Service Plays Saturday 5/18/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[golden contender]

Saturday has MLB Exclusive TIER 1 Side headlining the MLB Card, the 5* NBA Game 3 system play and Preakness stakes on NBC. Friday card sweeps. MLB Comp play below.


The MLB Comp play is on the NY. Yankees at 1:05 eastern. The Rays fit a play against system we use that goes against road favorites off a 1 run loss scoring 4 or less runs on 10+ hits with 0 errors vs a team off a 1 run home win.These road favorites are under .500 long term. Tanaka is 6-1 in home career starts in this series and Snell 1-6 is away in this series and has a 4.56 road era. Tanaka has a 3.03 home Era. NY has won 11 of 14 in division games and 11 of 15 if they won 6 or 7 of the last 8 games. Look for NY to take this early start. On Saturday we have the MLB Exclusive TIER 1 High end side headlining a big MLB Card along with the Preakness Stakes and a 5* NBA Game 3 Historical system play. Friday card sweeps. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free pick. Play on NY. Rob V- GC Sports

[dawggy]

TONY FINNBASEBALL PLAYS


FINN EARLY PITCH AL GAME ~ MONTH 11-2
Game: (965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) New York Yankees
Date/Time: May 18 2019 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -115

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays -115 (good to -125)
4% game rating
(965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) New York Yankees
Check back shortly for game day analysis and detailed report
LIST PITCHERS: Snell and Tanaka

FINN SAT NITE LITES MLB HI-ROLLER I
Game: (977) Minnesota Twins at (978) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: May 18 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Twins -134

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

PLAY: Minnesota Twins -134 (good to -150)
4% game rating
LIST PITCHERS: Berrios and LaBlanc
(977) Minnesota Twins at (978) Seattle Mariners
Check back shortly for full game analysis and head-to-head breakdown
MINNESOTA TWINS -134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris David (VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper)

League: Bundesliga (Germany)
Matchup: Eintracht Frankfurt at Bayern Munich
Saturday 5/18 (9:30am)
Best Bet: Bayern Munich -2.5 (+140) & Bayern Munich -1.5 (-180)

League: Bundesliga (Germany)
Matchup: Bayer 04 Leverkusen at Hertha Berlina
Saturday 5/18 (9:30am)
Best Bet: Over 3.5 (-140) & Over 4.5 (+165)

League: FA Cup (England)
Matchup: Watford vs Manchester City
Saturday 5/18 (12:00pm)
Best Bet: Manchester City -0.5 (-170) & Over 2.5 (+100) Manchester City Goals

League: La Liga (Spain)
Matchup: Rayo Vallecano at Celta De Vigo
Saturday 5/18 (2:45pm)
Best Bet: Over 3.5 (+105) & Both Teams to Score (Yes -170)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Markus (VegasInsider NBA) - Portland Trailblazers -129 (Moneyline)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* Philadelphia -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

3* Portland -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3* LA DODGERS - 142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

3* Portland / Golden State under 221.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave essler

3* Portland -130


3* TOM Seattle / Minnesota over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Portland - 130

1* Minnesota -135

1* Seattle / Minnesota over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

May 18] Official Play: .67* DET -106

https://getdrip.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/image_upload/image/468803/embeddable_fdf83b5c-0fb0-461d-ac03-f9dc6337dbbd.JPG

Athletics v. Tigers – Basewinner Line Tigers -140



Matthew Boyd can no longer be overlooked.
His median game component numbers in 2018 were good as follows: 85 BAR, 118 K and .32 k/bb.
His median game component numbers in 2019 are even better as follows: 51 BAR, 164 K and .18 k/bb


Note: The BAR is the Basewinner Run number scaled to 100 based on K%, BB% and GB& and adjusted for opponent and park conditions. Lower is better.
Note: The BW K is median K rate scaled to 100 and adjusted for opponent and park conditions. Higher is better.

Cheers,
BaseWinner

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Now, let's go onward to the next bets for original Champ MLB betting system for May 18th:

Reds {B** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference is too great.

[Calidreaming]

DeMarco on Phillies Run Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

3*
Kansas City / LA ANGLES over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

2*
Mets -115

3*
Minnesota -122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Rocketman Sports

MLB
3* #955 Mets -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:15 PM EST
Rotation #973-974
Red Sox -105 over Astros
Velazquez/Martin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Eastman MLB 5/18

5 Unit Play. Take #977 Minnesota (-130) over Seattle (10 p.m., Saturday, May 18)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Consensus

CONS:5/18/19
MLB 8* #968 Take CWS -144 ov Tor
MLB 6* #955 Take NYM (RL +140) ov Mia, 6* #965 Take TB -116 ov NYY

NBA 5* #547 Take GSW/Por OVER 221.5, 6* #548 Take Por -2 ov GSW

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2*
Portland -2.5


2*
Seattle / Minnesota over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB: Top 3* Play - Royals/Angels Over 9

2* Rays/Yankees Over 8
1* Brewers +113
1* Indians -1.5 runs (+135)
1* Nationals -1.5 runs (+156)

[dawggy]

DWAYNE BRYANT

BASKETBALL PLAYS

GUARANTEED! 5% NBA MAX BET
Game: (547) Golden State Warriors at (548) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: May 18 2019 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 (-110)

View Analysis

9:05 PM ET -- NBA


547 Golden State Warriors

548 Portland Trail Blazers


PLAY: 548 PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -2.5 (-110)

BET SIZE: 5%



DB's THOUGHTS:



Portland let one get away in Game 2, blowing a 17-point lead and losing 114-111 in Oakland. "We stole that game," Warriors coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "I thought they outplayed us for much of the night, the majority of the night..." Portland may not have won that game, but its performance did two things. One, it gave them confidence heading into Game 3. Secondly, the 0-2 hole creates a great sense of urgency to get a W tonight.



The Warriors will still be without KD. Twice before they've been an underdog in Game 3 of a playoff series after winning the first two games at home. They lost both times and failed to cover as well, losing by 30 to the Cavaliers in Cleveland in the NBA Finals on 6/8/16, and losing in OT to the Rockets 126-121 in Houston two weeks ago today.



The Blazers should also get the benefit of some friendly whistles now that they're back home. I'm figuring this will be the most Blazers-friendly officiating we will see in this series.



Keep an eye on Damian Lillard. Lillard was just 3-for-17 in Game 7 of the Denver series, and only 10-for-28 so far in this series. I expect Lillard to finally get untracked tonight on his home court.



Portland owns a 129-107 home win over the Warriors this season (2/13/19) when GS had all hands on deck. I see no reason why the Blazers won't step up at home tonight against the Durant-less Warriors and deliver a solid win to temporarily get back into this series

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3*
LA DODGERS - 142

2*
San Francisco -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Chicago Cubs +128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB
5* Tampa Bay Rays -109
4* Mariners/Twins Over 9
4* Cleveland Indians -140
3* Los Angeles Dodgers -152
3* San Diego Padres -140

NBA
5* Portland Trailblazers -125 (Moneyline)

The Preakness
W/P/S - #2 Bourbon War
Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta - Box 2-3-4-5-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

SEATTLE +127


MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 5/18 | 10:10 PM EDT
2:10 AM
The Twins' four-game winning streak and the Mariners' recent slump have inflated Seattle's price here to more than it should be. Minnesota starter Jose Berrios (6-2) is coming off his worst game of the season, allowing a career-high 12 hits in 5.2 innings to the Angels. He is 1-2 in three career starts against Seattle. My model has the Mariners winning this game 56 percent of the time, making this money line a strong value.

58-35 IN LAST 93 MLB PICKS | +2307
15-6 IN LAST 21 MIN ML PICKS | +961


OAKLAND -114


OAKLAND @ DETROIT | 5/18 | 4:10 PM EDT
1:52 AM
The A's have amazingly beaten the Tigers 14 straight times, a streak that dates to May 2017. The past two games, however, are the most relevant. Oakland has pounded Detroit 24-5 over the past two nights, continuing the Tigers pitching woes. In the last 10 games, Detroit has a 7.57 ERA. My model says that the A's win this game 69 percent of the time, giving this money line a strong value. Take Oakland to make it 15 straight.

58-35 IN LAST 93 MLB PICKS | +2307
17-8 IN LAST 25 OAK ML PICKS | +882

16-8 IN LAST 24 DET ML PICKS | +758


PHILADELPHIA -176


COLORADO @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/18 | 4:05 PM EDT
1:38 AM
After a slow start to the season, the Phillies' Aaron Nola has pitched better recently. In his last four starts, he has a 2.53 ERA. Meanwhile, less than a month ago, Philadelphia beat Colorado's Antonio Senzatela, scoring four runs on seven hits in 6.0 innings in an 8-5 win. My model says the Phillies win 74 percent of the time, so they're still strong value at this price. Ride with Philly.

58-35 IN LAST 93 MLB PICKS | +2307
35-19 IN LAST 54 COL ML PICKS | +1795

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure


MILWAUKEE +100


MILWAUKEE @ ATLANTA | 5/18 | 7:15 PM EDT
12:11 PM
The market is quite efficient on this game today, but I'm still going to play the Brewers as I have a few things that I like about the way the Brewers matchup with Gausman's pitch frequencies. Milwaukee is winning exactly 50 percent of simulations in my model.

6-4 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS | +143
12-6 IN LAST 18 MIL ML PICKS | +705


OAKLAND -117


OAKLAND @ DETROIT | 5/18 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:08 PM
Matt Boyd is getting a lot of respect here against a team that is built to hit left-handed pitching. Mengden is a high variance player but this Tigers lineup projects to strikeout just enough that I'm comfortable with my ratings on this play. I have Oakland winning 57 percent of simulations against Matt Boyd.

6-4 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS | +143
4-0 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS | +400

4-2 IN LAST 6 OAK ML PICKS | +166


L.A. DODGERS -152


L.A. DODGERS @ CINCINNATI | 5/18 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:14 PM
Tyler Mahle has been very good at times this season, but I'm not ready to give him the respect the rest of the market appears to be willing to give. I have the Dodgers winning 62 percent of simulations behind Walker Buehler. This Dodgers lineup is just too good against right-handed pitching in such a strong hitting environment.

6-4 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS | +143
4-1 IN LAST 5 LAD ML PICKS | +382

2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN ML PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
CIN F5 +.5 +100 3u

MLB Season: 33-41-5 45% -38.15 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take #977 Minnesota (-130) over Seattle (10 p.m., Saturday, May 18)
Minnesota has won the first two games of this series easily. They should get the third straight win tonight. They have already outscored the Mariners 18-7 in this series and this team is on fire. The Twins have won four straight and they are 9-3 in their last 12 games. Minnesota is 36-16 in their last 52 games overall and they are 12-0 in their last 12 games against a team that is below .500. The Twins are going with their ace starter, Jose Berrios today. He has won five of six starts overall and has a solid 1.08 WHIP and 3.05 ERA this season. The Twins are 7-2 in his nine starts. I think they will take care of business here and keep it going.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB, 8u: 965 TB-.5+145. TB-1.5+185. 967 TOR+135 1ST 5. TOR+140. 954 CIN+137 1ST 5. CIN+142G. CIN O 5 & O 10. 956 MIA+103 1ST 5. MIA+108G.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to black

White Sox-150
Rays-112
Rays over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

750 UNIT

Line Value Lock of the Month


Phillies


Preakness Ortiz #12 Win Place Show

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

100 DIME
Max Wager
Lead Pipe Lock # 16 of 23
(& 6th straight!)

Golden State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin


50 DIME
Western Conference Lock

Portland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chuck O'Brien

100 DIME
MLB Winner # 20 of 30

Underdog Game of the Month

Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

60 Dime
NBA Winner # 19 of 27

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINAL
TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Warriors-Raptors Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan


400♦
Western Conference Final
Bankroll Builder

Warriors +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Weston

75 Dime
MLB Winner # 7 of 9

INTERLEAGUE
GAME OF THE MONTH

Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

MLB 4 Star San Fran -105 ( Bumgarner)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
7 Unit White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR O'Donnell - PREAKNESS STAKES

3*** = #2 Bourbon War


2** =#4 Improbable


2** = #1 War of Will

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer
7 Unit Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 600 Rockies game over , 300 tigers , 300 tigers game over , 400 Red Sox , 300 Portland game over , 800 Portland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George
3 Unit GS +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris
7 Unit over 221 port/gs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis
4 Unit port -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4 Unit port -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

NBA
9:05 PM EST
Rotation #547-548
Warriors +2.5 over Blazers
I don’t know how the Warriors are doing it with Durant out and a less than average bench, but I think it boils down to the Blazers not being able to figure out the defense necessary to stop Golden State. The Warriors have found their stroke in this series shooting over 50% each game. If this team continues their hot shooting they will sweep this series. Portland has a lot of upside and they have great playmakers, but the injuries they have suffered seem to affect them more. It’s amazing a team like Golden State can lose a Kevin Durant and still not miss a beat. Take the Warriors.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3*
Golden State +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB, 8U: 975 KC+151 1ST 5. KC+156g. KC O 4.5 & O 9. 958 WAS-.5+120. WAS-1.5+160. 963 SF-.5+145 1st 5. SF-185g. 978 SEA+119 1st 5. SEA+124g.