Saturday 1-20-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Jazil Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#5 HARLAN PUNCH
#1 DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING
#4 BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON
#3 CLOWNEY

Well folks, lest you have forgotten, this race is named after Jazil, the 2006 winner of the Belmont Stakes. Here in just the 4th running of this stakes test, #5 HARLAN PUNCH, the pace profile leader in this field racing at, or about, today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #1 DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING, the morning line favorite, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 3rd race back. Jockey Angel Arroyo and Trainer Robertino Diodoro send him to the post ... they've hit the board with an even 50% of more than 125 entries saddled as a team to date.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Fair Grounds - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: 4

#5 DELTA EIGHTY EIGHT (ML=5/2)


DELTA EIGHTY EIGHT - The jockey and handler combination have a favorable ROI when they join forces. Looking over this gelding's PPs I see that the last time he tried this distance he got a speed figure that would be good enough to win today's contest. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TALL STORY (ML=3/1), #2 ARNAUD (ML=4/1), #7 I DON'T FLY COACH (ML=6/1),

TALL STORY - Don't believe this mount will make an impact in today's race. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. ARNAUD - If you keep playing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be frustrated often. The fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this horse as a questionable challenger. I DON'T FLY COACH - If you keep choosing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. 6/1 odds isn't enough for this participant when looking at the most recent outings.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DELTA EIGHTY EIGHT - Taking a very big class figure tumble today. Let's make some cash on the drastic drop.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 DELTA EIGHTY EIGHT on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta /$2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $1 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) $1 Rolling Super High Five


Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Age 3 • CR: 96 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 3:55P
CALIFORNIA DERBY - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 AT THE TIME OF ENTRY WHICH INCLUDES ALL FEES. $1,000 TO ENTER. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 3 LBS; A SWEEPSTAKES AT ANY DISTANCE OR A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER, 6 LBS. HIGHEST EARNINGS PREFERRED. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED THURSDAY, JANUARY 11, 2018 WITH 17 NOMINATIONS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. EAST RAND is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * CHOO CHOO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designat ion. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. INTIMIDATE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KYLEMORE: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
CHOO CHOO
2/1

7/2
3
INTIMIDATE
9/2

6/1
1
KYLEMORE
7/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
MUGARITZ
2

3/1
Front-runner
81

82

101.0

73.7

59.7
3
INTIMIDATE
3

9/2
Front-runner
94

91

83.4

86.3

80.3
1
KYLEMORE
1

7/2
Stalker
89

86

85.3

83.4

78.4
4
GENERALLY LUCKY
4

20/1
Stalker
91

81

79.3

74.5

63.0
6
CAMPAIGNER
6

12/1
Stalker
92

85

70.2

80.6

72.6
5
CHOO CHOO
5

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
104

100

87.3

93.8

89.8
7
EAST RAND
7

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
95

90

79.7

79.7

65.7
8
MINISTERSDONTPARTY
8

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
90

79

76.7

76.7

68.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - SO - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 92

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2017 - 2018 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 20, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 GENEROUS KITTEN 7/2

# 4 MAGNA BREEZE 4/1

# 1 STREET LIFE BLUES 5/1

GENEROUS KITTEN is my choice. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of animals. Has respectable speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. MAGNA BREEZE - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Asmussen has a reliable 16 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. STREET LIFE BLUES - Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Three / $1 Daily Double


Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 91 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 7:24P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS(NO SEX ALLOWANCE).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * APOLLITICAL STONE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. DITTO HEAD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designati on or an "L" designation. ON THE LOOKOUT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. TUSTIN KID: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RAY DON OVAN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.
5
APOLLITICAL STONE
5/2

6/1
4
DITTO HEAD
4/1

6/1
1
ON THE LOOKOUT
12/1

7/1
2
TUSTIN KID
3/1

8/1
8
RAY DONOVAN
7/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ON THE LOOKOUT
1

12/1
Average/Trouble-prone
95

90

0.0

0.0

0.0
2
TUSTIN KID
2

3/1
Average
93

88

5.1

0.0

0.0
3
ONE MORE CIGARR
3

20/1
Average
89

86

4.0

0.0

0.0
4
DITTO HEAD
4

4/1
Average
92

94

4.8

0.0

0.0
5
APOLLITICAL STONE
5

5/2
Fast
94

93

2.6

0.0

0.0
6
FENIAN FAITH
6

12/1
Slow
89

91

7.7

0.0

0.0
7
EAGLES POLICY
7

6/1
Average
85

79

4.9

0.0

0.0
8
RAY DONOVAN
8

7/2
Average
95

87

3.9

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating: 4

#10 SPEEDY A. P. (ML=8/1)
#3 SIR RAY (ML=9/2)
#1A MY UNCLE AL (ML=6/1)


SPEEDY A. P. - Good return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. Was in a $12,500 Claiming race at Parx Racing last time around the track. That race had a class rating of 87 and he is moving down in this event. A certain win candidate. SIR RAY - Rodriguezcastr and Preciado teamed up together are a horse gambler's friend. Last raced at Parx Racing with a poor draw. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. MY UNCLE AL - This beautiful animal should be rocking and rolling in the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PERCOLATOR (ML=3/1), #2 KINGSLAYER (ML=4/1), #1 EL MUNDO (ML=6/1),

PERCOLATOR - This thoroughbred likes to be in the money, but doesn't usually finish first. Keep out of the top spot. KINGSLAYER - You believe this animal is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't win frequently. Tough to put your cash on this early speedball. Too much zip in the clash. EL MUNDO - Didn't close any ground at all on December 18th. Hard to play in today's event at the expected odds. Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating in the last race at Parx Racing at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this mount will improve too much today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #10 SPEEDY A. P. On top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,10] with [1,3,10] with [1,3,6,10,11] with [1,3,6,10,11] Total Cost: $36

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 106

LAS CIENEGAS S. - GRADE 3 DOWNHILL TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, CLOSED WITH 15 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY, CLOSED WITH 2. $1,500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $60,000 TO THE WINNER, $20,000 TO SECOND, $12,000 TO


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 BEAU RECALL (IRE) 7/2

# 8 INSTANT REFLEX 8/1

# 1 CONIAH 4/1

BEAU RECALL (IRE) is my choice. She has been running solidly and the Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 112 - of her last race. INSTANT REFLEX - Posted a sound speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. With a sound 103 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. CONIAH - Morey has this mare running well and is a very good pick based on the competitive speed figures put up in sprint races lately. Has been running solidly lately and will most likely be close to the front end early on.