Thursday 11-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
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College Basketball
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NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys Preview and Predictions 11-29-2018

NFL Predictions 27th November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/27/2018

The Dallas Cowboys have cobbled together three straight wins to alter the complexion of their season and vault into a share of first place in the mediocre NFC East. The Cowboys will encounter quite the litmus test on Thursday when they host the surging New Orleans Saints, who have won a staggering 10 in a row since their season-opening loss to Tampa Bay.

Ezekiel Elliott leads the NFL with 1,074 rushing yards and has amassed 531 scrimmage yards (394 rushing, 137 receiving) and four touchdowns in his last three games, including 143 (121 rushing, 22 receiving) with a 16-yard scoring run in Dallas' 31-23 win over Washington on Thanksgiving Day. The 23-year-old Elliott likely would need a similar performance against New Orleans' top-ranked rush defense (73.2 yards) as a means to control the clock and keep NFL MVP candidate Drew Brees (league-best 76.4 completion percentage) on the sideline. With Brees under center, the high-octane Saints have scored an NFL-best 37.2 points per game and are fifth in yards (416.6). New Orleans had no issue continuing its frenetic pace last Thursday, as Brees tossed four touchdown passes in a 31-17 win over Atlanta and has 11 scoring strikes against one interception in his last four meetings with the Cowboys.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX, NFL Network. LINE: Saints -7.5. O/U: 53

ABOUT THE SAINTS (10-1): The electric Alvin Kamara has shown no signs of slowing down with 575 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns (six rushing, three receiving) in his past six games. Fellow running back Mark Ingram has three scores in his last three outings and Michael Thomas has proven to be Brees' most trusted target with an NFL second-best 86 receptions. While the offense receives its fair share of headlines, the defense is getting plenty of press too, as it forced four turnovers, registered a season-high six sacks and held Falcons running backs Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith to just six rushing yards on 10 carries last week. "We all know what Dallas is gonna want to do -- hand it to Zeke as many times as they can and try to pound out a win," defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins said. "So it's gonna be fun."



ABOUT THE COWBOYS (6-5): Louisiana native Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper look to exploit New Orleans' 30th-ranked pass defense after the pair hooked up for two long touchdown passes against the Redskins. Prescott has a rushing score in each of his last three games while Cooper joined Kansas City speedster Tyreek Hill in recording his second 180-yard, two-touchdown performance in the last two seasons with his sterling effort versus Washington. Cooper has seen eight-plus targets in three of four games since being acquired from Oakland, giving Dallas a new version of a familiar three-pronged attack made famous by "The Triplets" of Pro Football Hall of Famers Troy Aikman, Emmitt Smith and Michael Irvin. "I think the sky's the limit," the 24-year-old Cooper said. "Obviously we'll have to wait and see, but Dak is a great player. Zeke is a great player. So who knows?"

EXTRA POINTS

1. New Orleans WR Tre'Quan Smith was limited in practice on Tuesday as he attempts to return from a one-game absence due to a foot injury.

2. Dallas DE Demarcus Lawrence has three of his team-leading 8.5 sacks in the last four games.

3. The Saints have a league low-tying nine turnovers, one fewer than the Cowboys.

PREDICTION: Saints 38, Cowboys 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

11/29/18, AQU, Race 6, 2.47 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
Claiming Price $30,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 30.77, $1 ROI 0.73, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 9 Trance 4-1 Saez L Cox Brad H. T
096.9831 12 Marble Moon 8-1 Davis D Baker Charlton
096.6070 3 Get Along 5-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Asmussen Steven M.
095.8915 7 Grammi Dance 7/2 Franco M Nevin Michelle L
095.8297 11 Giant Sandy 12-1 Castellano J Toscano. Jr. John T. J
095.3957 6 Mend Up 12-1 Hernandez H Ubillo Rodrigo A.
095.0429 13 Wisecrack 15-1 Rosario J Contessa Gary C.
094.4789 8 Oh K Funnybone 6-1 Luzzi M J Brown Bruce R. FEC
094.3839 2 Stone Breaker 12-1 Gutierrez R Gullo Gary P.
094.2959 10 Papa Jim 30-1 Worrie A S Hemmings Glendon
093.9042 1 Quick Snap 30-1 Pena B Friedman Mitchell E. W
093.7407 5 Highest Rank 8-1 Cancel E Donk David G.
092.2828 4 Ben of the Bush 20-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schettino Dominick L.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 29, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 PACIFIC RIDGE 20/1

# 5 GOODBYESEEULATER 8/5

# 6 CHERUBIM 9/5

PACIFIC RIDGE is the most respectable wager in this race especially at such a decent 20/1. This equine has to be in sound condition coming back to race so quickly. Lyapustina has very solid numbers that point to this gelding to be a solid contender. GOODBYESEEULATER - Has run strongly when running a dirt sprint race. Recently Magee has provided investors with a decent winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. CHERUBIM - Has performed quite well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 83 avg speed rating. Runco has a strong win percent with horses running in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar

11/29/18, DMR, Race 8, 4.00 PT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $32,000, if for $28,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $1 Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 29.82, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2 Concord Jet 6-1 Quinonez A Koriner Brian J. TW
096.9021 10 Thin Line(b-) 8-1 Pereira T J O'Neill Doug F.
096.8295 5 Tanker 7/2 Franco G Cerin Vladimir S
096.8150 3 Suite Alonso 8-1 Cruz A O'Neill Doug F.
096.3928 8 Shake N Fries 5/2 Van Dyke D Yakteen Tim JEL
094.8961 4 Ministersdon'tlie 20-1 Gryder A T Machowsky Michael
094.7764 7 Violent Behavior 3-1 Baze T Blacker Dan F
094.5085 1 Mad At Money 20-1 Figueroa H Bell. II Thomas Ray C
094.0573 6 Bull Fighter(b+) 20-1 Flores E Palma Hector O.
091.5030 9 Magic Bro 20-1 Delgadillo A Palma Hector O.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
Evangeline Downs - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 59 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 8:55P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CCFUNATTHIRTEEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FIT FOR FIRST: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KAYLEES FASTER CASH: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
7
CCFUNATTHIRTEEN
5/1

9/2
8
FIT FOR FIRST
3/1

9/2
1
KAYLEES FASTER CASH
4/1

7/1
5
FLIGHT OF AN ARROW
6/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
KAYLEES FASTER CASH
1

4/1
Average
58

54

5.6

0.0

0.0
2
ROYAL CROWN CARTEL
2

15/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
FIRST PRIZE EARLINE
4

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
5
FLIGHT OF AN ARROW
5

6/1
Slow
72

49

9.2

0.0

0.0
6
HEZILLUSIONAL
6

12/1
Fast
53

39

2.1

0.0

0.0
7
CCFUNATTHIRTEEN
7

5/1
Average
61

61

4.3

0.0

0.0
8
FIT FOR FIRST
8

3/1
Average/Trouble-prone
70

56

4.3

0.0

0.0
9
BAYOU BUX
9

5/1
Slow
53

28

6.1

0.0

0.0
10
MOTHER OF DRAGONS
10

8/1
Slow
0

0

9.4

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: MAGNIFICENT MOVE (15/1) [Jockey: Trujillo Jr Mario A - Trainer: Jackson Dwayne].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #8 - Post: 4:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 I WILL RULE (ML=3/1)
#8 TAPEZOID (ML=6/1)


I WILL RULE - This horse has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with her. This mare's last speed rating registered on October 18th is uppermost in last race speed ratings. Meier gets a break on this horse carrying 7 lbs less than last out. Could be helpful right here in this race. TAPEZOID - This equine is at the top in earnings per start. She looks solid in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SOCIAL ETIQUETTE (ML=2/1), #1 LIP SYNC (ML=9/2), #4 LADY GOT AWAY (ML=5/1),

SOCIAL ETIQUETTE - Tough to play at 2/1 odds after the most recent showings. LIP SYNC - Could be tough for this animal to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list. LADY GOT AWAY - Not easy to back any steed in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. Finished fourth in her most recent race with a common speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - I WILL RULE - Posting a better speed rating each of her last couple of races. This mare is a prime candidate to win today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 I WILL RULE to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with 8 with [2,4,5] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 KOPPER WIRED 4/1

# 3 HAIL'S STATEMENT 8/1

# 6 FIFTH THIEF 5/1

KOPPER WIRED is the most respectable bet in this race. Has very good Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 86 - of his last effort. Has been running solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. HAIL'S STATEMENT - He has posted quite good figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group. This handler has done soundly recently with entries racing at this distance and surface. FIFTH THIEF - Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 86 - of his last effort. Recent figs for the rider - 16 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)


Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 9:25P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * STAR IN CHARGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MR. FINAGLER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JOHN ALLEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
STAR IN CHARGE
2/1

9/2
1
MR. FINAGLER
12/1

5/1
8
JOHN ALLEN
7/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
JOHN ALLEN
8

7/2
Front-runner
76

73

79.4

59.6

53.1
7
RUNFORUSRUN
7

15/1
Front-runner
64

58

54.8

54.8

41.3
1
MR. FINAGLER
1

12/1
Alternator/Front-runner
77

68

60.7

66.4

56.9
9
BALLROOM KITTEN
9

5/1
Stalker
64

68

55.0

64.5

54.0
4
MISCHIEVOUS DANCER
4

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
74

62

91.3

50.0

44.0
5
WESTERN DRAWL
5

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
66

60

69.5

47.4

32.4
3
MR. NIGHT RIDE
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
60

60

56.9

19.0

9.5
6
STAR IN CHARGE
6

2/1
Trailer
82

75

59.7

69.2

65.2
2
UNCLE PUP
2

20/1
Trailer
64

56

46.5

57.4

44.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:11pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 G NINETEEN (ML=2/1)


G NINETEEN - Looking at today's class figure, this horse is encountering an easier group than last race out at Indiana Downs. Have to forget about that last turf race. This gelding should do better hitting the dirt in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MATH MAJOR (ML=8/5), #1 BREAK THE DEAL (ML=6/1), #4 ST. RONANS (ML=6/1),

MATH MAJOR - You should normally bet against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last two to three weeks. BREAK THE DEAL - Tough to keep stabbing at this sort of 'hanger' horse. This mount ran a most unsatisfactory rating in the last race. He shouldn't run better and will likely get beat in today's event running that rating. ST. RONANS - Speed ratings of 61/54/50 are in motion on a downward course.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 G NINETEEN on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, November 29

Warriors won their last three games but they lost last four road games, are 0-2 as AU. Four of their last six games went over. Raptors won their last six games; they’re 6-5 as HF. Toronto’s last four games went over. Golden State won its last eight games with Toronto but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six; Warriors are 1-3-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Canada. Five of last six series games went over.

Clippers won eight of their last nine games; they’re 5-5 on road, 3-0 as AF. Seven of their last nine games went over. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 5-4 at home, 6-2-1 as HU. Kings’ last six games all went over. Clippers won eight of last nine games with Sacramento, covered four of last five; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits here. Four of last five series games went over.

Indiana won five of its last seven games; they’re 7-4 on road, 2-4 as AU. Four of their last five games went over. Lakers won seven of last ten games but lost last two; LA is 6-4 at home, 2-6 as HF. 11 of their last 13 games stayed under. Home side won eight of last nine Pacer-Laker games; Indiana is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Four of last five series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, November 29

Trend Report

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State


Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Indiana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Indiana is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
LA Lakers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Indiana
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
LA Lakers is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana


Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Sacramento's last 21 games at home
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
Chris David

Game of the Night (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)
Golden State (15-7 SU, 9-13 ATS) at Toronto (18-4 SU, 11-10-1 ATS)

Thursday’s matchup from the Scotiabank Arena could very well be a preview of next year’s NBA Finals as both the Raptors (2/1) and Warriors (1/2) are listed as favorites to win the Eastern and Western Conferences respectively.

Unfortunately for tonight, this game won’t have as much drama since Golden State is still dealing with key injuries but nonetheless, I expect Toronto to make a statement.

Tony Mejia, senior writer and handicapper, offered up his thoughts on the game.

He said, “The Warriors have lost their last four road games and spent most of November at Oracle, leaving the state only for that ill-fated Texas trip that produced three setbacks. While Stephen Curry could return as early as this contest, Steve Kerr says it’s more likely that he’ll be returning on Friday against Detroit, so the degree of difficulty intensifies against the team with the league’s best record. Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green should make life difficult for Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson as catalysts right out of the gate and the Raps have a lot of length to throw at both of those guys to keep them from finding a rhythm. Three of the four occasions in which Golden State has failed to reach 100 points have come on the road.”

Curry (groin) is expected to miss and the offshore outfit 5Dimes.eu opened Toronto as a heavy eight-point home favorite over Golden State.

Toronto has won six straight games and that includes a 122-114 win over Memphis on Monday as a 5 ½-point road favorite. The Raptors rallied from a 17-point deficit to earn the cover.

At home, the Raptors have gone 9-2 this season but they haven’t been profitable for bettors (5-6 ATS). Offensively, they’re ranked third in scoring at 117 points per game and second in field goal percentage (49.3%). Golden State is first in shooting (49.4%) and fifth in scoring (116 PPG) but the absence of Curry is noted.

Without the All-Star the Warriors have gone 5-5 and they enter this game on a three-game winning streak. As Mejia mentioned, the road numbers (0-4) haven’t been good without Curry and the depth issue should play a factor in this game.

The Warriors have gone 7-1 (4-4 ATS) versus the East this season and the ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in those games with Golden State averaging 116.9 points per game. The lone loss came to the Milwaukee Bucks (134-111). The Raptors also own a 7-1 non-conference record (3-4-1 ATS) with the only setback coming to the Pelicans at home.

Golden State has won eight straight (3-4-1 ATS) in this series and four in a row at Canada. The Warriors were favored in all of those games and bettors should note that this year’s Golden State squad has been listed as an underdog three times this season and it’s 0-3 both SU and ATS. Also, the ‘under’ has cashed easily in all of those games as well.

Along with the top matchup between two contenders, there are two late-night games and below is my quick handicap.

Indiana (13-8 SU, 10-10-1 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (11-9 SU, 7-13 ATS)

The late-night TNT double-header is a nice non-conference matchup from the Staples Center. The Lakers (-4 ½) will try to snap a two-game losing skid while the Pacers will look to improve to 3-0 on their current four-game road trip.

Indiana blew the doors off Utah 121-88 on Sunday and escaped trouble on Monday with 109-104 win at Phoenix. While the Pacers are a solid club and certainly a team to watch in the playoffs, the oddsmakers have had a nice pulse on them. Indiana is 2-4 both SU and ATS as a road ‘dog this season, and it’s just 2-5 against teams at .500 and above. The ‘bully’ label is certainly in play when you see that they’re 11-3 against teams below .500. They did just beat the Jazz on Sunday but Utah and maybe Boston have been two of the biggest disappointments this season. Can the Pacers steal one at the Lakers?

Unlike Indiana, Los Angeles has been good versus teams above .500 (6-4) but it’s still weak on defense (113 PPG) and it can’t buy a shot from 3-point land (34.7%). They’re ranked in the bottom third of the league in both those categories, while the Pacers (102.2 PPG) are ranked second in scoring defense and fifth from distance (37.6%).

The Lakers aren’t in great form offensively, scoring 100.2 PPG in their last five games and that’s led to a 5-0 ‘under’ run. When you factor in the current play and the opponent, it’s tough to make a case for a Los Angeles team that has been pedestrian at home (6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS). And for whatever reason, the club has struggled against teams from the Eastern Conference (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) at the Staples Center.

The home team has won four straight games in this series and three of the victories came by double digits. The ‘under’ is 3-1 during this span.

L.A. Clippers (14-6 SU, 13-7 ATS) at Sacramento (10-10 SU, 12-7-1 ATS)

Surprising starts by both clubs and while I believe both will taper off as the season progresses, you have to be impressed with the pair. For this matchup, the public will lean to the Clippers (-3) because the line is short and they’re clearly the more talented than Kings. We all know it’s not that simple and there are reasons to fade or follow both clubs. What’s stood out this season for me on Los Angeles is its great record as a favorite (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS). The point-spread has only mattered in one game and with this line being so short, it’s unlikely to play a factor on Thursday.

L.A. is playing this game on no rest and it’s gone 1-1 both SU and ATS in that role this season. Another factor that could have me staying away is the Clippers production on the road (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS), and they’ve pulled some wild wins out of their hat too.

Sacramento has been decent at the Golden 1 Center this season, going 5-4 SU and 6-2-1 ATS but their recent form could have you pumping the breaks. The Kings are 2-4 in their last six games and the defense has surrendered 119.5 PPG during this span, which has directly attributed to a 6-0 ‘over’ mark. Thursday’s total opened at 235 and they haven’t seen a number this high since early November.

This will be the first meeting between the pair this season. The Clippers have gotten the better of the Kings recently, sweeping last year’s encounters (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) but the two road wins came by a combined eight points. The ‘over’ went 3-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (15 - 7) at TORONTO (18 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (14 - 6) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 10) - 11/29/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (13 - 8) at LA LAKERS (11 - 9) - 11/29/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 62-46 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
INDIANA is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 29


Golden State @ Toronto

Game 501-502
November 29, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
114.995
Toronto
129.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 14
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-9); Under

LA Clippers @ Sacramento

Game 503-504
November 29, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.760
Sacramento
112.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2 1/2
235
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2 1/2); Under

Indiana @ LA Lakers

Game 505-506
November 29, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.706
LA Lakers
121.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (5 - 1) at UCF (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 96-128 ATS (-44.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
UCF is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at ARIZONA (4 - 2) - 11/29/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARIST (1 - 4) vs. DARTMOUTH (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 1-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG ISLAND (3 - 3) vs. ALBANY (2 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUSTIN PEAY (2 - 4) at TROY (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BELMONT (5 - 0) at SAMFORD (7 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games this season.
SAMFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BELMONT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ARIZONA (2 - 2) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO ST (3 - 0) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

Central Florida upset Alabama 65-62 in Tuscaloosa LY, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Knights are 5-1 vs schedule #152- their only loss was 80-79 to Florida Atlantic, a game UCF led by 20 early on. UCF is shooting only 55.8% on foul as a team (#345). Alabama is 5-1 this season vs schedule #103, with only loss to Northeastern on a neutral floor. Crimson Tide is experience team #271 that is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time- they split their two top 100 games, beating Wichita State by 4 on that same neutral floor in Charleston.

Arizona is 4-2 after losing to couple of top 10 teams in Maui Classic; Wildcats are experience team #194 (#318 in minutes continuity)- their only top 200 win so far was 71-66 over #19 Iowa State in first round at Maui. Wildcats haven’t played a game in eight days. Georgia Southern is 5-1, losing 69-64 at home to East Tennessee State Tuesday night; no Eagles played more than 29:00 in that game. GSU is #82 experience team that is playing tempo #9- they’ve made only 25.3% of their 3’s so far. Eagles’ only top 100 game was a 80-77 win over #94 Montana.

Marist won its last two games with Dartmouth by 6-12 points; teams didn’t play LY. Marist is 1-4 this year vs schedule #109, with only win 82-76 at home vs Columbia; Red Foxes are #120 experience team that has made 40.7% of its 3’s- they split their two games vs teams ranked outside top 100. Dartmouth is 1-3 vs D-I teams, with two non-D-I wins; Big Green has been awful on defense, allowing 85-110 points in last two games. Dartmouth did win its only game vs team outside top 100, winning by a hoop (82-80) at Loyola, Md.

Troy lost 75-73 at Austin Peay LY, turning ball over 20 times (-4) in game they led by 10 with 13:39 left. Troy is 2-3 vs schedule #257, winning last two games while scoring 82-77 points; Trojans are experience team #101 that is playing pace #286- they must play lot of zone; 41.4% of opponents’ scoring comes on 3-pointers. Governors are 1-4 vs D-I teams with two losses in OT; Austin Peay is #97 experience team that plays tempo #106- they start three sophs, two seniors. Troy starts three seniors, two sophs.

Belmont is 4-0 despite being #300 experience team; they’ve played schedule #226 to this point, but three of those four wins were vs top 100 teams, with 91-53 win over Kennesaw State in their only game vs a team outside top 200- they beat #92 Lipscomb 87-83 on road. Samford is 7-1 vs schedule #339; they lost 68-50 at Ohio State in only game vs team rated higher than #163. Bulldogs are #233 experience team that is turning ball over 21.8% of time, but is shooting 43.4% on the arc. Belmont is starting three frosh, two seniors, an odd combination.

Cal-Davis is 1-6 vs schedule #100, with only win by 3 in OT over #314 Corpus Christi— Aggies are #9 experience team but they’re not playing like it, turning ball over 26.2% of time while making only 28% of their 3’s. Davis is starting four seniors and a freshman; their eFG% is #332 in country, really bad. Northern Arizona hasn’t played in 11 days after a 2-2 start that includes a road win at Omaha. Lumberjacks are #308 experience team that is playing pace #68- NAU starts two sophs, two juniors and doesn’t appear to have any seniors.

Cal-Santa Barbara is 5-1 vs schedule #301, which includes three wins over Big Sky teams; Gauchos are #343 in MC (were #242 LY) as they’re once again cobbled together by transfers. UCSB has wins at Wyoming/Idaho; they’re playing pace #306and are #7 in country at getting to foul line, making 72.9% once they get there. Sacramento State won both its D-I games vs Big West teams, by 3-5 points; Hornets are #106 experience team that hasn’t subbed much (#332 minutes). Sac State is turning ball over 25.7% of time; this is their first true road game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

Trend Report


Marist @ Dartmouth
Marist
Marist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games
Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games


LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Albany
No trends to report


Sacred Heart @ Boston College
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Boston College
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacred Heart
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacred Heart


Trinity Baptist @ Campbell
Trinity Baptist
No trends to report
Campbell
No trends to report


Hampton @ Norfolk State
Hampton
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report


Alabama @ Central Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Coppin State @ James Madison
Coppin State
No trends to report
James Madison
The total has gone OVER in 4 of James Madison's last 5 games
James Madison is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home


Belmont @ Samford
Belmont
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Samford
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Samford
Samford
Samford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Samford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


Central Connecticut State @ North Carolina A&T
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report
North Carolina A&T
No trends to report


UAB @ Alabama A&M
UAB
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 7 games on the road
Alabama A&M
No trends to report


Florida A&M @ North Florida
Florida A&M
No trends to report
North Florida
No trends to report


McNeese State @ Southern Methodist
McNeese State
No trends to report
Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home


East-West @ Chicago State
East-West
No trends to report
Chicago State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago State's last 6 games
Chicago State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


Austin Peay @ Troy
Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Austin Peay's last 9 games on the road
Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Troy
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Huston Tillotson @ Texas Southern
Huston Tillotson
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report


San Diego Christian @ Southern Utah
San Diego Christian
No trends to report
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


Georgia Southern @ Arizona
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona
Arizona is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home


West Montana @ Idaho State
West Montana
No trends to report
Idaho State
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Montana
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against West Montana


Jackson State @ Santa Clara
Jackson State
No trends to report
Santa Clara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games at home


Northern Arizona @ UC Davis
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games
UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Davis's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UC Davis's last 7 games at home


Sacramento State @ UC-Santa Barbara
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


Bethesda @ Loyola Marymount
Bethesda
No trends to report
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Cal Baptist @ UC Riverside
Cal Baptist
No trends to report
UC Riverside
UC Riverside is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
UC Riverside is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, November 29


Alabama @ UCF

Game 507-508
November 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
58.576
UCF
69.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 11 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 6
135
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-6); Under

Georgia Southern @ Arizona

Game 509-510
November 29, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
57.680
Arizona
64.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 10
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+10); Over

Marist @ Dartmouth

Game 511-512
November 29, 2018 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
43.968
Dartmouth
45.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
(+2); Under

LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany

Game 513-514
November 29, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
46.766
Albany
51.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Albany
by 4 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Albany
Pick
145
Dunkel Pick:
Albany
Under

Austin Peay @ Troy

Game 515-516
November 29, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
48.345
Troy
50.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 2 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 4 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Austin Peay
(+4 1/2); Under

Belmont @ Samford

Game 517-518
November 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Belmont
57.828
Samford
57.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
Even
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Belmont
by 8 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(+8 1/2); Over

Northern Arizona @ Cal Davis

Game 519-520
November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
37.882
Cal Davis
53.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cal Davis
by 16
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cal Davis
by 8
139
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Davis
(-8); Over

Sacramento St @ Santa Barbara

Game 521-522
November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
43.399
Santa Barbara
60.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Barbara
by 16 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Santa Barbara
by 7 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(-7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (5 - 1) at UCF (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 96-128 ATS (-44.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
UCF is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at ARIZONA (4 - 2) - 11/29/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARIST (1 - 4) vs. DARTMOUTH (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 1-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG ISLAND (3 - 3) vs. ALBANY (2 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUSTIN PEAY (2 - 4) at TROY (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BELMONT (5 - 0) at SAMFORD (7 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games this season.
SAMFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BELMONT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ARIZONA (2 - 2) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO ST (3 - 0) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

Central Florida upset Alabama 65-62 in Tuscaloosa LY, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Knights are 5-1 vs schedule #152- their only loss was 80-79 to Florida Atlantic, a game UCF led by 20 early on. UCF is shooting only 55.8% on foul as a team (#345). Alabama is 5-1 this season vs schedule #103, with only loss to Northeastern on a neutral floor. Crimson Tide is experience team #271 that is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time- they split their two top 100 games, beating Wichita State by 4 on that same neutral floor in Charleston.

Arizona is 4-2 after losing to couple of top 10 teams in Maui Classic; Wildcats are experience team #194 (#318 in minutes continuity)- their only top 200 win so far was 71-66 over #19 Iowa State in first round at Maui. Wildcats haven’t played a game in eight days. Georgia Southern is 5-1, losing 69-64 at home to East Tennessee State Tuesday night; no Eagles played more than 29:00 in that game. GSU is #82 experience team that is playing tempo #9- they’ve made only 25.3% of their 3’s so far. Eagles’ only top 100 game was a 80-77 win over #94 Montana.

Marist won its last two games with Dartmouth by 6-12 points; teams didn’t play LY. Marist is 1-4 this year vs schedule #109, with only win 82-76 at home vs Columbia; Red Foxes are #120 experience team that has made 40.7% of its 3’s- they split their two games vs teams ranked outside top 100. Dartmouth is 1-3 vs D-I teams, with two non-D-I wins; Big Green has been awful on defense, allowing 85-110 points in last two games. Dartmouth did win its only game vs team outside top 100, winning by a hoop (82-80) at Loyola, Md.

Troy lost 75-73 at Austin Peay LY, turning ball over 20 times (-4) in game they led by 10 with 13:39 left. Troy is 2-3 vs schedule #257, winning last two games while scoring 82-77 points; Trojans are experience team #101 that is playing pace #286- they must play lot of zone; 41.4% of opponents’ scoring comes on 3-pointers. Governors are 1-4 vs D-I teams with two losses in OT; Austin Peay is #97 experience team that plays tempo #106- they start three sophs, two seniors. Troy starts three seniors, two sophs.

Belmont is 4-0 despite being #300 experience team; they’ve played schedule #226 to this point, but three of those four wins were vs top 100 teams, with 91-53 win over Kennesaw State in their only game vs a team outside top 200- they beat #92 Lipscomb 87-83 on road. Samford is 7-1 vs schedule #339; they lost 68-50 at Ohio State in only game vs team rated higher than #163. Bulldogs are #233 experience team that is turning ball over 21.8% of time, but is shooting 43.4% on the arc. Belmont is starting three frosh, two seniors, an odd combination.

Cal-Davis is 1-6 vs schedule #100, with only win by 3 in OT over #314 Corpus Christi— Aggies are #9 experience team but they’re not playing like it, turning ball over 26.2% of time while making only 28% of their 3’s. Davis is starting four seniors and a freshman; their eFG% is #332 in country, really bad. Northern Arizona hasn’t played in 11 days after a 2-2 start that includes a road win at Omaha. Lumberjacks are #308 experience team that is playing pace #68- NAU starts two sophs, two juniors and doesn’t appear to have any seniors.

Cal-Santa Barbara is 5-1 vs schedule #301, which includes three wins over Big Sky teams; Gauchos are #343 in MC (were #242 LY) as they’re once again cobbled together by transfers. UCSB has wins at Wyoming/Idaho; they’re playing pace #306and are #7 in country at getting to foul line, making 72.9% once they get there. Sacramento State won both its D-I games vs Big West teams, by 3-5 points; Hornets are #106 experience team that hasn’t subbed much (#332 minutes). Sac State is turning ball over 25.7% of time; this is their first true road game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

Trend Report

Marist @ Dartmouth
Marist
Marist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games
Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games


LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Albany
No trends to report


Sacred Heart @ Boston College
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Boston College
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacred Heart
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacred Heart


Trinity Baptist @ Campbell
Trinity Baptist
No trends to report
Campbell
No trends to report


Hampton @ Norfolk State
Hampton
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report


Alabama @ Central Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Coppin State @ James Madison
Coppin State
No trends to report
James Madison
The total has gone OVER in 4 of James Madison's last 5 games
James Madison is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home


Belmont @ Samford
Belmont
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Samford
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Samford
Samford
Samford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Samford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


Central Connecticut State @ North Carolina A&T
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report
North Carolina A&T
No trends to report


UAB @ Alabama A&M
UAB
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 7 games on the road
Alabama A&M
No trends to report


Florida A&M @ North Florida
Florida A&M
No trends to report
North Florida
No trends to report


McNeese State @ Southern Methodist
McNeese State
No trends to report
Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home


East-West @ Chicago State
East-West
No trends to report
Chicago State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago State's last 6 games
Chicago State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


Austin Peay @ Troy
Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Austin Peay's last 9 games on the road
Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Troy
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Huston Tillotson @ Texas Southern
Huston Tillotson
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report


San Diego Christian @ Southern Utah
San Diego Christian
No trends to report
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


Georgia Southern @ Arizona
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona
Arizona is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home


West Montana @ Idaho State
West Montana
No trends to report
Idaho State
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Montana
Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against West Montana


Jackson State @ Santa Clara
Jackson State
No trends to report
Santa Clara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games at home


Northern Arizona @ UC Davis
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games
UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Davis's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UC Davis's last 7 games at home


Sacramento State @ UC-Santa Barbara
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


Bethesda @ Loyola Marymount
Bethesda
No trends to report
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Cal Baptist @ UC Riverside
Cal Baptist
No trends to report
UC Riverside
UC Riverside is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
UC Riverside is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, November 29


Alabama @ UCF

Game 507-508
November 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
58.576
UCF
69.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 11 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 6
135
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-6); Under

Georgia Southern @ Arizona

Game 509-510
November 29, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
57.680
Arizona
64.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 10
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+10); Over

Marist @ Dartmouth

Game 511-512
November 29, 2018 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
43.968
Dartmouth
45.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
(+2); Under

LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany

Game 513-514
November 29, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
46.766
Albany
51.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Albany
by 4 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Albany
Pick
145
Dunkel Pick:
Albany
Under

Austin Peay @ Troy

Game 515-516
November 29, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
48.345
Troy
50.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 2 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 4 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Austin Peay
(+4 1/2); Under

Belmont @ Samford

Game 517-518
November 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Belmont
57.828
Samford
57.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
Even
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Belmont
by 8 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(+8 1/2); Over

Northern Arizona @ Cal Davis

Game 519-520
November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
37.882
Cal Davis
53.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cal Davis
by 16
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cal Davis
by 8
139
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Davis
(-8); Over

Sacramento St @ Santa Barbara

Game 521-522
November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
43.399
Santa Barbara
60.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Barbara
by 16 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Santa Barbara
by 7 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(-7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, November 29


NY Islanders @ Boston

Game 51-52
November 29, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.272
Boston
12.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-160); Over

Minnesota @ Columbus

Game 53-54
November 29, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
12.086
Columbus
9.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+115); Over

NY Rangers @ Ottawa

Game 55-56
November 29, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.020
Ottawa
9.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+105); Under

Buffalo @ Tampa Bay

Game 59-60
November 29, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
9.648
Tampa Bay
12.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-150); Under

Chicago @ Winnipeg

Game 59-60
November 29, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.705
Winnipeg
9.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-210
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+180); Under

Arizona @ Nashville

Game 61-62
November 29, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.906
Nashville
11.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-240
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-240); Under

Los Angeles @ Edmonton

Game 63-64
November 29, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
8.384
Edmonton
11.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-150); Under

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 65-66
November 29, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.151
Vancouver
12.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-165
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+145); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (12-9-0-2, 26 pts.) at BOSTON (13-7-0-4, 30 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-15 ATS (+39.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-56 ATS (-30.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (14-8-0-2, 30 pts.) at COLUMBUS (14-8-0-2, 30 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 62-37 ATS (+21.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 175-160 ATS (+368.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 24-13 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-14 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (13-10-0-2, 28 pts.) at OTTAWA (10-12-0-3, 23 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 55-54 ATS (-1.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 18-7 ATS (+9.1 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 104-87 ATS (-8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 167-152 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
OTTAWA is 55-60 ATS (-52.3 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 8-5 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 8-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (17-6-0-2, 36 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (17-7-0-1, 35 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 83-42 ATS (+140.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-18 ATS (+18.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-7 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 11-2 ATS (+13.0 Units) in November games this season.
BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+26.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
BUFFALO is 294-266 ATS (+564.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
BUFFALO is 7-2 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUFFALO is 7-2 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (9-11-0-5, 23 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-8-0-2, 28 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 42-66 ATS (-36.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 17-36 ATS (+54.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 46-28 ATS (+13.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 33-12 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-4 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (10-11-0-2, 22 pts.) at NASHVILLE (17-7-0-1, 35 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (9-14-0-1, 19 pts.) at EDMONTON (11-11-0-2, 24 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 93-100 ATS (-34.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-23 ATS (-15.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-4 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 48-69 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 17-31 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 17-24 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-14 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (13-12-0-1, 27 pts.) at VANCOUVER (11-13-0-3, 25 pts.) - 11/29/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 78-51 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 39-24 ATS (+14.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 34-13 ATS (+16.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 4-1 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 4-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, November 29

Trend Report

New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
NY Islanders is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Bruins
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Minnesota is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing Columbus
Minnesota is 8-16-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Columbus is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Columbus's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Columbus is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
NY Rangers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
NY Rangers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
NY Rangers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
NY Rangers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
Buffalo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Tampa Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Buffalo
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nashville
Arizona is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games at home
Nashville is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
Nashville is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Chicago is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Winnipeg is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Chicago

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Los Angeles is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Edmonton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 7 games on the road
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Vancouver is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 15 games
Vancouver is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Vancouver's last 25 games at home
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Thursday. November 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (10 - 1) at DALLAS (6 - 5) - 11/29/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 13

Trend Report

Thursday. November 29

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13


Thursday, November 29

New Orleans @ Dallas

Game 301-302
November 29, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
148.034
Dallas
132.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 15 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-7); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 13

Thursday

Saints (10-1) @ Cowboys (6-5)— New Orleans won its last 10 games, covered its last nine; they are 5-0 on road, 2-0 as road favorites. Last four years, Saints are 6-1 as an AF- they led last four games by 14+ points at the half, they’ve run ball for 187 yards/game the last four weeks- great balance. Dallas won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-1 at home, losing 28-14 to Titans; Cowboys converted 21 of last 43 on 3rd down. Under Garrett, Dallas is 10-7-2 as home dogs. Saints won nine of last 11 series games; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Dallas, last of which was in ’14. Four of Saints’ last six games stayed under; three of last four Dallas games went over. NFC East underdogs are 11-6 vs spread this season as a non-divisional underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 13
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 29

NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS (FOX/NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Surging Saints have covered nine in a row and covered last six away from Superdome. Cowboys have won and covered last three and 3-1 “over” last four after extended “under” trend prior (13-3 previous 16).
Tech Edge: Saints and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Public action on Saints' odds might lead sharps to Cowboys in NFL Week 13
Patrick Everson

Week 13 of the NFL season kicks off with a big game in the Big D. We check in on the opening line and early action for that contest and three others, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, supervisor at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (+7)

New Orleans hasn’t lost since Week 1, peeling off 10 consecutive SU wins while cashing nine in a row. The Saints (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS) topped Atlanta 31-17 on Thanksgiving night, covering as 11.5-point home favorites.

Dallas is on a three-game upswing that has it tied with Washington atop the very mediocre NFC East. Per tradition, the Cowboys (6-5 SU and ATS) also played on Thanksgiving Day, beating the Redskins 31-23 as seven-point home faves.

“New Orleans is the best team in the NFL right now, but the Cowboys are picking up steam, too,” Wilkinson said. “We only favored New Orleans by a touchdown, since the game is in Dallas. The Cowboys have only lost one game at home all season.

“We’re still anticipating the public to bet the Saints. However, if the line jumps to 7.5, I think the sharp money will come in on the Cowboys.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Games to Watch - Week 13
by YouWager

With the Houston Texans picking up their 8th straight win on Monday night, the race for the bye in the AFC is beginning to tighten up dramatically. Over in the NFC, it’s beginning to look as though we are going to need to go down to the final week of the season to sort out all the playoff combatants, with the Saints and Rams looking as though they will be the teams securing the bye.

Still, there is a lot of football still to be played and we are going to focus on the games coming up in Week 13 of the NFL season. We have 4 games that we really like this week, so let’s take a quick look at those match-ups.

New Orleans Saints (-7½ -105) at Dallas Cowboys (+7½ -115)

A couple of weeks ago, we might well have viewed this match-up very differently. At that time, the Cowboys looked as they were on a road leading them in the opposition direction of the playoffs, but back to back wins has them on top in the NFC East. It’s a precarious lead, though, as just a game or so separates them from the chasing pack. The Cowboys will love having home field advantage for this one, but it may not mean much given that the Saints are now on a 10-game winning streak. Dallas will put up a fight, but they will eventually come out on the losing end.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TNF - Saints at Cowboys
Tony Mejia

New Orleans (-7.5, 52) at Dallas, 8:20 pm ET, FOX/NFLN

Dallas star Ezekiel Elliott has run for 394 yards over his last three games, more than any running back has amassed over a three-game stretch all season. As November began with a 28-14 home loss to Tennessee, Jerry Jones wasn’t smiling much when shown from his luxury box perch.

Odds lists forecasting who could replace head coach Jason Garrett included retreads like John Fox and Jack Del Rio as things looked bleak for him as they headed into Philadelphia as a 7.5-point underdog.

The Cowboys (6-5 SU, 5-4-2 ATS) have averaged 26.7 points in victories over the Eagles, Falcons and Redskins and have tied Washington atop the NFC East as it enters this prominent Thursday night matchup against the Saints (10-1 SU, 9-2). Dallas isn’t good enough that any of its remaining tests look like gimmes, but it will be opening its final five-game stretch run with the toughest opponent it will see and won’t be this large an underdog again the rest of the regular-season.

In that sense, even though they’re home, the Cowboys are playing with house money. The pressure of flaming out this season is gone since they’ll be alive for their division title regardless of what happens here. Dallas is playing its fifth game in 25 days, an extremely busy stretch that surpasses what the Saints will be finishing up – 5 games in 26 days.

Elliott has run for over 100 yards and a touchdown in three consecutive contests. If he manages to top the century mark and find the end zone against the Saints, he’ll join Emmitt Smith (’95) and DeMarco Murray (’14) atop the Dallas record books as the only Cowboys to do so in four straight. Elliott already leads the NFL in rushing yards per game (97.6) for the third straight season and is in the kind of groove that is difficult to interrupt.

If you’re going to lay the points and ride the Saints, be sure to check the injury report below for news on how Elliott might have less space to work with.

New Orleans has surrendered just 3.2 yards per attempt, the lowest rushing average allowed in the NFL through 12 weeks. The Saints defense also tops the league in allowing rushing yards per game (73.2) and are first in allowing first downs on only 14.6 percent of carries. No running back has topped the 70-yard mark against New Orleans, so the determining factor in this game will be how effective Elliott can be in keeping the Cowboys out of third-and-long sitautions. Breaking off a big play or three will also likely be required for Dallas to find itself in this come the fourth quarter given how effective the Saints have been on offense.

The Drew Brees-led attack leads the league in scoring (37.2 ppg) and has topped the 30-point mark in nine of 11 games, topping 40 in three of the last four. The Cowboys haven’t surrendered a 30-point game all season, the only NFL team that can say that. The 28 points that the Titans scored on Nov. 5 are the most Dallas has given up, having contained Carson Wentz and Matt Ryan in back-to-back weeks to help turn things around before beating the Colt McCoy-led ‘Skins last week.

This will be a significant step up in class from what Dallas faced while you were diving into turkey last Thursday, but the Cowboys have been surprisingly stingy and rank third in the league in points allowed (19.4). They’ll have to figure out ways to stop the Saints in the red zone to keep this game on the low-scoring side since it’s going to be difficult to stop Brees and this up-tempo offense between the 20s with so many weapons and space to work with. Read below for thoughts on this game’s total, which has been bet down from it’s opening figure.

Alvin Kamara ranks second in the NFL in touchdowns with 15, currently only behind L.A. Rams’ RB Todd Gurley, who has reached the end zone 17 times. This will be his first game ever against the Cowboys and Elliott, who has largely been lauded as the top running back in the game despite Kamara’s emergence, so don’t be surprised to see him have a huge game.

Kamara is built that way and has done his own damage in becoming the first back in league history with 1,000 rushing yards and 1,000 receiving yards through their first 20 games. Kamara failed to score a touchdown for just the fourth time this season in the Thanksgiving night win over the Falcons, snapping a run of five straight contests with a score. He’s caught a single pass in each of the last few games, so expect the Saints to try to feed him early and take a shot on a receptions prop. More thoughts on those are below as well.

New Orleans is favored on the road for the fourth time in 2018 and comes in a perfect 3-0 SU an ATS and have won those games by an average of 20.6 points. The Saints’ overall margin of victory comes in at two touchdowns. They’ve covered on the road in all five of their wins and are looking to deliver for backers for a 10th straight time.

The Cowboys have covered in three straight and are a home underdog for the first time. Dallas is 4-1 at home and won its last game catching points at home when it beat Washington 38-14 on Nov. 30 of last year. It’s looking to win four straight games for the first time since 2016.

Louisiana native Dak Prescott will be facing the Saints for the first time and will be looking to build on a brilliant collaboration with new top receiver Amari Cooper, finishing with his highest rating of 2018 after throwing for a season-high 289 yards and two touchdowns. Cooper hauled in both scores, doing the bulk of the work on 90-yard scamper that broke Washington’s spirit. He’s been hit-or-miss with the Cowboys but more consistent than he was with Oakland, where he had games when he completely disappeared. I’d expect the game plan to get him involved early in order to keep New Orleans from keying on Elliott.

The Cowboys have flourished on Thursday night of late, winning four of five straight up. New Orleans handled Atlanta last Thursday but were beaten in Atlanta on a Thursday night in 2017, scoring a season-low 17 points.

New Orleans Saints
Season win total: 9.5 (Over -140, Under +120)
Odds to win NFC South: OFF to OFF
Odds to win NFC: 10/11 to 4/5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 2/1 to 7/4

Dallas Cowboys
Season win total: 8.5 (Over +120, Under -140)
Odds to win NFC East: 2/3 to 4/9
Odds to win NFC: 30/1 to 20/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 60/1 to 40/1

LINE MOVEMENT

The Saints were a 6-to-5 favorite to win the NFC South according to the Westgate LV SuperBook when the season began and those odds are now off the board and have been for multiple weeks. Hopefully you're holding a Saints ticket. Dallas opened at 7-to-2 to win the NFC East, which is where it finds itself alongside Washington but is a heavier favorite than I would currently have them at.

The Cowboys paid +160 if you were of the opinion that they would make the playoffs, so that remains up in the air and those holding 'no' tickets at -190 are rooting hard for New Orleans tonight. The Saints look good for those who laid -180 on yes. The Saints were 7-to-1 to capture the NFC when the season began and the Cowboys were 15/1 when the season began. Dallas was 30/1 to win the Super Bowl and New Orleans was 14/1. Those Saints odds are far more lucrative than where they currently sit since emerging as the favorite to hoist the Super Bowl trophy.

As far as this matchup is concerned, the Saints were a 7.5-point favorite when the Westgate's early numbers were announced last week and opened there at most books. Westgate and Wynn opened at -7 and have done some adjusting over the course of the week. As of Thursday morning, you could find New Orleans -7 at many places and +7.5 is readily available if you're riding Dallas. Bovada has the only +8 I've seen.

New Orleans is in the -320 range on the money line. If you like the home 'dog outright, a payout on a Cowboys win will get you +270 to +290 depending on the shop.

INJURY CONCERNS

Dallas tackle Tyron Smith will be a game-time decision after not practicing at all this week due to a neck injury. Guards Zack Martin and Xavier Su’a-Filo are also game-time decisions after being limited in practice this week and are expected to play despite being listed as “questionable.” Adam Redmond has cleared concussion protocol and Connor Williams has overcome a knee injury, so Dallas will have some depth up front, but being able to plug in Smith is critical since he hasn’t allowed a sack and has really thrived at left tackle.

New Orleans has already ruled out its left tackle, Terron Armstead, who hasn’t allowed a sack this season either. He’ll be missing his third straight game, so the Saints have been able to adequately replace him through the efforts of veteran Jermon Bushrod, but this will be their first road game without Armstead. Rookie WR Tre’Quan Smith, who has been bothered by a toe injury, is good to go, as are guard Andrus Peat, TE Dan Arnold, DE Marcus Davenport and corner P.J. Williams. The Saints are in great shape, health-wise, for a team entering their 12th game of the season.

Outside of all the uncertainty up front, the Cowboys have also ruled out DE David Irving (ankle) and LB Sean Lee (hamstring), two of their top defenders. They’ve done a much better job replacing the invaluable Lee in the middle of their defense than they have in previous years thanks to third-year pro Jaylon Smith and rookie Leighton Vander Esch, so their matchups with Kamara and Mark Ingram should also determine a lot in this matchup. DT Taco Charlton is due back in the lineup after a three-game absence due to a shoulder injury, but fellow DT Maliek Collins remains questionable with a knee injury.

TOTAL TALK

The ‘over/under’ on this matchup opened at 54 ½ and the number has dropped to 52 ½ points as of Thursday morning.

Weekly “Total Talk” writer Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his thoughts on this matchup:

When looking at this matchup, the phrase ‘sharps versus squares’ can be used for both the total and the side. The betting public are pressing New Orleans and the ‘over’ while the professionals are backing the ‘under’ and Dallas as a home underdog.

It’s hard to argue against the Saints, winners in 10 straight and they’ve covered the spread in nine of those games. From a total perspective, New Orleans has watched the ‘under’ go 6-5 on the season and that includes a 3-2 mark on the road. In last week’s 31-17 Thanksgiving win against Atlanta, the Saints did their part to help the game go ‘over’ but the Falcons couldn’t keep up and they certainly left points off the board.

The New Orleans defense doesn’t warrant much recognition but the unit is allowing 12.7 PPG the last three weeks and their scoring numbers (22.4 PPG) have been better away from the Superdome. Dallas has been consistently sound on defense all season, allowing 19.4 PPG which is ranked third in the NFL.

What’s strange about the Cowboys is that they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 6-5 on the season but the ‘over’ owns a 4-1 mark at AT&T Stadium and that includes last week’s 31-23 outcome against Washington on the holiday, which was helped with a big second-half.

The Cowboys have only seen one total close in the fifties this season and that game went ‘under’ in a 22-19 road win over Atlanta in Week 11 . Including that result, Dallas has seen the ‘under’ go 2-0 in games versus the NFC South. Meanwhile, New Orleans is 2-1 to the ‘under’ in games against the NFC East and its outscored opponents 124-44 in those contests.

For what it’s worth, the ‘over’ is on a 4-1 run in this series but the last meeting in 2015 went ‘under’ (48 ½) as New Orleans captured a 26-20 home win over Dallas.

Including last week’s ‘under’ result between the Saints and Falcons, the ‘over’ has gone 8-4 in the NFL midweek matchup this season. I wasn’t surprised by the New Orleans-Atlanta result and that’s a trend we’ve seen from the Saints, who are now 4-0 to the ‘under’ in their last four games on Thursdays. Rather than toy with the game total, my lean would be to the Saints Team Total ‘under’ 30 ½.

RECENT MEETINGS (New Orleans 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS last 8; OVER 4-2)

10/4/15 New Orleans 26-20 OT vs. Dallas (NO -3, 48)
9/28/14 Dallas 38-17 vs. New Orleans (DAL +3, 53.5)
11/10/13 New Orleans 49-17 vs. Dallas (NO -5.5, 54)
12/23/12 New Orleans 34-31 OT at Dallas (NO +3, 54.5)
11/25/10 New Orleans 30-27 at Dallas (DAL +4.5, 49)
12/19/09 Dallas 24-17 at New Orleans (DAL +7.5, 53.5)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

Westgate Vegas opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 14 currently has the Saints listed as an 11-point road favorite at the Bucs. The Cowboys will be back home in another huge game as they host the defending champion Eagles for the second time. Dallas is an early 3.5-point favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Warriors at Raptors


The Toronto Raptors host the Golden State Warriors on Thursday in what could be an NBA Finals preview - if the teams are at full strength. The Warriors could get some of their major pieces back in the lineup on Thursday with Stephen Curry (groin) and Draymond Green (toe) both participating in practice.

Green and Curry are both expected to return sometime during the team's five-game road trip, and Curry has progressed to the point that he is participating in team scrimmages. "He’s just trying to get his rhythm and his conditioning down," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters of Curry, who is averaging 29.5 points while shooting 51.5 percent from the floor and 49.2 percent from beyond the arc. "He's doing well." The Raptors are looking like the best team in the NBA and extended the current winning streak to six straight by recovering from a 17-point deficit to earn a 122-114 win at Memphis on Tuesday. "We didn’t really bring our game with us, but we found it," Toronto coach Nick Nurse told reporters.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, NBCS Bay Area (Golden State), TSN (Toronto)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (15-7): Golden State is 5-5 in the 10 games that Curry has missed, though they managed to win the last three behind some strong performances from Kevin Durant. The former MVP collected 49 points, nine assists and six rebounds in a 116-110 win over Orlando on Monday that capped a four-game homestand. "Incredible," Kerr told reporters of Durant's performance. "The guy is just amazing. He's so talented. I think the last few games he just kind of knew he had to put us on his shoulders because of the four-game losing streak, the struggles."

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (18-4): Toronto leans on its depth and got 18 points on 6-of-6 shooting, including 3-of-3 from 3-point range, from reserve point guard Fred VanVleet in Tuesday's triumph. “Obviously, we all know I haven't been shooting the ball well, so to get back on track is always fun," VanVleet, who scored in double figures in each of the last four games after reaching the mark three times in the first 10 games this month, told reporters. The Raptors are third in the NBA in scoring at an average of 117 points and shot 60.9 percent from the floor in Tuesday's win.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Warriors PG Quinn Cook is 5-of-21 from the floor over the last two games.

2. Raptors SF Kawhi Leonard posted his third straight double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds on Tuesday.

3. Golden State took the last eight in the series, including four straight in Toronto.

PREDICTION: Raptors 123, Warriors 119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Pacers at Lakers


The Los Angeles Lakers suffered through a terrible performance at Denver on Tuesday, but the next chance to redeem themselves is right around the corner. The Lakers will try to bounce back and avoid a three-game slide when they host the Indiana Pacers on Thursday.

Los Angeles shot 39.1 percent from the floor and went 5-of-35 from 3-point range in the 117-85 setback at Denver, and veteran center Tyson Chandler felt the team let its shooting impact other areas of the game. "It can't be just about hitting shots and feeling good about yourself," Chandler told the Los Angeles Daily News. "It has to be all the time. Like, we got to be able to hit teams with waves. That's the only way we’re going to have real success and try to wear teams down. And if we're relying on our shots, we'll have long nights." The Pacers took the first two stops of a four-game road trip, blowing out the Utah Jazz on Monday before sneaking past the Phoenix Suns 109-104 the next night. "We weren’t sharp in this game, but you have to find a way to win games like that," Indiana coach Nate McMillan told reporters after beating the Suns. "I thought they gutted it out in that fourth quarter. We didn't even win that fourth quarter. We were able to get this one."

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, FS Indiana, Spectrum SportsNet (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE LAKERS (11-9): LeBron James scored a season-low 14 points on Tuesday but the most concerning part of the loss for Los Angeles was when point guard Lonzo Ball went down with a sprained ankle and had to be removed from the game. X-rays came back negative and Ball insisted that he will play on Thursday, but the Lakers are being cautious. "It hurts," coach Luke Walton told reporters of being without both Ball and fellow point guard Rajon Rondo (wrist). "We have other guys that we trust - Brandon (Ingram), LeBron that can play that for us - but they do other things for us, too. So, it's not ideal, but we'll get a better feel for what we're looking at probably after this flight and into tomorrow morning with (Ball)."

ABOUT THE PACERS (13-8): Indiana played its last five games without leading scorer Victor Oladipo (21.4 points) due to a knee injury, but is finding ways to score up and down the roster. The reserves took charge in Tuesday's win, with power forward Domantas Sabonis collecting 21 points and 16 rebounds and small forward Doug McDermott scoring 21 points while knocking down 5-of-7 from beyond the arc. "I think I'm just getting a little better rhythm, getting some screens, some pin-downs, just getting a little ball movement out there," McDermott told reporters. "It's really helping us out a lot. Domantas has done a really good job of setting the tone and finding me and screening me, which has been huge, because as a shooter I rely on big guys like him."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Pacers PG Darren Collison handed out 11 assists in each of the last two games.

2. Lakers SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is 4-of-20 from the floor over the last three games, including 2-of-13 from beyond the arc.

3. The home team took the last five meetings in the series.

PREDICTION: Lakers 110, Pacers 107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Clippers at Kings

Nov 29, 2018

The Los Angeles Clippers look to win in Sacramento for the 12th consecutive time when they visit the Kings on Thursday. Los Angeles has consistently outplayed the Kings in California's capital city since dropping a 116-101 decision on March 19, 2013.

The Clippers routed the Phoenix Suns 115-99 on Wednesday and have won 10 of their past 12 games to boast the top record in the Western Conference and third best in the NBA. "I don't know how to judge it," Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers said after the victory over the Suns. "Every game, it seems, is like a fight. We're going to (Sacramento) and they have had two or three days off. It is going to be another tough one." The Kings have dropped back-to-back games and seven of their last 11 after getting off to a strong 6-3 start. Shooting guard Buddy Hield has stepped up as the lead scoring option and has nine 20-point outings while averaging a team-best 18.8 points.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (14-6): Forward Danilo Gallinari recorded his first double-double of the season as he matched his season high of 28 points and collected 10 rebounds in the victory over the Suns. Gallinari is averaging 21.7 points and nine rebounds over the past three games and is thriving while healthy after being limited to 21 games last season in his first campaign with the club. Reserve guard Lou Williams scored 20 points against Phoenix to bounce back from his worst effort of the season -- four points on 2-of-13 shooting versus the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday.

ABOUT THE KINGS (10-10): Second-year point guard De'Aaron Fox is an emerging star with five double-doubles and six games of 10 or more assists during the first quarter of the campaign. Fox is averaging 17.5 points and 7.5 assists - his rookies averages were 11.6 and 4.4 - while also asserting himself as a leader and symbol of the franchise's improved product. "He's done a great job of taking it to the next level," Sacramento coach Dave Joerger told reporters. "Who knows where he can go or how good he can be, but he's given himself every chance by working really hard."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Clippers have outscored the Kings by an average of 15.2 points while winning the past five overall meetings.

2. Los Angeles C Marcin Gortat (back spasms) missed Wednesday's game and is doubtful to play against the Kings.

3. Sacramento SG Bogdan Bogdanovic scored 20 points in Sunday's loss to Utah for his seventh straight double-digit outing.

PREDICTION: Kings 113, Clippers 111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Islanders at Bruins

Nov 29, 2018

Although the Boston Bruins have been besieged by injuries this season, the team has gotten healthy at the expense of the New York Islanders of late. After outscoring the Islanders 13-4 during a three-game season sweep in 2017-18, the Bruins bid for their fifth straight win in the series on Thursday when the teams reconvene at TD Garden.

David Pastrnak scored twice in the second period of Boston's 4-2 setback in Toronto on Monday, but the 22-year-old Czech has struggled without star linemate Patrice Bergeron (rib, shoulder) -- with coach Bruce Cassidy replacing Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson with fellow rookie Colby Cave on the top line in that contest. Brad Marchand, the other member of the top line, notched two assists versus the Maple Leafs after mustering just one point in his previous six games. New York forward Valtteri Filppula has found his offensive game by scoring in his second straight contest during Monday's 4-1 setback to Washington, raising his point total to eight (two goals, six assists) in his last seven outings. "I'm just happy to see the puck go in," said the 34-year-old Finn, who has seven goals in 23 games after scoring 11 in 81 with Philadelphia last season.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Sportsnet1, Sportsnet East, Sportsnet Ontario, MSG-Plus (New York), NESN (Boston)

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (12-9-2): Sidelined since Nov. 13 with a lower-body ailment, Casey Cizikas was thrilled to hear that he would be activated off injured reserve and participate in Wednesday's practice. "I'm excited just to be out there with the guys right now. We worked hard these past couple of weeks, our trainers did a great job of getting me ready and making sure I'm good to go," said the 27-year-old Cizikas, who leads the team's centermen by winning 56.6 percent of the faceoffs. Josh Bailey (team-leading 21 points) has been held off the scoresheet in four of his last five outings to reside at 398 points in his career, although he set up two of New York's four goals versus Boston last season.

ABOUT THE BRUINS (13-7-4): While Brandon Carlo (shoulder) is expected to end an eight-game absence on Thursday, Boston's pronounced injury list added yet another name as the team announced that fellow defenseman Kevan Miller is expected to be sidelined five weeks after a CT scan revealed cartilage damage to his larynx. "He plays his heart out. That's two blocked shots that have put him out. We'll miss him," Cassidy said of the 31-year-old Miller. Forward Ryan Donato was recalled on Wednesday from Providence of the American Hockey League -- the former Hobey Baker Award finalist has nine points (five goals, four assists) in 10 games in the minors while scoring once in 11 appearances with Boston.

OVERTIME

1. New York G Thomas Greiss owns a 2-3-0 career mark versus Boston despite posting a slim 1.63 goals-against average and .950 save percentage.

2. The Bruins will retire Rick Middleton's No. 16 and raise the banner to the rafters at TD Garden prior to Thursday's game.

3. The Islanders have failed to convert on their last 11 power-play opportunities to fall to 4-for-40 in November.

PREDICTION: Islanders 4, Bruins 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Wild at Blue Jackets


An inability to finish has plagued the Minnesota Wild, who are showing an alarming inability to protect third-period leads on their home ice over the past 11 games. After frittering away a two-goal cushion in a 4-3 setback to Arizona on Tuesday, the Wild will look to get back on track when they visit the Columbus Blue Jackets on Thursday night.

Not only did Minnesota wilt against the Coyotes, but it was unable to hold a three-goal lead against Ottawa last week and gave up two third-period tallies in a 2-1 loss to Buffalo on Nov. 17. "We've got to mature as a group. It's the same stuff that's happening," Wild defenseman Jared Spurgeon said. "We've got to fix it now or we're not going to go anywhere." The Blue Jackets nearly squandered a pair of huge leads in Monday's 7-5 win at Detroit, having to hold off a comeback after scoring the first three goals and building a 5-1 edge. Columbus, which trails first-place Washington by one point in the Metropolitan Division, is 7-2-1 over a 10-game stretch that included six away contests.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FS North, FS Wisconsin (Minnesota), FS Ohio (Columbus)

ABOUT THE WILD (14-8-2): Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is mired in his first three-game winless drought of the season, all coming as a result of Minnesota's third-period collapses. "As far as plays and different situations in the game, it’s a strange, little three-game stretch here," Dubnyk said. "But the worst thing you can do is let it affect the things that have been going well here. It becomes a challenge. That’s part of sports, and you gotta work a little harder to make sure you don’t go changing anything.” Dubnyk owns a 10-6-3 record with a 2.35 goals-against average versus Columbus.

ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (14-8-2): The future of Artemi Panarin, who will be a free agent after the season, has been a hot-button topic in Columbus but the fourth-year forward helped eased the present by halting a 12-game goal drought with a three-point night at Detroit. Although he was struggling to find the net, Panarin has collected 10 assists over the past nine games after setting up a pair of goals by Pierre-Luc Dubois in Monday's victory. Dubois, who also had a three-point game Monday, has 12 goals and 22 points after recording 20 and 28 as a rookie last season.

OVERTIME

1. Blue Jackets F Cam Atkinson has points in eight straight games, although his seven-game goal streak was halted Monday.

2. Wild D Matt Dumba has a seven-game point streak, tying a franchise record for a blue-liner.

3. Columbus G Sergei Bobrovsky is 8-2-1 with a 1.78 goals-against average versus Minnesota.

PREDICTION: Blue Jackets 4, Wild 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Rangers at Senators


Despite a major roster overhaul starting at last season's trade deadline, the New York Rangers are among the league's biggest surprises and their improved play at home is a big reason why. Much like last season, though, New York has struggled away from Madison Square Garden and will try to change that when it opens a two-game road trip at the Ottawa Senators on Thursday night.

The Rangers have won only three of 11 (3-6-2) away from home but will look to beat Ottawa for the second time in four days after scoring three times in the third period of Monday's 4-2 victory. "It's a hard-working team," New York forward Kevin Hayes said. "If you are not working hard, you are not playing. That's coach's rules. We work hard every night and we are kind of building an identity here." The Senators rebounded from the loss to the Rangers with a 4-3 victory in Philadelphia on Tuesday, scoring three times in the final 20 minutes to halt a four-game slide in which they surrendered a staggering 23 goals. Although Ottawa also has labored on the road with three wins in 12 games (3-8-1), it has won seven straight at Canadian Tire Centre (playoffs included) versus New York.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, MSG (New York), RDS, TSN5 (Ottawa)

ABOUT THE RANGERS (13-10-2): Defenseman Marc Staal ended a goal-scoring drought of more than 13 months against Ottawa, but coach David Quinn was not interested in talking about his offensive production following the latest victory. “I just think he’s really had a good year,” Quinn said. "Defensively, I think he’s a calming influence on our team, in the locker room and on the ice. He works hard, he wants to get better. I’ve just liked his year, I really have.” Forward Vladislav Namestnikov is in the concussion protocol and will not be available Thursday.

ABOUT THE SENATORS (10-12-3): Rookie Brady Tkachuk, the No. 4 overall selection in this year's draft, has elevated his game over the past two weeks. Tkachuk capped a three-point night by scoring a pair of third-period goals to fuel Ottawa's comeback win over Philadelphia and also collected a pair of assists at New York to give him five tallies and eight points in the last six games. "He brings something a little different," Matt Duchene said of Tkachuk. "We don't have a power forward quite like him on this team. ... Obviously, you can see why he was such a high pick for us."

OVERTIME

1. Rangers C Mika Zibanejad has four goals and five points in four games against his former team, including one of each Monday.

2. Ottawa F Mark Stone has 12 points in 16 games against New York after scoring twice Monday.

3. Rangers F Chris Kreider has seven goals and five assists over the past 12 games.

PREDICTION: Senators 3, Rangers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Sabres at Lightning


The Buffalo Sabres go after a historic victory and attempt to make a major statement when they visit the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday night for an Atlantic Division showdown. The Sabres can break the franchise record for consecutive victories with their 11th in a row and win for the fourth time in five tries against the high-flying Lightning, including a 2-1 triumph in Buffalo on Nov. 13.

“We’re just trying to keep improving,” Sabres leading scorer Jeff Skinner told reporters Tuesday after his overtime goal beat San Jose 3-2. “Each night we’ve had guys step up and make big plays at key moment. There are still things we want to work on in our game. We have to continue to do that in this league. Teams are too good.” One thing Buffalo would like to do is make it easier on itself as the Sabres have won seven games after regulation during their longest streak since opening the 2006-07 season with 10 straight wins. The Lightning sit one point behind first-place Buffalo entering Wednesday after suffering a 3-1 loss to Anaheim on Tuesday after opening their five-game homestand with three straight victories. Tampa Bay had a 35-22 edge in shots and drew a 5-on-3 power play in the third period, but came up short as coach Jon Cooper told reporters: “Usually in a game like that, we get three or four. Tip my hat to the goalie (Ryan Miller).”

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, MSG Buffalo, FS Sun (Tampa Bay)

ABOUT THE SABRES (17-6-2): Skinner’s goal Tuesday was his fifth during a four-game streak and 19th overall to tie for the league lead entering Wednesday’s schedule while the first-year Buffalo forward owns a team-best plus-15 rating. Captain Jack Eichel saw his six-game point streak come to an end against San Jose, but leads the team in points with 28 - one better than Skinner. Rasmus Ristolainen scored Tuesday and has two goals to go along with six assists during Buffalo’s win streak while fellow defenseman Rasmus Dahlin, a 18-year-old rookie, is a plus-9 over the last 10 games.

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (17-7-1): Right wing Nikita Kucherov set up the only tally in Tuesday’s loss to extend his point streak to seven games (two goals, 13 assists) while linemate Brayden Point scored his ninth goal in seven games and team-best 18th overall. The line of J.T. Miller, captain Steven Stamkos and Yanni Gourde has been kept off the scoresheet in three straight games after combining for eight points in the win over Florida to open the homestand. Defenseman Anton Stralman (upper body) is expected out at least another week, but left wing Ondrej Palat (lower body) is close to a return.

OVERTIME

1. The Lightning recalled G Connor Ingram and reassigned G Eddie Pasquale to Syracuse of the American Hockey League on Wednesday.

2. Buffalo G Carter Hutton has won eight straight decisions, allowing two goals or fewer six times in that stretch.

3. Tampa Bay D Ryan McDonagh was tied for the league lead with a plus-17 rating entering Wednesday.

PREDICTION: Lightning 4, Sabres 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Coyotes at Predators

Nov 29, 2018

The Nashville Predators look to rebound after seeing their six-game home winning streak come to a halt when they host the Arizona Coyotes on Thursday. The Predators answered a 2-1 setback at Arizona on Nov. 15 by winning four of their next five before dropping a 3-2 decision versus Colorado on Tuesday.

Filip Forsberg recorded his seventh point in eight games with an assist on Kevin Fiala's goal midway into the second period against to the Avalanche, but Nashville failed to solve Semyon Varlamov again despite unleashing 38 shots on goal. "We've won games we haven't played well and we've lost games we could have won. That kind of cancels each other out," the 24-year-old Forsberg said. "We know we can play better. At the same time, it’s a long run." Arizona knows that all too well, as it answered a season-best five-game winning streak by losing eight of 10 before rallying from a two-goal deficit in the third period for a 4-3 win at Minnesota on Tuesday. "It was unbelievable actually how the team rallied together there," said rookie Adin Hill, who relieved an injured Antti Raanta and stopped all five shots he faced in the third period.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FS Arizona, TVAS, FS Tennessee (Nashville)

ABOUT THE COYOTES (10-11-2): The injury bug has been a prevalent one for Raanta, who has appeared in just 12 of the team's 23 games this season due to a lower-body ailment. "We're still evaluating 'Rants.' He had to go get looked at today. Everything's kind of on hold," coach Rick Tocchet said of the 29-year-old Finn. Hunter Miska was recalled as a precaution, although he could find himself backing up Hill on Thursday with the two combining for seven NHL appearances.

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (17-7-1): Reigning Vezina Trophy winner Pekka Rinne yielded two goals on 23 shots in a losing effort earlier this month versus Arizona, against which he owns an 18-8-2 mark with six shutouts and a .928 save percentage in 29 career encounters. Defenseman Roman Josi set up a goal versus the Coyotes and did the same against Colorado to give him seven points -- all assists -- in his last seven games. Fiala scored versus the Avalanche to extend his point streak to three games while fellow forward Ryan Hartman tallied for the second time in that stretch.

OVERTIME

1. Arizona RW Josh Archibald returned from a two-game suspension to record his first career three-point performance (two goals, one assist) in his last outing.

2. Nashville has yielded three power-play goals in the last two contests after preventing being scored upon while short-handed in its previous five games.

3. Coyotes D Oliver Ekman-Larsson (team-leading 10 assists) has been held off the scoresheet in each of his last five contests.

PREDICTION: Predators 5, Coyotes 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Blackhawks at Jets


The Chicago Blackhawks are just 3-5-2 in the first 10 games since Jeremy Colliton took over for Joel Quenneville as coach and they have dropped three of the past four. Chicago heads to Winnipeg on Thursday to take on the Jets, one of the top offenses in the league, and Colliton recognizes his team has to play better defense after giving up eight goals in a blowout loss at home to Vegas on Tuesday.

“If you don’t defend hard enough, then you don’t give yourself a chance to win,” Colliton told reporters after Tuesday’s game, in which the Blackhawks allowed three goals in each of the opening two periods of an 8-3 loss. Winnipeg continued its frustrating trend Tuesday of falling apart in the third period of games, blowing a one-goal lead in a 4-3 loss to Pittsburgh. “Gave up a tight one, got a bad break on one and it’s in the back of the net,” Jets coach Paul Maurice told the media after Winnipeg dropped to 7-3-2 when leading after two periods. Forward Patrik Laine, who scored 11 goals in four games last week, was held scoreless for the first time since Nov. 16.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCS Chicago, TSN3 (Winnipeg)

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (9-11-5): Center Dylan Strome - acquired with forward Brendan Perlini on Sunday from Arizona - finished with a goal and an assist in his Chicago debut. Gustav Forsling scored his first goal of the season Tuesday while fellow defenseman Henri Jokiharju was inactive and did not practice Wednesday due to illness. Chicago has been outscored 11-1 in the first period during its past four games, and is 28th in the league in both goals allowed per game (3.56) and shots allowed per contest (33.5).

ABOUT THE JETS (13-8-2): Center Mark Scheifele scored twice Tuesday and forward Brandon Tanev added his third goal in the past four games, but again the Jets could not hold the early advantage. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has surrendered seven goals in losing his past two starts, five of the tallies coming in the final period. Forward Blake Wheeler recorded two assists against Pittsburgh and began Wednesday third in the NHL with 25.

OVERTIME

1. Laine is one goal away from becoming the fourth-youngest player in NHL history (20 years, 224 days old on Thursday) to reach 100 career goals.

2. The Blackhawks entered Wednesday last in the NHL on the power play (12.3 percent).

3. Chicago won the season series 3-2 last season, holding the Jets to 14 goals in five games.

PREDICTION: Jets 4, Blackhawks 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Kings at Oilers

Nov 29, 2018

The Los Angeles Kings will look to defeat the Edmonton Oilers for the second time this week and push their winning streak to a season-high three games on Thursday when the Pacific Division rivals meet at Rogers Place. Jonathan Quick, who was a spectator in Tuesday's 2-1 overtime victory versus Vancouver, is expected to get the nod and end a 12-game absence due to a lower-body injury.

While rookie Cal Petersen has filled in admirably, Quick is a 2012 Conn Smythe Trophy winner and a two-time Vezina Trophy finalist that has scribbled his name next to a majority of the franchise's goaltending records. This season hasn't gone according to plan for the 32-year-old Quick, who owns an 0-3-1 mark with a 4.55 goals-against average and .845 save percentage in four games. Edmonton has been pushing itself to the limit in its last four contests, venturing past regulation for the third time in that span on Tuesday by opening a three-game homestand with a 1-0 overtime win versus Dallas. Oscar Klefbom converted a 2-on-1 rush with Leon Draisaitl in overtime to give new coach Ken Hitchcock his first coaching victory with the Oilers in his native Edmonton.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, FS West (Los Angeles), Sportsnet West (Edmonton)

ABOUT THE KINGS (9-14-1): Dustin Brown followed up his fifth career hat trick in Los Angeles' 5-2 win over Edmonton on Sunday by setting up a goal and scoring 53 seconds into overtime versus Vancouver. Like Brown, captain Anze Kopitar registered a three-point performance against the Oilers (one goal, two assists) before pushing his point total to five (one goal, four assists) in the last two contests after setting up both goals against the Canucks. Defenseman Drew Doughty was held off the scoresheet versus Vancouver, two days after he pushed his point streak to four games by registering his team-leading 12th assist against the Oilers.

ABOUT THE OILERS (11-11-2): Former Hart Trophy winner Connor McDavid is known for the sizzling speed and creativity on the ice, but that style of play is taking a backseat with a new bench boss in town. "I think we're getting the message how (Hitchcock) wants us to play. It's not pretty hockey. It's a grind, it's defensive but it's effective," the 21-year-old McDavid said. The NHL scoring leader in each of the last two seasons, McDavid is still providing offense -- albeit to the tune of five points (one goal, four assists) during the 2-1-1 stretch under Hitchcock.

OVERTIME

1. While Edmonton's Cam Talbot has dropped six straight decisions, fellow G Mikko Koskinen turned aside all 28 shots he faced against the Stars to improve to 3-1-1 in his last five outings.

2. Los Angeles C Alex Iafallo, who scored a goal in his last outing, will skate in his 100th career game on Thursday.

3. The Oilers have dropped four of five encounters (1-3-1) versus Pacific Division representatives.

PREDICTION: Oilers 4, Kings 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Golden Knights at Canucks


The Vegas Golden Knights have shaken off their early-season malaise and are looking more like the team that barnstormed its way to the Stanley Cup Finals in the franchise's inaugural season. The surging Golden Knights look to make it five consecutive victories when they continue a three-game road trip at the Vancouver Canucks on Thursday night.

Vegas moved above the NHL's version of .500 for the first time this season following Tuesday's 8-3 romp in Chicago and has piled up 19 goals during the four-game winning streak. "I think we're getting better and better," Golden Knights forward Cody Eakin said. "We're hoping that we can maintain this level of play, the play that's allowed us to have success and wins moving forward." The Canucks were among the NHL's biggest surprises over the first five weeks, but they have come back to the pack with one win in the last 10 games (1-7-2). Vancouver was swept in the four-game season series by Vegas in 2017-18 but came away with a 3-2 shootout victory on the road in this season's first meeting on Oct. 24.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, AT&T-Sportsnet-Rocky Mountain (Las Vegas), Sportsnet Pacific (Vancouver)

ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (13-12-1): Despite a season-high goal total on Tuesday, goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has sparked Vegas' turnaround by winning his last five starts. Fleury, named the league's Second Star of the Week after posting a pair of shutouts among three wins, has surrendered five goals over the past four games. ""My teammates have been helping a lot," Fleury said. "The forwards are coming back and cutting those cross-ice passes. The defense lets me see the puck and they take the rebounds away. Just little things have been making a difference defensively."

ABOUT THE CANUCKS (11-13-3): Vancouver halted an eight-game slide at Pacific Division cellar dweller Los Angeles on Saturday, but its offensive woes continued in a 2-1 overtime loss to the visiting Kings in Tuesday's rematch. The one positive for the Canucks was the return of forward Brock Boeser, a 29-goal scorer as a rookie last season who had missed the previous 11 games due to a groin injury. Rookie center Elias Pettersson has scored in three of the last six contests to boost his team-high total to 13 but he has only one assist over the past 10 games.

OVERTIME

1. Golden Knights F Alex Tuch has a four-game point streak, including a goal and an assist in three straight.

2. Canucks G Jacob Markstrom beat Vegas earlier this season after allowing 12 goals in three meetings in 2017-18.

3. Vegas F Max Pacioretty has six goals and three assists during a six-game point streak.

PREDICTION: Golden Knights 4, Canucks 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Nov 29 '18, 7:00 PM in 49m
NCAA-B | Alabama vs UCF
Play on: Alabama +5 -103 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Alabama +5
The Key: Alabama has the superior talent here over UCF and I’m a little surprised they are catching points, let alone 5 points. UCF doesn’t have any real good wins against quality opponents yet. Alabama will definitely be the most talented team they have faced as both teams enter 5-1 on the season. Alabama is 11-3 ATS when failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the past 3 seasons. Take Alabama.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Nov 29 '18, 7:00 PM in 49m
NCAA-B | Alabama vs UCF
Play on: UCF -5½ -110 at betonline

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (UCF -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with UCF covering at home against Alabama. I think a lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder why the Knights are getting so much respect against a Crimson Tide team that is 5-1. It's because this UCF team is the real deal and I think it's only a matter of time before they are ranked in the Top 25. The Knights won 19 games last year, despite their 3 best players (Aubrey Dawkins, Tacko Fall, and B.J. Taylor) all missing significant time. All 3 are healthy for the time being and arguably the best trio in the AAC. Don't be fooled by Alabama's win over Wichita State, as the Shockers lost basically their entire team from last year and are likely going to be in rebuilding mode for at least this season. This is hands down the best team the Tide have faced and it's also Alabama's first true road game. I fully expect the Knights to take control of this game early and win here by double-digits. Give me UCF -5.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Nov 29 '18, 7:05 PM in 54m
NHL | Islanders vs Bruins
Play on: Islanders +157 at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Islanders +157

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Nov 29 '18, 7:05 PM in 54m
NHL | Wild vs Blue Jackets
Play on: Blue Jackets -120 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the Col Blue Jackets at 7:05 ET.
The Minnesota Wild are 14-8-2 and find themselves third in the Western Conference's Central Division with 30 points. The Wild coughed up a two-goal lead in a 4-3 home loss to the Coyotes on Tuesday
and now visit Columbus, which sports an identical 14-8-2 record. The Blue Jackets' 30 points leave them just one point shy of the Metropolitan-leading Washington Caps The Blue Jackets nearly squandered a pair of huge leads in Monday's 7-5 win at Detroit, having to hold off a comeback after scoring the first three goals and building a 5-1 edge.
The Wild were clearly frustrated with their effort after giving up three consecutive goals against Arizona, when they appeared to be in good position to win. The Wild players were clearly frustrated with their effort after giving up three consecutive goals when they appeared to be in good position to win. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk (9-6-2, 2.57 GAA & .916 SP) is mired in his first three-game winless drought of the season, all coming as a result of Minnesota's third-period collapses. Dubnyk owns a 10-6-3 record with a 2.35 GAA versus Columbus.
As for the Blue Jackets, center Pierre-Luc Dubois scored early in the third period on Monday, after the Red Wings had closed within one goal to make it 6-4. Defenseman Seth Jones added an empty-netter to seal the win. The future of Artemi Panarin, who will be a free agent after the season, has been a hot-button topic in Columbus but he halted a 12-game goal drought with a three-point night on Monday. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 7-3-0 in his last 10 games after getting off to a slow start this season, managed to pick up the victory in Detroit with 27 saves despite giving up five goals.
Columbus is at home for this game and enters 7-2-1 over a 10-game stretch that included six away contests. Sergei Bobrovsky is 8-2-1 with a 1.78 GAA versus Minnesota and I'll back the home team in this one.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Nov 29 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Sabres vs Lightning
Play on: Sabres +175 at Bovada

Free Play on Sabres +175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler Nov 29 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Coyotes vs Predators
Play on: Predators -225 at betonline

NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road dogs off of 2 or more straight wins in which they put up just 3 goals or less are 175-328 -92.87 units SU (Play on Predators today)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Nov 29 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Raptors
Play on: OVER 226 -110

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Golden State Warriors are back to their winning ways despite remaining shorthanded, coming off three straight victories and they've averaged 119.3 ppg during that stretch. Their defense has been far from flawless though, and that could spell big trouble tonight.
Here the Warriors will face a Toronto team which does not only own the best record in the league, it is also one of the top scoring ones averaging 117.0 ppg. It has scored 122 points or more in four straight games but has also given up 107 points o more in each of those contests.
Over is 15-7 in games involving the Raptors this season and over is 5-1 in the last six meetings with the Warriors.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Nov 29 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Georgia Southern vs Arizona
Play on: Arizona -9 -110 at BMaker

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Arizona -9
The Arizona Wildcats come in highly motivated for a victory tonight. They opened 4-0 with a big win over Iowa State, but then lost their final two games of the tournament with losses to two of the best teams in the country in Gonzaga and Auburn.
Obviously, those aren’t bad losses. And they led Gonzaga by double-digits at one point. And now they’ve had over a week off since their loss to Auburn, so they are chomping at the bit to get back on the court and get back in the win column here against Georgia Southern.
This Georgia Southern team is overvalued now after a 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS start to the season. But they have’t beaten anyone of any significance. And now the Eagles will be playing their first true road game of the season. Plus, they’ll be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after a home loss to East Tennessee State on Tuesday.
The Wildcats have the rest, talent and motivational edge in this one that should have them winning by double-digits. Lay the points. Bet Arizona Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Clippers -2½ -110 at sportsbook

Free Play on Clippers -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: Pacers +5½ -110 at sportsbook

FREE PLAY on Pacers +5½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Clippers -2½ -110 at sportsbook

1* on Clippers -2½ -110

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Jimmy Boyd Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: UNDER 217 -113

1* Free Pick on Pacers/Lakers UNDER
The books have set the total way too high for Thursday's NBA action that has Lakers hosting the Pacers. Both teams should bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Everyone wants to play well against LeBron and the Pacers have started out their west coast swing with back-to-back wins over Utah and Phoenix. Expect them to bring it tonight.
As for the Lakers, they are going to show up and give it their all to make sure they don't lose three in a row. It's also worth noting that while LA comes in allowing 112.9 ppg, they have been much better on that side of the ball this month. They are giving up just 102 ppg over their last 5 and will be catching the Pacers without their top playmaker in Victor Oladipo.
We know the Lakers will be without Raton Rondo for at least a couple more weeks, but they could also be without Lonzo Ball, who hurt his ankle in their last game. If Ball doesn't go, LA will have to play without a true point guard and that should slow the offense down.
UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Lakers last 16 games overall, 6-1-1 in their last 8 at home and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 off a straight up loss. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Pacers last 29 off a SU win. Take the UNDER!

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John Martin Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Kings +2½ -110 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings +2.5
The Kings have a big edge in rest and preparation over the Clippers tonight that has me liking them as home underdogs in this matchup. The Clippers will be playing for a second consecutive night here after beating the Suns at home last night. The Kings have had the last three days off after last playing the Jazz at home on Sunday. The Kings are 5-4 at home this year and the Clippers are 5-5 on the road. The Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Sacramento is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on at least three days’ rest. The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Give me the Kings.

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Doug Upstone Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: UNDER 219½ -110

The total on this encounter jumped from 215.5 to 219.5. Among the reasons is the Lakers are having troubles guarding a basic pick and roll against an experienced guard and center. It has been either player is scoring or when the Lakers go to double team, they are kicking the ball out to an open shooter. Indiana has center Myles Turner and point guard Darren Collison to run this. However, L.A. has point guard injuries and the Pacers are 17-5 UNDER versus teams scoring 110+ points or game.

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John Ryan Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: Pacers +5 -105 at 5Dimes

Like the Saints, John Ryan's proven algorithm has won 9 of the last 10 TEN-STAR games and has identified a ROCK SOLID winner in Thursday night action. His extensive research report shows you specific matchups that will be immensely important and numerous predictive data metrics with one sporting a 45-5 record for 90% winners and a database query that has gone 45-8 for 85% winners.
John Ryan Sports Research Report

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OverandUnder NHL ARIZONA COYOTES/NASHVILLE PREDATORS o5.5

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Mikey Sports NBA GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +8.5 ‑105

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Golden Lock Sports NHL EDMONTON OILERS ‑150

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R and R Totals NBA INDIANA PACERS/LOS ANGELES LAKERS o216

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DONNY ACTION NBA INDIANA PACERS/LOS ANGELES LAKERS u219

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Tommy King Wins NCAA Basketball CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS ‑5.5

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Vegas Pro Insiders Daily NBA INDIANA PACERS/LOS ANGELES LAKERS u219.5

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Lasvegasmoneymachine NHL VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ‑155

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Monster Sports Picks NHL VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ‑155

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Brand X Sports NFL NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ‑6.5 ‑140

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Team Underground NHL VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ‑160

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Mike Wynn

Free Play: Free Troy -4½ Over Austin Peay

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Free play from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, November 29, 2018

11/29 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET

CB (507) ALABAMA VS (508) CENTRAL FLORIDA

Take: (508) CENTRAL FLORIDA

Reason: Your free play for Thursday, November 29, 2018 is in the College basketball scheduled contest between Alabama and Central Florida. Your free play is on Central Florida.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: INDIANA/LA LAKERS UNDER the total of 215½

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Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection: Georgia Southern/Arizona under 152 1/2

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Jeff Allen

Thursday's Free Selection is on the Vancouver Canucks

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Roz Wins

Roz's Thursday, November 29, 2018, Free Pick



11/29 07:35 PM NBA (503) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (504) SACRAMENTO KINGS

Take : Clippers

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Atlantic Sports

Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Boston Bruins - 180

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#1 Sports

Thursday's Free Selection: Santa Barbara Gauchos - 7 1/2

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -7½ over Sacramento St

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Thursday, November 29, 2018

11/29 05:20 PM NFL (301) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS (302) DALLAS COWBOYS

Take : UNDER

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Thursday Free Selection Is

Arizona -9½

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Thursday: Take ALABAMA/CENTRAL FLORIDA OVER the total of 135

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Thursday

Arizona -10 College BB

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Hawkeye Sports

Thursday's Free Pick: Buffalo Sabres + 160

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Troy -4' College BB

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Arthur Ralph

FREE play THURS: Central FLA -6 CBB

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The Last Call

Thursday's Free Play: UAB Blazers - 16

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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 11/29 NBA INDIANA UNDER 216 1/2

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Thursday: Take LA CLIPPERS/SACRAMENTO UNDER the total of 232

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Thursday: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks + 8

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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR THURSDAY - Indiana/LA Lakers UNDER 215½

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John Anthony Sports

Thursday's Free Selection: Winnipeg Jets - 215