Betting ranked teams

[New York Knight]

All games ... 49.7% ATS (-273.29 units)


Games 1-4 ... 55.2% ATS (+68.02 units)

[New York Knight]

Ranked teams are the best bet in Game 1 but avoid Top 25 matchups. Any advantage the best programs in the country have from talent/coaching would be neutralized against a ranked opponent. By targeting games against unranked teams the win rate improves from 57% to 58.5% ATS.


Top 25 teams in heavily bet games against unranked opponents to start the season are 51-29 (63.8%) ATS, +19.5 units since 2005.

[Mr. IWS]

Do you have any numbers on unranked teams favored over ranked teams?