PDA

View Full Version : Saturday 3-31-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc



Can'tPickAWinner
03-26-2018, 10:39 AM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:36 AM
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #2 - AQUEDUCT - 1:45 PM EASTERN POST
The Videogenic Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $12,500.00 STARTER STAKES $55,000.00 PURSE

#1 PICTURE DAY
#3 ARCHUMYBABY
#5 MY WON LOVE
#6 EXCHANGING SECRETS

Here in the 4th running of this event which is named after multiple graded stakes winner, Videogenic, #1 PICTURE DAY takes a class drop (-6), is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Junior Alvarado and Trainer Linda Rice send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 65% of more than 65% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #3 ARCHUMYBABY has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last three starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:37 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 2

Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3


Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 55 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. ALLOWED 4 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CABALLERO NEGRO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CABALLERO NEGRO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. BABY FOREVER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse.
5
CABALLERO NEGRO
4/1

2/1
1
BABY FOREVER
2/1

7/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
CABALLERO NEGRO
5

4/1
Front-runner
74

41

38.9

38.9

34.4
1
BABY FOREVER
1

2/1
Stalker
51

54

51.2

51.2

45.7
2
FIGHT FOR RAGS
2

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
57

41

56.7

32.2

25.7
4
BOY CUT
4

3/1
Trailer
53

39

39.6

39.6

33.6
3
ESKIMALITA
3

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

5.7

5.7

0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:37 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 94

GULFSTREAM PARK OAKS - GRADE 2 FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, MARCH 18. $2,500 TO ENTER. $250,000 GUARANTEED, WHICH INCLUDES $50,000 FOR REGISTERED FLORIDA-BRED STARTERS TO BE SPLIT 70% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, AND 10% TO THIRD. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 HEAVENHASMYNIKKI 12/1

# 4 CACHE 8/1

# 13 ALTER MOON 30/1

I think about HEAVENHASMYNIKKI in this competition especially at a such a nice price. She has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group. Has to be considered in this contest if only for the very good speed rating recorded in the last race. CACHE - Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. The average class figure of 88 makes this entrant difficult to beat. ALTER MOON - With a solid 90 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Could provide positive gains based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 89.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:38 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Trial - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 86

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. THREE YEAR OLDS.123 LBS; OLDER.126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 DASH QUICK PERRY 2/1

# 3 WILD TYCOON 5/2

# 4 TELLEREYEMATTHEBAR 7/2

My selection for this race is DASH QUICK PERRY. His 93 average has this gelding with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures for this event. This pony has a terrific win percent in shorts. He has formidable class ratings, averaging 98, and has to be given a chance in this race. WILD TYCOON - Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this horse a solid choice. This trainer has done solidly lately with entries racing at this distance and surface. TELLEREYEMATTHEBAR - Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this pony a key contender. This gelding has a good win percent in short races.

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:38 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 WITCHY'S LASTSTAND (ML=2/1)
#4 HERMANS GOLD (ML=8/1)
#7 BRAHMS ROMP (ML=7/2)


WITCHY'S LASTSTAND - This gelding has been running at higher class levels previously. He did win versus better, a $15,000 Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today. The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. This thoroughbred could be tough today, especially since Gonzalez rode last out and now should be familiar with this one. Another way to assign class is EPS (earnings per start). This racer has the highest in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. HERMANS GOLD - This gelding is in fine physical condition. Ended up first on Mar 17th. He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. Recent speed ratings show powerful pattern of improvement. BRAHMS ROMP - You'll be generating money right and left by turning your betting money onto this rider/conditioner combination. Ness brings him back again. I advocate you stick with this live colt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PORT LOUIS (ML=4/1), #3 ZESTY ZAR (ML=5/1), #5 LUCKY KICK (ML=6/1),

PORT LOUIS - In any contest of 7 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in sprint races of late. Doubtful that the speed figure he registered on Mar 10th will be enough in this race. ZESTY ZAR - Don't feel this pony will do much running today. That last rating was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure. LUCKY KICK - Any horse coming out of a route affair should show some speed to clash with the sprinters.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 WITCHY'S LASTSTAND is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:39 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) (.50 Cent Minimum)


Maiden • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $19,100 • Post: 8:15P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FLASHING CANDY: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Horse is a first time starter and its mare's win percentage with first timers is at least 50. APOLLITICO EYE: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20 .
3
FLASHING CANDY
4/1

4/1
5
APOLLITICO EYE
5/2

9/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
PAINT YOUR QUEEN
6

8/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
DASHIN SPECIAL CUZ
7

10/1
Average
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: SYMBOL OF FAITH (6/1) [Jockey: Salazar Jesus - Trainer: Keener Dee], AJK ZOOMIN BEAUTY (20/1) [Jockey: Dow Bobby Lee - Trainer: Triana Alfredo], FLASHING CANDY (4/1) [Jockey: Carter Jr G R - Trainer: Crawford Clinton], SHES SIZ

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:39 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Santa Anita - Race #3 - Post: 1:04pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 WILLISTON DUDE (ML=7/2)
#7 DEFENSE MINISTER (ML=4/1)


WILLISTON DUDE - This gelding is in the top spot in (EPS) earnings per start. Check out this horse in the paddock. The February 18th race at Santa Anita was at a class level of (93). Dropping to a lower class rank significantly, so he should be in a good spot. Glatt gets a break on this horse carrying 10 lbs less than last out. Certainly could make the difference right here in this race. DEFENSE MINISTER - This colt is in nice form. Ran third on Mar 8th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 VEGAS ITCH (ML=9/5), #4 SPEND IT (ML=5/1), #3 LIGHTHOUSE POINT (ML=5/1),

VEGAS ITCH - Would be taking an underlay on this participant at the probable odds of 9/5. SPEND IT - This horse just hasn't looked fit of late. Tough to put any cash on this gelding on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. LIGHTHOUSE POINT - Hasn't been doing anything at all of late. Unlikely that the speed rating he garnered on Mar 8th will hold up in this event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 WILLISTON DUDE to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:40 AM
Loyola-Chicago Ramblers vs. Michigan Wolverines Preview and Predictions 03-31-2018

30th March 2018 by Gracenote
Third-seeded Michigan hopes its historic season culminates in a title game appearance as it faces No. 11 seed Loyola Chicago in the national semifinal on Saturday in San Antonio. The Wolverines, who have won 13 consecutive games - including 10 straight away from home - held off ninth-seeded Florida State 58-54 in the Elite 8 to set a new program record for wins in a season with 32 and hope to reach the national championship game for the second time since 2013.

"I was watching that from my home in Germany and now I'm playing for him (John Beilein) in another Final Four," Michigan forward Moritz Wagner told reporters. "This is a dream come true, it really is, but we're not done yet." Loyola Chicago's miraculous run in the NCAA Tournament continued with a 78-62 win over No. 9 seed Kansas State to reach the Final Four for the first time since 1963. The Ramblers currently own the nation's longest winning streak at 14 games and hope their efficient offense can break down a tenacious Michigan defense, which has held opponents to 59 points per game during the tournament. "I'm not thinking about anything except Michigan and what we're going to do to score because their defense is one of top defenses in the country," Loyola Chicago coach Porter Moser told reporters. "Our focus has been on Michigan and not the other 11 seeds or whether they've gotten to the next game or not."

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT LOYOLA CHICAGO (32-5): Ben Richardson scored a career-high 23 points to go along with six rebounds as the Ramblers held Kansas State to 34.8 percent shooting from the field to become the fourth No. 11 seed in NCAA history to advance to the Final Four. Junior guard Clayton Custer, who is the reigning Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year, earned an honorable mention on the Associated Press All-America Team after averaging 13.2 points and 4.2 assists heading into Saturday's game. Loyola Chicago has dropped two of its three all-time meetings with Michigan, including an 84-80 setback in the 1964 NCAA Tournament.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (32-7): Charles Matthews was named the Most Outstanding Player of the West Region after averaging 16.5 points and 7.3 rebounds in four games, including 17 points and eight boards in the win against Florida State. Wagner, who earned all-tournament team in the West Region honors, added 12 points, six rebounds and two steals despite going 0-for-7 from 3-point range against the Seminoles. Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman, who tallied nine points against Florida State, joined Wagner and Matthews on the all-regional team after averaging 14 points and 4.3 rebounds over four games.

TIP-INS

1. Michigan is 6-1 all-time in national semifinal games.

2. Loyola Chicago is 9-0 on neutral floors this season.

3. The winner will play top-seeded Villanova or Kansas on Monday.

PREDICTION: Michigan 71, Loyola Chicago 65

Can'tPickAWinner
03-31-2018, 07:40 AM
Villanova Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks Preview and Predictions 03-31-2018

30th March 2018 by Gracenote
The NCAA Tournament has been as wild as ever, but there is some stability in San Antonio, as No. 1 seeds Villanova and Kansas square off Saturday in an intriguing Final Four matchup. The teams each have one of the five Wooden Award finalists at point guard, with Villanova's Jalen Brunson and Kansas' Devonte' Graham leading their respective teams into this star-studded clash.

Brunson has guided the Wildcats into the Final Four for the second time in three seasons despite scoring 16 points or fewer in three of the team's first four games in this event and not racking up more than four assists in any NCAA Tournament contest. "The outside thinks about this one-on-one matchup between me and Devonte'," Brunson told reporters. "I just really focus on Villanova versus Kansas." Graham, a senior whose team had lost in the Elite Eight each of the previous two years, has yet to shoot above 40 percent in any of the four tournament games, although fortunately Malik Newman has stepped up to shoulder the scoring load. Newman scored all 13 of the Jayhawks' points in overtime against Duke in the Elite Eight, finishing with a career-high 32 to help Kansas reach the Final Four for the second time since winning the 2008 title.

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT VILLANOVA (34-4): The Wildcats have won their four tournament games by 26, 23, 12 and 12 points, but the Elite Eight win over Texas Tech followed a different formula than the first three games. Villanova shot only 33.3 percent against the Red Raiders and finished with 71 points - well below the team's country-leading average of 86.6 points - and they also shot just 4-of-24 from behind the 3-point line - highly uncharacteristic for a team that shoots 40 percent from long range overall. Mikal Bridges missed all five of his 3-point attempts, ending his streak of 11 straight games with at least three 3s, including 10 contests in which he made at least 40 percent of his shots from beyond the arc.

ABOUT KANSAS (31-7): The Jayhawks have five double-digit scorers on the season - including Graham, who is part of a four-guard attack, and big man Udoka Azubuike, who is rounding into form after missing the Big 12 Tournament with a knee injury. Newman has made 13 3-pointers in the last three games, averaging nearly 26 points per game in that stretch, and Lagerald Vick has been consistent with either 13 or 14 points in all four games of the tournament. Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk notched 11 points, 10 rebounds and five assists against Duke, but the Jayhawks' fate likely will come down to Graham, who had a game-high 17 points two years ago when Kansas was upended by Villanova in the Elite Eight.

TIP-INS

1. Villanova is one win away from tying the school record of 35 set by the 2016 national championship team.

2. Azubuike is shooting 77.2 percent from the field this season - by far the best in the nation.

3. The winner of this game will return to the court for Monday's championship game against either Michigan or Loyola-Chicago.

PREDICTION: Villanova 79, Kansas 73