Friday 10-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
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College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Predictions 10-12-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 11th October 2018 by Gracenote
Dodgers vs. Brewers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/11/2018

The Los Angeles Dodgers begin pursuit of a second consecutive World Series appearance Friday when they visit the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of the National League Championship Series. The Dodgers lost to the Houston Astros in last season's Fall Classic while the Brewers are aiming to reach the World Series for the first time since 1982.

Milwaukee is on a roll with 11 consecutive victories -- including a three-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies in the NL Division Series -- and owns homefield advantage after posting the best record (96-67) in the NL. "You can accomplish a lot when you're just focusing on the present and one game at a time and not getting caught up in the big picture," Brewers right fielder Christian Yelich said at Thursday's press conference. "... We've seen what's happened in the past and how it's unfolded and we're going to keep that mindset going into this series and we'll see how it works out for us." Los Angeles will try to grab the early lead behind left-hander Clayton Kershaw, who tossed eight innings of two-hit shutout ball during a victory in the NL Division Series against the Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers smacked eight homers during their four-game series against the Braves with shortstop Manny Machado and infielder Max Muncy each hitting two.

TV: 8:09 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Brewers LH Gio Gonzalez (regular season: 10-11, 4.21)

Kershaw put together one of his top postseason performances in the win over Atlanta as he improved to 8-7 with a 4.08 ERA in 25 career appearances (20 starts). The 30-year-old was 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in two turns against Milwaukee this season and stands 6-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 career starts against the Brewers. "It's not that hard to figure out what they're going to do," Kershaw said of the Milwaukee hitters at his Thursday press conference. "Maybe have to prepare for one more guy, but I've got a pretty good idea of what I'll see (Friday night)."

Gonzalez went 3-0 with a 2.13 ERA in five starts after being acquired from the Washington Nationals but hasn't pitched since Sept. 30. The 33-year-old hasn't earned a decision in six career postseason starts -- with 19 walks in only 26 1/3 innings -- but has fared well against the Dodgers by going 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA in six career outings. "I'm grateful I get to pitch another postseason game and with another team now," Gonzalez said in his Thursday press conference. "I was almost on my way home the end of September. So to sit here, and I'm pitching Game 1 of the second round, I think it's pretty remarkable, pretty incredible."

WALK-OFFS

1. The Dodgers went 4-3 against the Brewers in the regular season and smacked seven homers in a 21-5 home victory Aug. 2.

2. Los Angeles 1B Cody Bellinger, who hit a grand slam in the August blowout win, is hitless in 11 at-bats during the postseason.

3. Yelich batted .433 with two homers, one triple and four doubles in 30 at-bats against the Dodgers this season.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 4, Brewers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Toronto Argonauts Preview and Predictions 10-12-2018 in CFL

CFL Previews 9th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/09/2018

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to grab a share of first place in the East Division when they visit the Toronto Argonauts on Friday. The Tiger-Cats pounded the BC Lions 40-10 on Sept. 21 to move within two points of the Ottawa Redblacks, who dropped a 40-32 overtime decision to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 17, and Hamilton hopes to take another step in the quest for its first division title in four years by knocking off the Argonauts for the third time this season.


"Our goal is to be in first place and try to get that first-round bye," Hamilton quarterback Jeremiah Masoli told reporters. "We still have to keep winning and take Ottawa's spot so we're focused on what we have to do." Toronto was officially eliminated from playoff contention after its late rally came up short in the 26-23 loss to the BC Lions in Week 17. The Argonauts scored two touchdowns in the final three minutes, but couldn't complete the comeback as they become the first defending Grey Cup champions to miss the postseason since the Edmonton Eskimos in 2006, and hope to salvage some pride by beating Hamilton for the first time this season. "We'll see how that leads up into the last four games of the season," Toronto coach Marc Trestman told reporters. "We want to find out more about our football team and more about ourselves individually and collectively and I'm excited about it."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN


ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (7-7): Wide receiver Brandon Banks (pre-game altercation), defensive lineman Ted Laurent (kicking) and defensive back Frankie Williams (inappropriate gesture) were each fined an undisclosed amount for their actions during the victory over BC. Banks hauled in nine passes for 79 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Lions after missing the previous two games with a pulled groin. Hamilton clinched a postseason berth and a home playoff date while on its week off after the Montreal Alouettes suffered a 12-6 defeat to the Calgary Stampeders on Thanksgiving Monday.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-11): McLeod Bethel-Thompson was limited to 97 yards on 11-of-18 passing with a touchdown and four interceptions against the Lions to drop his sixth straight game as a starter. James Franklin will get the starting nod Friday after he threw for 103 yards and a pair of touchdowns in relief. Leading receiver S.J. Green caught one pass for seven yards before taking a vicious headshot from BC linebacker Jordan Herdman, who drew an unnecessary roughness penalty, in the first quarter and could miss Friday's clash with a concussion.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Hamilton has won three of the last four meetings with Toronto.

2. Banks has six touchdown catches in his last three games.

3. Franklin is tied for the league lead in rushing touchdowns (12).


PREDICTION: Tiger-Cats 33, Argonauts 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

South Florida Bulls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane Preview and Predictions

NCAAF Previews 9th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/09/2018

South Florida hopes to celebrate its return to the national rankings by improving to 6-0 for the second straight season when it visits Tulsa for an American Athletic Conference matchup Friday night. The 23rd-ranked Bulls registered 574 yards in the 58-42 victory at Massachusetts last weekend to remain one of 11 unbeaten teams in the nation, and they dive into the meat of the league schedule for the next seven weeks.

"The next seven games are conference games, so they all count. ... ," USF coach Charlie Strong told reporters. "We've got to be at our best and we've got to play well. We've got to play with effort, we've got to execute and we've got to come out and play with passion." Strong said the Bulls must win the battle at the line of scrimmage to allow junior running back Jordan Cronkrite to have another big game and nullify an experienced offensive line for Tulsa, which includes three seniors with 113 starts between them. The Golden Hurricane have dropped four straight games, but lost to No. 14 Texas by only seven and held a nine-point lead on Houston with 13:10 to go last Thursday before giving up the last 24 points in a 41-26 setback. "That was a pretty tough one to swallow," Freshman quarterback Seth Boomer told the Tulsa World after shining in his first career start against the Cougars. "I felt like we were the better team through three quarters, but we didn't finish the game. We're taking steps, but I'm tired of taking steps. We just have to win ball games. We're going to. I can promise that."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: USF -7.5

ABOUT USF (5-0, 1-0 AAC): Cronkrite, a transfer from Florida, has strung together three straight 100-yard rushing performances after setting a school and conference record with 302 against UMass. "You watch him play and you really see that burst. When he hits that burst, then he takes off. ... it's hard for guys to catch him," Strong told reporters of Cronkrite. "He has outstanding speed, runs behind pads, can run through tacklers, and does a really good job protecting the football." Quarterback Blake Barnett has completed 65.1 percent of his passes and boasts four receivers with at least 216 yards through the air, led by freshman Randall St. Felix (21 catches, 351 yards, touchdown) and senior Tyre McCants (26, 300, two TDs).

ABOUT TULSA (1-4, 0-2): Boomer got a chance to start with sophomore Luke Skipper (four TDs, six interceptions) injured and completed 13-of-31 passes for 227 yards and a touchdown with one interception. Golden Hurricane coach Philip Montgomery told reporters Boomer will be better in his second game after facing a tough Houston defense and there is a solid ground attack to depend on that features Corey Taylor II (411 yards, four TDs) and fellow sophomore Shamari Brooks (375, four TDs), but they are day-to-day with ankle injuries. Tulsa's defense is ranked 15th in the nation against the pass (173.4 yards) and junior linebacker Cooper Edmiston (team-high three interceptions, 42 tackles) has led the way.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Tulsa senior WR Justin Hobbs leads the team with 19 receptions and has 156 for 2,322 yards in his career.

2. USF's Josh Black leads the Bulls with four sacks and fellow senior LB Khalid McGee owns a team-high 45 tackles.

3. The Bulls have won both previous meetings, including 27-20 at home last season.

PREDICTION: USF 31, Tulsa 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons Preview and Predictions in NCAAF

NCAAF Previews 9th October 2018 By Charles Jay for Scores And Stats
by Charles Jay Scores & Stats on 10/09/2018

Both the San Diego State Aztecs and Air Force Falcons are coming off big victories last weekend, and in the case of each of them, there is always the danger of some kind of let down.

Historically, the Aztecs have had some success dealing with Air Force's offensive scheme, and they have proven themselves to be equal to the task of slowing down ground attacks, as they hold a lofty place in the NCAA's statistical rankings.

These teams will meet up on Friday night at SDCCU Stadium in San Diego.

TV: CBS Sports Network, 9 PM ET. LINE: San Diego State -10

ABOUT AIR FORCE: Coming off consecutive losses to Florida Atlantic, Utah State and Nevada (which was a home game), we're not sure where the expectations really were as Air Force (2-3 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) played host to Navy in their first leg of the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy series. They were slight underdogs at home and indeed spotted Navy an early touchdown. But they gave the Midshipmen nothing else the rest of the way. In what was a stunning performance in just about every phase, Air Force ran off 35 unanswered points and had 399 total yards (including 142 through the air), and took a Navy team that had been averaging 356 rushing yards and held them to 178 TOTAL yards. They got big stops from Brody Bagnall, who had 13 tackles on the afternoon. Head coach Troy Calhoun is a 1989 graduate of the academy, and he will be going after his 50th Mountain West Conference victory. The only other coach with that many is San Diego State's Rocky Long (86).

ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE: Competing on the Blue Carpet is never an easy task, but the Aztecs (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) went up there and took control, limiting Boise State to just 229 total yards in a 19-13 victory. The Broncos have not scored so few points at home in over six years. Quarterback Ryan Agnew only had 107 passing yards, but the coaching staff did take note that he was at least trying to throw the ball downfield little more. On defense, Kyahva Tezino was all over the field, with nine tackles. Currently, he has the second-most quarterback pressures of any linebacker in the country. SDSU head coach Rocky Long always seems to have some success dealing with the Air Force option; he has beaten the Falcons eleven times, which is more than anyone else currently active. And San Diego State has seven straight victories in the ongoing series. They have won 33 consecutive games when they have held their opponents to 24 points or less. And right now they are second in the nation in Rushing Defense, allowing a shade below 62 yards per game (also just two yards per carry).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Last year's game, which took place in Colorado Springs, was delayed for an hour and 28 minutes because of bad weather, and as a result, they did not have a halftime break. San Diego State, led by future first-round draft pick Rashaad Penny, won the game 28-24.

2. Air Force, like San Diego State, is very tough against the run, ranking #13 in the nation, allowing just 104.6 yards per game.

3. Blane Morgan, the quarterback coach for San Diego State, is a 1999 graduate of Air Force and served as an assistant there for 12 seasons.

PREDICTION: San Diego State 28, Air Force 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona Wildcats vs. Utah Utes Preview and Predictions

NCAAF Previews 9th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/09/2018

After opening Pac-12 Conference play with back-to-back losses to Washington and Washington State, Utah showed it still will be a factor in the South Division race by rebounding for an impressive 40-21 road upset of Stanford last week. Just how big a factor the Utes are will be determined by a two-game homestand that begins Friday night against Arizona.

The Wildcats (3-3, 2-1) are one of three teams ahead of Utah (3-2, 1-2) in the South Division. Another is USC (3-2, 2-1), which hosts first place Colorado (5-0, 2-0) on Saturday night and then visits Salt Lake City the following weekend. Utah also has a road date with the Buffaloes remaining on Nov. 17 so the Utes still control their own destiny when it comes to trying to earn a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game on Nov. 30 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. "It is a big positive that we can build off," Utah coach Kyle Whittingham said of the 40-21 victory over the Cardinal. "Not only with the production but with the energy, the passion and the juice that they played with." Meanwhile, Arizona has bounced back from an 0-2 start to win three of its last four games including a 24-17 home win over Cal last Saturday.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Utah -13.5

ABOUT ARIZONA (3-3, 2-1 Pac-12): The spotlight was on quarterback Khalil Tate and his chances of winning a Heisman Trophy entering the season, but it has been the Wildcat defense, led by sophomore linebackers Colin Schooler (66 tackles, 11.5 tackles for loss) and Tony Fields II (45 tackles) that has opened eyes in Kevin Sumlin's first year in Tucson. Arizona has allowed an average of 18.3 points in its first three conference games and returned two interceptions for touchdowns in the 24-17 victory over Cal. Tate, hobbled by an ankle injury and a new offense that stresses passing from the pocket, has rushed for only 109 yards and two touchdowns on 44 attempts but has thrown for 11 touchdowns while explosive sophomore tailback J.J. Taylor is averaging an even 100 yards per game and has scored four touchdowns.

ABOUT UTAH (3-2, 1-2): The Utes lead the Pac-12 in total defense (296.4 yards per game), rushing defense (75.4) and pass efficiency defense (109.22) and are second in scoring defense, allowing an average of 17.2 points per game. Sophomore cornerback Jaylon Johnson was the Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Week after returning an interception 100 yards for a touchdown and leads the secondary with 20 tackles while a stout front seven is led by senior linebacker Chase Hansen (10 tackles for loss) and junior defensive end Bradlee Anae (four sacks). Junior running back Zack Moss, who rushed for 160 yards and two TDs at Stanford, and junior quarterback Tyler Huntley, who completed 17-of-21 passes for 199 yards and a TD against the Cardinal and has 10 career completions of 40-or-more yards, lead a Ute offense that ranks ninth in the Pac-12 in scoring (25.8).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Utah PK Matt Gay, the reigning Lou Groza Award winner and a consensus All-American, was the Pac-12's Special Teams Player of the Week after going 4-for-4 on field goals (49, 48, 37 and 34 yards) at Stanford

2. Arizona's defense has forced seven turnovers in its last two games after creating just one in the first four games.

3. Moss has scored a touchdown in seven straight games, dating back to the 2017 regular season finale against Colorado.

PREDICTION: Utah 34, Arizona 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 5

Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quiniela / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6


Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 43 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON $6,000 SINCE SEPTEMBER 12, 2017 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 24, 2018 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 12, 2018 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 12, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JALDA ARRIBA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top thr ee in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CIUDAD CONDAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
JALDA ARRIBA
20/1

3/1
2
CIUDAD CONDAL
5/2

9/2
10
AMBIGU
9/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
CIUDAD CONDAL
2

5/2
Front-runner
49

44

58.4

17.8

10.3
10
AMBIGU
10

9/2
Front-runner
59

48

27.4

27.4

15.4
1
JALDA ARRIBA
1

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
56

52

52.6

43.2

38.7
8
DIVA DEL SOL
8

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
48

43

51.0

22.2

9.2
11
LA MENOS QUERIDA
11

7/2
Trailer
48

29

34.6

29.8

18.3
4
CARLA C
4

20/1
Trailer
22

24

33.6

12.0

0.0
9
SHEPIN
9

20/1
Trailer
0

0

29.8

28.2

17.2
3
PITONISA
3

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
45

42

39.0

33.4

24.4
5
LA FORTALEZA
5

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

33.2

11.8

0.0
6
MI DUQUESA
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

44.6

5.7

0.0
12
PALMIRA MIA
12

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

20.8

20.8

1.8
7
DREAM ONE
7

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
23

16

14.4

14.4

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Stronach 5 - Race #1 - Post: 4:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SECRET O'LIFE (ML=7/2)
#11 BOX OF GOLD (ML=4/1)


SECRET O'LIFE - As long as Maragh keeps this steed off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a big winner. Trainer Vitali moves this animal to a lower class rank to face a less competitive field. Look for a sharp race racing against these lower level horses. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a sharp effort is a good omen. Getting a weight break of 5 pounds from last race at Gulfstream Park West on October 3rd. Should help in this event. BOX OF GOLD - Just missed hitting the board on Aug 2nd at Gulfstream Park. With respectable morning odds in this field, she has my interest. This animal didn't run well on the soft turf in her last start at Gulfstream Park. You probably want to overlook that showing. Can't help but like the 2nd time addition of Lasix by the trainer today. Pretty good indication Nicks thinks she can win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PASO A LA REINA (ML=5/1), #10 VELDT (ML=6/1), #5 KINDHEARTED KOTA (ML=8/1),

PASO A LA REINA - Tough to wager on at 5/1 odds after the last two showings. Quite unimpressive rating last out at Gulfstream Park at 7 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's event. VELDT - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple months in a sprint race to be worth the risk at modest odds in a sprint. Hasn't been close at all of late. KINDHEARTED KOTA - Not a good enough price on this horse at the likely odds of 8/1.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SECRET O'LIFE - Last two races this filly has shown a steady increase in her speed numbers. This thoroughbred is a top contender against these ponies today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #3 SECRET O'LIFE on the nose if you can get odds of 6/5 or more

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 85

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 CORONADO COOL 5/2

# 1 PULPIT HANNA 2/1

# 2 SWIFT APPROVAL 6/1

CORONADO COOL looks formidable to best this field. Looks respectable against this group and should be one of the leaders. Must be considered in this contest if only for the very good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last contest. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately. PULPIT HANNA - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Tamayo has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. SWIFT APPROVAL - Looks decent to be up on the lead at the first call. Ought to be carefully examined in this contest if only for the solid speed figure posted in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West

10/12/18, GPW, Race 4, 2.51 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1 Super Hi 5 / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 4-9)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 25.00, $1 ROI 0.70, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 7 The Gospel of John 9/2 Lopez P Belsoeur Yvon J
099.4081 4 Bodebabe 4-1 Jaramillo E Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. W
099.0562 2 Nikee Kan 6-1 Panici L Catanese. III Joseph C FE
098.9589 6 Kitty Foyle 8/5 Zayas E J Pletcher Todd A. T
096.7722 5 Smirkotch 30-1 Maysonett F Z Getto Larry S
095.4992 1 Ny Beth Getsitdone 8-1 Montalvo C Dwoskin Steven L
094.5233 3 Irish Princess 5-1 Sanchez J Fawkes David C

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 77

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 RIM DITCH 7/5

# 6 TAKE CITY BY STORM 8/5

# 3 GRACIAS TOM 7/2

RIM DITCH supports the wager in here. Is hard not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very strong - 71 avg - of late. Competitive pick to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Looks solid to be up on the lead at the first call. TAKE CITY BY STORM - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Rodriguez have shown very solid results lately. With Russell in the saddle guiding him, this gelding will almost certainly be able to break out early in this competition. GRACIAS TOM - Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Has run very well when racing a dirt sprint race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 2:40pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 WAR BOND (ML=12/1)
#4 TEXAS ZIP (ML=8/1)
#7 SILVER DAGGER (ML=5/2)
#8 INTREPID CITIZEN (ML=5/1)


WAR BOND - Ran a less than stellar race at Meadowlands last out. Racing on a non-sloppy track puts this horse at the top of my contenders list. Great average class rating on this horse. Should have the ability to run well on the turf. TEXAS ZIP - Really have to figure this horse is going to be very close near the finish line. SILVER DAGGER - I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice race within the last thirty days. This gelding has lots of ability on the turf. Could be long gone by the time they turn for home and hit the stretch. INTREPID CITIZEN - Capuano brings him back again. I advise you stay with this hot gelding. Horses out of the barn of Capuano have been solid on the grass. Should do well today. You'll be making money left and right by turning your racing money onto this jock/conditioner combination. This horse ran out of the money at Delaware Park last time out on the soft turf. He should improve in this race under normal track conditions.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PRIME TIME MAN (ML=4/1), #1 RECALIBRATING (ML=6/1), #1A RAPO (ML=6/1),

PRIME TIME MAN - Would have to improve off that seventh place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. Finished seventh in his most recent performance with a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch. RECALIBRATING - This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. RAPO - A strong mount that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings recently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - SILVER DAGGER - This gelding has the best turf speed rating in a route in the last eighteen months. Expect good things today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 WAR BOND on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[4,6] with [4,6,7,8] with [4,6,7,8] with [4,6,7,8,10,12] with [4,6,7,8,10,12] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
Lone Star Park - Race 8

Exacta / Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 64 • Purse: $5,800 • Post: 9:07P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CAPTAIN VALOR: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ratin g.
7
CAPTAIN VALOR
7/5

4/5




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
KIKIMORA
1

5/1
Slow
0

0

8.5

0.0

0.0
2
TBT HEY BARTENDER
2

8/1
Average
0

0

5.5

0.0

0.0
3
CITY STREET YG
3

30/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
SAMS CITY GIRL
4

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

7.1

0.0

0.0
5
HAF CARTEL
5

20/1
Slow
60

2

8.0

0.0

0.0
6
ISA SPECIAL ONE
6

30/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

8.7

0.0

0.0
7
CAPTAIN VALOR
7

7/5
Average
63

66

5.5

0.0

0.0
8
SMASHED GOL
8

6/1
Average
0

0

5.8

0.0

0.0
9
SR ROCK SIZZLER
9

4/1
Average
0

0

6.0

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/12/18, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $30,000.
Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $5,000 To $40,000 1 lb. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 45.00, $1 ROI 1.04, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 9 She's a Dime 5-1 Van Dyke D Saldana Reed JF
099.4830 6 All Tea All Shade(b+) 4-1 Stevens G L Hess. Jr. Robert B. WC
099.1563 5 Rolinga 5-1 Fuentes R Freeman Edward R. TEL
098.0251 8 Superhotamolly 7/2 Espinoza A Kruljac J. Eric
096.8283 2 Sassy Kitty 6-1 Roman E A Machowsky Michael
096.3651 10 Depende de Ti 10-1 Quinonez A Garcia Antonio
095.5396 1 Boolicious 8-1 Elliott S Lewis Craig Anthony
094.0476 7 Athleisure 8-1 Conner T Brinkerhoff Val
092.8209 4 Tiz Your Way 20-1 Payeras E Heap Blake R.
092.8076 3 Alystar(b+) 20-1 Fuentes L A Sierra Javier Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (5 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 4) - 10/12/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (3 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 2) - 10/12/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 86-129 ATS (-55.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 1) - 10/12/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 7

Trend Report

Friday, October 12

South Florida @ Tulsa
South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road

Tulsa
Tulsa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Air Force @ San Diego State
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games on the road

San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Utah
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road

Utah
Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Utah is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7

Friday, October 12

South Florida @ Tulsa

Game 109-110
October 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
83.525
Tulsa
79.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 4
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 7 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+7 1/2); Over

Arizona @ Utah

Game 111-112
October 12, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
91.377
Utah
95.627
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+13 1/2); Under

Air Force @ San Diego St

Game 113-114
October 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
84.133
San Diego St
93.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 9
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 11 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(+11 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 7


Friday’s games
South Florida is 5-0 this season, despite giving up 38 points to Ga Tech, 42 to UMass; Bulls ran ball for 365 yards LW, after East Carolina outgained them by 116 yards in a 20-13 win. USF won its last two games with Tulsa, 27-20/38-30, with last visit here in ’14; under Strong, Bulls are 2-4 as road favorites. Tulsa is 0-4 vs I-A teams, 2-2 vs spread; all four games stayed under total. Under Montgomery, Golden Hurricane is 1-6 as home underdogs; they’re -6 in turnovers vs I-A teams, giving up 192+ rushing yards in all four games.

Arizona won five of last six games with Utah, but they lost 36-23 in last visit here in ’16. Dogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Arizona is 2-3 vs I-A teams; all five games stayed under total; since ’13, Wildcats are 3-14 vs spread as road underdogs- they’re 3-7 in last ten games as a double digit dog. Khalil Tate hasn’t progressed much as a passer, which hurts. Utah lost two of last three games but pulled upset at Stanford LW; Utes allowed 826 PY in last two games. Since Utah is 9-13 vs spread when laying double digits.

Air Force ended 3-game skid by thumping rival Navy 35-7 LW; they allowed 827 PY in their first two road games- Navy can’t pass. San Diego State won its last seven games with Air Force, winning 30-14/28-9 in last two series games played here. Falcons are 0-2 on road, losing 33-27/42-32; they covered eight of last 11 games as road underdogs. Aztecs pulled a big upset in Boise LW; they’re 7-12 vs spread in last 19 games as home favorites. No one has run for more than 119 yards vs San Diego State this year- can Air Force move it enough to cover here?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Oct. 12


SOUTH FLORIDA at TULSA...USF 4-7 vs. points last ten since late 2017. Bulls 2-5 vs. line last seven laying points away from Tampa in reg. season. Tulsa however just 1-7 last 8 as home dog.
Slight to South Florida, based on team trends.


ARIZONA at UTAH...Utes 5-1 as home chalk since last season. Home team has won and covered last three in series. Cats on 3-7-1 spread skid since late 2017, also 2-10 last 12 as visiting dog. Sumlin teams are 4-9-2 last 15 as dog.
Utah, based on team and series trends.


AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Calhoun 15-6-1 last 22 as dog since 2014. Though Aztecs have covered 6 of last 7 in series. Rocky Long, however, just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk.
Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona at Utah
Brian Edwards

Matchup: Arizona at Utah
Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
TV/Time: ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET

In multiple columns, guest radio spots and on my Games Galore podcast throughout the summer, I spoke at length about how Arizona’s Kevin Sumlin and Mississippi State’s Joe Moorhead were walking into the best new coaching gigs in terms of being able to win right away. Well, here we are in mid-October, and Moorhead’s fresh off a huge win over Auburn to avoid as three-game losing streak.

As for Sumlin, his Arizona team (3-3 straight up, 3-3 against the spread) is a double-digit road underdog at Utah on Friday night. The Wildcats have quite a few games remaining in which they’ll be underdogs and it appears they’ll be fortunate just to go bowling.

As of early Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had Utah (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) installed as a 13.5-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 50.5. UA was available on the money line for a +415 return (risk $100 to win $415).

Utah is off its best performance of the season, going to The Farm in Palo Alto and dominating Stanford in a 40-21 victory as a four-point road underdog. The 61 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 45-point total in the Utes’ highest-scoring game of the season.

The game turned on Jaylon Johnson’s 100-yard pick-six early in the second quarter that gave Kyle Whittingham’s squad a 14-0 advantage. Zach Moss, who had a seven-yard TD run to allow Utah to draw first blood late in the opening quarter, ripped off a 35-yard TD run to put Utah ahead 21-0 late in the second quarter.

Trailing 27-7 midway through the third quarter, Stanford scored back-to-back touchdowns to trim the deficit to 27-21 with more than 16 minutes remaining. Matt Gay’s 34-yard field goal put Utah back into a two-possession advantage. Then with 7:12 left, QB Tyler Huntley found Samson Nauca on a 57-yard scoring strike. Gay’s 37-yard FG put the game on ice with 3:34 remaining.

Utah played turnover-free football and forced four Stanford turnovers. Huntley completed 17-of-21 passes for 199 yards and one TD without an interception. Moss had 160 rushing yards and two TDs on 20 attempts, while Nacua had a pair of catches for 70 yards and one TD. Britain Covey had six catches for 70 yards.

The win at Stanford allowed Utah to avoid a three-game losing streak and remain alive in the Pac-12 South with a 1-2 league record. The Utes started the season with a 41-10 home win over Weber State before winning 17-6 at No. Illinois. However, they lost 21-7 vs. Washington as four-point home underdogs before dropping a 28-24 decision as 1.5-point road favorites at Washington State.

Moss and Huntley are the catalyst for the Utah offense. Moss has rushed for 549 yards and six TD while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. He also has five receptions for 30 yards and one TD. Huntley has connected on 62.4 percent of his throws for 994 yards with a 5/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for 143 yards and a pair of scores.

Covey is Huntley’s favorite target, hauling in 32 receptions for 328 yards. Nacua has caught 13 balls for 146 yards and one TD.

Utah is 26-23-1 ATS as a home favorite dating back to the start of the 2008 campaign. We should also note the Utes’ outstanding special-teams players. Gay, the junior kicker, was a first-team All-American and the Lou Groza Award winner in 2017. Senior punter Mitch Wishnowsky was a second-team All-American last year, but he was a first-team All-American choice in ’16 when he won the Ray Guy Award. Wishnowsky is averaging 44.0 yards per punt this year.

Utah is ranked 10th in the nation in total defense, third at defending the run and 18th in scoring ‘D,’ giving up an average of 17.2 PPG.

Senior LB Chase Hansen is the leader of the Utes’ stop unit. He has produced 43 tackles, seven tackles for loss, three sacks, one QB hurry and one interception that went for a 40-yard pick six to put the No. Illinois game away.

Sumlin’s tenure started with back-to-back losses both SU and ATS, including a 28-23 loss to BYU as an 11.5-point home favorite. In Week 2, Arizona was trounced 45-18 at Houston as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Wildcats would bounce back to win 62-31 vs. Southern Utah and 35-14 at Oregon State.

Since then, Arizona lost a 24-20 decision to USC as a 3.5-point home underdog and then beat California 24-17 last week as a two-point home underdog. Sumlin’s bunch was extremely fortunate to beat the Golden Bears, who enjoyed a 25-13 advantage in first downs and a 476-265 edge in total offense.

So, how the hell did Arizona find a way to win? Well, it needs to hand out a no-look assist with some behind-the-back mustard on it to former South Carolina QB Brandon McIlwain, who threw three interceptions. Two of those were of the pick-six variety in the second half.

Trailing 10-0, McIlwain put Cal-Berkeley in front 14-10 at intermission on TD runs of 25 and 23 yards in the second quarter. However, with 3:19 left in the third quarter, UA’s Azizi Hearn intercepted McIlwain and went 34 yards to the house to put the Wildcats ahead 17-14.

Then with 3:13 remaining, Arizona’s Scottie Young produced a 24-yard pick-six. Cal added a 35-yard FG with 16 ticks left to provide the final score. In addition to the 14 points it scored, the UA defense also had a fumble recovery and a pair of stops on fourth-down plays.

Arizona junior QB Khalil Tate was nothing short of sensational last season, averaging 9.2 YPC while rushing for 1,411 yards and 12 TDs despite not getting steady playing time until October. To say Tate’s production has slipped this year would be quite the understatement.

Tate has run for just 110 yards and two TDs with a 2.5 YPC average. He has completed 54.0 percent of his passes for 1,412 yards with an 11/4 TD-INT ratio. RB J.J. Taylor leads the Wildcats with 600 rushing yards and three TDs with a 5.8 YPC average. Gary Brightwell has run for 308 yards and two TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC.

Tate mostly looks to three different targets. Shawn Pointdexter has 21 receptions for 407 yards and two TDs, while Shun Brown has 27 catches for 342 yards and three TDs. Tony Ellison has 17 grabs for 311 yards and three TDs.

Arizona is ranked 99th out of 130 FBS teams in total defense. The Wildcats are 103rd at defending the run and 70th in scoring ‘D,’ giving up 26.5 PPG.

Since 2013, Arizona has limped to an abysmal 4-14 spread record in 18 games as a road underdog.

The ‘over’ is 3-2 overall for the Utes, 1-1 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 43.0 PPG.

The ‘under’ is 5-1 for Arizona, 2-0 in its road assignments. The Wildcats saw their lone ‘over’ appearance in the blowout win over FCS foe, Southern Utah. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 56.8 PPG.

From 2012-15, Arizona won four games in a row over Utah both SU and ATS. Since then, however, Utah has won back-to-back games over the Wildcats both SU and ATS. The Utes won 36-23 as 9.5-point home favorites in 2016.

When this rivalry was resumed in Tucson last year, Utah won a 30-24 decision as a 4.5-point road underdog. This was before Tate was inserted into the lineup ahead of former QB Brandon Dawkins, who threw for 248 yards and ran for 90 but was intercepted three times. Huntley completed 8-of-9 passes for 98 yards and one TD without an interception. Moss rushed for 73 yards on 14 attempts.

Kickoff for Friday’s Pac-12 South showdown is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--There are two other televised games on Friday’s card. Tulsa will play host to unbeaten South Florida at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, and San Diego State will take on Air Force as a double-digit home favorite at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College Network.

--USF (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) was listed as a seven-point favorite at Tulsa as of early Thursday afternoon. The Bulls are 1-1 ATS in a pair of road situations, winning 25-19 at Illinois as 14-point ‘chalk’ and capturing a 58-42 triumph at UMass as 15.5-point favorites last week. USF is 2-4 ATS in six games as a road favorite since Charlie Strong took over in 2017. Tulsa beat Central Arkansas by a 38-27 count in its opener, but it has lost four games in a row since then. The Golden Hurricane hasn’t been getting blown out and has covered as a double-digit underdog twice, including a 28-21 loss at Texas as a 22.5-point ‘dog.

--San Diego State is still playing without starting QB Christian Chapman and star RB Juwan Washington. Nevertheless, Rocky Long’s club has won four consecutive games since losing 31-10 at Stanford in its season opener. The Aztecs beat Arizona State 28-21 as five-point home underdogs and then went to the smurf turf and knocked off Boise State. 19-13 as 13.5-point road underdogs last week. As of early Thursday afternoon, most spots had San Diego State listed as 11-point home favorites with a total of 43.5 or 44. Air Force (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) ended a three-game losing streak last week by blasting Navy 35-7 as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Falcons, who have seen the ‘under’ go 4-1, are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS in a pair of road outings. They lost 33-27 at FAU but covered as eight-point ‘dogs, but they failed to cover by the hook in a 42-32 loss at Utah State as 9.5-point puppies.

--Boston College star RB missed last week’s 28-23 loss at N.C. State nursing a sprained ankle. Nevertheless, the Eagles took the cash as 6.5-point underdogs in Raleigh. BC is 4-2 both SU and ATS and as of Thursday afternoon, the Eagles were 13.5-point home favorites for a 12:30 Eastern kick vs. Louisville on Saturday. Dillon remains ‘questionable’ and will likely be a game-time decision versus the Cardinals, who are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS and can’t afford to fire Bobby Petrino even if they desperately desired to do so. Dillon has rushed for 652 yards and six TDs while averaging 6.2 YPC.

--BYU has named true freshman QB Zach Wilson as its starter vs. Hawaii. Wilson has appeared in only two games this year in relief of Tanner Mangum. He completed 3-of-4 throws for 52 yards and one TD without an interception in mop-up duty during last week’s 45-20 home loss to Utah State. As for the Warriors, they went to great lengths to keep star QB Cole McDonald’s foot injury under wraps last week. In fact, Nick Rolovich sent another player out in McDonald’s jersey (with his name on it, obviously) to warm up prior to last week’s 17-13 home win over Wyoming. McDonald didn’t play but is listed as ‘probable’ this week (however, I’m not implying gamblers should trust that status). McDonald has been nothing short of sensational, throwing for 2,100 yards with an incredible 24/2 TD-INT ratio. As of early Thursday afternoon, the Cougars were installed as 11.5-point home favorites.

--Toledo QB Mitchell Guadagni (head) is ‘questionable’ at Eastern Michigan. Guadagni has 745 passing yards and a 10/1 TD-INT ratio. The Rockets have seen the ‘over’ go 5-0 this year. They’re one or 1.5-point road favorites with a total of 63.5. Since winning outright at Purdue on a walk-off FG in Week 2, EMU has lost four consecutive one-possession games in a row. The Eagles, who are 4-2 ATS, lost 23-20 at San Diego State in overtime in Week 4. Next, they dropped a 26-23 decision to No. Illinois in triple overtime. EMU rallied for a backdoor cover with a last-minute TD in last week’s 27-24 loss at Western Michigan as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Eagles have seen the ‘under’ hit in three straight outings.

--Iowa State owns a 6-3-1 spread record in 10 games as a home underdog during Matt Campbell’s three-year tenure. The Cyclones, who are off a 48-42 upset win at Oklahoma State as 10-point underdogs, were listed as 6.5-point home ‘dogs to West Virginia as of early Thursday afternoon. Campbell has named Brock Purdy as his starting QB this week with Kyle Kempt (‘doubtful’) not quite ready to return from the knee injury sustained in the team’s opener. ISU has an open date after hosting WVU. Purdy, a true freshman who had only appeared in one game and not yet attempted a pass before being inserted into the lineup last week in Stillwater, torched the Cowboys by completing 18-of-23 passes for 318 yards and four TD with only one interception. He also rushed for a team-best 84 yards and one TD on 19 carries. However, the Cyclones might be without star RB David Montgomery, who is ‘questionable’ against the Mountaineers due to an upper-body injury.

--Disgraced former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze has been hired as the new offensive coordinator for the Arizona Hotshots of the new Alliance of American Football league that starts this spring. Freeze will work under Arizona head coach Rick Neuheisel, who is the former head coach at UCLA, Washington and Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
David Schwab

The extended Week 17 schedule due to Canada’s Thanksgiving holiday started with Winnipeg’s thrilling 40-32 victory over Ottawa in overtime on Friday night. The action shifted to British Columbia on Saturday night and the Lions squeezed out a 26-23 win against Toronto as a seven-point favorite.

Monday’s holiday doubleheader started with Calgary grinding out a 12-6 road win against Montreal as a heavy 13 ½-point favorite. Saskatchewan remained the hottest team in the CFL right now with a 19-12 victory over Edmonton as a 3 ½-point favorite at home.

Friday, Oct. 12

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (3-11 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Ottawa’s loss combined with a Week 16 bye has the Tiger-Cats a game back in the East Division title race. They have already beaten Toronto once in a 42-28 romp on Sept. 3 as nine-point home favorites. The total went OVER 51 points in that game and it has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last five outings. Hamilton is averaging 29.1 points per game as the third-highest scoring team in the CFL.

The Argonauts’ extended straight-up losing streak reached six games and it was just the second time they covered against the spread during this slide. The total stayed UNDER the closing 52-point line against the Lions after going OVER in their previous four games. Toronto is 3-1 ATS in its last four home games with the total going OVER in four of its last five games played at home.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has a 7-2 edge ATS in its last nine road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

Friday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (7 - 7) at TORONTO (3 - 11) - 10/12/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 18

Trend Report

Friday, October 12

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18


Friday, October 12

Hamilton @ Toronto

Game 661-662
October 12, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
112.473
Toronto
109.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 2 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+7 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 18


Hamilton (7-7) (-7.5, 52.5) @ Toronto (3-11)— TiCats already beat Toronto twice this year, 42-28/36-25; Hamilton won six of last nine series games- teams split last four games played here. Last three series games went over the total. TiCats won four of last six games, split last four on road; they’re 22 as road favorites— four of their last five games went over. Argonauts lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread); they allowed 30+ points in four of last five. Toronto is 4-3 as a home underdog- over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NLCS Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

2018 Head-to-Head Matchups (Dodgers 4-3, Over 4-3)

Dodgers vs. Brewers (Miller Park)
July 20 – Dodgers 6, Brewers 4 (Over 9)
July 21 – Brewers 4, Dodgers 2 (Under 8)
July 22 – Dodgers 11, Brewers 2 (Over 8 ½)

Brewers vs. Dodgers (Dodger Stadium)
July 30 – Brewers 5, Dodgers 2 (Under 7 ½)
July 31 – Brewers 1, Dodgers 0 (Under 8 ½)
August 1 – Dodgers 6, Brewers 4 (Over 8)
August 2 – Dodgers 21, Brewers 5 (Over 7 ½)

HOW THEY GOT HERE

The Brewers (96-67) are the hottest team in baseball entering the League Championship Series. Milwaukee has won 11 consecutive games, which includes the divisional tiebreaker victory at Wrigley Field over the Cubs. The Brewers locked up not only the NL Central title, but secured the all-important home-field advantage throughout the National League playoffs.

Milwaukee quickly disposed of Colorado in a three-game sweep in the NLDS to advance to its first Championship Series since 2011. For the exception of a ninth-inning rally to score two runs in Game 1, Colorado’s offense was shut down by the Milwaukee pitching staff in this series. The Rockies tallied a total of two runs in 28 innings, while getting blanked in the final two games. All three games finished UNDER the total, as none of Milwaukee’s starting pitchers allowed a run.

The Dodgers (92-71) also needed a victory in a division title contest as they routed the Rockies to pick up their sixth consecutive NL West championship. Los Angeles ran a tight race alongside Colorado and Arizona for the top spot in the West all season long until the Dodgers pulled away in the final five weeks. After the Cardinals swept the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine in late August, Los Angeles sat at 67-61. The Dodgers went 24-10 in the final 34 regular season games to clinch a playoff spot, while going 15-4 in the past 19 home contests.

Los Angeles needed four games to finish off an upstart Atlanta squad in the NLDS. The Dodgers blanked the Braves in each of the first two games, but couldn’t pull off the sweep as Los Angeles fell to Atlanta, 6-5 in Game 3 at SunTrust Park. L.A. rallied past Atlanta, 6-2 in Game 4 to advance to its third consecutive National League Championship Series.

SEASON SERIES

In seven meetings this season, the Dodgers captured four victories, including two wins at Miller Park in July. Los Angeles held off Milwaukee in the opener, 6-4, highlighted by two hits from Manny Machado in his Dodgers’ debut after getting traded from Baltimore. The Brewers won the second contest as nearly a +160 underdog against Clayton Kershaw as Milwaukee erased an early 2-0 deficit to pick up a 4-2 triumph. The Dodgers grabbed the rubber match in blowout fashion, 11-2, as Los Angeles allowed two early runs before it put together a pair of five-run innings for the series victory.

When the teams met in southern California over a week later, the Brewers rebounded with a pair of wins, while limiting the Dodgers to two runs in those victories. Eric Thames knocked out a three-run homer in the series opening 5-2 win, while Wade Miley tossed seven scoreless innings in a 2-0 triumph in Game 2. The Dodgers broke through in Game 3 on a Yasmani Grandal walk-off homer in the 10th inning, 6-4 followed up by a 21-5 rout of Milwaukee in the finale to grab the series split.

PLAYOFF HISTORY

The Dodgers and Brewers have never met in the playoffs, as Milwaukee has played in the National League since 1998. Los Angeles is seeking back-to-back National League pennants for the first time since 1977-78, while losing in four of its past five NLCS appearances dating back to 2008. Milwaukee last reached the NLCS in 2011 as the Brewers fell in six games to the Cardinals, while the Brew Crew is looking for their first World Series appearance since 1982.

PITCHERS TO WATCH

Obviously the most decorated pitcher in this series is Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw (9-5, 2.73 ERA), who silenced the Braves’ bats in Game 2 of the NLDS. Kershaw tossed eight scoreless innings and scattered two hits in a 3-0 shutout as the Dodgers have won each of the left-hander’s last nine starts. Los Angeles owns a 5-0 mark in each of Kershaw’s last five home playoff starts, but the road is a different story for the three-time Cy Young winner. Kershaw has allowed 11 earned runs in his past two road playoff outings, while the Dodgers are 0-2 in those affairs.

Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.56 ERA) picked up a career-high in victories in his first season in Milwaukee. Chacin was an integral part of lifting the Brewers to the NL Central title by allowing one hit and one run in 5.2 innings of the division championship win over the Cubs. The right-hander followed that performance up by yielding three hits in five scoreless innings of a 4-0 triumph over Colorado in Game 2 of the NLDS. However, Chacin was lit up by the Dodgers in the 16-run defeat in August as he was tagged for nine runs in 4.1 innings opposite Kershaw.

Southpaw Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) is unbeaten in his past eight starts for Milwaukee, while having the Dodgers’ number in two starts. In 13 innings against Los Angeles, Miley allowed six hits and one run, as the Brewers split those two games. Miley finished one out from a victory against Colorado in Game 3 of the NLDS as he tossed 4.2 scoreless innings in the 6-0 rout as +145 underdogs in the series clincher.

SERIES SCHEDULE (All games on FOX/FS1)

Game 1 – Friday, October 12 – at Milwaukee
Game 2 – Saturday, October 13 - at Milwaukee
Game 3 – Monday, October 15 - at Los Angeles
Game 4 – Tuesday, October 16 - at Los Angeles
*Game 5 – Wednesday, October 17 - at Los Angeles
*Game 6 – Friday, October 19 - at Milwaukee
*Game 7 – Saturday, October 20 - at Milwaukee

* - If Necessary

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALCS Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

2018 Head-to-Head Matchups (Astros 4-3, Over 5-2)

Red Sox vs. Astros (Minute Maid Park)
May 31 – Astros 4, Red Sox 2 (Under 8 ½)
June 1 – Astros 7, Red Sox 3 (Over 7)
June 2 – Red Sox 5, Astros 4 (Over 7 ½)
June 3 – Red Sox 9, Astros 3 (Over 7 ½)

Astros vs. Red Sox (Fenway Park)
September 7 – Astros 6, Red Sox 3 (Over 8 ½)
September 8 – Astros 5, Red Sox 3 (Under 9)
September 9 – Red Sox 6, Astros 5 (Over 8 ½)

HOW THEY GOT HERE

The Red Sox (108-54) won the most games in franchise history this season as they reached the ALCS for the first time since 2013 after knocking out the Yankees in four games of the ALDS. Boston split the first two games against New York at Fenway Park, but rebounded for a pair of victories in the Bronx, capped off by Tuesday’s Game 4 clincher, 4-3.

Boston won 93 games each of the last two seasons on its way to the AL East title, but in Alex Cora’s first season as manager, the Red Sox jumped to 108 victories, its most since winning 104 games in 1946. The difference this season is the Red Sox were able to escape the ALDS unscathed after losing to Cleveland in 2016 and Houston in 2017.

In those two series losses to the Indians and Astros, the Red Sox posted an 0-4 road record. Boston put together a 51-30 mark away from Fenway this season, which ranked second in the league behind Houston’s 57-24 road ledger. The Red Sox are on a 4-1 road underdog run since late September, which includes three wins over the Yankees and a victory at Cleveland.

The Astros (103-59) are back in the ALCS for the second consecutive season as Houston seeks back-to-back World Series titles. Houston closed the regular season on a 28-9 run to capture the AL West title, while finishing off Cleveland in a three-game sweep in the ALDS.

Houston’s pitching staff stifled the Cleveland bats by allowing six runs in the three games, while pulling away in the Game 3 clincher by scoring 10 runs in the final three innings of an 11-3 rout at Progressive Field. The Astros knocked out eight home runs in the series sweep, including a pair of jacks from outfielder George Springer in the Game 3 rout.

SEASON SERIES

The Astros grabbed four of seven meetings from the Red Sox, as Houston won the first two matchups in each series. In the first series at Minute Maid Park in June, Houston captured the opener, 4-2 thanks to a pair of fourth inning runs to break a 2-2 tie. The two teams combined for five homers in the second game with aces Gerrit Cole and Chris Sale on the mound, but the Astros pulled away for a 7-3 victory.

The Red Sox rebounded in the next two games to grab a split as Andrew Benintendi and Christian Vasquez each went deep in the seventh inning of a 5-4 win in Game 3. Boston destroyed Houston in the series finale, 9-3 as the Red Sox handed Charlie Morton his first loss of the season by tagging the Astros’ right-hander for six runs in 5.1 innings of work.

In the following series at Fenway Park in September, the Astros rallied from a 2-0 deficit to score six late runs in a 6-3 victory in the opener. Morton rebounded in his second opportunity against the Red Sox by allowing two runs in five innings of a 5-3 victory in Game 2, while Alex Bregman drilled his 30th homer of the season. The Red Sox avoided the sweep with a 6-5 walk-off victory in the series finale on Mitch Moreland’s RBI single, while J.D. Martinez drove in four runs for Boston.

PLAYOFF HISTORY

Houston and Boston are meeting in the playoffs for the second straight season as the Astros eliminated the Red Sox in four games of the ALDS in 2017. The Astros wacked the Red Sox in back-to-back 8-2 blowouts at Minute Maid Park to jump out to a commanding 2-0 lead, highlighted by racking Sale in the series opener for seven runs in five innings.

The Red Sox avoided elimination in Game 3 by erasing an early 3-0 deficit to score 10 unanswered runs in a 10-3 rout at Fenway Park. Game 4 was certainly quirky as both teams turned to their aces out of the bullpen as Justin Verlander tossed 2.2 innings and Sale lasted 4.2 innings in relief. However, Houston knocked out Boston by scoring three late runs in a 5-4 win as short road favorites.

PITCHERS TO WATCH

There is no shortage of aces to go around for these two teams. Verlander (16-9, 2.52 ERA) is unbeaten in his last six starts, while shutting down the Indians in Game 1 of the ALDS by scattering two hits in 5.1 innings of work. Verlander faced the Red Sox once this season as the Astros lost as -200 favorites, 5-4 on June 2. The former MVP and Cy Young winner did his part by allowing three hits and two earned runs in six innings, but the Red Sox scored three runs in the seventh inning for the win. The Astros have won five of Verlander’s six playoff starts since he was acquired last season, but the only loss came on the road to the Dodgers in the World Series.

Cole (15-5, 2.88 ERA) hasn’t lost a decision since August 10 against Seattle, while the Astros are 7-0 in his past seven outings. The former Pirates’ standout struck out 12 in a Game 2 victory over Cleveland in the ALDS, while picking up his first postseason win since 2013 against the Cardinals. Cole will start Game 2 at Fenway Park as the Astros posted a 7-3 record and 2.77 ERA away from Minute Maid Park this season. The Astros won each of Cole’s starts against the Red Sox in 2018, as the right-hander allowed five earned runs in 13 innings of work.

The Red Sox send out Sale (12-4, 2.11 ERA) in the series opener as the Cy Young candidate hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning since July 27. Sale spent a month on the disabled list with a shoulder injury, but returned in September to four no-decisions (3-1 team record). The southpaw picked up a Game 1 ALDS win against the Yankees by tossing 5.1 innings of five-hit ball and striking out eight in a 5-4 victory. The Red Sox won nine of Sale’s 13 home starts this season, although the four losses came as a favorite of -230 or higher.

David Price (16-7, 3.58 ERA) has been postseason poison in his career as his teams are 0-7 in his past seven playoff starts dating back to 2013. Price didn’t escape the second inning in the Game 2 ALDS loss to the Yankees, as the southpaw is set to start Game 2 against the Astros. However, Price was dominant against this Houston lineup in two starts this season by giving up five runs and seven hits, while striking out 17 in 12.1 innings of work.

SERIES SCHEDULE (All games on TBS)

Game 1 – Saturday, October 13 – at Boston
Game 2 – Sunday, October 14 – at Boston
Game 3 – Tuesday, October 16 – at Houston
Game 4 – Wednesday, October 17 – at Houston
*Game 5 – Thursday, October 18 – at Houston
*Game 6 – Saturday, October 20 – at Boston
*Game 7 – Sunday, October 21 – at Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 12

LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee

Game 901-902
October 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 17.810
Milwaukee
(Gonzalez) 20.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+140); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 12

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LA DODGERS (95 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (99 - 67) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 95-72 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 66-54 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-67 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-30 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-35 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-55 (+24.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 100-82 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-34 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-14 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
KERSHAW is 41-11 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 7-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KERSHAW is 6-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 8-6 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-2.4 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 4-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 1.016.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

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HOUSTON (106 - 59) at BOSTON (111 - 55) - 8:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 275-313 (-72.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
BOSTON is 111-55 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 88-39 (+32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 75-35 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 42-29 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 58-24 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 37-14 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-6 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 42-15 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 38-16 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 49-28 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 240-240 (-64.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
VERLANDER is 6-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 9-11 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.6 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SALE is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 0.864.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (95 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (99 - 67) - 4:05 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MILEY is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 6-8 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.8 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 12

National League
Dodgers @ Brewers
Kershaw is 4-0, 3.79 in his last six starts; his last three road starts went over. Team in his starts: 17-10, 9-4 road (won his last nine starts) He is 1-1, 4.50 vs Milwaukee this season.
5-inning record: 16-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-27

Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.49 in his last five starts; Brewers won his last five starts. Over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. Team in his starts: 5-0, 4-0 home
5-inning record: 5-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Dodgers won seven of their last eight games overall, four of last five on road. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

Milwaukee won its last 11 games; their last loss was Sept 22. Brewers won their last six home games- they’re in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 12

Trend Report

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: OVER 61 -109

1* Free Play on South Florida/Tulsa over 61 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa +8½ -110 at betonline

1* Free Pick on Tulsa +8½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: UNDER 63½ -110

1* Free Play on South Florida vs Tulsa under 63½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capping Computer Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: South Florida -8 -104 at GTBets

1* Computer Pick on South Florida -8 -104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa +8½ -108 at betonline

Take the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes plus the points versus the South Florida Bulls. Tulsa (1-4) has lost four straight games after their 41-26 loss at Houston last Thursday. But despite their record, the Golden Hurricanes are actually outgaining their opponents by +16.8 net YPG. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss to a conference rival. The Golden Hurricanes have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. South Florida (5-0) remained unbeaten after their 58-42 win at UMass last week. But the Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win on the road. They stay on the road working on a short week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games when favored in the 7.5 to 14 point range. Take Tulsa plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Oct 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 56m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Tulsa
Play on: UNDER 63½ -109

1* Free Sharp Play on South Florida vs Tulsa under 63½ -109
My money is on the UNDER 63.5 in Friday's AAC showdown between USF and Tulsa. I think we are seeing a really high number here due to the fact that USF is coming off a game at UMass that saw 100 combined points and Tulsa off a game against Houston that saw 67 points. Those are two very misleading finals. UMASS has no defense and after building up a 41-14 lead in the 2nd half, USF let gave up a bunch of garbage points to the Minutemen. Prior to that we saw the Bulls play a game against Illinois with a combined 44 points and a game against East Carolina with just 33 points. As for the Golden Hurricane, that game against Houston was 23-17 going into the 4th quarter, before turnovers aided a 24-point 4th quarter for the Cougars. There will be some scoring in this one, just not near enough to eclipse the mark. Bet the UNDER 63.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Oct 12 '18, 8:09 PM in 2h
MLB | Dodgers vs Brewers
Play on: Dodgers -147 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Los Angeles Dodgers -147
The Brewers 11-game winning streak that dates back to the regular-season comes to end Friday night in Game 1 of their NLDS matchup with the Dodgers. It's been a remarkable run for Milwaukee. Sure the pitching was great in their NLDS clash with Colorado, but the Rockies offense was ice-cold. The Brewers pitching is going to find things a lot tougher here against this loaded Dodgers offense.
As good as Gio Gonzalez has been since coming over to Milwaukee, his 5 starts were all against non-playoff teams and the one decent offense he faced (Cardinals), he gave up 3 runs in 4 innings of work.
The key here is the Dodgers don't figure to need many runs to secure the win with ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound. Kershaw allowed just 2 hits and struck out 13 over 8 shutout innings in his only start of LA's NLDS matchup with Atlanta. Kershaw has faced Milwaukee 3 times over the last two seasons and allowed just 4 earned runs on 14 hits with 26 strikeouts in 19 innings.
Dodgers are 22-8 in Kershaw's last 30 road starts vs a team with a winning record, 8-2 in his last 10 vs the NL Central and 26-9 in their last 35 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Los Angeles!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Oct 12 '18, 8:09 PM in 2h
MLB | LAD vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 7½ -111

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Dodgers/Brewers UNDER 7.5
The Key: Both the Dodgers and Brewers have been pitching lights out here down the stretch. The Brewers have only allowed 3 runs in their last 5 games, while the Dodgers have given up just 10 runs in their last 6 games. Both teams have dynamic bullpens. And Clayton Kershaw and Gio Gonzalez have dominated the opposition. Kershaw is 6-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 lifetime starts against the Brewers. Gonzalez is 4-1 with a 2.34 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Dodgers. Gonzalez sports a 2.13 ERA in 5 starts with the Brewers this year. Take the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Oct 12 '18, 8:09 PM in 2h
MLB | Dodgers vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers +142 at GTBets

Free Play on Brewers +142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Oct 12 '18, 8:09 PM in 2h
MLB | LAD vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 7½ -118

10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 7.5)
I'll take my chances on the UNDER 7.5 in Game 1 of the NLDS. Dodgers will turn to their ace Clayton Kershaw, who was outstanding in his lone start in the NLDS against the Braves, allowing just 2 hits with 13 strikeouts in 8 innings. Brewers will counter with the red-hot Gio Gonzalez, who has a 2.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his 5 starts since coming to Milwaukee. I expect a solid 5 innings from Gonzalez, but the Brewers won't hesitate to turn to one of the best bullpens in the game. I also think there's an edge here for both starters with the long layoff between their clinching games of the NLDS and Game 1 of this series. Hitters are use to pitching on long rest, where just a few days off can destroy the timing for a hitter. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Oct 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs San Diego State
Play on: San Diego State -10½ -110 at YouWager

Free Play on San Diego State -10½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Oct 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs San Diego State
Play on: OVER 46 -105

FREE PLAY on Air Force/San Diego State over 46 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs San Diego State
Play on: Air Force +10½ -109 at GTBets

1* on Air Force +10½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Oct 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs San Diego State
Play on: UNDER 44 -105

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Air Force/San Diego State UNDER 44
Don’t expect many clock stoppages in this battle between two run-heavy teams in Air Force and San Diego State in Mountain West action tonight. That will lead to a low-scoring affair as neither of these teams tops 20 points in this one.
The UNDER is 4-1 in San Diego State’s five games this season. They have combined with their opponents for 43 or fewer points in four of their five games with the only exception being the 49 they combined for with Arizona State.
San Diego State has a terrible offense that is averaging just 21.6 points per game. They lost their star running back in Juwan Washington to a broken collarbone. Also, starting QB Christian Chapman has been lost to a knee injury. That has been the biggest reason for their struggles offensively.
But as usual, the Aztecs have one of the best defenses in the country to back them up. They are giving up just 19.8 points and 315.4 yards per game this season. They have been incredible against the run, giving up just 62 rushing yards per game and 2.0 per carry this season. They should be able to completely shut down Air Force’s offense.
The Falcons average 255 rushing yards per game but just 116 passing yards per game. However, they have one of the best defenses they’ve ever had. They are giving up just 22.0 points and 341 yards per game. Like SDSU, their strength is stopping the run. They are allowing only 105 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. So it’s strength vs. strength for both teams.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Falcons last five games overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in Aztecs last five games overall. The UNDER is 10-1-1 in Aztecs last 12 games after gaining less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings at San Diego State. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Oct 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs San Diego State
Play on: Air Force +10½ -109 at GTBets

Free Pick on Air Force

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone Oct 12 '18, 10:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Arizona vs Utah
Play on: OVER 50½ -104

In five the last six confrontations between these Pac-12 South rivals, the total have been 60 or higher. This year it opened at 53 and has crumbled to 50.5. The average total score in that span has been 58.1 total points. I know Khalil Tate has a bum ankle, but why isn't Kevin Sumlin get him into open space where he can just run straight ahead like last year? Let's back history and the fact Arizona is 22-9 OVER after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better and Utah is 18-6 OVER at home off a conference win by 10 points or more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson Oct 12 '18, 10:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Arizona vs Utah
Play on: Utah -13½ -110 at YouWager

Free Play on Utah -13½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tonys *5 NCAA free pick

USF vs. Tulsa, 10/12/2018 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: -7/-110 USF

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: home field advantage is the only advantage and it won’t be enough as the offense for south Florida will be too much for Tulsa and the bulls win and cover for my NCAA free play !