2.31 ERA in home starts this season and has been pitching very well with a 1.83 ERA his last 3 starts. The Rockies Kyle Freeland has a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and most concerning of all is the fact that the southpaw has given up 22 hits in 13 and 1 / 3 innings over those 3 starts. 10 of the 11 losses that Colorado has with Freeland on the mound this season have come by 2 runs or more. You can see why we're expecting a blowout home win for Greinke and the Diamondbacks in this one. FREE PLAY: Bet the Arizona Diamondbacks at -1.5 runs on the run line in late night action Monday!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn
Sep 11 '17, 7:40 PM
MLB | PIT vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 9 -108

1* Free Play on Pirates/Brewers under 9 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Sep 11 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | Yankees vs Rays
Play on: Rays +127 at betonline

10* FREE MLB PICK (Rays +127)

Tampa Bay is worth a look here in Monday's series opener against the Yankees, which is going to be played at CitiField to the hurricane. Most will see this as an advantage for the Yankees, but I look for the Rays to respond well in this spot and I like the pitching matchup. Tampa Bay will send out Jake Odorizzi, who comes in with a red-hot 3.52 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yankees counter with veteran C.C. Sabathia, who has shown signs of wearing down and is fresh off an ugly outing at Baltimore, where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work. It's also worth noting that New York put up a bunch of runs in yesterday's win over the Rangers, but are just 4-11 in their last 15 road games after scoring 9 or more runs . Give me the Rays +127!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Sep 11 '17, 8:05 PM
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -131 at betonline

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Texas Rangers -131

The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners are both within 3 games of the Twins for the final wild card spot in the American League. This is a big series for both teams, and I'm going to back the home team in Game 1 with the better starting pitcher on the mound.

Cole Hamels hasn't lost at home yet this season, going 6-0 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in nine starts. He'll be opposed by Ariel Miranda, who is 5-3 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.411 WHIP in 15 road starts this year. Miranda gave up 5 runs and 3 homers in 5 2/3 innings of a 1-5 loss at Texas on August 2nd in his last start against the Rangers.

The Rangers are 46-18 in Hamels' last 64 starts, including 25-6 in his last 31 home starts. The Mariners are 0-5 in their last five road games. Texas is 4-1 in Hamels' last five home starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 meetings in Texas. Bet the Rangers Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez
Sep 11 '17, 9:40 PM
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +110 at GTBets

MLB 75 DIME FREE GAME

The Rockies had a solid series in Los Angeles against the slumping Dodgers, while the Diamondbacks just lost two in a row at home against the Padres. Kyle Freeland has been the best starter for the Rockies this year, but he is going up against Zack Greinke, who has gone a very impressive 13-1 with a 2.31 ERA here at home for the year. The Diamondbacks have gone 14-2 in Greinke’s 16 home starts this year and they have gone 45-25 at home for the year overall, while the Rockies have gone a mediocre 36-35 on the road. The Diamondbacks are the better team and they have the better starter on the mound for this one, plus they average 5.63 rpg at home, while the Rockies put up 4.31 rpg on the road.

Arizona wins 6-3. Lay the money on the Run Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin
Sep 11 '17, 9:40 PM
MLB | COL vs ARI
Play on: OVER 9 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 9

We have two potent offenses here in a hitter's ballpark with a total of just 9 in this game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies. These are two teams capable of scoring 9 runs on their own, and the likely candidate today would be the Diamondbacks. Kyle Freeland is 5-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 11 road starts this year. He's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.10 WHIP in his last three starts overall. Zack Greinke is having a very good year, but he hasn't exactly shut down the Rockies, going 9-5 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 23 previous starts against them. He has allowed a total of 7 homers in his last five starts against Colorado. The OVER is 6-0 in Rockies last six games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last seven home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays
Sep 11 '17, 7:40 PM in 3h
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -161 at betonline

1* Free Play on Brewers -161

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Sep 11 '17, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Yankees vs Rays
Play on: Yankees -135 at GTBets

1* on Yankees -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach
Sep 11 '17, 7:40 PM
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -1½ +125 at betonline

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Monday MLB Free Pick Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -1.5 runs +125 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:40 ET - The Brewers, despite some recent slumps at the plate, have remained alive in the divisional race and certainly still have playoff hopes. While it may seem "uncomfortable" laying the -1.5 runs consider Milwaukee's general lack of scoring, note that they have scored well in recent match-ups with left-handed starters. This should come as no surprise as they do rank 6th in the National League for batting average versus southpaw pitching. Their last two games against a left-handed starter Milwaukee won by a combined margin of 16 runs and they pounded out 25 hits in the two games. The Brewers should have no trouble with the offerings of Pittsburgh's Steven Brault. The southpaw has a 5.40 ERA in his two career starts at Milwaukee. Also, in his first start this year he was fortunate that he allowed only 3 earned runs in 5 innings as he did give up 8 hits and 2 walks while recording 0 strikeouts. The Brewers will have Brandon Woodruff on the mound in this one and he has a stellar 1.52 ERA in his 4 starts this season plus this is his first ever start against the Pirates so that is an edge for him over Pittsburgh sticks that are not familiar with facing him. The Brewers have won 3 straight and all 3 victories came by at least 2 runs. The Pirates are 7-12 in their last 19 games and 10 of the 12 losses have come by 2 runs or more. Play MILWAUKEE at -1.5 runs on the run line in early evening action Monday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Duke
Sep 11 '17, 7:10 PM
NFL | Saints vs Vikings
Play on: UNDER 47½ -108

Saints/Vikings 7:10: Saints' defense, which has been in the bottom tier of the NFL for the past three years, could be better this year. Their front office worked in the off-season to acquire high caliber defensive players through the draft and free-agency; moreover, they even added a few new coaches. Eventually, we'll see an improvement from them. On the other hand, the Vikings remain defensively strong and have quality corners (Rhodes/Waynes) to take away the Saints' top two receivers. And remember, Snead is suspended for this game. Both run games are bolstered with new additions (Peterson - Saints) (Murray/Cook - Vikings) which are a concern. However, the total showed value at 48 but now falling to 47'. Minnesota is 0-4 O/U on MNF and 4-10 O/U vs the NFC. We'll tread lightly with the "under" here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
Sep 11 '17, 7:10 PM
NFL | Saints vs Vikings
Play on: UNDER 48 -110

Free Pick on Saints/Vikings UNDER

A lot of people just instantly look to take the OVER in any game that involves the Saints. However, historically Drew Bree’s and Sean Payton’s offense hasn’t been as lethal on the road. Another big part of that is they have had no choice but to try and outscore teams with how bad their defense has been.

I really thought New Orleans was going to take a bigger step forward than they did on the defensive side of the ball last year. While the numbers weren’t great, I saw a lot of good things in the first year under defensive coordinator Dennis Allen. This could be the year they breakout. The addition of 1st round pick Marshon Lattimore at corner should help improve a secondary that ranked dead last against the pass.

You also have to factor in that the Vikings aren’t a team that figures to be an offensive juggernaut. They ranked just 28th with 315.1 ypg and 23rd in scoring at 20.4. They were also in the bottom half of the league in 3rd down conversions. They should be better now that Bradford has had time to really learn the offense. Plus they improved the offensive line. Still, Zimmer is more of a ball control guy that wants to keep his defense fresh.

Hard to blame him given how well his stop units have played both here and previous when he was the defensive coordinator with the Bengals. Minnesota suffered all kinds of injuries on this side of the ball last year and still finished 3rd in yards allowed (314.9 ypg) and 6th in scoring (19.2 ppg). You can bet he’ll have his unit fired up for this one. Let’s also not forget they get a shot at going against their former star in Adrian Peterson.

I have a hard time seeing the Saints changing up their offense, but maybe they want to control the ball a little more. Why else would you bring in a guy like AP, who needs his touches to be effective and isn’t a huge threat in the passing game.

As you can see, I think defense will be the story line in this one. UNDER is an impressive 17-5 in all Vikings games in the 1st half of the season since Zimmer took over and 17-5 in Minnesota’s last 22 home games in the first two weeks of the season. Take the UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Pick From
VegasButcher

Monday, September 11, 2017 4:00PM - NFL
479 New Orleans Saints vs. 480 Minnesota Vikings

Vikings -3

Analysis
Minnesota Vikings -3

I know the story-line is the return of AP back to Minnesota, but let's not forget that he's a 32-year old RB who averaged 1.9 YPC on 37 carries prior to getting hurt last year. I don't expect him to be a difference-maker in this one. Vikings have a top-10 defense and they are also pretty loaded offensively with Cook, Diggs, Thielen, and Rudolph. Saints 31st ranked D from last year will be without Fairley and top CB Breaux, so I don't see them slowing down the Vikings much in this one. I see Minnesota making enough stops defensively to pull out a win and a cover.

Good Luck

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE COKIN

NEW YORK AT TAMPA BAY
PLAY: NEW YORK -125

Jake Odorizzi is off his best start of the entire season for Tampa Bay. That might be a buy sign for some, but it’s kind of the opposite for me. Consistency is not exactly Odorizzi’s forte, and I make him a decent candidate to bounce here.

CC Sabathia will take the mound for the Yankees. The big lefty has been pretty solid for the most part lately, registering three quality starts in his four most recent efforts. The one that wasn’t so good was his last one. but on balance CC is more go with than go against right now.

Tampa Bay has not fared well against lefties this season, and while the Rays are still mildly alive in the wild card chase, it’s not looking very good for them. The Yankees are still in the hunt to win the AL East, and they’ve now got a pretty good hold on getting to the playoffs via the wild card route, with a 4.5 game lead over the current first team out.

I feel as though the game being played at the home of the Mets due to hurricane issues in Florida, is at least a slight advantage to the Yankees. The price is very palatable and I’ve got the Yankees with the offensive and pitching edges. That’s enough for me and I’ll make the Pinstripes the Monday free play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

Chicago at Kansas City
Pick: Kansas City -170

A total of 12 different players have gotten starts for the White Sox this season, and you may even see one or two additional before the end of September. When a team is in rebuilding mode -- and no team is in that mode more than Chicago -- there are a lot of opportunities for young (and not so young) arms to get a look in the rotation in the second half of the season. That's basically what's happened with the White Sox and tonight one of those younger pitchers hoping to stick with the club will take the hill as RH Reynaldo Lopez gets his fifth start of the season. The former Washington Nats pitcher has actually looked pretty good for the Sox, but he still walks far too many batters (four per nine innings) and that's a dangerous proposition against a team like the Royals. Veteran RHP Jason Hammel will get his 29th start for Kansas City and despite a losing record at 8-10, Hammel has been pretty good lately for his team, going 3-1 in his last four starts. KC has been producing some runs lately, scoring 11 on Sunday and 37 in their last five games. This will be Hammel's first start vs. the Sox this season, but in his lone start against them in 2016, he went seven strong innings in an 8-1 rout. The Royals are 5-1 in the last six meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

MINNESOTA -3 over New Orleans

Their uniforms are ugly. The quarterback isn't much to look at and you know what they say about the weather in Minneapolis, but while they don't look sexy on paper or in person, the Vikings appear to be a decent pick in Week 1. We'll limit our expectations for this team to a week to week basis, as we are not nearly as bullish as some on their status as a Super Bowl sleeper. Their backfield has gone over a major overhaul with the departure of Adrian Peterson, the one-time face of the franchise. He's been replaced by former Raider Latavius Murray but all eyes will be on rookie runner Dalvin Cook, the Florida State standout from a season ago. The strength of this team will again be a defense that finished in the top-10 in DOVA in 2016. It's a unit made up of players that are either in their prime or are going to be soon. The only elder statesman is Terrance Newman, who is still contributing at 39. A great defense can still create misery for the best offenses in today's NFL and the Vikings will have a chance to prove that here.

Minnesota is typically fast out of the gate before their annual drop-off in November. That’s a good trait to begin with but that’s even close to being the main reason for this choice. We’re always looking for other reasons to get behind a team and Adrian Peterson provided us another one here to fade the Saints. Peterson, who is now a Saint, couldn’t help himself, when he claimed that he can’t wait to “stick it to the Vikings”. Firing up a superior opponent by opening up your cake-hole is about the worst thing a player can do. That’s locker room material right there.

At this point, you know what you're getting with the Saints. A high powered offense that typically plays better indoors at the Super Dome and they generally struggle on the road. The Saints have followed that same formula for nearly all of the Sean Payton, Dree Bree era. Sporting a top rated offense but unable to stop anybody when it matters, New Orleans has to play near flawless football if the other team doesn’t make foolish mistakes. Since 2014, only one team with a top five offense has missed the playoffs and that was the Saints. Not much is likely to change, as New Orleans will send out one of the youngest secondaries in the league with an average age of just 23 years. Covering a division full of elite receivers is a lot to ask of a young and unproven group. Another thing working against the Saints' defensive backs is the team's increased commitment to blitz which began last season. In 2015 New Orleans sent five or more pass rushers just 26.8% of the time but that number was way up last season at 41.6%. The Saints have tried everything to improve their defense over the years but it hasn't worked yet. That change in blitzing schemes moved them from last in the league in yards per pass allowed in 2015 (7.9) to 23rd (7.3) last year, a marginal improvement at best. This D-unit was also very fortunate in 2016 after recovering 12 out of 15 opposing teams fumbles but as we've discussed before, turnovers are not a skill based stat and the pendulum can come swinging back the other way just as hard. We can understand that taking points with the high powered New Orleans offense might be appealing but this isn't fantasy football. New Until we see otherwise, we must play the Saints for what we know they are and that's a team that is beatable on its best day and that doesn't typically play its best football on the road.

San Diego +130 over DENVER

18 months removed from celebrating a Super Bowl championship, our assessment on the Broncos is dark (compared to most other sites) and reflects a conceivably grim reality for this franchise. In fact, if the juice wasn’t so high, we would’ve bet the Broncs to go under the posted total of 8½ faster than fantasy players were picking up Kareem Hunt. Some early injury issues have the potential to further push this recently elite operation toward the league’s lower middle class.

Most of Denver’s defensive line suffered injuries during the preseason, and the team’s best facet — the Von Miller-fronted pass-rush crew — is suddenly vulnerable. Miller’s high-end sidekicks are depleted. Shaq Barrett is set but he missed months with a mysterious hip injury. This group being compromised could limit the effectiveness of the Broncos defense, and given how much will be asked of that unit again this season, that would begin a domino effect to mediocrity. Seems a lot will be placed on the offensive line and ground game, with the former comprised of another new group with questions and the latter consisting almost entirely of injury-prone cogs. All of the issues would qualify as additional concerns if this veteran-led operation had an answer at quarterback but they don’t. The signing of Brock Osweiler as backup is the Broncos warning us that their QB situation is not good. The Broncos might have the best receiving tandem in the AFC West but they have the worst quarterback. Marcus Siemian led the Broncos to eight wins last season, which may inspire hope, but here’s the important thing. Just one of those victories came against a playoff team that had its starting quarterback healthy and ironically, that lone victory came against the Houston Texans with the now-departed Brock Osweiler starting. There’s a reason seventh-round picks don’t typically commandeer starting quarterback jobs and through little fault of his own, Siemian could be at the forefront of the Broncos’ steady descent. A lack of a viable alternative thrust Siemian, who would be a backup for most teams, into a difficult spot, making the Broncos a team you do not want to spot spots with against quality opposition like the one they’ll face here.

We’d be playing the Chargers over their posted win total but we don’t play overs in football because every over bet is vulnerable to injuries. If we did play overs, this one would’ve been at the top of our list. The numbers for the Chargers were onto something last season. The one notable exception was their won/loss record, as they seemed likely to vault forward after a 4-12 season in 2015 in which they went 3-8 in one-score games.

While the 2016 Chargers did improve by one win, nobody could argue that they looked better in those close contests. San Diego was an incredible 1-8 in games decided by one touchdown or less. It's one thing for the Chargers to blow a league-high five games they led at halftime. It's another to give away four games in which they either led or were in a tie game with the ball at the two-minute warning. Some of these losses blend together, but it's worth reiterating how many ways the Chargers blew games last season:

In Week 1, they lost to the Chiefs after going up 27-10 with 13 minutes to go, aided by a 17-yard punt inside the two-minute warning that set up the Chiefs with excellent field position.

Two weeks later, the Chargers had a two-point lead against a Colts team facing fourth-and-7 on its own 20-yard line. They allowed a conversion and a 63-yard touchdown pass to T.Y. Hilton three plays later.

The next week, San Diego was up 13 points on the Saints with the ball and 6:50 to go. The Chargers fumbled away the ball on each of their next two plays from scrimmage, setting up the Saints for two short touchdowns.

A week later, the Chargers were stuffed on third-and-2, down three points with 3:05 to go. Punter Drew Kaser subsequently muffed the hold on the ensuing 36-yard field goal attempt, costing the Chargers a shot at tying the game. Three weeks later, the Chargers couldn't punch the ball in with four chances from the 2-yard line down eight late against the Broncos.

With 1:13 left in a tie game against the Dolphins, the Chargers needed a few more yards to advance from the Miami 42-yard line and set up a game-winning field goal attempt. Philip Rivers threw a slant under duress to Kiko Alonso, who took it to the house for a game-winning Miami touchdown.

Josh Lambo missed a 45-yard field goal that would have sent the Chargers to overtime against the Browns. Check that again: They lost to the Browns.

That's an unreal string of brutal losses, with three in the first month of the season alone. There was a decent team here. Four of their five wins came against teams with winning records, including a 33-30 victory over the Falcons in Atlanta. The Chargers are 4-16 (.200) in one-score games over the past two seasons. That’s a ringing endorsement that the Chargers are very likely to be much better this year because they’re good and because luck evens out over time. No organization since 1989 has lost more one-score games over a two-year span than the 2015-16 Chargers but the good news is that teams’ who were bad at this got better. The 29 teams who lost 12 or more one-win games over a two-year stretch were a combined 154-423 (.267) during their period in the wilderness. The following year, those same teams posted a winning record in close games, going 123-113 (.521) and they improved their overall win-loss record by an average of 3.2 wins. Perhaps most notably is that the Chargers have more talent than any of those teams, thus, they’re in line for a dramatic win increase.

The Chargers are in a much better place in terms of personnel too. For one, they won't be without star pass-rusher Joey Bosa for the first four games of the season. By the time Bosa made his debut, injuries had sapped the Chargers of several key contributors. Pro Bowl cornerback Jason Verrett went down for the season after four games, while fellow starting corner Brandon Flowers missed 10 games with a pair of concussions. The receiving corps was even further picked apart. Stevie Johnson hit injured reserve with a torn meniscus before the season even began. Star wideout Keenan Allen tore his ACL during the first half of Week 1. Receiving back Danny Woodhead suffered his own season-ending knee injury the following week. Philip Rivers was throwing to afterthoughts like Dontrelle Inman, Tyrell Williams and Hunter Henry for most of the season. Flowers, Johnson and Woodhead are gone but Verrett and Allen are ready to go here. Furthermore, the Chargers look awful deep at several critical positions and if you give Rivers time and some talented playmakers, he instantly becomes one of the NFL’s best. Simply put, the Chargers are too good to keep losing games and getting off to a good start is absolutely on the table here against an inferior opponent. Chargers outright get this call.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Baltimore +101 over TORONTO

Ubaldo Jimenez has been a fade target of ours for a few years now but for whatever reason, he absolutely shines when facing the Blue Jays. Current Toronto batters have hit a mere .216 against Jimenez in 305 combined AB’s (that’s over 100 innings) with a horrible .693 OPS. The Jays continue to make a lot of weak pitchers look good and even had their hands full with the free-falling Tigers this past weekend. The Jays are not in a good place right now and this is not a good matchup for them.

It’s always good to be known for something. Marco Estrada’s known for generating pop-ups and fly-balls, making his high fly-ball rate not seem like much of a problem. That seemed to work for him in his first 11 starts, when he posted a 3.14 ERA but he’s fallen apart since then, with a 6.85 ERA in his last 18 starts. Other than a few more walks and a few more strikeouts, 2017 looks like a carbon copy of 2016 with the only difference being luck. The main difference between 2016 and 2017 is Estrada’s BABIP and strand rate, both of which are luck-driven stats. Those extra runners didn’t come around to score last year but this year they are and that is the absolute only difference between the two seasons, one of which looks great and one of which looks awful. When you bet on or against Marco Estrada, luck, whether it’s good or bad, will play a massive role in the outcome of the game and while Jimenez is in the same boat, Baltimore is in better form than Toronto, they have a superior ‘pen and they’re not the team spotting a tag.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3G-Sports

Colorado vs. Arizona
Play: Under 9

Kyle Freeland has been one of the best Under pitchers this season, with only seven of his 26 starts going Over the total. However, his last three starts have gone Over, including a 9-5 loss at Coors Field to Arizona on Sept. 1. But he'll pitch well here, and so will Zack Greinke, who has stayed Under in five of his past six starts, winning his last three. All three of his starts against Colorado this season have stayed Under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

Saints at Vikings
Play: Vikings -3

The season opener for New Orleans and Minnesota takes place in primetime, the first of the league's Week #1 Monday Night Football doubleheader. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

The subplots in tonight's event in Minnesota find the controversial and the 2012 NFL MVP playing with his new teammates against his former ones when Adrian Peterson begins his 2017 season against the Vikings.

One of last year's top ranked defenses (315 yards allowed per game last season), the Vikings, host one of the best offenses in the league (426.0 yards per game last year), the Saints, and tonight's Vegas and Offshore betting board total (48) will likely be the highest of the season for Minnesota. The Vikings schedule does sport a December 3rd affair versus the Falcons in Atlanta that could rival tonight's over/under of 48 points.
The truth of the matter is that as much as Peterson would like to "stick it to the Vikings" he will serve as a ball carrier in a supporting or shared role. Running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara will all receive touches in the Drew Brees pass-happy scheme. The Saints defensive secondary ranked as the league's worst against the pass of a season ago but face anything but a high powered aerial attack led by quarterback Sam Bradford.

The 2016 Vikings were a quick hitting short-yardage passing unit last year. Bradford set an NFL record for completion percentage but not necessarily by the choice of the Vikings coaching staff. They would prefer to be a run-heavy but due to the inability to gain hard fought yards on the ground last season they were forced to be more West Coast oriented. The team will offer Florida State rookie Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray the chance to change their game-plan tonight in the organizations season opener.

While it isn't always wise to put too much stock in the August exhibition results it is noteworthy to mention that the Vikings’ offense struggled during most of preseason. Tonight's test against Sean Payton's soft defense could be just what the doctor ordered to offer the unit confidence in the first game of the season but do so against a Saints team that is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a visitor.

The Saints square off against a team that has covered just two of their last nine home openers but do so with question marks at receiver. New Orleans won't have their top two receivers from last season on the field tonight. Wide out Brandon Cooks is now catching balls from Tom Brady in New England and Willie Snead is serving a league suspension. Typically, Brees' tight end connection with Coby Fleener would play a factor in projecting a selection against the spread by Fleener benefits from the attention given to the Saints usually explosive wide outs and lacks big-play ability. Fleener does most of his damage on seam but won't have an easy time tonight against a stellar Vikings line backing corps.

Wide outs Michael Thomas and Ted Ginn top the Saints depth chart with Thomas being the redzone target and Ginn the receiver that stretches the field for Brees.

Minnesota saw division foes Green Bay and Detroit start the 2017 campaign with Sunday wins and tonight's victory over New Orleans also makes them 1-0 to begin the bright and shiny new campaign.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buster Sports

Dodgers at Giants
Play: Giants +195

The LA Dodgers go to San Francisco tonight to try and stop this horrendous losing streak. The Dodgers have now lost 10 straight games and 15 of their last 16. The starting pitchers for tonight’s game are for the Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (12-6, 4.02 ERA) and he will face the Giants RH Chris Stratton (2-3, 4.10 ERA) Maeda has a 5.46 ERA in 12 road starts this year and when he has faced the Giants in his career he is sporting a 4.58 ERA with a WHIP of 1.678. Stratton who made seven appearances out of the bullpen for the Giants last year will now make his third home start this year. Stratton has been very impressive in those first two home starts sporting a 1.64 ERA. The situation for the Giants is not one we like as they are coming home from a road trip. However, we just can’t pass up taking a flyer on the Giants as we are getting +195 at the time of this writing. The Giants and the Dodgers are bitter rivals and we know Bruce Bochy will have all hands on deck for this three-game series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

MINNESOTA (-3) over New Orleans

One of the best-kept secrets in the NFL is just how good the Vikings have been against the spread since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach. Since the beginning of the 2014 season, when Zimmer was hired, Minnesota has the best pointspread record in the entire league, going 33-16 (67%), including a profitable 13-4 ATS mark at home. What’s more, in games in which the line is between +3 and -3 under Zimmer, Minnesota has gone 14-6 ATS (70%). We see no reason to buck these trends tonight. The Saints offense is going to be real strong again this season, but so is the Vikings “D.” Last year, Minnesota allowed just 18 points per game at home and will limit Drew Brees and the Saints here tonight.Take the Vikings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bruce Marshall

Baltimore at Toronto
Pick: Toronto

While the Blue Jays peeled off of the AL wild card race a few weeks, Baltimore remains in the thick of things. But not sure about this matchup tonight for the O's, who are entrusting their Monday hopes on the erratic Ubaldo Jimenez, recently pulled from the rotation by Buck Showalter after a wretched three-start sequence of 17 runs and 23 hits allowed in a 12-inning stretch. One of the few performers in the Toronto rotation worth considering has been Monday starter Marco Estrada, with the occasional superb outing such as his last start when shutting out the Bosox on three hits over 7 IP last Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Orioles / Blue Jays Over 9.5

Tonight’s game showcases two pitchers that would love to start this season over. Both pitchers issued way too many walks and base hits this year and both surrender the long ball. Jimenez was once a dominant pitcher, but has looked like a pitching machine this year. Look for both lineups to punch runs in early and often tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Yankees vs. Rays
Play: Over 8½

New York (77-65) begins this series after a 16-7 win in Texas yesterday afternoon. The Yankees have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win. New York has also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total. Tampa Bay (71-73) comes off a 4-1 win at Boston yesterday — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Rays have also lost 17 of their last 24 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Take the Over while listing both starting pitchers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Juice

The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Pirates as these two division rivals begin a three-game series in Milwaukee from Miller Park.

Pittsburgh will go with their twenty-five-year-old left-hander Steven Brault, Milwaukee will go with their twenty-four-year-old right-hander Brandon Woodruff.

A look inside the numbers show that the Pittsburgh Pirates have gone under 12 out of their last 16 games in Milwaukee. In their last seven road games they've gone under 6 times, and in Brault's last four starts he's went under three times.

Over in the other dugout the Milwaukee Brewers have gone under in all four of Woodruff's last 4 starts, and they have gone under 20 out of the last 27 games against the Pirates. The Brewers have also gone under five out of their last six Monday night games.

No other way to go but under in this one.

4* PITTSBURGH-MILWAUKEE UNDER

[New York Knight]

Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Sept

Over is 6-1 in last 7 games in Week 1

Over is 4-1 last 5 games in September

[New York Knight]

Broncos are 28-4 SU mark and have gone 20-12 ATS in home openers since 1985.

Denver 11-4-2 ATS since 2000 in those home openers.