Service Plays Sunday 9/8/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM
459 BAL -3.5(-110) William Hill vs 460 MIA double-dime bet


FEZZIK | NFL SIDE SUN, 09/08/19 - 1:00 PM
464 JAC 4.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 463 KAN

double-dime bet
Analysis:
A ok to play this one +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 4:25PM
475 NYG / 476 DAL UNDER 46.0 William Hilltriple-dime bet

Analysis: Gmen down their top 3 WRs (MAYBE Sterling Shepard MIGHT PLAY)

Eli has always struggled without Beckham, how will he succeed here!!




And Zeke MIA still........even if he plays for Dallas, there will be rust.....


UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus

Week 1 NFL Denver PLus Points

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Stats Analytics Sports

NFL Sides

2* Buffalo Bills +3 (-105) vs New York Jets

2* Cincinnati Bengals +10 (-119) vs Seattle Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Wolf's Moves


464 jags +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

SUNDAY 9-8-19 =

459) OVER 37.5 BAL-MIA...($500) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

464) JACKSONVILLE +4...($800) - BIG MOVE via Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: NFL 6u: 461 SF/TB ov50 -105 (Sunday, September 8th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics Sports

NFL Sides

2* Buffalo Bills +3 (-105) vs New York Jets

2* Cincinnati Bengals +10 (-119) vs Seattle Seahawks

2 *TRIPLE DIME* TOTALS coming soon..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 8:20PM
477 PIT / 478 NEP UNDER 50.5 William Hill double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodfather Moves

02-Sep-2019: NFL 464 Jacksonville Jaguars +4

02-Sep-2019: #468 Carolina Panthers +3

[Yellow]

3* Essler GOWChiefs Under 52.52* Panthers +3 -120

[Yellow]

Sorry guys not sure why that came out like that it looked ok on my end I’ll resend

[Yellow]

3* Essler GOW

Chiefs Under 52.5

2* Panthers +3 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
457 BUF 3.0(-110) Southpoint (https://pregame.com/game-center) vs 458 NYJ double-dime bet

Analysis: Write up to follow.

Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
453 ATL / 454 MIN UNDER 48.0 Pinnacle (https://pregame.com/game-center)double-dime bet

Analysis: New OC Stefanski POUNDED the ball on the ground the last 3 weeks last year.

I expect more of this, and this makes Min a solid team to selectively bet UNDERs with!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN

3*
Jacksonville +4

2*
TAM / SFX Over 49

2*
6 PT TEASER: Eagles -2/Cowboys -1.5

2*
DAL / NYG Under 46.5

2*
Carolina +3

2*
NEP / PIT Under 50.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER

3* DAL / NYG Under 46.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER

2*
Jacksonville +4

3*
Carolina +3

1*
CAR / LOS Under 50

1*
JAC / KAN Under 52

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports NFL
7-sf+1
4-ne-5.5
3-denv-2
3-car+2
2-under 50-car-lar
2-bal-6.5

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris NFL Sunday

6 Unit Play. Take #454 Minnesota Vikings -4 over Atlanta Falcons (1:00 PM, Sunday, September 8)
The Vikings have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five Week 1 games and they have gone an excellent 9-3 ATS in their last twelve games played in the month of September. The Falcons, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and they folded against the number coming down the stretch last season, covering in just two of their last eight games. Throw in the fact that the Vikings are a perfect 3-0-1 ATS in the last four head to head meetings between the two teams along with the fact that they are also a lights out 25-5-1 ATS in their 31 home games against non-division teams under Mike Zimmer and we're laying the points here with the Vikings to get the home win and cover in Minneapolis on Sunday afternoon.
4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #456 Philadelphia Eagles -4 AND #465 Tennessee Titans +11.5 (1:00 PM, Sunday, September 8)
We almost laid the ten points with the Eagles as a straight wager so getting them at -4 was a no-brainer as they are the much superior team here. They are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four head to head meetings with the Redskins and they have covered the number in five of their last six Week 1 games. As for the Titans play, it's more of a play against the Browns as we think everyone just needs to pump the brakes a bit on them. Yes, they are greatly improved but they still need to prove that they can win in the favorite roll. They can do that here and we can still cover with a Titans team that is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in the month of September.
7 Unit Play. Take #459 Baltimore Ravens -6.5 over Miami Dolphins (1:00 PM, Sunday, September 8)
The Baltimore Ravens will look to open their 2019 season with a road win when they travel to take on the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL on Sunday afternoon. The Ravens have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games and they have gone an excellent 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played in the month of September. They have also covered the number in eight of their last eleven Week 1 games and they are an impressive 9-2-1 ATS in their last twelve games played on a natural surface. On the other hand, we really expect the Dolphins to struggle all season long as they basically traded away anyone who had a pulse and it looks like they are in all out tank mode to start the season. Throw in the fact that the Ravens are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Joe Robbie/Land Shark/Pro Player/Hard Rock Stadium along with the fact that they are also a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings between the two teams overall and we're laying the points with them here in a game that we have them winning by double digits in Miami on Sunday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #467/468 Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers Under 50 (1:00 PM, Sunday, September 8)
Carolina has posted a 6-1 record to the under in their last seven Week 1 games and they closed out their 2018 season by going under the total in four of their last five games overall. The Rams have been an under team as well in the spot they are in here as they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the under in their last four road contests. Carolina knows that they can't get involved in a shoot-out here with the Rams if they want to win the game and when you throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 5-1 to the under in their last six head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both defensive units to play well in Charlotte on Sunday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Arizona Cardinals +2.5 over Detroit Lions (4:25 PM, Sunday, September 8)
Everyone seems to be dumping on the Kliff Kingsbury hire and the drafting of Kyler Murray but we're not quite ready to turn our backs on something that we haven't even seen in the regular season. What we have seen in the regular season are the Lions under Matt Patricia and he flat out stinks as a head coach. Kingsbury did the right thing and surrounded himself with coaches that have a ton of NFL experience and we think with guys like David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk, they are going to be able to move the ball against a Lions defensive unit that is both shallow on the depth chart and bad on the field. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against the Lions with the home team covering the number in twelve of the last fourteen between the two teams overall and we're taking the points here with the Cards in a game that we think they win outright in Glendale on Sunday afternoon.
3 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #473 Indianapolis Colts +12.5 AND #475 New York Giants +13 (4:05 PM, Sunday, September 8)
It's not quite No Luck, No Problem in Indy but it's not like the team is going to fall apart under Jacoby Brissett, who has proven to be a serviceable QB in the past. The team made major improvements on the offensive line and we think they are going to give the Chargers fits when they have the ball. As for the Chargers, it's possible that they are going to be without two of their top players with Russel Okung expected to miss with injury and all signs point to Melvin Gordon never playing another snap for the Chargers in his career. LA also hasn't fared well against the number in their soccer stadium, going just 2-6 ATS there. As for the Giants, they are by no means a good team but getting 13.5 points in a game that we expect to go under is how we're playing this. Both teams are going to control the clock with their running games and we just don't see that many points being scored in this one.
4 Unit Play. Take #477/478 Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Under 50 (8:20 PM, Sunday, September 8, NBC)
The Steelers have posted a 6-1 record to the under in their last seven games versus a team from the AFC and they closed out their 2018 season by going 5-2 to the under in their last seven games. They have also stayed under the number in eleven of their last fourteen games played on FieldTurf and they are a lights out 36-16 to the under in their last 52 road games. The Patriots have been an under team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 5-2 to the under in their last seven Week 1 games and they are 4-1 to the under in their last five at home. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 4-1 to the under in their last five head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we think this one turns into a bit of a defensive battle in New England on Sunday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cowherd Blazin' 5
Rams
Falcons
Colts
Steelers
Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4 For 4
LA Rams -1.5
Wash/Phi Under 45
TB -1

2018 Season - 53-29-3 (65%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

3* Bills +3 -119
2* Dolphins +7 -115

[DamnMexican]

prononosticosdeportivos.com

Browns -5.5

La mamalona (their highest play, I’ve being a customer from them since some years and this is the second time I see it)

[golden contender]

Sunday card has huge Executive Level TIER 1 There is the NFL Total of the Month 2 big early 5* Plays and the Double system Sunday nighter and MLB. NFL Comp play below

The NFL Comp Play is on Jacksonville at 1:00 eastern. The Jags fit a nice system here that plays on week 1 dogs from +3 to +6 if they were losing teams last season. This system cashes over 80% long term. The Jags will try and control the clock with a strong run game against a KC Defense that allowed over 34 points per game on the road last year. In fact teams that allowed 454+ points are 8-18 to the spread in week 1 . The Chiefs are 0-15 to the spread vs a non division team that has road loss revenge. Look for Jacksonville to keep this one close. On Sunday we have a massive card up led by the Executive Level TIER 1 NFL Play and 2 big 5* Week 1 system sides, there is the NFL Total of the Month and the Double perfect Sunday night play and ESPN Sunday night baseball. Football continues to cash. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NFL Free pick. Take the Points with Jacksonvillle. Rob V- GC Sports

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

FOOTBALL PLAYS

+Bonus!!! & my SuperContest Plays!
Game: (453) Atlanta Falcons at (454) Minnesota Vikings
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 47.5 (-110)

View Analysis

I liked this play period before it even settled at a number , of which it is a solid 47 or 47.5...both are worth our 5% tag without a doubt!

This is a matchup of 2 defensive gurus at head coach who got their gigs for this reason. Quinn is now calling.the plays as well and Zimmer has his hands allllllllll over everything on D. Both teams are (again) featuring new OCs and we didn't get a great look at what this will be once the season starts...as few reps were obtained by starting squads. Matt Ryan and Dan Quinn went winless yet again in the preseason and Julio Jones JUST signed a contract and will officially be a go....but if Thursday night was any sign of what a couple of good defenses can do against what we "think" to be good offenses who haven't really had any non-practice go at the offense...well that total was almost the same damn number....46...here is 47!

We Also know without anything to view with our eyes...the public will look to last season...where Atlanta feels like an OVER team...so Vegas has all most certainly shaded this higher than the true number....

Minny tired their OC and now will focus on the run...as Zimmer was SICK & TIRED of what the offense looked like...sans any running. Cook is likely back...but it also ain't no secret the Vikes will be ground and pound...Quinn is > Cousins in such a scenario...and the value here is WILD!



I promised a bonus play...and I am new here so it only makes sense...NFL is my bread & butter and worth following me from now til forever for mucho CASH!

MY BONUS play is the 9ers! Vegas is already telling us they are the better team on a neutral field. Jimmy G has NOT looked good and that may be playing into the line. Shanahan has face Arians twice when he was in AZ and he lost both home and away that season...albeit before the Jimmy G days for the most part. I don't think this is lost on Kyle...who is intense and a very underrated OC!

Also for those who bought and INTERESTED:

MY SUPERCONTEST PLAYS:

Bills

Broncos

Falcons

Ravens

Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 916 Baltimore Orioles +128 (M Minor | A Wojciechowski) (Sunday, September 8th)

+EV: MLB 6u: 928 Boston Red Sox +110 (M Tanaka | R Porcello) (Sunday, September 8th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 904 New York Mets -153 (V Velasquez | N Syndergaard) (Sunday, September 8th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 920 Chicago White Sox +115 (J Barria | D Cease) (Sunday, September 8th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones
3-indianapolis
3-tennessee
2-kansas city
2-baltimore
2-denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Wolf's Moves

September 7, 2019

05-Sep-2019: 455 Philly und 23-115 1h
05-Sep-2019: 457 bills +3-120
02-Sep-2019: 464 jags +4
13-Aug-2019: 30000009 panthers over 7.5-175
13-Aug-2019: 30000064 redskins under 6.5 rsw -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma- Steelers , jags, 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Plays
Cowboys -7
Eagles -10
Vikings -4
Colts +6.5

Single Plays
Ravens -6.5
Chiefs -3.5
Panthers +2
Steelers +6
Redskins-Eagles over 46
Steelers-Pats under 50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodfather Moves

02-Sep-2019: NFL 464 Jacksonville Jaguars +4

02-Sep-2019: #468 Carolina Panthers +3
Philly GodFather

07-Sep-2019: NFL 454] TOTAL u47½-110 (ATL FALCONS vrs MIN VIKINGS
06-Sep-2019: NFL 464 Jags Under 52

05-Sep-2019: NFL Buffalo Bills +3
04-Sep-2019: NFL 468 Carolina Panthers Under 50
03-Sep-2019: NFL 2 TEAM TEASER EAGLES -2.5 / RAVENS PK
30-Aug-2019: NFL 453 Atlanta Falcons +4.5
30-Aug-2019: NFL 477 Pittsburgh Steelers +7 -130 (Buy 1Point)
30-Aug-2019: NFL 456 Phila Eagles Under 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports

9/8:

Sfo ml (+110)
lar ml (-116)
nyg +7 (-114)
was +10.5 (-107)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

18-1 ATS NFL NEARLY PERFECT DIVISION BEST BET
Bills

12-1 ATS NFL HIGH ROLLER GAME OF THE MONTH
Seahawks

14-3 ATS NFL SUNDAY NIGHT PRIMETIME MONEY-MAKER
Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

15-0 ATS Perfect System Club Play!

Cardinals

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GOODFELLA

3*GOM
CAROLINA PANTHERS +3 (bought half pt)


2* Two Team Teaser

BALTIMORE RAVENS -0.5 to DALLAS COWBOYS -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN

3* GOW

Pittsburgh +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* Giants + 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Consensus Picks


CONS:9/8/19

NFL
7 #454 Take Min -3.5 ov Atl
6 #459 Take Bal -6.5 ov Mia
6 #464 Take Jax +3.5 ov KC
6 #467 Take LAR/Car UNDER 50
6 #469 Take Det -2.5 ov Ari
7 #469 Take Det/Ari UNDER 46.5
6 #473 Take Ind/SD UNDER 44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eagle eye sports--guaranteed
10* rams-3
---------------------------
eagle eye sports--mike flowers
vikings-4
seahawks-9.5
a.cardinals+3
mlb-wash nats

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top six picks for Week 1 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Panthers +2.5, 845

5) Broncos even, 856

4) Buccaneers even, 862

3) Texans +7, 904

2) Colts +6.5, 1,052

1) Ravens -6.5, 1,080

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PayDay Plays (Yesterday 0-1)

NY Giants +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Watson (NFL 1-0 ytd)

Titans
Ravens
Panthers
Colts
Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

5* NFL Best Bet

Kansas city -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Eastman

6 Detroit under 46.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

7 Indianapolis +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Sprietzer

6-U NFL KO

New England-5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

6 Unit Top Play

Minn -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Week 1 Plays:

#1: Top NFL Play for Week 1 - only $5 -Join IN

#2: Carolina Panthers +1.5

#3: Tennessee Titans +5.5

#4: Atlanta Falcons +4

#5: Pittsburgh Steelers +5.5

#6: Cincinnati Bengals +9.5

#7: Teaser-6.5 points: Buffalo Bills +9 / Baltimore Ravens PK

#8: Teaser-6.5 points: Detroit Lions +4 / Baltimore Ravens PK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Lawrence on 94wysp Philly radio

NFL
Bills
Giants
Carolina
Skins
Colts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

7 Rams under 50

5 Baltimore -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stats Analytics (NFL - Adding)
2 Triple Dime Totals

3* Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings ~ UNDER 48 (-109)

3* San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers ~ UNDER 50.5 (-107)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
1* Jets -2.5
5* Ravens -6.5
2* 49ers +1
4* Chiefs -3.5
1* Lions -2.5
2* Colts +6.5
2* Cowboys -7
7* under 50 rams/panthers
2* over 46.5 lions/cards

2* teaser Seahawks -2.5/Texans +14
1* teaser ravens -.5/Cowboys ok
1* teaser eagles -3/over 38.5 titans browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WWP

ATLANTA
INDY
CLEVELAND

Play:
MINN
TENN
LAC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider - NFL)
NFL - Eagles -10

Carson Wentz will see his first action since being shelved 10 months ago and last season’s top two rushers were cut from the final 53-man roster, so Philly has some question marks. Washington will ride with Case Keenum, who was initially signed to be the backup QB and is being pressed into duty because Colt McCoy’s return from a broken fibula hit a snag. Scoring won’t come easily since a no-name group of receivers will have issues getting open and top tackle Trent Williams remains a holdout, which means protection should be a problem.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider - NFL)
NFL - Derrick Henry - Over 87 Rush Yards

Tennessee starts the year in Cleveland and is the first team to get a crack at tearing down the Cleveland hype train that has been gaining steam all summer long. The best way to do that is to feed their stud RB Henry and allow him to churn yards to keep that Browns attack sitting on the sidelines. Tennessee will need a big day from Henry to pull off the win and they should get the former in that scenario for sure.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider - NFL)
NFL - 49ers +1

The 49ers were the only team in the NFL not to win a road game last season by going 0-8 on the highway, which included a loss at Tampa Bay. San Francisco looks to break through on the road with a cross-country trip to Tampa Bay. The Bucs are led by new head coach Bruce Arians after a short retirement from Arizona, as Tampa Bay posted a 1-3 ATS record last season in the role of a home favorite. San Francisco has not gotten off to good starts the last two seasons under Kyle Shanahan, but also got three games from Jimmy Garoppolo before he tore his ACL. I'll back the 49ers here as a short underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nascar - Big Machine Vodka 400
Micah Roberts (VegasInsider)

Top-5 Finish Prediction:
1) #20 Erik Jones (8/1)
2) #42 Kyle Larson (12/1)
3) #11 Denny Hamlin (6/1)
4) #4 Kevin Harvick (6/1)
5) #18 Kyle Busch (3/1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BigAl

5 star. Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #901 Arizona +108 (Leake/DeSclafani)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mti 6 pt teasers
Caro/nos
Nos/buff
Caro/buff

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Mill- Vikings

No limit- buffalo

Perfect-Pittsburgh

Inner circle- panthers

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)- Jaguars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SuperContest Picks - Week 1

Circa Million Consensus - Week #1

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. A win is worth one point while a push earns a half point. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

The Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

This year's contest has 3,328 entries.

Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

Week 1
1) Baltimore -6.5 (1,080)
2) Indianapolis +6.5 (1,052)
3) Houston (+7) (904)
4) Tampa Bay PK (862)
5) Denver PK (856)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Blunt - NFL (VegasInsider)
SNF - Steelers at Patriots
Best Bet: Steelers/Patriots Over 49 points

There might be some big names gone from what's become an annual game between the Steelers and Patriots on Sunday night, but that doesn't mean the first SNF game of the season won't be a good one. There won't be LeVeon Bell, Antonio Brown, or Rob Gronkowski involved on the field in this contest – the 5th straight year these two have met in the regular season – as it's a year of reloading and redefining their identity for both New England and Pittsburgh.

Sunday Night Football History

There is still plenty of talent on both sidelines, and in another year where both have their sights set on division titles and more accolades from there, owning the head-to-head tiebreaker could prove to be important by the time Santa is snooping around our chimneys. But we are a long ways away from that entering the conversation, as now it's all about whether or not the Patriots can win this game by about a TD.

With this year being the 100th anniversary of the NFL, the usual spot on TNF to open up a new campaign for the defending champs was pushed back to give the longest rivalry (Green Bay/Chicago) in the league the spotlight on opening night. And while that game wasn't all that aesthetically pleasing, it was expected given that starters on both sides had next to nothing in terms of preseason action and were working out plenty of kinks on TNF. That's something to keep in mind as you go through the entire Week 1 card, but for this SNF game we should get a much better overall brand of football.

Total Talk
History suggests that we will in the sense that over the past eight years, Week 1 SNF games are 6-2 O/U with an average of 48.25 points scored. One of those two 'unders' against the closing number came in the 2016 year when the Patriots opened up in Arizona on SNF with Jimmy Garoppolo under center while Brady served his suspension. There weren't many believers in the Patriots that day, but the 'under' also only came in by the hook, so there is a case to be made that these Week 1 prime time games tend to be a swoon for 'over' bettors.

That hasn't been the case according to the market this week as action has been hot and heavy on the 'under' for weeks now after this game originally opened up at 51.5. Obviously missing all those big name playmakers as “known” entities plays a part in that, but both franchises are likely looking for more of a defensive identity as it is.

Betting Trends

Betting percentages currently show a strong 80+% of bets on this 'under' so far, and that historical average of 48.25 points for Week 1 SNF games would still cash an 'under' ticket at the current number. However, if you break down that set of eight games that have opened up the SNF season in the past to just the non-division matchups – remember, with the defending champs typically getting the TNF showcase, SNF was reserved for divisional rivalries, this year that's flipped – the O/U mark is 3-1 O/U with that lone being the Garoppolo start vs Arizona that lost by the hook. The Average points scored there clocks in at exactly 50 points per game, which puts this current line of 49 right in the cross hairs of history.

Side Spiel
Regarding the side, the spread has seen about a 55/45 split in favor of New England, as the number keeps bouncing around between -5.5 and -6. That type of two-way action is what oddsmakers prefer to see, and until we get to see what these revamped identities for both teams start to look like, it's hard to confidently side with either group in this spot.

Bettors on the Steelers side of things are looking at a possible “addition by subtraction” scenario this year with the distractions of Bell and Brown being gone, as the less off-field stuff that a football team has to answer to each week is never a bad thing. The Steelers seemed to survive on the field without Bell last year as they remain high on Conner and the rest of their RB core, but the production lost from Brown's departure will have to be made up somewhere, and that's a lot to put on the shoulders of young guys like JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington who find themselves in prominent roles this year.

From a Patriots backer perspective, relying on the known entity of the Brady/Belichick duo is a big part of why someone would lay these points, even with New England being a slow starter both SU and ATS traditionally these past few years. Brady's another year older at 42 years old, and with his security blanket in Gronk now retired, things will look a bit different. But it's not like Brady hasn't played well (or often) when the oft-injured Gronk wasn't on the field, and that could easily be the case for New England this season too.

The Patriots side also has the backing of history in terms of what defending champions have done the following year out of the gate, but Pittsburgh is a quality foe where six points does have the look of a number that could potentially be too high.

Final Feelings
Cases for and against each side are rather easy to make, and the ones for each side tend to lack conviction, so the spread is one that's probably best to pass on for the week. Openers of -5.5 tend to bring some indecision from an oddsmaking perspective as well in that that spread resides in no man's land and is placed with the intention of moving. The fact that this line has essentially stayed in that range for months suggests that there is plenty of indecision from an overall betting perspective too.

The total is one where I believe the better betting option lies, and while it is hard to ignore the respective move down, the 'over' between these two teams is where I'm going.

Both QB's are vets that have seen it all in this league, and with months of prep time already completed, the questions that bettors may have about new faces in prominent roles on both sides, is probably just flat out confidence from Brady and Roethlisberger's perspective. Getting to 50 points isn't a huge ask for these two teams, and given the initial negative feedback from TNF about it being a sloppy, non-entertaining game, I'm sure the NFL wouldn't mind to have it's next prime time showcase of the year turn into a back-and-forth shootout.

As long as the total stays below 50, 'over' should be the way to go.
Best Bet: Steelers/Patriots Over 49 points

[GetTheseDimes]

Anyone have any of the season wins totals? Particularly if anyone has Warren Sharp or the others Docs guys.
saw Ferringo is 8* Az un 5.5, 5* Chargers un 10.5, 3* un Cincy 6

thanks and best of luck everyone

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BASEWINNER:

0,5* Colorado +150
0,33* washington -115
0,33* was/atl u8,5* -115
0,33* Toronto +185
0,33* LA Angels -121

[TAWJR]

any eyes on H & h tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn
3% Tampa Bay Over 50.5

[dawggy]

THE PREZFOOTBALL PLAYS


PREZ EARLY NFL WEEK 1 TOTAL
Game: (465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Cleveland Browns
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 45.5 (-113)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

Play UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5 (good to 44 points)
3% play rating
(465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Cleveland Browns

If you believe as I do. If you have talked to the tens, seemingly hundreds, who cover the Titans and have for the last half decade, then as they know as I have stated here and on other social media outlets, Marcus M is not 100 percent and likely will never have the career many of us thought he could have because of the beatings he took early in his career.

The Titans are and will remain a run-first scheme. Be that with their stable of tailbacks. With the signing of slot receiver Adam Humphries and the selection of rookie A.J. Brown in the second round of the 2019 NFL Draft, the Titans have the best receiving unit this franchise has seen in recent memory. But the lack of a healthy and strong armed quarterback makes the Titan receivers, especially in the fantasy realm, hit and miss.

Corey Davis has yet to have the chance to show off his God given talent because of the issues at quarterback that Tennessee has had.
Brown, on the other hand, is going to be much more unpredictable. He hasn’t done much in camp after suffering a minor injury on the first day. We haven’t seen enough of the Ole Miss product in practice to get a good idea of just where he is in his development.

Do not expect the Browns to be crazy unpredictable offensively early on this season. This is a focused team under relative unknown Kitchens. But I trust that this Conference Contest will be played close to the vest by both OC's with the winner being the defense that executes the coaching staffs game plan as directed on Sunday

UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5

PREZ MAIN EVENT NFC TOTAL ~ MONTH
Game: (453) Atlanta Falcons at (454) Minnesota Vikings
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 47.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

Play Over the Total of 47 points (good to 48 points)
5% game rating

(453) Atlanta Falcons at (454) Minnesota Vikings
The poor showing by the Atlanta Falcons in 2018 was due to injury and just plain bad luck.
As Kirk Cousins goes so go the Vikings. And Cousins and head coach Zimmer have a chip on their shoulder heading into 2019 with something to prove.
After missing the playoffs in the first year of Cousins’ three-year free-agent deal with Minnesota the Vikings overhauled a number of players and coaches. Assistant head coach/offensive advisor Gary Kubiak and offensive line coach/run game coordinator Rick Dennison are now in charge of putting Cousins in a position to succeed.

The John DeFilippo era has been over for quite some time, since Week 14 of last November, and while one should expect a more featured role from Cook and the offense Kubiak will give the strong-armed Cousins plenty of situations to look downfield.

GM Rick Spielman used three of the team's draft picks on the offensive line, including Garrett Bradbury, the first center drafted in the first round in team history.

The 2018 Atlanta Falcons suffered key loses on both sides of the ball early in 2018. Defensively, Keanu Neal was lost to an ACL injury and linebacker Deion Jones to a foot ailment. Eight major contributors were on IR by year's end.

It is The Year of the Juiced Ball in Major League Baseball and the Year of scoring in the NFL.

OVER the TOTAL of 47 points

PREZ NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK (6-0)
Game: (475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 45.5 (-107)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

Play UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5 (good to 44)
4% play rating
(475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
Without boring you with a large number of historic data that revolve around the history of NFL Week 1 offensive numbers and end result final scores when two divisional teams meet in season openers.. without having to dig too far into the cyberspace archives -- take a look at the scores between these two rivals the last three-to four years.
Did you look? Then you need not read any further.
If you did then you know that thre isn't any way to play this game to the OVER.. Eli doesn't have the deep or red zone threats he once did and both teams are run-first, second and third down offenses with three-down backs.
UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5

MON NIGHT FOOTBALL: RAIDERS V BRONCS
Game: (481) Denver Broncos at (482) Oakland Raiders
Date/Time: Sep 9 2019 10:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Denver Broncos -111

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

Play Denver Broncos on the money-line which will avoid any late pointspread steam. With the announcement that A Brown has been suspended the number has moved from the hosts of the Black Hole being short favorites to short underdogs.
Denver Broncos -111 (good to -140)
4% play rating
(481) Denver Broncos at (482) Oakland Raiders
DENVER BRONCOS -111

[dawggy]

rob veno


BASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (903) Philadelphia Phillies at (904) New York Mets
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -1.5 (+110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)


Game: (907) St. Louis Cardinals at (908) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-133)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[dawggy]

Teyas Sports GUAR EARLY NFL PLAY/YEAR



9/8/2019
GUARANTEE NFL LA RAMS -1 1/2 MUST WIN OR ALL SUNDAYS NFL LATE NIGHT PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAYS NFL MINNESOTA -3 1/2 KANSAS CITY -3 1/2 ARIZONA +2 1/2 & OVER 46






9/8/2019
GUARANTEE NFL PITTSBURGH UNDER 49 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS NFL PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAY NFL PITTSBURGH +5 1/2




Teyas Sports GUAR MLB DOG/MONTH

9/8/2019
GUARANTEE MLB ARIZONA +115 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS MLB PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAYS MLB NY METS UNDER 8 1/2 MILWAUKEE -120 MINNESOTA UNDER 9 BOSTON OVER 11


FREE PICK 9/8 NFL NY GIANTS +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hammerin Hank
Titans
Giants
Chiefs
Pats
Vikings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15-Dime Opening Lock
Baltimore Ravens

[Packerman]

Any Northcoast today? Hopefully a bounce back after yesterday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Top-End
1000 UNIT
Winner # 4 of 5

Double-Digit Blowout
Baltimore Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Weston

Max Wager 100 DIME
NFC Opening Game of the Year

Detroit Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn
3% Tampa Bay Over 50.5

3% Buffalo Bills 3.0 (+100)
4% Los Angeles Rams -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

80 Dime NFL Winner

Browns

[DamnMexican]

Can anyone recommend who to follow/fade? I don’t see the usual guys I track. Thanks guys.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 4:25PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
476 DAL -1.0(-120) William Hill (https://pregame.com/game-center) vs 475 NYG double-dime bet

Analysis: 2 team TEASER!

Dal -1 with 468 Carolina +7.5, -120




PROP BETS FOR SUNDAY:


462 TB 1st quarter-110, 2 stars


Atl Matt Ryan UNDER 280 Pass yards, 2 stars


Jax Westbrook OVER 5 catches, 2 stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

75 DIME

NFC Dead Mortal Lock

Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin

CALI-CARTEL

50 DIME WINNER

NFL Road Warrior

Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Rivers

Biggest NFL Play in 17 Years!

26th Ever
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
NFL Game of my Career

Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

50 DIME
Opening NFL Lock

Steelers

[TAWJR]

good luck all

[B*mb07]

Executive 300% Jets -2- Chiefs -3-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:00 pm est nfl
los angeles rams vs. Carolina panthers

pick: Carolina panthers +1.5 (-101)

risk: 11 units

1:00 pm est nfl
tennessee titans vs. Cleveland browns

pick: Tennessee titans +5.5 (-101)

risk: 11 units

1:00 pm est nfl
baltimore ravens vs. Miami dolphins

pick: Miami dolphins +7 (-109)

risk: 11 units

4:05 pm est nfl
indianapolis colts vs. Los angeles chargers

pick: Indianapolis colts +6.5 (-103)

risk: 11 units

4:25 pm est nfl
new york giants vs. Dallas cowboys

pick: New york giants +7.5 (-115)

risk: 11 units

8:20 pm est nfl
pittsburgh steelers vs. New england patriots

pick: New england patriots -5.5 (-112)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WWP

has Miami a super pick

Take:
Baltimore

[swaminator]

Can anyone recommend who to follow/fade? I don’t see the usual guys I track. Thanks guys.

always hard to tell who will have the hot hand!
Cpaw is great to post the newsletters and this guy was great last year .

Brad Powers nfl
Power Picks Newsletter went 23-9-1 last season
NL 2* Minn, Tenn, Houston

I'm hoping the Marc Lawrence top play shows up- he has hit those well the last 2 seasons.
GL to all...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to Black
4-1 yesterday
7-2 in College Football
NFL
Browns-5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PICKS2PLAY 3-0 yesterday

NFL 4:25 pm Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals Detroit Lions -3 for 1 unit
NFL 1:00 pm Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Baltimore Ravens -7 for 1 units
NFL 1:00 pm Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings -3 for 1 units
VIKINGS -3 BUY DOWN THE HALF POINT TO -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco
4% Carolina +1'
4% Tampa Bay -1
3% Indy +6'
2% KCity -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NorthCoast
3.5 Under 50.5 Chiefs/Jaguars
3 Vikings -3.5
3 Bills +2.5/+3

Top Opinions
Steelers +5.5
49ers +1
Ravens -7
Cowboys -7

Regular Opinions
Eagles -10
Jaguars +3.5
Rams -1.5
Seahawks -9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BLAZER:
4 Chiefs -3.5
3 Falcons +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREFERRED PICKS:
4 Panthers +2
3 Colts +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : No Limit Nationals , 400 stl Cardinals game under , 300 3 team teaser Jax , jets game under , bengals , 400 colts , 500 Carolina , 300 lions , 400 giants , 500 titans , no limit patriots

[B*mb07]

Dime Man - Giants Ravens under
Augie J - Falcons Bills Giants 49ers
Champagne - Top Vikings Reg Browns Jets Ravens 49ers
Philly Guy - Lions Eagles Steelers over

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK
BASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (905) Washington Nationals at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -126

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Scherzer v. Soroka
Rookie on one end for the home team divison leader and has been a GREAT surprise. On the other end we Max, perennial Cy candidate, and only a slight favorite! In this spot, which is as rare as rare can be, as a short favorite being the stud he is, he still is 9-3 in the divison SU in this spot! We get equal at bats and hope the Nats O keeps it up while Max shuts down the Braves in a very important playoff implication game!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 Balt Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UnderDog

Atl falcons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

50 KC - 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster:


08-Sep-2019: 1475 Giants under 21.5 1st half (1%)
08-Sep-2019: 455 Washington+10.5-115 (2%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

5 Vikes
5 KC
3 Ravens
3 Colts
3 NYG

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports NFL 9/8

Vikings
Titans

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK
BASEBALL PLAYS


Game: (905) Washington Nationals at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -126

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Scherzer v. Soroka
Rookie on one end for the home team divison leader and has been a GREAT surprise. On the other end we Max, perennial Cy candidate, and only a slight favorite! In this spot, which is as rare as rare can be, as a short favorite being the stud he is, he still is 9-3 in the divison SU in this spot! We get equal at bats and hope the Nats O keeps it up while Max shuts down the Braves in a very important playoff implication game!




Game: (919) Los Angeles Angels at (920) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (+103)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Berria v. Cease





Game: (467) Los Angeles Rams at (468) Carolina Panthers
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Carolina Panthers -110

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[Packerman]

Any Robinhood?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie
tenn +6
detriot over 45.5
kc049.5

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK



Game: (475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Giants 7.5 (-115)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)


Game: (461) San Francisco 49ers at (462) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Francisco 49ers +105

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2500* Over 44.5 Colts/Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LENNY STEVENS have:

20* NYG
20 49'ers
10* Phila.
10* Miami