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Can'tPickAWinner
02-26-2018, 07:07 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 08:38 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Claiming $5,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $4,500 • Post: 1:48P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * TTT KAS IMA JAZZ: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PK BETCHA BOOTS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. A MIGHTY TOUCH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. LENAS BOOGIE BLUES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ITHINKIMFLYIN: Horse ranks in the to p three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3
TTT KAS IMA JAZZ
10/1

6/1
7
PK BETCHA BOOTS
8/5

6/1
6
A MIGHTY TOUCH
4/1

7/1
4
LENAS BOOGIE BLUES
15/1

8/1
1
ITHINKIMFLYIN
9/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ITHINKIMFLYIN
1

9/2
Average
65

57

5.3

0.0

0.0
2
RAY BOK
2

7/2
Average
58

60

3.7

0.0

0.0
3
TTT KAS IMA JAZZ
3

10/1
Slow
70

59

7.1

0.0

0.0
4
LENAS BOOGIE BLUES
4

15/1
Slow
59

63

8.9

0.0

0.0
5
GENUINE GAME
5

8/1
Average
64

51

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
A MIGHTY TOUCH
6

4/1
Fast
59

56

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
PK BETCHA BOOTS
7

8/5
Slow
67

63

6.5

0.0

0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 08:39 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 GREELEYS COPY (ML=6/1)


GREELEYS COPY - Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a good performance today. You should ignore that last race at Laurel on a sloppy track where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this event under better track conditions.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DUTCH BLITZ (ML=4/5), #1 CANNON'S ROAR (ML=6/1), #5 ZEPHYR TRAIN (ML=6/1),

DUTCH BLITZ - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. CANNON'S ROAR - This colt notched a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. ZEPHYR TRAIN - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance event to be any kind of value at low odds in a sprint. Pedestrian fig last out at Laurel at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this runner will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #3 GREELEYS COPY on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 08:39 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #7 - Post: 3:33pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 INDIAN OAKS (ML=2/1)
#5 TAVRIDA (ML=8/1)


INDIAN OAKS - Rider hops back on board after getting to know the race horse by riding last out. That's always a good thing. This mare is in good form, having run a good race on February 20th, finishing third. Mare took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Took a drop in class last time out, running against the same type today. TAVRIDA - After the affair aboard this horse on February 27th, the jockey is going to 'know' the filly much better. I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 VALIANT PRINCESS (ML=8/5), #7 ADONAI POWER (ML=4/1),

VALIANT PRINCESS - This less than sharp equine hasn't been on the track since January 31st. Not even any morning activity. ADONAI POWER - Just can't invest in this mount. Didn't show me anything last race out or on Jan 31st. Disappointing speed rating last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this runner will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 INDIAN OAKS on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:35 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 56

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 ENCHANTABULL 10/1

# 8 FIREY CHILD 5/2

# 2 SPICY DREAMER 5/1

ENCHANTABULL has a respectable shot to take this contest especially at such a decent 10/1. Should be carefully examined based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. FIREY CHILD - Looks very good against this group of animals and should be one of the leaders. Garnered a formidable speed rating last time out. SPICY DREAMER - She looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:40 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 3-4) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $1 Pick 6 (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)


Maiden Optional Claiming $30,0 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 1:51P
(PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN THE LAST START PREFERRED). RAIL SET AT 14 FEET.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * EXPENSIVE TASTE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. ALPHA PEGASUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLE BARBARA ANN : Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2
EXPENSIVE TASTE
9/5

4/1
6
ALPHA PEGASUS
8/1

6/1
5
LITTLE BARBARA ANN
5/2

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
FACTORED
8

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

83.1

34.6

22.1
2
EXPENSIVE TASTE
2

9/5
Front-runner
85

74

46.1

46.1

39.1
5
LITTLE BARBARA ANN
5

5/2
Stalker
69

66

64.5

64.5

57.0
4
HONOURAPRILSRULES
4

4/1
Stalker
69

59

61.4

61.4

53.9
1
DIGESTIF
1

6/1
Stalker
68

54

53.8

53.8

45.3
6
ALPHA PEGASUS
6

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
57

51

67.8

75.9

71.4
7
HERO'S PEACE
7

15/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

36.5

62.0

54.5

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:53 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 5, 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 MY MAJESTY 5/2

# 5 HENDERSON COUNTRY 15/1

# 6 GRAND SLAM ANDRE 20/1

MY MAJESTY is the best bet in this race. Looks strong to be up near the front end at the first call. Could beat this group of horses given the 84 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. His 77 average has this gelding with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures for this race. HENDERSON COUNTRY - Difficult to pass on this gelding with Arrieta in the irons. Arrieta's ROI over the last month automatically makes this equine a strong contender. GRAND SLAM ANDRE - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is sound for this animal.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:55 AM
Mike Wynn

Free Play: Free Pick Utah -10 Over Orlando

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:55 AM
Free Selection from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, March 5, 2018

3/05 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET

NBA (701) DETROIT PISTONS VS (702) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Take: (701) DETROIT PISTONS

Reason: Your free play for Monday, March 5, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled game between the Detroit Pistons and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Your free play for Monday is on the Detroit Pistons.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:56 AM
Jeff Allen Sports

Monday's Free Selection is on the Islanders/Vancouver Under

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:56 AM
Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: Take OHIO U/MIAMI-OH OVER the total of 140

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:56 AM
Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: Akron/Western Michigan over 144 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:57 AM
John Anthony Sports

Monday's Free Selection: Norfolk State - 12

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:57 AM
#1 Sports

Monday's Free Selection: North Carolina A&T - 10

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:58 AM
Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Monday Selection Is

Kent State -6½

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:58 AM
Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Monday: Take ORLANDO +10 over Utah

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:58 AM
Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Akron +8

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:59 AM
Hawkeye Sports

Monday's Free Pick: Edmonton Oilers - 155

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 09:59 AM
Golden Dragon Sports

Free Pick Miami -9' NBA

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:00 AM
Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play: MON Under the total 136 1/2 BYU/St Mary's

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:03 AM
Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Free Pick the Chicago Bulls +9 over Boston

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:03 AM
The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Monday: Take BOSTON/CHICAGO OVER the total of 215½

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:04 AM
High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Monday: Maryland Eastern Shore + 12

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:04 AM
Free Selection from Kenny Towers

Ov 5.5 Tor/Buf - NHL

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:05 AM
Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor FREE Play for Monday, March 5, 2018

3/05 07:35 PM NBA (713) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (714) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Take : Blazers

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:05 AM
Roz Wins

Roz's Monday March 5, 2018, Free Pick

03/05 06:05 PM NBA (711) ORLANDO MAGIC VS (712) UTAH JAZZ

Take : JAZZ

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 10:19 AM
Tommy Brunson

Monday's comp play comes in the NBA, as I play Under the total in the Milwaukee-Indiana contest.

The series numbers show an Under in the books from last Friday night when the teams played in Milwaukee, as the Under is now 4-1 the past 5 meetings, and 6-3 overall the last 9 times these teams have squared off.

The Bucks have played 3 of their last 4 games overall Under the total, while the Pacers enter with 3 straight and 6 of their last 8 games played overall Under the total.

Milwaukee also happens to have held Under the price in each of their last 4 Monday night contests, and are 8-1 their last 9 road games contested against teams that sport a winning home ledger for the season. Both trends do indeed apply to tonight's game.

Remember that for the season, Indy has been a team that has trended towards the Under, as the Pacers stand at 26-36-1 Under the total for the season.

Friday night in Wisconsin was an Under, Monday night in Indiana also an Under. Bucks-Pacers Low.

3* MILWAUKEE-INDIANA UNDER

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:11 PM
Championship Week - not the NCAA tournament - is the real March Madness
Jason Logan

The NCAA tournament is for tourists.

You want the real March Madness? Try cramming every major-conference program as well as a truck full of mid-major teams into a week of basketball, with most of that condensed in a Thursday-to-Sunday window.

Then, try setting odds for every single one of those games, with a wave of new matchups the second those contests are through. And if that’s not enough, sick the sharpest sports bettors in the world on those odds and try to keep the book balanced.

“It’s like a duck on a pond,” Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM in Las Vegas, tells us. “On top everything is peaceful and serene. But underneath, the duck is pedaling like crazy.”

Conference championship week doesn’t carry the pageantry of the NCAA tournament, but for those in the industry there is no busier time. It also doesn’t draw the massive crowds of public bettors, but caters more to the hardcore college hoops fans and professional handicappers.

“The handle for the NCAA tournament is probably a pretty close 50/50 split between sharp and public action. Conference tournament week,” says Rood, “is closer to a 60/40 or 70/30 split in favor of action from the wiseguys.”

Oddsmakers admit that setting odds for the first two big days of the NCAA tournament – Thursday and Friday – is much easier than trying to keep pace with the conference tournaments. And throughout the tournament, books have at least a full day between each teams’ next game.

Championship week not only challenges the oddsmakers to come up with lines for the next day on short notice but doesn’t allow them to come up for air until the whole thing is done Sunday evening – just before the Selection Committee picks its field of 68 and they have to handicap the opening matchups for the national tournament.

“We’re talking about five straight days of non-stop basketball,” Peter Childs, supervisor of risk management for Sportsbook.ag, tells us. “It’s exhausting but it’s also super exciting, with wall-to-wall games going. Personally, other than college bowl week from Christmas to January 1, this is my favorite week of the year.”

Despite the fatigue and short turnaround, books can’t afford to make any mistakes during championship week. Unlike the NCAA tournament, which is huge with the casual basketball bettors, the conference tournaments are shark infested waters with wiseguys just waiting for the books to slip and dunk their toe in.

“Our lines will be geared more towards what we think the sharps will do as opposed to what the public will do this week,” says Childs. “Next week (during the NCAA tournament), it’s the complete opposite.”

What is it about the conference tournaments – more than the national tournament - that draws the wiseguys? The overall consensus among sharps is the sheer abundance of games available. The more games, the more opportunities bettors have to find the matchup they want and cash in. It’s also a game of cat and mouse when the odds are released, chasing the added line value before books adjust their numbers.

Another reason championship week is more popular with sharps than the NCAA tournament is the familiarity between the programs. This not only works for situational bettors, looking to cash in on sweeps and revenge spots, but also when crunching the numbers for those conference tournaments.

“Using conference-only stats gives a great read on the teams as they all play common opponents within the same conference,” says Steve Merril. “In the NCAA tournament, you normally have teams that played zero common opponents and completely different schedule strengths, so it’s harder to set an accurate power rating.”

Mid-major conference tournaments have been rolling since last week but March Madness – the real March Madness – kicks into high gear Tuesday and Wednesday when the big boys get underway. ACC tournament opens Tuesday, with the Big East, Big 12, SEC and Pac-12 starting Wednesday. The AAC tournament tips off Thursday.

Editor's note: This article was originally published in 2015.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:15 PM
Cash in on college basketball conference tournaments with these betting tips
Maddy Palmer

If you want March Madness – like the real Madness – conference tournament time is it. Unlike the NCAA, conference tournaments throw constant competition at teams, with the winners often having to win three or for four games in three or four days.

The quick turnaround is not only a challenge for basketball programs but also for bookmakers, and that levels the playing field a bit with so many games happening in such a short span. So sports bettors will want to strike when books are at their weakest, and here are some helpful tips and tactics to follow to help you cash in on conference tournaments.

Mind the moves

As we mentioned, teams that win move on to the next day, which means oddsmakers are frantically making lines as matchups are set. With so many new games on the board, conference tournament spreads and totals can be some of weaker opening lines you’ll see all year.

Bettors will want to keep a close eye on those openers and shouldn’t be afraid to tail the early movement, with those adjustments based on instant action from wiseguys. Totals will see the biggest movement, as these Over/Unders are admittedly the oddsmakers’ greatest weakness.

Don’t doubt depth

Due to that crazy pace during conference tournaments, the depth of a roster is put to the true test. Basketball bettors will want to analyze just how deep a team dives into its bench and how reliable those reserves are.

Some programs regularly only go six or seven players deep, while others are comfortable swapping out five at a time without seeing much of a downgrade. As games stack up and fatigue becomes a factor – especially after close and intense games – depth can be the difference when it comes to covering the spread.

And don’t get too caught up on experience, favoring upperclassmen over freshmen. At this point in the season, those first-year players are freshmen in name only.

Past meetings

Another big difference between capping conference tournaments compared to the Big Dance is familiarity. In the NCAA, opponents are often foreign and from different leagues. But in conference tourneys, you could have teams playing for a third time on the season.

Bettors should always go back and look at those recent meetings between foes, but also be mindful that a game played in late December or early January doesn’t hold as much weight as a game played toward the end of the regular season. Teams can change drastically in that time, with coaching adjustments, injuries and lineup moves, and player development.

Also don’t forget to take things like home-court advantage out of the mix, with most conference tournaments played at a neutral site. Know which teams can compete away from home and also which schools have a fan base that will travel and give them an edge in the postseason.

Motivation

Conference tournaments can produce surprise results, with top-seed schools bowing out early on. There are a number of power program coaches – already pegged with a respectable seed in the NCAA - who have admitted that they don’t care about the conference title and would rather have their guys fresh for the national tournament.

On the flip side of this, you’ll have a number of bubble teams that need to either have a strong showing or win the conference tournament outright for a chance to hear their name called on Selection Sunday – giving bettors a little extra incentive to back them against the spread. And, as always, you’ll have some losing programs that just want to get a terrible season over with. Buyer beware when it comes to those teams looking ahead to life without losing hoops.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:16 PM
NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 5


Bowling Green @ Central Michigan

Game 715-716
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
52.874
Central Michigan
57.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 4 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 8 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+8 1/2); Over

Northern Illinois @ Kent State

Game 717-718
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
47.257
Kent State
51.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 4
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 6 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+6 1/2); Over

Ohio @ Miami-OH

Game 719-720
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
49.845
Miami-OH
53.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-OH
by 4
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-OH
by 2 1/2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(-2 1/2); Under

Akron @ Western Michigan

Game 721-722
March 5, 2018 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
46.342
Western Michigan
56.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 10 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 8
145
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-8); Under

Cleveland State @ Oakland

Game 723-724
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
00.000
Oakland
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland State

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland State

Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
( );

WI-Milwaukee @ Wright State

Game 725-726
March 5, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
WI-Milwaukee
00.000
Wright State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
WI-Milwaukee

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
WI-Milwaukee

Dunkel Pick:
WI-Milwaukee
( );

William & Mary @ Coll of Charleston

Game 727-728
March 5, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
00.000
Coll of Charlesto
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
William & Mary

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
William & Mary

Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
( );

NC-Wilmington @ Northeastern

Game 729-730
March 5, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Wilmington
00.000
Northeastern
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Wilmington

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Wilmington

Dunkel Pick:
NC-Wilmington
( );

San Francisco @ Gonzaga

Game 731-732
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
55.673
Gonzaga
71.709
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 16
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 13
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(-13); Under

Brigham Young @ St Mary's

Game 733-734
March 5, 2018 @ 11:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
60.104
St Mary's
67.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 7
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 5
137
Dunkel Pick:
St Mary's
(-5); Under

North Dakota St @ South Dakota St

Game 735-736
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
00.000
South Dakota St
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St

Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
( );

Denver @ South Dakota

Game 737-738
March 5, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
00.000
South Dakota
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver

Dunkel Pick:
Denver
( );

Fairfield @ Iona

Game 739-740
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
00.000
Iona
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fairfield

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield

Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
( );

E Tenn State @ NC-Greensboro

Game 741-742
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
00.000
NC-Greensboro
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State

Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
( );

Delaware State @ NC A&T

Game 743-744
March 5, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware State
32.217
NC A&T
39.336
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC A&T
by 7
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC A&T
by 10
140
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware State
(+10); Over

MD-Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State

Game 745-746
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
MD-Eastern Shore
36.423
Norfolk State
45.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 9
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Norfolk State
by 12
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
MD-Eastern Shore
(+12); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:16 PM
NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOWLING GREEN (16 - 15) at C MICHIGAN (18 - 13) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ILLINOIS (12 - 18) at KENT ST (15 - 16) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO U (14 - 16) at MIAMI OHIO (15 - 16) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 5-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 6-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (13 - 17) at W MICHIGAN (17 - 14) - 3/5/2018, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 3-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN FRANCISCO (18 - 14) vs. GONZAGA (28 - 4) - 3/5/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 200-160 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
GONZAGA is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-70 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-66 ATS (+37.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 97-66 ATS (+24.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 3-3 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 6-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BYU (23 - 9) vs. ST MARYS-CA (28 - 4) - 3/5/2018, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 65-110 ATS (-56.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
BYU is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
BYU is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 89-135 ATS (-59.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BYU is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 81-111 ATS (-41.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 6-1 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 6-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DELAWARE ST (4 - 27) vs. N CAROLINA A&T (18 - 13) - 3/5/2018, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE ST is 3-2 straight up against N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MD-EAST SHORE (7 - 24) vs. NORFOLK ST (13 - 18) - 3/5/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 3-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:18 PM
NCAAB

Monday, March 5

MAC tournament, campus sites
Central Michigan outscored Bowling Green 35-11 over the last 12:41 of their 84-75 win at Bowling Green Jan 20; Chippewas were +6 (18-12) in turnovers, made 11-25 on arc. CMU won four of last five series games, lone loss being 62-59 in this event two years ago. Falcons lost four of last five visits here. Falcons are 3-6 in last six MAC tourneys, 2-4 in first round; CMU is 2-8 in last eight MAC tourneys, losing in first round last two years. Over last 15 years, WMU is 13-2 in first round of MAC tourney. CMU split its last 10 games overall after starting MAC play 2-6.

Kent lost 75-61 at Northern Illinois Jan 2, going 4-25 on arc; Flashes are 3-2 in last five series games, but NIU won three of last four visits to Kent. Five of last eight series games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Kent won MAC tourney LY, with all four wins by 5 or fewer points or in OT. Flashes lost six of last nine games overall, with last three games decided by 1 or 2 points or in OT. Huskies lost eight of their last 11 games; they lost their last 12 games away from DeKalb. Over last 19 years, NIU is 4-15 in first round of MAC tourney.

Ohio has beaten Miami twice in the last 16 days, 92-87 in OT at home, then 75-66 in Miami three nights ago; Bobcats won 14 of last 15 games with Miami, winning five of last six visits to Oxford. Ohio won four of its last five games overall; over last 13 years, they’re 11-2 in first round of MAC tourney. Miami lost six of its last eight games, with the two wins by total of five points- three of their last five games went OT. Over last nine years, RedHawks are 4-5 in first round of MAC tourney. Miami is #322 experience team that is 5-13 vs teams ranked in top 200.

Akron lost 87-75 at Western Michigan Jan 2; Broncos shot 59.5% inside arc in their first win over Akron in last seven tries. Zips won three of their last four visits to Kalamazoo. Zips are 7-3 in last three MAC tourneys but didn’t win any titles and now they have new coach- they won their first MAC tourney game the last 13 years. Over last 15 years, WMU is 12-3 in first round of MAC tourney. Akron lost 8 of its last 11 games; the three wins were by total of 10 points. WMU lost four of its last six games overall, but they won four of last five home games.

WCC tournament, Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
Gonzaga is a 13-point favorite; USF’s last 16 losses in WCC tourney were all by 9 or fewer points. Gonzaga beat San Francisco twice in January, by 9-10 points; Zags won their last 13 games with USF, and 26 of last 29- they beat Dons 81-72 in this event three years ago. Gonzaga won its last 12 games overall; they also won their last 15 WCC tourney games, but Zags are 3-11 vs spread in their last 14 games this season. USF won six of its last eight games after starting season 12-12; Dons they needed OT to beat Pacific 71-70 in first round Saturday.

BYU won its last seven WCC tourney games that weren’t against Gonzaga/St Mary’s, but is 0-5 in WCC tourney games against the WCC’s top two teams. Cougars lost twice to St Mary’s this year, by 10 in OT at home, by 13 in Moraga. Gaels are 11-4 vs BYU in WCC meetings. BYU won five of its last seven games overall; they’re 2-5 vs top 100 teams this season, with wins over Utah Valley, Utah. St Mary’s struggled mightily with Pepperdine last night; they played only six guys, using four starters 35:00+. Gaels won last four games after consecutive losses to Gonzaga/USF.

CAA tournament, Charleston
Wm&Mary/Charleston split two games this year; Cougars lost 114-104 in OT at W&M nine days ago, after Tribe blew a 16-point 2nd half lead. W&M is 7-4 vs Charleston in CAA meetings. Wm&Mary is 8-4 in last four CAA tourneys, losing in finals in 2014, 2015- they’ve never been in NCAAs. Wm&Mary split its last eight games overall; they played only six guys Sunday (7th guy played 2:00); four starters played 31:00+, three played 36+. Charleston won 12 of its last 13 games; they outscored Drexel 27-11 over last last 10:50 yesterday- three guys played 33:00+.

Northeastern beat NC-Wilmington twice this year, but both games went OT; Huskies went 27-41 on foul line in last meeting. Northeastern is 4-3 in last seven series games. Seahawks are 4-3 in last seven games after a 7-17 start; they played five guys 31:00+ minutes in 93-88 win over Hofstra Sunday, when they made 14-35 on arc. UNCW won CAA tourney last two years with Keatts as HC; Northeastern won its last eight games overall- they crushed Delaware Sunday, only one Husky played more than 29:00. UNCW is 0-7 vs top 100 teams this season.

Horizon Valley tournament, Detroit
Milwaukee has already upset Wright State twice this year by total of six points; Panthers were 19-35 on the arc in the two games- they’re 6-4 in last 10 series games overall. Milwaukee beat Ill-Chicago 80-75 last night- they were +8 in turnovers. Three Panthers played 33:00+ in game they trailed by 7 with 12:00 left. Wright State had yesterday off; they won four of last five games and are 15-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Wright hasn’t won Horizon tourney since 2007, losing in finals three of last five years. Milwaukee lost to No Kentucky in Horizon finals LY.

Oakland’s win over IUPUI Sunday was just their second conference tourney win in last eight games; Nunn played whole 40:00, Brock played 38:00. Grizzlies beat Cleveland State twice this year, by 13-16 points; Oakland won six of last seven series games. Grizzlies split pair with IUPUI this year, going 8-31 on arc in 74-67 loss at IUPUI two weeks ago. Vikings are playing 3rd game in four nights after ousting #1 seed NKU Saturday; CSU won five of its last seven games after starting season 6-20. Oakland is 14-5 against teams ranked outside the top 200.

MAAC tournament, Albany
Iona rallied from 14 down with 15:28 left to nip St Peter’s by 3 Sunday; they used three starters 32:00+. Gaels won MAAC tourney three of last five years, lost in finals the other two years; they split pair with Fairfield this year, losing last meeting 103-100 in OT, when Stags were 14-27 on arc. Iona won seven of last ten series games; teams split the last six. Fairfield won their last seven games after being 10-15 on Feb 12; Stags are playing 4th game in five nights- they beat Quinnipiac by 10 last nite- two guys played the whole 40:00, another Stag played 38:00.

Southern Conference tournament, Asheville, NC
East Tennessee State beat NC-Greensboro 79-74 in SoCon final LY; now teams meet again in same spot. Home side won both UNCG-ETSU games this season; Buccaneers are 5-4 vs Greensboro in SoCon tilts. Spartans won 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 9-5 vs teams ranked in top 200. ETSU lost four of last seven games overall; only one But played more than 30:00 in a fairly easy win Sunday. UNCG beat Wofford 56-55 in semis, rallying from down 6 with 11:54 left and surviving an 8-28 day on arc. Only one Spartan played more than 29:00.

Summit tournament, Sioux Falls, SD
South Dakota State beat North Dakota State twice this year, by 7-19 points; Jackrabbits won four of last six series games- teams split pair of Summit tourney meetings in 2015-16. North Dakota State lost six of last eight D-I games; they’re 2-8 this year vs teams ranked in top 200. Bison damn near blew 23-point 2nd half lead last night, but hung on to win by 4. Three Bison played 33:00+- they made 11-21 on arc. SD State won its last nine games; they had yesterday off. Jackrabbits are 19-1 since a 112-103 double OT loss at Colorado on December 15.

Denver is 6-5 vs South Dakota in Summit meetings; teams split pair this year. Pioneers needed double OT to beat Oral Roberts 90-88 last nite- three Denver guys played 45:00+. PG Rosga played all 50:00. Denver won its last five games and eight of last ten; since 2006, they’re 1-5 in second games of conference tourneys. South Dakota won 11 of its last 13 games; they had a bye Sunday. Coyotes didn’t play anyone more than 26:00 in easy win over Neb-Omaha Saturday, so their players should have edge, with Denver playing double overtime late last night.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:20 PM
NCAAB

Monday, March 5

Trend Report

WILLIAM & MARY @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
William & Mary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of William & Mary's last 19 games
College of Charleston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 8 games

BOWLING GREEN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
Bowling Green is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
Central Michigan is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ KENT STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
Kent State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Kent State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

OHIO @ MIAMI-OHIO
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 7 games when playing at home against Ohio

NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
North Dakota State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
North Dakota State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

CLEVELAND STATE @ OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland State's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games

FAIRFIELD @ IONA
Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fairfield's last 6 games when playing Iona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 6 games when playing Fairfield
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iona's last 11 games

AKRON @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Western Michigan's last 11 games when playing Akron

UNC WILMINGTON @ NORTHEASTERN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games
UNC Wilmington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northeastern's last 6 games

SAN FRANCISCO @ GONZAGA
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

EAST TENNESSEE STATE @ UNC GREENSBORO
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Greensboro's last 6 games when playing East Tennessee State

WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE @ WRIGHT STATE
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wright State's last 6 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wright State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

DENVER @ SOUTH DAKOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing South Dakota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Dakota's last 5 games when playing Denver
South Dakota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

BYU @ SAINT MARY'S-CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of BYU's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 6 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing BYU

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:21 PM
West Coast Conference Tournament semifinals betting preview and odds

WCC Player of the Year Jock Landale had 31 points and 13 rebounds in the St. Mary's Gaels' overtime win in Provo, Utah back on December 25th.

The semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament are set and will tip off Monday evening at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas as the upstart San Francisco Dons take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs and the BYU Cougars will face off against the St. Mary's Gaels.

Tournament to be played at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada.

San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13, 140.5)

Seventh-ranked Gonzaga struggled to put away eighth-seeded Loyola Marymount in Saturday's quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament, trailing 40-39 early in the second half and leading by just five with seven minutes to go before recording a 83-69 victory. But coach Mark Few wasn't surprised and expects another tough battle in Monday's semifinals in Las Vegas when the Bulldogs face fourth-seeded San Francisco, which edged Pacific 71-70 in overtime in the quarterfinals.

Gonzaga faces a San Francisco squad that lost by just nine points (82-73) in Spokane in the last meeting - trailing by three points with three minutes to go. The Zags bounced back from a sluggish first half that saw them score just 29 points to shoot 79.4 percent (19-of-24) from the floor after intermission and 61.2 percent for the game against Loyola Marymount in the quarterfinals. Killian Tillie led the way with 24 points and was 5-of-5 from 3-point range while senior forward Johnathan Williams, who leads the team in both scoring (13.8) and rebounding (8.1), finished with 20 points and 10 rebounds.

The Dons rode the backcourt of Jordan Ratinho and Frankie Ferrari into the semifinals as the duo combined for 37 points and made 8-of-16 from 3-point range. Ferrari, who leads the team in scoring (11.4), finished with 17 points and eight assists and hit a key 3-pointer near the end of regulation to get the Dons into overtime while Ratinho, who is third in scoring (10.8), finished with a game-high 20 points and sank a 3-pointer to start OT - a lead USF never relinquished. Freshman guard Souley Boum (11.2), who had 22 points in a 75-65 home loss to the Zags on Jan. 13, and senior forward Chase Foster (10.2) also average in double figures for the Dons.

BETTING STATS:

http://i65.tinypic.com/2tz5e.jpg

BETTING ACTION AND MOVEMENT:

The pointspread opened with Gonzaga installed as lofty 13-point favorites and the total set at 140.5. As of Monday morning neither number has moved despite 79 percent of the pointspread action on Covers siding with the Zags.

MATCHUP CHART:

http://i64.tinypic.com/2u3z8zo.jpg

TRENDS:

* Dons are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win.
* Bulldogs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. West Coast.
* Over is 7-2 in Dons' last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs' last 4 neutral site games.
* Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.




Brigham Young Cougars vs. St. Mary's Gaels (-5, 136.5)

No. 20 Saint Mary's nearly saw it's NCAA Tournament bubble burst in Saturday's West Coast Conference tournament quarterfinals in Las Vegas, needing to rally from a 15-point first half deficit to edge No. 10 seed Pepperdine 69-66. The second-seeded Gaels now move on to a semifinal matchup Monday with third-seed BYU, an 85-79 winner over San Diego, with seventh-ranked Gonzaga likely looming in Tuesday night's championship final.

BYU will be trying to snap a five-game losing streak to the Gaels, including a 74-64 overtime loss at home on Dec. 30. The Cougars will also be trying to avenge a 81-50 loss to Saint Mary's in last year's WCC Tourney semifinals. The one-two punch of junior guard Elijah Bryant (17.9 points, 6.4 rebounds) and sophomore forward Yoeli Childs (17.5, 8.7), who combined for 49 points in the quarterfinal win over San Diego, lead the Cougars with sophomore guard TJ Haws (12.0) also averaging in double figures.

Pepperdine, which finished its injury-plagued season with a measly 6-26 record, sent jaws dropping by jumping out to a 19-4 lead on the Gaels and led 62-57 with 4:17 to go. But forward Calvin Hermanson came to the rescue, sinking three consecutive 3-pointers over a two-minute span. WCC Player of the Year Jock Landale, a 6-11 senior center who is averaging a league-leading 21.3 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, presents a big problem for a lot of teams but has been especially troublesome for BYU. Landale had 31 points and 13 rebounds in the overtime win in Provo and finished with 32 points and 14 boards in a 75-62 victory over the Cougars on Jan. 25 at home.

BETTING STATS:

http://i66.tinypic.com/23jq0sw.jpg

BETTING ACTION AND MOVEMENT:

St. Mary's opened as 5.5-point favorites Sunday evening and, despite having 77 percent of the Covers pointspread action on their side, that number was dropped to -5 on Monday morning. The total hit betting boards at 136.5 and has yet to move.

MATCHUP CHART:

http://i67.tinypic.com/ogxts7.jpg

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
* Gaels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. West Coast.
* Over is 6-1 in Cougars' last 7 overall.
* Under is 37-14 in Gaels' last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 02:48 PM
Doc's Picks

NBA Lakers +2

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 03:30 PM
National Sports Service

CBB St. Mary's -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:04 PM
Profit On Sports

NBA Cavs over 220

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:05 PM
Monster Sports Picks

CBB Gonzaga over 140

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:05 PM
Elite Sports Picks

NBA Magic +10

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:05 PM
Top Rank Sports Picks

CBB N. Illinois +6.5

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:06 PM
Insider Sports Report

NBA Bulls under 216.5

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:06 PM
The Sports Consensus

CBB Gonzaga -12.5

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 04:07 PM
Primetime Sports Picks

CBB Ohio +3

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:58 PM
Jimmy Boyd Mar 05 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls +7½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on Bulls +
I'm recommending grabbing the points here with Chicago at home against the Celtics on Monday. I just feel Boston is getting way to much respect on the road given the circumstances of this game. For starters, the Celtics will be without one of the best players in the entire game in point guard Kyrie Irving. While Boston is a deep team, Irving is the guy that makes this an elite level team.
I think resting him against Chicago really speaks volumes to how little respect this Boston team has for the Bulls. I wouldn't be surprised if the guys who do suit up have a hard time bringing the kind of energy needed to basically win by double-digits on the road. Keep in mind this was already going to be a tough spot for Boston off that huge game Saturday at Houston. One in which they blew a late lead. Those heartbreaking losses in big games are difficult to bounce back from. So while some will just expect the Celtics to return their previous post-All-Star form, I think they come out flat and wouldn't be shocked if the lost this game outright.
Celtics have also struggled to cover when coming off a very high-scoring game. They are just 4-15 ATS in their last 19 after a game in which they combined for 235 or more points (combined for 243 with Houston). Boston is also just 4-14 ATS in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 years when facing a bad team that's being outscored by 3+ points/game. Take Chicago!

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:58 PM
Totals Guru Mar 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 39m
NBA | Suns vs Heat
Play on: OVER 218½ -107

Free Total Annihilator On Suns vs Heat over 218½ -107

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:59 PM
Larry Ness Mar 05 '18, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -9½ -115 at BMaker

My 1* Free Play is on the Utah Jazz (9:05 EST).
Utah is 33-30 and it comes in having won two in a row. The Jazz are now two games out of a playoff spot after beating the Kings 98-91 in their latest action.
Orlando though looks poised for a letdown here after two straight wins, most recently pulling away for a 107-100 victory against the Grizzlies. All five starters shot above 50 percent and each finished in double digits.
The Jazz stumbled out of the All Star break, but with victories over the Mavericks and Kings, Utah looks ready for one last run to end the year. Rookie Donovan Mitchell had 27 points, five boards and five assists in his team’s win over Sacramento.
The Magic have been a disaster in this spot for bettors for a long time though, going just 17-35 ATS in their last 52 following a straight up win, while the Jazz have been “money in the bank” by going 22-12 ATS in their last 34 against poor defensive teams which allow 106-plus points per night.
I think the Jazz take advantage of this opportunity and pull away late. Consider the home side in this one.
Good luck…Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:59 PM
Mike Williams Mar 05 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 224½ -105

1* on Blazers vs Lakers over 224½ -105

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:59 PM
Doc's Sports Mar 05 '18, 11:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | BYU vs St. Mary's
Play on: BYU +5½ -110 at betonline

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #733 BYU over St Mary’s (11:30p.m., Monday March 5 ESPN 2) It is time for the Cougars to show their worth and break the St Mary’s – Gonzaga logjam in the finals of the WCC Conference Tournament. Sooner or later BYU is going to beat Saint Mary’s and now is the time for that to happen. BYU must win the next two games in order to reach the NCAA Tournament and they have confidence coming off a hard-fought victory over San Diego last time out. St Mary is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Monday card featuring NBA, NHL, and College Hoops Conference Tournament action. Sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 06:59 PM
Marc Lawrence Mar 05 '18, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Jazz
Play on: Magic +10½ -110 at betonline

Play - Orlando Magic (Game 711).
Edges - Magic: 8-2 ATS as double-digit road dogs this season… Jazz: 1-7 ATS L8 games overall. With the Magic looking to avenge a 125-85 clobbering at home earlier this season in this season, we recommend a 1* play on Orlando. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc’s smoking hot hand on the college hardwood rolls on Monday night with another Conference Tourney Killer Play in a NEVER LOST winning situation. Hurry, get it now - don’t miss out!

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:00 PM
Dana Lane Mar 05 '18, 10:05 PM in 3h
NHL | Islanders vs Canucks
Play on: UNDER 6 +101

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:00 PM
Bobby Conn Mar 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 39m
NBA | Suns vs Heat
Play on: OVER 218½ -107

1* Free Play on Suns/Heat over 218½ -107

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:00 PM
Dave Price Mar 05 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers +2½ -110 at MyBookie

Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Lakers +2.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are playing great since trading for Isaiah Thomas, especially on offense. The Lakers have scored 111 or more points in 8 consecutive games coming in. They have won 5 straight with 4 of those victories coming on the road. The Lakers will be playing with double revenge after losing their first two meetings this season with the Blazers narrowly by 3 points each. Los Angeles is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 home games. Take Los Angeles.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:00 PM
John Martin Mar 05 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Bulls
Play on: Celtics -7½ -103 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Celtics -7.5
The Boston Celtics have been dominant since the All-Star Break. They got back Marcus Smart to the lineup and have been rolling since. The Celtics are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with all four of their victories coming by 9 points or more. Their only loss was an impressive 120-123 road loss to Houston as 8.5-point underdogs. They led most the way in that game against a Houston team in the midst of a long winning streak. The Celtics should be able to handle the Bulls, who are 3-13 SU & 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Boston is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Chicago, winning all five games by 9 points or more. Give me the Celtics.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:01 PM
Pro Computer Gambler Mar 05 '18, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -9½ -103 at pinnacle

NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, sub .400 teams with at least 50 games in the bag on the season, off a win averaging over 200 total ppg (total in their games) are just 223-303-10 ATS - Fade the Bulls and Magic today.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:01 PM
Dustin Hawkins Mar 05 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls +7½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Bulls +7½ -105

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:01 PM
Stephen Nover Mar 05 '18, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Jazz
Play on: Magic +10 -108 at 5Dimes

Jonathan Isaac is a rookie power forward averaging less than five points a game. But Isaac brings a defensive presence and a spark. He just returned from an injury. The Magic are 10-7 when Isaac plays and 10-36 without him.
There's more than meets the eye to the Magic than their 20-43 record. They have covered 15 of the last 19 times as an underdog, including nine of their last 10 road games. Only twice in their last 12 games has Orlando lost by double-digits. The Magic are a lottery team again. But they are playing hard and finally healthy with center Nikola Vucevic, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier and Isaac all playing. This hasn't been the case for much of the season. Vucevic is averaging 17.3 points in six games since returning from a broken hand. He'll draw the attention of Rudy Gobert. Utah has been hot winning 14 of its last 16 games. The Jazz, though, weren't that sharp in their last game, a 98-91 road win against Sacramento two days ago. They are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. Utah doesn't have the talent level to win by double-digits if not playing well. A non-conference matchup against a bad team isn't likely to be a huge motivation factor for the Jazz. Note, too, that the Magic have covered during their last five visits to Utah. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in the country and is 43-28 on his last 71 premium/free NBA plays. Stephen's Monday card is topped by his NBA Game of the Week.)

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:01 PM
Info Plays Mar 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 39m
NBA | Suns vs Heat
Play on: Heat -9½ +102 at pinnacle

1* Free Play on Heat -9½ +102

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:01 PM
ASA Mar 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 39m
NBA | Suns vs Heat
Play on: Suns +9½ -108 at 5Dimes

ASA PLAY ON: Phoenix Suns (+9.5) over Miami Heat, 7:35PM ET - This line is just too high in our opinion as the Miami Heat have problems winning at home by wide margins. The Heat has the 9th worst home point differential in the NBA at a negative -.7PPG. On the other hand the Suns have been horrible on the road but their average point differential if -7.7PPG which is good enough to get a cover here. In Miami's last nine home games they've only won once by double-digits. Phoenix was recently a +7.5 point dog in New and plus 11 at Utah Orleans and both are playing better than Miami right now. The value is with the ugly Suns tonight! Grab the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:02 PM
Art Aronson Mar 05 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers +2 -107 at 5Dimes

This is a 1* Free Play on the LA Lakers.
LA has won five straight, including four straight on the road. LA plays with revenge here after falling to the Blazers 95-92 on December 23rd. Note that LA is 9-1 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 11-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. Portland has won eight of ten, including six straight, but with a “cream puff” at home against the Knicks tomorrow night, before then welcoming the defending champs to town on Friday, all signs point to the home side avenging the earlier loss in this series (note that the Blazers are just 3-4 ATS this year after playing three consecutive home games.) Consider the LAKERS in this matchup.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:02 PM
Dennis Macklin Mar 05 '18, 9:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Denver vs South Dakota
Play on: South Dakota -11 -103 at pinnacle

DMack's Free Play for Monday, March 5, 2018 is on South Dakota
The teams split in the regular season this year but their roads to the semi-finals was completely different. Denver needed double-OT to dispatch Oral Roberts last night. The Pioneers played three players 45+ minutes with their PG and "best" player playing all 50 minutes. South Dakota walked over Nebraska-Omaha Saturday and had yesterday off. Situatinally, things couldn't be better for the Coyotes who have won 11 of 13 games. South Dakota 84-66.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-05-2018, 07:02 PM
Mike Lundin Mar 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 39m
NBA | Suns vs Heat
Play on: Heat -9 -108 at 5Dimes

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Miami Heat have a solid advantage here when they host the Phoenix Suns Monday night. The Suns will play on no rest after taking a 113-112 loss at Atlanta on Sunday while the Heat have had an extra day of rest since defeating the Pistons by nine here at American Airlines Arena on Saturday.
The Heat are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 13-3 in the last 16 encounters with the Suns here in Miami. Phoenix covered the spread yesterday but is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games following a ATS win.
Miami sits eighth in the East with a a four-game lead over the Pistons in the race for the final postseason berth in the conference. I expect to see a focused Heat side claim this contest by double digits.
My free pick is on Miami Heat.