Service Plays Thursday 4/25/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

3* Spurs -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mlbtotal

Seattle : Over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* nhl St.louis -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* San Antonio / Denver under 208

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

2* Arizona +112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3* New York Yankees -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

3* San Antonio / Denver over 208

[Calidreaming]

DeMarco play on Diamondbacks

[dawggy]

TONY FINNBASEBALL PLAYS


BIG TICKET 5% AL GAME ~ MONTH (5-0)
Game: (913) New York Yankees at (914) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Apr 25 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: New York Yankees -115

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

PLAY: New York Yankees -115 (good to -130)
5% game rating

LIST PITCHERS: Tanaka and Cahill

(913) New York Yankees at (914) Los Angeles Angels
The Yankees veteran right-hander Masahiro Tanaka picked up his first career win against the Royals last Saturday. Tanaka allowed one earned run on four hits. He struck out seven with the negative in the outing being three bases on balls. Note that a part of his command issues were weather related. The cold and damp conditions of the Bronx resulted in just the second time in his career he has walked three or more -- this in back-to-back starts.
If there is a pitch that is difficult to command in cool temps it is a splitter. Tanaka continues to improve with each passing start. Not just this season but during his MLB career. He should be considered a crafty veteran with the arsenal he sports. In addition, despite not having his best, healthy, defensive personnel behind him he lowered his season ERA and WHIP, 2.76 and 1.23, respectively.

Tanaka doesn't have elite command but his 5.5 BB percentage fits his 8.46 K/9 rate. His hard contact percentage has decreased with each start the Thursday night contest against the Angels and Cahill is nothing short of a mismatch. Tanaka does a great job of keeping the ball in the park and pitching at Angels Stadium is a walk in the park compared to that of Yankee Stadium and the carry that the Bronx air permits. Tanaka's 1.3 HR/9 rate makes the Halo's a long shot to put up crooked numbers in any of the early innings.

As successful as Angels starter Trevor Cahill appeared to have started the 2019 season the results were a mirage. This when examining his underlying peripherals and his performances since late March and early April.

What the veteran needs to be uber-successful he doesn't have heading into tonight's contest against the Yankees. Not only does Cahill face the task of getting the current Yankee lineup to swing at offerings outside of the K-Zone he requires an umpire that doesn't have a tight strikezone. He receives neither in this Thursday night affair.

Across the last week of MLB action the Yankees have drawn the second most walks of any lineup in the league, second to only Seattle. And New York is hitting nearly .275 against opposing pitchers secondary pitches which is equal to that of their average versus the fastball.

Cahill is all about getting swings and misses outside of the K'Zone and an umpire that is adept at calling sweeping curves and drop off the table offspeed pitches --- trust me when I tell you that Blakney is not that home plate umpire.

In addition Cahill’s 2018 ERA and contact rate to close the 2018 season was warm weather solid.. and came against an average of four minor league call-ups, September expanded roster lineups, a season ago. His 75.1% contact rate in his last fifteen games was the highest mark he had the entire season and that trend has continued in 2019. With the caveat that during his last three starts he continues to lose confidence in his stuff, or lack thereof.

He is not longer a ground-ball heavy pitcher and the result has seen him allow the same number of home runs (8) in 21 innings of work than he allowed last year in 121 innings. His hard contact percentage is trending the wrong direction and Angel Stadium isn't as pitcher-friendly as that of the Coliseum he pitched half of his innings in last year.

Offensively the second lineup, currently the first for the Yankees, have easily outperformed Mike Trout and the Angels. And an injury to 3B Zach Cozart leaves the Angels with a defensive hole at the hot corner.

During Spring Training there were ridiculous articles from Angels faithful, biased by a large measure, that claimed that the Halos had improved themselves in the offseason. There were some that went as far as to claim that the additions of Matt Harvey and Trevor Cahill put the team in a position to win the AL West. I won't mention the author of this but it is more than fair to state that the author doesn't know baseball.

The add of Justin Bour this offseason clogs the bases more than benefits the offense... Bour does find a way to get on base but the most valuable player on offense outside of Trout is the consistency and the bat of Jonathan Lucroy. And the addition of closer Cody Allen isn't significant because this team won't have a lot of late inning leads this season.

The weather in Los Angeles, the scheduled home plate umpire's strike zone and the bottom line pitching matchup significantly favors the Yankees. First pitch temps are expected in the high 70's with a 5-10 mph wind blowing to center field. Blakney will prove to be a nightmare for Cahill and the Yankees have more walks than the Angels have hits through five innings.

NEW YORK YANKEES -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th Hour Sports

11th: MLB, 8u: 902 PIT-.5+145 1st 5. PIT-1.5+185g. PIT O 3.5 1st 5. PIT O 7g. 904 CUB-.5+145 1st 5. CUB-1.5+185g. CUB O 4 1st 5. CUB O 8g.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

since 4/1: 26-16-2, +30.9 units

2 Units- Take #906 Cincy (-140) over Atlanta *6:40 EST
Cincinnati's Luis Castillo (2-1, 1.47 ERA) has really come into his own and been filthy to start the season. Castillo has 41 punch-outs in just over 30 innings and allowed only 13 hits. His mental approach has changed with his development and he's no longer nibbling, rather attacking hitters. And he's backed by the No. 2 bullpen in the National League.
The MLB odds have Cincy as -140 favorites against Atlanta's Julio Teheran (2-2, 5.61). The Braves righty was once considered ace material, but he walks too many hitters and gives up more than a hit an inning and he is exposed with a WHIP of 1.64 so far this season and Teheran has an 8.59 ERA in three road starts this season. Cincy takes the series.


3 Units : Take #913 Yankees (-115) over LA Angels *9 EST
Mike Trout might have his ginormous contract, but he's still on a bad Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim squad that has lost 8 of 9. Though cloning is becoming a thing, it's not made it so far where the Angels could to it to Trout, saddled on a team that plays "good enough to lose" Yogi Berra-ism (not familiar - Google it), with a 1-6 record in one-run games and 12th in AL starting pitcher ERA.
Trevor Cahill (1-2, 5.47) left the Chicago Cubs because he wanted to be a starting pitcher again and he found a sucker who took the bait. The Bronx Bombers will have every chance to improve on their 6.5 RPG on the road this season. Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 2.76) and the Yankees are -120 road favorites. Tanaka has a minuscule 1.59 ERA in a half dozen starts against the Halos and he and his team are 6-0 against them. For MLB picks, we'll back New York who is 31-12 when the money line is -100 to -150.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

3* LA ANGLES +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* San Antonio -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Hot Shot Sports

MLB
3* #911 Cleveland +135 (Bauer)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
2* Marlins/Phillies Over 7.5
1* Detroit Tigers +188

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider)

MLB (Best Bet) - Astros/Indians Under 8 (-114)

NHL (Series Wager)
Columbus Blue Jackets +125
Colorado Avalanche +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hackman
jackets +1.5 -215

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider NBA) - Spurs/Nuggets Under 207.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Diamondbacks +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLDS WORST PICKER

All Regular Plays: Los Angeles Dodgers Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels

Play ON the OPPOSITES

Last night 2-0 if you played the opposites

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

3* New York Yankees +101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

2*
Arizona +112
3*
Dallas +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


OVER 9 ATLANTA @ CINCINNATI | 4/25 | 6:40 PM EDT


10:24 AM
On its face, this pitching matchup seems like an enticing matchup for the Under. But the splits indicate otherwise. The Braves' Julio Teheran has a career 5.73 ERA in Cincinnati, and Reds starter Luis Castillo enters this game with a 6.75 ERA against the Braves, which is the second highest amongst any team he has faced. Now, with a little more firepower added to each of the lineups, I see this total being shattered by the seventh inning. The Over shouldn’t be an issue.

24-11-1 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +1066


L.A. DODGERS -116


L.A. DODGERS @ CHI. CUBS | 4/25 | 2:20 PM EDT
10:18 AM
Interesting stat that catches my eye: Ross Stripling is by far a better pitcher during day games than night games. In fact he is 8-4 with a 2.85 ERA in day games while he is 9-17 with a 3.82 ERA during night games. This is an edge I really don’t think should be overlooked. Also, Jon Lester continues to be given a luxury tax a bit late in his career. Let’s not forget he was pulled just two innings into his start against the Pirates earlier this month due to hamstring tightness. I like the Stripling and the Dodgers to take this one on the road at essentially even money.

19-6 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +1169
8-3 IN LAST 11 CHC ML PICKS | +460

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD ML PICKS | +68

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


UNDER 8 L.A. DODGERS @ CHI. CUBS | 4/25 | 2:20 PM EDT


11:51 AM
The wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field this afternoon, which is typically good news for pitchers and bad news for hitters.

7-4 IN LAST 11 MLB O/U PICKS | +244
7-3 IN LAST 10 LAD O/U PICKS | +401

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


SAN ANTONIO -2.5


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/25 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:29 PM
Facing elimination, the Spurs face a must-win Game 6 on Thursday night in San Antonio. They're too good and have too much pride to put in another subpar performance like the one they did in Game 5. Coach Pop won't allow it. Take the Spurs to cover and force a Game 7.

96-71-1 IN LAST 168 NBA ATS PICKS | +1784
31-19-3 IN LAST 53 DEN ATS PICKS | +1013

3-1 IN LAST 4 SA ATS PICKS | +189

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner


DENVER +3


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/25 | 8:00 PM EDT
1:22 PM
After being down 2-1 in this series, the Nuggets have stormed back to win the last two games by at least 14 points each. As tough as the Spurs can be, the Nuggets are the more talented squad. While this game being played in San Antonio could make it more competitive, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Nuggets put the Spurs away. Take the points Thursday in Game 6.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NBA ATS PICKS | +78
7-5-1 IN LAST 13 SA ATS PICKS | +147

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts


DENVER +3


DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO | 4/25 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:59 AM
This series should already be over. I still can't figure out how the Nuggets lost Game 3 when shooting 51 percent from the field and also from beyond the 3-point line. But they regrouped midway through the second quarter in Game 4 and played Nuggets basketball which is a lot of ball movement, lots of assists and running the offense through Nikola Jokic. Same thing in Game 5. They've got the momentum and know the gameplan for success. I'm on the Nuggets with the points.

17-9-1 IN LAST 27 DEN ATS PICKS | +708


ARIZONA -107


ARIZONA @ PITTSBURGH | 4/25 | 12:35 PM EDT
10:54 AM
Arizona goes for the four-game sweep today, and they have their ace on the mound, coming off his best start of the season with six shutout innings at Wrigley Field. Arizona has won four of his five starts, and the last time he was in Pittsburgh, in June, he pitched six shutout innings in a win. Another amenity about Greinke is that he's hitting .500 with two homers, two doubles, and four RBI. The Pirates have lost four straight, and their lineup looks like Triple-A lately. Arizona to win.

6-2 IN LAST 8 PIT ML PICKS | +578


CHI. CUBS -105


L.A. DODGERS @ CHI. CUBS | 4/25 | 2:20 PM EDT
10:48 AM
The Cubs, on a 9-2 run, are playing amazing baseball right now, and they get Jon Lester back today from a hamstring injury. The Dodgers have won seven of their last 10, but they're only batting .221 over that span, well below their season average of .260. Ross Stripling has faced the Cubs twice as a starter, and the Dodgers lost both. Cubs get the sweep.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CHC ML PICKS | +543


N.Y. YANKEES -111


N.Y. YANKEES @ L.A. ANGELS | 4/25 | 9:07 PM EDT
10:42 AM
The Yankees don't have Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Greg Bird, Aaron Hicks or Didi Gregorius in the lineup, but they are playing some great baseball riding a six-game winning streak. So it's a bit puzzling, as they go for a four-game sweep behind Masahiro Tanaka, that they're not at least -125 for this game against an Angels squad that has lost nine of its last 10, especially when starter Trevor Cahill has given up nine runs between his last two starts. Yankees with the value sweep.

9-3 IN LAST 12 LAA ML PICKS | +671

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

OVER 8 N.Y. YANKEES @ L.A. ANGELS | 4/25 | 9:07 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 10:47 PM
My projections see the Angels and Yankees plating nearly 10 combined runs Thursday, coasting Over the conservative total of 8 with room to spare. The Yankees are on an 11-2 run to the Over against right-handed starters, while the Angels are on a 5-1 run to the Over in home games against teams with winning records.

28-14 IN LAST 42 MLB PICKS | +1285
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 NYY O/U PICKS | +365


ATLANTA +115


ATLANTA @ CINCINNATI | 4/25 | 6:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:41 PM
My data sees the Braves beating the Reds in nearly 60 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, offering a massive overlay on the slight road underdog. Atlanta is 6-1 in the last seven starts by Julio Teheran against opponents with losing records and 4-1 when he starts the third game of the series. Let's scalp some major value with Atlanta.

28-14 IN LAST 42 MLB PICKS | +1285
9-3 IN LAST 12 CIN ML PICKS | +693

3-1 IN LAST 4 ATL ML PICKS | +259

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsidersports (24-11 L5 days)

NBA
Spurs -3

MLB
Angels ML (-105)
Rangers/Mariners UNDER 8.5

NHL
Blues ML (-155)
Blue Jackets/Bruins UNDER 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus

NBA
6u Nuggets/Spurs UNDER 207.5

MLB
6u Yankees ML (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) Playoff GOY

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)—-Denver Nuggets

After losing two of their first three games in the series, the Nuggets have dominated the Spurs in their last two games and defeated the Spurs by 14 points per game in their last two games. Going back in history I recall Golden St losing around 30 straight games at San Antonio. And then they finally broke thru the win column and now history has changed. The Nuggets did the exact same thing getting their road win against the Spurs. Now watch the confidence spew tonight. With defense look what has happened as offensive struggles for the Spurs and were blown out in their last two games. In addition to defense, the Nuggets are averaging 109 points per game while shooting 47 percent from the field and 41 percent from three-point range. With the Spurs on the brink of elimination, expect the Nuggets to turn up the defensive intensity and pull off the win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Eastman

5 under 208 den/sa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 under 207.5 den/sa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

4 Sa -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

3 over 208.5 den/sa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Karl Garret

25 Dime

Winner


Western Semifinal Dog Shocker

Dallas Stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Dallas +135

3* Boston/ Columbus over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

MLB

NY Yankee+102 vs la angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Conners

Top-End

1000 UNIT

Winner

N.L. Living Lock

Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports from Cappertek

MLB: HOU F5 -.5 3u

[B*mb07]

Killer Sources - Dime Man - Reds, Seattle, Red Sox over Augie J - Blue Jackets

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
mlb
10 yanks
7 seattle

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
nhl
7 bruins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
9:05 PM EST
Rotation #913-914
Angels -110 over Yankees
Cahill/Tanaka
The Yankees are an injured team, but they are winning close games. I don’t think it will hold up forever, but you have to respect the effort the Yankees are putting forward. Great teams find ways to win. The Angels are trying to avoid the home sweep. Cahill is a lot better than his numbers so far would indicate as well. The Angels faced two left handed starters in this series and have been bad against them all year. With a right handed pitcher on the mound I believe the Angels will do enough to avoid the dreaded home sweep. Take the Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus DRAFT : UNDER 2.5 WR taken in 1st round

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hackman
stars 140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Super Locks
MLB
Braves/Cinn O 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

12:40 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. Cincinnati reds

pick: Cincinnati reds (-135)

risk: 11 units

8:00 pm est nba
denver nuggets vs. San antonio spurs

pick: San antonio spurs -3 (-103)

risk: 11 units

9:30 pm est nhl
dallas stars vs. St louis blues

pick: St louis blues (-155)

risk: 11 units

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Phillies Astros Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

Cleveland UN 7.5
Spurs UN 209.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

Spurs -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Kelly

NHL

Boston -140
Saint Louis UN 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

Reds -141
Spurs UN 208.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

Atlanta UN 9
Spurs UN 208.5
Astros -155