Service Plays Thursday 6/27/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Buehler v. Lambert
This is about Buehler and his last performance and several as well...but even more about Lambert. He started off nice with a couple solid starts against the Cubs home and away and a couple of victories for his team. Since it has NOT been the same story...2 no decision is the bright side...the bad is how much worse he was and now he gets the Dodgers visiting Coors off a nasty set with Arizona and a Rockies team who handled their business rather easily over San Fran.
Buehler has been phenomenal...but the Dodgers offense looked like a no show in AZ with REALLY excellent hitting conditions. No rest here...but this spot screams a wake up from a PROLIFIC line up.
Dodgers 3-1 after losing on the road and scoring 3 or less runs
15-5 record not accounting for the loss
All 9 at bats for Bellinger and the Rookie Co.
Buehler has been good in Coors against non-2017 Kyle Freelands
10-2 is the record of teams whose starter Ked 15 or more batters last time starting last 10 years

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 952 NYM/PHI un10 -107 (Z Wheeler | A Nola)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mlbtotal

Los Angeles Angels , Over 9

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

A Wager Africa Cup Nations Algeria 0 +0,5 +104

A Wager Europa League Barry (Wal) - Cliftonville (Nir) UNDER 2,5 -119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Triple Dime Max Bet Washington Nationals RL (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Markus (VegasInsider MLB) - Los Angeles Dodgers -190 (5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229))

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider)

MLB 3 pack
San Francisco Giants -105 (Best Bet)
Los Angeles Angels -155
Angels/Athletics Over 9 (-116)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


OAKLAND +136
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/27 | 9:07 PM CDT
8:51 AM
Griffin Canning has a 5.01 ERA over the last month, including a six-inning, four-runs-allowed loss to these Angels on June 4. Tanner Anderson has just three starts for Oakland, but opponents are limited to .220 hitting. My projections are calling this a close to 50-50 split, but the A's are big underdogs. The differential shows they should be closer to +108, so there's strong value on the road dog.

100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
20-8 IN LAST 28 OAK ML PICKS | +1263

11-3 IN LAST 14 LAA ML PICKS | +864

ARIZONA -106
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/27 | 8:45 PM CDT
8:36 AM
The Giants are 5-1 this season when Tyler Beede gets the ball. But his numbers suggest the San Francisco offense simply has real good days when he's throwing. The Diamondbacks give Alex Young, who has struggled in the minors this year, his first MLB start. But Arizona's offense has a big edge over San Francisco's. The D'backs win nearly 60 percent of my simulations at a price that indicates it should be closer to 50 percent. Arizona is the value play here.

100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
25-14 IN LAST 39 ARI ML PICKS | +1232

MIAMI +180
WASHINGTON @ MIAMI | 6/27 | 6:10 PM CDT
YESTERDAY 8:28 PM
My projections see the moribund Marlins winning Thursday's matchup against the Nationals nearly half the time, providing a whopping overlay on the large home underdog. My simulations see Miami winning 49 percent of the time. Stephen Strasburg has won five straight road starts against the Marlins, but my data likes the value on a Miami club that is playing some of its best baseball of the season and has won four of its last six.

100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
20-13 IN LAST 33 MIA ML PICKS | +856

16-12 IN LAST 28 WAS ML PICKS | +343

TEXAS -117
TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 12:10 PM CDT
YESTERDAY 8:24 PM
My numbers see the Rangers taking down the Tigers in 63 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, providing a major value spot on the razor-thin road favorite. The Rangers are on a 6-2 spurt in road games against right-handed starters, while the Tigers have lost the last four home starts by Spencer Turnbull.

100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
26-9 IN LAST 35 DET ML PICKS | +1682

17-10 IN LAST 27 TEX ML PICKS | +112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 6/27

100* Tigers -105
100* Rays -105
100* Over 10 Brewers/Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


PHILADELPHIA -138


N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 6/27 | 1:05 PM EDT
11:35 AM
Zack Wheeler is 6-5 with a 4.69 ERA this season, but he is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA on the road. Aaron Nola is 6-2 with a 4.55 ERA this season, but he is 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA at home. The Mets have had the lead in all three of the games this series, only for the bullpen to lose all three. The Mets are 11-22 as the road underdog while the Phillies are 26-14 as the home favorite. Lay the home favorite with their ace on the mound.

47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
5-2 IN LAST 7 NYM ML PICKS | +266

3-2 IN LAST 5 PHI ML PICKS | +48


TEXAS -124


TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 1:10 PM EDT
11:33 AM
Ariel Jurado is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA this season. Spencer Turnbull is 3-7 with a 3.29 ERA, but he is 0-4 with a 4.07 ERA at home this season. The Tigers have lost six in a row while the Rangers have won four in a row. The Rangers are a solid 18-4 as the favorite, and 5-0 as the road favorite. The Tigers are 11-27 at home and 6-24 as the home underdog. Take the value in the Rangers.

47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
8-0 IN LAST 8 DET ML PICKS | +800

7-0 IN LAST 7 TEX ML PICKS | +712


CHI. CUBS -110


ATLANTA @ CHI. CUBS | 6/27 | 2:20 PM EDT
11:32 AM
Bryse Wilson will be recalled for the Braves to make the start. In one start this season, he went 3.1 innings giving up four runs. Tyler Chatwood is 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA this season, and in his two starts this season he has given up two earned runs in 10 innings pitched. The Cubs are 28-16 at home and 23-12 as the home favorite, look for them to even this series at two.

47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
5-2 IN LAST 7 CHC ML PICKS | +263

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports (4-2 L4 days)

MLB
Tigers ML (+110)
Diamondbacks/Giants UNDER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


TEXAS -118


TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 1:10 PM EDT
1:25 AM
The Rangers are 27-14 in their last 41 games and I'll back them to win their fifth straight Thursday afternoon. They're facing Spencer Turnbull, who's given up 18 runs in his last 19 innings at home. Lay it with Texas.

15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +901
7-1 IN LAST 8 DET ML PICKS | +600

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS | +70


PHILADELPHIA -139


N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 6/27 | 1:05 PM EDT
1:09 AM
Aaron Nola has been dynamite at home, going 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA. Over his last four starts covering 27.2 innings, he's allowed six earned runs while fanning 37. The Mets are limping to the end of their 11-game road trip. Lay it as the Phils get the four-game sweep.

15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +901
35-14 IN LAST 49 NYM ML PICKS | +1750

14-6 IN LAST 20 PHI ML PICKS | +824

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins (8-4 L4 days)

MLB Trend Plays
2x Dodgers ML (-200)
Nationals ML (-200)
Astros ML (-200)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus (2-7 L3 days)

MLB
5u Cubs ML (-105)
5u Tigers ML (+105)
5u Mariners ML (+170)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Master Sports

MLB
3* #961 Texas -115 (Jurado)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Tampa Bay Rays +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
2* Astros/Pirates Over 9.5
2* Diamondbacks/Giants Over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony chau/john morrison sports betting champ

(a) colorado +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy WNBA

7 Unit LA Sparks +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

7 unit play LA Sparks / Las Vegas Under 158

[dawggy]

Game: (955) Washington Nationals at (956) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)

View Analysis

Strasburg v. Alcantara

All at bats for the Nats with this away contest and Alcantara is right there near the top of my fade list with his xFIP over 5 and his ERA right around 3.50! He continues to skip by these teams on a regular basis and like most starters for the Marlins do a better job for their lineup than vice versa. The Nats however, seem to have him figured out as they shelled him in the last outing.

Strasburg is a solid back each and every time with his extremely excellent metrics and hard luck from his rarely healthy offense and hideous bullpen. We won't worry about that as much tonight as the Nats get to Sandy early and SS holds his own keeping the Fish bats to 3 or less and we cruise to a RL victory!

Marlins are 5-16 against the RL the last 21 times they lost, never led, and struck out at least 8 times also...for over 50% ROI!

Game: (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

View Analysis

Buehler v. Lambert

This is about Buehler and his last performance and several as well...but even more about Lambert. He started off nice with a couple solid starts against the Cubs home and away and a couple of victories for his team. Since it has NOT been the same story...2 no decision is the bright side...the bad is how much worse he was and now he gets the Dodgers visiting Coors off a nasty set with Arizona and a Rockies team who handled their business rather easily over San Fran.

Buehler has been phenomenal...but the Dodgers offense looked like a no show in AZ with REALLY excellent hitting conditions. No rest here...but this spot screams a wake up from a PROLIFIC line up.

Dodgers 3-1 after losing on the road and scoring 3 or less runs

15-5 record not accounting for the loss

All 9 at bats for Bellinger and the Rookie Co.

Buehler has been good in Coors against non-2017 Kyle Freelands

10-2 is the record of teams whose starter Ked 15 or more batters last time starting last 10 years

Game: (959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 9:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -110

View Analysis

Young v. Beede

Hmmm...Alex Young is getting his major league debut tonight at Oracle Park and the Giants are a full game favorite with Tyler Beede on the mound. For inexperienced or reduced outs type bettors out there....or just flat unaware of options...believe it or not that -120ish full game number for the Giants with just the 2 starters accounted for has Alex Young as chalk of -110 or bigger. I am not the biggest fan of MLB debut backing spots no matter how impressive the AAA work was...but if taken into account the opponent here...both offense and pitcher wise...this is a bargain! Beede is likely getting money first 5 because he just got whooped by these Dbacks, cannot avoid the dreaded free pass (25 in 28 starter innings), allows too many HRs, and has an astronomical BABIP...this last number is fluke-ier than most of my analytical usage...but in short spurts speaks volumes to how it has gone...luck or not and another reason Vegas feels incredibly liable by this home starter.

We call the 'books bluff here and hit up the road chalk first 5 for what I consider to be one of the best values on the board this week. Keep Alex Young calmed down for his first ever start and we roll for several innings...and past that we have no worries...great use of the shorter bet and late inning shenanigans!

Game: (965) Oakland Athletics at (966) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-105)

View Analysis

Anderson v. Canning

Both teams within division and no rest and off wins that went way under or solidly under. Additional factors place this is an excellent play on Under spot that is on a 14 of 20 Under stretch and both pitchers I like to take advantage of their opposing lineups, one off travel and the other off largely only spurts of offense from 1 player and not a dominant team effort scoring the runs.

[dawggy]

ROB VENO

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (967) Seattle Mariners at (968) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

View Analysis

Game: (969) Pittsburgh Pirates at (970) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (955) Washington Nationals at (956) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 7.5 (-115)

View Analysis

Game: (959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 9:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 8.5 (-105)

View Analysis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster's Moves

June 27, 2019 - 55670931

27-Jun-2019: 966 Angels under 9.5 (2%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Bay Monster Sports - 5 star release OVER Giants 8.5 -

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: WNBA 4u: 609 Las Vegas Aces -2 -105 (Thursday, June 27th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4 Unit over 11.5 in the Dodgers game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
LAA F5 -.5 -110 3u

MLB Season: 55-67-7 45% -54.75units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

MLB

5 Unit Washington -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

San Francisco Giants (ML)

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy = Nationals Rockies under Phillies (W) Cubs (W)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Coleman

4 Star Giants over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 nationals game under , 400 dodgers game over , 300 giants game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Neil the Greek (VegasInsider MLB) - Marlins/Nationals Under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
9:45 PM EST
Rotation #959-960
Diamondbacks/Giants Over 8.5 runs
Young/Beede
There will be a nice wind blowing out tonight.* It doesn’t matter too much in this park, but we do have that going in our favor.* Neither starting pitcher is of MLB quality. Tyler Beede has been rocked all season long and Alex Young, who makes his first start tonight, has a high ERA in Triple A ball.* The Giants are not a great offense, but they still are Major League Hitters who should get after Young tonight.* The DBacks should continue to make Beede struggle.* I think this total is really low for the quality of pitching we will see tonight.**Take the Over.