Sunday 12-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (327) Los Angeles Chargers at (328) Denver Broncos
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 30, 2018 4PM EST
Play: Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 (-108)

3% Take the LA Chargers (#327)

It’s not hard to make a case for betting against lifeless teams in a meaningless (for them) Week 17 tilt. Denver’s season has fallen into the abyss over the past month. The Broncos have lost three straight to lesser foes – the Raiders, 49ers and Browns. They’re playing on a short week, off a demoralizing loss at Oakland on Monday Night, a true ‘no-show’ game. It’s looking increasingly likely that head coach Vance Joseph won’t be back next year. Their lone offensive bright spot, rookie RB Philip Lindsay isn’t going to suit up this week, dealing with a wrist injury. That’s particularly bad news considering their UGLY looking injury report on both sides of the football – Denver won’t have playmakers available on either side of the football.

The Chargers haven’t forgotten Denver’s last second win in LA last month -- a game the Broncos flat out stole -- outgained by more than 150 yards. Keenan Allen after that loss: "Penalties. Turnovers. Not making plays at the end of the game." Following that loss, LA won four straight – including outright upsets on the road at KC and Pittsburgh – until last week; a three turnover, eight penalty debacle at home against the Ravens. We’ve seen LA bounce back before, we know they can win on the road, they’re in a meaningful revenge spot and their opponent has flat out quit on their coach and their season. Lay the points! Take the Chargers.

Line Parameter: 3% at -6.5 or lower, 2% at -7, no action at -7.5 or higher

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 16
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 16 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 12-3
Against the Spread 5-8-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 1-12-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-8-1

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 154-82-2
Against the Spread 104-124-10

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 143-93-2
Against the Spread 112-116-10

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 110-126-2

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Ravens (+4, ML +180) at Chargers, 22-10
Jaguars (+3, ML +150) at Dolphins, 17-7

The largest favorite to cover
Rams (-14) at Cardinals, 31-9
Vikings (-6.5) at Lions, 27-9
Bears (-3.5) at 49ers, 14-9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Sunday, December 30

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DALLAS (9 - 6) at NY GIANTS (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (3 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 4) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (6 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 2) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (4 - 11) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 5) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 7) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 10) at GREEN BAY (6 - 8 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 192-138 ATS (+40.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 10) at HOUSTON (10 - 5) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (7 - 7 - 1) at BALTIMORE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (6 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (7 - 8) at BUFFALO (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 6) at TENNESSEE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (6 - 9) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 6 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (11 - 4) at MINNESOTA (8 - 6 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (11 - 4) at DENVER (6 - 8) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (3 - 12) at SEATTLE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 11) at LA RAMS (12 - 3) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LA RAMS is 190-239 ATS (-72.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 190-239 ATS (-72.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-102 ATS (-46.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 17

Trend Report

Sunday, December 30

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
New Orleans is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Jacksonville is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Dallas's last 24 games
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games on the road
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NY Giants is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants's last 19 games at home
NY Giants is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games
New England is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games at home
New England is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 13 games
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Oakland is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oakland's last 21 games
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Arizona's last 25 games on the road
Arizona is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Rams is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
LA Rams is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 6-14-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 9 games
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 12 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Denver is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Denver is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games when playing LA Chargers
Denver is 3-8-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games on the road
Indianapolis is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 17

Cowboys (9-6) @ Giants (5-10)— Cowboys clinched NFC East, have home playoff game next week, so this is meaningless for them. Dallas won three of its last four games; they’re 2-5 on road this year- they’re 5-4 vs spread as underdogs this year. Giants are 4-3 in last seven games, scoring 27+ points in five of those games; they were outscored 47-16 in second half of last three games. NY is 1-0-1 as a favorite this season. Dallas won 8 of last 10 series games, winning four of last six series games played here; Cowboys won first meeting 20-13 in Week 2, outrushing Giants 132-35. Three of last four Dallas games stayed under total; six of last seven Giant games went over.

Panthers (6-9) @ Saints (13-2)— Saints clinched #1 seed in NFC; this game means nothing to them. New Orleans (-6) nipped Carolina 12-9 in Monday night slugfest two weeks ago, but Newton is out now and backup Heinecke (left elbow) was banged up. Rookie Allen (4-4 for 38 yards LW) would get nod if Heinecke can’t go. Panthers lost last seven games (1-6 vs spread), dropping last four road tilts (they were favored in three of those). Saints don’t need this game, so proceed with caution; NO covered four of its last five home games. Last four Carolina games stayed under the total; Panthers stayed under their team total six of last seven weeks. Under is 5-1 in Saints’ last six games.

Jets (4-11) @ Patriots (10-5)— New England needs win here to clinch #2 seed and bye next week in playoffs. Patriots ran ball for 215 yards in 27-13 (-9.5) win at Swamp Stadium in Week 12; NE had 10 plays of 20+ yards, gained 498 yards for game. Patriots are 13-2 in last 15 series games, winning last seven played here (41-3/26-6 last two years). Jets lost eight of their nine games; they’re 3-4 vs spread on road this year, two of five road losses by more than 7 points. Patriots split their last six games (2-4 vs spread); with WR Gordon gone, NE ran ball for 273 yards vs Buffalo LW. NE is 5-2 as home favorites this year, with five wins by 12+ points. Seven of last eight Patriot games stayed under total; last four Jet games went over.

Eagles (8-7) @ Redskins (7-8)— Eagles need win here and Viking loss to make playoffs; they beat Washington 28-13 (-6.5) four weeks ago, converting 7-13 on 3rd down, outgaining Skins 436-235. Philly won last three series games, by 13-10-15 points, after losing previous five in series- they lost three of last four visits here. Foles threw for 471 yards LW in 32-30 win over Houston; they won four of last five games, scoring 30-32 points vs Rams/Texans last couple games. Eagles are 2-4 in true road games, scoring 34-30 points in the wins; they’re 2-7 when they score less than 25 points. Redskins are playing their #4 QB; they lost five of last six games. Four of last five Philly games went over total; four of last six Redskin games also went over.

Lions (5-10) @ Packers (6-8-1)— Detroit led 24-0 at half, held on for 31-23 home win over Green Bay in Week 5; Packers threw for 423 yards, outgained Lions 521-264, but lost three fumbles (-3 in turnovers). Lions are 6-4 in last ten series games after a 1-15 skid; they won two of last three visits here, after an 0-24 drought. Lions lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-5 SU on road, 3-2 as road underdogs- Detroit got shut out in second half of last two games. Green Bay is 4-0-1 this season when they score 29+ points, 2-8 when they don’t; Packers are 5-1-1 at home this year, 3-3 as home favorite. Eight of last nine Detroit games, six of last nine Packer games stayed under the total.

Jaguars (5-10) @ Texans (10-5)— Houston needs win here and Patriot loss to jump up to #2 seed and first round bye. Texans (+5) won 20-7 at Jacksonville in Week 7; they had 16-yard edge in field position, in game where yardage was only 272-259, Texans. Houston is 12-4 in last 16 series games; Jaguars lost three of last four visits here. In their last four games, Jaguars scored two TD’s on 38 drives; they scored TD on special teams/defense in last two games. Jags are 2-5 in true road games, 1-2-1 as road underdogs. Houston won 10 of last 12 games with losses by total of five points; Texans are 3-4 vs spread as home favorites this season. Three of last four Jax games stayed under total; four of last six Houston games went over.

Browns (7-7-1) @ Ravens (9-6)— Ravens need win here to clinch AFC North and get home game in playoffs next week. Baltimore is 18-3 in last 21 series games, but lost 12-9 in OT at Cleveland in Week 5; Ravens didn’t score TD in game, kicking two FG’s in three trips to red zone. That was Mayfield’s first win as NFL starter- he threw for 304 yards. Cleveland has chance for winning season; they’ve won five of last six games, as Williams auditions for HC job. Browns are 3-3-1 as road underdogs this year. Ravens won five of last six games, covering last five; they’re 4-3 as a home favorite. Under is 3-0-1 in last four Cleveland games, 3-1 in Ravens’ last four. Under is 4-0-2 in Browns’ opponents’ total the last six games.

Falcons (6-9) @ Buccaneers (5-10)— Atlanta (-3.5) won first meeting 34-29 in Week 6, in game where Bucs outgained them 512-416. Falcons won last four series games; they’re 4-2 in last six visits to Tampa Bay. Average total in last five series games is 57.8. Atlanta won its last couple games, allowing 14-10 points; they’re 2-5 SU on road, 1-3 as road underdogs. Falcons are 4-1 when they allow 20 or less points, 2-8 when they allow more. Tampa Bay lost its last three games; they’re -22 in turnovers in their 10 losses, +4 in their wins. Bucs are 4-3 at home this year. 1-1-1 as home favorites- they were outscored 45-10 in second half of last three games. Five of last seven Falcon games stayed under total;

Dolphins (7-8) @ Bills (5-10)— Bills (+4.5) lost 21-17 at Miami four weeks ago, despite running ball for 198 yards and outgaining Dolphins 415-175. Buffalo is still 7-4 in last 11 series games, with four of last five decided by 6 or fewer points. Bills won five of last six series games played here. Miami is 4-8 in its last dozen games after a 3-0 start; Dolphins lost their last six road games, are 2-5 as road underdogs. In their last four games, Miami converted 7-37 third down plays. Buffalo lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-4 at home this year, 0-2 as home favorites. Bills are 1-10 when they allow more than 14 points. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Miami games, 3-1 in Buffalo’s last four.

Bengals (6-9) @ Steelers (8-6-1)— Pitt needs win here and a Cleveland upset over the Ravens to make the playoffs. Steelers won 28-21 (+2.5) at Cincinnati in Week 6, outgaining Bengals 481-275. Cincy lost last seven series games, losing 24-16/29-14 in last two visits to Pittsburgh. Cincy lost eight of its last ten games overall; they’re 2-5 on road this year, but 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Pittsburgh lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-3 at home, winning four of last five. Pitt is 3-3 as home favorite this year. Steelers’ last three losses were all by three points, as Tomlin continues to struggle with game management. Over is 5-2-1 in Bengals’ last eight games; four of last six Steeler games stayed under.

Bears (11-4) @ Vikings (8-6-1)— Minnesota makes playoff with win here or an Eagle loss; Bears can get first round bye if they win and Rams get upset by SF. Chicago won/covered eight of last nine games; in their last three games, they allowed only one offensive TD on 31 drives. Chicago is 4-3 SU on road, 1-0 as road underdog. Minnesota won its last two games, allowing one TD on 22 drives; Vikings won/covered their last three home games. Bears (-2.5) beat Vikings 25-20 in first meeting in Week 11, outrushing Minnesota 148-22 and scoring a defensive TD in only their 2nd win in last eight series games. Chicago lost its last six visits to Minnesota. Four of last five Viking games, last three Chicago games stayed under total.

Cardinals (3-12) @ Seahawks (9-6)— Seahawks won five of last six games; they’re 5-2 SU at home, 3-1-1 as home favorites- they ran ball for 196 ypg the last four weeks. Arizona lost its last three games by combined score of 93-26; Cardinals are 3-4 as road underdogs this year. Seattle needs win to get #5 seed and avoid going to windy Chicago (probably) next week. Seahawks (-3.5) won 20-17 in Arizona in Week 4, running ball for 171 yards even though they were 0-10 on 3rd down conversions. Teams are 3-3-1 last seven times they met; last six meetings were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Arizona won 34-31/26-24/39-32 in last three visits here. Six of last seven Seattle games went over total; under is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four.

49ers (4-11) @ Rams (12-3)— Rams need win to get #2 seed in NFC and get next week off; they beat 49ers 39-10 (-9.5) in Week 7, with +4 turnover margin. LA won only four of last six series games, but Rams rested 20 starters in SF’s win here in Week 17 LY. 49ers are 0-7 SU on road, with four of seven losses by 8+ points; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs- their last three games (all at home) were all decked by 6 or fewer points. Niners scored only one TD on 19 drives in their last two games. Rams are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games, losing two of last three SU; they ran ball for 269 yards in rout of Arizona LW. LA is 6-1 SU at home, 3-4 as home favorite this year. Under is 6-3 in 49ers’ last nine games, 3-1 in Rams’ last four.

Colts (9-6) @ Titans (9-6)— Mariota is banged up; Titans signed Austin Davis as #3 QB, have to check Mariota’s status- Cassel is #2 QB. Winner plays a playoff game next week; loser starts preparing for the draft. Colts (-1.5) thrashed Tennessee 38-10 at home in Week 12, their 17th win in last 20 series games. Indy won five of last six visits here. Indy won eight of last nine games, rallying back from down 14-0 at home to nip Giants LW. Colts are 3-4 on road, 4-3 vs spread. Tennessee won last four games, allowing total of 25 points in last three, giving up 2 TD’s on 27 drives). Titans are 6-1 SU at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Under is 4-1-1 in Colts’ last six games, over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 17


Sunday, December 30

Dallas @ NY Giants

Game 301-302
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
131.330
NY Giants
130.317
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 6 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+6 1/2); Under

Oakland @ Kansas City

Game 303-304
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
125.002
Kansas City
142.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 19 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 13 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-13 1/2); Under

Carolina @ New Orleans

Game 305-306
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
138.483
New Orleans
134.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 4
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 9
45
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+9); Under

NY Jets @ New England

Game 307-308
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
120.599
New England
136.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 15 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 13 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-13 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 309-310
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
123.538
Washington
119.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
42
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7); Under

Detroit @ Green Bay

Game 311-312
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.036
Green Bay
133.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 13
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-7 1/2); Under

Jacksonville @ Houston

Game 313-314
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
129.457
Houston
129.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
Even
28
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+7); Under

Cleveland @ Baltimore

Game 315-316
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
130.846
Baltimore
138.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 8
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-5 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Game 317-318
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
135.504
Tampa Bay
126.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+1 1/2); Under

Miami @ Buffalo

Game 319-320
December 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
124.067
Buffalo
133.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 9
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 3
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-3); Over

Indianapolis @ Tennessee

Game 321-322
December 30, 2018 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
134.477
Tennessee
135.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 1
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+3 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 323-324
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
122.799
Pittsburgh
134.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 12
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 14 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+14 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 325-326
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
130.441
Minnesota
136.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4); Under

LA Chargers @ Denver

Game 327-328
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
133.529
Denver
131.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 1 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+6 1/2); Under

Arizona @ Seattle

Game 329-330
December 30, 2018 @

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
118.831
Seattle
136.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 17 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 13
38
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-13); Over

San Francisco @ LA Rams

Game 331-332
December 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
134.837
LA Rams
142.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 8
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 10
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+10); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 17
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Dec. 30

DALLAS at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men 1-5-1 vs. line at home this season, Cowboys on 5-1-1 spread run last seven TY. Dallas has won and covered last three meetings. Cowboys “under” 6-1 away TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Cowboys and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Panthers have dropped last seven SU this season (1-6 vs. line in those). Saints however only 1-3 vs. lien last four TY after after nine straight covers previous. Carolina “under” last four TY. Saints 6-1 vs. spread last seven reg season vs. Panthers (though L on Dec. 17).
Tech Edge: “Under” and Saints, based on “totals” and team trends.


N.Y. JETS at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jets 7-3-1 vs. spread last 11 in series, though Pats covered first 2018 meeting at MetLife on Nov. 25. Last five “under” in series, Belichick “under” 14-6 in reg season since late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Jets, based on “totals” and team trends.


DETROIT at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions have lost last five TY though 2-3 vs. line in those. Detroit also “under” last six this season. Lions have won and covered last three in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags won last week at Miami but still just 2-7-2 vs. line last 11 this season. Texans 5-2-2 last nine on board this season. Jags “under” 3-1 last 4 TY.
Tech Edge: Texans and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs have won SU last four meetings (3-1 vs. line in those games). Atlanta on first two-game win/cover streak of season entering finale. Bucs 3-1-2 vs. spread last six games TY. “Overs” 4-1 last five in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Falcons, based on “totals” and series trends.


MIAMI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dolphins 1-5 SU and vs. line last six at Orchard park, only win was with Matt Moore at QB in 2016. Moore also won at Buffalo in 2011, so he’s only Miami QB to win or cover last seven at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Dolphins 1-5 vs. line last six on road this season.
Tech Edge: Bills, based on series and team trends.


OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 0-5-1 vs. line last six and 1-6-1 vs. spread last right TY. But Raiders just 1-6 vs. line last seven away TY. KC “over” 4-0-1 last five TY. Chiefs have covered 4 of last 5 vs. Raiders at Arrowhead after Oakland had fared well on road in series.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Surprisingly, Birds just 5-11-2 vs. spread in reg season play since late 2017. Philly has still won and covered last three vs. Skins, though Jay Gruden has covered last two in 2018. last five in 2018. Falcs have covered 5 of last 6 in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to Redskins, based on team trends.


CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Browns 5-1 SU and vs. line last six this season, though Ravens on 4-0-1 spread uptick themselves. Ravens “under” 3-0-1 last four TY, and “unders” last four in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bengals on surprise 3-game cover streak at moment, though Steelers have covered 5 of last 7 in series. Steel 0-3-1 vs. line last four as chalk TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on recent trends.


CHICAGO at MINNESOTA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bears have won and covered 7 of last 8 TY, though just 3-3 vs. spread last six away. Vikes have won and covered last two since DeFilippo dismissal, and have won last six as series host, covering last3 and 5 of those 6. Vikes “under” 6-2 last eight TY.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.


L.A. CHARGERS at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bolts 6-1 vs. spread as visitor this season (not counting London neutral game). Denver streaky vs. line this season, but “under” trend since late LY has endured (14-4 “under” last 18 into Oakland on Monday).
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Chargers, based on “totals” and team trends.


ARIZONA at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards faltering down stretch, just 1-5 SU and vs. line last six TY. Meanwhile hawks on 8-2-1 spread surge into finale, and “over” 6-1 last seven. Cards have surprisingly won and covered last three and 4 of last 5 at Seattle since 58-0 loss in 2012.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and slight to “over,” based on recent team and “totals” trends.


SAN FRANCISCO at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Niners 6-1 SU and vs. line in last four games of season for Kyle Shanahan since a year ago. Rams only 3-7-2 last 12 on board this season. Niners actually 5-1 vs. spread last six in series.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on team and series trends.


INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Andrew Luck is 10-0 SU in games he has started against Titans in career, including 38-10 win at Lucas Oil on Nov. 18. Colts had been “under” five straight prior to Giants game. Titans only 2-4 vs. line last six TY and “under” 10-6 in reg season since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to “under,” based on series and recent “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Opening Line Report - Week 17
Joe Williams

We're down to the final week of the National Football League regular season, and there is still quite a bit left to be determined. Normally, we have several teams already locked into playoff seedings with nothing left to play for, but that's just not the case this season. Sure, the top seed in the NFC has been determined, but there are plenty of division titles up for grabs in Week 17, as well as one winner-take-all Sunday Night battle to determine the AFC South winner. It's going to be a crazy week in the final games before the road to Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta.

Happy Holidays, everyone!

Sunday, Dec. 30

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-7, OFF)

The Cowboys won the NFC East Division title and are locked into the No. 4 seed, so they have nothing to play for. They're expected to rest several of their key players, which is why the total is off the board.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (OFF)

The Raiders are not going quietly into the night, knocking off the Steelers and Broncos in recent weeks. Of course, that was at home. The Chiefs have dropped two in a row, as they don't seem to want to lock down the AFC West Division or a first-round bye.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (OFF)

The Saints locked up the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC, so it's expected they'll rest several of their key players. The game is off the board due to some uncertainty there, as well as the Panthers quarterback situation. QB Taylor Heinicke started last week, as QB Cam Newton is resting his shoulder with nothing to play for. However, Heinicke left last week's game due to injury, and while he was able to return, it's uncertain if he'll be the guy under center or not.

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-13, 45.5)

The Patriots still have a ton left to play for, as they can lock down a first-round bye if things go a certain way. There hasn't been a ton of early movement on this line, although the spread varies from -13 to -13 1/2 at most shops. If you like the Jets catching the points, the Golden Nugget is the place to be. They opened this line at -13 1/2. The total tumbled from 47 1/2 to 46 in a matter of hours on Christmas Eve, as there is some question as to whether QB Tom Brady (knee) is at 100 percent.

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, 42) at Washington Redskins

The legend of St. Nick continues to grow like the heart of the Grinch. QB Nick Foles pushed aside the first-place Rams in L.A. two weeks ago as a heavy favorite, and he rallied the troops past the first-place Houston Texans last week at home. Does this guy ever lose? The Eagles are favorites on the road against the *M*A*S*H unit known as the Redskins, who are limping to the finish line literally, and figuratively. The Golden Nugget opened the Eagles at -7, while most other shops have them at -6 1/2. Mirage-MGM and Stations also have the 'Skins catching a touchdown, if you're feeling them for some reason.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 45)

The Packers showed plenty of heart in an overtime road victory against the Jets last week, their first win away from Lambeau Field all season. Golden Nugget has already moved the Pack up from -7 to -7 1/2, as well as Mirage-MGM. At Southpoint the Pack are laying -8. The total has flown up from 44 to 45 1/2 at Caesars/Harrah's.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-7, 40.5)

Southpoint opened the Texans at -8, and it was quickly bet down to -7. Apparently bettors are feeling the Jags have no quit after eliminating the Dolphins on the road last week, 17-7, and not feeling the Texans who frittered away a late lead in Philadelphia. There has been little movement on the total, staying steady at 40 1/2 at most shops. However, Caesars saw the line slip from 40 1/2 to 40 during the course of Christmas Eve.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, 41)

The Ravens can lock up the AFC North Division with a victory at home behind rookie QB Lamar Jackson. Hopefully for their sake Browns fellow rookie QB Baker Mayfield doesn't wake up feeling dangerous. The Browns have come alive, posting a 7-7-1 SU record this season, actually resembling an NFL caliber organization while securing a spot out of the basement for the first time in a while.

Bettors are apparently feeling Mayfield and the road team, as the line bumped down from -6 to -5 1/2 at Mirage-MGM. The same has occurred at Westgate SuperBook, as the line has toggled between -6 and -5 1/2 a couple of times since the open on Sunday.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1, 51)

These are two teams going nowhere and trying to avoid the basement in the NFC South Division. Still, there is plenty of interest in the game at the betting window.

At Caesars, the line opened with Atlanta as a pick 'em, moving to Tampa -1 1/2, but tumbling back to just -1 in favor of the home team. The Stratosphere opened the Falcs at -1 1/2, quickly moving to a pick 'em before bettors bet the Bucs up to a -1 favorite, too. Westgate has the visitors at -2 1/2 to open, but now the Bucs are -1, likely due to several injuries in the backfield for Atlanta.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 38.5)

The Bills host the Dolphins, who joined the Loser's Lounge last week with a terrible performance at home against Jacksonville to bow out of the playoff race. Bettors are feeling the Fins, betting down the line from -3 1/2 to -3 at the Strat as well as the Westgate, among others. If you shop around the total varies a bit, but all are rather low.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14, 45.5)

It's balls to the wall for the Steelers. They need to win AND they need help from an unlikely source, the Cleveland Browns. If Pittsburgh wins, they're in as long as the Browns can spring an upset in Charm City. Look for the Steelers to pull out all of the stops at home in Heinz Field against a team they handle.

There hasn't been a ton of variation on this line, staying at a flat -14 at most shops. However, Golden Nugget has the game listed at -14 1/2 if you want to fade the black and gold. The Strat opened the Steelers at -15, but that's been bet down to -14 within 20 hours. Westgate also had the home team at -15 1/2, but the money came in on the Bengals to bet it down to -14.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-5, 41)

The Bears have locked up the NFC North Division title and are sitting pretty. The Vikings, well they still have work to do and will be playing with desperation. They're trying to hold off the Eagles for the final spot in the NFC playoffs.

Bettors are Caesars like the road team, as the line went from -6 to -5 1/2 in rather quick fashion. The Strat also had the line at -6 1/2, quickly moving down to -5 within less than 24 hours.

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos (OFF)

The Chargers are still very much alive for the AFC West Division title after frittering away a golden opportunity at home last week. However, they have to pull for an unlikely source, the Raiders, to spring an upset in K.C. Bolts fans do not usually cheer for silver and black.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (OFF)

The Seahawks clinched a playoff spot last week, and they aren't going to move up or down in their seeding. As such, they're expected to rest some bodies and Vegas is holding off to see what the home team decides to do.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-10, 50)

The 49ers have been a fly in the ointment for the likes of the Broncos, Seahawks, etc. and they gave the Bears a tough battle, too. Los Angeles is still in the mix for a first-round bye, but they need to keep their foot on the gas. RB Todd Gurley is not 100 percent and it's uncertain if he'll be ready to go Sunday or rested.

Bettors are feeling the Rams, as the line has bumped up at Caesars from -9 1/2 to -10, while moving from -9 to -9 1/2 at Southpoint. There has been very little money coming in on the Niners. The total has gained surprising attention, moving from 50 1/2 at Westgate, down to 49 1/2, back up to 50.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (OFF)

This is a winner-take-all battle for the AFC South Division championship, but it's uncertain who will be leading the Titans. QB Marcus Mariota aggravated his elbow injury last week and he was unable to return. QB Blaine Gabbert kept the team afloat, but the starting quarterback makes a huge difference in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdogs to Watch - Week 17

Will Dogs Face Uphill Battle in Week 17?

If you’re an NFL betting enthusiast that is looking for underdogs that are offering a great chance to cash in on their Week 17 NFL odds, then you’re going to enjoy the expert betting analysis and predictions that you’re about to get on three Week 17 dogs that look like they’re all going to challenge for the ATS cover at the very least this coming weekend.

While the vast majority of favorites on this week’s schedule have plenty of motivation to win and improve their chances of reaching the postseason, let’s get to my trio of expert Week 17 NFL picks featuring three underdogs that look like they’ll all challenge for the ATS cover in their respective matchups.

NY Jets (4-11) at New England Patriots (10-5)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Odds: New England -13.5
Total: 45.5

The New York Jets may have lost two straight games heading into their regular season finale, but they’ve played some very competitive football in each of their last three games. The Jets beat the Bills 27-23 in Week 14 before narrowly falling to Houston 29-22 the following week. While New York fell apart late to lose to Green Bay 44-38 in overtime last weekend, again, they've been very competitive recently if nothing else.

While the Jets are playing well right now, the same definitely can’t be said about Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Yes, the Pats picked up a 24-12 win over Buffalo last weekend to snap a surprising two-game losing streak, but they didn’t look very good as
Tom Brady was limited to just 126 passing yards with one TD and two picks. Prior to their most recent effort, New England lost to awful Miami 34-33 in Week 14 before falling against Pittsburgh 17-10 the following week.

There’s a reason why 61 percent of public bettors are backing the Jets to cover the chalk in this one and it’s because the Patriots have looked mediocre at best and New York is getting almost two touchdowns.

The Jets have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 16-7-3 ATS in their last 26 games in December. New England Patriots are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their AFC counterparts and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 dates against the Jets.

I’m not expecting Tom Brady to play the entirety of this one, making the Jets a great underdog pick this weekend.

Pick: NY Jets +13.5


Philadelphia Eagles (8-7) at Washington Redskins (7-8)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: FedExField, Landover, Maryland
NFL Odds: Philadelphia -6.5
Total: 42

Sure, the Philadelphia Eagles have looked fantastic in winning two straight with veteran backup Nick Foles back as the starter for an injured Carson Wentz, but Washington certainly isn’t going to roll over in this divisional matchup and regular season finale and the Redskins have a good enough defense to make this one a close affair if you ask me.

While Philly has put at least 30 on the board the last two weeks and comes into this contest off a thrilling 32-30 win over Houston last weekend, but Washington ranks a respectable 14th in points allowed (22.3 ppg) and they’ve got a running back that chew up the clock in the ageless Adrian Peterson and a veteran quarterback that is pretty careful with the ball in Josh Johnson.

I know Washington has struggled mightily since losing starting quarterback Alex Smith a few weeks back and that they come into this contest off a humbling 25-16 loss against Tennessee last weekend and they’ve beaten Philadelphia three times in their last four home dates against the Birds.

The Skins are also 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while Philadelphia has gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC East division rivals and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. A lot of folks are backing the Birds to win and cover, but I’m thinking a field goal finish is just as likely.

Pick: Washington +6.5


Chicago Bears (11-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
NFL Odds: Minnesota -5
Total: 41

Chicago has won three straight games and eight of their last nine games overall. The Bears come into this contest off a surprisingly difficult 14-9 win over San Francisco last weekend and they beat the Vikings 25-20 in Week 11 to cash in as a 2.5-point home favorite that day. Minnesota has looked a lot better the last two weeks after making a change at the offensive coordinator position. First, the Vikings absolutely crushed Miami 41-41 in Week 15 and then they man-handled Detroit en route to a 27-9 win last weekend.

However, for this season-ending matchup, you should know that Chicago is now the better statistical team on both sides of the ball and it would appear that young signal-caller Mitch Trubisky is now better than Minnesota veteran Kirk Cousins. The Bears ranks ninth in scoring (26.5 ppg) and third in points allowed (18.2 ppg) and I believe their excellence on both sides of the ball will be more than enough to help them cover the chalk against a desperate Minnesota team that needs a win here to punch their ticket to the postseason.

The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and have won four of their last six road games outright. Chicago is also an unblemished 6-0 ATS in their last six games against their NFC North division rivals and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings against the Vikings. I like Minnesota for the outright win, but Chicago has more than enough talent and desire on both sides of the ball to cover the chalk.

Pick: Chicago Bears +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SNF - Colts at Titans

Indianapolis vs. Tennessee (NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET)

The SNF flex schedule was able to give us two different teams for the regular season finale and the stakes couldn't be any higher. This game between the Colts and Titans is truly a “win and you're in scenario” as the winner will either be a Wildcard team in the AFC, or a AFC South division champion depending on what Houston does and which team does ultimately win this contest.

That makes for an intriguing game all the way around, and with Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota's status still in question as he deals with a stinger, there is always more intrigue you can find with this game. So after cashing with a home underdog in last week's SNF showcase, is it worth it to back another home 'dog this week?

Odds: Indianapolis (-3.5); Total set at 43

Mariota's status forced some action on Indy earlier in the week, but from all reports now, it appears as though he should be alright to suit up. Whether or not that changes your opinion on this game drastically is up to you, but if backup Blaine Gabbert does see significant action in this game, I don't envision much changing for the Titans. After all, Gabbert did go 11-for-16 for 118 yards in clean-up duty in the first meeting with the Colts, and he's been around this division for half his career, so facing Indy will be nothing new to him.

Tennessee is a run-first, play strong defense team as it is, so even with the stakes as high as they are, whether it's Mariota or Gabbert, the Titans coaching staff aren't going to ask them to get out of their comfort zone. The bulk of the work if Tennessee is going to win this game will have to be done by a defense that got torched by Andrew Luck (23-for-29 for 297 yards and 3 TD's) in the first meeting. Two INT's by Tennessee QB's that day didn't exactly help the Titans cause, as the game was over by the early 3rd quarter.

However, those 38 points Tennessee allowed that day was the most this defense has given up all year long, and with an average of 8.3 allowed/game over their last three outings overall, I do expect this Titans defense to be up to the task. But what really cinches my feeling on this is the fact that there is that hook on the key number of -3 here and it's hard not to take those points with the home side in this spot.

Indy might be 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall, but they are just 5-3-1 ATS in that span, including a 2-3 ATS run more recently. The lone outright loss during that time came against a physical defense that's similar to what the Titans will bring to the table (Jacksonville), and this is still only the third time all year that the Colts have been road chalk. Indy's 1-1 SU and ATS in those previous two outings, but again, playing Jacksonville is more comparable – where Indy lost SU and ATS – than the road win against Oakland in this scenario, and at +3.5, the Titans still get that hook working in their favor.

So with that extra day of rest before this showdown matchup, the home crowd on their side, and a potential late SU loss by a FG still not affecting the ATS win/loss result for Tennessee, I'll be backing the home dog again this week on SNF.

Tennessee is on a 11-4 ATS run against winning teams, 7-2 ATS in their last nine division games, and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 at home. With the home side on a 5-2 ATS run in this specific rivalry, I'll gladly take the points with Tennessee in this spot.

Best Bet: Tennessee +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Underdogs: Week 17 pointspread picks and predictions
Jason Logan

Often times, it isn’t about what you know, but who you know.

Whether you’re trying to score tickets to the sold-out game, vying for a new job, or trying to squeeze your way into the playoffs: it helps to have friends in high places.

That was Doug Pederson’s play when he allegedly rang up old work buddy and fellow branch of the Andy Reid coaching tree Matt Nagy, asking the Chicago Bears head coach to beat the Minnesota Vikings this Sunday – therefor opening the door for Pederson’s Philadelphia Eagles to sneak into the final wild card spot in the NFC (granted they beat Washington).

Chicago’s game in Minnesota is essentially meaningless, unless San Francisco upsets the L.A. Rams as a 10-point underdog and hands over the No. 2 seed in the NFC to the Bears. Regardless of any would-be favors to Pederson, Nagy has stated that he intends on playing his starters in Week 17, which has slimmed Chicago from +6.5 to +4.5 for the season finale.

“We have to play to win, and I kind of like that,” Nagy told ESPN. “I don’t mind that at all, and I think that our guys kind of like it. It just kind of keeps you going if you were fortunate enough to make it to the playoffs. It keeps you going in that rhythm.”

There’s a tough choice to make between starting and sitting, but momentum can be worth its weight in gold when entering the playoffs, especially considering how well Chicago is playing right now. The Bears have won three in a row SU and ATS and with a young core and not much in the way of postseason experience, Nagy won’t want that intensity to dip before the franchise’s biggest game since the 2010 season.

The Vikings are 3-3 since their Week 10 bye with their best win in that span coming over a 7-8 Miami squad.

In fact, Minnesota’s eight wins on the season (two over the Lions) have come against a group of teams that combine for a 37-67 SU mark, with a Week 5 victory over the Eagles as the only win against an opponent with a winning record (and Philly was dog crap back in Week 5). Oh, and they tied Green Bay back in Week 2.

On the flip side, the Vikes’ six losses have come via teams with a collective win/loss count of 60-30 SU – and that total includes the 5-10 Buffalo Bills. This team is far from elite, and even at home in a must-win mode against a team that may or may not go all out, I’m comfy taking the points with the Bears.

Pick: Chicago +4.5


Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-14.5, 52.5)

Kansas City needs a win over Oakland to lock up the top seed in the AFC and home-field throughout the conference playoffs. And they’ll get that win in Week 17. But, with the way that these teams are trending, the points are ever-so tempting as they tick up heading into Sunday.

Ripping the logos off the helmets, we see one with a 3-3 SU record since Week 10, with two of those wins coming against teams boasting records of 4-11 and 3-12 respectively. The most important part, however, was that this team is 0-5-1 ATS in that span and allowing an average of 32 points against in those six contests. That's pointspread poison.

The other team has posted an identical 3-3 SU record in its last half-dozen outing but has turned out a 4-2 ATS count in that stretch. That includes a 40-33 loss to its Week 17 opponent, covering as a 14-point home underdog – thanks to a 17-point fourth-quarter effort to cover the spread.

The Chiefs have given up 36 total points in the final frame over the past three games, while Oakland has managed to put up 27 combined points over its last three fourth-quarter showing. I’m expecting another backdoor cover from the Raiders Sunday, as Kansas City gets up and starts to pull starters off the field in the second half.

Pick: Oakland +14.5


Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (+3.5, 43.5)

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck is 10-0 SU versus the Titans during his NFL career, and an even more impressive 9-1 ATS in those games. And to that I say I’m taking the Titans +3.5 (picture me shrugging).

Marcus Mariota’s nerve issues have bumped this spread from +1.5 to +3.5 but it appears he’s going to play in this Sunday night finale. Tennessee enters this game on a three-game winning streak over some softer competition, but I’m more looking at the Colts coming into Tennessee in a tough spot (beyond a must-win game on the road).

Week 17 marks just the third time Indianapolis has played away from home since before Halloween and only the second time the Colts have played outdoors in that span. That lone open-air game was a 6-0 blanking to the Jaguars in Week 13.

Sunday night’s forecast is calling for rain and wind in Nashville, which should help slow down a speedy Indianapolis offense. The Colts average 66.5 plays per game – fourth most in the NFL – and take on a Titans team that has pounded the turf in recent weeks and sits among the leaders in time of possession over the past three games.

One other note: Nissan Stadium will get some extra wear and tear this week, with the Music City Bowl being played Friday in Nashville. That could leave the grass field a little worse for wear come Sunday night.

I like that home-field edge with the half-point hook on the host in a huge game.

Pick: Tennessee +3.5

Last week: 2-1 ATS
Season: 30-17-1 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 17

By Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Packers are 10-0 ATS (10.65 ppg) since Dec 20, 1992 as a home favorite coming off a road win where they allowed at least 300 passing yards.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Raiders are 0-10 ATS (-16.2 ppg) since Dec 22, 2003 coming off a win as a home dog where they threw for less than 200 yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:

-- The Texans are 0-7-1 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since Oct 25, 2015 when Deandre Hopkins had at least nine receptions last game.

NFL CHOICE TRENDS:

-- The Chargers are 11-0 ATS (12.18 ppg) since Nov 29, 1993 off a loss as a favorite where they scored less than 14 points.

-- The Falcons are 0-10 OU (-9.55 ppg) since Oct 25, 2015 off a game as a favorite where they committed at least two turnovers.

TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:

-- The Steelers are 10-0 OU (14.9 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 at home coming off a road game where Ben Roethlisberger threw at least 40 passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Steelers are 10-0 OU (11.4 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 at home coming off a game as a dog where they gained at least 22 first downs.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Cowboys are 0-12 OU (-8.9 ppg) since Jan 11, 2015 on the road coming off a home win where they scored at least 24 points.

NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Raiders are 0-14 ATS (-12.3 ppg) as a dog off a home win in which they had a takeaway margin of at least plus-two.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Panthers are 11-0 OU (+16.4 ppg) on turf when they are playing a team with a better record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Talk - Week 17

By Chris David

The ‘under’ produced a 9-6-1 record for the second consecutive week and most of the results were never in doubt. Some bettors caught some luck in the Bengals-Browns games as Cincinnati rallied for 18 late points to push that total while others weren’t too happy that the Rams and Cardinals only combined for 10 points in the second-half after a 30-spot in the first. Also, the Buccaneers and Cowboys were on a nice pace but those that sided with the ‘over’ couldn’t get the late surge. Through 17 weeks, the ‘under’ sits at 126-112-2 on the season.

2018 TOTAL RESULTS - GAME & HALVES

O/U Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Week 16 6-9-1 7-9 10-6

O/U Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Year-to-Date 112-126-2 117-123 107-127-6

2018 RESULTS - OTHER

O/U AFC-NFC Divisional Indoor Coast to Coast
Week 16 6-0 1-5-1 1-3 0-1

O/U AFC-NFC Divisional Indoor Coast to Coast
Year-to-Date 34-26 35-44-1 20-26 11-7-1

Line Moves and Public Leans

Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 17 as of Saturday morning per Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437).eu.

Dallas at N.Y. Giants: 43 ½ to 41
Oakland at Kansas City: 55 ½ to 52 ½
Atlanta at Tampa Bay: 49 ½ to 52 ½
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: 48 to 45 ½
San Francisco at L.A. Rams: 50 ½ to 48 ½

Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 17 per the betting trend percentages on the VI Matchup index as of Saturday morning.

Jacksonville at Houston: Under 97%
Arizona at Seattle: Under 94%
San Francisco at L.A. Rams: Under 95%
Carolina at New Orleans: Under 92%
Miami at Buffalo: Under 91%

Make a note that 14 of the 16 games showed a lean to the ‘under’ on Sunday. The two outlier ‘over’ wagers were on the Baltimore-Cleveland and Detroit-Green Bay matchups.

Handicapping Week 17

All 16 games are divisional matchups on Sunday and we’ve seen these contests watch the ‘under’ go 44-35-1 this season, which includes a 5-1-1 mark to the low side in Week 16. As many of you know, the last week of the regular season is often the most difficult to handicap and while we’ve had plenty of great games to follow, Week 17 is borderline unwatchable.

With that being said, I’d urge you to tread lightly on the meaningless matchups.

WEEK 17 TOTAL RESULTS (2012-2017)
Year Over/Under
2017 7-9
2016 9-7
2015 5-11
2014 6-10
2013 6-10
2012 8-8

The ‘under’ went 9-7 last season and looking back at the past six seasons above, it’s been a common theme in the totals market.

Based on playoff implications, there are six meaningless matchups on Sunday and they all take place at 1:00 p.m. ET. Hopefully you’ll be able to survive the first wave of action and still be alive for the more meaningful games in Week 17.

Dallas at N.Y. Giants: Despite being in the playoffs, the Cowboys have stated that they’ll play their starters for this game but the books aren’t falling for that garbage, which is why the Giants are listed as home favorites (-6). The ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run in this series and all signs point to another low-scoring affair.

Carolina at New Orleans: The pair just played in Week 15 and the Saints captured a 12-9 road win and the ‘under’ (50 ½) was never in doubt. The total is much lower for the rematch and while the Saints might not play all of their starters for the entire game, backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater might want to make a statement as he's been tabbed the starter. Carolina will have rookie QB Kyle Allen under center.

Detroit at Green Bay: The ‘over’ has cashed in six straight and eight of the last 10 in this series. While I can see the Packers putting up some points in their home finale, the same can’t be said for the Lions. Detroit is averaging 15.1 points per game in its last six, which has led to a 6-0 ‘under’ run.

Jacksonville at Houston: The Jaguars are another team that hasn’t scored recently, averaging 11.3 PPG in their last four games. Blake Bortles back at QB for the Jaguars but he was benched in the first meeting as Houston stifled Jacksonville 20-7 on the road in Week 7.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: This is the highest total (52 ½) for a non-playoff matchup and you could certainly argue for the ‘over’ based on their recent encounters. The high side is on a 4-1 run in this series, which includes Atlanta’s 34-29 win over Tampa Bay in Week 6 at home. The Buccaneers started the season on an 8-2 ‘over’ run but they enter this game on a 5-0 ‘under’ streak.

Miami at Buffalo: The Dolphins defeated the Bills 21-17 earlier this month at home and the ‘under’ (40) barely cashed. Miami hasn’t travelled well (1-6 SU) all season, largely due to the offense (17.1 PPG). Buffalo (15.1 PPG) hasn’t shown any pop offensively but bettors aren’t expecting Miami to show up for this Week 17 matchup with the line going from Bills -3 ½ to -5 ½ already. I guess you can understand why knowing Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has never won at Buffalo in his career (0-4) and the offense has averaged 10.3 PPG in those starts.

Heavy Expectations

There are five games listed with double-digit spreads for Week 17 and four of them take place at 4:25 p.m. ET. The totals are ranging from 38 ½ to 52 ½ in these contests and cashing a total could come down to which teams lay off the gas in the second-half.

N.Y. Jets at New England (1:00 p.m. ET): The ‘under’ has cashed in the last five meetings, which includes a 2-0 mark at Foxboro. The Jets have been held to a combined nine points in their last two visits to Gillette Stadium.

Oakland at Kansas City: The pair played to a wild shootout on Dec. 2 as the Chiefs captured a 40-33 win at Oakland. The Raiders haven’t come close to that number in their last three trips (15 PPG) to Arrowhead and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: The ‘under’ is on a 4-2 run in this series. Pittsburgh has been more explosive at home (32 PPG) and that effort has helped the ‘over’ go 5-2 at Heinz Field. Since Jeff Driskell took over for QB at Cincy, the club has watched the ‘under’ go 2-0 with two pushes.

Arizona at Seattle: This is the lowest total on the board (38 ½) and while the ‘under’ seems like an obvious lean since Seattle doesn’t have much to gain as far as its playoff status and Arizona has shown us nothing this season. However, make a note that the previous three encounters at CenturyLink Field have been wild shootouts as the pair have combined for 50, 65 and 71 points.

San Francisco at L.A. Rams: The ‘under’ (52) cashed in the first meeting on Oct. 21 as the Rams dominated the Niners 39-10 in Santa Clara. We haven’t seen much from San Francisco QB Nick Mullens on the road, with the club scoring 9 and 16 points in two away games. The Rams have seen the ‘over’ go 5-2 at home while averaging 35.6 PPG. Rams RB Todd Gurley (knee) has been ruled 'out' for this game.

Meaningful Matchups

As I’ve said above, there aren’t many attractive games but this quartet below features the most intrigue.

Philadelphia at Washington: The Eagles beat the Redskins 28-13 at home in Week 13 and the ‘under’ connected, which has been a solid theme at Lincoln Financial Field. On the road, the Birds have watched the ‘over’ go 5-2 and QB Nick Foles has led the offense to 31 PPG in his two recent starts. Can Washington get on the board? Since QB Alex Smith went down, the offense has sputtered the last five games (17 PPG). According to our Vegas Money Moves, the public is all-in on the Birds this weekened.

Cleveland at Baltimore: The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight and that includes Cleveland’s 12-9 win over Baltimore at home in Week 5. Browns rookie QB Baker Mayfield has been solid but on the road against winning clubs (Steelers, Texans), he was humbled as the club was held to a total of 31 points. This is a bigger step up in class as the Ravens are ranked both first in scoring defense (17.5 PPG) and total defense (284 YPG).

Chicago at Minnesota: Seven of the last 10 meetings have watched the ‘under’ cash and it should be 8-2 if Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins didn’t toss in a late TD in the first battle this season. Chicago won that game 25-20 and the ‘over’ cashed (44) very late. The Bears have an outside shot at the No. 2 seed but they need the Rams to lose while the Vikings need to win this game to get into the playoffs or have the Eagles lose. Minnesota has watched the ‘under’ go 5-2 at home and Chicago enters this game on a 3-0 ‘under’ run. While many believe the Vikes will win and get through, I’m still not sold on a team that has only defeated one team (Philadelphia) with a winning record this season.

L.A. Chargers at Denver: I’m a little surprised this number was pushed from 41 ½ to 42 knowing Denver has been the best ‘under’ (12-3) team in the league. Also, it enters this game on an 8-0 run to the low side and the ‘under’ is 6-1 at Mile High this season. The Chargers could be the No. 1 seed in the AFC or the Wild Card, likely the latter but it needs to win and hopes KC loses at home to Oakland. It is a revenge game for the Bolts and they’re coming off a loss last Saturday. With that being said, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a crooked number posted by the visitor and the Bolts offense (27.4 PPG) has travelled very well this season.

Under the Lights

There wasn’t a Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 17 last season because the league felt that there wasn't one specific matchup that had direct playoff implications for both teams involved. It returns this season with an AFC South clash between the Titans and Colts. The ‘under’ has cashed in two straight and three of the last four in this series. Indianapolis routed Tennessee 38-10 on Nov. 18 at home and the low side (50) connected.

That stat you’ve probably heard this week is Colts QB Andrew Luck’s record versus the Titans, which is 10-0 all-time. In those games, Indy has averaged 29.7 PPG and he’s dropped 30-plus points three times from Nashville. This year’s Tennessee defense (18 PPG) is very underrated and ranked second in scoring. Also, the Colts offense (23 PPG) has looked very inconsistent at times on the road even getting shutout at Jacksonville just four weeks ago.

The total is nearly a touchdown less than the first meeting and that’s based on those numbers, plus Titans QB Marcus Mariota remains ‘questionable’ for the contest. Backup Blaine Gabbert doesn’t put a lot of scare into anybody but the Tennessee offense (19.5 PPG) hasn’t been great with Mariota either.

For bettors that lean on historical angles, listed below are the Week 17 SNF matchups dating back to 2008.

2016 - Green Bay 31 at Detroit 24 (Over 50 ½)
2015 - Minnesota 20 at Green Bay 13 (Under 44)
2014 – Pittsburgh 27 vs. Cincinnati 17 (Under 49)
2013 – Philadelphia 24 at Dallas 22 (Under 54 ½)
2012 – Washington 28 vs. Dallas 18 (Under 48)
2011 – N.Y. Giants 31 vs. Dallas 14 (Under 48)
2010 – Seattle 16 vs. St. Louis 6 (Under 42 ½)
2009 – N.Y. Jets 37 vs. Cincinnati 0 (Over 33 ½)
2008 – San Diego 52 vs. Denver 21 (Over 50)

Prior to the Packers-Lions ‘over’ in 2016, the ‘under’ had cashed in six straight SNF finales. Road teams haven’t fared well during this span, but the visitor has won the last two Week 17 finales on SNF.

Fearless Predictions

Tough loss in the Tampa Bay-Dallas game last Sunday but I was also fortunate to see the Rams and Cardinals pump the brakes in the second-half. With those outcomes, we got back in the black ($190) last week and push closer to four digits on the season ($945). As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: N.Y. Jets-New England 46 ½
Best Under: Miami-Buffalo 39 ½
Best Team Total: Kansas City Chiefs Over 33

Three-Team Total Teaser (+7.5, +105)
Over 39 N.Y. Jets-New England
Over 34 ½ L.A. Chargers-Denver
Under 48 Chicago-Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday Blitz - Week 17

By Kevin Rogers

GAMES TO WATCH

Bears at Vikings (-5, 40 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Chicago (11-4 SU, 11-4 ATS) has put together the best turnaround in the NFL by capturing the NFC North title one season after finishing 5-11 and in last place. The Bears still have a shot at clinching a first-round bye with a victory and a Rams’ loss, but Chicago is guaranteed at least one home playoff game after rallying past San Francisco last Sunday, 14-9. Chicago barely cashed as four-point favorites thanks to the Bears’ defense keeping the Niners out of the end zone and taking the lead for good on Jordan Howard’s two-yard touchdown run in the third quarter.

The Vikings (8-6-1 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) control their own destiny for a playoff spot as a win gets them in the postseason. Minnesota is coming off its second consecutive victory after routing Detroit last Sunday at Ford Field, 27-9 to cash as 6 ½-point favorites. The Vikings scored the final 27 points after limiting the Lions to three early field goals, while Kirk Cousins threw a trio of touchdown passes, including two to Kyle Rudolph. However, seven of Minnesota’s eight wins have come against teams owning losing records heading into Week 17.

In their first matchup at Soldier Field in a Week 11 Sunday night showdown, the Vikings fell in a 22-6 hole before scoring two late touchdowns in a 25-20 defeat to the Bears. Chicago held on for the cover as 2 ½-point favorites to avenge a pair of losses to Minnesota from 2017, as the Bears limited the Vikings to 22 rushing yards on 14 attempts. The Bears are listed as a road underdog for the first time since the season-opening one-point loss to the Packers, while posting a 2-1 ATS mark when receiving points.

Best Bet: Vikings 26, Bears 20

Browns at Ravens (-6, 41) – 4:25 PM EST

One month ago, it seemed like the Steelers would run away with the AFC North title. Following Pittsburgh’s recent meltdown, Baltimore (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS) is in position to steal the division championship following a 5-1 surge under rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson.

The Ravens have been the ultimate roller-coaster ride in the NFL this season by starting 4-2, dropping three straight, then going on this hot stretch to reclaim the top spot in the North. The most recent win was the most impressive with Jackson under center by beating the red-hot Chargers in Week 16 as four-point underdogs, 22-10, while limiting an opponent to 21 points or less for the fifth time in six weeks.

Cleveland (7-7-1 SU, 9-6 ATS) has definitely turned heads this season following two years of dreadful play and only one win to show for it. The Browns have an opportunity to finish above .500 for the first time since 2007, while trying to close the season with four consecutive wins. Cleveland held off Cincinnati last Sunday, 26-18 as the Bengals scored two late touchdowns to cash as 10-point underdogs. However, the Browns enter Week 17 at 1-3 ATS in their past four chances as an underdog of five points or more.

Best Bet: Ravens 23, Browns 14

Eagles (-6 ½, 42) at Redskins – 4:25 PM EST

The defending champions are on the verge of being a one-hit wonder as Philadelphia (8-7 SU, 6-9 ATS) need a victory and a Minnesota loss to reach the playoffs. The Eagles dug themselves a 4-6 hole before winning four of the last five games to keep their hopes alive at a repeat. Philadelphia held off Houston in a shootout last Sunday, 32-30 at Lincoln Financial Field as Nick Foles continued his magic in place of Carson Wentz by throwing for 471 yards and four touchdowns.

The Eagles seek their fourth division win and a sweep of the Redskins (7-8 SU, 9-6 ATS) as Washington has lost five of six games down the stretch. Washington is down to its fourth quarterback of the season in journeyman Josh Johnson, as he has led the Redskins to a pair of ATS wins against the Jaguars and Titans. After Washington upended Jacksonville in Week 15, the Redskins hung with Tennessee by leading in the fourth quarter prior to allowing two late touchdowns in a 25-16 defeat as 12-point ‘dogs.

In their first matchup at the Linc earlier this month, the Eagles pulled away from the Redskins, 28-13 to cash as 5 ½-point home favorites. Washington captured five straight meetings over Philadelphia from December 2014 through December 2016, but the Eagles are riding a three-game winning streak over the Redskins since the start of last season.

Best Bet: Eagles 21, Redskins 17

SUPERCONTEST PICKS

Kevin Rogers (3-2 last week, 40-38-2 this season)
Redskins +6 ½
Ravens -6
Buccaneers -1
Vikings -4 ½
Rams -10

Chris David (2-3 last week, 50-29-1 this season)
Giants -6 ½
Chiefs -13 ½
Browns +6
Chargers -6 ½
Seahawks -13 ½

BEST TOTAL PLAY

UNDER 45 ½ - Lions at Packers (1-0 last week, 10-6 this season)

Detroit’s offense has been miserable down the stretch as the Lions have been limited to 20 points or less in eight of the past nine games. The Lions are riding a six-game UNDER streak as they travel to Green Bay to face the Packers. Green Bay is seeking consecutive wins for the first time this season following last Sunday’s dramatic overtime triumph over the Jets. The last six matchups between these NFC North rivals have finished OVER the total, but the Packers are 6-3 to the UNDER the last nine games since a 5-1 start to the OVER.

TRAP OF THE WEEK

Although both the Falcons and Buccaneers aren’t headed to the playoffs, Atlanta looks to avoid a 10-loss season with a victory at Raymond James Stadium. From 2013-15, the Falcons didn’t reach the playoffs. Why is that important for this contest? In all three of those season finales, the Falcons lost, including twice in the favorite role. Tampa Bay has covered four of its last five contests, while the Bucs have emerged victorious in Week 17 at home the last two seasons.

BIGGEST LINE MOVE

Although the Bills have not won a home game by more than three points this season, Buffalo went from a 3 ½-point favorite earlier in the week against Miami to a 5 ½-point favorite. The Bills lost to the Dolphins earlier this season, 21-17, while Buffalo owns an 0-2 ATS mark in the chalk role in 2018. Meanwhile, Miami has picked up only one road victory this season, which came back in Week 2 against the Jets, while the Dolphins have covered just one in six away defeats.

BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW

One team has failed to win a road game this season and it’s the San Francisco 49ers. It won’t be easy to break through the win column on Sunday as the Niners face the Rams, who need to win to secure a first round bye in the NFC playoffs. If San Francisco loses, it will mark the third straight season a team has posted an 0-8 record away from home (Cleveland in 2016-17), as the Niners seek their third road cover of the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top 6 picks for Week 17 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest:

1) Colts, -3 (972)

2) Browns, +6 (904)

3) Bills, -3.5 (847)

4) Eagles, -6.5 (800)

5) Vikings, -4.5 (758)

6) Texans, -6.5 (670)

Season record: 51-44-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 2

Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3


Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:10P
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 12 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JOSE M. is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CACHETITO ROJO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JOSE M.: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VIBRANTE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AERONAUTICO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
CACHETITO ROJO
1/1

9/2
2
JOSE M.
2/1

5/1
5
VIBRANTE
4/1

7/1
3
AERONAUTICO
5/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
JOSE M.
2

2/1
Front-runner
70

66

62.6

45.4

39.4
3
AERONAUTICO
3

5/2
Stalker
67

63

59.7

54.1

47.6
4
CACHETITO ROJO
4

1/1
Trailer
76

67

54.4

66.2

64.2
5
VIBRANTE
5

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
71

65

63.8

60.8

54.3
1
MAGO DE ORIENTE
1

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

50

55.4

54.4

46.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
Golden Gate Fields - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $0.20 Golden Pick 6 (Races 4-9) / $1 Rolling Super High Five


Starter Allowance $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 2:18P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (ONE WIN FOR $20,000 OR LESS WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. STREETLIGHTROMANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COPPER FEVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NOVEMBER TALE (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OH SCATTY OH: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. OUR SLICK CHICK: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. STREETLIGHTROMANCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
COPPER FEVER
3/1

5/1
1
NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
5/2

6/1
3
OH SCATTY OH
9/2

7/1
2
OUR SLICK CHICK
6/1

8/1
7
STREETLIGHTROMANCE
12/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
STREETLIGHTROMANCE
7

12/1
Front-runner
90

88

97.7

69.2

59.2
6
COPPER FEVER
6

3/1
Stalker
93

89

102.9

87.6

83.1
3
OH SCATTY OH
3

9/2
Stalker
93

92

77.8

87.2

78.2
2
OUR SLICK CHICK
2

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

83

90.8

84.7

77.7
1
NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
1

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
95

90

81.4

88.4

83.4
4
WISH YOU WERE MINE
4

7/2
Trailer
88

87

83.6

83.1

71.6
8
ANOTHER REDHEAD
8

20/1
Trailer
82

73

72.0

78.7

64.7
5
SOPHIA DEL SOL
5

20/1
Trailer
72

72

68.2

74.5

60.0
9
SENORITA COMETA
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

68

85.8

81.2

68.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:30pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 ADMIRAL LYNCH (ML=5/2)


ADMIRAL LYNCH - It looks like Jaramillo had to 'know' this colt on December 9th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. The recent bullet 47.1 work should put this colt on track for today's outing. You have to be keen on that last race speed figure, 83, which is the highest last race speed rating of this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GOLDEN IDOL (ML=3/1), #4 ROBINTAKINCHARGE (ML=7/2), #7 GREATER CAIRO (ML=9/2),

GOLDEN IDOL - This questionable contender ran a common speed figure last time out. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose today running that fig. ROBINTAKINCHARGE - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced equine. GREATER CAIRO - Don't believe this mount will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was disappointing when compared with today's class figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 GLENGAR (ML=2/1)
#3 BIGASAUROUS (ML=6/1)


GLENGAR - This jock and handler have a high winning percent together. Pimentel comes to saddle up after getting to know the gelding in the last event. Ran a fast time for the last quarter on December 16th at Laurel. Anything close in this event should get the job done. BIGASAUROUS - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a strong race last time out within the last month or so. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (62-78-80) make this one a solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ONE MORE TOM (ML=5/2), #5 CRUSH IT (ML=9/2), #7 PASSPORT (ML=8/1),

ONE MORE TOM - I forecast disappointment for this horse in this contest. CRUSH IT - Earned a quite unimpressive rating in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Nov 24th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. PASSPORT - This horse showed little last time finishing sixth. Can't expect any change in today's event. You always believe this animal has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but he fails frequently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 GLENGAR on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5600 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PREVAIL 3/1

# 3 BUCKBEAK 6/1

# 1 BURTON ERNIE 2/1

I like PREVAIL here. Has very good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Sound average speed figures in dirt route races make this equine a contender. Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon just for fun. BUCKBEAK - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Should be given consideration in this competition if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig recorded in the last race. BURTON ERNIE - Lopez will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event. Posted a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

12/30/18, SA, Race 8, 3.33 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $59,000.
Claiming Price $62,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 Horseracing Roulette (RED 2,3,4: - 4/5. BLK 7,10,9,8: 7/5. GRN 1,5,6: 10/1.)
Top Horse - Races 58, Win Percent 22.41, $1 ROI 0.65, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
098.0435 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.8988 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SE
096.9301 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter W
096.5733 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
096.3475 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. FL
095.9616 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
095.6219 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick
094.5409 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
093.1435 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse - Races 71, Win Percent 29.58, $1 ROI 0.91, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
097.5466 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SFE
097.3547 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.0279 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
095.6956 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick W
095.5575 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
095.5320 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter
095.3736 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. L
094.3683 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
093.2560 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32100 Class Rating: 84

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MR. DIGGER 7/2

# 3 MISTER KOWEN 9/2

# 8 KRIS WHO 5/2

MR. DIGGER appears to be the bet in here. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. The average Equibase class rating of 77 makes this horse tough to beat. Has posted sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. MISTER KOWEN - Must be used in the exotic offerings. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong speed figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface lately. KRIS WHO - Chirinos and Fincher are a strong pair for gains. Has very good front-end speed and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/30/18, TAM, Race 2, 12.54 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $13,200.
Claiming Price $16,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4) / Super High 5
Top Horse - Races 35, Win Percent 14.29, $1 ROI 0.35, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 8 Warrior's Delight 6-1 Morales P Rodriguez Darien JTL
098.7415 2 Savage Music 2-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. E
098.3473 3 School Song(b+) 6-1 Centeno D Decker Kenneth W
097.3769 4 Not Necessarily 3-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bennett Gerald S.
097.3673 7 My Little Rockstar 7/2 Garcia J A Westlye Kenneth SFC
094.3377 1 J P's Wright 10-1 Mata F Wallace David
093.0628 5 Fireman Fred 30-1 Ulloa A P Paramo Martin
091.7105 6 Chess Master 15-1 Coa K J Galvan Baltazar