Service Plays Thursday 4/18/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[dawggy]

ROB VENOBASKETBALL PLAYS


Game: (543) Philadelphia 76ers at (544) Brooklyn Nets
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 227.5 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* GOY

San Jose -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* Golden State -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3* GOW

Seattle +109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* San Antonio/ Denver under 210

3* LA ANGLES -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

2* San Jose / Las Vegas over 6

3* LA CLIPPERS / golden state under 236.5

2* Brooklyn / Philadelphia under 227.5

2* San Antonio -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

baseball33

Atlanta Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


PHILADELPHIA -116


PHILADELPHIA @ COLORADO | 4/18 | 8:40 PM EDT
10:03 AM
The Rockies, who historically have had one of the top homefield advantages in baseball, are winless at Coors Field so far in 2019. My projections see that trend continuing with Zach Eflin going for Philly. Kyle Freeland hasn't been himself since Opening Day, and the Phillies bats do damage in my simulations. Take the Phillies as only a slight favorite.

22-7 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +1354
34-15 IN LAST 49 COL ML PICKS | +2143

2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ML PICKS | +175


CINCINNATI +138


CINCINNATI @ SAN DIEGO | 4/18 | 10:10 PM EDT
9:58 AM
The Reds have yet to taste victory on the road, dropping all seven games. But my computer model sees reason for hope Thursday against a Padres team that's lost three in a row, all by at least three runs. Cincinnati with veteran Tanner Roark win in 46 percent of my simulations, which shows great value on the Reds as a big underdog.

22-7 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +1354
8-2 IN LAST 10 CIN ML PICKS | +671


MILWAUKEE -105


L.A. DODGERS @ MILWAUKEE | 4/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:55 AM
Milwaukee is 3-0 when Zack Davies gets the ball. He'll get it against a Dodgers team the Brewers beat two out of three in L.A. last week. The Dodgers snapped a six-game skid by winning four in a row, but my projections see a slight edge at Miller Park for the home Brewers. Milwaukee's getting a fair price as a slight underdog.

22-7 IN LAST 29 MLB ML PICKS | +1354
23-14 IN LAST 37 LAD ML PICKS | +502

4-0 IN LAST 4 MIL ML PICKS | +428


WASHINGTON +105


WASHINGTON @ CAROLINA | 4/18 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:11 PM
My data sees the Capitals toppling the Hurricanes at least 55 percent of the time in their Thursday meeting, offering a massive value on the slight road underdog. Washington is 11-4 in its last 15 as a road playoff underdog and is on a 7-3 run in road games overall. The Capitals also have won five of the last six at Carolina.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NHL ML PICKS | +435
21-7 IN LAST 28 WAS ML PICKS | +1583

5-4 IN LAST 9 CAR ML PICKS | +325


OVER 8.5 TORONTO @ MINNESOTA | 4/18 | 1:10 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 11:06 PM
My projections see nearly 10 runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Twins and Blue Jays, hitting the Over comfortably against a total of 8.5. Toronto has played Over in four straight against right-handed starters, while Minnesota is 7-3 to the Over at home against opponents with losing records. I've go the Over hitting in more than 60 percent of simulations.

22-7 IN LAST 29 MLB PICKS | +1354
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIN O/U PICKS | +200


L.A. CLIPPERS +8.5


GOLDEN ST. @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 4/18 | 10:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:55 PM
If what happened to the Warriors in Game 2 doesn't spur them to a new sense of urgency, nothing will. That said, it should also show the Clippers they can play with the Warriors, especially without DeMarcus Cousins on the court. My projections see the Warriors winning, but the Clippers keeping it close and getting the cover.

68-58 LAST 126 NBA SIDES | +499
7-3 IN LAST 10 LAC ATS PICKS | +366

4-2 IN LAST 6 GS ATS PICKS | +190


SAN ANTONIO -3.5


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/18 | 9:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:51 PM
The Spurs return home after splitting two games in Denver. They ranked sixth in the NBA in covering the spread at home (24-17) while the Nuggets were the mirror opposite, going 17-24 ATS on the road, second worst in the league. This line has moved quickly in San Antonio's direction, but it's still the play here. The Spurs cover nearly 60 percent of my simulations at this line.

68-58 LAST 126 NBA SIDES | +499
9-3 IN LAST 12 DEN ATS PICKS | +566

16-10 IN LAST 26 SA ATS PICKS | +512


BROOKLYN +3


PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:47 PM
Brooklyn has covered in four of the six meetings against Philadelphia this season, including both times at Barclays Center. Each team knows the formula for success following the opening two games of this series. My projections see Game 3 as a one-possession type of game, with the Nets covering more often than not. Take the points with the Nets.

68-58 LAST 126 NBA SIDES | +499
5-2 IN LAST 7 BKN ATS PICKS | +281

7-5 IN LAST 12 PHI ATS PICKS | +153

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsvipvegas 4/18

San francisco +183

milw -102

colorado -104

detroit -1 (+129)

seattle -1 (+115)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (955) Los Angeles Dodgers at (956) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -110

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Zach Davies - to the world of USA Today box scores and ESPN sports running ticker:
2-0 in 3 starts, 17.2 innings pitched with a 1.53 ERA and .254 BA against.

Looks pretty good eh...oh and he's pitching at home too...excellent spot...lay the wood

Whoops...my bad it isn't 1988...
Zach Davies VH1 Behind the Stats E! True MLB Story:
FIP= 4.29
xFIP= 4.60
BABIP= .295
Swinging strike rate= 7.7% (bottom 20)
Strike zone contact rate= 84%
Strike zone pitch rate= 35%
Much like foreseeing Carrasco breaking out...tonight could be QUITE a bummer for ole undefeated Zachy.
On top of just fading his incorrect stats and start to the season...the Dodgers are league best at NOT swinging and missing...less than 9%. To make things worse the Dodgers are also the most disciplined offense swinging at only 25% of pitches out of the zone.

To top it all off....home dogs facing a lefty who have a better winning % than opponent despite being a dog within a $1.20 of even are 14-24 SU after having won the previous series against said opponent.

[golden contender]

Thursday card has our Highest rating a 7* NHL Play from our top playoff Historical system. We also have the N.L. Game of the Month and a 5* NBA Play. MLB Comp total below

The MLB Comp play is on the over in the Philadelphia at Colorado game at 8:40 eastern. This game applies to a database system we use for bases that plays over for road favorites off a 1 run home favored win scoring 4 or less like the Phils vs an opponent like the Rockies that are off a road win by 2 or more runs while scoring 5 or more.This system has gone over 80% since 2004. The Phillies have flown over in 10 of 11 in game 1 of a series, 5 of 6 vs a lefty, 8 of 10 vs .400 or less teams and 5 of 5 with Eflin starting on the road. Colorado has gone over 4 of 5 at home vs a righty and 3 of 4 off a win. In the series these two have gone over in 6 of the last 7. Look for a higher scoring game. On Thursday we have a huge 7* NHL Play from our best playoff historical system, the National League Perfect system game of the Month and a 5* NBA Play from a big Game 3 round 1 system. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free play. Take Philly and Colorado over the total. Rob Vinciletti- GC Sports

[dawggy]

DWAYNE BRYANTBASKETBALL PLAYS


GUARANTEED! 5% NBA O/U MAX BET
Game: (545) Denver Nuggets at (546) San Antonio Spurs
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 209.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

9:05 PM ET -- NBA

545 Denver Nuggets
546 San Antonio Spurs

PLAY: UNDER 209 (-110)
BET SIZE: 5%

My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 201 (Spurs 103, Nuggets 98)

5% play at 207.5 or higher
4% play at 205.5 to 207
3% play at 204 to 205
No play below 204

[dawggy]

TEDDY COVERSBASKETBALL PLAYS


Game: (547) Golden State Warriors at (548) Los Angeles Clippers
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 235.0 (-105)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

3% Take Golden State - LA Clippers UNDER (#547-548). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before noon Pacific Time.

BASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 11.0 (-103)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

3% Take Colorado - Philadelphia OVER (#957-958). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before noon Pacific Time.

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (961) Chicago White Sox at (962) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Chicago White Sox +100

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus

NBA
6u Spurs -3.5
6u Warriors/Clippers UNDER 235.5
5u 76ers/Nets UNDER 228
5u Nets +3

MLB
5u Dodgers ML (-105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsidersports

NBA
Spurs -3.5
Nuggets/Spurs UNDER 209

MLB
White Sox ML (-100)
Giants/Nationals UNDER 7.5

NHL
Hurricanes ML (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

since 4/1: 19-11-2, +25 units

4 Units - Take #956 Brewers (+100) over LA Dodgers 4/18 *8:10 EST
Milwaukee players still have a bitter taste in their collective mouths since falling in Game 7 at home of the NLCS. Winning the season series against L.A. is not going to replace that anguish, but it becomes a building block if they meet again.
After a good first start, Julio Urias has been batted around for nine runs (8 earned) in only 8 2/3 innings. His lone loss came to Milwaukee who scored six runs off the lefty and took him deep twice. Zach Davies has allowed one run in his last three starts against Los Angeles, covering 20 innings, all wins for him and his team. The MLB odds have Milwaukee at +110 on the money line and they are superb 20-7 off a loss and 37-14 in Game 1's of series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Markus (VegasInsider)

MLB
Milwaukee Brewers +102

NBA
76ers -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider NBA)

Warriors -8
Spurs -4
Spurs/Nuggets Under 209
Warriors/Clippers Under 235.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #958 Colorado even (Eflin/Freeland)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


UNDER 11 PHILADELPHIA @ COLORADO | 4/18 | 8:40 PM EDT


10:58 AM
Kyle Freeland is starting at home for the Rockies tonight, and that means I'm taking the Under because I always take the Under when Freeland starts at Coors Field. It's 26-6 during his career at home.

4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB O/U PICKS | +169
10-1 IN LAST 11 COL O/U PICKS | +912


ATLANTA -161


ARIZONA @ ATLANTA | 4/18 | 12:10 PM EDT
10:55 AM
Arizona starter Luke Weaver has been the victim of some bad luck, as suggested by the fact his ERA is 5.17 while his FIP is at a more respectable 3.81, but other peripherals suggest there may not be more pleasant results in the future. Plus, while Weaver gets a lot of groundballs, the amount of flyballs he allows is a concern. Particularly in SunTrust Park during the day with the wind blowing out strongly to left field.

3-1 IN LAST 4 ATL ML PICKS | +260

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson

N.Y. YANKEES -205


KANSAS CITY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 4/18 | 6:35 PM EDT
11:29 AM
The Royals have won just one road game all season and are 0-4 as a road underdog. Homer Bailey mowed down the struggling Indians his last outing, but was shelled by the HR-hitting Mariners the one before. The Yankees can hit the long ball, too, and Domingo German has looked unhittable as he rejoins the rotation. The Royals' offense doesn't have the firepower to keep up, and their bullpen is among the worst, so there's little relief if Bailey gets in trouble.

5-0 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS | +500
6-1 IN LAST 7 KC ML PICKS | +577

16-12 IN LAST 28 NYY ML PICKS | +280

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports (MLB)

Top Play - 3* Yankees/Royals Over 9 (+105)

2* Twins/Blue Jays Over 8 (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB)

San Diego Padres
New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MidAmerican Sports

MLB
Top Plays
Brewers +103
Mariners +109

Small Plays
Braves -1.5 runs
Padres -1.5 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vegas killers craig masters

eintracht frankfort - benfica over 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

1*
Colorado / Philadelphia over 11

2*
LA ANGLES / Seattle under 9.5

3*
Denver / San Antonio under 211

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3*
San Antonio -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave essler

3*
Milwaukee +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th Hour Sports

11th: MLB, 8u: 952 ATL-.5+100 1st 5. ATL-1.5+140g. 953 SF+170 1st 5. SF+175g. 961 CHW+105 1st 5. CHW+100g. 964 MIN-.5-120 1st 5. MIN-1.5+120g.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3-Unit Play. Take #546 San Antonio (-3.5) over Denver (9 p.m., Thursday, April 18)


We are a fan of the Spurs in this series, as evident by our big play on San Antonio to win this series outright. The Spurs have one of the best home court advantages in the entire association. San Antonio was 32-9 at home this year, only Denver (34-7) and Milwaukee (33-8) had better home marks. The Spurs will take advantage of the home cooking tonight and win this game by double-figures. The Nuggets had to give everything they had to beat the Spurs in Game 2 after losing the first matchup of the series. If it wasn't for the Nuggets 39-23 run in the fourth quarter of Game 2, Denver would be in a whole heap of trouble. Reagrdless of that outcome, San Antonio wins this game quite easily. The Spurs are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with winning percentages of .600 or better while the Nuggets are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games coming off an ATS win. San Antonio is going to have a professional win in this game. They are going to be extremely efficient on both ends of the floor and just completely outplay the Nuggets tonight. Lay the points on the home team in this one.


Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George NBA


7 Unit --San Antonio -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

3*
LA CLIPPERS / Golden State under 235

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Eastman
5 Unit SA -4
4 Unit 1st half SA -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis
6 Unit BROOKLYN +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3 Unit Golden St -8.5
3 Unit Brooklyn +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus

NBA
6u Spurs -3.5
6u Warriors/Clippers UNDER 235.5
5u 76ers/Nets UNDER 228
5u Nets +3

MLB
5u Dodgers ML (-105)

MLB
6u Rockies ML (+100 )

[KTWSports]

Worlds Worst Picker

Dodgers
Phillies
Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

2*
Philadelphia / Brooklyn over 228

2*
Philadelphia -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin - CEO

Thursday's Play

The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on the Clippers against the Warriors. Los Angeles is +8 1/2 as I put my site live at 1:15 pm eastern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog
NBA

Denver/SanAntonio 208.5 Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
8:40 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Phillies -110 over Rockies
Eflin/Freeland
The Phillies are off to a hot offensive start this year and are not bad against left handed pitching.* This ball park will be very friendly towards their lineup this afternoon.* The Rockies were once built to score a ton of runs, but that just isn’t really the case anymore.** Kyle Freeland has not looked good and I expect this Philly team to score early and often.**Take the Phillies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports from Cappertek

MLB:
BAL/TB F5 UNDER 4.5 +100 3 units
MIL F5 -.5 +125 1 unit

MLB Season: 14-11-1 56% -1.80units

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


HOCKEY PLAYS

Game: (51) Washington Capitals at (52) Carolina Hurricanes
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 7:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1P Carolina Hurricanes -0.5 (+176)

View Analysis

Game: (57) Vegas Golden Knights at (58) San Jose Sharks
Date/Time: Apr 18 2019 10:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 6.0 (-127)

View Analysis

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
mlb
10 seattle
10 milwaukee
8 philly over

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
nba
7 spurs under

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
nhl
10 sharks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 Rockies game over , 500 Vegas , 600 nets , 400 golden state , 800 spurs game under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


OVER 9.5 L.A. DODGERS @ MILWAUKEE | 4/18 | 8:10 PM EDT


5:29 PM
Milwaukee's right-handed hitters versus left-handed pitching has a OPS of 1.066. The Dodgers left-handed hitters versus right-handed pitching has an OPS of 1.065. The Brewers are second in the league scoring 8.3 runs per game against lefties. The Dodgers are No. 1 in baseball against right handed pitching averaging 6.3 runs per game. I've mentioned several times on CBS HQ I think the Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball versus righties. Julio Urias is a 22-year old lefty that missed most of the last two years because of injuries has an ERA over 5. Don't let Zach Davies' 1.53 ERA fool you because his xFIP is 4.60. Davies is an average MLB pitcher that has been very lucky early in the season. He will regress to his place in baseball and an ERA in the mid fours.

13-6 IN LAST 19 LAD O/U PICKS | +656


BROOKLYN +3.5


PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
5:27 PM
The Nets are a better defensive team than Philadelphia and are not intimidated one bit by Philly. The Sixers have all of the pressure with talk about Brent Brown losing his job if the Sixers go down in the first round to Brooklyn. Since the All-Star break the Nets have the second-best defense in the NBA at home allowing just 100.8 points per 100 possessions. It also doesn't hurt the Joel Embiid is not 100 percent and is playing limited minutes. If Embiid doesn't play the Nets should be a small favorite. Take the better defensive team plus the points right now.

10-5-1 IN LAST 16 NBA PICKS | +447


DENVER +4.5


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/18 | 9:00 PM EDT
4:47 PM
It took seven quarters for the Nuggets' offense to finally click. But I think Denver is the better of the two clubs and will take the momentum from Game 2 into Thursday's game. I have Denver rated 1.5 points better and hate to give home-court points when the visitor is the better team. However, in this case I'm giving San Antonio three points for their home court. the value is on the underdog.

10-5-1 IN LAST 16 NBA PICKS | +447

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel


BROOKLYN +3.5


PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
6:17 PM
The Nets should have plenty of motivation in their first home playoff game since 2015 and they have a chance to put some serious pressure on the 76ers. Of course there will be enhanced value on the underdog if Joel Embiid ends up sitting out, but Brooklyn still has a lot of spot appeal. the Nets have been solid in bounce-back situations following tough outings, and they are now 2-2 against the 76ers on the season. Embiid's unnecessary flagrant foul in Game 2 might provide added motivation for the Nets.

9-4 IN LAST 13 NBA ATS PICKS | +459

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


CINCINNATI +155


CINCINNATI @ SAN DIEGO | 4/18 | 10:10 PM EDT
2:34 PM
Roughly 20 games into the MLB season is where we start seeing teams that have gotten off to a shaky start really reap the benefits of how undervalued oddsmakers have rated them. Let's not forget that the Reds, who enter this game at 5-12, were projected to finish the season over .500. On Thursday night, we catch them on a four-game skid and receiving a line that is way too generous. I like veteran Tanner Roark to pick up a sweat-free victory on the road against Padres starter Chris Paddack, who has just 14 innings under his belt in his young MLB career.

15-7-1 IN LAST 23 MLB PICKS | +599
5-2 IN LAST 7 SD ML PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini


OVER 228.5 PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT


1:35 PM
In the Philadelphia versus Brooklyn series the venue may change but the scoring will not be halted. Look for another impressive Over tonight in Brooklyn.

8-1 IN LAST 9 NBA PICKS | +689
2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI O/U PICKS | +87


SAN ANTONIO -4.5


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/18 | 9:00 PM EDT
1:34 PM
The Spurs have dominated the Nuggets for seven of eight quarters in Games 1 and 2. Yet the series is even due to a surge of 39 points in the fourth quarter of Game 2. Can the Spurs and coach Popovich recover at home? Expect a tighter game from start to finish and for the Spurs home court regular season record to boost them ATS. Grab the Spurs

8-1 IN LAST 9 NBA PICKS | +689
14-4 IN LAST 18 SA ATS PICKS | +958

7-4 IN LAST 11 DEN ATS PICKS | +259

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner


BROOKLYN +3


PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
11:49 AM
The Nets have been a tough team on the road all year, so it’s not all that surprising that they’ve stolen away home court advantage in this series by winning Game 1. The Sixers were excellent at home during the regular season, but they were just 17-24 ATS on the road. I like the Nets chances to win this game, so I’ll take the points.

64-49-3 IN LAST 116 NBA ATS PICKS | +967
6-4 IN LAST 10 PHI ATS PICKS | +155

7-5 IN LAST 12 BKN ATS PICKS | +142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


MILWAUKEE -8.5


MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT | 4/20 | 8:00 PM EDT
4:44 PM
The Bucks and Pistons have played six times this season counting the playoffs, with Milwaukee destroying Detroit in five of those games while winning all six and going 5-0-1 ATS. Lay it as Milwaukee avoids a letdown.

88-69-1 IN LAST 158 NBA ATS PICKS | +1206
31-24-1 IN LAST 56 DET ATS PICKS | +512

26-19-1 IN LAST 46 MIL ATS PICKS | +509


BROOKLYN +3.5


PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN | 4/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
4:31 PM
Philly embarrassed the Nets in Game 2, but now they're back in Brooklyn for their first home playoff game in four years. Combined with Joel Embiid provoking the Nets, I'm looking for a big effort from the home side. The home team has covered five of the past seven meetings. Grab the points.

88-69-1 IN LAST 158 NBA ATS PICKS | +1206
17-12 IN LAST 29 PHI ATS PICKS | +379


OKLAHOMA CITY -7.5


PORTLAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 4/19 | 9:30 PM EDT
4:09 PM
The Thunder have had plenty of time to re-focus after their miserable performances in Portland. They're 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on two days' rest. Playing at home with their season on the line, look for OKC's desperation to translate to a solid win. Lay it.

88-69-1 IN LAST 158 NBA ATS PICKS | +1206
29-20 IN LAST 49 OKC ATS PICKS | +756

8-3 IN LAST 11 POR ATS PICKS | +475


GOLDEN ST. -8.5


GOLDEN ST. @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 4/18 | 10:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:19 PM
I love the Warriors to bounce back strong from their epic Game 2 collapse. Back Golden State to improve to 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games versus the Clippers.

88-69-1 IN LAST 158 NBA ATS PICKS | +1206
37-25 IN LAST 62 LAC ATS PICKS | +990

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

UNDER 9.5 L.A. DODGERS @ MILWAUKEE | 4/18 | 8:10 PM EDT


5:20 PM
The total seems too high, and it's at a good price. These are two good offenses, but the Under has gone 6-2-1 in their last nine matchups, and it's 22-7-1 in Zach Davies' last 30 starts, including 7-2 in his last nine at Miller Park. The Dodgers have stayed Under in their last five as well.

4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB O/U PICKS | +169
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIL O/U PICKS | +302