Friday 10-5-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
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College Basketball
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NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Indians vs. Astros Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

Two former Cy Young Award winners who finished the regular season strong prepare to face dangerous lineups when the Cleveland Indians visit the Houston Astros on Friday for Game 1 of the American League Division Series. Cleveland's Corey Kluber was unbeaten in his last six starts and went 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA against Houston this year while Justin Verlander gave up four runs across 33 innings in September for the Astros.

The Indians eased to their third straight AL Central title, stringing three 90 plus-win seasons together (91 in 2018) for the first time since 1999-2001, and defending World Series champion Houston set a franchise record with 103 victories. "They have an outstanding ball club," Cleveland outfielder-second baseman Jason Kipnis told the Plain Dealer. ". ... I think it's going to be one of the most evenly matched series in the first round. In terms of pitching staffs, we line up with them. In terms of lineup we line up with them. It's going to be a lot of fun." Indians shortstop Francisco Lindor launched 38 homers in the regular season, but went 3-for-31 against the Astros, while Cleveland slugger Edwin Encarnacion was 9-for-26 versus Houston with two of his 32 blasts. Jose Altuve, who batted .300 for the fifth straight year (.315, 2018), was a robust 15-for-32 against the Indians during the regular season and Alex Bregman went 8-for-31 with two of his career-best 31 homers.

TV: 2:05 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Corey Kluber (20-7, 2.89 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52)

Kluber did not pitch well in the playoffs last season, giving up nine runs over 6 1/3 innings, but was outstanding in 2016 during the Indians' run to the World Series (4-1, 1.83 ERA). The 32-year-old Alabama native won his final four decisions in the regular season, recording a 2.80 ERA during that six-game stretch to reach 20 victories for the first time and strike out at 200 for the fifth straight year (222, 2018). Marwin Gonzalez is 9-for-20 with a pair of homers versus Kluber, who is 6-3 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 career appearances (nine starts) against Houston.

Verlander went 3-0 with a 1.09 ERA in five September starts after struggling a bit in August while registering a 5.29 ERA in six outings. The 35-year-old Virginia native, who struck out a career high 290 batters this season without facing the Indians, went 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA during Houston's run to the World title in 2017 and is 11-6 with a 3.07 ERA lifetime in the postseason. Jose Ramirez is 11-for-27 with three doubles and two homers against Verlander, who is 4-7 with a 2.84 ERA at home this season while giving up 19 of his 28 homers at Minute Maid Park.

WALK-OFFS

1. Houston 1B Yuli Gurriel, who batted .291 this season overall, was 23-for-56 with 15 RBIs while hitting safely in 13 of his last 14 contests.

2. Cleveland LF Michael Brantley ended the regular season with a nine-game hitting streak and batted .341 in September to finish at .309 overall.

3. The Indians lost four of the first five in the season series this year - two of three at Houston - but scored 18 runs in winning the last two in late May.

PREDICTION: Indians 4, Astros 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Yankees vs. Red Sox Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Boston Red Sox set a franchise record for wins during the regular season and ran away with the American League East, but the New York Yankees will not be intimidated. The bitter rivals will meet in the postseason for the first time since 2004 when the Yankees visit the Red Sox for Game 1 of the American League Division Series on Friday.

New York won 100 games during the regular season but still needed to survive the one-game wild card playoff on Wednesday, beating the Oakland Athletics 7-2 to earn a trip to Fenway Park. "I think they can't wait," Yankees manager Aaron Boone told reporters of his players. "I think they're ready and relish the opportunity to go up against the game's best this year. And obviously we're very familiar with them. We know how good they are. I mean, we know we have to play our best if we're going to have a chance to beat them." Boston (108-54), which will start ace Chris Sale opposite New York lefty J.A. Happ in Game 1, led the majors in runs scored (876) and batting average (.268) behind MVP candidates Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez but is most concerned with keeping the opposing offense off the scoreboard. "We have to keep them in the ballpark," Red Sox manager Alex Cora told reporters. "That's the most important thing. I think from top to bottom they can hit the ball out of the ballpark. It's a tough lineup. Like I've been saying, there's heat maps. There's red and there's blue. We have to pitch to blue. If we do that, we're going to be in good shape."

TV: 7:32 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH J.A. Happ (17-6, 3.65 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (12-4, 2.11)

Happ went 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA in 11 starts after being acquired from the Toronto Blue Jays and closed strong with a 1.86 ERA in five September outings. The Northwestern product went 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA in four starts against Boston this season but was not as effective at Fenway Park, where he surrendered nine runs - four earned - and nine hits over 9 2/3 total innings. Happ last pitched in the postseason with the Blue Jays in 2016 and is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA in 10 career playoff games - three starts.

Sale spent September trying to build up his pitch count and strengthen his shoulder after two trips to the disabled list and struggled in his last two outings, allowing a total of five runs and nine hits across eight innings. The Florida native made his postseason debut in 2017 and struggled in two appearances - one start - against Houston in the ALDS, going 0-2 while surrendering nine runs and 13 hits - four homers - over 9 2/3 total innings. Sale had little trouble against the Yankees in 2018 and struck out 19 while yielding one run in 13 innings over two starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. New York set a major league record for home runs during the regular season (267) and added two more in Wednesday's wild card win.

2. The Red Sox will start LHP David Price in Game 2 and RHP Rick Porcello in Game 3 while the Yankees counter with RHP Masahiro Tanaka in Game 2 and have yet to announce a Game 3 starter.

3. Boston lost in the Division Series in each of its last two trips to the postseason and is 1-6 in seven playoff games since winning the 2013 World Series.

PREDICTION: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Rockies vs. Brewers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

The Milwaukee Brewers look to continue their scorching-hot play when they host the Colorado Rockies on Friday for Game 2 of the best-of-five National League Division Series. Mike Moustakas delivered a walk-off single in Thursday's 3-2, 10-inning victory as Milwaukee posted its ninth straight victory and 24th in 31 contests.

Leading NL MVP candidate Christian Yelich hit a two-run homer and scored the winning run after the Brewers let a 2-0 lead slip away in the ninth inning. "Obviously, we would have liked to win in that situation, but you regroup as a team," Yelich told reporters. "You kind of take a deep breath. 'All right, now we've just got to find a way to push one across.' And we were able to do that and just came up with a huge hit. That's been the theme of our team all year." The Rockies recorded just one hit over the first eight innings before forging a tie, and manager Bud Black saw the rally as something on which to build entering Game 2. "That's sort of the characteristic of this group, that they play hard," Black told reporters after the contest. "I know it's overplayed a little bit, but this group truly plays hard, and it's awesome. It's awesome to see."

TV: 4:15 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (7-9, 4.55 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.50)

Anderson wasn't a lock to receive a postseason start until he scattered four hits over 7 2/3 scoreless innings against Washington on Sunday to snap a 13-start winless streak during which he went 0-6. "I went through some struggles, but everyone does at some point or another," Anderson said in his press conference. "I was just happy that I was healthy, and I knew if I felt good and I stayed healthy and strong, I could find a way to fix it." The 28-year-old Anderson was torched for seven runs and seven hits - three homers - over four innings in a loss to Milwaukee on Aug. 4 and is 1-2 with an 8.59 ERA in three career matchups.

Chacin pitched in Monday's tiebreaker game against the Chicago Cubs and allowed one run on one hit - a homer - in 5 2/3 innings before departing. The 30-year-old is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies and termed it a blessing to pitch in the postseason against the organization for which he pitched from 2009-14. "Pretty much all the guys there are all my friends still, and pretty much all the coaches, too," Chacin said in his press conference. "It's special that I'm going to have the opportunity to pitch against them in the postseason, just happy that I'm going to have a chance to pitch against the Colorado Rockies."

WALK-OFFS

1. Yelich reached base four times - homer, single and two walks - and stole a base in his postseason debut on Thursday.

2. Colorado SS Trevor Story struck out three times in four hitless at-bats in the series opener after batting .333 with seven homers and 18 RBIs in seven regular-season games against Milwaukee.

3. Moustakas has registered six home runs and 16 RBIs in 32 career postseason contests.

PREDICTION: Rockies 5, Brewers 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Braves vs. Dodgers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

The Los Angeles Dodgers led the National League and finished second in the majors in homers this season, and they enter Game 2 of the NL Division Series at home Friday against the Atlanta Braves after an impressive power display in the series opener. The Dodgers slugged homers in each of the first two innings to build a four-run lead and finished the night with three blasts, as the defending NL champions posted a 6-0 victory over Atlanta in Game 1 on Thursday.

The Braves are in the playoffs for the first time in five years and have to quickly forget a forgettable start from ace Mike Foltynewicz, who allowed a leadoff homer to Joc Pederson in the first before a hit batsman and walk set up Max Muncy's three-run shot with two outs in the second. Los Angeles, an overwhelming favorite to win the series and advance to the NL Championship Series, never was threatened as starter Hyun-Jin Ryu pitched seven innings and saved the Dodgers' bullpen. Enrique Hernandez added a solo homer as the Dodgers, who finished the regular season with 235 homers, have belted 31 in their past 16 games. About the only positive for the Braves was the performance of left-handers Sean Newcomb and Max Fried, who combined to strike out three and allow one hit in 3 1/3 scoreless innings after Foltynewicz lasted just two innings.

TV: 9:37 p.m. ET, FS1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 2.83 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (9-5, 2.73)

Sanchez makes his eighth career postseason appearance (seventh start), continuing a remarkable season in which he was signed by the Braves in spring training and recovered from a hamstring injury to help anchor Atlanta's youthful rotation. The 34-year-old, who is 2-4 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in the playoffs, held left-handed batters to a .191 average in the regular season and went 5-2 with a 2.67 ERA in 13 road starts. Sanchez went 1-1 in two starts against the Dodgers, giving up two runs on three hits in 5 1/3 innings at Los Angeles to get the win on June 9.

Some were surprised when the Dodgers started Hyun-Jin Ryu in the series opener, but even though Kershaw allowed three runs or more three times in six starts in September, he finished the month 3-0 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. The 30-year-old makes his 20th career postseason start, and in 24 overall games is 7-7 with a 4.35 ERA with 139 strikeouts in 122 innings. Kershaw beat the Braves in his only start against them in 2018, striking out eight with no walks and one run allowed in 7 2/3 innings on July 27 in Atlanta.

WALK-OFFS

1. Muncy, who hit five homers in 96 games across two seasons in Oakland, belted 35 this season and has three homers and nine RBIs in his past four games.

2. Atlanta 1B Freddie Freeman, the only position player left from the 2013 playoff team, singled in the first inning of Game 1.

3. Dodgers RHP Walker Buehler - who won the NL West tiebreaker Monday - will start Game 3 in Atlanta on Sunday, while the Braves have not announced a starter.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 3, Braves 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in NHL

NHL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

Two Metropolitan Division rivals return to the ice less than 24 hours after participating in overtime contests when the Carolina Hurricanes visit the Columbus Blue Jackets on Friday. Carolina forced the extra session in its season opener on Thursday but dropped a 2-1 decision at home to the New York Islanders while Columbus began its campaign with a 3-2 triumph in Detroit.

Jordan Staal earned a point for the Hurricanes by scoring with 1:35 remaining in the third period, but Petr Mrazek allowed a goal 43 seconds into overtime as the team came up short in Rod Brind'Amour's coaching debut. Carolina registered 46 shots in the setback as each of its 18 skaters recorded at least one, with 2018 second overall draft pick Andrei Svechnikov notching three in his NHL debut. Artemi Panarin was the hero in Columbus' victory as he helped set up Cam Atkinson's power-play goal in the first period before scoring 2:11 into overtime. The 26-year-old Russian led the Blue Jackets in tallies (27), assists (55) and points last season, setting career highs in the latter two categories in his first campaign with the club.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NHL Network, FS Carolinas, FS Ohio (Columbus)

ABOUT THE HURRICANES (0-0-1): Svechnikov saw 11 minutes, 48 seconds of ice time on 18 shifts against New York as the 18-year-old was one of six players to appear in their first game with Carolina. Another was defenseman Dougie Hamilton, who recorded an assist after being acquired along with Micheal Ferland from Calgary in June. Veteran Justin Williams, who has missed a total of three games over his last seven seasons, began his tenure as team captain on Thursday and posted a plus-1 rating in nearly 19 minutes of action.

ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (1-0-0): Atkinson scored in his fifth consecutive season opener, becoming the 11th player in NHL history to accomplish the feat while coming within one of the record set by Detroit's Mud Bruneteau from 1940-45 and matched by Montreal's Yvan Cournoyer from 1973-78. Anthony Duclair, who was signed to a one-year contract in July after splitting last season between Arizona and Chicago, recorded an assist and a plus-1 rating in his team debut on Thursday. Defenseman Zach Werenski led Columbus in the season opener with seven shots while Brandon Dubinsky notched an assist and went 12-4 on faceoffs.

OVERTIME

1. Blue Jackets G Sergei Bobrovsky is expected to start on Friday after Joonas Korpisalo made 18 saves in the season-opening victory.

2. Hurricanes G Curtis McElhinney, who posted a 26-33-8 record and two shutouts with the Blue Jackets from 2013-17, may make his team debut after being claimed off waivers from Toronto on Tuesday.

3. Columbus D Scott Harrington (upper-body) began the season on injured reserve after being injured in a preseason game on Sept. 28.

PREDICTION: Blue Jackets 4, Hurricanes 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

San Jose Sharks vs. Los Angeles Kings Preview and Predictions 10-05-2018 in NHL

NHL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Sharks vs. Kings Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The San Jose Sharks will try to shrug off a dull effort with their shiny new toy Friday night when they visit the Los Angeles Kings, who play their season opener. San Jose lost to Anaheim 5-2 on Wednesday night, kicking off a campaign filled with high expectations as two-time Norris Trophy winning defenseman Erik Karlsson was a minus-2 in his club debut.

"We did a lot of good things," Sharks coach Peter DeBoer told reporters. "The result wasn't there, and I know everyone is disappointed. Everyone wants to start out with a great win in front of our home crowd. We did a lot of good things, but obviously there are some areas we need to clean up too. It's that time of year. You get to know your team. ..." Los Angeles' roster features nine players 30 years or older after the signing of Ilya Kovalchuk, 35, who scored 417 goals in the NHL from 2001-2013 before scoring 138 over the last five-plus seasons in the Kontinental Hockey League. "He really wants to win," Kings president Luc Robitaille told the Los Angeles Times about Kovalchuk, who is 18th all-time at 0.51 goals per game. "That's very important. He has an opportunity to be one of the few guys in sports that can be in the triple gold club (having won) the world championships, Olympics (gold) and a Stanley Cup. He's hungry to have an opportunity. The hole he's going to fill, he can really help us win. But at the same time, he can be himself and play his game." Kovalchuk skated on a line in preseason centered by Anze Kopitar, a finalist for the 2018 Hart and Selke trophies who recorded career highs of 35 goals and 92 points last season.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, NBCS California (San Jose), FS West (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE SHARKS (0-1-0): Antti Suomela made his NHL debut Wednesday, centering the third line with Evander Kane and Joonas Donskoi on the wings, with Kane scoring San Jose's first goal of the season. Joe Thornton played his first game since Jan. 23 and the 39-year-old, who shaved his signature bushy beard, played 17 minutes, 42 seconds and won 5 of 7 faceoffs. Martin Jones, who is 9-3-2 with a 2.06 goals-against average and .931 save percentage versus the Kings (his former team), is expected to start in goal with DeBoer telling reporters: "You know what, we'll see. I haven't made any decisions yet, but my gut would say, we're going into L.A., I'm assuming he's going to play."

ABOUT THE KINGS (2017-18: 45-29-8): Los Angeles hopes for a healthy season from Jeff Carter (352 career goals), who played only 27 games last season and scored 13 goals after averaging 27.4 over the previous five campaigns. Drew Doughty (422 points, plus-94 in 770 career games), who won the 2016 Norris and was a finalist last season, returns to spearhead a defense that also highlights Alec Martinez. Two-time Stanley Cup champion goaltender Jonathan Quick, 32, is 15-11-5 with a 2.52 GAA and .910 save percentage in 33 games versus the Sharks - 1-2, 1.70, .944 in three contests last season.

OVERTIME

1. Kings RW Dustin Brown (28 goals, 61 points in 2017-18), who joined Kopitar and Kovalchuk on the top line during the preseason, is out indefinitely after breaking a finger in a preseason game versus Anaheim on Saturday.

2. The addition of Karlsson (NHL-most 518 points among defensemen since joining league in 2009-10) figures to eventually help the Sharks' power play, which went 0-for-3 on Wednesday after struggling in the preseason.

3. Both teams were eliminated by Vegas in the 2018 Stanley Cup playoffs with the Kings getting swept in the first round and the Sharks going down in six games in the Pacific Division final.

PREDICTION: Sharks 3, Kings 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #3 - BELMONT PARK - 2:32 PM EASTERN POST
7.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $62,500.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

#2 DOWSE'S BEACH / #2B FIG JELLY
#4 TOUGHEST 'OMBRE
#1 HELOOKSTHEPART
#6 BLESSED HALO

#2 DOWSE'S BEACH, the overall speed and pace profile leader in this O.C. field sprinting at, or about, today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the turf, and has turned in a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Jason Servis send him "postward" this afternoon ... they've hit the board with an impressive 71% of more than 120 entries saddled as a team to date, winning at an equally impressive 37% clip which has produced a +35% return on investment in the process. Servis also sends out the stablemate, #2B FIG JELLY who has hit the board in each of his last four outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back. The 8-1 shot, #4 TOUGHEST 'OMBRE has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Breeders Cup Future Wager
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Stakes - 12.0f on the Turf. Purse: $4000000 Class Rating: 125

BREEDERS' CUP TURF FUTURE WAGER - GRADE 1 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. TO PLACE A FUTURE WAGER ON THE 2018 BREEDERS' CUP TURF, PLEASE ASK FOR RACE #4. IF YOU WISH TO WAGER ON THE FIELD, WHICH REPRESENTS ALL OTHER


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 ROARING LION 8/1

# 13 TALISMANIC (GB) 12/1

# 5 ENABLE (GB) 1/1

ROARING LION has a strong shot to take this contest especially at a long price. Always seems to be close on the wire. Earned a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. With a sound 119 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. ENABLE (GB) - She has been racing well recently while recording strong Speed Figures. Has performed well recently in route races, posting a nifty 124 avg speed figure.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 1

Exacta / Daily Double 1-2


Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:45P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17, 2018 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 5, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 5, 2018 ALLOWED 5 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FOREVER WANDY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FOREVER WANDY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ANALYZE YOUR LIFE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
FOREVER WANDY
9/5

9/5
1
ANALYZE YOUR LIFE
2/1

7/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
FOREVER WANDY
3

9/5
Front-runner
89

82

89.2

83.2

80.7
1
ANALYZE YOUR LIFE
1

2/1
Front-runner
89

82

76.6

74.4

69.9
4
URUGUAIAN PRINCESS
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
88

82

74.4

68.6

63.6
2
CUNNINGHAM CREEK
2

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
87

79

61.6

7.6

0.0
5
ABU MIRIAM
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

35.1

7.6

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 55

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BOPPIN BOB (ML=4/1)


BOPPIN BOB - Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a sharp outing in the last race within the last month. Ranks number one in the field in earnings per race. A powerful effort in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 UPPERVILLE (ML=1/1), #4 GATTOSING (ML=7/2), #6 MEISTER'S SONG (ML=9/2),

UPPERVILLE - I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the public's top choice and is likely to be favored today. This entrant likes to be in the money, but doesn't usually get the job done. Forget the top spot. GATTOSING - Hard to put any money on this gelding on the win end. Likes to finish in the money though. MEISTER'S SONG - Finished first in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 BOPPIN BOB to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West

10/05/18, GPW, Race 3, 2.19 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.21.04 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Races where entered for $12,500 or less not considered in allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 3-8) / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 7 Royalty Salvatore(b+) 5-1 Lopez P Dobles Elizabeth L. JWL
098.5162 5 Xiroma 7/2 Camacho S Sano Antonio FC
097.8702 4 Hookup 9/5 Gonzales J J Sano Antonio S
097.2794 1 Duke of Miami 6-1 Lugo C D Gracida Ruben
097.0615 6 Dr Harlan 9/2 Montalvo C Castillo Pedro E
096.8592 2 Real Fast Music 6-1 Zayas E J O'Connell Kathleen T
093.1668 3 K C Twostep 20-1 Ganpath R Cazares Laura

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:39pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 HOPTOWN HONEY (ML=7/2)


HOPTOWN HONEY - This filly is in good condition. Finished second on September 14th. This is a fairly classic handicapping angle. Play a racer that finished runner up in a maiden race last time out but finished well ahead of the show horse. The 74 last race speed rating looks good in the TrackMaster PPs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RIESLING (ML=5/2), #7 CASTLE RIDGE (ML=6/1), #4 PURE SUGAR (ML=8/1),

RIESLING - This filly hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Difficult to bet on her in this event. CASTLE RIDGE - Hard to bet on at 6/1 odds after the last two efforts. No accomplishments for this less than sharp equine in a sprint race over the last 60 days tells me that this filly is in a thorny circumstance PURE SUGAR - This filly finished out of the money on May 13th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 HOPTOWN HONEY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) (.50 Cent Minimum) GUARANTEED $60,000 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 74 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 9:25P
FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. BIG MAROON is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BETO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MIDNIGHT BLUES MAN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. I'M BUSY: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investme nt with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts).
10
BETO
7/5

4/1
4
MIDNIGHT BLUES MAN
5/1

9/2
7
I'M BUSY
15/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
10
BETO
10

7/5
Front-runner
72

66

89.9

59.1

56.6
4
MIDNIGHT BLUES MAN
4

5/1
Front-runner
72

64

72.0

60.7

57.2
6
BARRISTER JADE
6

15/1
Front-runner
59

55

48.7

49.0

42.0
2
BIG MAROON
2

30/1
Trailer
68

44

8.5

41.7

35.2








Unknown Running Style: MISTER STRANGE (30/1) [Jockey: Medina Jose Angel - Trainer: Duhon Paul], OFF TRACK (20/1) [Jockey: Birzer Alex - Trainer: Caster Boyd], MULE SKINNER (9/2) [Jockey: Diego Iram Vargas - Trainer: Calhoun W Bret], I'M BUSY (15/1) [

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 77

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 JB VALENTINO 4/1

# 3 THIS FLIGHT IS EASY 5/2

# 5 DALTS LOCKED NLOADED 6/1

I think JB VALENTINO is a very strong choice. Garnered a very good speed figure last time out. Baumann has this gelding running well and is a solid pick based on the strong speed figures recorded in short races recently. THIS FLIGHT IS EASY - In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today. He should be carefully examined given the strong speed figs. DALTS LOCKED NLOADED - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this filly. Very solid rider with conditioner figures make this horse a sharp pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 5


NY Yankees @ Boston

Game 905-906
October 5, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 14.717
Boston
(Sale) 18.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-180
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-180); Over

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 907-908
October 5, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 16.802
Houston
(Verlnder) 15.142
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+130); Under

Colorado @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
October 5, 2018 @ 4:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Andrson) 17.504
Milwaukee
(Chacin) 19.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-155); Under

Atlanta @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
October 5, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Sanchez) 14.171
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 19.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 5 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-220); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 5

American League
New York (101-62) @ Boston (108-54)
Happ is 2-0, 2.17 in his last five starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. He is 1-1, 3.97 in four starts vs Boston this year; two with the Blue Jays, two with NY. Team in his starts: 9-2, 4-0 road
5-inning record: 7-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11

Sale allowed one run in 47 IP from June 17-Sept 16, with two DL stints in there; he allowed five runs in eight IP in his last two appearances. Sale is 2-0, 0.69 vs New York this year. Team in his starts: 18-9, 8-4 home
5-inning record: 16-5-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27

New York is 10-4 in its last 14 games, 5-2 in last seven road games. Red Sox are 3-5 in their last eight games; they’ve been coasting for long time, with such a big lead in division. Boston is 10-9 vs New York this season; 7-3 at home, 3-6 in the Bronx.

New York is in playoffs for third time in last six years; they haven’t been to a World Series since 2009. Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Both managers here are rookie managers.

Indians (91-71) @ Astros (103-59)
Kluber is 4-0, 2.80 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. He is 1-0, 1.35 in two starts vs Houston this year. Team in his starts: 21-12, 9-7 road
5-inning record: 19-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-33

Verlander is 3-0, 1.09 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. He didn’t pitch against the Indians this year. Team in his starts: 21-13, 7-11 home
5-inning record: 22-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-34

Cleveland-Houston split six games back in May; home side went 2-1 in both series. Indians are in playoffs for 3rd year in row; they haven’t won World Series since 1948, but Francona won two WS titles with the Red Sox. Cleveland won a terrible AL Central; they won six of last nine games, are 6-7 in last 13 road games.

Astros won World Series LY; they’re in playoffs for third time in four years. Houston won eight of its last ten games.

National League
Rockies (92-73) @ Brewers (97-67)
Anderson is 1-1, 1.83 in his last three starts; over is 8-3-1 in his last 12. Team in his starts: 13-20, 7-9 road (lost his last five road starts) Anderson allowed seven runs in four IP in a 8-4 loss at Miller Park, back on August 4.
5-inning record: 14-10-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 16-33

Former Rockie Chacin is 1-1, 3.20 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts stayed under. Team in his starts: 23-12, 8-6 home (lost last 3 home starts). Chacin beat Colorado 5-2 at Coors Field May 10, allowing two runs in 5.1 IP.
5-inning record: 16-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-35

Colorado won ten of its last 13 games, including four of last six on road. Brewers won their last nine games, only four of which were at home. Milwaukee is 6-2 against the Rockies this season, 3-1 at Miller Park.

Colorado lost Wild Card game LY, their first playoffs appearance since 2009. Brewers are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Braves (90-72) @ Dodgers (92-71)
Sanchez is 1-1, 1.57 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Team in his starts: 13-11, 8-5 road
5-inning record: 8-12-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-24

Kershaw is 3-0, 4.80 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Kershaw beat the Braves 4-1 in Atlanta July 27, allowing two runs in 7.2 IP. Team in his starts: 16-10, 6-6 home
5-inning record: 15-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-26
Kershaw is 4-1, 4.24 in his last 11 postseason starts.

Braves lost five of their last six games; they’re in playoffs for first time since 2013. Dodgers won five in row, 11 of last 14 games; they won seven of last eight home games. LA is in playoffs for sixth year in row; they haven’t won a World Series since 1988.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/18
Atl 32-30-13…..35-31-10………67-61
Colo 35-29-15……37-26-11……71-55
LA 40-28-8…….34-29-16……74-57
Milw 31-34-10…..39-30-8…….70-64

Boston 37-28-14……47-20-7……..84-48
Clev 30-30-14……46-21-10……..76-51
Astros 41-20-15……41-21-15…….82-41
NYY 34-24-15……44-25-8………78-48

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/18)
Atl 23-74……31-77………54
Colo 23-78…….29-74.…….52
LA 26-75……..29-78..…..55
Milw 27-74…..…30-79…….57

Boston 19-76……29-74………47
Clev 20-73…….31-76…….51
Astros 21-75…..…18-76………39
NYY 18-74……..31-76………49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 5

Trend Report

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Colorado is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado's last 16 games on the road
Colorado is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado


New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (101 - 62) at BOSTON (108 - 54) - 7:35 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 15-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 49-65 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 59-43 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 108-54 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 43-12 (+19.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-24 (+17.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 73-34 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 98-65 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HAPP is 11-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 543-493 (-66.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 457-413 (-77.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BOSTON is 239-239 (-64.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-9 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 8-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.256.
His team's record is 13-7 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-8. (+3.0 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SALE is 6-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.76 and a WHIP of 0.894.
His team's record is 7-7 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (91 - 71) at HOUSTON (103 - 59) - 2:05 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 91-71 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 41-38 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-15 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
CLEVELAND is 69-50 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 48-42 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-34 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 152-76 (+33.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
HOUSTON is 46-35 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 39-35 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 7-12 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VERLANDER is 0-5 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 8-11 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KLUBER is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.207.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 20-24 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 23-29 (-13.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 21-29. (-12.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (92 - 73) at MILWAUKEE (97 - 67) - 4:15 PM
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 260-458 (-81.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
ANDERSON is 10-22 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 97-67 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-34 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-7 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-30 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-16 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-8 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 71-55 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 98-82 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-34 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHACIN is 23-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 21-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 13-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 19-14 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 92-73 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 23-17 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
COLORADO is 45-39 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 23-17 (+9.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
COLORADO is 58-46 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 54-40 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 40-25 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 (+4.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 8.59 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CHACIN is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (90 - 73) at LA DODGERS (93 - 71) - 9:35 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 45-57 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
ATLANTA is 30-42 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.
SANCHEZ is 12-26 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 40-11 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 90-72 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 28-34 (+23.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-35 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 59-50 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 20-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 104-85 (+31.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
ATLANTA is 46-40 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 30-33 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 93-71 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 46-37 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 9-12 (-13.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 65-53 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 53-46 (-19.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 12-16 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KERSHAW is 5-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.915.
His team's record is 10-2 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, October 5

https://i.imgur.com/y8MldtP.png (http://www.freeimagehosting.net/commercial-photography/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STARTER STAT OF THE DAY

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (9-5, 2.73 ERA, -$452): This isn't about Kershaw finishing outside the top 300 in player value despite putting up decent numbers in 2018. This is about the sensational Dodgers left-hander having allowed three or more runs in three of his previous starts while being taken deep seven times over his previous seven turns – signs that things might not be so rosy for him.

Add in the omnipresent narrative of Kershaw struggling in the postseason, and suddenly, the Braves are an intriguing option at +*** for Game 2. Kershaw is always capable of a big game, but we can't help wondering if that game is coming Friday night.


Runs Galore?

You can say this about the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry: it has produced some high-scoring affairs of late, with the teams having cashed the over in each of their last four encounters. And there are plenty of other over trends at work, as well: The Yankees have gone above the total in seven consecutive games, while the Red Sox are on a 9-1-1 O/U run over their past 11 games.

With questions swirling about Sale's effectiveness and Happ allowing four runs over five innings in his previous meeting with the Red Sox on Sept. 28, there's a lot to like about the over-8 play in this one.


The Wrong Man for the Job?

The playoffs take on an entirely different complexion than the regular season, but you must wonder if the Rockies have the right guy on the mound as they look to get back in their National League Division Series in Milwaukee. Friday starter Tyler Anderson is on a dismal run, with the Rockies having won just two of his previous 12 starts dating back to the end of July.

Anderson has straightened things out a little over his past three turns (19 2/3 IP, 4 ER), but he was torched for seven runs in four innings in his only visit to Milwaukee this season. The Brewers are a solid run-line play Friday at +135.


One-Run Wonders?

It seems like there is one team every year that uses an incredible record in one-run games to propel itself to playoff prominence. This year's edition: The Atlanta Braves, who enter Game 2 of their National League Division Series with the Dodgers having posted an incredible 23-12 mark in one-run games during the regular season.

Atlanta starter Anibal Sanchez will have his hands full keeping up with Kershaw and the Dodgers, but if this one is close, the Braves might just have the upper hand; consider the visitors to win by exactly one run and even this series at a game apiece.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 5
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

College Football Week 5 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 46-12
Against the Spread 26-32

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 37-21
Against the Spread 31-27

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 32-26


The largest underdogs to win straight up
Tulane (+14.5, ML +450) vs. Memphis, 40-24
Army (+7, ML +230) at Buffalo, 42-13
Florida (+7, ML +220) at Mississippi State, 13-6
Liberty (+7, ML +225) at New Mexico, 52-43
Virginia Tech (+6.5, ML +210) at Duke, 31-14

The largest favorites to cover
Georgia Tech (-28) vs. Bowling Green, 63-17
Wake Forest (-28) vs. Rice, 56-24
Appalachian State (-25) vs. South Alabama, 52-7
Arizona State (-22) vs. Oregon State, 52-24
Oklahoma (-21.5) vs. Baylor, 66-33

Top 25 Notes

-- The Big Ten showdown between Ohio State and Penn State lived up to the pregame hype, as it was a classic in Beaver Stadium. That is, unless you had the 'over', as the total (69.5) was never in question with a defense first three quarters. There were just 27 total points on the board heading into the fourth quarter before the offenses combined for a total of 26 points. There was the specter of overtime giving over bettors some hope, but that never came into fruition. It's too bad, too, as this one was fun to watch so overtime would have been a treat. The Buckeyes moved to 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS, and the 'under' is now 3-1 over their past four outings.

-- Alabama flew out to a 49-0 lead on Louisiana, erasing the 49-point spread by halftime. Unfortunately for Tide side bettors, they took their foot off the gas and the Ragin' Cajuns scored two fourth quarter touchdowns and 14 unanswered points for the backdoor cover, with their final TD coming with 3:58 to go. After opening 3-0 ATS, the Tide are 0-2 ATS across the past two outings.

-- Clemson certainly got a scare, especially when their starting quarterback exited the game and the third-string signal caller entered against Syracuse. The Orange had a 23-13 lead at one point during the fourth quarter, but the Tigers stormed back for 14 unanswered points in the final quarter to avoid a major upset at the hands of 'Cuse for a second straight season.

-- Washington was not about to get bitten by the Brigham Young upset bug. The Huskies fired out to a 35-0 lead heading into the fourth quarter, using their lockdown secondary to stymie the upset-minded Cougars. The Huskies entered the day just 1-3 ATS, and it was their first cover in three tries at home. The 'under' is now a perfect 5-0 on the season for the Dawgs, too.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- North Carolina State kept their record unblemished with a 35-21 victory over Virginia. The Wolfpack improved to 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS, including 3-0 ATS over the past three games. If you were an 'under' bettors (53) you weren't terribly pleased about the finish of this one (see below). ... Virginia Tech rebounded in a big way with a 31-14 road win at Duke, serving up the Blue Devils their first loss in five games. After opening 3-0 ATS, Duke is now 0-2 ATS over the past two. ... Miami-Florida paddled North Carolina 47-10 to pick up their fourth straight victory while going 3-1 ATS during the span. The 'over' is also 4-1 in their five outings this season.

-- Michigan State took care of Central Michigan 31-20, moving to 3-1 SU while slipping to 1-3 ATS overall. ... Northwestern nearly pulled off the upset, leading Michigan for most of the contest. However, the Wolverines ended up with the 20-17 win in Evanston, slipping to 2-3 ATS. They haven't covered in consecutive games yet this season and they're 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS in two road contests. ... Nebraska cannot seem to get out of their own way, as Scott Frost slipped to 0-4 SU/ATS after a 42-28 loss to Purdue. After opening 0-3 SU, the Boilermakers have won two in a row and they have covered three straight.

-- Oklahoma slapped the brakes on a three-game non-cover skid with a 66-33 win over Baylor. It was another 'over' for the Sooners, the fourth in five outings so far this season. ... Texas picked up an uneventful 19-14 victory at Kansas State, their first victory in Manhattan since 2002. They're still 0-2 ATS in two games away from Austin this season. Next up is the Red River Rivalry Game against the Sooners in Dallas. ... The side winner changed a handful of times since the midway point of the third quarter in Oklahoma State-Kansas. The Cowboys were laying 17, and they were covering or pushing for a good chunk of the contest. They went up 20 midway through the third quarter, only for Kansas to scored a TD early in the fourth. OK State returned the favor with 6:22 to go to cover agin, but Kansas struck quickly with 4:19 to pull back within 13. After a failed onside kick, the Cowboys ended up with a short field and they scored with 2:38 to go to earn the 48-28 win and cover.

-- After falling last week at USC, Washington State rebounded with a 28-24 win at home against Utah as short 'dogs on the Palouse. The Cougars struck with 4:14 to go in regulation, taking a 28-24 lead on an 89-yard touchdown, flipping the side in favor of the Cougs, and the total (50.5) also flipped on the big play. ... One of the other marquee matchups was Stanford-Notre Dame, but someone forgot to tell the Cardinal. After an emotional comeback last week at Oregon, head coach David Shaw's group was unable to bring it to that high of an emotional level for the second straight week in a tough road outing. The Irish blew their doors off 38-7, improving to 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS. Notre Dame has covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season.

-- Kentucky moved to 5-0 SU with a 24-10 victory against South Carolina, picking up their second straight cover for the first time this season. Who had the Wildcats moving within one game of bowl eligibility and the calendar doesn't even read October yet? ... Texas A&M posted a 24-17 win over Arkansas, as they held on for the win but slipped to 4-1 ATS with their first non-cover. ... Florida picked up a 13-6 win at Mississippi State in the Dan Mullen Reunion Bowl in Starkville. After opening an impressive 3-0 SU/ATS, the Bulldogs are 0-2 SU/ATS while scoring just 6.5 PPG in two SEC battles and Auburn looming on the schedule next week.

Mid-Major Report

-- Tulane posted the 40-24 win over Memphis, the biggest underdog (+14.5, ML +450) to pick up an outright victory. ... Cincinnati rolled to a 49-7 win over Connecticut, easily earning the cover as 16-point road favorites. The Bearcats improved to 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS, while the Huskies slipped to 1-4 SU/ATS, and 0-4 SU/ATS in four outings against FBS schools. ... Temple was unable to score the outright upset at Boston College, but the Owls earned their third consecutive cover.

-- It was a topsy-turvy day in Conference USA, as the two championship game representatives from a year ago, Florida Atlantic and North Texas each suffered losses in their conference openers. Middle Tennessee picked up the 25-24 win, posting the go-ahead touchdown with :38 to go to flip the side and deal Owls side bettors a bad beat. FAU slipped to 0-5 ATS. ... UNT was dropped at home by Louisiana Tech, as a blocked field goal sealed their fate. The under has cashed in four in a row for the Mean Green.

-- The game of the day in the MAC was Northern Illinois-Eastern Michigan, as these teams couldn't solve their differences until the third overtime. NIU ended up with a 26-23 road win, and 'under' (50.5) had to sweat out a winning ticket for an extra hour. EMU has dropped back-to-back games in overtime, as they could very well be 4-1 SU. The Eagles are a solid 4-1 ATS so far. ... Miami-Ohio fell short against Western Michigan 40-39, but they held on for the cover at most shops. This line moved from Miami favored by 1.5 to WMU favored by 2.5 during the week, but the sharps got it wrong in this one.

-- New Mexico fell 52-43 to Liberty, in a high-scoring battle, as the 'over' is now 4-0 for UNM through four games. ... Fresno State posted an impressive 49-27 win over visiting Toledo, moving to 3-1 SU/ATS in four games this season. ... Hawaii was back on the mainland for the third time this season, and it ended a lot better than last time around. Well, sorta. They picked up a 44-41 win in overtime at San Jose State, scoring 41 or more points for the fifth time in five games. However, after opening 2-0 ATS they're just 0-3-1 ATS across their past four outings.

-- Troy earned a 45-21 win over Coastal Carolina to win and cover for the fourth straight outing. ... Appalachian State rolled to an impressive 52-7 win against South Alabama, picking up their fourth cover in as many outings. The 'over' is also a perfect 4-0 so far this season for the Mountaineers.

Bad Beats

-- The Owls of FAU had a 21-3 lead at one point, and it looked like they were going to handily cover a three-point line on the road. However, Middle Tennessee stormed back and outscored the Owls 22-3, including a touchdown and two-point conversion with :38 left in regulation to flip the cover from FAU to Middle Tennessee.

-- Western Kentucky was leading Marshall by a 17-13 score after a go-ahead TD at 6:50 left in regulation. The Thundering Herd posted the TD with 1:44 to go, taking a 20-17 lead to kill moneyline bettors of the Hilltoppers. For those laying three and the hook, the Herd didn't do nearly enough at the end.

-- For those holding 'under' (69) tickets, the lack of offense in the second half of ULL-Bama was nice. However, the Ragin' Cajuns scored a TD with 3:58 to go to not only send the total over, but also flip the side from a push at most shops to a non-cover for Bama.

-- In the UVA-NC State game, there was a total of 53. There were a couple of things that went wrong if you had an under ticket here. With :52 left in the first half, there were just 17 total points on the board. However, the Wolfpack scored 10 quick points in the final minute of the second quarter to take a 20-7 lead, suddenly putting the over on track. It was a defense battle again in the third and most of the fourth, but the Pack scored with 7:25 for a total of 49 points. Under bettors were still feeling pretty good, but then the Hoos moved the ball into the red zone and punched one in with 3:08 to go to push the total over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fifth big college football weekend to close September. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Michigan State (-27) 31, Central Michigan 20: The Spartans didn’t appear likely to cover trailing 3-0 until four minutes into the second quarter but Michigan State managed to flip the game to hold a 17-3 edge at the half and slipped past the spread momentarily with a 31-3 edge through three quarters. Central Michigan put up 17 points in the fourth to seal the underdog cover in an oddly uneven game with Central Michigan winning the first and fourth quarter 20-0 but outscored in the middle two quarters 31-0.

Northern Illinois (+3.5) 26, Eastern Michigan 23: After falling behind 10-0 early Northern Illinois dominated this game holding Eastern Michigan to negative net yards over nine consecutive possessions. The Huskies only led 13-10 in the fourth quarter and benefited from a missed field goal from the Eagles with about six minutes remaining. The Huskies weren’t quite able to run out the remaining clock and in the final two minutes Eastern Michigan managed to get back into field goal range and successfully forced overtime. Both teams scored with relative ease in the first overtime in the second session NIU was poised to score quickly again but fumbled at the four-yard-line. Eastern Michigan played it safe and set-up a 38-yard kick that was missed. In the third overtime Chad Ryland redeemed himself with a 42-yard field goal as the Eagles took the lead but the Huskies converted two big 3rd downs and got into the end zone for six and the minor MAC upset.

Indiana (-14½) 24, Rutgers 17: The Hoosiers led 24-7 at halftime at Rutgers but wound up unable to score in the second half with a pair of punts and a pair of turnovers in Rutgers territory. After an early fourth quarter fumble from Indiana Rutgers drove for a touchdown a few plays later to get within the spread. The Knights added a field goal after a Peyton Ramsey interception for a touchback but the Knights never got the ball back with a chance to tie down by only seven.

Washington State (+1) 28, Utah 24: After a high scoring 21-21 first half Utah got an early field goal in the third quarter and that appeared like it would be enough with an exchange of six straight punts with the Utes controlling the ground game with a 204-0 rushing edge in this Pac-12 affair. The Cougars got the big play it needed with an 89-yard touchdown pass through a pair of missed tackles with four minutes remaining to take the lead. Utah appeared poised to answer with a 36-yard gain on a 4th-and-10 play just across midfield, reaching the 7-yard-line with enough time to work with but the play was wiped out with a holding penalty and the Utes failed on the subsequent 4th-and-20 attempt.

Western Michigan (-3) 40, Miami, OH 39: The Redhawks led by 13 at the half and still sat up by six heading into the fourth quarter but things got interesting in the final half of the fourth quarter. Western Michigan completed an 89-yard drive to take a 34-33 lead but it took less than a minute for Miami to answer going up by five and opting to go for two and failing. Western Michigan would put together another long scoring drive that featured a 4th-and-10 conversion and also opted to go for two in a critical play relative to the spread with the Broncos favored by -1½ to -2½ most of the week before closing at -3. That conversion attempt also failed and with nearly three minutes remaining Miami had a great opportunity to get back in front. The Redhawks converted a 3rd-and-21 play but then fell short on a 3rd-and-3 opportunity and opted for a 50-yard field goal attempt that was no good. The one-point loss was enough to hold on for a narrow home underdog cover for the Redhawks however.

Georgia Southern (+3) 28, Arkansas State 21: The Sun Belt favorites trailed 7-3 at the half but managed to tie the game at 14-14 late in the third quarter and then at 21-21 with about five minutes remaining. Overtime looked certain as Georgia Southern faced 3rd down near midfield with fewer than 30 seconds remaining but Wesley Kennedy broke free for a 47-yard touchdown run for the upset.

Alabama (-48) 56, UL-Lafayette 14: Alabama had a 28-0 lead not even 13 minutes into this game and eclipsed the massive spread by halftime. A 94-yard pass play with reserves in the game put Alabama up 56-0 late in the third quarter but the Ragin’ Cajuns scored twice in the fourth quarter to take the backdoor cover.

Texas (-8½) 19, Kansas State 14: Texas led 19-0 at halftime with the help of a 90-yard punt return touchdown. Kansas State managed to score on its opening possession out of halftime and then watched Texas miss a field goal late in the third quarter. It took 16 plays and two 4th down conversions but Kansas State went 70 yards for another touchdown to get within the underdog spread early in the fourth quarter. Texas wasn’t able to add points but they forced a 3-and-out on the last Kansas State possession and ended the game taking a knee at the Kansas State 20-yard-line.

Oklahoma State (-17) 48, Kansas 28: The Jayhawks trailed by 20 through three quarters but made a late charge with two touchdown drives in the final frame. Oklahoma State ultimately answered each time including a spread-saving touchdown with 2:38 remaining. On its final possession Kansas wound up losing five yards in four plays as they weren’t a threat to steal the underdog cover back late.

Middle Tennessee State (+3) 25, Florida Atlantic 24: The Owls led 24-10 late in the third quarter but a 19-yard punt handed the Blue Raiders good field position and Middle Tennessee State scored three plays later to take just a seven-point deficit into the fourth quarter. Florida Atlantic opted to go for it on a 4th down play just short of the 50 and came up short to shift the field position and after a pair of punts Middle Tennessee State had the ball back just inside FAU territory with almost four minutes remaining. With a 4th down conversion with about two minutes to go Middle Tennessee State faced 4th-and-goal in the final minute and delivered a rushing touchdown. Down one the Blue Raiders went for the win and got the two-point conversion to shake up the early Conference USA race and send Lane Kiffin and the Owls to 0-5 ATS.

Arizona State (-22) 52, Oregon State 24: The Sun Devils had just a 14-point lead well into the fourth quarter before scoring two touchdowns in the final 10 minutes. The first score came after Oregon State failed to score despite reaching the 1-yard-line and the second touchdown came after the Beavers again failed on 4th down in Arizona State territory. Oregon State fumbled near midfield on its final possession when a touchdown would have still flipped the spread result.

USC (-3½) 24, Arizona 20: USC led 24-0 into the third quarter before Arizona finally got on the scoreboard. Down 24-7 into the fourth quarter Arizona took advantage of a USC fumble, scoring on the next play to trail by only 10 with about 10 minutes remaining. USC again fumbled on the next possession but Arizona failed going for it on 4th-and-long past midfield with about six minutes to go. The Trojans opted to also try to pick a up a first down just outside field goal range with about four minutes remaining but came up short leaving the Wildcats in position for a potential backdoor cover. Arizona quickly reached the red zone with a pair of penalties helping the cause and had 1st-and-goal at the 1 to seemingly be in position to deliver a miracle for those on the underdog. It took until 4th down but Arizona did get a touchdown in the final two minutes but incredibly missed the extra-point, as most USC backers escaped holding on to the road favorite cover by a half point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 2) at MARSHALL (3 - 1) - 10/5/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (2 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 3) - 10/5/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 2) - 10/5/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 6

Trend Report

Friday, October 5

Georgia Tech @ Louisville
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Georgia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

Louisville
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Middle Tennessee @ Marshall
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Marshall
Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

Utah State @ Brigham Young
Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games
Utah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brigham Young's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

Friday, October 5

Middle Tennessee St @ Marshall

Game 307-308
October 5, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
77.756
Marshall
78.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
Even
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 7
52
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+7); Under

Georgia Tech @ Louisville

Game 309-310
October 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
84.053
Louisville
85.844
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 4 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(+4 1/2); Under

Utah State @ Brigham Young

Game 311-312
October 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
90.350
Brigham Young
88.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 1 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 3
55
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 6

Friday’s games
Home side won four of last five Middle Tennessee-Marshall games; Blue Raiders lost last two visits here, 42-17/49-24. MTSU allowed 533 rushing yards in its last two games, but they rallied late to beat FAU 25-24 last game. Since ’13, MTSU is 6-12-1 as road underdogs, 3-8 in last 11 games as C-USA road underdogs. Marshall is 4-9 in its last 13 games as a favorite, 3-6 in last nine as home favorites. Thundering Herd are 2-1 vs I-A teams, with both wins on road- they lost at home to NC State. C-USA home favorites are 2-4 vs spread so far this season.

Last four years, Georgia Tech is 0-8 vs spread as road favorites; they’re 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, losing road games at USF (49-38), Pitt (24-19). Tech is 5-13 vs spread last 18 times they were favored by less than 10 points. Three of their last four games went over. Louisville is 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, with a narrow win over WKU- under Petrino, Cardinals are 3-2 as home underdogs. These teams have been in ACC together for five years; this is their first ACC meeting. Louisville outgained Florida State by 51 yards LW, but lost 28-24 at home to the Seminoles.

BYU won four of its las six games with Utah State, splitting last six; Aggies lost two of last three visits to Provo, losing 28-10/6-3, winning 35-20. USU scored 102 points in winning its last two I-A games, and that was after an impressive 38-31 loss at Michigan State. Under Wells, State is 8-12 as road underdogs, 3-8 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. BYU is 3-6 in last nine games as a home favorite, 5-7-1 in last 13 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Cougars are 2-2 vs I-A teams this season, with wins at Arizona/Wisconsin- they lost 35-7 at Washington LW.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Remaining unbeaten ATS teams in FBS college football:

Washington State 5-0 ATS
West Virginia 4-0 ATS
Florida International 4-0 ATS
Utah State 4-0 ATS
Syracuse 4-0-1 ATS
Appalachian State 3-0 ATS
Georgia Southern 3-0 ATS


Remaining winless ATS teams in FBS college football:

Nebraska 0-4 ATS
Florida Atlantic 0-4 ATS
Connecticut 0-4-1 ATS
Texas - San Antonio 0-3-1 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report

Week of October 1st

The month of October is always a great time of year for sports bettors as you've got college and pro football in full throat, the MLB playoffs on tap (with a few extra games to boot this year) and the NHL and NBA starting up this month as well. There is no shortage of action for bettors to break down and it's only going to get busier with college basketball up next in November. But we've briefly got to look back before moving ahead as last week's topics in this piece had some interesting results.

To start, the trend of 'overs' cashing for NFL teams off a TNF home game cashed another ticket very easily with Cleveland's controversial 45-42 loss in Oakland. For as much sweating as there was for bettors on the side in that game, those holding an 'over' ticket were already counting their money by the end of the 3rd quarter. Riding that trend is now a perfect 3-0 O/U this year and the team next up in that situation is the Super Bowl favorite L.A Rams. The Rams are off a shootout themselves and considering they've scored at least 30 points in all four games this year, if you like the 'over' with them this week (at Seattle with total currently sitting at 49.5) it's probably better to get your money in sooner rather than later. Especially with the Seahawks now missing safety Earl Thomas.

The one-hit wonder QB's ended up going 1-0 ATS on Sunday, although if you just look at their respective teams with Garoppolo now on the shelf, it was a nice 2-0 ATS Sunday to buck their trend. Houston and San Francisco got the job done ATS-wise in tight games, and tonight we get to see if Denver's Case Keenum can make it 3-for-3.

However, this week my focus shifts back over to the collegiate game and some lesser known conferences that don't always get the love (or eyeballs) that they probably should in the betting markets. None of these programs are going to be national title contenders, but your bankroll doesn't care if it's a big game or not, it just wants to grow. Hopefully we can do that by playing on/against a few of these programs this upcoming week.

Who's Hot

Teams from the Sun Belt's East Division – 13-5 ATS in 2018; 4-1 ATS the past week

Games featuring Sun Belt teams are probably most known by casual bettors as the ones they typically skip over because it's these teams that are the ones catching +30 or more points against the Georgia's and Alabama's of the world. Just this past weekend we had Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt West Division) getting +49 against the Crimson Tide, a play which ended up getting there thanks to Nick Saban taking his foot off the gas in the final frame. There are some quality football teams relative to most of their opponents in the Sun Belt though, specifically in the East division this year.

Four of the five teams in the Sun Belt East – which includes Troy, Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Coastal Carolina – have winning records SU through five weeks, but more importantly they are 13-5 ATS combined on the season. That number includes a 4-1 ATS record this past week with the only loss coming in a division rivalry game between Troy and Coastal Carolina where one of them had to lose. But Georgia Southern and Georgia State each won SU as home 'dogs, while Appalachian State blew the doors off a bad South Alabama squad.

A 13-5 ATS record though is not something that should be overlooked five weeks into the season now – nearly the halfway point – as these are programs that probably catch a few extra points against the “big boys” simply because of perception. It's going to be tough to find those spots going forward as it's basically conference play from here on out, but for those of you interested in following some of these Sun Belt East teams, you won't have to wait very long. Georgia State visits Troy on Thursday night with Troy laying -17 as of now. Given that Georgia State is the lone team in the division with a losing record SU (2-3) and ATS (1-3), backing the home side may be the way to go.

Who's Not

'Unders' in games featuring MAC East teams – 8-16 O/U combined this year

The conference affectionately known as “MACtion” has long been a CFB conference known for high-scoring games and some very suspect defense (although Khalil Mack came from the MAC). It's a league that made the brilliant move a few years back to switch their schedules around so that their conference games would be featured heavily on their own on Tuesday's/Wednesday's from late-October on (another thing we have to look forward too), as the uptempo style many schools here like to play is a boom for offensive football. We've seen coaches in this conference also you success in the MAC as a launching point for their own personal careers – think P.J Fleck in Minnesota now – as these offenses can be well-oiled machines at times and score with almost anyone in the country. It's the same story this year too, as 'unders' are not something you really want to be involved with in MAC games, especially when programs from the East division are involved.

The MAC East consists of Buffalo, Miami (OH), Akron, Ohio, Bowling Green, and Kent State. In 2018 those programs are a combined 16-8 O/U, and considering only Buffalo has a SU winning record through five weeks, their really isn't much defense being played here. Three of the six teams have point differentials of -37 or more, with the 1-4 SU Bowling Green Falcons a brutal -119 points so far in 2018. How you decide to use this information in the coming weeks is up to you – as fading these teams ATS with brutal defenses might be another strategy to employ – but I can tell you that there won't be many times I'll be looking at 'unders' in games involving these teams in the foreseeable future.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Week 6 college football bettors jump on Notre Dame's opening odds vs. Virginia Tech
Patrick Everson

Notre Dame is 5-0 SU and easily won and covered the past two weeks, against Wake Forest and Stanford. The Superbook opened the Irish -5.5 at Virginia Tech, and the line quickly went to 6.

Week 6 of the college football season features three teams looking to stay firmly in the College Football Playoff conversation. We check in on the opening lines and early action for a quartet of contests, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, sportsbook supervisor at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 23 Virginia Tech Hokies (+5.5)

Notre Dame won three one-score games the first three weeks of the season, then steamrolled through the past two weeks. After hammering Wake Forest on the road, the Fighting Irish (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) dropped Stanford 38-17 as a 4.5-point home chalk in Week 5.

Virginia Tech was dealt a shocking Week 4 loss, getting outscored 28-7 in the fourth quarter at Old Dominion in a 49-35 setback as a 27.5-point favorite. The Hokies (3-1 SU and ATS) bounced back Saturday at Duke, rolling to a 31-14 win catching 6.5 points, despite not having starting QB Josh Jackson, who broke his leg in the loss to ODU.

“Notre Dame is playing very well right now and coming off a big win against Stanford,” Wilkinson said. “The line has already moved to -6, and we’re anticipating it to be -6.5 or -7 by game time.”


No. 20 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)

The Red River Rivalry resumes, with Oklahoma putting its perfect mark on the line in a neutral-site game at the Cotton Bowl. The Sooners (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) got a huge Week 4 home scare against Army, winning in overtime, but followed with a 66-33 wipeout of Baylor laying 21.5 points at home.

Texas lost its season opener to Maryland, then notched four straight wins to get back on track. In Week 5 at Kansas State, the Longhorns (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) held on for a 19-14 victory as an 8.5-point fave.

“This is going to be a good matchup,” Wilkinson said. “Oklahoma is the better team, so we favored them by a little more than a touchdown. But the Longhorns are going against a Big 12 archrival. I think this line will drop to Oklahoma -7 pretty soon.”


No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers at Florida Gators (+3)

Louisiana State is out of the gate 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS), including a key Week 3 upset victory at Auburn. Last weekend, the Tigers flattened Mississippi 45-16 giving 11.5 points at home.

Florida rebounded from a Week 2 upset home loss to Kentucky by rattling off three straight wins and covers. The Gators (4-1 SU and ATS) got through a Week 5 slog at Mississippi State, winning 13-6 as a 6.5-point favorite.

“We got some sharp action early on this game. It’s already down to LSU -2, and it could even be a pick ‘em by Saturday,” Wilkinson said. “These teams always play tight games against each other, and Florida is tough at home.”


No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats at Texas A&M Aggies (-6)

Kentucky is another unbeaten Southeastern Conference team looking to make some noise. The Wildcats (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) have won all of their games by double digits, including last week’s 24-10 home victory over South Carolina in a pick ‘em game.

Texas A&M has two losses already, but those came to perennial powerhouses Clemson – A&M fell by 2 at home – and Alabama. In Week 5, the Aggies (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) beat Arkansas 24-17 as a hefty 20-point chalk.

“It’ll be interesting to see which way this line moves. We aren’t sure yet, but 6 feels like the right number to me,” Wilkinson said. “A&M might have two losses, but they were against the two best teams in the country.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DILLION ON THE MEND

One of the top rushers in the nation is hoping to return to action this week. Boston College sophomore, A.J. Dillon's status is up in the air after he rolled his ankle early in the third quarter of last weekend's 45-35 victory over Temple and didn't return. Head coach Steve Addazio had no update for reporters Monday, but Dillon was headed for a historic game at the time of his injury, having racked up 161 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 28 carries to that point. Dillon enters Week 6 ranked third in the nation in rushing yards (652), putting him on pace to blow past the 1,589 rushing yards he put up as a freshman.

Bettors should monitor Dillon's progress throughout the week as the Eagles prepare to visit N.C. State. If he misses the game or is hobbled going into the weekend, the Wolfpack suddenly become a terrific cover option; they're -4 as of Tuesday.


LAWRENCE BATTLING A NECK STRAIN

Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence has one more ailment to deal with as the Tigers prepare for Saturday's showdown with Wake Forest. In addition to being placed in the concussion protocol, Lawrence is recovering from a neck strain; both injuries were suffered on the same play, one that knocked Lawrence from the game in Clemson's come-from-behind 27-23 win over Syracuse. Lawrence will need to get clearance for the concussion before he can return to practice. Chase Brice, who led the Tigers' late rally against the Orange, would get the start if Lawrence isn't able to return in time.

More quarterback uncertainty could be a problem for Clemson, which has gone just 1-4 ATS on the season and very nearly lost outright at home to Syracuse. Wake Forest is getting 17 points at home, and that number might climb if Lawrence is delayed in his return to practice; the Demon Deacons fell 28-14 to Clemson in last year's meeting.


GANGI OUT FOR NEVADA?

The Nevada Wolf Pack could be without their starting quarterback for Saturday's pivotal Mountain West showdown with visiting Fresno State. Ty Gangi suffered a leg injury in last week's 28-25 triumph over Air Force and missed Monday's practice as a result. Head coach Jay Norvell has suggested that Gangi won't return to the field Tuesday, either. Gangi has been the lynch pin for a Wolf Pack pass offense ranked in the Top 30 in yards per game, having completed nearly 73 percent of his passes for 1,338 yards with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. He finished with four TD tosses in the win over Air Force.

The downgrade from Gangi to No. 2 option Cristian Solano is significant enough for us to recommend taking Fresno State -12 if Gangi can't go. His absence would also impact Nevada's shot at reaching its team total, which sits at ~24 points as of Tuesday.


NORTHWESTERN ABOUT TO BE GROUNDED

It could be a long, difficult day for Northwestern running backs Saturday as the Wildcats visit the Michigan State Spartans. The Northwestern rush attack has been dismal through the first four games of the season; the Wildcats rank 122nd out of 129 Division I schools in average yards on the ground (94.8) and are one of only 10 programs not averaging triple digits. That mark isn't likely to improve this weekend at Spartan Stadium, with Michigan State having held foes to just 161 rushing yards on 108 carries – good for a microscopic 1.49 yards per attempt. Their 40.3 rushing yards allowed per game is the fewest in the nation.

Granted, the Wildcats had just 64 yards on 28 carries (2.3 YPC) in last year's encounter and still pulled out a 39-31 overtime win. But a similar showing Saturday at Spartan Stadium would make the home side an attractive cover option at -11.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 6
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Oct. 5

MTSU at MARSHALL...MTSU 1-6 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Herd has won and covered big last two years in series and 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Marshall, based on series trends.


GEORGIA TECH at LOUISVILLE...‘Ville 6-16 last 22 on board. Petrino 2-4 last five as dog. Paul Johnson 1-4 vs. line TY but is 12-7-1 last 20 overall vs. spread.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on ‘Ville negatives.


UTAH STATE at BYU...Utags 3-0-1 vs. line TY and beat BYU in 2017. Utags 1-0 as road dog TY but were 3-6 in role preceding two years. Sitake just 2-6 last 8 as chalk (0-1 TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

**Georgia Tech at Louisville**

-- Bobby Petrino and Paul Johnson have had better days. Both bring their teams into Friday’s ACC showdown in dire need of a victory. Their respective schools have a combined 2-6 record against FBS competition going into this contest at Cardinal Stadium. As of early Wednesday, most betting shops had the Yellow Jackets installed as 4.5-point road favorites with a total of 57.5. The Cardinals were +160 on the money line (risk $100 to win $160).

-- Georgia Tech (2-3 straight up, 1-4 against the spread) is 0-2 both SU and ATS in a pair of road assignments. Johnson’s club lost 49-38 at USF in Week 2 and dropped a 24-19 decision at Pittsburgh in Week 3. The Yellow Jackets returned home to take on Clemson, but they got smashed by the Tigers, 49-21, as 16-point underdogs. Georgia Tech stopped the bleeding and avoided a four-game losing streak by beating up on Bowling Green 63-17 as a 28-point home ‘chalk’ last week.

-- Senior QB TaQuon Marshall completed 5-of-6 passes for 160 yards against the Falcons. He also rushed for 42 yards and two touchdowns on 13 attempts. Redshirt freshman Tobias Oliver rushed for a team-high 115 yards and two TDs on seven carries, while Jordan Mason ran seven times for 61 yards and a pair of scores.

-- Georgia Tech is ranked second in the nation in rushing yards, averaging 339.2 yards per game. Johnson’s flexbone offense has thrived through much of his 11-year tenure in Atlanta, but its production waned from 2015-17. This unit averaged 34.3, 33.6, 35.1 and 37.9 points per game from 2011-14, but those numbers were reduced to 29.3, 28.2 and 28.1 the past three seasons. The Yellow Jackets are scoring at a 36.4 PPG clip so far this year. Nevertheless, with a 2-3 record and an offense that can grow tiring for a fan base since it’s extremely lacking in homerun potential throwing the ball, Johnson is undoubtedly on the hot seat.

-- Marshall has connected on 30-of-63 passes (47.6%) for 543 yards with a 2/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has run for a team-best 382 yards and seven TDs with a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. Mason has run for 365 yards and three TDs while averaging 8.1 YPC, and Oliver has run for 318 yards and five TDs with a 6.9 YPC average. Senior A-back Clinton Lynch has seven receptions for 209 yards and two TDs, in addition to 57 rushing yards and one TD on 10 totes.

-- Georgia Tech is ranked No. 83 in the country in scoring defense (27.8 PPG), No. 53 in total defense, No. 51 at defending the pass and No. 57 in run defense. The Yellow Jackets have struggled to get pressure on the QB, sacking opposing QB only six times through five games. Senior DB Malik Rivera has shine on this unit, producing a team-high 25 tackles with two interceptions for 84 return yards.

-- Louisville (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) has won two of its three home games, but it has limped to a 1-2 spread record and basically just gave away a victory last week due to perhaps the most inept play-call of Petrino’s career. With U of L leading FSU 24-21 with just over two minutes to play, it took over possession on FSU’s 21 with the Seminoles having two timeouts remaining. In this situation, the worst-case scenario is to run it three times in a row and settle for a short field-goal attempt. Willie Taggart would have to use both timeouts and the clock would drip down to around 1:15 left by the time FSU took over without a timeout and most likely down by six points. Instead, Petrino called a pass play that was intercepted by A.J. Westbrook. Five plays later, FSU hit a long TD pass and got a defensive stop to capture a 28-24 victory. The Cardinals still took the cash as 5.5-point home underdogs, but they allowed a 14-point halftime advantage and a double-digit lead with less than 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter slip away.

-- U of L sophomore QB Jawon Pass completed 24-of-45 passes for 306 yards with two TD and two interceptions vs. FSU. He also had a 14-yard TD run to open the scoring. Senior WR Jaylen Smith, a first-team All-ACC selection last season, had five receptions for 100 yards. Dez Fitzpatrick had four catches for 45 yards and one TD, while Micky Crum had eight grabs for 47 yards and one TD. RB Trey Smith rushed for a team-best 70 yards on 14 carries.

-- Louisville had a 24-16 advantage in first downs over the ‘Noles and a 421-370 edge in total yards. FSU was plus two in turnover margin, however.

-- With Lamar Jackson as its starting QB the past two seasons, U of L averaged 42.5 and 38.1 PPG in 2016 and ’17, respectively. Through five games this year, the Cardinals are ranked No. 122 in the nation in scoring with a pedestrian 18.4 PPG average. They’re No. 120 in total offense, No. 112 in rushing yards and No. 102 in passing yards.

-- Louisville opened the season by losing to top-ranked Alabama by a 51-14 count down in Orlando. The Cardinals responded with back-to-back home victories (but non-covers) vs. Indiana State (31-7) and vs. Western Kentucky (20-17). They lost 27-3 at Virginia before last week’s meltdown.

-- Pass has completed merely 51.7 percent of his passes for 760 with an abysmal 4/7 TD-INT ratio. RS freshman QB Malik Cunningham has been given playing time under center as well. In fact, he’s rushed for a team-high 209 yards and one TD with a 4.9 YPC average. Cunningham has connected on 64.7 percent of his throws for 198 yards with a 1/1 TD-INT ratio. Jaylen Smith has 13 receptions for 224 yards and one TD, while Fitzpatrick has caught 14 balls for 168 yards and one TD. Trey Smith has run for 105 yards with a 4.4 YPC average.

-- Louisville has compiled a 3-2 spread record as a home underdog during Petrino’s second run at the school that started in 2014.

-- According to an SB Nation report on Tuesday, U of L would owe Petrino more than $14 million if it fires him during the 2018 season or right after it. Remember, it was recently-fired AD Tom Jurich who brought Petrino back to the school (after he bolted for the Atlanta Falcons less than a year after signing a 10-year contract) and extended his contract to 2023 after Jackson won the Heisman and the Cards went 9-4 in 2016. Amid the FBI investigation that led to basketball coach Rick Pitino being fired, Jurich was also fired but is owed more than $7 million from the school. Pitino has sued U of L to collect $37 million. Therefore, with the amount of money it would take to attract a quality new coach, the Cardinals appear to be stuck with Petrino. Like I said when Jurich decided to give Petrino a second chance, the school new it was getting into a bed with fleas.

-- Georgia Tech owns a 10-12-2 spread record in 24 games as a road favorite during Johnson’s 11 seasons on the job.

-- The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for U of L, 2-1 in its home contests. The Cardinals’ games have averaged combined scores of 44.4 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 3-2 overall for Georgia Tech, 1-1 in its two road outings. The Yellow Jackets have seen their games average combined scores of 64.2 PPG.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**Utah State at BYU**

-- As of Wednesday, most spots had BYU (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) listed as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 55. The Aggies were +120 on the money line (risk $100 to win $120).

-- Utah State (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for the Cougars, who are playing their sixth game in a six-week stretch. Since losing 38-31 at Michigan State as a 23.5-point road underdog in its season opener, Matt Wells’s squad has ripped off three consecutive wins both SU and ATS vs. New Mexico State (60-13), vs. Tennessee Tech (73-12) and vs. Air Force (42-32).

-- Utah State led 35-14 against the Falcons late in the third quarter, only to see them cut the deficit to three with an 18-0 run in less than six minutes of play. Air Force got a 21-yard scoop-and-score fumble return from Christopher Musselman with 13:00 remaining to make it 35-32. But the Aggies answered with Gerold Bright’s 70-yard TD run with 6:52 left to cover the spread. Sophomore QB Jordan Love completed 26-of-38 passes for 356 yards and two TDs without an interception. Bright rushed for 101 yards and two TDs on 11 carries, while junior RB Darwin Thompson had 34 rushing yards and two scores on six attempts. Senior WR Ron’quavion Tarver hauled in nine catches for 128 yards, and Dax Raymond caught four balls for 68 receiving yards and one TD.

-- Utah State is averaging 51.5 PPG to rank fourth in the nation in scoring. The Aggies are No. 31 in the country in total offense and No. 29 in passing yards.

-- Love has completed 66.7 percent of his throws for 1,070 yards with a 5/3 TD-INT ratio. Tarver has 22 receptions for 228 yards and Raymond has 15 catches for 210 yards and one TD. Bright has rushed for 288 yards and four TDs with a 7.2 YPC average, while Thompson has run for 265 yards and six TDs with a 9.5 YPC average.

-- During Wells’s six-year tenure, Utah State has produced an 8-12 ATS mark when playing in the road underdog role.

-- BYU has wins at Arizona (28-23), at Wisconsin (24-21) and vs. McNeese State (30-3), but it lost 21-18 vs. California as a 2.5-point home favorite in Week 2. The Cougars dropped a 35-7 decision at Washington as 18.5-point road underdogs last week. They managed merely 194 yards of total offense, averaged only 1.2 YPC and didn’t score until Lopini Katoa found paydirt on a one-yard plunge with just 41 ticks remaining. Tanner Mangum completed 18-of-21 throws but for only 160 passing yards. Katoa had seven catches for 66 yards, in addition to 27 rushing yards and one score on eight carries.

-- Making matters worse in last week’s defeat at UW, tight end Moroni Laulu-Pututau was lost to a season-ending knee injury. Laulu-Pututau had 14 catches for 120 yards and one TD.

-- Mangum was forced into the starting QB role in the season opener at Nebraska in 2015 when Taysom Hill sustained a season-ending leg injury. All he did in his freshman debut was successfully throw a Hail-Mary TD pass on the game's final play in Lincoln. He then created fourth-quarter heroics in a home win over Boise State. the next Saturday. Mangum posted a 23/10 TD-INT ratio and threw for 3,377 yards that campaign. Hill returned in ’16 and regained his starting role, limiting Mangum to mop-up duty. He became the starter again last year, but he completed just 57.2 percent of his throws for 1,540 yards with a 9/8 TD-INT ratio. Here in the first five games this season, Mangum has 772 passing yards and a 3/2 TD-INT ratio.

-- BYU is ranked No. 125 nationally in total offense, No. 116 in passing yards, No. 102 in rushing and No. 115 in scoring with its meager 21.4 PPG average.

-- BYU is 4-6 ATS in 10 games as a home favorite during Kalani Sitake’s three-year tenure.

-- The ‘under’ is a perfect 5-0 for BYU, 2-0 in its home games. The Cougars have seen their games produce an average combined score of 42.0 PPG. This is the second-highest total they've seen this year. The 51 combined points in their season-opening win at Arizona fell below the 58.5-point tally.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-0 for Utah State with its games averaging combined scores of 75.2 PPG.

-- ESPN2 will have the broadcast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Marshall (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) will play host to Middle Tennessee at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College Network. The Thundering Herd won 20-17 at Western Ky. last week thanks to a 32-yard TD pass from Isaiah Green to Tyre Brady with 1:44 remaining. Brady helped Green overcome three interceptions by making eight receptions for 162 yards and two TDs, including a 40-yard TD catch early in the first quarter. As of Tuesday, most spots had Doc Holliday’s team installed as a 6.5-point home ‘chalk’ with a total of 53. Rick Stockstill’s club improved to 2-2 both SU and ATS with last week’s 25-24 win over FAU as a 2.5-point home underdog. Stockstill chose to go for two after a potential tying TD late in the fourth quarter and the conversion was good when Brent Stockstill found Gatlin Casey with 38 ticks left. Since 2008, the Blue Raiders have limped to a 15-24-1 spread record as road underdogs.

-- FAU fell to 0-5 ATS in last week’s loss in Murfeesboro. The Owls are joined as winless for our purposes by other schools such as Nebraska (0-4 ATS), UConn (0-4-1) and UTSA (0-4-1).

-- The ATS Perfection Club is led by Washington State with its 5-0 spread record. West Virginia, FIU, Utah State, Appalachian State and Georgia Southern are 4-0 ATS, while Syracuse is 4-0-1 versus the number. App. State (and Utah State, as previously noted) has seen the ‘over’ go 4-0, while Georgia Southern has watched the ‘under’ hit at a 4-0 clip.

-- UNLV star QB Armani Rogers could be out up to six weeks with a broken toe, according to a report from the Las Vegas Review-Journal’s Mark Anderson (formerly of the Tallahassee Democrat WAYyyy back in the day). Rogers has completed just 41.5 percent of his passes for 369 yards with a 6/4 TD-INT ratio. However, the sophomore signal caller out of powerhouse Bishop Gorman HS, where Tony Sanchez coached before moving from the prep to the FBS level to take the UNLV gig, has rushed for a team-best 488 yards and six TDs with a 6.9 YPC average.

-- Something’s got to give with the total (55.5 pts.) in South Alabama’s road game at Georgia Southern. The ‘over’ is 5-0 for the USA Jaguars, who have seen combined scores of 56, 68, 72, 87 and 59. As noted earlier, the ‘under’ is perfect for the Eagles. USA is playing its third consecutive road game and is looking to avenge a 52-0 loss to the Eagles last year. In fact, Georgia Southern has beaten the Jags in all four meetings since moving up from FCS to the Sun Belt Conference.

-- Best wishes to Texas Tech true freshman QB Alan Bowman, who remains hospitalized with a partially collapsed lung sustained during last week’s 42-34 home loss to West Virginia. Likewise, we’re rooting hard for Tennessee State LB Christion Abercombie, who collapsed on the sidelines in last week’s narrow loss at Vanderbilt. Before collapsing, Abercrombie complained of a headache. He was rushed to nearby Vanderbilt Medical Center and underwent immediate emergency surgery on his brain. Abercrombie is reportedly showing small signs of progress but remains in Nashville in critical condition.

-- I’ve talked plenty on radio shows this week about James Franklin’s atrocious play call on fourth down at crunch time vs. Ohio State this past Saturday night, but I’ve yet to put anything about it in print here at VI. Until now, that is. My goodness, have you ever seen anything worse than that?! (This was worse than throwing on 1st and goal in the Seahawks-Patriots’ Super Bowl.) There are basically zero situations where you run the ball there on fourth and five unless you have Jim Brown, Earl Campbell and Barry Sanders lined up in the Power-I formation, right? But the circumstances were that PSU’s best player is QB Trace McSorley, who by the way, was more than capable of running or throwing for first-down yardage, especially if you call a play to get him out of the pocket. He’s your ‘horse,’ your senior leader and your Heisman Trophy candidate. And on the most important play of the season, you take the ball out of his hands? Hey, I’ve always liked Franklin and still do, but that was utterly insane! The dude literally lost his sanity at a time in which that’s not acceptable for any head coach at any level.

-- Boston College star RB A.J. Dillon is ‘questionable’ at N.C. State. and is expected to be a game-time decision. He had not practiced yet this week, as of Wednesday, due to the ankle injury suffered in last week’s 45-35 home win over Temple. Dillon is ranked tops in the ACC and third in the nation with 652 rushing yards. He’s in a 10th-place tie nationally in rushing TDs (six) and is averaging 6.2 YPC.

-- Stanford RB Bryce Love is ‘questionable’ with an ankle injury for a home game vs. Utah. The Cardinal is favored by five points over the Utes, who are 18-11 ATS in 29 games as road underdogs in the past decade.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DILLON A GAME-TIME DECISION

Boston College running back AJ Dillon is officially a game-time decision for Saturday's game against N.C. State. Dillion has been limited in practice since suffering an ankle injury that forced him out of last weekend's win over Temple after racking up 161 yards on the ground and two touchdowns. Head coach Steve Addazio remains optimistic that Dillon will return to action this weekend, but Dillon likely won't know if he's good to go until just before kickoff. Dillon ranks third in the country in rushing yards (652) and has six touchdowns through his first five games.

Dillon's absence not only impacts the Eagles' ability to cover as 5.5-point underdogs – up from a +3.5 opening – but also their shot at surpassing their totals. Pay particular attention to BC's first-quarter and first-half totals; Dillon has been truly dominant in the opening quarter this season, rushing for 373 yards and four TDs while averaging 7.6 YPC.


EASLY DOWN FOR THE COUNT

The North Texas Mean Green will have to make do without their top rushing threat for the remainder of the season. Redshirt junior Loren Easly suffered a leg injury against Louisiana Tech last weekend and has been ruled out for the rest of the year. It's a significant blow to a North Texas rush attack that averages just 4.01 yards per carry but has produced 11 touchdowns on the season. Easly ends the season with 386 rushing yards and four touchdowns on just 74 carries, and had put together back-to-back 100-yard games prior to the season-ending injury.

North Texas should still cruise past UTEP this Saturday, entering as a 27-point road favorite. But covering that massive spread just became a whole lot more difficult, even with the Miners allowing 222.4 rushing yards per game on 5.6 YPC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Oct 05 '18, 7:00 PM in 13m
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Louisville
Play on: UNDER 59 -110

FREE PLAY on Georgia Tech/Louisville under 59 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 05 '18, 7:00 PM in 13m
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Louisville
Play on: Georgia Tech -4 -110 at BMaker

1* on Georgia Tech -4 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Oct 05 '18, 7:00 PM in 13m
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Louisville
Play on: Georgia Tech -3 -115 at BMaker

1* Free Play on Georgia Tech -3 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Oct 05 '18, 7:30 PM in 43m
NCAA-F | Middle Tennessee State vs Marshall
Play on: UNDER 52 -110

Free Play on Middle Tennessee State vs Marshall under 52 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Oct 05 '18, 7:30 PM in 43m
NCAA-F | Middle Tennessee State vs Marshall
Play on: Middle Tennessee State +6 -110 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Middle Tennessee State +6 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capping Computer Oct 05 '18, 7:30 PM in 43m
MLB | NYY vs BOS
Play on: UNDER 8 +100

1* Computer Pick on Yankees vs Red Sox under 8 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Oct 05 '18, 7:30 PM in 43m
NCAA-F | Middle Tennessee State vs Marshall
Play on: Marshall -4 -105 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Marshall -4
I think we’re getting Marshall at a discount at home tonight against Middle Tennessee. This line has been bet down from 7 to 4 and it’s worth of a free play for Friday now. Marshall is 3-1 this season, and it’s only loss came to unbeaten NC State, which doesn’t look like a bad loss right now. Middle Tennessee has lost its two road games this year by 28 at Vanderbilt and by 42 at Georgia. Marshall is a very tough place to play, especially on a week night game here on National TV. Marshall has dominated Middle Tennessee each of the last two seasons. They won 42-17 at home as 8-point underdogs in 2016, and 38-10 on the road as 2-point favorites in 2017. They have 18 starters back this season and should continue their dominance of the Blue Raiders. Give me Marshall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Oct 05 '18, 7:30 PM in 43m
MLB | NYY vs BOS
Play on: UNDER 7½ -107

10* FREE MLB PICK (UNDER 7.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Friday's ALDS matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox. I think a lot of people just look at the talent these two teams have offensively and just assume it's going to be a high-scoring game no matter who is on the mound. With less than ideal scoring conditions (wind blowing in, temp in the mid to low 50s) and two really good pitchers on the mound, I don't see either offense putting up a big number in this one. New York will give the rock to J.A. Happ, who has been better than the Yankees could have ever dreamed of when they landed him in a trade. Happ is 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 starts since coming to New York. On the other side of this we have Chris Sale going for Boston and he's been a massive thorn in the Yankees' side. Sale has a 1.76 ERA and 0.894 WHIP in 14 career starts against New York and posted a 2.11 ERA in 12 home starts this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Oct 05 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs BYU
Play on: BYU -3 +105 at Bovada

Free Pick on BYU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Club Oct 05 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs BYU
Play on: UNDER 55½ -106

Utah State vs BYU Under 55.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Oct 05 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs BYU
Play on: Utah State +3 -115 at Bovada

1* Free Sharp Play on Utah State +3 -115
My money is on the Aggies to cash in a winning ticket against in-state rival BYU on Friday. This Utah State team is no joke. Their only loss on the season is a road defeat at Michigan State and they were in it until the end in a 31-38 loss as a 23.5-point dog. BYU has a great road win over the Badgers, but I feel that win has them overvalued here. The Aggies are the more talented team at just about every level of the field, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Utah State is averaging 51.5 ppg and 472 ypg, while the Cougars are only scoring 21.4 ppg and 295 ypg. BYU's defense and playing at home will likely allow them to keep it close early, but look for the Aggies to pull away late for the outright win. Bet Utah State +3!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Oct 05 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NHL | Sharks vs Kings
Play on: Sharks -115 at BMaker

Free Play on Sharks -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* MLB Total Lock

Cleveland vs. Houston, 10/05/2018 14:05 EDT

Total: +103/+6½ Under

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Two of the best pitchers in baseball square off in this one and usually it's not a great thing to back the under on games like that because you usually have a ton of public money backing it but that is not the case here.

Through 7219 tickets tracked just 37% of the tickets were under tickets but it made up for 53% of the cash so your big bettors are backing the under here and why not you have Corey Kluber who is 20-7 with a 2.89 ERA 222 strike outs and 34 walks and Justin Verlander who is near lights out with his 2.52 ERA and 290 strike outs.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games when playing on the road against Houston

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games


Invest 9 units on the under early Friday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chip Chirimbes
Chip's FREE MLB Winner

Cleveland vs. Houston, 10/05/2018 14:05 EDT

Money Line: +139 Cleveland

Sportsbook:
Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p)Sports

Cleveland at Houston 2:05 ET
Indians over Astros- Although I believe Houston is the best in the AL and that Cleveland has the smallest of all chances to get to the AL World Series I think this is the spot to take the Indians. It's not like they are on the warpath or anything as they have actually had a really nondescript season but will have a hot hand on the mound as Cory Kluber (20-7, 2.89 ERA) who is 1-0 in his last six starts with a 1.35 ERA against Houston. Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52) closed 3-0 with a 1.09 ERA in September but is just 4-7 with a 2.84 ERA at Minute Maid Park where he gave up 18 homers. Take CLEVELAND!

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 MLB Free Pick

Colorado vs. Milwaukee, 10/05/2018 16:15 EDT

Money Line: -150 Milwaukee

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: last game at home before heading to Colorado for 2 straight! Brew crew can’t afford to lose the advantage and drop a home game, making Milwaukee my mlb free pick !

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VIP Sports Picks Las Vegas

MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑180

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Valley Sports

NCAA Football UTAH STATE AGGIES +2.5

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NCAA Football UTAH STATE AGGIES/BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS o55

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NCAA Football UTAH STATE AGGIES/BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS o55

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NCAA Football MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS +4.5 ‑120

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MLB COLORADO ROCKIES +145

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NCAA Football MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS +6

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Pure Lock

NCAA Football MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD ‑4 ‑105

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R and R Totals

NCAA Football MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS/MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD u50

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Best Sports Capper

NHL SAN JOSE SHARKS ‑110

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First Half Sports

NHL SAN JOSE SHARKS ‑110

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MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑155

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MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑220

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Pinnacle Sports Picks

MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑155

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MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑180

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MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑220

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MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑155

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MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑220

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Tys Terrific Tips

NCAA Football MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD ‑4

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Vegas Investment Picks

MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS +135

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Top Dog

MLB NEW YORK YANKEES +160