PDA

View Full Version : Service Plays Sunday 12/2/18



Can'tPickAWinner
11-27-2018, 06:43 AM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 11:17 AM
King creole

3* GOM

LA CHARGES / Pittsburgh over 51.5”

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 01:18 PM
Week 13 Cowherd Blazin' 5:

Giants +4.5
Texans -6
Colts -4
Falcons -1
Vikings +5

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 01:18 PM
Brad powers

3* Pittsburgh -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 06:27 PM
Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAYS
Carolina -3.3
Pitt -3.5
Denver -5

SINGLE PLAYS
Buffalo +3.5
Green Bay -14
Kansas City -15
Minnesota +5
Minnesota-New England UNDER 49.5
Seattle -10

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 06:28 PM
ESPN+ Doug Kezerian
* Note: No YTD record. This pick was at the end of an article he wrote 11/30.

Dolphins -3.5 (vs. Bills) - Quarterback Ryan Tannehill is back for Miami, which is 5-6 and somehow still alive for a playoff spot. Buffalo has shown some nice flashes, including last week, but I just cannot see this team ripping off three straight wins.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 06:28 PM
ESPN Radio Will Cain Show Picks
Ranked by confidence

#5 Colts -4
#4 Steelers -3.5
#3 Northwestern +14.5
#2 Oklahoma -8
#1 Georgia +12.5

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 06:28 PM
Marc Lawrence

10* NFL Game Of Week (Perfect System Club)
Panthers

Sunday Night Monster Key Play
Steelers

Can'tPickAWinner
11-30-2018, 07:21 PM
Football Jesus PODCAST

Patriots -pts

dawggy
12-01-2018, 07:49 PM
ARTHUR RALPH

SUN:Super Pick OVER 51 Chargers/PITTSBURGH

Gold KEYs Browns + 5 1/2, Bills + ,4, Carolina -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:52 PM
Vsi soccer

sunday 9.05 am

4 - under-3-110-tottenham-arsenal

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:53 PM
Spartan

3*GOY

Pittsburgh -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:53 PM
Fred faour

2*

Jacksonville +4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:53 PM
Dave Essler

3*

Detroit / LA RAMS under 55

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:53 PM
Greg shaker

3*

Pittsburgh -3


3*

Oakland / Kansas City under 56

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:53 PM
Pointwise phones
4-pittsburgh
3-kansas city
3-seattle
2-green bay
2-carolina
2-buffalo
2-la rams

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:54 PM
Wunderdog
nfl

Carolina/TampaBay 55.5 Under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 09:54 PM
DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WEEK #13 - Final Report

7-UNIT TOP
STEELERS -3 vs chargers (SNF - 8:20pm)

4-UNIT STRONGS
COLTS -4 at jags (1pm)
RAVENS +3 (-130) at falcons (1pm)
RAMS -10 at lions (1pm)
SEAHAWKS -10 (-105) vs 49'ers (4:25pm)
REDSKINS +7 (-125) at eagles (MNF - 8:15pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 12/1/18 - 7:15pm
**All times Eastern

--

Thank you for using Double Dragon Sports!

golden contender
12-01-2018, 09:58 PM
Sunday card has the Exclusive NFL TIER 1 Play and he NFC Game of the Year headlining along with Hoops. NBA Comp Play below

The NBA Comp Play is on Portland at 7:00 eastern. The Blazers are off a home loss to Denver and should bounce back here. They already whipped the Spurs this season and now they fit a solid 84% system that pertains to road teams that are off a home spread loss vs a team like the Spurs off a home dog loss by 10 or more. The Spurs have failed to cover 6 of 7 with 1 day of rest and the last 5 times after allowing 125 or more. Look for the Blazers to win this one. On Sunday our executive level NFL TIER 1 Masterpiece headlines along with the NFC Game of the Year. We also have hoops. Message or see us on facebook to jump on. For the NBA Free Play. Go with the Blazers. RV- GC Sports

Can'tPickAWinner
12-01-2018, 11:34 PM
4 for 4 Anthony Stalter

Saints -7 (L)
Steelers -3
Ravens +1
Colts -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:06 AM
Tom Stryker

32-10 ATS & 17-4 ATS NFL ULTIMATE CONFERENCE WAGER
Panthers

12-0 ATS NFL NON-CONFERENCE GAME of the MONTH
Patriots

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:06 AM
Top Total Trend NFL Week #13

Play UNDER in games with home divisional underdogs of 8 or more.
26-5 Under Winners Last 31 & 4-0 this year..

Play - Chiefs/Raiders Under 55

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:09 AM
Mike Missanelli

texans
packers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:10 AM
Fezzik

2* Clev/Hou over 47
2* Wash +6.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:51 AM
Ken Thomson

3*

Pittsburgh -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:51 AM
Ben Burns

3*

San Jose -143

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:51 AM
Sleepyj

3*

Indianapolis -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:51 AM
Stephen Nover

3* TOM

Green Bay / Arizona under 43.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:52 AM
Lee Sterling/Paramount

50 Unit ATLANTA -2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:53 AM
Vernon Croy

**6-UNIT NFL PICK SUNDAY**

Pats -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:54 AM
Virgobbi Sports

NFL 12/2:

IND -4 (105)
BAL-ATL u48 (-110)
ATL -2 (-119)
ARI +13.5 (-110)
CHI -3.5 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:56 AM
Mike Davis:

8U NFL GOY

Take #358 Atlanta -1.5 over Baltimore (Sunday, December 2nd at 1:00 p.m)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 09:18 AM
Vegasbutcher

3*

Indianapolis -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 09:18 AM
JR ODONNELL

3*GOW

Minnesota / New England under 49.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 09:18 AM
Dave Essler

2*

Two team teaser -

Chargers +10 to Seattle -3

If Seattle covers, then yes I am taking Pitt ML - for those on yesterday I am still debating what to do with the Bills/Dolphins game.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 09:19 AM
Dave Cokin

Bears -3.5
Jets +9.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 09:31 AM
Fezzik

2* Clev/Hou over 47
2* Wash +6.5

3* Pitt -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 10:38 AM
PGF

4% Atlanta

FATMANWINS
12-02-2018, 10:41 AM
allan desrosiers
10 carolina
7 miami
7 jets over
7 teaser packers - texans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 10:46 AM
Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #365. Take Denver Broncos -4.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Denver Broncos have a very good chance of making the Playoffs which no one is talking about. Look, this team just beat the Chargers and Steelers (combined 15 wins between these two teams). How impresive is that? They got the lowly Raiders, Niners and Browns on deck - all games they can win. We like the Broncos to come out focused and to get it done here as this team is on the same page across the board, has a sense or urgency and though the Bengals will also be fighting for dear life here - the difference is that the Broncos have a process and system in place and the Bengals have incompetency in Marvin Lewis and Hugh Jackson, let's roll with the more disciplined and consistent team.

3-Unit Play. #353. Take Under 52 LA Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday @ 8:20pm est)
You have a Charger team that just dropped 45 last game against the lowly Cardinals and will be in for a massive reality check when they face the Steelers. This is a Steelers team who comes off a loss, this is a primetime game, they know the Chargers put up 45 points last game and the Steelers will be sharper defensively here. Plus, the Chargers are a top 5 defense themselves and this sets up for a classic drag out knucle-bearing type of contest here. The Under is 8-3 in the Chargers last 11 road games and the Under is 9-4-1 for the Chargers following an ATS win as well. This is also a great public fade as well on a primetime game.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 10:47 AM
INT PICKS

2 Stars

1:00 PM ET

Carolina -3

1 Star

1:00 PM ET

Take Indiana -4

1 Star

Take Atlanta -2

#361

1 Star

Take Buffalo +4

KC @ Oakland

Play Under 56

2 Stars

Take NE -5

2 Stars

LAC @ Pittsburgh

Play Over 51

Free Pick

NFL

#378

1 Star

4:25 PM ET

SF @ Seattle

Take Seattle -10

Bear's Fan
12-02-2018, 11:04 AM
Maddux
20 NE -5
10 Az +14
10 SF +10
10 Pit - 3
10 Atl OV 48
NYG + 3'
NYJ + 10

Calidreaming
12-02-2018, 11:16 AM
any budin or matt rivers blank check? thanks

havoc3011
12-02-2018, 11:25 AM
Millerlocks









1:00 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://0) NFL
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

PICK: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -4 (-105)

RISK: 11 UNITS

1:00 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://1) NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -13.5 (-109)

RISK: 11 UNITS

1:00 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://2) NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

PICK: HOUSTON TEXANS -5.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

4:25 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://4) NFL
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5 (-105)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:20 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://5) NFL
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

PICK: OVER 52 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

Bear's Fan
12-02-2018, 11:29 AM
Maddux
20 NE -5
10 Az +14
10 SF +10
10 Pit - 3
10 Atl OV 48
10NYG + 3'
10 NYJ + 10

Bear's Fan
12-02-2018, 11:30 AM
Maddux added
10 Cin Un 45

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:53 AM
BLAZER:
4 Falcons -2.5
3 Vikings +5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Kelso 50 Minnesota

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Sean Michaels
50 DIME
2-Team Teaser
Rams and Titans teaser

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Steve Budin
First
100 DIME
NFL Release of the Season
Broncos

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner
Steelers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Assassin Sports (NFL) - Carolina Panthers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:54 AM
Elite Sports Group...their pick is Chargers/Pitt ov 51 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:55 AM
Sean Higgs

browns +6
colts -4
bills+3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:55 AM
jr odonnell

3* ucla -9.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:56 AM
Brandon Lang

My 100 dime selection is on the Titans over the Jets. The current line on this game as of 6:45 am EST is 9 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. If your line is anywhere from 10 to 10 1/2 I advise buying the 1/2 point down. Be sure to shop around for the best line available

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:56 AM
Hank Goldberg (40 - 44 YTD)

Vikings +5

Chiefs -15

Bears -4 1/2

Texans -6

Steelers Over 51 1/2

Bills +5

Colts -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:56 AM
Analytical NBA Totals Bets
12/2/18 3 Plays:

1 unit Pho/LAL under 222.5
1.5 units Por/SA under 216
1 unit LAC/Dal over 226.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:56 AM
INSIDER SPORTS REPORT


Premier Picks® For 12/02/18

5* Atlanta -2 over Baltimore (NFL)
Range: PK to -4

3* N.Y. Giants +3 over Chicago (NFL)
Range: +5 to +1

3* Memphis/Philadelphia OVER 213.5 (NBA)
Range: 212 to 216

3* Pittsburgh -3 over L.A. Chargers (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:56 AM
Bondi

10* Pittsburgh (GOY)
3* Atlanta
3* New England

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:57 AM
Wizard of Odds

NFL SITUATIONAL SYSTEM SHOCKER - ONE

358 ATLANTA -2.5 1:00 ET

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:57 AM
North Coast


3.5* Pittsburgh (-3) LA Chargers 8:20 pm
3* Chicago (-3.5) NY Giants 1:00 pm
3* Tennessee (-9.5) NY Jets 4:05 pm

Top Opinions:Sunday Night Marquee: OVER 52 LA Chargers/Pittsburgh 8:20 pm NBC
Indianapolis (-4) Jacksonville 1:00 pm AFC POD
- Comp on Button 9Seattle (-9.5) San Francisco 4:25 pm NFL Chalk

Reg Opinions:Buffalo (+4) Miami 1:00 pm NFL Dog
Green Bay (-13.5) Arizona 1:00 pm NFC POD
Minnesota (+5) New England 4:25 pm Afternoon POD

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:57 AM
Winston DeMonte The Professional
Over Winnepeg

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:57 AM
Allegheny Analysis
Pitt Steelers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:57 AM
From Northcoast group of handicappers:

Accu Picks

NBA
3* #708 Miami +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:58 AM
Goodfella

3* Pit -3 (-105)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:58 AM
Jeff Ma

Colts
Cardinals
Chargers
Eagles

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:58 AM
TEDDY COVERS -
5% Big Ticket: Take Cleveland (#359)
3% Take Indianapolis (#351)
3% Take Carolina – Tampa Bay UNDER (#355-356)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:58 AM
Brent Musburger

Rams, pats , Browns

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:59 AM
NFL Football(Bob Balfe)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #369-370
Cardinals +13.5 over Packers
Aaron Rodgers has not looked like himself this year. For starters, he is dealing with a nagging injury that won’t fully heal until the offseason. Rodgers has been working with a lot of new receivers and guys like Randall Cobb have been out a lot. Today’s game will be in the snow which I always think helps the offense, but the wind is what hurts an offense. The Forecast calls for 20mph high winds. I also wanted to play the OVER, but it had to be scratched due to the wind. Arizona is not a great football team, but they do have a great running back in David Johnson who went to college in this very type of weather in the Missouri Valley. I also like that the Cardinals are stacked with talent in the secondary. Great coverage gets even better in windy conditions. The Packers are very thin in the secondary today as both starting safeties are out of this game and a few corners are banged up as well. With Mike Daniels and Nick Perry now on IR this defense is even more vulnerable at all three levels. Lambeau Field is a tough place to play, but just I don’t think the Packers are a worthy enough football team to be favored by this amount. Josh Rosen is a young guy, but he does have the arm to push the ball downfield in this wind. Take the Cardinals.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:59 AM
Rooster

2% browns 6
1% San Fran 10
1% gb under 41

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 11:59 AM
Tony Bruno-

Seahawks, patriots, bears ,bills, chiefs

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:00 PM
Rockdeman Sports (CBB 15-6-1 ytd) - Cal Santa Barbara +13

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:00 PM
Alan Harris - Sunday Football

6 Unit Play. Take #354 Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20 PM, Sunday, December 2, NBC)

4 Unit Play. Take #364 New York Giants +4 over Chicago Bears (1:00 PM, Sunday, December 2)

5 Unit Play. Take #367/368 Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Over 54.5 (1:00 PM, Sunday, December 2)

3 Unit Play. Take #371/372 Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders Under 55.5 (4:05 PM, Sunday, December 2)

Sunday Teasers:

4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #358 Atlanta Falcons +5 AND #361 Buffalo Bills +10 (1:00 PM, Sunday, December 2)

3 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #359 Cleveland Browns +12 AND #366 Cincinnati Bengals +11 (1:00 PM, Sunday, December 2)

4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #373 New York Jets +14 AND #371 Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 (4:05 PM, Sunday, December 2)

3 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #375 Minnesota Vikings +11 AND Under 55.5 (4:25 PM, Sunday, December 2)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:26 PM
Tony Cross

NOVEMBER TC TEAM VIP NFL SET #10

PITT -2.5 OVER SD

TIER 2 OF 3

Bigcesil
12-02-2018, 12:26 PM
BMC 900??

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:26 PM
SkyBluePicks

Jaguars +4

Patriots -5

Steelers -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:27 PM
ZCODE



Carolina Panthers versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers come in at 6-5 but have lost their last three. They are a 3.5 road favorite against the 4-7 Buccaneers, who are coming off a win. Carolina took the first meeting between the teams this year, 42-28 on November 4. They hold a +20 to +5 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams aren’t trending particularly well, as “average down” for Carolina and “ice cold up” for Tampa Bay. The teams are nearly equal in terms of stability and the Panthers have a 57 percent chance of winning, as can be seen in our VIP Picks sections. The Panthers will remain very much in the playoff race and defeat the Buccaneers and cover.

Baltimore Ravens versus Atlanta Falcons
The Ravens can keep the pressure on the Steelers in the AFC North with a win. They enter a 2.5 point road favorite over the Falcons, who have lost three straight and sit at 4-7. Atlanta is in a must win situation to keep their playoff hopes alive. Baltimore holds a +17 to +13 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Despite the recent trends, the Ravens are only slight favorites with a 53 percent chance of winning. Baltimore is only 2-3 on the road and with Atlanta in a must win situation, I am leaning towards the Falcons to pull off the upset.

Chicago Bears versus New York Giants
The Bears are one of the hottest teams in the league, winners of their last five. They hold a +27 to +11 advantage over the Giants on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are among the most stable in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. This means it’s wise to take note of favorite/underdog status for both teams in this one. As 4.5 point favorites, the Bears are too hot for the Giants to handle. The Bears will win to extend their streak to six.

Los Angeles Chargers versus Pittsburgh Steelers
In one of the top games of the week, the 8-3 Chargers take on the 7-3-1 Steelers. The Steelers six-game winning streak came to an end last week, while the Chargers are coming off a win to stay close to the Chiefs in the AFC West. Pittsburgh has a +30 to +23 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator, while the Chargers are “burning hot” versus “burning hot down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Los Angeles is a bit more stable than the Steelers, so it’s advisable not to consider the favorite/underdog status of the Steelers too highly. Los Angeles is 4-1 on the road and despite being 3.5 point underdogs, take the Chargers plus the points and they could win outright.

Minnesota Vikings versus New England Patriots
The Vikings are coming off a divisional victory over the Packers. At 5-5-1, they are a 6.5 point road underdog at New England. The Patriots are 5-0 at home and have a +24 to +21 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. New England is “burning hot” versus “average up” and both teams rank high in stability on the Team Volatility Oscillator. The Vikings are 2-2-1 on the road and there is little to indicate they can pull off the upset. This is the time of the season where the Patriots generally kick it into gear. I suspect much of the same this week. Take New England to win and cover.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:27 PM
DWAYNE BRYANT
SUNDAY, December 2, 2018
NFL -- 1 PM ET
[369] Arizona Cardinals vs [370] Green Bay Packers
PLAY: UNDER 43.5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 39 (Packers 27, Cardinals 12)


3% play at 42 or higher
No play below 42


===


NFL -- 4:25 PM ET
[375] Minnesota Vikings vs [376] New England Patriots
PLAY: [376] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 5%
The Patriots have been incredibly tough at home with Belichick and Brady. A square play? Yes, but consider these numbers: Since 2001 with Belichick and Brady, NE is 131-22 SU (86%) and 92-57-4 ATS (62%) at home. As a regular season home favorite of -7 or less, the Belichick/Brady combo is 54-12 SU (82%) and 48-15-3 ATS (76%). Since the 2013 season, the Belichick/Brady combo is a perfect 18-0 SU and 16-1-1 ATS (94%) as a regular season home favorite of -7 or less as long as it's not a Week 17 game in which they rested some starters.


Based on last weekend's spread (-13) and total (47), the Patriots were expected to score 30 points. They scored 27. That's interesting to note because since 1/16/2016, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite coming off a game in which they scored less points than expected. New England won those ten games by an average of 17.9 points per game, covering the spread by 8.75 points per contest.


The Vikings have played two road games this season against teams currently holding a winning record. They lost 38-31 to the Rams in LA, and they lost 25-20 to the Bears in Chicago. In both games, the Vikings scored a late TD to make the game appear closer than it really was. The Patriots don't usually give up those late TDs, especially at home.


This game reminds me of the Packers visit to Foxboro a few weeks ago. The line was about the same, and most were jumping on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as dogs. But Brady and company took care of Green Bay, 31-17. The Patriots clearly get up for home games against quality opponents (see records above), so they should be ready to play another great game in front of the home crowd in this one.


====


NBA -- 6:05 PM ET
[707] Utah Jazz at [708] Miami Heat
PLAY: UNDER 208.5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 204 (Utah 104, Miami 100)


3% play at 207 or higher
No play below 207


==============================


NBA -- 7:05 PM ET
[709] Portland Trail Blazers at [710] San Antonio Spurs
PLAY: UNDER 216 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 211 (San Antonio 106, Portland 105)


3% play at 214 or higher
No play below 214

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:27 PM
Adam Silverstein

Texans -5 1/2

Colts -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:27 PM
Midwest Handicapping

NFL BLANK CHECK GOTY
PITTSBURG -3

TRENDS
PITT OFF A LOSS LAST 2 YEARS
5-0
PITT OFF A LOSS LAST 5 YEARS
15-6 ATS
BIG BEN VS PHILLIP RIVERS IN PITTSBURG
6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS
PITT VS SD LAST 15 MEETINGS
11-4 ATS
PITT IN DECEMBER LAST 20
18-2 SU

If your going to bet against trends you better have a damn good reason.

11 DIME TITANIC PLAYS
WASHINGTON +6
ATLANTA +3

7 DIME JUMBO PLAYS
NY GIANTS +5.5

TEASERS
DENVER +2/ATLANTA +9
CHICAGO +3.5/NE PK
WASHINGTON +12/NYG +9.5
ARIZ -19.5/SEA -4
PITT+3/CAR +2

OVER/UNDER
BUFFALO/MIAMI OVER 41
DETROIT/LAR OVER 54

PROP BET
DESHAUN WASTSON OVER 33 YARDS

132-64-7 on the year.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:28 PM
Mike Tierney

Chargers +3 1/2

Raiders +15

Colts -4

Browns +6

Patriots -5

Jets +8

Panthers -3 1/2

Ravens U48

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:28 PM
Micah Roberts

Chargers +3 1/2

Falcons -1 1/2

Broncos -5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:36 PM
Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo

5 Miami -3'
4 Pittsburg under 52'
3 Houston over 47

Calidreaming
12-02-2018, 12:40 PM
Matt Rivers
My Blank Check release is on New England at home against Minnesota. The Patriots are -5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:44 PM
WWP - NFL

Super pick - Denver
Tennessee
Baltimore
Cleveland

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:44 PM
Seabass

300 10 team, 10 point teaser Giants under, GB, Jax
300 Cincy
400 Miami
400 Niners
500 Falcons
800 J E T S
1000 Giants

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:45 PM
Wolf from pgf

3% Falcons

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:46 PM
Nfac


ATL ML

swaminator
12-02-2018, 12:50 PM
Larry Ness’ 10* Sunday NFL AFC Game of the Month
Houston

Larry Ness' 10* Sunday NFL Week 13 Las Vegas Insider
Pitsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:59 PM
Gavazzi
5* GOW= CAROLINA
4 Balt and Pitt
3 Houston

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 12:59 PM
Lenny Stevens
20* Bears
20* Carolina
10* Denver
10* Detroit
10* SFran

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 01:00 PM
MTI

4.5 SEATTLE and GB UND

4.5 TEASER LAC/BALT

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 04:24 PM
11th: NFL 8u: 372 OAK+3.5 1st Q. OAK+8 1st H. OAK+14.5g. 375 MIN+6. 353 LAC+.5. LAC+2 1st H. LAC+3g. LAC U 9.5 1st Q. LAC U 25.5 1st H. LAC U 52.5g.

11th: NFL 8u: 372 OAK U 27.5 1st H. OAK U 53.5g. Money Line: OAK+700.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-02-2018, 07:26 PM
ESPN+ SNF Best Bets
Where does the betting value lie in Sunday's prime-time matchup? Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson provide their picks to help you place your bets.

Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday afternoon.

**********
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)

Total: 52.5
PickCenter public consensus pick: 51 percent picked Pittsburgh

Johnson: With Melvin Gordon officially ruled out for Los Angeles, I have been surprised to see this number move from Pittsburgh -3.5 to -3. My raw number in this matchup is Steelers -4.4, and Gordon is definitely worth something to the point spread (0.9 points for me, conservatively). I mentioned in my column last week that the Steelers actually lead the NFL with a +1.2 yards per play differential. They are the only team that ranks top-five in both offensive and defensive efficiency.


I anticipate Ben Reothlisberger will take care of the football and limit turnovers, unlike last week in Denver when the Steelers turned the ball over four times despite outgaining the Broncos by 200 yards. I'm going to be backing the Steelers at the short number against a banged-up Chargers team on the road.

Pick: Steelers -3

Sharp: We took the Broncos +3 last week and Denver won outright, but the Steelers should have won that game. They put up over 500 yards of offense and 462 passing yards, but were -4 in turnover margin. Roethlisberger dropped back to pass 58 times on the road against a good pass rush, and was sacked just twice. The Steelers are in a great spot back at home, in primetime, where they thrive.

Pittsburgh should be able to get back to the run game and dominate the Chargers run defense, and while the Chargers have Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, they are no more fearsome than the pass rush the Steelers just dominated last week.

Pick: Steelers -3