View Full Version : Saturday 9-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Can'tPickAWinner
09-02-2019, 05:12 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!
NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)
College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)
NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)
NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:42 AM
305OHIO U -306 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
307OLD DOMINION -308 VIRGINIA TECH
OLD DOMINION is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
309UAB -310 AKRON
UAB is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total over the last 2 seasons.
311ARMY -312 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) after going over the total since 1992.
313VANDERBILT -314 PURDUE
VANDERBILT is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.
315RUTGERS -316 IOWA
RUTGERS are 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 since 1992.
317SYRACUSE -318 MARYLAND
MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.
319W VIRGINIA -320 MISSOURI
MISSOURI is 45-24 ATS (18.6 Units) in home games after a loss since 1992.
321CINCINNATI -322 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) against the American Athletic since 1992.
323BOWLING GREEN -324 KANSAS ST
BOWLING GREEN is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.
325N ILLINOIS -326 UTAH
UTAH is 64-38 ATS (22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
327S FLORIDA -328 GEORGIA TECH
GEORGIA TECH is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
329TULSA -330 SAN JOSE ST
SAN JOSE ST is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5-10 since 1992.
331NEBRASKA -332 COLORADO
COLORADO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.
335C MICHIGAN -336 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
339SOUTHERN MISS -340 MISSISSIPPI ST
SOUTHERN MISS are 30-13 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.
341ILLINOIS -342 CONNECTICUT
ILLINOIS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.
343ARKANSAS ST -344 UNLV
UNLV is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
345UTSA -346 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
347NEW MEXICO ST -348 ALABAMA
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.
349SAN DIEGO ST -350 UCLA
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 42.5-49 in the last 3 seasons.
351LA MONROE -352 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) as a home fav. of 17.5-21 since 1992.
353WYOMING -354 TEXAS ST
WYOMING is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.
355NORTH TEXAS -356 SMU
NORTH TEXAS are 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when the total is 63.5-70 since 1992.
357BYU -358 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday in the last 3 seasons.
359UCF -360 FLA ATLANTIC
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
363COASTAL CAROLINA -364 KANSAS
KANSAS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
365LIBERTY -366 LA LAFAYETTE
LIBERTY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
367W MICHIGAN -368 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.
369LSU -370 TEXAS
TEXAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game in the last 3 seasons.
371TULANE -372 AUBURN
AUBURN is 15-37 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
373ARKANSAS -374 OLE MISS
ARKANSAS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.
375NEVADA -376 OREGON
NEVADA is 57-38 ATS (15.2 Units) after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
377BUFFALO -378 PENN ST
BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.
379E MICHIGAN -380 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.
381UTEP -382 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) in home games in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
383MIAMI -384 N CAROLINA
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) on the road when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.
385STANFORD -386 USC
STANFORD is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.
387CALIFORNIA -388 WASHINGTON
CALIFORNIA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games as a road dog of 10.5-14 since 1992.
391OREGON ST -392 HAWAII
OREGON ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on turf in the last 3 seasons.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:43 AM
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Saturday, September 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OHIO U (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 11:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OLD DOMINION (1 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UAB (1 - 0) at AKRON (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARMY (1 - 0) at MICHIGAN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VANDERBILT (0 - 1) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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RUTGERS (1 - 0) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SYRACUSE (1 - 0) at MARYLAND (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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W VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at MISSOURI (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CINCINNATI (1 - 0) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-148 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-148 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 172-133 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOWLING GREEN (1 - 0) at KANSAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 158-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 130-99 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N ILLINOIS (1 - 0) at UTAH (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S FLORIDA (0 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TULSA (0 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEBRASKA (1 - 0) at COLORADO (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) at CLEMSON (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
C MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ILLINOIS (1 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARKANSAS ST (0 - 1) at UNLV (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UNLV is 92-129 ATS (-49.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTSA (1 - 0) at BAYLOR (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 1) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 0) at UCLA (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA MONROE (1 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WYOMING (1 - 0) at TEXAS ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NORTH TEXAS (1 - 0) at SMU (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 98-131 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BYU (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UCF (1 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
W KENTUCKY (0 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LIBERTY (0 - 1) at LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
W MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU (1 - 0) at TEXAS (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TULANE (1 - 0) at AUBURN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 97-128 ATS (-43.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at OLE MISS (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEVADA (1 - 0) at OREGON (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BUFFALO (1 - 0) at PENN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
E MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at KENTUCKY (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTEP (1 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games against Big 12 conference opponents since 1992.
UTEP is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIAMI (0 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STANFORD (1 - 0) at USC (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CALIFORNIA (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at FRESNO ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OREGON ST (0 - 1) at HAWAII (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:44 AM
NCAAF
Week 2
Trend Report
Saturday, September 7
Ohio @ Pittsburgh
Ohio
Ohio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Ohio is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
West Virginia @ Missouri
West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 7 games
West Virginia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Missouri
Missouri is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Missouri is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina
Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Charleston Southern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt @ Purdue
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games at home
Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Syracuse @ Maryland
Syracuse
Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Maryland
Maryland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech
Old Dominion
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 11 games
Virginia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games at home
Army @ Michigan
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Army is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan
Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Michigan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Bowling Green @ Kansas State
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 7 games on the road
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati @ Ohio State
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Alabama-Birmingham @ Akron
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 12 games on the road
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Akron's last 10 games at home
Southern University @ Memphis
Southern University
Southern University is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Southern University is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Kennesaw State @ Kent State
Kennesaw State
No trends to report
Kent State
Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games
Western Carolina @ North Carolina State
Western Carolina
Western Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Western Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois @ Utah
Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Utah
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home
South Florida @ Georgia Tech
South Florida
South Florida is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia Tech's last 11 games
Georgia Tech is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Fordham @ Ball State
Fordham
Fordham is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Fordham is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games
Ball State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee Tech @ Miami-OH
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Southern Miss @ Mississippi State
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M @ Clemson
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Nebraska @ Colorado
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Nebraska
Richmond @ Boston College
Richmond
Richmond is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Richmond is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston College
Boston College is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston College is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games
Southern Illinois @ Massachusetts
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Massachusetts's last 14 games
Massachusetts is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Illinois @ Connecticut
Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Eastern Illinois @ Indiana
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Eastern Illinois is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 7 games
Wisconsin is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
Grambling State @ Louisiana Tech
Grambling State
Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
Louisiana Tech is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Charlotte @ Appalachian State
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State @ Alabama
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
Alabama
Alabama is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
Alabama is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
Murray State @ Georgia
Murray State
Murray State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Murray State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia
Georgia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Georgia is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Texas-San Antonio @ Baylor
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas-San Antonio's last 14 games on the road
Baylor
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Western Illinois @ Colorado State
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Western Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 12 games
San Diego State @ California-Los Angeles
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games
San Diego State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
California-Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
Northern Colorado @ Washington State
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Northern Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington State
Washington State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe @ Florida State
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games at home
North Carolina A&T @ Duke
North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Duke's last 9 games at home
Duke is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina
Gardner-Webb
Gardner-Webb is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Gardner-Webb is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games at home
East Carolina is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
Maine @ Georgia Southern
Maine
Maine is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Maine is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Georgia Southern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Brigham Young @ Tennessee
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Brigham Young is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games at home
Coastal Carolina @ Kansas
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Coastal Carolina's last 12 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
Kansas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
South Dakota @ Oklahoma
South Dakota
South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
McNeese State @ Oklahoma State
McNeese State
McNeese State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
McNeese State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Wyoming @ Texas State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wyoming is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky @ Florida International
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Florida International
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games
Florida International is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Central Florida @ Florida Atlantic
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee
Tennessee State
Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games
North Texas @ Southern Methodist
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Texas's last 12 games
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
Southern Methodist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
Jackson State @ South Alabama
Jackson State
Jackson State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Jackson State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 6 games at home
Arkansas @ Mississippi
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games at home
Tulane @ Auburn
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 8 games
Auburn
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Auburn is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee-Martin @ Florida
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Kentucky
Kentucky is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Louisiana State @ Texas
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games
Texas
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada @ Oregon
Nevada
Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Nevada is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada
Liberty @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Liberty
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games on the road
Liberty is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Western Michigan @ Michigan State
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games
Buffalo @ Penn State
Buffalo
Buffalo is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Penn State
Penn State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Penn State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami-FL @ North Carolina
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games on the road
North Carolina
North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games at home
Texas El Paso @ Texas Tech
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 7 games at home
Tulsa @ San Jose State
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulsa's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tulsa's last 12 games
San Jose State
San Jose State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games
Arkansas State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 9 games
California @ Washington
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against California
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford @ Southern California
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Californ
Southern California
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern California's last 7 games when playing at home against Stanford
Southern California is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
Minnesota @ Fresno State
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games
Oregon State @ Hawaii
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games at home
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:45 AM
NCAAF
Week 2
Saturday’s top 13 games
Syracuse blanked I-A newcomer Liberty 24-0 LW, holding Flames to 234 yards; over last decade, Orange are 8-3 ATS as road favorites. Syracuse has new QB and has only 48 returning starts on its OL. Maryland beat a terrible I-AA team LW; can’t tell anything about that. Terps won last series game 34-20 (+2.5) in Carrier Dome five years ago. Last five years, Maryland is 5-9 ATS as a home underdog. Since 2014, ACC teams are 13-18-1 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.
Missouri got beat last week as an 18-point favorite at Wyoming, giving up 297 yards rushing; they were -3 (0-3) in turnovers. West Virginia snuck by I-AA JMU 20-13; they were outgained 328-294 by the Dukes, but were +3 in turnovers. Under Odom, Tigers are 10-7 ATS as home favorites. West Virginia covered four of last five games as a road underdog; since 2012, they’re 10-15 as a road underdog. WVU won last series game 26-11 (-10) three years ago. Since 2014, Big X teams are 8-6-1 ATS when playing a Big 14 opponent.
Cincinnati beat UCLA 24-14 in its opener, holding Bruins to 156 TY with four takeaways (+2). Under Fickell, Bearcats are 5-3 as road underdogs; they’re 5-4 ATS in last nine non-league games. Ohio State ld FAU 28-0 after 8:10 of play in, jogged to 45-28 win in its opener; since ’15, OSU is 11-16 as home favorites;- they’re 17-11 in last 28 non-league games. Buckeyes won last series meeting 50-28 (-17) in 2014; both sides changed coaches since then. Last four years, AAC teams are 9-5 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.
Nebraska won its opener 35-21, scoring two defensive TD’s and also scored on a punt return. Cornhuskers covered 11 of their last 15 road games; last three years, they’re 3-0 as road favorites, but covered only one of last six non-league games. Colorado won its opener 52-31 but gave up 500+ yards. Last three years, Buffs are 9-4 as home underdogs; they’re 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog. Since 2013, Colorado is 12-7-1 ATS outside Pac-12. This was a big rivalry when teams were in Big 8 Conference.
Clemson jogged 52-14 in its opener, piling up 632 yards; Tigers are 21-17-1 ATS in last 39 games as a home favorite- since 2013, they’re 20-13 ATS outside the ACC. Last two years, Texas A&M is 6-3-1 ATS as an underdog; they’re 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 non-SEC games. Underdogs covered four of Jimbo’s last five games with Clemson. Tigers won 28-26 (-12) at Texas A&M in teams’ last meeting, despite being outgained by 88 yards; they were +2 in TO’s that day. SEC teams covered nine of last games against ACC teams.
Mississippi State has various players suspended for first few games; they beat Louisiana 38-28 in Superdome LW, running ball for 261 yards. Bulldogs covered eight of last 11 tries as a home favorite, 8 of last 11 non-SEC tilts. Last five years, Southern Miss is 13-8 in last 21 games as road underdogs; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight non-league games. USM jogged over a I-AA team LW. This is first series meeting in four years; State won last two, 34-16/49-0, but both teams changed coaches since then. Last four years, SEC clubs are 18-14-1 ATS vs C-USA teams.
Tennessee lost at home as a 26-point favorite LW; is that enough to get DB Thompson back from suspension? Georgia State ran ball for 213 yards, converted 10-17 on 3rd down LW; Knoxville natives are not happy. Since 2012, Vols are 13-24 ATS as home favorites; they covered only two of last nine non-league games. BYU got whacked 30-12 by rival Utah LW; Utes ran ball for 262 yards. Cougars covered nine of last 11 games as road underdogs. BYU’s schedule is weird; they played Utah last week, play USC next week; tough start to year.
Texas hammered Louisiana Tech 45-14 LW, despite giving up 413 yards, 340 thru the air. LSU pounded Georgia Southern 55-3 LW; senior QB Burrow was 23-27/278 passing. Under Orgeron, Tigers are 3-2 as road favorites; they’re 4-7 ATS in last 11 non-SEC games. Since ’15, Texas is 5-0-1 as a home underdog; they covered six of last eight games as an underdog, five of last eight games outside Big X. These teams last met in 2003. Last eight years, SEC teams are 17-15 vs spread when facing a Big X opponent.
Road team won three of last four Arkansas-Ole Miss games, with all four games decided by 4 or fewer points, with an average total of 78.5. Razorbacks won last two visits to Oxford, 53-52/38-37. Arkansas has 11 new starters on offense; they slogged past I-AA Portland State 20-13 LW. Ole Miss lost 15-10 LW at Memphis- they were outgained 364-173. Rebels were only 1-10 on 3rd down, ran ball for only 80 yards. Last three years, Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS as a road underdog. Ole Miss is 6-7 ATS in its last 13 games as a home favorite. You’re reading armadillo sports.com
Miami won its last two games with North Carolina, 47-10/24-19; UNC turned ball over six times in LY’s ugly loss. Hurricanes (+7) lost 24-20 at Florida LW, they were +3 in turnovers (4-1) but had 14 penalties for 118 yards. UNC came back to beat South Carolina 24-20 LW, after being down 20-9 after 3rd quarter— they outgained the Gamecocks 483-270. Over last nine years, Miami is 21-12 ATS as a single digit favorite in ACC games; since 2012, Miami is 14-9 ATS as road favorites. Tar Heels are 4-7 in last 11 tries as a home dog. Both teams have new head coaches this year.
Stanford won three of last four games with USC; home side won last three series games. USC lost its QB for season LW; his replacement was in high school LY, was 6-8/57 passing in relief vs Fresno LW- this will be his first college start. Trojans held off an inexperienced Fresno team 31-23, but gave up 462 yards. Stanford held Northwestern off 17-7 LW, scoring a defensive TD with 0:20 left- their offense struggled. Cardinal’s QB is a ?mark after he got a concussion LW. Last four years, Stanford is 13-9 ATS on true road games. USC covered only four of last 18 games as a home favorite.
California-Washington split their last four meetings; Cal upset the Huskies 12-10 (+11) LY. Cal had tough time with I-AA Cal Poly LW, finally winning 27-13; game was 13-13 with 4:00 left in 3rd quarter. Golden Bears ran ball for 233 yards but lost three fumbles. Huskies crushed a I-AA opponent LW; their OL has 107 returning starts, junior QB has 14 starts. Under Wilcox, Golden Bears are 6-3 ATS as road dogs- they covered 11 of last 16 tries overall as an underdog. Last three years, Washington is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Fresno State lost 21-14 at Minnesota LY, Gophers scoring winning TD with 3:28 left; Fresno had ball on Minnesota 4-yard with 1:18 left, but a trick play blew up and Gophers escaped. Bulldogs lost 31-23 at USC LW, but their inexperienced offense gained 462 yards; Fresno covered their last six tries as a home underdog- they covered eight of last 10 non-conference tilts. Minnesota was outgained 367-308 in 28-21 win over I-AA South Dakota State LW; Gophers are 6-1 ATS in last seven games out of conference; since 2014, they’re 2-3 as road favorites.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:45 AM
Clemson's opening odds tick up early for College Football Week 2 clash vs Texas A&M
Patrick Everson
Clemson's opening odds tick up early for College Football Week 2 clash vs Texas A&M
Clemson running back Travis Etienne had 205 yards and three TDs in a Week 1 blowout of Georgia Tech.
The No. 1 Tigers opened as 18-point favorites at home in Week 2 vs. No. 11 Texas A&M.
Week 1 isn’t quite a wrap yet in college football, but it’s time to set our sights on a Week 2 with several noteworthy matchups. We check in on the opening odds and early action for four games, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for New Jersey-based online sportsbook PointsBet USA.
No. 11 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 1 Clemson Tigers (-18)
Perennial College Football Playoff contender Clemson got down to business quickly with an easy Week 1 victory. The Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS) put up two touchdowns in each of the first three quarters and hammered Georgia Tech 52-14, narrowly cashing as 37-point home favorites Thursday.
Texas A&M had no issues in its opener, either, though against a much less notable opponent. The Aggies (1-0 SU and ATS) dispatched Texas State 41-7, giving up a final-minute touchdown to barely cover as 33.5-point faves.
These two teams met last September, with host A&M rallying from a 21-6 deficit to nearly force overtime. The Aggies scored a last-minute TD to pull within 28-26, but the 2-point attempt failed and Clemson escaped as 12-point chalk.
“This season, things clearly are expected to be different in Death Valley,” Chaprales said, alluding to an 18-point opening line. “This is Clemson’s toughest two-game stretch, so one can reasonably expect this line to come down a bit over the course of the week, but not too far. The line waffled early from 18 to 17.5 and back to 18, so we will see how it progresses.”
By later Monday morning, the number actually progressed upward to Clemson -18.5.
No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers at No. 10 Texas Longhorns (+4.5)
Expectations are high at Texas for the 2019-20 season, and this SEC/Big 12 showdown could demonstrate whether that’s justified. The Longhorns (1-0 SU and ATS) opened with an easy 45-14 victory over Louisiana Tech laying 19 points at home Saturday.
Likewise, LSU had little trouble in Week 1 as it hopes to mount a charge against Alabama this year in the Southeastern Conference. On Saturday, the Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS) dispatched Georgia Southern 55-3 giving 27 points at home.
“The Longhorns are the underdogs as ‘GameDay’ heads down to Austin in this marquee matchup,” Chaprales said. “Neither team was really tested to open the season, but now, we can truly find out if Texas is back. There hasn’t been much action drawn on this one yet, but with such a big matchup on our hands, there should be an influx coming, especially with two incredibly public teams.”
No. 23 Stanford Cardinal at Southern California Trojans (no line)
Both these programs saw their starting quarterbacks get hurt in Week 1, but Southern Cal suffered the much more significant injury. JT Daniels tore his right ACL and meniscus in the second quarter against Fresno State on Saturday, and he will miss the rest of the year. The Trojans (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went on to win 31-23 as 14.5-point home favorites, but will now field a freshman QB in Kedon Slovis.
Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello exited Saturday’s home game with Northwestern after a hit to the head late in the first half, and his status is still undetermined. The Cardinal pulled off an extremely unlikely cover in that game, recovering a fumble for a touchdown with 20 seconds left in a 17-7 victory giving 6.5 points.
“The real, and most unfortunate, storyline here is Daniels’ devastating torn ACL that has knocked him out for the season,” Chaprales said. “What started out as a promising beginning has now turned into a potential nightmare for Clay Helton and the Trojans. But on the other side, Costello went down due to a very questionable hit up high. With both starting QBs injured, we do not have a line on this yet.
“Right now, we could see that number being around USC -3 to -4.5, but Costello’s status could greatly alter that. There’s still too much uncertainty.”
Cincinnati Bearcats at No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5)
Ohio State got out of the gate in a huge hurry under new coach Ryan Day, who took over for the retired Urban Meyer. The Buckeyes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) scored 28 first-quarter points against Florida Atlantic and coasted to a 45-21 victory laying 27 points at home.
Cincinnati could be a more formidable opponent than the opening line suggests, as the program is coming off one of its best seasons (11-2 SU last year). The Bearcats kept it rolling in the 2019-20 opener, topping UCLA 24-14 as 2.5-point home favorites, the second straight year they’ve beaten the Bruins.
“Respect has to be given to Cincinnati, as Luke Fickell has the Bearcats well ahead of schedule,” Chaprales said of the coach entering his third season. “This line could very well shift toward Cincy a small amount, as one can reasonably expect QB Justin Fields and the Buckeyes to be tested this week. This could be especially true if you put any stock into the fact that Fickell spent practically his whole career with the Buckeyes up until getting this job.
“If last week was any indication, people may have their eyes on this Bearcats squad.”
That said, the initial move on this line was toward Ohio State, to -17.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:46 AM
Big Ten Report - Week 2
September 3, 2019
By ASA
Week 2 Big Ten Matchups
Army at Michigan (-22.5, Total 46.5)
Vanderbilt at Purdue (-7.5, Total 55.5)
Rutgers at Iowa (-20, Total 50)
Syracuse at Maryland (-1.5, Total 56)
Cincinnati at Ohio State (-16, Total 53)
Nebraska (-3.5, Total 64) at Colorado
Central Michigan at Wisconsin (-35, Total 51.5)
Illinois (-20.5, Total 60.5) at Connecticut
Western Michigan at Michigan State (-16, Total 46)
Buffalo at Penn State (-29.5, Total 58)
Minnesota (-3, Total 46.5) at Fresno State
Eastern Illinois at Indiana (-34, Total 62.5)
Odds Subject to Change
ILLINOIS
The Illini (-18) look to us like they’ll be an improved team this year and they began to prove that narrative on Saturday with a 42-3 win over Akron. It was their largest margin of victory since the 2016 opener when they crushed Murray State 52-3. The offense was led by Michigan transfer quaterback Brandon Peters who attempted only 23 passes (163 yards passing) but ushered his team to TD’s on each of their first 3 possessions. While Peters played well, the Illinois rushing game carried the load with 65% of their plays coming on the ground (207 total rushing yards on 46 carries). However, they were dealt a blow when Mike Esptein, one of their key tailbacks along with Reggie Corbin, was lost for the year with a knee injury.
Head coach Lovie Smith, whose background is on the defensive side of the ball, is now the defensive coordinator as well. He took over for Hardy Nickerson who resigned midseason a year ago. Smith had his defense looking very good on Saturday. After allowing nearly 42 PPG and over 500 YPG last year, the Illini held Akron to just 3 points on 198 total yards. Last year Illinois opened with a MAC opponent as well and allowed Kent to score 24 points on 453 yards so progress looks like it’s being made in Champaign. Keep in mind that Akron was just 4-8 last year and they are operating under a new head coach so the Illini enthusiasm may need to be tempered a bit. Illinois heads to Connecticut this weekend. The Huskies held on last week at home to beat Wagner 24-21.
INDIANA
The Hoosiers had a scare right out of the gate last week holding on to beat Ball State 34-24 in Indianapolis. IU was favored by 18 in the game and never came close to getting to that number. Their largest lead was just 14 and that didn’t come until there was only 13:00 left in the game. Ball State cut it to 7 with 6:30 remaining but Indiana closed it out with a late FG. Head coach Tom Allen went with freshman Michael Penix Jr. at QB as he beat out last year’s starter Peyton Ramsey who threw for nearly 3,000 yards and 19 TD’s a year ago. Penix played well throwing for 326 yards along with 67 yards on the ground which led the team. Only one other Indiana QB has been able to throw for over 300 yards in his freshman starting debut and that was Antwaan Randle El back in 1998. We remember Randle El very well as we began handicapping in the late 80’s and launched ASA Inc back in 1997! Back to Penix, while he is a freshman, he did get some experience last year playing in 3 games for the Hoosiers before being redshirted but his was his first start. For Penix to lead Indiana in rushing with just 67 yards is a concern. Especially facing a Ball State defense that allowed 240 YPG on the ground a year ago. RB Stevie Scott, who had over 1,100 yards rushing last year, had just 48 yards on 19 carries. However, IU’s rushing numbers may have taken a hit due to Ball State putting put 8+ defenders in the box for much of the game forcing the freshman QB to beat them and he did just that. After allowing 424 YPG a year ago, Allen was hoping to see a much better Indiana defense vs Ball State. Instead he was upset with their effort allowing 398 total yards mentioning the “shoulder tackling” has to go. IU hosts Eastern Illinois next week before the Buckeyes come to town on September 14th.
IOWA
Our interest in this one was the drastic line movement on gameday. Iowa opened as a 21.5 point favorite vs Miami Oh back in late June and was sitting at -22 at most places on Saturday morning. By game time the number had pushed all the way to -25 or -25.5 at a majority of shops. The game ended with Iowa winning 38-14 so the line move and when people played the game was very significant. The game was in the balance with under 6:00 minutes remaining and Iowa up by just 10. They scored the final 2 TD’s of the game for the 38-14 win. The Hawkeyes never led by more than 17 points until 3:03 remaining in the game when their final TD pushed the margin to 24. Iowa dominated the stat sheet outgaining the Redhawks by 220 yards, including rolling up 213 yards rushing to just 59 for Miami. Iowa’s main concern defensively was up front where they were replacing all 4 starting defensive linemen. They held up more than well allowing just 2.5 yards per carry vs a Miami Oh team that is one of the favorites in the MAC East. After holding just a 10-7 lead at half, Iowa completely controlled the 2nd half racking up 295 yards to just 106 for the Redhawks. One major concern moving forward is starting LT Alaric Jackson, one of the best in the Big Ten, who exited with a knee injury and did not return. He will be out for several weeks at the least. Iowa opens the conference season next weekend hosting Rutgers before traveling to Iowa State the following Saturday as they try and hold onto the CyHawk Trophy.
MARYLAND
The Mike Locksley era at Maryland got off to an impressive start as the Terps (-31) crushed Howard 79-0. As you can see by the final score, not much to write here except total domination by Maryland. They were +20 first downs, put up 623 yards while holding Howard to 68, rushed for 317 yards while limiting the Bison to 1 yard on the ground. Howard only crossed midfield once and they were held inside their own 35 yard line on all but two of their offensive possessions. New QB Josh Jackson, a Virginia Tech transfer, threw 4 TD’s in the first half leading Maryland to a 56-0 halftime lead, the most points the Terps have ever scored in half. We’ll find out a lot more about this team on Saturday when they host Syracuse. The Orange shut out Liberty 24-0 last weekend.
MICHIGAN
The Wolves played host to Middle Tennessee State last Saturday and led just 24-14 late in the first half. They pulled away in the 2nd half on their way to a 40-21 win but didn’t come close to covering the 36-point spread. It was a bit of a disappointing performance vs an MTSU team that was replacing their all time leading passer and came into the game very inexperienced on the offensive line. The Wolverines unleased their new no-huddle, up tempo, spread offense for the first time under new offensive coordinator Josh Gattis who came over from Alabama in the off season. While they were very balanced with 233 yards rushing and 220 yards passing, Michigan only averaged 5.8 yards per play vs an MTSU defense that allowed 5.5 YPP last year vs a fairly pedestrian schedule. The U of M defense, which was ranked #1 nationally for much of last season, closed out last year allowing 62 points to Ohio State and 41 points to Florida in their bowl loss. They shut down the Blue Raiders rushing attack allowing only 67 yards on 28 carries. However, they struggled a bit with their pass defense as MTSU first time starter O’Hara was 22 of 32 for 217 yards and 2 TD’s. Michigan was without two key starters as OT Jon Runyan and WR Donovan Peoples-Jones both sat out with injuries. Head coach Jim Harbaugh said he hopes to have both back next Saturday when they host Army. That means just one week for the defense to prepare for Army’s option attack which is always difficult. The Cadets won at home 14-7 vs Rice last week moving their record to an impressive 22-6 their last 28 games.
MICHIGAN STATE
The Spartans looked just as we thought they would last weekend. Great on defense and not so great on offense. MSU (-23.5) topped Tulsa 28-7 giving them wins in 21-straight home openers. The defense was outstanding holding Tulsa to just 80 total yards. To say the Golden Hurricane couldn’t do anything on the ground would be an understatement. They had -73 yards on 25 carries for an average of -3 YPC. Yes, you read that correctly. Sparty was #1 in the nation against the run last season and they have a great jump on defending that title this year. After the game Tulsa head coach Philip Montgomery said that MSU probably had the best defensive line he’s ever faced which is obviously high praise.
If only the offense could hold up their end of the bargain. They were held to 24 points or less in every Big Ten game last year and they were far from a well oiled unit last week. The offense scored just 2 TD’s and had only 303 total yards vs a Tulsa defense that allowed 30 PPG and 408 YPG a year ago. After averaging only 125 yards rushing last year, the Spartans tallied just 108 yards on the ground on 40 carries last week (2.7 YPC). Again, that was against a Tulsa defense that gave up 233 YPG on the ground last year. Brian Lewerke is back at QB and completed just 56% of his passes last Saturday after completing only 54% last year. This team can be very good but the offense needs to play much better. They can get by on defense alone vs the likes of Tulsa and some of the lower tier Big Ten teams. That won’t cut it against the top teams they play this year. MSU actually LOST 2 games last year in which their defense gave up less than 10 points. That simply can’t happen. Sparty hosts in state MAC foe Western Michigan next weekend.
MINNESOTA
The Gophers played host to FCS powerhouse South Dakota State last Saturday in a game that went to the wire. Minnesota (-14.5) never led by more than 13 and they were actually down 21-20 entering the 4th quarter before pulling out a 28-21 win. While it may look like a ho-hum performance by the Gophers keep in mind South Dakota State is a top 5 FCS team that was in the National Championship game last year, a loss to North Dakota State. That being said, Minnesota was not sharp. The Jackrabbits actually outgained Minnesota (367 to 308) with both accumulating 60 offensive snaps. One big concern coming out of the game was the performance of the offensive line. There was some uncertainty entering this game up front and the Gophers were only able to run for 132 yards on 42 carries (3.1 YPC). They were pushed around at times up front by their FCS opponent.
The defensive line wasn’t much better as the Jackrabbits rushed for 5.1 YPC. The Gophers need to play much better in the trenches moving forward as they face better opponents. Minny scored 28 points but two of their TD’s came as a direct result of SDSU turnovers – one interception returned for a TD and a fumble that led to a 34-yard TD drive. In the end, a win is a win, but we weren’t impressed with Minnesota’s first game. They travel to Fresno State this weekend which is a revenge game for the Bulldogs who lost 21-14 at Minnesota last year.
NEBRASKA
In our opinion Nebraska has been overhyped the entire off-season and they proved us correct last Saturday. They entered as a 35 point chalk and were lucky to win 35-21. The talk of this team being a top 10 or 15 team in Scott Frost’s 2nd year at the helm was much to premature in our minds. While their offense was very good at the end of last year and QB Adrian Martinez is a potential star in the making, their defense was terrible. They allowed 434 YPG on nearly 6.0 yards per play last season. While we expect some improvement on that side of the ball, they’d have to make an awfully big jump to reach the lofty expectations put on them by the media and their fans.
Last Saturday, it was actually their offense that looked like it was stuck in neutral. They tallied just 276 yards on 66 offensive snaps and scored only 14 points. What makes matters look worse is they were facing a South Alabama defense that allowed 39 PPG on 450 YPG a year ago. The Huskers can thank their defense for this one which has been rare as we mentioned above. They forced the Jaguars into 5 turnovers, 2 of them going for TD’s on an interception return and fumble recovery in the endzone. The other Nebraska TD came on a 76-yard punt return. The fact is, they were outgained, had fewer first downs, lost the time of possession by nearly 10:00 minutes at home, as a 5 TD favorite, vs a team that was 3-9 last year. Let’s hold off on anointing this team the best in the Big Ten West. They may get there, but they are nowhere near where they need to be right now. This weekend they head to Boulder as a road favorite to take on Colorado.
NORTHWESTERN
This one literally came down to the final play (or 2nd to last play) of the game to decide the spread. Stanford was a 6.5 point chalk and led 10-7 with 30 seconds remaining and Northwestern had the ball at their own 20 yard line. It would take a miracle for Stanford to cover and that’s just what transpired. The Cats QB Hunter Johnson was sacked, fumbled and Stanford recovered in the endzone with 20 seconds remaining in the game to pick up a cover and a 17-7 win. Johnson was the much ballyhooed former 5-star transfer from Clemson and he struggled to say the least.
The QB duo of TJ Green and Johnson were only able to complete 44% of their passes and gain just 4.3 yards per pass attempt. On the ground the Wildcats were held to less than 3 YPC. They were outgained by 155 yards in the game. Just an ugly all around offensive performance for the Cats. They lost QB Green, son of former NFL QB Trent Green, to a foot injury. He’s already had surgery and might be gone for the entire season. Injuries were the lead story for NW coming out of this game as starting LT Slater, leading rusher Bowser, and team captain DB Williams all left the game. The good thing for Northwestern is they have a bye this week before hosting UNLV on September 14th.
OHIO STATE
Those who were on OSU (-28) on Saturday were getting ready to cash their tickets early on as the Bucks jumped out to a 28-0 lead with 6:50 still remaining in the first quarter. New starting QB Justin Fields, who transferred from Georgia, looked fantastic running for a TD and throwing for 3 more all less than 10:00 minutes into the game. The Buckeyes tallied 220 of their 469 total yards in the first quarter alone. Unfortunately for Buckeye backers they took their foot off the gas early. After scoring their 28th point with 6:50 left in the first stanza, OSU went more than 2 full quarters without a point scoring their next TD with 2:37 left in the 3rd quarter. FAU had two long scoring drives of 75 & 76 yards in the 4th quarter to pick up the cover losing 45-21. Those two 4th quarter drives accounted for almost 70% of the Owls yardage for the game (228 total yards).
OSU will get a much tougher test at home next Saturday when they host in-state program Cincinnati. The Bearcats are coming off a 10-point win over UCLA, they are 13-2 their last 15 games, they are coached by former Buckeye interim head coach and defensive coordinator Luke Fickell, and we can guarantee this will be Cincy’s biggest game of the season. Should be interesting.
PENN STATE
Similar to our Maryland synapsis above, really not much to say here. PSU came into the game as a ridiculous 41 point favorite and walked away with a 79-7 win. When’s the last time a team was favored by 41 and covered the number by 31 points! As expected when taking the final score into consideration, PSU completed dominated the ground game with 331 yards rushing while holding Idaho to just 4. The Nittany Lions averaged 7.4 YPC and 8.2 yards per play overall. They scored 10 TD’s in the game in their 82 offensive snaps for an average of one TD every 8.2 plays.
Just ridiculous. If you remember, Penn State was thrown for a loop when probable starting QB Tommy Stevens, a 5th year senior, decided to transfer to Mississippi State where he is now the Bulldogs starter. After that, Penn State head coach James Franklin turned to sophomore Sean Clifford, who had 7 career pass attempts, as his starting QB. Clifford looked great on Saturday throwing for 280 yards in the first half before sitting the rest of the way. Clifford also showed he can move very well with almost 60 yards rushing. Not much to take away from this game vs a terrible Idaho team that dropped from FBS to FCS status this year. Penn State hosts Buffalo on Saturday.
PURDUE
Meltdown! That is the theme of this one.
Purdue (-11) led Nevada 31-14 with under 4:00 remaining in the 3rd quarter and allowed the Wolfpack to come back for the 34-31 win. Nevada walk-on kicker Brandon Talton kicked a 56-yard FG as time expired to win. Talton was awarded a scholarship by head coach Jay Norvell after the game in a now much viewed twitter moment. Purdue had over 500 yards of total offense and outgained Nevada by 115 years but lost the turnover battle 5 to 0. That was the difference in the game. The final giveaway was the most damaging as Boilermaker starting QB Elijah Sindelar threw an interception with under 1:00 remaining in the game which led to the game winning FG for Nevada. Sindelar did throw for a career high 343 yards in the game. After taking a 31-14 lead on a 2-play 75 yard drive with 6:19 to go in the 3rd quarter, they gained only 55 yards on 24 plays from that point on. Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm admitted after the game they should have stayed more aggressive late in the game even though they had a 17-point lead. The running game struggled with just 96 yards and the offense was far from balanced with 29 rush attempts and 54 pass attempts. Not a great start facing a Nevada team that started a redshirt freshman at QB who had never attempted a pass in a college game.
Purdue attempts to get back on track this weekend as they host a Vanderbilt team that was smoked 30-6 at home vs Georgia. One bonus for the Boilers, they played last Friday (Vandy played on Saturday) giving them an extra day to prepare for this one.
RUTGERS
Rutgers has already matched their win total from a year ago after topping UMass 48-21 in their season opener. It didn’t look great early for the Scarlet Knights, who were favored by 17, as UMass jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead midway through the first quarter. The game played out in an odd way. The 2 teams combined to score 59 points on 619 yards in the first half which actually topped the game total of 54 before halftime. In the second half, they combined to score just 10 points on 239 total yards. After finishing 1-11 last year, Rutgers needed much better production from the QB position as last year’s starter Artur Sitkowski threw just 4 TD passes and 18 interceptions.
New starter McLane Carter, transfer from Texas Tech, definitely looked like an upgrade with 340 yards passing and 2 TD’s. Problem is, he also threw 3 picks which would never cut it for a team like Rutgers vs a solid FBS opponent. They were minus 14 in turnovers last year and that obviously has to be cleaned up or the Knights will remain at or near the bottom of the Big Ten. The Rutgers defense struggled early in the game allowing the Minutemen to score TD’s on their first 3 offensive possessions, but they locked down after that holding UMass scoreless over the final 45 minutes of the game. The Knights now kick off their Big Ten season at Iowa on Saturday.
WISCONSIN
Being in Madison, we receive very solid info and usually have a great feel for this Wisconsin team. We had been hearing that the defense, which struggled last year, was back to their form of 2015 – 2017 when they finished in the top 5 nationally in scoring defense each of those 3 seasons. They definitely looked the part last Friday as the Badgers (-10.5) shut out South Florida on the road 49-0 which was the worst loss EVER for the Bulls. The emphasis defensively during the off season was to get back to stopping the run. Last year UW allowed an uncharacteristic 155 YPG on the ground after giving up just 95, 99, & 98 the previous 3 seasons. In the win, they allowed just 26 yards on 23 carries. The USF offense didn’t cross midfield until there was 4:43 remaining in the game and tallied just 157 total yards. A dominant performance for Wisconsin’s defense vs a team that averaged 28 PPG on 438 YPG last season.
Offensively it was the Jonathan Taylor show as everyone expected. He had 183 total yards and 4 TD’s and he didn’t play the final 28:00 minutes of the game. QB Jack Coan was decent completing 19 of his 26 attempts but missed at least 2 TD’s on deep overthrows to wide open receivers. Wisconsin did not escape unscathed as starting LB Orr is questionable while starting RT Bruss, starting DE Green-May, and starting safety Nelson are all out as they host Central Michigan. After hosting the Chippewas, Wisconsin has a week off before Michigan comes to Camp Randall.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:46 AM
Injuries already taking a toll on Pac-12
September 3, 2019
By The Associated Press
It's just a week into the season and injuries are already taking a toll in the Pac-12.
USC quarterback J.T. Daniels and Stanford counterpart K.J. Costello were among the players who got knocked out of their season openers. So did Washington senior center Nick Harris.
Graduate transfer Juwan Johnson, expected to start at receiver for Oregon, didn't even suit up for Saturday's big game against Auburn. And UCLA was missing several top playmakers.
Daniels' injury will arguably have the biggest impact on his team. The 6-foot-3 sophomore tore a ligament and the meniscus in his right knee late in the first half of the Trojans' 31-23 victory over Fresno State and will miss the rest of the season.
Daniels was adjusting this season to an Air Raid-style offense under new offensive coordinator Graham Harrell and had fared well in the opener before he was hurt, throwing for 215 yards and a touchdown.
Now USC (1-0) must turn to freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis. There's also the intriguing possibility that USC could lure back redshirt sophomore Jack Sears, who had announced last week his intention to enter the transfer portal after losing out to Daniels.
''One of the things that Jack and I always talked about, and I said, `Hey, there is always an open door here,''' Helton said Saturday night. ''And he told me, he said, `Coach, if you ever need me, I'm there for you.'''
Slovis' debut as starter might come against another QB getting his first start, Stanford's Davis Mills. The Trojans host the Cardinal (1-0) on Saturday in an early conference matchup at the Coliseum.
Stanford coach David Shaw said Costello is questionable for the game.
Costello got a forearm to the facemask from Northwestern's Earnest Brown late in the first half Saturday. Costello, who threw for 152 yards and a touchdown before he was hurt, did not return. Brown was called for a late hit, but not targeting.
Shaw said Tuesday he believed the officials missed the call.
Mills, a junior, replaced Costello and threw for 81 yards, but he also fumbled twice and the Cardinal did not score in the second half. With the 17-7 victory, Stanford moved up two spots to No. 23 in the AP Top 25 released Tuesday.
Shaw, who had recruited Daniels, called the season-ending injury a shame. But he said it would not have too much impact on Stanford's preparation.
''Our defensive mentality is to accentuate what we do well and we talk a lot about our scheme versus their scheme, more so than who is playing quarterback,'' Shaw said. ''The young man went in there last week and made some great throws and some nice plays, but for the most part for us we've got to go in there and play to our strengths and play our style of football.''
Junior left tackle Walker Little injured his leg on the final drive of the game. Shaw said Stanford hopes to see Little back by midseason.
OREGON'S RECEIVER WOES: It was something of a surprise when Johnson was sidelined for the Ducks' season-opening 27-21 loss to Auburn.
Coach Mario Cristobal said Monday that the unspecified injury occurred late last week in practice and Johnson is currently listed as day-to-day. The Ducks were already hurting at receiver with Brenden Schooler (right foot) and Mycah Pittman (right shoulder) both out. Promising freshman receiver JR Waters will miss the season with a foot injury.
To help alleviate the situation, the Ducks have moved redshirt freshman tight end Spencer Webb to receiver. Webb had three catches for 28 yards and a touchdown in the opener.
''He played a lot of wide receiver or I would say a lot of detached tight end formational stuff in high school,'' Cristobal said. ''So he's very natural in space. And when the opportunity arose with all of the injuries that transpired we felt, `You know what, let's give this thing a look.'''
The Ducks also moved sophomore cornerback Daewood Davis to receiver. That's where Davis played his first year with the Ducks.
Oregon dropped from No. 11 to No. 16 following the loss to the Tigers. Next up, the Ducks (0-1) host Nevada (1-0) at Autzen Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
WOODS INJURY: There's no word on Washington State standout linebacker Jahad Woods, who had six tackles against New Mexico State before he left the game in the third quarter with an apparent shoulder injury.
Because Cougars coach Mike Leach doesn't talk about injuries, it's unlikely his status will be updated. But Woods' backup, walk-on redshirt freshman Hank Pladson, filled in the rest of the way and had his first interception in the 58-7 Washington State win.
Next up for the No. 23 Cougars (1-0) is Northern Colorado (0-1) on Saturday at Martin Stadium.
UCLA HAMPERED: The Bruins were without top running back Joshua Kelley (knee), receiver Theo Howard (hand/wrist), cornerback Darnay Holms (undisclosed) for Thursday night's 24-14 loss at Cincinnati.
Howard, a senior who had a streak of 28 games with a reception going into the opener, was injured for much of training camp but had recently returned to practice, as had Kelley.
Coach Chip Kelly said afterward that the Bruins ''made the decision we weren't going to put them out there if they weren't 100%. That wouldn't have been fair to the player and we're always going to err on the side of safety.''
Next up for UCLA (0-1) is San Diego State (1-0) at the Rose Bowl.
MELE STEPS UP: Harris was injured in the first half of the Huskies' 47-14 victory over Eastern Washington and did not return, but redshirt freshman backup Matteo Mele jumped right into the role.
Harris is week-to-week with an unspecified injury.
''You never know when that day is going to come where the guy's gotta go, so he (Mele) got a lot of good reps,'' coach Chris Petersen said. ''Gotta keep progressing with him and Nick's week-to-week, and we'll go from there.''
The Huskies (1-0) host California (1-0) on Saturday in another early conference game.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:46 AM
Week 2 Upset Alerts
September 4, 2019
By Matt Blunt
It was a mixed bag of results last week with the three underdog plays, as I was aided by playing one game early (Ole Miss), but hurt by playing another at the same time (Miami, Ohio) based on the lines.
Getting +5.5 with Mississippi managed to pay out even with the Memphis safety late, as that game was a great example of why it never hurts to be ahead of line moves. That game closed at -3, so those that waited to jump on the Rebels will not forget about that late safety Ole Miss gave up to lose by five.
At the same time, the Miami (Ohio) line closed at +25 most places, and the 24-point loss by the Redhawks managed to get their at the closer, just not at the +21.5 I had earlier in the week. That means there won't be any crazy run out of the gates on 20+ point underdogs like last year's 9-0 ATS run, but it also goes to show you that trying to time the market and predict where it could go up until kickoff is something to be considered as well.
A 1-2 ATS record to start the year is not great by any means, but there is still a very long way to go in the 2019 college football campaign, and hopefully Week 2 ends up on a better note. Let's get to this week's plays:
Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range
YTD: 0-1 SU; 1-0 ATS
Texas (+6.5) vs LSU
Tom Herman's ATS record as an underdog (13-2-1 ATS) is something that will be thrown out there a lot as this week goes on, as it's something that many love to hang their hat on. Since coming to Texas he's 8-2-1 ATS in that role, and while that's all well and good to have as support, it's not the main reason behind backing the Longhorns this week.
One, this line move up to almost a TD is far too much for a game of this magnitude, as yes, LSU looked great in beating up on Georgia Southern last week, but it's not like Texas didn't do what was asked of them in a win over Louisiana Tech as well. Furthermore, I doubt we see such a flawless performance from LSU QB Joe Burrow – 23-for-27 last week for 5 TD's – against this Longhorns defense that's at home, especially when LSU does have a bit of a reputation for botching things late in tight games against quality foes. Sure, the Tigers may come away with the outright win here, but it won't be until late, and it won't be by a TD or more.
I say that because laying points on the road in September has not been kind to LSU in recent years and this this game will be no exception. Since the start of the 2012 campaign, LSU has been favored five times on the road in September and their ATS record ins a perfect 0-5 ATS in those games. Heck, the Tigers are just 3-2 SU in those games with two of those wins coming by exactly two points, and the third coming by just 10 when they were laying -23.5 up at Syracuse in 2015. This is a scenario where fading the Tigers has paid off in the past, and when you do have a team like Texas on the other side, the severe climb on this number is just too much.
Herman's record as an underdog is just icing on the cake for this play, as hopefully the Longhorns can be the next team to be added to the list of LSU's chalky woes in September.
Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range
YTD: 0-1 SU; 0-1 ATS
Florida Atlantic (+10) vs UCF
Lane Kiffin always has his detractors in the betting world, and while I'm not the biggest fan of his, I am a big fan of backing him in this spot as a home underdog this week. It's those Kiffin detractors that have come out early this week in betting the UCF Knights up from a -9 opener to -10 currently, and while the Knights are still very talented with Brandon Wimbush playing QB this year, this is a program is still riding their recent resume too much in this marketplace.
It's going to be tough for UCF not to take a step back after two very good years the past two seasons, but I'm of the belief that step backwards will be bigger than most believe. Wimbush was a guy that struggled to protect the ball during his time at Notre Dame, and road favorites have a tough enough time as it is covering the number if they are protecting the ball. All it takes is a turnover or two for FAU to play with the lead for a significant chunk of this game and that is how I see it playing out.
At the same time, we've got to remember that this FAU team was only down by a 21-17 score at halftime in their trip to UCF last year, and that was with Mackenzie Milton and a healthy Knights squad. The wheels came off in the 3rd quarter for FAU in the 56-36 defeat, one that they haven't forgotten about this week thanks to people always using UCF as a reference point in terms of where this FAU program wants to get to. It was three INT's by Chris Robison that really hurt the Owls in that game a year ago, but another year wiser, and in more friendly territory this year, Robison should be much better in this spot.
Finally, while FAU is squarely focused on this game, UCF could be looking past them a bit and ahead to their home game next week against a ranked Stanford squad who could be ranked even higher if they knock off USC this week (that game was a late cut for the +1 to +9 range in this piece). It's been a few seasons now where UCF spoke out about the fact that nobody significant wanted to play them and it's why their undefeated season wasn't valued as high as it should of been, and now next week they get that opportunity. That's a big step forward for them, and even with this being an in-state rivalry game, chances are the allure of that Stanford game in Week 3 has at least some of UCF's attention this week.
So look for this game to be a back-and-forth grind, similar to what the 1st half was between these two a year ago. FAU is more equipped (and UCF is less equipped) to sustain that level of play for the full 60 minutes just 12 months later, as this game ends up being a one-score game either way.
Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range
YTD: 0-1 ATS
UTEP (+34.5) vs Texas Tech
The general theme of this piece has been more about fading these favorites then specifically backing the underdog, and this play really is no different. UTEP is a program that should be improved this year, but when you were 1-11 SU a year ago, it's tough to go anywhere but up. The fact that they struggled to even beat Houston Baptist last week testifies to it likely being another year of sub-4 wins for the Miners, but we just need them to hang around with a Texas Tech team that probably shouldn't be laying quite this much.
A 35-point win over Middle Tennessee last week has helped push this spread into that exact range, but with a trip out west on deck to face Arizona, before starting their Big 12 schedule with the two Oklahoma schools afterwards, it should be all about survive and move on for the Red Raiders this week.
All it can take is a couple of scores for UTEP offensively to stay within this number, and even though it was a far weaker opponent, the fact that the Miners put up 36 points last week was a big positive. They run the ball enough to help bleed the clock away in a scenario like this where the Red Raiders may run out of time before being able to surpass this spread, and against a Tech defense that's likely to get gashed plenty come Big 12 play, the Miners should find reasonable success in moving the ball to keep that clock moving.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:47 AM
College Football Picks: Texas and A&M try to win the breakup
September 4, 2019
By The Associated Press
Texas and Texas A&M don't play anymore. The best their fans can do is compare resumes since the split, gloating about their team's successes and basking in the failures of their rival.
There has been more basking then gloating.
This weekend, the Aggies and Longhorns play in college football's biggest games. No. 12 Texas A&M visits No. 1 Clemson and No. 9 Texas hosts No. 6 LSU. It's a prime opportunity for fans of the estranged rivals (who are so over each other!) to assess which program is winning the breakup.
Since the Aggies joined the Southeastern Conference, leaving the Big 12 and Longhorns behind, they are 60-31, peaking in Year 1 with Heisman winner Johnny Manziel leading A&M to an 11-2 season that included a victory at Alabama, a Cotton Bowl win over Oklahoma and a final ranking of No. 5.
The Aggies have not broken nine wins since, but optimism is high in coach Jimbo Fisher's second season.
That's an OK run, but compared to Texas, it has been high times in College Station.
The Longhorns are 50-40, with three losing seasons since A&M left. Last year's 10-4 breakthrough season under coach Tom Herman was the high point, including a Sugar Bowl victory against Georgia and a final ranking of No. 9.
Advantage, Aggies. Both programs seem to be trending in the right direction, but Saturday's games will be measuring sticks - in part against each other.
The picks:
FRIDAY
Marshall (plus 10+) at No. 24 Boise State
Excluding a couple losses to independent BYU, the Broncos have not lost a regular-season nonconference game to a team outside a Power Five conference since 1999 ... BOISE STATE 35-21, BEST BET.
SATURDAY
No. 12 Texas A&M (plus 17) at No. 1 Clemson
When they played last year in College Station, QB Trevor Lawrence did not start for Clemson and WR Justyn Ross hardly played ... CLEMSON 42-21.
New Mexico State (plus 54+) at No. 2 Alabama
Fifty-four and a half!?! ... ALABAMA 56-7.
Cincinnati (plus 16) at No. 5 Ohio State
Bearcats coach Luke Fickell, a longtime Buckeye as player and coach, returns to Columbus ... OHIO STATE 31-14.
No. 6 LSU (minus 5+) at No. 9 Texas
Longhorns coach Tom Herman's teams are 13-2-1 against the spread as an underdog since 2015; more importantly, Herman's teams have won 10 games (five with Texas and five with Houston) as an underdog ... LSU 24-17.
Army (plus 23) at No. 7 Michigan
Cadets and Wolverines have not played since 1962, the last of nine meetings from 1945-62; Army won the first five and Michigan the last four ... MICHIGAN 38-14.
Tulane (plus 18) at No. 10 Auburn
The Green Wave is not quite a walkover for the Tigers after an emotional victory ... AUBURN 41-17.
Northern Illinois (plus 21+) at No. 13 Utah
The Huskies averaged 2.6 yards on 35 rushes last week against Illinois State. Good luck moving the Utes ... UTAH 31-6.
California (plus 14) at No. 14 Washington
The Bears upset the Huskies in a defensive struggle last year ... WASHINGTON 27-10.
Buffalo (plus 29+) at No. 15 Penn State
The Nittany Lions probably won't go for 79 against the Bulls ... PENN STATE 48-17.
Nevada (plus 23+) at No. 16 Oregon
The Wolf Pack will be greeted by an angry flock of Ducks ... OREGON 45-20.
Central Michigan (plus 35) at No. 17 Wisconsin
Could be another stat stuffer for Badgers RB Jonathan Taylor ... WISCONSIN 45-7.
No. 18 UCF (minus 10) at FAU
The Knights have scored at least 30 points in 27 straight games ... UCF 38-24.
Western Michigan (plus 16+) at No. 19 Michigan State
The Spartans will need to muster a little more offense against a WMU team that can move the ball ... MICHIGAN STATE 34-20.
Rutgers (plus 19) at No. 20 Iowa
With Texas Tech transfer McLane Carter at QB, Scarlet Knights have potential for a competent offense ... IOWA 42-17.
No. 21 Syracuse (plus 2) at Maryland
This has looked like it could be a tricky spot for the Orange and odds makers obviously agree ... SYRACUSE 28-27.
No. 23 Stanford (plus 1) at Southern California
Possible battle of backup quarterbacks in the annual early Pac-12 tone-setter for Cardinal and Trojans ... USC 23-20.
No. 25 Nebraska (minus 3+) at Colorado
Tommie Frazier and Kordell Stewart aren't walking through that tunnel, but the former Big 8 and Big 12 rivals played a thriller last year in Lincoln. Maybe they can repeat it in Boulder ... COLORADO 31-28.
TWITTER REQUESTS
BYU (plus 3+) at Tennessee - (at)BrandonOCook
No way the Vols play that poorly again ... TENNESSEE 24-16.
Miami (minus 4+) at North Carolina - (at)JeffMiles9
Turnover chain vs. Dancing Mack ... MIAMI 28-20.
Minnesota (minus 3) at Fresno State - (at)JEMicklos
The Gophers handed the Bulldogs one of only two losses last season ... MINNESOTA 24-23.
Arkansas (plus 6+) at Mississippi - (at)ARKgolfguy3
It's early, but this could decide last in the SEC West ... ARKANSAS 21-17, UPSET SPECIAL.
North Texas (plus 3+) at SMU - (at)markwnorris
Points. Lots of points ... SMU 42-35.
---
Season: 21-4 straight; 10-14 against the spread.
Upset specials: 0-1 (straight up).
Best bets: 0-1 (against the spread).
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:47 AM
Saturday's Essentials
Tony Mejia
Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in all FBS vs. FBS matchups:
Early Starts
Ohio U. at Pittsburgh (-5.5/54), 11 a.m. ET, ACCN: The Bobcats struggled to stop Rhode Island on a few occasions last week and failed to cover, so this will be quite the test on the road at Heinz Field. An offensive line that replaced three key starters held up, but they too will come under fire against the Panthers, who will looking to avoid an 0-2 start after losing to Virginia since they’ll play Penn State and UCF next and would likely be headed for an 0-4 start if they’re upset here. Pitt QB Kenny Pickett missed a lot of throws against the Cavaliers and was intercepted twice in the second half, so he could be under fire if he struggles again. Pitt’s offensive line and receivers also struggled in its ACC opener and you best believe that senior QB Nathan Rourke and a disciplined Bobcats team that has a shot at a 10-win season will take advantage if they struggle again. The Ohio money line is coming off at +180 and early action dropped the line down from 6.5.
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech (-28/56), 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU: Legendary Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s swansong began in dubious fashion as Boston College racked up 35 points in an upset win in Chestnut Hill but he’ll be matched with a familiar face since ODU run-game coordinator Bryan Stinespring ran the o-line and recruiting for Va Tech for over a decade. This final home opener for him may mandate that he replace standout sophomore rush end TyJuan Garbutt, who was injured on a block against BC. DE Zion Debose is expected to be sidelined a while and a couple of others are banged up, so we’ll get to see what kind of defensive depth the Hokies are working with after a rough ACC opener. The Monarchs (+27) beat Virginia Tech 49-35 last season in one of the season’s biggest upsets but return only a handful of key players on both sides of the ball and narrowly beat FCS member Norfolk State 24-21 last week.
UAB (-9.5/46.5) at Akron, 12 p.m. ET, CBSSN: The Blazers looked lifeless in their season-opening win over Alabama State and narrowly escaped 24-19 despite being listed as a 40-point favorite at some books. UAB played vanilla and then found itself in a battle it wasn’t expecting, so we’ll likely get a much better indication of what to expect from its group coming off last season’s 11-win and first-ever bowl victory, but there’s definitely concern. Most of last season’s key contributors are gone and the win over the Hornets featured an abundance of brutal miscues. UAB was 1-for-13 on third down. The Zips were trounced 42-3 at Illinois as dual threat QB Kato Nelson found very little space to run and spent most of the day running for his life. Clearly, first-year Akron head coach Tom Arth has his work cut out for him as he takes over for Terry Bowden, who had been present for every home opener since 2012.
Army at Michigan (-22/47), 12 p.m ET, FOX: The Black Knights barely survived Rice 14-7 and take the field in Ann Arbor for their biggest challenge until November’s visit to Air Force and December’s date with Navy, so expect them to take their shot. Senior QB Kelvin Hopkins ran and threw for over 1,000 yards last season, so his arm gives Army a dimension it typically wouldn’t have and gives it a puncher’s chance to hang around with the bigger, more talented Wolverines if they can effectively utilize the element of surprise. Remember, Army took Kyler Murray-led Oklahoma to overtime last season as a 30-point underdog and hung 70 points on Houston in last December’s Armed Forces Bowl. The Wolverines weren’t as stifling as they were expected to be against Middle Tennessee, surrendering 21 points. That total is higher than any surrendered last season with the exception of games against Notre Dame, Ohio State and the bowl loss to Florida. Blindly betting the under here is awfully tempting given the presence of Army and Jim Harbaugh, but with Shea Patterson and Dylan McCaffrey splitting snaps and Michigan pushing tempo, that’s no longer a gimme.
Vanderbilt at Purdue (-7/55.5), 12 p.m. ET, BTN: The Commodores generated little offense against Georgia in a 30-6 loss, but head coach Derek Mason diffused any talk of a quarterback controversy and will stick with Ball State transfer Riley Neal over backup Deuce Wallace. Between blanket coverage from the Dawgs and some awful snaps from new center Grant Miller that had him on his heels all night, Neal found no rhythm and will now be asked to generate some momentum on the road as he returns to his home state. The Boilermakers will be attempting to bounce back after blowing a double-digit lead at Nevada due to an awful, mistake-filled second half. Nick Holt couldn’t get his pass defense to get a stop when he needed it most on a windy night. Purdue opened 0-3 last season and will host TCU next week before settling in for Big Ten play, so we’re going to learn a lot about who it is over the next two weeks. DT Lorenzo Neal is likely out again due to a knee injury that has kept him out of camp and top corner Kenneth Major is questionable after leaving the Nevada loss. Boilers QB Elijah Sindelar threw for 423 yards and four scores, so there’s reason to be encouraged despite the early hiccup. Electric receiver Rondale Moore isn’t going to blow any more games making mistakes on punt returns.
Rutgers at Iowa (-20/49.5), 12 p.m. ET, FS1: The Scarlet Knights gave up 21 first-quarter points to UMass before settling in and clamping down, but they wouldn’t be able to bounce back from that type of start if they start slowly in Iowa City. Texas Tech transfer QB McLane Carter is a playmaker. He’ll make mistakes, but the lefty is the best passer Rutgers has had in years. Isaih Pacheco and Raheem Blackshear are powerful runners who will be able to get forward if the line opens holes. Rutgers hasn’t won on the road since 2017 and have won only one of their last 15 Big Ten roadies, so this will be a huge challenge. The Hawkeyes are on another level than the Minutemen but only beat Rutgers 14-7 when these teams met last in ’16 and visit Iowa State next week. They trailed Miami (Ohio) 7-3 in the second quarter before getting going last week and have to overcome injury-related absences along the offensive line and at corner.
Syracuse at Maryland (-1.5/57), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2: The Orange didn’t put a lot on tape last week that the Terps coaching staff could use outside of Dino Babers doing pushups and waving at Liberty’s Hugh Freeze up in the press box. QB Tommy DeVito threw two costly picks and showed a lack of chemistry with his receivers that has to be a concern as the level of competition increases. The Terps obliterated overmatched Howard 79-0, so this will be the first real look at what they can do under new head coach Mike Locksley. Virginia Tech transfer QB Joshua Jackson has weapons around him and plenty of experience against ACC defenses, so we’re going to learn a lot about both programs after this one.
West Virginia at Missouri (-13.5/62.5), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: Kelly Bryant put up big numbers in his debut but the Tigers couldn’t hold a lead at Wyoming and ultimately lost a 37-31 shootout in Laramie. Mizzou’s next five games will all be at home, which could make for an uncomfortable situation for Barry Odom if his team’s level doesn’t pick up. The Tigers are 5-19 when they fail to score 40 points since he took over for Gary Pinkel, so there’s immense pressure to get things turned around defensively. West Virginia will be playing its first FBS foe under new head coach Neal Brown, but the Mountaineers were definitely tested by FCS power James Madison. Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall will be a competent replacement for Will Grier, but West Virginia will rely on its ground game much more than it did under Dana Holgorsen and has four competent backs led by senior leader Kennedy McKoy.
Cincinnati at Ohio State (-15.5/54), 12 p.m. ET, ABC: Luke Fickell returns home with bad intentions as he brings the Bearcats into Columbus. The former Ohio State nose guard turned defensive coach never coached will be facing his alma mater for the first time since leaving and has a reasonable shot of snapping the Buckeyes’ 41-game winning streak against in-state opponents. QB Justin Fields looked sharp early in his Ohio State debut before the offense sputtered, but this Bearcats defense is far superior to what he saw against the Owls. Cincinnati QB Desmond Ridder can make plays with his arm and his feet, while RB Michael Warren is a horse who will make it his mission to outperform JK Dobbins. The Bearcats defeated UCLA without star safety James Wiggins (torn ACL), but his absence will be felt here. It’s going to be on Fickell’s schemes and Ridder’s playmaking to overcome not having his impact. Cincinnati is +600 on the moneyline at Westgate.
Bowling Green at Kansas State (-14.5/48.5), 12 p.m. ET: Both of these teams got off to fast starts under new head coaches and feature dynamic dual threat quarterbacks. Darius Wade, who started at Boston College and in ’17 and spent last season at Delaware, debuted for Bowling Green against Morgan State and threw for three scores to get Scot Loeffler his first victory. The Falcons outgained the FCS-member Bears 620-70, so we’ll see how they fare fighting an uphill battle on the road. Transfer QB Matt McMahon, another BC transfer who was expected to start ahead of Wade, still hasn’t been cleared to play by the NCAA. The Wildcats won easily in Chris Klieman’s debut, routing Nicholls State 49-14. Skylar Thompson, who split the gig the past few years, has a chance to take the next step as a junior and shined in his debut in a new system that will allow him to showcase his passing. After such dominant openers, we’ll get a better feel for these teams after this one.
Northern Illinois at Utah (-23.5/58.5), 1 p.m. ET, Pac-12: Former Huskies running back Thomas Hammock has taken over as head coach after Rod Carey’s departure to Temple and led NIU to a 24-10 win over FCS member Illinois State. The game was tied 3-3 at the break and Cal grad transfer Ross Bowers has controversially replaced returning junior starter Marcus Childers, a former MAC Freshman of the Year who played hero in last year’s conference title game. It wouldn’t be surprising if a divided group arrives in Salt Lake City, which wouldn’t bode well for the Huskies’ chances of pulling an upset against a defense expected to be among the nation’s best. Utah looked the part in hammering BYU, getting a pick-six from rover Francis Bernard and excellent play from the secondary that included Tareke Lewis shining opposite standout Jaylon Johnson. NIU’s projected team total has been set at 10.5..
South Florida at Georgia Tech (-6/61.5), 2 p.m. ET, ACCN: The Bulls were destroyed at home by Wisconsin 49-0 while the Yellow Jackets landed a few punches against Clemson but were thoroughly dominated. Blake Barnett will have top slot guy Johnny Ford back and hopes to find an early rhythm that eluded what was expected to be a fast-paced USF offense. Georgia Tech was able to move the ball some on Clemson before sputtering around the goal line. It has replaced Paul Johnson’s triple-option with a shotgun spread and will ultimately start junior Lucas Johnson ahead of Tobias Oliver, but they’re expected to go with the sophomore runner here. Last year’s 49-38 loss down in Tampa saw Georgia Tech surrender a pair of crucial kickoff returns for touchdowns, so we’ll see how a new-look special teams holds up.
Afternoon Delights
Nebraska (-4/65) at Colorado, 3:30 p.m. ET, FOX: The ‘Huskers sputtered offensively in the opener against South Alabama, struggling up front and scoring just two offensive touchdowns in a 35-14 where the defense and special teams outscored Scott Frost’s high-octane attack. QB Adrian Martinez has vowed to play better and RB Maurice Washington, suspended for a half and in the midst of a revenge porn court case that has been pushed back another week, is expected to see more action alongside Georgia Tech transfer Dedric Mills, who scored both Nebraska offensive touchdowns. Colorado pulled away from Colorado State to capture another Rocky Mountain Showdown. QB Steven Montez looks healthy and took advantage of the attention the Rams paid to star WR Laviska Shenault in order to help score 52 points. The Buffs won the first installment of this rivalry since 2010 in Lincoln last season on a Montez-Shenault hookup with 1:06 left. Colorado is just 2-7-1 against the ‘Huskers in Boulder since 1991.
Texas A&M at Clemson (-17.5/64), 3:30 p.m ET, ABC: Kellen Mond looked extremely sharp against Texas State and is one of the most physically gifted quarterbacks in the country, so if he’s able to find a rhythm, the Aggies can supply headaches as the rare SEC double-digit dog in a non-conference game. They’ll need Trevor Lawrence to struggle the way he did against Georgia Tech after he was visibly off, throwing two interceptions and missing various throws. Tigers slot WR Amari Rodgers is expected to suit up six months after tearing his ACL, so he’ll add a dimension to an already explosive passing attack. Travis Etienne dominated the opener with a career-high 205 yards on the ground but will go up against an A&M defense that held Texas State to eight rushing yards and did a nice job last year in nearly engineering a home upset, losing 28-26 last Sept. 8. The top six tacklers from that group are gone, but talented defensive coordinator Mike Elko does bring a talented group into Death Valley.
Central Michigan at Wisconsin (-35/51.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN: The Badgers blanked South Florida and could blank another opponent as the Chippewas visit Camp Randall. Over the past four years under head coach Paul Chryst, Wisconsin has won its first home game by an average score of roughly 51-6. The Chips’ team total is around 7.5 despite the presence of senior RB Jonathan Ward, who racked up over 200 yards against Albany and has done damage against Power-5 schools before. Tennessee transfer Quinten Dormady debuted with 285 passing yards and two scores last week. Former Florida head coach Jim McElwain will learn a lot about his new team here. Jonathan Taylor should have another big game given his form and how poorly they’ve stopped the run, but the x-factor to who notches this cover will likely be Badgers QB Jack Coan, who should have one-on-one opportunities he’ll need to capitalize on to convince dubious Badger nation that he should be playing ahead of prized freshman Graham Mertz.
Charlotte at Appalachian State (-22.5/53.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN+: The Mountaineers have won 41 games over the past four seasons, but that success got Scot Satterfield the Louisville job and he took most of the coaching staff with him. Talented offensive mind Eli Drinkwitz has taken over, inheriting 16 starters who helped open the season with a blowout win. App State is heavily favored here with Charlotte undergoing a facelift in Year 1 of the Will Healy era. The 33-year old wants to push tempo and figures to take some risks, so this will be a measuring-stick game for the 49ers prior to next week’s home date against UMass. The 49 points they scored last week in beating Gardner-Webb were a program-high since moving up to the FBS level. Appalachian State won last season’s meeting 45-9 and will have a week off to prepare for statement game at North Carolina.
Southern Miss at Mississippi State (-16.5/52), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU: The Golden Eagles have posted three consecutive winning seasons and are expected to be one of Conference USA’s top teams this season, so they’re hoping to be around to steal this come fourth quarter. Louisiana hung around with the Bulldogs for the better part of four quarters last week, but that game was played in New Orleans. The atmosphere should be much friendlier in Starkville, where they’ll be getting a look at Penn State senior grad transfer Tommy Stevens, who won the QB job from Keytaon Thompson in the offseason but will have to continue fighting him off since the junior who had long served as Nick Fitzgerald’s backup took his name out of the transfer protocol and returned to practice this past week. Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham led the nation in completion percentage last season. The Eagles are 1-4 against SEC foes under head coach Jay Hopson but have covered the number in three of those games.
Illinois (-20.5/59) at UConn, 4 p.m. ET, CBSSN: The Fighting Illini put together one of last Saturday’s most impressive performances in destroying Akron 42-3, overpowering the Zips up front. Having Michigan transfer Brandon Peters under center was a big deal, but the defense Lovie Smith called and how effectively his unit carried out his orders was what stood out most. The Illini did lose RB Mike Epstein to a season-ending knee injury. Reggie Corbin will now have more of a workload and should have a huge season, health permitted. He’s expected to play despite banging up a hip against the Zips. UConn held on to beat Wagner 24-21 as Randy Edsall debuted new coordinators on both sides of the ball in addition to starting QB Mike Beaudry, a Canadian who won a D-II title at West Florida in 2017. Illinois hasn’t won a non-conference road game in 12 years but is a heavy favorite that has taken a lot of action in Vegas, moving the line from 20 to where it stands now.
UT-San Antonio at Baylor (-25.5/57), 4 p.m. ET: The Bears bounced back from a 1-11 mark in Matt Rhule’s first year to pulling off back-to-back upsets of Texas Tech and Vanderbilt in order to record a winning season and a Texas Bowl title. They could take a major step forward and compete for a spot in the Big 12 title game since Oklahoma and Texas come through Waco late in the season, but it’s going to take Charlie Brewer developing into one of the league’s top passers and an offensive line that has historically struggled to keep the better defensive teams from disrupting the team’s offensive rhythm. UT-San Antonio defeated the Bears two seasons ago as 15-point favorites and just missed covering in a 37-20 home loss at the Alamodome last year. Redshirt sophomore Frank Harris won the QB battle and had an impressive debut against Incarnate Word, bouncing back from an ACL tear last spring. The Roadrunners’ win at Baylor on their last trip into Waco remains their only victory over a Power-5.
New Mexico State at Alabama (-55/64), 4 p.m. ET, SECN: Tua Tagovailoa will likely out of the game by halftime, so covering this substantial spread will hinge on true freshman Taulia Tagovailoa, who handed off to Jerome Ford on his late TD that ultimately buried Duke bettors. He’ll follow sophomore Mac Jones, who moved the chains against the Blue Devils and is likely to follow Tua. There’s not a lot to this one other than betting on Alabama’s overwhelming talent or expecting some complacency with the Tide’s first road game coming up next week. The Aggies lost 58-7 to Washington State last week and now heads south to collect a check here. New Mexico’s worst loss last season came in a 60-13 loss at Utah State.
San Diego State at UCLA (-7.5/45.5), 4:15 p.m. ET, Pac-12: With games against Oklahoma and Washington State following this one, Chip Kelly is going to be in a world of trouble on the heels of last year’s 3-9 run. UCLA started 0-5 last season and was shut down in a 24-14 loss at Cincinnati on Aug. 29. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed some throws, but there’s still hope that the light will turn on for him in Kelly’s system. The Bruins will have a few extra days of preparation but will have to deal with a San Diego State defense that shut out Weber State to bail out the offense in a 6-0 season-opening dud of a win. QB Ryan Agnew has returned, but his top three targets are gone. Top RB Juwan Washington is questionable with an ankle injry. The Aztecs have never beaten the Bruins, coming in 0-21-1. Rocky Long has won four of his last five games against Pac-12 schools outright.
UL-Monroe at Florida State (-21/63), 5 p.m. ET, ACCN: It looked like the Seminoles were indeed back for the better part of their first contest. If it hadn’t been for a pair of defensive touchdowns getting called back due to replay, they may have knocked the Broncos out. Instead, Boise hung around, overcome and then dominated upon taking the lead for the first time in the fourth quarter. The ‘Noles didn’t score in the second half, which means they’ll have something to prove here regardless of what the score is at the break. James Blackman moved the offense, but new coordinator Kendal Briles is going to need to show more than he managed to in contributing to the meltdown. ULM lost its last game against a Power-5 70-21 at Ole Miss last season and fell in Tallahassee 42-10 in the final regular-season game of the ’17 season. The Warhawks handled Grambling 31-9 as former Ole Miss commit Josh Johnson finished with 173 yards on just 10 carries, scoring twice.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:48 AM
Total Moves - Week 2
September 5, 2019
By Matt Blunt
College Football Week 2 Total Moves
This inaugural piece last week ended up showing that it was better to be agreeable with the early market moves in the end, as a slow start in the Alabama/Duke game killed any chance of that game sailing 'over' the number.
Oregon and Auburn never threatened any of their numbers in the 50's with Auburn's walk-off 27-21 win, so staying low there proved to be the right call, even after the significant move is enough to pause on taking a worse number. With the way college football totals fluctuate throughout the week, there are going to be times where bets throughout the week will be made at worse numbers, but hopefully the work has been done to suggest that it's still the right side. Being agreeable by nature can be very hard for some, but especially early in the year, following those early moves tend to end up as the better proposition overall.
That being said, hopefully we can find a winner on this week's total disagreement and sweep the board. Here are the two games that we can hopefully grab some winners on. The moves aren't nearly as big as last week's given that those lines were out for weeks/months before kickoff and it's just been a week now, but they are moves just the same.
YTD: 1-1 ATS
Week 2 Total move to disagree with:
Nevada/Oregon from 62.5 to 61
Two weeks into the season and having the Oregon Ducks have already made this piece two times was not something I expected. But after going 'low' in their game last week for a winner, early action in the market has come right back with an 'under' play here on a total that even opened up as high as 63/64 at a book or two.
While Oregon's defense looked great against Auburn for the first 50+ minutes of that game, that performance also had the feel of that Ducks defense “shooting their shot.” Everything had been building to that crescendo of the Auburn game all off-season and the Ducks defense was definitely prepared and played up to and perhaps over their heads. Now it's just a week later, after the crushing way that they lost that game, back at home and up against a Nevada team that you are favored to beat by 3+ TD's? Pretty easy spot for the Ducks defense to mentally check out at times and let a Nevada team – that put up 30+ in their opener – threaten to hit that mark again.
Oregon's offense will get their points as well as Herbert and company look to take out some frustration from last week's results against a Nevada defense that will likely provide little resistance. The Wolf Pack gave up 423 passing yards to Purdue last week, 519 total yards, and the bulk of that came in just three quarters as a 17-0 4th quarter scoreline propelled Nevada to the comeback win. Give a much better team like Oregon that type of room to operate for 60 minutes though, and the Ducks and their uptempo scheme will put up a lot more than the 31 points Purdue had last week, especially if Nevada's defense struggles to get off the field again. Purdue was 50% in converting 3rd downs in that game (9-for-18) and 100% on the 4th down they tried (2-for-2), so Oregon's offense should be able to walk up and down the field on this team.
With Oregon's defense coming into this game with questionable motivation levels after going all out in that Auburn game after months of prep time, last week's box score and eye test from that Ducks defense might suggest a low-scoring game, but it likely ends up otherwise.
Week 2 Total move to agree with:
Illinois/Connecticut from 63.5 to 59.5
It's always tough to trust two bad teams to put up plenty of points from the standpoint that bad teams just don't execute well consistently enough. Sure, there is the approach that they are bad, and bad teams give up a lot of points, but there is always two parts to that equation, and if the opposing offense can't do anything with those turnovers, well then totals in the high 50's, low 60's are going to be hard to surpass.
Illinois and Connecticut are projected to be basement dwellers in the AAC and Big 10 West respectively, as wins will be hard to come by. The funny thing in that regard is that the winner of this game will be 2-0 SU on the year before plenty of pain comes, and should it be Illinois who gets up big early as they are expected to as 20-point favorites, sitting on the ball and letting a rushing attack that had five different guys carry the ball at least six times last week chew up the remaining clock.
A move like this was expected, and anything lower than this is where you start to worry more about it being a bad number. But unless this game is filled with multiple red zone turnovers on both ends, this will not be a game that gets much more then 50 points scored.
Other Notable Moves
Down
Southern Mississippi-Mississippi State: 52.5 to 50.5
Western Kentucky-Florida International: 59.5 to 55.5
Arkansas-Mississippi: 53 to 50.5
Up
Coastal Carolina-Kansas: 52 to 54.5
Tulsa-San Jose State: 50 to 52.5
BYU-Tennessee: 51 to 53
(Current Odds as of Thursday)
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:48 AM
Six FCS teams that need a Week 2 do-over
September 5, 2019
By STATS LLC Editorial
(STATS) - The biggest cliché in college football this week is being voiced by coaches who say the biggest improvement of the season occurs between the first and seconds games.
Some FCS teams whose play was surprisingly poor in their first game truly hope the sentiment rings true.
Here are six teams that are embracing a Week 2 do-over:
No. 18 Jacksonville State
The highest-ranked team (preseason No. 6) to lose in Week 1, the Gamecocks dropped a 35-14 debacle at Southeastern Louisiana in which they made mistakes from the start and struggled with adjustments. With a home opener against Chattanooga, the Ohio Valley Conference kingpin faces a dangerous rival, but quarterback Zerrick Cooper is talented enough to lead improvement, which includes a decrease in penalties and sacks allowed.
"One game does not identify this team and will not define the legacy of this team and luckily it was our first game, so we have another game," coach John Grass said. "Our team will respond and they will respond in a good way."
No. 13 Montana State
The Bobcats felt the heat of the 99-degree weather and the passing attack at Texas Tech, falling 45-10, but they're back in cooler Bozeman, set to host No. 12 Southeast Missouri in the STATS FCS Game of the Week. New starting quarterback Casey Bauman has to lift his play and the Bobcats have to be more physical in the run game and the front seven of their defense.
UIW
Last year's Southland Conference co-champion was 0-for-10 on third-down attempts and 0-for-3 on fourth-down conversions at UTSA, so maybe the Cardinals should have lost even bigger than 35-7. They're going to have to defend the run better moving forward because the defense is going to be on the field often with quarterback Jon Copeland and the offense having quick-strike capability. They should rebound well in their home opener against Texas Southern.
Sacred Heart
The Pioneers also are defending co-champs - in the Northeast Conference. They weren't expected to keep alive their three-game winning streak against nationally ranked opponents, but in a blowout loss at Maine, they were outscored 42-7 (the final score) and outgained 487-65 in the first half. Although Bucknell is usually strong defensively, the Pioneers should be able to get their excellent running game going with the Jordan Meachum and Julius Chestnut tag-team.
Howard
No team in Division I had a bigger loss than Howard with its 79-0 disaster at Maryland. It got so bad that first-year coach Ron Prince pulled quarterback Caylin Newton, the 2018 MEAC offensive player of the year, because the Bison offensive line couldn't keep the Maryland pass rush from swarming him. It will get easier in Week 2, but only somewhat because the Bison visit a Youngstown State squad that impressed against Samford and could be headed to a 4-0 nonconference mark.
Idaho
The second-worst defeat in Division I also was Idaho's second-biggest ever, 79-7 at Penn State. The $1.45 million paycheck was terrific, but the loss was too big for a Vandals squad that was in the FBS just two years ago. The Vandals need to regain their confidence at home against Central Washington and get into offensive rhythm behind quarterback Mason Petrino. He has a strong receiving corps, led by Jeff Cotton.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:48 AM
Huskers visit old rival Colorado
September 5, 2019
By The Associated Press
Here's what to watch in the Big Ten this week:
GAME OF THE WEEK
Co-No. 25 Nebraska at Colorado
The Cornhuskers are revved to play their old Big Eight/Big 12 rivals after a sluggish offensive performance against South Alabama. Colorado came into Lincoln last year and rallied in the second half to win; plus the Buffaloes knocked out QB Adrian Martinez on what the Huskers allege was a dirty play. Martinez must be better than he was last week if Nebraska is going to win a road game for the first time under second-year coach Scott Frost. The defense, which saved the Huskers last week, takes a big step up in competition. Last year, Colorado QB Steven Montez passed for 351 yards and Laviska Shenault Jr. had 10 catches for 177 yards.
BEST MATCHUP
No. 21 Syracuse at Maryland
So Maryland beat Howard 79-0 in Mike Locksley's first game as head coach (he was interim coach for six games in 2015). Now let's see how the Terrapins stack up against a ranked opponent. Despite the competition he was going against last week, it was obvious Maryland upgraded its QB situation with Virginia Tech graduate transfer Josh Jackson. Anthony McFarland Jr., a 1,000-yard rusher as a freshman last year, probably will play an expanded role this week. Syracuse, which shut out Liberty on the road, wants to see more from its offense in the leadup to a home game against top-ranked Clemson.
FACTS AND FIGURES
Coach Chris Ash of Rutgers (at No. 20 Iowa) grew up in Ottumwa, Iowa, about 65 miles from Kinnick Stadium. ... Michigan State (vs. Western Michigan) leads the nation in rushing defense after holding Tulsa to minus-73 yards on the ground, a record low for a Spartan opponent. ... No. 7 Michigan is playing Army for the first time since 1962. ... Purdue (vs. Vanderbilt) is looking to score against the Commodores for the first time after getting shut out in the previous two meetings, both in the 1940s. ... Minnesota (at Fresno State) had a drive lasting 10 minutes, 5 seconds against South Dakota State, its longest since a 10:07 possession against Northwestern in 2004. ... No. 15 Penn State (vs. Buffalo) will honor its undefeated 1994 Big Ten and Rose Bowl champion team at halftime... Michael Panix of Indiana (vs. Eastern Illinois) had 393 yards of total offense against Ball State, the most in a Hoosier freshman debut since Antwaan Randle El posted 467 against Western Illinois in 1998. ... Illinois (at UConn) will try to end a seven-game nonconference road losing streak dating to 2008. ... No. 17 Wisconsin (vs. Central Michigan) is going for its 24th straight win in a home opener.
LONG SHOT
Cincinnati, 16 1/2-point underdog at No. 5 Ohio State
Cincinnati has lost 11 straight in the series since beating the Buckeyes in 1896 and `97. Ohio State can't sleep on this one. Third-year Cincinnati coach Luke Fickell returns to Columbus, where he was born, played for the Buckeyes and was a longtime assistant and filled in as head coach in 2011. The Bearcats are picked second to Central Florida in the AAC East and beat UCLA 24-14 in their opener in a game not as close as the final score. Justin Fields and the Ohio State offense were unstoppable their first four series against Florida Atlantic. Cincy's defense provides a tougher test.
PLAYER TO WATCH
Iowa RB Mekhi Sargent
Sargent could be in line for a big day against Rutgers, which gave up 183 rushing yards to a UMass team that had one of the worst ground attacks in 2018. Sargent averaged 6.5 yards per carry and finished with 91 yards against Miami (Ohio) and also caught four balls for 65 yards.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:49 AM
Longhorns prepare for big-time matchup
September 5, 2019
By The Associated Press
Some things to watch in the Big 12 Conference on the second Saturday of the season:
GAME OF THE WEEK
No. 6 LSU at No. 9 Texas. This is the first matchup of Top 10 teams in Austin since October 2008, and is the nation's first such game this season. Just more than nine months ago, the Longhorns beat SEC runner-up Georgia in the Sugar Bowl to cap their first 10-win season since 2009, when they lost the national championship game. LSU and Texas haven't met in the regular season since 1954. They have since played in two Cotton Bowls - the Longhorns won 35-20 on New Year's Day 2003, 40 years after LSU's 13-0 win in Dallas. Tom Herman calls Texas ''his dream job,'' but there were some contract negotiations with LSU before he got hired as coach of the Longhorns in late 2016. The Tigers then removed the interim from head coach Ed Orgeron's title.
BEST MATCHUP
LSU quarterback Joe Burrow, the former transfer recruited to Ohio State by Herman, against homegrown Longhorns starter Sam Ehlinger, who has flourished in the coach's three seasons at Texas. Herman became Houston's head coach in December 2014 before Burrow signed with the Buckeyes. Burrow was at Ohio State for three years before become LSU's starter last season as a grad transfer. He had an LSU record-tying five TD passes in this year's opener. Ehlinger tied his career high with four TD passes in the Longhorns opener, and the junior from Austin has 27 TD passes with only three interceptions the last 14 games.
INSIDE THE NUMBERS
The Big 12 went 10-0 on the opening weekend, only the second time in its nine seasons as a 10-team league that every team played and won on the same weekend. ... The Big 12 is the only league that hasn't thrown an interception. Every other conference has at least seven. ... Kansas State coach Chris Klieman and Texas Tech's Matt Wells both had 35-point wins in their debuts as a Power Five coach. That was the largest winning margin ever for a Wildcats coach in his first game with the program. Only one of Tech's previous 15 head coaches got started with a more lopsided victory (a 39-point win for DeWitt Weaver in 1951). ... With new coach Les Miles, Kansas goes into its home game against Coastal Carolina looking for its first 2-0 start since 2011.
LONG SHOT
South Dakota, which opened the season with a two-touchdown home loss while giving up 510 total yards to fellow FCS team Montana, now plays at fourth-ranked Oklahoma. The Sooners have more Big 12 championships (12) than home losses (10) the last 20 years.
IMPACT PERFORMER
Oklahoma State sophomore Chuba Hubbard had 221 yards rushing in the opener at Oregon State, making him the early national leader. Hubbard was the Cowboys' primary runner the final four games last season after Justice Hill's injury, when he averaged 106 yards rushing per game.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:49 AM
Miami-UNC pivotal division matchup in Week 2 of ACC slate
September 5, 2019
By The Associated Press
Here are things to watch in the Atlantic Coast Conference in Week 2:
GAME OF THE WEEK
Miami at North Carolina. This one looks more intriguing after the Tar Heels beat South Carolina in coach Mack Brown's return to the sideline behind true freshman quarterback Sam Howell. Now they're playing a sellout home opener Saturday night against the Hurricanes in a key Coastal Division matchup, and it marks the second straight week Brown will coach against a former assistant in new Miami coach Manny Diaz. Diaz spent the 2011 and 2012 seasons at Texas but Brown fired him as defensive coordinator after the Longhorns gave up 550 yards rushing to BYU in September 2013. Diaz and the Hurricanes are trying to avoid the program's first 0-2 start since 1978 following their loss to No. 11 Florida in the opener.
BEST MATCHUP
Texas A&M's run defense against Clemson's Travis Etienne. The Aggies finished last season ranked third nationally against the run (95.2 yards). And despite entering the season with four returning defensive starters, they held Texas State to 8 yards on 15 rushes - that's 0.53 yards per attempt - in last weekend's 41-7 home win. Now they face Etienne for top-ranked and reigning national champion Tigers. Etienne, last year's ACC player of the year, ran for a career-best 205 yards with touchdowns of 90, 48 and 14 yards in the opener against Georgia Tech. Etienne did all that in just 12 carries, averaging nearly 17.1 yards per attempt.
INSIDE THE NUMBERS
Eleven teams in the Bowl Subdivision ranks didn't allow a touchdown in their opening game, with two - No. 21 Syracuse and North Carolina State - in the ACC. The Orange beat Liberty 24-0 for their first road shutout since 1991. The Wolfpack beat East Carolina 34-6, keeping the Pirates out of the end zone for the second time in nine months (N.C. State beat ECU 58-3 in December).
LONG SHOT
Old Dominion pulled one of last season's biggest surprises by beating Virginia Tech. Can the Monarchs do it again? They visit the Hokies on Saturday, nearly a year after beating a nationally-ranked Virginia Tech team 49-35 at home. ODU won just four games last year and the offensive stars of that upset (quarterback Blake LaRussa, receivers Travis Fulgham and Jonathan Duhart) are gone, leaving the Monarchs as a 26.5-point underdog to start the week.
IMPACT PLAYER
Louisville redshirt freshman Javian Hawkins has given new coach Scott Satterfield reason for optimism entering Saturday's game against Eastern Kentucky. Hawkins ran 19 times for 122 yards in the season-opening loss to No. 8 Notre Dame, making him the first Louisville freshman to run for at least 100 yards against an FBS opponent since November 2009.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:49 AM
No. 12 Aggies, No. 6 LSU have huge nonconference road tests
September 5, 2019
By The Associated Press
Here are some things to watch during the second week of the Southeastern Conference football season.
GAME OF THE WEEK
No. 12 Texas A&M at No. 1 Clemson: Texas A&M gave Clemson one of its toughest tests during its run to the national championship last season, yet the Aggies enter the rematch as 17-point underdogs. Texas A&M is arguably Clemson's toughest regular-season opponent and can stake its own claim as a legitimate SEC and playoff contender by pulling off the upset. Clemson won last year's game 28-26 at Texas A&M before the Tigers made the switch from Kelly Bryant to Trevor Lawrence as their starting quarterback. Both teams won convincingly in their openers last week.
TOP MATCHUP
Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger vs. LSU defense: Ehlinger ran for three touchdowns in Texas' Sugar Bowl upset of Georgia last season and now gets a chance to knock off another SEC team as the ninth-ranked Longhorns host No. 6 LSU. Ehlinger began his 2019 campaign by throwing four touchdown passes without an interception in a 49-14 rout of Louisiana Tech. LSU allowed just 98 total yards in a 55-3 blowout of Georgia Southern. Jacob Phillips recorded 10 tackles, Rashard Lawrence recorded a sack and Grant Delpit recovered a fumble in that game.
INSIDE THE NUMBERS
The SEC went 6-4 in nonconference games on Saturday and is 8-4 in such games so far this year. Last season, the SEC went 50-6 in regular-season nonconference games, and its .833 regular-season nonconference winning percentage was its best ever. ... No. 10 Auburn rallied from 15 points down to beat No. 16 Oregon last week, which marked its biggest comeback since erasing a 24-point deficit in a 28-27 victory over Alabama in 2010. ... Over his first 13 games as Tennessee's head coach, Jeremy Pruitt already has matched his loss total (eight) in five seasons as the defensive coordinator at Florida State (2013), Georgia (2014-15) and Alabama (2016-17). ... LSU quarterback Joe Burrow's five touchdown passes against Georgia Southern tied a single-game school record. All five came in the first half.
UPSET WATCH
With an inexperienced roster and a new coaching staff, West Virginia averaged less than 1 + yards per carry last week while struggling to a 20-13 victory over Football Championship Subdivision program James Madison. Even so, it's remarkable that a Big 12 program that has made 16 bowl appearances in the last 17 seasons is a two-touchdown underdog to a Missouri team coming off a loss at Wyoming.
IMPACT PERFORMER
South Carolina has perhaps the nation's toughest schedule and will be facing that challenge with freshman Ryan Hilinski as its starting quarterback. Hilinski is being pushed into action because Jake Bentley hurt his foot in a season-opening loss to North Carolina. South Carolina hasn't announced exactly how much time Bentley will miss, but the senior could be out for the rest of the season. Hilinksi was rated as the nation's No. 2 pro-style quarterback and No. 64 overall prospect in his class according to composite rankings of recruiting sites compiled by 247Sports. He makes his first career start Saturday when South Carolina hosts Football Championship Subdivision program Charleston Southern.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 08:49 AM
USC's Slovis eager to start at QB
September 4, 2019
By The Associated Press
LOS ANGELES (AP) Kedon Slovis enrolled early at Southern California this year as an unheralded recruit expected to provide quarterback depth in the seasons ahead.
Slovis quietly wanted a whole lot more for himself, and he wanted it to happen a whole lot quicker.
He never imagined it quite this way, however: After several months of hard work and one unfortunate injury for J.T. Daniels in the Trojans' season opener, Slovis will be the starting quarterback in his second game at USC.
''It's nothing you really expect,'' Slovis said after practice. ''But as a backup quarterback, you always have to be prepared. It's really unfortunate what happened, but you've got to be the next man up and do your best.''
The 18-year-old freshman from Scottsdale, Arizona, is the unlikely leader of the Trojans (1-0) on Saturday night when they host No. 23 Stanford (1-0). An unsung passer who has already had three quarterbacks coaches since he committed last year is inheriting the job recently held by Carson Palmer, Matt Leinart, Matt Barkley, Cody Kessler and Sam Darnold.
''It was definitely weird waking up Sunday morning,'' Slovis said after practice. ''But nothing changes for me. I'm still going out to practice every day, except now it's with the (starters) instead of the (backups). All of those guys are doing a great job of giving me a lot of encouragement.''
Slovis already played his first half of college ball last week after Daniels badly injured his knee while being blitzed by Fresno State 27 seconds before halftime. Slovis took over and went 6 of 8 with an interception while the Trojans largely relied on their running game and special teams to grind out a 31-23 win.
Ready or not, Slovis will face the vaunted Cardinal defense next. USC offensive coordinator Graham Harrell believes his freshman backup QB can handle the spotlight.
''He's got as good of an arm as I've seen,'' said Harrell, who once backed up Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. ''He can make any throw out there that most people can't make. We just have to do our best to get him making the right decisions every time, and if he does that, he's going to be fun to watch.''
While outsiders didn't expect big things from Slovis immediately, Slovis was on a quicker timetable after he graduated from Desert Mountain High School, where Pro Football Hall of Famer Kurt Warner was his quarterbacks coach.
After fitting into the Trojans' offense immediately during spring workouts, Slovis legitimately felt he was in competition for the starting job with Daniels, an 11-game starter last year. Slovis obviously impressed his coaches when they unexpectedly named him the backup ahead of more-experienced Jack Sears and Matt Fink.
But Slovis wasn't impressed by himself.
''That was the biggest thing being named No. 2, is regaining that confidence you lost in not being named the guy,'' Slovis said. ''But coming out here with the (starters) and getting plenty of reps, that helps.''
Like most Trojans in recent years, Slovis has already had to prove he can handle upheaval.
Slovis was recruited when Tee Martin was the Trojans' offensive coordinator and Bryan Ellis was their quarterbacks coach. Slovis made his official visit after coach Clay Helton fired Martin and Ellis left for another job, and Slovis committed to USC during the 34-day window when Kliff Kingsbury was USC's new offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach.
Harrell, who took over both jobs for Kingsbury, knew almost nothing about Slovis until spring practices began at USC. The change could be hardest on Harrell, who had planned his season around Daniels' particular skill set. Although Harrell insists that the Trojans ''game-plan the same'' no matter who is taking the shotgun snaps in his Air Raid offense, Slovis and Daniels have different skills and strengths.
Even if Slovis plays well against the Cardinal, the Trojans' quarterback woes aren't over. Slovis and Fink are the only scholarship QBs on the roster with nearly the entire regular season ahead of Helton, who probably needs a bounce-back season to keep his job.
Helton claims he isn't worried about putting his future in the hands of a teenager who's going to work faster than anyone imagined.
''I can always tell a quarterback by their eyes, and when his number was called (last week), there was no fooling,'' Helton said. ''He was just like, `I'm ready for this moment.'''
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 02:37 PM
CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
David Schwab
A late start to Week 12 of the CFL regular season opened on Sunday with Saskatchewan grinding out a 19-17 victory in a home-and-home series opener against West Division rival Winnipeg closing as a 5 ½-point home favorite.
In a double-header of action on Labor Day, Hamilton came away with a 38-27 victory against Toronto in a game that ended as a PUSH with the Tiger-Cats closing as 11-point home favorites. Calgary got the best of Edmonton 25-9 as a 3 ½-point home favorite in the first of two back-to-back games against its West Division rivals.
Saturday, Sept. 7
Toronto Argonauts (1-9 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -5
Total: 51 ½
Game Overview
Toronto is another team that is already making plans for next season. It has posted a 1-3-1 record ATS in five previous road games this season and the total has gone OVER in three of its last four games after going OVER 52 points in Monday’s loss to Hamilton. The Argonauts took a 13-point lead into halftime, but another second-half collapse led to their ninth SU loss in 10 games. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to put up big numbers throwing the ball with 337 yards passing and two scores in that latest losing effort.
The RedBlacks come off a bye in desperate need of a win to stay in the postseason race. A SU 2-0 start is a distance memory with just one more win in their last eight games. This will be the first meeting against Toronto this season. The total went OVER 49 points in a recent 40-18 road loss to Saskatchewan after staying UNDER in four of their previous five games. Three different quarterbacks saw action in that game led by Jonathan Jennings with 208 yards passing the ball. Ottawa gave up 24 points on five turnovers.
Betting Trends
-- Toronto has an 8-3 SU edge in the last 11 meetings of this East Division tilt, but Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games against the Argonauts. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings in Ottawa.
Saskatchewan (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -1 ½
Total: 48
Game Overview
The Roughriders can take the lead in the West standings with a series sweep on Saturday. Sunday’s win was their six in a row SU and it was the first time they failed to cover the closing spread in that same span of games. The total stayed UNDER 47 ½ points and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Saskatchewan is 3-1 ATS in four previous road games this season. The difference in Sunday’s game was a 26-yard field with time running out. Cody Fajardo completed 25-of-39 passes for 300 yards and a score.
Winnipeg remains short-handed on offense with quarterback Mike Nichols out with injury and running back Andrew Harris finishing up a two-game league suspension. In their place in Sunday’s game, Chris Streveler went 16-for-24 passing the ball for 161 yards. He threw one touchdown pass against a pair of interceptions. Johnny Augustine gained 98 rushing yards on 12 carries. The Blue Bombers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season.
Betting Trends
-- Winnipeg has a slight 6-4 SU edge over the past 10 meetings in this West Division clash with an even 5-5 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three matchups after going OVER in the previous five meetings.
Calgary Stampeders (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -1
Total: 48
Game Overview
Calgary had lost its previous two games to Winnipeg on the road and to Montreal at home ahead of Monday’s win. It is 3-1 ATS over its last four games with the total staying UNDER the closing line in six of its last eight contests. Bo Levi Mitchell was back under center for the Stampeders on Monday and he looked sharp in his return with 263 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 67.9 percent of his 28 passing attempts. KaDeem Carey had a big day running the ball with 143 yards rushing on 16 carries.
This becomes a crucial game for Edmonton in the West Division title race. It lost to Winnipeg at home 34-28 in Week 11 as a 5 ½-point favorite. It also has a previous 24-18 loss to Calgary as one-point road favorites on Aug. 3. This is part of a SU 2-4 record in division play. Trevor Harris was able to complete 77.1 percent of his 35 passing attempts for 216 yards, but he could not get the Eskimos into the end zone through the air. The offense only added another 55 yards on the ground.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but this series is tied at 5-5 ATS during the same span. The total has now stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings overall and it has also stayed UNDER in two of the last three meetings in Edmonton.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 02:37 PM
CFL Week 13 preview, odds, picks & predictions: Mitchell gives Stampeders odds a boost
By: Rohit Ponnaiya
Bo Levi Mitchell returned to Calgary's lineup in Week 12 to defeat Edmonton 25-9 and the Stampders are -point faves to defeat the Eskimos again in Week 13.
It's Week 1 of the NFL season but don't let your football watching - and betting - end there, it's also Week 13 of the CFL season and With last year's Most Outstanding Player back in action for the defending Grey Cup champions things are heating up.
We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) and bring you in-depth analysis and predictions for all the football games on this weekend's CFL schedule.
Season Betting Trends
Favorites: 34-12 SU, 21-24-1 ATS
Home teams: 28-18 SU, 24-21-1 ATS
Over/Under: 21-24
Week 13 Picks: 2-1
Season to date: 18-22-2
BC LIONS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES
ODDS: Montreal -6.5, O/U: 51.5
TIME: Friday, September 6, 7:30 p.m. ET
BC was expected to be one of the best teams in the league this year after adding star quarterback Mike Reilly, but they've been one of the worst. Their defense has been awful and their offensive line woes has made life miserable for Reilly while failing to open up holes in the run game.
Montreal was expected to be awful but have been solid - at least when compared to the other teams in the East. Vernon Adams Jr gives them a dual-threat at QB and William Stanback is one of the league's best backs when healthy. Stanback returned from a foot injury against Toronto in Week 11 but didn't seem 100 percent, the bye week should have helped him get closer to full speed.
The Lions are 1-5 on the road this season with that lone win coming by a last-second single point in Toronto. Take the home side to cover.
PICK: Montreal -6.5
TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT OTTAWA REDBLACKS
ODDS: Ottawa -5, O/U: 51.5
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 1:00 p.m. ET
Ottawa has lost seven of their last eight contests, including three in a row. Over that span their offense has put up just 14.6 points per game. Toronto's offense isn't going to be mistaken for the Greatest Show on Turf but they have eclipsed 20 points in each of their last four games, a feat that the Redblacks have accomplished in just one of their previous eight contests.
A big reason for the Argos improvement on offense has been QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson who has thrown for 1334 yards and nine touchdowns with no interceptions over his last four contests. The RedBlacks situation at QB is an absolute mess as they flip a coin between Jonathan Jennings and Dominique Davis. Regardless of who wins that quarterback battle expect Redblacks fans to lose. Fade Ottawa and grab Toronto and the points.
PICK: Toronto +5
SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS AT WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS
ODDS: Winnipeg -1.5, O/U: 48
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 4:00 p.m. ET
The Riders have won six consecutive games in row and have held opponents to just 16.4 ppg over their last five contests. The Bombers defense allows the second-fewest points in the league (19.8 ppg) and they're even better at home where they give up just 16.6 ppg.
These teams played each other last week and we nailed our Under bet with both sides packing strong defenses and struggling offenses. With Winnipeg still missing their starting QB in Matt Nichols and their best offensive weapon in running back Andrew Harris it could be another game with lots of punting. Take the Under.
PICK: Under 48
CALGARY STAMPEDERS AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS
ODDS: Edmonton -3, O/U: 47
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 7:00 p.m. ET
He's back!!! Last year's Most Outstanding Player Bo Levi Mitchell stepped back into action for the Stamps last week and was his usual efficient self tossing for 263 yards on 28 attempts. Calgary has now beaten the Eskimos twice this season, and will look to make it three for three. This time however they'll have to do it on the road.
Edmonton has been piling up yards but struggling to punch it into the end zone going 0-5 in the red zone over their last two games. They rank first in the league in yards per game with 429.5, but are just sixth in scoring with 24.8 points per game. Take Calgary and the points.
PICK: Calgary +3
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 02:38 PM
CFL
Dunkel
Week 13
Saturday, September 7
Toronto @ Ottawa
Game 683-684
September 7, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
103.442
Ottawa
105.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 5
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+5); Over
Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg
Game 685-686
September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
99.756
Winnipeg
123.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 23 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 1 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-1 1/2); Under
Calgary @ Edmonton
Game 687-688
September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
110.193
Edmonton
122.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 12 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-2 1/2); Under
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 02:38 PM
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 13
Saturday, September 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORONTO (1 - 9) at OTTAWA (3 - 7) - 9/7/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 3) at WINNIPEG (8 - 3) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 143-104 ATS (+28.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CALGARY (6 - 4) at EDMONTON (6 - 5) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 137-105 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 02:38 PM
CFL
Week 13
Trend Report
Saturday, September 7
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Toronto is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
Winnipeg is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 15 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Edmonton is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Calgary is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:43 PM
Bobby Conn Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Charlotte vs Appalachian State
Play on: Appalachian State -21½ -110 at Mirage
1* Free Play on Appalachian State -21½ -110
The Charlotte 49ers (1-0) will face their first road game of the year on Saturday as they travel into Boone, North Carolina to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-0).
Both teams earned the victory in Week 1 of the college football season. While Charlotte was beating Gardner-Webb 49-28, Appalachian State easily defeated Eastern Tennessee State by a score of 42-7.
In last year’s matchup between these two teams, the Mountaineers made quick work of the 49ers in a 45-9 beatdown.
Although the 49ers racked up 508 yards of offense compared to just 219 yards allowed, they struggled to hang onto the ball and ended the game with three turnovers. Quarterbacks Chris Reynolds and Brett Kean combined for 18-of-28 passing with 136 yards, two touchdowns, and three picks.
The Mountaineers built on their 14-0 halftime advantage and won the game handily on the back of a 444-yard offensive performance while allowing just 292 yards. Appalachian State spread the ball out on the ground, but Darrynton Evans lead all running backs with 14 carries for 99 yards and a TD.
Mountaineers quarterback Zac Thomas threw for two touchdowns and added another in the run game.
While Charlotte is 1-4 in its last five games against the spread versus a team above .500, Appalachian State is 6-0 against the spread in its last six against non-conference opponents.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:44 PM
Steve Janus Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Illinois vs Connecticut
Play on: Connecticut +22 -110 at Mirage
1* Free Sharp Play on Connecticut +22 -110
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:44 PM
Kenny Walker Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: San Diego State +9 -110 at sportsbook
Free Pick on San Diego State
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:45 PM
John Martin Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: UCLA -8 -110 at Mirage
1 Unit FREE PLAY on UCLA -8
The UCLA Bruins lost to a very good Cincinnati team that won 11 games a year ago in their opener. It was the second straight season opening loss to the Bearcats for the Bruins. Now UCLA has Oklahoma on deck, so they are looking at this game against San Diego State as a must-win. They should be able to win and cover at home. This is a veteran UCLA team that returned 19 starters and improved greatly in the second half of the season last year. Those improvements should show through here in Week 2. San Diego State clearly has the same offensive problems that have dogged them for years. They beat FCS foe Weber State 6-0 last week and only had 238 yards of total offense. I just don’t think they will have the firepower to keep up with this Chip Kelly offense led by Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The Aztecs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Bruins are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 against Mountain West teams. The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Give me UCLA.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:45 PM
Info Plays Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: San Diego State +9 -105 at pinnacle
1* FREE INFO PLAY on San Diego State +9 -105
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:45 PM
Jimmy Boyd Sep 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | North Texas vs SMU
Play on: North Texas +3½ -110 at sportsbook
1* Free NCAAF Pick on North Texas Mean Green +3½ -110
These two teams met in last year's season opener and North Texas Won 46-23 as a 4-point home dog. It wasn't even that close. The Mean Green were up 36-0 after 3 quarters. They outgained the Mustangs 529 to 252 and North Texas quarterback Mason Fine absolutely torched the SMU defense for 444 yards and 3 scores (40 of 50 passing).
Fine looked in midseason form in Week 1, throwing for 383 yards and 4 scores in North Texas' 51-31 win. I know SMU won on the road over Arkansas State and Texas transfer quarterback Shane Buechele played well, but the SMU secondary didn't look any better. Logan Bonner of Arkansas State went 32 of 50 (64%) for 324 yards and 4 scores.
I just don't see the Mustangs being able to keep pace offensively and I fully expect North Texas to win outright. Mean Green are a strong 9-4 ATS last 13 in September. SMU is 1-5 ATS last 6 off a win.
There's also a strong system in play. Road dogs who put up 400 or more yards/game the previous season and are coming off a game where they outgained opponents by 125 or more have gone 48-18 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take North Texas!
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:46 PM
Cappers Club Sep 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs Kansas
Play on: Kansas -7 -109 at GTBets
Kansas -7
This play just missed out on our premium card. Kansas and Coastal Carolina face off on Saturday and the home squad has the value.
The Kansas defense is known for creating turnovers and they are facing a Coastal Carolina quarterback who threw four interceptions in game one.
The Jayhawks offense looked better in the second half of week one, and the Jayhawks defense will probably score a touchdown too.
Some trends to note. Chanticleers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Chanticleers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Back the Jayhawks.
5* *FREE* Play on Kansas -7
Good Luck, Cappers Club.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:46 PM
Mark Wilson Sep 07 '19, 7:10 PM in 20h
MLB | Phillies vs Mets
Play on: Phillies +145 at 1BetVegas
Free Play on Phillies +145
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:46 PM
Mike Lundin Sep 07 '19, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | LSU vs Texas
Play on: Texas +7 -113 at BMaker
MIKE LUNDIN'S LSU @ TEXAS FREE PICK
Both teams covered the spread in wipeout wins in Week 1.
The No. 9 Texas Longhorns jumped out to a 24-0 lead at halftime against Louisiana Tech and also won the second half despite resting starters. QB Sam Ehlinger had four touchdowns but coach Tom Herman was still not pleased. "We were rusty," Herman told reporters. "Sam missing throws; dropped the ball; we had six penalties. You know, that happens in first games. But I thought we started really, really fast, and that's what helped us overcome some of those miscues."
The No. 6 LSU Tigers entered halftime of their season opener against Georgia Southern with an even bigger lead of 39 points! They held their opponent to just 98 yards of total offense, but will no doubt face a tougher challenge here.
My strongest angle for this pick is Texas coach Tom Herman who is 8-2 ATS as an underdog with the Longhorns (13-2-1 going back to his time with Houston). Texas' last time out as an underdog it defeated Georgia outright as an 11-point dog in the Sugar Bowl.
Additionally, we can note that the Tigers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
Free pick on Texas Longhorns.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:47 PM
Rob Vinciletti Sep 07 '19, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -24 -109 at GTBets
The College Football comp play for Saturday is on Oregon at 7:30 eastern. The Ducks opened at 21 earlier in the week and are now up to 24. They should still get the job done here tonight as they will be motivated coming off a tough blown loss lead to Auburn last week. Nevada pulled a big upset home dog win over Purdue and that win sets them up in a long term and profitable system that plays against road dogs of 17 or more that scored 31 or more points and allowed 21 or more in a home dog win. These large road dogs fall flat the next week. Nevada has failed to cover the last 3 vs PAC 12 Schools, 5 of 7 as a dog of 17 or more, 7 of 8 in September and 4 of 5 after allowing 100 or less yards rushing. Oregon has covered 5 of 6 at home vs teams with a winning record. Based on the system, angles and overall talent level we will back Oregon to cover in this one. For the College free Play. Go with Oregon.. Rob V- GC Sports
Can'tPickAWinner
09-06-2019, 10:47 PM
Jack Jones Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs USC
Play on: UNDER 43½ -108
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Stanford/USC UNDER 43.5
USC was dealt a big blow when JT Daniels went out with a season-ending injury in Week 1 against Fresno State. He was expected to make a big leap from his freshman season. But the USC offense faltered after he went out, and Fresno State was able to make a comeback.
The new starter for USC this week and likely for the remainder of the season will be Kedon Slovis, who hadn’t even attempted a pass before last week. Slovis went 6-of-8 for 57 yards with an interception while stepping in for Daniels in the second half last week. Don’t expect him to be hitting on all cylinders this week in his first career start.
Stanford lost junior QB K.J. Costello to a concussion against Northwestern last week. He is one of the best quarterbacks in program history and will be missed this week. Sophomore Davis Mills has been named the starter, and the game plan will certainly be a conservative one for him as well. Mills went 7-of-14 for 81 yards in Costello’s absence last week.
I was very impressed with Stanford’s defense last week as they allowed just seven points and 210 total yards and forced four turnovers against Northwestern. They will certainly try to shorten this game with their running game and rely on their defense to try and beat USC this week.
Last year Stanford beat USC 17-3 at home for just 20 combined points. I know this is a very low total of 43.5, but it’s not low enough given the injuries to both starting quarterbacks. I’d be surprised if either team exceeded 20 points in this rematch.
Stanford is 14-3 to the UNDER in its last 17 games after a game where 29 total points or less were scored. David Shaw is 30-14 UNDER in all road games as the coach of Stanford. The UNDER is 5-1 in USC’s last six games following a win. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:35 AM
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Massachusetts -4½ Over So. Illinois
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:35 AM
Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, September 7, 2019
9/07 07:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
CF (343) ARKANSAS STATE VS (344) UNLV
Take: (343) ARKANSAS STATE
Reason: Another late evening PC play comes up on Arkansas State tonight. UNLV playing its second consecutive home game, but this is not Southern Utah like they played last week. The PC has been hot, hitting 14-4 with all football combined (NFL,NFLX,CFB) thus far. My 1-unit PC play for this evening is on Arkansas State.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:35 AM
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: KENTUCKY -15½ over Eastern Michigan
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:36 AM
Totals4U Early Saturday's Free Selection: Northern Illinois Huskies/Utah Utes under 44 1/2
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:36 AM
Roz Wins Roz's SATURDAY, Septmeber 7, 2019 Free Pick
9/07 07:00 PM CF (343) ARKANSAS STATE VS (344) UNLV
Take : Arkansas State
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:36 AM
Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Kansas State - 25
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:37 AM
#1 Sports Early Saturday's Free Selection: UAB Blazers - 8 1/2
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:37 AM
Platinum Plays Free Pick: the Syarcuse/Maryland Game OVER 58 Points
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:37 AM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play Saturday, September 7, 2019
9/07 12:30 PM CF (331) NEBRASKA VS (332) COLORADO
Take : Nebraska
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:37 AM
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
Maryland -1½
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:38 AM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take ARKANSAS ST +1 over UNLV
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:38 AM
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
UAB -9
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:38 AM
Hawkeye Sports Early Saturday's Free Pick: Utah Utes - 21 1/2
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:39 AM
Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Pittsbugh -4
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:39 AM
Arthur Ralph
FREE play SAT: Oregon -23
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:39 AM
Teyas Sports FREE PICKS 9/7 FREE EARLY PICK CFB COLORADO OUTRIGHT!!
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:40 AM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: APPLACHIAN ST -22½ over Charlotte
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:40 AM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: Central Michigan Chippewas + 35
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:40 AM
Kenny Towers Your free pick for Saturday: BAYLOR -25½ over Texas-SA
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:41 AM
John Anthony Sports SATURDAY Free Selection:
NORTH CAROLINA +5
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:41 AM
Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Saturday is on the
COLORADO +4
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:56 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
Woodbine - Race 4
Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / 0.20 $100,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Claiming $15,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 2:46P
INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CAPTAIN SIDNEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SEATTLE TREASURE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HEY HOWIE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SENT FROM HEAVEN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BUTILOVESYABABE: Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating.
3
CAPTAIN SIDNEY
6/1
6/1
8
SEATTLE TREASURE
3/1
6/1
9
HEY HOWIE
15/1
7/1
4
SENT FROM HEAVEN
20/1
8/1
2
BUTILOVESYABABE
5/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
BUTILOVESYABABE
2
5/1
Stalker
85
80
91.6
76.9
64.9
7
WINCREDIBLE STAR
7
20/1
Stalker
65
56
58.4
52.9
32.9
12
STREET CHOPPER
12
12/1
Stalker
75
75
50.0
69.7
50.7
4
SENT FROM HEAVEN
4
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
92
87
76.3
80.9
68.4
9
HEY HOWIE
9
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
86
85
76.2
81.2
68.7
1
MICK THE CONQUEROR
1
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
83
76
25.6
80.6
67.1
3
CAPTAIN SIDNEY
3
6/1
Trailer
82
81
77.8
81.0
73.5
8
SEATTLE TREASURE
8
3/1
Trailer
95
87
70.2
80.6
74.1
5
HYTHE
5
10/1
Trailer
82
79
48.0
77.2
65.2
11
MAJESTIC FEVER
11
8/1
Alternator/Trailer
82
81
72.0
67.3
56.3
6
COOL GIZMO
6
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
78
82
67.8
68.2
56.2
10
PICCADILLY BEAU
10
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79
77
64.5
73.0
56.5
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:56 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
Laurel Park - Race 1
EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:10P
(RAIL AT 70 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RAVENEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WAR TWEET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ARTFUL SPLATTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SHEZA HANDFULL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface.
3
RAVENEL
5/2
9/2
4
WAR TWEET
10/1
7/1
10
ARTFUL SPLATTER
3/1
7/1
6
SHEZA HANDFULL
12/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
10
ARTFUL SPLATTER
10
3/1
Front-runner
70
67
74.8
63.0
54.0
5
DANCING CONTESSA
5
15/1
Front-runner
59
61
48.4
52.6
36.6
2
HEAVENLY HATTIE
2
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
60
62
54.3
55.3
46.3
4
WAR TWEET
4
10/1
Alternator/Stalker
73
66
53.0
64.6
58.6
6
SHEZA HANDFULL
6
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
70
61
36.0
64.5
56.0
8
AURIGA
8
12/1
Trailer
67
65
56.6
58.8
44.3
3
RAVENEL
3
5/2
Trailer
69
69
41.2
67.2
61.7
1
MISS ALIPHANT
1
5/1
Alternator/Trailer
62
72
39.9
56.2
47.7
9
JUST A WHIM
9
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77
67
38.4
54.4
40.4
7
MARYLAND'S MIRACLE
7
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61
36
21.8
54.0
36.0
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:57 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 27
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON $5,000 SINCE SEPTEMBER 7, 2018 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 22, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 7, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 10 MISS NAIKAN 20/1
# 6 LADY PAOLA N 20/1
# 3 SUPER PEDIATRIX 10/1
My choice in here is MISS NAIKAN especially at such a decent 20/1. When a trainer brings any horse back this quickly it is a positive signal. Her chances to prove victorious are much better today facing this less demanding field of horses. LADY PAOLA N - Will most likely go to the front end and may never look back. This mare looks like a play at a price.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:57 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 9:02pm - Maiden Special - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 65
Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#7 SILVER CASTLE (ML=3/1)
#4 CHESTNUT LIME (ML=7/2)
SILVER CASTLE - This horse has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with him. Looking at this gelding's running lines, I see he's almost always in-the-money. This gelding earned a good fig of 62 in his last race. That rating should be high enough to triumph this time out. CHESTNUT LIME - Trainer Brown gave this gelding a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. This gelding is in fine form. Ended up third on August 17th.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BUBBA GRUMP (ML=5/2), #1 BRAVE SPIRITED (ML=9/2), #2 GOLDEN APPEAL (ML=5/1),
BUBBA GRUMP - Don't figure that this entrant has what it takes to win in today's event. BRAVE SPIRITED - Doesn't seem to be worth 9/2 this time around. Pass on him this time. GOLDEN APPEAL - No wager value on this one at the probable odds of 5/1.
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SILVER CASTLE - Playing the top earnings per start racer is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 SILVER CASTLE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with 4 with [1,2,3] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:57 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Marquis Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 75
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 6 LET THE BOY SING 7/1
# 5 CREATIVE CROSSING 9/2
# 8 RIQQA 7/2
I think LET THE BOY SING is a very strong choice especially at a long price. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Buffalo has a solid 29 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the affair. CREATIVE CROSSING - With a decent 73 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this affair. With a solid 63 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. RIQQA - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. This handler has the most respectable ROI in this field with entries travelling at this distance and surface.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:58 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Kentucky Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:29pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $130,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#7 GRIT AND CURIOSITY (ML=8/1)
#14 TELL YOUR DADDY (ML=4/1)
#13 DECLINED (ML=3/1)
GRIT AND CURIOSITY - This is the only real stalker in the race. The last time I saw this horse was at Churchill Downs in a race with a class rating of 94. Dropping considerably in class figure this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. This race horse is racing on the turf for the first time. He should be tough, coming off a second place finish in his race on Jun 9th on a sluggish track. Look for this colt to run much better right here. Last race at Churchill Downs finishing eighth in the slop is no indication of his true talent. TELL YOUR DADDY - This horse likes the turf a whole heck of a lot better. Look at the start 2 races back on Jun 29th and take a note on the surface change. We may be sitting on a real live one! Pessin drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more data to figure that this thoroughbred has a good chance at this level. Finished off the board last out at Ellis Park, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 4/1 makes me think he's got a chance. DECLINED - Ortiz comes to race after getting to know the colt in the last contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LIFE MISSION (ML=7/2), #16 EMBELLISHER (ML=9/2), #8 SPECIAL RESERVE (ML=5/1),
LIFE MISSION - Difficult to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. EMBELLISHER - In any event of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests lately. A runner should have more speed at 1 mile to get me going about his chances at 6 1/2 furlongs. Quite unimpressive speed rating last race out at Saratoga at 1 mile. Don't feel this steed will improve too much in today's event. SPECIAL RESERVE - No success for this vulnerable equine in a short distance race over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a tough spot
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - GRIT AND CURIOSITY - I always consider the thoroughbred with the highest average class rating in turf races. Should be a part of it today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 GRIT AND CURIOSITY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [13,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,13,14] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[7,13,14] with [7,13,14] with [2,7,13,14,16] with [2,7,13,14,16] Total Cost: $36
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:58 AM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
09/07/19, BEL, Race 9, 5.15 ET
1 3/8M 2.10.01 STAKES. Purse $750,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (9-11), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
100.0000
3
Lady Prancealot (IRE)
9/2
Talamo J
Baltas Richard
TSW
099.6262
1
(F)Edisa
5/2
Prat F
de Royer-Dupre Alain
J
098.8403
8
Art of Almost
5-1
Castellano J
Attfield Roger L.
098.2795
2
Romantic Pursuit
15-1
Saez L
McLaughlin Kiaran P.
FL
097.7978
6
(F)Wonderment (IRE)
7/2
Pasquier S
Clement Nicolas
097.3215
5
(F)Love So Deep (JPN)
9/2
Spencer J P
Chapple-Hyam Jane
097.2116
4
Desert Ride
8-1
Velazquez J R
Howard Neil J.
EC
095.2254
7
Dyna Passer
12-1
Lezcano J
Albertrani Thomas
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
3
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
1
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
8
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
2
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
6
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
5
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
4
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
7
53.70
1.36
42.67
32
75
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route
[I]If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
100.0000
3
Lady Prancealot (IRE)
9/2
Talamo J
Baltas Richard
TSW
099.6861
1
(F)Edisa
5/2
Prat F
de Royer-Dupre Alain
J
099.0046
2
Romantic Pursuit
15-1
Saez L
McLaughlin Kiaran P.
FL
097.7393
8
Art of Almost
5-1
Castellano J
Attfield Roger L.
097.0893
6
(F)Wonderment (IRE)
7/2
Pasquier S
Clement Nicolas
096.5431
5
(F)Love So Deep (JPN)
9/2
Spencer J P
Chapple-Hyam Jane
094.8671
4
Desert Ride
8-1
Velazquez J R
Howard Neil J.
EC
094.4489
7
Dyna Passer
12-1
Lezcano J
Albertrani Thomas
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
No Profitable Conditions For Any Horse
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 10:58 AM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
09/07/19, LAD, Race 1, 12.00 CT
5F [Dirt] 00.57.00 CLAIMING. Purse $7,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
100.0000
4
Gin's Sooner
5-1
Del-Cid H
Duhon Joe O.
FEL
098.3410
5
Goldie Fastlane
5-1
Guerrero J A
Antwine Michael
W
097.7288
1
Boss Lady Melissa
7/2
Dominguez J
Cates Al
SC
097.6671
6
Tedders Angel
2-1
Flores R
Dixon Tim
095.8847
3
Wimbledon's Kiss
5/2
Saenz D
Ramirez Eduardo
JT
094.2471
2
Snug Lady
12-1
Martinez O
Lara Jorge
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
4
61.40
1.20
32.47
50
154
[All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
5
61.40
1.20
32.47
50
154
[All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
1
56.60
1.73
35.90
14
39
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer
6
47.60
1.21
30.09
34
113
[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
3
77.60
1.28
40.43
57
141
[All Dirt] Best Trainer
2
61.40
1.20
32.47
50
154
[All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 11:11 AM
1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – Kennesaw St +5
2. Gameday Network CFB – Akron +8.5
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Georgia Tech -6
4. Vegas Line Crushers CFB – So Illinois +5.5
5. Sports Action 365 CFB – Colorado over 64
6. Point Spread Report CFB – UCLA -8
7. Lou Panelli CFB – North Carolina over 46
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – Oregon St +7
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CFB – California +13.5
10. William E. Stockton CFB – Fresno St +3
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Michigan St -15.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CFB – BYU over 53
13. SCORE CFB – San Diego St over 45
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Connecticut +21
15. Tony Campone CFB – Richmond +33.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CFB – Syracuse +1
17. Hollywood Sportsline CFB – Ohio +4
18. VIP Action CFB – Memphis over 68.5
19. South Beach Sports CFB – So Illinois under 79.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – Georgia Southern -10.5
21. NY Players Club CFB – LSU -7
22. Fred Callahan CFB – North Carolina +5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CFB – UNLV PK
24. Michigan Sports CFB – Tulsa -6.5
25. National Consensus Report CFB – BYU +3.5
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 03:06 PM
Andre Ramirez Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 28m
NCAA-F | Southern Illinois vs UMass
Play on: UNDER 79½ -120
CFB 100 DIME INSIDE MOVE GOM
79.5 UNDER
Umass has a new face in the Quarterback position. Randall West doesn't have much experience, and in last weeks performance, he threw for 106 yards hitting one touchdown, and tossing a pick. The Bookmakers have this line extremely high, because of last years point averages. Southern Illinois is dealing with QB issues. The new coach benched his 1st string QB for a 2nd string. Southern Illinois had to rely on the run game just to put points on the board. Both teams are bad, and expect this game to stay way under the total.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 03:06 PM
Brad Diamond Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 28m
NCAA-F | Southern Miss vs Mississippi State
Play on: Southern Miss +16½ -109 at GTBets
SOUTHERN MISS+ (339) over Mississippi State, the Bulldogs show off 38-28 neutral site win over UL Lafayette last week. The Golden Eagles defeated FCS Alcorn State 38-10 which is truly not the best venue tendering an SEC unit. Overall the series (14-14-1) has been closely contested, and this season we find Southern with more offense guided by super hurler QB Abraham who will effectively give problems to the somewhat inconsistent defense of MSU. State has covered the last 4 in the series. The Golden Eagles played well against SEC Auburn last year only to lose 24-13. Currently Mississippi State has cashed 4 in a row at home, but Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS against the SEC and overall 14-6-1 ATS L21 non-conference games, take the points
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 03:07 PM
Stephen Nover Sep 07 '19, 4:00 PM in 58m
NCAA-F | UTSA vs Baylor
Play on: OVER 58 -109
Baylor has a shot to win 10 games this season. The Bears must fare well in nonconference for that to happen. Baylor blasted Stephen F. Austin, 56-17, last week and the Bears should win big against the University Texas-San Antonio in this one. The Bears should produce a lot of points based on their balanced attack, skill position depth and the Roadrunners' weak secondary. Charlie Brewer is one of the better quarterbacks in the Big 12. He is surrounded by good skill position players with Denzel Mims being one of the elite wide receivers in the conference. Baylor may have this one wrapped up at halftime. So its reserves figure to play extensively. Baylor backup QB Gerry Bohanon looked good last week. Baylor rolled past UTSA, 37-20, on the road last season. The Roadrunners have improved offensively thanks to promising freshmen, dual threat QB Frank Harris and running back Sincere McCormick. The Bears' defense is going through growing pains and will be vulnerable especially early in the season. So expect the Roadrunners to contribute their share of points. Traditionally, Baylor has been an Over team in nonconference matchups with the Over cashing in 22 of the last 30 (73%) instances.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 03:07 PM
Brandon Lee Sep 07 '19, 7:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Indians vs Twins
Play on: Indians +146 at pinnacle
10* FREE MLB PICK (Indians +146)
I"ll take my chances here with Cleveland cashing in a win as a big road dog at Minnesota. Twins are getting way too much love here against the Indians Aaron Civale. In his 7 starts the guy has posted a 1.94 ERA and 1.032 WHIP. That includes a start at Minnesota early in August, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Twins will turn to Jake Odorizzi, who has a 4.50 ERA and 1.312 WHIP In his last 3 starts and is just 3-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Indians. Give me Cleveland +146!
Can'tPickAWinner
09-07-2019, 03:07 PM
Ray Monohan Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs USC
Play on: UNDER 43½ -110
UNDER 43.5
In case you live under a rock this matchup is going to feature back up QB’s. The Cardinal and Trojans both endured some back luck in Week 1 as their prized starting QBs went down with injuries. For USC QB JT Daniels is out for the season with a torn ACL which gives the ball to true freshman Kedon Slovis.
On the other side, Stanford's KJ Costello went down with a head injury in the 2nd quarter against Northwestern, there was some hope that he might make it back this week, but he has since been ruled out. So we will see Junior Davis Mills making his first career start. Despite the high school hype, the 6-foot-4, 214-pounder has played in just two games during his Stanford career.
I’m predicting we won’t see much poise or accuracy out of either of these two QB’s on Saturday night and that leaves the game in the hands of the running backs and the defenses. That equation will equal a lower scoring game. Expect to see a ton of mistakes on the field, in what could be an ugly game to watch.
A couple trends of note… The Under is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 games following a straight up win. AND The Under is 11-5 in Cardinal last 16 games following a straight up win.
Back the Under.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE CFB O/U Play
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