Sunday 4-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5


Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $10,700 • Post: 4:04P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. THEOREM is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THEOREM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LAPULGA: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. U TURN THE PAGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. VICTORY SPELL: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
THEOREM
3/1

4/1
4
LAPULGA
5/2

5/1
5
U TURN THE PAGE
9/2

7/1
7
VICTORY SPELL
4/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
U TURN THE PAGE
5

9/2
Front-runner
74

64

66.8

58.2

49.7
7
VICTORY SPELL
7

4/1
Front-runner
67

63

56.4

57.0

47.0
2
THEOREM
2

3/1
Stalker
72

72

64.4

61.0

54.5
4
LAPULGA
4

5/2
Trailer
71

67

62.8

61.8

58.8
3
IMPERIAL SEA
3

5/1
Trailer
57

60

52.2

55.8

44.3
1
BAYLOR
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

71

81.1

40.6

29.6
8
CELTIC QUEEN
8

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75

62

65.4

56.4

48.9
6
FREAKIN' ME OUT
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

67

60.7

49.3

36.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 10

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


Claiming $20,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $17,300 • Post: 5:24P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HOTT LINK: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. C KATILLAC JACK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JESS CANDY POLITICS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DYNASTYDOUBLEFEATURE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. HEZA SPECIAL SECRET: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
10
HOTT LINK
9/2

4/1
12
C KATILLAC JACK
10/1

7/1
2
JESS CANDY POLITICS
20/1

7/1
4
DYNASTYDOUBLEFEATURE
15/1

9/1
7
HEZA SPECIAL SECRET
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
HESABADBOY
1

15/1
Slow
73

72

8.1

0.0

0.0
2
JESS CANDY POLITICS
2

20/1
Average
87

85

5.1

0.0

0.0
3
LA JOLLA JAMES
3

10/1
Fast/Trouble-prone
75

75

1.4

0.0

0.0
4
DYNASTYDOUBLEFEATURE
4

15/1
Fast
84

83

2.8

0.0

0.0
5
VALIANT SUZY
5

5/1
Average
85

77

4.7

0.0

0.0
6
VALIANT CURL GIRL
6

8/1
Fast
82

80

3.3

0.0

0.0
7
HEZA SPECIAL SECRET
7

5/2
Fast
86

76

2.3

0.0

0.0
8
TWO DASH CORONA
8

20/1
Average
77

72

5.9

0.0

0.0
9
JM TEXAS IVORY
9

12/1
Average
88

81

4.4

0.0

0.0
10
HOTT LINK
10

9/2
Average
90

93

3.7

0.0

0.0
11
CHICO LOCO
11

20/1
Slow
75

76

6.5

0.0

0.0
12
C KATILLAC JACK
12

10/1
Fast
85

82

2.9

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 104

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL IN 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STATE BRED STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 KAABRAAJ 8/5

# 2 REDNECK HUMOR 8/1

# 1 OIL 2/1

KAABRAAJ looks to be a formidable contender. With Stevens aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early for this event. Ran a solid last race. The average Equibase class figure of 90 makes this horse tough to beat. REDNECK HUMOR - Could provide positive returns based on solid recent speed figures with an average of 95. As of late Arrieta has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. OIL - Garnered a solid speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. Meza has this gelding racing well and is a very good choice based on the decent Equibase Speed Figures posted in sprint races recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

04/07/19, SA, Race 9, 5.12 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Claiming Price $50,000 (Non-starters For A Claiming Price Of $20,000 Or Less In Their Last Start Preferred). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 HRR - (RED 8,9,10,11: 1/1. BLK 1,2,4,6,7: 7/5. GRN 3,5,12,13: 12/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 190, Win Percent 25.26, $1 ROI 1.06, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race category and exclusive to SA.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 2 Holy Ghost 4-1 Franco G Cerin Vladimir FEWC 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
099.6096 10 Aussie Fox(b+) 3-1 Fuentes R Mullins Jeff 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
098.7517 9 Indoctrination (IRE) 7/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip JSL 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
097.3957 1 Scrambled 6-1 Pereira T J D'Amato Philip 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
096.4967 6 Single Me Out 5-1 Talamo J Cassidy James M. 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
096.2752 5 Armed Wall 15-1 Maldonado E A Hofmans David E. 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
094.8870 7 Caecilius(b+) 12-1 Pedroza M A Spawr William T 81.60 1.38 29.25 31 106
094.5361 4 Zorich(b-) 12-1 Van Dyke D Glatt Mark 81.60 1.38 29.25 31 106
094.1395 11 Tastemaker 10-1 Roman E A Sise. Jr. Clifford W. 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
094.1160 8 Dawood(b-) 12-1 Gutierrez M Baltas Richard 74.60 1.37 30.00 30 100
092.6027 13 Sooner Better(b+) 30-1 Sanchez D Desormeaux J. Keith 81.60 1.38 29.25 31 106
092.2591 12 Silent Musketier(b+) 30-1 Diaz. Jr. J Mendoza Jesus 81.60 1.38 29.25 31 106
091.6102 3 Indy Jones 20-1 Flores E Brinkerhoff Val 81.60 1.38 29.25 31 106
P# 2 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 10 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 9 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 1 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 6 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 5 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 7 [Turf Mdn] Horse Age 3
P# 4 [Turf Mdn] Horse Age 3
P# 11 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 8 [Turf Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 13 [Turf Mdn] Horse Age 3
P# 12 [Turf Mdn] Horse Age 3
P# 3 [Turf Mdn] Horse Age 3
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 426, Win Percent 35.45, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race category and exclusive to SA.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 9 Indoctrination (IRE) 7/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip JSL 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
099.3054 2 Holy Ghost 4-1 Franco G Cerin Vladimir EWC 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
098.3299 6 Single Me Out 5-1 Talamo J Cassidy James M. 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
097.4344 1 Scrambled 6-1 Pereira T J D'Amato Philip 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
096.6457 10 Aussie Fox(b+) 3-1 Fuentes R Mullins Jeff 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
095.5020 5 Armed Wall 15-1 Maldonado E A Hofmans David E. 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
094.7129 7 Caecilius(b+) 12-1 Pedroza M A Spawr William T 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
094.1241 11 Tastemaker 10-1 Roman E A Sise. Jr. Clifford W. 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
093.4716 4 Zorich(b-) 12-1 Van Dyke D Glatt Mark 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
093.3328 8 Dawood(b-) 12-1 Gutierrez M Baltas Richard 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
091.3087 12 Silent Musketier(b+) 30-1 Diaz. Jr. J Mendoza Jesus 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
091.1929 3 Indy Jones 20-1 Flores E Brinkerhoff Val 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
090.3531 13 Sooner Better(b+) 30-1 Sanchez D Desormeaux J. Keith 36.80 1.08 38.78 95 245
P# 9 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 2 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 6 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 1 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 10 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 5 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 7 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 11 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 4 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 8 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 12 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 3 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females
P# 13 [Dirt Mdn] Race Sex Not Females

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Keeneland - Race #8 - Post: 4:57pm - Stakes - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 98 Appalachian S. Presented by Japan Racing Association (Grade 2)

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 THE MACKEM BULLET (IRE) (ML=6/1)
#1 CLAUSE (ML=3/1)
#11 PRIMELA (FR) (ML=12/1)


THE MACKEM BULLET (IRE) - This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. This animal obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has registered the highest Equibase speed fig on the grass at the distance/surface. CLAUSE - This racer could be tough today, especially since Ortiz rode last time out and now should be more familiar with this one. I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the turf. That barn has a powerful win percent for this distance/surface. Came home fast last time around the track at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for her chances in this race. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill. PRIMELA (FR) - This filly has showed signs of true class at major foreign tracks, and ships in for today's race. Could be tough to beat. Last ran at Gulfstream Park and finished fourth. Reviewing her past performance lines, I see she was close at the end, within five of the winner. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the second time using it, like we have with this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PRINCESA CAROLINA (ML=4/1), #9 REGAL GLORY (ML=4/1),

PRINCESA CAROLINA - Not the best 'fit' in this affair. REGAL GLORY - Won't be easy for this racer to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - THE MACKEM BULLET (IRE) - This foreign import has had success at major tracks overseas.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 THE MACKEM BULLET (IRE) is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [1,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,4,11] with [1,4,11] with [1,4,5,9,11] with [1,4,5,9,11] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
[1,4,11] with [1,4,11] with [1,4,5,11] with [1,4,5,8,9,11] with [1,4,5,8,9,11] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 93

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 22, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 6, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 6, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE 7/2

# 1 CEMENT JOB 9/2

# 8 GLENNEVAN 5/2

SMALL TOWN SHUFFLE seems to be the bet in here. Love when any animal makes a quick reversal of fortune. Has performed very well lately in route races, posting a nifty 84 avg speed figure. With one of the most competitive riders in terms of profits at the window, don't count this gelding out. CEMENT JOB - Is a solid choice - given the 93 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Ought to be used in the exotic offerings. GLENNEVAN - Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 85 avg speed fig. Must be given a shot in here if only for the very good speed fig posted in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 WHEN JESUS WALKED (ML=8/5)
#2 REDNECK STRANGER (ML=2/1)


WHEN JESUS WALKED - Was in an $8,000 Maiden Claiming race at Golden Gate Fields last time out. That event had a class rating of 81 and he is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. Martinez is right back for another race today after riding on board this equine for the first ride on Mar 17th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races. REDNECK STRANGER - Trainer Puentes moves this horse down in class ranks to face a weaker class today. Look for a nice performance in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KONA BREEZE (ML=9/5),

KONA BREEZE - You think this horse is going to be first just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top often. No victories for this vulnerable equine at Golden Gate Fields.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 WHEN JESUS WALKED to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/07/19, OP, Race 2, 1.57 CT
(race description missing)
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 262, Win Percent 24.43, $1 ROI 0.76, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race category and exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 4 Sergeant McNerney 5-1 Johnson J M Hartlage Gary G. W 6.00 1.04 29.49 23 78
098.0086 3 Run This Town 5-1 Santana. Jr. R Cox Brad H. JT 5.00 1.19 46.15 6 13
097.3309 6 Gordie 8-1 Loveberry J Lauer Michael E. E
096.6998 7 A. P. Royal 10-1 Hill C Barkley Jason 15.80 1.42 21.05 4 19
095.6647 8 Conspicuous Box 8-1 Eramia R E Von Hemel Donnie K. 4.80 1.05 10.00 5 50
095.5461 9 Unfailing 7/2 Quinonez L S Von Hemel Donnie K. 2.20 1.01 32.63 31 95
094.5779 1 Bet It All to Win 20-1 Canchari A L Zito Nicholas P.
093.5988 5 Mumford 5/2 Sanjur S Moquett Ron SL
093.1350 2 I Got the Brahms 15-1 De La Cruz F Compton Greg FC
086.3670 10 Willyoustandforme 30-1 Roman K Chleborad Lynn 10.20 1.15 30.30 10 33
P# 4 [Dirt Mdn] Horse Best Workouts
P# 3 [Dirt Mdn] Horse Best Jockey and Trainer
P# 7 [Dirt Mdn] Last Race Not Different Jockey With Worse Win Percent
P# 8 [Dirt Mdn] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 9 [Dirt Mdn] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
P# 10 [Dirt Mdn] Horse Post Greater Than 9