Service Plays Sunday 8/4/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[golden contender]

Sunday MLB Card led by the Red Circle Revenge Play of the Year with a an undefeated Database system. Triple Perfect ESPN Totals Play in later action. MLB Comp Play below

The MLB Comp Play is on Minnesota -1.5 run at 2:10 eastern. The Twins fit a solid last game of series system and an August specific power system. They have destroyed losing teams this year and have won 7 of 9 at home with Odorizzi and the last 5 with him against losing teams. He has won his last 2 here vs KC. The Royals counter with Keller who has dropped 6 of 8 with 5 days rest and 8 of 12 on the road. The Royals have lost 26 of 36 on Sundays and are a lousy 36-96 vs winning teams. Minnesota has won 9 of 11 here vs KC. On Sunday we have our revenge Game of the Year going in baseball headlining a powerful card with the triple perfect ESPN Totals play going later on. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free pick. Play on the Twins at -1.5 runs. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 958 Colorado Rockies -120 (T Beede | K Freeland) (Sunday, August 4th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 980 STL/OAK un9.5 -108 (A Wainwright | T Roark) (Sunday, August 4th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 964 Baltimore Orioles +140 (S Reid-Foley | T Eshelman) (Sunday, August 4th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 975 Chicago White Sox +150 (R Lopez | D Smyly) (Sunday, August 4th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 965 Los Angeles Angels +192 (J Barria | S Bieber) (Sunday, August 4th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 954 Pittsburgh Pirates +122 (N Syndergaard | J Musgrove) (Sunday, August 4th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

3* LA DODGERS / San Diego over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

3* Pittsburgh / Mets under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN

3* GOM

Oakland -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* Pittsburgh / New York Mets under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Sports. Not Stevens.
Twins -1.5
Yankees over
Dodgers -1.5
Orioles over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 4)

The model has 4 sides and 1 total. There is 1 games with a side and total in the same game.
951 .5* CIN +110
954 .5* PIT +121
961 .5* SDP +146
962 .5* SD/LA u8.5 -115
979 .5* STL +113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 8/4

100* Mets -140
100* Yankees -110
100* Over 9 Angels/Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* Pittsburgh / New York Mets under 8.5

Tigers +1.5

White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER

3* Boston / New York Yankees over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Play of the Day) - Boston Red Sox -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Toronto Over 11. (Pitching change since released but seeing 11 still)
Mets -1.5
Dodgers Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #979 St. Louis +125 (Wainwright)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia ( VegasInsider)

MLB
New York Mets -125
Cardinals/Athletics Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
3:10 PM EST
Rotation #957-958
Rockies -130 over Giants
Freeland/Beedy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3 unit Philly-155

[cpawforpresident]

Jeff Alexander

4* Atlanta -1.5 +155

[cpawforpresident]

John Martin

5* NY Yankees Over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:10 pm est mlb
laa angels vs. Cleveland indians

pick: Cleveland indians -1.5 (+100)

risk: 11 units

1:35 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. Pittsburgh pirates

pick: New york mets (-134)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est mlb
boston red sox vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees (-107)

risk: 11 units

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK




Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -126

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Syndergaard v. Musgrove
Thor as stopper! This is why they kept him and even upgraded adding Stroman, right? Mets in a rubber game...and they MUST win series against far inferior teams if they're buyers...I think we get another on point Thor start today and the Mets can keep the hitting up today they had going late last night!
X factor we have Mike (don't call me Chris, Jim Rome) Everitt behind the plate today...and no umpire going is more toxic to home teams with just 7 SU wins in 20 games umped! He in fact has an average of 1.5 runs more for the road squad!

Game: (967) Kansas City Royals at (968) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Kansas City Royals 1.5 (-108)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Keller v. Odorizzi
We sure ain't stopping now...
Odorizzi is a fade product and Keller is a guy we back...we get them on the same mound together and the Royals were just walloped last night and need to salvage something from this division series.
Odorizzi still allows the most fly balls and has close to the top xFIP disparity fitting our system! 70% of the tickets are on the home team yet the has just barely even moved!
Keller continues to improve despite pitching for KC and just dominated in his last start at Target Field! This time he gets a home team who doesn't have a ton of motivation and would be perfectly fine with a single run victory and probably even a close loss....vulnerable a la their closing game in Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Port Port Sports (MLB) - Brewers/Cubs Over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gary Bart (MLB VegasInsider) - St Louis Cardinals +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeZoBets

3* Marlins +0.5 1H -105
2* Angels +1.5 +100
2* Mets/Pirates o8 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nascar - Watkins Glen Preview
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (7/2)
2) #11 Denny Hamlin (10/1)
3) #14 Clint Bowyer (12/1)
4) #18 Kyle Busch (5/2)
5) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)

[Yellow]

King Creole 3* Over of the week

Yankees Over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 Phillies , 300 Mets game under , 300 orioles game over , 200 tigers , 500 Rockies , 600 Indians game under , 600 reds

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK




Game: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -142

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Pitcher v. Yacabonis
The Yac had a shot at this team in just 1 inning and made a fool of himself....before Toronto started to figure out the offensive end of this game of baseball!
Over the past week+ no team has more road PAs against RHP and no team has done more with them...hitting for the most power, creating 33 wRC, and a .362 wOBA.
Action for the BJs side as Reid-Foley should start but I'd hate for any cancellation due to an opener!

Reds Team Total Over 4.5
Game: (951) Cincinnati Reds at (952) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Reds Team Total Over 4.5 (+108)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Gray v. Teheran
Reds are lining up the toughest version of them for the rubber match in ATL today and have Winker, VanMeter, and Dietrich in there to face Teheran with his 5.57 xFIP against LHP...same at home and his even worse xFIP the second time through the order.
For what it's worth I think Sonny Gray is worth a look as a first 5 ML candidate as well but the Reds will likely get going quick against Julio a la Gausman and the safest play is to take the runs at 5 or a good bit more!

Game: (951) Cincinnati Reds at (952) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cincinnati Reds +111

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Gray v. Teheran
Teheran is an xFIP fade and while he struggles to cooperate with me the Reds lineup today should cause him fits!

Game: (953) New York Mets at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -126

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Syndergaard v. Musgrove
Thor as stopper! This is why they kept him and even upgraded adding Stroman, right? Mets in a rubber game...and they MUST win series against far inferior teams if they're buyers...I think we get another on point Thor start today and the Mets can keep the hitting up today they had going late last night!
X factor we have Mike (don't call me Chris, Jim Rome) Everitt behind the plate today...and no umpire going is more toxic to home teams with just 7 SU wins in 20 games umped! He in fact has an average of 1.5 runs more for the road squad!

Game: (967) Kansas City Royals at (968) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Kansas City Royals 1.5 (-108)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Keller v. Odorizzi
We sure ain't stopping now...
Odorizzi is a fade product and Keller is a guy we back...we get them on the same mound together and the Royals were just walloped last night and need to salvage something from this division series.
Odorizzi still allows the most fly balls and has close to the top xFIP disparity fitting our system! 70% of the tickets are on the home team yet the has just barely even moved!
Keller continues to improve despite pitching for KC and just dominated in his last start at Target Field! This time he gets a home team who doesn't have a ton of motivation and would be perfectly fine with a single run victory and probably even a close loss....vulnerable a la their closing game in Miami

Game: (955) Milwaukee Brewers at (956) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 2:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers +122

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Houser v. Darvish
These bargain first 5 lines are just screaming out the value and I can already see how advantageous the lines are going to be once football is in full force!
Darvish CAN'T keep his walks down and if Houser does this line will be the OOPS of the day no doubt! Houser already has an xFIP of 3.74!

Game: (957) San Francisco Giants at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 3:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H San Francisco Giants 0.5 (-115)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Beede v. Freeland
This first 5 line is FLAT OUT KOOKY TALK
I have plenty of analysis...but backing Beede and fading Free(fall)land is just too easy...then you give me the push win?!.!.!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


MIAMI +158


MIAMI @ TAMPA BAY | 8/04 | 1:10 PM EDT
9:14 AM
You're getting solid value with the underdog Marlins at this price. After sitting out most of June with hip inflammation, Miami starter Caleb Smith has thrown three quality starts in five outings, posting a 3.48 ERA in July. Meanwhile Rays starter Yonny Chirinos is coming off his worst start of the season, giving up seven runs on eight hits in 4.0 innings against the Jays. My model says Miami wins this game more than 40 percent of the time, so the price is right. Roll the dice with the Marlins.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
30-15 IN LAST 45 TB ML PICKS | +1799

21-16 IN LAST 37 MIA ML PICKS | +698

HOUSTON -217
SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 8/04 | 2:10 PM EDT
9:06 AM
Less than 24 hours after throwing a combined no-hitter against Seattle, the Astros send ace Justin Verlander to the mound against the Mariners, who have managed just three hits in this series. Houston is rolling right now, having won 13 of 16 games. My model says the Astros win this game more than 75 percent of the time, so you're getting solid value even at this heavy price. Lay it.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
31-24 IN LAST 55 SEA ML PICKS | +1063

30-24 IN LAST 54 HOU ML PICKS | +985


BALTIMORE +122


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
8:56 AM
My model says that Baltimore is winning more than 50 percent of simulations, so you're getting excellent value with the Orioles at plus-money. Baltimore's Hanser Alberto has been an offensive catalyst, hitting .400 with a .985 OPS in his last 17 games. He had two hits in Saturday's comeback win. Take the Orioles.

133-91 IN LAST 224 MLB ML PICKS | +3746
41-25 IN LAST 66 TOR ML PICKS | +1625

12-8 IN LAST 20 BAL ML PICKS | +249

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


TORONTO -147


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
12:35 AM
The Orioles are 16-38 at home even after Saturday's win. Toronto has the pitching edge, and the young, exciting Blue Jays look primed to start another win streak after seeing theirs end at five Saturday. Lay it.

68-40 IN LAST 108 MLB ML PICKS | +2446
18-6 IN LAST 24 BAL ML PICKS | +1141

25-13 IN LAST 38 TOR ML PICKS | +1056

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini


COLORADO -135


SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 8/04 | 3:10 PM EDT
9:19 AM
The Colorado Rockies have been woeful post All-Star break that has featured five straight series losses. San Francisco was one of the teams that had the Rockies numbers in a mid-July series with a 25-run differential. With Kyle Freeland’s struggles at home boasting a horrible 10.31 ERA, one would expect the Giants to have no problem scoring runs. In what should be a Coors Field high scoring fest grab the home team to sidestep Freeland’s woes and end their series losing streak.

17-9-2 IN LAST 28 MLB PICKS | +802
27-19 IN LAST 46 COL ML PICKS | +839


SAN DIEGO +133


SAN DIEGO @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/04 | 4:10 PM EDT
9:17 AM
The Dodgers were the first team to get to 70 wins thanks to a ridiculous home record of 41-15. Protecting their home field has given them dominance over their NL West divisional counterparts including Sunday’s opponent in the Padres. Yet the Dodgers are having issues with Kenta Maeda who continues to lose at a high rate. He actually lost to the Padres at home on July 6. Grab the value here on a price far off based on the Dodgers home success.

17-9-2 IN LAST 28 MLB PICKS | +802
9-6 IN LAST 15 LAD ML PICKS | +269


OVER 8.5 N.Y. METS @ PITTSBURGH | 8/04 | 1:35 PM EDT


9:15 AM
A quick turnaround from Saturday to Sunday typically gives value on overs. Sunday that should be the case as the Mets and Pirates continue to be hot at the plate. Relief of not being traded should only boost Noah Syndergaard’s outing Sunday. Yet both bullpens are untrustworthy and Joe Musgrove has been susceptible with five home runs his last two starts. Take the Over (-108).

17-9-2 IN LAST 28 MLB PICKS | +802
6-1 IN LAST 7 NYM O/U PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


WASHINGTON -160


WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | 8/04 | 4:10 PM EDT
11:54 AM
Patrick Corbin is 9-5 with a 3.23 ERA this season and he was 2-0 with a 1.95 ERA in July. Taylor Clarke is 4-3 with a 5.53 ERA and he is 2-2 with a 6.35 ERA at home. Clarke gave up three runs in 4.2 IP in his only outing against the Nationals this season. The Dbacks are only 24-27 at home and 7-5 when Clarke starts, while the Nats are 14-8 when Corbin starts.

103-64 IN LAST 167 MLB ML PICKS | +2223
10-5 IN LAST 15 ARI ML PICKS | +320

3-2 IN LAST 5 WAS ML PICKS | +30


ATLANTA -121


CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 8/04 | 1:20 PM EDT
11:53 AM
Sonny Gray is 6-6 with a 3.45 ERA this season and he’s 1-4 with a 3.16 ERA on the road. Julio Teheran is 6-7 with a 3.38 ERA this season and he has allowed two runs or fewer in 14 of his last 16 starts. At home, he is 3-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In Gray’s one start against the Braves he gave up four earned runs in 5.1 IP while Teheran threw a quality start in his outing against the Reds. The Braves are 15-8 when Teheran starts and they are 32-24 at home while the Reds are 22-32 on the road.

103-64 IN LAST 167 MLB ML PICKS | +2223
6-2 IN LAST 8 ATL ML PICKS | +400

3-1 IN LAST 4 CIN ML PICKS | +200


TORONTO -151


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
11:52 AM
Sein Reid-Foley is 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA this season and he threw five scoreless innings in his most recent outing after being recalled. Jimmy Yacabonis will be opening for Thomas Eshelman who is 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA. The Blue Jays are hot right now and the Orioles are 16-38 at home. Lay the road favorite.

103-64 IN LAST 167 MLB ML PICKS | +2223
10-3 IN LAST 13 TOR ML PICKS | +578

7-1 IN LAST 8 BAL ML PICKS | +505


OAKLAND -136


ST. LOUIS @ OAKLAND | 8/04 | 4:07 PM EDT
11:51 AM
Adam Wainwright is 7-7 with a 4.47 ERA this season but he is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA on the road. Tanner Roark is making his debut for the Athletics and he is 6-7 with a 4.24 ERA. He faced the Cardinals twice giving up three earned runs total in 10.1 IP. The Athletics have won all three games against the Cardinals this season and they are 27-14 as the home favorite.

103-64 IN LAST 167 MLB ML PICKS | +2223
9-3 IN LAST 12 STL ML PICKS | +625

15-9 IN LAST 24 OAK ML PICKS | +600

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson


ATLANTA -126


CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 8/04 | 1:20 PM EDT
10:07 AM
Two red-hot pitchers against teams that have hit them well. Sonny Gray has a 2.42 ERA over his last six starts, but Sunday's Braves lineup is .304 lifetime against him. Julio Teheran posted a 1.48 ERA in five July starts, but the Reds are .311 lifetime off him. Teheran has been a better matinee pitcher, with a 1.72 ERA and .166 average allowed in six starts. The Reds have been hitting the ball better but still not as overall consistently as the Braves, who also average a full run more per game this season at home compared to Cincy on the road.

10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS | +633
28-10 IN LAST 38 ATL ML PICKS | +1968


OAKLAND -139


ST. LOUIS @ OAKLAND | 8/04 | 4:07 PM EDT
10:02 AM
Adam Wainwright has been a road mess, going 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA in 10 road starts. He faces an Athletics offense that has an .800 OPS in day games and .801 OPS over the last week. Tanner Roark makes his debut for Oakland -- he's had his own issues, failing get out of the fifth inning in his last four starts for the Reds. But the Cardinals hit just .231 in day games and Roark was successful enough against them in Cincy, allowing three runs over 10.1 innings and two starts.

10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS | +633
5-4 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS | +84


TORONTO -134


TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 8/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
9:30 AM
The Orioles are going the opener route on the mound. But their starter has a 7.34 ERA, the long reliever expected to go (Tom Eshelman) has a 6.35 ERA in five starts and the Baltimore bullpen ranks 29th in ERA and average allowed and 30th in OPS allowed. The Blue Jays, who are averaging 7.0 runs the last week and 5.0 runs the last five weeks, should score. And young Sean Reid-Foley, who hasn't given up a run in two road games for Toronto, should limit the O's enough.

10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS | +633
15-7 IN LAST 22 BAL ML PICKS | +687

10-5 IN LAST 15 TOR ML PICKS | +261

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Vic: Phillies

[B*mb07]

Philly Guy - Phillies Indians Cubs Mets Augie J - LAD under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Boston / New York Yankees over 10

2* Boston -119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Desert sports:

Col -130
oak -135
lad -160
phi -160
nyy -110

det/tex u11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* SAN DIEGO PADRES +1.5(-140)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

5-Unit Play. Take #636 Los Angeles -5.5 over Seattle (Sunday, August 4 at 5:00 PM ET)

Note: I have a 7-Unit MLB Play (1:00 pm) going here today and I'm on a red hot 8-2 +2,820 MLB run the last 10 days overall so make sure you are on it. As for your top pick here take Los Angeles ATS as my 5-Unit WNBA Smash for Sunday. This pick falls into one my top WNBA systems and I expect a blowout win for Los Angeles at home here today. This is a revenge spot for Los Angeles who lost by 22 points at Seattle back on June 21 and Los Angeles comes into this game healthy. The Sparks have won 5 of their last 6 games and now this will be Candace Parker's 2nd game back after missing the previous 5 games with an ankle injury. The Sparks also got back Alexis Jones and center Maria Vandeeva back last game and you can expect Chiney Ogwumike to return to the lineup today after getting a tooth extracted last week. However even if Chiney Ogwumike does not return today I still have Los Angeles winning by 9+ points at home. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing a team that has a winning record and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games overall. Play Los Angeles ATS as my dominating WNBA season continues.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marco d'angelo

3% oak -130

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game: (973) Boston Red Sox at (974) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Aug 4 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-101)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)