Sunday 10-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

10/07/18, BEL, Race 2, 2.04 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
INNER TURF (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 26.98, $1 ROI 0.94, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 1 Free Kitty 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JL
099.8424 7 Sunshine Gal 15-1 Lezcano J Gargan Danny FW
099.6655 3 Amazing Audrey 5/2 Castellano J Gargan Danny
099.1377 2 My Girl Annie 4-1 Rider TBA Levine Bruce N.
097.1331 9 Naples Legacy 12-1 Davis D Maker Michael J. C
096.3665 5 Muchacha Uno 4-1 Franco M Abreu Jorge R.
095.9350 4 Hera 8-1 Rosario J Kimmel John C. E
095.5295 8 Lemon Zip 15-1 Rose J Saville Niall
095.4500 11 Codrington 10-1 Alvarado J Maker Michael J. S
094.5824 10 Classic Lady 6-1 Cohen D Rubley Kelly
093.3222 6 Miss Jen 8-1 Cancel E Ryerson James T.
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 26.05, $1 ROI 0.80, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 1 Free Kitty 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda L
099.1258 3 Amazing Audrey 5/2 Castellano J Gargan Danny JF
098.4938 11 Codrington 10-1 Alvarado J Maker Michael J. S
097.6803 7 Sunshine Gal 15-1 Lezcano J Gargan Danny W
097.3884 9 Naples Legacy 12-1 Davis D Maker Michael J. C
097.3391 2 My Girl Annie 4-1 Rider TBA Levine Bruce N.
097.0150 5 Muchacha Uno 4-1 Franco M Abreu Jorge R.
096.2222 4 Hera 8-1 Rosario J Kimmel John C. E
095.9607 10 Classic Lady 6-1 Cohen D Rubley Kelly
094.3781 6 Miss Jen 8-1 Cancel E Ryerson James T.
092.4423 8 Lemon Zip 15-1 Rose J Saville Niall

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 74

FOR NATIVE FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PINTORELLA 2/1

# 3 VIVIANA'S EMPRESS 3/1

# 5 VENTURITA 5/1

I've got to go with PINTORELLA. She is worth a look given that the handler wins 31 percent of his races with two-year olds, which is clearly among the best in the race. Her earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at her. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. VIVIANA'S EMPRESS - Looks to beat this field if you believe at all in pedigree - big sire progeny edge having Sudden Thunder as this filly's father. Must be in good condition if the handler is bringing her back so quickly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $12960 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (COLTS AND


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM 15/1

# 7 MARRIAGE COUNSELOR 3/1

# 2 UNO CHAMP 5/2

HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM looks like the bet in here especially at a such a nice price. His 76 average has this gelding with among the top Speed Figures for this event. This gelding is a definite contender based on his earnings per start in turf route events. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group as of late. MARRIAGE COUNSELOR - Maker has a sound 17 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Ran a solid last race. UNO CHAMP - Could best this field based on the speed figure - 76 - of his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #2 - Post: 1:43pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 MR SHEEN (ML=6/1)
#3 SPIRIT LOVE (ML=9/5)


MR SHEEN - Hunt brings him back again. I advocate you stay with this live gelding. Good return on investment for this jock and handler duo. Look at this pattern of improvement. 70/79/81 are the last 3 speed figs. This gelding should be in top form, this far into his form cycle. SPIRIT LOVE - Looking at today's class rating, this racer is meeting an easier field than last time out at Gulfstream Park. You have to really like that most recent race speed rating, 87, which is the highest most recent race fig of this group. Recent Equibase speed figs show powerful pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SHIM (ML=3/1), #7 STRAIGHTAWAY MAY (ML=4/1), #2 QUINIENTOS (ML=6/1),

SHIM - If he goes off anywhere near the M/L odds of 3/1, I'll have to pass. STRAIGHTAWAY MAY - Could be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. QUINIENTOS - In any contest of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been on the board in short distance races recently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 MR SHEEN to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
Mountaineer Park - Race 4

First Half $2 Mid Daily Double (Races 4 -5) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $6,300 • Post: 8:06P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MAXINE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAXINE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SAVE THE PARK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
MAXINE
1/2

2/1
8
SAVE THE PARK
6/1

4/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
MAXINE
2

1/2
Stalker
75

82

73.2

71.4

68.9
8
SAVE THE PARK
8

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
98

100

55.6

57.7

51.7
3
LOVEYOU LIKETHAT
3

10/1
Trailer
70

57

39.6

65.8

56.3
4
BAKIN' WITH CINDY
4

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
67

57

50.2

50.2

43.7
6
RED LITE NITE
6

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70

59

54.2

49.6

42.6
5
MY ANGEL MY SAINT
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70

54

35.6

45.6

33.6
1
DAISY N PARADISE
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
65

52

31.6

47.7

35.7
7
LOOKOUTBOYS
7

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

51

24.8

49.6

34.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows
Prairie Meadows - Race 6

Win, Place &Show (17% Takeout), Exacta, Quinella .10 Superfecta (20% Takeout), .50 Trifecta (23% Takeout) .50 Pick 3 (19% Takeout)


Claiming $7,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 3:10P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $5,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. IOWA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HOT SHOT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GO STREAK LIGHTNING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PAINT ME A RUNAWAY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. SFS MISS MAESTRO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. FAST EDDYS EYEYINYOU: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
HOT SHOT
2/1

9/2
2
GO STREAK LIGHTNING
8/1

6/1
3
PAINT ME A RUNAWAY
3/1

9/1
5
SFS MISS MAESTRO
4/1

9/1
1
FAST EDDYS EYEYINYOU
7/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
FAST EDDYS EYEYINYOU
1

7/2
Average
78

68

4.0

0.0

0.0
2
GO STREAK LIGHTNING
2

8/1
Average
82

79

4.5

0.0

0.0
3
PAINT ME A RUNAWAY
3

3/1
Average
74

71

4.5

0.0

0.0
4
HOT SHOT
4

2/1
Slow
87

77

6.4

0.0

0.0
5
SFS MISS MAESTRO
5

4/1
Fast
78

71

1.4

0.0

0.0
6
JJSIR JAMES
6

10/1
Slow
67

77

6.4

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 HONORABLE SERVICE (ML=8/1)
#6 ROSSIE VAL (ML=20/1)
#1A GREED IS GOOD (ML=3/1)


HONORABLE SERVICE - The September 25th affair at Parx Racing was at a class level of (92). Dropping to a lower class rank significantly, so he should be in a good spot. Forgive the outside the top 3 finish on the off track in the last race. On a fast track, has a good chance right here. ROSSIE VAL - He has the highest earnings per race. Take a long look at this thoroughbred. I really like sprinters that make a quick turnaround. Dropping 5 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. GREED IS GOOD - This gelding is sent through the entry box right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. This gelding is in good physical condition, having run a strong race on September 29th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AIMED (ML=3/2), #2X ACT OF MADNESS (ML=3/2), #1 AVALANCHE ROCK (ML=3/1),

AIMED - Improbable that the speed rating he earned on August 25th will hold up in this contest. ACT OF MADNESS - This thoroughbred just hasn't looked sharp lately. AVALANCHE ROCK - Hard to play a horse that cannot even win one time in his last ten races. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last couple of efforts. Current form is somewhat in question after the addition of wraps in the September 8th event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 HONORABLE SERVICE on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/07/18, SA, Race 8, 4.15 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $30,000.
Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $5,000 To $40,000 1 lb. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 71.43, $1 ROI 1.81, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 7 Concord Jet 8-1 Fuentes L A Koriner Brian J. T
098.5763 1 Poppy's C Note 8-1 Roman E A Miyadi Steven FEC
097.7427 5 Stay in Yo Lane 5/2 Delgadillo A O'Neill Doug F.
097.3466 6 Starring John Wain(b+) 4-1 Espinoza A Hollendorfer Jerry
095.1054 9 Forestation 20-1 Franco G Kruljac J. Eric J
095.0310 8 S On My Chest 8-1 Conner T Carava Jack
095.0184 3 Unplayable(b+) 12-1 Maldonado E A Machowsky Michael W
094.2740 2 Calder Vale 8-1 Vergara. Jr. O Zamora Ricardo
094.0728 4 I Belong to Becky 3-1 Pereira T J Palma Hector O. L

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Titans vs. Bills Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Tennessee Titans play nothing but close games, and they're getting pretty good at coming out on the winning side. The Titans will try to avoid a letdown after knocking off the defending Super Bowl champions in overtime last week when they visit the inconsistent Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

Tennessee dropped the opener 27-20 at Miami but picked up three-point wins over Houston, Jacksonville and Philadelphia in the next three, with quarterback Marcus Mariota putting together one of the best games of his young career in the 26-23 overtime triumph over the Eagles, and the team is trying to keep that momentum going. "When you have a group of veterans like this team has, we should be fine," linebacker Brian Orakpo told reporters. "We are going to carry ourselves as professionals, get ready for the Bills - it's a new challenge, so erase the Philly game. We don't want to worry about the "trap game" and all that other noise that comes with it." The Bills are trying to erase the negative momentum after getting shut out at Green Bay last week, when they looked like a different team from the one that earned a 27-6 victory at Minnesota the previous week. "(The) offense wasn't good enough at all," Buffalo coach Sean McDermott told reporters. "Bottom line. Not good enough. Running game, passing game, hits on the quarterback."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Titans -5. O/U: 39

ABOUT THE TITANS (3-1): Mariota was named the AFC's offensive player of the week after passing for 344 yards and two TDs and adding a rushing score against the Eagles. Mariota, who has been dealing with an elbow injury since the opener, is trying to be smart about when he leaves the pocket on a rushing attempt. "I just play within myself," Mariota told reporters. "I think when you start to think about it, it becomes unnatural and you tend to not play like yourself. I just play instinctively. I've just kind of trusted what I've done my entire career. Being able to move around in the pocket, or attack and get some yards down the field, it's also being smart and getting down. But, those things to me are very instinctive."



ABOUT THE BILLS (1-3): Buffalo running back LeSean McCoy is having a tough time on and off the field, with news breaking on Wednesday that he is the subject of a lawsuit claiming domestic violence against an ex-girlfriend, in addition to his struggles running the ball. McCoy battled nagging rib and hand injuries through the first four weeks while totaling 85 yards on 21 carries and getting him more involved in the offense is a priority. "The coaches know," McCoy told reporters. "They know when to get the ball to every player. We're just trying to figure it out. It's hard to get the ball a lot. I mean, it's hard considering that the defense comes in to play Buffalo offense, the main guy you want to stop is McCoy."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Titans S Kenny Vaccaro (elbow) was ruled out for Sunday and could miss "a few weeks," according to coach Mike Vrabel.

2. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been sacked an NFL-high 18 times and is completing 53.4 percent of his passes - 33rd in the league.

3. Tennessee WR Corey Davis recorded career highs of nine catches and 161 yards while hauling in his first TD last week.

PREDICTION: Titans 17, Bills 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Broncos vs. Jets Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The New York Jets put up 48 points in a Week 1 win but totaled 41 points in dropping their last three contests as rookie quarterback Sam Darnold goes through some growing pains. Darnold and the Jets will try to find some consistency on offense and get back into the win column when they host the Denver Broncos on Sunday.

Darnold completed 50 percent of his passes and averaged a season-low 4.91 yards per attempt in a 31-12 loss at Jacksonville last week but believes he is close to turning the corner. "Obviously, it's not the outcome we wanted, but I'm feeling more and more confident as a quarterback in the NFL," Darnold told reporters. "It was very assuring to watch the game film and see how much I've grown, but also all the stuff that I need to work on." The Broncos have plenty to work on as well after squandering a lead at home to the rival Kansas City Chiefs on Monday - their second consecutive loss after two wins to open the season - but they are not discouraged. "This team's just better - period -from a year ago," Denver cornerback Chris Harris Jr. told reporters. "We're mentally tough. Every game's been a dogfight. We've been right there. Just a couple plays, a couple little minor details, things that we can fix, and we're going to be all right."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Even. O/U: 42.5.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2-2): Denver is second in the league in rushing at an average of 148.3 yards but struggled to run the ball late on Monday, when it needed to run down the play clock. The Broncos managed just six yards on the ground in the fourth quarter after totaling 153 in the first three periods. "I thought we had great plans, but the bottom line in these tough games, we have to be our best as coaches," head coach Vance Joseph told reporters. "You can call a great game for three and a half quarters, but for half a quarter, when the game is on the line, we've got to be our best. That's my job to help our players pull these games out, because our players are playing hard."


​​​​​​​

ABOUT THE JETS (1-3): Darnold and the offense are getting most of the questions, but the defense is looking for improvement as well after allowing the Jaguars 503 yards of total offense. New York is tied for third in the NFL with 10 forced turnovers but believes it can be better and is instituting weekly players-only meetings for the defense. "I think that's something that is very subtle but it's key and it's something that we need to do, just to understand what the other guys are thinking on the defense to where we can be on the same page and to where we're clicking on all cylinders," safety Jamal Adams said during a radio appearance on WFAN. "So, every Friday, starting this Friday, there will be a meeting just to get on the same page, man, so we can go out there and fly around and win ballgames."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Broncos RT Jared Veldheer (knee) and P Marquette King (thigh) are questionable.

2. Jets RB Isaiah Crowell was held to zero yards on four carries last week after rushing for a pair of scores in Week 3.

3. Denver shut out New York 23-0 at home last December - its third straight win in the series.

PREDICTION: Broncos 24, Jets 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Falcons vs. Steelers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

A pair of teams that entered the season with high hopes find themselves in desperate need of a victory when the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. It's a matchup of two of the NFL's most prolific passing games - and two of the league's softest pass defenses.

The Steelers seemingly have been plagued by something different each week - six turnovers in a season-opening tie at Cleveland, a suspect secondary in a Week 2 loss to Kansas City and a punchless offense in last week's 26-14 setback against Baltimore. "It's been a number of things, and that's what we are searching for. We are searching for a winning level of consistency across all areas," Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin told reporters. "That's what is required to win in this league on a consistent basis." Each of Atlanta's four games has been decided by seven points or fewer, and the three losses have come by a total of 13. The Falcons have allowed the tying or winning score in the final three minutes of regulation in each of their defeats.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Steelers -3. O/U: 58

ABOUT THE FALCONS (1-3): Atlanta's ground game should get a boost from the return of running back Devonta Freeman, who has been sidelined since the first half of the season opener with a knee injury. The offense isn't the side of the ball where the Falcons need help, though, as Matt Ryan has passed for 1,316 yards with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions while taking advantage of a dynamic receiving corps led by Julio Jones. The defense has been decimated by injuries, with three starters on injured reserve, and faces another tough test against Pittsburgh's passing attack.



ABOUT THE STEELERS (1-2-1): Ben Roethlisberger leads the league with 1,414 passing yards, but the bad news for the Steelers is it's due in large part to the defense's shortcomings. Pittsburgh has found itself playing catch-up too often, and the offense also has leaned on the pass a bit more with star running back Le'Veon Bell holding out for a new contract. The defense has been torched for an average of 451 total yards over the last three games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Jones will be playing in his 100th career game and already has more receiving yards (9,556) and 100-yard performances (41) than any NFL player has recorded through 100 contests.

2. Pittsburgh WR JuJu Smith-Schuster has topped 100 receiving yards in four of his last five games dating to last season.

3. Falcons WR Calvin Ridley has six touchdown receptions - the most in NFL history for a rookie in his first four games.

PREDICTION: Steelers 30, Falcons 28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

Two teams trying to shake up the status quo in the AFC tangle Sunday, when the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs host the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Chiefs are the only remaining unbeaten team in the AFC, while the Jaguars already have an impressive win over New England to their credit and could further solidify themselves as a Super Bowl contender with a victory at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs have emerged as one of the league's most exciting teams thanks to second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who has thrown 14 touchdown passes without an interception to begin his first season as a starter and led a fourth-quarter comeback in Monday night's 27-23 victory at Denver. "Right now, he is playing better than any quarterback has ever played. He is an MVP quarterback," Jaguars coach Doug Marrone told reporters. "The question is what he can't do. I don't know. I don't think words can really put in perspective how great he is playing. That is really all there is to it." While Kansas City is built around an explosive offense, Jacksonville possesses the NFL's top defense and has allowed a league-low 657 passing yards in four games. "They have a great scheme. They do a lot of things really well," Mahomes told reporters. "They do a lot of the same stuff, but they do it at a very high, pristine (level). They have a ton of talent over there. We have to utilize our offense and our weapons and try to do what we can to attack them."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chiefs -3. O/U: 49

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (3-1): Jacksonville's defense is nasty, holding opponents to 259.3 total yards and 14 points per game - both league-best marks. The pass defense has been especially stingy, with outspoken cornerback Jalen Ramsey anchoring a secondary that hasn't allowed more than 220 yards through the air this season. Blake Bortles has developed into a capable quarterback, but the Jaguars have to take better care of the ball - they have committed seven turnovers in four games - to graduate to Super Bowl favorite status.



ABOUT THE CHIEFS (4-0): Mahomes has stolen the spotlight, but he's surrounded by talent on the NFL's top-ranked offense. Kareem Hunt quietly has put together another strong start to the season while speedster Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce are producing big numbers in the passing game. The Chiefs rank last in the league in total defense and 25th in scoring defense, but they've improved each week on that side of the ball and are close to getting back safety Eric Berry from an Achilles injury.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette (hamstring) will not play Sunday.

2. Mahomes is the sixth quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 300 yards without an interception in three consecutive games.

3. Jacksonville has been penalized 35 times for 354 yards, second-most in the NFL.

PREDICTION: Chiefs 27, Jaguars 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Packers vs. Lions Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

Aaron Rodgers and coach Mike McCarthy insist they are on the same page as the Green Bay Packers visit the Detroit Lions on Sunday in a matchup of NFC North rivals. Rodgers took some not-so-subtle shots at McCarthy's offensive game plan following last weekend's 22-0 victory over Buffalo.

Rodgers questioned the play-calling and the use of playmakers after a contest in which Green Bay outgained Buffalo 423-145. "It starts with good communication and being honest with each other, and then hugging it out afterwards," Rodgers told reporters regarding his frank assessment of the offense. "There's frustration in this business, and that's what Mike always says, conflict is good. You've got to keep the conversation going, we have to find ways to be more efficient on offense." The Lions are allowing an average of 28.5 points, with a stellar 26-10 victory over New England representing their lone stingy defensive effort. Stopping the run was the problem in last weekend's 26-24 loss to Dallas as Ezekiel Elliott gained 152 of his team's 183 rushing yards.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Packers -1. O/U: 51

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-1-1): Rodgers has passed for 1,130 yards with seven touchdowns and one interception, but he may be missing his top three receivers against the Lions as Davante Adams (calf), Randall Cobb (hamstring) and Geronimo Allison (concussion) are battling injuries. "It's about those guys taking advantage of their opportunity," McCarthy told reporters of rookies Marquez Valdes-Scantling, J'Mon Moore and Equanimeous St. Brown. "They're getting better. You're seeing it in practice. ... It's not about learning the plays of the game plan, but it's also about progressing with the opportunity to compete." The defense is allowing 20.8 points per game and cornerback Ha Ha Clinton-Dix is tied for the NFL lead with three interceptions.


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ABOUT THE LIONS (1-3): Detroit is averaging 23.5 points behind Matthew Stafford (1,202 yards, eight touchdowns, five interceptions) while coach Matt Patricia is declining to give more work to impressive rookie running back Kerryon Johnson (216 yards, 5.7 average). "I think we have a lot of really good running backs, and I think we try to use them appropriately," Patricia told reporters. "I think Kerryon played a significant amount of the game. He played 20 snaps (of 53 plays), that's a good amount." Linebacker Devon Kennard is leading the defensive charge with four sacks while defensive end Ezekiel Ansah (shoulder) could return after a three-game absence.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Lions won both meetings last season by a cumulative 65-28 score, with Rodgers missing both contests.

2. Detroit CB Quandre Diggs is wearing a cast on the left hand he injured against Dallas but is hopeful of being cleared to play.

3. Green Bay LB Kyler Fackrell recorded a career-best three sacks against Buffalo.

PREDICTION: Packers 30, Lions 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Dolphins vs. Bengals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Cincinnati Bengals haven't been shy about putting points on the scoreboard en route to winning three of their first four games, while the Miami Dolphins failed to generate any semblance of an offense in their last outing to fall for the first time in four contests. The Bengals and Dolphins bid to improve to 4-1 at the other's expense on Sunday when the teams meet at Paul Brown Stadium.

Cincinnati has erupted for an NFL fourth-best 126 points under offensive coordinator Bill Lazor, who held the same position with Miami before joining the Bengals as a quarterbacks coach in 2016. Andy Dalton, who has thrown for an NFL second-best 11 touchdowns, connected on a last-second 13-yard scoring strike to A.J. Green in a thrilling 37-36 victory over Atlanta last Sunday. There was nothing thrilling about Miami's last outing, as the Dolphins followed up single-digit wins in their first three games with a 38-7 clunker versus New England. "We didn't sugarcoat a whole bunch," coach Adam Gase said about the team's film review. "Nothing went right. Nothing we did was good. It just was not a good game."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Bengals -5.5. O/U: 48.5

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (3-1): Quarterback Ryan Tannehill fell on top of the proverbial grenade by telling reporters that "as the leader of this offense, we go as I go, so I've got to be better." The 30-year-old was right as he fell to 10-2 in his last 12 starts after throwing for just 100 passing yards with an interception and a fumble versus the Patriots. An injury-riddled interior of the offensive line is a sore spot, as top free-agent guard Josh Sitton, center Daniel Kilgore and reserve Jake Brendel are all on injured reserve already. Former New York Jets center Wesley Johnson was signed following a tryout this week while Ted Larsen has struggled in a bid to replace Sitton over the last few weeks.


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ABOUT THE BENGALS (3-1): While Green has an NFL second-best five touchdown receptions, fellow wideout Tyler Boyd leads the team in catches (26), targets (36) and receiving yards (349) after grabbing a career-high 11 balls versus the Falcons. "The guy's a football player, he's a playmaker, he's smart, he has great abilities physically, which is obviously showing up and what showed up Sunday," Lazor said. Cincinnati hopes to see the return of Joe Mixon in the backfield, as the second-year running back has been practicing 2 1/2 weeks removed from arthroscopic knee surgery. Fellow running back Gio Bernard has flourished in the last two games, rolling up 130 rushing yards and three touchdowns to go along with nine catches for 52 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Miami RB Frank Gore, who caught Tannehill's lone touchdown pass last week, gashed Cincinnati for 101 scrimmage yards (82 rushing, 19 receiving) in last year's encounter with Indianapolis.

2. Bengals DT Geno Atkins has recorded a sack in each of his last three games and has 3.5 in his past three meetings with the Dolphins.

3. Miami LB Kiko Alonso has recorded 12 or more tackles in three straight games.

PREDICTION: Bengals 28, Dolphins 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Ravens vs. Browns Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Cleveland Browns have already matched their victory total from the past two seasons combined and will try to turn the tables on an old nemesis when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday in an AFC North matchup. Rookie Baker Mayfield will make his second career start as Cleveland seeks to end a five-game slide against the Ravens.

Baltimore has won 18 of the past 20 meetings in the series, but Ravens defensive coordinator Don Martindale wants his team to know these are not the same old Browns, comparing the No. 1 overall draft pick to two of the NFL's all-time greats. "I already told the defense this -- I think Baker Mayfield is this generation's Brett Favre or John Elway, if you will," Martindale said. "Obviously, he's playing well because they scored 42 points last week against Oakland, and they're (in) the top five of scoring offense." Cleveland offensive coordinator Todd Haley sought to quell the hype surrounding Mayfield, knowing the Browns face a daunting challenge against a Baltimore defense that has surrendered 14 points or fewer in each of its three wins. "I'm excited about a lot of things he's doing, but like I said, this week will be a real test," Haley said of Mayfield. "We'll know a lot more come Sunday evening."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Ravens -3. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE RAVENS (3-1): Joe Flacco continued his strong start to the season by throwing for two touchdowns and 363 yards in last week's 26-14 win at Pittsburgh, pushing his season total to 1,252 yards. While Baltimore's overhauled wide receiving corps of John Brown, Willie Snead and Michael Crabtree has combined for 33 receptions and five touchdowns, the passing attack could get a further boost with rookie tight end Hayden Hurst expected to make his NFL debut. Starting running back Alex Collins missed practice Thursday, although the team termed his absence as precautionary. The Ravens rank second overall in total defense, allowing 275.8 yards per game.



ABOUT THE BROWNS (1-2-1): Mayfield has provided an undeniable spark to Cleveland's offense, putting up 63 points in six-plus quarters, but he also showed the downside of a rookie quarterback by committing four turnovers in his first start. Another rookie, Nick Chubb, scored on touchdown runs of 63 and 41 yards at Oakland and is line for more playing time in the backfield behind Carlos Hyde, who rushed for 82 yards last week and scored his fifth touchdown. Starting wideouts Jarvis Landry and Antonio Callaway each practiced on a limited basis Thursday after sitting out Wednesday and are expected to play. Cleveland's defense ranks 24th against the pass (278.3 yards).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Flacco has 11 touchdowns passes and five interceptions in his last six games versus Cleveland.

2. Browns DE Myles Garrett has 4.0 sacks, three tackles for loss and three forced fumbles in his last three division games.

3. Ravens CB Jimmy Smith will make his season debut after serving a four-game suspension.

PREDICTION: Ravens 23, Browns 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Giants vs. Panthers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Carolina Panthers are rested, relatively healthy and feature some potentially impactful new faces as they prepare to host the New York Giants on Sunday. After defeating Cincinnati 31-21 in Week 3, the Panthers enjoyed a bye week before beginning a stretch in which they play three straight NFC East teams.

The Panthers' organization made some news during the off week by signing safety Eric Reid, who was the first player to join Colin Kaepernick in kneeling during the national anthem and has a grievance filed with the league. "He's a great player. We have great players in this locker room, and we've accepted him with open arms," quarterback Cam Newton told reporters of Reid, a one-time Pro Bowler with 10 interceptions in 70 career games. "For him to be on our team is a great thing." The Giants have been unable to get their offense going and are coming off a 33-18 home loss to New Orleans last week. They've lost their last two games against the Panthers in 2013 and 2015, giving up 38 points both times.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Panthers -7. O/U: 44.5

ABOUT THE GIANTS (1-3): New York enters the week ranked 29th in scoring (18.3 points per game) and star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has gone without a touchdown while averaging a career-low 10.7 yards per catch. "It's not all about just throwing it deep every play; that's not the answer to our solution," quarterback Eli Manning told reporters. "I know that's what everybody wants to do. It's an easy thing to say, 'Yeah, we'll throw it deep and all of our problems will be fixed.' It's still about finding completions and when you do throw it down the field, completing it." Rookie running back Saquon Barkley has been a spark with 260 rushing yards, 193 receiving yards and four total TDs.


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ABOUT THE PANTHERS (2-1): Newton has five passing TDs and two more on the ground over the last two games and he's completing 67.4 percent of his passes, well over his career mark of 58.7. He and running back Christian McCaffrey have combined for 407 yards on the ground for the NFL's top rushing attack (166 yards per game). Tight end Greg Olsen (foot) will miss his third straight game but has increased activity in practice with the goal of returning in Week 6 at Washington, and wide receiver Curtis Samuels (chest) is expected to make his season debut Sunday.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Carolina has won seven straight home games.

2. Giants LB Olivier Vernon (ankle) is expected to make his season debut.

3. New York has committed the fewest penalties (18) in the league. Carolina is tied for second on that list with 19.

PREDICTION: Panthers 28, Giants 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oakland Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Raiders vs. Chargers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

Two quarterbacks with penchants for airing out the ball square off Sunday as the Los Angeles Chargers host the Oakland Raiders in a matchup between AFC West rivals. San Diego's Philip Rivers ranks among the top signal-callers in the NFL in several categories this season while Oakland's Derek Carr is one of the league leaders in passing yards through four games.

Rivers enters Week 5 ranked sixth in the NFL with a 110.8 passer rating and is tied for second with 11 touchdown tosses for the Chargers, who evened their record with a 29-27 home triumph over San Francisco last week. The 36-year-old threw for 250 yards - and three scores - in the victory to increase his career total to 51,504, moving him past John Elway for eighth place on the all-time list. Carr is fourth in the league this year with 1,373 passing yards after registering 437 and four TDs on 35-of-58 passing in Oakland's 45-42 overtime triumph over visiting Cleveland last Sunday. It was the first victory of the second coaching stint with the Raiders for Jon Gruden, who guided the team to a 7-3 record against the Chargers during his first tenure.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -5. O/U: 52.5

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (1-3): Marshawn Lynch rushed for 130 yards in last week's win, his highest total since joining the Raiders for the 2017 season following a one-year retirement. The 32-year-old native of Oakland, who was limited in practice on Thursday due to a reported shoulder injury - although the team lists him as having an abdominal issue - ran for 101 yards twice last year, including at Los Angeles in the season finale. Safety Reggie Nelson made his 37th career interception last week, which is tops among active players, while Jared Cook leads all NFL tight ends with 370 receiving yards after gaining 110 on eight catches against the Browns.


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ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2-2): Los Angeles possesses a pair of dual threats in the backfield as running backs Melvin Gordon (475) and Austin Ekeler (351) are the only teammates in the league at their position this season that have each recorded at least 350 yards from scrimmage. Gordon, who ran for 104 yards against San Francisco and gained another 55 on seven receptions, has scored five touchdowns (three rushing) in his last three games. Antonio Gates made his first TD catch of the year last week to raise his career total to 115, which is the most by a tight end in NFL history.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Raiders placed veteran T Donald Penn (groin) on injured reserve and signed OL Ian Silberman.

2. Los Angeles changed punters this week, coaxing Donnie Jones out of retirement to replace Drew Kaser, who was waived.

3. Oakland WR/PR Dwayne Harris was named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week after recording 98 yards on five punt returns versus Cleveland, including a 49-yarder that was the team's longest since 2010.

PREDICTION: Chargers 37, Raiders 31

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Rams vs. Seahawks Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

The Los Angeles Rams are owners of a 4-0 start for the first time since 2001 as they venture to the Pacific Northwest to take on the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. The Rams are off to the franchise's best start since opening with six straight wins while being located in St. Louis in 2001, a season that ended with a loss in the Super Bowl to New England.

Quarterback Jared Goff laughs when people ask if he is surprised to be 4-0 - "No. Were we planning to be bad?" - but also feels the team has the proper perspective of the success. "I think a lot of people on this team being part of that team two years ago understand how easy it is to be on the other side of it, and you don't ever want to go back there," Goff told reporters in reference to a 4-12 campaign. "You understand the work that needs to be put in to stay where you're at, and I think we all understand that." While the Rams are one of two unbeaten teams in the NFL, with Kansas City being the other, the Seahawks are trying not to lose their tag as the kings of the NFC West as the 42-7 defeat they suffered against Los Angeles in December still is at the forefront of their minds. "They beat us. That was 2017. This is 2018," Seattle middle linebacker Bobby Wagner told reporters. "You're not going to do it again. That's kind of my mindset. And I'm not hurt like I was last year, so that's going to be different."

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Seahawks -7. O/U: 50.5

ABOUT THE RAMS (4-0): Goff is off to a terrific start with 1,406 yards, 11 touchdowns and two interceptions while helping the Rams average 35 points (second in the NFL) and a league-best 468.5 yards per game. Standout running back Todd Gurley (338 yards, four touchdowns) torched the Seahawks for a career-best four touchdowns (three rushing, one receiving) and 180 total yards (152 rushing, 28 receiving) in the previous meeting. Defensive tackle Aaron Donald registered three sacks and a forced fumble in the last meeting and remains the star attraction for a defense that ranks fifth in the NFL in scoring defense (16.8).


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ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (2-2): Russell Wilson has passed for 888 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions this season but averaged just 170 yards in last season's two meetings with the Rams. Mike Davis pumped some life into the running game with a career-best 101 yards and two touchdowns in last weekend's 20-17 triumph over Arizona, but Chris Carson (team-high 177 yards) could miss his second straight contest with a hip injury. Defensive end Frank Clark and defensive tackle Jarran Reed share the team lead with three sacks apiece.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Rams WR Cooper Kupp established career highs of nine receptions, 162 yards and two touchdowns in last week's 38-31 victory over Minnesota.

2. Los Angeles ILB Marc Barron (Achilles) could play for the first time since being injured in December.

3. Seattle OLB K.J. Wright (knee) will miss his fifth straight game, S Earl Thomas (leg) and TE Will Dissly (knee) were placed on injured reserve and OLB Mychal Kendricks was suspended indefinitely by the NFL due to his guilty plea on insider trading charges.

PREDICTION: Rams 33, Seahawks 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 5th October 2018 by Gracenote
Cardinals vs. 49ers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/05/2018

The Arizona Cardinals have a solid chance to register their first victory of the season when they visit the injury-riddled San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. Arizona, which has lost its last two games by a total of five points after being outscored 58-6 in its first two contests, has won six consecutive meetings with San Francisco.

Rookie quarterback Josh Rosen made his first career start in last week's 20-17 setback against Seattle and completed 15-of-27 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown as the Cardinals fell to 0-4 for the first time since 1986 while in St Louis. The 49ers hope to keep Arizona winless but will have to do so with an offense that has been ravaged by injuries. Wide receiver Dante Pettis and tackle Joe Staley suffered knee injuries in last week's 29-27 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers and have not practiced this week while center Weston Richburg and tackle Mike McGlinchey have been limited participants, also due to knee ailments. C.J. Beathard threw for a career-high 298 yards and two touchdowns with a pair of interceptions in his first start since Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a season-ending knee injury.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: 49ers -4. O/U: 40

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (0-4): The Sam Bradford experiment could be over as the veteran quarterback was inactive against the Seahawks after starting each of Arizona's first three games this season. The 30-year-old, who is with his fourth team since being drafted first overall by the then-St. Louis Rams in 2010, has completed 50-of-80 passes for 400 yards with two touchdowns and four interceptions this year. Running back David Johnson had his most productive game of the campaign last week as he rushed for 71 yards and a TD while gaining another 41 on three receptions.



ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-3): With San Francisco's offensive line losing members to injuries, Matt Breida gained only 39 yards on nine carries in the loss to the Chargers. The 23-year-old, who ranks third in the NFL with 313 rushing yards, has been limited in practice this week due to a shoulder injury. The 49ers could be without another wide receiver on Sunday as Marquise Goodwin, who is battling hamstring and quadriceps injuries that caused him to miss a portion of last week's contest, was a limited participant in Thursday's practice after sitting out the previous day.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Johnson has scored seven touchdowns (one receiving) in his last six road games against NFC West rivals.

2. San Francisco's George Kittle leads all NFL tight ends with 218 yards after catches this season.

3. Arizona WR Larry Fitzgerald (hamstring/back), who was limited in Thursday's practice, has recorded 2,169 yards and 17 touchdowns against San Francisco - his highest totals versus any opponent.

PREDICTION: 49ers 24, Cardinals 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Vikings vs. Eagles Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

The Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings meet at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday in a rematch of the NFC Championship Game with two different quarterbacks under center. After watching Nick Foles and Case Keenum lead their respective teams into January's high-stakes match, Carson Wentz and Kirk Cousins will get the call this time around as the clubs look to regain their winning form.

Philadelphia fell for the first time this season with Wentz at the helm, although the 25-year-old showed no signs of the ACL and LCL tears he sustained in December by throwing for 348 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 26-23 overtime setback to Tennessee. "We're 2-2 right now. We'd love to be 4-0, but this is just where we're at," Wentz said. "We're a month in still trying to figure out 100 percent who we are. But at the same time, we know the guys we have and we know what we're capable of doing." Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer isn't taking a gloom-and-doom approach after seeing his team extend its winless skid to three games following last Thursday's 38-31 setback to the high-octane Los Angeles Rams. "This isn't a time for 'woe is me,'" Zimmer said. "If people remember, we were 2-2 this time last year. We finished 13-3. We were 5-0 the year before and we finished 8-8. We were 2-2 the year before that and we finished 11-5, so all the predictors, this isn't a good time to predict."

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Eagles -3. O/U: 46

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (1-2-1): Cousins passed for 422 yards with three touchdowns versus the Rams and has tossed 12 scoring strikes against three interceptions in four career meetings at Philadelphia. The 30-year-old Cousins will look to exploit the Eagles' 19th-ranked pass defense with the capable duo of Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, who have combined for 67 receptions and five touchdowns this season. Thielen, who had eight catches for 135 yards and a score versus the Rams, joined Isaac Bruce and Randy Moss as the lone wideouts since 1970 to reach triple digits in yards in each of the team's first four games. Diggs reeled in 11 receptions for 123 yards against Los Angeles and had eight catches for 70 yards in the 38-7 setback versus Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game.


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ABOUT THE EAGLES (2-2): Alshon Jeffery made a triumphant return from an extended absence following shoulder surgery to make eight catches for 105 yards and a touchdown against the Titans last week. "It was great to have Alshon back out there. A guy that can make contested catches, can make plays for you, can give the offense a spark," Wentz said of Jeffery, who eviscerated the Vikings in the NFC Championship Game in January with a pair of scoring receptions. Tight end Zach Ertz recorded his second double-digit reception performance in three games with 10 catches for a season-high 112 yards versus Tennessee. Despite those gaudy numbers, the Eagles rank 26th in points per game (20.5), third in penalty yards (343) and saw their offensive line surrender four sacks to the Titans last week.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Minnesota's offensive coordinator John DeFilippo was Philadelphia's quarterbacks coach last season.

2. Wentz has won each of his past nine home starts for the Eagles, who are 17-3 at Lincoln Financial Field (playoffs included) with coach Doug Pederson on the sideline.

3. RB Dalvin Cook did not practice on Thursday for the Vikings, whose league's worst rushing attack (63.0 yards per game) faces Philadelphia's top-ranked unit (63.8).

PREDICTION: Vikings 24, Eagles 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th October 2018 by Gracenote
Cowboys vs. Texans Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/04/2018

In a state where football is king, the two NFL tenants will be squaring off for only the fifth time when the Dallas Cowboys visit the Houston Texans on Sunday night. Both teams are coming off much-needed -- and dramatic -- wins, as Houston beat Indianapolis in overtime for its first victory while Dallas topped Detroit on a last-second field goal.

"I think it's fun and interesting for everybody," Cowboys coach Jason Garrett said of the intrastate matchup. "Obviously football is so big in the state of Texas and these are the two teams that are playing pro football here in the state. We've got great respect for their organization, for their coaches and their players. That's really what we're focused on." Dallas has won the past three against the Texans, although the teams last met four years ago, but the Cowboys have dropped both games away from home this season. Houston halted a nine-game losing streak dating to last season by outlasting the Colts 37-34 and coach Bill O'Brien said his team must carry over the momentum to this week. "It's a long season. We have to do a good job of not riding the wave," O'Brien said. "We've got to do a good job of continuing to build and get better because it's a very long season. Nothing has been determined yet."

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Texans -3.5. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2-2): Dallas returned to the formula that produced a 13-3 record in 2016 by featuring a heavy dose of running back Ezekiel Elliott, who piled up a career-best 240 yards from scrimmage last week. Elliott took over the league rushing lead by carrying 25 times for 152 yards and adding 88 yards and a touchdown on four receptions, including a 34-yard pass to set up the winning field goal. Dak Prescott threw for a season-high 255 yards and two TDs, connecting with leading receiver Cole Beasley four times. Defensive end Demarcus Lawrence matched his career high with 3.0 sacks against the Lions, giving him an NFL-leading total of 5.5.



ABOUT THE TEXANS (1-3): Deshaun Watson struggled in the season opener at New England, but he registered his third straight 300-yard game last week, throwing for 375 yards and two touchdowns while adding 41 yards rushing and another score. However, Watson also absorbed seven sacks and has been taken down 17 times through the first four games. DeAndre Hopkins had another monster game with 10 catches for 169 yards and a score while Keke Coutee had 11 receptions for 109 yards in his NFL debut. Houston revved up its pass rush, getting two sacks apiece from J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, who was named the NFL Defensive Player of the Week.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Hopkins has 11 touchdown catches in his past nine home games.

2. Elliott tied Jim Brown as the second-fastest player to rush for 3,000 yards, needing 29 games to hit the milestone.

3. Texans RB Lamar Miller (chest) was limited in practice Wednesday and Thursday.

PREDICTION: Texans 24, Cowboys 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Football League Week 4 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-3
Against the Spread 7-6-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-5
Against the Spread 7-6-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 8-8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 38-22-2
Against the Spread 27-33-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 38-22-2
Against the Spread 33-27-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 33-31

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The largest underdogs to win straight up week 4
Bengals (+3.5, ML +165) at Falcons, 37-36
Ravens (+3, ML +140) at Steelers, 26-14
Titans (+3, ML +130) vs. Eagles, 26-23 (OT)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The largest favorite to cover week 4
Packers (-9) vs. Bills, 22-0
Jaguars (-7.5) vs. Jets, 31-12
Patriots (-6.5) vs. Dolphins, 38-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Long Sheet

Week 5

Sunday. October 7

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BALTIMORE (3 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 2 - 1) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (3 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 0) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (3 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (1 - 3) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 158-123 ATS (+22.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 83-50 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (2 - 1) at NY JETS (1 - 3) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (1 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 2 - 1) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (2 - 1 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 3) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (3 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 1) - 10/7/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (1 - 3) at LA CHARGERS (2 - 2) - 10/7/2018, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 2-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (0 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 3) - 10/7/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1 - 2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 2) - 10/7/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (4 - 0) at SEATTLE (2 - 2) - 10/7/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 187-232 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 187-232 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 133-183 ATS (-68.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 3) - 10/7/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 5

Trend Report


Sunday. October 7

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Jacksonville is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville


Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo's last 17 games at home
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee


Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 1-9-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4-1 SU in its last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 9-1-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta


Denver Broncos
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Denver is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games at home
NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
NY Jets is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
NY Jets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver


Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Green Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games at home
Detroit is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay


Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Cleveland is 1-19-1 SU in its last 21 games
Cleveland is 6-18-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore


New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 11 games
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing NY Giants


Miami Dolphins
Miami is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami


Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 11 games
Oakland is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Chargers's last 15 games
LA Chargers is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Chargers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland


Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
Arizona is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Arizona's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Arizona


Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 10 games
LA Rams is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Rams is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 9 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Rams is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams


Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 13-4-1 SU in its last 18 games
Minnesota is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Minnesota is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Philadelphia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Houston Texans
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Dunkel

Week 5

Sunday, October 7

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Game 951-952
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.675
Cleveland
131.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+3); Under

Jacksonville @ Kansas City

Game 953-954
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
131.572
Kansas City
141.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 10
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3); Under

Tennessee @ Buffalo

Game 955-956
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
133.775
Buffalo
125.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 8 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3 1/2
39
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-3 1/2); Under

NY Giants @ Carolina

Game 457-458
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
129.995
Carolina
131.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 7
44
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+7); Over

Denver @ NY Jets

Game 959-960
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
128.356
NY Jets
126.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 1
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+1); Under

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh

Game 961-962
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
129.407
Pittsburgh
138.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 9
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-3); Under

Green Bay @ Detroit

Game 463-464
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
132.604
Detroit
129.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-1); Under

Miami @ Cincinnati

Game 465-466
October 7, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
129.429
Cincinnati
128.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 6 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+6 1/2); Under

Oakland @ LA Chargers

Game 467-468
October 7, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
130.152
LA Chargers
127.081
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6
53
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+6); Over

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 469-470
October 7, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
124.019
San Francisco
131.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 7 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 4 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-4 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Philadelphia

Game 471-472
October 7, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
127.726
Philadelphia
137.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 9 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
45
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-3); Under

LA Rams @ Seattle

Game 473-474
October 7, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
140.611
Seattle
130.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 9 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 7
51
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-7); Under

Dallas @ Houston

Game 475-476
October 7, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
124.475
Houston
129.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday
Ravens (3-1) @ Browns (1-2-1)— Cleveland is no longer a doormat; all four of their games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Browns have 13 takeaways, are +6 in turnovers, only seven teams have more TD’s than they do (12)- they’ve had 19 plays of 20+ yards. Cleveland is 5-14-1 in last 20 games as home underdogs, 1-0 this year. Last six times Ravens beat Pittsburgh, they went 4-2 vs spread the next week. Baltimore scored 23+ points in all four games; they were -3 in turnovers in their only loss. Ravens split their two road games this year; since ’13, Ravens are 5-10-1 as road favorites. Baltimore is 18-2 in last 20 series games, winning last three by 14+ points; they won last four visits here, by 2-6-5-17 points.

Jaguars (3-1) @ Chiefs (4-0)— Mahomes is hottest QB in NFL with 14 TD’s, no INTs and 4-0 record, with three road wins; short week for Chiefs after dramatic win in Denver Monday night. KC covered eight of last ten games as home favorite; they won only home game this 38-27 (-6) over the 49ers. Jacksonville has allowed only nine plays of 20+ yards this year, 2nd-lowest total in NFL (Wash, 6); over last 2+ years, Jaguars are 7-4 as road underdogs. Jax played last three games at home; they won only road game 20-15 (-3) at Giants in Week 1. Chiefs won last three series games, by 22-26-5 points; their last loss to Jaguars was in ’09. Jags lost last two visits here, by 22-5 points; their last win here was in ’07.

Titans (3-1) @ Bills (1-3)— Buffalo had 22-yard edge in field position in its only win; they were -4 in turnovers in their three losses, with two TD’s on 35 drives. Tennessee won its last three games, all by three points; underdogs won all four of their games SU. Since ’14, Titans are 2-6-1 as road favorites; they’ve had 3 points at halftime in three of their four games. Tennessee foes are just 17-51 on 3rd down. Buffalo lost its only home game 31-20 to Chargers; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home underdogs. Since ’12, Bills are 29-20-2 vs spread coming off a loss. Tennessee won five of last six series games; six of last eight were decided by 3 or fewer points, or in OT. Titans won last three visits here, by 1-1-6 points.

Giants (1-3) @ Panthers (2-1)— Giants’ OC Mike Shula had same job with Carolina last five years, so he knows Cam Newton well, but he needs to get his star WR Beckham going- in 1-3 start, OBIII has 31 catches for 331 yards, but no TD’s. Panthers won/covered their last three post-bye games; they’re 2-0 at home this year, winning by 8-10 points- since ’13, they’re 17-12-2 as home favorites. Since 2011, Giants are 21-18-2 as road underdogs- they split two road games in Texas this year. Under is 3-1 in Giant games this season. Winning side scored 31+ points in last six series games; Carolina is 6-4 in series- Giants are 2-2 here, with last visit in ’13. Carolina won/covered its last three post-bye games.

Broncos (2-2) @ Jets (1-3)— Long travel, short week for Broncos after late-night loss to Chiefs Monday; Denver is 7-10-2 in last 19 games where spread was 3 or less points- they lost only road game this year, 27-14 at Baltimore. Jets were 6-1-1 as home underdogs LY but lost only home game this year 20-12 to Miami; Gang Green’s offense is worst in NFL in red zone (3.64 pts/drive), last in NFL in drives that start 75+ yards from end zone (0.57 ppp)- playing rookie QB comes with growing pains. Jets are 12 for last 38 on 3rd down, have 11 3/outs on last 22 drives. Denver won last three series games, by 4-14-23 points; they’re 4-2 in last six trips here, with last visit in ’14. Last three Bronco games stayed under the total.

Falcons (1-3) @ Steelers (1-2-1)— Two underachieving teams with struggling defenses; Atlanta is first NFL team since ’66 to score 35+ points in consecutive games and lose both games. Falcons are 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs, but since ’15, they’re 7-12 vs spread coming off a loss. Pitt allowed 31.7 ppg in its last three games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games, 3-8 in last 11 games as home favorites- they were shut out in second half of last two games, and won’t get RB Bell back until after their bye. Steelers are 13-2-1 in series, 6-0-1 here, but Falcons’ last two visits here both went OT (34-all tie, 15-9 Pitt win). Atlanta failed to cover its last four games on natural grass.

Packers (2-1-1) @ Lions (1-3)— How will playing on artificial turf affect Rodgers’ bum knee? Green Bay has only five offensive TD’s, 10 FGA’s in last three games; they lost only road game 31-17 at Washington, are 9-17 vs spread in last 26 games on fake grass. Lions are 1-3, with last two losses by total of five points; they’ve got only one takeaway in last three games. Detroit is 4-11-1 in last 16 games as home underdogs (1-0 in ’18). Stafford is good QB, but Lions have only 26 points on last six trips to red zone, which helps explain the close losses. Detroit is 5-4 in last nine series games, sweeping Pack 30-17/35-11 LY. Packers split last eight games in Motor City. Three of four Detroit games went over total.

Dolphins (3-1) @ Bengals (3-1)— What effect did LW’s 38-7 loss in Foxboro have on Dolphins’ psyche? Miami won its first three games, scoring 25 ppg; since ’14, they’re 10-17 as road dogs- in last two games, Fish ran ball total of 32 times for only 97 yards. AFC East underdogs are 2-5 vs spread outside the division. How much does Cincy TE Eifert’s injury slow down Bengals’ high-powered attack? Bengals scored 34-34-37 points in their three wins; they scored 21 in their loss, even with four TO’s. Cincy defense allowed 377+ yards in all four games, all of which went over the total. Miami is 12-3 in last 15 series games, 3-3 in last six; Dolphins split their last four visits here. Dalton led GW TD drive in Atlanta LW, hitting Green for winning score with :07 left.

Raiders (1-3) @ Chargers (2-2)— Will probably be more Raider fans than Charger fans in Carson. Bolts are 3-6 vs spread in their temporary home; why can’t they find a decent kicker (missed two PATs and FG LW)? Chargers’ offense has 25 plays of 20+ yards, most in NFL, Raider defense allowed 24 plays of 20+, T1st in league, so Rivers could have big day. Gruden got first win LY, 45-42 over rookie QB making his first career road start. Raiders allowed 20+ 2nd half points in all four games. Teams split last ten series games, with four of last five decided by 3 or fewer points; Oakland is 2-4 in last six series road games. Bolts swept Oakland 17-16/30-10 LY. All four Charger games went over total.

Cardinals (0-4) @ 49ers (1-3)— First NFL road start for Rosen, who was 15-27/180 passing in his first start LW, a 20-17 loss to Seattle. Redbirds are 0-4; their last two losses were by total of five points. Under Arians, Arizona was 11-4 vs spread in NFC West road games, but they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten games as road dogs. 49ers scored 30-27-27 in last three games; Beathard was OK in his 6th (1-5) NFL start. Niners beat Detroit 30-27 in their only home game. Arizona won last six series games, winning last three visits here, by 6-12-10 points. NFL-wide, home favorites in divisional games are 3-10 vs spread this season. On 27 drives starting 75+ yards from goal line, Arizona has scored 20 points (0.74 ppp), 2nd-worst mark in NFL.

Vikings (1-2-1) @ Eagles (2-2)— Philly spanked Vikings 38-7 in NFC title game last January; home side won last three series games. Vikings lost eight of last nine visits to Philly, losing 21-10/38-7 in last two trips here- their last win in Philly was in ’10. Minnesota’s OL has already allowed 81 pressures; next-highest in NFL is 55 (Texans); Vikings’ OL coach passed away during summer, and they’ve got injury issues there. Minnesota allowed 29-27-38 points in last three games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as road underdogs. Eagles struggled in red zone (36 points on 8 drives) in Wentz’ two starts; they’re 2-0 at home, winning by 6-4 points. All six Philly games this season have been decided by six or fewer points.

Rams (4-0) @ Seahawks (2-2)— First road game since Week 1 for LA, which under McVay is 4-2 as road favorites. Rams scored 33+ points in all four games; they’ve scored 15 TD’s on 37 drives, with only three 3/outs. Only six of their 55 plays LW were on 3rd down. Seattle allowed 17-13 points in winning its last two games (+4 in TO’s), but now Thomas (leg) is out for year. Seahawks are 14-51 on 3rd down; their last three games stayed under. Since ’11, Seattle is 7-2 as home underdogs; they’ve gone 3/out 21 times on 49 drives this year, 3rd-most in league. LA won four of last six series games, winning two of last three visits here; Rams had three extra days to prepare, after beating Vikings last Thursday.

Cowboys (2-2) @ Texans (1-3)— Houston got its first win LW in Indy in OT, when Colts went for it on 4th-and-4 on their own 43 in tie game with 0:27 left; Texans lost only home game 27-22 to Giants, they’re 2-4 in last six games as home favorites. Houston’s last two opponents converted 17 of 30 third down plays. Cowboys are 2-0 at home, 0-2 on road, losing 16-8 at Carolina, 24-13 in Seattle; they’ve scored three TD’s on 22 drives on road, scoring 18 points on four drives in red zone. Since ’15, Dallas is 5-8 as road underdogs, 0-2 this year. Cowboys kicked six TD’s, tried nine FG’s; they’ve run ball for 166-153 yards in last two games, but converted only 13-46 on third down- they miss Witten/Bryant. Dallas won last three series games; they split two visits here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday, Oct. 7

Baltimore Ravens (-3, 47.5) at Cleveland Browns

The Ravens have won and covered five consecutive meetings in this series, and the 'under' has cashed in three in a row. Cleveland hasn't had a lot of success against most teams, but they have especially struggled against Baltimore. The last win on home turf against the Ravens came on Nov. 3, 2013. The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five meetings on the shores of Lake Erie. The Westgate Superbook opened the Ravens are -1.5 and they're already up to -3 in less than 24 hours, likely aided by Baltimore's impressive showing on Sunday night in Pittsburgh.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 51.5)

Perhaps the two best teams in the AFC square off in Kansas City when the Jaguars meet the Chiefs at Arrowhead. It will be interesting to see how Jacksonville's lockdown defense handles QB Patrick Mahomes and the high-octane Kansas City offense. Offshore book BetOnline (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.commission.bz%2Fpr ocessing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_36640b_127).a g opened this one at 52.5, and it was quickly down to 51.5. There is a large dispartity in the total line, however, as Westgate had the number at 47.5 on Monday afternoon, up to 48.5 by kickoff on Monday.

Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 39) at Buffalo Bills

The Titans picked up a big win against the defending Super Bowl champs last week, following up a nice road win against the Jags. The Bills, on the other hand, were blanked in Green Bay after their shocking win in Minnesota the previous week. Most shops have the Titans installed as 3.5-point favorites, although you can find a bargain at the Golden Nugget and Westgate at -3.

New York Giants at Carolina Panthers (-7, 44.5)

The Panthers are coming off a bye, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five coming back from their off week. If you're not feeling the flat seven, you can still catch the Cats -6.5 at Treasure Island as well as Southpoint.

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 57.5)

The Falcons allowed 79 points over their past two games at home, both losses, including one against the AFC North rivals of the Steelers. The Steelers have also been pretty shabby on defense, so it's no surprise this game features the highest total on the board. Atlanta has allowed 30.5 points per game (PPG), while Pittsburgh has yielded 29.0 PPG to date.

Green Bay Packers (-1.5, 50.5) at Detroit Lions

The 'over' has cashed in five straight meetings in this NFC North rivalry, including each of the past three battles at Ford Field. Green Bay was swept in this series last season, but they also spent a majority of 2017 without QB Aaron Rodgers. Despite last season's sweep, the books have the Pack listed as slight favorites. If you like Green, TI has them listed at just -1.

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 50.5)

The Dolphins were dumped by the Patriots in Foxboro by a 38-7 score, splashing cold water on their 3-0 SU/ATS start. Now, they'll meet a Cincinnati club which has posted 34 or more points in three of their four outings, with the 'over' hitting in all four contests. You can still catch this one at a flat 50 points at the Golden Nugget as well as Southpoint.

Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5, 53.5)

The Raiders will battle the Chargers in Carson. In the past six home games, the Bolts are 4-2 SU, while going 9-4 SU in their past 13 home contests against the Silver and Black. However, the Chargers are just 2-7 ATS in their past nine games at home against the Raiders. The 'under' is also 10-2-1 in the past 13 home games against the Raiders, so perhaps the line is rather high. The Strat has the line at 54.0 as of Tuesday early morning.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5, 41)

The Cards were shuffled to 0-4 SU by the Seahawks, losing a heartbreaker at home. Arizona enters as the only winless team in the league at the quarter-pole, although there is optimism with QB Josh Rosen. The 49ers are down to backup QB C.J. Beathard, as QB Jimmy Garoppolo is done for the season due to a knee injury. Beathard wasn't a total disaster, though, and San Francisco covered in his first start last week against the Chargers.

The 'under' is 3-1 in the past four home games for the Niners against the Cards, and the total has gone under in six of the previous eight in this series. This is the second-lowest total on the board, with all major Vegas books consistent at 41 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 44.5)

It's a rematch of the NFC Championship Game played Jan. 21, and the Vikings hope it goes a little better. The Vikings were destroyed 38-7 by QB Nick Foles and company. He will be holding a clipboard in this one, while Minnesota's starter in that game, QB Case Keenum, is now playing his trade in Denver. Most books have held steady at -3, while Southpoint has Philly laying -3.5.

Los Angeles Rams (-7, 50.5) at Seattle Seahawks

The Rams won and pushed at a majority of shops last Thursday against Minnesota, and they have had a few extra days to prepare for Seattle. The Seahawks had major drama with safety Earl Thomas breaking his leg and then showing off his displeasure while leaving the field, saluting the Seattle sideline.

Seattle has been one of the best teams against the number against divisional foes, hitting at a 56.7 percent clip at 17-13-2 ATS since 2013. The Rams, meanwhile, rank 27th in the NFL in divisional ATS, going 13-18, or 41.9 percent.

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (-3.5, 45)

The Lonestar State battle takes place on Sunday night at NRG Stadium, and the Texans are flying high after Frank Reich gifted them a win in Indy, their first of the season in four tries.

This one will be interesting, as it's another one of those solid defense vs. high-flying offense matchups. Dallas rans No. 5 in the NFL by allowing just 306.2 total yards per game, while Houston has posted 24.0 PPG through four contests. A majority of the books have the home team listed at three and a hook, but you can find a flat three at Caesars/Harrah's, as well as Treasure Island.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FOURNETTE OUT MULTIPLE GAMES

The injury fallout from Sunday continues as it’s being reported that Jacksonville running back Leonard Fournette will miss multiple games, including a mouth-watering matchup with Kansas City on Sunday. T.J. Yeldon will start in Fournette’s place and Corey Grant will change the pace so we’re staying away from the committee backfield and looking to receiver Keelan Cole for a prop.

We’ve done well with Cole so far this season, correctly calling his Over 3.5 receptions in Week 3 and then his Under 58.5 receiving yards in Week 4. It seems Cole is the kind of player who is being scripted in and out of weekly game plans. This week, coach Doug Marrone should be looking towards Cole as he game plans without Fournette and against a Chiefs team that ranks dead last in passing defense. We’ll be leaning towards the Over on Cole’s reception total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHARGERS LOSE WHITE

L.A. Chargers’ linebacker Kyzir White had a knee scope on Monday and is considered week to week. White might not be a household name, but the rookie was playing on 73 percent of defensive snaps and has been solid in pass coverage. The Chargers’ loss is Jared Cook’s gain. The Raiders’ tight end is on fire and is coming off an 8-110-2 performance against the Browns on Sunday. Cook is Derek Carr’s most trusted target and that was clear when the Raiders lined him up as a wideout on third-and-3 late in overtime and threw him a jump ball — which he came down with. The Chargers-Raiders game on Sunday looks to be a shootout with a total set at 53.5 and bettors can expect a lot of balls thrown in Cook’s direction. We’re taking the Over on his reception total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

COOK STILL NOT HEALTHY

Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook admitted on Monday that his hamstring still isn’t 100 percent and that fans need to be patient with the Vikings’ run game. This is not what Vikings backers want to hear from their star running back who is coming off a 10-rush, 20-yard performance against the Rams on Thursday night.

Cook will likely play on Sunday, but we are going to be fading whatever his rushing yards total is as he’s in the worst possible spot for a running back with a trip to Philadelphia. The Eagles have been the best against the run so far this season, giving up just 63.8 rushing yards per game. They gave up just 24 yards on 12 combined carries to Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis on Sunday and 37 yards on 11 combined carries to Jordan Wilkens and Nyheim Hines in Week 3. No one has been able to run on the Eagles yet this season and that’s not likely to change with a hobbled Cook. Take the Under on his rushing total with confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday, Oct. 7

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ugh! Browns 3-0 vs. line TY, but have lost and failed to cover last five vs. Ravens. Harbaugh 4-1 vs. spread last five in games immediately following Steelers.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on series trends.

JACKSONVILLE at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 4-0 SU and vs. line , have now won and covered eight straight in reg season since late 2017. Also “over” 4-1 last five in reg season. Jags 9-4 vs. spread last 11 away and 7-2 last 9 as dog.
Tech Edge: Slight to Chiefs and “over,” based on recent trends.

TENNESSEE at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bills 1-3 last four as home dog. Titans 3-7 last ten vs. line away in reg season, but have won and covered last 3 in 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Titans, based on recent trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Eli “under” 9-2 last 11 since mid 2017. Cam has covered first two at home in 2018 after just 5-8 as Charlotte chalk previous two years, and “over” 7-3 last ten reg season.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under," based on Giants’ “totals” trends.

DENVER at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vance Joseph on 2-13-1 spread skid since early 2017. Denver also “under” 8-3 last ten since mid 2017. Jets 6-2-1 last 9 vs. line at MetLife, also “under” 4-2 since late 2017, including 23-0 loss at Denver last December.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Jets, based on ‘totals” and team trends.

ATLANTA at PITTSBURGH (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Steel “over” first three TY and five straight since late 2017. Tomlin also just 3-6 last nine as home chalk, but Falcs only 4-7 vs. spread away since LY. Falcs now “over” 2 in a row after “under” 8 straight from late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on recent “totals” trends.

GREEN BAY at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pack “over” 27-12 since mid 2016. Pack lost and failed to cover both vs. Lions LY (Rodgers out in each) for first time since Wayne Fontes was coaching Detroit in ‘91. Last five and 6 of last 7 in series “over” as well.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

MIAMI at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Tannehill 10-2 SU and 8-3-1 vs. line in his last ten starts. Dolphins also on 10-5 “over” run. Cincy 4-1 vs. points last five at Paul Brown and “over” five straight since late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

OAKLAND at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Raiders had covered three straight and 7 of 8 at Bolts in SD before LY at StubHub. Underdog team 15-3 last 18 meetings. Series “under” 4-1 last five.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Raiders, based on “totals” and extended series trends.

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards “under” first four TY and 14-6 since start of 2017. Also 2-7 vs. line last 9 away though has won and covered last two at Levi’s.
Tech Edge: "Under" based on “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Zimmer no covers last three TY, but 18-9 as reg season dog entering 2018. Pederson 12-5-1 vs. line in reg season at Linc since taking over in 2016.
Tech Edge: Vikings, based on extended Zimmer dog marks.

L.A. RAMS at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Rams 3-0-1 vs. line TY, and “over" 13-7 in reg season since McVay arrived LY. Hawks just 3-7 vs. spread last ten reg season at home.
Tech Edge: Rams and slight to “over,” based on recent team and "totals" trends.

DALLAS at HOUSTON (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Texans 1-9 SU last ten, 2-8 vs. line in those. Though only three of those ten at home. Dallas no covers first two away TY , and “under” 11-2 last 13 since mid 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Top ATS Teams Heading Into Week 5:

1. Chiefs 4-0 ATS
t2. Rams 3-1 ATS
t2. Ravens 3-1 ATS
t2. Bears 3-1 ATS
t2. Bengals 3-1 ATS
t2. Jaguars 3-1 ATS
t2. Dolphins 3-1 ATS
t2. Titans 3-1 ATS
t2. Browns 3-1 ATS
t2. Lions 3-1 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Worst ATS Teams Heading Into Week 5:

32. Broncos 0-3-1 ATS
t22. 49ers 1-3 ATS
t22. Steelers 1-3 ATS
t22. Jets 1-3 ATS
t22. Giants 1-3 ATS
t22. Texans 1-3 ATS
t22. Bills 1-3 ATS
t22. Falcons 1-3 ATS
t22. Eagles 1-3 ATS
t22. Chargers 1-3 ATS
t22. Cowboys 1-3 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Top OVER Teams Heading Into Week 5:

t1. Bengals 4-0
t1. Chargers 4-0
t1. Buccaneers 4-0
t4. Falcons 3-1
t4. Lions 3-1
t4. Packers 3-1
t4. Chiefs 3-1
t4. Steelers 3-1
t4. 49ers 3-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Top UNDER Teams Heading Into Week 5:

1. Cardinals 4-0
t2. Cowboys 3-1
t2. Broncos 3-1
t2. Patriots 3-1
t2. Giants 3-1
t2. Seahawks 3-1
7. Redskins 2-1
t8. 14 teams tied at 2-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Some interesting NFL trends for the week:

— Steelers are 2-8 vs spread in their last ten games.

— Chargers are 2-11 vs spread in last 13 AFC West home games.

— Minnesota is 12-3 vs spread in its last fifteen games.

— Chiefs are 7-2 in last nine games as a home favorite.

— 49ers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as home favorites.

— Washington is 2-8 in game following its last ten byes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PACKERS DOWN RECEIVERS

Green Bay has some issues at receiver with Randall Cobb (hamstring) and Geronimo Allison (concussion) both on the wrong side of questionable ahead of Sunday’s game in Detroit. In addition, Jimmy Graham (knee) missed practice on Wednesday and Davante Adams (calf) was limited — both are expected to play but clearly, neither is at 100 percent.

With skill players dropping around him like flies, life isn’t getting easier for a hobbled Aaron Rodgers whose numbers have been quite pedestrian so far this season as he has yet to break the 300-yard passing mark. This week, he plays an underrated Lions passing defense that ranks second in the NFL, giving up just 171.8 yards per game. Sunday is trending towards being a tough day for Rodgers and we’re leaning towards the Under on his passing yards total of 299.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHOOTOUT IN STEEL CITY

If you like shootouts, look no further than the Atlanta-Pittsburgh game on Sunday that has a total that opened at 55 and has since been bet up to 57.5. Both teams are stacked on offense and hurting on defense, meaning points should come early and often. Oddsmakers are expecting huge games from just about everyone, but Pittsburgh tight end Vance MacDonald might not be getting the respect he deserves on the props market.

Since his debut in Week 2, MacDonald has been an important piece of the Steelers’ offense with lines of 3-26-0, 4-112-1, and 5-62-0. He’s also received a steady five targets each week and is running a pass route on 80.6 percent of his snaps, the highest rate of any tight end in the NFL. He’s one of the few players who doesn’t have an inflated total for Sunday and we’re liking MacDonald to go over his Over 3.5 receptions total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 5
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Rams are 10-0 ATS (6.6 ppg) since Dec 24, 2000 as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 22 first downs.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Seahawks are 0-10-1 ATS (-5.1 ppg) since Oct 05, 2015 when their last two games have gone under the total and they won the last one.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- Teams are 10-0 OU (9.3 ppg) since Oct 25, 2015 coming off a loss where Kirk Cousins threw at least 40 passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Vikings are 10-0 OU (12.6 ppg) since Nov 11, 2001 as a dog coming off a road loss that went over the total by at least seven points.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Ravens are 0-13 OU (-9.5 ppg) since Sep 18, 2005 as a road favorite coming off a game where they had at least 250 passing yards.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Raiders are 0-13 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a home win in which they had a takeaway margin of at least plus-two.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 6th October 2018 by Gracenote
Brewers vs. Rockies Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/06/2018

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the verge of advancing to the National League Championship Series for the first time since 2011 and all they have to do is win one of the next three games. The Brewers will try to take care of things quickly and earn a sweep of the best-of-five NL Division Series when they visit the Colorado Rockies for Game 3 on Sunday.

Milwaukee relied on the depth of its bullpen and its lineup to win the first two games of the series, with hitters in the bottom half of the order doing the offensive damage in a 4-0 victory in Game 2. "We've become a team with a lot of depth, and that's how we're going to have to win," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell told reporters. "They're making an effort to be very, very cautious with (MVP candidate Christian) Yelich. It's pretty clear. So, guys behind him are going to have opportunities." The Rockies totaled two runs in the first two games of the series but went 47-34 at home during the regular season and will send their two best pitchers - German Marquez and Kyle Freeland - to the mound in the next two games. "I think playing at home can get us going. We still need to do what we have to do to win. We've got to pitch well and we have to swing the bats," Colorado manager Bud Black told reporters. "We have pitched well (in Milwaukee) but we haven't swung the bats. Again, day off (Saturday), get back on the horse on Sunday and see where we are."

TV: 4:37 p.m. ET, MLB Network

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers LH Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (14-11, 3.77)

Miley last suffered a loss at St. Louis on Aug. 18 but slowed over the final few weeks of the regular season. The Louisiana native did not record an out in the sixth inning during any of his last four starts and was roughed up for a combined seven runs - six earned - across seven innings over his last two turns. Miley, who is making his postseason debut, went up against the Rockies on Aug. 5 and was reached for three runs on five hits and three walks over five innings without factoring in the decision.



Marquez is a strikeout machine and finished 2018 with a career-high 230 across 196 innings. The 23-year-old Venezuelan did not allow more than three earned runs in any of his last 13 starts and surrendered two or fewer in 11 of those turns. Marquez, who is also making his postseason debut, suffered through one of his worst outings at home against Milwaukee on May 10, when he yielded five runs on 12 hits and three walks while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Brewers are winners of 10 straight games going back to the regular season.

2. Colorado SS Trevor Story is 0-for-8 with five strikeouts in the series.

3. Brewers LHP Josh Hader did not allow a baserunner in a combined 1 2/3 innings over the first two games.

PREDICTION: Rockies 6, Brewers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 6th October 2018 by Gracenote
Dodgers vs. Braves Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/06/2018

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing their best baseball of the season at just the right time, as they are on the verge of reaching the National League Championship Series for the third consecutive year entering Game 3 of the NL Division Series Sunday against the host Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers have dominated in building a 2-0 series lead, hitting five homers and not allowing a run or a walk while receiving 15 innings from starters Hyun-Jin Ryu and Clayton Kershaw to improve to 21-9 since Sept. 1.

Joc Pederson has sparked Los Angeles' offense, belting a leadoff homer in the series opener before beginning Game 2 with a double and scoring on Manny Machado's two-run blast later in the frame as the team took a first-inning lead in each contest. "We're just excited that we got the lead early on, and we're able to feed off that," Pederson told reporters regarding an offense that has scored nine runs despite registering only 10 hits - seven for extra bases. The Braves have scored fewer than two runs in six of their last seven contests and are 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position in the series, as rookie Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ender Inciarte are the only two members of the team with more than one hit after two games. "You can't blame any one person," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker told reporters. "I mean, it's just our whole lineup is having a hard time."

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (8-5, 2.62 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (12-9, 3.90)

Buehler has been the one constant in a rotation hit hard by injuries this season, as the rookie has posted a 2.31 ERA in 23 starts (he allowed five runs in one relief appearance) while holding opposing hitters to a .185 batting average and a .531 OPS. The 24-year-old is 4-2 with a 1.55 ERA, 87 strikeouts and 41 hits allowed over 75 1/3 innings in his last 12 starts, limiting Colorado to one hit over 6 2/3 frames in the NL West tiebreaker game on Monday. Buehler defeated Atlanta at home on June 8, surrendering one run and two hits in 5 1/3 innings.



The Braves planned to start Kevin Gausman, but after seeing the Dodgers succeed against right-handers in the first two games, they decided to turn to Newcomb, who came within one strike of tossing a no-hitter versus Los Angeles on July 29. The 25-year-old struggled after that outing, giving up five or more runs four times in his next eight starts, but finished the season with 5 2/3 scoreless frames. Newcomb worked two impressive innings of relief in Game 1, allowing one hit with two strikeouts while throwing 17 of his 25 pitches for strikes.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Dodgers are the first team since the 1921 New York Yankees to open a postseason series with back-to-back shutouts.

2. Snitker told reporters during Saturday's off-day that he plans to move Inciarte into the No. 2 spot in the batting order, as 3B Johan Camargo has gone 0-for-8 in the series.

3. Los Angeles RHP Kenley Jansen gave up one hit with one strikeout during a scoreless ninth inning in Game 2.

PREDICTION: Braves 4, Dodgers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New York Rangers vs. Carolina Hurricanes Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NHL

NHL Previews 6th October 2018 by Gracenote
The New York Rangers continue their quest for their first victory under rookie coach David Quinn when they visit the Carolina Hurricanes on Sunday for their third game in four days to start 2018-19. New York dropped a 3-2 decision to Nashville at home in its opener on Thursday before falling 3-1 in Buffalo two nights later.

Rookie Brett Howden scored with 4:39 remaining in the third period on Saturday to avoid a shutout loss for the Rangers, who went 0-for-3 with the man advantage while allowing a pair of power-play goals. Carolina also prepares for its third game in four days to start the season after recording a 3-1 win in Columbus on Friday. Sebastian Aho and Micheal Ferland each scored a goal and set up another as the Hurricanes earned Rod Brind'Amour his first coaching victory. Andrei Svechnikov notched an assist for his first NHL point Friday, becoming the third-youngest player in franchise history (18 years, 193 days) to do so.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, MSG (New York), FS Carolinas

ABOUT THE RANGERS (0-2-0): Howden, who was acquired in a five-player deal with Tampa Bay in February, made his NHL debut in the loss to the Predators. The 20-year-old center received 12 minutes, 31 seconds of ice time against the Sabres - 1:55 more than he was given in the season opener. Mika Zibanejad led New York with a game-high eight shots on Saturday while Vinni Lettieri was the only skater on the team without one.

ABOUT THE HURRICANES (1-0-1): Aho, who led the team in goals (29) and points (65) last season, has gotten off to a fast start with three points in his first two contests. The 21-year-old Finn's first goal of 2018-19 proved to be the game-winner against the Blue Jackets, putting him three away from the total from each of his first two NHL campaigns. Ferland, who was acquired from Calgary in June, needs nine points to reach 100 for his career.

OVERTIME

1. Hurricanes LW Teuvo Teravainen notched an assist on Friday, leaving him four shy of 100 in the NHL.

2. New York C Filip Chytil, a 19-year-old from the Czech Republic, has won only three of his 15 faceoffs in the early going.

3. Carolina is 0-for-4 on the power play through its first two games while allowing one goal in six short-handed situations.

PREDICTION: Hurricanes 3, Rangers 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Chicago Blackhawks Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NHL

NHL Previews 7th October 2018 by Gracenote
Auston Matthews seeks his third consecutive two-point performance to start the season when the Toronto Maple Leafs visit the unbeaten Chicago Blackhawks on Sunday in a matchup of Original Six teams. The 2017 Calder Trophy winner has recorded half of Toronto's six goals this campaign after netting a tally and setting up another in Saturday's 5-3 home loss to Ottawa.

Mitch Marner and defenseman Morgan Rielly also recorded a goal and an assist in the setback for the Maple Leafs, who are beginning a four-game road trip. Chicago will be playing its home opener - and third game in four days to start the season - after posting overtime victories in Ottawa and St. Louis. Captain Jonathan Toews completed his sixth career hat trick 2:20 into the extra session on Saturday to give the Blackhawks a 5-4 triumph over the Blues. Four other players recorded two points apiece for Chicago - including Patrick Kane, who has scored a goal and set up another in each of his first two contests.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NHL Network, Sportsnet, Sportsnet 360, TVA, NBCS Chicago

ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (1-1-0): While Matthews leads the team with four points, Rielly is right behind him with a goal and two assists in the first two games. The 24-year-old blue-liner registered a career-high 52 points last season after recording more than 29 just once in his first four NHL campaigns (36 in 2015-16). Matthews has converted three of his seven shots this season for a 42.9 percent success rate.

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (2-0-0): Toews has been even more accurate than Matthews, converting 57.1 percent of his shots (4-for-7) over his first two games. The 30-year-old center, who recorded a career-low 20 goals last season, is four tallies away from 300 in the NHL. Kane, meanwhile, has unleashed 13 shots but scored only two goals - with one being the overtime winner against the Senators in the season opener.

OVERTIME

1. The Blackhawks have scored nine goals in their first two games but are 0-for-7 on the power play.

2. Toronto C Patrick Marleau has notched an assist in each of the first two games this season and is four away from 600 for his career.

3. Chicago D Henri Jokiharju, a 19-year-old from Finland, recorded two assists on Saturday for his first points in the NHL.

PREDICTION: Blackhawks 4, Maple Leafs 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Detroit Red Wings vs. Los Angeles Kings Preview and Predictions 10-07-2018 in NHL

NHL Previews 6th October 2018 by Gracenote
Red Wings vs. Kings Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/06/2018

The Detroit Red Wings and Los Angeles Kings each came away feeling disappointed in their respective season openers, although both teams managed to pick up one point. Both will look to rebound from overtime defeats and get into the victory column when the Red Wings open a two-game West Coast trip against the Kings on Sunday.

Los Angeles showed some moxie in its 3-2 loss to San Jose, overcoming an early two-goal deficit as captain Anze Kopitar and Tyler Toffoli scored to extend the game into overtime. "Obviously, there's some stuff to work on, but it's first game of the season, so not everything is going to be perfect," Kopitar told reporters. "But like I said, it's encouraging to see that guys are playing with lot of intensity. We'll keep getting better." The Red Wings erased a pair of one-goal deficits to salvage a point in a 3-2 loss at Columbus, but they were almost doubled up on shots (39-20). "Too much time in D-zone coverage, so I thought the ice got tilted too much the wrong way," Detroit coach Jeff Blashill told reporters. "We got to be able to get it out smoother than that, so as a result, you're defending most of the time."

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, FS Detroit, FS West (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE RED WINGS (0-0-1): With three of the team's top six defensemen sidelined, 2016 first-round draft pick Dennis Cholowski was among five players who made their NHL debuts on Thursday - the most by an NHL team in one game since the 1985-86 Red Wings. The 20-year-old Cholowski committed a turnover that led to a goal by the Blue Jackets, but he also scored his first career goal. "(Cholowski's) goal was nice," Blashill said. "It was a real good job of jumping in the play and good finish. I thought he showed real good poise."



ABOUT THE KINGS (0-0-1): Ilya Kovalchuk, who is back in the NHL after spending the past five-plus seasons in Russia's Kontinental Hockey League, registered two shots and a plus-1 rating in 20 minutes of ice time on Thursday. "I thought, far and away, that was the most jump Kovalchuk's had there, and I thought he made a lot of things happen out there," Kings coach John Stevens told reporters. "It looks like he had really good energy, so that was a really good sign." Stevens offered a simple reason for reuniting the line of Toffoli, Jeff Carter and Tanner Pearson: "Just history."

OVERTIME

1. Red Wings Ds Niklas Kronwall and Jonathan Ericsson will not play in either game in California.

2. Kings G Jonathan Quick has struggled against the Red Wings in his career, posting a 10-13-1 record and 2.75 goals-against average.

3. Detroit's loss continued a pattern from last season, when the team went 3-12 in overtime.

PREDICTION: Kings 3, Red Wings 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

Jacksonville is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents under head coach Doug Marrone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NFL - Titans -5.5
2. Vegas Line Crushers NFL - Giants +6.5
3. VegasSI.com NFL - Ravens -3
4. SportsAction365.com NFL - Chiefs -3
5. Gameday Network NFL - Cowboys +3
6. PointSpreadReport.com NFL - Ravens -3
7. InsiderSportsAction.com NFL - Broncos -1
8. Lou Panelli NFL - Cowboys +3
9. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino NFL - Packers +1
10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NFL - Broncos -1
11. William E. Stockton NFL - Eagles -3
12. Vincent Pioli NFL - Dolphins +6
13. Steve "Scoop" Kendall NFL - Packers +1
14. SCORE NFL - Packers +1
15. East Coast Line Movers NFL - Seahawks over 50
16. Tony Campone NFL - Cardinals +3
17. Chicago Sports Group NFL - Steelers -3
18. Hollywood Sportsline NFL - Giants +6.5
19. VIP Action NFL - Cowboys over 45.5
20. South Beach Sports NFL - Giants +6.5
21. Las Vegas Sports Commission NFL - Chiefs under 49
22. NY Players Club NFL - Ravens over 45.5
23. Fred Callahan NFL - Cardinals +3
24. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NFL - Dolphins +6
25. Michigan Sports NFL - Eagles -3
26. National Consensus Report NFL - Packers +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 7


Milwaukee @ Colorado

Game 955-956
October 7, 2018 @ 4:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Miley) 16.502
Colorado
(Marquez) 19.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-150); Over

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta

Game 957-958
October 7, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 18.331
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 14.316
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-170); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (98 - 67) at COLORADO (92 - 74) - 4:35 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 107-182 (-53.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
COLORADO is 92-74 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 62-47 (+20.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 54-41 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 40-26 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MARQUEZ is 22-15 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 98-67 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-26 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-37 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 73-48 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-82 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-34 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-14 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MILEY is 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 (+5.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
MILEY is 7-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.319.
His team's record is 8-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+4.2 units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MARQUEZ is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (94 - 71) at ATLANTA (90 - 74) - 8:05 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 94-71 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 38-45 (-24.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 66-53 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 13-16 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
ATLANTA is 90-73 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 48-33 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 17-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
ATLANTA is 59-51 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 69-46 (+25.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 46-41 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 45-58 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
ATLANTA is 30-43 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-2 (+3.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUEHLER is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.375.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
NEWCOMB is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 7

http://i63.tinypic.com/2r2ypeo.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, October 7

Trend Report

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 14 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games
Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home
Colorado is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POSTSEASON STARTER STAT OF THE DAY

German Marquez, Colorado Rockies (14-10, 3.76 ERA, $571)

In the abstract, Marquez's season wasn't bad, particularly for a guy who starts for the Rockies. But with Colorado's season on the line Sunday, some Rockies fans probably wish Marquez wasn't the guy for the job given how he has fared at Coors Field in 2018.

Marquez's season splits were positively Coloradoan, as he boasted an 8-5 record with a 2.95 ERA on the road and a 6-6 mark with a 4.74 ERA at Coors Field. He surrendered 13 homers in 89 1/3 innings at home compared to 11 long balls in 106 2/3 road frames, and allowed opposing teams to post a .341 OBP in his 16 Coors Field outings.

The Brewers should do some damage against Marquez on Sunday, and are worth a money-line look at +130.


One Bad Inning

Both Newcomb and Dodgers counterpart Walker Buehler have had solid seasons, but have had one inning that has plagued them in 2018. For Newcomb, the third inning has been his undoing; he has a 7.28 ERA in the frame, with five homers and a .284 BA against. Buehler has struggled in the fifth inning, with a 5.82 ERA and six of his 12 home runs against coming in that frame.

If these trends hold, bettors should consider the first five innings as the highest-scoring period, a prop that pays at -120.


Fancy a Homerless Game?

The thought of a game at Coors Field producing zero home runs isn't as crazy as it used to be – but it's still a bit cuckoo. That said, both Sunday starters can make the case for keeping the ball in the park: Marquez has allowed just one home run in his previous five home starts, while Milwaukee's Wade Miley has gone seven consecutive outings without being taken deep.

If you're feeling brave, you can roll with the zero-home-run prop at +260.
Another Hit Shortage?

Los Angeles might have dominated Atlanta in the first two games of their NLDS, but hits were hard to come by for both teams. The Dodgers and Braves combined to record just 19 hits at Dodger Stadium, going below the combined team hit total in both games. Buehler allowed just 95 hits in 137 1/3 innings in 2018, while Newcomb limited foes to 137 hits in 164 innings.

With the combined hit total at 15.5 for Game 3, the safe choice is the under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, October 7

NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 1-2
October 7, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
8.729
Carolina
12.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-200); Under

Toronto @ Chicago

Game 3-4
October 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.317
Chicago
7.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Detroit @ Los Angeles

Game 5-6
October 7, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
7.876
Los Angeles
11.689
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 4
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-190
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-190); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at CAROLINA (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 3-16 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 3-13 ATS (+16.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 37-47 ATS (+84.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 4-11 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 15-21 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 6-2 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 6-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at CHICAGO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-17 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 444-342 ATS (-137.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 16-5 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 7

Trend Report

New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
NY Rangers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
NY Rangers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Carolina
NY Rangers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Carolina is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 23 games at home
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto


Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Detroit is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Detroit is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Detroit is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Los Angeles is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit