Sunday 2-4-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:50 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $57,000.00 PURSE

#1 BLEWIT
#3 DUBLINTHEPLEASURE
#6 HOLY WEEK
#7 GUICK

#1 BLEWIT drops in class(-8), holds a significant speed advantage on this field, is the pace profile leader racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" facing better company in both of his two career starts to date, including a maiden-breaking "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking." #3 DUBLINTHEPREASURE, a 10-1 BOMB, has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta


Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $14,700 • Post: 5:30P
CLASICO LUIS MUNOZ MARIN S. - CLASICO LUIS MUNOZ MARIN.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OPERASTICO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OPERASTICO: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Hors e has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REGISTRO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
OPERASTICO
7/2

3/1
4
REGISTRO
3/1

7/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
OPERASTICO
1

7/2
Front-runner
94

80

96.0

80.6

76.6
4
REGISTRO
4

3/1
Alternator/Front-runner
93

87

85.7

78.0

72.0
2
CATADOR
2

4/1
Stalker
83

71

85.8

76.4

70.4
3
GUANAJIBO
3

10/1
Stalker
84

72

76.8

66.4

55.4
6
JUSTO A TU GUSTO
6

5/1
Stalker
83

71

74.6

71.0

60.5
5
ARQUITECTO
5

1/5
Trailer
97

95

0.0

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 1:51pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 LUCKY CLERIC (ML=8/1)
#7 ALAND (ML=3/1)


LUCKY CLERIC - This speedy sort is running a shorter distance today. Should aid his winning probability. ALAND - This animal could be tough in today's contest, especially since Couton rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the trip.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LISKA (ML=9/5), #4 BOLD CHARMANT (ML=4/1), #2 BLACKHAWK BEAUTY (ML=8/1),

LISKA - Difficult to wager on any entrant in a sprint clash if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended layoff and no drop in level of competition. Finished third in his most recent effort with a pedestrian speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. BOLD CHARMANT - Difficult to support any pony in a short distance event if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple months. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this horse as a questionable challenger. BLACKHAWK BEAUTY - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from horses in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance affairs recently. This animal hasn't been in the money in either of his last couple of efforts.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ALAND - I like making a bet on big class droppers like this one. Much easier field this time.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 LUCKY CLERIC to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 LADY AND ME (ML=12/1)
#1 AURORA PRINCESS (ML=6/1)
#2 MY CANDY FOREST (ML=10/1)


LADY AND ME - 1st timer here. An overlooked stat is the breeding, especially the dam. Dam's foals have won 50 percent of the time as 1st time starters. This trainer has a great ROI with 1st time starters. I always like to see a horse getting Lasix for the first time. D'Angelo adds it on this one today. AURORA PRINCESS - The rider/conditioner duo of Ortiz and Kenneally has a strong return on investment together. A great handicapping angle is Lasix - 1st time. Kenneally gives it to this one for this contest. MY CANDY FOREST - I really like that this animal shows a gate AM prep since the last race and is getting blinkers on today. Always a good angle to play. Pecoraro is giving this one Lasix for the first time. A really smart move. Trying to be a first time winner moving from a race on the turf to the main track. I think Pecoraro will have her fit for today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STYLITUDE (ML=4/5), #9 QUICKLUCKYCOCO (ML=5/1),

STYLITUDE - This pony didn't do much last time out of the box finishing ninth. Don't expect any betterment today. QUICKLUCKYCOCO - This vulnerable equine didn't go to the front and didn't close down the lane last time she ran. Finished seventh in her most recent race with a most unsatisfactory speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#10 LADY AND ME is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 6

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent PICK 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 57 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 3:00P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. TOP HAT COUNTESS is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VIOLENT FIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SHARON'S THUNDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DARAY: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MENORAH LORA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
11
TOP HAT COUNTESS
6/1

6/1
2
VIOLENT FIT
6/1

6/1
7
SHARON'S THUNDER
5/1

7/1
5
DARAY
9/2

7/1
9
MENORAH LORA
12/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
10
BELLA BRANDI M
10

6/1
Front-runner
0

0

88.4

41.3

32.3
5
DARAY
5

9/2
Front-runner
58

54

64.0

39.2

30.2
11
TOP HAT COUNTESS
11

6/1
Stalker
68

45

53.9

44.8

39.8
7
SHARON'S THUNDER
7

5/1
Trailer
55

52

57.0

49.2

41.2
9
MENORAH LORA
9

12/1
Trailer
57

42

16.0

41.8

32.8
2
VIOLENT FIT
2

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

47.6

52.4

48.9
3
MO MONEY MONICA
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

16.1

29.4

17.4








Unknown Running Style: PICTURA (15/1) [Jockey: Hamilton Weston - Trainer: Barr Donald H], CORVID (15/1) [Jockey: Gomez Kevin - Trainer: Fisher III Janon], COVERALLS (12/1) [Jockey: Torres Jomar - Trainer: Houghton Dove P], HOLD THAT KISS (8/1) [Jocke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 GEM OF A GUY 4/5

# 5 FIVETWENTYNINEFUND 4/1

# 2 BRIGHT AUTISM MIND 5/1

GEM OF A GUY looks to be a quite good contender. In this field, this horse is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (76 average) at today's distance and surface lately. With a reliable jock who has won at a formidable 15 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. FIVETWENTYNINEFUND - Has garnered sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Overall, this handler has been money-making at this distance/surface. BRIGHT AUTISM MIND - The Equibase class figure of today's contest is much lower than his last race. Should go off at a solid price and has some positive things going for him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 68

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 115 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 MERCEDES STARLETT 6/1

# 3 BACK SEAT KISS 5/2

# 4 RHYTHM'N SONG 5/1

MERCEDES STARLETT looks strong to best this field. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look quite good in this race. The average Equibase class figure of 57 makes this entrant tough to beat. Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. BACK SEAT KISS - Fuentes should be able to get this filly to break out early in this race. Is a definite contender - given the 54 speed figure from her most recent race. RHYTHM'N SONG - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Rojero have shown strong results lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA


Sunday, February 4

Knicks lost four of last five games with Atlanta; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Hawks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan. Atlanta lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over. Knicks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 8-3 as home favorites. New York’s last four games went under the total.

Bucks won their last nine games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Milwaukee won five of its last six games; they’re 3-1 as road favorites. Bucks’ last six games all stayed under the total. Nets lost five of their last six games; they’re 6-1-1 in last eight games as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Toronto won seven of last nine games with Memphis; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Memphis lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-2-1 in last eight games as road underdogs. Eight of its last ten games went over the total. Raptors won three of their last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Three of their last four games went over.

Portland won six of last nine games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston. Last three series games went over. Trailblazers won seven of last nine games; they’re 9-6-1 as road underdogs. Three of their last four road games stayed under. Celtics won four of their last five games; they’re 5-7 in last 12 games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over total.

Oklahoma City won nine of last ten games with the Lakers; six of last nine series games stayed under the total. Lakers are 0-6 vs spread in last six games in this arena. Los Angeles won five of its last seven games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over total. Thunder lost their last three games; they’re 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorite. Six of their last eight games went over.

Suns won seven of last ten games with Charlotte; last five series games went over. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Charlotte is 6-4 in its last ten games; they’re 3-1 as road favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over. Phoenix lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 8-14 vs spread as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, February 4

Trend Report

PORTLAND @ BOSTON
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MILWAUKEE @ BROOKLYN
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

ATLANTA @ NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

MEMPHIS @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing at home against Memphis

LA LAKERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

CHARLOTTE @ PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 4


Atlanta @ New York

Game 801-802
February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.896
New York
119.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 8
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5
211
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5); Over

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn

Game 803-804
February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
121.563
Brooklyn
114.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 7
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-4 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Toronto

Game 805-806
February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
116.735
Toronto
123.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 12
208
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+12); Under

Portland @ Boston

Game 807-808
February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
122.398
Boston
121.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2
202
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+2); Under

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City

Game 809-810
February 4, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
114.427
Oklahoma City
123.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
N/A

Charlotte @ Phoenix

Game 811-812
February 4, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.508
Phoenix
114.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 4
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+6 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (15 - 37) at NEW YORK (23 - 30) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (28 - 23) at BROOKLYN (19 - 34) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 363-438 ATS (-118.8 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (18 - 33) at TORONTO (35 - 16) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (29 - 23) at BOSTON (38 - 15) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (20 - 31) at OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 23) - 2/4/2018, 2:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (22 - 29) at PHOENIX (18 - 35) - 2/4/2018, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 56-70 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 165-119 ATS (+34.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (11 - 11) at BOSTON COLLEGE (13 - 9) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (12 - 11) at OHIO ST (19 - 5) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SETON HALL (17 - 5) at VILLANOVA (21 - 1) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VILLANOVA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VILLANOVA is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
SETON HALL is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 4-2 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 5-1 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IUPUI (7 - 15) at OAKLAND (14 - 10) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPUI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IUPUI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IUPUI is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
OAKLAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
OAKLAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (10 - 14) at MARYLAND (15 - 9) - 2/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WISCONSIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARYLAND is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (12 - 10) at S FLORIDA (8 - 15) - 2/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games this season.
S FLORIDA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
S FLORIDA is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S FLORIDA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
S FLORIDA is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 3-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IL-CHICAGO (13 - 11) at DETROIT (7 - 17) - 2/4/2018, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (12 - 10) at TULANE (13 - 8) - 2/4/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 90-127 ATS (-49.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TULANE is 90-127 ATS (-49.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 146-192 ATS (-65.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
TULANE is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
TULANE is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 3-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (16 - 6) at WASHINGTON ST (9 - 12) - 2/4/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IONA (14 - 9) at MARIST (5 - 18) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
IONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CANISIUS (14 - 9) at ST PETERS (9 - 13) - 2/4/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST PETERS is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 3-3 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 4-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NIAGARA (14 - 10) at MONMOUTH (7 - 15) - 2/4/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NIAGARA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
NIAGARA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 4-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 5-1 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RIDER (16 - 7) at QUINNIPIAC (9 - 14) - 2/4/2018, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
QUINNIPIAC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
QUINNIPIAC is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
QUINNIPIAC is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
QUINNIPIAC is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 4-2 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 5-1 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLGATE (12 - 10) at NAVY (15 - 9) - 2/4/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLGATE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 3-2 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 4

Georgia Tech lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-3 on ACC road, winning at lowly Pitt, losing other three games by 9-14-11 points. Boston College lost its last three games, losing in OT to Va Tech in last game; Eagles are 3-2 in ACC home games, losing to Clemson by 4, Hokies by 5. Tech won five of last seven games with BC; they won last two visits here, by 8-5 points. Over last four years, BC is just 2-0 as an ACC home favorite; Tech is 13-7 in last 20 games as road underdogs. ACC home favorites are 23-17-1 vs spread this season.

Ohio State is surprising 10-1 in Big 14, 6-1 at home, with only loss to Penn St, Buckeyes held four of last six opponents under 60 points. Illinois won its last two games after starting out 0-8 in big 14; Illini is 2-3 in Big 14 home games, with two of three losses in overtime. OSU won six of last seven games with Illinois; Illini lost its last seven visits to Columbus, five of them by 13+ points. Illinois is 10-17-1 in last 28 games as road underdogs; Buckeyes are 16-10 in last 26 games as home favorites, 3-2 this season. Big 14 home favorites are 25-22 vs spread

Villanova won six of last seven games with Seton Hall; Pirates lost last nine visits here, with three of last four by 17+ points. Villanova won its last eight games; they’re 8-1 in Big East, winning all four home games, by 10-24-20-20 points. Seton Hall split its last six games after a 14-2 start; Pirates are 2-2 on big East road, losing by 20 at Marquette, 17 at Creighton. Pirates are 11-4 in last 15 games as road underdogs; Villanova is 24-16 as home favorites in new Big East, 3-1 this year. Big East home favorites are 17-13-1 vs spread

Oakland is 0-5 vs spread as Horizon home favorites this year, losing 3 of 5 games SU; over last five seasons, Grizzlies are 15-18 vs spread as home favorites. Oakland is just 6-5 in Horizon, 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points. IUPUI is 1-3-1 as road underdogs in its first season in the Horizon; Jaguars lost their last four games, last three by 9+ points. IUPUI is playing its fifth straight road game; they’re 1-6 on Horizon road, with four of six losses by 14 or less points. Horizon League home favorites are 17-18 against the spread.

Wisconsin lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 0-5 on Big 14 road, with last three road losses by 15+ points; Badgers are shooting only 30.8% on arc, turning ball over 19.8% of time in Big 14 games. Maryland lost six of its last eight games; #316 experience team is 3-2 in Big 14 home games, with wins by 6-18-11 points. Maryland/Wisconsin split their four Big 14 meetings; teams split two meetings here. Maryland is 15-12 as Big 14 home favorites; Badgers are 5-7 in last 12 games as road underdogs. Big 14 home favorites are 25-22 vs spread

Tulsa upset SMU in its last game, but they’ve lost last four road games; Hurricane’s last road win was Dec 31 at Tulane. Tulsa is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200. South Florida is 1-9 in AAC, 0-5 at home, with three losses by 12+ points, other two by 2 points each. Bulls turn ball over 22.5% of time in AAC games. Tulsa is 5-0 vs USF in AAC games, winning by 17-12 points in two visits to Tampa. Bulls are 11-14 in last 25 games as home underdogs, 1-3 this year; Tulsa is 12-6-1 in last 19 games as road favorites. AAC home underdogs are 13-8-1 vs spread.

Ill-Chicago won eight of its last nine games, winning at Oakland Friday; Flames are won their last five road games, their eFG% defense is best in Horizon. Detroit lost 15 of its last 18 games; they’re 2-3 in Horizon home games, with losses by 7-2-6 points. UIC won three of last five games with Detroit; Flames won two of last three visits to the Motor City. UIC is 12-4 vs spread in its last 16 Horizon road games; Flames are 2-0 as road favorites this year. Detroit is 5-7 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Horizon home underdogs are 12-11 vs spread

Tulane won 85-75 at Temple Dec 28, Green Wave’s first AAC win in six tries against Temple. Owls won their three games here, all by 8 points. Tulane is 4-5 in AAC after going 6-30 last two years- they’re 2-3 in AAC home games, beating SMU, Houston. Temple upset Wichita St in its last game; they won five of last seven games after a 7-8 start. Owls are 1-3 in AAC road games, with win at SMU. Temple is 2-4-1 in last seven games as road favorites; under Dunleavy, Tulane is 3-4-2 as home underdogs, 2-0 this year. AAC home underdogs are 13-8-1 vs spread

Arizona State is 4-6 in Pac-12 after going 12-0 in pre-conference play; Sun Devils are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 6 or less points or in OT. Under Hurley, ASU is 5-12-4 vs spread in Pac-12 road games. Washington State is 1-8 in Pac-12, 1-3 at home, losing by 5-9-28 points- they beat Cal at home. Coogs lost their last four games, last three by 13+ points- opponents are shooting 57.6% inside arc against them. ASU/WSU split last six series games; Sun Devils lost four of last six visits to Pullman. Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-10-1 vs spread

Iona won its last eight games with Marist, winning last eight visits to the McCann Center- they scored 90+ points in last four series games. Gaels won in double OT Friday; four guys played 35:00+, Casimir played 48:00. Iona won seven of last nine games; they’re 2-2 on MAAC, with wins by 3-5 points. Marist is 3-8 in MAAC, 2-4 at home, with losses by 5-16-8-6 points. Iona is 13-8 in last 21 games as road favorites, 3-2 this year; Marist is 12-15 in last 27 games as home underdogs, 3-2 this year. MAAC home underdogs are 9-8 vs spread

Canisius shot 68% inside arc in 70-58 home win over St Peter’s Jan 12, just second series win in last six tries for the Griffins. Canisius won four of its last five visits to Jersey City. Griffins won 10 of last 12 games; they’re 4-1 on MAAC road, with one loss at Siena. St Peter’s lost six of its last seven games, with four losses by 4 or fewer points; Peacocks 3-2 in MAAC home games, losing to Rider, Manhattan. Canisius is 21-14 vs spread in last 35 MAAC road games; Peacocks are 16-9 in last 25 MAAC home games, 3-2 this year. MAAC home teams are 25-24-2 vs spread

Monmouth lost 78-77 at Niagara Jan 12, despite Eagles going 17-33 on foul line; it was Niagara’a first MAAC win in 10 tries vs Monmouth- they lost last four visits here, by 25-11-9-18 points. Hawks are 3-7 in MAAC, 2-2 at home, beating Manhattan/Siena, both by 11 points. Monmouth is 0-5 in MAAC games decided by 7 or fewer points. Eagles won seven of last nine games; they’re 4-2 on MAAC road, losing at Fairfield/St Peter’s. Niagara is 15-10-1 in last 26 MAAC road games; Monmouth is 15-18-1 in last 34 home games. MAAC home favorites are 16-16-2.

Rider shot 62% inside arc, was +8 in turnovers in 78-60 home win over Quinnipiac Jan 12; Broncs won last eight series games, winning last three visits here, by 3-12-17 points. Quinnipiac won three of its last four games; they’re 3-2 in MAAC home games, losing to Canisius/Niagara. Rider won five in row, nine of last 10 games; they’re 4-2 on MAAC road, losing at Iona/Canisius. Rider is 8-6 in last 14 games as road favorites; Bobcats are 5-11 in last 16 game as home underdogs, 1-2 this year. MAAC home underdogs are 9-8 vs spread

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 4

Trend Report

ILLINOIS @ OHIO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Illinois's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Illinois's last 8 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
Ohio State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

GEORGIA TECH @ BOSTON COLLEGE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games at home

SETON HALL @ VILLANOVA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seton Hall's last 5 games when playing on the road against Villanova
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seton Hall's last 6 games
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

IUPUI @ OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of IUPUI's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of IUPUI's last 6 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against IUPUI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

IONA @ MARIST
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marist
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marist's last 7 games when playing Iona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marist's last 7 games when playing at home against Iona

WISCONSIN @ MARYLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games
Maryland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

TULSA @ SOUTH FLORIDA
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 5 games when playing Tulsa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 5 games at home

UIC @ DETROIT
UIC is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
UIC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing UIC
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

CANISIUS @ SAINT PETER'S
Canisius is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saint Peter's
Canisius is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Saint Peter's is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Canisius

NIAGARA @ MONMOUTH
Niagara is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Niagara is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Monmouth is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Niagara
Monmouth is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Niagara

RIDER @ QUINNIPIAC
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Quinnipiac is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

TEMPLE @ TULANE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games on the road
Temple is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games at home

ARIZONA STATE @ WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Arizona State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington State's last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, February 4


Georgia Tech @ Boston College

Game 813-814
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
60.742
Boston College
66.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 5 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 3 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(-3 1/2); Over

Illinois @ Ohio State

Game 815-816
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
59.335
Ohio State
74.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 15 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 12
143
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-12); Over

Seton Hall @ Villanova

Game 817-818
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seton Hall
66.347
Villanova
76.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 10 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 13
157
Dunkel Pick:
Seton Hall
(+13); Under

IUPUI @ Oakland

Game 819-820
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IUPUI
43.318
Oakland
55.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 12
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 15
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
IUPUI
(+15); Under

Wisconsin @ Maryland

Game 821-822
February 4, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
62.875
Maryland
68.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 5 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 8 1/2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(+8 1/2); Over

Tulsa @ South Florida

Game 823-824
February 4, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
50.214
South Florida
46.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 3 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 8
135
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+8); Over

Illinois-Chicago @ Detroit

Game 825-826
February 4, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois-Chicago
50.314
Detroit
42.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 8
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois-Chicago
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois-Chicago
N/A

Temple @ Tulane

Game 827-828
February 4, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
62.504
Tulane
58.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 4 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 2 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(-2 1/2); Under

Arizona State @ Washington St

Game 829-830
February 4, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
63.212
Washington St
52.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 11
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 8
159
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-8); Under

Iona @ Marist

Game 831-832
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iona
56.775
Marist
44.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 12 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 8 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iona
(-8 1/2); Under

Canisius @ St Peter's

Game 833-834
February 4, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Canisius
54.672
St Peter's
53.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 1 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Peter's
by 1
129
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(+1); Over

Niagara @ Monmouth

Game 835-836
February 4, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Niagara
51.205
Monmouth
50.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Niagara
by 1
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 3 1/2
161 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Niagara
(+3 1/2); Over

Rider @ Quinnipiac

Game 837-838
February 4, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rider
52.409
Quinnipiac
49.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rider
by 3
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 5 1/2
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Quinnipiac
(+5 1/2); Under

Colgate @ Navy

Game 839-840
February 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
49.563
Navy
48.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colgate
by 1
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 2 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colgate
(+2 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (34-13-0-4, 72 pts.) at WASHINGTON (30-16-0-5, 65 pts.) - 2/4/2018, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 154-86 ATS (+243.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-18 ATS (+10.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-8 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 34-17 ATS (+52.3 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
VEGAS is 18-8 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 189-219 ATS (-73.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 41-50 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 1-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (27-16-0-8, 62 pts.) at CAROLINA (24-20-0-8, 56 pts.) - 2/4/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 2-11 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 413-328 ATS (-116.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 204-165 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 14-19 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 7-14 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (17-24-0-9, 43 pts.) at MONTREAL (21-25-0-6, 48 pts.) - 2/4/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 17-33 ATS (+54.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 40-38 ATS (+85.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 13-7 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 21-31 ATS (+71.1 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 10-21 ATS (-15.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-5 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, February 4

Washington got blanked 3-0 in Las Vegas in teams’ only meeting, Dec 23; Golden Knights won four of last six games overall, three of last four on road. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Washington lost four of its last six games overall, three of last four at home. Five of their last seven games went over the total.

Home side won last five San Jose-Carolina games; Sharks lost four of their last five visits to Raleigh. Five of last six series games went over the total. San Jose lost four of last five games overall; they’re 4-3 in last seven road games. Four of their last six games went over. Carolina won three of last four games overall, but lost four of last six home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

Montreal won five of its last six games with Ottawa; three of last four series games went under the total. Senators lost four of last five visits to Montreal. Ottawa lost six of last eight games overall, three of last four on road. Five of last six Ottawa games stayed under total. Canadiens lost seven of their last ten games overall; they’re 3-4 in last seven home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, February 4

Trend Report

VEGAS @ WASHINGTON
Vegas is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

SAN JOSE @ CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Carolina
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games

OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games at home
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 4


Vegas @ Washington

Game 51-52
February 4, 2018 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.564
Washington
10.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(+105); Under

San Jose @ Carolina

Game 53-54
February 4, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.328
Carolina
11.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+110); Under

Ottawa @ Montreal

Game 55-56
February 4, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
10.768
Montreal
11.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-165); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New England Patriots open as 5.5-point Super Bowl LII favorites over Philadelphia Eagles
Patrick Everson

For a while on Sunday, it looked like the Super Bowl might see fresh blood from both conferences. But at least there’s still one relative newcomer for the Feb. 4 showdown in Minneapolis. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening line and early action, with insights from Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM Resorts in Las Vegas, and Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook BetDSI.com.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-5.5)

Defending Super Bowl champion New England was on the ropes throughout much of Sunday’s AFC championship game, but Tom Brady and Co. got off the mat just in time for a return trip to the big game. The Patriots (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns – the last 14 points of the game – to squeeze out a 24-20 victory as a 7.5-point home favorite. Brady hit Danny Amendola for both scores, the second with just 2:48 remaining to account for the final margin.

However, that comeback came at a cost for No. 1 seed New England, with stud tight end Rob Gronkowski sidelined during the game and now under concussion protocol.

Top-seeded Philadelphia reached the Super Bowl in very different fashion, most notably without star QB Carson Wentz, who tore an ACL in a Week 14 road win over the Los Angeles Rams. The Eagles (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) beat Atlanta as a home underdog in the divisional round, then had the same role for Sunday’s NFC final, in which they boatraced Minnesota 38-7 as a 3-point pup.

“We’re gonna go Patriots -5.5,” Rood said of MGM’s opening number. “Basically, you like to have it on the hook, because you don’t want your biggest decision of the football year to be a push. Also, based off the performance of the Eagles and the uncertainty of Gronk, I think just shy of 6 is the place to be.”

BetDSI opened a tick higher at Patriots -6 and dropped to -5 in short order Sunday night before ticking back up to -5.5. (For reviews of online sportsbooks visit OddsShark.com)

“This feels a lot like those Patriots-Giants Super Bowls, where we saw the upset in each,” Cooley said. “I think we'll see a lot of underdog bettors during the next two weeks. We didn't want to undersell what the Patriots bring to the table, but we might have opened this number a bit high. Early action steamed in on Philadelphia, which moved the spread down to -5.

“We did attract some chalk money at that point and bumped the number to -5.5.”

Cooley said BetDSI also saw some early sharp money on the over, taking the total from 47.5 to 48.5, before it nosed back to 48. At MGM books, including Rood’s home base at The Mirage on the Vegas Strip, the total opened at 47.5 and was unchanged late Sunday night.

On the moneyline, MGM opened the Patriots -220 and moved to -225, with the buyback on the Eagles going from +180 to +185.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 4

Philadelphia @ New England

Game 101-102
February 4, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
137.026
New England
146.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 9 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 5 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-5 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (15 - 3) vs. NEW ENGLAND (15 - 3) - 2/4/2018, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Super Bowl

Here are my random thoughts on Sunday’s Super Bowl:

— Here are the scores of the six Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick in them:
SB36— NE 20, Rams 17
SB38— NE 27, Carolina 24
SB39— NE 24, Philadelphia 21
SB42— Giants 17, NE 14
SB46— Giants 21, NE 17
SB49— NE 28, Seattle 24
SB51- NE 34, Atlanta 28 OT— Notice a pattern? All decided by 6 or less points.

— Doug Pedersen is in his 2nd year as a head coach; Belichick has won five Super Bowls.
— NFC was 41-23 against the AFC this year; Patriots were 3-1 against the NFC.
— Eagles won their last game against the Patriots, 35-28 in Foxboro in 2015.
— Philly pounded the Vikings last week, now visits Minnesota; it could be awkward.

— Underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in last 16 Super Bowls
— Belichick is 5-2 in Super Bowls, all of which were decided by six or less points.
— Eagles are 0-2 in Super Bowls, with last one a loss to New England 13 years ago.
— New England covered 10 of its last 12 games overall.

— Domed stadium; weather won’t be an issue.
— Weird stat: In Belichick’s seven Super Bowls, Patriots are scoreless in first quarter.
— Unsure if it matters, but LeGarrette Blount and Chris Long played for New England LY.
— If anything happens to Foles, Eagles’ backup QB Sudfeld is a total unknown; he was 19-23 passing for 134 yards in very limited action. He started for three years at Indiana.

— Both New England coordinators are off to head coaching jobs after this game.
— Eagles are 4-2 vs spread as an underdog this year; this is 4th game in row they’re the underdog, because of Wentz being hurt.
— Since 2010, NFL head coaches are 3-26 in their first game against Belichick.

Bottom line for me is that a lot of people are jumping on the Eagles’ bandwagon, but this is a backup QB against the best QB/coach combo of all-time. I’ll say New England, 27-16.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Super Bowl

Trend Report

Sunday, February 4

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW ENGLAND
Philadelphia is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Gronkowski's concussion injury impacting early Super Bowl wagering
Patrick Everson

We’re just a few days into Super Bowl betting, but some trends are already starting to unfold. Everson checks in on the action and line movement for the big game on Feb. 4, with insights from Tony Miller, sportsbook director at the Golden Nugget in downtown Las Vegas, and with the lines manager for offshore sportsbook GTBets.eu.

Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots – Open: -6; Move: -5.5; Move: -5

New England is certainly in a familiar spot, once again playing in the final game of the year, but it took a big comeback to get there. The Patriots (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) needed most of Sunday’s AFC championship game to climb out of a 14-3 hole against Jacksonville, ultimately escaping with a 24-20 home victory as a 7.5-point home chalk.

The Pats also lost tight end Rob Gronkowski during the game, and he’s currently in concussion protocol.

Philadelphia (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) had struggled a lot in the scoring department since Nick Foles stepped in for the injured Carson Wentz at quarterback. But those struggles went away in Sunday’s NFC title tilt, with the Eagles running away from Minnesota 38-7 as a 3-point home underdog.

With Gronkowski’s status uncertain and Philly coming off an impressive performance, betting is lopsided at Miller’s shop on Fremont Street.

“Right away, in the first minute we had the game up, I took a $10,000 moneyline bet on the Eagles,” Miller said, noting the moneyline opened Patriots -250/Eagles +200. “So we dropped the moneyline to -240/+190 and the pointspread from 6 to 5.5. We didn’t really get any money at +6, but we got a lot at +5.5 the last few days. Then we went to 5, and they’re still taking +5.”

Miller said the moneyline is now at New England -200/Philadelphia +170, and bettors continue to hit the Eagles.

“All the sentimental bets are on the Eagles, on the pointspread and moneyline. People are just kind of burned out on the Patriots,” Miller said. “The sharp money is lurking, waiting to see how low this drops. It’ll go back up next week, when the bulk of the money starts to show up.”

And of course, providing Gronk is cleared, that will take the line north as well.

Meanwhile, at GTBets.eu, the Patriots opened -5.5 and dipped to 5. (For reviews of online sportsbooks visit OddsShark.com)

“So far, 60 percent of side bets are on New England, which is less than expected and also why the line has dropped to 5,” GTBets’ lines manager said. “The total has barely budged, going from 47.5 to 48, and 70 percent of the action is on the over at this point. With the reasonable amount of action on the Eagles, I would expect the line to drop to 4.5, and the total to increase possibly another point to 49.”

The Golden Nugget was also at 48 on the total and a little heavy to the under, but that’s of little concern to Miller at this point.

“They’ll eventually pound the over,” he said. “So I’m not worried about that at all.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

One week out from Super Bowl LII, it's all Eagles action so far
Patrick Everson

Super Bowl LII has been bet into for almost a week now, and yet the line still hasn’t stabilized, continuing to trend downward at several shops. Patrick Everson checks in on the action and line movement, with insights from Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas, and Scott Kaminsky, director of offshore sportsbook TheGreek.com.

Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots – Open: -6.5; Move: -6: Move: -5.5; Move: -5; Move: -4.5

New England has the extensive Super Bowl resume, complete with an overflowing trophy case. But the Patriots’ performance in the AFC title game and the uncertain status of Rob Gronkowski aren’t an attractive combination to bettors. New England (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) rallied to beat Jacksonville 24-20 as a 7.5-point home favorite.

Meanwhile, bettors can’t seem to help themselves to enough of Philadelphia after its blowout victory in the NFC final. The Eagles (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) hammered Minnesota 38-7 as a 3-point home underdog, making believers of customers at Nevada and offshore books.

“It’s been all Eagles up to this point,” Avello said of action at the Wynn, which on Friday night dropped the Patriots from -5 to -4.5. “They even took 4.5 last night for a good amount. Normally, I’d be at 4, if the game was this Sunday. But since we’ve got a whole week to go, I’m gonna wait and see if we get some takers on the Patriots.”

Like many other shops, the Wynn is seeing plenty of Philly action on the moneyline, which opened New England -230/Philadelphia +195. Those numbers have dipped to -180/+160. Avello says there’s an X-factor to turning around the current betting trends – Gronkowski’s status.

“If Gronkowski gets announced that he’s playing, which I think is gonna happen, that’ll maybe stabilize the line or even push it up a little bit,” he said.

TheGreek.com opened New England -5.5, dipped to -5 on Wednesday, then hit -4.5 (-115) on Saturday.

“We’ve accumulated ‘dog money along the way,” Kaminsky said, while noting action has slowed a bit in the calm before the storm. “The sharps are probably done for now. We’re not seeing much action and probably won’t until next weekend.”

Wynn Las Vegas opened the total at 47, and after a quick burst to 48, that number hasn’t moved since late last Sunday.

“The total is kind of a dead issue. It won’t be as we get closer to the game, but as of now, it’s drawing the least interest of all the options, including the props,” Avello said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Patriots aren't much for blowouts when it comes to the Big Game
Joe Fortenbaugh

By our current count, at least three wagers of $500,000 or more have already been placed in Las Vegas for next Sunday’s Super Bowl LII showdown between the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles.

Those wagers will be discussed in more detail below, but for now, all you need to know is that each bet was placed on Nick Foles and the Philadelphia Eagles, which is one of the primary reasons as to why the opening pointspread of Patriots -5.5 has already been adjusted to as low as Patriots -4.

But perhaps more important than why the pointspread is moving is the why behind the decision to support the Eagles. Granted, the rationale supporting such a wager is multi-faceted, but at least one of those factors pertains to the following information:

Tom Brady + Bill Belichick in the Super Bowl =

[2002] New England (+14/53) vs. St. Louis: Patriots 20, Rams 17
[2003] New England (-7/38) vs. Carolina: Patriots 32, Panthers 29
[2004] New England (-7/47) vs. Philadelphia: Patriots 24, Eagles 21
[2008] New England (-12.5/54.5) vs. New York: Giants 17, Patriots 14
[2012] New England (-3/53) vs. New York: Giants 21, Patriots 17
[2015] New England (-1/47) vs. Seattle: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
[2017] New England (-3/57) vs. Atlanta: Patriots 34, Falcons 28 (OT)

Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minnesota will mark the eighth time in which a Super Bowl featured Bill Belichick as the head coach of the Patriots and Tom Brady as the quarterback of the Patriots. But here’s where things get interesting: in those previous seven Super Bowl appearances, the average margin of victory was just 3.7 points, with only one game being decided by more than four points.

That one game in question was last year’s 34-28 overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons.

Four games decided by three points, two matchups determined by four points and one overtime thriller that landed on six points.

Brady + Belichick may be the NFL’s ultimate dynasty, but the Hall of Fame tandem doesn’t annihilate the opposition when the Vince Lombardi Trophy is on the line. Further, the Brady + Belichick duo is a lifetime 5-2 straight up and 3-4 against the spread in the Super Bowl, with the Under cashing in four of those seven showdowns.

While it’s certainly not the primary reason as to why we’ve seen so much Eagles money show up in Vegas through the first week of Super Bowl wagering, Brady and Belichick’s Super Bowl history has no doubt played at least a small role in the movement from Patriots -5.5 to Patriots -4.

Now comes the fun part: will big-time Patriots money begin to show in Vegas between now and kickoff, or will the Philly cash continue to pour in during this season’s final week of professional football wagering?

With 20 weeks in the books

Home teams ATS: 133-125-8
Favorites ATS: 133-122-8
Home underdogs ATS: 48-50-4
Over/Under: 124-142

Trend of the Week

In the National Football League’s previous 51 Super Bowls, the team that won the game just so happened to also cover the pointspread 43 times.

Please allow me to repeat myself: the straight-up winner of the Super Bowl is 43-6-2 ATS.

So, who do you guys have winning on Sunday?

Super Bowl action report

Most outlets, both in Vegas and offshore, opened with the Patriots as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5 points. After one week of wagering, we now see New England as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 48.

As of Sunday morning, approximately 58 percent of the tickets written were in support of Philadelphia, while 62 percent of the tickets written on the total were backing the Over.

In regards to the move from New England -5.5 to New England -4, here’s what we know:

1. Early this past week, MGM vice president of race and sports Jay Rood told our friend Gill Alexander that his property took a “multi-million-dollar bet” on the Philadelphia Eagles. Rood declined to name the bettor or share whether it was a moneyline bet on the Eagles or a wager on the Eagles plus the points, but Rood did move his line from Patriots -5.5 to Patriots -4.5 immediately after booking said wager.

2. South Point director of race and sports Chris Andrews told us on Episode 70 of The Sharp 600 that he booked a $500,000 moneyline wager on the Philadelphia Eagles this past week.

3. Matthew Holt, the COO at CG Analytics and vice president of business development for CG Technology, tweeted Friday, “We took a 700K bet on Eagles moneyline today and now have well into seven-figure liability on Eagles moneyline as of now.”

At the moment, it appears as if we’re all waiting to see whether or not a significant amount of New England money shows up at the books.

Muffed Punt Picks: Super Bowl, Part I

Season: 24-37-2
Last week: 0-2

While my official Super Bowl side, total and prop selections will be released in next week’s edition of “The Muffed Punt,” here is an early nugget I have been studying:

First quarter UNDER: In seven Super Bowl appearances together, the Tom Brady + Bill Belichick connection has combined to score a grand total of ZERO points during the first quarter.

Yup, Brady and Belichick have been held scoreless during the first quarter in every single Super Bowl they have appeared in together. Further, in those aforementioned seven Super Bowls, a grand total of just 15 points has been scored during the first quarter.

Quote of the Week

“That’s the biggest gap in sports, the difference between the winner and the loser of the Super Bowl.” -- John Madden

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Super Bowl LII's biggest betting mismatches: Eagles vs. Patriots
Monty Andrews

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-4.5, 48)

It's the biggest game of the NFL season, as the New England Patriots seek their second straight title - and sixth all-time - against a Philadelphia Eagles team that is looking for its first Super Bowl championship. The Patriots come into this year's title contest at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis as modest favorites, thanks to a Tom Brady-led offense that led the league in total offense. The Eagles will look to quash New England's quest at a repeat with a defense that allowed the fourth-fewest yards in the NFL.

Eagles' solid rush attack vs. Patriots' run D problems

There weren't many things the Eagles didn't do well this season, thriving on a dynamic offense led by quarterback Carson Wentz and making opposing teams suffer thanks to a relentless defense. And that's not all; the Eagles were one of the top rushing teams in the league, especially after acquiring Jay Ajayi in a mid-season trade with the Miami Dolphins. And in what is expected to be a highly competitive game, Philadelphia should be able to exploit a New England rush attack that has struggled to keep teams at bay.

The Eagles' running game didn't generate much buzz throughout the season, mostly because Wentz was so spectacular prior to his season-ending knee injury. But Philadelphia might not be where it is without the success of its rush attack, which produced the third-most yards during the regular season (2,115). And while the Eagles struggled with fumbles - committing 11 during the regular season and another three in the playoffs - this is a run game that can move the football against just about any team in the league.

That doesn't bode well at all for a Patriots defense that held opponents to the fourth-lowest run rate in the league (38.0 percent), but allowed opposing rushers to gain a whopping 4.6 yards per carry; only the Los Angeles Chargers were more generous (4.9 YPC). And while New England limited Jacksonville to 101 yards on 32 carries in the AFC Championship, things might be different on a neutral field against an Eagles team whose 4.3 YPC average during the season ranked seventh in the NFL.

Eagles' interception immunity vs. Patriots' secondary struggles

The loss of Wentz - to an injury revealed last week to be even more severe than first thought - was supposed to be the end of the Eagles' title chances. But Nick Foles has emerged as more than capable of spearheading the Philadelphia offense. While he lacks the explosiveness of his young predecessor, Foles has done a magnificent job taking care of the football - and in that regard, the Eagles as a whole have a significant advantage over a Patriots team that didn't produce many turnovers on passing downs.

While Philadelphia boasted one of the lowest passing rates in football during the regular season (55.2 percent), it still led the NFL in passing touchdowns (38) and finished just outside the top 10 in yards per game through the air (240.1). Wentz, Foles and Nate Sudfeld also combined to throw just nine interceptions, sixth-fewest in the league. Foles was at his tactical best last time out, throwing three touchdowns with zero interceptions in last week's NFC Championship rout of the Minnesota Vikings.

Teams threw the ball more than 62 percent of the time against the Patriots, but the New England secondary didn't turn many of those passes into interceptions. The Patriots finished the regular season with 12 INTs - tied with Tennessee for 18th overall - and are the only one of the final four playoff teams without an interception in the postseason; Jacksonville, Philadelphia and Minnesota all have at least two. Look for Philadelphia to use a measured passing game to keep the football out of the hands of the Pats' defense.

Eagles' discipline issues vs. Patriots' paucity of penalties

You might see the first two items on the list and wonder why the Eagles aren't favored. Well, Tom Brady and the Patriots' offense has a lot to do with that - and there are other factors, as well. Oddsmakers aren't convinced that Foles can outduel his New England counterpart, while the Patriots' extensive playoff experience also comes into play. And if Philadelphia can't show more discipline than it did during the regular season, New England will own the kind of penalty advantage that could decide this one.

While it didn't cost them anything in the overall standings, the Eagles were one of the most penalized teams in the NFL in 2017, picking up the fifth-most accepted flags (124) while accruing the eighth-most accepted penalty yards (1,041). Not surprisingly, that resulted in the Eagles finishing fourth from the bottom in total penalty flag differential (minus-17), ahead of only the Seattle Seahawks, the San Francisco 49ers and the Denver Broncos - three teams that missed the postseason completely.

As you might have expected, the Patriots were once again one of the most disciplined teams in the NFL this past season. New England finished its 16-game campaign with exactly 100 accepted flags - eighth-fewest in the league - and its 882 accepted penalty yards also ranked eighth. And the Patriots were even better when it came to drawing flags, finishing with the league's greatest penalty yard differential (plus-313) and the second-best flag differential (plus-27).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Is the early money on the right side when it comes to cashing in on Super Bowl betting?
Ashton Grewal

The Super Bowl is just days away and if you haven’t been paying attention to the reports as to where the money is being bet on the game here’s a quick update: Eagles early and often.

The advanced line before the AFC and NFC championship games forecasted the New England Patriots would be 7-point favorites if they were pitted against Philadelphia in the Super Bowl. Following the Eagles’ destruction of the Minnesota Vikings, the books elected to play it safe and opened with a shorter spread for the Big Game.

But opening with the Pats giving 5.5 wasn’t good enough. The flood of Eagles support has brought the spread down to as low four and some oddsmakers are predicting it could drop to 3.5 soon if the money backing the Patriots doesn’t show up soon.

The situation has a bit of a déjÃ* vu to it because 10 years ago, Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks took one of their biggest losses in Super Bowl history when the New York Giants won outright as double-digit underdogs against 18-0 New England Patriots.

“Overall the Super Bowl was a disaster,” Jay Kornegay, then Executive Director Race & Sportsbook at the Las Vegas Hilton (now Westgate), told us at the time.

“We couldn’t stop the Giant moneyline bets from coming in and it was the worst result ever for us. Most books put themselves into a comfortable position by just needing the Patriots to win the game. Since that didn’t happen and the game when Under, worst case scenario. Most supporters for the Giants also bet the Under and, or, parlayed the two.”

These two scenarios are both extreme cases but it got us wondering: is the early - often sharp - money normally on the right side of the outcome?

Here is a look back at the last 10 years of Super Bowl betting, where the early money went and whether it was on the right side or not of the outcome.

Super Bowl XLII

Patriots vs. Giants

Opening spread: Pats -13
Closing spread: Pats -11.5

It was mentioned above already but the sharps and the public both backed the right side with the Giants winning outright 17-14. They were paying +400 on the moneyline as well.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLIII

Steelers vs. Cardinals

Opening spread: Steelers -6.5
Closing spread: Steelers -6.5

This matchup was booked pretty evenly but the early money did come in on the underdog and the spread dropped to 5.5 before the Steelers money came in the second week.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLIV

Colts vs. Saints

Opening spread: Colts -3.5
Closing spread: Colts -4.5

The Colts got bet up to as high as 6-point chalk before the game closed with the 4.5-point spread. The early money was on the losing side here but the action was reported as light. While digging through the archives it seems like the sharps were backing the Saints late in the second week.

Early money: Loss

Super Bowl XLV

Packers vs. Steelers

Opening spread: Packers -2
Closing spread: Packers -3

The Packers were a wild card entry into the postseason but their impressive march through the NFC playoffs had most football fans thinking they were a better team than the Steelers. Bettors backed the Pack early and they proved to be right with Aaron Rodgers holding up the championship belt.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLVI

Patriots vs. Giants

Opening spread: Pats -3.5
Closing spread: Pats -3

Here’s another similar spot here for the books. The early money came in on the underdog Giants who won the game outright over the Patriots again.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLVII

49ers vs. Ravens

Opening spread: 49ers -4
Closing spread: 49ers -4.5

The numbers above might say the bettors were on the wrong side, but the line history at Pinnacle shows the first move was in favor of the underdog Ravens. Pinnacle dropped to 49ers -3.5 two days after opening with San Fran giving four points.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLVIII

Broncos vs. Seahawks

Opening spread: Pick
Closing spread: Seahawks -1.5

The early action wasn’t uniform across the industry because of the variations of opening lines. Some shops opened with the Broncos favored by two points others listed the game as a pick. Either way, the smart and early money was on the Seahawks, who crushed Peyton Manning and the Broncos.

Early money: Win

Super Bowl XLIX

Patriots vs. Seahawks

Opening spread: Pats -1
Closing spread: Pats -1

The action was split for the full two-week buildup to the Big Game for Super Bowl XLIX. The spread as a near pick’em and that’s how the bettors saw the game.

Early money: Draw

Super Bowl L

Broncos vs. Panthers

Opening spread: Panthers -3.5
Closing spread: Panthers -4.5

The Panthers almost went undefeated on their way to their second Super Bowl appearance as a franchise, but they didn’t show up in the big game and bettors paid a price at the window.

Early money: Loss

Super Bowl LI

Patriots vs. Falcons

Opening spread: Pats -3
Closing spread: Pats -3

The early money came in on the Patriots but not enough to move the spread. The books received two-way action but the first at the window were betting chalk.

Early money: Win

Final score: Early money 7-2-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The 52 betting notes you need to know before Super Bowl LII
Joe Fortenbaugh

For those of you who may be wondering about the opportune time to make a wager on either the Philadelphia Eagles or New England Patriots for Sunday’s Super Bowl LII in Minnesota, here’s what we are hearing:

Several seven-figure bets were placed in support of the Eagles during the 10-day window that followed the conference championship games, which moved the point spread from as high as Patriots -6 to as low as Patriots -4. Westgate SuperBook oddsmaker Jeff Sherman told us on Wednesday that he wouldn’t be surprised if this line got as low as Patriots -3.5, but he doesn’t expect to see any Patriots -3 point spreads prior to kickoff.

However, according to several of our contacts in Vegas, the Patriots money is expected to show up sometime around Friday when the masses descend upon Sin City. New England has always been a popular public play, as evidenced by the ridiculous R.O.I. the team has delivered over the past two seasons (28-9 ATS, 75.6 percent).

So the bottom line is as follows: For those of you looking to bet the Eagles, you may have missed the best of it. However, there is still a decent chance that this number goes up when the Patriots money begins to show in Vegas. For those of you looking to side with New England, you likely won’t do much better than Patriots -4, barring some unforeseen development.

And now, it’s time to go to work.

*All props courtesy of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.

1. In the seven Super Bowl appearances that head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady have appeared in together, the New England Patriots have NEVER scored a point during the first quarter of action. PROP: Will either team score in the first 6:30 of the game: YES +105, NO -125.

2. In those same seven aforementioned Super Bowls, the Patriots permitted a grand total of just 15 points to be scored during the first quarter. The St. Louis Rams (2002) and New York Giants (2008) each scored three points against the New England defense while the 2012 New York Giants jumped out to a 9-0 lead through the first 15 minutes of action.

3. PROP: Which team will score first: PATRIOTS -130 vs. EAGLES +110.

4. Since 2002, the seven Super Bowls that have featured the New England Patriots have been decided by the razor-thin average of just 3.7 points per game. The Patriots defeated St. Louis (2002), Carolina (2004) and Philadelphia (2005) by three points each, lost to the Giants in 2008 by three points and in 2012 by four points, beat Seattle in 2015 by four points and shocked Atlanta in 2017 by six points. Take note that last year’s 34-28 win over the Falcons came during the first overtime in Super Bowl history.

5. Finally, be advised that the slow first quarter starts that have taken place during New England’s Brady-Belichick Super Bowl era have still found a way to produce an average of 19.4 points per first half combined between the two participants. Clearly, this indicates a trend of explosive second quarters.

6. Through 51 Super Bowls, the first score of the game breaks down as follows: Touchdown 25 times (49.0 percent), field goal 23 times (45.1 percent) and safety three times (5.8 percent). PROP: The first score of the game will be: TOUCHDOWN -160, ANY OTHER SCORE +140.

7. In regards to the first score of the game, through 51 Super Bowls, here’s a breakdown of which position has recorded the first touchdown of the game: Wide receivers with 23 (45.1 percent), running backs with 15 (29.4 percent), defense/special teams with five (9.8 percent), tight ends with four (7.8 percent), quarterbacks with two (3.9 percent) and fullbacks with two (3.9 percent).

8. In seven Super Bowl appearances together, Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are 5-2 straight-up and 3-4 against the spread, with the under cashing in four of those seven matchups.

9. The team that wins the Super Bowl has also gone on to cover the point spread an astounding 43 times (43-6-2 ATS, 87.7 percent).

10. In the previous 51 Super Bowls, favorites are 27-22-2 ATS while underdogs are 22-27-2 ATS. However…

11. The underdog has covered the number in five of the last six and eight of the last ten Super Bowls.

12. The OVER has cashed in four of the last five Super Bowls.

13. The coin toss: Through 51 Super Bowls, “tails” holds the edge over “heads” by a 27-24 margin. Additionally, take note that “tails” has come up victorious in four straight Super Bowls.

14. The NFC representative in the Super Bowl has won an astounding 18 of the last 20 coin flips (90.0 percent).

15. In the previous 51 Super Bowls, the winner of the coin toss has gone on to win the game only 24 times (47.1 percent). Atlanta won the coin toss last year in Houston, but went on to lose the game in overtime to New England, 34-28.

16. In the seven Super Bowls that New England has played under the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady alliance, the Patriots have won the coin toss exactly one time (14.3 percent), which came in 2012 when the Pats fell 21-17 to the New York Giants in Indianapolis.

17. PROP I LIKE: Torrey Smith OVER 16.5 yards for longest reception (-110 both ways). Smith is one of the most overpaid wide receivers in the National Football League, but he’s still a home run threat who has recorded receptions of 20 or more yards in each of Philadelphia’s two playoff games this postseason.

18. One of the most important situations to watch on Sunday will feature Philadelphia’s third down offense against New England’s third down defense. During the 2017 regular season, the Eagles ranked third in the NFL in third down offense (43.6 percent) while the Patriots ranked 20th in third down defense (39.1 percent).

19. The team to record the first score in the Super Bowl has gone on to win the game 34 times (34-17, 66.6 percent), which includes five of the last six Super Bowls. PROP: Will the team that scores first win the game: YES -170, NO +145.

20. In ten playoff games this postseason, underdogs are a staggering 9-1 ATS.

21. Second-half scoring has overpowered first-half scoring in 14 of the last 19 Super Bowls. Put differently, there have been more points scored during the second half of the Super Bowl than the first half of the Super Bowl in 14 of the last 19 seasons (14-4-1, with the only tie coming in Super Bowl XLVI when the Giants and Patriots combined to score exactly 19 points in each half).

22. Seeing as how Super Bowl LII will take place indoors on an artificial surface, it’s worth noting that New England is 6-1 ATS over its last seven games played on an artificial surface while Philadelphia is 2-7 ATS over its last nine contests played on turf.

23. In addition, the OVER is 10-3 in Philadelphia’s last 13 games played on turf and 67-33 in New England’s last 100 contests played on an artificial surface.

24. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams while the underdog is 5-1 ATS over the last six encounters between these two franchises.

25. The American Gaming Association estimates that Americans will wager $4.76 billion on Super Bowl LII. But, here’s the most interesting part of that estimate…

26. A shocking 97 percent of that $4.76 billion will be wagered illegally across the country, which includes local bookmakers and offshore sportsbooks.

27. A record $138.4 million was bet on last year’s Super Bowl in the state of Nevada. Multiple bookmakers in Las Vegas have been quoted over the past week as saying that they expect this year’s Super Bowl handle to surpass last year’s record-setting mark.

28. According to our friend David Purdum of ESPN, Nevada sportsbooks have come out ahead in 25 of the 27 Super Bowls that have taken place since Nevada Gaming Control began tracking Super Bowl betting back in 1991.

29. N/A

30. PROP I LIKE: James White OVER 10.5 rushing yards (-110): White has notched at least 11 rushing yards in 12 of 16 games this season. But perhaps more importantly, this is the guy who came up huge for the Patriots in last year’s Super Bowl victory over Atlanta with 139 total yards and three scores on 22 touches. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if Belichick, in an attempt to keep Philadelphia guessing, turns the keys to the New England backfield over to White on Sunday.

31. Feel free to hate Patriots owner Robert Kraft. Seriously. Since Kraft bought the New England Patriots in 1994 for a price of $172 million, his franchise has qualified for the postseason in 19 of a possible 24 years. And, yes, that includes 17 divisional championships.

32. In the previous 51 Super Bowls, only six (11.7 percent) have been decided by exactly three points. However, of the last 16 Super Bowls, five (31.3 percent) have been decided by exactly three points. Finally, of the seven Super Bowls that have featured the Belichick-Brady alliance, four (57.1 percent) have been decided by exactly three points. PROP: Will the game be decided by exactly three points: YES +375, NO -500.

33. Barring some sort of shocking development over the next few days, Super Bowl LII will mark the tenth consecutive year in which the NFL’s biggest game of the season closes with a point spread of seven points or less. In addition, 2018 will mark the 15th time in the last 16 years in which the closing number was seven or fewer points. The outlier of this group took place in 2008 when the Patriots closed as 12-point favorites over Eli Manning and the New York Giants, who would go on to shock the world by upsetting the undefeated Pats, 17-14.

34. Compare the information in No. 25 with the stretch of championships played from 1994-1999 in which six straight Super Bowls featured a point spread of seven points or greater, with five of those Super Bowls featuring a double-digit point spread.

35. MVP prop: In the previous 51 Super Bowls, the MVP was awarded to a quarterback 28 times (54.9 percent), a wide receiver six times (11.7 percent), a running back six times (11.7 percent), a linebacker three times (5.8 percent), a defensive lineman three times (5.8 percent), a cornerback twice (3.9 percent) and a safety, fullback and specialist once each (1.9 percent).

36. Last February’s epic showdown between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons marked the first time in Super Bowl history that the game went into overtime. Based on several conversations that I’ve had this past week with professional sports bettors in Las Vegas, the sharp action is backing “No” on the following: PROP: Will there be overtime? YES +600, NO -900.

37. Here’s the rundown on how the last ten Super Bowl National Anthems have played out:

Super Bowl 42: Jordin Sparks at 1:54
Super Bowl 43: Jennifer Hudson at 2:10
Super Bowl 44: Carrie Underwood at 1:47
Super Bowl 45: Christina Aguilera at 1:54
Super Bowl 46: Kelly Clarkson at 1:34
Super Bowl 47: Alicia Keys at 2:35
Super Bowl 48: Renee Fleming at 1:54
Super Bowl 49: Idina Menzel at 2:04
Super Bowl 50: Lady Gaga at 2:09 (controversial)
Super Bowl 51: Luke Bryan at 2:04

Pink is scheduled to perform this year’s National Anthem, with the over/under currently set at 2:00 (Over: -180, Under: +140).

38. Through 51 Super Bowls, no team has ever been held scoreless.

39. Through 51 Super Bowls, no kicker has ever converted a field goal from 55 yards or longer.

40. For those of you who may be interested in any proposition wagers that include an over/under on the final Nielsen Ratings for Super Bowl 52, here’s how the last ten Super Bowls have broken down:

Super Bowl 51 (Patriots-Falcons): 48.8
Super Bowl 50 (Broncos-Panthers): 46.6
Super Bowl 49 (Patriots-Seahawks): 47.5
Super Bowl 48 (Seahawks-Broncos): 46.7
Super Bowl 47 (Ravens-49ers): 46.3
Super Bowl 46 (Giants-Patriots): 47.0
Super Bowl 45 (Packers-Steelers): 46.0
Super Bowl 44 (Saints-Colts): 45.0
Super Bowl 43 (Steelers-Cardinals): 42.0
Super Bowl 42 (Giants-Patriots): 43.1

41. There have been exactly eight instances of back-to-back Super Bowl winners since the inception of the NFL’s ultimate game back in 1966. The last time a franchise won back-to-back Super Bowls came in 2003 and 2004 when Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots defeated the Carolina Panthers and—you guessed it—Philadelphia Eagles.

42. Since 2000, the Eagles own the fifth-highest winning percentage in the National Football League. However, of the five teams with the highest winning percentages since 2000—New England, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Green Bay and Philadelphia—only the Eagles have failed to win a Super Bowl during that time frame.

43. It’s not as if the Eagles dislike running back LeGarrette Blount, it’s just that the organization likes Jay Ajayi more. Case in point, ever since Ajayi asserted himself amongst the Philadelphia running back platoon back in late October following his trade from Miami, Blount’s rushing totals have decreased significantly. Take a look for yourself:

Week 11 at Cowboys: 13 carries
Week 12 vs. Bears: 15 carries
Week 13 at Seahawks: 8 carries
Week 14 at Rams: 7 carries
Week 15 at Giants: 7 carries
Week 16 vs. Raiders: 5 carries
Week 17 vs. Cowboys: 9 carries
Divisional Round vs. Atlanta: 9 carries
Championship Round vs. Minnesota: 6 carries

…with that being said…

44. PROP I LIKE: LeGarrette Blount UNDER 7.5 rushing attempts (-110 both ways)

45. PROP I LIKE: LeGarrette Blount UNDER 27.5 rushing yards (-110 both ways)

46. PROP I LIKE: LeGarrette Blount UNDER 9.5 yards for longest rushing attempt (-110 both ways)

47. Fun Fact: If you eliminate the rookie year when he threw just three passes as well as the 2008 campaign in which Patriots quarterback Tom Brady wrecked his knee in Week 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs, the future Hall of Famer has played 16 NFL seasons. And in those 16 NFL seasons, Brady has—as of Sunday—appeared in eight Super Bowls. That means it’s more likely that Tom Brady plays in a Super Bowl (50 percent) than two-time MVP and two-time NBA Champion Steph Curry makes a basket (47.7 percent).

48. Teams that score fewer than 20 points in a Super Bowl are 1-23 SU and 3-20-1 ATS since 1980.

49. A 30-second commercial during this year’s Super Bowl will cost approximately $5 million.

50. PROP I LIKE: Will Zach Ertz score a touchdown: NO -200. The Stanford product hasn’t found the end zone in any of his last four outings. Additionally, Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is notorious for eliminating the opposition’s most dangerous threat and, when it comes to Super Bowl LII, I believe that to be Ertz. I’m on the “NO” in this spot.

51. The UNDER is 10-4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 15 playoff games.

52. PROP(S) I LIKE: Danny Amendola OVER 52.5 receiving yards (-110 both ways), OVER 4.5 receptions (-110 both ways) and “YES” (+190) Amendola will score a touchdown. Bottom line: I don’t think that tight end Rob Gronkowski will be anywhere near 100 percent for this matchup. And even if Gronk is good to go, Philadelphia will be keying on the Pro Bowl tight end from start to finish. Enter Amendola, who has all the makings of the “scrappy, underdog hero” for this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Sunday, February 4

Super Bowl LII betting preview and odds: Eagles vs. Patriots

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-4.5, 48)

No team has won back-to-back Super Bowls since the New England Patriots held off the Philadelphia Eagles in February 2005 - the franchise's third championship in four seasons. Thirteen years later, the Super Bowl script is unchanged: The Patriots are vying to win consecutive titles and the Eagles are trying to prevent Tom Brady and Bill Belichick from hoisting a third Lombardi Trophy in four years.

Making its eighth Super Bowl appearance in 17 seasons behind the most successful coach-quarterback combination in NFL history, New England has won five championships in that span, including last season's dramatic 34-28 overtime victory over Atlanta that featured the greatest comeback on the NFL's grandest stage. “It’s just been an unbelievable run and I think everyone should be really proud of what we’ve accomplished," said four-time Super Bowl MVP Brady, who is hoping star tight end Rob Gronkowski will be available. "I’m proud of our team. It’s been a great year and it would be really great if we can take care of business in the next game.” Top-seeded Philadelphia is on quite a run of its own, embracing its underdog status following a season-ending injury to starting quarterback Carson Wentz and rallying behind backup Nick Foles to stomp No. 2 seed Minnesota 38-7 and earn its first trip to the Super Bowl since that 24-21 loss to the Patriots. "We know what we’re faced against, we know the opponent we’re going against,” Eagles second-year coach Doug Pederson said. "Lot of respect for them obviously and what they’ve done and what they’ve accomplished. It’s about what we do. How our players handle this week and eliminate distractions and eliminate the noise and how well they prepare and get themselves ready to go.”

TV: 6:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 5.5-point favorites but a steady flood of Eagles money during the first week and a half of betting has pushed the pointspread down to 4.5. The total hit betting boards at 48 and has been steady heading into the weekend.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “It’s been all Eagles up to this point. If Gronkowski gets announced that he’s playing, which I think is gonna happen, that’ll maybe stabilize the line or even push it up a little bit. The total is kind of a dead issue. It won’t be as we get closer to the game, but as of now, it’s drawing the least interest of all the options, including the props." - Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas.

INJURY REPORT:

Eagles - DT Fletcher Cox (Probable, Calf), QB Nick Foles (Probable, Ribs), RB Jay Ajayi (Probable, Ankle), RB Kenjon Barner (Probable, Illness), DT Tim Jernigan (Probable, Illness), LB Dannell Ellerbe (Probable, Hamstring), CB Sidney Jones (Questionable, Hamstring), QB Carson Wentz (I-R, Knee), K Caleb Sturgis (I-R, Quadricep), S Chris Maragos (I-R, Knee), LB Joe Walker (I-R, Neck), LB Jordan Hicks (I-R, Achilles), T Jason Peters (I-R, Knee), RB Darren Sproles (I-R, Knee), RB Donnel Pumphrey (I-R, Hamstring), CB Randall Goforth (I-R, Knee), WR Dom Williams (I-R, Achilles), DT Aziz Shittu (I-R, Knee).

Patriots - DL Malcom Brown (Probable, Knee), CB Malcolm Butler (Probable, Flu), DL Alan Branch (Probable, Knee), TE Rob Gronkowski (Probable, Concussion), DL Deatrich Wise (Probable, Concussion), DB Devin McCourty (Probable, Shoulder), QB Tom Brady (Probable, Hand), DB Brandon King (Questionable, Knee), RB Mike Gillislee (Questionable, Knee), OL LaAdrian Waddle (Questionable, Knee), DT Vincent Valentine (Questionable, Knee), DB Jonathan Jones (I-R, Foot), WR Malcolm Mitchell (I-R, Knee), OL Marcus Cannon (I-R, Ankle), OL Tony Garcia (I-R, Illness), OL Andrew Jelks (I-R, Knee), DB Nate Ebner (I-R, Knee), TE Martellus Bennett (I-R, Shoulder), LB Dont'a Hightower (I-R, Pectoral), LB Shea McClellin (I-R, Concussion), LB Harvey Langi (I-R, Back), DL Keionta Davis (I-R, Neck), CB Cyrus Jones (I-R, Knee), WR Julian Edelman (I-R, Knee), DE Derek Rivers (I-R, Knee).

MATCHUP CHART:

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ABOUT THE EAGLES (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS, 9-9 O/U): With Foles no longer looking like a weak link following a superb performance against Minnesota, in which he threw for 352 yards and three touchdowns, Philadelphia presents a balanced offense the likes of which New England hasn't faced since Week 15 at Pittsburgh. Foles has multiple weapons in wideouts Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith, who combined for 10 catches and three touchdowns in the NFC title game, along with tight end Zach Ertz (11 receptions in both playoff games). Jay Ajayi has rushed for 127 yards in the two postseason games and is complemented by sledgehammer back LeGarrette Blount, who has 10 career playoff touchdowns and won a Super Bowl last season with the Patriots. Philadelphia's defense ranked No. 1 against the run (79.2 yards per game) and also tied for fourth with 19 interceptions.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS, 8-10 O/U): Brady has been spectacular in the past two Super Bowl victories, rallying New England from 25 points down last season and erasing a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit against Seattle three years ago. The Patriots also had to come from 10 points down in the AFC Championship Game despite the absence of Gronkowski, who was limited in practice Wednesday and remains in the league's concussion protocol. Danny Amendola caught a pair of fourth-quarter TD passes versus Jacksonville and has 18 receptions in the two playoff games while speedster Brandin Cooks has nine. Ex-Eagle Dion Lewis has carried the running game over the second half of the season but all three backs are threats in the passing game, particularly James White. New England's defense looked vulnerable against Jacksonville but has 11 sacks in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
* Patriots are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 10-4-1 in Eagles' last 15 playoff games.
* Over is 8-2 in Patriots' last 10 playoff games.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Patriots are looking to join the Steelers as the only team with six Super Bowl championships.
2. Foles is the only QB to post a passer rating of at least 100 in his first three postseason games.
3. Gronkowski has 10 postseason touchdowns, including seven in his last seven playoff games.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the underdog Philadelphia Eagles at a rate of 62 percent and the Over is getting 67 percent of the totals action.