Monday 3-4-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 1

Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $3,800 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * COULDAKISSEDTHIS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DIAMOND MIND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KINGSLAYER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top t hree in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
COULDAKISSEDTHIS
2/1

3/1
2
DIAMOND MIND
6/5

9/2
4
KINGSLAYER
7/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
DIAMOND MIND
2

6/5
Slow
68

57

7.0

0.0

0.0
3
XDW HEZPOLITICAL
3

12/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
KINGSLAYER
4

7/2
Fast
52

49

3.4

0.0

0.0
5
COULDAKISSEDTHIS
5

2/1
Average
76

62

4.2

0.0

0.0
6
FLYIN TIGER
6

15/1
Average
66

45

5.5

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: ROYAL DOMINYUN (8/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Everardo - Trainer: Sanchez Hector J].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4300 Class Rating: 78

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 TH MAVERICK 7/2

# 2 JESS WRANGLER 6/1

# 3 MIGHTY DORIS 4/1

TH MAVERICK looks very strong to best this field. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last competition. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group recently. With a strong 72 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. JESS WRANGLER - His 70 average has this gelding with among the best speed figures here. Seems to have a competitive class edge based on the latest company kept. MIGHTY DORIS - Win percentage one of the most respectable in this group of horses in this race. Has been consistently racing well recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 8

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 20 Cent High Five


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 58 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 4:02P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GATO STYLE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GATO STYLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DISTINCT APPROVAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SPECIAL CONQUEST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the di stance/surface. ENCOURAGED: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5
GATO STYLE
3/1

4/1
7
DISTINCT APPROVAL
2/1

4/1
9
SPECIAL CONQUEST
6/1

6/1
8
ENCOURAGED
10/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
GATO STYLE
5

3/1
Alternator/Front-runner
59

48

46.1

49.0

40.0
7
DISTINCT APPROVAL
7

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
62

55

57.5

51.8

49.8
9
SPECIAL CONQUEST
9

6/1
Trailer
61

55

21.8

50.6

43.1
8
ENCOURAGED
8

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
58

52

46.8

42.0

31.0
10
Z RED ROCKET
10

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

40.0

35.0

23.5
6
HEY GOOD LOOKIN
6

4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
56

48

70.0

33.6

23.1
1
JOURNEY EAST
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

45.8

25.3

14.3
2
SHANGHAI CHICK
2

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

44.8

33.4

20.4
4
GUMMY OSO
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

43.0

19.4

2.4
3
EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY
3

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

36

32.8

30.6

16.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22100 Class Rating: 72

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1A GARDEN QUALITY 3/1

# 9 TWO BIT KID 7/2

# 1 CLASSIC BUTCH 3/1

My choice in this competition is GARDEN QUALITY. Posted a reliable speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Bettors using horses with this rider and conditioner duo have done strongly lately. TWO BIT KID - Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing competitive figures of late. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Delong running at this distance are the most competitive in this field. CLASSIC BUTCH - Must be given consideration in this race if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last competition. Casalinova has this gelding racing well and is a very good selection based on the formidable speed figures earned in sprint races recently.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #10 - Post: 4:58pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 FIRE COMMAND (ML=6/1)
#6 ASTROLOGY HILL (ML=5/1)


FIRE COMMAND - Perez and Brown partnered together are a punter's friend. Traditional handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This one is live today. ASTROLOGY HILL - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. Taking a trip to a lower level; has the capability to make her presence felt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 I CRIED A TEAR (ML=5/2), #1 GRAND BLUE HARBOR (ML=7/2), #1A BRAYDENS START (ML=7/2),

I CRIED A TEAR - If you keep choosing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be let down most of the time. This mount has no victories in her last ten chances. She's probably not worth the price on the win end today. May bounce off of that last physical exertion. All sorts of crazy zip signed up for this contest. Slight chance for this speedball. GRAND BLUE HARBOR - On a downward spiraling cycle. Speed figures keep deteriorating. This entrant didn't do too much last time out finishing fifth. Don't see any chance of any improvement today. BRAYDENS START - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests lately. Doubtful to see her doing it this time around either. Not likely that this animal will finish better than she did last time out when finishing seventh. Finished seventh in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #2 FIRE COMMAND on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:14pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 TREVOR'S CALL (ML=7/2)
#7 MARICOPA COUNTY (ML=9/2)


TREVOR'S CALL - You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your racing money onto this jockey/handler combination. This gelding is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished in the place spot easily ahead of the 3rd place finisher in his last race. The last time he tried this distance he got a fig good enough to win this event. MARICOPA COUNTY - Last race out on the sod, this equine was solid. Anything close in this event, and this one should win. This jockey and trainer's animals have been producing a positive return on investment. Racing at a similar level as last race on February 13th at Turf Paradise. I think Grissom has found a good spot for him, and I like his chances in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WARREN'S FANDANGO (ML=3/1), #1 REAL LUTE (ML=4/1), #4 TAYLOREALSWIFT (ML=6/1),

WARREN'S FANDANGO - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance events in order to support him. REAL LUTE - This gelding is always hitting the board, but just doesn't win. Difficult to wager on him on the front end. TAYLOREALSWIFT - If you keep selecting these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disillusioned frequently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - TREVOR'S CALL - Simply stated, horses don't like to get dirt kicked in their face. This gelding will be so far ahead of the field, he won't ever have that issue.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 TREVOR'S CALL is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Duke Mar 04 '19, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Syracuse
Play on: Virginia -6½ -105 at betonline

Virginia/Syracuse 7:00: Virginia has thrived on the road and looks to quiet the Carrier Dome crowd tonight. The Cavaliers are coming off an easy win over Pittsburgh - a game in which Coach Bennett rested Guy, Jerome and Hunter late to allow lots of bench players to get action. Syracuse is coming off a blowout win over lightweight Wake Forest but the jury is still out on how they're playing down the stretch. Orange was just 4 of 19 from 3 point range on Saturday. Virginia is the #1 defense in the nation and #1 guarding the perimeter. And Virginia rarely will give up easy baskets. Sure, the Syracuse 2-3 zone gives teams fits but Virginia's PG Clark has 14 assists and no turnovers over his last 3 games. Virginia is skilled in finding open shots as evidenced by their 48% FG (33rd in nation). Orange just 1-10 ATS last 11 home vs a team with a road winning % above .600. Virginia the call.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Mar 04 '19, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse +7 -115 at Bovada

1* Free Sharp Play on Syracuse +7 -115

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Marc David Mar 04 '19, 8:35 PM in 12h
NBA | Nuggets vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -105 at BMaker

DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO
The Denver Nuggets have been surprisingly good this season, but many experts have doubted that team without a true superstar could continue to be this successful. They are only 1.5 games out of first place in the Western Conference, but they come into San Antonio off back to back home losses. The Nuggets haven't been great on the road, but the Spurs sure have been great at home. The home team has won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings between these two teams, and the Spurs have won five straight at home versus Denver. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in San Antonio.
Take SA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson Mar 04 '19, 9:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-B | Kansas State vs TCU
Play on: TCU +1½ -105 at Bovada

Free Play on TCU +1½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

As the college basketball regular season continues to grind to a close in anticipation of this year’s conference tournaments, there are a trio of games on Monday night in both the ACC and the Big 12 that could have a big impact on the final standings.

Getting things started as part of ESPN’s Big Monday, the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers will be on the road against Syracuse. Later that night in Lubbock, No. 11 Texas Tech will play host to the Texas Longhorns in the first Big 12 clash. As a bonus betting game in that same conference, No. 16 Kanas State will be on the road against TCU.

No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers at Syracuse Orange (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -7, Total 121

Betting Matchup

The Cavaliers head into the final week of the regular season tied with North Carolina for the lead in the ACC at a straight-up 14-2. They started their current six-game winning streak with a eight-point win against the Tar Heels on Feb. 11 as one-point road underdogs. Virginia (26-2 SU, 21-7 ATS) is 5-1 against the spread during this same span with the total staying UNDER in four of the six games. By holding Pittsburgh to just 49 points in Saturday’s 24-point win at home, the Cavaliers’ points-allowed average stands at 54.1.

With Saturday’s 79-54 romp over Wake Forest as a 7 ½-point road favorite, Syracuse moved to 10-6 SU in ACC play as part of a 19-10 record overall. The Orange have covered the closing spread in four of their last six games with the total staying UNDER in five of those contests. They have a 4-2 record ATS in their last six home games. Junior guard Tyrus Battle scored 21 points against Pitt on Saturday and the defense did the rest to secure the win. He leads the team in scoring with 17.7 points per game.
Betting Trends

-- The Cavaliers have gone 18-7-1 in their last 26 games played on Monday. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

-- The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win with the total staying UNDER in four of their last five home games.

-- The underdog has covered the closing spread in four of the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in the last four meetings in Syracuse.

Texas Longhorns at No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -8, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Texas moved to 5-4 SU in its last nine games with Saturday’s 86-69 upset against Iowa State as a slight one-point home underdog. The Longhorns have gone 8-1 ATS during this same span with the total going OVER in five of their last seven games. They are an even 8-8 SU in Big 12 play as part of an overall record of 16-13. Texas is 6-3 ATS this season on the road. Back on Jan. 12, it lost to Texas Tech at home 68-62 as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jase Febres put up a career-high 26 points in Saturday’s win with the Longhorns’ leading scorer Kerwin Roach II out of the lineup due to an ongoing suspension.

The Red Raiders are tied with Kansas State for the lead in the Big 12 at 12-4. They have won their last seven games SU while going 6-1 ATS with Saturday’s 81-66 victory against TCU as four-point road favorites. The total has gone OVER in Texas Tech’s las four outings. It is 24-5 SU (13-15-1 ATS) overall with a SU six-game winning streak on its home court. Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver is averaging a team-high 17.9 PPG and he has exceeded that average in four of his last five games.

Betting Trends

-- The Longhorns are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and the total has gone OVER in their last four games coming off an ATS win.

-- The Red Raiders have a 4-1 record ATS in their last five home games with the total going OVER in four of those games.

-- The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two.

No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Kansas State -1, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Kansas State (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS) remains in contention for the Big 12 regular season title with Saturday’s 66-60 victory at home against Baylor. The Wildcats failed to cover as 6 ½-point home favorites to slip to 2-3 ATS over their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 127 points in that win and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests. Dean Wade had the hot hand against Baylor with 20 points with senior guard Barry Brown Jr. adding 10 points to the winning cause. Brown leads the Wildcats in scoring with 15.1 PPG, but he has only scored a combined 24 points in his last three starts.

The Horned Frogs only have one win (SU and ATS) in their last six games after coming up well short in Saturday’s loss to Texas Tech. They are 6-10 SU in conference play with a 5-11 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of TCU’s last 10 games overall and it is 1-4 ATS in its last five games at home. Coming into this game, it is 18-11 SU overall with a 14-15 record ATS. The Horned Frogs are averaging 75.5 PPG, but they are giving up an average of 70.9 points on defense. Last week, they gave up 104 points in an overtime loss to West Virginia.

Betting Trends

-- The Wildcats have covered in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five Monday games.

-- The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games played on Monday.

-- Kansas State won the first meeting this season 65-55 as a four-point home favorite to improve to 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four matchups.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams

We're winding down the regular season, and the pressure isn't too much for some teams, while a few other Top 25 teams have been wilting in a big way. One of those previously highly-ranked teams that are in freefall is Nevada (26-3 SU, 16-11-1 ATS) was humming right along until Feb. 20 at San Diego State (19-10 SU, 16-12 ATS). They lost that game by eight, and lost again this past week against Utah State (24-6 SU, 16-13 ATS) in Logan over the weekend. The Wolf Pack are suddenly looking mortal away from home, and they have failed to cover each of the past four. A lack of defense is particularly concerning, as they have yielded 77.0 points per game (PPG) over the past two, more than 10 points over their season average (66.7 PPG). They have a rematch with the Aztecs coming up this week, and probably could use a big win before heading into the postseason.

Maryland (21-9 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) has dropped two in a row, and three of the past five. A pair of losses to Michigan (26-4 SU, 17-13 ATS) is no embarrassment, but a 17-point loss at Penn State (12-17 SU, 13-14-2 ATS) certainly isn't going to wow the NCAA Tournament committee when it's time to dole out seedings. The Terps are just 5-6 SU in their past 11 games overall, and 2-5 SU/ATS in the past seven games either on the road or on a neutral-site court. Also in the Big Ten, Wisconsin (20-9 SU, 14-14-1 ATS) has been a .500 team over the past six outings, and they're 0-5-1 ATS during the span. They'll meet the equally disappointing Hawkeyes of Iowa (21-8 SU, 12-17 ATS), who have suddenly forgotten how to cover a spread. The Hawkeyes are 1-3 SU over the past four outings, and they have failed to cover six straight and eight of the past 10 contests.

Marquette (23-6 SU, 18-11 ATS) is feeling the pressure of March, falling to a mediocre Creighton (16-13 SU, 14-14 ATS) side for their second consecutive loss and non-cover. The Golden Eagles are crumbling, going just 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS across the past seven outings, too. The only thing that has been consistent for Marquette has been the 'under', hitting in six of the past eight contests.

Cincinnati (25-4 SU, 12-17 ATS) has won five in a row since a 65-58 loss at Houston (27-2 SU, 19-9-1 ATS) on Feb. 10. The Bearcats failed to cover in that game, however, and that touched off an 0-6 ATS skid heading into the new week. The 'under' has connected in four in a row for Cincy, however, and the under is 6-1 across the past seven. Houston lost to UCF (25-4 SU, 12-17 ATS), as the Golden Knights have squeezed into the picture for a potential at-large NCAA Tournament bid. The Cougars had no answers for 7-foot-6 Tacko Fall, and the Knights will now set their sights on Cincinnati this week.

One team not struggling straight-up or against the number is Wofford (26-4 SU, 16-11 ATS) of the SoCon, as they have wrapped up the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament, and could have done enough in the regular season to nail down an at-large bid even if they stumble next week and fail to lock down an automatic bid. The Terriers went 18-0 on conference play, and they have covered eight of their past nine outings. The only losses for the Terriers came against North Carolina (24-5 SU, 17-10-2 ATS) in the season opener Nov. 6, at Oklahoma (18-11 SU, 18-8-3 ATS) on Nov. 18, at Kansas (22-7 SU, 13-16 ATS) on Dec. 4 and at Mississippi State (21-8 SU, 15-14 ATS) on Dec. 19. That loss to the Bulldogs was their last setback. They also have resume-building wins at South Carolina (14-15 SU, 12-16 ATS), as well as a pair of wins by an average of 29.5 points vs. UNC Greensboro (26-5 SU, 13-15-1 ATS), a team ranked 33rd in RPI, as well as a sweep against Wofford (24-6 SU, 11-16 ATS), a SoCon team which previously appeared in the Top 25.

http://i67.tinypic.com/wqr4hs.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tournament Time
Jim Feist

My head is spinning, and I’m loving it!

It’s time for six weeks of madness….

Many times, over the last four or five decades this has been a very profitable time.

Let’s break it down. There are four post season tournaments. The CBI, CIT, NIT and of course the granddaddy of them all the NCAA Men's Tournament.

Before we get to all of that, the madness begins with the Conference Tournaments. This is where teams that play the teams involved have played each other, for the most part for the last six to eight weeks. By having that mix, we get to analyze different aspects to handicapping than we will in the season ending tournaments mentioned above.

Those aspects of handicapping are mostly focused on history and familiarity. When teams play each over often, players get to know each other and get to learn each other’s strengths and weaknesses. In turn, us handicappers get to use that information in our analysis.

The first element of handicapping I use is to make my own line, and believe me that is much easier to do, when teams that play each other have been playing in very similar power rating ranges, which is what happens when they have been playing similar opponents in their own conference.

Revenge is a tool that is used often by cappers. It can be a very effective tool but can be overused. Some cappers have used it effectively, but they are the cappers that use it selectively. Just because team A beat team B by 20 pts does not mean team B will be able to turn the tables in the next meeting. Sometimes one team is just too good for the other and unless the superior team doesn’t show up, the weaker team will not be able to turn the tables.

Style matters. Pace matters. There are so many things to be aware but too much info can lead to paralysis by analysis. Therefore putting together a strong database throughout the season gives you a solid foundation.

Here it is late February/early March and the madness, so to speak has already begun. In the last few weeks, we have seen the potential No. 1 NBA draft choice, Zion Williamson of Duke go down with injury. We have also seen an increasing number on underdogs not only cover but also win outright, over high-ranking opponents. Yes, the Madness has already begun and I Love It.

What has already begun as well is the annual debate over, who’s in and who’s out. Unfortunately, the committee will never get this right, wherein they will satisfy everyone. No one can ever satisfy everyone.

Let’s begin with a look at the Conference Tournaments and move on from there.

ACC: This is one of the very top conferences. Clearly Duke is the team to beat. If they are absent Zion, they still have enough weapons to be very dangerous. North Carolina and Virginia also stand out, but this is a very strong conference, so there are a few others that could catch fire. I believe the strongest outsider team is Florida State. My Conference Pick is Duke if Zion plays and North Carolina if he does not.

American Athletic: Don’t sleep on these teams. Both Houston, who is having a remarkable season, and Cincinnati are very capable to move on and do some damage if they get in the Big Dance. Central Florida with their 7’6” center is also very capable. I don’t see all three in the Big Dance, but it could happen. My Conference Pick is Houston

Atlantic 10: No one in this league looks to be able to go to the next level but one may. The winner of their tournament has a shot to get in. Davidson, Dayton or Virginia Commonwealth are the top dogs to consider. My Conference Pick is Virginia Commonwealth.

Big 12: This Conference is very tight. When a conference is this tight top to bottom, upsets are very likely to happen. Kansas State and Texas Tech look the best to me with just about everyone else having a shot, except for West Virginia and Oklahoma State. Multiple teams will make the Big Dance. My Conference Pick is Texas Tech

Big East: The best team in this Conference right now is Marquette. Defending National Champion Villanova is still a force but while Marquette is getting better Villanova is declining. This is a very balanced league with several dangerous clubs, with St John’s having shown signs they can beat anyone on a given day. My Conference Pick is Marquette

Big Ten: Top teams are Michigan State, Michigan and Purdue. A few others, Maryland and Wisconsin, follow closely and can upset the top group on any given day. My Conference Pick Michigan State.

Big West: I’m sure this conference tournament will be very competitive. The talent level is very thin, but Cal-Irvine and Cal State Fullerton should come out on top. My Conference Pick is Cal-Irvine.

Colonial: Like all the Conference Tourneys, the players want to win, and this will be no exception. Hofstra has played well all season as has College of Charleston and Northeastern. My Conference Pick is Hofstra.

Conference USA: Another small conference that will bring lots of excitement. This should be exciting but tough to handicap before it starts. This is where watching as many games as possible during tournament play will bring dividends. You could throw a blanket over about five teams to win this one. My conference Pick Old Dominion.

Horizon: Northern Kentucky and Wright State have the advantage here, but upsets can happen here with teams like Oakland and Illinois Chicago lurking. My conference Pick Wright State.

MAC: Buffalo is the clear choice here but could falter if they don’t come prepared. There are several speed bumps that could cause trouble from the other 11 teams in this group. Look out for Toledo and Bowling Green. My conference Pick Buffalo.

Missouri Valley: Remember last year’s Tournament darling? That was Loyola Chicago and the magic that Sister Jean brought to the event. That was exciting and really brought a lot of fans back for more. This year Loyola will need a little more help as they are not quite the same group. There are a few teams that could derail Loyola, especially Drake, who has been a bettor’s gold mine this year. Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois are close as well. Should be a battle for the title. My Conference Pick Northern Iowa.

Mountain West: As with all of these conferences, there are multiple land mines for the leaders to get past. Nevada is the clear choice here, but San Diego State, Fresno State and Utah State all have the talent to upset the Wolfpack. Nevada has the better talent by far. My conference pick is Nevada.

PAC-12: What a disappointment this conference has been this year. Usually we get better quality out of the PAC-12. Washington stands out but a few others can surprise. There should only be one team going to the Big Dance from here. Arizona State, Colorado and Oregon are worth mentioning but my conference pick is Washington.

SEC: Like the ACC and Big 10, this league is loaded. Kentucky, LSU and Florida stand out to me. Others could easily be in the mix. Tennessee was for a time ranked #1 but their weak non-conference slate did not toughen them up enough. It will be a tough battle for the title and several teams will make the Big Dance, but my conference pick is Kentucky.

Sun Belt: Texas State is a hard team to prepare for, but these teams do know each other well. Georgia State also plays a tough brand of ball and Georgia Southern is very good. Not many hoop fans know about these clubs but beware, if they get to the Big Show, they can knock someone off. My conference pick is Texas State.

West Coast: It’s all Gonzaga as it usually is for this conference. The lack of big game experience could derail the Zags as it has in the past. Be that as it may, the Zags are one of the very best teams in the nation. My conference pick is Gonzaga.

The following Conferences I will just mention who I pick.

Big Sky: Montana

MAAC: Quinnipiac

Ohio Valley: Belmont

Southern: NC Greensboro

Summit: South Dakota State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

NHL

Toronto vs. Calgary, 03/04/2019 21:00 EDT

Total: +113/+6½ Under

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Two top tier teams the Leafs and the Flames go head to head here in a game that I have pegged to stay under the slightly bloated Total. Both teams offensive numbers warrant this high a Totals number based on statistical data alone, but at this time of year as the play offs approach, physical defensive hockey is the norm amongst team headed to the post season. Calgary took out Toronto 3-1 the last time these teams played back in October of this season and a even more stringent type of hockey I'm betting is on tonights agenda.

TORONTO is 5-0 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.

NHL team against the total (TORONTO) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season are 177-122 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinceletti

Rob V: Monday NBA Comp

New York vs. Sacramento, 03/04/2019 22:00 EDT

Point Spread: -11½/-110 Sacramento

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Monday card a rare Triple Perfect 6* Side and a Powerful NCAAB Card led by the ACC Power play on ESPN. NBA Comp Play below,

The NBA Comp play is on Sacramento at 10:05 eastern. The Kings are a solid play here as they have covered 12 of 15 as a home favorite and 5-0 to the spread if the opponent has no rest. The Kings have covered 25 of 33 vs East Conf.teams. NY comes in with no rest and have failed to cover 7 of 9 as a road dog with no rest off a road game and 6 of 7 vs Pacific division teams. To tie in a nice 80% system from the database we see that non conference road dogs with no rest and a 210 or higher total are covering just 20% since 1995 vs a team that failed to cover as a home favorite of 4 or less like the Kings. Look for the Sacramento to coast past a tired Knicks team. On Monday start the week big in baskets with a rare 6* NBA Triple perfect top play and the big ACC Game on ESPN. We also have a conference tournament play. . For the NBA free play. Play on Sacramento. RV- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tonys *5 NBA Free Play

LA Clippers vs. LA Lakers, 03/04/2019 22:30 EDT

Point Spread: -4/-110 LA Lakers

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: less than 20 games out and 4 games back i think we see a very desperate lakers team pull off the win behind a big game from james making la my nba free pick !

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4

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VIRGINIA (26 - 2) at SYRACUSE (19 - 10) - 3/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (22 - 7) at TCU (18 - 11) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TCU is 165-211 ATS (-67.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TCU is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TCU is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
TCU is 190-240 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 116-155 ATS (-54.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TCU is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 4-2 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (16 - 13) at TEXAS TECH (24 - 5) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 4-3 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ARIZONA (9 - 19) at MONTANA (21 - 7) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
MONTANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 3-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 4-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (14 - 13) at MONTANA ST (13 - 14) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (16 - 12) at IDAHO ST (9 - 17) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 3-1 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 3-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, March 4

Virginia won its last six games, is 14-2 in ACC, winning its last five road games. Cavaliers are shooting 40.8% on arc in ACC play; how will they do in a dome? Syracuse is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 10-6 in ACC, splitting last four home games, with losses to Florida St/Duke. Virginia won five of its last seven games with Syracuse, winning two of three visits here- they won 59-44 here LY. Virginia is 12-2 in its last 14 games as an ACC road favorite, 5-1 this year; last five years, Orange is 5-6-1 as a home underdog, 0-1 this year.

Kansas State won seven of its last nine games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning four of last five road games. TCU lost five of its last six games; they’re 6-10 in Big X, 5-3 at home- they lost two of last three home tilts. Horned Frogs were -11 in turnovers (18-7) in its65-55 loss at Kansas State Jan 19; Wildcats won six of last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Ft Worth. K-State covered four of last five tries as a Big X road favorite (2-0 this year); under Dixon, Horned Frogs are 4-3 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-1 this year.

Texas lost three of last five games; they’re 8-8 in Big X, losing seven of last eight road games, including a loss at SEC doormat Georgia. Texas Tech won its last seven games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning last six home games with four wins by 19+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 22.2% of time in Big X tilts. Tech won 68-62 at Texas Jan 12; Red Raiders won four of last six series games. Texas lost its last three visits to Lubbock, by 8-10-2 points. Texas is 5-0-1 vs spread this season as a Big X road underdog; Tech is 5-2 this season as a home favorite.

Northern Arizona lost six of its last eight games; they’re 7-11 in Big Sky, losing three of last four road games. Montana is 14-3 in Big Sky; two of their three losses came at home. Montana shot 68% inside arc, won first meeting 86-73 in Flagstaff Dec 29; NAU led by point at the half. Montana won last eight series games; Lumberjacks lost last three visits to Missoula, by 7-18-18 points. NAU is 15-10 in its last 25 games as a road underdog, 3-4 this year; Montana is 10-7 vs spread in its last 17 games as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.

Southern Utah is 5-3 in its last eight games, 9-9 overall in Big Sky, losing last three road games, by 11-9-16 points. Montana State won five of its last seven games; they’re 10-7 in conference, winning last three home games, by 8-14-11 points. MSU made 13-26 on arc, crushed Southern Utah 92-62 in Cedar City Dec 29; Bobcats won five of last six series games. SUU is 0-5 in Bozeman, losing by 8-5-14-7-3 points. Thunderbirds are 8-15-2 in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-6 this year; MSU is is 5-1 vs spread this season as a Big Sky home favorite.

Weber State lost six of its last nine games after starting 7-1 in league; Wildcats lost four of their last five road games. Idaho State lost five in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 5-12 in Big Sky, losing five of their last six home games. Weber shot 72% inside arc, whacked ISU 76-59 at home Jan 17; Wildcats won seven of last nine series games. Weber won its last two trips to Pocatello, by 12-7 points. Weber is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road favorite, 4-3 this year; Bengals are 4-12 in last 16 games as a home underdog, 0-2 this year.

Atlantic Sun tournament
Home side won both NJIT-Florida Gulf Coast games this year; NJIT won first meeting by 12, then lost rematch by hoop 19 days ago. Highlanders lost six of last eight games, but lost at league kingpins Lipscomb/Liberty by only 4-6 points last week; they’re 3-5 on ASun road. FGCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-1 at home in A-Sun, upsetting Lipscomb Feb 20. Eagles are 4-13 vs teams ranked in top 200. NJIT is 0-3 in this event, losing first round games by 15-31-4 points; Eagles are 8-1 in this event the last three years, losing in Finals LY.

North Alabama lost seven of its last nine games; this is their first year in D-I. Lions lost five of their last six road games; they’re shooting 30.3% on arc in A-Sun games. North Florida won its last six games; they’re 9-7 in A-Sun despite turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Ospreys won their last three home games, by 23-5-10 points. UNF swept NAU this season, winning by 29 here, by 9 on road. This is North Alabama’s first A-Sun tourney; UNF won its first round game the last four years, by 14-23-3-4 points.

Jacksonville lost its last four games, with three of those losses by 4 or fewer points or in OT; Dolphins lost three of last four road games, losing by 13-9-14 points. J’ville is shooting only 64.4% on line in A-Sun games. Liberty won seven of its last eight games; they won their last four home games. Flames went 2-5 in last five Big South tourneys since last trip to NCAA’s, in 2013. Liberty swept Jacksonville this year, winning by 16 here, by 10 on road. Jacksonville is 1-5 in this event last five years, winning first round game LY; Liberty is in its first A-Sun tourney.

Kennesaw State is 3-13 in A-Sun; two of their wins were by one point. Owls went 0-8 on road in A-Sun play, losing their last three away games by 23-22-17 points. KSU is shooting 39.5% inside arc in league games. Lipscomb beat SMU, TCU, lost by 4 at Louisville; Bisons are 14-2 in A-Sun, only 3-2 in last five games. Lipscomb is making 40.7% of its 3’s in conference games. KSU is 1-3 in first round games, with losses by 36-10-19 points; Lipscomb won this tourney LY; they won last four first round games, by 3-3-31-16 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, March 4

Trend Report

Virginia @ Syracuse
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home

Kansas State @ TCU
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU
TCU is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas
Texas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Southern Utah @ Montana State
Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Southern Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Montana State
Montana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Utah

Northern Arizona @ Montana
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games when playing Montana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 10 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Montana is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Weber State @ Idaho State
Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Weber State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Idaho State
Idaho State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games when playing at home against Weber State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 4


Weber State @ Idaho State

Game 873-874
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Weber State
45.308
Idaho State
47.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
by 2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Weber State
by 4
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(+4); Under

Southern Utah @ Montana State

Game 871-872
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
46.940
Montana State
50.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 4
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
by 6
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(+6); Over

Northern Arizona @ Montana

Game 869-870
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
44.639
Montana
56.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 12
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 15
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+15); Under

Texas @ Texas Tech

Game 867-868
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
72.370
Texas Tech
76.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 4
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 8 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+8 1/2); Over

Kansas State @ TCU

Game 865-866
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
71.331
TCU
62.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 8 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 1 1/2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-1 1/2); Over

Virginia @ Syracuse

Game 863-864
March 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
79.050
Syracuse
70.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 8
114
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 6 1/2
124
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Monday, March 4

Trend Report

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Brooklyn is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Atlanta's last 24 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 24 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Denver is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Antonio
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver's last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
San Antonio is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 16 games
San Antonio is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Denver
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing at home against Denver

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
New Orleans is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Milwaukee is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games at home
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Phoenix is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

New York Knicks
New York is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
New York is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 18 games
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 9 games on the road
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
New York is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Sacramento's last 23 games
Sacramento is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Sacramento is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing New York
Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Sacramento is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing at home against New York

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
LA Clippers is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Clippers's last 17 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 23 games at home
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 17 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (27 - 35) at BROOKLYN (32 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 81-65 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 518-439 ATS (+35.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (22 - 42) at MIAMI (28 - 34) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (42 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (35 - 29) - 3/4/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1081-948 ATS (+38.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 853-728 ATS (+52.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 195-149 ATS (+31.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 223-167 ATS (+39.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (48 - 15) at PHOENIX (13 - 51) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 280-334 ATS (-87.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (29 - 36) at UTAH (36 - 26) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 85-69 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (13 - 50) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 31) - 3/4/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (36 - 29) at LA LAKERS (30 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
LA LAKERS are 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA LAKERS are 145-188 ATS (-61.8 Units) in March games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 4


Dallas @ Brooklyn

Game 501-502
March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
109.681
Brooklyn
109.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
Even
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+5); Over

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 503-504
March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
114.826
Miami
116.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 9
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+9); Under

Denver @ San Antonio

Game 505-506
March 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
122.236
San Antonio
128.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 6 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-1); Under

Milwaukee @ Phoenix

Game 507-508
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
124.758
Phoenix
107.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 17 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 12 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-12 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Utah

Game 509-510
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.851
Utah
123.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 5 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+9 1/2); Under

New York @ Sacramento

Game 511-512
March 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.187
Sacramento
117.375
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 6
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 11 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+11 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ LA Lakers

Game 513-514
March 4, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
110.722
LA Lakers
119.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 8 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Syracuse Orange Preview and Predictions 2019-03-04

NCAAB Predictions 3rd March 2019 by Gracenote
Second-ranked Virginia shoots for its seventh consecutive win as it visits Syracuse in what will surely be a rocking Carrier Dome for a nationally-televised game on Monday evening. The Orange rebounded from tough losses to Duke and North Carolina with a big win at Wake Forest on Saturday.

Virginia is rolling and last-place Pittsburgh was no challenge on Saturday as the Cavaliers jumped out to a big lead early and led 39-19 at the half, allowing coach Tony Bennett to rest his starters with Syracuse on deck 48 hours later. "[The starters] did the job early and they did to start the second half, and it was a way to also reward the guys who work hard in practice," Bennett told the media after the 73-49 win. Syracuse took advantage of the struggling Demon Deacons as Tyus Battle scored 21 points in a 79-54 win on Saturday afternoon. "These games are always difficult, the game you're supposed to win," coach Jim Boeheim told reporters afterward. "It's not that easy. I thought today we played really solid, solid basketball."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN LINE: Check Intertops for the latest line

ABOUT VIRGINIA (26-2, 14-2 ACC): Bennett was able to hold his three star guards - Kyle Guy, Ty Jerome and De'Andre Hunter - below 30 minutes played against Pitt as he got 13 players onto the court in the blowout. Guy, who was nursing sore knees, led the Cavaliers in scoring against the Panthers with 17 points on 6-of-9 shooting, including 5-of-7 from long range, while Jerome added 13 and Hunter 12. Pitt was the 10th team that the Cavaliers have held below 50 points this season as they continue to lead the nation in allowing 54.1 points per game.

ABOUT SYRACUSE (19-10, 10-6): Battle, the team's leading scorer at 17.7 points per game, shot 9-of-13 from the field against Wake Forest while also chipping in defensively with five steals. No. 2 scorer Elijah Hughes (13.9) added 18 on 8-of-12 shooting as the Orange shot 54.4 percent from the floor while dominating inside, outscoring the Demon Deacons 44-10 in the paint. Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense was also at its best and at one point the Orange held Wake Forest without a basket for 13 1/2 minutes in the second half.

TIP-INS

1. Virginia leads the all-time series 6-5, including two wins last season.

2. Cavaliers freshman PG Kihei Clark has 14 assists and no turnovers in his last last three games.

3. The Orange made just 4-of-19 from 3-point range on Saturday, its lowest total in conference action this season.

PREDICTION: Virginia 66, Syracuse 60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Christian Horned Frogs Preview and Predictions 2019-03-04

NCAAB Predictions 3rd March 2019 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 03/03/2019

Kansas State enters the final week of Big 12 play in prime position to end in-state rival Kansas' record 14-year regular-season title streak. The 15th-ranked Wildcats, who are tied with No. 11 Texas Tech for first place and a game ahead of the Jayhawks, need only to win their final two games - starting with Monday night's contest at slumping TCU - to garner at least a share of the crown.

"It's there for us to take," Wildcats coach Bruce Weber told reporters following Saturday night's 66-60 victory over Baylor. "We've got to go take it." That won't be easy against a TCU squad that has dropped five of its last six games, including two in a row, and finds itself squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble while desperately in need of another marquee win on Senior Night. The Horned Frogs blew a chance for picking up one of those wins on Saturday when they were routed at home by Texas Tech 81-66. "Our backs are against the wall," TCU coach Jamie Dixon told reporters. "We've got to find a way to win this game on Monday."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (22-7, 12-4 Big 12): Dean Wade, the preseason Big 12 Player of the Year who has been hampered by a foot injury, had 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting to go along with four rebounds and three blocks in the win over the Bears in one of his best games of the season. "We've got two games left and we can't let it slip (away) now," the 6-10 senior forward told reporters. "These are two crucial, tough games. We've just got to come out focused - right energy, right mindset - and come out and play the basketball we've been playing all season." Senior guard Barry Brown Jr. leads the team in scoring (15.1) followed by Wade (13.2), forward Xavier Sneed (10.4) and point guard Kamau Stokes (10.4), who had 16 points, five assists and four rebounds in the victory over Baylor.

ABOUT TCU (18-11, 6-10): The Horned Frogs enter the final week in a tie for seventh place with Oklahoma, which ends its season at Kansas State on Saturday, and will be trying to avenge a 65-55 road loss to the Wildcats in the first meeting. "We've lost two in a row," Dixon told reporters after the loss to the Red Raiders. "We got beat by a pretty good margin. We've put ourselves in a hole. ... The interesting thing is we have a game Monday so we have to find a way to get better and play better and respond in the right way." The Horned Frogs are led in scoring by sophomore forward Kouat Noi (15.1) followed by guard Desmond Bane (14.9) and senior point guard Alex Robinson (13.2), who leads the Big 12 with an average of 7.0 assists per game.

TIP-INS

1. Brown, who has started 112 consecutive games and played in a school-record 134 straight games, also has a school-record 247 career steals which is tied for sixth best with Russell Robinson of Kansas (2004-08) in Big 12 history.

2. TCU was outscored 24-0 off the bench in the loss to Texas Tech.

3. Kansas State is 77-8 when holding opponents to 60 points or fewer in the Bruce Weber era.

PREDICTION: Kansas State 65, TCU 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Predictions 2019-03-04

NCAAB Predictions 3rd March 2019 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 03/03/2019

Texas Tech looks to keep pace in the quest for its first Big 12 regular-season championship and record an eighth-straight victory when the 11th-ranked Red Raiders host Texas on Monday night. Texas Tech shot 56.9 percent from the field to earn an 81-66 victory at TCU on Saturday to remain tied with Kansas State atop the league standings and set a school record for wins in Big 12 play (12).

"We always feel like we are the underdog and have a chip on our shoulder," Red Raiders coach Chris Beard told reporters. "That's just us. This game was the biggest game that we've ever played or coached in. That's how we approached each game. I'd hate to go into any game thinking the other guy wanted it more than us. Our guys were ready to play (Saturday)." Texas Tech has won the last three games in the series by a combined 12 points, including a 68-62 victory at the Longhorns on Jan. 12 with 22 points from senior guard Matt Mooney. Texas appears to have enough quality wins to reach the NCAA Tournament field - including triumphs against North Carolina, Purdue and Kansas - and followed up a heartbreaking overtime loss to Baylor with a 17-point win over Iowa State on Saturday. "Sometimes when you put a ton into a game and you feel like you're gonna get it and don't get it, that can be a gut punch that can affect you the next game," Longhorns coach Shaka Smart told reporters after the 86-69 win. "At the very beginning of (Saturday's) game, you could see a little bit of residue. We got in the first huddle, and said, 'We have to have a level of juice and energy out there.'"

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT TEXAS (16-13, 8-8 Big 12): Sophomore guard Jase Febres has taken full advantage of three starts in place of indefinitely suspended leading scorer Kerwin Roach II (15.0), averaging 21.3 points after scoring a career-high 26 on Saturday. "I had a lot of open looks," Febres told reporters after connecting on 8-of-10 from 3-point range Saturday to improve his season scoring average to 9.1. "A lot of teams now deny me (the ball), but I was wide open and (teammates) kept feeding me." Freshman guard Courtney Ramey has also stepped up his level of production while averaging 15.3 points the last three games -- 7.2 above his season mark.

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (24-5, 12-4): Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver tops the team in scoring (17.9), rebounds (6.2) and assists (3.7) after recording 15 points, seven assists, six boards and five steals at TCU. Sophomore guard Davide Moretti, who shoots 45.8 percent from 3-point range, is averaging 15.8 points the past four games to push his season mark to 11.3 -- just ahead of Mooney (10.7), who registered six assists in each of the last three contests. Senior forward Tariq Owens has scored in double figures in five straight games and leads the team with 69 blocks -- two shy of Tony Battie's single-season school record in 1996-97.

TIP-INS

1. Texas freshman F Jaxson Hayes entered Sunday second in the nation in field goal percentage (72.8).

2. The Red Raiders are among the national leaders in scoring defense (58.4) and opponents field-goal percentage (36.7).

3. Longhorns senior F Dylan Osetkowski tops the team in rebounding (7.6) and is averaging 13.3 points the last three games.

PREDICTION: Texas Tech 70, Texas 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, March 4

Trend Report

Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 12 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4

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EDMONTON (28-30-0-7, 63 pts.) at BUFFALO (30-27-0-8, 68 pts.) - 3/4/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 27-34 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 21-20 ATS (+45.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BUFFALO is 246-246 ATS (+501.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 39-68 ATS (+133.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 1-10 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-1 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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TORONTO (40-21-0-4, 84 pts.) at CALGARY (41-17-0-7, 89 pts.) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 41-24 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 15-5 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 17-9 ATS (+5.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 9-2 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
TORONTO is 11-5 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 10-17 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 15-32 ATS (+49.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Grand Salami - March

http://i64.tinypic.com/63rsz8.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 4


Edmonton @ Buffalo

Game 17-18
March 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.681
Buffalo
10.030
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+105); Over

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 19-20
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.086
Calgary
12.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Monday comp play is Under the total in Virginia-Syracuse.

Here we have the Cavaliers who are allowing a mere 54.1 points per game, while we also have an Orange team that is not too shabby on the stop end with just 64.8 points per game surrendered.

The Cavaliers have played Under the total in 6 of their last 9 ACC games this year, and on the road Tony Bennett's team has gone 37-14-1 Under the total their last 52 lined games!

The Orange just held Wake Forest to 54 points in their Saturday win over the Demon Deacons, as Syracuse has now been Under the total in 6 of their last 8 on the year. For the year, the 'Cuse is 18-11 Under the total, and I do not see that decided Under trend changing tonight against the defensively-stingy Cavaliers.

This is the only regular season meeting between the ACC rivals, and if it's anything like last year's meeting at the Carrier Dome, then you can mark up your Under ticket as a winner, as last year's meeting on the Orange's court saw a 59-44 Cavs win in a game that held Under the total.

It's a low total posted, but with these 2 teams playing, I think the Under is the way to look.

Virginia-Syracuse Low.

3* VIRGINIA-SYRACUSE UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Chadwick

Monday's free play release will be Brooklyn at home over Dallas.

The Mavericks head into this game off a red-flag raising 81-111 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies their last time out, as Dallas has now dropped 7 of their last 9 games straight up. With the points it has been no better, as the Mavericks have also failed in 7 of those last 9 games played too!

The Nets haven't exactly been tearing it up of late either, as they enter this home game with losses in their last 3, and are just 3-6 straight up their last 9 games played, but I say they get things turned around tonight against a Dallas team that has only won 6 times away from home all season in their 30 road games contested.

It does not appear that Brooklyn is going to be able to get back to their torrid clip that saw them win 20 of 26 through the end of January, but they are still in pretty good shape to make the postseason in the Eastern Conference. A win here would go a long way, especially with a home game against a bad Cleveland team on-deck, and then another winnable game at Atlanta rounding out their next 3 games.

Dallas took the first meeting of the season between the teams on their home floor all the way back in November just before Thanksgiving. That win snapped a 2 game series win and cover streak by the Nets.

I am backing Brooklyn tonight as the home favorite to post this win and cover.

2* BROOKLYN

[conhog]

Brandon Lang
Monday Selection -
My 25 Dime selection is on Virginia over Syracuse. The current line on this game is the Cavaliers -6 in Vegas and offshore at 11:40 am eastern time. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.



NOTE: As of 1:40 pm EST the line is now -5 1/2.



ANALYSIS

They just can't cover versus the elite of the elite on their home floor.

Catching this same +5 1/2 number against Duke two Saturday's ago, they led by 5 at the half in complete control of the game.

The 2nd half they wilted, their best player couldn't make a shot, they missed critical free throws and it all added up to a non covering loss 75-65.

Don't look now but the Orange are now 1-10 ATS last 11 home games when facing a team with a winning road % of greater than .600.

And here comes the 26-2 Virginia Cavaliers.

Since suffering their 2nd loss of the year at home to Duke 81-71, the Cavs have won 6 in a row SU and 4 in a row ATS.

Included in this current winning streak are a 6-point road win at Virginia Tech and a 12 point road win at Louisville.

I'm sorry folks, the clear cut right side of this game is Virginia.

Where Syracuse does everything wrong in close games versus great teams, the Cavs do everything right.

With a win tonight and then Saturday over Louisville at home, the Cavs can win the ACC regular season championship with a tad bit of help.

They will need North Carolina at home to beat Duke on Saturday and I believe the Tar Heels will do just that.

Look for Virginia to be focused and laser sharp against this Orange team that like I said, isn't the smartest team I have ever seen.

Lay a little road wood tonight.