Service Plays Sunday 4/22/18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

NBA

4* Raptors -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

#501 - NBA - 10 units on Boston +5

#502 - NBA - 10 units on Boston & Milwaukee Under 205.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Sunday, April 22

**Boston (+5) over MILWAUKEE

Sunday – 10:05 am Pacific

Milwaukee destroyed Boston in game 3, winning 116-92, but the Celtics are still the better team and there is still significant line value on their side – in addition to being in a very good situation. Boston applies to a 41-8-2 ATS playoff road dog blowout bounce-back situation, as teams that get beaten by 20 points or more tend to play very well in the next game in the series, and teams that win the first two games and then lose game 3 are 26-12 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points in game 4.

Despite the game 3 result I still believe there has been a market overreaction to the injuries to Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart. Both are good players, but veteran big man Al Horford, 2nd-year man Jaylen Brown and rookie Jayson Tatum are the top-3 on the team in plus-minus per 48 minutes and those 3 players have a plus-minus of +12.9 points per 48 minutes playing without Irving and Smart this season (+73 points in 271.2 minutes), including +12 points in 61.8 minutes together in this series (+9.3 points per 48 minutes). The bench isn’t as deep due to those two injuries but the overall adjustment for Irving and Smart being out is just ½ a point.

Milwaukee, meanwhile, has been a below average team since Jabari Parker joined the rotation after missing the first few months of the season. The Bucks have been outscored by 4.6 points per 48 minutes (-76 points in 797.6 minutes) when Parker has been in the game (-12 in the first 3 games of this series) and they’re just 14-20 ATS in the 34 games he’s played in this season, including just 6-14 ATS against teams with a winning record. This is nothing new, as Parker had a plus-minus of -89 points last season while the team was +70 points when he was on the bench. My ratings, based on current rotations, favors Milwaukee by just 1 ½ points and I’ll take the Celtics in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more.



*SAN ANTONIO (+7) over Golden State

Sunday – 12:35 pm Pacific

Golden State has dominated this series so far, winning the first 3 games by an average margin of 16.3 points. However, the Warriors have also enjoyed a significant amount of 3-point shooting variance, as they’ve made 41.1% of their 3-pointers while the Spurs have made an abysmal (and very unlucky) 24.0% from beyond the arc. In 2447 minutes this season without Steph Curry on the floor (equivalent to 51 games) the Warriors have made just 36.0% of their 3-point shots, including 35.8% on 3-pointers when both Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson were in the game. So, the 41.1% is higher than expected against a better than average Spurs’ defense that allowed 1.2% less than their opponent’s combined season average on 3-point shots. The Spurs are only projected to have made 31.3% of their 3-point shots in those first 3 games but making just 20 of 83 long-range shots in this series is still about 16 points of negative variance. The overall variance in 3-pointers and free-throws (the Spurs have made a higher percentage than expected) in the first three games is 27.7 points, or 9.2 points per game. So, the Warriors’ 16.3 average margin in this series would be just 7.1 points if adjusted for variance – and 5.9 points if also adjusted for two of the three games being played in Oakland. This game is being played in San Antonio and while the Spurs may have lost game 3 here, they did have the league’s third best home record this season (San Antonio’s 33-8 regular season home record was 4 games better than Golden State’s 29-12 home record).

While it’s true that teams down 0-3 in the series tend to not play as well and projected, that tendency is more than reflected in this line. Golden State was only favored by 8 points in game 1 at home and now they’re favored by 7 points on the road against a team that has the league’s third-best home record. Had the Warriors won those first 3 games by an average of 7 points, as they would have without the positive variance, there is no way the line on this game would be as high as it is. I get Golden State by just 4 points even after docking the Spurs 2 points for being down 0-3 games in this series (over 25 years teams down 0-3 have been 1.6 points worse than projected). I’ll take San Antonio in a 1-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more (Strong Opinion down to +6 points).

[Standupguy]

@5000wagers
Detroit Tigers
4-0 run

[pascal5757]

Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Sunday, April 22nd


2018 NBA Playoffs on ABC Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Boston/Milwaukee over 204


Please note: due to the discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

NBA Bets Bets
Golden State/San Antonio over 203 1/2
Toronto/Washington over 218 1/2
Cleveland/Indiana under 205

April's NL East Daytime Dominator of the Month!!!!!
New York/Atlanta under 9

MLB Best Bets
San Diego/Arizona over 7 1/2
Cleveland/Baltimore under 7 1/2
Boston/Oakland over 8 1/2
San Francisco/Los Angeles under 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave essler

3* Oakland (+120)


1* Milwaukee. / Boston under 204.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3* Indiana -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

3* Golden State - 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen nover

3* GOY Cleveland +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* San Antonio / Golden State over 203.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Michael

#503 Golden State Warriors -6.5 (3:35 edt) ABC

You saw the first 3 games of this series, just no way the Spurs can hang with the Warriors right now and now add in the turmoil they are experiencing with the whole Leonard situation. Look for the veteran Warriors to be very motivated to close out this series and get healthy before the next round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Raise The Bar
1500♦
Western Conference Lock

For Sunday, Raise The Bar 1500♦ is the Golden State Warriors as the favorite over the San Antonio Spurs. At 10:30 pm eastern time on Saturday, the Warriors are -7 points in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

tiger from philly

celts under 205

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EdwardMLB

Oakland Athletics - Boston Red Sox : Boston -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Johnson Advantage One System

2 Units: (507) Cleveland Cavaliers -1 8:35 PM ET

2 Units: (919) Kansas City Royals +140 1:10 PM ET

2 Units: (906) Milwaukee Brewers -190 2:10 PM ET

2 Units: (910) Colorado Rockies +120 3:10 PM ET

2 Units: (912) Arizona Diamondbacks -156 4:10 PM ET

2 Units: (927) Boston Red Sox -133 4:05 PM ET

2 Units: (929) San Francisco Giants -105 4:05 PM ET

[Istandfortheanthem]

Premium Plays
Paul Leiner:
2500* Over Rockets/Twolves hits last night. Tonight I am back on the Cavs after a brutal loss on Friday. If there was ever a must win game this is it. Thanks and goodluck.


2500* NBA Cavaliers +1
100* NBA Celtics +5
100* MLB Over 9 Brewers/Marlins

[DaleDoback]

Jack Jones

15* MLB Undervalued Underdog Pittsburgh Pirates
20* NBA No-Brainer Cleveland +1
15* NBA Early Annihilator Bucks -4.5

[DaleDoback]

Jimmy Boyd

MLB 4* Diamondbacks
MLB 3* Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller Locks

1:10 PM EST MLB
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS. DETROIT TIGERS
PICK: DETROIT TIGERS -1.5 (+130)
RISK: 11 UNITS

1:35 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK METS VS. ATLANTA BRAVES
PICK: ATLANTA BRAVES -1.5 (+163)
RISK: 11 UNITS

2:15 PM EST MLB
CINCINNATI REDS VS. ST LOUIS CARDINALS
PICK: ST LOUIS CARDINALS -1.5 (+140)
RISK: 11 UNITS

3:08 PM EST NHL
PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS. PHILADELPHIA FLYERS
PICK: PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (+145)
RISK: 11 UNITS

3:38 PM EST NBA
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. SAN ANTONIO SPURS
PICK: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -7 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS

4:05 PM EST MLB
BOSTON RED SOX VS. OAKLAND ATHLETICS
PICK: BOSTON RED SOX (-135)
RISK: 11 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spooky Express;

Big Ray Sports (MLB) - Angels/Giants Under 9

Earl Campbell Sports (NBA) - Toronto Raptors -129 (Moneyline)

Knup Sports (NBA) - Golden State Warriors -6 (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Call

Top *10 Milwaukee Bucks

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Accu Picks

NBA
3* #502 Milwaukee -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Added

1* Padres +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Assassin Sports

(MLB)

Arizona Diamondbacks -140


(NBA)

Over 203 Bucks/Celtics

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports

MLB:
903 3 unit New York Mets +100 List Wheeler vs. Foltynewicz

[GetTheseDimes]

Ferringo
5* Brewers -1.5
1* Brewers ML
1* Cards
1* Az
1* Dodgers -1.5
2* Yanks -1.5 (Gleyber time!!)
2* Tigers -1.5
1* Hou -1.5
1* boston
1* under phil
1* under Cle
2* under SF

[Stu Padasso]

Maddux

#904 - MLB - 10 units on Atlanta -132
#909 - MLB - 10 units on Chicago Cubs -128

[golden contender]

Sunday card led be the 1ST Round NBA Perfect system Play of the year an a 5* total, In MLB We have a Top Play power system play. NHL Comp play below.

The NHL Comp Play is on Nashville at 7:05 eastern. Nashville should end the series here tonight as they are 7-1 in Colorado and have won 10 of 13 on the road if the total is 6 or more. The Predators are 8-2 vs a team that allowed 2 or less goals and 41-19 if they allowed 2 or less goals. Colorado stole one on the road with a comeback win but they are 0-5 off a win and 1-5 after allowing 2 or less goals. Play on the Predators tonight. On Sunday the First Round Game of the Year headlines the NBA Playoff card along with a 5* Total and a Solid MLB Card that includes the Sunday nighter on ESPN. Message or see us on facebook to jump on. For the NHL Free Play. Go with Nashville. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

4* Under 9 Red Sox / Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB 8u: 915 TOR+205 1st 5. TOR+210gm. TOR O 4 1st 5. TOR O 8gm. 918 BAL+215 1st 5. BAl+220gm. 919 KC+145 1st 5 KC+150gm KC U 4.5 1st 5 KC U 8.5gm

11th: MLB 8u: 904 ATL-.5 1st 5+130. ATL-1.5+170gm. 907 CIN+135 1st 5. CIN+140gm. CIN O 7.5. 926 TEX+105 1st 5. TEX+110gm.

11th: MLB 8u: 930 LAA-111 1st 5. LAA-106gm. LAA-.5 1st 5+150. LAA-1.5gm+190.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Basketball today Perfect Play Warriors

Baseball today Inner Circle Braves.

[swaminator]

PUNTER MLB 10-1 run

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Cleveland Indians @ Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles hitters were easily dealt with by Mike Clevinger last start, and its tough to see how they fare any better against Corey Kluber in this one. The 2017 Americans League Cy Young winner has been almost flawless to start the season and will hope for a similar showing against the Orioles to his last one where he gave up no runs on just three hits. In his last 14 innings at the mound, Kluber has given up just one run while striking out 19 batters. While the Indians offence somewhat snapped its mini-slump there’s simply too much work for them to do to help send this one over the alternate total that we’re investing in. Andrew Cashner has been solid in his outings after a shaky opening and if he can control his pitch count he should help keep the visitors in check here. We’ll invest heavily in this one as we look to start the week with a bang!
Tip: Under 8.5 runs @ $1.67 (Crownbet) (1.5 units)
& Baltimore Orioles TT u/2.5 @ $2.00 (Crownbet) (0.5 units)

Kansas City @ Detroit Tigers
Tip: Detroit Tigers @ $1.66 (Unibet)

Punter Problems MLB multi
St Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
$2.50 (Crownbet)

................
PUNTER nba poffs 2-5 / nhl poffs 9-7
NBA RECORD regular season 62-55 (+4.31 UNITS)
NHL RECORD: regular season 89-52 (+22.76 UNITS)

Celtics v Bucks
Their offence was literally everything it wasn’t in the first two games of this series and they’ll be encouraged by the production they got from their bench this time around.
Boston’s All-Star centre, Al Horford, admitted the atmosphere caught the team a little off guard and it was clear the Bucks’ players fed off the vocal Wisconsin crowd.
That being said, this sort of offensive performance was on the cards for Milwaukee and regardless of the outcome here our data is showing them to score over 104 points here.
Their Game 2 loss was strange to say the least. Yes, they were blown out. But, they did shoot the ball quite efficiently – it was the turnovers that ultimately cost them in that one.
Game 3 gave us the best of their offence and defence, yet they still have up 92 points on 80 field goal attempts despite Boston being the ones who were careless in possession.
Brad Stevens know he doesn’t have the roster to properly execute the kind defence he would like given the plethora of injuries the team currently has. That means he’s willing to allow certain players to have their looks in hopes that they can close down the support from elsewhere.
This approach is a lot easier to execute at home when the building is behind you. It’s not as easy on the road when the opposing bench are being fed the energy that was given to them in Game 3.
John Henson is unlikely to see the court for Milwaukee and while he doesn’t exactly provide the rim protection you need to compete these days, he’s the closest thing they have to it.
Horford will again be pivotal on offence for Boston and with Henson’s length out of the question we should see the former Atlanta man get plenty of touches inside.
That will transpire to plenty of opportunities from beyond the arc as well, and given Horford is one of the best playmakers in his position you can be sure he’ll make the right decision.
If Boston find rhythm early this one will blow past the total and our projections see it doing just that by almost double-digits.
We like the number on offer here and feel bookies are underestimating a lot of factors that simply don’t add up.
Tip: Over 203.5 @ $1.85 (Unibet)

..............
Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Nashville Predators @ Colorado Avalanche
Tip: Under 6.0 goals @ $1.73 (Unibet) (Regulation time)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Colorado (+155)NHL

3* Washington / Dodgers over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XS Sports Sunday Basketball

Saturday (2-3)

NBA Playoffs (16-14) 53%

Milwaukee -5.5 (1pm)

Milwaukee Over 203.5 (1pm)

Golden State -7.5 (3:30pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XS Sports Sunday Top Play Report

Atlanta -131

San Francisco +103

Seattle -129

Philadelphia -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo/Sports Unlimited

4% LA Angels -113

Late Money Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

4% Rockies +121

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hackman

pens -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Winner Sports

* CUBS/ROCKIES OVER 10

* Toronto Raptors -2.5

* Indiana Pacers -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Sports Picks Las Vegas

* Houston Astros/White Sox Over 8

* Nashville/Colorado Under 6

* St Louis Cardinals -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

2000* Double Your Wager

1st Round Mismatch of the Year

Warriors -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim

5% NBA GAME OF MONTH

Celtics

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The machine

Red Sox ML *10 units*

Diamondbacks ML *10 units*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FIRST HALF SPORTS

* Boston Red Sox -130

* Toronto Raptors -2.5

* Astros/White Sox Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass

300 Houston RL

400 AZ Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
4:10 PM ET
MLB
911-912
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
List Lucchesi & Corbin

UNDER 7 (+100)

Bet Size = 5%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Erin Rynning

*20 Toronto Raptors -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
Cleveland -1
over 203

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th hour: MLB 8u: 928 OAK+115 1st 5. OAK+120gm.

[Standupguy]

5000Wagers

warriors/Spurs over 102.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Cleveland (-110) money line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin - CEO

Sunday's Play

The Philadelphia Crew's 50 DIME play is on Indiana at home against Cleveland. The Pacers are +1 at books I've checked in Vegas and offshore as of 9:45 AM Eastern as I put the site live.

NOTE FROM STEVO

Today I turn to a long-time favorite, the Philadelphia Crew, for their 50 Dime Winner # 6 of 7 on Game 4 of the Cleveland-Indiana series.

They're 2-1 so far in the postseason. Thursday I brought you their 50 Dime Winner on Golden State. Friday, however, they lost their 50 Dime play on Boston. But on Saturday they rebounded with a 50 Dime Winner on New Orleans.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jr tipps
Take Toronto-2
Take Pacers-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB 8u: 914 LAD-.5-110 1st 5. LAD-1.5gm+120. LAD O 4 1st 5. LAD O 8gm.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mti

4.5* Cle / Ind under 205

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports
NBA 4/22:

TOR-WAS o217 (-110)
CLE-IND u204.5 (-110)