Service Plays Thursday 7/18/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 904 Philadelphia Phillies +104 (R Stripling | A Nola) (Thursday, July 18th)

+EV: MLB 4u: STL/CIN un9.5 +100 (D Hudson | T Roark) (Thursday, July 18th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

3* LA DODGERS / Philadelphia under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN

3* Washington +128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SLEEPYJ

3* San Francisco / NEW York Mets over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

2* Houston / LA ANGLES over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* Calgary -11.5

2* LA DODGERS / Philadelphia under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Plays 7/18

100* Over 7.5 Marlins/Padres
100* Reds -120
100* Giants -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mlbtotal

Miami Marlins Over 7.5

Arizona Diamondbacks Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

3* TOM

Cincinnati / st.louis over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Calgary -12

3* San Francisco -117

3* San Francisco / New York Mets over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

2* Washington -127

1* Washington 1st 5 innings -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins (8-3 L3 days)

MLB Trend Plays
2x Indians ML (-220)
Blue Jays/Red Sox OVER 10
Marlins ML (+110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports (5-3 L3 days)

MLB
Indians ML (-220)
Cardinals/Reds OVER 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus (4-6 L4 days)

MLB
8u Diamondbacks ML (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Master Sports

MLB
3* #922 Minnesota -135 (Gibson)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

4 unit la Dodgers under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vsi Raphael Esperanza

MLB Thursday 6-Unit Play

Cleveland-1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc sports

RL GOY
Cleveland -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

OAKLAND +126


OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:45 AM
My projections suggest there is a ton of value on the surging Athletics as a road underdog Thursday against the Twins. My simulations see Oakland, which has won five straight, getting the best of this matchup nearly 60 percent of the time, allowing for a major overlay with the plus-money price. Then A's are 6-1 in the last seven outings by Mike Fiers and have won four straight after allowing two or fewer runs in their previous game. The Twins are 1-4 when Kyle Gibson starts at home against winning opponents.

116-75 IN LAST 191 MLB ML PICKS | +3767
23-9 IN LAST 32 OAK ML PICKS | +1484

17-8 IN LAST 25 MIN ML PICKS | +961


UNDER 9.5 ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 7/18 | 7:10 PM EDT


12:37 AM
My numbers see eight or fewer runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Reds and Cardinals, providing a strong value position on the Under against a total of 9.5. I've got the Under hitting in a whopping 75 percent of simulations. St. Louis is on 6-1 run to the Under, while Cincinnati has played 4-0 to the Under when Tanner Roark starts against winning teams.

123-82 IN LAST 205 MLB PICKS | +3655
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CIN O/U PICKS | +555

[dawggy]

SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP




Game: (901) San Diego Padres at (902) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 12:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 7.5 (-113)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

The Padres won 3-2 yesterday and this has been a big UNDER indicator for them. San Diego is 0-14 OU as a favorite off a road win in which they scored three runs or fewer. San Diego has allowed an average of 2.36 runs per game in these fourteen contests.
In his last outing, Dinelson Lamet had seven strikeouts and allowed five hits vs the Braves. This is another UNDER indicator, as the Padres are 0-6 OU with Lamet when he had more strikeouts than hits allowed in his last start. The average final score in these six games is 3.00 to 1.17, which is FOUR runs under the average OU line of 8.17 runs.
The Marlins have a decent chance to win here, but not if they allow as many walks as they did yesterday. This points to the UNDER, as Miami is 0-9 OU in the last game of a series when their line is within 25 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they allowed five-plus walks.
Miami is also 0-10 OU in the last game of a home series when they are off a game as a dog in which they used 5+ pitchers and they are not a dog of more than 125.

The anchor for this play, and the reason it is a 5-Star, is a league-wide multi-season system that states, “The league is 244-377-28 OU as a favorite after a win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not a series opener and the total is less than nine. That is more than 60% winners over ten seasons.

The Padres don’t need to score a lot here, as they are playing the Marlins. Miami will be happy to make this one a pitchers duel. The play is the UNDER.

Game: (903) Los Angeles Dodgers at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 12:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Philadelphia Phillies +103

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)


Game: (911) New York Mets at (912) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 9:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Mets +102

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

Syndergaard last faced the Giants on June 4th and the Mets lost 9-3. New York is 11-0 with Syndergaard when they won his last start and he seeking revenge for a team loss in his last outing.
Yes, the Giants are hot, but the Mets are 12-0 with no rest in the first game of a road series vs a team that won at least two straight, as long as they are not a dog of more than 120. New York has won these dozen games by an average of 4.58 runs.
The Giants are 0-8 SU when Madison Bumgarner starts as a dog in July, 0-7 SU at home off a road game in which they used 5+ pitchers and 0-6 SU at home after a game in which they scored in at least four separate innings.
San Francisco is due for a let-down after their four-game sweep of the Rockies in Colorado. The Mets have the value here.

[golden contender]

Thursday card has 3 MLB Power System plays and a 100% Canadian Football league System play. CFL Side on a 41-11 run. MLB Comp Play below


The MLB Comp play is on Minnesota at 8:10 eastern. The Twins have lost 3 straight for the first time this season. However they fit a nice system from the database tonight that plays on home favorites off . a-140 or higher home favored loss scoring 4 or less runs vs an opponent like Oakland that is off a home favored win by 5+ runs while scoring 10 or more runs.. Oakland is 0-4 as a road dog off a home win and they have Fiers and is elevated 5.76 road Era pitching tonight. Gibson for the Twins has been solid this season and has won his last 2 starts vs Oakland. Look for the Twins to bounce back. On Thursday we have a Powerful MLB Card with 3 big system plays up and a perfect System Canadian Football League play up. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free pick. Make it Minnesota. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman

SAN FRANCISCO -110


N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/18 | 9:45 PM EDT
9:51 AM
Madison Bumgarner is 5-7 with a 3.86 ERA this season and he has a 1.29 ERA over his last three starts. In his one start against the Mets this season, he gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched. Noah Syndergaard is 7-4 with a 4.55 ERA this season and he gave up three earned runs in 6.2 IP in his only outing against the Giants this season. The Giants have won five in a row and the Mets have won four in a row. The Giants have easily scored the most runs in the last seven days while the Mets have scored the 15th most runs in the last seven days. Take the value in the Giants at home.

82-51 IN LAST 133 MLB PICKS | +1793
13-3 IN LAST 16 SF ML PICKS | +788


OAKLAND +119


OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:49 AM
Mike Fiers is 9-3 with a 3.61 ERA this season and he is 6-1 with a 2.66 career ERA against the Twins. He has thrown 10 straight quality starts and hasn’t given up more than one earned run in a start since June 11th. Kyle Gibson is 8-4 with a 4.03 ERA this season but he gave up two earned runs in six innings in his only start against the As this season. The Athletics have won six in a row and the Twins have lost a season-high three in a row, take the value in the As.

82-51 IN LAST 133 MLB PICKS | +1793
14-5 IN LAST 19 OAK ML PICKS | +1005


MIAMI -101


SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 7/18 | 12:10 PM EDT
9:48 AM
Caleb Smith is 5-4 with a 3.46 ERA and in his first start back from the IL he went six innings giving up two runs. At home, he is 4-1 with a 2.04 ERA. Dinelson Lamet is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA in two starts since returning from TJ surgery. He has given up seven earned runs in 10 IP. The Padres are only 7-7 as the road favorite, and they have yet to win with Lamet starting.

82-51 IN LAST 133 MLB PICKS | +1793
3-0 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS | +310

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


SAN DIEGO -125


SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 7/18 | 12:10 PM EDT
11:56 AM
Dinelson Lamet has tremendous stuff and he's just rounding into form after a long layoff following Tommy John surgery. This is a good spot for him. Look for a strong outing by Lamet, who has 14 strikeouts in his two starts this season, and lay it.

41-25 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +1407
34-13 IN LAST 47 SD ML PICKS | +1562

24-9 IN LAST 33 MIA ML PICKS | +1536


SAN FRANCISCO -110


N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/18 | 9:45 PM EDT
10:01 AM
The Mets have won four in a row and have Noah Syndergaard on the mound on Thursday. But the Giants have won 13 of 16, have one of the hottest offenses in the game and have their ace on the hill in Madison Bumgarner. San Francisco has won Bumgarner's last four home starts, and his last seven at home against these Mets. Lock in the home Giants at near even money.

41-25 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +1407
37-16 IN LAST 53 NYM ML PICKS | +1716

12-5 IN LAST 17 SF ML PICKS | +592


OAKLAND +119


OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:58 AM
Oakland has won six in a row while Minnesota has lost three straight and its bullpen has failed on multiple nights. The A's can take advantage of the reeling Twins here, and their track record against the AL Central proves they love these Midwest trips -- they're on a 42-10 run against teams from that division. Take the road dog behind Mike Fiers, as the A's look to win for the seventh time in the last eight games that he starts.

41-25 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +1407
14-9 IN LAST 23 OAK ML PICKS | +316


WASHINGTON -132


WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 7/18 | 7:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:25 PM
Stephen Strasburg has not allowed a run in his past two starts, fanning 20 while walking three. Look for the Nats to bounce back from Wednesday's embarrassment vs. Baltimore as Washington win its fifth straight at Atlanta.

41-25 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +1407
24-12 IN LAST 36 WAS ML PICKS | +1020

34-27 IN LAST 61 ATL ML PICKS | +360

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini


N.Y. METS -106


N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/18 | 9:45 PM EDT
9:32 AM
Repeat pitching matchups tend to give some of the highest value in betting for MLB. Just a month ago on June 4 the Giants faced the Mets with Noah Syndergaard and Madison Bumgarner on the mound. The Giants delivered in that game and currently are one of the hottest teams in MLB with 62 runs post All-Star break. Yet grab the cheaper price on a Mets team that’s devalued as they are starting their third straight road series.

40-31 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +558
7-4 IN LAST 11 NYM ML PICKS | +238


SAN DIEGO -115


SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 7/18 | 12:10 PM EDT
9:30 AM
Thursday the Padres find themselves in the earliest time slot of any MLB matchup. They round out their road series against the Marlins after yesterday's narrow 3-2 victory. On the mound will be winless pitcher Dinelson Lamet who has just two starts on the season. Look for Lamet to settle in a bit against a Marlins team that has struggled to be consistent from a runs standpoint all season. Ending a four-game losing streak Thursday leaned heavily on the Padres pitching staff. Look for the Padres' bats to be the main weapon Thursday. Grab San Diego.

40-31 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +558
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +100

2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS | +100


MINNESOTA -137


OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:29 AM
Thursday two main factors are sure to keep a strong divide in the percentage of Oakland A's and Minnesota Twins bettors. On Wednesday the A's extended their second-best win streak of the season to six games. Meanwhile the Twins suffered their worst loss of the season by giving up a season-high 14 runs to the New York Mets. Look for a different level of play from the Twins off their Wednesday embarrassment led by veteran pitcher Kyle Gibson.

40-31 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +558
17-10 IN LAST 27 OAK ML PICKS | +772

5-3 IN LAST 8 MIN ML PICKS | +182

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy / 3-Unit Play. #630. Take LA Sparks -7 over Dallas Wings (Thursday @ 3:30pm est)

We had a dud yesterday and we look to bounce-back today and we probably will stick to more sides going forward in general. I promise you, we will go on a big run and that includes some of our bigger Side plays we have lined up in the future as well. Yesterday was a bit frustrating but obviously we are still up on the year, come off a nice 2-1 day in MLB as well with Arizona as the nightcap routing the Rangers and in general sides have been good to us including the CFL where we are 6-3 for +1600 on the year and winning our 7* and 6* selections in back to back weeks for top plays. Per this play with Riquina Williams suspended for 10 games, the most days ever given as a suspension in WNBA history for a domestic violence situation, the LA Sparks are short handed today. They will be without some of their key players including Parker, Beard and others as they are running just 7 deep today. That sounds a little scary - and also likely yields to an Over b/c of some tired legs here and Dallas likely having a defenisve let down after a good defensive performance last game (they had given up 80+ points in two games before that) - but per the side, we actually think LA comes together as a team in this time of adversity. LA got beat handily by Dallas too last time they played on the recent road trip they took - the only road game they lost actually. Given the revenge they have, given how much they got dominated in that game by not scoring much, given how LA comes off a huge win over an Atlanta team who nearly just beat Chicago and who is playing well right now and given that LA is facing adversity as a team and running only 7 deep today, I think this team comes together as a squad and pulls it out today and could win going away as games and situations like this brings teams together.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV Wolf
Oak +120
Laa over 10
Laa +140

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK




Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -0.5 (+105)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Strasburg v. Teheran
On top of getting SS on the mound for us on the road tonight...believe it or not...the hitting matchup for the past week plus here favors the Nats...by a decent margin! Both in wOBA and wRAA the lead is big bet worthy...BEFORE accounting for Strasburg's insane metric pounding of his counterpart Teheran tonight.
This is our bargain basement metric pounding of the week here...and all we need is a healthy Nats lineup to get after the defying all logic performances of Julio Teheran...who in 4 of his past 5 starts has coughed up a lead early.

Game: (923) Houston Astros at (924) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (+100)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Miley v. Harvey
Miley home/road splits are as bad as you could ask for when looking to an Over.play on the road with the Astros. He drops from stranding most every runner to a 70% clip, has an xFIP at 5.00 or more compared to mid-3s at home and with the Angels already damn near .400 wOBA at home against lefties this.month...Wade again cooperated with the cap at about .330 and a much lower K/BB rate where the Angels are the best team in the MLB here.
Dark Knight on the flip side...came back from injury and looked pretty staunch but hard to fathom this repeats itself in the face of the Astros daunting (healthy) lineup when they have the most PAs facing RHP on the road the past 2 weeks and have been across the board very solid in those 220+ steps to the plate.
10 here feels like a dream as I have the Astros popping for 8 or more in this game alone (decent value on the team total in my opinion as well) but 13 runs feels like a safe spot for this to land and a flat 10 is certainly worth a hard hit tonight!

[B*mb07]

Late Philly Guy - SD (L) Red Sox Champagne - Mets Twins Braves all under totals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

7-Star MLB TOP TOTAL *A.L. TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

Total Over Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex smart

Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* GOM

San Francisco-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Port Port Sports

MLB
Astros
Diamondbacks
Giants

[dawggy]

ROB VENO

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+112)

View Analysis

Game: (915) Tampa Bay Rays at (916) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -106

View Analysis

Game: (923) Houston Astros at (924) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-105)

View Analysis

[B*mb07]

Added Philly Guy - Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 astros , 300 Mets game under , 400 reds , 1000 * Oakland game over , 500 tigers game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
LAA F5 +.5 -110 3u

MLB Season: 70-70-7 50% -19.35units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

4% Milwaukee Brewers