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Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 01:39 AM

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NFL Predictions 20th November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/20/2018

Mitchell Trubisky has been providing plenty of correct answers for the Chicago Bears this season, but the availability of the quarterback is now in question for their Thanksgiving Day game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on Thursday. Trubisky did not practice on Tuesday, two days removed after injuring his throwing shoulder on a late hit in a 25-20 win over Minnesota.

"I'm saying cautiously optimistic but I can't make any promises," Chicago coach Matt Nagy said of Trubisky's potential involvement against Detroit. "I hope he does. But it's a day-to-day thing for us, like I said. He wants to play. I know that. And for us, we got to make sure in these situations that we're doing the right thing." Trubisky threw for a career-high 355 yards with three passing touchdowns to go along with a rushing score in the Bears' 34-22 win over the Lions on Nov. 11. While Chicago has won four straight to ascend to the top of the NFC North, the Lions snapped a three-game skid by holding on for a 20-19 victory over Carolina on Sunday. Kerryon Johnson scored in his second straight game and rushed for 87 yards against the Panthers before sustaining a knee injury that has prevented the promising rookie from practicing this week.

TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Bears -3.5. O/U: 44.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (7-3): Veteran backup Chase Daniel would get the nod if Trubisky is sidelined, with the former having spent time under Nagy in Kansas City before shuffling over to Chicago. "I haven't gotten any reps with the first team this year, but it's the same offense that I was in for five years, so for me, it's mostly the same plays," said the 32-year-old Daniel, who hasn't started an NFL game since the 2014 season. Allen Robinson reeled in six catches for 133 yards and two touchdowns versus the Vikings while fellow wideout Anthony Miller has found the end zone in back-to-back contests. Jordan Howard, however, was limited to just 21 yards on 11 carries against the Lions' 24th-ranked rush defense (125.0 yards per game).

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-6): Coach Matt Patricia likely will use a running back-by-committee approach in place of Johnson, with the bruising LeGarrette Blount, Theo Riddick and Zach Zenner expected to handle specific tasks out of the backfield. "It's not cookie-cutter. Football is not that way," Patricia said. "When you have a different player that is in and in the same position, it doesn't mean they can do the same thing. So you have to be able to adjust with that and do a good job of handling that whatever the situation is, whoever those guys are." Matthew Stafford has thrown for 220 yards for fewer in two of his last three outings and faces a Bears defense that leads the NFL with 18 interceptions, although wide receiver Kenny Golladay set a season high in catches (eight) for 113 yards versus the Panthers last week.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Detroit WR Marvin Jones Jr., who did not practice on Tuesday, is trending toward missing his second straight game with a knee injury.

2. Bears LB Khalil Mack returned from a month's absence due to an ankle injury and collected two of his team-leading eight sacks against the Lions.

3. Detroit CB Darius Slay, who missed this month's meeting with Chicago, had a pair of interceptions in his last encounter with the club on Dec. 16.

PREDICTION: Bears 20, Lions 19

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 01:39 AM

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NFL Predictions 20th November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/20/2018

In a short week, the Washington Redskins not only have to rebound from a narrow defeat but also move forward after losing their starting quarterback for the remainder of the season. Alex Smith suffered a gruesome injury in Sunday's loss to Houston, leaving Colt McCoy to take over entering Thursday's crucial matchup against the division-rival Dallas Cowboys.

Washington was in firm control of the NFC East following a three-game winning streak that included a 20-17 victory over visiting Dallas, but coach Jay Gruden is confident McCoy can steady the team after two losses in three games. "I'm a big, firm believer in Colt McCoy's ability to play," Gruden said. "This is an opportunity of a lifetime for him. I know he would like it in different circumstances, but things happen for a reason. He'll take advantage of it." The Cowboys appeared ready to drop out of contention before posting consecutive back-to-back road wins at Philadelphia and Atlanta to draw within one game of the Redskins. "You know what Thanksgiving means to the Cowboys and to our tradition," Dallas owner Jerry Jones said. "We're so proud to have done what we've done for the NFL on Thanksgiving Day. To have it boil down to a game of this substance, that will be a treat for us on Thanksgiving Day."

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cowboys -7.5. O/U: 40.5

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (6-4): No matter who is under center, Washington's game plan will remain the same -- control the clock by feeding veteran running back Adrian Peterson and lean on a defense that ranks fifth in points allowed (19.8). Peterson scored twice in Sunday's 23-21 loss to Houston and rushed for 99 yards on 24 carries against Dallas last month, a game in which Smith was limited to 178 yards passing and one touchdown. McCoy, who was 6 of 12 for 54 yards and a TD on Sunday, has made 25 career starts but has not seen substantial duty since appearing in five games with the Redskins in 2014. Washington's No. 6-ranked run defense held Ezekiel Elliott to a season-low 33 yards in Week 7.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-5): Elliott has been instrumental in Dallas' last two victories, rushing for 273 yards and a pair of touchdowns while hauling in 13 receptions for 115 yards and another score. Wide receiver Amari Cooper, acquired from Oakland at the trade deadline, has 14 catches for 169 yards and a TD in three games with the Cowboys, but quarterback Dak Prescott has benefited from his presence in the lineup by posting his three top completion percentages during that time. Prescott lost two fumbles in the first matchup, one of which was returned for a TD, and will be without starting tight end Geoff Swaim (wrist). The Cowboys have allowed more than 20 points once in the past six games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Elliott joined Eric Dickerson and Edgerrin James as the only players with at least 4,500 scrimmage yards and 30 TDs in his first 35 games.

2. Redskins TE Jordan Reed has a season high-tying seven catches last week and 10 receptions for two scores in his last game at Dallas.

3. Cowboys DE Demarcus Lawrence has 3.0 sacks and six tackles for loss in the last three meetings versus Washington.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 23, Redskins 19

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 01:39 AM

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NFL Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/21/2018

When they met in Week 3, the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints both were sitting at 1-1 and in need of a win to propel them in the right direction. The Saints eked out a 43-37 overtime victory and haven't stopped since, as they aim for a 10th consecutive victory when they host the Falcons on Thursday night.

The Saints ran their winning streak to nine games with a 48-7 romp over Philadelphia last week, completing a difficult stretch of their schedule in impressive fashion. New Orleans has scored at least 45 points and rolled up 487 or more yards in three straight games, and the defense has forced eight turnovers in the last four contests. The loss to the Saints in Week 3 began a three-game skid for the Falcons. They then won three straight, including a 24-point triumph at Washington, but back-to-back losses have put Atlanta's playoff hopes in peril.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Saints -13. O/U: 60

ABOUT THE FALCONS (4-6): The first meeting with the Saints encapsulates Atlanta's entire season - the team has one of the league's top offenses and one of its worst defenses. Although the offense ranks sixth in total yards and ninth in the scoring, the ground game has been almost non-existent, so the Falcons have relied on Matt Ryan (3,306 yards, 22 touchdowns, four interceptions) and the passing attack. Ironically, the defense turned in its best effort since Week 1 last time out, holding Dallas to 323 total yards, but the offense fell flat in a 22-19 loss.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (9-1): New Orleans possesses the league's top scoring offense and one of its most balanced, as complementary running backs Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram have given the team a ground attack to go along with the prolific Drew Brees. The superstar quarterback has been especially good in five home games, completing 78.9 percent of his passes for 1,754 yards with 16 touchdowns and no interceptions. The Saints' defensive stats are somewhat skewed by their opponents often playing catch-up, but they've been tough against the run while giving up substantial passing yardage, including a season-high 391 yards at Atlanta.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Brees threw four touchdown passes without an interception last week, his NFL-record 23rd such game - one more than Tom Brady.

2. Atlanta WR Julio Jones has caught a touchdown pass in three straight games after being kept out of the end zone in the first seven contests.

3. New Orleans WR Michael Thomas has recorded at least 10 receptions and 115 yards in three of his last four games against Atlanta.

PREDICTION: Saints 34, Falcons 23

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:12 AM

Colorado State Rams vs. Air Force Falcons Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAF Predictions 21st November 2018 By Charles Jay for Scores And Stats
by Charles Jay Scores & Stats on 11/21/2018

For the Colorado State Rams, it's been a thoroughly disappointing season, and there is really nothing left but to start thinking about next season. However, there is at least one measure of satisfaction they can get from beating the geographic rival.

The Air Force Falcons have also been somewhat disappointed because this is a team that has become accustomed to going to bowl games. But this season they will miss out on that action. Can they close out the season on a winning note?

These teams will meet up on Thanksgiving day at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs.

TV: CBS Sports Network, 3:30 PM ET. LINE: Air Force -14. O/U: 62.5

ABOUT COLORADO STATE: Current Status - The Rams are 3-8 straight-up and 4-7 against the pointspread. They have had only two wins in the Mountain West – taking place against San Jose State and New Mexico. Last week they put up a spirited effort but lost 29-24 ti Utah State when a Hail Mary touchdown was overturned. Still, it can be said that CSU has allowed fewer points only twice then they allowed against the high-octane Aggies. The Good - Colorado State ranks 16th in the nation in passing offense, just shy of 300 yards per game. And interestingly enough, for a team that likes to pass the ball, they are 27th among the 130 FBS teams in time of possession. The Bad - They have given up 450 yards per game, and haven't run the ball enough, averaging just 109. It's been very hard for them to stop people on the ground, as they rank outside the top 100 with 203.7 rushing yards allowed per contest, and they are fourth from the bottom in passing efficiency defense, although that doesn't matter as much here as it usually might. The Rams are one of the 20 most penalized teams in the country, getting flagged an average of 7.8 times per game. They are currently on a four-game losing streak.

ABOUT AIR FORCE: Current Status - Air Force is 4-7 straight-up and 6-3-2 ATS. They are out of the bowl picture unless it's one of those circumstances where there are not enough teams with six wins. But for all intents and purposes, this is their season finale. The Good - As you might expect, rushing is a strength for this team, as they rank fifth in the nation with 273.5 yards per game. And unlike Colorado State, this is a disciplined crew, ranking among the nation's 20 best in terms of fewest penalties per game. They know how to convert when they get in close, scoring points on 92.7% of their red zone trips (seventh in the country). And they are also seventh in time of possession. Air Force does not throw the ball a lot, but they do average 17.6 yards per completion, which is third-best nationwide, and that is not an unexpected thing for teams running the option; Army, for example, leads the nation with 20.34 yards per pass completion. The Bad - They haven't done a great job defending the pass; in fact, they are 116th in the country in passing efficiency defense, and this is always a concern for option-based teams who don't have a chance to practice against sophisticated air attacks. They have intercepted only five passes, and on special teams, they have averaged only 32.3 net yards per punt, next to last in the nation.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Colorado State has been on a rather prolonged pointspread slump, covering just four of their last 17 games.

2. There's quite a difference in the way Air Force defends kickoffs and punts; they are 12th in the nation in kickoff return defense, but just 120th in punt return defense.

3. Last year's game resulted in a 45-28 Air Force victory, as the Falcons rolled up 413 rushing yards on the Rams.

PREDICTION: Air Force 40, Colorado State 21

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:12 AM

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Mississippi Rebels Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAF Predictions 20th November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/20/2018

Matt Luke will serve as head coach for his second Egg Bowl when Ole Miss hosts No. 20 Mississippi State on Thanksgiving, but the way he sees it, the Gulfport, Miss. native has been involved for most of his 42 years on Earth. "It's a game that means so much to so many people," Luke, who played for the Rebels from 1995-98 and was an assistant coach for 10 years, told reporters. "... It's a 365-day bragging rights. It's just always been important in my family ever since I can remember."

It matters little that the Bulldogs are winding down a season in which many believe they underachieved or that the Rebels need a victory to become bowl-eligible when the Battle for the Golden Egg ensues. "This game has all of the ingredients of what makes college football and a great rivalry special," Mississippi State coach Joe Moorhead, who will experience his first Egg Bowl, told reporters. "Two great opponents, proximity, familiarity, tradition, history. Really, quite frankly and most importantly, a lot of players from the state who have played with or against each other. I think that's what makes this game unique and special." The Bulldogs have struggled on the road in the SEC - albeit versus tough competition, losing to then-No. 17 Kentucky, No. 8 LSU and No. 1 Alabama by a combined 71-10. Ole Miss leads the series 64-46-6, including 58-27-5 since the Battle for the Golden Egg began in 1927, and has won three of the last four meetings after hanging on for a 31-28 upset victory last season after leading 24-6 in the third quarter.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Mississippi State -11

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (7-4, 3-4 SEC): The Bulldogs are coming off a 52-6 victory over Arkansas last week as senior quarterback Nick Fitzgerald (51.7 completion rating, 14 touchdowns, seven interceptions) passed for four scores and ran for another - extending his school-record total for career rushing TDs to 43. Fitzgerald has recorded team highs of 901 yards and 10 TDs on the ground, with sophomore Kylin Hill (583 yards) and senior Aeris Williams (438) combining for five scores. Senior defensive end Montez Sweat (9.5 sacks) and junior defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons (12.5 tackles for loss, zero sacks) spearhead a defense that has allowed the second-fewest points in FBS at 12.8 per game.

ABOUT OLE MISS (5-6, 1-6): The Rebels have lost four straight after a 36-29 overtime setback at Vanderbilt last week in which quarterback Jordan Ta'amu (19 touchdowns, seven interceptions) passed for a career-high 457 yards with two scores and two interceptions. The senior from Hawaii is second in the country with 348.3 passing yards per game while junior wideout A.J. Brown (six touchdowns) is fifth nationally with 1,259 receiving yards. Ole Miss yields 489.2 yards per game - 123rd among the 129 FBS teams - and ranks 113th against the run (213.8).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Mississippi State has allowed 12 touchdowns - fewest in the FBS.

2. Ta'amu needs 212 passing yards to break the school record for most in a season set in 2015 by Chad Kelly.

3. Fitzgerald joined Dak Prescott - his predecessor at Mississippi State - and Florida's Tim Tebow (2007-09) as the only SEC quarterbacks to rush for 10 touchdowns and pass for 10 in three consecutive seasons.

PREDICTION: Mississippi State 35, Ole Miss 24

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:12 AM

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Wisconsin has answered its first losing season since 1997-98 by jumping out to a 4-0 start and looks to remain unbeaten when it takes on Oklahoma in the semifinals of the Battle 4 Atlantis at Paradise Island in Nassau, Bahamas on Thursday. The Badgers, who finished 15-18 in 2017-18, averaged 86 points in their first three wins and flexed their defensive muscles Wednesday with a 62-46 victory over Stanford in the first round.

Senior forward Ethan Happ has a triple-double and three double-doubles for Wisconsin, including 16 points and 12 rebounds Wednesday, and the Badgers held Stanford to 27.1 percent shooting from the field to pull away. Wisconsin won't have it easy against an Oklahoma team that knocked off Florida 65-60 in the first round Wednesday by dominating on the glass (48-34) and limiting the Gators to 39 percent shooting from the floor. "From the start I thought we were aggressive to the boards," Sooners coach Lon Kruger told reporters. "We got some big rebounds (inside), and our perimeter guys rebounded pretty well, too. That was a big key in the game. Limiting them to generally one shot was huge for us." Senior guard Christian James has led the way for Oklahoma this season, averaging 21.5 points on 52.9 percent shooting, and pulled down a season-high seven rebounds in Wednesday's win.

TV: 1:30 p.m. ET, ESPN Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT WISCONSIN (4-0): Happ is averaging 17.8 points, 12.0 boards and 5.7 assists in the early going and teamed with sophomore guards D'Mitrik Trice and Brad Davison to score 46 of the 62 in the first round. Trice, who missed the last 23 games of 2017-18 with a foot injury, is tied for the team scoring lead although he was just 6-for-20 from the field and 0-of-5 from behind the arc Wednesday. Davison is chipping in 12.3 points per contest and junior guard Brevin Pritzl has scored 33 total points in two games this season, but was shut out in the other two.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (4-0): James poured in 18 points against Florida and nine others made the scoresheet as the Sooners won despite shooting just 39.1 percent from the field with 14 turnovers. Senior center Jamuni McNeace and senior guard Rashard Odomes each delivered a season-high 11 points to support James while sophomore Brady Manek hauled in double-figure rebounds for the fourth straight contest. Senior guard Aaron Calixte, a transfer from Maine, scored 33 points in the first two games of the season before managing 11 combined the last two.

TIP-INS

1. Manek leads the Sooners with 11 rebounds per game and junior F Kristian Doolittle adds 7.8, including 9.3 in the last three contests.

2. Wisconsin sophomore F Nate Reuvers blocked a tournament-record nine shots Wednesday, tying the school mark set by Brad Sellers in 1982.

3. The Badgers beat Oklahoma in the 2014 Battle 4 Atlantis championship game and lead the all-time series 5-4.

PREDICTION: Wisconsin 76, Oklahoma 68

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:12 AM

Villanova Wildcats vs. Canisius Golden Griffins Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Villanova has won the last five November tournaments it has participated in, but this group of Wildcats appears to be a different breed. The suddenly unranked Wildcats take the court in the first round of the AdvoCare Invitational on Thursday when they face off with Canisius in Lake Buena Vista, Fla.

After two easy wins to open the season, Villanova was hammered by Michigan in an NCAA Tournament title game rematch and then, three days later, a home loss to Furman made it clear that things have changed for Jay Wright's team. "I thought we had a lot of good looks," Wright, whose team shot 33.8 percent Saturday, told reporters. "We just didn't make them." Added senior guard Phil Booth, who led the team with 20 points in a losing effort: "It's not that shocking, to be honest. They're a very good team. We're still a young team trying to find our way." Canisius has played one major college opponent so far and dropped a 32-point decision to Florida State.

TV: 1:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT VILLANOVA (2-2): The Wildcats need more production from senior forward Eric Paschall, who is 3-of-14 from the field in each of the last two games and shot just 2-of-11 from behind the 3-point line in the loss to Furman. Villanova attempted 44 3-pointers in that game while taking just 27 shots from two-point range. Collin Gillespie made four 3s in seven attempts against the Palladins and is 8-of-13 from outside the arc over the last three contests.

ABOUT CANISIUS (1-2): The Golden Griffins' Takal Molson has raised his scoring average from 12.6 points as a freshman to 21.3 points as a sophomore. He shot well in a season-opening win over Bucknell but has made just 2-of-16 shots from 3-point range over the last two games - both losses. Malik Johnson paced the team with 20 points against Florida State thanks to 5-of-6 shooting from 3-point range, although he also had six of the team's 19 turnovers.

TIP-INS

1. Villanova F Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree has at least three blocks in three of the Wildcats' four games.

2. Paschall, who shot 35.6 percent from long range last season, is 3-of-17 from behind the arc this year.

3. The winner of this game will face either Oklahoma State or Memphis in the next round.

PREDICTION: Villanova 88, Canisius 60

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:13 AM

La Salle Explorers vs. Miami-Florida Hurricanes Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Miami sought out each of its first three opponents of the season specifically because the Hurricanes anticipated all of them being the favorite to win their respective conferences. Coach Jim Larranaga likely had events like the Wooden Legacy in mind, and Miami will test itself away from home for the first time Thursday when it faces La Salle in quarterfinal action in Fullerton, Calif.

The Hurricanes easily dispatched Lehigh (Patriot League) and Stephen F. Austin (Southland) before getting tested by Bethune-Cookman (Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference) in Saturday's 78-70 victory, blowing a 10-point second-half advantage before taking the lead back for good with 2:19 remaining. "We're going to face adversity a lot, especially during the ACC. It is very competitive during that part of the season. Any type of competition like that is going to make us better," Miami sophomore guard Chris Lykes told reporters. The Hurricanes have been among the best in college basketball during in-season tournaments of late, winning tournament titles in two of their last five entries and going 3-1 in two others. The Explorers was predicted to finish 12th in the 14-team Atlantic 10 and have done nothing to prove the preseason projections wrong while matching their worst start to a season since 2003-04, although they managed to remain competitive in road losses to Temple and Florida.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT LA SALLE (0-4): Pookie Powell (20.5 points) has been an offensive spark plug since a poor showing in the opener against Temple, scoring at least 21 points in each of his last three outings while shooting 42.9 percent beyond the arc over that stretch. Junior guard Isiah Deas (15.5) has reached double figures in every game as well and nailed at least two triples (including at least three or more in all but one contest), although he is doing so while shooting 38.5 percent from the field. Sophomore guard David Beatty (6.8) totaled only three points on 1-of-13 from the floor while battling foul trouble over his first two games but has bounced back with 11- and 13-point performances on 8-of-18 shooting over the last two.

ABOUT MIAMI (3-0): Lykes (21.0 points, 5.3 assists, 2.3 steals) has picked up where he left off last season when he was the team's leading scorer over the final 12 games, becoming the first Hurricane sophomore to record three straight 20-point efforts to begin a season in 29 years (Joe Wylie). Dejan Vasiljevic (17.7 points) is one of three other Miami players averaging at least 12 points and has knocked down exactly four 3-pointers in every game so far. Swingman Anthony Lawrence II (16.7 points, 8.0 rebounds) nearly posted his second double-double in three outings Saturday with 13 points and nine boards, while Ebuka Izundu (12.3 points, 10.7 rebounds, 3.3 blocks) is one game removed from a 22-point, 19-board, four-block effort against Stephen F. Austin.

TIP-INS

1. The winner will play either Northwestern or Fresno State in the semifinals Friday.

2. Lykes is the first Hurricane - regardless of class - to score at least 20 points in three straight games since Shane Larkin accomplished the feat during the 2013 ACC Tournament.

3. Freshman F Jared Kimbrough (7.3 boards) has led the Explorers in rebounding in every contest, grabbing at least seven each time.

PREDICTION: Miami 86, La Salle 72

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:13 AM

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Memphis Tigers Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Memphis needed everything it could muster to defeat Ivy League opponent Yale over the weekend. Now it's time for the Tigers to contend with Oklahoma State when the teams meet Thursday in the first round of the AdvoCare Invitational at Lake Buena Vista, Fla.

The Tigers needed two overtime sessions to hold off Yale 109-102 in their last contest despite some clear flaws to their game. "We just outlasted them," Memphis coach Anfernee Hardaway told reporters. "To be able to turn them over 25 times, that's what we have to do. We also shot 56 free throws, even though we missed 19 of them." Memphis missed 17 of its 23 attempts from 3-point range, as opposed to Oklahoma State, which was a crisp 10-of-22 from long range in its last contest. The Cowboys topped Charleston 70-58 in that game with junior Cameron McGriff (16 points) leading the charge offensively.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (2-1): The Cowboys are aiming for a third straight win since losing to Charlotte in the season opener, although their defense has been solid all season. They have given up 66, 60 and 58 points in their three games and, most recently, they held Charleston to 38.3 percent shooting and 5-of-26 from long range. McGriff leads the team in scoring (17.7 points) after averaging 8.4 a season ago, and Thomas Dziagwa is averaging 15 points while shooting 11-of-15 over the last two contests.

ABOUT MEMPHIS (2-1): The Tigers are averaging 87 points per game (aided by the double-overtime affair) and have four double-digit scorers on the season. The Tigers' early-season scoring is somewhat surprising given that they aren't shooting particularly well from the field (42.9 percent), the arc (28.6) or the foul line (67.8) and they are also committing almost 15 turnovers per game. Jeremiah Martin (17.7 points) is the top guy for Memphis offensively, followed by Kyvon Davenport (16.7), who had 30 points and 10 boards in a season-opening win against Tennessee Tech.

TIP-INS

1. The winner of this game will face Villanova or Canisius in the next round.

2. Freshman F Yor Anei, who only plays 15.3 minutes per game, has half of Oklahoma State's 14 blocks.

3. Memphis G Tyler Harris has taken 28 of his 34 shots from 3-point range.

PREDICTION: Oklahoma State 69, Memphis 62

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:13 AM

Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 22nd November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/22/2018

Sophomore guard De'Andre Hunter looks to stuff the scoresheet for a second straight game when fourth-ranked Virginia faces Dayton in the semifinals of the Battle 4 Atlantis on Thursday at Paradise Island in Nassau, Bahamas. Hunter recorded 15 points, nine assists and eight rebounds as the Cavaliers rolled past Middle Tennessee 74-52 in Wednesday's first round.

Hunter, who missed top-seeded Virginia's historic loss to 16th seed UMBC in the NCAA Tournament last March with a broken wrist, shares the team lead in scoring with junior guard Ty Jerome (14.5) and is shooting 59.5 percent from the field through four games. The 6-7 Hunter also contributes on the defensive end for the Cavaliers, who have allowed 47.8 points per game and 36 percent shooting in the young season. Dayton rolled to a double-digit lead and held off a late rally from Butler for a 69-64 victory in the first round Wednesday as preseason All-Atlantic 10 preseason pick Josh Cunningham produced his second straight standout game to open his season. Cunningham missed the first two contests with a wrist injury before scoring 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting against Purdue Fort Wayne and connecting on 7-of-11 for 18 against Butler, while grabbing eight rebounds in each contest.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT DAYTON (4-0): Sophomore guard Jalen Crutcher has also put together two outstanding performances, scoring 18 against Fort Wayne and draining 6-of-8 from the field Wednesday to register a game-high 20 points. Junior guard Trey Landers had 10 points against Butler and has reached double figures in three of four games this season while freshman forward Obadiah Toppin is averaging 12.3 points on 22-of-33 shooting overall. The Flyers, who committed 16 turnovers Wednesday, are shooting 51.6 percent from the field overall.

ABOUT VIRGINIA (4-0): Jerome has cooled off after starting the season with back-to-back 20-point games, managing 18 combined in the last two, but has dished out a team-best five assists per contest this season. Junior guard Kyle Guy poured in 15 points against Middle Tennessee, connecting on 3-of-9 from 3-point range, and junior forward Mamadi Diakite is 16-of-24 from the field in his last three contests. Junior guard Braxton Key, a transfer from Alabama, scored a season-high 13 points Wednesday and is hauling in 6.5 rebounds per game early on.

TIP-INS

1. Virginia senior C Jack Salt had four points and four rebounds Wednesday after missing the previous game with back stiffness.

2. Dayton junior F Ryan Mikesell is 14-for-19 from the field over the last three games after missing 6-of-9 on opening night.

3. The Cavaliers won both previous meetings, including 69-50 in the last matchup in 1987-88.

PREDICTION: Virginia 66, Dayton 54

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:13 AM

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Fresno St. Bulldogs Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Five of the 10 players to see action for Northwestern may be newcomers, but their relative unfamiliarity with each other hasn't kept them from playing some of the best defense in the country. The Wildcats attempt to keep a fourth straight opponent under 55 points Thursday when they square off against Fresno State in the quarterfinals of the Wooden Legacy in Fullerton, Calif.

Transfers Ryan Taylor and A.J. Turner as well as three freshmen - including highly touted recruit Pete Nance - have seamlessly gelled with holdovers such as Vic Law and Dererk Pardon to limit opponents to an average of 52.3 points. The Wildcats held Binghamton to 22 percent from the field en route to a 48-19 halftime lead Friday before settling for an 82-54 win over the Bearcats. Stellar defensive play is nothing new to Northwestern, which has finished inside the top 40 in the country in scoring defense in each of the previous three seasons. The Bulldogs pushed No. 18 TCU for a little more than a half on the road last Thursday, taking a two-point lead into the break before giving up 48 in the second half in a 77-69 defeat.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (3-0): Law, who underwent offseason surgery to correct a lung issue, has finished among the Wildcats' top two scorers in every outing so far and ranks first or second on the team in scoring (19.3 points), assists (3.0) and blocks (1.3) while pulling down 5.7 rebounds per game. Pardon (12.0 points, 12.7 boards) fell one rebound shy of posting his third double-double in as many contests despite logging only 13 minutes against Binghamton and is one game removed from an 18-rebound effort against American. Taylor, who led the Missouri Valley Conference in scoring with Evansville in 2017-18 at 21.3 points per game, totaled 17 points on 5-for-16 from the field after scoring 20 points in his Northwestern debut against New Orleans.

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (1-1): New Mexico State transfer Braxton Huggins (team-high 20.5 points) is off to a hot start in his senior season after averaging 13.7 points with the Aggies in 2016-17, scoring at least 18 points in both games while shooting 51.7 percent from the field and 44.4 percent beyond the arc. Junior guard New Williams (15.5) has been even more efficient, converting 56.3 percent of his field goals and 58.3 percent of his 3-point attempts while recording exactly four rebounds and three steals in both contests. All-Mountain West Conference first-teamer Deshon Taylor (12.0), who flirted with turning pro before opting to return for his senior season, is 6-for-19 from the floor while averaging 5.8 fewer points than last season.

TIP-INS

1. The winner will play either Miami or La Salle in the semifinals Friday.

2. Taylor, who is only beginning his third season with Fresno State after transferring from Missouri-Kansas City after the 2014-15 season, became the 33rd Bulldog to score 1,000 career points Thursday.

3. Opponents are shooting 21.6 percent from 3-point range against the Wildcats.

PREDICTION: Northwestern 69, Fresno State 64

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:14 AM

Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida Gators Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Florida coach Mike White told reporters his team isn't playing with much swagger and the Gators will try to begin changing that when they meet Stanford in the consolation round of the Battle 4 Atlantis on Thursday at Paradise Island in Nassau, Bahamas. Florida shot 39 percent from the field, was pounded on the boards (48-34) and could not get over the hump before falling 65-60 against Oklahoma in the first round Wednesday.

"Confidence is a big issue with this team right now, and that's something we've got to get to the bottom of," White told reporters. ". ... We had six or eight basketballs go through our hands because we're playing a little too fast. Missed layups. Missed tip-ins. Some of it is playing hard ... but you have to play more confidently." The Gators have one double-figure scorer on the season, and their starters were 13-for-41 from the field versus the Sooners as they prepare to play a Stanford team that managed just 27.1 percent shooting in a 62-46 loss to Wisconsin during Wednesday's first round. The Cardinal started the season with a pair of double-digit wins against mid-majors, but were beaten by 18 at North Carolina before allowing 18 of the final 22 points against the Badgers. Sophomore forward KZ Okpala leads the team at 19.8 points per game and was the only player in double figures Wednesday with 11, but he went 2-for-12 from the field as Stanford's starters were a cold 10-for-47.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT STANFORD (2-2): Okpala also averages 7.5 rebounds, second on the team behind sophomore forward Oscar da Silva from Germany (8.0) as both hauled in eight caroms in the loss to Wisconsin. Freshman guard Cormac Ryan was very consistent in his first three collegiate games while averaging 14.7 points, but he went 1-for-9 from the floor in the first round and missed all six 3-pointers after coming in 10-for-22 from long range. The Cardinal also need more from sophomore guard Daejon Davis, who was 8-for-15 from the field in the first two games but is 5-for-20 since.

ABOUT FLORIDA (2-2): Senior guard Jalen Hudson leads the team at 10 points per game but was limited to four in the first round and is shooting just 35.1 percent from the field after missing 6-of-8 attempts Wednesday. Sophomore forward Dontay Bassett stepped up with 14 points in 16 minutes against Oklahoma after logging just 18 total minutes in the first three games and going scoreless without attempting a shot in all three of those contests. Sophomore guard Deaundrae Ballard was averaging in double figures coming into Wednesday's game, but did not score in just seven minutes of action.

TIP-INS

1. Davis had seven assists Wednesday after combining for the same amount in his first three games.

2. Florida junior F Keith Stone scored 10 points Wednesday for his first double-figure game of the season.

3. Stanford won the first four meetings, but the Gators rolled over the Cardinal 108-87 last season in Portland.

PREDICTION: Florida 76, Stanford 62

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:14 AM

Texas Longhorns vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
After winning their first five games by an average of 30.6 points, including two by 49- and 50-point margins, the North Carolina Tar Heels are anxious to pick on someone their own size, or at least ability. They'll get that chance starting Thursday night in the semifinals of the Las Vegas Invitational where they face undefeated Texas.

The Tar Heels will make a quick turnaround on Friday and play either No. 11 Michigan State or No. 17 UCLA in either the championship game or consolation game at the Orleans Arena. Both contests figure to be a lot more competitive for Roy Williams' squad than teams like Elon (116-67) and Tennessee Tech (108-58) that the Tar Heels crushed earlier. "No disrespect to any of the teams we've played, but these teams are a little bit more physically imposing, and they kind of match up with us" North Carolina guard Kenny Williams told the Raleigh News & Observer. "I'm super excited for it, especially to see where we stack up against some of the better teams in the country." Texas counts a 73-71 overtime win over Arkansas among its four wins and comes in off a 97-69 victory over The Citadel on Friday.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT TEXAS (4-0): The Longhorns are doing it with defense, holding opponents to just 63.5 points on 39.4 percent shooting, including 29 percent from 3-point range. Senior guard Kerwin Roach II leads the team in scoring (15.3) and is also grabbing 6.3 rebounds, while senior forward Dylan Osetkowski also averages in double figures (11.8). The Longhorns, who ranked last in the Big 12 and 321st in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage last season at 32.0 percent, are off to an even worse start this season shooting just 29.3 percent beyond the arc.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (5-0): The Tar Heels announced Wednesday afternoon that they will be without point guard Seventh Woods for the tournament after he suffered a concussion in practice on Tuesday. Woods leads the team in assists (5.4) and has just six turnovers to 27 assists this season but is averaging just 2.8 points per game. Five Tar Heels are averaging in double figures, led by senior guard Cameron Johnson (17.0 points) and senior forward Luke Maye (14.8) - a national player of the year candidate who is also averaging team-best 8.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists.

TIP-INS

1. Texas leads the series with North Carolina 7-3 and has won the last three in a row and seven of the last eight, including an 84-82 home victory in the last meeting on Dec. 12, 2015.

2. Johnson, a grad student who began his career at Pitt, needs nine points to hit the 1,000 mark for his career.

3. Osetkowski brings in a streak of three straight double-doubles and leads the Longhorns in rebounding with an average of 9.8 per game.

PREDICTION: North Carolina 88, Texas 76

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:14 AM

Butler Bulldogs vs. Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 22nd November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/22/2018

Butler will try to rebound from a disappointing performance when it begins play in the consolation round of the Battle 4 Atlantis on Thursday at Paradise Island in Nassau, Bahamas, against Middle Tennessee. The Bulldogs fell behind by double digits in the first half, allowed 54.3 percent shooting overall and a late comeback came up short in a 69-64 loss to Dayton on Wednesday.

"We've got to do a better job protecting the paint, protecting the rim," Butler coach LaVall Jordan told the Indianapolis Star. "We didn't get them to miss enough. When we did, I thought we had some good opportunities in transition. They shot 54 percent for the game. That's not a formula for winning." The Bulldogs, who got off to a 3-0 start for the fifth time in six seasons before Wednesday's setback, received a career-high 18 points from junior forward Sean McDermott but leading scorer Kamar Baldwin had a tough night with 11 on 5-for-17 shooting against Dayton. Butler will lick its wounds and take on a Middle Tennessee team that has lost two of three after a 74-52 setback against fourth-ranked Virginia in Wednesday's first round. Junior guard Antonio Green, a transfer from UT-Rio Grande Valley, led the way with 11 points against Virginia on 4-of-12 shooting and averages a team-high 20 per contest.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU

ABOUT BUTLER (3-1): Baldwin still leads the team in scoring (20.3), rebounds (6.3), assists (6.0) and steals (1.3) despite the junior guard's off night while senior backcourt partner Paul Jorgensen averages 18.5 points after scoring 18 in the first round. Sophomore forward Joey Brunk had a quiet night with three points after averaging 15 in the first three games, but is 15-for-17 from the field overall. Sophomore guard Aaron Thompson ran into foul trouble Wednesday and was held scoreless in 17 minutes without an assist, after dishing out 12 helpers in the first three contests.

ABOUT MIDDLE TENNESSEE (3-2): Green is one of four players averaging double figures in scoring for the Blue Raiders, who shot 39.2 percent from the field and turned the ball over 15 times against Virginia. Junior forward Reggie Scurry has scored in double figures in all five games and averages 12.8 points while connecting on 22-of-35 from the field and senior forward Karl Gamble chips in 11.2 per game after scoring nine off the bench Wednesday. Sophomore guard Donovan Sims started the season with three double-figure efforts before averaging eight points the last two.

TIP-INS

1. McDermott had 19 points total in the first three games and is 8-for-21 from 3-point range overall.

2. Middle Tennessee senior F James Hawthorne is 18-of-34 from the field, but has missed all five 3-point tries.

3. Baldwin needs 26 points to become the 40th Butler player to reach 1,000 points in a career.

PREDICTION: Butler 78, Middle Tennessee 66

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:14 AM

Michigan St Spartans vs. UCLA Bruins Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
Michigan State has won preseason tournaments in three of the last five seasons including the Victory Bracket of the prestigious PK80 Invitational in Portland, Ore., last season, rolling past North Carolina in the championship game. The 11th-ranked Spartans are focused on bringing home another trophy this week, but it won't be easy as they open the Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic with a semifinal game against No. 17 UCLA on Thanksgiving night.

No. 6 North Carolina and Texas are on the other side of the bracket so it could take two top-20 wins within the span of 24 hours for the Spartans to take home the hardware. Either way, it figures to help toughen up Michigan State for the battles that lie ahead in a very deep Big Ten Conference race. "It's just building that championship mentality, learning what it feels like to win a championship," guard Cassius Winston, who took home MVP honors last year at the PK80 Tourney, told the Detroit News. "That's the mindset we're trying to get this week." That means first getting past a UCLA squad that has won its first four games by an average of 22 points and presents a big problem in 7-1 freshman center Moses Brown, who is averaging 17.3 points, 12.0 rebounds and 3.3 blocks per game.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (3-1): The Spartans have bounced back from a 92-87 loss to then-No. 1 Kansas in the Champions Classic to win three straight games over Florida Gulf Coast (106-82), Louisiana-Monroe (80-59) and Tennessee Tech (101-33) without breaking much of a sweat. Winston leads the team in scoring (17.3) and assists (7.0) after averaging 12.6 points and a Big Ten-best 6.9 assists last season. Junior guard Joshua Langford is second in scoring (17.0), while 6-8, 245-pound junior forward Nick Ward, considered an NBA prospect, is averaging 15.3 points and 6.0 rebounds.

ABOUT UCLA (4-0): The Bruins surprisingly struggled in an 80-65 win over Presbyterian on Monday night, watching a 24-point second half lead dwindle to just three points thanks to a pair of 11-0 runs by the Blue Hose and 21 turnovers. "Really disappointed with the first 15 minutes of the second half," UCLA coach Steve Alford said. "I thought we were making growth in the first half and then we took about two steps back in the second half." Sophomore guard Jaylen Hands scored 19 points to lead the Bruins, while 6-10 freshman forward Jalen Hill grabbed a career-high 20 rebounds.

TIP-INS

1. UCLA leads the series 6-2, although this marks the first meeting between the schools since the Bruins edged the Spartans 78-76 in the 2011 NCAA Tournament.

2. Brown is the first UCLA freshman to record double-doubles in his first three games.

3. Winston, Ward and Langford have combined to start 168 games in their career at Michigan State and are averaging a combined 49.6 points, 13.3 rebounds and 10.5 assists so far this season.

PREDICTION: Michigan State 86, UCLA 81

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:15 AM

Hawaii Warriors vs. Utah Utes Preview and Predictions 11-22-2018

NCAAB Predictions 21st November 2018 by Gracenote
While most teams take part in regular-season tournaments to face unfamiliar opponents, Utah and Hawaii have a fair amount of history - albeit one-sided - with each other. The two former Western Athletic Conference rivals square off for the third time in as many years Thursday in the quarterfinals of the Wooden Legacy in Fullerton, Calif.

The two teams faced each other 41 times from 1980-99 in the WAC before the Utes bolted for the Mountain West, and although the two teams have kept in touch recently, little has changed as Utah has won both meetings - 66-52 in 2016 and 80-60 in 2017 - to extend its series lead to 49-10. The Utes have been off for a week since tying a school record with 17 3-pointers in a 98-63 rout of Mississippi Valley State. A repeat performance seems unlikely against the Rainbow Warriors, who rank among the best in the country in 3-point percentage defense (21.6). Hawaii also put on an offensive display while cruising to an 85-68 victory over Northern Arizona on Sunday, shooting a season-high 55.9 percent while topping 80 points for the third time in four contests.

TV: 11:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2 Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT HAWAII (3-1): Junior forward Zigmars Raimo, who entered the season with career averages of 2.6 points and 1.8 rebounds, leads the team in scoring (13.8 points), rebounds (7.8), steals (1.8), blocks (1.0) and field-goal percentage (68.6). Junior college transfer Eddie Stansberry (13.0 points) has buried at least four 3-pointers in three of four contests and leads the team with 15, while senior forward Jack Purchase (12.8) has scored in double figures in every game and ranks second on the team with 12 triples. Nine Rainbow Warriors average at least 13 minutes and the bench is averaging 29.5 points - led by Stansberry - and has accounted for at least 42 percent of Hawaii's offense in its last two wins.

ABOUT UTAH (2-1): Ten Utes average at least 12 minutes per game and all of them score between five and 12 points per game, led by senior guard Sedrick Barefield (12.0 points), who also paces the team in assists (4.7) and has drained all eight of his free throw attempts. Sophomore forward Donnie Tillman (12.0 points, 7.7 rebounds) flirted with a triple-double Thursday with 12 points, nine boards and seven assists in only 17 minutes of action. Novak Topalovic (9.7, 6.0) tallied seven points, five boards and two blocks versus the Delta Devils despite being limited to 12 minutes due to the lopsided score; the 7-0 Idaho State transfer leads the team in made free throws (11) as well as attempts (16).

TIP-INS

1. The winner will play either Seton Hall or Grand Canyon in the semifinals Friday.

2. Hawaii and Utah are the only two teams in the nation that have three 7-footers on their current roster.

3. The Utes have hit at least 15 3-pointers in one game in each of the last three seasons.

PREDICTION: Utah 68, Hawaii 56

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:15 AM

CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL) Bears
(NFL) Cowboys
(NFL) Falcons
(CFB) Air Force
(CFB) Ole Miss

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:16 AM

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-12)

New Orleans is both the immovable object and the unstoppable force, a winner of nine in a row SU and eight consecutive ATS. In Week 11, the Saints (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) steamrolled defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia 48-7 as 7-point home favorites.

Like New Orleans, Atlanta was in the playoffs last season, but Dan Quinn’s troops are going to need a big turnaround to get back there this season. The Falcons (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) rallied to tie Dallas at 19 late in the fourth quarter, but lost on a last-second field goal 22-19 as 3.5-point home faves in Week 11.

“We opened the Saints -12, and we have already seen the number get pushed up to -13,” Murray said of very early action on this 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff Thanksgiving night. “The public will be hammering the Saints in this game. If both favorites win in the early games, there will be a ton of parlay liability to New Orleans on Thanksgiving night, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this number go even higher.”

Later Sunday evening, the line was down a tick to 12.5.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:16 AM

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5)

Dallas will play its traditional home game on Thanksgiving in a 4:30 p.m. ET start, in pursuit of its third straight victory. The Cowboys (5-5 SU and ATS) got the aforementioned last-second field goal to top Atlanta 22-19 as 3.5-point road underdogs in Week 11.

Washington remains in first place in the NFC East, but is hardly comfortable in that spot. The Redskins (6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS) have lost two of their last three, including a 23-21 Week 11 setback to Houston as 3-point home pups.

“There has been some early money on the Redskins +7.5, but we aren’t too worried about it, as we expect there to be a ton of support for the Cowboys in this game,” Murray said. “The book will need Washington by kickoff.”

In fact, less than an hour after posting this game Sunday evening, The SuperBook moved Dallas to -8.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:16 AM

It's obvious to anyone even slightly involved in NFL betting that the Saints have been the hottest team in the league for weeks now, so it's not like I'm uncovering anything interesting there. However, it's becoming clear that the oddsmakers are sick of getting beaten by the Saints each and every week as it's been a couple of weeks now where their point spread lines have spiked.

After starting their 8-0 ATS run with an 43-37 OT win in Atlanta as +1.5 underdogs, the Saints spent the next five weeks being priced in the +3 to -5.5 range. It was only their MNF home game against Washington – where Drew Brees broke the passing yards record – that had the Saints lined as more than basically a FG favorite, and at the time those lines were loaded with value. They were +2.5 in a game @ Baltimore (24-23 win), -2.5 @ Minnesota the following week (30-20 win) and closed at +1.5 at home against the Rams a few weeks ago (45-35 win). It was that win over the Rams that sparked a dramatic shift into how the Saints started to get priced though, and in the two games since it still hasn't mattered.

After beating LA, the Saints – in a natural letdown spot off that huge win – were all of a sudden laying six points on the road against a Bengals team that had two weeks to prepare. Granted, the Bengals defense has been atrocious for the better part of six weeks now and Brees and company tore them to shreds in the 51-14 win. Result aside, to have New Orleans laying -6 on the road after they hadn't been bigger than -3.5 road favorites all year (@ NY Giants) was quite the shift and it still proved to be nowhere near enough.

Then this past week, New Orleans was bet up all the way to -9 at home against the struggling defending champs from Philly, and while Philly did receive some support late to close that line at -7, the game was decided very early in another blowout win for New Orleans (48-7). To see the Eagles get the support they did late to push that line down to a TD suggests that many are starting to see value in fading New Orleans at these inflated prices, yet so far, it still hasn't mattered.

And now we get the cycle going back to where it began, with a huge NFC South division game against the Falcons. The Saints are now on a short week in hosting Atlanta on TNF on Thanksgiving and have been pegged as a -13 favorite currently. It's getting to the point that tf the Saints were a traditional stock on Wall Street, there would be plenty of talk about them being in “bubble” territory and days away from bursting at these extreme valuations. But this is football and the eye test basically tells everyone it's impossible to step in front of New Orleans now and the oddsmakers are playing off that perception with these huge lines.

After all, this is an Atlanta team that took the Saints to OT way back at the beginning of this run and at 4-6 SU entering Week 12 are left fighting for their season and playoff possibilities this week. Atlanta's defense has been ravaged by injuries for most of the year, but offensively they won't be scared to go toe-to-toe with New Orleans on Thursday and let the chips fall where they may.

So before you do settle in to watch what should be a great nightcap to your Thanksgiving festivities on Thursday, you've got to ask yourself, do you believe this is a fair line to be backing New Orleans at?

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:16 AM

Trends for Detroit-Chicago

-- Detroit saw its four-game winning streak on Thanksgiving Day end last season with a 30-23 loss to Minnesota.

-- Prior to the 4-0 run, the Lions had lost nine straight games on Thanksgiving between 2004 and 2012.

-- Detroit has seen the 'over' go 8-3 in its last 11 games played on Thanksgiving Day.

-- Chicago played at Detroit on the holiday in the 2014 season and it was doubled-up by the Lions, 34-17.

-- The Bears have gone 3-7 all-time in the Thanksgiving Day afternoon matchups, which includes a 3-5 record versus the Lions and 0-2 against the Cowboys.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:17 AM

Trends for Dallas-Washington

-- Dallas owns an all-time 30-19-1 record on Thanksgiving Day.

-- The Cowboys have dropped three of their last four games on the holiday, which includes a 28-6 setback to the L.A. Chargers last season. All three of the losses came by double digits.

-- Dallas has allowed 30.3 points per game in its last six holiday matchups.

-- Five of the last eight wins by Dallas on Thanksgiving Day have come by double-digits.

-- Washington owns a 4-7 all-time record on the holiday and that includes a 31-26 loss to Dallas in the 2016 matchup.

-- The last three games between the pair on Thanksgiving have watched them combine for 57, 69 and 47 points. The 'over' cashed easily in all three games.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:17 AM

Thanksgiving History - Detroit
Year Matchup
2017 Minnesota 30 Detroit 23
2016 Detroit 16 Minnesota 13
2015 Detroit 45 Philadelphia 14
2014 Detroit 34 Chicago 17
2013 Detroit 40 Green Bay 10
2012 Houston 34 Detroit 31 (OT)
2011 Green Bay 27 Detroit 15
2010 New England 45 Detroit 24
2009 Green Bay 34 Detroit 12
2008 Tennessee 47 Detroit 10
2007 Green Bay 37 Detroit 26
2006 Miami 27 Detroit 10
2005 Atlanta 27 Detroit 7
2004 Indianapolis 41 Detroit 9
2003 Detroit 22 Green Bay 14
2002 New England 20 Detroit 12
2001 Green Bay 29 Detroit 27
2000 Detroit 34 New England 9
1999 Detroit 21 Chicago 17
1998 Detroit 19 Pittsburgh 16 (OT)
1997 Detroit 55 Chicago 20
1996 Kansas City 28 Detroit 24
1995 Detroit 44 Minnesota 38
1994 Detroit 35 Buffalo 21
1993 Chicago 10 Detroit 6
1992 Houston 24 Detroit 21
1991 Detroit 16 Chicago 6
1990 Detroit 40 Denver 27
1989 Detroit 13 Cleveland 10
1988 Minnesota 23 Detroit 0
1987 Kansas City 27 Detroit 20
1986 Green Bay 44 Detroit 40
1985 Detroit 31 N.Y. Jets 20
1984 Detroit 31 Green Bay 28
1983 Detroit 45 Pittsburgh 3
1982 N.Y. Giants 13 Detroit 6
1981 Detroit 27 Kansas City 10
1980 Chicago 23 Detroit 17 (OT)
1979 Detroit 20 Chicago 0
1978 Detroit 17 Denver 14
1977 Chicago 31 Detroit 14
1976 Detroit 27 Buffalo 14
1975 L.A. 20 Detroit 0
1974 Denver 31 Detroit 27
1973 Washington 20 Detroit 0
1972 Detroit 37 N.Y. Jets 20
1971 Detroit 32 Kansas City 21
1970 Detroit 28 Oakland 14
1969 Minnesota 27 Detroit 0
1968 Philadelphia 12 Detroit 0
1967 L.A. Rams 31 Detroit 7

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:17 AM

Thanksgiving History - Dallas
Year Matchup
2017 Los Angeles 28 Dallas 6
2016 Washington 26 Dallas 31
2015 Carolina 33 Dallas 14
2014 Philadelphia 33 Dallas 10
2013 Dallas 31 Oakland 24
2012 Washington 38 Dallas 31
2011 Dallas 20 Miami 19
2010 New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
2009 Dallas 24 Oakland 7
2008 Dallas 34 Seattle 9
2007 Dallas 34 N.Y. Jets 3
2006 Dallas 38 Tampa Bay 10
2005 Denver 24 Dallas 21 (OT)
2004 Dallas 21 Chicago 7
2003 Miami 40 Dallas 21
2002 Dallas 27 Washington 20
2001 Denver 26 Dallas 24
2000 Minnesota 27 Dallas 15
1999 Dallas 20 Miami 0
1998 Minnesota 46 Dallas 36
1997 Tennessee 27 Dallas 14
1996 Dallas 21 Washington 10
1995 Dallas 24 Kansas City 12
1994 Dallas 42 Green Bay 31
1993 Miami 16 Dallas 14
1992 Dallas 30 N.Y. Giants 3
1991 Dallas 20 Pittsburgh 10
1990 Dallas 27 Washington 17
1989 Philadelphia 27 Dallas 0
1988 Houston 25 Dallas 17
1987 Minnesota 44 Dallas 38 (OT)
1986 Seattle 31 Dallas 14
1985 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1984 Dallas 20 New England 17
1983 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1982 Dallas 31 Cleveland 14
1981 Dallas 10 Chicago 9
1980 Dallas 51 Seattle 7
1979 Houston 30 Dallas 24
1978 Dallas 37 Washington 10
1976 Dallas 19 St. Louis 14
1974 Dallas 24 Washington 23
1973 Miami 14 Dallas 7
1972 San Francisco 31 Dallas 10
1971 Dallas 28 Los Angeles 21
1970 Dallas 16 Green Bay 3
1969 Dallas 24 San Francisco 24
1968 Dallas 29 Washington 20
1967 Dallas 46 St. Louis 21

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:17 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Thursday. November 22

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CHICAGO (7 - 3) at DETROIT (4 - 6) - 11/22/2018, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 51-78 ATS (-34.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
DETROIT is 140-176 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (6 - 4) at DALLAS (5 - 5) - 11/22/2018, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (4 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:17 AM

NFL

Week 12

Trend Report

Thursday. November 22

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington Redskins
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games
Washington is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Washington is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 19 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
New Orleans is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:18 AM

Thursday, Nov. 22

Chicago Bears (-4, 45) at Detroit Lions

These teams just met on Nov. 11 in Chicago with the Bears covering a seven-point number at home, 34-22. The Bears have covered four in a row heading into this battle, but QB Mitch Trubisky (shoulder) is reportedly dealing with an injury, so that's something to watch heading into Thursday's game. The total has been on the move down, going from 46 to 45 in the matter of hours at Atlantis.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:18 AM

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5, 40.5)

The Redskins lost QB Alex Smith to a gruesome leg injury, as he snapped his fibula and tibia. Not only is he out for the season, but it's no certainty he'll be back. The line opened at -7 at Jerry's Nugget, moving up to -7.5. That seems to be the sweet spot right now, as Southpoint and Stratosphere opened the game at -8, and dropped it to -7.5.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:18 AM

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-13.5, 59.5)

This game opened and has stayed -13 at most shop, with Westgate SuperBook opening the game at -12, before it quickly moved up to -13. The total is on the move, too, going from 59 to 60 according to CG Technology. It's likely to eclipse the 60-point barrier, perhaps the third time in NFL history a line closed over 60. It would also be the second time in two weeks this season. Again, it's a new day, and this isn't your grandfather's NFL.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:18 AM

Reports out of Detroit on Monday are that running back Kerryon Johnson is out for Thursday’s Thanksgiving game against Chicago. Johnson could miss multiple games after suffering a sprained knee on Sunday against Carolina, although the injury isn’t thought to be season-ending. The Lions will go with some combination of LeGarrette Blount, Theo Riddick, and Zach Zenner at running back when they host the Bears.

Chicago features the top overall defense in DVOA and the second best rushing defense using the same metric, so we’re staying far away from Blount and Zenner. But Riddick has come on as of late in his pass-catching role, getting 52 percent of the snaps since he returned from injury in Week 9 and has hauled in five, six, and seven catches over that time frame. Johnson has been averaging 42.6 snaps per game over his past five and Riddick should see his fair share of those, especially as a four-point home underdog. We’re taking the Over 4.5 on his receptions total for Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:19 AM

ATS Trends
Chicago

Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
Bears are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

Detroit

Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Lions are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
Lions are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lions are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 12.
Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
Chicago

Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games in November.
Under is 17-5 in Bears last 22 games in Week 12.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 12-4 in Bears last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 8-3 in Bears last 11 vs. NFC North.

Detroit

Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 Thursday games.
Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Lions last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 vs. NFC North.
Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games in November.
Over is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games following a straight up win.

Head to Head

Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Detroit.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:19 AM

ATS Trends
Washington

Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 12.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss.
Redskins are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in November.

Dallas

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East.
Cowboys are 4-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 12.

OU Trends
Washington

Over is 6-1 in Redskins last 7 Thursday games.
Under is 6-1 in Redskins last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC East.
Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games in Week 12.
Over is 8-3 in Redskins last 11 games in November.
Under is 10-4 in Redskins last 14 games overall.

Dallas

Under is 9-0 in Cowboys last 9 games following a straight up win.
Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games in Week 12.
Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-2 in Cowboys last 10 vs. NFC.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC East.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 11-3 in Cowboys last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 14-5 in Cowboys last 19 games overall.

Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Dallas.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Underdog is 31-10 ATS in their last 41 meetings.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:19 AM

ATS Trends
Atlanta

Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

New Orleans

Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Saints are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Saints are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC South.
Saints are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.

OU Trends
Atlanta

Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 16-5 in Falcons last 21 games on fieldturf.
Under is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 road games.
Under is 23-9 in Falcons last 32 games in November.
Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Falcons last 14 vs. NFC.
Under is 10-4 in Falcons last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.

New Orleans

Under is 5-0-1 in Saints last 6 Thursday games.
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. NFC South.
Over is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 16-5 in Saints last 21 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Saints last 15 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 19-8-1 in Saints last 28 home games.
Over is 14-6 in Saints last 20 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 vs. NFC.
Under is 7-3 in Saints last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 30-13 in Saints last 43 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Saints last 19 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New Orleans.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:19 AM

Thanksgiving Essentials
Tony Mejia

All three Thanksgiving Day contests will be played in closed structures, and the weather in Dallas is expected to be nice enough that they may open the roof, so there will be no mention of weather below. May your turkey be as delightful as the conditions. Enjoy the day. Here's a preview of what variables to be aware of in Thursday's tripleheader:

Chicago (-3/43.5) at Detroit, 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS: The Bears (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) appear to be taking the cautious approach with prized second-year starting QB Mitch Trubisky, who injured his right shoulder late in Sunday night’s 25-20 win over the fading Vikings. Although there’s a belief that he could play if Chicago wanted him to, the team is hoping that taking a week off will help him heal for the stretch run. That doesn’t mean they want to win this Thanksgiving Day opener any less than if they were throwing him out there. Defeating Minnesota gave the Bears a huge edge in an NFC North it leads by 1.5 games over the Vikes and by 2.5 on the Packers. The Lions (4-6, 5-4-1) are bringing up the rear, which makes this game a must-win if they realistically plan to make a run at the playoffs over the season’s final six contests.

If Trubisky indeed sits this out, Chase Daniel will make his first start since 2014, where he took the field for the Chiefs in place of Alex Smith, who missed the regular-season finale with a lacerated spleen. He’ll be making just his third start of a 10-year career that has seen him sit outside of a snap here and there in stops in New Orleans and Philadelphia since his three-year tenure in Kansas City. Daniel has thrown one pass outside the preseason in the past three seasons and comes in 51-for-78 for 480 yards over his decade in the NFL, owning a single touchdown pass and one interception.

Daniel has decent wheels and can make plays with his feet, but he’s not the athlete Trubisky is. The expectation is that the offense will consist of short passes that will get the ball in the hands of playmakers like Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and rookie Anthony Miller, who has really come on of late. With running backs Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard available in addition to tight end Trey Burton, the Bears have plenty of healthy weapons. Only lineman Kyle Long (foot) and backup tight end Adam Shaheen (concussion) are sidelined for a Bears offense that has helped the ‘over’ cash in six of the team’s last seven games despite one of the league’s sturdiest defenses.

Chicago has surrendered 22 or fewer points in each of its last four games and seven of the past nine and lists only LB Aaron Lynch (concussion) as sidelined. The Bears lead the NFL in turnovers forced (27) and interceptions (18) as they take aim at Matthew Stafford and the Lions for the second time inside two weeks.

Khalil Mack returned from an injury in Week 9 and had two sacks of Matthew Stafford in a wire-to-wire win that featured six Bears sacks and three takeaways. Even facing a backup quarterback, if the offense can’t protect the football better than it did on Nov. 11, the Lions have no chance at a home upset.

Stafford has lost his favorite receiver, Golden Tate, to a trade, and his next most experienced target, Marvin Jones, Jr. to a knee injury set to keep him out of this game. Kerryon Johnson, the biggest bright spot in what’s otherwise been a disappointing first season under Matt Patricia. Without Johnson, the Lions will have to divide snaps between Theo Reddick, LeGarrette Blount and Zach Zenner, who all have varying strengths and carry major limitations when compared to what Johnson offered. Tight end Michael Roberts is questionable, so Stafford may be scrounging for weapons.

If this ends up being a case of Patricia trying to confuse Daniel by taking advantage of his limited preparation time, he’ll have DE Ziggy Ansah and corner Darius Slay in the mix to aid the cause. Defensive tackles Damon Harrison (shoulder) and A’Shawn Robinson (ankle) also look like they’ll go, but it wouldn’t be a bad idea to check prior to the early kickoff.

The Lions have won nine of 11 in this series and haven’t been swept since 2012, so we’ll see if they show some fight here. Detroit has won four of five Thanksgiving home games but fell last season, 16-13, against Minnesota. It hasn’t dropped consecutive Turkey Day games since 2012, so that might be a theme.

Washington at Dallas (-7/40.5), 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX: The parade of career backups making their first start of the season continues with Colt McCoy taking the field for the Redskins (6-4, 7-3). This move is expected to be for the duration of the season since Smith suffered a compound fracture in breaking his fibula and tibia in a 23-21 loss against the Texans.

McCoy will be backed up by Mark Sanchez, who will be extending his streak of spending Thanksgiving even years on the sideline at AT&T Stadium to three after being out there in ’14 and ’16. In ’12, he was out on the field becoming the butt of jokes through the rest of time with an ill-timed fumble. It would be wild if he makes an appearance this season.

If all goes according to plan for Washington, this will be McCoy’s show throughout, hopefully with him taking a knee in victory formation. Winning would pad the team’s NFC East lead to two games over the Cowboys (5-5, 4-4-2) and 2.5 over the defending champion Eagles, who host the Giants on Sunday.

Pulling off an upset here wouldn’t just take an immense amount of pressure off McCoy and this transition the team has been forced to make in a matter of days before hitting the road, it would give the ‘Skins a chance. They’ll play in Philly to open December and still have to play at Jacksonville and Tennessee against defenses that have proven they can lock up an opposing passing game.

McCoy threw for a score in last week’s loss and led a pair of scoring drives, so he’s much further along than Chicago’s Daniel. The former third-round pick started the first 21 games of his career for Cleveland and and threw 20 touchdown passes and 20 interceptions. He’s started in four of his eight games with Washington since signing there in 2014 and beat the Cowboys in his first start, so the 32-year-old should be able to handle the spotlight in Arlington.

If he succeeds, it will have to be without RB Chris Thompson (ribs) and WR Jamison Crowder (ankle), who remain sidelined. Top receiver Paul Richardson (shoulder) was lost for the season at the beginning of the month, so McCoy will be without his most talented pass-catchers like Smith has been the past few weeks. He does however have great familiarity with Josh Doctson and Maurice Harris since they put in a lot of practice time in, so that could be something for Dallas to be concerned with.

The Cowboys have surrendered 20 or fewer points in five of the last six games and rank 10th with 28 sacks. Washington hasn’t scored more than 21 points since Sept. 23 and has fallen short of that figure in seven of nine. McCoy will need to lean on Adrian Peterson, who has struggled since closing October with a 149-yard game against the Giants. In three November contests, the veteran running back has gained just 136 yards on 41 carries and has really lacked explosiveness. We’ll see if the native Texan can rebound in a matchup that really boils down to how much fight the ‘Skins have in them as they fight an uphill battle from a continuity standpoint.

It would help matters if left tackle Trent Williams can return from a shoulder injury. Fellow tackles Morgan Moses and Ty Nsehke should play, so the offensive line should be improved as they try and keep the new starter clean. The Cowboys also have some uncertainty up front with Tyron Smith (stinger) questionable. Center Travis Frederick remains out with an illness. Linebacker Sean Lee is also still sidelined due to a hamstring injury while defensive lineman David Irving has been ruled out with a bum ankle. Defensive linemen Taco Charlton and Maliek Collins are questionable.

Washington won in Week 7, posting a 20-17 result thanks to 99 rushing yards from Peterson and a Preston Smith fumble recovery in the end zone, one of many plays he’s made on that side of the ball. Ezekiel Elliott was able to gain just 33 yards on 15 carries and caught two passes for nine yards. Since that loss, he’s compiled 500 yards of total offense, making 17 catches and running for 334 yards. Dallas has won eight of 11 in the series and will be looking to avoid being swept by the ‘Skins for the first time since 2012. The road team is 7-2 ATS over the last nine meetings.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-12.5/60), 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC: The Saints (9-1, 8-2) were almost certainly rooting for the Chiefs in Monday night’s epic fireworks show since a Rams loss would’ve given them a commanding lead in the race for homefield advantage in the NFC. As things stand, they would host a conference championship game if they win out and stay ahead of L.A., but a difficult schedule awaits that includes three straight road games at Dallas, Tampa Bay and Carolina. They close out the season hosting the Steelers and Panthers, teams likely to be wrapping up playoff berths, so it’s very possible that this game against the Falcons (4-6, 3-7) will be the final time we see them favored by so many points.

That’s pretty ironic considering the history between the teams as fiercely competitive rivals and the fact that they played to a memorable 43-37 overtime result just two months ago in Week 3. The teams traded the lead four times in the fourth quarter before the Saints evened it up and ultimately won in OT. Brees ran it in for both the game-tying and game-clinching scores. Matt Ryan threw five touchdown passes. Rookie Calvin Ridley caught three of them. Alvin Kamara made 15 receptions.

So, yes, the total here is 60. Given what we saw in Monday’s 54-51 explosion, it seems logical despite being the second-largest of the season. The Saints scored 40 or more points for the sixth time in Sunday’s 48-7 rout of the Eagles and only saw that game come in under the posted total due to Philadelphia’s ineptitude. Atlanta has sputtered some of late but has still topped the 30-point mark five times this season. Three of the past five meetings have produced at least 70 points.

Atlanta ranks 29th of 32 teams in surrendering 284 passing yards per game and ranks 27th in points allowed (27.0 ppg). Hopes that top linebacker Deion Jones would be able to return from a foot injury suffered in the Week 1 Thursday night opener were dashed when he was ruled out on Wednesday. Corner Desmond Trufant and LB De’Vondre Campbell are expected to play through thigh injuries. NFL interception leader Demonate Kazee and fellow corner Robert Alford are questionable.

The Saints will have most of their team intact. Tackle Terron Armstead has been ruled out due to a shoulder injury, but tackle Andrus Peat, center Max Unger and guard Larry Warford should all play. Rookie WR Tre’Quan Smith, who caught 10 passes against the Eagles, is questionable with a foot issue, while impressive first-year DE Marcus Davenport is dealing with an injured toe.

The Saints are looking for their third straight win over the Falcons for the first time since 2012. They’re chasing their first season sweep of Atlanta since ’13 and need to put in serious work to increase their run of consecutive covers to nine. The streak began in the OT win, as New Orleans was a 1.5-point underdog.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:19 AM

Total Talk - Thanksgiving
Chris David

This year’s Thanksgiving Day slate will feature three NFC divisional games and all of them happen to be rematches as well. Through 48 divisional contests played in this year’s regular season, the ‘under’ holds a 46-42 mark and those results have seen a lot of back-and-forth streaks.

Chicago at Detroit (CBS, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437).eu sent out a total of 46 ½ and the number is listed at 43 ½ as of Wednesday afternoon. The reason for the drop is directly related to Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, who is listed as ‘doubtful’ with a shoulder injury. If doesn’t go, backup Chase Daniel will be the guy and he’s only had two career starts, both coming in meaningless Week 17 games during his tenure with Kansas City.

These teams just met in Week 10 from Soldier Field and Chicago captured a 34-22 wire-to-wire win and the ‘over’ (44 ½) cashed midway through the fourth quarter. The Bears built a 26-7 lead at halftime and quarterback Mitchell Trubisky had one of his best games, completing 23-of-30 (77%) of his passes for 355 passing yards and three touchdowns. Chicago couldn’t run the ball (54 yards) on Detroit and knowing Daniel will likely get touches, you would believe that favors the Lions defense.

At the same time, it’s hard to imagine Detroit doing anything against Chicago’s defense (19.5 PPG, 314 YPG) and it couldn’t muster up much against the Bears in the first game. However, Lions QB Matthew Stafford aka “Stat Padford” did what he’s good at and compiled meaningless numbers late to make the game seem closer than it appeared.

Fast forward to Thursday’s rematch and Chicago enters this game with a 6-1 ‘over’ run but a couple of those tickets could’ve gone the other way, which includes last week’s meeting on Sunday Night vs. Minnesota. Also, the Bears have seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 on the road this season but again – the high side winners were fortunate to connect in all of those games.

Detroit enters this game on a 3-1 ‘under’ run and its sputtering offense (16.3 PPG) has played a part in those results. While the Lions were outgained (387-309) last week to the Panthers, the defense did play a lot better and they controlled the clock behind running back Kerryon Johnson (knee) but he’s ‘doubtful’ to play on the short week. Knowing Chicago leads the league in rushing defense (77.8 YPG) and the unit has only allowed two rushing touchdowns this season makes you believe Detroit could have issues on Thursday.

Prior to the first meeting this season, the ‘under’ was on a 4-1 run in this series and Chicago has had trouble scoring at Ford Field with just 10 and 17 in its last two trips to Michigan.

Washington at Dallas (FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET)

This total is hovering between 40 and 41 points as of Wednesday and most bettors are showing a slight lean to the ‘under’ in the late afternoon matchup. Washington and Dallas both enter this game with identical 6-4 ‘under’ records and that includes the outcome from their Week 7 outcome. The Redskins captured a 20-17 win over the Cowboys in a game that was tied 7-7 at halftime. The ‘over’ (40 ½) had a shot but Dallas missed a late field goal that would’ve forced overtime.

Neither team did much offensively and the Redskins will be turning to backup QB Colt McCoy after Alex Smith was knocked out for the season last week with a leg injury. The former Texas Longhorns standout has gone 16-21 as a starter in his career and he hasn’t suited up in that role since 2014. Ironically, his last win as a starter came at Dallas and the Redskins won 20-17 behind some quality numbers (25-of-33, 299 yards) from McCoy. Will the Lone Star kid steal the show again on the holiday?

Buying that narrative is tough for a couple reasons. First, the Redskins have no major offensive weapons outside of tight end Jordan Reed. Second, this Dallas defense (331 YPG, 19 PPG) is legit especially against the run (95 YPG). The Cowboys unit also fits into the ‘bend but don’t break’ style and they’ve often forced teams into settling for field goals (17) instead of touchdowns (19).

Expecting the Dallas offense (20.3 PPG) to light up the scoreboard could be wishful thinking but it has shown better numbers at home (25 PPG) and this Redskins defense isn't in great form. Tampa Bay lit them up for 501 total yards at home in Week 10 and Atlanta put up 491 yards at FedEx Field in Week 9. Houston, not a great offensive team, was held in check last week by Washington but I'm still weary to expect a quick fix. The Cowboys have seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 AT&T Stadium.

Prior to the ‘under’ result earlier this season, the ‘over’ was on a 5-0 run in this series and one of those outcomes took place on Thanksgiving Day in 2016 with Dallas earning a 31-26 over Washington.

Atlanta at New Orleans (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Oddsmakers are expecting a shootout in the late-night tilt from the Superdome and before we look at the matchup, be aware that this primetime slot on the holiday hasn’t produced the fireworks that some may’ve hoped for.

This will be the 13th season that the NFL will have a night game on Thanksgiving Day and the 'under' has cashed the last four years and the low side is 8-4 overall. For those playing sides, home teams have gone 8-4 while favorites own a 10-2 straight up and 9-3 against the spread mark. Also, nine of the 12 margins came by double digits.

Another blowout is expected this season with New Orleans listed as a 13-point home favorite. When the pair met in Week 3 from Atlanta, the Saints dropped the Falcons 43-37 in overtime as 1 ½-point road underdogs. The ‘over’ (54) was never in doubt and the combined 80 points was the highest ever posted in this series.

The rematch is starting at a total of 60, which seems inflated but nobody has been able to stop the Saints (37.8 PPG) this season. Plus, the team has posted 48 PPG in their last three games. While New Orleans has been on fire, Atlanta’s offense (17.5) has been anything but in its last two games and their numbers on the road (20.8 PPG) have been ugly. If you take out a 38-point effort at Washington in Week 9, the average falls to 15 points per game on the road.

After seeing 80 points posted in the first encounter, my handicapping usually reverts to the opposite outcome in the second go ‘round. While that can be dangerous for this particular matchup and we’ve seen a slew of ‘over’ winners on Thursday (8-3) this season, I’d be very surprised to see another crooked number posted again. Make a note that we’ve seen these teams play on Thursday’s twice in the past three seasons and the ‘under’ cashed in both games (20-17, 31-21).

Fearless Predictions

As I’ve written many times before in previous holiday installments, if you’re reading this then you’re probably betting and for that, be thankful that you can. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!

Best Over: Washington-Dallas 40 ½
Best Under: Atlanta-New Orleans 60
Best Team Total: Under Chicago 23 ½

Three-Team Total Teaser (+7.5, +105):
Under 51 Chicago-Detroit
Over 33 Washington-Dallas
Under 67 ½ Atlanta-New Orleans

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:20 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Thursday, November 22

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 105-106
November 22, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
134.744
Detroit
135.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
Even
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Over

Washington @ Dallas

Game 107-108
November 22, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
129.258
Dallas
131.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ New Orleans

Game 109-110
November 22, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
135.016
New Orleans
143.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 9
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 13
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+13); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:20 AM

NFL

Week 12

Thursday
Bears (7-3) @ Lions (4-6)—Sounds like Bears’ backup QB Chase Daniel (9 years/2 starts in NFL) gets nod here, with Trubisky hurt. Chicago won/covered its last four games; they’re 2-2 on road, with wins 16-14 in Arizona, 41-9 in Buffalo. Bears have 10 takeaways (+6) in last three games. Last five years, Bears are 1-3 as road favorites, 1-2 this year. Lions (+6.5) lost 34-22 in Chicago two weeks ago, turning ball over three times (-3) in game where Bears averaged 11.2 yards/pass attempt, with three TD plays of 26+ yards. Detroit is still 9-2 in last 11 series games; Bears lost their last five visits to the Motor City. Lions lost three of last four games; they’re 3-2 at home, 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as home dogs (2-0 this year) Over is 6-1 in last seven Chicago games; under is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four. Lions won four of last five Thanksgiving Day games.

Redskins (6-4) @ Cowboys (5-5)— QB Alex Smith broke his leg LW; Colt McCoy is new starter, Mark Sanchez is the new backup. Washington is 3-1 on road; they’re 13-10 in last 23 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Redskins won four of last six games (+11 in turnovers in those games). Cowboys ran ball for 171-132 yards in first two games with new OL coach; they’re 3-1 at home. Under Garrett, Cowboys are 15-30 vs spread as home favorites, 1-2 this year. Dallas (+1.5) lost 20-17 at Redskins in Week 7; Cowboys were -2 in turnovers (0-2) with one of turnovers run back for a TD. Dallas won six of last eight series games; Redskins lost 31-26/38-14 in last two visits here. Four of last six Redskin games stayed under;

Falcons (4-6) @ Saints (9-1)— New Orleans won last nine games (8-1 vs spread) since opening loss to Bucs. In last three games, Saints scored 45-51-48 points (18 TDs on 29 drives), averaging over 9.5 yds/pass attempt all three games. Since 2014, NO is 11-18-1 as home favorite, 2-2 this year. Falcons lost last two games, scoring 16-19 points; they’re 1-3 on road, with losses by 6-6-24-12 points. Under Quinn, Atlanta is 7-4 as road underdog, 1-1 this year. Saints won first meeting 43-37 in OT in Atlanta in Week 3, with 10 TD’s scored on 23 drives, with no turnovers. These rivals split last 12 meetings; Falcons lost five of last seven visits to Bourbon Street. Series has been swept four of last five years. Under is 3-1 in Atlanta’s last four games.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:34 AM

NFL INJURY UPDATE

Lions WR Marvin Jones (Knee) will not play in today's Thanksgiving matchup against the Bears.
Current Odds:
Bears -3
Total 43.5

For those Thanksgiving warriors up early to get a turkey in the oven, here's a look at current odds and consensus for today's three NFL games:
Bears (59% of bets) at Lions (+3, 43.5)
Redskins (53% of bets) at Cowboys (-7, 41)
Falcons (45% of bets) at Saints (-12.5, 60)

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:35 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) vs. WISCONSIN (4 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAYTON (4 - 0) vs. VIRGINIA (4 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (2 - 2) vs. STANFORD (2 - 2) - 11/22/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUTLER (3 - 1) vs. MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 2) - 11/22/2018, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VILLANOVA (2 - 2) vs. CANISIUS (1 - 2) - 11/22/2018, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in November games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 1) vs. MEMPHIS (2 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 121-89 ATS (+23.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 123-87 ATS (+27.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLL OF CHARLESTON (3 - 1) vs. LSU (4 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 64-34 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 63-35 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (3 - 0) vs. FLORIDA ST (3 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
UAB is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games against ACC opponents since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ILLINOIS (2 - 2) vs. MASSACHUSETTS (3 - 2) - 11/22/2018, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (4 - 0) vs. NEVADA (4 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (4 - 0) vs. N CAROLINA (5 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 312-252 ATS (+34.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 177-138 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 177-137 ATS (+26.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (3 - 1) vs. UCLA (4 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LASALLE (0 - 4) vs. MIAMI (3 - 0) - 11/22/2018, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LASALLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 0-0 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (3 - 0) vs. FRESNO ST (1 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SETON HALL (1 - 2) vs. GRAND CANYON (3 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (3 - 1) vs. UTAH (2 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-RIVERSIDE (1 - 3) at PACIFIC (3 - 2) - 11/22/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PACIFIC is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 against the spread versus PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
PACIFIC is 1-0 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ABILENE CHRISTIAN (3 - 0) vs. ELON (2 - 1) - 11/22/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ELON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ELON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:35 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, November 22

Battle for Atlantis
Oklahoma beat Florida 48-28 on boards, surviving 4-18 day on arc in 65-60 win over Gators on Wednesday. Sooners is #25 experience team that starts three seniors who are probably trying to prove they can win without Trey Young. Oklahoma is 4-0, playing pace #17- only two of their guys played 30:00+ yesterday. Wisconsin is 4-0 with top 100 wins over Xavier/Stanford, allowing 59 ppg; Badgers are #20 team in country in Minutes Continuity- their eFG% defense is #18. Big 14 favorites are 10-6 vs spread away from home; Big X underdogs are 2-0.

Virginia pounded on Middle Tennessee 74-52; they start four juniors and a soph, are experience team #228- they’re playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country, are forcing turnovers 24.5% of time. Dayton shot 63% inside arc in 69-64 upset win over Butler; Flyers are #280 experience team that played four starters 31:00+ yesterday- they’re shooting 61% inside arc while playing #304 tempo. Dayton starts two sophs, two juniors. ACC favorites are 12-7 vs spread away from home; A-14 underdogs are 7-11.

Florida split its first four games; they were held to 60 points in both their losses. Gators’ best win was over #193 LaSalle. Florida made 11-28 on arc (39.3%) yesterday, after going 17-65 (26.2%) in their first three games. Gators are #257 experience team that has forced turnovers 24% of time- only two of their guys played more than 28:00 yesterday. Stanford lost its last two games by 18-16 points; Cardinal is #339 experience team that started three sophs, couple of frosh yesterday. Stanford was 2-18 on arc yesterday; they played three guys 31:00+.

Butler is #88 experience team that never led in upset loss to Dayton yesterday; Bulldogs were 7-23 on arc, they start two juniors, two seniors, but Dayton shot 63% inside arc against them. Butler beat Ole Miss by 7 Friday; Rebels are coached by Kermit Davis, who coached Middle Tennessee the last 16 years. MTSU got whacked 74-52 by Virginia yesterday; Blue Raiders are 1-2 vs D-I teams, with losses by 19-22 points. MTSU is #274 experience team that starts only one senior- their only D-I win was by 3 over #230 Charleston Southern.

Advocare tournament, Orlando
Villanova lost its last two games, scoring 46-68 points vs Michigan/Furman; Wildcats are #195 experience team that is starting three sophs- they’ve turned ball over 21.2% of time, are making only 32% of its 3-pointers. Canisius is 1-2, losing last game by 32 at Florida State- they also lost at home to Albany. Golden Griffins start three sophs, two juniors, are #133 experience team- their eFG% defense is in bottom 10 in country. Big East favorites are 5-6 vs spread away from home. MAAC underdogs are 7-8 vs spread this month.

Memphis is 2-1, coming off double OT home win over Yale; their only loss was by 9 at LSU. Tigers are #151 experience team that is starting two frosh, two seniors- they’ve forced turnovers 25.9% of time in first three games, but made only 28.6% of their 3’s. Oklahoma State is off to a 2-1 start; they blew a 24-point lead in their loss. Cowboys are #332 experience team that starts two frosh, three juniors- they’ve turned ball over 21.2% of time, but also forced miscues 24% of time. Big X favorites are 6-6 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 7-6.

LSU is off to a 4-0 start, with last three wins vs teams in top 125 (schedule #242- all the games were at home); Bayou Bengals are starting two frosh and a soph- they’re shooting 61.3% inside arc, only 29.8% on 3-pointers. LSU is #319 experience team whose eFG% defense is #260. Charleston is #237 experience team that is making only 23.9% of its 3’s; Cougars play one of 20 slowest tempos in country- their only loss was by 12 at Oklahoma State. CAA underdogs are 10-9 away from home. SEC favorites are 6-6.

Florida State won its first three games by 21-11-32 points, with an 81-60 win over Florida; Seminoles are experience team #101 that starts three seniors. FSU made 42.9% of its 3’s this month. UAB won its first two D-I games over Mercer/New Orleans by 8-7 points; Blazers made only 21.1% of their 3’s so far, 4th-worst in country. UAB is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#22); they start a frosh and two sophs; they’re experience team #212 whose bench plays very few minutes. Conference USA underdogs are 8-13 vs spread away from home.

Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
Southern Illinois split its first four games, with wins over teams ranked #344/296; Salukis are #17 experience team that was up 7 at Kentucky with 14:19 left (they lost by 12). SIU starts four seniors, one junior- they’re turning ball over 24.7% of time, but making 39.7% of their 3’s so far. UMass is 3-2 vs 5th-easiest schedule in country; Minutemen start three juniors and one senior- they scored 83+ points in their three wins, 71-63 in their losses. A-14 underdogs are 7-10 vs spread away from home; MVC favorites are 3-6 this month.

Nevada Wolf Pack isn’t too popular in rival UNLV’s town, but they’re 4-0 this season with all four wins by 16+ points. Wolf Pack are #2 experience team in county that starts five seniors; they’re eFG% defense is #15 in country. This is Nevada’s first road game. Tulsa is 4-0 vs the 4th-easiest schedule in country so far; Golden Hurricane is #132 experience team whose bench plays a lot (#22 minutes). Tulsa hasn’t played team in top 200 yet. Mountain West favorites are 7-7 vs spread this season; AAC underdogs are 7-6.

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas (good weekend for basketball in Vegas)
North Carolina is 5-0 vs schedule #226; best team they’ve played is #100 Stanford, their closest win was by 11 at Elon. Tar Heels are playing tempo #11; the bench is playing 10th-most minutes in country, but Texas is by far best them they’ve played. Longhorns are 4-0 with three wins over stiffs and an OT win over Arkansas on a neutral floor; Texas is #254 experience team whose bench is playing #52 minutes- they’ve made only 29.3% of their 3’s so far. ACC favorites are 12-7 vs spread away from home; Big X underdogs are 2-0.

Michigan State lost its opener by 5 to Kansas on neutral floor, then won last three games by 24-21-68 points- none of those teams are ranked in top 200. Spartans are #100 experience team whose bench is playing #77 minutes- their eFG% defense is #29 in country. UCLA lost two of its freshmen to injury; they’ve beaten four stiffs to start season (schedule #324). Bruins are #351 experience team; they’re tallest team in America, but they only load Presbyterian by 3 with 7:40 left in their last game Monday, which is a red flag.

Cal-State Fullerton tourney
Hawai’i is off to a 3-1 start, losing by 17 at home to North Texas in their only game vs a top 200 team; Rainbows are #121 experience team that is starting three seniors; their opponents have made only 23.2% of its 3’s so far this month. lost by 9 at Minnesota and beat on a couple of stiffs (schedule #344); Utes are #227 experience team whose bench is playing #19 minutes- they’ve made 39.5% of their 3-pointers. Pac-12 favorites are 7-3 vs spread away from home; Big West underdogs are 9-11 vs spread.

Can'tPickAWinner

11-22-2018, 09:35 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, November 22

Trend Report

Villanova @ Canisius
Villanova

Villanova is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Villanova's last 5 games

Canisius

Canisius is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Canisius is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern Illinois @ UMass
Southern Illinois

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Illinois's last 8 games

UMass

The total has gone OVER in 16 of UMass's last 18 games
UMass is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Oklahoma @ Wisconsin
Oklahoma

Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 8 games

Wisconsin

Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

La Salle @ Miami
La Salle

The total has gone OVER in 4 of La Salle's last 6 games
La Salle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Miami

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Oklahoma State @ Memphis
Oklahoma State

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Memphis

Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

UC Riverside @ Pacific
UC Riverside

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UC Riverside's last 8 games on the road
UC Riverside is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pacific

Pacific

Pacific is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing UC Riverside
Pacific is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against UC Riverside

Tulsa @ Nevada
Tulsa

Tulsa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games

Nevada

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 5 games
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa

Dayton @ Virginia
Dayton

Dayton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dayton's last 9 games

Virginia

Virginia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games

Northwestern @ Fresno State
Northwestern

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern's last 7 games
Northwestern is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

Fresno State

Fresno State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Elon @ Abilene Christian
Elon

Elon is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

Abilene Christian

No trends to report

College of Charleston @ LSU
College of Charleston

College of Charleston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of College of Charleston's last 15 games

LSU

LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LSU's last 11 games

Florida @ Stanford
Florida

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Florida's last 17 games
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Stanford

Stanford is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games

North Carolina @ Texas
North Carolina

North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing Texas

Texas

Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina

UAB @ Florida State
UAB

UAB is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Florida State

Florida State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Seton Hall @ Grand Canyon
Seton Hall

Seton Hall is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seton Hall's last 15 games

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Grand Canyon's last 7 games

Butler @ Middle Tennessee
Butler

Butler is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Butler is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

UCLA @ Michigan State
UCLA

UCLA is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games

Michigan State

Michigan State is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Michigan State's last 13 games

Hawaii @ Utah
Hawaii

Hawaii is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Hawaii is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Utah

Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hawaii
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii