Service Plays Thursday 7/25/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 954 Pittsburgh Pirates -108 (M Mikolas | J Musgrove) (Thursday, July 25th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

Cleveland -142 Plu
Oakland -174
Minnesota -151 Ber Gio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

Cleveland -142 Plu Mon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

2* Pittsburgh / st.louis under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* Calgary -5

1* Oakland -174

2* Cleveland -138

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK

3* Toronto / Edmonton under 52.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Plays 7/25

100* Pirates -120
100* White Sox +125
100* Over 9 Nationals/Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BaseWinner MLB Betting Projections (July 25)

The model has 2 totals and 3 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
952 .5* SD/NYM u7.5 -110
952 1* NYM -200
954 .5* STL/PIT u9 -111
961 1* CLE -145
965 .5* TEX +163
https://www.cleardatasports.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/7-25_MLB_Betting_Projections-1024x301.png

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

Cleveland -142 Plu Mon

ST. LOUIS +103


ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 7/25 | 12:35 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:49 PM
The Cardinals are surging, now on a 10-2 tear, and starter Miles Mikolas just shut out the PIrates in St. Louis 10 days ago. The Cards have won seven straight in Pittsburgh. The Pirates are mired in a 2-10 skid and playing out the string. Back the road dog Redbirds to stay hot.

55-33 IN LAST 88 MLB ML PICKS | +1894
10-4 IN LAST 14 PIT ML PICKS | +560

11-6 IN LAST 17 STL ML PICKS | +383


CLEVELAND -142


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:02 PM
The Indians have won eight of their last nine road games, and they've won five of Adam Plutko's last six starts. They just faced Mike Montgomery in Cleveland last week, and knocked him around for five earned runs in two innings. Lay it.

55-33 IN LAST 88 MLB ML PICKS | +1894
22-11 IN LAST 33 CLE ML PICKS | +990

2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS | +34

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

Cleveland -142 Plu
Oakland -174
Minnesota -151 Ber Gio

CLEVELAND -142


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:36 PM
My projections see the Indians getting the best of the Royals on Thursday in a matchup of surging American League clubs. My simulations see Cleveland winning 60 percent of the time to support laying the price on the road favorite. The Indians are 8-1 in their past nine road games and 5-1 in the last six starts by Adam Plutko. The Royals have won four straight home games but are 13-38 at home against opponents with winning road records.

123-81 IN LAST 204 MLB ML PICKS | +3983
33-16 IN LAST 49 KC ML PICKS | +2034

31-18 IN LAST 49 CLE ML PICKS | +1669


OAKLAND -174


TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 7/25 | 10:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:28 PM
My numbers see the Athletics dominating the Rangers in their series opener Thursday in Oakland. My projections have the A's winning 74 percent of the time and by a margin of nearly two runs in those victories, making Oakland worth the somewhat hefty price. Texas has lost nine of its last 10 and comes off a series loss in Seattle. The A's are on a 19-7 run at home in this series and have won five straight against right-handed starters.

123-81 IN LAST 204 MLB ML PICKS | +3983
23-12 IN LAST 35 OAK ML PICKS | +1184

19-12 IN LAST 31 TEX ML PICKS | +1120


MINNESOTA -151




MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/25 | 8:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:22 PM
My data sees the Twins beating the White Sox nearly two-thirds of the time in their series opener Thursday, making Minnesota worth the moderate price. My simulations have the Twins winning 64 percent of this matchup against a Chicago club that has lost nine of its past 12. Minnesota is 4-1 in road starts by Jose Berrios against losing teams, while the White Sox are 3-9 in home outings by Lucas Giloito against winning opposition.

123-81 IN LAST 204 MLB ML PICKS | +3983
22-14 IN LAST 36 CHW ML PICKS | +756

17-11 IN LAST 28 MIN ML PICKS | +645

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider MLB) - Royals/Indians Over 10 (Best Bet)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB
4* Pittsburgh Pirates -112
3* Padres/Mets Under 8 (-125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

3* Boston / New York over 11

1* Yankees -115

1* Oakland -1.5(+110)


2* Kansas City / Cleveland over 10

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (951) San Diego Padres at (952) New York Mets
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 12:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 4.0 (-105)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Lauer v. DeGrom

**BONUS** if you can get a solid number around 5 with not crazy juice definitely play Eric Lauer OVER strikeouts in this game! Play at least 4% also on this!


They call that a bargain! Channeling Pete and John and Rog and Keith. I like both these starters to shut down stagnant offense if defense can hold up and eliminate pens!

Game: (953) St. Louis Cardinals at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 12:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates -112

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Mikolas v. Musgrove
12-2 trend backing the spot for the Buccos today...let's make it lucky number 13!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #956 Washington -1.5/-150 (Hoffman/Scherzer)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIT simulator

Texas vs. Oakland Over
Minnesota
Cleveland vs. Kansas City Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
3 Units on Pitt -115

[golden contender]

A.L. East Game of the Year goes tonight- with 100% Divisional System- CFL Play below

The CFL Totals System Play is on the under in the Toronto at Edmonton game. Rotation numbers 683/684 at 9:30 eastern. This game fits a powerful long term totals system we use that is 34-78 to the under in CFL Action for games in the first 16 weeks. In the series the last have gone under with just 31 and 37 points scored. Both teams have struggled to sustain a consistent offense this year as Edmonton averages 27 ppg while Toronto scored just 15 ppg. The Argos have gone under in 5 of 6 off a loss. The Eskimos are 4 of 4 under in Thursday games and 4 of 5 in July games. Play this one under the total. RV- GC Sports

[dawggy]

JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (961) Cleveland Indians at (962) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-102)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

So, the Indians continue to roll along here in the 2nd half of the season and now find themselves just two games back of the Twins. Tonight, they send Adam to the mound who has had his ups and downs this season but is coming off one of the best outings of his career in his last start. He comes in with a record of 3-2, but his earned run average is 4.81, with a 6.18 FIP and a 5.59 xFIP in his 48.2 innings of work. He’s also a fly ball pitcher who doesn't throw the ball by batter’s no does he strike many of them out. That can be problematic at Kauffman Stadium in the summertime when temps are hot as hell and the ball tends to leave the park.
The Royals counter with Mike Montgomery to start and in all likelyhood, the bullpen. He made his first start of the year against the Tribe last week and it didn't go as planned after he allowed five runs on six hits and faced just 11 batters. Let's be honest, he may not get out of the first inning here tonight. I wouldn't expect him to throw more than 60-65 pitches in this game before they give way to a bullpen that has been horrific of late. In fact, the Royals’ bullpen has an ERA of 6.98 in their last three games alone.
It should also be noted that this will be the Royals third time seeing Plutko in just over a month and although they haven't had great success against him, there really isn't anything he'll bring to the table tonight that these hitters haven't already seen. The Royals hitters have also been crushing the ball since the All-Star Break, hitting .285 as a team.
The over is 5-1-1 in the Indians’ last 7 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Kansas City has seen the over go 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.


I'm betting the OVER tonight in this game and expect both teams to score plenty of runs to make this a winning play

[dawggy]

JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (961) Cleveland Indians at (962) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-102)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

So, the Indians continue to roll along here in the 2nd half of the season and now find themselves just two games back of the Twins. Tonight, they send Adam to the mound who has had his ups and downs this season but is coming off one of the best outings of his career in his last start. He comes in with a record of 3-2, but his earned run average is 4.81, with a 6.18 FIP and a 5.59 xFIP in his 48.2 innings of work. He’s also a fly ball pitcher who doesn't throw the ball by batter’s no does he strike many of them out. That can be problematic at Kauffman Stadium in the summertime when temps are hot as hell and the ball tends to leave the park.
The Royals counter with Mike Montgomery to start and in all likelyhood, the bullpen. He made his first start of the year against the Tribe last week and it didn't go as planned after he allowed five runs on six hits and faced just 11 batters. Let's be honest, he may not get out of the first inning here tonight. I wouldn't expect him to throw more than 60-65 pitches in this game before they give way to a bullpen that has been horrific of late. In fact, the Royals’ bullpen has an ERA of 6.98 in their last three games alone.
It should also be noted that this will be the Royals third time seeing Plutko in just over a month and although they haven't had great success against him, there really isn't anything he'll bring to the table tonight that these hitters haven't already seen. The Royals hitters have also been crushing the ball since the All-Star Break, hitting .285 as a team.
The over is 5-1-1 in the Indians’ last 7 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Kansas City has seen the over go 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.


I'm betting the OVER tonight in this game and expect both teams to score plenty of runs to make this a winning play




JOE RAINERIBASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (959) Minnesota Twins at (960) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 4.5 (-100)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

What a difference a day makes as the Twins are going from a possible playoff preview against the Yanks to now facing the Chicago White Sox. However, they’ll be facing the best pitcher they’ve seen over the last week. The White Sox are sending Lucas Giolito to the mound.
Let’s face it, Giolito has been the lone bright spot for the White Sox this year and every time he takes the hill, they have a chance to win. He’s got a 3.12 ERA, 3.14 FIP, and a 3.91 xFIP in 112.2 innings and has been faded by many when facing top tier offenses over the last two months. But that’s misleading.
Giolito has only given up six runs three times this year. Twice came against the crosstown Cubs and the other was against the Yankees. The Mariners touched him up for 5 runs but that was the second game of the year. So, when you break it down, against every team that isn’t named the CUBS, he’s been good. Really good. Let’s not forget, he got his revenge against the Yankees in his following start against them.
Jose Berrios is a guy that has seen some regression even though he’s got a 2.96 ERA, a 3.83 FIP, and a 4.46 xFIP. His K’s are down from last year as well. But his early season troubles on the road seemed to have corrected themselves as he has pitched much better lately, lowering his road ERA to below 4.00. The good news for Twins backers is that the White Sox are third in the league when it comes to striking out against right-handed pitchers this year and have been even worse after the All Star Break.
I don’t think this is a great spot for the Twins after they just lost two out of three (In heartbreaking fashion) against the Yanks. There is bound to be some letdown in this game from them which means their bats aren’t going to be the same, especially against Giolito.
I’m betting the F5 UNDER in this game because I believe these are two of the best young pitchers in the game and this is a perfect situation for a classic pitcher’s duel. Plus, I don’t want anything to do with either of these bullpens.

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Bay Monster Sports

Play over Mariners 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB

5* New York Yankees -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 Oakland RL, 300 Red Sox , 1000 * Cleveland game under

[B*mb07]

Augie J - NYY over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

5 star over Cleveland/ KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB (Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Yankees -115 over Red Sox
Tanaka/Porcello
Rick Porcello has been knocked around in his last few starts. Luckily for him the Red Sox gave him a lot of run support, but you can’t count on that every start. The Yankees have been knocking the cover off the ball and on top of that have been a great road team all season long. This should be another high scoring series. Take the Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


N.Y. YANKEES -124


N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 7/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:03 AM
Masahiro Tanaka is 7-5 with a 4.0 ERA and he hasn’t taken a loss in seven consecutive starts. Rick Porcello is 8-7 with a 5.61 ERA and he has a 10.57 ERA in his last five starts. Porcello has faced the Yankees once outside of London and he gave up five runs in 4.2 IP. The Yankees are 28-18 on the road while the Red Sox are 24-25 at home. The Red Sox are 0-5 as the home underdog and they are 1-6 against the Yankees this season.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
7-4 IN LAST 11 BOS ML PICKS | +202

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS | +52


OAKLAND -176


TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 7/25 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:02 AM
Brett Anderson is 9-5 with a 3.82 ERA and he has already pitched two quality starts against the Rangers this season. He is 2-0 with a 2.36 ERA in his last four starts. Ariel Jurado is 5-6 with a 4.92 ERA and he has not faced Oakland this season. He is 0-3 with an 8.31 ERA in July. Texas is 22nd in the league in OPS against lefties and the Rangers have lost nine of their last 10.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
14-7 IN LAST 21 OAK ML PICKS | +805

11-4 IN LAST 15 TEX ML PICKS | +729


ST. LOUIS +102


ST. LOUIS 6 @ PITTSBURGH 3
7/25WIN10:01 AM
Miles Mikolas is 6-10 with a 4.17 ERA this season and a 7.04 ERA on the road which gives him good value. He has faced the Pirates three times this season and only given up five earned runs in 21 IP including a shutout in his most recent outing. Joe Musgrove is 7-8 with a 4.08 ERA and 4-3 with a 4.13 ERA at home. In two starts against the Cardinals, he has given up 12 earned runs in 7.2 IP. The Cardinals have won four in a row and eight of their last 10 while the Pirates have lost four in a row and eight of their last 10.

90-55 IN LAST 145 MLB ML PICKS | +2078
7-2 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS | +517

9-4 IN LAST 13 PIT ML PICKS | +468

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure


N.Y. YANKEES -123


N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 7/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:12 AM
Every Yankees vs. Red Sox game is huge at this point in the season, and my model gives the clear edge to Tanaka. Porcello has a .425 wOBA allowed in 16.2 innings in July and I expect that trend to continue against this Yankees lineup. The loss of Gary Sanchez is minor as this lineup is absolutely loaded from top to bottom. I make the Yankees -132 in this spot.

12-3 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS | +880
12-8 IN LAST 20 NYY ML PICKS | +493


CLEVELAND -148


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
10:03 AM
The Indians are surging as they try to track down the Twins in the AL Central. This should turn into a bullpen game for the Royals as Montgomery, who projects reasonably well, will be limited to 60 pitches. Plutko will give up a few runs, but the Indians should take the game. I have the Indians winning 61 percent of simulations on the road in Kansas City.

12-3 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS | +880
11-6 IN LAST 17 CLE ML PICKS | +475

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini


KANSAS CITY +123


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
7:49 AM
The Royals and Indians meet for the second time this week for a new series Thursday. Suddenly the Royals have won seven of their last nine games, including consecutive victories over the Atlanta Braves. Attempting to redeem himself from a horrible debut as a Royal against the Indians will be pitcher Mike Montgomery. Montgomery lasted just two innings in last week’s start giving up six runs. As hot as the Indians have been, look for the confidence of the home underdog to deliver. Grab Kansas City.

47-37 IN LAST 84 MLB ML PICKS | +661
14-8 IN LAST 22 CLE ML PICKS | +431

5-1 IN LAST 6 KC ML PICKS | +355

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


CHI. WHITE SOX +128


MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/25 | 8:10 PM EDT
3:39 PM
I'll take the White Sox plus money with Lucas Giolito against any opponent. I use median numbers so a bad start here or there will not take me off a hot pitcher. Giolito's median numbers for the seven home starts is five innings, four hits, one earned run, two walks and six strikeouts. The Twins are coming off a tough series against the Yankees, who they can never win a series from, where they lost two of three games. The Twins' Jose Berrios has been the ace of the staff, his road median numbers for 2019 are six innings, six hits, three earned runs, three walks, and five strikeouts. With those pitchers stats the White Sox should be the favorite for the first five innings and the game.

10-4 IN LAST 14 MIN ML PICKS | +626

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts


OVER 11 N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 7/25 | 7:10 PM EDT


12:46 PM
The Yankees just finished an exciting series against the Twins, winning two of three, with all three going Over the total. The Yankees have now gone Over the total in their last five games. They average 6.4 runs per game on the road, which has helped 34 of their 46 road games get Over the total. Masahiro Tanaka and Rick Porcello met in London in the 17-13 game and neither made it out of the first inning. Over is the top play.

16-12-3 IN LAST 31 MLB O/U PICKS | +270
19-14-2 IN LAST 35 NYY O/U PICKS | +368

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

4:05 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. Washington nationals

pick: Washington nationals -1.5 (-146)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Boston red sox

pick: New york yankees (-118)

risk: 11 units

10:07 pm est mlb
texas rangers vs. Oakland athletics

pick: Oakland athletics (-173)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson


KANSAS CITY +130


CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 7/25 | 8:15 PM EDT
5:12 PM
Mike Montgomery's first game with the Royals didn't go so hot. He was on a strict pitch count and lasted just two innings, giving up five runs -- against these Indians. Adam Plutko's last game was against the Royals, and he mowed them down for seven innings. But ... Montgomery will be motivated in his second outing and his pitch count will be higher. He'll be at home -- this season his home ERA is a ridiculous eight runs lower at home. Plutko's stats on the road aren't good either, as opponents are hitting .323 against him. Look for Kansas City and Montgomery to use revenge as a motivation at home.

28-20 IN LAST 48 MLB ML PICKS | +134
15-8 IN LAST 23 CLE ML PICKS | +634

8-6 IN LAST 14 KC ML PICKS | +127


CHI. WHITE SOX +128


MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/25 | 8:10 PM EDT
5:06 PM
Opponents are hitting .198 against Lucas Giolito at home this season, and he's allowed just four home runs in nine starts there. Twins starter Jose Berrios is having his own fine season, but his road ERA is 1.60 higher than his home split. The White Sox offense has hit a slump, but in two starts against Berrios this season, they've managed 10 runs over 14 innings. The Twins lead the league in runs scored per game on the road (6.1), but Giolito has seen the Twins once this year -- he tossed five innings of one-hit ball.

28-20 IN LAST 48 MLB ML PICKS | +134
2-1 IN LAST 3 CHW ML PICKS | +100


OAKLAND -189


TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 7/25 | 10:07 PM EDT
4:48 PM
Texas has been the worst-hitting team in MLB in the month of July, going at just a .229 clip. They're still averaging a respectable 4.4 runs per game in that span thanks to home runs, but they face an A's pitcher in Brett Anderson that's allowed only six HRs in nine home starts. Texas is 29th against LHPs and Anderson has personally held the Rangers lineup to .186 hitting over his career.

28-20 IN LAST 48 MLB ML PICKS | +134
24-15 IN LAST 39 TEX ML PICKS | +652

3-2 IN LAST 5 OAK ML PICKS | +181

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel


COLORADO +1.5


COLORADO @ WASHINGTON | 7/25 | 4:05 PM EDT
2:53 PM
There's some spot value Thursday in taking the insurance run with the Rockies (+1.5, +140) in their effort to avoid a sweep at the hands of the surging Nationals. Washington ace Max Scherzer returns to the mound from the injured list because of an inflamed shoulder. It's possible he won't be at 100 percent, and he is also just 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA in nine career starts against Colorado. The Rockies still have the fifth highest-scoring offense in baseball (5.34 runs per game), and Charlie Blackmon has a .308 average with two homers against Scherzer.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +96

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* EDMONTON/TORONTO UNDER 53


3* YANKEES/RED SOX OVER 11

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

Game: (967) Detroit Tigers at (968) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: Jul 25 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Detroit Tigers 0.5 (+100)

View Analysis

Verhagen v. Swanson