Service Plays Saturday 8/3/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: UFC 4u: Robbie Lawler +200 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: UFC 2u: Joaquim Silva +195 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: UFC 5u: Matt Schnell +120 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: UFC 2u: Darko Stosic -124 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: UFC 3u: Mara Romero Borella -170 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: CFL 4u: 695 Edmonton Eskimos -1 -105 (Saturday, August 3rd)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK

2* Calgary / Edmonton under 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 925 Detroit Tigers +103 (M Boyd | A Sampson) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 909 San Francisco Giants +116 (M Bumgarner | J Gray) (Saturday, July 3rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 921 Seattle Mariners +183 (M Gonzales | A Sanchez) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 923 Kansas City Royals +203 (D Duffy | K Gibson) (Saturday, August 3rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 916 Baltimore Orioles +110 (T Pannone | D Bundy) (Saturday, August 3rd)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy Soccer

Saturday 8/3

7:30 am

France Super Cup

6 Unit Play

PSG -1.5 over Stade Rennes

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

TIP OF THE DAY
Belgium Jupiler League Kortrijk – Charleroi UNDER 2,5 +100

GUARANTEED
England Championship Reading 0 -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* GOW

Oakland -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


ARIZONA +138


WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | 8/03 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:19 AM
Washington should not be this big of a favorite. Even though Stephen Strasburg has won seven consecutive starts, Arizona starter Robbie Ray is coming off a strong July, with quality starts in four of five outings. My model says that the Diamondbacks win this game almost 50 percent of the time, so you're getting great value with Arizona at plus-money. Take the D-backs.

131-91 IN LAST 222 MLB ML PICKS | +3508
26-15 IN LAST 41 ARI ML PICKS | +1206

9-7 IN LAST 16 WAS ML PICKS | +150


ATLANTA -132


CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 8/03 | 7:20 PM EDT
12:09 AM
My model says that the Braves win this game more than 70 percent of the time, so you're getting great value at this price. Atlanta starter Dallas Keuchel has been terrific at home this season, going 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP in three starts. Meanwhile, Trevor Bauer, who is making his Reds debut, is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits in 4.1 innings at Kansas City. Take the Braves.

131-91 IN LAST 222 MLB ML PICKS | +3508
7-2 IN LAST 9 ATL ML PICKS | +456

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 3)

The model has 3 sides and 1 total. There is 1 games with a side and total in the same game. 905 .5* CIN +120 921 .33* SEA +183925 .5* DET -102 926 .5* DET/TEX u10 +100 https://www.cleardatasports.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/8-3_MLB_Betting_Projections-1024x471.png (https://www.cleardatasports.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/8-3_MLB_Betting_Projections.png)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #903-904
Mets -120 over Pirates
Stroman/Archer
The Mets have been a little bit better of a baseball team this year and their starting pitcher Marcus Stroman is getting better as the year goes on. Chris Archer is fading fast and not in command of his pitches as of late for the Pirates. The longer Stroman can go the better it is to keep the New York Bullpen off the field. This guy has looked really good this year and I believe their is great value at -120 because the pitching matchup on paper is not even close to being even. Take the Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - San Francisco Giants +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia ( VegasInsider)

MLB
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs (-130)
New York Mets -124

[Can'tPickAWinner]

newworldinsiders

VEGAS INSIDER: Phillies OV 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: UFC 4u: Antonina Shevchenko -120 (UFC on ESPN 5) (Saturday, August 3rd)

[golden contender]

Saturday card led by our 2019 Canadian Football League Game of the Year and an Executive Level MLB TIER 1 Release and more. MLB Comp Play below.

The MLB Comp Play is on the Phillies on the Run line at -1.5 runs at 7:05 eastern. The Phils fit a solid 80% system here tonight and they have Nola going. Philly has won 28 of 39 here with Nola and 5 of 6 when he pitches on Saturdays. Chicago has lost 22 of 27 on the road vs N.L. Teams and 21 of 27 on the road vs a righty. They have Detwiler and his 6+ Era on the mound. With the Phils at 21-5 at home vs a team that wins less than 40% f their road game we will Play on Philadelphia tonight. On Saturday we are releasing our 2019 Canadian Football League Game of the Year backed with a Perfect system and a solid Bases card led by an Executive Level MLB TIER 1 Play. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free play. Play on the Phillies on the run line. Rob V- GC Sports

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game: (901) Milwaukee Brewers at (902) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 2:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Gonzalez v. Hamels
Slight to no wind at 5mph or so inward to the 3rd baseline, Lance Barksdale behind the plate...the pitcher's umpire of umpires on today's slate. 8 total runs allowed in his Wrigley games this season...3 and 5 and with Atlanta and LAD visiting, 2 of the top 5 teams in runs per game.
Hamels is exemplary at home and Gio just shut the Cubs down hard last time out...including 9 Ks and with a first 5 play we avoid and RHP for the most part as well as in a spot that feels so Under we get the full basic 9/5 total split....and that SPELLS VALUE!

[J Pendleton]

Creole has a 4* TOW

TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Jim Feist

MLB
3* #905/906 Cincinnati/Atlanta under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman

New York Yankees +110 Sal Ger

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports
All Top 3* MLB Totals..

MLB
Cubs/Brewers Under 9
Mets/Pirates Over 9
White Sox/Phillies Over 9
Mariners/Astros Under 10
Royals/Twins Under 10
Tigers/Rangers Over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

7* rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline

Sat, Aug 3 / 8:10
650% Colorado -120 over San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 8/3

100* Mets -120
100* Tigers -110
100* Over 8.5 Reds/Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

3* underdog GOM

Baltimore +105


1* Philadelphia -1.5(-135)


1* Arizona +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ferrigno

Today's Totals

5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 N.Y. Mets at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 3)
I don't see any reason why Marcus Stroman won't dominate in his first start. He's been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year, despite a 6-11 mark. He has just a 2.96 ERA and a 3-to-1 strikeout to walk ratio. Stroman has been great on the road this year, posting a 2.60 ERA, and I think he will have a big edge here facing a lineup that hasn't seen his stuff. The Mets just saw Chris Archer on Sunday, lighting him up for six runs in five innings. I think he'll make adjustments, though, and will be better at home. His ERA is nearly three runs lower at home as opposed to on the road this year and Archer also has had extra rest. The Mets have gone 'under' in six of their last eight games and I think that Stroman is going to be motivated to put on a show for his new mates.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Cincinnati at Atlanta (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 3)

7-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Washington at Arizona (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 3)
Two horses are on the mound here in Arizona and I think that Stephen Strasburg and Robbie Ray are going to dominate this one. Strasburg has been in a great groove, allowing just four runs in his last five starts while posting an 0.88 ERA. Robbie Ray has been consistent all season, posting 173 strikeouts. His last two starts he has 21 strikeouts to just one walk, earning a quality start in both outings. Ray has been rock solid the last three years and I think he will be sharp today. The 'under' is 20-7 in Washington's last 27 games and is 10-1 in their last 11 road games. I feel like these
Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

3* Oakland -133

2* Baltimore + 1.5(-135)

2* Colorado -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING CREOLE

3* San Francisco / Colorado under 11.5

[J Pendleton]

Thanks Can't you always come through !!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER

3*GOW
Atlanta -128

2*
Mets -120

2*
Toronto -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3*
Atlanta -131

3*
Philadelphia / Chicago whitesox over 9

3*GOM
Edmonton -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK

2*
Calgary / Edmonton under 47

2*
Arizona / Washington under 8.5

2*
Texas / Detroit under 9.5

2*
Philadelphia -1.5(-150)


Analysis:
Saturday YTD 6-4 WNBA

2 stars, 2 plays!

628 Ind +3

632 Dal +6

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(901) Milwaukee Brewers at (902) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 2:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Gonzalez v. Hamels
Slight to no wind at 5mph or so inward to the 3rd baseline, Lance Barksdale behind the plate...the pitcher's umpire of umpires on today's slate. 8 total runs allowed in his Wrigley games this season...3 and 5 and with Atlanta and LAD visiting, 2 of the top 5 teams in runs per game.
Hamels is exemplary at home and Gio just shut the Cubs down hard last time out...including 9 Ks and with a first 5 play we avoid and RHP for the most part as well as in a spot that feels so Under we get the full basic 9/5 total split....and that SPELLS VALUE!





Game: (905) Cincinnati Reds at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 8.5 (-103)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Kuechel v. Bauer
Yesterday's line was JUST wrong. We had many many people I respect HARD on the Braves so I measured my approach and decided were Alex Wood not able to get into the 6th or 7th maybe it wasn't worth the risk of fading powerful minds. The way to go sometimes when you face those spots is to take the team total and worry little about outcomes. No bet did I feel more confident than the Reds Over 3.5 runs and they got halfway there before ATL recorded a single out. The + money win was something I also wanted to hit...especially with Gausman on the bump.
The Braves have a far better record and overall a far better offensive lineup than the Reds...but there are aspects to what the Reds did this week that makes the Reds more "dangerous" per se. First off, if Alex Wood pitches against the good teams like he did last night...aa the 4TH STARTER! opponents be in trouble if the Reds can put up enough offense. Specifically...platoon guys who may have not know where they stand...at the very least...are gonna play and have a chance to contribute!
Bauer is making his debut, now gets to face the pitcher at least every 3rd inning, and gets to work with Derek Johnson. That final analysis has probably gone sorely unnoticed
for a large portion of this season...and while he obviously has literally 0 chance of winning the Cy Young Award, people around the league and especially in Cincy know who the rightful winner of that award in the NL should be! Bauer was a Cy Young contender the last couple seasons and now moves to the pitcher friendlier league and teams with the genius of the GAB, Derek Johnson...taking his staff and allowing the fewest HRs this season despite playing in a home bandbox.
Bauer should come out today and prove the reason he was worth the big price paid by the Reds to ensure the best overall pitching rotation from now til October of 2020 lies in the Queen City on the Ohio River.
Kuechel should be able to minimize the damage done by the Reds offense who will likely dabble with interesting lineup quirks again tonight...and should get many many rolled over sinners to go for easy groundouts and come down to a late 2-2 type game!
p

Game: (905) Cincinnati Reds at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds 0.5 (-125)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Kuechel v. Bauer
This line is sillier or AS silly as last night...tiny price for a Bauer debut and plus runs?! Kuechel will prove better than Gausman did last night in my estimation...but even were I to think this is 0-0 (which it damn well might be) we win this bet at just -125 for MLB...maybe with the better team and certainly the currently better starter in above all a "prove you were worth such a (confusing?) trade" spot.
Considering I'm dabbling with a small bet on the Reds ML this value is wild stuff. Sam Holbrook behind the plate is the second consecutive ump the Braves draw at home who regularly has road teams outscore his home squads...as well as 60% Under in National League games.
**BONUS**
I also recommend a little on the Reds to win this and take 2 in a row on this road trip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

7:05 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. Pittsburgh pirates

pick: New york mets (-121)

risk: 11 units

7:20 pm est mlb
cincinnati reds vs. Atlanta braves

pick: Atlanta braves (-131)

risk: 11 units

8:05 pm est mlb
detroit tigers vs. Texas rangers

pick: Texas rangers (-111)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeZoBets

C* Jim Miller ML -145
B* Giants/Rockies u11.5 -117
B* Braves TT u4.5 -115
B* Calgary Stampeders +1 -112
A* Robbie Lawler ML +216

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA's TOP GAME PHILLY minus 1 1/2 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
5-Unit Play. Take #695 Edmonton (-1) over Calgary (7 p.m., Saturday, August 3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
WNBA 7-unit
Las Vegas/Dallas under 147

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
Under Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard
4% Oakland -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Line Reader

Milwaukee Brewers ML +120
Cincinnati Reds ML +120
St. Louis Cardinals ML +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Atlanta -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lv Wolf
under 11.5 SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OSKEIM SPORT

#930: Philadelphia Phillies (-275) over Chicago White Sox#930: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) (-140) over Chicago White Sox


Analysis: Philadelphia is my strongest technical investment of the day as the Phillies apply to very good 63-23, 51-13, 41-11, 30-8 and 6-0 systems of mine. Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 2019, including going 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA over his last eight starts. Nola has been at his best this season inside the friendly confines of Citizens Bank Park where he owns a 3.21 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and a 27.7% strikeout rate. The 26-year-old also posted a 2.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP across 39.1 innings in July.


Finally, Philadelphia is a profitable 28-11 in Nola's last 39 home starts, 20-6 in his last 26 starts versus teams with a losing record (13-4 at home) and 36-16 in his previous 52 outings overall. With Philadelphia standing at 21-6 in its last 27 home games versus .399 or worse opposition, take the Phillies and invest with confidence.


Rating: Please risk 3 Stars on the money line and 1 Star on the run line

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK




Game: (903) New York Mets at (904) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H New York Mets -135

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Stroman v. Archer
It's STROMAN TIME! The first big domino to drop may also have been the most confusing...but then Wheeler and Thor didn't get moved and now the Mets move toward the playoff stretch with a shot....and more importantly...a rotation of DeGrom, Thor, Wheeler, Matz, Stroman...arguable they overtook the Nats for best top to bottom rotation in the NL East!
Stroman is having extremely mixed feelings...but is a stud on the mound for any team. He is better on the road! He has been much better since July 1st than he even was prior to July...and prior to July he led the AL in ERA! Similar to Bauer he is also given the gift of moving to the league where he'll face the pitcher every 3rd inning at worst!
The Mets basically announced they are gonna come for the playoffs this season as well as future seasons...and following a loss to the reeeeeeling Buccos it is hard to imagine they lose back to back games...especially...

With Chris Archer on the mound!...most recently of losing almost all potential street credibility getting trampled and looking laughable in the brawl...tumbling quickly they succumbing to feisty Sonny Gray followed by Puig! Chris Archer ain't no match for Marcus Stroman and this first 5 price is quite excellent....we will of course need the Mets to gets the bats going...but I feel like the motivation might be big at the start!

Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-113)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Gonzales v. Sanchez
My personal favorite play of the day...for so many reasons....and tonight's slate is loaded with AWESOME spots! We have Marco in an 0-4 lifetime spot traveling to Houston...1-3 on the RL but solid. return. We have the Stros in an 11-4 RL spot for over 40% ROI. Correa is still back and the Astros bats are striking out at a near record setting miniscule pace...7% of at bats the past 2 weeks against LHP!!
Who'd a thunk! Aaron Sanchez....the subject of possibly the largest of amount of 2019 MLB betting ire...now is the anchor of the prohibitive favorite to win the series! Yep, same guy we faded recently and wrote about the borderline phenomenal fall from grace...top ERA, top 5 Cy Young voting, and cover of Canadian version of MLB '18! Fast forward to 2019 and we have a record being set for consecutive losses and losing 14 decisions of 17 starts etc! The dude has a change of scenery! Maybe the best scenery available...and if he can get right mentally he is flat out DANGEROUS. This is gonna be nasty for the M's tonight because they are almost certainly gonna get the goods goods and get fooled by the worst statistical pitcher in the league!
Astros career starts with a big bang

Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -133

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)


Strasburg v. Ray
Unbelievable price and a super rare amazing system that draws Stephen Strasburg tonight! Going back 5 years I have a play that has only occurred 14 times and 13 of those road teams win for close to 40% ROI!
Let's go SS....cash that and take lame duck still a Dback Robbie Ray down in the process!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

NL GOM

5% Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 919 Los Angeles Angels +140 (F Pena | A Plutko) (Saturday, August 3rd)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Phillies -1.5
Athletics
Reds/Braves under

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASKETBALL PLAYS


Game: (627) Minnesota Lynx at (628) Indiana Fever
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Indiana Fever 1.5 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

Game: (917) Boston Red Sox at (918) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Boston Red Sox 5.5 (+106)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Johnson v. Action pitcher
They ain't going down like this!!!





Game: (919) Los Angeles Angels at (920) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Angels +125

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Pitcher v. Plutko
Whoa buddy is this a confusing line...guess I'll be that guy that takes the bait here and jumps in...I would also play the first 5 line here as well...Plutko steps in and fills a rotation spot but his 5.72 xFIP is as bad as it comes if he were qualified for full fledged rankings. He flat out doesn't have a get out of trouble pitch and is not adept at getting swings and misses already facing the lineup that is best at limiting Ks. His 17% HR/FB rate with damn near 50% of contacting being fly ball should spell quick and steady doom and an even series by the end of the 9th tonight!

Game: (919) Los Angeles Angels at (920) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Los Angeles Angels +110

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

5% Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports (Wagertalk)


Game: (929) Chicago White Sox at (930) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 lynx , 300 sky , 300 Vegas , 700 Vegas game Under , 700 Calgary , 1000 * Calgary game Under , 500 Mets , 500 Mets game under , 700 orioles game under , 500 tigers game under , 400 reds game over

[crapshooter]

CPAW Just a heads up on Seabass, The Det/Tex game is UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CPAW Just a heads up on Seabass, The Det/Tex game is UNDER.

Thanks!