Tuesday 12-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Fair Grounds - Race #5 - Post: 3:05pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: 4

#9 GIRL THIRSTY (ML=8/1)
#6 B'S TEN (ML=9/2)


GIRL THIRSTY - Green rode this animal for the first time last race out and comes right back this time. When Green and Hodges are put together on animals the return on investment has been terrific at +75. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a sharp outing on Dec 7th. B'S TEN - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier group than last out at Fair Grounds. Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speedball facing sluggish sorts today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STAR PERFORMER (ML=4/1), #4 CARSON'S PROSPECT (ML=6/1), #3 PEACE TREATY PAT (ML=6/1),

STAR PERFORMER - Just don't think she is pegged at the proper price at the probable odds. CARSON'S PROSPECT - She showed not much at all in the last affair. This filly garnered a fig in her last affair which probably isn't good enough today. PEACE TREATY PAT - This closer should have a rough go of it to be along in time with an absence of pace in this race. Don't feel this pony will make an impact today. That last speed fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - B'S TEN - My analysis says you can ignore the last race at Fair Grounds. Contested on a track listed as good, this filly obviously didn't take to the going.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #9 GIRL THIRSTY on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 74

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 SKYRISE 6/1

# 4 EIGHTY AND SUNNY 3/1

# 5 PAMPLED 8/5

SKYRISE is my choice. EIGHTY AND SUNNY - Ought to be given consideration for this event if only for the quite good speed fig garnered in the last contest. Has been moving in the most competitive company of the group recently. PAMPLED - Earning some good dough in dirt route races. Could provide positive dividends based on quite good recent Speed Figures with an average of 78.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $32500 Class Rating: 82

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 12 COSITA RICA 8/1

# 4 MICHELLE'Z LAUGH 20/1

# 5 BIG LIZ 8/1

COSITA RICA looks to be a decent contender and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. Have to take notice when any horse makes a quick major improvement. With a solid ROI of +11 this trainer has shown solid results with entries running at this distance and surface. Is a very strong contender based on figs garnered recently under today's conditions. MICHELLE'Z LAUGH - Could best this group of animals based on the speed fig - 68 - of her last contest. Has a strong shot in this event if you like back class.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 6

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent PICK 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


SO $25,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 3:00P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 TO $20,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD CLAIMING $25,000 TO $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $20,000 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $18,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (WINNERS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FERGIE'S LADY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. KEEP YOUR DISTANCE: Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FERGIE'S LADY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FOLLOW THE PETALS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. PRINCESS PALOMAR: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
3
PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR
5/2

6/1
7
KEEP YOUR DISTANCE
7/2

7/1
8
FERGIE'S LADY
12/1

7/1
2
FOLLOW THE PETALS
3/1

8/1
6
PRINCESS PALOMAR
6/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
FERGIE'S LADY
8

12/1
Front-runner
85

75

63.5

70.9

58.4
7
KEEP YOUR DISTANCE
7

7/2
Stalker
86

84

70.4

76.3

69.8
6
PRINCESS PALOMAR
6

6/1
Stalker
84

81

46.5

75.8

69.8
1
SO INNOCENT
1

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
77

79

54.3

58.0

47.5
3
PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR
3

5/2
Trailer
89

85

67.0

86.6

82.6
5
FAIRE MI
5

15/1
Trailer
75

73

60.8

65.0

50.0
2
FOLLOW THE PETALS
2

3/1
Trailer
86

81

51.4

79.6

75.6
4
AIDEN'S RAG DOLL
4

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

70

54.8

59.4

46.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Santa Anita - Race #1 - Post: 12:00pm - Maiden Special - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 102

Rating: 4

#1 RIVER BOYNE (IRE) (ML=3/1)
#9 FENGARI (ML=5/1)


RIVER BOYNE (IRE) - This colt has the top turf figure in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here racer has a good chance. This horse should make a move turning for home. Great late early speed I do like foreign invaders that have showed signs of true class at a major foreign track. I like the hard fact that this colt's last rating, 106, is tops in this group. The improved speed figures over the last three races is great. Mullins drops him in this race ready to win. FENGARI - Came home in sizzling time last time around the track. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 BIG BUZZ (ML=5/2), #8 EROTIC (ML=5/1), #5 ORBIT RAIN (ML=6/1),

BIG BUZZ - Hard to take this questionable contender at the odds after the result (ninth) in the last event. EROTIC - Finished fourth in his most recent race with a pedestrian fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. ORBIT RAIN - Tough to wager on any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. Garnered a run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on November 23rd. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RIVER BOYNE (IRE) - I scan the TrackMaster Platinum PPs for this type of horse. Has the top Power Rating by at least 5 points.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 RIVER BOYNE (IRE) is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 6

.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)/$1 Exacta/Trifecta/.10 Superfecta


Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $11,700 • Post: 2:37P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SKIPPITY DO DOM is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SKIPPITY DO DOM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS CHARLY HUSTLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TEARS FOR BELLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. PLEASURER STORM: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races.
3
SKIPPITY DO DOM
5/1

3/1
1
MISS CHARLY HUSTLE
5/2

8/1
2
TEARS FOR BELLE
6/1

9/1
5
PLEASURER STORM
7/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
SKIPPITY DO DOM
3

5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
56

56

52.1

51.2

45.7
1
MISS CHARLY HUSTLE
1

5/2
Stalker
55

52

45.8

45.8

40.8
2
TEARS FOR BELLE
2

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
58

48

62.9

39.9

32.9
8
IT'S A TRAIN
8

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
56

48

60.4

36.7

28.7
6
JEWEL OF THE WEST
6

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
43

48

54.0

39.8

28.8
5
PLEASURER STORM
5

7/2
Trailer
52

54

42.2

42.2

33.2
4
DANAS LOVE
4

12/1
Trailer
49

47

30.3

22.1

9.6
9
LIFE HAPPENS
9

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

48.2

26.6

12.6
7
MODJESKA HEAT
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
45

40

37.9

30.3

15.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Turf Paradise

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Turf Paradise, Race 1 (Tuesday December 26, 2017)

OASIS WELLS
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

TUP-1 5f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 3,000 F/M 3YUP $7,000
P# dd ex q p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

5 OASIS WELLS 6/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
3 TWO STEPS OF GLORY 8/5 29% 5/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

TUES CFB No.Ill + 4 1/2

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Dec 26 is:

Dallas Mavs +5 over Toronto Raptors.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(CFB)
W. Virginia
Duke
UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER
NBA | Dec 26, 2017
Bulls vs. Bucks
Bulls+6½

I'm recommending a play on the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. Chicago recently ran off seven straight wins and they're on a current 9-1 ATS run. The Bulls lost their last two games, dropping a close, 3-point loss to the Cavaliers before getting clocked by Boston. We felt they were in a tough spot against the Celtics and we had Boston on Saturday. But with that situation behind them, we expect Chicago to give Milwaukee all they can handle tonight. The Bulls are a different team with Nikola Mirotic on the floor. The big winning streak began with his return after he missed the entire season up to that point. Mirotic leads the team in scoring and is co-leader in rebounds per game with Lauri Markkanen, averaging almost eight per night. Everybody's life gets easier up front when Mirotic is healthy, including Robin Lopez. Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as probable for the Bucks tonight, suffering from a sore knee. We don't mind if he plays or not. The Greek Freak played extremely well in Milwaukee's 115-109 loss to Chicago on December 15, but everyone besides him and Khris Middleton were rendered ineffective. The Bucks had no answer for Mirotic that night and they're 22nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. We expect more of the same from the Bulls' interior in this one. The Bucks have dropped four of their last six and we'll go against them here. We're recommending a play on the Bulls plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LARRY NESS

My 1* Free Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:35 EST).

The Nets come in having lost five of their last six, most recently a deflating 123-119 OT setback in Indiana, while the Spurs enter off a 108-99 win over the Kings on Saturday.

Brooklyn has no problem scoring, averaging 107.6 PPG. The problem is on the defensive end where it concedes 110.2. D’Angelo Russell leads the nightly charge with 20.9 points and 5.7 assists per game. Russell though recently underwent surgery and is out indefinitely.

San Antonio averages 101.1 PPG and concedes just 98. Big man LaMarcus Aldridge averages 22.2 points and 8.4 boards per night.

I’ll point out though that the Nets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 118 points or more in their previous outing, while the Spurs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Brooklyn struggles on the road and San Antonio is always especially tough at home. The Spurs are getting healthier and I expect them to take advantage of this favorable matchup and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

Consider the Spurs in this one.

Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOMMY BRUNSON

Tuesday's comp play winner with be for the Raptors and the Mavericks to fall just Under their posted total of 209 points.

Yes, Dallas has eclipsed the posted price in each of their last 3, but remember that in the 5 games prior, the Mavericks had landed Under the total each time.

Toronto brings a 5-3 Under run their last 8 games into the Metroplex tonight, and series numbers show the last pair holding Under the total, and 7 of the last 9 series meetings overall Under the posted price.

With both teams taking a little time off yesterday to celebrate the holiday, expect a slower than usual start for both clubs, and expect the Under to be the way to go.

Raptors-Mavericks Under the total.

3* TORONTO-DALLAS UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOEY JUICE

Chicago has started to show some actual signs of life. They have won seven of their last 9, after starting the year a dismal 3-20. It is no secret that he Bulls have been a much better team since the return of Mirotic. They will be even better when LaVine gets his chance.

Milwaukee needs to get back on track as the Central Division has become a dog fight with both the Pistons and Pacers ahead of Milwaukee right now.

When the Bulls play away from home, the games tend to go over, they are 4-0 with the Over in their last 4 road games. In fact, the over is 6-1 in their last 7 when the Bulls opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. More importantly, the Bulls have gone over in 5 of their last 6 overall. Finally the Bulls have gone over in 13 of their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Milwaukee has seen the over go 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest, 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 13-2-1 in their last 16 overall.

Bottom line, when the Bucks have Bledsoe in the mix, they have been going over the totals, and this one goes that way as well.

Over is the free pick.

2* CHICAGO-MILWAUKEE OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Quick Lane Bowl Northern Illinois vs. Duke Preview and Predictions

QUICK LANE BOWL STORYLINES

1. Northern Illinois and Duke, teams that had lengthy bowl streaks interrupted last season, will each bring a standout defender and stingy defense to the Quick Lane Bowl on Dec. 26 at Ford Field in Detroit. The Huskies, who had a streak of eight consecutive bowl appearances snapped last season, are led by sophomore defensive end Sutton Smith, the Mid-American Conference Defensive Player of the Year and first Huskie since 1993 to be named to the Walter Camp Football Foundation All-America first team. Sophomore linebacker Joe Giles-Harris, who was a first team All-ACC and second team All-American pick after leading the Blue Devils in tackles (117) and tackles for loss (15), helped Duke return to a bowl game for the fifth time in six years after a 17-year absence.

2. Smith leads FBS in sacks (14), tackles for loss (28.5), pressures (73) and defensive touchdowns (two) - all school records - and is 3.5 tackles for loss away from the NCAA single-season record of 32 set by Western Michigan's Jason Babin in 2003. With Sutton wreaking havoc in the backfield, the Huskies enter ranked in the top 25 in FBS in nine defensive categories, including first in tackles for loss (106), second in sacks (41), 11th in rushing defense (112.3 yards per game) and 18th in total defense (328 yards per game). The 6-2, 230 pound Giles, who ranks third in the ACC and tied for 20th in the nation in tackles per game (9.8), heads a unit that ranked first in the ACC in opponent completion percentage (50.3), second in pass defense (174.8 yards per game) and third in interceptions (15), with four returned for touchdowns.
3. Northern Illinois finished in a tie for second place in the West Division of the MAC with its signature victory a 21-17 decision at Big Ten-member Nebraska. The Huskies are no strangers to Detroit and Ford Field, playing here in six consecutive MAC championship games from 2010-15, winning three times. Duke won its first four games this season by a combined 101 points, dropped its next six contests before rebounding with consecutive wins to close out the regular season, including a 31-23 triumph over Wake Forest on Nov. 25 behind a career-high 346 passing yards and three total touchdowns from Daniel Jones.

TV: 5:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Duke -5





ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-4, 6-2 MAC): Quarterback Marcus Childers, the MAC Freshman of the Year, took over the reins in early October after Ryan Graham suffered an elbow injury in Week 1 and Daniel Santacaterina battled turnover issues. Childers completed 57.3 percent of his passes for 1,440 yards with 15 touchdowns against five interceptions and picked up an additional 454 rushing yards with five more TDs. Senior Jordan Huff (740 yards in nine games, 5.8 per carry), is the main threat in the run game while Childers has five receivers that caught between 28 and 39 passes, but four of the five averaged less than 12 yards per catch.

ABOUT DUKE (6-6, 3-5 ACC): Prior to the big outing against the Demon Deacons, Jones (2,439 passing yards, 12 TDs; 432 rushing yards, six TDs) had passed for more than 200 yards only twice in his seven previous games, a big reason why the Blue Devils ranked last in the ACC in passer efficiency rating (110.3) and 12th in scoring offense (25.8 points per game). Senior Shaun Wilson (743 yards, five TDs) and freshman Brittain Brown (660, six) will split carries and junior wideout T.J. Rahming (61 receptions, 733 yards, one TD) will be Jones' main target downfield. Duke sophomore kicker Austin Parker, who made 17-of-21 field goal attempts and averaged 42.1 yards per punt, was dismissed from the program for violation of university academic policy.


PREDICTION: Duke 21, Northern Illinois 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cactus Bowl Kansas State vs. UCLA Preview and Predictions

CACTUS BOWL STORYLINES

1. UCLA interim coach Jedd Fisch will try to send he and the Bruins out a winner when they face Kansas State in the Cactus Bowl on Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix. UCLA hired Chip Kelly on Nov. 25, six days after Jim Mora was fired following a 28-23 loss to crosstown rival USC, but Kelly won't officially take over until this season's over. Fisch guided UCLA to a 30-27 victory against California in the final regular-season game on Nov. 24, making the Bruins bowl-eligible after they missed out on the postseason a year ago.

2. UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen finished the regular season 10th in the FBS in passing yards with 3,717, but the junior has been slowed by injuries the past two seasons and twice was unable to finish a game this fall. He was replaced against California after getting sacked three times in the first half, but he has since returned to practice and appears ready to go against Kansas State, which has the second-worst pass defense in the FBS at 310.3 passing yards surrendered per game. Rosen's other postseason appearance came in the Foster Farms Bowl two years ago, when the Bruins were defeated by five-win Nebraska 37-29 in Santa Clara, Calif.

3. Kansas State ended the regular season on a high note Nov. 25, defeating Iowa State 20-19 on a last-second touchdown pass which came a week after the Wildcats toppled then-No. 13 Oklahoma State 45-40 as 19 1/2-point underdogs. Kansas State met UCLA in the Alamo Bowl on January 2, 2015, and the 40-35 victory by the Bruins was somewhat overshadowed when Mora pulled his hand away from Kansas State coach Bill Snyder during their postgame handshake because he didn't like the way the Wildcats remained physical as the Bruins tried to run out the clock. Mora won't get that opportunity again, but the 78-year-old Snyder is still winning games for Kansas State.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Kansas State -2

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (7-5, 5-4 Big 12): The Wildcats are on their third quarterback this season, but they might be playing their best football behind freshman Skylar Thompson, who only threw two passes the first seven games but is a combined 25-for-34 passing in the past two games with four touchdown throws and no interceptions. Jesse Ertz started the first five games before he sustained a season-ending knee injury, and Alex Delton started the next four before he was sidelined with a concussion. Thompson has a nice choice of receivers in deep-threat Byron Pringle, who is averaging 25.2 yards on his 28 receptions, or Isaiah Zuber, who has caught a team-high 51 passes for 510 yards and four touchdowns.

ABOUT UCLA (6-6, 4-5 Pac-12): The receiving corps for the Bruins took a couple major hits when leading receiver Darren Andrews sustained a season-ending knee injury on Nov. 3 against Utah, a month after sure-handed tight end Caleb Wilson was lost for the season with a foot injury. Rosen still has a great option in junior wide receiver Jordan Lasley, who's coming off back-to-back 200-yard receiving efforts while significantly improving his NFL Draft stock. The challenge for Rosen will be finding other receivers, as Lasley is sure to draw consistent double coverage, even against Kansas State's weak pass defense.



PREDICTION: UCLA 38, Kansas State 35

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 26

Toronto @ Dallas

Game 501-502
December 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.228
Dallas
118.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+5 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Detroit

Game 503-504
December 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.746
Detroit
118.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+2); Under

Orlando @ Miami

Game 505-506
December 26, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
111.423
Miami
121.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 10 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

Chicago @ Milwaukee

Game 507-508
December 26, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
112.007
Milwaukee
121.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 6 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-6 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ San Antonio

Game 509-510
December 26, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.312
San Antonio
121.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+12); Under

Utah @ Denver

Game 511-512
December 26, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.723
Denver
119.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+6); Over

Memphis @ Phoenix

Game 513-514
December 26, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
115.785
Phoenix
111.398
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 4 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 1
206
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-1); Under

Sacramento @ LA Clippers

Game 515-516
December 26, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
109.812
LA Clippers
118.902
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 26

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TORONTO (23 - 8) at DALLAS (9 - 25) - 12/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 391-323 ATS (+35.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
TORONTO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (19 - 14) at DETROIT (18 - 14) - 12/26/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (11 - 23) at MIAMI (17 - 16) - 12/26/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (10 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (17 - 14) - 12/26/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 394-458 ATS (-109.8 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (12 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (23 - 11) - 12/26/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1021-894 ATS (+37.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 817-696 ATS (+51.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 521-435 ATS (+42.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 153-109 ATS (+33.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 340-279 ATS (+33.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 415-333 ATS (+48.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (15 - 19) at DENVER (18 - 15) - 12/26/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (10 - 23) at PHOENIX (12 - 23) - 12/26/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 161-117 ATS (+32.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (11 - 21) at LA CLIPPERS (13 - 19) - 12/26/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, December 26

Raptors won their last four games with Dallas; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Toronto won its last six games, covered last five; they’re 6-4 vs spread as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Dallas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-6 vs spread as home underdogs. Mavericks’ last three games went over total.

Pacers won seven of last nine games with Detroit; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City (over 3-1). Indiana won three of its last four games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Detroit won four of its last five games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Last three Piston games went over the total.

Orlando won its last four games with Miami; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Six of last seven series games went over total. Orlando lost its last eight games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Miami won six of its last nine games; they’re 1-6-1 as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

Road team won five of last six Chicago-Milwaukee games; Bulls are 4-2 vs spread in last six visits to Wisconsin. Last three series games went over total. Chicago lost its last two games after a 7-game winning streak; they’re 5-1 in last six games as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over total. Milwaukee lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-6-2 as home favorites. Bucks’ last eight games went over total.

Spurs won last four games with Brooklyn, which is 0-5 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Brooklyn lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-4 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. San Antonio won four of its last five games; they’re 9-6 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Home side won last six Utah-Denver games; Jazz are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total. Utah lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-8 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under. Denver split its last eight games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Memphis won four of last five games with the Suns; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Phoenix. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Memphis lost 16 of its last 19 games; they’re 0-3 vs spread as road favorites. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Phoenix won three of its last I’ve games; they’re 5-9 vs spread as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

Clippers won eight of last ten games with Sacramento; three of last four series games stayed under. Kings are 3-1 vs spread in last four series games played here. Sacramento is 4-6 in its last ten games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Clippers lost four of their last six games; they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, December 26

Trend Report

INDIANA @ DETROIT
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

TORONTO @ DALLAS
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

ORLANDO @ MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

CHICAGO @ MILWAUKEE
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

BROOKLYN @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

MEMPHIS @ PHOENIX
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing at home against Memphis

UTAH @ DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 11 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 11 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games when playing at home against Utah

SACRAMENTO @ LA CLIPPERS
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA betting roadmap: Over streak in Milwaukee thanks to Bledsoe boost
Al McMordie

The Suns are expected to see their leading scorer Devin Booker return to the lineup this week. Phoenix struggled to fill the hoop without Booker and played under the total in seven of nine games.

Spread Watch

The Orlando Magic are in a massive tailspin. Frank Vogel's men have gone 3-19 straight up and 5-16-1 against the spread after starting the season with an 8-4 straight up and 7-5 ATS record. And the news got worse on Saturday when the Magic lost their eighth straight game in a 130-103 blowout loss in Washington.

Center Nikola Vucevic fractured the first metacarpal in his left hand and will be sidelined indefinitely. Vucevic is averaging 17.8 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game and hitting a career-best, 1.5 triples a night.

The Magic play two games against the Miami Heat this week, on Tuesday and Saturday, sandwiched around a home game vs. Detroit on Thursday. Orlando plays Tuesday's contest at Miami with two days' of rest is enough for me to pull the trigger on the downward-spiraling team. Away underdogs with two days’ rest and coming off six straight losses and three straight ATS defeats own a 64.6 percent cover rate since 1990. Moreover, the Magic have won and covered their last four meetings with their Sunshine State rival -- and they were underdogs in each of those four games.

Take Orlando and the points on Tuesday.

Totals Watch

The Milwaukee Bucks traded for Eric Bledsoe on November 7. Not surprisingly, there was an adjustment period over the next two weeks where the Bucks offense sputtered. In Bledsoe's first six games, Milwaukee averaged just 94.6 points per game and reached the 100-point mark just once in Bledsoe’s first six games.

But after that two-week period Milwaukee's offense has been in overdrive. The Bucks are riding a 15-game streak of scoring at least 100 and are averaging 109.1 points per game over the stretch. The 15-game run of hitting the century-mark in points is the 3rd longest active streak behind only Cleveland (26 games) and Houston (24 games).

The Bucks rank seventh in adjusted offensive efficiency on the season. Not surprisingly, the over is 14-1 in Milwaukee's last 15 games. The Bucks will play a tough schedule with home games versus Chicago and Minnesota, before a road tilt at Oklahoma City.

Will the high-scoring games continue? Friday's game against the Thunder will be a tough test for the Bucks' attack. OKC is giving up just 99.7 points per game and it held Giannis and Company to just 91 points in the season's first meeting back on Halloween.

OKC has gone under the total in 20 of its 33 games and eight of the last 10 meetings between these two franchises have gone under – including the last four in a row.

Injury Watch

The Phoenix Suns will welcome back their best player, Devin Booker, on Tuesday, when they host the Memphis Grizzlies. Booker has been sidelined for the last 20 days with a strained left adductor muscle, which he injured in Phoenix's 126-113 loss at Toronto.

Coach Jay Triano admitted he may have to limit Booker's minutes:

"If he's starting to look tired, [we'll] get him out."

Phoenix is 3-6 SU and 5-4 ATS since Booker went on the shelf. There's no doubt that the Suns have missed Booker, who is averaging 24.3 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. They averaged 107.6 points per game before his injury and just 100.4 since. The over is 16-10 in Phoenix’s games with Booker in the lineup and 2-7 without him.

The Suns play home games against Memphis (Tuesday) and Philadelphia (Sunday) with a road game at Sacramento on Friday.

Phoenix might struggle a little bit in Booker's first game back because it's sometimes difficult for teams to initially integrate a big piece after an extended time off. Bettors just saw that happen in San Antonio where the Spurs lost their first two games after the return Kawhi Leonard.

That marks Tuesday’s contest against Memphis as a good opportunity to fade Phoenix. The Suns took down the Grizzlies 97-95 last Thursday and the Suns are 3-14 SU and 5-12 ATS when playing an opponent they defeated earlier in the season.

Take Memphis on Tuesday.

Schedule Watch

The Oklahoma City Thunder are starting to play much better basketball. Billy Donovan’s squad dropped to 8-12 SU after an upset loss to the Magic at the end of November. But the Thunder are 10-3 that game and are riding a four-game win streak.

This week, the Thunder have a home-heavy schedule with home dates vs. Houston, Toronto, Milwaukee and Dallas. Of these four games, the one bettors should circle Sunday's match with the Mavericks.

OKC was upset by Dallas as a 6-point favorite back on November 25. The Thunder are 65-39 ATS since March 28, 2006 when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Expect OKC to blow out Dallas.