Service Plays Saturday 6/1/19

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL

4% Liverpool -106
Europe's premier club tournament comes to a conclusion on Saturday with two familar foes taking the field as Tottenham and Liverpool meet in the Champions League Final and it'll be a play on Liverpool. We'll start with Tottenham who put together an improbably comeback in the semifinals needing 3 goals in the final 35 minutes of leg 2 and managed to complete that with a final minute (96th) goal and a 3-2 win to earn a birth into the final. Liverpool used a similar leg 2 miracle beating Barcelona 4-0 to overturn a 3-0 Leg 1 loss and earn a chance at redemption after last seasons 3-1 loss in the final to Real Madrid. These sides have met twice in league play this season with Liverpool coming out on the right side of 2-1 decisions in both. Both sides have had almost 3 weeks to rest/prepare which has allowed key players to come back off injuries with Roberto Firmino returning for Liverpool and he'll be a major key to the teams attack and breaking down the Spurs backline. Harry Kane has also reportedly returned and has been the Spurs main threat over the past few seasons but at writing it's uncertain whether he'll start or come off the bench and the concern here is that with the injury he suffered originally the timetable for return seems quicker than normal and he has just started to take part in first team drills. Is an 80% Kane better than what they could otherwise field? Not entirely convinced and in my opinion it'll likely hurt more than help. Putting league results aside this Reds team has made it a mission to get back to the CL Final after last years loss in which for at least the first 45 minutes they looked the better side. After 52 competitive matches this season (37 wins) they've made it back and a win on Saturday would complete the mission.

PROPS

Some prop plays (1% plays) These are wagers I have played. Also Liverpool (-185) to Lift the Trophy which is a safer alternative for those that think Liverpool will win but that it might come in extra time or penalty kicks. Our wager is Liverpool in Regulation time and the price has dropped a few cents since posting but I don't believe it'll hit lower than -110 and likely stays in the same price range. GL Guys.

Roberto Firmino To Score +187 (Firmino has been ruled fit and has scored in both Liverpool 2-1 wins this season over Tottenham.

Liverpool To Score In First Half -120 (Liverpool have broken through for a first half goal in 7 straight games vs Tottenham dating back to 2016)

Liverpool Exact Score 2-0 +800 (In last years Champions League Final only a late game goalkeeping miscue by Karius preventing us from sweeping all props included a 2-1 Exact Score selection. I'll take another shot here on Saturday looking for a cleansheet win).

Liverpool To Score a Penalty +600 (This should only be a 0.5% of wager but one that I'll play now that VAR (video assisted review) has become to play a bigger part in penalties being awarded. We saw one in the Final of the World Cup so it's not outside of the relm of occurring)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

UEFA Champions League Final

4% Liverpool -110

Liverpool has the experience in this game and learned the best lesson last year losing to Real Madrid in the Champions League final. This game is similar to the Super Bowl with the amount of time off since these teams' last matches. There is also a ton of distractions from every angle with the amount of media coverage and travel schedules getting to Spain well over a week in advance to prepare. That being said, a big edge to Liverpool here in terms of experince.

As fas as the field goes, edge goes to Liverpool as well with the better team. I don't need to go into too much detail on how strong they were in league play this year while also having the player of the year in Virgil van Dijk along with their offense stars in Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino. They lost just one game on the year and had the best defense in the league.

Tottenham went through hot and cold phases this year and in all honesty are lucky to be here with a late stoppage time goal needed to get past Ajax in the semifinals. Harry Kane is expected to return after a two month absense which will certainly help their offensive attack but I think it could also hurt them in the sense that they may need some time for everyone to get back in sync with one another. That could lead to an early mistake and is Liverpool can capitalize on something early, it will be tough for Tottenham to claw back.

This play is on regulation+stoppage time only. If they game goes to extra time and/or penalities this is graded as a loss. You can take Liverpool to win the Champions League at around -200, but I don't think it's worth the price.

TAKE LIVERPOOL ML or -0.5 (whichever line is better)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI Soccer

Saturday champions league final
3*-under-2.5-tott-liver...3pm

saturday mls
3 *-dc united-120....8pm

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Kyle Markus (VegasInsider Soccer)

UEFA Champions League Final (TNT 3:00 p.m. et)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

ATS Pick - Tottenham Hotspur +310

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Carmine Bianco

5% Boston Bruins Over 5

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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider NHL - Stanley Cup Finals Game #3) - Top Play Boston Bruins +101

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Toby Maxtone-Smith (VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper)

UEFA Champions League Final
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool (TV - TNT - Game Time 3:00 p.m.et)

ATS Picks
Best Bet - Liverpool
Liverpool to Win in 90 minutes at 10/11
First Goalscorer: Sadio Mane at 5/1

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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider)

UFC on ESPN+ 11
Alexander Gustafsson -300 (Best Bet)
Damir Hadzovic -165 (Best Bet)
Daniel Teymur +115
Makwan Amirkhani -115
Jimi Manuwa +175
Stevie Ray +135
Frank Camacho -117
Devin Clark -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[June 1 (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)] Official Play:
HOU -152 (we recommend playing the overnight lines because the market can move fast on sharp plays)

https://getdrip.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/image_upload/image/483129/embeddable_3ba30f80-566a-41c7-8359-8606f78a2691.JPG

Stros at Athletics -- Basewinner Line Stros -214



A first look at Brett Anderson (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://2)shows a decent ERA with a 3.86 that puts him 46th out of 87 qualified starters. However, his .75 bb/k is the 3rd worst among these qualifiers.





The BW kbb model has this one priced as HOU -203 which concurs with the BW Crunch line.



Cheers,
BaseWinner

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Ben Burns

3* (NHL)

St.louis -111

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Dave Essler

3* TOM

Texas / Kansas City over 10.5


2* Chicago Whitesox / Cleveland over 10

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Spartan

3* GOW

Houston -152

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Wise Guy Insider

MLB 9:10 pm Toronto Blue Jays at Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies -145 for 1 units
ACTION

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MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:10 PM EST
Rotation #965-966
White Sox -105 over Indians
Nova/Rodriguez

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JR ODONNELL

3* (NHL)

St.louis / Boston over 5

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Greg Shaker

3* St.louis / Chicago Cubs under 9

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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

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Red Dog Sports

MLB
3* #975/976 San Francisco/Baltimore OVER 9.5

[golden contender]

Massive Saturday card led by the 2019 Interleague Game Of the Year, and a Triple Perfect Rivalry play along with a few others. NHL Stanley Cup Play below

The Game 3 Stanley Cup Finals Play is on Boston at 8:05 eastern. The Bruins were beat at home in overtime in game 2 snapping an 8 game win streak. The Bruins are still 8-1 vs winning teams and 5-1 as a road dog. They have taken 26 of 34 with 2 days rest. The Blues managed to stay in the series but have been out played for the most part. Look for Boston to take back the momentum. On Saturday the 2019 Interleague Game of the Year is up along with a triple perfect Division rivalry play along with a few more system plays from the MLB Database. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NHL Game 3 play. Go with Boston. Rob Vinciletti- Golden Contender Sports

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H&H Sports (MLB) - 5* Cleveland Indians -118

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Larry Hartstein


OAKLAND +140


HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 6/01 | 10:07 PM EDT
8:26 AM
I think the loss of George Springer, Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa is starting to impact this lineup. Over the last two games, the Astros have just four runs on 12 hits. On Friday night they got two home runs to squeeze out a 3-2 win. A’s starter Brett Anderson (6-3, 3.86 ERA) is allowing an excellent 0.74 home runs per nine innings, which is 17th best in the majors among starters and right behind Hyun-Jin Ryu. I realize Justin Verlander (8-2, 2.38) is on the mound for Houston, but I think Anderson frustrates the Astros hitters and Oakland pulls out a low-scoring win.

24-11 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +857
10-4 IN LAST 14 OAK ML PICKS | +503


ATLANTA -243


DETROIT @ ATLANTA | 6/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:14 PM
Sign me up for the Braves. Atlanta starter Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.07 ERA) is quickly emerging as one of the best starters in the National League. He hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in any of his eight starts this season and would lead the majors in ERA if he had enough innings. Meanwhile, Detroit sends out lefty Daniel Norris (2-3, 4.18), and the Braves feast on southpaws. They rank seventh in average (.267) and sixth in OPS (.801) in the majors against lefties this season. Even at this price, Atlanta provides strong value.

24-11 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +857
27-21 IN LAST 48 ATL ML PICKS | +276

3-1 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS | +200


MILWAUKEE -185


MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 6/01 | 4:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:00 PM
This pitching mismatch tilts heavily toward the Brewers. Milwaukee starter Brandon Woodruff (7-1, 3.22 ERA) is looking for his seventh straight win on Saturday. In his last six starts, he is 5-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s Nick Kingham (1-1, 8.28) hasn’t won a game as a starter since July 21, 2018. The Pirates are 2-6 in his last eight starts. Milwaukee is still a solid value at this price.

24-11 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +857
9-4 IN LAST 13 MIL ML PICKS | +491

3-2 IN LAST 5 PIT ML PICKS | +47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


UNDER 9.5 DETROIT @ ATLANTA | 6/01 | 4:10 PM EDT


12:46 PM
Mike Soroka has allowed one run or less in each of his first eight starts this season. Daniel Norris is 2-3 with a 4.18 ERA this season, but he sports a 3.29 ERA on the road. In the last week, Atlanta hasn’t scored more than four runs in a game and this Tigers offense is still the second worst in the league.

18-12 IN LAST 30 MLB PICKS | +366


MILWAUKEE -185


MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 6/01 | 4:05 PM EDT
12:45 PM
Brandon Woodruff is 7-1 with a 3.22 ERA this season while Nick Kingham is 1-1 with an 8.28 ERA. The Brewers are 9-2 when Woodruff starts while the Pirates are 1-2 when Kingham starts. Lay the favorite.

18-12 IN LAST 30 MLB ML PICKS | +366
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS | +48


ST. LOUIS -120


BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:44 PM
This stadium will be rocking hosting the first Stanley Cup final in St. Louis in 49 years. The Blues have momentum after last game’s win in overtime and they’ll be flying at the start of this game. The Bruins are 11-3 when scoring first and the Blues are 10-4 when scoring first, so we should be able to tell a lot from this first period. Look for the Blues to feed off the crown in this game, special teams will be the difference.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NHL ML PICKS | +115
2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3*
St.louis -130

2*
TEXAS/KANSAS CITY OVER 10.5

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Seabass first report : 400 Indians , 400 brewers RL, 600 royals game over , 300 reds , 300 braves RL

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Doc mlb 6-1

3 astros-150

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Alan harris mlb 6-1

7 nyy-115

[B*mb07]

Marco D
PLAY: (970) SEATTLE +105
RATING: 4% PLAY

The Angels have struggled when facing Left-Handers this year going just 6-14 while averaging just 3.8 runs a game. Today they will face Tom Milone who will be making his 3rd start (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) of the season. In his 1st two he has a ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 0.84. His strikeout to walk ratio is 13-2. I only expect Milone to continue (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) to get even better. Over the last 2 seasons when the line is +125 to -125 the Angels are only 43-61. This is the 6th game of the road trip for the Angels and following 5 or more consecutive road games the Angels are just 29-48. My numbers (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) have Seattle winning 6-4.

TAKE SEATTLE as MARCO’S 4% BASEBALL HIGH ROLLER
PLAY: (970) SEATTLE +105
RATING: 4% PLAY

The Angels have struggled when facing Left-Handers this year going just 6-14 while averaging just 3.8 runs a game. Today they will face Tom Milone who will be making his 3rd start (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) of the season. In his 1st two he has a ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 0.84. His strikeout to walk ratio is 13-2. I only expect Milone to continue (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) to get even better. Over the last 2 seasons when the line is +125 to -125 the Angels are only 43-61. This is the 6th game of the road trip for the Angels and following 5 or more consecutive road games the Angels are just 29-48. My numbers (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#) have Seattle winning 6-4.

TAKE SEATTLE as MARCO’S 4% BASEBALL HIGH ROLLER

[B*mb07]

Champagne - Az Texas Clev over Augie J - Twins

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King creole

2* St.louis / Chicago Cubs under 9

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Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider MLB) - Boston Red Sox +113

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David Kelly


OVER 5 BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/01 | 8:00 PM EDT


12:30 PM
As bad as the Blues played in Game 1, they dominated the Bruins in Game 2 in perhaps the most physical contest of the entire playoffs. If St. Louis repeats that effort, Boston is in for a long night. The Bruins have to answer tonight if they can; their defense must hold up to the expected Blues bombardment. I believe goals will come in this pivotal match, so take the Over.

14-8-1 IN LAST 23 NHL O/U PICKS | +527
16-11-1 IN LAST 28 BOS O/U PICKS | +428

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - SD Rockies Braves LAD Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2-Unit Play. Take #973 Houston (-150) over Oakland (10 p.m., Saturday, June 1)
I will go with the Astros in this one. This is a big series for both teams. Houston is one of the best teams in baseball and they will want to get a big win over their division rivals. The Astros are going with Justin Verlander and they are 41-18 in his last 59 starts. Houston is 23-5 in his last 28 starts and Verlander is coming off extra rest, and he is 13-3 in his last 16 days coming off extra rest. Houston is 8-3 in its last 11 games in Oakland and 35-16 in their last 51 games against the A's overall. Go with Verlander and the Astros here.
Allen Eastman

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Vernon Croy
7 Unit play Seattle/Chicago OVER 158

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Gabriel Dupont

80 Dime NHL Winner # 4 of 5

SECOND-BIGGEST RELEASE THIS SEASON

Stanley Cup Final
Total of the Year

blues/bruins under

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Stephen Nover

2*
Atlanta -1.5(-120)

2*
Texas / Kansas City over 10.5

2*(NHL)
Boston +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts


OVER 9.5 BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/01 | 7:15 PM EDT


3:34 PM
The Yankees have won eight of Domingo German's 10 starts, and he's been their best starter all season. But he comes off a beatdown in Kansas City where he allowed seven runs. Is the K.C. game just one of those things that happens or is he wearing down? Boston's resurgence has been aided greatly by Rick Porcello. They've won seven of his last eight starts, and nine of his 11 starts have gone Over. Boston has lost its last three, and the Yankees are on a 31-10 run. Over is the top play here.

4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB PICKS | +440
18-13-2 IN LAST 33 NYY O/U PICKS | +378

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
BOS/NYY F5 Over 5.5 +100 3u

MLB Season: 40-49-7 45% -36.10units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JM
Today's Pythagorean series pick:

[MLB] 1* Star Betting Series: Arizona Diamondback {B} bet. If they do not win today, please automatically move on to the {C} bet on Arizona tomorrow. If Arizona wins, then the series is over and we record it as a win.

All Pythagorean bets are always on the money line.

Al the best,
The Champ Team

[B*mb07]

CPAW or anyone see Executive 600% out there?

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Pete Blackburn


BOSTON +100


BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:35 PM
The Blues found major improvement on both ends of the ice in Game 2 and looked more like the team that got them to this point in the first place. But the Bruins didn't play up to their ability and were forced to play with five defensemen for the final 40-plus minutes of the game. They haven't gotten anything from their top line so far (0 goals for, 3 against at 5-on-5 in the series), but there's too much talent there to be quiet for much longer. The Blues are still taking too many penalties and giving the Bruins' special teams too many opportunities. Look for Boston to show some resilience and bounce back with a strong, high-intensity performance in Game 3 on the road.

13-6-1 IN LAST 20 NHL PICKS | +886
5-3 IN LAST 8 BOS ML PICKS | +209

3-1 IN LAST 4 STL ML PICKS | +205

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


ARIZONA -115


N.Y. METS @ ARIZONA | 6/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
4:00 PM
It’s no secret that the Diamondbacks are struggling, dropping five in a row. When they need a win, they turn to no one else other than Zack Greinke, who has been lights-out this season with a 2.78 ERA and a 6-2 record. We can’t say the same for Jacob deGrom, teams have been able to get to him early in ball games. I like Arizona, which is top 10 in the majors in hits and runs, to beat up deGrom just enough so that Greinke has a little breathing room to pick up the victory at home. The Diamondbacks are the better team and showcase the better pitcher Saturday night.

52-37 IN LAST 89 MLB ML PICKS | +776
12-3 IN LAST 15 ARI ML PICKS | +947

6-3 IN LAST 9 NYM ML PICKS | +233

BOSTON +109


BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/01 | 7:15 PM EDT
3:47 PM
Rick Porcello has been lights-out against the Yankees in his career. In his last three starts versus the pinstripes, including the postseason, he has given up two runs total. Boston won all three games, outscoring New York, 18-6. We are finally seeing Yankees pitcher Domingo German regress a bit after his amazing start this season. He got hosed last out for seven runs, losing to the Royals. The Red Sox should pick this one up on the road at a nice underdog line.

52-37 IN LAST 89 MLB ML PICKS | +776
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS | +117

2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


TORONTO -135


GOLDEN ST. @ TORONTO | 6/02 | 8:00 PM EDT
3:27 PM
I think this number will drop during gameday with more than 70 percent of the public on Golden State. I think the Raptors could drop to as low as Pick or -1 on Sunday. Toronto's home court will be rocking once again and is worth five points. The Raptors had a great showing in Game 1, flashing their length on offense but more importantly on defense. They have a clear-cut advantage in matchups, and their bench of Fred VanVleet, Serge Ibaka and Norman Powell is also an advantage in this series.


COLORADO -147


TORONTO @ COLORADO | 6/01 | 9:10 PM EDT
3:15 PM
The Rockies' Jon Gray has above average stuff, evident by his 9.32 strikeouts per 9.0 innings. If he pitched for the Padres, Rays or Dodgers his ERA would be well below 3.00, but pitching your home games in Denver has a negative effect on that number. Gray has been extremely unlucky in 2019, with batted balls in play successful at a 31 percent clip, well above the league average of 26 percent. The Blue Jays' Marcus Stroman has consistently been between 3.90 and 4.10 xFIP the last three years. His ERA of 2.74 shows he has been very lucky so far in 2019. Coors Field will not be as kind. My model has the Rockies winning 66 percent of the time.

3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB PICKS | +180
4-2 IN LAST 6 COL ML PICKS | +197

2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS | +122


ST. LOUIS -144


CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 6/01 | 7:15 PM EDT
2:52 PM
The home and away splits for both pitchers favor the Cardinals. The Cubs' Jose Quintana has been brilliant in his home starts but quite the opposite on the road. Quintana has been 40 cents below the average pitcher on the road, with a 5.11 ERA. The Cards' Jack Flaherty is coming of a great game versus the Braves going 6.0 innings, allowing three hits and zero runs while striking out seven. At home in 2019 Flaherty boasts a 2.06 ERA while opponents are hitting just .184. The Cardinals lineup stacks up nicely with the Cubs, and if there is any team that is glad May is over it is the Cardinals.

3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB PICKS | +180
6-2 IN LAST 8 CHC ML PICKS | +330

5-3 IN LAST 8 STL ML PICKS | +214


OVER 9.5 BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/01 | 7:15 PM EDT


2:47 PM
Pitching stats can be very deceiving at times. Boston's Rick Porcello had a horrible start to 2019, allowing 14 earned runs in just 11.1 innings. Since that time Porcello has thrown 52.0 innings and allowed just 17 earned runs for an ERA of 2.94. However, he has been very lucky, sporting an individual xFIP of 5.00 or higher in his last four starts. His strikeout numbers are also down over his last three starts with just 11 strikeouts in 19.2 innings. The Yankees' Domingo German started the year with five straight above average starts, however he has had three below average starts over his last four outings. Both offenses are well above average. Take the Over.

6-1-1 IN LAST 8 MLB O/U PICKS | +490
3-2 IN LAST 5 BOS O/U PICKS | +80