Thursday 9-13-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 11th September 2018 by Gracenote
Ravens vs. Bengals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/11/2018

Coach John Harbaugh did his best to downplay the notion of revenge as the Baltimore Ravens travel to Paul Brown Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday in an early-season AFC North showdown. Harbaugh maintains that his focus will be on defeating a fierce division opponent rather than facing the club that unceremoniously ended the Ravens' playoff aspirations in 2017 with a last-minute touchdown in the season finale.

"You always want to redeem yourself as best as you can, certainly, but it's not going to factor into who wins the game. It's not going to matter in the outcome," Harbaugh said of a perceived revenge factor. "You still have to play better than your opponent on that day, and that's really what we have to focus on. You could easily get all wrapped up in that and get distracted from what matters, which is going out there Thursday night and playing well." Baltimore certainly played well in its season opener on Sunday, as new Ravens receivers Michael Crabtree, John Brown and Willie Snead each caught a touchdown pass from Joe Flacco in a convincing 47-3 romp over Buffalo. The Bills effectively ended a long postseason drought last year after Cincinnati's Andy Dalton capped a three-touchdown performance by tossing a 49-yard scoring strike to Tyler Boyd in the season finale against Baltimore. The 30-year-old Dalton overcame an early interception on Sunday to complete 21 of 28 passes for 243 yards with two touchdowns in a 34-23 season-opening victory over Indianapolis.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Pick. O/U: 44

ABOUT THE RAVENS (1-0): Alex Collins has been plagued by fumbles throughout his brief NFL career, so much so that Harbaugh made it a point to bench the running back after he put the ball on the ground in the second quarter of the opener. "It's always a technique-thing. You can't fumble no matter what. Alex knows that, " Harbaugh said. "... We don't want to turn the ball over - especially fumbles. He knows that. He'll focus on that." Collins joined fellow running backs Javorius "Buck" Allen and Kenneth Dixon by finding the end zone while electric backup quarterback Lamar Jackson added 39 on the ground against the Bills, although Dixon's availability for Thursday's contest is in question as he nurses a knee injury. Baltimore's defense made a statement in the opener, permitting the fewest points and yards (153) in the league while recording six sacks and two turnovers.



ABOUT THE BENGALS (1-0): Coach Marvin Lewis isn't worried about expanding the workload of Joe Mixon, who had 22 carries and collected 149 yards from scrimmage (95 rushing, 54 receiving) on Sunday. "I think (Mixon) can carry it 22 times. The number of receptions (five) he had was good, and they were well-used," Lewis said of the 6-foot-1, 220-pound Mixon. "He got to the right spots in the pass game, and that's important." Mixon's performance drew rave reviews from teammate A.J. Green, who said that the second-year running back belongs in the same class as Los Angeles Rams star Todd Gurley and Pittsburgh Steelers stud Le'Veon Bell. Green, who had six receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown against the Colts on Sunday, was limited to just seven catches for 91 yards total in a pair of games versus the Ravens last season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Cincinnati LB Preston Brown is optimistic he'll play on Thursday despite sustaining an ankle injury in the season opener.

2. Tavon Young became the first Baltimore defensive back in 22 years to record two sacks in a game last week.

3. Bengals LB Nick Vigil, who had a team-high 11 tackles in the opener, posted 10 tackles and an interception in a 20-0 loss to the Ravens on Sept. 10, 2017.

PREDICTION: Ravens 27, Bengals 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Boston College Eagles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Preview and Predictions

NCAAF Previews 11th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/11/2018

Boston College and Wake Forest will try to squeeze in an intriguing ACC opener amid the onset of Hurricane Florence when they meet in North Carolina on Thursday night. The storm, a Category 4 hurricane as the week begins, is expected to start impacting the Winston-Salem area as early as Thursday morning, prompting the teams to move the kickoff up two hours to 5:30 p.m. ET.

"Wake Forest University and the Atlantic Coast Conference office continue to monitor the progress of all weather-related issues as they pertain to athletic events this week," the school said in a statement. "Our top priority is the safety and well being of our student-athletes, coaches, fans and the lives of those in the path of this storm." Both teams will be trying to stay perfect on the young season, and the Eagles are vying for their first 3-0 start since 2007 after routing Massachusetts and Holy Cross by a combined score of 117-35. Star running back AJ Dillon has picked up where he left off from a stellar freshman campaign, rushing for 247 yards and three touchdowns on just 26 carries through the first two games. The Demon Deacons, who won 34-10 at Boston College last year in the conference opener for both teams, rolled past Towson 51-20 last week and is aiming for its third straight 3-0 start.

TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Boston College -5

ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (2-0): Preparing a football team for a long trip into the path of a hurricane and a Thursday night game can make for a different week, but coach Steve Addazio is doing his best to keep his Eagles focused on football. "All these things are in discussion at this point," Addazio said at his weekly press conference while discussing the storm threat. "I'm not exactly privy to the details, but in my mind, I'm going to play a game on Thursday and prepared for anything that may come our way." The rout of Holy Cross last week allowed Addazio to rest many of his starters (Dillon's 149 yards came in less than a quarter), with quarterback Anthony Brown completing his only two passes before giving way to backups.

ABOUT WAKE FOREST (2-0): Wide receiver Greg Dortch was the team's leading receiver as a freshman last year despite playing in just eight games, and he has lit up opponents early in his sophomore campaign, first hauling in 12 catches for 149 yards in a win at Tulane and then scoring three times - twice on punt returns - last week. "I may be biased, I think he's the most exciting player in college football," fellow wide receiver Alex Bachman told reporters. "Every time he touches the ball there's a chance something spectacular is going to happen." The 5-9, 170-pound Dortch has 981 all-purpose yards over his last four games dating back to last season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Demon Deacons freshman QB Sam Hartman has 620 passing yards, four TDs and three interceptions through the first two games.

2. The Eagles produced 598 total yards in the win over Massachusetts and 610 against Holy Cross. Those are the top two total yardage outputs for the team under Addazio.

3. Boston College has won four of its last five games at Wake Forest.

PREDICTION: Boston College 31, Wake Forest 28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 NEWS BOX (ML=8/1)
#4 WILLY I AM (ML=5/2)
#1 BOASTFUL BOY (ML=7/2)


NEWS BOX - I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races around the track since the vacation and should be fit. My pals and I have made cash playing horses with this type of speed. Follow my advice and do the same. I like this entrant. Should be familiar with this class since he ran against the same type last time around the track at Belterra Park. Earnings per start is something that I believe can be a very valuable factor. This mount is ranked numero uno in this bunch. WILLY I AM - He must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on Jul 12th and he looks tough once again. The latest figure of 79 is the top last race rating in the group. 60-65-79 are last three Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again today. BOASTFUL BOY - That last race must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly. This horse coming off a nice contest in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. Have to like the way Brown has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Animal is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 GET BUSY OR DIE (ML=4/1), #2 NUMBERS NEVER LIE (ML=5/1),

GET BUSY OR DIE - The move down the homestretch on August 2nd indicated to me that this horse will have a tough go of it versus this field of tougher competition. Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed rating last time around the track in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 2nd. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. NUMBERS NEVER LIE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance races of late. Not likely to see him doing it this time out either. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to record a better speed figure than last time around the track to be competitive in this dirt sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 NEWS BOX is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9] Box [1,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 1

NO JUGADA


Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $14,700 • Post: 2:45P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ESPLENDOROSA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ESPLENDOROSA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the la st 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
ESPLENDOROSA
2/5

1/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
SENTENCIA
2

4/1
Front-runner
83

60

80.5

63.0

58.0
1
ESPLENDOROSA
1

2/5
Stalker
83

81

83.4

81.4

79.4
3
SALSA N'BEERS
3

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

59

67.8

61.0

56.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:51pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 41

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 LAND RUSH (ML=8/1)
#5 BELLA FOX (ML=3/1)


LAND RUSH - Strong return on investment for this rider and conditioner duo. Aboard this horse on August 4th and Ho is back again in the irons this time. Taking a big class drop in class rating points from her August 4th race at Charles Town. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. BELLA FOX - This filly is in nice condition, having run a good race on Aug 24th, finishing second. This is a fairly classic handicapping angle. Play a campaigner that finished 2nd in a maiden race last time out but finished well clear of the show horse. This filly garnered a strong speed figure of 41 in her last race. That speed figure should be high enough to prove victorious in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SEND US A RAVEN (ML=5/2), #1 CHARITABLE LASS (ML=4/1), #2 BRING ON THE GREY (ML=6/1),

SEND US A RAVEN - Hasn't been on the Charles Town oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. CHARITABLE LASS - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint events in order to play her. BRING ON THE GREY - Charles Town has not been kind to this vulnerable equine. This pony ran a common fig last out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably lose in today's race running that fig.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BELLA FOX - This mount should be your gambling choice today. This filly has posted improving speed figures in her last two events.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #9 LAND RUSH to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 NILE KINGDOM 10/1

# 11 CANNAVARO 4/1

# 13 CALVI 5/2

NILE KINGDOM looks to be a very good contender and could score at a price in here. Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figs of this field in his last competition. The quick return to the track points to a solid effort this time around. This colt is a contender based on his earnings per start in turf sprint races. CANNAVARO - With Centeno getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Should definitely be considered for this event if only for the formidable speed rating posted in the last race. CALVI - Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this group of animals. Win percentage with this jock and trainer combo - 25 percent - strong.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/13/18, GP, Race 5, 4.00 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 23.65, $1 ROI 0.70, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 3 Dramamina 6-1 Jaramillo E Gonzalez Oscar M. JT
099.0494 1 Dalal 3-1 Gonzales J J Delgado Jorge S
096.9580 5 When It's Love 5/2 Zayas E J O'Connell Kathleen C
096.5893 2 Return the Favor 7/2 Maragh R R Maragh Allen FE
096.4500 6 Starof Distinction 15-1 Panici L Bates Larry WL
094.0451 4 Juanandora(b+) 9/2 Medina J C Chavez Jose
092.6884 7 Flashproudwild 20-1 Reyes L Mejia Jaime
092.0162 8 Spanish Exchange 10-1 Mena R Negrete Javier

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
Penn National - Race 8

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $13,600 • Post: 9:10P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FIREY GIZMO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIREY GIZMO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. OWIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
2
FIREY GIZMO
2/1

7/5
7
OWIN
5/2

9/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
FIREY GIZMO
2

2/1
Front-runner
71

61

77.0

59.0

56.5
4
COSACO
5

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

82.5

39.8

30.8
7
OWIN
8

5/2
Trailer
71

54

43.6

55.4

50.9
1
MRMISTAKENIDENTITY
1

3/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

0.0

37.0

27.0
1A
GUNPOWDERANDSMOKE
4

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

53.3

29.8

22.3
6
TWO PUNCH SMART
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

37.8

33.6

24.1
3
KEEP THE WINNINGS
3

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51

28

24.8

26.4

13.9








Unknown Running Style: BILLY O BILLY (8/1) [Jockey: Inirio Maicol J - Trainer: Stites Flint W].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 GLOBAL WARNING 5/1

# 8 DIM SUM 3/1

# 1 DISTORTED SUNRAYS 9/2

GLOBAL WARNING has a very good shot to take this race. With Vickers in the saddle guiding her, this mare should be able to break out quickly in this event. Garnered a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. DIM SUM - Earnings per start in dirt route races is sound for this equine. She has been racing quite well as of late while recording strong Speed Figures. DISTORTED SUNRAYS - Could beat this group of animals given the 62 speed figure recorded in her last outing. Has a very solid shot for this race if you like back class.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
Marlins vs. Mets Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

Mother Nature prevented the Miami Marlins and New York Mets from playing their scheduled doubleheader on Wednesday, with a 5-hour, 35-minute rain delay limiting the struggling National League East clubs to just one game in front of a sparse crowd. The Marlins (57-87) and Mets (66-78) will attempt to squeeze in a single-admission doubleheader on Thursday when they reconvene at Citi Field in New York.

Jay Bruce belted a grand slam and Dominic Smith also went deep to highlight a seven-run sixth inning as New York posted its seventh win in 10 outings this month with a 13-0 romp over Miami on Wednesday. Jeff McNeil recorded his third three-hit performance in four games for the Mets and is 12-for-27 with six runs scored during his last six outings overall. Miami's Derek Dietrich had one of his team's five hits to improve to 14-for-46 versus New York this season while scoring 10 runs. Dietrich has limited experience against Steven Matz and none versus fellow left-hander Jason Vargas, who are expected to pitch in the doubleheader for the Mets opposite right-handers Jeff Brigham and Sandy Alcantara - although neither team has confirmed the order of the pitchers on Thursday.

TV: 3:10 p.m. ET, FS Florida, SNY (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Jeff Brigham (0-1, 9.00 ERA) vs. Mets LH Jason Vargas (5-9, 6.75)

Brigham is patiently biding his time to make his second career start after Mother Nature forced rainouts on back-to-back starts. The 26-year-old allowed three runs, four hits and four walks while striking out two in three innings of a 6-1 loss to Toronto on Sept. 2. Brigham posted a 10-3 mark with a 2.36 ERA in 17 starts over three minor-league levels this season, including 5-2 with a 3.44 in nine turns with Triple-A New Orleans.

Vargas answered a three-start winning streak by getting shredded for five runs on six hits over 3 1/3 innings of an 11-4 setback at the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sept. 4. The 35-year-old allowed two homers in that contest after being taken deep twice in his previous six trips to the mound. Vargas fared significantly better in his previous outing against Miami, scattering two hits and striking out seven across five innings in a 2-0 win on May 21.

WALK-OFFS

1. Miami has seen three games postponed in the last week due to poor weather conditions.

2. New York OF Michael Conforto is 7-for-18 with three homers, six RBIs and five runs scored in his last four contests.

3. Marlins 3B-OF Brian Anderson is 3-for-7 with two runs scored in this series after going 1-for-19 in his previous six games.

PREDICTION: Marlins 3, Mets 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

The Arizona Diamondbacks have very little time to dwell on a crushing setback as they visit the Colorado Rockies on Thursday afternoon for the finale of their four-game series. Arizona was two outs away from drawing within 1 1/2 games of first-place Colorado in the National League West before DJ LeMahieu belted a walk-off, two-run homer in the ninth inning to give the Rockies a 5-4 victory.

Eduardo Escobar and Alex Avila went deep in the setback for the Diamondbacks, who remained four games behind St. Louis for the second wild-card spot in the NL. Escobar has heated up in the high altitude, going 5-for-12 with a blast and three RBIs over the first three games of the series. Nolan Arenado also homered for Colorado as he and LeMahieu both finished with three hits and two RBIs while the team improved to 8-3 this month and maintained its 1 1/2-game division lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers. LeMahieu has recorded multiple hits in six of his last seven contests, going 13-for-29 in that span.

TV: 3:10 p.m. ET, FB-WATCH

PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks RH Clay Buchholz (7-2, 2.01 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (14-7, 2.91)

Buchholz extended his unbeaten streak to five starts on Saturday against Atlanta but was denied a victory for the third straight time despite allowing two runs - one earned - and five hits in 6 1/3 innings. The 34-year-old Texan, who has given up more than two earned runs just twice in his 16 outings, has yielded a total of four runs - three earned - in 34 1/3 frames during his streak. Buchholz, who has suffered both of his losses on the road despite posting a 1.73 ERA over 10 turns, surrendered six runs and seven hits - three homers - over five innings of a loss in his only career start against Colorado on May 26, 2016 while with Boston.

Freeland is riding a seven-start unbeaten streak during which he has recorded five victories, including one against the Dodgers on Saturday in which he allowed one run and four hits over six innings. The 25-year-old native of Denver, who has won each of his last three overall outings, has gone 5-0 in eight turns at home since losing to Arizona on June 10. That setback dropped Freeland to 0-1 in three starts against the Diamondbacks this year and 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA in six career meetings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt has hit safely in 12 of his last 13 games after registering two of his team's four hits on Wednesday.

2. Arenado has recorded two doubles in back-to-back contests and driven in six runs during his four-game streak, leaving him one RBI shy of reaching the century mark for the fourth consecutive season.

3. Escobar, who already has set a career high with 81 RBIs, matched the personal best of 21 homers he hit last year with his blast on Wednesday.

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 4, Rockies 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
Cubs vs. Nationals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

The Chicago Cubs' quick trip back to the nation's capital takes place as their lead in the National League Central has been trimmed to the narrowest of margins. The Cubs will try to preserve their one-game edge over Milwaukee when they face the host Washington Nationals in a makeup game on Thursday.


The Cubs have lost four of their last five - including two of three during a rain-soaked trek to Washington last weekend - to allow the Brewers to carve into their division lead. Chicago's offense has struggled of late, producing a total of 14 runs in those five contests. The Nationals, meanwhile, are looking to match their season high with a sixth consecutive win. Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman and Juan Soto homered in Wednesday's 5-1 win over Philadelphia, keeping the Nationals' slim playoff hopes alive as they sit eight games behind first-place Atlanta in the NL East and trail St. Louis by seven for the second wild card.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NBCS Chicago, MASN2 (Washington)


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (4-5, 3.85 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Joe Ross (2017: 5-3, 5.01)

Montgomery has recorded only one win since June 29 and allowed six runs over 8 1/3 innings in two starts since returning from the disabled list. The 29-year-old gave up two runs over four frames of a loss at Milwaukee in his last outing on Sept. 4. Montgomery has made two relief appearances against the Nationals, allowing one run in 1 2/3 innings.

Ross will be making his first major-league start since July 9, 2017 after recovering from Tommy John surgery. The 25-year-old went 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA in six turns in the minors as he worked his way back. Ross is 0-2 with a 3.44 ERA in three career starts against the Cubs, including his major-league debut in 2015.


WALK-OFFS

1. Soto has hit 19 home runs, tying Mel Ott for third-most by a teenager in major-league history behind teammate Harper (22) and Tony Conigliaro (24).

2. Chicago INF Tommy La Stella has recorded a major league-leading 23 pinch hits, 10 more than the next closest player (Chase Utley, 13).

3. Cubs RHP Brandon Morrow threw a 35-pitch bullpen session Wednesday and hopes to return to game action late next week.


PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Nationals 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
Marlins vs. Mets Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

Mother Nature prevented the Miami Marlins and New York Mets from playing their scheduled doubleheader on Wednesday, with a 5-hour, 35-minute rain delay limiting the struggling National League East clubs to just one game in front of a sparse crowd. The Marlins (57-87) and Mets (66-78) will attempt to squeeze in a single-admission doubleheader on Thursday when they reconvene at Citi Field in New York.

Jay Bruce belted a grand slam and Dominic Smith also went deep to highlight a seven-run sixth inning as New York posted its seventh win in 10 outings this month with a 13-0 romp over Miami on Wednesday. Jeff McNeil recorded his third three-hit performance in four games for the Mets and is 12-for-27 with six runs scored during his last six outings overall. Miami's Derek Dietrich had one of his team's five hits to improve to 14-for-46 versus New York this season while scoring 10 runs. Dietrich has limited experience against Steven Matz and none versus fellow left-hander Jason Vargas, who are expected to pitch in the doubleheader for the Mets against right-handers Jeff Brigham and Sandy Alcantara - although neither team has confirmed the order of the pitchers on Thursday.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, FS Florida, SNY (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 0.75 ERA) vs. Mets LH Steven Matz (5-11, 4.17)

Alcantara has fared well in a pair of major-league starts this season, allowing just one run on six hits over 12 innings to win both outings. The 23-year-old Dominican overcame five walks to pitch five frames in an 8-2 victory over the Mets on June 29 before scattering three hits over seven scoreless innings in a 2-1 triumph versus Philadelphia on Sept. 5. Marlins manager Don Mattingly talked long-term as it relates to Alcantara, telling reporters that "you're talking about a guy who can be a top of the rotation guy."

Matz saw his winless stretch extend to six starts, although he is just 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA with 31 strikeouts in his past four. The 27-year-old looks to get back on track when he faces Miami, against which he picked up the win after allowing one unearned run on three hits while striking out six over 5 1/3 frames of a 5-2 win on July 1. Matz has flustered Starlin Castro (0-for-6, four strikeouts), although J.T. Realmuto is 3-for-7 against him.

WALK-OFFS

1. Miami has seen three games postponed in the last week due to poor weather conditions.

2. New York OF Michael Conforto is 7-for-18 with three homers, six RBIs and five runs scored in his last four contests.

3. Marlins 3B-OF Brian Anderson is 3-for-7 with two runs scored in this series after going 1-for-19 in his previous six games.

PREDICTION: Marlins 4, Mets 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 12th September 2018 by Gracenote
Athletics vs. Orioles Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/12/2018

The red-hot Oakland Athletics only needed to score in one inning en route to a sixth straight victory and now can complete a three-game sweep when they visit the major league-worst Baltimore Orioles in Baltimore on Thursday. The Athletics sent 15 batters to the plate while scoring 10 times in the third inning of Wednesday's 10-0 victory, remaining three games behind first-place Houston in the American League West and climbing within one of the New York Yankees for the first wild-card spot.

Matt Olson belted Oakland's 200th homer of the season - the sixth time in team history that plateau has been reached - on Wednesday and Stephen Piscotty extended his hitting streak to a career-best 13 contests as the club moved 32 games over .500 for the first time since 2003. Brett Anderson is in line to come off the disabled list and start the series finale for the Athletics, who own an 8 1/2-game lead over Tampa Bay for the AL's second wild card, while Baltimore sends Dylan Bundy to the mound. The Orioles, who are 0-5 in the season series, have dropped six straight contests overall and are three losses away from tying the club record of 107 set in 1988. Trey Mancini's single was the only hit recorded on Wednesday by Baltimore, which has scored just 14 runs during its losing streak.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NBCS California (Oakland), MASN (Baltimore)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Brett Anderson (3-4, 4.02 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (7-14, 5.58)

Anderson is expected to make his 14th start of the season after spending a little over two weeks on the DL with nerve irritation in his left arm. The 30-year-old Texan produced three scoreless efforts of at least seven innings over a stretch of four starts before allowing five runs over 2 2/3 frames in his last turn on Aug. 27 at Houston. Adam Jones is 2-for-6 with a double versus Anderson, who is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles.

Bundy has gone 0-5 with a 9.09 ERA in seven starts since the beginning of August after giving up six runs over four innings in a loss at Tampa Bay on Friday. The 25-year-old fourth overall pick in 2011 has not recorded a win since July 29 and has served up a major league-high 37 homers in 27 starts this year. Khris Davis is 3-for-7 with a homer and a double against Bundy, who is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) versus the Athletics.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Athletics are 20-8 against AL East opponents and meet another over the weekend in red-hot Tampa Bay.

2. Baltimore OF D.J. Stewart became the 55th player used by the team this year, eclipsing the club record set in 1955.

3. Oakland 3B Matt Chapman is 3-for-8 with a pair of doubles, two runs scored and four RBIs in the series.

PREDICTION: Athletics 5, Orioles 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

The Boston Red Sox reached the century mark in wins for the fourth time in franchise history due in large part to strong starting pitching and a rather fortunate bounce that allowed Rafael Devers to score the game's only run on a wild pitch. The Red Sox (100-46) aim to continue their mastery of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays (65-80) at Fenway Park on Thursday when they bid for the second sweep of their American League East rivals this year.

Mookie Betts had one of Boston's four hits in Wednesday's 1-0 triumph to improve to 22-for-61 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 17 runs scored versus Toronto this season. The Red Sox, who have won 10 of their last 14 overall to reduce their magic number to secure their third straight AL East title to seven, have emerged victorious in 14 of 18 encounters with the Blue Jays - including a three-game sweep from May 28-30. Yangervis Solarte had two of Toronto's four hits on Wednesday to improve to 3-for-4 in the series, albeit just 11-for-68 with 13 strikeouts against Boston this season. The 31-year-old Solarte aims to net the Blue Jays just their sixth win in 17 outings on Thursday, although he is just 1-for-8 versus Venezuelan countryman Eduardo Rodriguez - Boston's scheduled starter.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, Sportsnet (Toronto), NESN (Boston)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (3-8, 5.25 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (12-4, 3.64)

Gaviglio fell to 1-5 in his past seven outings last Thursday after allowing five runs on six hits over 4 1/3 innings of a 9-4 setback versus Cleveland. The 28-year-old was taken deep twice by the Indians to increase his homer total to seven in his last seven trips to the mound. Gaviglio has faced the Red Sox on four occasions this season, picking up the win after three scoreless innings on May 11 and taking the loss later that month after permitting four runs - including two homers - in a 6-4 setback.

Rodriguez tasted defeat for the first time since June 29 when he yielded five runs on six hits - including two solo homers - over 3 1/3 innings of a 5-3 setback versus Houston on Saturday. The 25-year-old looks to get back on track when he faces Toronto, against which he owns a 2-0 mark with a 2.41 ERA in three starts this season. Rodriguez's most-recent effort against the Blue Jays saw him scatter four hits over 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a no-decision on July 14.

WALK-OFFS

1. Boston SS Xander Bogaerts has nine hits - including two homers - to go along with four RBIs and three runs scored in his last five games.

2. Toronto OF Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-6 with four strikeouts in the series.

3. Red Sox OF Jackie Bradley Jr. has hit safely in five of his last six games overall and is batting .339 in his last 33 contests at Fenway Park.

PREDICTION: Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 12th September 2018 by Gracenote
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/12/2018

The Los Angeles Dodgers are hot on the heels of the Colorado Rockies in the National League West and right behind the St. Louis Cardinals for the second wild card. Winners of five straight division titles, Los Angeles will look to make up ground in both races when they send Clayton Kershaw to the mound for Thursday's opener of a huge four-game series in St. Louis.

The Dodgers have split the first six contests on their 10-game trek after avoiding a series and season sweep with an 8-1 rout at last-place Cincinnati on Wednesday afternoon. Kershaw is unbeaten in his last eight starts, posting a 4-0 record in that span and not allowing more than two earned runs in any outing, but he is only 2-3 with a 3.68 ERA in seven career starts at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals had a three-game winning streak halted with a 4-3 loss versus Pittsburgh on Wednesday but they enter the showdown with Los Angeles just over three weeks removed from posting a three-game sweep at Dodger Stadium. Rookie Austin Gomber certainly doesn't have the pedigree of three-time Cy Young Award winner Kershaw, but he is unbeaten since joining the starting rotation and has allowed nine runs in his last six outings.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportsNet LA (Los Angeles), FS Midwest (St. Louis)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (7-5, 2.42 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Austin Gomber (5-0, 2.93)

Kershaw registered his 12th consecutive quality start at Colorado on Friday, picking up the victory with seven strikeouts in six innings of two-run ball. He has surrendered two earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 16 starts and allowed more than three earned runs just once all season. Kershaw has not faced the Cardinals this season but he has held their collective roster to a .213 batting average.

Gomber spent June and July pitching primarily out of the bullpen, making just one start in that span, but he is 4-0 over his last six turns after allowing three runs and six hits over six innings in a no-decision at Detroit last time out. He faced the Dodgers on Aug. 20 and also did not factor in the decision, permitting two runs over five innings. Gomber has not allowed a home run over his last six starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Dodgers have homered in 20 straight games, their longest streak since moving to L.A. and four shy of the franchise record.

2. Cardinals LF Marcell Ozuna is 14-for-34 with five homers and 11 RBIs during his eight-game hitting streak.

3. Dodgers C Yasmani Grandal was 5-for-11 with a homer, two doubles and four RBIs versus the Reds in the last series.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 3, Cardinals 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
Twins vs. Royals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

Fresh off winning two of three against the New York Yankees, the Minnesota Twins embark on a 10-game road trip that begins Thursday with the opener of a four-game series against the Kansas City Royals. Minnesota, which is 24-47 away from home, also has three-game sets in Detroit and Oakland on its final trek of the campaign.

The Twins posted a 3-1 victory over the Yankees on Wednesday as Jake Odorizzi pitched 7 1/3 hitless innings before allowing Greg Bird's run-scoring double. Veteran Joe Mauer, who recorded two hits for the second straight game, told the Minneapolis Star Tribune earlier in the day that he is considering retirement after the season. "There's a lot that goes into it than just, 'Do you want to play?'" the 35-year-old said. "There's a lot of different dynamics that go into it. I owe it to myself and my family to sit down and think about those things." Kansas City had its seven-game home winning streak come to an end with Wednesday's 4-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox - the team's sixth setback in its last 17 contests.

TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, FS North (Minnesota), FS Kansas City

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins LH Stephen Gonsalves (0-2, 11.68 ERA) vs. Royals RH Heath Fillmyer (2-1, 4.75)

Gonsalves has struggled over his first four major-league appearances, allowing 24 hits and 13 walks in just 12 1/3 innings. The 24-year-old escaped with a no-decision against the Royals in his last turn after giving up five runs and five hits over 2 1/3 frames. Gonsalves has worked more than four innings in just one of his four turns - a five-frame effort in a loss to Oakland on Aug. 25.

Fillmyer was torched for six runs and six hits over 2 1/3 innings of a no-decision against the Twins in his last outing. The 24-year-old also did not factor in the decision against Minnesota on Aug. 3, when he gave up three runs and five hits in three frames. Fillmyer is 2-1 with a 2.54 ERA in seven appearances (six starts) at home.

WALK-OFFS

1. Twins C Mitch Garver departed Wednesday's game shortly after being hit in the mask by a foul tip.

2. Kansas City 2B Adalberto Mondesi went 4-for-5 with two RBIs on Wednesday and has recorded eight multi-hit performances in his last 13 contests.

3. Minnesota 3B Miguel Sano (leg) worked out on the field prior to Wednesday's game and said he is hopeful of playing again this season.

PREDICTION: Royals 5, Twins 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Preview and Predictions 09-13-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 13th September 2018 by Gracenote
Mariners vs. Angels Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/13/2018

The Seattle Mariners' postseason hopes continue to fade and they look to break out of their deep funk when they open a four-game series against the host Los Angeles Angels on Thursday. Seattle has dropped 10 of its last 15 games to fall 9 1/2 games behind the Oakland Athletics for the American League's second wild-card spot.

The Tampa Bay Rays have passed the Mariners in the wild-card hunt as Seattle's fortunes took another hit with Wednesday's 5-4 home loss to the San Diego Padres. Slugger Nelson Cruz bashed his 35th homer into the upper deck at Safeco Field and it also represented his 1,000th career RBI. Los Angeles rolled to an 8-1 victory over the Texas Rangers on Wednesday to win for the sixth time in seven games - a stretch that includes two 1-0 victories and three wins in which it scored eight or more runs. Francisco Arcia went 3-for-4 with two homers and four RBIs and fellow rookie Jose Fernandez went deep for the second straight game after hitting his first career home run Tuesday.

TV: 10:07 p.m. ET, ROOT Sports Northwest (Seattle), FS West (Los Angeles)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners RH Mike Leake (9-9, 4.11 ERA) vs. Angels RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2-2, 6.40)

Leake went 0-5 during an 11-start winless stretch before he defeated the Baltimore Orioles in his last turn, allowing two unearned runs and seven hits over six innings. The 30-year-old was roughed up for 11 runs and 18 hits over 10 1/3 innings in losses to Arizona and Oakland before the sharp turnaround against the Orioles. Leake is 1-3 with a 5.59 ERA in four starts against the Angels this season and 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA in six career turns.

Despaigne is drawing his fourth start since being acquired by the Angels as the club announced it was pushing Matt Shoemaker back a day. The 31-year-old Cuban has been roughed up for 11 runs, 20 hits and eight walks in 12 innings with the team while allowing opposing hitters to bat .370. Despaigne's lone home start since joining Los Angeles came Aug. 27 when he gave up two runs and six hits over four innings in a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mariners 3B Kyle Seager homered Thursday to end a 19-game homerless drought.

2. Los Angeles SS Andrelton Simmons went 3-for-3 with an RBI and two runs scored Wednesday while recording his fourth multi-hit outing in his last six appearances.

3. Seattle SS Jean Segura (illness) has missed two straight games, and LHP James Paxton (fever) didn't travel with the team to Anaheim after Wednesday's contest and isn't expected to make his scheduled Friday start.

PREDICTION: Angels 5, Mariners 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 13


Arizona @ Colorado

Game 951-952
September 13, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Buchholz) 14.839
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-120); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
September 13, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Alcntara) 12.513
NY Mets
(Matz) 17.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 5
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-160); Over

LA Dodgers @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
September 13, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 17.784
St. Louis
(Gomber) 16.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-190); Under

Oakland @ Baltimore

Game 957-958
September 13, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Andrson) 16.718
Baltimore
(Bundy) 11.913
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 5
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-180
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-180); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 959-960
September 13, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Gaviglio) 15.182
Boston
(Rodriguez) 17.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-260
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-260); Under

Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 961-962
September 13, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gonsalves) 14.243
Kansas City
(Fillmyer) 13.048
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Over

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 963-964
September 13, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Leake) 15.621
LA Angels
(Despaigne) 14.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+110); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Washington

Game 965-966
September 13, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 15.011
Washington
(Ross) 16.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+110); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 967-968
September 13, 2018 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Brigham) 14.541
NY Mets
(Vargas) 13.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+140); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (77 - 69) at COLORADO (80 - 65) - 3:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 24-41 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 15-24 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 80-65 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 78-65 (+15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 48-41 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 47-32 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 46-34 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 32-19 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FREELAND is 20-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 11-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 14-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 171-141 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 8-7 (+0.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

KYLE FREELAND vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FREELAND is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.568.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (57 - 87) at NY METS (66 - 78) - 7:10 PM
JEFF BRIGHAM (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
NY METS are 65-78 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 31-42 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 133-148 (-57.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 30-38 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 42-54 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 103-124 (-29.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 25-29 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-8 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

JEFF BRIGHAM vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON VARGAS vs. MIAMI since 1997
VARGAS is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (79 - 67) at ST LOUIS (81 - 65) - 7:15 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 79-67 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 18-22 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 56-49 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 39-25 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-34 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-12 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LA DODGERS are 82-53 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 121-112 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 53-51 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+4.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KERSHAW is 6-9 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.166.
His team's record is 10-11 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-9. (+1.1 units)

AUSTIN GOMBER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GOMBER is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (89 - 57) at BALTIMORE (41 - 104) - 7:05 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 89-57 (+37.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 35-16 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 188-100 (+45.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 43-28 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-10 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 24-14 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-38 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 59-33 (+31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 52-36 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 48-13 (+31.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 23-2 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BALTIMORE is 41-104 (-53.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-45 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-22 (-15.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-46 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 8-29 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-70 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-76 (-42.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-40 (-24.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-60 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUNDY is 1-17 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ANDERSON is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (65 - 80) at BOSTON (100 - 46) - 7:10 PM
SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 65-80 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-47 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 5-23 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 84-106 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 100-46 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 46-18 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 51-20 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 47-19 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 69-37 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 79-32 (+32.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 69-30 (+24.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 154-140 (-48.4 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 14-4 (+7.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. BOSTON since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 3-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (67 - 78) at KANSAS CITY (49 - 96) - 8:15 PM
STEPHEN GONSALVES (L) vs. HEATH FILLMYER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-47 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 64-45 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-5 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 375-390 (+44.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 100-92 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 49-96 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-54 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 304-434 (-117.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 7-8 (+1.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

STEPHEN GONSALVES vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GONSALVES is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 19.31 and a WHIP of 3.433.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

HEATH FILLMYER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
FILLMYER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 15.20 and a WHIP of 3.189.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (79 - 66) at LA ANGELS (73 - 73) - 10:05 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 173-213 (-56.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
LEAKE is 16-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 79-66 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 45-37 (+6.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 38-33 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 19-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 55-40 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 55-43 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 38-26 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LEAKE is 18-10 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 10-3 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 30-37 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 19-23 (-8.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 22-43 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-7 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LEAKE is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (84 - 61) at WASHINGTON (74 - 72) - 4:05 PM
MIKE MONTGOMERY (L) vs. JOE ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1779-1823 (-266.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 458-474 (-94.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 904-908 (-169.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1315-1358 (-205.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
MONTGOMERY is 4-12 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MONTGOMERY is 4-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
WASHINGTON is 74-72 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 55-63 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 29-31 (-17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-28 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-23 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-36 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-41 (-19.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE ROSS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ROSS is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (57 - 87) at NY METS (66 - 78) - 3:10 PM
SANDY ALCANTARA (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-8 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

SANDY ALCANTARA vs. NY METS since 1997
ALCANTARA is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
MATZ is 3-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 13


National League
Diamondbacks (77-69) @ Rockies (80-65)
Buchholz is 2-0, 1.05 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-8, 4-6 away
5-inning record: 11-1-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

Freeland is 5-0, 2.01 in his last seven starts; under is 12-5 in his last 17 starts. Team in his starts: 20-9, 10-2 home
5-inning record: 14-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-29

Arizona lost nine of its last 12 games; five of their last seven games went over. Colorado won eight of its last 11 games; under is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.

Marlins (57-87) @ Mets (66-78)
Alcantara is 2-0, 0.75 in two starts (over 1-1). Team in his starts: 2-0, 0-0 away
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

Brigham allowed three runs in three IP (82 PT) in his first ’18 start. Under 1-0. Team in his starts: 0-1, 0-0 away
5-inning record: 10-14-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26

Matz is 0-1, 2.25 in his last four starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 12-14, 5-8 home
5-inning record: 10-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26

Vargas is 3-1, 3.60 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 5-12, 2-4 home
5-inning record: 6-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-17

Marlins are 3-17 in their last 20 road games; over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 road games. Mets won seven of their last ten games; over is 5-0-2 in their last seven games.

Dodgers (79-67) @ Cardinals (81-65)
Kershaw is 4-0, 2.43 in his last eight starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 12-10, 6-4 away
5-inning record: 14-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-22

Gomber is 4-0, 2.98 in his eight starts (under 4-3-1). Team in his starts: 7-1, 2-0 home
5-inning record: 7-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-8

Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine games; they’re 16-8 in road series openers- under is 9-5 in their last 14 games. St Louis won three of its last four games; they’re 7-0 in last seven home series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

Cubs (84-61) @ Nationals (74-72)
Montgomery is 1-1, 3.20 in his last four starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 7-8, 4-5 road
5-inning record: 6-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Ross is making his first ’18 start; he is 17-13, 3.95 in 45 big league starts, and was 2-1, 2.39 in six AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0 home
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Cubs lost four of their last five games; under is 3-0 in their last three. Washington won its last five games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

American League
A’s (89-57) @ Orioles (41-104)
Anderson is 1-1, 2.15 in his last five starts (under 10-3). Team in his starts: 7-6, 5-4 away
5-inning record: 4-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-13

Bundy is 0-4, 10.27 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 8-19, 4-11 home
5-inning record: 9-14-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27

A’s won eight of their last nine games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Baltimore lost ten of its last 11 games; four of last five Oriole games went over.

Toronto (65-80) @ Boston (100-46)
Gaviglio is 1-4, 5.93 in his last five starts; under is 4-1 in his last five road starts. Team in his starts: 9-9, 4-4 away
5-inning record: 6-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-20

Rodriguez is 3-1, 2.08 in his last five starts (under 5-0). Team in his starts: 17-4, 9-3 home
5-inning record: 13-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27

Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 games, over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Boston won seven of its last nine games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Twins (67-78) @ Royals (49-96)
Gonsalves is 0-2, 13.87 in four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 2-2, 1-0 away
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4

Fillmyer is 1-1, 7.36 in his last four starts (over 6-3-1). Team in his starts: 3-7, 3-3 home
5-inning record: 3-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10

Twins won four of their last six games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. Minnesota is 8-16 in road series openers. Kansas City is 9-2 in its last 11 home games; they won last five home series openers. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Mariners (79-66) @ Angels (73-73)
Leake is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 18-10, 9-5 away
5-inning record: 11-9-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28

Shoemaker is 2-0, 3.45 in his three starts (over 2-1). Team in his starts: 3-0, 0-0 home
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3

Seattle is 5-7 in its last 12 games; six of their last seven games stayed under. Mariners are 13-11 in road series openers. Angels won seven of their last nine games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games. Halos are 13-10 in home series openers.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/11
Ariz 37-25-11……35-24-12……..72-49
Atl 32-29-13…..34-27-10………66-56
Cubs 30-31-13……33-28-10…….63-59
Reds 22-44-5……29-33-11….…51-77
Colo 34-26-14……36-25-11……69-51
LA 36-27-8…….33-29-15……70-56
Miami 24-35-9…..31-30-15…….55-65
Milw 30-34-10…..37-27-8…….67-61
Mets 33-30-8……28-28-16…..61-56
Philly 27-30-16…..35-25-10……62-55
Pitt 31-30-9……34-27-13……..65-57
StL 36-26-13……31-31-8………67-57
SD 22-42-12……25-35-9…….47-77
SF 30-32-15…..27-26-16……57-58
Wash 30-29-13..…31-31-11……61-60

Orioles 19-45-12……21-38-11……40-83
Boston 36-28-14……43-19-7……..79-47
W Sox 24-41-6…..…24-40-11……48-81
Clev 30-29-14……44-19-10……..74-48
Det 25-37-10…..…32-32-14.……57-69
Astros 40-20-15……37-21-14…….77-41
KC 22-41-9…….30-34-10…..52-75
Angels 32-29-15……29-33-8……61-61
Twins 22-41-11……34-32-10…..56-73
NYY 34-24-14……42-23-8………76-46
A’s 27-32-11……34-27-14…..61-59
Sea 34-30-10……32-25-17…….66-53
TB 33-28-13……35-26-9……67-53
Texas 23-38-9…..28-39-8…….51-77
Toronto 19-39-12…24-34-16……43-73

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/11)
Ariz 31-72…….28-72…..…59
Atl 23-73……30-72………53
Cubs 14-73……..23-68……..37
Reds 18-73……..17-75……..35
Colo 23-73…….28-72.…….51
LA 24-70……..27-76..…..51
Miami 14-68……..21-75…….35
Milw 26-73…..…28-74…….54
Mets 27-71……..22-73……49
Philly 18-73……..22-71…..40
Pitt 16-70……..21-76…….37
StL 25-75……..21-70…….46
SD 20-77……..19-69…….39
SF 16-75………21-72..…..37
Wash 25-72……..22-73…….47

Orioles 21-76……..20-69……..41
Boston 19-75……28-70………47
White Sox 19-70……21-74…….40
Clev 20-72…….29-72……..49
Detroit 24-72……..21-75….…45
Astros 21-74…..…17-72………38
KC 16-72..…….23-72…….39
Angels 20-74…..….18-70…….38
Twins 16-71………15-73…….31
NYY 18-73……..29-72………47
A’s 18-72…..…..23-75…….41
Seattle 28-72………23-74…….51
TB 22-74..……22-69…….44
Texas 11-70……20-74…….…31
Toronto 18-70………16-74….….34

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 74-69 NL, favorites -$513
AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
Total: 143-130 NL, favorites -$295

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 13

Trend Report

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 18 games
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games
Colorado is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Colorado is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona


Miami Marlins
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
New York Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Mets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


Miami Marlins
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
New York Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Mets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 15 games on the road
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Baltimore is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Baltimore is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland


Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Toronto is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Toronto is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games on the road
Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Boston is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto


Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
LA Dodgers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
LA Dodgers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 13

http://i65.tinypic.com/nlzh9g.jpg
http://i63.tinypic.com/353b595.jpg
http://i64.tinypic.com/34pza4o.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 0) - 9/13/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 3

Trend Report

Thursday, September 13

Boston College @ Wake Forest
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest

Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston College

Tennessee Tech @ Utah State
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah State's last 13 games
Utah State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 3
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 13

BOSTON COLLEGE at WAKE FOREST...Road team has won outright last four meetings in series. Last eight "under" in series.
"Under" and BC, based on team, series, and "totals" trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3


Thursday, September 13

Boston College @ Wake Forest

Game 103-104
September 13, 2018 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
98.173
Wake Forest
94.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 3 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 6
54
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+6); Under

Tennessee Tech @ Utah State

Game 211-212
September 13, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
39.128
Utah State
90.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 51
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 42 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-42 1/2); Over

Robert Morris @ James Madison

Game 867-868
September 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Robert Morris
31.232
James Madison
93.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
James Madison
by 62
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
James Madison
by 29 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(-29 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Notable College Football games canceled due to Hurricane Florence:

ECU @ VTech
Elon @ W&M
Tenn St @ Hampton
UCF @ UNC
WVU @ NC St
S. Miss @ App St
Colgate @ Furman
Marshall @ S Car.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 3


Thursday’s games
Road team won last four Boston College-Wake Forest games, with average total of 29.5 in those games; Eagles won last two visits here, 17-14/23-17. BC scored 117 points in beating couple of stiffs to open season; they’ve goto 10 starters back on offense. Under Addazio, Eagles are 4-5 as road favorites. Deacons won first two games; they needed OT to win at Tulane- they’re -3 in turnovers this year. Under Clawson, Wake is 8-4-1 as a home underdog. Both teams have lot of experience on OL. This is last game of 3-game suspension for Wake QB Hinton. Unsure if weather will be a factor with tropical storm looming; kickoff was moved up two hours.

Old Dominion beat Charlotte last three years, 6-0/52-17/37-34; since going I-A, Monarchs are 5-2 vs spread as road favorites. OSU lost its first two games this year, giving up 1,080 yards in losses to Liberty (52-10), FIU (28-20). Charlotte got waxed 45-9 at home by Appalachian State LW; ASU outgained them, 343-203. Since going I-A, 49ers are 5-8-1 as home underdogs. Both teams are in early stages of building a I-A program.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Opening Line Report - Week 2
Joe Williams

After an exciting opening week of the NFL regular season, we have a little bit of information to try and determine which teams to back, which teams to fade, etc. However, it isn't until a full month or so where we get a much better sample size. One team now could be world beaters at home, but then hit the road and look like a completely different team. There were a couple of teams to open with emphatic road victories, and their number in the home opener in Week 2 might be a bit inflated, providing value for the underdogs.

Looking back at Week 1, the Baltimore Ravens routed the Buffalo Bills by a 47-3 score, so bettors will likely overrate the Ravens based on their one result, while writing off the Bills. The Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, New York Jets and Tampa Bay Buccaneers scored huge road wins, so the public is likely to get behind them after impressive wins. It's just one win, though. Don't get crazy and look at some past trends in the series as well as a little common sense.

Thursday, Sept. 13

Baltimore Ravens (-1, 44) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Ravens opened as high as -3 at BetOnline.ag offshore, and mostly -1 to -1.5 at the Vegas books. At the Wynn, it opened with Baltimore -1.5 and quickly moved to a pick 'em in less than 24 hours. Apparently the sharps aren't terribly impressed by Baltimore's 47-3 whitewashing of Buffalo. Cincinnati also opened with a solid 34-23 road win at Indianapolis.

These teams split last season, with the Ravens winning 20-0 at Paul Brown Stadium on Sept. 10, 2017 as a 2 1/2-point underdog, while the Bengals returned to the favor on New Year's Eve by a 31-27 count as an eight-point underdog. The Bengals lost two of their three divisional games at home last season, going 2-1 ATS. The 'over' also cashed in each of Cincinnati's past four against AFC North opponents.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, September 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (1 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 0) - 9/13/2018, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Thursday, September 13

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games
Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 13

BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI (FOX, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Cincy has covered 6 of last 9 meetings, though Raves were 5-2-1 vs. line away LY and won 20-0 at Paul Brown. Harbaugh also 7-1 vs. line last 8 as AFC North visitor. Balt also “over” 13-7-1 since late 2016.
Tech Edge: Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Thursday, September 13

Baltimore @ Cincinnati

Game 101-102
September 13, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
139.074
Cincinnati
130.059
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 9
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 1
44
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Thursday
Ravens (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0)— Cincy scored late TD in season finale LY to beat Ravens 31-27 and knock Baltimore out of playoffs; Bengals won seven of last nine series games, five of last six played here- Ravens lost 20-0 here LY. Ravens were dominant in 47-3 win in their opener, but Buffalo doesn’t have a competent QB. Bengals were outgained 380-330 in their win at Indy LW; their defense was stout in red zone (only 10 points/3 drives), and they put game away with scoop/score in last minute. Last four years, Ravens are 19-13 SU on road, 15-15-2 vs spread- they’re 7-1-1 vs spread in AFC North road games the last three years. Last five years, Bengals are 24-14-2 vs spread at home, 9-6 in divisional games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Be careful not to overreact to these results when betting the NFL Week 2 odds
Steve Paul

Is Ryan Fitzpatrick the best QB in the NFL? Are the Buffalo Bills the worst team in NFL history? Those might seem like crazy questions (at least the first one does…) but if you could only base your answer on Week 1, I think is “yes” to both.

As usual early in the season, we’re left trying to decide what’s real and what’s not as we look forward to Week 2. Let’s talk generally about regression before diving into some more specific situations.

Regression to the mean sounds straightforward but is easy to miss. The idea is simple, after an extreme performance the next one will generally be closer to the average. Once you learn about it, you see it everywhere.

Throw a pick 6 - maybe on your first ever NFL throw? The very next throw is likely to be better. Put up an MVP season and get put on the cover of Madden? Next season is likely to be worse. The smaller the sample or bigger the outlier, the more regression you can expect (I’m looking at you Ryan Fitzpatrick).

Now let’s size up some of the outliers from Week 1 and what to expect in Week 2.

Big winners/losers in Week 1

Five teams won by more than 10 points in Week 1: should we expect their good play to continue? History would suggest not so much. Since 2002, teams that win by 10 or more points in Week 1 are just 60-58 straight up and 54-58-6 ATS in Week 2.

Similarly, the big losers tend to perform better in Week 2. They’re only 51-66 straight up – teams that lose by 10-plus tend to be below average teams – but 57-56-4 ATS.

The takeaway: don’t let one performance drastically affect your Week 2 projections for a team.

Offensive explosions and defensive stalwarts

We saw a number of offenses go crazy in Week 1, perhaps most impressively the Ryan Fitzpatrick-led Bucs. Again, these teams have a history of coming back to earth in Week 2. Since 2002, teams who scored 35 points or more in Week 1 averaged just 22.3 points in Week 2 - versus 18.8 points for teams scoring 10 points or fewer in Week 1. Those teams putting up a lot of points are better offenses, just not nearly as much as it might at first appear.

What about the great/terrible defensive performances? I’m thinking you see the trend by now. The “great” Week 1 defenses are better than the terrible ones, but only by about three points. Don’t make the mistake of completely ignoring a one-game sample, but be careful how far you move your projections.

Potential overreactions

The total for the Chargers at Bills matchup has dropped from 44.5 to 43 after the Bills’ disastrous opening game. With Josh Allen starting at QB, we have a likely regression candidate against an explosive Chargers offense and a Bolts defense that struggled in Week 1. Put me down for the Over.

The Cardinals at Rams total has dropped two points to 45 and the line has moved to -13 after Arizona struggled in Week 1. We saw Oakland move the ball well versus the Rams before Derek Carr’s second-half implosion, and I’m willing to bet David Johnson & Co. rebound a bit after a slow start.

One move that’s warranted based on Week 1 is the Chiefs-Steelers total going up three points, from 49.5 to 52.5. For those players we don’t have much of a sample on (Pat Mahomes and James Conner for example), we should be willing to adjust more. Both looked great in Week 1, and Kansas City confirmed that its defense is as bad or worse than we expected it to be after 2017. Unless this number skyrockets out of control, I won’t be going anywhere near the Under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TNF - Ravens at Bengals
Tony Mejia

Baltimore at Cincinnati (PK, 44.5), 8:20 pm ET, NFLN

Since the Steelers and Browns delivered a Week 1 tie, the winner of Thursday’s contest will have a 2-0 record and sole possession of the AFC North lead. A leg up on everyone else doesn’t hurt, even this early in the game.

So, who do you like? Take your pick. The line is telling you to.

The Ravens are expected to do more this season after making it through the preseason healthier than they’ve entered a season in years, while the Bengals were identified as a team that would likely continue to take a step back after finishing under .500 in consecutive seasons for only the second time in Marvin Lewis’ 15-year tenure.

His 16th season opened with a victory in Indianapolis, so with a new defensive coordinator in the highly regarded Teryl Austin and Bill Lazor back for a second season to run the offense, there’s a sense of optimism in place entering a Thursday night home opener against a Baltimore team that it has enjoyed tremendous success against over the years, winning seven of the last eight meetings.

The Ravens led Buffalo 40-0 before finally surrendering a field goal in Week 1’s most lopsided contest, so if nothing else, the degree of difficulty increases here given the road atmosphere and the improved opposition. John Harbaugh is also working with a new defensive coordinator since Dean Pees elected to retire only to change his mind a few weeks later, joining Tennessee in the same capacity.

Linebackers coach Don Martindale was promoted after being on staff since 2012, so there’s plenty of continuity in place. Baltimore’s defense didn’t allow a single first down until the second half and gave up 10 all game, limiting the Bills to 153 yards and a 2-for-15 showing on third down. They picked off a pair of Nathan Peterman passes and sacked Buffalo’s quarterbacks six times. Any way you slice it, the Ravens benefited from facing the NFL’s worst offense, but they’ve been doing a lot of winning so far in 2018.

Ironically, the Ravens’ 2017 campaign ended on Dec. 31 at the hands of the Bengals, who played spoiler and dashed their rival’s playoff aspirations with a Week 17 upset. Andy Dalton hit Tyler Boyd for a 49-yard score in the final minute to produce a 31-27 upset after an Eric Weddle interception was called back due to defensive pass interference. After Joe Flacco failed to engineer a desperate comeback, fans in Baltimore watched their team walk off the field and into the offseason dejected and demoralized.

Baltimore went a perfect 5-0 in the preseason, winning the Hall of Fame game way back on Aug. 2 and defeating its opposition by a combined 55 points. While exhibition games are meaningless, winning them all suggests that they have superior depth, remained focused and practiced like pros.

To his credit, John Harbaugh saw the makings of this potential revival early, quickly stating that this group was putting together one of the most impressive training camps he’d ever seen. Combined with the fact they stayed healthy after seemingly being cursed with one season-ending injury after another before Week 1 over the past few years, the fact they looked so sharp in the 47-3 rout of Buffalo wasn’t entirely about how awful the Bills were.

Over nine months after last running into the Bengals, the Ravens visit them in Cincinnati and won’t have to deal with public enemy No. 1 in Vontaze Burfict. Cincy’s standout linebacker and defensive leader is serving the second of a four-game suspension for a PED violation, so while we may see a brawl or a late hit in what’s been a consistently emotional and nasty rivalry, one of the usual suspects won’t be the instigator.

Without Burfict, the Bengals were carved up in Indianapolis despite the fact that they put the game away by clamping down in the final quarter, scoring the last 17 points and putting the exclamation point on a comeback win by taking a Jack Doyle fumble 83 yards on a scoop-and-score from young safety Clayton Fejedelem. Cincinnati intercepted Andrew Luck once too but struggled to get off the field on third down, surrendering conversions on 11-of-17 chance to get off the field. If Flacco is able to replicate that on Thursday, it’s bound to be a long night for the home team, which sacked Luck only twice and gave up 380 yards of offense.

Austin should get better results as the season unfolds and Burfict returns, but he’s working with most of the same guys that have been on board with the Bengals over the past few years, losing only CB Adam ‘Pacman’ Jones and DT Chris Smith from last year’s group.

Flacco is working with a lot of new faces thanks to a revamped receiving corps and has immediately taken to the group, tossing touchdown passes to Michael Crabtree, John Brown and Willie Snead against the Bills.

Cincinnati’s best offensive option remains All-Pro wideout A.J. Green, who was fed six times for 92 yards by Dalton against the Colts but fumbled twice, losing possession once. With last year’s No. 1 pick, John Ross, finally healthy and tight end Tyler Eifert having returned from a season-long back issue, Dalton has a lot of talented weapons to work with. Boyd is back too, while RB Joe Mixon looks stronger after an uneven rookie season and came up with a game-high 149 yards on 22 touches against the Colts, emerging as a valuable, productive threat with the second-most productive game of his young career. Former starter Giovanni Bernard only got one carry and one catch as a result but has plenty of experience going up against the Ravens over the years, owning two career touchdowns against them.

Baltimore is hoping for the type of defensive effort it got in its last visit to Paul Brown Stadium, where it pulled off a 20-0 shutout in the 2017 season opener. The Ravens turned Dalton over five times, intercepting him on four occasions in addition to forcing a fumble. Dalton rebounded and threw for 222 yards and three scores in Week 17 despite an off game from Green.

Flacco has a 19-to-23 touchdown-to-interception ration against the Bengals over his career, completing just 60 percent of his passes in contributing to his team’s recent struggles over a rival he originally won six of his first nine games against before this recent 3-8 run. He’s only won in two of his last nine visits to Paul Brown Stadium.

While the Ravens are hoping to start 2-0 for the third straight season, Cincinnati opened 0-3 last year and hasn’t opened with consecutive victories since 2015, part of an 8-0 run that helped yield its last division title.

Baltimore Ravens
Season win total: 8.5 (Over -120, Under +100)
Odds to win AFC North: 3/1 to 9/4
Odds to win AFC: 20/1 to 20/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 25/1 to 20/1

Cincinnati Bengals
Season win total: 7 (Over -135, Under +115)
Odds to win AFC North: 10/1 to 5/1
Odds to win AFC: 40/1 to 40/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 80/1 to 40/1

LINE MOVEMENT

The Ravens beat up the Bills and Pittsburgh tied Cleveland as the Le'Veon Bell saga dragged on into another week, so the Westgate LV Superbook eased up on its stance on the AFC North favorite. Pittsburgh (4/5) is still favored to win the AFC North but the Ravens have moved all the way up from the 4/1 they opened at. Cincinnati also got a bump, moving up from the 10/1 to win the AFC North that they were at all offseason prior to Week 1

The Bengals were one of the four biggest longshots to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl when odds were released, right there with the Jets, Bills and Browns. After taking down the Colts in Indianapolis, they have now moved way up. New York (60/1) and Cleveland (80/1) also saw odds improve. Buffalo moved to 1,000/1.

As far as this matchup is concerned, the Ravens opened the week favored by one point at most shops (1.5 at the Wynn) but the Bengals moved to a 1-point chalk themselves in many places too. There are a lot of pick'ems out there (Westgate, Wynn) but William Hill has the Ravens favored by 1 while the Mirage and a few online books have Cincinnati laying a point. The total opened at 44, climbed to 44.5 at most places and now has 45 widely available at many shops.

Shop away for a point or take a stab at the money line since Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are at -105/-110 depending on where you look. Team totals for both are available in the 21.5/22 range.

INJURY CONCERNS

Burfict is suspended for Cincinnati, while Baltimore is without corner Jimmy Smith for the first four games and won't have Maurice Canady to help the cause since he's been ruled out with a thigh injury.

Baltimore will also be without DT Willie Henry (abdominal) and put veteran RB Kenneth Dixon on IR after he suffered a knee injury against the Bills. Alex Collins and Buck Allen should capably handle the workload to anchor the ground game.

The Bengals may be missing LB Preston Brown (ankle), who came up with the interception of Luck in Week 1 in his first game since signing a one-year deal after leaving Buffalo.

RECENT MEETINGS (Cincinnati 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS last eight; UNDER 6-4)

12/31/17 Cincinnati 31-27 at Baltimore (CIN +8, 40)
9/10/17 Baltimore 20-0 at Cincinnati (BAL +2.5, 41.5)
1/1/17 Cincinnati 27-10 vs. Baltimore (CIN +2.5, 40.5)
11/27/16 Baltimore 19-14 vs. Cincinnati (BAL -3.5, 41.5)
1/3/16 Cincinnati 24-16 vs. Baltimore (BAL +9.5, 41.5)
9/27/15 Cincinnati 28-24 at Baltimore (CIN +2.5, 44.5)
10/26/14 Cincinnati 27-24 vs. Baltimore (CIN +3, 44.5)
9/7/14 Cincinnati 23-16 at Baltimore (CIN +2, 43)
12/29/13 Cincinnati 34-17 vs. Baltimore (CIN -7, 43)
11/10/13 Baltimore 20-17 (OT) vs. Cincinnati (BAL -2, 44)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 3 currently has the Ravens as a 5.5-point road favorite against Denver. The Bengals will be on the road in Carolina and have been made a 4.5-point underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Football WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Sports Lock Club MLB LOS ANGELES ANGELS ‑105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Sports Capper MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

First Half Sports MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Odds & News MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/COLORADO ROCKIES ‑120 u10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock MLB OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Investment Picks MLB WASHINGTON NATIONALS +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals NFL BALTIMORE RAVENS/CINCINNATI BENGALS u44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Shelf Sports Pick MLB OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Winner Sports MLB LOS ANGELES ANGELS ‑105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins NCAA Football NORTH CAROLINA‑CHARLOTTE 49ERS +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brand X Sports NCAA Football NORTH CAROLINA‑CHARLOTTE 49ERS +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MVP Lock Club MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑1.5 ‑135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Picks 2 Play MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wise Guy Insider MLB CHICAGO CUBS ‑125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pinnacle Sports Picks MLB MINNESOTA TWINS ‑105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIY Sports Betting Systems MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DONNY ACTION NFL CINCINNATI BENGALS +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports NFL BALTIMORE RAVENS +1 ‑105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Sep 13 '18, 3:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Marlins vs Mets
Play on: Marlins +167 at YouWager

1* on Marlins +167

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Sep 13 '18, 4:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Charlotte
Play on: Old Dominion -2 -107 at GTBets

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Old Dominion -2
A lot was expected of Old Dominion this season because of their 16 returning starters. But they are off to a disappointing 0-2 start with losses to Liberty and FIU. I think this is a circle the wagons type of game for them as they cannot afford to fall to 0-3. But now they play a Charlotte team they should handle. It’s a Charlotte team that is 2-12 dating back to last season. They beat Fordham in their opener but were then crushed 9-45 by Appalachian State despite playing at home last week. The fact of the matter is that ODU is the more talented of these two teams. They have won their last three meetings with Charlotte and basically have to just win this game to cover now. The Monarchs are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on turf. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine September games. The 49ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Give me Old Dominion.

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Jack Jones Sep 13 '18, 4:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Cubs vs Nationals
Play on: Cubs -124 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Chicago Cubs -124
The Chicago Cubs are now just one game ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL Central lead. They need wins more than the Nationals, who are eight games back of the Braves in the NL East and realistically have nothing to play for despite their current five-game winning streak, which is too little too late.
I’ll gladly back Mike Montgomery, who is 4-4 with a 3.32 ERA in 15 starts this season. He’ll be opposed by Joe Ross, who is making his first start back from Tommy John surgery and will certainly be on a pitch count. He has 0-2 in three career starts against the Cubs. The Nationals are 0-3 in those starts.
The Cubs are 15-3 when revenging a one-run loss against an opponent this season. Chicago is 72-34 in its last 106 games following a loss. Bet the Cubs Thursday.

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Scott Rickenbach Sep 13 '18, 4:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Cubs vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals +117 at BetPhoenix

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #966 Thursday Free Pick Washington Nationals Money Line (+) vs Chicago Cubs @ 4:05 ET - The Cubs have lost 4 of their last 5 games while the surging Nationals have won 5 straight. Also, Chicago starter Mike Montgomery has not looked the same since returning from the disabled list. Montgomery has allowed 10 hits and walked 4 in just 8 and 1/3 innings spanning his last two starts. The southpaw is facing a Washington lineup that is surging with confidence as they've scored an average of 6 runs per game their last 8 games. Nats starter Joe Ross looked good in his short stint versus the Cubs on Friday but the game got called due to weather before he completed his 2nd inning of work. Ross has good recent history versus Chicago as he has held the Cubs to just 4 earned runs in 13 and 1/3 innings spanning his last two starts against them. This is excellent home dog value as Ross has a "live arm" right now while Montgomery is "scuffling" a bit on the mound since he came back from the DL. With the hotter team at home and getting plus money this is a great value spot. Free Pick WASHINGTON money line Thursday

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Bobby Conn Sep 13 '18, 5:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Boston College vs Wake Forest
Play on: UNDER 54 -115

1* Free Play on Boston College/Wake Forest under 54 -115

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Cole Faxon Sep 13 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | A's vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +170 at MyBookie

FREE PLAY on Orioles +170

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Jimmy Boyd Sep 13 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | OAK vs BAL
Play on: UNDER 9 +100

1* Free Pick on Orioles/A's UNDER 9
The total has been set too high for Thursday's matchup between the A's and Orioles. Oakland defeated Baltimore 10-0 on Wednesday and that sets up a very profitable situation. The UNDER is 13-4 in the Orioles last 17 home games when they are revenging a loss where they scored 1 or fewer runs.
Offense has been tough to come by for Baltimore of late. They are averaging just 2.7 runs/game over their last 7 and chances are they will continue to struggle against A's starter Brett Anderson, who has a 2.60 ERA and 0.807 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Anderson last took the mound on Aug. 27 and that sets up another profitable situation for the total, as the UNDER is 6-0-1 in Anderson's last 7 starts when he's throwing on 16 or more days of rest.
Key here is the Orioles have a starter who can keep Oakland from going off. Baltimore will send out Dylan Bunny, who despite the poor numbers this season is someone who has the talent to be a good starter. He's allowed 3 runs in 6 innings of work in each of his first two career starts against the A's and the UNDER is 5-1 in Bundy's last 6 starts after Baltimore scored 2 runs or less in their last game. Take the UNDER!

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Doug Upstone Sep 13 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | A's vs Orioles
Play on: A's -179 at YouWager

On Thursday night in baseball, Play On AL favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like OAKLAND, scoring 4.4 to 4.9 runs/game, against an AL starter whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.70, after a win by four runs or more. In the past 21 years, teams like the A's are 43-7, 86.0 percent.

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Dustin Hawkins Sep 13 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | A's vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +170 at MyBookie

Free Play on Orioles +170

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Mike Lundin Sep 13 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | TOR vs BOS
Play on: UNDER 9 -105

+$11,238 SINCE AUG 29 ~ MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH TODAY!
The Boston Red Sox scored the game's only run on a wild pitch to beat the Blue Jays Wednesday night. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair here with Toronto right-hander Sam Gaviglio (3-8, 5.25 ERA) and Boston left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (12-4, 3.64) taking the mound.
Gaviglio has compiled a 3.95 ERA in his four games against the Red Sox this year while Rodriguez is 2-0 behind a 2.41 in three starts against Toronto on the season.
Under is 14-6-1 in Red Sox last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing record and under is 8-1 in Rodriguez's last nine starts vs. Blue Jays.
Free pick on UNDER.

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Brandon Lee Sep 13 '18, 8:15 PM in 6h
MLB | Twins vs Royals
Play on: Royals +105 at GTBets

10* FREE MLB PICK (Royals +105)
I'll take my chances here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Twins on Thursday. The Royals will send out Heath Fillmyer, who has been outstanding at home for KC this season. Fillmyer has a 2.75 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in 6 home starts. Minnesota on the other hand will turn to Stephen Gonsalves, who has found life difficult at the big league level. Gonsalves made his MLB debut on 8/20 and has an awful 11.68 ERA and 3.00 WHIP in 4 starts. He's allowed at least 4 runs in all 4 starts and has yet to complete more than 5 innings. Twins are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games and the Royals are 8-1 in their last 9 at home vs a team with a losing record. Give me Kansas City +105!

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Sal Michaels Sep 13 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
NFL | Ravens vs Bengals
Play on: Bengals +1 -110 at Bovada

Free Play on Bengals +1 -110

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Kenny Walker Sep 13 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
NFL | Ravens vs Bengals
Play on: UNDER 45 -110

Free Pick on under

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Mark Wilson Sep 13 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
NFL | Ravens vs Bengals
Play on: Bengals +1½ -105 at MyBookie

Free Play on Bengals +1½ -105

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Timothy Black Sep 13 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
NFL | Ravens vs Bengals
Play on: Bengals +1½ -105 at MyBookie

1* Free Play
Although Thursday night's play doesn't meet my criteria of a premium play, there is still value on the home town Bengals if you're looking to wager the stand alone NFL game. This line is an over reaction to the Ravens' blowout of the Bills in Week 1. These are two evenly matched division rivals, with the edge to the Bengals playing at home on a short week. Looking at recent meetings, the Bengals have won 4 straight at home against the Ravens, while covering 3 of the 4. The Bengals are also 9-4 ATS over the last 13 games played in Cincinnati.

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 MLB Free Pick

Miami vs. NY Mets, 09/13/2018 19:10 EDT

Total: -115/+7½ Over

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Fp: marlins bats have been up and down all season and the Mets have given little to no run support to go along with there lights outs pitching . 8 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick !

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Doc's Picks

CFB Wake Forest un. 56

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National Sports Service

MLB Arizona +125

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Top Rank Sports Picks

MLB Royals over 9.5

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Primetime Sports Picks

NFL Bengals under 45

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Insider Sports Report

MLB Rockies under 10

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The Sports Consensus

MLB Cards under 7.5

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Profit On Sports

MLB Cards +1.5 +110

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Elite Sports Picks

MLB Cubs -125