Wednesday 4-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NBA

The Boston Celtics responded to the loss of one of their defensive leaders by putting forth a dominant effort on that end of the floor to begin their best-of-seven Eastern Conference playoff series with the Indiana Pacers. They'll try to maintain their stranglehold on the Pacers and take a commanding 2-0 series lead when the teams meet Wednesday night in Boston.

Despite losing guard Marcus Smart (oblique) prior to the postseason, the Celtics outmuscled Indiana -- particularly during a 26-8 third quarter -- in Sunday's 84-74 Game 1 win, their third victory over the Pacers in a span of 17 days going back to the regular season. "They missed some shots, but we were really connected," Boston coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "We were really playing hard. We were really flying around." All-Star guard Kyrie Irving and forward Marcus Morris scored 20 points apiece for the Celtics, who had a 55-42 advantage on the glass and held Indiana to 33.3 percent shooting. Cory Joseph came off the bench to lead the Pacers with 14 points, while the team's five starters combined for 38 on 15-of-44 from the floor.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT, FS Indiana, NBCS Boston

ABOUT THE PACERS: Sometimes it comes down to simply making enough shots, and Indiana was nowhere close to achieving that goal in Game 1, especially during the third quarter when they were 2-of-19 from the floor. "We've got to shake this off and realize there was a lot of good in there," guard Wesley Matthews told reporters. "I don't think if we played with our eyes closed we could have an eight-point quarter again." Matthews and Joseph hit a pair of 3-pointers apiece while their teammates combined to go 2-of-17 from long range.

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Irving had to watch Boston's run to the Eastern Conference finals from the sidelines last season due to injury, but he made the most of his first playoff game with the team by leading the defensive charge. "I just try to be aggressive on the ball, be in the right spots," Irving, who also had a team-high seven assists, told the media. "I just really want to be aggressive and really be the head of the snake." Forward Jayson Tatum scored 15 points and was the only Celtic to shoot better than 50 percent from the field by hitting 6-of-11 shots -- 3-of-3 from beyond the arc.

BUZZER BEATERS
1. Celtics C Al Horford had 10 points, 11 rebounds and five assists in Game 1.

2. SF Bojan Bogdanovic led the Pacers' starting five with 12 points in the opener.

3. Boston hit 18-of-22 free throws in Game 1, while Indiana was 12-of-21.

PREDICTION: Celtics 102, Pacers 93

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Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NBA

The Detroit Pistons felt the absence of Blake Griffin in Game 1 on Sunday, but even the return of an All-Star might not have been enough to overcome the Milwaukee Bucks. The Pistons will try to bounce back and steal homecourt advantage from the NBA-best Bucks when they visit Milwaukee for Game 2 on Wednesday.

Detroit fell behind 38-18 after the first quarter in Game 1 and was never in the contest before finally falling 121-86. "We didn't meet the level of physicality and then we tried - we got some cheap fouls," Pistons coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "The speed of the game, we've got to get up to. We were all over the map defensively. Didn't get anything done. But we've got another level we have to get to with our intensity, physicality, because they're coming through there with violence, Euro stepping, throwing elbows. We've got to make sure we get our level of competitiveness up to start the game. You can't spot a great team like this that many points and expect to get back into it." Most of those drives to the basket from the Bucks were coming from MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo, who breezed to 24 points and 17 rebounds in 23 minutes. "I just tried to be aggressive," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "I wanted to start the game aggressive. I knew if I was in aggressive mode all game, good things would happen."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBATV, FS Detroit, FS Wisconsin (Milwaukee)

ABOUT THE PISTONS: Griffin battled a knee injury at the end of the regular season and was held out of Game 1 by the medical staff, which will have the final say in when he returns. "He's itching to play," Casey told reporters of Griffin. "He's lobbying. He wants to play. It's the medical staff. The doctors are the ones who are making those decisions. Not me. Not Blake. That's what we're working with. We have an excellent medical staff. When his body says he's ready - whether it's Wednesday night or Saturday - he'll be available." Luke Kennard led Detroit with 21 points off the bench in Game 1 while center Andrew Drummond was held to 12 points on 4-of-9 shooting before drawing a flagrant 2 foul and being ejected.

ABOUT THE BUCKS: Milwaukee coach Mike Budenholzer praised his team's readiness to start the playoffs and Antetokounmpo echoed those statements while questioning the readiness of his opponents. "I don't know if they were ready for us," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "We just tried to focus on ourselves." Seven players scored in double figures for the Bucks, who knocked down 15 3-pointers and totaled 31 assists on 44 field goals while outscoring the Pistons in the paint 52-38 in the easy win.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Griffin drew a technical foul while on the bench in Game 1 for arguing after Drummond was ejected.

2. Milwaukee PF Nikola Mirotic (thumb) scored four points in 15 minutes off the bench after missing the final 11 games of the regular season.

3. Detroit PF Thon Maker, who started in place of Griffin, was held to four points on 2-of-10 shooting, including 0-of-6 from 3-point range.

PREDICTION: Bucks 116, Pistons 96

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Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NBA

The Houston Rockets annihilated Utah in the opener and look to take a 2-0 lead when they host the Jazz on Tuesday in the second game of the Western Conference first-round series. Seven players scored in double digits and the fourth-seeded Rockets made 15 3-pointers while posting an easy 122-90 victory over fifth-seeded Utah.

Houston star guard James Harden had 29 points in Game 1 but he can't get last season's five-game postseason series win over the Jazz out of mind. "I don't mean to bring up last year, but we played pretty well in Game 1 last year and they came in here in Game 2 and beat us," Harden told reporters of the second-round series. "It's only one game. They're going to make adjustments and we have to make adjustments." Utah star shooting guard Donovan Mitchell said his team has to view the 32-point trouncing as just a loss and forget about the margin of defeat. "We could have won this game by 90, lost the game by 90, won by 1, lost by 1. It's one game," Mitchell told reporters. "It's not like they get two wins. It's just about making adjustments and not overreacting to what happened."

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT, AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain (Utah), AT&T SportsNet Southwest (Houston)

ABOUT THE JAZZ: Utah had trouble halting the Rockets from the outside but also allowed center Clint Capela (16 points, 12 rebounds) to get free for easy baskets and coach Quin Snyder said the defense has to be improved in Game 2. "You're going to give something up against the Rockets," Snyder told reporters. "We just don't want to make it easy. We had some breakdowns in the half court, no question. Some of that is going to happen even when you're good, because of their ability to make plays." Mitchell scored 19 points in Game 1 but was 7-of-18 shooting and committed five turnovers.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Harden was 11-of-26 shooting as Utah mixed up its defenses while keeping him seven points below his season average. "They throw something at him and they might get him a little bit and he figures it out and they don't get him anymore," Houston coach Mike D'Antoni told reporters of the strategies against Harden. "He's so good offensively it makes me laugh. He's just so good I don't know what you do ... you're not stopping him. I don't care what you do." Harden, who made four 3-pointers, also had 10 assists and eight rebounds in the victory.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. SG Eric Gordon (17 points) and SFs P.J. Tucker (11) and Danuel House Jr. (11) all had three 3-pointers for the Rockets in Game 1.

2. Utah C Rudy Gobert was 8-of-10 shooting while recording 22 points and 12 rebounds in Game 1.

3. Houston PG Chris Paul (14 points, seven assists) was 7-of-12 shooting in Game 1 after being 8-of-21 in two regular-season contests against the Jazz.

PREDICTION: Rockets 119, Jazz 105

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Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NHL

Mitch Marner gained the appreciation of his team -- and perhaps a few in the dental profession -- after sliding in front of a pair of blasts from David Pastrnak in the waning moments of their last contest. Marner hopes to help the Maple Leafs push the Boston Bruins to the brink of elimination on Wednesday when the clubs play Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round series in Toronto.

"I mean, there's dentists for a reason, so whatever. Luckily enough, it didn't hit me in the face, but it could have been a tough result if it had," Marner said on Tuesday, one day after the Maple Leafs' 3-2 win in Game 3. The 21-year-old Marner recorded his 16th point (five goals, 11 assists) in 16 career playoff games and third of the series after setting up Auston Matthews' power-play goal in the second period. Boston's vaunted top line of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and Pastrnak has combined for just six points in the series, four of which came in the club's 4-1 win in Game 2 on Saturday. By comparison, that group combined for 30 points (nine goals, 21 assists) in last year's seven-game series against Toronto, and Marchand (seven assists) and Pastrnak (six goals, three assists) also enjoyed sterling performances in four regular-season meetings versus the Maple Leafs.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, NESN (Boston), CBC, TVAS (Toronto)

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Charlie Coyle capped a five-goal second period when he scored for the second time in as many contests, tying him with Bergeron for the team lead in goals (two). The 27-year-old Massachusetts native's scoring surge is a welcome sight considering he had just 12 points since Jan. 7 dating back to when he played with Minnesota. David Krejci also tallied in Game 3, giving him five points (three goals, two assists) in seven meetings with the Maple Leafs in 2018-19.

ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS: Andreas Johnsson stepped up in place of the suspended Nazem Kadri, collecting a pair of power-play points (one goal, one assist) in Game 3 while logging just over two minutes of ice time with the club enjoying the man advantage. Matthews also recorded a multi-point performance with a goal and an assist, pushing his career point total to seven (five goals, two assists) in seven career home playoff games. "It's another level when you score one in the playoffs, especially at home," the 21-year-old Matthews said. "It feels like an earthquake under you."

OVERTIME

1. Boston C Marcus Johansson (illness) and Ds John Moore (upper body) and Connor Clifton (upper body) returned to practice on Tuesday, with coach Bruce Cassidy labeling the first two players as game-time decisions for Game 4.

2. Toronto C John Tavares won 10 of his 16 faceoffs when matched up against Bergeron.

3. Bruins C Danton Heinen has two goals and an assist in his last four games

PREDICTION: Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 1

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Nashville Predators vs. Dallas Stars Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NHL

The Dallas Stars feel they have deserved a better fate through the first three games of their Western Conference first-round series, but the immediate goal is figuring out a way to earn a victory at home against the Nashville Predators. The Stars will look to level the series when they host the Central Division champions in Game 4 on Wednesday night.

After stealing home-ice advantage with a 3-2 victory at Nashville in the series opener, the Stars gave it right back with Monday's 3-2 setback to remain winless in three home games against the Predators this season. "It's 2-1, I think we've been the better team two out of three games," coach Jim Montgomery said after his club unleashed 42 shots on goal in Game 3. "Keep playing like that, usually hockey gods get back on your side." Nashville was relieved to have its first lead of the series after watching Dallas erase a two-goal deficit, but the team realizes there is a long way to go. "It's a huge win for us after going down in Game 1, but I don't want to talk about momentum or anything like that because it's such a dangerous thing," netminder Pekka Rinne said. "You lose that grip right away when you start thinking about it, so I think we have to prepare for Game 4 like it's Game 1 or Game 7."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, USA, Sportsnet, TVAS2, FS Tennessee (Nashville) FS Southwest

ABOUT THE PREDATORS: It wasn't just the sheer volume of saves made by Rinne that was the decisive factor in Game 3 -- he registered five of his 40 saves with Dallas on a 5-on-3 power play and kept the score tied by denying captain Jamie Benn point-blank in the third period. "Every once in while he makes one like that you roll your eyes and say, 'How did he do that?'" Nashville defenseman P.K. Subban said. "He's been doing that for a long time." Rocco Grimaldi has scored in back-to-back games after replacing forward Brian Boyle, who is week-to-week following an appendectomy.

ABOUT THE STARS: Rinne's counterpart, Ben Bishop, had not surrendered more than two goals since Feb. 4 but that streak halted in painful fashion when Mikael Granlund's seemingly harmless shot from just inside the blue line got past him for the game-winner. "You just got to put it behind you and go out and play our game," Bishop said. "Some nights, there are unfortunate bounces. Some nights, you're lucky. It doesn't change anything. It's the same routine, night in and night out." Despite an abundance of chances, Dallas is 1-for-13 on the power play in the series.

OVERTIME

1. Stars F Tyler Seguin scored the tying goal Monday and recorded a staggering 11 shots on net.

2. Predators F Wayne Simmonds also is week-to-week after taking a puck off the knee in Game 2.

3. Stars F Mats Zuccarello, who played in only two games since he was acquired via trade, has scored twice in the series.

PREDICTION: Stars 3, Predators 2

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Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche Preview and Predictions 04-17-2019 in NHL

Earning the No. 1 seed has not translated into an advantage in the opening round of the playoffs, as Tampa Bay found out in the East and Calgary is hoping to avoid in the West. The Flames, who rolled up a Western Conference-best 107 points, have dropped two in a row to fall into a 2-1 series hole entering Game 4 against the host Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday night.

Nathan MacKinnon delivered the decisive tally in overtime in Game 2 and ignited Colorado by scoring twice on the power play in the first period of Monday's 6-2 romp. "We're just trying to get to four wins," MacKinnon said. "We feel good, but at the same time, we got to move on. It's two wins now, but we need to regroup and get ready for a huge game Wednesday." Calgary was overwhelmed from the outset in Game 3, allowing 21 of Colorado's 56 shots on goal in the opening period and putting the Avalanche on the power play eight times, but the players know how quickly the momentum can change. "It's a 2-1 series. We win tomorrow, we go back best-of-three with two home games," Flames captain Mark Giordano said. "If you look at it that way, it's a positive. But we have to put in the work and get the win."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS (Calgary), Altitude (Colorado)

ABOUT THE FLAMES: While both teams rely a high-powered top line, but Calgary's No. 1 unit of Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan and Elias Lindholm need to start producing after being held to a collective four points through three games. "Everyone has got to be better, not just one guy," said Gaudreau, who has managed only one assist after matching MacKinnon by racking up a career-high 99 points during the regular season. Third-line forward Sam Bennett has a team-high four points while defenseman Rasmus Andersson is second on the team with three points.

ABOUT THE AVALANCHE: Cale Makar made a loud introduction just one day after signing a three-year contact with Colorado, becoming the first defenseman in league history to make his NHL debut in the playoffs and score a goal. "It's pretty weird. Pretty special, though," said Makar, a No. 4 overall pick in 2017 who led Massachusetts to the Frozen Four and was named the Hobey Baker Award winner this season. "Obviously, it's a cool moment." Forward Matt Nieto, who entered the series without a goal since Dec. 6, has notched short-handed tallies in each of the past two games.

OVERTIME

1. Avalanche F Mikko Rantanen, who missed the final eight games of the regular season, has consecutive two-point contests.

2. Flames Fs Michael Frolik and James Neal have yet to dent the scoresheet.

3. Avalanche D Samuel Girard (upper body) could rejoin the lineup after sitting out Game 3.

PREDICTION: Avalanche 4, Flames 3

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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: HOUSTON/UTAH OVER the total of 212½

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Totals4U

Wednesday's Free Selection: Arizona/Atlanta under 9

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Roz Wins

Roz's Wednesday, April 17, 2019, Free Pick



04/17 05:05 PM MLB (923) LOS ANGELES ANGELS (M HARVEY - R) VS (924) TEXAS RANGERS (L LYNN - R)

Take : Rangers

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Atlantic Sports

Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Calgary Flames - 115

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#1 Sports

Wednesday's Free Selection: Minnesota Twins - 140

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Platinum Plays Free Pick: the LA Angels/Texas Game OVER 11 Runs

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Wednesday, April 17, 2019

4/17 04:05 PM NBA (537) INDIANA PACERS VS (538) BOSTON CELTICS

Take : Pacers

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday : Take CHICAGO CUBS (Hamels) -150 over Miami

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Wednesday

Houston Miley -110

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Hawkeye Sports Wednesday's Free Pick: Dallas Stars - 115

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Houston Miley -110

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Arthur Ralph

FREE play WED Dodgers w/ Buehler -180

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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 4/17 MLB MILWAUKEE-130

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: INDIANA/BOSTON OVER the total of 203

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Wednesday: Washington Nationals - 140

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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR WEDNESDAY - HOUSTON/UTAH OVER the total of 212½

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DONNY ACTION

MLB KANSAS CITY ROYALS +105

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Ace / V.I.P.

NBA BOSTON CELTICS ‑7.5

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Vegas Investment Picks

NBA HOUSTON ROCKETS ‑6.5

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Top Dog

NHL NASHVILLE PREDATORS +100

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FURBOOKIE

MLB PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES ‑115

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Keeneland

Keeneland - Race 2

Daily Double -Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 4 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Super High Five ($1 min)


SO $10,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 1:39P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PICASSO MOON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PICASSO MOON: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SECRET TRICK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. KATIE THE CUTIE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG): Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EYERISH INSPIRED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
PICASSO MOON
3/1

4/1
5
SECRET TRICK
8/1

8/1
2
KATIE THE CUTIE
5/1

8/1
4
LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG)
5/2

9/1
7
EYERISH INSPIRED
5/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
PICASSO MOON
3

3/1
Alternator/Front-runner
79

72

60.1

69.2

66.7
2
KATIE THE CUTIE
2

5/1
Stalker
81

72

64.2

68.4

59.4
7
EYERISH INSPIRED
7

5/1
Stalker
75

72

48.6

68.0

58.5
6
NYMUE'S TREASURE
6

5/1
Trailer
72

63

62.6

64.5

55.0
5
SECRET TRICK
5

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
79

77

60.0

72.8

66.3
4
LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG)
4

5/2
Alternator/Trailer
81

76

55.6

67.6

59.1
8
SHE'S ALOTTA WOMAN
8

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

68

55.5

58.4

45.4
1
NATIVE WONDER
1

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
76

61

49.6

61.8

49.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $1 Pick 6 (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 59 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:11P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LOUD BRAND is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LOUD BRAND: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SIR YARNALLTON : Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SCOUTING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
LOUD BRAND
6/5

7/2
4
SIR YARNALLTON
12/1

7/1
1
SCOUTING
5/2

8/1
8
RUFEELINGLUCKY
8/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
LOUD BRAND
3

6/5
Alternator/Front-runner
58

55

59.4

47.7

43.7
8
RUFEELINGLUCKY
8

8/1
Trailer
67

54

37.0

42.6

31.6
1
SCOUTING
1

5/2
Alternator/Trailer
62

54

63.0

47.6

41.6
4
SIR YARNALLTON
4

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
67

56

47.0

51.2

43.7
2
FLAT CREEK
2

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

54.8

25.0

15.5
5
ROAD TO CAIRO
5

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58

52

23.5

35.1

25.1
6
SMART REBEL
6

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

19.0

19.0

7.0
7
EAGLE TWO
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

13.3

38.9

28.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20900 Class Rating: 86

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OKLAHOMA STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 SOCKS 8/5

# 4 INDIAN GEM 9/5

# 2 AUBREY 3/1

SOCKS has a decent shot to take this race. Has garnered strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Wethey has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 20 percent rate. Will almost certainly come out very solid - I have liked the way this mare has moved speedily to the lead recently. INDIAN GEM - Looks solid for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figures in dirt route races lately. Recorded a very strong Equibase Speed Fig last time out. AUBREY - Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Has a very solid shot for this event if you like back class.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 40

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 COPPER TRAIL (ML=6/1)


COPPER TRAIL - Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a solid race on April 1st. I think that the addition of blinks today will keep her mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WAFFLESORPANCAKES (ML=6/5), #1A PINK HALDER (ML=5/2), #1 SPIT'S IMAGE (ML=5/2),

WAFFLESORPANCAKES - This filly almost certainly won't be right there near the finish line. PINK HALDER - Had to show me lots more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. Don't feel this steed will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. SPIT'S IMAGE - You always think this horse has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but she comes up short often. Mahoning Valley Race Course has not been kind to this pony.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #7 COPPER TRAIL on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

04/17/19, TAM, Race 5, 2.54 ET
(race description missing)
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-9) - Super High 5
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 331, Win Percent 29.61, $1 ROI 1.09, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 11 Perfect Joe 15-1 Allen M Allen Lisa WL 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.8804 2 Jimmy D 3-1 Morales P Johns Justin 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.5989 9 Philo 20-1 Spieth S Padilla Tim P. SFC 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.0233 8 Im Chillin 4-1 Villa-Gomez H Potts Ron G. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
098.0633 3 Animus 6-1 Mena R Ferraro M. Anthony E 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
097.7467 7 Wicked Boy 7/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent J 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
097.6218 1 King's Dream 5-1 Martinez W Caruso Nick Joseph T 88.60 1.19 28.76 67 233
096.3406 10 Whistle Me Home 8-1 Centeno D Hemingway Ian 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
096.1696 4 Pollock 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Harvatt Charles R. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
095.1323 5 Rollin Smoke 20-1 Delgado D Londono Genevieve 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
093.9640 12 Gran Tepuy 30-1 Rodriguez J C Palacios Molina Jacob 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
093.9550 6 Dreams d'Argent 20-1 Garcia G Valls Whitney L. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
P# 11 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 9 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Favorite(not entry)
P# 10 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 12 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 690, Win Percent 28.84, $1 ROI 0.77, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 2 Jimmy D 3-1 Morales P Johns Justin
099.3760 11 Perfect Joe 15-1 Allen M Allen Lisa WL 1.80 1.13 42.86 3 7
099.1160 3 Animus 6-1 Mena R Ferraro M. Anthony E
098.6868 7 Wicked Boy 7/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent J
098.2816 8 Im Chillin 4-1 Villa-Gomez H Potts Ron G.
098.1395 1 King's Dream 5-1 Martinez W Caruso Nick Joseph T
097.5895 9 Philo 20-1 Spieth S Padilla Tim P. SFC
096.9542 10 Whistle Me Home 8-1 Centeno D Hemingway Ian 11.20 1.70 50.00 4 8
095.9541 4 Pollock 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Harvatt Charles R.
094.7246 5 Rollin Smoke 20-1 Delgado D Londono Genevieve
094.4762 6 Dreams d'Argent 20-1 Garcia G Valls Whitney L.
093.7296 12 Gran Tepuy 30-1 Rodriguez J C Palacios Molina Jacob
P# 11 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Last Race OddsOn Favorite(not entry) And Not Greater Than 5 Horses Today
P# 10 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 45

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 CIVIL STONES (ML=6/1)
#2 YOU BETTER NOT (ML=4/1)
#4 CALLING INDIA (ML=9/5)


CIVIL STONES - I really like sprint horses that make a fast turnaround. Peltroche rode this racer for the initial time last out and comes right back this time. This pony coming off a solid race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my book. As the only speedy sort in the race, I expect this mare to be long gone. YOU BETTER NOT - I like the fact that this first time starter's recent works have been over this track. Gets help from Hanagan with the addition of Lasix. CALLING INDIA - Trainer Viands moves this animal down in class ranks to face much lower class horses. Look for a nice effort racing against these lower level horses. After the race aboard this equine on Mar 29th, the jockey is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. I like the fact that this filly's last figure, 41, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED BEAN SONDE (ML=2/1), #3 BINN THERE (ML=5/1),

RED BEAN SONDE - Don't feel this pony will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. BINN THERE - Finished seventh last out. Would have to get better to finish in the money in today's event. This entrant ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last race out. She shouldn't run much better and will probably suffer defeat today running that figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 CIVIL STONES to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 100

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 BIG BIRTHDAY 5/2

# 4 PAUSEFORTHECAUSE 2/1

# 2 HONOR WAY 3/1

I've got to go with BIG BIRTHDAY. Keep this filly in your exotics as Franco has given backers some double digit dividends. Is a solid contender - given the 96 speed rating from her most recent race. Is a strong contender based on figs recorded recently under today's conditions. PAUSEFORTHECAUSE - Has very good early pace and should fare strongly against this field. With a solid 100 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. HONOR WAY - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this field. A nice ROI of +66 with this jock and handler duo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/17/19, KEE, Race 4, 2.45 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.01.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $81,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 5 ($.50 min)-Superfecta - ($.10 min)-Super High Five ($1 min)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 84, Win Percent 20.24, $1 ROI 0.92, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 1 Coexistence 5-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe FE 53.00 2.89 28.57 4 14
099.1634 6 Golden Orb 5/2 Rosario J Stidham Michael JW 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
098.9119 8 La Femme Royale 3-1 Geroux F Shirer Matt A. TL 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
098.3363 5 Rockin Ready 9/5 Velazquez J R D'Amato Philip 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
097.0304 7 Tap Tap Taparoo 3-1 Gaffalione T Toner James J. 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
096.8070 2 Focused 8-1 Ortiz J L Oliver Victoria H. S 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
095.4657 3 Fancy Fox 12-1 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
093.7319 4 Tiz Taken Back 15-1 Villasana C Wylie Jerry C 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] COM24 C7H04 C7L13 Compound Conditions
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse. If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 171, Win Percent 29.24, $1 ROI 0.88, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Golden Orb 5/2 Rosario J Stidham Michael J 52.60 1.71 40.54 15 37
099.6543 8 La Femme Royale 3-1 Geroux F Shirer Matt A. TWL 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
098.8880 7 Tap Tap Taparoo 3-1 Gaffalione T Toner James J. F 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
097.1402 1 Coexistence 5-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe E 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
095.3132 2 Focused 8-1 Ortiz J L Oliver Victoria H. S 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
094.4143 5 Rockin Ready 9/5 Velazquez J R D'Amato Philip 82.00 1.76 16.67 9 54
092.3939 3 Fancy Fox 12-1 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
090.4659 4 Tiz Taken Back 15-1 Villasana C Wylie Jerry C 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, April 16

http://i63.tinypic.com/161de21.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 17


NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
April 17, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 15.400
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 13.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+100); Over

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 903-904
April 17, 2019 @ 1:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.811
Milwaukee
(Burnes) 17.351
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-135); Under

Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
April 17, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Keller) 14.673
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 16.377
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-115); Under

Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers

Game 905-906
April 17, 2019 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Gray) 15.420
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 16.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-180); Over

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 915-916
April 17, 2019 @ 6:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Eovaldi) 14.949
NY Yankees
(Happ) 11.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Over

Cleveland @ Seattle

Game 917-918
April 17, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 15.395
Seattle
(Swanson) 16.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Detroit

Game 927-928
April 17, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.024
Detroit
(Turnbull) 14.177
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-115); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 907-908
April 17, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 16.546
Washington
(Hellckson) 15.139
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+115); Under

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 919-920
April 17, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Hess) 14.160
Tampa Bay
(Stanek) 16.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ Miami

Game 909-910
April 17, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hamels) 16.154
Miami
(Alcntara) 12.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); Under

Arizona @ Atlanta

Game 911-912
April 17, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 16.877
Atlanta
(Gausman) 15.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Over

Toronto @ Minnesota

Game 921-922
April 17, 2019 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Thornton) 16.249
Minnesota
(Odorizzi) 15.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+125); Under

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 923-924
April 17, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Harvey) 14.777
Texas
(Lynn) 16.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-120); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 925-926
April 17, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 15.023
Oakland
(Montas) 18.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-105); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (10 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 6) - 1:05 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 57-97 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 860-905 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY METS are 290-290 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
NY METS are 458-473 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
WHEELER is 17-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 42-47 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WHEELER is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+4.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.052.
His team's record is 4-7 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (9 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 6) - 1:40 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. CORBIN BURNES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 114-77 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-8 (+14.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-34 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 84-54 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-38 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 470-418 (+62.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WACHA is 4-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.449.
His team's record is 5-6 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.3 units)

CORBIN BURNES vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BURNES is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (5 - 11) at LA DODGERS (11 - 8) - 3:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-30 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-79 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 (-8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
GRAY is 25-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 18-29 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 1-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 111-87 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-29 (-18.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 58-44 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 172-194 (-70.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 15-18 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.444.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 10) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 7:05 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-110 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-71 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-71 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 86-123 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 34-54 (-28.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 226-210 (+31.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 89-88 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-38 (-22.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-46 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-13 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 53-53 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-58 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-33 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 2-8 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 2-8 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-1.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.427.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

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ARIZONA (8 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 7) - 7:20 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 32-54 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GODLEY is 2-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 100-81 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-14 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 75-51 (+26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-17 (+18.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-13 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-24 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-25 (-14.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
GAUSMAN is 13-24 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GODLEY is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.355.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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KANSAS CITY (5 - 12) at CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 9) - 2:10 PM
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-30 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-53 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

BRAD KELLER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KELLER is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

LUCAS GIOLITO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIOLITO is 4-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.978.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

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BOSTON (6 - 12) at NY YANKEES (7 - 9) - 6:35 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 6-12 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 3-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 5-9 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
NY YANKEES are 61-49 (-29.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 94-69 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.758.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 8-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 13-8 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-9. (+1.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (10 - 7) at SEATTLE (13 - 7) - 6:40 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. ERIK SWANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 101-81 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 46-46 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-57 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-47 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-38 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-7 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 57-44 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-55 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 949-857 (-115.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
CARRASCO is 4-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

ERIK SWANSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (7 - 11) at TAMPA BAY (13 - 4) - 7:10 PM
DAVID HESS (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DAVID HESS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HESS is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

RYAN STANEK vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STANEK is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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TORONTO (7 - 11) at MINNESOTA (8 - 6) - 7:40 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 74-100 (-33.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-92 (-32.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

TRENT THORNTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TORONTO since 1997
ODORIZZI is 5-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.060.
His team's record is 6-9 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

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LA ANGELS (8 - 9) at TEXAS (9 - 7) - 8:05 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HARVEY is 25-40 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
HARVEY is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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HOUSTON (12 - 5) at OAKLAND (10 - 10) - 10:07 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 107-76 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-34 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-52 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-29 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-30 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-10 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 82-43 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 162-82 (+34.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-18 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 43-17 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
MILEY is 16-7 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 13-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 13-4 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MILEY is 5-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.40 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.7 units)

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MONTAS is 1-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.837.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (9 - 6) at DETROIT (8 - 8) - 6:40 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. SPENCER TURNBULL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 27-54 (-20.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 16-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-56 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 8-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 71-128 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. DETROIT since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.615.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

SPENCER TURNBULL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB


Wednesday, April 17


National League
Mets (10-7) @ Phillies (10-6)
Wheeler is 1-1, 7.47 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 3.96 in four starts here. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Arrieta is 2-1, 2.25 in his first three starts; he is 2-3, 2.34 in 10 starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-1-1

Mets are 8-4 in first 12 road games; nine of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1-1 in last nine.

Philly split in its last ten games; six of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 last seven.

Giants (8-10) @ Nationals (7-8)
Samardzija is 1-0, 2.16 in his first three starts; he is 2-8, 4.63 in 17 games (10 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Hellickson threw six shutout innings in his first ’19 start; he is 2-2, 3.29 in five starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Giants won four of last four games, are 3-5 on road. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1-1 in last six

Washington is 6-5 in its last 11 games; they’re 3-6 at home. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-4-1 at home

Cubs (7-9) @ Marlins (4-14)
Hamels is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; he is 2-5, 3.14 in 10 starts here. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Alcantara is 1-1, 4.24 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Cubs won five of their last six games (over 10-6). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 10-6

Miami lost eight of its last nine games; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 in last five

Diamondbacks (8-9) @ Braves (9-7)
Godley is 1-1, 7.94 in his first three starts. 1-1, 7.41 in three starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Gausman is 1-1, 2.84 in his first two starts; he allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his only start vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Diamondbacks lost four of their last four games (over 13-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six.

Atlanta won five of its last eight games; five of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1-1 last eight

Cardinals (9-8) @ Brewers (12-6)
Wacha is 0-0, 5.28 in his first three starts; he is 2-0, 3.29 in six games (5 starts) in Miller Park. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 3-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3 Over/under: 3-0

Burnes is 0-1, 10.05 in his first three starts; he gave up four runs in five IP vs St Louis March 31. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Cardinals lost three of their last four games; five of their last six went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 in last five games

Milwaukee won four of last five games; they’re 7-2 at home. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-2 in last 11

Reds (5-11) vs Dodgers (11-8)
Gray is 0-2, 2.70 in his first three starts; he shut the Dodgers out the only time he face them. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 0-3

Buehler is 1-0, 8.25 in his first three starts; he allowed two runs in six IP in his only start vs Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Cincinnati won four of its last seven games (under 12-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 in last 13.

Dodgers lost six of their last nine games; over is 7-5 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-2 in last ten

American League
Red Sox (6-11) @ New York (7-9)
Eovaldi is 0-0, 8.40 in his first three starts; he is 10-5, 3.70 in 25 starts here. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 0-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Happ is 0-2, 8.53 in his first three starts; he hasn’t finished the 5th inning yet. Happ is 8-4, 2.98 in 20 starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3 Over/under: 3-0

Boston lost 11 of its first 17 games (over 12-5). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-8

New York lost five of its last seven games (under 7-2-1 at home). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 in last five

Orioles (7-11) @ Tampa Bay (13-4)
Hess is 1-2, 3.71 in his first three starts; he is 1-1, 2.60 in three starts here. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 3-0

Bullpen game for Tampa Bay. Team in bullpen games: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning:0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Orioles lost ten of their last 13 games; nine of their last 12 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-8-2

Tampa Bay won seven of its last eight games; under is 8-0 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 in last six.

Blue Jays (7-11) @ Twins (8-6)
Thornton is 0-1, 4.61 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Odorizzi is 0-2, 7.15 in his first three starts; he is 5-3, 3.21 in 15 starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Blue Jays lost 10 of their last 15 games; five of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-5-1

Minnesota is 3-4 in its last seven games; six of their last eight games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3-1 last 12.

Angels (8-9) @ Rangers (9-7)
Harvey is 0-1, 10.05 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Lynn is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 4.56 in four starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Angels won seven of their last ten games but lost last two (under 10-6-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11

Texas won its last three games; over is 7-2-1 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 11-5

Royals (5-12) @ White Sox (7-9)
Keller is 2-1, 2.45 in his first four starts; he is 3-1, 2.90 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 2-2

Giolito is 2-1, 7.31 in his first three starts; he is 4-0, 2.40 in seven starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Royals won three of their last five games (over 10-5-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 in last nine games.

Chicago won four of its last five games (over 10-6). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-1-1 last 12

Astros (13-5) @ A’s (10-10)
Miley is 1-1, 3.45 in his first three starts; he is 2-1, 0.92 in three starts in Oakland. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 1-2

Montas is 2-1, 3.18 in his first three starts; he is 1-2, 5.89 in five games (3 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Astros won their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3 in last seven games.

Oakland won four of its last six games; they’re 6-3 at home, but 0-4 vs Houston. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1-2 last 11

Indians (10-7) @ Mariners (13-7)
Carrasco is 1-2, 12.60 in his first three starts; he is 4-3, 4.10 in eight games (7 starts) vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Swanson is making his first MLB start; he’s made 14 AAA starts (3-2, 3.61). He allowed two runs in two IP in his only MLB game. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Indians lost four of their last seven games; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 in last 12.

Seattle lost its last five games after a 13-2 start; over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 12-7

Interleague
Pirates (9-6) @ Tigers (8-8)
Williams is 1-0, 2.95 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Turnbull is 0-2, 5.40 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 0-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 1-2

Pirates won eight of last 11 games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 in last nine games.

Detroit lost five of its last six games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-5

Umpires
NY-Phil: Five of last seven TBarrett games stayed under.
Chi-Mia: Eight of last nine Ripperger games went over.
SF-Wsh: Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Nelson games.
StL-Mil: 10 of last 12 Lentz games went over.
Cin-LA: Home side won six of last eight Mahrley games.
Az-Atl: Under is 4-0-1 in last five Reynolds games.

Bos-NY: Favorites won 12 of last 14 Johnson games.
Balt-TB: Under is 8-5 in last 13 Bucknor games.
Tor-Min: Home side won five of last six Dreckman games.
LA-Tex: Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Rehak games.
KC-Chi: Home side won seven of last eight Visconti games.
Clev-Sea: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Muchlinski games.
Hst-A’s: Eight of last 11 LBarrett games went over.

Pitt-Det: Six of last nine Wolf games went over.

__________________________________

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/14
Ariz 2-7……2-9………4
Atl 1-5……6-10………7
Cubs 1-9……1-5………2
Reds 0-6……1-8……..1
Colo 0-11……0-5……0
LA 1-6……6-10…….7
Mia 1-7……2-10……..3
Milw 2-9…….5-7……..7
Mets 3-10……0-5……..3
Philly 1-5…….2-9……..3
Pitt 3-8…….3-6…….6
StL 2-8…….2-7……..4
SD 4-10…….1-7…….5
SF 0-7…….0-10…..0
Wash 2-6…….3-8……..5

Orioles 3-9…….4-7………7
Boston 2-11…..1-5……….3
W Sox 2-8…….1-6……….3
Clev 3-9…….3-6………6
Det 0-8…….3-7………3
Astros 3-10…….2-6……..5
KC 2-3…….6-12…….8
Angels 0-8……1-6………1
Twins 1-7……1-5………..2
NYY 3-6……3-9……….6
A’s 3-11…….1-8……..4
Sea 4-9…….5-9………9
TB 7-9…….3-7………10
Texas 1-5…….3-8………4
Toronto 0-6…….2-10……2

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 7-3 AL, favorites -$390 under 5-4-1
AL @ NL– 5-4 NL, favorites -$167 over 5-4
Total: 11-8 AL, favorites -$ 557 Under 9-9-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

http://i67.tinypic.com/9pqgi1.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game 2 – Pacers at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST – TNT
Boston leads series, 1-0

Indiana dropped three of four matchups with Boston this season, but looked to steal Game 1 of their first round series at TD Garden. The Pacers led the Celtics, 45-38 at halftime, but Indiana went ice-cold in the third quarter by getting outscored, 26-8, while converted only two field goals. Boston finished off Indiana, 84-74 to cash as 7 ½-point favorites and easily hit the UNDER on the total of 210 ½.

The Celtics improved to 4-0 in the last four playoff series openers, led by Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris’ 20 points apiece. Irving shot 6-of-17 in his Boston postseason debut after missing last year’s run to the Eastern Conference Finals with a knee injury. Both the Celtics and Pacers were miserable from the floor (Indiana 33%, Boston 36%), but Nate McMillan’s squad misfired on 21-of-27 attempts from three-point range, while Cory Joseph led the way with 14 points.

Boston ended a seven-game ATS slide at TD Garden, marking its first home cover since March 1 against Washington. The 74 points allowed by the Celtics marks the best defensive effort this season as Boston yielded 77 points to Chicago on December 8, while Brad Stevens’ team gave up 83 points twice to Cleveland in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his take on this matchup, “It’s easy to go into Game 2 and ride the UNDER eyes-closed given the series-opening result, but keep in mind that the Pacers were only held under 90 points three times this season and bounced back to top the century mark each time they took the floor next. Since the Celtics have only had two instances where they held opponents under 100 points in consecutive games in 2019, trends favor Indiana bouncing back, but it is going to need a better game plan than it came out with to open the second half after leading at the break.”

From the Pacers’ perspective, Mejia breaks down what they need to do in order to bounce back, “Tyreke Evans will have to be more aggressive and Indiana will need Bojan Bogdanovic and Doug McDermott to shoot far better than they managed in shooting a combined 0-for-7 from 3-point range.”

Boston has won and covered in all four Game 2’s under Stevens after coming up victorious in Game 1, as all four wins came by double-digits. Indiana suffered only second ATS loss in the last 11 road playoff games dating back to 2016, while the Pacers were dealt their first postseason defeat by at least 10 points since Game 3 of the 2016 first round against the Raptors.

Game 2 – Pistons at Bucks – 8:05 PM EST – NBA TV
Milwaukee leads series, 1-0

It feels like this series was over even before it began when news broke that Pistons’ All-Star Blake Griffin was sidelined due to a lingering knee injury. Detroit didn’t have much of a chance even with Griffin available as the Pistons lost all four regular season meetings with the top-seeded Bucks, but Sunday’s Game 1 at Fiserv Forum was enough proof this series will be done quickly.

Milwaukee jumped out to a 38-18 advantage after one quarter and cruised to a 121-86 blowout over Detroit to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five matchups. All five Bucks’ starters finished in double-figures, led by MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 24-point, 17-rebound performance. The Bucks shot 49% from the floor and knocked down 15 three-pointers, while limiting Detroit to 38% shooting as reserve Luke Kennard led the Pistons with 21 points.

In the three losses at Fiserv Forum this season, the Bucks have outscored the Pistons by 23, 23, and 35, which doesn’t give Detroit backers a lot of faith even as hefty 15-point underdogs in Game 2. The last double-digit ‘dog that lost a first round series opener by more than 30 points and covered in Game 2 was the Mavericks in 2016, who tripped up the Thunder as 14-point underdogs, 85-84.

Game 2 – Jazz at Rockets – 9:35 PM EST – TNT

Houston leads series, 1-0

Last season, Houston needed five games to eliminate Utah in the second round of the playoffs. The Rockets continued their postseason domination of the Jazz in Sunday’s 122-90 rout to easily cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Seven Rockets posted double-figures, paced by James Harden’s 29 points, while Houston knocked down 15-of-41 three-pointers for its third consecutive victory over Utah since losing the first two meetings with the Jazz this season.

Utah was limited to 39% shooting from the floor, while getting outscored, 39-19 in the fourth quarter. Rudy Gobert led the Jazz with 22 points and 12 rebounds, but the Jazz misfired on 20 three-point attempts. Quin Snyder’s team lost each of their series openers last season, as they managed to grab Game 2 victories as underdogs against Oklahoma City in the first round and Houston in the second round.

Mejia is back with his thoughts for Game 2 at the Toyota Center, “This is definitely one of those matchups where the old cliché about the series not starting until the home team loses a game applies, but the Jazz need to at least save a little face before heading back to Salt Lake City. Donovan Mitchell and Joe Ingles shot a combined 8-for-22 while the bench finished an incredible 4-for-26, which included a pair of missed Grayson Allen layups that helped the Game 1 total remain just UNDER the closing number of 212.5. Jae Crowder and Royce O’Neale have been reliable all season and must be better. Considering the likelihood that they bounce back, the OVER may be the way to go in this one.”

All three matchups in Houston have finished UNDER the total, as the oddsmakers did not move off the 212 ½ number from Game 1. The Rockets moved to 7-1-1 to the UNDER in the past nine games at the Toyota Center, while improving to 6-0-1 ATS the last seven home contests. The Jazz were riding a five-game ATS hot streak as a road underdog prior to Sunday’s blowout loss, as Utah owns a 9-4 ATS mark under Snyder in the playoffs when receiving points away from Salt Lake City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

537Indiana -538 Boston
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.

539Detroit -540 Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

541Utah -542 Houston
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 17


Indiana @ Boston

Game 537-538
April 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.191
Boston
121.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Milwaukee

Game 539-540
April 17, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
113.588
Milwaukee
124.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 11
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
212
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+15); Over

Utah @ Houston

Game 541-542
April 17, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.589
Houston
133.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 17

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INDIANA (48 - 35) at BOSTON (50 - 33) - 4/17/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 99-79 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 92-78 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (41 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (61 - 22) - 4/17/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
MILWAUKEE is 427-494 ATS (-116.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 398-473 ATS (-122.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 92-125 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 10-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (50 - 33) at HOUSTON (54 - 29) - 4/17/2019, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
UTAH is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 12-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, April 17

Indiana was up 7 at half Sunday, then got outscored 46-29 in 2nd half, scoring 8 points in third quarter of brickfest where both teams shot under 37%. Pacers are 4-10 in its last 14 games overall; they covered three of last four road games. Celtics won seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in their last nine home games. Over is 11-6 in in their last 17 games. Pacers lost their last four games with Boston; they’re 3-3 vs spread in its last six visits to Beantown. Seven of last 11 series games went over. Pacers are in playoffs for 8th time in nine years; they lost their first round series the last three years.

Milwaukee crushed Detroit by 35 in Game 1; game was 70-43 at the half. No one on the Bucks played more than 25:00. Unless Blake Griffin can play, Pistons are lost cause here. Bucks won nine of last 11 games with Detroit; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Pistons are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven visits to Milwaukee. Detroit is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Bucks won eight of last 11 games; six of their last eight games went over. Milwaukee is in playoffs for 3rd year in row; they lost last eight first round series- their last series win was in ’01.

Houston made 15-41 on arc in easy 122-90 Game 1 win over Utah; Jazz shot only 39%. Utah won eight of last 11 games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of last three Jazz games went over the total. Rockets won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Houston won eight of its last 11 games with the Jazz; six of last eight series games stayed under. Jazz is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Houston. All five Rocket starters scored in double figures in Game 1; Harden had “only” 29, a good sign for Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, April 17

Trend Report

Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Indiana is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Indiana is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Indiana is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games
Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Utah Jazz
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Utah is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
Utah is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 21 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games at home
Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

http://i65.tinypic.com/e99i8i.jpg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

45Boston -46 Toronto
TORONTO is 19-20 ATS (-16.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

47Nashville -48 Dallas
NASHVILLE is 16-7 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

49Calgary -50 Colorado
CALGARY is 23-34 ATS (-19.6 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 17


Boston @ Toronto

Game 45-46
April 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.590
Toronto
11.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-125); Over

Nashville @ Dallas

Game 47-48
April 17, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
11.245
Dallas
12.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-115); Under

Calgary @ Colorado

Game 49-50
April 17, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
9.412
Colorado
10.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 17

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BOSTON (50-26-0-9, 109 pts.) at TORONTO (48-29-0-8, 104 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 5-11 ATS (-8.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
TORONTO is 21-8 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
TORONTO is 22-18 ATS (-7.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
TORONTO is 22-24 ATS (+46.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 8-13 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 13-9 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 13-9-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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NASHVILLE (49-30-0-6, 104 pts.) at DALLAS (44-33-0-8, 96 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 13-7 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 11-6 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 11-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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CALGARY (51-26-0-8, 110 pts.) at COLORADO (40-31-0-14, 94 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-10.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-13 ATS (+6.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
CALGARY is 18-11 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 122-121 ATS (+273.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLORADO is 40-45 ATS (-59.4 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 11-20 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 9-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, April 17

Trend Report

Boston Bruins
Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Nashville Predators
Nashville is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 15 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games
Dallas is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games on the road
Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 18 games
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +102 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Tigers +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +103 at pinnacle

1 Dimer on Tigers +103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | Indians vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners +124 at GTBets

1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners +124
My money is on the Mariners to cash in a win at home against the Indians. Seattle has lost 5 straight after their red-hot start to the year, but this is a great spot for them to get back on track at the plate. Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco has given up 14 runs on 22 hits in a mere 10 innings of work over 3 starts. In his 2 road starts this year, he's given up 6 runs to the Twins in 4 1/3 and 6 to the Royals in less than an inning. Bet the Mariners +124!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
Play on: Pirates -104 at betonline

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Pittsburgh Pirates -104
I’m back on the Pirates Wednesday after cashing them in as my free play Tuesday. These are two teams going in opposite directions as the Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, while the Tigers have lost four straight coming in.
Pittsburgh has a huge edge on the mound today behind Trevor Williams, who is picking up where he left off last season with a dominant second half. Williams has gone 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in three starts this season. He is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.615 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit.
Spencer Turnbull has been roughed up this season for the Tigers. He is 0-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in three starts this season despite facing three light-hitting lineups in the Blue Jays, Royals and Indians.
Pittsburgh is 20-4 in its last 24 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game. The Tigers are hitting .203 and scoring just 2.7 runs per game this season. It’s a minor miracle they are .500 on the season with those numbers. Bet the Pirates Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | PIT vs DET
Play on: OVER 8 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Pirates vs Tigers over 8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
Play on: Pirates -107 at BMaker

My 1* Free Play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 EST).
The Tigers have lost four straight and I think they’re ripe for the picking today as well.
Detroit has scored four or fewer runs in 14 of its 16 games thus far.
That doesn’t bode well for Tigers’ starter Spencer Turnbull (0-2, 4.80 ERA) who makes his eighth major league appearance and seventh career start and who is still looking for his first major league victory.
That leaves the door open for the Pirates and Trevor Williams (1-0, 2.45) who has gone at least six innings in each of his first three starts, most recently holding the Nats to two runs over seven innings of work.
Also note that in two career starts Williams has pretty much “owned” Detroit by giving up no runs and one hit over 13 innings.
I think the writing is on the wall and a major blowout is in the cards. Consider the visiting side in this one.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Apr 17 '19, 7:05 PM in 39m
NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
Play on: Celtics -7 -110 at YouWager

Free Play on Celtics -7 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Apr 17 '19, 7:05 PM in 39m
NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
Play on: OVER 203 -110

1* Free NBA Pick on Pacers/Celtics OVER 203
After watching Boston and Indiana combine for a mere 158 points in the Celtics 84-74 win, I think a lot of people are going to be inclined to take the UNDER in Game 2 with a total that's 40+ more points than what they just had.
Defense is definitely going to be a staple in this series, but I think we see some regressing back to the mean in Game 2 and a much higher scoring game that finishes past the mark. Keep in mind that each of the last 3 meetings between these two saw at least 214 combined points.
OVER is 14-3 in the Pacers last 17 after scoring less than 75 points and 5-1 in their last 6 off a SU loss. OVER is 19-8 in last 27 home games off a home win by 10 or more and 14-4 in their last 18 games played in April. Take the OVER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Apr 17 '19, 7:05 PM in 39m
MLB | Giants vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals -128 at betonline

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Washington Nationals -128
The Key: Jeremy Hellickson has pitched well for the Nationals over the past two seasons and has earned the 5th starter job this season. He beat the Phillies 15-1 while shutting them out for 6 innings in his first start on April 10th. Hellickson is 2-2 with a 3.29 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Giants. Jeff Samardzija is 2-8 with a. 4.99 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the Nationals, including 0-6 with a 7.39 ERA in his last 6 starts against them, yielding 26 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings. Take Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Apr 17 '19, 7:20 PM in 54m
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Braves
Play on: Braves -158 at YouWager

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Braves -158
After getting upset in Game 1 by the Diamondbacks at home, the Braves should bounce back with a win in Game 2 Wednesday. Kevin Gausman was dominant for the Braves last season after getting traded from the Orioles. He is now 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his first three starts of 2019 as well. Zack Godley is 1-1 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts for the Diamondbacks in 2019. Godley has an identical 7.41 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in three previous starts against the Braves. Atlanta is 10-2 in its last 12 home games against a right-handed starter. The Braves are 6-1 in Gausman’s last seven home starts. It’s worth laying the big price on Atlanta at home today with Gausman over Godley. Give me the Braves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Apr 17 '19, 7:40 PM in 1h
MLB | TOR vs MIN
Play on: OVER 8½ -118

MIKE LUNDIN'S BLUE JAYS @ TWINS FREE PICK
The Toronto Blue Jays picked up a 6-5 win over the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday. I expect another slugfest here Wednesday night with Blue Jays' rookie right-hander Trent Thornton going toe-to-toe with Twins righty Jake Odorizzi.
Thornton (0-1, 4.61 ERA) tossed five scoreless innings in his MLB debut on March 31, but his past two starts have not been quite as good. His last was the worst, when he allowed five runs on eight hits (three homers) in just three innings of an 11-7 loss to Tampa Bay.
Odorizzi (0-2, 6.35 ERA) gave up three runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 9-6 road loss at NY Mets last time out. He has struggled with his command all season and issued nine walks through 11 1/3 innings of work.
Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 overall. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone Apr 17 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Bucks
Play on: UNDER 213 +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Apr 17 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Bucks
Play on: Pistons +15½ -105 at pinnacle

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Pistons +15½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Apr 17 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Bucks
Play on: Pistons +15 -103 at pinnacle



Yesterday, Ben Burns easily won his complimentary selection on the Raptors. Today, he takes a look at Game 2 of the Pistons/Bucks series. Admittedly, the Pistons didn't look too good in Game 1. Still, this is an awful lot of points to be giving a well-coached team. The two days off in between games will have allowed the Pistons plenty of time to make adjustments. Note that they're 11-3 SU/ATS, when playing with two day's rest. They're also 7-3 SU/ATS when they were off a game in which they trailed by 15 or more, at halftime. With the Bucks just 6-9 ATS the past 15 times that they were off a home win by 20 or more, consider grabbing all those points with the Pistons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond Apr 17 '19, 9:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Jazz vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -6½ -104 at betonline

04/17/19
Houston (542) over Utah
9:35 Eastern…
Houston won 122-90 in game #1 versus Utah, can they repeat? The Rockets are now on a 32-10 SU run at home, while going 24-16-2 ATS in their building. The shocked Jazz come in on a 1-3 SU run and seemingly looked confused at times in game #1. Granted Utah shows 20-6-1 ATS off a SU loss, however they just might be in over their heads tonight. Realize NBA teams that go through a blowout loss have the tendency to rebound, and Utah has the defense (#2 in efficiency) to support a reversal. Still Houston is on an 8-3 SU run against the Jazz, while the chalk is 9-4-1 ATS L14 in the series. The Rockets have averaged 116 points the last three games. Houston is 6-0-1 ATS at home and 7-1-1 ATS against the West. In addition, the Rockets come in 4-1 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinal round. In game #1, Houston had a surprising 9.1% turnover ratio in game #1, so we’ll stay with the home unit. Good Luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Apr 17 '19, 10:07 PM in 3h
MLB | Astros vs A's
Play on: A's +100 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on A's +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Lock Sports

NBA INDIANA PACERS +7.5