Final 4 Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Playoff Betting Stats ...


Favorites: 1-7 ATS

Home Teams: 2-6 ATS

Home Favorites: 1-6 ATS

Home Underdogs: 1-0 ATS


Over/Under: 4-4 Over/Under

Outdoors: 2-4 Over/Under

Indoors: 2-0

[New York Knight]

Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437) ...


“We didn’t even want to tempt the bettors with anything closer to a touchdown, and it’s a good thing, because as expected, all of the early money is on New England"

“This spread is probably going to creep north as the week goes on, but I’d be shocked if it went off at double digits. I’m certainly not expecting Jacksonville to win with Blake Bortles at quarterback, but that defense could keep things interesting.”

After opening the Pats -8, Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).eu was already up to 9 by late Sunday night.



“Philly in the underdog role once again, but this go-round, they are deserving of the tag"

“We saw a lot of moneyline money on that side against Atlanta, and will likely get the same action here. Minnesota was fortunate to get a win in the divisional round, but it was by far the better team"

“Two fantastic defenses on display which should make for an exciting game for the football purists.”

Minnesota drew the early action Sunday night at Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437), bumping the line up to 3.5.

[New York Knight]

Bet Labs ...


Super Bowl odds per latest simulation:

Vikings 38.11%

Patriots 35.08%

Jaguars 16.83%

Eagles 9.98%

[New York Knight]

Tom Brady has as many Super Bowl wins (5) as the other three starting QB have playoff starts (5)

[New York Knight]

Patriots 18-3 at home in playoffs since 2000

3 QBs that beat them: Mark Sanchez and Joe Flacco (twice)

[New York Knight]

Bet Labs Sports‏ ...


NFC Championship

Vikings -3.5 at Eagles
Total 38


Bets evenly split but 60% of spread dollars on Minnesota



AFC Championship

Patriots -9.5 vs. Jaguars
Total 46.5


63% of spread tickets and 74% of dollars on New England

[New York Knight]

The "great" Jags defense will be a big storyline all week, but don't be fooled.

They've allowed 32 points per game in their last four road games.

[New York Knight]

The Patriots defense has allowed just 14 points per game over their last 13 games.

Over their last six home games, they've allowed just 12.16 points per game.

[New York Knight]

The Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games. They are the only team in the last 5 years to cover the spread 10 times in an 11 game span during the same season.

In the last 10 years, two other teams did it ... 2011 Saints / 2007 Chargers.

[New York Knight]

NFL Playoffs


< 50% Bets ... 5-3 ATS

[New York Knight]

Sports Insights‏ ...


Early spread tickets

63% on Patriots (-9)
37% on Jaguars (+9)

52% on Vikings (-3.5)
48% on Eagles (+3.5)

[New York Knight]

Conference Championship game #'s


Home team won the last 8 straight up

Home team 7-1 ATS

Faves 6-2 ATS

Lone dog upset was Broncos +3 in 20-18 win over Pats in 2016

[New York Knight]

Underdogs are a best-ever 7-1 ATS in the NFL playoffs so far.


Previous best to this point ... 6-2 ATS in 2006 and 5-1 ATS in 1984 (only 2 wild card games then).

[New York Knight]

Jags ... 0-7 SU in Foxborough

[New York Knight]

Vikings -3.5 at Eagles

Road teams have been favored in conference title games 14 times ... have gone 8-6 SU

[New York Knight]

Pats -9 vs Jags


This is the first time we've seen a spread of 9 or higher in conference champ game since Pats were -14 vs. Chargers Jan. 20, 2008.

Patriots won 21-12

[New York Knight]

We've seen 13 spreads of 9 or higher in NFL conference champ games since 1984.

Favorites are 12-1 SU / 7-6 ATS / 6-7 O/U

Faves of exactly 9 (like the Pats vs Jags) are 3-0 SU & ATS.

[New York Knight]

16 NFL conf. champ games have had totals of 38 or lower since 1984 (before Vikes-Eagles this week)

O/U is 9-7

[New York Knight]

Top Bet‏ ...

Early Betting Trends


73% of cash on Patriots -9.5

54% on Vikings -3.5

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ...


Lookahead Super Bowl lines


Vikings vs. Patriots (-3, 48)

Eagles vs. Patriots (-7, 45)

Vikings (-4.5, 40) vs. Jaguars

Eagles vs. Jaguars (-1, 38)

[New York Knight]

From 107 William Hill sportsbooks in Nevada and their mobile betting app


Public is crushing the Vikings spread (89%) and Patriots spread (77%)

[New York Knight]

This is the first time since the 1970 merger that all 4 teams in the conference championship games had a Top 5 scoring defense that season


Vikings: 15.8 PPG allowed (1st)
Jaguars: 16.8 PPG allowed (2nd)
Eagles: 18.4 PPG allowed (4th)
Patriots: 18.5 PPG allowed (5th)

[New York Knight]

Patriots ...


6-0 SU and ATS in last 6 home games with an avg win margin of 17.3 points

7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in last 7 home playoff games with an avg win margin of 18.3 points

7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs Jaguars with an avg win margin of 17.43

[New York Knight]

The Vikings had the NFL's #1 total defense this season

In their 4 games without Carson Wentz (including playoffs), the Eagles have averaged 277.5 total YPG ... which would have given them the NFL's worst total offense if applied over the full 2017 season

[New York Knight]

Brady is a profitable bet in his career in the playoffs - but barely.

He's 18-16-1 ATS, so you'd be up $36.38 if you bet $100 on all of them.

[New York Knight]

NFL Playoffs ... since 1978

Home Dogs

First 2 rounds of Playoffs ... 20-9-1 ATS

Conference Championship Round ... 6-8 ATS

[New York Knight]

Since the AFC South was formed in 2002 the New England Patriots ...


24-2 SU home record vs teams in that division.

17-game home-winning streak vs teams in that division.

10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs teams in that division.

[New York Knight]

Jags must sack Brady to cover against the Patriots


Sacking Brady

0-1 ... 90-43-2 ATS

2-3 ... 64-46-6 ATS

4+ ... 13-21-1 ATS


Patriots ATS Win %

[New York Knight]

AFC Championship Total holding steady at 46.5 on Tuesday.

Jaguars highest total this season was 43, which easily went over in 44-33 loss at SF.

As of today, bettors backing the over.

[New York Knight]

The playoffs are a showcase for NFL stars, yet overlooked players or aspects often decide which team advance.

Here are two X-factors for each team during conference championship weekend.



Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots

Good Bortles or Bad Bortles ... The Jaguars are built on defense and their ability to run the ball. That's partially because QB Blake Bortles has been wildly inconsistent throughout the season. Including the playoffs, his touchdown-to-interception ratio is 18-to-3 in victories but 5-to-10 in defeat.


Jags DT Malik Jackson ... Against the Steelers on Sunday, Jacksonville’s pass rush generated some big plays but couldn't apply enough pressure to prevent Ben Roethlisberger from throwing five touchdowns. The key to disrupting Tom Brady and New England’s offense is to push the offensive line — especially the interior — into the pocket and disrupt Brady’s timing.


Been there, done that ... This is the seventh consecutive season the Patriots have reached the AFC Championship Game and the 12th time overall during the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era. However the appearance will be just the Jags' third since their inaugural season in 1995. This is a stage that can intimidate young teams and force them into the type of pressure-laden mistakes New England is unlikely to commit.


Quick release ... Few passers get rid of the ball more quickly than Brady. When facing a Jacksonville defense that has elite speed and athleticism at each level, expect Brady to distribute the ball quickly in hopes his play makers can exploit gaps or maybe take advantage of inexperienced defenders overpursuing the play.




Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles


Vikings S Harrison Smith ... His ability to line up just about anywhere on the field presents a physical, game-changing presence. Smith is most comfortable near the line of scrimmage and could be a key figure in smothering TE Zach Ertz and Philadelphia’s running game.


Eagles LT Halapoulivaati Vaitai ... Filling in for injured Jason Peters, Vaitai has had an up-and-down stretch. His next matchup will come against star Vikings DE Everson Griffen, who collected 13 sacks in the regular season and one against the Saints in the divisional round. If Griffen can get to QB Nick Foles regularly, disaster could ensue.


Third downs ... Minnesota shredded New Orleans on ever-crucial third downs, going 10-17 (59%). Though the Vikings needed a miracle touchdown at the end to win, if their offense can stay on the field, Philadelphia’s defense could tire with a high volume of snaps.


Turnover margin ... The Eagles ranked fourth in the NFL in takeaway/giveaway differential (plus-11). But in the victory against Atlanta in the divisional round, Philadelphia gave up the ball twice, leading to all 10 of the Falcons' points. The Eagles might not be so lucky if they’re careless again.

[New York Knight]

Patriots O-line #1 in run blocking per Football Outsiders adjusted line metric


Jaguars defense 28th in same stat

[New York Knight]

Vikings and Eagles defenses rank in top 6 in pass and rush yards/attempt


Total is 38 points, lowest over/under for a conference title game since 2011

[New York Knight]

Conference Championship games ... since 1980

Over/Under

Over - 35
Under - 36
Push - 1

[New York Knight]

The Patriots haven't played on the road since Dec 17.

During that span, the Jags have traveled to San Francisco, Tennessee and Pittsburgh.

By the time the Jags land in New England, they will have traveled around 9387 miles to the Patriots' 0.

[New York Knight]

The Vikings are 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 January road games.

[New York Knight]

2 of the Patriots 3 losses came against 2 of the 3 best rushing teams they faced this season (KC, Carolina). Miami had 120 yds rushing in the other loss.

The Jags are 1st in the NFL in rush yds per game.

[New York Knight]

Tom Brady: 286.1 pass YPG this season (1st in NFL)

Jaguars Defense: 169.9 pass YPG allowed this season (1st in NFL)

This is the 4th meeting between the #1 passer and #1 pass defense in a playoff game since 1990

The #1 pass defense is 3-0 in those games

[New York Knight]

Prior to Stefon Diggs' TD in the Divisional Round, 5 teams in the last 10 seasons had won a playoff game on a walk-off TD to advance to another postseason game that season

All 5 of those teams lost their next game, by an average of 23 points

[New York Knight]

Since the Jaguars entered the NFL in 1995, they are 1-10 (.091) against the Patriots, including playoff games.

That's the worst winning percentage of any team vs one opponent (min. 10 games) in that span.

[New York Knight]

Brady ... Conference Championship Games

15 TDs / 12 INTs / 81.7 QB rating


That's his lowest QB rating of any playoff round.

[New York Knight]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DTxT9z9WsAA6_Ll.jpg

[New York Knight]

I'm sure it's nothing ... but worth noting ...


Brady won't be speaking with the media on Wednesday as the Patriots say the quarterback is with the medical team.

New England also noted that Brady will be on the injury report that's set to be released later this afternoon as they get ready for their AFC Championship matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

[New York Knight]

Why Jacksonville is a good bet on Sunday
Mark Gallant - ESPN INSIDER


Three games remain. For us bettors, that means only six potential full-game spread and total bets for the rest of the football season ... yikes! Always remember: Never bet a game just for action. Just because there is a big game on TV doesn't mean you have to force a bet. If you don't think you have an edge, feel free to sit back, relax and hoist a few brews as you watch some stress-free football.

With that said, I have one pick for you this weekend.


There are a few reasons I like Jacksonville here. The first is that they are getting more than a touchdown. Dating back to 2003, teams getting at least seven points in the playoffs have done well against the spread. This is especially true if you eliminate the wild-card round from your sample.

It makes sense that teams in the final three rounds have done well against the spread when getting more than a touchdown, as they're (generally) strong teams and deserve to be there. You'd imagine that games between the last handful of NFL teams remaining would be closely fought battles, and based off this data, we find that has indeed been the case.

When looking at teams getting 40 percent of bets or less, we find that betting against the public remains a profitable endeavor in the postseason. As of Tuesday, the Jaguars are getting only 39 percent of bets as nearly double-digit 'dogs.

Perhaps the trend I like the most, though, is that underperforming teams have dominated in the postseason. This is based off Pythagorean plus/minus, a theory I touched on a few weeks back. Based off their point differential, the Jaguars should have a better record than they do. Most of the time, these teams don't make the playoffs, as you would expect. This season, the Jaguars were the only playoff team with a negative Pythagorean plus/minus, while the Steelers, Tennessee Titans, Carolina Panthers and Buffalo Bills all had win percentages of .100 or higher than they should have.

At +9, there are plenty of reasons to bet on the Jags. I'm genuinely interested in seeing whether they can hit +10 at some point in the week. Given the public's deserved love of the New England Patriots, I'd say there is a fair chance it reaches double digits. I'll be waiting to see which direction the line heads before locking in my bet, as the potential reward for +10 is greater than the risk of moving from +9 to +8.5.

[New York Knight]

Ian Rapoport‏ ...

"Vikings WR Adam Thielen did not participate in practice today because of a low back injury. He was present watching"

[New York Knight]

South Point ...


"So far just small play on all 4 sides"

[New York Knight]

The Eagles did not have a player on their roster record 1,000 scrimmage yards this season.

The last team to make a Super Bowl without a single player reaching the 1,000-yard threshold? The 1990 Giants who beat the Bills in Super Bowl XXV.

[New York Knight]

Updated #'s at LV SuperBook ...


Jaguars (46)
Patriots -8.5


Vikings -3
Eagles (39)

[New York Knight]

NFL teams are 462-231-2 (.667) last three seasons when throwing 0 INT.

Jaguars are 10-0 when Bortles has no INTs this season (2-6 otherwise)

Patriots 8-2 when Brady throws no INTs (6-1 when he does)

[New York Knight]

Eagles are 8-0 SU with an avg point differential of +13.75 when scoring first


Vikings are 7-0 SU with an avg point differential of +14 when scoring first

[New York Knight]

Since 1990, 7 dome teams have been favored in outdoor road playoff games


0-7 SU and ATS

[New York Knight]

Patriots are 7-0 SU with an avg point differential of +18.43 when leading after the 1st quarter


Jaguars are 10-0 SU with an avg point differential of +18.4 when leading after the 1st quarter

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)‏ ... Thursday Update


Opener (-8, 47)
Current (-8, 46.5)


61% of Bets on New England

51% of Bets on the Under

[New York Knight]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DT2dcnfWAAUnNOz.jpg

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)‏ ... Thursday Update


Opener (+3, 38.5)
Current (+3, 39)


54% of Bets on Philadelphia

56% of Bets on the Under

[New York Knight]

I'm sure this is non-news ... just sharing


Ian Rapoport‏ ...

"Brady did not practice today. He was out there with the team, but did not do work with his injured hand"

[New York Knight]

Dome teams in outdoor playoff games ... since 1990


Straight-up ... 12-43

ATS ... 18-35-2

[New York Knight]

Pats currently -7.5 at LV SuperBook

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)‏ ...


"Sharp money continues to funnel in on the Jags" ... New England now -7 (-118)

[New York Knight]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DT3WonrW4AELaEU.jpg

[New York Knight]

Vegas and offshore oddsmakers are taking the news about Tom Brady’s hand injury seriously. And so are sharp bettors.


CG Technology, which operates numerous sportsbooks in Vegas including the Cosmopolitan, started Thursday with the spread at 8.5 as did the Westgate and both moved down to 7.5 by the end of the day.

South Point oddsmaker Chris Andrews began the day at Pats -9 before moving the spread to -7.5, but not before sharp bettors tagged his sportsbook for wagers as large as $20,000 on the underdog.

Offshore book TheGreek.com received limit bets on the Jaguars throughout the week with sharp bettors taking the points at Jags +10, Jags +9 and +8. TheGreek.com was one of the few locations to open with the Patriots favored by double digits.

“I honestly don’t believe (the sharp bettors) bet it because of the Brady information because it was known well before (Thursday), so if that were the reason, they would have bet it long before,” TheGreek.com sportsbook director Scott Kaminsky said. “I just think that they like the dog. They bet big money and probably just think the Jacksonville defense will keep the game close.”


The chances of Brady sitting out are small but Peter Childs, oddsmaker at Sportsbook.ag, said he would most likely reopen the spread with the Patriots favored by two points.

Kaminsky said he would make a Brady-less New England team still slight favorites against the Jaguars and predicted a bigger shift on the total. The total opened at 47 and moved down a half point to 46.5.

[New York Knight]

Sunday will be 5th time Brady has played a playoff game against a defense that had 50 or more sacks


His numbers in those games ...

54.9% completion rate
4 TDs
5 INTs
13 sacks
2-2 record (SU and ATS)

[New York Knight]

According to oddsmakers, New England would still be the favorite if Brady were to be ruled out ...

Hoyer’s last playoff start was terrible ... IMO the game should be a pk or Jags favored ...


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DT6t_1tVQAA8Vma.jpg

[New York Knight]

Last year Brady threw for his AFC- champ-game career high 384 yards and 3 TDs ... But these games tend not to be his biggest stat-line performances.

Here's how he did in the others:


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DT6iEpLWsAArnIJ.jpg

[New York Knight]

Ian Rapoport‏ ...

"Two tidbits from Patriots QB Tom Brady’s thumb injury: 1. It was gushing blood when it happened. 2. He was “zinging it pretty good today,” source said"

[New York Knight]

This is the first time in Brady's postseason career that he's been officially listed as questionable for a playoff game.

He's been listed as probable 17 previous times in the playoffs, going 11-6 in those games.

[New York Knight]

Michael Felger (NBC Sports Boston) on Brady injury:


“No fracture. No ligament. Just a cut from hitting the buckle on someone’s helmet. Four stitches around the knuckle, should not affect him"

[New York Knight]

Caesars Palace ...


Patriots -7.5 (even) ... O/U 45


60% of the point spread money is on Jacksonville

[New York Knight]

In low-total games (<40 points) where wind is a non-factor (<5 mph) the OVER is 161-112-4 (59.0%) since 2003 including the playoffs


Total for MIN vs PHI is 39, and the forecast calls for average wind speeds of 3 mph

[New York Knight]

AFC Title Game strength on strength matchup ...

Patriots 5th best red zone defense vs. Jaguars top red zone offense (scored TDs on 68% of possessions)

[New York Knight]

Underdogs are 90-66-4 ATS when Ed Hochuli is the ref

He is the crew chief for MIN vs PHI

[New York Knight]

Since 1977 home teams are 28-12 in AFC Championship Games ... NFC home teams are 27-13

[New York Knight]

The spread has settled at Patriots -7.5 at all 13 Vegas books on Don Best Sports odds screen

All are -110 both ways, except -7.5 -105 /+7.5 -115 at MGM Race And Sports and Boyd Gaming

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, when the line moves against a favorite in the playoffs, like the Patriots -9.5 to -7.5 ... teams are 11-29-2 (27.5%) ATS

[New York Knight]

Favorites of 7 or more points, again like the Patriots, are 2-12 ATS in the playoffs when the line moves against them

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ... on JAX-NE


Patriots open -9, got to -7 Friday on Brady injury news. Now. 7.5. On pointspread betting

"2.5X more Jacksonville money on account, 1.5X more New England money over the counter. Sharps on Jags, public on Pats."

On moneyline, "6X more Jacksonville money on account." Over-the-counter moneyline betting is split"

Total opened 46.5, dipped to 45, now 46

"2X more over money on account, 2.5X more under money over the counter. Sharps on over, public on under."

[New York Knight]

Top Bet Sports ... on JAX-NE


Opened Patriots -9.5, hit 7.5 Friday, still there now.

Sharp play Wednesday started downward trend, then moved with market to -8 early Friday. Then -7.5 that afternoon.

"The big question is how serious is Tom Brady's hand injury? The Patriots are pretty good at covering stuff up, so we will likely never know how serious it is until game time."

[New York Knight]

William Hill on interesting situation with JAX-NE


Opened Pats -9. "We got bet down to 7, we’re back to 7.5. We’re high on New England because we took a big bet on the Patriots – six figures."

"But we’re also still high on Jacksonville moneyline. Everyone knows Brady is playing. He’s played through worse than this. You either like Jacksonville or you don’t.”

"I think the sharp side is still Jacksonville. New England by 1 to 6 points will be just perfect."

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437) ... on JAX-NE


Pats open -8, quickly shoot to 9, dropped to 7 on Brady news, now 7.5.

"All of the early action was on New England, and almost everything since the injury news broke has been on the Jags.”

“Once the hand injury became public, we were taking pretty steady action on JAX, so we pulled it and adjusted down to -7. The total plummeted to as low as 44.5, with bettors expecting an adjusted offensive game plan."

Total now 45.5, after opening 47. "We aren't too lopsided on the side, around 60% of money on underdog, but we'll see more public money plopped down on the Patriots. If game stays under, we do have some liability there.”

[New York Knight]

Bet The Greek ... on JAX-NE


Pats open -9, tick up to 9.5 ahead of Brady news, bottom out at 7.5, where line still is today. Mostly sharps on underdog Jags. Book needs New England at this point.

[New York Knight]

Bet The Greek ... on MIN-PHI


Book rooting for favorite in this game too. "We need Minnesota a little." Vikes open -3.5, down to 3 Wednesday, now 3 at even money. Sharps on underdog Eagles ATS.

[New York Knight]

William Hill ... on MIN-PHI


"We’re a little high on Minnesota. The public is on the Vikings, the professionals are on the Eagles. We’ll need the Eagles for something, but I don’t anticipate it being too big.” Vikes at -3 all week.

[New York Knight]

Top Bet Sports ... on MIN-PHI


Midweek sharp action on Philly took line from Vikes -3.5 to -3. Also saw midweek sharp action on over, taking total from 38 to 39.

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437) ... on MIN-PHI


Vikes open -3, hit 3.5 early, back at 3 most of week.

"We haven't moved off the key number since an early adjustment to -3.5. Sharp and square bettors are pretty split on the side."

"We have just over 50% of (ATS) action on Philadelphia, while nearly 60% of tickets are on the home dog. ... It doesn't look like we'll have much exposure on this game from a total or side standpoint."

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ... on MIN-PHI


Line at Vikes -3 pretty much all week. Pointspread betting is Pros vs. Joes.

"4X more Philly money on account, while 3X more Minnesota money over the counter."

Moneyline betting "1.5X more Minn. money on account, 2X more Philly money over counter, Sharps on Minnesota, public on Philadelphia." CG has also taken 4 mid-5-figure ATS bets on Eagles.

Book rooting for Vikings cover.

[New York Knight]

72.1% ... That is what the New England Patriots with Tom Brady at quarterback are versus the point-spread the past 5 seasons when playing at home.

64% of those games have went OVER the total.

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, NFL favorites have been profitable ATS during the regular season in: 2005, 2007, 2013 and 2017.

Underdogs are 27-13-1 ATS in the playoffs of those four seasons.

[New York Knight]

The Action Network‏ ...


Updated Championship spreads and public ticket %

Jaguars at Patriots (-7.5, 45.5)

NE: 64%

Vikings at Eagles (+3, 39)

MIN: 55%

[New York Knight]

Beautiful football day in Foxboro.

Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-40's, very light winds (2-4 mph).

[New York Knight]

Net scoring per game this season (pts scored minus pts allowed):

Jags: +8.8
Patriots: +10.8

Vikes: +7.9
Eagles overall: +9.8
Eagles w. Foles: +3.3

[New York Knight]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DUFFQaeVMAEcr1T.jpg

[New York Knight]

Beautiful football evening in Philadelphia.

Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-40's, very light winds (2-5 mph).

[New York Knight]

Blake Bortles Passer Rating ... 2017 regular season


When leading game: 103.8
Tied: 82.3
Trailing: 66.1

1st Down: 103.7
3rd Down: 66.1
3rd Down (10+ yards to go): 46.1

[New York Knight]

EARLY MARKET UPDATE ... NFC Championship


TIX-COUNT = VIKINGS 1.5 to 1 ... TOTAL : EVEN

$$$-BET = EAGLES 1.25 to 1 ... OVER 2 to 1

Result from AFC game will increase / lessen exposure for books.

Still very early, as majority of money bet hasn't reached the window.

[New York Knight]

EARLY MARKET UPDATE ... AFC Championship


TIX-COUNT = PATRIOTS 2 to 1 ... OVER 2 to 1

$$$-BET = PATRIOTS 1.25 to 1 ... OVER 2.5 to 1

Books pleasantly surprised to not be too one-sided...

That's very rare when the Patriots are playing at home.

[New York Knight]

Caesars Palace books ...


Patriots -7.5 (46)

53% of bets, 54% of the money wagered on point spread is on New England

Majority of action was on Jacksonville as of yesterday.

[New York Knight]

Patriots beginning to move to -8

[New York Knight]

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