Saturday 4-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 4:11 PM EASTERN POST
The Excelsior Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#7 CONTROL GROUP
#5 HARLAN PUNCH
#2 DISCREET LOVER
#3 ZANOTTI

For your information folks ... "Excelsior" is Latin for "Upward, ever upward," and is the motto of the state of New York.The race was run at the old Jamaica Racetrack from 1903 to 1910, and then again from 1915 to 1959. In 1913, it was run at Belmont Park. It wasn't run at all in 1909, 1911, 1912, 1914, 1933, and 1967. Since inception, the race has been contested at various distances and as initially a handicap as the race was known as the Excelsior Handicap. Here in the 106th running of this stakes test, #7 CONTROL GROUP, the pace profile leader in this race, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last five outings, winning four times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Kendrick Carmouch has been in his irons on two previous occasions, wimming 'em both, and is back this afternoon here in Ozone Park for his 3rd ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #5 HARLAN PUNCH qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five "adventures," including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his 2nd through his 4th race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
Fonner Park - Race 6

Dinsdale Automotive $5,000 guaranteed Pick 5 Jackpot, .50 min., $4,000 guaranteed payout / Exacta / 50-cent Trifecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)


Claiming $3,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $4,400 • Post: 3:55P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500. RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $3,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. POINT AND FIRE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POINT AND FIRE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MUZZ'EM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMa ster Power Rating.
6
POINT AND FIRE
3/1

7/2
7
MUZZ'EM
6/1

7/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
POINT AND FIRE
6

3/1
Front-runner
75

75

73.4

67.8

61.3
7
MUZZ'EM
7

6/1
Front-runner
76

67

68.6

64.6

60.6
8
CODYS CUPCAKE
8

8/1
Stalker
68

73

62.3

60.4

54.4
5
LOVESMEBACK
5

9/2
Stalker
77

72

60.2

59.4

48.4
3
COUNTRY CONCEITED
3

12/1
Stalker
69

67

45.8

61.6

52.1
4
COWBOY'S MARY L
4

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
67

69

57.8

58.6

49.6
2
HANNAHSLITTLEANGEL
2

10/1
Trailer
67

65

27.4

62.0

47.5
9
MY MAJESTIC
9

8/1
Trailer
74

70

21.6

56.2

40.7
1
VELVET ZIP
1

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

63

48.8

56.8

44.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 82

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 YOUV JUST BEN FOOSED 7/2

# 5 TRIBUTE TO OSCAR (T) 3/1

# 1 HOLLY CAT (T) 2/1

YOUV JUST BEN FOOSED looks formidable to best this field. Will probably be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the race. Could beat this group given the 66 Equibase Speed Fig posted in his last outing. The average class fig of 55 makes this horse tough to beat. TRIBUTE TO OSCAR (T) - Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 68 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group of horses in this race. Must be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last race. HOLLY CAT (T) - Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. Russell will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 2

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


Trial • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 84 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 6:27P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BREDS THAT WHERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * INDOMITABLE IVORY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DASH KAM: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. DOWN AND ZOOMIN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. SHEZA HIGHCLASS GIRL: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. RARE COURAGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating.
4
INDOMITABLE IVORY
9/2

6/1
6
DASH KAM
6/1

7/1
1
DOWN AND ZOOMIN
10/1

7/1
5
SHEZA HIGHCLASS GIRL
10/1

8/1
8
RARE COURAGE
8/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
DOWN AND ZOOMIN
1

10/1
Fast
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
3
OMG HES HOT
3

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
INDOMITABLE IVORY
4

9/2
Average
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
DASH KAM
6

6/1
Average
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
8
RARE COURAGE
8

8/1
Average
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: LYNNDER 16 (5/2) [Jockey: Esqueda Cristian R - Trainer: Olmstead Jason], SHEZA HIGHCLASS GIRL (10/1) [Jockey: Reyes Omar - Trainer: Crawford Clinton], JESS A HARLOW (3/1) [Jockey: Raudales Rolando - Trainer: Eck Jake].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Santa Anita - Race #9 - Post: 4:12pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $1,000,000 Class Rating: 109 Santa Anita Derby (Grade 1)

Rating: Golden Dollar

#6 JUSTIFY (ML=4/5)
#3 BOLT D'ORO (ML=6/5)
#1 INSTILLED REGARD (ML=5/1)
#7 CORE BELIEFS (ML=20/1)


JUSTIFY - Smith is up for another race today after racing atop this animal for the 1st time on Mar 11th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This rider and conditioner have a high win percent together. A campaigner coming back this soon after a solid outing is a good signal. BOLT D'ORO - This colt is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Mar 10th, finishing second. I like the fact that this colt's last rating, 118, is tops in this bunch. INSTILLED REGARD - This colt is almost always in-the-money. Rosario and Hollendorfer perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +20 ROI for a jockey and conditioner. Last ran at Fair Grounds and finished fourth. Reviewing his PP data, I see he was close at the finish line, within five of the winner. CORE BELIEFS - Have to give this colt a good shot. Ran a sharp outing last out within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 CORE BELIEFS to win if we can get at least 15/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20400 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 GONE VIRAL 6/1

# 2 DYNAMIC RULER 5/1

# 11 ISTILLGOTIT 5/1

GONE VIRAL looks very strong to best this field. Had one of the best speed figures of this group of animals in his last race. Has run admirably when moving a dirt sprint race. DYNAMIC RULER - Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 71 speed fig which is one of the top in this field. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest. ISTILLGOTIT - Posted a strong speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #10 - Post: 5:27pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 GRACEE HUNNY (ML=9/2)
#4 TRIGO PADIGO (ML=20/1)


GRACEE HUNNY - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. The last time I saw this horse was at Turf Paradise in a race with an Equibase class figure of 78. Dropping significantly in Equibase class figure today puts her in a solid position in this race. This mare's last fig recorded on Mar 27th is at the top in last race Equibase speed figures. TRIGO PADIGO - Perkins tried her against the males last time out. This should be a good spot. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that positive trend to continue in this race. Have to give this mare a chance. Ran a good outing last out within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WILD FIBS (ML=3/1), #10 SECRET AGENT GIRL (ML=7/2), #9 YUMA THURMAN (ML=4/1),

WILD FIBS - On a downward spiraling series. Equibase speed figs keep declining. The rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. SECRET AGENT GIRL - Earned a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out in a $3,000 Claiming race on March 20th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that number. YUMA THURMAN - A pattern of lessening speed figs 68/55/51 for this horse.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 GRACEE HUNNY is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None