Sunday 9-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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John Ryan
Sep 15 '19, 1:00 PM in 2d
NFL | Patriots vs Dolphins
Play on: Dolphins +17½ -105 at sportsbook

5-STAR WAGER ON THE MIAMI DOLPHINS (270) AS THEY TAKE ON THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST, SEPTEMBER 15, 2019.

This is the ultimate polar opposite game and pick with the best team playing the worst team in the NFL. Miami is not a good team, but they are not as bad as they played in Sunday’s embarassing loss to the Ravens. Further, the Patriots played an incredible game against the Steelers. So, a return to the nor is in store for this matchup. Not suggesting for a second that the Dolphins can shock the world and win the game, but 17.5 points is just too many points.

This situational query has earned a solid 31-9 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The query requirements are to play on underdogs that were a terrible defense allowing 385 or more yards-per-game in the previous season. This query has gone 1-1 ATS in Week-1 action (Bengals covered against Seattle) and 12-5 ATS over the last five seasons.

From the Machine Learning summary, the Patriots are projected to outgain the Dolphins by not more than 1.5 yards-per-Play (YPPL). In past games, teams that are installed as 14.5-point or greater underdogs and are not outgained by more than 1.5 YPPL are a solid 35-18-1 ATS for 66% winning bets and 2-52 straight-up (SU). So, the Patriost go to 2-0 and Miami covers the spread in this one.

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Will Rogers
Sep 15 '19, 4:25 PM in 2d
NFL | Saints vs Rams
Play on: Saints +2½ +100 at Mirage

The set-up: Both teams come in off tougher than expected victories. That said, I was more impressed with Drew Brees and the Saints in Week 1. While I clearly wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing up the points. Remember, this is a “revenge” game for New Orleans, which was knocked out of the playoffs last year by the Rams on a controversial call. I think the Saints got looking past the Texans last weekend. That said, clearly Houston looked a lot better than LA’s opponent Carolina did.

The pick: Last week Rams’ star RB Todd Gurley had 97 yards on 14 carries, but the health of his knee is still in question. And despite HOW the Saints won last weekend, they’re still the ONLY team in the NFC South which emerged victorious after Week 1. The stage is now set for Brees to get his revenge vs. the undermanned/injured Rams. I think the conditions are right for a minor upset in this one.

1* FREE PLAY on New Orleans Saints.

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Ricky Tran
Sep 15 '19, 4:25 PM in 2d
NFL | Bears vs Broncos
Play on: Broncos +3 -115 at Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

Ricky’s 1* Free Play on the Denver Broncos.

Both teams are hungry for a victory here obviously after lacklustre Week 1 setbacks. Joe Flacco and the Broncos lost 24-16 at Oakland, while the Bears fell 10-3 at home to the Packers. Green Bay’s defense couldn’t get any worse than it did last year, so it’s hard to really judge where the Bears offense is at the moment.

The verdict: Denver is tough to beat at home. Note that over the last eight years the Broncos have won 12 straight home games that have taken place in Week’s 1 or 2. Additionally note that Chicago has lost its first road game of the season in four straight seasons. The Bears defense looked decent last week, but they were limited to 254 total yards with zero trips into the red zone on the offensive side. That’s simply not going to get it done in Mile High in my opinion this weekend. I’m grabbing the points, but obviously won’t be shocked by the outright upset!

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Tim Michael
Sep 15 '19, 8:20 PM in 3d
NFL | Eagles vs Falcons
Play on: Eagles PK -125 at 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Eagles (1* FREE PLAY)

Note that these two teams played in Week 1 last year and it was the Eagles who posted the 18-12 win. DeSean Jackson was pivotal in Philadelphia’s Week 1 victory this season, catching eight passes for 154 yards and two major scores.. The Eagles looked terrible in the first half last week, but they were an entirely different team in the second. Suffice it to say, I believe they’re going to now carry that momentum over here vs. the inconsistent Falcons. Note that Eagles’ QB Carson Wentz finished 28 of 39 for 313 yards and three scores (also note that Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU victory.) ATL has a dynamic receiver in Julio Jones and while he did have a TD catch last weekend, he only had 31 yards total in his team’s listless 28-12 setback. If the Falcons’ defense had difficulty slowing down the Vikes vanilla offense, I have a hard time seeing it stopping Wentz and company in Week 2. I highly recommend a second look at the Eagles this weekend.

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Philly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Patrick Sports Top Pair Sunday NFL Over / Under Total Selections
Chiefs vs. Raiders 4:05 pm est. CBS The Oakland Raiders made a ton of big moves this off-season, so no one's sleeping on them. The Raiders have drafted well the last two years and now they have a great GM in Mike Mayock and he has restocked the previously-bare offensive cupboard. Watch now as Carr and the Raiders get back to relevance and domination on offense, specifically in the passing attack. Carr will once again be a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, lighting up opposing teams on a week-to-week basis.Oakland has been one of the most consistently poor defensive ballclubs this decade, failing to finish above 20th in points allowed every season since 2006.Andy Reid's squad will have a chance for as long as Patrick Mahomes is under center. The reigning MVP made it all look so effortless in 2018. Even taking into account Tyreek Hill's uncertain future with the team, the Chiefs' offense has enough talent to light up scoreboards. It's easy to forget that last season was Mahomes first as an NFL starter -- he's only going to get better. He leads an offense that has enough depth and talent to be one of the league's most potent. The Chiefs struggled all season long on defense last year, ranking in the bottom third of the league in most statistical categories.Don't see how this one isn't a shootout. Kansas City rung up 40 points in its opener at Jacksonville, and they have a much better defense than the Raiders. Last year the Chiefs put up 35 and 40 points in two games against Oakland, I think they can do it again. Oakland's defense played well on Monday against Denver but still gave up a bunch of big plays. The Chiefs defense surrendered 26 points to the Jaguars' weak offense, getting carved up by a rookie quarterback in the process. Derek Carr looked really good against the Denver defense, and I think that he will be able to hang 20 or more on this Chiefs defense. The 'over' is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two in Oakland. The 'over' is 7-2 in Kansas City's last nine games overall, and the 'over' is 16-5 in their last 21 road games. Look for a high-scoring shootout in the Wild West. (3*) Play. #282. Take Oakland Raiders vs. KC Saints vs. Rams 4:25 pm est. FOX This game needs no introduction after these teams met in a contentious NFC Championship game with a missed PI call ultimately leading to the new replay system now in place. This Rams offense is shaping up to be one of the best in the league behind Sean McVay who is now is credited with being an offensive genius.The Saints are also loaded on offense with a potent passing attack led by Drew Brees and a good running attack led by Alvin Kamara.Qb Drew Brees has been one of the top gunslinger in the NFL the past five seasons and the Saints run the same kind of pass-happy, spread offense they have run since 2007. Brees has proven, again over many years to be a championship quality leader. The Saints QB keeps getting better with age. He's recorded a (100)-plus passer rating in each of his last three seasons. The Saints have finished among the top five scoring teams in the NFC. The team averages (27.9) points per game with Brees as a starter.The Saints can keep pace with anyone and will need to in this game. (5*) Pot of Gold Play. #283. Take New Orleans - LA Over the Total

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NFL over reaction to Week-1
5-STAR WAGER ON THE MIAMI DOLPHINS (270) AS THEY TAKE ON THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST, SEPTEMBER 15, 2019. This is the ultimate polar opposite game with the best team playing the worst team in the NFL. Miami is not a good team, but they are not as bad as they played in Sunday’s embarrassing loss to the Ravens. Further, the Patriots played an incredible game against the Steelers. So, a return to the nor is in store for this matchup. Not suggesting for a second that the Dolphins can shock the world and win the game, but 17.5 points are just too many points. This situational query has earned a solid 31-9 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The query requirements are to play on underdogs that were a terrible defense allowing 385 or more yards-per-game in the previous season. This query has gone 1-1 ATS in Week-1 action (Bengals covered against Seattle) and 12-5 ATS over the last five seasons. From the Machine Learning summary, the Patriots are projected to outgain the Dolphins by not more than 1.5 yards-per-Play (YPPL). In past games, teams that are installed as 14.5-point or greater underdogs and are not outgained by more than 1.5 YPPL are a solid 35-18-1 ATS for 66% winning bets and 2-52 straight-up (SU). So, the Patriots go to 2-0 and Miami covers the spread in this one.

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JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Saints vs. Rams

1* Free NFL Pick on Los Angeles Rams -120

Free pick for Sunday's Week 3 card is to play the LA Rams on the money line at home against the Saints. People are just not buying into this Rams team this year. While LA won on at Carolina in Week 1, the offense didn't really impress. Goff threw for just 186 yards and Gurley not finding the endzone.

Saints are a team people are high on and a lot of people are looking to play New Orleans here because of what happened in last year's NFC Championship Game and the no-call on the obvious pass interference. I think all the value here is with the Rams.

Saints pulled off a miracle in their 30-28 win over the Texans on MNF in Week 1. That's a tough act to follow and New Orleans has to go way out west here on 1 less day of rest/prep. After watching the Texans rack up more than 400 yards, I think we see that Rams offense look a lot more like the unit we saw light up the NFL last year. Take Los Angeles!

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STEVE JANUS
MLB | Sep 15, 2019
Brewers vs. Cardinals
1* Free Sharp Play on Cardinals -132

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CALVIN KING
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
[1%] Free Play on Bears

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CHIP CHIRIMBES

New Orleans at L.A. Rams 4:25 ET

Rams (-) over Saints

Okay, revenge will be the storyline in New Orleans this week as we will be exposed over and over again of the mysterious non-pass-interference call in the playoffs last year. New Orleans staged a miraculous comeback to defeat the Texans Monday night and may still be riding high as they fly to Los Angeles. The Rams believed that they were the better team last year and they still feel that way now and could are less how the Saints feel about the non-call. But, here's the good stuff. New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Los Angeles and they are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. But there's more...The home team is 7-1 ATS (that loss was in the playoffs last season) and the Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five against the NFC. Take the RAMS

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MARK WILSON
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Eagles vs. Falcons
Free Play on Eagles -1 -115

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ASA

NFL PLAY ON Cincinnati (pick-em) over San Francisco, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

This line opened with the Niners favored by 2 and has moved to Cincinnati now favored by 2. We completely agree with the move and while we don’t often like to chase big line moves, with the Bengals less than a FG we’ll grab it. The Bengals traveled west to take on Seattle last week and dominated much of the game. They outgained Seattle by nearly 200 yards but lost the game 21-20. Seattle averaged 6.1 YPP in the game while holding Seattle to 4.8 YPP. QB Andy Dalton had his career high in passing yards lighting up the Seattle secondary for 419 yards. New Bengal head coach Zac Taylor, a Sean McVay disciple, looks like he is already paying dividends for this offense. Blown scoring opportunities was the theme for Cincy. They pushed inside the Seattle 40 yard line 4 times in the 2nd half alone and came away with a total of 3 points on those drives. We think they’ll be much more efficient at home this week. San Fran made the long trip to Tampa last week and came away with a 31-17 win. They were fortunate to pick up the road win as Tampa had more yardage but turned the ball over 4 times. Two of those Buc turnovers were interceptions returned for TD’s. Thus the Niner offense only scored 14 points. QB Garoppolo looked rusty in his first start after missing the final 13 games last year and the offense only produced 4.3 YPP vs a Tampa defense that was terrible a year ago. Now San Fran will play in the Eastern time zone again this week and while they did stay in Ohio this week, this situation is not ideal. With the host looking improved and the line sitting where pretty much all they have to do is win to cover, we’ll take Cincinnati.

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JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Colts vs. Titans

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee Titans -3

The Titans are tired of getting dominated by the Colts. They went 0-11 against Andrew Luck before his stunning retirement. They have lost 13 of the last 15 meetings overall. The two they won? Those came with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback in 2017. Now they get Brissett again and should be able to handle the Colts at home as only 3-point favorites. A lot of people are sleeping on the Titans, and that showed with their 43-13 trouncing of Cleveland on the road last week. They aren’t a flashy team and won’t make many headlines, but they play the game the right way. The Colts gave up 435 total yards to the Chargers on the road last week and now will be on the road for a second straight week after an overtime game. Teams playing two straight road games to open the season are 2-13 SU & 1-14 ATS in Week 2. Give me the Titans.

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STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chargers vs. Lions
Chargers-114

Don't overthink this game. The Chargers are at least two levels higher than the Lions. They were the best road spread team last season, too. The Chargers are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS as road chalk the last two years since Anthony Lynn became head coach. Los Angeles has covered seven of its past eight road games. Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson have proven more than capable of replacing holdout Melvin Gordon. The Chargers averaged six yards per rush opening week. I would take Philip Rivers over Matthew Stafford, too. Those downgrading the Chargers here point out LA will be without its best offensive lineman with left tackle Russell Okung out. But Detroit offensive left tackle Taylor Decker, who protects Stafford's blind side, gave up two sacks last week and is dealing with a back injury. Joey Bosa gives the Chargers the best pass rusher on the field. The Chargers are one of the few complete teams in the NFL without any discernible weakness. The Lions have many warts, including a vulnerable secondary, bad head coach and a horrendous 4-12 ATS record when meeting above .500 opponents.

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MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bills vs. Giants
Giants+2

Play - New York Giants (Game 266).

Edges - Giants: 6-1-1 ATS in this series, and Eli Manning 11-3 SU and 10-2-2 ATS versus AFC East … Bills: 4-8 SU and 2-9 ATS away in this series when coming off a win … With that, we recommend a 1* play on the Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

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MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
49ers vs. Bengals
49ers+2 -114

The San Francisco 49ers opened the season with a 31-17 victory at Tampa Bay, not a bad result considering QB Jimmy Garoppolo completed just 18-of-27 passes for 166 yards with a touchdown and an interception that was returned for a score.

I think Jimmy G will have more success here against a questionable Bengals pass defense that was among the worst in the NFL last season.

The Bengals struggled to move the ball on the ground in their season-opening 21-20 loss to Seattle. They managed only 34 yards on 14 carries, with Joe Mixon spraining an ankle.

Cincinnati will have to rely on QB Andy Dalton to make things happen, but that will be easier said than done against a Niners defense that owned the Bucs and picked off Jameis Winston three times, of which two were returned for touchdowns.

We can also note that Dalton is without his top weapon with star receiver A.J. Dalton still out after suffering an ankle injury on the very first day of training camp.

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JACK JONES
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Denver Broncos +2.5

The Denver Broncos will have a big advantage having Vic Fangio as their head coach against the Chicago Bears in this one. He was the defensive coordinator for the Bears last season, so he went up against Chicago’s offense every day in practice. He knows exactly what Matt Nagy likes to run in different situations.

Of course, the Bears had all kinds of problems offensively against the Packers last week. They managed just 3 points and 254 total yards against what wasn’t expected to be a very good Green Bay defense. Mitchell Trubisky looked like a rookie out there and was fortunate not to throw more than the one interception he threw to Adrian Amos. The Packers dropped at least two others, and they were in the backfield putting pressure on Trubisky all game.

The Broncos have two of the best pass rushers in the NFL in Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. The Raiders did a good job with the quick passing game while also chipping on both of them to keep them off of Derek Carr last week. Trubisky isn’t good at making quick decisions and constantly holds onto the ball too long. I fully expect Miller and Chubb to be much bigger factors this week against a suspect Chicago offensive line.

The Broncos moved the ball OK against the Raiders last week with 344 total yards, but they had to settle for too many field goals and only got one touchdown. Not to mention, they had another easy TD dropped and had to settle for a FG. Joe Flacco should be much more comfortable in his second start with the team playing in front of his home fans in Denver.

Opposing teams have really struggled with the altitude in Denver early in the season. Players aren’t in game shape in the first few weeks of the season, which is why this following trend makes a lot of sense. Denver is an incredible 22-1 SU in home games in Week 1 and Week 2 over their last 23 tries. This trend leads me to believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Bet the Broncos Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE PRICE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chargers vs. Lions

1* on Detroit Lions +2

The Key: The Chargers have not been good in these early start times out East. It’s just tough for them to get their bodies used to playing a game in the morning, which is 10 AM Pacific time. I don’t think they’ll fare well here against a hungry Detroit Lions team that blew an 18-point lead against the Cardinals last week and had to settle for the tie. The Lions racked up 477 total yards and appear to have an improved offense this season. Their defensive line is really good, and it will pose problems for a banged up Chargers offensive line that will be playing without Russell Okung. The Chargers have all kinds of injuries that they’ll have to adjust to. They are without Melvin Gordon, who is still holding out. They are also without S Derwin James, TE Hunter Henry and WR Mike Williams. That’s 5 of their best players they have to play without this week, while the Lions are basically at full strength. Take Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JESSE SCHULE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
UNDER 40½ -110

This is a Free play to go Under the total.

The Bears come off the bye week with more questions than answers. Starting quarterback Mitch Tribisky looked awfule in a 10-3 home loss to Green Bay in the season opener. He threw for 228 yards and an INT on 26-of-45 passing in that game, and it won't get any easier on the road in Denver. The good news for the Bears is that their defense was just as good as advertised, holding Green Bay to just 10 points. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times while throwing for 203 yards and a TD on 18-of-30 passing. These teams have played twice in the last decade, and neither of these teams scored 20 points in either of those games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK BRAYMAN

The Miami Dolphins clearly have packed it in, long before the season started, with liquidation moves that emptied the roster. Now they have to host the Super Bowl champion, and odds-on favorite to win this year's title. And what will the New England Patriots do for an encore to Sunday night's 33-3 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers against the worst team in the league? Eh, they'll usher out and introduce Antonio Brown as Tom Brady's newest target.

It's about to get real funky.

Especially seeing how Brady continued to defy the odds at 42 years old by spinning a 341-yard, three-touchdown game against the Steelers. Brady spread the ball around to seven players, and that didn't include Brown, arguably one of the two best wide receivers in football.

Oddly enough, Brady and company were 0-for-3 in the red zone against the Steelers. That won't be the case against the sad Dolphins, who - oops - may have just allowed another touchdown to Baltimore. Yeah, it was that bad.

On the other side of the football, I'm thinking if the Patriots just held the Steelers to a field goal, they should most certainly be able to keep the Fins out of the end zone with a run defense spearheaded by linebackers Dont'a Hightower, Jamie Collins and John Simon.

This will be over by the end of the first quarter. Lay the points.

2* PATRIOTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Sunday, September 15

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INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at TENNESSEE (9 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) at DETROIT (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in dome games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY GIANTS (5 - 11) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 13) at BALTIMORE (10 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 203-146 ATS (+42.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 194-146 ATS (+33.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 75-102 ATS (-37.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (11 - 7) at WASHINGTON (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) at HOUSTON (11 - 6) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (10 - 7) vs. PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at CINCINNATI (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) at GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 193-139 ATS (+40.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) at LA RAMS (15 - 4) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 140-189 ATS (-67.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-103 ATS (-44.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (12 - 5) at DENVER (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) at ATLANTA (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Sunday, September 15

Green Bay Packers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 2-2-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 6-11-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 2-6-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay


Houston Texans
Houston is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Jacksonville is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
Indianapolis is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
LA Chargers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Miami's last 22 games at home
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New England's last 13 games
New England is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
New England is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Giants
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing NY Giants

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Kansas City is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Rams's last 24 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 17 of New Orleans's last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

Denver Broncos
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Sunday, September 15

Buffalo @ NY Giants

Game 265-266
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
129.387
NY Giants
125.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-1 1/2); Under

LA Chargers @ Detroit

Game 263-264
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
137.432
Detroit
129.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 2 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-2 1/2); Over

Indianapolis @ Tennessee

Game 261-262
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
129.686
Tennessee
128.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 271-272
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
135.431
Washington
123.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 12
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

New England @ Miami

Game 269-270
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
139.202
Miami
129.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 19
48
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+19); Under

Jacksonville @ Houston

Game 273-274
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.049
Houston
141.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-8 1/2); Over

Arizona @ Baltimore

Game 267-268
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
126.742
Baltimore
137.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 11
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 13 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+13 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

Game 277-278
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
124.140
Cincinnati
132.653
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-1 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Green Bay

Game 279-280
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
136.834
Green Bay
130.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3); Over

Seattle @ Pittsburgh

Game 275-276
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
130.003
Pittsburgh
141.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 11 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-4); Under

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 281-282
September 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
130.946
Oakland
125.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 5
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 7 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+7 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ LA Rams

Game 283-284
September 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
140.046
LA Rams
138.131
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+2 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Denver

Game 285-286
September 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
130.441
Denver
131.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+2 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Game 287-288
September 15, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
134.528
Atlanta
130.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 1 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-4-1
Against the Spread 6-7-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7-1
Against the Spread 3-10-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 8-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-4-1
Against the Spread 6-7-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7-1
Against the Spread 3-10-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 8-6

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Titans (+5.5, ML +205) at Browns, 43-13
Bills (+3, ML +145) at Jets, 17-16
Packers (+3, ML +150) at Bears, 10-3

The largest favorite to cover
Cowboys (-7) vs. Giants, 35-17
Ravens (-7) at Dolphins, 59-10
Patriots (-6) vs. Steelers, 33-3
Vikings (-4) vs. Falcons, 28-12

Don't Believe the Hype

-- The Tennessee Titans (+5.5, ML +205) routed the Cleveland Browns, who entered the 2019 season with tremendous hype and expectations. About two hours into the season, that same ol' feeling was setting in on the shores of Lake Erie in what has been referred to as the 'Factory of Sadness'. It was a sad day for bettors, too, as the Browns had plenty of side bettors driving the line from 4 1/2 to 5 1/2 at one point. As Titans TE Delanie Walker said, borrowing a line from former NFL coach Dennis Green, "They are who we thought they were." The Browns will play on Monday Night Football on the road in Week 2 against the New York Jets, and one of those teams will leave the field next week with an 0-2 SU hole to start the season.

Nicked Up

-- The Jacksonville Jaguars landed big-ticket free agent QB Nick Foles during the offseason, but he was forced out early against the Kansas City Chiefs due to a broken collarbone, and he will be out indefinitely. So now the starting quarterback, perhaps just temporarily, will fall to rookie Gardner Minshew, who was a graduate transfer sensation for Mike Leach at Washington State last season. You can be sure some will be beating that Colin Kaepernick drum, too. They need something, as a season of promise has already changed in the course of three hours, after getting paddled by the Chiefs.

South Florida Fade

-- Back in the day, Dan Marino was lighting it up for the Miami Dolphins, while the Miami Hurricanes were running college football. These days, the Hurricanes are 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS and likely already eliminated from the College Football Playoff chase, while the Dolphins kicked off their season with a 59-10 ass beating from the Baltimore Ravens. Instead of calling their venue 'Hard Rock Stadium', it should be called 'Hard Pass'. If you're a sports fan in South Florida looking to stretch your dollar, you should likely be able to cheap seats very soon. Heck, you can even toss in the Florida Atlantic Owls and Florida International Golden Panthers, two more South Florida teams who are 0-2 SU.

The good news for bettors, at least as far as the Dolphins are concerned, is that they welcome the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots to Hard Pass...err, Hard Rock Stadium in Week 2. After the Pats spanked the Pittsburgh Steelers by a 33-3 count on Sunday Night Football, will we be looking at a potential 20-point favorite on the road by the time the game closes next week? The Patriots opened as 'just' a 14 1/2-point favorite after the Week 1 games on Sunday wrapped up.

Total Recall

-- The game with the highest total on the board Sunday was the San Francisco 49ers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51) battle at Raymond James Stadium. With just 13 points on the board at halftime, 'under' bettors were feeling might confident. This game also featured four touchdowns called back due to penalty, which is certainly helpful.

Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston did his best to assist 'over' bettors, tossing not one, but two pick-sixes in this one. That was quite the change for the Niners, who recorded a total of two interceptions during the entire 2018 season. They picked off Winston three times total, including late in the game to make it 31-17, immediately giving the Bucs the ball back with just over two minutes to go. If you were holding an 'under' ticket, you got an eerie feeling that the Bucs were gonna score in garbage time and ruin a good things, as under bettors were on the right side all day. Luckily, the 49ers defense stepped up and kept disaster from happening.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Ravens-Dolphins (40.5) game. The Ravens scored 42 points themselves in the first half to send 'over' bettors into the black. The second-lowest total on the board was the Buffalo Bills-New York Jets (41.5) battle. The teams combined for a total of six points in the first half, too deep of a hole for 'over' bettors to overcome. There was a flurry of scoring in the seconf half -- 27 total points to be exact -- but the damage was already done early, including a scoreless second.

-- The 'under' is 2-0 in two primetime games so far during the 2019 regular season schedule, with the Monday Night Football doubleheader with the Houston Texans-New Orleans Saints (53.5) and Denver Broncos-Oakland Raiders (43) still pending. The 'over' is 0-2 (0.0%), during the early 2019 primetime schedule with two games still pending.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Chargers WR Mike Williams (knee) checked out of the Week 1 game against the Colts due to a knee ailment.

-- Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (shoulder) was hospitalized after suffering a collarbone injury in Jacksonville. It has been determined that he will not require surgery, but Hill will miss a "few weeks," according to NFL.com.

-- Colts WR Devin Funchess (collarbone) will have a second opinion, but initial tests suggest a broken collarbone for the new Colts receiver.

-- 49ers RB Tevin Coleman (ankle) suffered an ankle injury in Tampa Bay, leaving head coach Kyle Shanahan "concerned".

-- Jaguars QB Nick Foles (collarbone/clavicle) suffered a fractured clavicle and will undergo surgery on Monday. It's uncertain if he is done for the entire season, but he'll miss significant time.

-- Steelers WR Juju Smith-Schuster (toe) suffered a toe injury late in the fourth quarter of Sunday's blowout loss in New England, and he is expected to undergo X-rays.

Looking Ahead

-- The Panthers will host the Buccaneers on Thursday night at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, a game featuring a pair of 0-1 SU/ATS teams. In this series the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the road team 7-3 ATS in the past 10 in the series. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six battles, and 13-6 in the previous 19 encounters in the Queen City. Interestingly, something's gotta give with these two teams, as Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their past five appearances on Thursday Night Football, while Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their past four on TNF.

-- The Cowboys and Redskins will meet in the nation's capital, and both clubs are playing their second divisional game in as many weeks. Dallas is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the previous five inside the NFC East. While Washington blew a 17-point lead in Philadelphia in Week 1, they were able to cover to improve to 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings, with the Cowboys 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to D.C. The underdog is 31-11 ATS in the past 42 in this series, too. If you're a total bettor, remember that the 'over' has cashed in six of the past seven meetings.

-- The Vikings and Packers lock horns in an NFC North early-season showdown. Someone is going to leave the field with a 2-0 SU record, too. The home team has cashed in five of the past six meetings in this series, with the Vikings just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 forays into Lambeau Field. The 'under' has also connected in seven of the past nine meetings. For Minnesota, the under is 22-7 in the past 29 inside the NFC North, while the under is a perfect 4-0 in the past four divisional games for Green Bay, including their 10-3 win in Week 1 at Chicago.

-- The Jaguars travel to Houston to meet the Texans. Jacksonville is just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven on the road, and 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven inside the AFC South, too. Will the rookie Minshew turn their fortunes around? The Jaguars are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, the road team is 11-4-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings and the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the previous 13 battles. The trends point to Jacksonville, but logic seems to point at Houston.

-- The Patriots travel to the heat and humidity of South Florida to take on the Dolphins. That might be the most difficult obstacle for New England. The Patriots are 19-8 ATS in their past 27 road games, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight inside the division. The Dolphins have posted a 6-1 ATS mark in the past seven at home against the Patriots, but that was with much more talented rosters. The home team is also 14-3 ATS in the past 17 in this series.

-- The Chiefs land in Oaktown to battle the Raiders. Kansas City is 13-4 ATS in the past 17 against AFC West foes, and they're 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 on the road, including their Week 1 whitewashing of the Jags. The Raiders are just 5-11 ATS in their past 16 home battles against the Chiefs, and the 'over' is 5-1 in the past six in the Black Hole.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2 odds are up, and Saints-Rams could be heaviest-bet game on docket
Patrick Everson

Todd Gurley and Los Angeles opened their NFC title defense with a win and cover at Carolina. The Rams opened as 3-point home favorites in Week 2 vs. the Saints, a rematch of the NFC title game.

There’s still a “Monday Night Football” doubleheader to close NFL Week 1, but the Week 2 numbers are up, topped by the line for an NFC Championship Game rematch. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for four games, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-3)

Los Angeles fended off a comeback to open defense of its NFC title with a season-opening victory Sunday. The Rams (1-0 SU and ATS) led by 13 points multiple times, including 23-10 late in the third quarter, then held on for a 30-27 win as 1.5-point road favorites.

New Orleans still has Week 1 work to do, opening the Monday twinbill at home against Houston. But the Saints surely recall the last time they were on the field for a meaningful game, in January’s NFC Championship Game. Drew Brees and Co. were 3-point home favorites to the Rams, got the short end of a now infamous noncall of pass interference and lost 26-23 in overtime.

“NFC Championship Game rematch could be the most heavily bet game of the day,” Murray said of a key clash on the Sunday docket. “There’s no reason to move off -3 here yet. The Rams took care of business. The Saints in action Monday night.”

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Tennessee got it done in Week 1 against a team that arguably received more offseason hype than any other outfit. The Titans (1-0 SU and ATS) gave up an early touchdown at Cleveland, but ended up leading much of the game and ran away in the second half for a 43-13 win as 5.5-point underdogs.

Indianapolis, without the recently retired Andrew Luck at quarterback, perhaps showed it will not be a pushover this season. On Sunday against the Chargers, Jacoby Brissett led the Colts (0-1 SU, 0-0-1 ATS) to a touchdown and 2-point conversion in the final minute to tie the game at 24, but Indy fell short in overtime 30-24 catching 6 points in Los Angeles.

“We opened Titans -3 and moved to Titans -3 (-120) off action we took on that side,” Murray said. “Both teams impressed today, the Titans with a great win in Cleveland, the Colts really hung in there on the road against the Chargers. Indianapolis might have won with a better kicking game.”

Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)

Seattle travels across the country for one of next Sunday’s early kickoffs, after barely hanging on as big home chalk in Week 1. The Seahawks (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went back-and-forth with Cincinnati on Sunday, eking out a 21-20 victory as 9.5-point faves.

Pittsburgh missed the playoffs last season, then opened the 2019-20 campaign against the defending Super Bowl champions. Under the Sunday night lights, the Steelers () wilted in a 33-3 loss at New England getting 5.5 points.

“We opened Steelers -4.5, but it’s off the board, as they are currently getting throttled by the Patriots,” Murray said while Pittsburgh-New England game was in the fourth quarter. “We may see this line come down a little between now and Monday morning, although the Seahawks’ performance today wasn’t anything special either.”

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

Green Bay is already off to a good start in the NFC North as it prepares for another big rivalry game. The Packers (1-0 SU and ATS) put the clamps on Chicago in a Week 1 defensive slugfest, posting a 10-3 victory as 3.5-point road ‘dogs.

Minnesota, which reached the NFC title game two seasons ago but missed the postseason last year, stormed out of the gate in Week 1. The Vikings (1-0 SU and ATS) built a 21-0 halftime lead against Atlanta and coasted to a 28-12 victory giving 3.5 points at home Sunday.

“Great win for the Vikings over the Falcons. Only 10 passing attempts from Kirk Cousins,” Murray said. “The Vikings are clearly looking to establish the run. They’ll need to move it on the ground effectively against what appears to be an improved Packers defense.”

The line opened -3 but at even money for the Pack, then briefly ticked to -2.5 (-120) before going back to the opener.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best spot bets for NFL Week 2 odds: Texans tangle with a 'fruit salad' of situations
Jason Logan

In the fight against the big bad bookies, sports bettors have an arsenal of weapons at their disposal – some more effective than others.

One of the most popular methods of getting a leg up on the sportsbooks is situational handicapping: factoring in unique situations for the teams involved. Some of the more common situational plays – or spot bets – are “letdowns”, “lookaheads”, and “schedule” spots.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan combs through the Week 2 schedule and highlights the best opportunities for spot bettors to take advantage of the NFL odds.

LETDOWN SPOT: BUFFALO BILLS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+1.5, 43.5)

The Bills escaped MetLife Stadium with a Week 1 win over the New York Jets, thanks to a fourth-quarter surge that saw Buffalo outscore the host 14-0 in the final 15 minutes and come away with a 17-16 win as a 2.5-point road pup.

The Bills are back in East Rutherford again in Week 2 looking to avoid a letdown spot after such a thrilling come-from-behind victory. Buffalo fell in a similar spot last season, enjoying a come-from-behind road win at Atlanta in Week 4 then losing 20-16 at Cincinnati in Week 5.

This time, it’s the New York Giants, who are getting around two points at home from oddsmakers. While not a far trip from Orchard Park, this is the second straight road game for Buffalo, which looked bad for three quarters of football in Week 1. The Bills were down 16-3 entering the fourth quarter with just as many turnovers on the board.

The Giants got rolled by the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1, but that one-sided loss was on the defense. To the chagrin of some N.Y. fans (hoping to see more Daniel Jones), Eli Manning played well and Saquon Barkley did his thing. Buffalo doesn’t pose the same scoring threats as Dallas, and could fall victim to a classic letdown spot as road chalk Sunday.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5, 43.5)

While we’re tagging this a lookahead spot, since the Texans travel to California to face the L.A. Chargers in Week 3, this Week 2 matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars is the fruit salad of spot bets. Let’s get the lookahead out of the way first…

Houston's in the driver’s seat in the AFC South (don’t tell Tennessee) with Andrew Luck gonzo and Nick Foles sidelined with a broken collarbone until November (at best). Next week’s trip to Los Angeles could go a long way in deciding the AFC pecking order, as the Texans could end up jockeying for home field in the postseason come December. Normally, I wouldn’t dub a divisional matchup as a game teams tend to look past but given the Jags’ quarterback situation, you can't blame Houston for peaking down the road.

Jacksonville appears to be going with rookie QB Gardner Minshew for the time being, and the former Washington State record-breaker and obvious student of Mike Leach (just soak in that “Captain Jack Sparrow” sideline look for a moment. Pirates, right?) was great in relief of Foles during the team’s loss to Kansas City Sunday. But, a rookie starter none the less.

Now for a sprinkling of situational seasonings. Houston is sandwiched in this lookahead spot by a slice of letdown, coming off a crushing defeat versus the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. And that game also puts the Texans in a schedule spot, with a short week to prepare for the Jaguars as well as giving Deshaun Watson less time to heal up from an obvious back injury suffered early in that Monday nighter.

The line opened Houston -9.5 and didn’t last long, with sharp play on the Jaguars trimming off a full point to the deadest of dead numbers: -8.5. According to our Covers Consensus, 67 percent of early bets are on the home side, which looks to be stuck in situational hell for Week 2.

SCHEDULE SPOT: CHICAGO BEARS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+2.5, 40.5)

There are a couple different ways to look at this potential schedule spot:

1. The Bears have had a mini bye due to playing last Thursday, giving Mitch Trubisky and the offense more time to right the ship after scoring only three points in the opener versus Green Bay. So, with that said, Chicago’s offense benefits from the schedule in Week 2.

But…

2. Denver is the worst place to play early in the season, specifically in the Broncos’ home openers. Since 2000, Denver is an incredible 18-1 SU in home openers and has gone 11-4-4 ATS in those Mile High debuts (73 percent).

I’ll admit, most betting trends are about as useful as “rubber lips on a woodpecker” (thanks to my Newfie mother-in-law for that one), but this trend does have a narrative behind it. Empower Field at Mile High is located at 5,280 feet above sea level, which means the air is thinner than Trubisky’s mustache.

NFL teams, regardless of all the pre-camps, summer camps, training camps, preseason and whatever else they’ve got going, are still not in game shape until they play actual games (ask anyone who’s ever played competitive sports and they’ll tell you there’s no substitution for actual games). And with Denver's season opener usually falling in the first three weeks of action, opponents are left sucking wind when they visit the Broncos.

Chicago head coach Matt Nagy likes to run a quicker pace, with the Bears totaling 65 plays in Thursday’s loss despite having the football for less than 29 minutes. The oxygen-light atmosphere in Denver could be a big speed bump for Da Bears, which is why this total is creeping down from 41.5 to 40.5 as of Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Josh Inglis


RINGING THE BELL

Heading into Week 1, there were questions on Le’Veon Bell’s workload after not being tackled since January of 2018. Bell didn’t explode on the stat sheet but for a per-touch basis, he was dominant. The 27-year-old led all running backs in avoided tackles on the ground with nine — three more than the next back — while getting 23 touches and a score. With his workload set to increase, look for the New York Jets to lean on him heavily at home versus the Cleveland Browns.

The Browns gave up some big yards to Tennessee Titans RBs last week allowing Derrick Henry to rip off a 75-yard catch and run and while managing 84 yards on 19 carries. Look for the Jets to use a lot of screens to offset that dominant Browns pass-rush, playing right into Bell’s strength.

We are hitting the Over total rushing and receiving yards on anything under 125 yards.


ALLEN AIRS IT OUT

Last week we hit our Josh Allen Over 219 passing yards as the Buffalo Bills came out throwing versus the Jets. Allen was playing quite loose as he turned the ball over four times, but the Bills look committed into turning him into a passer.

Up next for the 2-point-road-favorite Bills are the New York Giants who allowed 400-plus yards in the air last week versus Dallas. The Giants secondary gave up a pair of 100-yard receivers and let Michael Gallop go for 158 yards.

We like both these offenses as Saquon Barkley and, to a lesser degree, Devin Singletary can bust big plays with any touch. However, Allen’s turnovers and the Bills defense scare me on the Over 43.5. So we are going back-to-back with Allen’s passing yard total and grabbing the Over 216 yards.


THE BIG BEN THEORY

After scoring just three points in New England, look for Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to bounce back versus the Seattle Seahawks who are fresh off allowing 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton. The Hawks have allowed an average of 28 points over their last four road games (1-3 SU) and are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS on the road in September over their last nine.

The Steelers’ team total sits at 26.5 which we feel is a little high so we will be taking the Steelers -4. The Steelers to need to rebound after an ugly loss and beat an average road team travelling from west to east for a 1 pm game.


CHRISTIAN THE PANTHER

If bettors thought they could get an easy line on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing, receiving or total yards, guess again. With the soft Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense on deck for Sunday, CMC’s rushing and receiving yardage total sits at 139.5 — a number he has hit five times in his last 17 games.

We understand if you can’t pull the trigger with better value plays out there in your quest for some Thursday night action. How about the anytime score prop? That’s out of the question for most as it sits a ridiculous -277. We are zeroing in on the first TD of the game prop where McCaffrey is a much more reasonable +350.

If CMC is expected to rack up yards and score, as the lines predict, then we are going to put our money on him being the first to cross the goalline. There is a good chance he could lead his team in targets and carries, just as he did in Week 1. Take CMC to score the first TD at +350 and enjoy the bounty.


SHADY GAGA

With the news of Kansas City Chiefs Tyreke Hill hitting the shelf for 4-6 weeks, most will be looking at Sammy Watkins to fill that role. That’s great news for us as we don’t mind looking for scraps at the table if there is value.

LeSean McCoy, outplayed fellow RB Damien Williams on the ground versus the Jaguars and we are expecting the former Bill to cut into Williams' passing work this week against the Oakland Raiders. McCoy is still learning his pass protection but with another week under his belt, the back who averaged nearly four receptions under Reid as an Eagle will be more involved.

McCoy already has a major role on this team and it will only grow as he familiarizes himself with the playbook. We are taking the Over on a reception total of anything under 3.5. If you can’t find that market, we fully support the Over on 41 rushing yards as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

261INDIANAPOLIS -262 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.

263LA CHARGERS -264 DETROIT
LA CHARGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.

265BUFFALO -266 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the 1rst half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

267ARIZONA -268 BALTIMORE
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

269NEW ENGLAND -270 MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

271DALLAS -272 WASHINGTON
DALLAS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

273JACKSONVILLE -274 HOUSTON
JACKSONVILLE is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

275SEATTLE -276 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

277SAN FRANCISCO -278 CINCINNATI
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after a win by 14 or more pts. since 1992.

279MINNESOTA -280 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

281KANSAS CITY -282 OAKLAND
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

283NEW ORLEANS -284 LA RAMS
LA RAMS are 83-121 ATS (-50.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road since 1992.

285CHICAGO -286 DENVER
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) against the AFC West since 1992.

287PHILADELPHIA -288 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the last 2 seasons.

289CLEVELAND -290 NY JETS
NY JETS are 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games after a home loss since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2

Colts (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)— Tennessee crushed the Browns 43-13 LW, with a +3 turnover ratio, and an 11-yard edge in field position- their defense also scored nine points. Last three years, Titans are 8-5-2 as home favorites- they covered seven of last eight tries as a HF in AFC Seuth games. Indy won 18 of last 21 series games, winning 38-10/33-17 in LY’s meetings; Colts won six of last seven visits to Nashville. Tennessee lost four of last five home openers (under 5-2 last seven). Colts lost to the Chargers in OT last week despite being +2 in TO’s; Indy ran ball for 203 yards but gave up 8.2 yards/pass attempt and allowed TD plays of 28-55 yards. Under Reich, Colts are 4-2 as road underdogs.

Chargers (1-0) @ Lions (0-0-1)— Last week, Detroit blew a 24-6 lead with 11:30 left- they tied Arizona 27-27; Lions gave up 230 passing yards to rookie QB Murray, just in 4th quarter/OT. Last four years, Detroit is 4-11 as a home underdog- last five years, they’re 8-14 as a dog of 3 or fewer points. Chargers are banged up but won at home in OT LW, despite giving up 203 YR; LA is 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games on fake grass- under Lynn, they’re 4-2-1 as a road favorite. Bolts won seven of last eight series games, taking two of last three visits here. LA lost four of last five road openers but covered six of last seven; over is 8-4 in their last 12 RO’s. Detroit lost three of last four home openers; over is 7-2 in their last nine HO’s.

Bills (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— Buffalo is in Meadowlands for 2nd week in row; they nipped Jets 17-16 here LW, rallying back from down 16-0 with 4:00 left in 3rd quarter. Bills outgained Jets 370-223 LW, but NYJ defense scored first 8 points of the game. Last five years, Buffalo is 2-5-1 as a road favorite- they’re 20-17-2 ATS in last 39 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Giants lost 35-17 in Dallas LW, giving up 405 PY; Cowboys averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt. Big Blue is 4-8 ATS in last dozen tries as a home dog- they’re 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC foes, are 3-9-1 in last 13 games where spread was 3 or less. Giants lost six of last seven home openers (under 6-1). Giants won last three series games, by 17-3-14 points.

Cardinals (0-0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Over last decade, teams that won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2, 0-5 when favored. Ravens ran ball for 265 yards LW, outgained Miami 643-200. Last four years, Baltimore is 10-15-1 as a home favorite. First road start for rookie QB Murray, who rallied Redbirds back from down 24-6 with 12:00 left in Week 1; he was 20-29/239 passing just in 4th quarter/OT vs Lions, after being 9-25/70 in dismal first three quarters. Arizona is 6-10-1 in last 17 games as a road dog. Ravens are 4-2 in last six series games, winning 26-23/30-27 in last two played here. Redbirds lost last three road openers, by 15-12-34 points; over is 4-2 in their last six RO’s. Ravens won last three home openers, allowing total of 20 points; under is 4-2 in their last six HO’s.

Patriots (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)— Miami coach Flores was a Patriot scout/assistant the last 15 years; since 2010, Belichick is 28-6 SU the first time he faces a head coach. New England lost five of last six visits here, losing 27-20/34-33 the last two years; Patriots crushed Steelers 33-3 LW, holding Pitt to 32 RY; Miami got crushed 59-10 by the Ravens, giving up 643 TY, 265 on ground. Patriots are 6-2 SU in last eight road openers (5-3 vs spread)- four of their last five RO’s went over. Last 10 years, NFL teams who lost by 28+ points in Week 1 are 7-3-1 ATS in Week 2; teams who won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2. Spread opened at 14.5, quickly jumped to 17.5. There is unrest in Miami locker room over direction their front office is taking. This game opened at NE -14.5, is up to 18.5/19 as I type this.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Redskins (0-1)— Dallas won seven of last nine series games, winning five of last six visits here; they scored 31+ points in last four series wins. Cowboys passed for 405 yards in their 35-17 win LW, averaging 12.7 yards/attempt; over last five years, they’re 12-5-1 as road favorites. Dallas is 14-7 ATS in their last 21 NFC East road tilts. Washington lost 32-27 in Philly LW after leading 20-7 at half; Redskins threw ball for 370 yards but ran it only 13 times for 28 yards- over last four years, Skins are 9-7 ATS as a home underdog. Cowboys lost last two road openers 42-17/16-8 (under 5-2 in last seven)- they’re 9-3 vs spread in last 12 RO’s. Washington lost last four and six of last seven home openers (under 3-1 last four).

Jaguars (0-1) @ Texans (0-1)— First NFL start for rookie QB Minshew, who was 22-25/275 passing in relief in his NFL debut LW. Jaguars are 14-17-1 ATS in last 32 games as a road dog- their new backup QB is former Tennessee Vols’ QB Dobbs. Short week for Texans after last-second loss in Superdome Monday nite; Houston gave up 502 yards, 354 thru air. Under O’Brien, Texans are 18-11-1 ass home favorites. Houston won eight of last 10 series games, beating Jags 20-7/20-3 LY; last four series games were all decided by 13+ points. Jaguars lost four of last five visits here. Jax won last two road openers after losing eight of previous nine- under is 10-5 in their last 15 RO’s. Texans lost three of last four home openers, despite being favored in all four.

Seahawks (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)— Pitt was outgained 465-308 in ugly 33-3 loss LW, but over last nine years, Steelers are 30-18-1 ATS coming off a loss- since 2013, they’re 21-17 as home favorites. Pitt is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games as a HF outside AFC North. Seahawks won 21-20 LW despite being outgained 429-233; over last five years, Seattle is 10-6-1 ATS as a RU. Seahawks allowed TD plays of 33-55 yards to Cincy LW. Seattle lost 12 of last 14 road openers (under 13-2-1); they’re 0-6-1 ATS in last seven RO’s as an underdog. Steelers won 14 of last 16 home openers (11-5 ATS)- under is 7-3 in their last 10. Pitt won three of last four meetings, blanking Seattle 21-0/24-0 in last two played here.

49ers (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)— 49ers picked off three passes LW, after picking off only two all of LY; they ran two of them back for TD’s in 31-17 win in Tampa, where yardage was 295-256, TB. SF is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Under Shanahan, 49ers are 9-8 ATS on road. Cincy threw for 395 yards in tough 21-20 loss in Seattle LW; they scored only six points in three trips to red zone. Bengals threw 51 passes, ran ball only 14 times. Niners are 11-4 vs Bengals, 2-0 in Super Bowls- they’re 4-2 in Cincy. Bengals won five of last seven home openers; under is 8-3 in their last 11 HO’s. Average total in last three series meetings, 30.7. This is second straight week east of Mississippi for 49ers.

Vikings (1-0) @ Packers (1-0)— Home side is 12-1-1 in last 14 series games, wth Vikings 5-1-1 in last seven; they’re 2-6-1 SU in last nine visits to Lambeau. Minnesota threw ball only 10 times in LW’s 28-12 home win over Atlanta- they ran ball for 172 yards, were +3 in TO’s and blocked a punt. Last three years, Vikings are 4-7 as road underdogs. Packers gained only 213 yards (47 on ground) in their 10-3 win in Chicago LW; over last five years, Green Bay is 20-12-2 as a HF. Last eight years, Pack is 13-7 ATS as a HF in NFC North games. Minnesota is 4-10-1 SU in last 15 road openers (5-8-2 vs spread); under is 6-3 in their last nine. Green Bay won its last six home openers (4-2 vs spread), with three of last four HO’s going under.

Chiefs (1-0) @ Raiders (1-0)— KC won eight of last nine series games, winning 40-33/35-3 in LY’s games; Chiefs won three of last four visits here, winning by 14-16-7 points. Chiefs threw for 378 yards in their 40-26 win at Jacksonville LW; they allowed 347 PY to rookie backup QB Minshew, who was making his NFL debut. KC is 16-9 ATS in its last 25 games as a RF. last two years, Chiefs are 14-6 ATS coming off a win. Short week for Oakland after their Monday night win; last two years, Raiders are 1-9 ATS coming off a win. Carr was 22-26/259 passing Monday; they converted 10-14 on 3rd down. Since 2012, Oakland is 13-19-1 as a home underdog. This is the Raiders’ last home game until Week 9 (November 3). You’re reading ***************.com

Saints (1-0) @ Rams (1-0)— Rams won NFC title game in OT in Superdome LY, after losing in NO during season; teams split last eight series games. Saints lost last three road series games, by 10-11-6 points. Short week for Saints after their last-second win Monday; they outgained Texans 510-414, giving up 180 YR, but Brees threw for 362 yards. NO is 14-7-1 in last 22 games as a RU. Rams converted 9-17 on 3rd down in their 30-27 win in Charlotte LW; 89 of Gurley’s 97 RY came in 2nd half. Under McVay, LA is 6-8 as a home favorite, 4-7 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Saints lost six of last eight road openers; over is 8-3 in their last 11. Rams won both home openers in McVay era, 46-9/34-0.

Bears (0-1) @ Broncos (0-1)— Denver coach Fangio was Chicago’s DC the last four years, which has to be an edge. Bears had four extra days to recover/prep for this; they played on Thursday LW, Denver played Monday, edge for Bears, one of two teams that didn’t score a TD LW- they outgained Packers 254-213 LW, but were 3-15 on 3rd down. Denver scored only 16 points (one TD, three FGs) on four trips to red zone. Chicago lost its last four road openers (1-3 ATS); under is 15-3 in their last 18 RO’s. Broncos are 27-3 SU in last 30 home openers, 6-7 ATS in last 13. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 HO’s. Denver won four of last six series games; two of last three meetings went to OT. Average total in last seven meetings is 32.7.

Eagles (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)— Philly won last three series games, winning 15-10/18-12 last two years; this is their first visit here since ’15. Eagles converted 11-17 on 3rd down in 32-27 win LW; they trailed 20-6 at the half. Philly’s TD plays of 51-53 yards both came on 3rd-and-10 passes. Last three years, Eagles are 5-9 ATS on artificial turf. Over last six years, Atlanta is 8-2 as a home underdog; they’re 9-7 SU at home the last two years. Falcons are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Atlanta was 2-8 on 3rd down, turned ball over three times (-3) in 28-12 loss at Minnesota. Eagles won eight of last ten road openers; over is 6-3-2 in their last 11. Atlanta won 13 of its last 15 home openers; four of last five went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Close Calls - Week 1
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in Week 1 of the NFL regular season.

Philadelphia Eagles (-10) 32, Washington Redskins 27 (44): Case Keenum hit several big plays early in his Washington debut as the Redskins stunned the Eagles with a 17-0 lead 20 minutes into the game and held on to a 20-7 edge at halftime. Philadelphia erased that lead in a three-minute span in the third quarter with back-to-back scores to lead by one heading into the fourth. The Eagles kept the momentum with an early fourth quarter touchdown and then a field goal with about three minutes remaining put the Eagles past the heavy home favorite spread for the first time in the game leading by 12. Having punted on its first three possessions of the second half with a total of five yards gained, Washington put together a 16-play, 75-yard drive that ended with an underdog cover saving touchdown with six seconds on the clock.

Buffalo Bills (+2½) 17, New York Jets 16 (41): The Jets took the lead early on an interception return touchdown but missed the PAT and that was the only scoring of the first half with Josh Allen having four turnovers for the Bills. The Jets led 8-0 after a safety on Buffalo’s first offensive snap of the third quarter and with good field position they added a touchdown to lead 16-0. Buffalo finally answered with a field goal and then in the fourth quarter produced an impressive touchdown drive to trail by only six with about 10 minutes to go. The Jets picked up a first down, but opted to punt short of midfield rather than risk going for it on 4th-and-2. Allen led an 8-play, 80-yard touchdown in just three minutes as the Bills took a 17-16 lead with about three minutes to go. The Jets got close to midfield on its next drive but couldn’t convert for a one-point loss in a game where new kicker Kaare Vedvik missed two kicks.

Tennessee Titans (+5½) 43, Cleveland Browns 13 (44): The Browns crept back in this game with a touchdown to trail by only two late in the third quarter but a 75-yard touchdown followed to put the Titans in commanding position leading 22-13 through three quarters. Those on the ‘under’ still had some room to work with but back-to-back Baker Mayfield interceptions handed the Titans short fields and Tennessee scored quickly on drives of only 35 and 34 yards to push the total ‘over’, eventually adding a Malcolm Butler pick-6 later in the game for good measure to create the blowout 30-point final margin.

Arizona Cardinals (+3) 27, Detroit Lions 27 (48½): Laying just a few points against 2018’s worst NFL team seemed too good to be true, but the Lions got out to a 17-0 edge in the second quarter and after the defense held Arizona to a pair of field goals, wound up in front 24-6 early in the fourth quarter. Zane Gonzalez added a field goal to trim the margin to 15 points and Detroit had a 3-and-out. Kyler Murray then led his first NFL touchdown drive with David Johnson going in from 27 yards and the Cardinals were within a single score with six minutes to go. Detroit should have been able to put the game away, but Arizona exhausted its timeouts and ultimately the Lions had to punt from midfield, with a poor effort going only 11 yards.

With a short field, Arizona was able to work its way down the field and Murray again delivered a touchdown as well as a two-point conversion to tie the game. Arizona went first in overtime and reached the Detroit 8-yard-line but had to settle for a short field goal. The Lions likewise couldn’t get through to the end zone and tied the game at 27-27. Arizona faced a dilemma on 4th-and-7 from the Detroit 46 with the risky options to try an extremely long field goal or go for the 1st down both likely to hand the game to the Lions if they failed. The Cardinals played for the tie and punted to the Detroit 5-yard-line where the Lions didn’t offer much of a threat to deliver a miracle late score.

Los Angeles Chargers (-6½) 30, Indianapolis Colts 24 (44½): Side and total results faced a dramatic finish in the battle of 2018 AFC playoff teams. The Chargers had a 17-6 lead at halftime after Adam Vinatieri missed a PAT and a field goal to cost the Colts. He hit for three on the first drive of the third quarter, but the Chargers answered with a touchdown to lead by 15. In two plays, the Colts answered back to get back within a single score down eight, just short of a spread that bounced between 7 and 6½ before even sliding to just 6 at some outlets by kickoff. The Colts got the break they needed late in the third quarter with a muffed punt return catch, but Vinatieri would miss again from just 29 yards early in the fourth to keep the margin at eight.

The Chargers moved to 1st-and-goal with a chance to put the game away, but an interception in the end zone gave the Colts new life. Sixteen plays later, the Colts found the end zone while converting a 4th down along the way. The two-point conversion with less than a minute on the clock could have ended the spread uncertainty, but Marlon Mack got through and tied the game to force overtime. The Chargers got the ball first and hit a big early play that withstood review. On 3rd-and-1, the Colts needed a stop to stay in the game, but the Chargers converted and ran into the end zone on the next play. With no PAT needed in OT, most on the Colts still covered while the late Indianapolis touchdown secured the ‘over’ as well.

New Orleans Saints (-6½) 30, Houston Texans 28 (51½): With a 14-3 halftime lead, the Texans underdog cover appeared on track on a line that dipped from +7 to +6½. New Orleans scored quickly out of halftime, but the Texans were able to answer to maintain an 11-point lead. A late third quarter touchdown put the Saints down by four and a few plays later Deshaun Watson was intercepted giving the Saints the ball back near midfield. On the first play of the fourth quarter, the Saints took their first lead by three. Both teams had to punt before Houston appeared to climb into scoring range reaching the New Orleans 44. Watson took an 11-yard sack and Houston had to punt. Pinned deep the Saints got 41 yards on a huge 3rd-and-2 play and eventually had a new set of downs on the 33-yard-line of Houston, with those on the Saints and the ‘over’ eagerly awaiting a score.

Houston’s defense held leaving the Saints to kick a field goal with 50 seconds left, leading by only six. Watson needed only two plays to find the end zone with completions for 48 and 37 yards as the Texans stunned the Superdome crowd. The game was tied ahead of the PAT which Ka’imi Fairbarin incredibly missed right, a controversial flag came out as Fairbairn was contacted well after his kicking leg came back down and on the retry Houston went up by one to take overtime out of the picture and confirm the underdog cover. New Orleans would use the final 37 seconds to go 35 yards and Will Lutz came through with a 58-yard field goal for a dramatic win for the Saints.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Sept. 15

INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Colts thumped Titans in both LY. Colts have won SU 6 of last 7 in Nashville. Tech edge-slight to Colts, based on series trends.home.
Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on series trends.home.


LA CHARGERS at DETROIT (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Outside of LA ( not counting loss at Rams LY) and as visitor (also not counting London game LY), Bolts were 7-0 SU and vs. line in reg season LY! They’re 11-2-2 vs. line as visitor outside of LA in reg season since moving in 2017. Lions 4-11 as home dog since 2015 (2-3 for Patricia LY).
Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


BUFFALO at NY GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Eli 1-6-1 vs. line at home last season. If G-Men chalk note 0-3-1 spread mark in role at MetLife since 2017. Bills “under” 8-2 last ten away.
Tech Edge: "Under” and Bills, based on “totals” and team trends.


ARIZONA at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens now 5-1-1 vs. line last 7 reg season games. Harbaugh has won and covered last 3 home openers. Cards 6-10-1 as road dog past three seasons.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends..


NEW ENGLAND at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pats have had trouble in Miami, losing outright and failing to cover of last 6 at Hard Rock. Belichick was 11-4 as visiting chalk reg season 2016-17 before sagging to 3-5 in role LY. Belichick “under” 15-6 last 21 in reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Dolphins, based on “totals” and series trends.


DALLAS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dak is 5-1 vs. line against Skins. Dallas 0-1 as road chalk LY but was 4-1-1 previous season. Dallas “under” 10-2 last 12 away reg season. Note Jay Gruden covered 5 of first 6 as dog LY before the QB injuries began to mount.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Cowboys, based on “totals” and series trends.


JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans won and covered both meetings LY, also “under” both of those. Houston now on 8-2-1 spread run reg season, Jags only 1-4-1 as away dog LY.
Tech Edge: Texans, based on team trends.


SEATTLE at PITTSBURGH (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pete Carroll 4-1-1 as dog LY, Russell Wilson 18-7-3 vs. line as dog with Seahawks, who were also “over” 8 of last 9 LY. Tomlin only 6-9 as Heinz Field chalk past two seasons. Steel “over” 10-3 last 13 at home.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy 1-5 vs. line last six at home LY, "under" 7-4-2 last 13.
Tech Edge: 49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.


MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Zimmer 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 vs. line against Pack past two seasons. Vikes “under” 14-5-1 since late 2017 and “under” 3 of last 4 vs. GB.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Vikings, based on “totals” and team trends.


KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Chiefs had long dominated vs. line in Oakland though didn’t cover last two years. Prior, KC 11-3 vs. line preceding 14 at Oakland. Chiefs 11-0 vs. line first two weeks of season since 2017. Into last Monday, Raiders “under” 20-11-1 since 2017.trends.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


NEW ORLEANS at LA RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Brees 3-0 as dog LY, Saints 20-8-1 as dog since 2014. Rams 4-8 vs. line last 12 reg season LY.
Tech Edge: Saints, based on team trends.


CHICAGO at DENVER (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Denver “under” last 10, Bears "under" 8 in a row since mid-to-late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Eagles only 6-12 vs. line last 18 reg season games. Falcs however just 12-21 as home chalk since 2014 (if chalk here).
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles, if dog, based n extended trends.


Monday, Sept. 16

CLEVELAND at NY JETS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Browns are 6-3 vs. line last nine away, Jets on 2-8-1 spread skid since late LY. Also no covers last six at home LY for Jets.
Tech Edge: Browns, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Underdogs: Week 2 pointspread picks and predictions
Jason Logan

Giants fans aren’t openly rooting for the team to struggle but deep down inside they want to see QB Eli Manning suck. Well, not this week guys.

You know the cartoons, where the little devil appears on a character’s shoulder and nudges them towards those evil thoughts creeping into their brain? That’s New York Giants fans right now.

Giants fans aren’t openly rooting for the team to struggle but deep down inside (down in the darkness of their guts) they want to see QB Eli Manning suck, so rookie passer and preseason darling Daniel Jones can save them from the pain. And that little shoulder devil is gnawing their ear off right now.

To every devil, there’s a conflicting angel, and this little bugger is preaching Manning’s Week 1 stat line like it’s the Old Testament. The much-maligned veteran threw for more than 300 yards with a 68 percent completion rate and a touchdown in New York’s 35-17 loss to Dallas – a loss that despite what the devil may say, is not Eli's fault.

Big Blue makes its home debut in East Rutherford this weekend against a Buffalo Bills team that has spent more at MetLife Stadium than the Giants. The Bills pulled a 17-16 road win over the New York Jets out of their jocks in Week 1, playing putrid football for the first three quarters.

While it’s only a six-hour jaunt from Orchard Park to the Meadowlands, this is still the Bills' second straight road game and that thrilling victory over the Jets could set this team up for a letdown in Week 2. Buffalo fell victim to a similar situational spot on the road in Week 5 of the 2018 season, following a come-from-behind win as a visitor in the previous game.

The Giants’ biggest issue in Week 1 was blown coverage and big plays allowed to the Cowboys, which is something the Bills just don’t do on offense (only 43 passing plays of 20-plus, and eight of 40-plus in 2018). Buffalo is at its best when running the ball and while it was only one week, the G-Men handled Dallas’ rushing game to the tune of only 2.96 yards per carry in Week 1.

While we missed the best of this number earlier in the week (Giants were as big as +3), we’re listening to that angel on our shoulder and going with Eli & Co. to quiet the devil for at least one more week.

PICK: New York +1.5


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-9.5, 43.5)

I’ve been staring at this one for a while and even broke down the incredibly difficult spot Houston is in for this Week 2 divisional battle in my weekly spot bets.

Picture if you will, the club sandwich of situational capping: a letdown off a close MNF loss, a lookahead to a trip to L.A. and the Bolts in Week 3, and a schedule spot due to a short week to prepare and heel up from Monday’s matchup. Slather that sucker in mayo and jam it between two perfectly-toasted pieces of bread (with another stuck in the middle) and how could you resist not taking a big bite of the points in Week 2?

Oh, Gardner Minshew. That’s why.

The Jaguars are looking to the first-year passer out of Washington State to hold down the fort, after losing offseason acquisition Nick Foles to a broken collarbone in Week 1. Minshew was solid – actually he was pretty frickin’ great – in his first pro appearance, connecting on 22 of 25 passes for 275 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in the loss to Kansas City last Sunday.

That resulted in a QBR of 88.3 for Minshew, which was just a few ticks off the pace of Week 1 counterpart and reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes (89.7 QBR) and ranked among the Top 8 for the NFL openers, along with names like Brady, Wentz, Prescott and ahead of Drew Brees (78.2) for Week 1.

Week 2 is known for overreactions, and this near 10-point spread is classic Week 2 horseshit. The lookahead lines – which came out before Week 1 was played – had Jacksonville as a 3-point road underdog in Houston, with Foles as the projected starter. Even for all his postseason glory and locker room lore, there’s no way Foles is worth six and a half points to the spread, especially after he only threw eight passes for the franchise before get knocked out of his first game.

And I haven’t even touched on the Jaguars defense. But we have a word count. Moving on.

PICK: Jacksonville +9.5

l
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DETOIT LIONS (+2.5, 48)

This spread would probably look a little different if Detroit hadn’t barfed up an 18-point lead in the fourth quarter and received an inopportune timeout from offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell that helped set the table for Arizona’s dramatic comeback and the eventual tie game.

For more than three quarters, the Lions looked really good. The Detroit defense was shutting the door on coaching golden boy Kliff Kingsbury’s new offense and the Lions' scoring attack was smashing home run plays like the damn MLB steroid era. I was high on Detroit entering the season, and I’m going to stay the course, expecting a complete game with the team back in Motown for Week 2.

The Chargers are coming off a close one versus Indianapolis Sunday and make the flight for the early 1 p.m. ET start in Week 2. Los Angeles is missing some key bodies in the secondary, putting standout safety Derwin James and CB Trevor Williams on IR and playing without CB Michael Davis (hamstring) this week. The Bolts pass defense was down to three healthy corners and scrambling to find help this week.

The big thing for Detroit will be protecting Matt Stafford from the L.A. edge rushers and getting better work from RB Kerryon Johnson. The Chargers were brutalized by the Colts' run game in Week 1, allowing 203 yards on the ground and 6.2 yards per carry.

Again, I missed the good number of Lions +3 early in the week. If you can wait, see if this comes back up to a field goal with your bookie.

PICK: Detroit +2.5

Week 1 picks: 3-0
Season to date: 3-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Points of Interest: NFL Week 2 Over/Under picks and predictions
Steve Paul

Lamar Jackson & Co. scored at will against Miami. Jackson certainly looked better as a passer than in 2018, but he’s unlikely to see quite the same number of uncovered receivers Week 2.

For Week 1, we talked about how despite a few year-to-year surprises, there’s a lot of continuity in the NFL in terms of which offenses/defenses are good/bad. We now have a week’s worth of data to help confirm some of what we thought we knew, while resisting the urge to crown Lamar Jackson the GOAT.

OFFENSES

The Saints, Chiefs and Patriots all were expected to be top-tier offenses and lived up to that billing, all finishing Top 6 in Week 1 by offensive EPA. The other big winners were a little more surprising as the Top 2 offenses in Week 1 were the Cowboys and Ravens. Both of those games featured numerous blown coverages, so while I’ll keep an eye out Week 2, I’m not ready to crown those offenses elite just yet.

On the other end of the spectrum, we saw some surprising offensive duds. Jameis Winston cemented last week’s doubts of him, but the rest of the Bottom 5 were all surprising: the Browns, Steelers, Falcons and Packers. For now, I’m giving the Falcons and Packers the benefit of the doubt as they faced the two top defenses by EPA from 2018 but there should be some concern for the Browns and especially Steelers fans.

DEFENSES

The good defenses from 2018 all performed well again, with the Vikings, Bears and Ravens all Top 6 by EPA. Perhaps the biggest surprise of Week 1 was the Denver defense. Last week, I mentioned they’d been merely average the last couple years, but they looked much worse against the Antonio Brown-less Raiders, ranking Bottom 10 by EPA and 27th by success percentage allowed.

Now, on to the picks...

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-4, 46.5)

Two big things jump out in this game: first, the Steeler offense really struggled in its first game without Antonio Brown. Looking beyond the three points the Steelers scored, they ranked 30th by EPA and, most concerningly, ranked 31st in success percentage with well under a third of their plays having positive EPA. A banged-up Juju Smith-Schuster does nothing to help this week.

Secondly, and just as importantly the Seahawks showed they want to continue their slow, run-heavy ways in 2019, running the ball on more than half of their plays and running only 49 total plays in their Week 1 game versus Cincinnati.

Struggling offense plus slow game does not equal a lot of points.

PREDICTION: Under 46.5


ARIZONA CARDINALS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-13, 46.5)

The market has moved 4.5 points already on this one but to me the final boxscore is misleading. Arizona put up a respectable 27 points on 387 yards in its comeback tie against the Lions in Week 1. But to watch that game though, is to watch a defense run out of gas.

On their first 12 drives (ignoring a kneel-down at half), the Cardinals ran 53 plays for 163 yards and nine points. From that point on the Lions defense looked gassed, getting virtually no pressure and allowing the Cardinals to march down the field. Don’t expect the same against a Ravens stop unit that finished second by EPA in each of the last two years and continued that Week 1 against the undermanned Dolphins.

On the other side of the ball, Lamar Jackson & Co. scored at will against Miami. Jackson certainly looked better as a passer than in 2018, but he’s unlikely to see quite the same number of uncovered receivers Week 2. Arizona’s defense was slightly below average in 2018 and performed slightly better in Week 1. The Cardinals are not going to shut down the Ravens completely but should put up a better fight than the Dolphins.

PREDICTION: Under 46.5


KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS (+7, 53.5)

The Chiefs made short work of the Jaguars defense which, despite its well-publicized struggles in 2018, was still a well-above average defense. They now face a Raiders defense that held up against the Broncos but ranked 32nd by EPA in 2018 and will be without starting safety and first-round pick Jonathan Abrams.

The Raiders offense meanwhile put up an impressive performance against what was supposed to be a great Denver defense under new coach Vic Fangio. The Kansas City defense gave up 26 points and well over 400 yards to the Gardner Minshew (who?)-led Jags, leaving this one with all the makings of a shootout.

PREDICTION: Over 53.5

Week 1 picks: 2-1
Season to date: 2-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOBBY LIGS

Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals 13.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (271) Dallas Cowboys at (272) Washington Redskins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 46.5 (-109)

Take Dallas – Washington OVER (#271-272)

What we saw from Washington in Week 1 wasn’t fraudulent. The Redskins showed zero ability to run the football against a solid defensive line. That meant lots and lots of Case Keenum: 44 pass attempts compared to only 13 rushing attempts last week. Washington isn’t likely to be able to run the football much better this week against the Cowboys stout front seven, so we can expect Jay Gruden’s offensive gameplan to be throwing the football early and often – good news for Over bettors.

Washington’s defense is a big play waiting to happen –a big play for the other team, that is! Once the Eagles had burned off the rust, they marched the ball up and down the field – their second half drives went touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, field goal, take a knee. The Cowboys offense was clicking on all cylinders last week, putting together five consecutive TD drives before Jason Garrett started milking the clock. They’re more than capable of approaching or exceeding that five TD total again this week in a game that has ‘shootout’ written all over it! Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, September 15, 2019

NFL (261) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (262) TENNESSEE TITANS

Take: (262) TENNESSEE TITANS

Reason: Your free play for Sunday, September 15, 2019 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans. Your free play is on the TITANS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

NFL Rotation #273 Sunday Free Pick Jacksonville Jaguars (+) @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET

Foles, of course, is out for the Jaguars but Minshew did a great job filling in for him after he got hurt in last week's loss to the Chiefs. Now Jacksonville is catching the Texans on a short week after they played (and lost) at New Orleans on Monday Night. When the the Jags are off a straight-up loss and facing a divisional foe that is also off a straight-up loss (and with a margin of defeat of less than 7 points), Jacksonville has covered 11 of 12 games! The system makes sense as you know the Jaguars will be highly motivated off a loss plus now facing a divisional opponent. Also, with catching that divisional opponent off the stinging disappointment of a tight loss, the situation is perfect. That is the case here as the Texans are still stinging from that last second loss to the Saints last week. Jaguars have a great shot at the upset but, even if they fall short, should keep this margin at just one score. Grab the big points. Free Pick JACKSONVILLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Eagles vs. Falcons
Eagles ML (-115)

Sunday night football sees the Eagles and Carson Wentz going on the road to take on Matt Ryan's Atlanta Falcons. The Eagles have all the value in this one for me.

Did any team in the NFL look as bad as the Falcons last week vs. the Vikings? Not for my money, and now more bad news this week for the Falcons O-Line as they had to put their starting RG on IR, and in walks the Eagles nasty pass rush.

Yes I know the Eagles looked terrible in the first half last week but that second half was a thing of beauty and DeSean Jackson looks reborn back in Phili catching 8 for 154 and 2 TD's last week. Wentz finished 28/39 with 313 yards and 3 TD's. Throw in Ertz and Jeffrey and Sanders and Sproles and Howard and that D? I'm not in a good mood Sunday if I'm Dan Quinn.

At the end of the day the Eagles are just the better team, and I'm not sure the Falcons can match the Eagles point for point in this one. They didn't last year either in Week 1 action as the Eagles won 18-12, holding Julio Jones to only 31 total yards.

Some trends to consider. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Lastly, head to head Eagles are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings.

The Eagles have gotten the better of the Falcons in 3 of their last 4 and I look for more of the same on Sunday night. Eagles win this one by 5 or 6.

Back the Eagles.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DWAYNE CONNORS

It's the "black-and-blue" division heating up for a Week Two meeting at Lambeau Field as the 1-0 Minnesota Vikings come calling on the 1-0 Green Bay Packers.



Minny has gone 5-1-1 straight up versus Green Bay the past 7 series meetings, but rather than pick a side today, I am going to look at the total, as I do think we will see the defenses dictate the terms in this first meeting of the year between the clubs.



The Under is 7-2 the last 9 series meetings between the teams, and BOTH teams happen to be coming off Week One Unders.



With their Week One Under, Minnesota is now 5-0 Under the total their last 5 versus teams from the NFC, and an overall 14-5-1 Under the total in their last 20 games overall.



As for Green Bay, with their Under against division rival Chicago on the opening Thursday, they have played 4 straight against teams from the NFC North Under the posted price.



The Vikings only passed the football 10 times last week in their win over the Falcons, so with an expected running clock, and a pair of defenses that have the talent to keep the big play from materializing, going to play the Vikes-Pack game Under the posted price at Lambeau.


2* MINNESOTA-GREEN BAY UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Sunday, September 15 is:

NE Patriots and Miami Dolphins 'over' 48.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Vikings
Bills
Chiefs
Falcons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CARMINE BIANCO

Event: (279) Minnesota Vikings at (280) Green Bay Packers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 44.0 (-110)

NFL - Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Sunday's Free Play is a play on the Total and Under as division rivals Minnesota and Green Bay meet sporting 1-0 records and both coming off good defensive games. If you watched the Monday segment of Morning Joe with the Pro I mentioned taking the best number here with the Under at 46 and it's now at 44 but still playable at that number. Both teams are going to try and establish the run. The Vikings were able to in a 28-12 win week 1 while the pack did struggle in a 10-3 win over the Bears. We'll look for this to stay under the number.

The Free Play is Under 44 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB VALENTINO

New England has lost OUTRIGHT in 5 of their last 6 visits to Miami, and come in a 1-6 against the spread the last 7 times they have faced the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Those stats are something I would normally be interested in backing, but NOT THIS TIME!

After watching Miami allow over 600 yards, while gaining just 200 yards in their 59-10 loss at home to Baltimore, there is not a number high enough that you could hand me to make me interested in backing this Miami team.

Brian Flores is a Bill Belichick protege, but even if Belichick decides to take his "foot off the pedal", this is easily a 3 touchdown win and cover by the visiting Patriots today.

New England looks to be in fine form, as they roughed up the Pittsburgh Steelers, 33-3 at home under the Sunday night light lights for another win and cover. Dating back to last season, the Pats have won 6 straight, and they have covered in each of their last 5.

The Patriots have covered in 12 of their last 18 games played against teams from their own division, and with the Dolphins in a clear rebuild "tank" season, there is no choice here but to lay the wood with the visitors as they exorcise some demons from last season's loss on that miracle 69 yard catch and scamper TD for the game winner by the 'Fins.

The only miracle today will be if the Dolphins don't lose by 30 points.

Pats the play for Sunday.

5* NEW ENGLAND

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock

NFL PITTSBURGH STEELERS ‑3.5 ‑105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday Blitz - Week 2
Kevin Rogers

GAMES TO WATCH

Seahawks at Steelers (-3 ½, 47) – 1:00 PM EST

Seattle (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) faces its second consecutive AFC North squad after holding off Cincinnati in Week 1 as 9 ½-point favorites, 21-20. The Seahawks kept the Bengals out of the end zone in the second half, while Russell Wilson connected with Tyler Lockett on a 44-yard strike to start the fourth quarter to put Seattle in front for good. Seattle led the NFL in rushing last season by averaging 160 yards on the ground per game, but the Bengals limited the Seahawks to only 72 yards on 25 carries.

Pittsburgh (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) had an opener to forget as the Steelers were routed by the Patriots, 33-3 as 5 ½-point underdogs. The Steelers were last held without a touchdown against the Jaguars in Week 5 of the 2017 season in a 30-9 defeat, as New England stymied Pittsburgh’s running game to the tune of 32 yards rushing on 13 carries. Pittsburgh enters this week in the favorite role as Mike Tomlin’s team posted a subpar 3-7-1 ATS mark as chalk in 2018.

The Seahawks have struggled in September over the years by losing their last five road openers, while failing to cover in their past five Week 2 contests. To make matters worse, Seattle owns a dreadful 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS mark away from CenturyLink Field in the opening month. The Steelers have fared well against the NFC at Heinz Field by winning seven of the past eight games in this situation.

Best Bet: Steelers 21, Seahawks 20

Vikings at Packers (-3, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

One of the more impressive efforts in Week 1 came by Minnesota (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), who blasted Atlanta, 28-12 as 3 ½-point home favorites. Although Kirk Cousins attempted 10 passes and threw for under 100 yards, the Vikings’ offense was carried by running back Dalvin Cook, who racked up 111 yards on the ground and two touchdowns. Minnesota led 28-0 in the fourth quarter as the Vikings improved to 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight home contests.

The Packers (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) lost their first seven road games last season before defeating the Jets in overtime in Week 16. Green Bay started 2019 on a strong note with an away victory at Chicago by defeating the defending NFC North champions, 10-3 as 3 ½-point underdogs. Aaron Rodgers hooked up with Jimmy Graham for the only touchdown of the game, while the Packers’ defense limited the Bears to 46 yards rushing.

Last season, the Vikings and Packers finished in a 29-29 tie in Week 2 at Lambeau Field as Minnesota overcame a 13-point deficit to force overtime. Minnesota knocked off Green Bay at home, 24-17 in November to improve to 5-1-1 in the last seven matchups. The Packers struggled off a win last season by compiling an 0-5-1 mark in this situation, while last winning consecutive games in 2017.

Best Bet: Vikings 24, Packers 17

Saints at Rams (-2, 52) – 4:25 PM EST

The last time these two teams hooked up in January at the Superdome, all hell broke loose due to one no-call on an obvious pass interference in the NFC championship. Instead of the Saints trying to run the clock out for the game-winning field goal, New Orleans kicked the go-ahead field goal and Los Angeles still had time to tie the game and force overtime. The Rams picked off Drew Brees and kicked a long field goal to win, 26-23 and head to the Super Bowl, while New Orleans remained at home with what-if’s and an eventual rule change in which teams can challenge pass interference calls this season.

The Saints (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) rallied past the Texans on Monday night, 30-28, as New Orleans erased a pair of 11-point deficits. After Houston took back the lead in the final minute, Brees marched the Saints down the field to set up a 58-yard game-winning field goal by Wil Lutz, but New Orleans failed to cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Brees threw for 370 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Alvin Kamara racked up 169 yards from scrimmage.

The Rams (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) held off the Panthers, 30-27 to cash as slight 1 ½-point road favorites. Carolina certainly looked better in Week 1 than its Week 2 loss to Tampa Bay, but the Rams led from start to finish and put together a stronger offensive performance than its showing in the Super Bowl against New England. Running back Malcolm Brown had one rushing touchdown in his career entering Week 1, but the former University of Texas standout scored two touchdowns against the Panthers.

New Orleans won seven of eight games away from the Superdome last season and defeated Los Angeles in the regular season, 45-35 as 1 ½-point underdogs to hand the Rams their first loss of 2018. The Rams won eight of nine home games last season, as this is their shortest number to lay the Coliseum since a 54-51 triumph against the Chiefs as three-point favorites.

Best Bet: Saints 31, Rams 28


BEST TOTAL PLAY (0-1 last week)

Over 46 ½ - Cowboys at Redskins
These two teams hit the OVER last week against division foes as Dallas scored 35 points and Washington put up 27 in its loss at Philadelphia. This series has seen the OVER hit in six of the past seven matchups, while the Cowboys have scored at least 31 points in four of the last five meetings. This number opened at 45 and has jumped nearly two points throughout the week.

TRAP OF THE WEEK

Although San Francisco posted an 0-8 road record in 2018, the 49ers broke through with an opening week away victory at Tampa Bay. The Niners hit the highway for a second straight week and the expectation is the Bengals are better than they are following their one-point loss at Seattle. Cincinnati has covered five straight games dating back to last season, but four of those ATS wins came as an underdog of 9 ½ or more. It will be tough to see Andy Dalton throw for over 400 yards for a second straight week, while A.J. Green remains sidelined for Cincinnati.

BIGGEST LINE MOVE

The Patriots opened up as hefty 14 ½-point road favorites against the Dolphins at the Westgate Superbook last Sunday, but that number jumped as high as 19 before settling at 18 ½. New England ripped Pittsburgh in Week 1, while Miami allowed 59 points in an embarrassing home loss to Baltimore. The Dolphins have won four of the last five home meetings with the Patriots, while New England is 0-5 ATS in its previous five opportunities as a favorite of 18 or more since 2007.

BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW

Since 2014, there have been six ties in the NFL, including last week’s 27-27 deadlock between the Lions and Cardinals. Teams off a tie in this span have not fared well in the following game by losing in nine of 10 opportunities. The Lions welcome in the Chargers on Sunday, while the Cardinals travel to Baltimore as nearly two-touchdown underdogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 2
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Packers are 10-0 ATS (11.38 ppg) since Dec 07, 2009 as a home favorite with at least five days rest coming off a road win where they allowed fewer points than expected.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Ravens are 0-11 ATS (-7.64 ppg) since Sep 23, 2001 coming off a win where they had at least a 75% completion percentage.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The Colts are 0-11 OU (-9.50 ppg) since Dec 20, 2015 on the road after a game where TY Hilton had at least 75 receiving yards.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:

-- Teams which gained at least 500 total yards in week one are 14-2 ATS. Active on New Orleans and Baltimore.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Raiders are 10-0-1 OU (9.45 ppg) since Dec 02, 2007 as a dog coming off a win as a dog where they allowed no more than 18 first downs.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Ravens are 0-13-1 OU (-7.50 ppg) since Oct 26, 2015 coming off a road game where they gained at least 22 first downs.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Redskins are 0-11 ATS (-13.86 ppg) at home after a loss in which they were up by at least a TD at the end of the first quarter.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Talk - Week 2
Joe Williams

We're hurtling into Week 2 after an eventful opening week in the National Football League. The sample size is obviously still very small, but we're already getting a pretty good idea about a handful of teams, especially those who look like they're going to have trouble on defense and be really, really bad.

Thursday Blues

The ‘under’ connected in the Week 1 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears, and it wasn't even close. The under hit in the battle between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers to kick off Week 2 on Thursday in Charlotte. It's quite the departure from the 2018 season when the 'over' connected in six of the first seven TNF games, while hitting in 10 of the 14 games on Thursday overall. During the 2017 season the 'over' was 6-2 in the first eight TNF games.

The Thursday games have both featured divisional matchups, too. The under is now 4-2 in six divisional matchups during the early stages of the regular season with six more games on tap this weekend.

Divisional Game Results Week 1

Green Bay at Chicago Under (46.5) Green Bay 10, Chicago 3
Washington at Philadelphia Over (44) Philadelphia 32, Washington 27
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets Under (41.5) Buffalo 17, N.Y. Jets 16
N.Y. Giants at Dallas Over (44.5) Dallas 35, N.Y. Giants 17
Denver at Oakland Under (43) Oakland 24, Denver 16

Line Moves and Public Leans

Listed below are the largest line moves as of Friday evening.
Arizona at Baltimore: 41 to 46 ½
Minnesota at Green Bay: 46 to 43
Dallas at Washington: 44 to 46 ½
Jacksonville at Houston: 44 ½ to 43
New England at Miami: 47 to 48 ½
Buffalo at N.Y. Giants: 43 to 44 ½

Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 2 per the betting trend percentages as of Friday evening.
Arizona at Baltimore: Over 94%
Cleveland at N.Y. Jets: Over 88%
Philadelphia at Atlanta: Over 87%
Jacksonville at Houston: Under 86%
Chicago at Denver: Under 84%
Seattle at Pittsburgh: Over 84%

There is also a heavy lean on for the 'over' (83 percent) in the Kansas City at Oakland matchup, and heavy lean on the 'under' in New England at Miami (81 percent) battle.

Handicapping Week 2

We had five divisional matchups in Week 1 (with one already in the books), four NFC vs. NFC battles, five AFC vs. AFC contests and two tussles between AFC vs. NFC.

Week 1 Total Results
Year Over/Under
Divisional matchups 2-3
NFC vs. NFC 2-2
AFC vs. AFC 4-1
AFC vs. NFC 1-1


The ‘over’ went 9-7 for the second consecutive season in Week 1. Perhaps 2019 is going down a different road, as the Green Bay at Chicago matchup is already an under result for Week 1.

Taking a look at the remaining divisional battles for Week 2, here are some important trends to note:

Dallas at Washington: The over has connected in six of the past seven meetings in this series, while cashing in four straight divisional matchups for the Cowboys. In addition, the over is 4-1 in their past five games following a straight-up win, although the under is 9-4 in their past 13 following a cover. However, the 'under' is 25-9 in the past 34 road games while going 7-3 in the past 10 games against teams with a losing overall mark. QB Dak Prescott has led the team to a total of 177 points over the past six battles with the Redskins, or an average of 29.5 points per game (PPG). The offense is averaging 26.9 PPG in the past 10 against NFC East opponents, too.

As far as the Redskins are concerned, the over has connected in five of the past seven games against teams with a winning overall record. While the under is 9-4 in the past 13 following a straight-up loss, the over has cashed in four of the past five following a cover. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven Week 2 battle for the 'Skins, for whatever that's worth.

Indianapolis at Tennessee: The retired Andrew Luck managed an 11-0 SU mark in his career against the Titans, while QB Jacoby Brissett is 0-2 SU while leading the team to a total of 39 points, or 19.5 PPG. The Titans dropped 43 points on the Browns in a road win in Week 1. In their past five games scoring at least 30 points they followed it up with 10, 17, 33, 14 and 12, or an average of 17.2 PPG. And remember, the Titans had a total of nine points from their defense as a result of a pick-six and safety, while another seven came as the result of a 75-yard pass play. The Titans piled up 31 points in the second half in Cleveland, too.

The under is 4-1 in the past five AFC South battles for the Colts, while going 6-2 in the past eight games against AFC opponents. The under is also 10-3 in Indy's past 13 following a straight-up loss, and 8-3 in the past 11 following a non-cover in the previous week. For Tennesse, it's all over all the time. the over is 5-0 in the past five against AFC opponents, while going 4-0 in the past four in the Music City. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven games in the month of September. In addition, the over has connected in each of the past four meetings in Nashville.

New England at Miami: The Dolphins were hammered for 59 points last week in a loss against the Ravens. Things figure to go from bad to worse for the Fins, as they face a Patriots offense which has posted 30-plus points in five of the past six, including 33 in their 30-point rout of the Steelers in Week 1 on Sunday Night Football. They scored a total of 71 points against the Dolphins in 2018, or an average of 35.5 PPG. The Patriots have hit the under in eight in a row when favored by double digits on the road, including twice last season in a 27-13 win over the Jets, and 25-6 victory against the Bills.

Jacksonville at Houston: The Jaguars will turn to rookie QB Gardner Minshew after losing QB Nick Foles (collarbone) to an injury in Week 1. So much for that big-money signing. Minshew wasn't bad in his debut, however, completing 22-of-25 for 275 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in Week 1. The under is 5-2 in Jacksonville's past seven battles in the AFC South, while going 11-5 in the past 16 following a straight-up loss and 5-2 in the past seven following a no-cover. For the Texans, the under is 4-1 in their past five inside the division, and 4-0 in the past four at NRG Stadium.

Minnesota at Green Bay: The under has cashed in seven of the past nine meetings in this series. In addition, the under is 22-7 in Minnesota's past 29 inside the division, while going 4-0 in Green Bay's past four against divisional foes. The under is also 4-0 in the past four for the Packers against teams with a winning overall record, and 8-3 in the past 11 overall. The under usually hits for Minnesota in Week 2, going 18-5 in the past 23 seasons. The total in his divisional battle last season was 45 and 48.5, but this season the total has been steamed down as high as 46 at some shops down to 43.

Kansas City at Oakland: The Chiefs opened with 40 points in Jacksonville in Week 1, and they have hit the 'over' in 16 of their past 20 games on the road, with the total listed at 50 or higher in nine of those games. The Raiders surprised the Broncos on Monday night, dropped 24 points. Last season they averaged 25.1 PPG in eight home outings.The under is 20-8 in the past 28 meetings in this series, but the over has connected in five of the past six in the Black Hole. That includes a wild 40-33 battle last season in primetime. The under is 6-1-1 in the past eight for the Raiders following a straight-up win, and 3-0-1 in the past four following a cover.

Heavy Expectations

There are four games listed with spreads of a touchdown or greater for Week 2, with two games listed in double digits. The totals are ranging from 43 ½ to 53 ½ in these contests and cashing a total could come down to which teams lay off the gas in the second-half.

Arizona at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. ET): The Ravens piled up 59 points in their road win against the Dolphins, and they'll welcome a Lions club for their home opener in Week 2. The Cardinals played to a 27-27 tie against the Lions and an 'over' result. The over has connected in five of the past seven games on the road for Arizona, while going 4-0 in their past four appearances on a field turf surface.

New England at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET): The last time the Dolphins were a double-digit underdog they hit the 'under' in a game at Green Bay on Nov. 11, 2018, falling 31-12. In their past eight as a double-digit underdog, the under has connected in seven of those games dating back to Dec. 9, 2012.

Jacksonville at Houston (1:00 p.m. ET): The Texans are favored by more than a touchdown at home, which has become commonplace in recent seasons. Last season they were favored by seven or more points in three of their home outings with the 'under' cashing in two of three. For the Jaguars, they were an underdog as a touchdown or more in just one game last season, at Houston on Dec. 30. The under connected in that one, and the under 3-1 in the past four road outings as a 'dog of seven or more.

Cleveland Browns at N.Y. Jets (8:15 p.m. ET - Mon.): The news of QB Sam Darnold missing this game for mononucleosis changed the overall line dramatically. The total has been on the move, too, opening at 46 ½ at most shops, freefalling to 44. QB Trevor Siemian will make his first start for Gang Green against a Browns team which was embarrassed in Week 1 at home. These teams met in primetime last season, with the Browns topping the Jets 21-17 in an 'under' result on Sept. 20, 2018.
Under the Lights

Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (8:20 p.m. ET - Sun.): In the Sunday Night Football game, the Eagles and Falcons will tangle at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The under has cashed in five of the past seven games on the road for Philly, while going 9-4 in their past 13 games following a non-cover. The under is also 47-21 in the past 68 games after scoring more than 30 points in the previous outing.

For the Falcons, the under is 12-4 in their past 16 tries against teams with a winning record. The under is also 5-0 in the past five games after racking up 250 or more passing yards in the previous game. In addition, the under is 9-2 in the past 11 when scoring 15 or fewer points in their previous outing. In this series the under has connected in four straight meetings, too, while going 6-1 in the past seven tussles in Hotlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SNF - Eagles at Falcons
Matt Blunt

Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Recent Head-to-Head Meetings:
Sept. 6, 2018 - Philadelphia 18 vs. Atlanta 12 (Eagles +1, Under 44)
Jan. 13, 2018 - Philadelphia 15 vs. Atlanta 10 (Eagles +2.5, Under 40.5)
Nov. 13, 2016 - Philadelphia 24 vs. Atlanta 15 (Eagles -1, Under 48.5)

It's a rematch of last year's season opener on SNF this week, as the 18-12 season opener in 2018 between Philadelphia and Atlanta was one that resembled last week's season opener in the sense that defense and some sloppy play dominated the day. This time around, the Eagles have to be pleased to have QB Carson Wentz back on the field, as Wentz shook off a slow start in the 1st half vs Washington a week ago to lead the Eagles to a 1-0 mark.

On the other side of the coin, it was another sloppy season opener for Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense a week ago, as a 21-0 halftime deficit turned into a 28-0 one by the start of the 4th quarter before a couple of garbage time TD's by the Falcons made the score a bit more respectable. Ryan did throw for 304 yards on 33-for-46 passing, but it was his two INT's that really stifled the Falcons early on in that game.

Returning home for the home opener should help Ryan and the Falcons on SNF, but will it be enough to pull off the upset as small home underdogs?

To start, at first glance, this is a line that looks to be right where it should be in terms of both side and total, as early action this week has come in support of the Eagles and the 'over'. Can't say that's too surprising after what we saw from each franchise in Week 1, but it's not like either side doesn't have plenty they'd like to improve on.

For the Eagles, it's two-fold, as they'd love to eliminate the sluggish start they had against Washington and tighten up their defensive play as well. Hindsight is always 20-20, but the Eagles appeared to be taking Washington extremely lightly in that first half – on both sides of the ball – and they paid for it by trailing 20-7 at the break. They were able to flip the switch coming out of the break before grabbing the lead and pushing it up to double-digits before giving up a garbage time TD to allow Washington ATS backers through the back door, but Eagles fans would like to see the execution and focus that their team brought from minutes 30-58 throughout the entirety of this Falcons game.

Whether the flipping of the switch was intentional or not, teams that go down that route tend to play with fire too often, and even though it's just Week 2, that is something to keep in mind for this contest. There are plenty in the betting market that are quite high on Philadelphia's long term prospects in 2019 (I am not one of them), but consistency effort is always key in achieving success in this league and that's the next step for Philadelphia in the coming weeks.

For the Falcons, it's about cleaning up some sloppy 1st half play as well, although their ineptitude continued on well through the 3rd quarter of their loss to Minnesota. This team has so many talented weapons on offense that putting up 25+ points a week shouldn't be too hard for this Falcons team to do – especially at home. But mistakes in all forms are what hurt them a season ago, and if that becomes a theme in 2019, it's eventually going to fall on the shoulders of the head coach and questioning whether or not he's 'lost' the team. Being back at home this week should help the Falcons clean up some of those issues, but Philly's defense can be nasty when they want to be – see the 2nd half vs Washington – so Atlanta can't expect too much to come easy for them here.

Total Talk

This total has been bumped up a full 1.5 points since opening at 51, and with Wentz and Ryan and all the offensive weapons both sides have, it would only be that side of the total I'd look to get down on. Unless this number eventually gets to 53 by kickoff that tune probably shouldn't change, as being indoors in Atlanta on a fast track should help both offenses.

What could hurt this game climbing over that number is the idea that all the prime time games outside of the Texans/Saints on MNF last week have been an under bettors haven. We've seen too very sloppy Thursday Night Football games now that never even sniffed the closing total, and even that Texans/Saints game needed 13 points in the final minute to push that game 'over' the number.

Prime time games are generally going to get more 'over' love from the betting public and because of that you can find value on going 'under' some of these numbers. However, after the way these prime time games have gone so far, you know the NFL would prefer to see a much cleaner, crisper, contest on the national stage sooner rather then later, and this game has all the ingredients to potentially get that done. Betting percentages currently up at VegasInsider.com show a bit more then 70% of the bets have already come in on the high side of this number, forcing that move, and if you are late to the party in that regard you'll probably want to hit the 'over' before it hits 53.

Side Spiel

Those same betting percentages at the site are showing a number a little higher in the 70's in support for Philadelphia, pushing their number up about a point from the opener as well. Given that underdogs are now 4-1 ATS with three outright wins in NFL prime time games this year, the Falcons as a home dog do have some attractiveness to them in that regard. NFL teams hate to fall to 0-2 SU in a season right out of the gate, and with two division rivals already holding at least one victory, and Atlanta can't afford to fall too far behind this early again.

There is good news and bad news for Atlanta in this spot too, as they are 9-7 SU at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium since moving into the building, but this is also the first time in any of those 16 contests where they've entered the game as an underdog. Underdogs and 'under' have been the way to go in prime time games so far in 2019, and Falcons fans would love to add their team's name to that list of winners this year.

Final Thoughts

In the end, this game looks to be one that's probably best to pass on from both a flat side and total perspective given how early it is in the year and the market action/moves we've already seen. However, the notion that this line and total are about where they should be for this game makes the contest one of those potential games where 'teasing' the game any which way could end up hitting.

A 6-7 point teaser pairing either side with either total is the only way I'm really considering getting action down on this game, and from there it's all about personal preference really. Mathematically it does make a bit more sense to tease the Falcons side up through the +3 and +7 key numbers to go with either side of the total really (or an earlier game on Sunday), and teasing the Falcons side to the 'over' would be my preference here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top six picks for Week 2 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Falcons, +1.5 (729)
5) Rams, 2.5 (785)
4) Bengals, -2 (804)
T2) Steelers, -4 (966)
T2) Cowboys, -5 (966)
1) Browns, -2.5 (2,053)— Spread posted before Darnold declared out

2019 record: 3-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cheat Sheet - Second Round

The WNBA playoffs is down to six teams as the first round concluded this past Wednesday.

In those games, the home teams went 2-0 both straight up and against the spread as Chicago and Seattle posted wins and covers against Phoenix and Minnesota respectively while the 'over' also cashed in both games as well.

The Sky will now head to desert to meet Las Vegas on Sunday while the Storm trek down the West Coast for a matchup at Los Angeles later in the evening.

Those two clubs will meet the winner of Sunday's winners in the semifinals, which are best-of-five matchups.

(Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U)

No. 6 Seattle at No. 3 Los Angeles (ESPN, 3:05 p.m. ET)

Regular Season Meetings (Los Angeles 2-1 SU/ATS, Over 2-1, Home Team 3-0 SU/ATS)

June 21 - Seattle (+1.5) 84 vs. Los Angeles 62 (Under 154)
Aug. 4 - Los Angeles (-4.5) 83 vs. Seattle 75 (Over 148)
Sept. 5 - Los Angeles (-6.5) 102 vs. Seattle 68 (Over 155)

-- The home team went unbeaten in all three regular season meetings.

-- The Sparks captured their two victories at home, winning by eight points in early August before a 34-point blowout win last week.

-- Seattle advanced to this matchup by defeating Minnesota 84-74 at home this past Wednesday in the first round as a 2 1/2-point home favorite while the 'over' (149.5) cashed.

-- Including that victory, the Storm have won and covered four of their last five games. The lone loss, mentioned above, came at Los Angeles.

-- Seattle went 7-10 SU and 9-8 ATS on the road this season.

-- When catching points away from home, the Storm went 5-9 SU and 7-7 ATS.

-- In their last six spots as a road underdog, Seattle went 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS.

-- Even though Wednesday's first-round playoff game went 'over' the total, the Storm were a solid 'under' bet in the regular season (20-13-1).

-- On the road, the low side went 11-5-1 for the club and all of those results are attributed to Seattle's defense that is allowing a league best 75.1 points per game.

-- Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 22-12 SU and 17-16-1 ATS record, the best mark in the Western Conference.

-- The Sparks closed the year with three straight wins at home, winning by an average of 17.6 PPG.

-- At home, Los Angeles was an impressive 15-2 SU and 12-5 ATS.

-- As home favorites this season, the Sparks closed with 12 consecutive wins and they went 9-3 ATS in those contests.

-- Total bettors saw a nice back and forth with Los Angeles this season as the club saw the 'over' go 18-16 overall, 9-8 both at home and on the road.

-- L.A. went 1-1 in last year's postseason and the win came at home, a 75-68 decision over Minnesota as a six-point home favorite.

-- Going back to the 2015 playoffs, Los Angeles has gone 8-2 both SU and ATS in its last 10 playoff games at home. The 'over' has gone 6-4 during this span but the 'under' has connected in the last three encounters.

-- Seattle managed to steal one road win against Washington in last year's WNBA Finals but that was an anomaly. Prior to that win, the Storm had dropped eight straight playoff games on the road.


No. 5 Chicago at No. 4 Las Vegas (ESPN2, 5:05 p.m. ET)

Regular Season Meetings (Las Vegas 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, Over 3-0, Away 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)

July 2 - Las Vegas (-9) 90 vs. Chicago 82 (Over 162.5)
Aug. 9 - Chicago (+7) 87 at Las Vegas 84 (Over 164.5)
Aug. 18 - Las Vegas (-2) 100 at Chicago 85 (Over 168.5)

-- This regular season matchup saw the visitor go 2-1 SU and ATS, with all of the encounters coming in the second-half of the season.

-- Chicago surprised Las Vegas on Aug. 9 wtih an 87-84 win as a seven-point home favorite but it did fall to Las Vegas 90-82 at the Thomas & Mack Center on July 2.

-- The point-spread on those games was Vegas -9 and -7, which is much higher than Sunday's opening number of -2.5.

-- The totals on those games ranged from 162.5 to 168.5 and the 'over' went 3-0 in the regular season. Fast forward to the playoffs, where defense is expected to be stressed, and the number is up to 176.5 off an opener of 173.

-- Chicago came to play this past Wednesday as it dominated Phoenix 105-76 in wire-to-wire fashion as a seven-point favorite.

-- Including the win over the Mercury, the Sky have won and covered three of their last four games.

-- The 'over' has been the hot hand for Chicago, winners now in seven straight and 15 of the last 16 for the club.

-- Chicago is the only team in the WNBA to average and allow over 80 points per game (84.6, 83.3).

-- On the road, the Sky went 8-9 SU and 10-6-1 ATS.

-- Circling back to the 'over' angle, the Sky have watched the high side go 15-2 in 17 away games.

-- Las Vegas finished 21-13 SU overall but it burned bettors with a 13-21 record against the spread.

-- The Aces were strong at home, going 13-4 at the Thomas & Mack Center and they were a tad better for bettors (7-10 ATS).

-- Vegas finished the season with a 98-89 road win at Phoenix but a 1-4 record in its previous five games could be alarming.

-- The 'over' went 10-7 at home for Las Vegas, 17-16-1 overall on the season.

-- This will be the first playoff appearance for the Las Vegas franchise since the club moved from San Antonio.

-- Prior to Wednesday's playoff win over Seattle, the last trip to the postseason for the Sky came in the 2016 playoffs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Sunday, September 15

Trend Report

Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Seattle
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Los Angeles's last 19 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Storm
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games on the road
Seattle is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Seattle's last 19 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Las Vegas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Las Vegas's last 11 games
Las Vegas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Las Vegas's last 16 games when playing Chicago
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Chicago is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Las Vegas
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

My free NFL play for Sunday is on the Indianapolis Colts, plus the points against the Tennessee Titans, in what will be a key AFC South clash, yes, even in Week 2 of the regular season. Admittedly, I thought the Colts would struggle last week against the Los Angeles Chargers, but was highly impressed by Indy's poise, despite the shocking development in recent weeks, surrounding the now-retired Andrew Luck.

The Colts fell in overtime, but most certainly could have won the game had Adam Vinatieri done his job.

This week in Tennessee, the Colts will have plenty of confidence, especially since they've won the last two meetings.

It start with quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who completed 21 of 27 (77.8 percent) for 190 yards with 2 touchdowns versus 0 interceptions and a 120.7 rating last week against the Bolts. He passed for 212 yards and one TD in his only career road start against Tennessee, albeit two years ago. Brissett now aims for his ninth start in row on the road with a passing touchdown.

He's obviously established a chemistry with T.Y. Hilton, who led the Colts with eight catches for 87 yards and two touchdowns last week. It was his 10th career multi-TD game. Hilton is very comfortable as the guest in other stadiums, as he has 27 catches for 424 yards - an average of 106 per game - and two TDs in his last four road games.

Balancing things out is running back Marlon Mack, who led the league with a career-high 174 yards rushing and one TD last week. Mack had 119 yards rushing and a TD in the last meeting with Tennessee, and will be looking for his third game in a row versus Tennessee with at least one rushing touchdown.

Don't become a prisoner of the moment with Tennessee's win over Cleveland, which obviously overlooked the Titans and got in its own moment last week. I think the Browns are better than what we saw, and the Titans will be worse than they displayed.

Take the road team here.

2* COLTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's Week 2 Essentials
Tony Mejia

Colts at Titans (-3/43), 1 p.m. ET, CBS: Jacoby Brissett had an excellent first outing in his now full-time role as Colts quarterback, putting some great throws in getting to overtime against the Chargers. L.A. had some key defensive personnel out and doesn’t offer much of a homefield advantage, so this divisional matchup with the Titans should offer a much tougher test. Indianapolis is looking for a better effort from top linebacker Darius Leonard after a rough outing in Carson, so his encounters with Tennessee star Derrick Henry will play a large role. Henry averaged over five yards per carry against Indy last season but got only 26 touches – one receiving target – in his team’s two losses.

The Colts will be without speed rusher Kemoko Turay (neck), who was disruptive last Sunday. Tennessee is still working with a patchwork offensive line due to tackle Taylor Lewan’s suspension and guard Kevin Pamphile’s knee injury, but that didn’t stop it from a big day in Cleveland and isn’t expected to be an issue here. Indianapolis has won 13 of 15 in the series but has dropped two of the past three against the Titans. To pull off an upset, the Colts will need another big game from RB Marlon Mack (174 yards in Week 1) and WR TY Hilton, who has had plenty of productive outings against Tennessee over the years. Temperatures on the field will be right around 100 degrees, so the better conditioned team should have the advantage come second half.

Chargers (-1.5/47.5) at Lions, 1 p.m. ET, CBS: After surviving the Colts, the Chargers hit the road as a slight favorite despite a number of key injuries. By now you know RB Melvin Gordon is holding out, top tackle Russell Okung is on IR until at least week 6 and safety Derwin James is missing substantial time. Tight end Hunter Henry (knee) and a pair of key corners, Michael Davis (hamstring) and Trevor Williams (quad) won’t play against Detroit, while WR Mike Williams (knee) and linebackers Jatavis Brown and Denzel Perryman will be game-time decisions. Despite all the attrition, L.A. is making and expects to continue a run that has seen them win nine of 10 games away from their “home” environment in Carson. RBs Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson will join top target Keenan Allen as Philip Rivers best options to try and secure another road win, while the Lions will be hoping to put blowing a massive lead and winding up tied with Arizona in the rear-view.

Lions tackle Taylor Decker (back) hasn’t been able to do much and could miss the game after struggling at left tackle against the Cardinals. Top linebacker Jarrad Davis (leg) is hoping to return, while DT De’Shawn Hand (elbow) and corner Rashaan Melvin (knee) are likely out. Top CB Darius Slay will need to help bottle up Allen to encourage Rivers to look elsewhere, so that will be this contest’s most telling matchup. Matthew Stafford had an excellent debut before losing his rhythm as the Lions tried to kill clock in Glendale, but he established instant chemistry with top pick T.J. Hockenson as the rookie tight end, who set a positional NFL record for most yards in a debut with his 124. Lions fans are hoping to be treated to a similar performance and a happier ending despite their team being a home ‘dog. The Chargers have won seven of eight meetings between these teams since 1981, only losing in their last trip into Ford Field back in 2011.

Bills (-2/44.5) at Giants, 1 p.m. ET, CBS: The Bills looked lost, down 16-0 against the Jets late in the third, before LB C.J. Mosley exited and the offense finally hit their strides, scoring 17 points on three straight drives in a run punctuated by a blown coverage on a jump ball Josh Allen was fortunate to complete. The offense is young and figures to be that streaky, but the defense supplied many reasons to be hopeful that this group will be able to compete for a playoff spot. The unit is undoubtedly the reason Buffalo is favored on the road for the first time since Dec. 31, 2017, making this only the second occasion in 13 regular-season games that the Bills are laying points outside upstate New York. They’ll have a regularly healthy squad since WR Cole Beasley has been cleared to play after dealing with an illness, so only WR/KR Andre Roberts and CB Taron Johnson have been ruled out.

New York got off to a nice start against Dallas and then imploded, so the boo birds will file into MetLife Stadium cocked and ready to go if they don’t like what they see. Giants fans want to see rookie Daniel Jones but know its too early in the season to turn on Eli Manning, so he’ll have a grace period of sorts before they turn on him. Saquon Barkley rushed for 120 yards on 11 carries against the Cowboys and should see a much heavier workload considering Buffalo was the top pass defense in the league last season but was stuck in the middle against the run. Sterling Shepard is out due to a concussion, so New York is down to Bennie Fowler, Russell Shepard and Cody Core as receiving targets they can be sure will be healthy enough to play. Evan Engram will be Manning’s first option, but he’ll need one or two of his receivers to come through if the Giants are going to pull off a win to beat Buffalo for the fifth time in six tries since 1999. The Bills’ lone victory came in East Rutherford in 2003.

Cardinals at Ravens (-13/46), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: There are a number of folks on the Cardinals here, hopping on the second-largest spread of Week 2 in hopes that the line is partially an overreaction to what Baltimore was able to do to in South Florida in hanging 59 points on the Dolphins. They’re not going to be able to carry any of those touchdowns over but have an opportunity to continue partying in the end zone if Lamar Jackson’s pocket prowess continues. John Harbaugh has been terrific early in the season throughout the course of his career and has excelled in home openers, while Jackson’s confidence shone through against a Dolphins secondary that is one of the strengths of that tanking, depleted group. Arizona remains without Patrick Peterson due to suspension but did pack Ravens legend Terrell Suggs, who returns to Baltimore on the heels of two sacks in his new team’s Week 1 tie.

Kyler Murray will look to build on finally finding a rhythm against Detroit in leading a fourth-quarter comeback after really looking like an overmatched rookie through the first three quarters. He’ll now also have to deal with a road atmosphere and a veteran defense. Corner Jimmy Smith hurt his knee in Miami and has been ruled out but the rest of the group is good to go since fellow corner Marlon Humphrey was cleared after a back issue. The Cardinals will hope to establish the run and screen game through David Johnson to keep the pressure off Murray but will likely need to hit a few home runs to have a chance to steal this late. The Ravens have won four of the last five meetings between these teams but dropped the most recent one, falling in Glendale in ’15.

Patriots (-18.5/48.5) at Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET, CBS: The Patriots are the largest road favorite in 32 years, opening at 17.5 and steadily climbing. Antonio Brown hasn’t been placed on the commissioner’s exempt list and is therefore available to play if Bill Belichick wants to utilize him. All signs point to him debuting in his newest uniform in his backyard, so you can expect the South Florida native to want to make a splash. Despite the uneven preseason, he should be physically ready to have a massive impact. Josh Gordon shined in Week 1 alongside Philip Dorsett, a Ft. Lauderdale native who will also be tripping over his cleats to get over in front of friends and family. At this point, the Dolphins are nothing more than a punching bag or speed bump.

New starting tackle Julien Davenport, safety Reshad Jones and speedy receiver Albert Wilson have already been ruled out due to injuries, so a patchwork offensive line will be in play for Miami. Defensively, while prized DB Minkah Fitzpatrick will likely get his wish to be traded, he’s expected to be out there for this one. The Patriots have covered only one of their last six in South Florida, which combined with such a large number, should be able to pick up some action for Ryan Fitzpatrick and the ‘Phins. If you’re taking the points, just beware that it’s too early in the season for Tom Brady to be disinterested, especially with so many new toys. Baltimore racked up 643 yards and scored six offensive touchdowns by halftime, so if the Dolphins don’t show up ready to play, another embarrassment awaits. Thunderstorms could factor in, so if there’s lightning in the area, we might see stoppages.

Cowboys (-5.5/46.5) at Redskins, 1 p.m. ET, FOX: Jerry Jones has to be thrilled that he relented and paid Ezekiel Elliott his money since it looks like he’s about to have a lot of fun. Zeke largely played decoy as Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb torched the Giants secondary as Dak Prescott dominated with his ball placement and decision-making. It’s not going to look that easy every week, but the Cowboys will try their best to replicate that effort in Landover. The Redskins lost their top defensive player with Jonathan Allen suffering an MCL tear and have issues in the secondary with Quinton Dunbar (knee) and Fabian Moreau (ankle) likely sidelined.

Washington will turn to Adrian Peterson after losing Derrius Guice to a knee injury and won’t have tight end Jordan Reed due to a concussion. Offensive tackle Trent Willliams is still a holdout, but none of this prevented the Redskins from securing a backdoor cover with six seconds left in Philly after blowing a 17-0 lead. Case Keenum had a productive day and rookie WR Terry McLaurin impressed, so those two will have to hook up for huge days if there’s going to be a surprise here.

Jaguars at Texans (-8/43), 1 p.m. ET, CBS: Rookie Gardner Minshew got the bulk of the work in the preseason and often couldn’t generate much offense. He was working behind a backup offensive line with receivers who for the most part didn’t stick, but it was nonetheless stunning that he performed a complete 180 in taking over when Nick Foles broke his collarbone. Minshew set an NFL record for accuracy by completing 22 of 25 passes and made good on his first 13, adjusting immediately to the speed of the game. We’ll see how he fares on the road against an angry Texans defense that allowed itself to get clipped at the end by a 58-yard Will Lutz field goal on Monday night. J.J. Watt had a quiet evening and Drew Brees was able to get his playmakers the ball without much hassle, so Romeo Crennel’s group will look to atone here against a division rival’s rookie-led offense.

Although Deshaun Watson put Houston in position to win with clutch throws and Kenny Stills made an immediate impact, the Texans’ offensive line played terribly in allowing Watson to spend significant time on his back and running for his life. The Jags will get after him too, so new tackle Laremy Tunsil needs to bounce back with his pass protection while emerging as a game-changing force on screens. Speaking of which, slot receiver Keke Coutee is expected to return. Jacksonville’s defense will be missing DE Yannick Ngakoue and corner A.J. Bouye.

Seahawks at Steelers (-3.5/47), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: Ben Roethlisberger had an awful debut against the Patriots, watching his streak of consecutive games with a touchdown pass end at 26. He didn’t look sharp, so facing an aggressive Seattle secondary will be a test, although it appears that he’s going to catch a break due to injuries. Seahawks safety Tedric Thompson (hamstring), DT Poona Ford (calf), DE Ziggy Ansah (shoulder) and CB/special teams captain Neiko Thorpe are all expected to miss this contest. With Juju Smith-Schuster cleared to play after a toe issue and center Maurkice Pouncey back to anchor the offensive line, the Steelers will at least be better equipped to help Roethlisberger bounce back. No matter how early it is, it wouldn’t be great for Pittsburgh to open 0-2 at home given the projected improvement of both the Ravens and Browns. This is an early must-win and should feature the return of safety Sean Davis (ankle) and possibly CB Joe Haden (shoulder).

The Seahawks will rely on Russell Wilson to lead a young offense on the road. Seattle went 4-4 SU last season but were in most games. Outside of two blowout wins, the Seahawks played six road games decided by a touchdown or fewer. They’ve been slow starters and have gone 1-6-1 ATS over the last few seasons in September. The Seahawks won the most recent meeting between these teams in 2015 but have been shut out on their last two trips to Pittsburgh.

49ers at Bengals (-1/46), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: The 49ers rode a pair of pick-sixes past Tampa Bay last week and are back on the road hoping to start the season with consecutive wins despite Jimmy Garoppolo still working his back into a rhythm. He looked better against the Bucs than he did in the preseason and in practices, but did throw a pick-six of his own and can be harassed into mistakes. He does know how to get George Kittle the ball, which may make the difference here given Cincinnati’s new-look linebacker corps that also have to deal with Matt Breida, who is good to go as the starter.

Cincinnati has yet to clear RB Joe Mixon after he injured an ankle in Seattle but him being able to practice some late in the week is a good sign he’ll at least try to play in this home opener. Andy Dalton will look to prove he can make plays without A.J. Green commanding attention, but has to deal with a secondary that will see Jason Verrett make his 49ers debut and could also feature Jimmie Ward’s return from a hand injury. The Bengals could be without Mixon, Green and top tackle Cordy Glenn, who has been ruled out with a concussion.

Vikings at Packers (-2.5/43), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: With both teams coming off victories, the NFC North will have an early leader setting the pace after this one. Matt LaFleur’s debut as head coach against the Bears came courtesy of a tremendous defensive effort and put Aaron Rodgers’ lack of comfort with the new offense on display. There should be progress in Week 2 at home considering David Bakhtiari and Bryan Buluaga are healthy enough to anchor the line and buy time for Rodgers to work his magic. The Packers play five of their next six at Lambeau Field and lived to tell about a rough night in Chicago to open the season, boosting team morale in that Rodgers was able to give LaFleur the game ball for his first win without any hint of sarcasm. Things are good in Packerland. We’ll see if that continues after the Vikings leave town.

Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer and his defense is one reason Mike McCarthy had to move on since they’ve emerged as a major thorn in Rodgers’ side. The Vikes are 5-1-1 over the past seven meetings and have lost only a Christmas Eve game in Green Bay over the past few years. The elements won’t be an issue here on a perfect day for football with light winds and 70-degree weather in the forecast. Dalvin Cook looks like he’s back to his old self and the offense is completely healthy, so we’ll get a look at just how improved the Packers defense truly is.

Chiefs (-7/53.5) at Raiders, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS: The Chiefs will make their final scheduled trip to Oakland with the Raiders moving to Las Vegas next year, so this one promises to be spicy. Kansas City wasn’t slowed down by Jacksonville or by the loss of Tyreek Hill, who will miss at least a month with a shoulder injury. With Travis Kelce commanding all the attention in the middle of the field and Patrick Mahomes still able to get vertical through Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson, the Chiefs should continue to be the league’s most dangerous offensive team despite losing the fastest player on the roster. This should be a good test for that since the Raiders come in off a very nice defensive effort in beating the Broncos but lost hard-hitting rookie safety Johnathan Abram for the season due to a rotator cuff injury.

Kansas City really struggled against a rookie in Jacksonville’s Minshew, so it has something to prove against Derek Carr, who put the ball where it needed to be time after time in having his way with a Vic Fangio-led Broncos defense. If Darren Waller can continue to emerge as a top receiving target at tight end, we could get one last shootout at the Coliseum for old time’s sake if swirling winds aren’t a factor. Kansas City has won 10 of 12 in the series and three of four in Oakland following a 40-33 victory last season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Sunday odds and line moves: Public pounds Patriots, book desperate for Dolphins
Patrick Everson

The second Sunday of the NFL season features a huge pointspread in an AFC East contest. We check in on the action and odds movement for that matchup and three others, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, manager of The SuperBook at Westgate.

PATRIOTS AT DOLPHINS – OPEN +14.5; Move: +16.5; MOVE: +17.5; MOVE: +18.5; MOVE: +19; MOVE: +18.5; MOVE: +18; MOVE: +18.5

Defending Super Bowl champion New England didn’t miss a beat in Week 1, making perennial playoff contender Pittsburgh look like a JV unit. The Patriots (1-0 SU and ATS) built a 20-0 halftime lead and coasted to a 33-3 rout laying 5.5 points at home Sunday night.

On the flip side, Miami got hammered so badly in Week 1 that sportsbooks are already offering propositions on whether new coach Brian Flores’ squad will go 0-16. The Dolphins (0-1 SU and ATS) got boatraced by Baltimore 59-10 as 7-point home pups Sunday.

"The public just can't get enough of the Patriots," Wilkinson said of bettors' appetites for this 1 p.m. ET kickoff. "People are still betting the Patriots at -18.5. We can't go too much higher. If the Patriots cover, we just lose. The sharps like the Dolphins to cover, and we need the Dolphins to cover very heavily."


SAINTS AT RAMS – OPEN: -3; MOVE: -2.5; MOVE: -2; MOVE: -2.5; MOVE: -2

Defending NFC champion Los Angeles saw a 13-point lead dwindle to 3 points in the fourth quarter of its Week 1 tilt, but got the job done on the road. The Rams (1-0 SU and ATS) were up 23-10 late in the third quarter at Carolina and held on for a 30-27 win as 1.5-point favorites Sunday.

New Orleans got all it could handle in a wild Week 1 finish, also managing to start the 2019-20 campaign with a win. In the final 50 seconds against Houston, the Saints (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) sandwiched two field goals around a Texans touchdown to post a 30-28 victory as 6.5-point faves on Monday night.

These two met for the NFC title in January, where the Rams benefited greatly from a now infamous noncall of pass interference and went on to a 26-23 overtime victory as 3-point road underdogs.

"Right now, straight bets are fairly even, but we've got a lot of parlay money on the Saints. So the public is on the Saints," Wilkinson said, noting the total is also getting attention for this 4:25 p.m. ET meeting. "We opened 53.5, and we're down to 52. Looks like the sharps like the Under in this one."


SEAHAWKS AT STEELERS – OPEN: -4.5; MOVE: -5; MOVE: -3.5; MOVE: -4; MOVE: -3.5

Pittsburgh aims to bounce back from the aforementioned spanking in the Week 1 Sunday nighter. The Steelers (0-1 SU and ATS) mustered only a field goal early in the third quarter as they got blown out by New England 33-3 catching 5.5 points on the road.

Perhaps working in Pittsburgh’s favor is that Seattle will travel cross-country for one of today’s early kicks, a 1 p.m. ET start. The Seahawks (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went off as healthy 9.5-point home favorites against Cincinnati in Week 1, but had to battle for a 21-20 victory.

"A lot of money on the Steelers so far," Wilkinson said, noting the line move belies the liability, as it was mostly an adjustment to Pittsburgh's awful Week 1 effort. "We need the Seahawks by a pretty decent margin. All the public money has been on the Steelers."


EAGLES AT FALCONS – OPEN: PICK; MOVE: +1; Move: PICK; MOVE: +1; MOVE: +1.5; MOVE: +2.5; Move: +1.5

Philadelphia got off to a shaky start as hefty chalk in Week 1, but at least got to the finish line with a victory. The Eagles (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) trailed Washington 17-0 five minutes into the second quarter, but rallied for a 32-27 victory giving 10.5 points at home Sunday. Philly was actually covering the big number, but gave up a Redskins touchdown with six seconds remaining.

Atlanta also got out of the gate poorly and never really recovered on the road in Week 1. The Falcons went to Minnesota as modest 3.5-point ‘dogs, fell behind 21-0 late in the second quarter and lost 28-12. Atlanta’s only TD came with just 1:05 left in the fourth quarter.

"A lot of people on the Falcons, and some sharp money on Atlanta. We like the Falcons too," Wilkinson said of the Sunday nighter, an 8:20 p.m. ET kick. "The public is betting the Eagles on parlays. At the end of the day, I think we'll be rooting for the Eagles."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901PITTSBURGH -902 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 in the current season.

903ATLANTA -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 14-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse in the current season.

905LA DODGERS -906 NY METS
NY METS are 25-16 SU (11.4 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 28-15 SU (17.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

909CINCINNATI -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 18-8 SU (12.5 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

911SAN DIEGO -912 COLORADO
COLORADO is 13-34 SU (-24.4 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

913MIAMI -914 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-22 SU (-18.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

915NY YANKEES -916 TORONTO
NY YANKEES are 66-40 SU (30 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

917BALTIMORE -918 DETROIT
DETROIT is 1-17 SU (-18 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start in the current season.

919MINNESOTA -920 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 56-31 SU (25.4 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

921HOUSTON -922 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 49-61 SU (-24.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

923OAKLAND -924 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 35-14 SU (22.2 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

925TAMPA BAY -926 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 19-33 SU (-19.6 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in the current season.

927CHI WHITE SOX -928 SEATTLE
CHI WHITE SOX is 19-34 SU (-16.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

929BOSTON -930 PHILADELPHIA
BOSTON is 20-44 SU (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

931MINNESOTA -932 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 56-31 SU (25.4 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, September 15


Boston @ Philadelphia

Game 979-980
September 15, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Porcello) 14.680
Philadelphia
(Vargas) 16.059
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+100); Over

NY Yankees @ Toronto

Game 965-966
September 15, 2019 @ 1:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Mntgmry) 14.898
Toronto
(Zeuch) 16.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Baltimore @ Detroit

Game 967-968
September 15, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Wojchwski) 15.361
Detroit
(Jackson) 14.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-140
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-140); Over

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 969-970
September 15, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Dobnak) 15.688
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+120); Under

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 953-954
September 15, 2019 @ 1:38 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fried) 19.547
Washington
(Sanchez) 14.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-120); Over

Houston @ Kansas City

Game 971-972
September 15, 2019 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 17.886
Kansas City
(Junis) 13.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-240
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-240); Over

Milwaukee @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
September 15, 2019 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 17.484
St. Louis
(Wacha) 16.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 957-958
September 15, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 12.805
Chicago Cubs
(Quintana) 18.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 5 1/2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-220
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-220); N/A

Oakland @ Texas

Game 973-974
September 15, 2019 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.487
Texas
(Hernandez) 15.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

San Diego @ Colorado

Game 959-960
September 15, 2019 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Quantrill) 14.753
Colorado
(Gonzalez) 13.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
15
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-115
13 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-115); Over

Miami @ San Francisco

Game 961-962
September 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Hernandez) 14.840
San Francisco
(Cueto) 13.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+165); Under

Tampa Bay @ LA Angels

Game 975-976
September 15, 2019 @ 4:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 14.188
LA Angels
(Sandoval) 15.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+155); Over

Cincinnati @ Arizona

Game 963-964
September 15, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 15.699
Arizona
(Gallen) 14.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+130); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Seattle

Game 977-978
September 15, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Nova) 14.636
Seattle
(Sheffield) 13.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+105); Under

LA Dodgers @ NY Mets

Game 951-952
September 15, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 17.430
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 15.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-145); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 15

National League
Pirates (65-84) @ Cubs (80-68)
Williams is 2-0, 3.65 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 10.64 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 14-9
5-inning record: 7-11-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-23 Over/under: last eight over

Quintana is 5-1, 4.12 in his last eight starts; he is 4-0, 2.00 in four starts vs Pittsburgh this year. Team in his starts: 17-11
5-inning record: 15-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: 14-13-1

Pirates are 3-5 in their last eight games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2-1 last ten road games.

Cubs lost five of their last nine games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten games.

Braves (93-57) @ Nationals (76-72)
Fried is 7-1, 4.37 in his last 10 starts; he is 1-1, 2.84 in two starts vs Washington this year. Team in his starts: 9-1 last ten
5-inning record: 15-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: 17-9-2

Sanchez is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 4.50 in four starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 14-13
5-inning record: 13-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-27 Over/under: over 5-1 last six

Braves won 13 of last 16 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-3 last seven games.

Washington lost seven of last nine games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-2 last nine games.

Dodgers (96-54) @ Mets (77-71)
Buehler is 3-0, 2.16 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 9.00 in one start (5 IP) vs NYM. Team in his starts: 18-9
5-inning record: 17-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-27 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Wheeler is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 7.88 in three starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 16-12
5-inning record: 11-13-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Dodgers won eight of last 12 games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

Mets won five of their last six games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven games.

Brewers (79-69) @ Cardinals (83-65)
Anderson is 1-1, 4.76 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 3.05 in 13 games (11 starts) vs StL. Team in his starts: 11-13
5-inning record: 11-8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-24 Over/under: under 6-3 last nine

Wacha is 0-1, 2.91 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 1.69 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 10-11
5-inning record: 11-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 12-21 Over/under: 12-9

Brewers won eight of their last nine games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-2 last eight road games.

St Louis split its last ten games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-2 last eight games.

Padres (68-80) @ Rockies (64-85)
Quantrill is 0-4, 12.36 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 7.20 in one start vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 6-9
5-inning record: 6-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15 Over/under: over 5-1 last six

Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts; he is 0-0, 9.00 in one start (5 IP) vs SD. Team in his starts: 1-9
5-inning record: 4-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-10 Over/under: 3-7

Padres lost their last five road games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4-1 last 11 games.

Colorado lost 16 of its last 22 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-1 last seven games.

Reds (69-80) @ Diamondbacks (76-73)
Bauer is 0-4, 9.60 in his last six starts; he is 0-1, 3.95 in two starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 2-6
5-inning record: 2-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-8 Over/under: 4-3-1

Gallen is 2-2, 2.61 in seven Arizona starts. Team in his starts: 5-2
5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7 Over/under: 0-5-2

Reds lost seven of last ten road games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Arizona lost five of its last six games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

Marlins (52-96) @ Giants (71-78)
Hernandez is 0-0, 7.71 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 4-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: 6-7-1

Cueto allowed no runs, one hit in five IP in his first ‘19 start; he is 4-2, 5.09 in 10 starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Marlins lost seven of last nine games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2-1 last nine games.

Giants lost five of last seven games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4-1 last 11 games.

American League
New York (98-52) @ Blue Jays (58-91)
Bullpen game Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Zeuch allowed three runs in 4.1 IP (81 PT) in his one start. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

New York won eight of last 11 games; under is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-5-1 last 15 games.

Blue Jays lost nine of last 12 games; over is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six games.

Orioles (48-100) @ Tigers (44-103)
Wojciechowski is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 3-10
5-inning record: 3-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-13 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine

Jackson is 0-4, 12.84 in his last five starts; he is 7-1, 3.11 in 12 games (9 starts) vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 3-4
5-inning record: 2-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-7 Over/under: 3-4

Orioles lost eight of last ten games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-3-1 last eight games.

Detroit lost nine of last 13 games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-4-1 last nine home games.

Twins (91-57) @ Indians (86-63)
Berrios is 2-2, 5.40 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 2.92 in four starts vs Cleveland this year. Team in his starts: 17-12
5-inning record: 15-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine

Bieber is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; he is 2-0, 3.10 in three starts vs Minnesota this year. Team in his starts: 19-11
5-inning record: 16-7-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-30 Over/under: 8-20-2

Twins won 10 of last 12 road games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.

Cleveland won four of its last six games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2-1 last nine games.

A’s (89-60) @ Rangers (74-76)
Manaea is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts; he is 4-2, 3.50 in nine starts vs Texas. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2

Hernandez allowed three runs in 2.2 IP (60 PT) in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

A’s won 10 of last 12 games; under is 5-4 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5 last 11 games.

Texas won six of last nine games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1 last eight games.

Astros (96-53) @ Royals (55-93)
Miley faced 15 batters in his last two starts, 12 of them scored- he is 4-2, 3.43 in six starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 21-9
5-inning record: 16-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-30 Over/under: last three over

Junis is 1-1, 6.50 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 9.42 in three starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: 13-17
5-inning record: 12-16-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 13-30 Over/under: under 5-2-1 last eight

Astros won seven of their last ten games; under is 6-0 in their last six road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-1 last eight road games.

Kansas City won eight of its last 13 games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-3 last six games.

Rays (89-61) @ Angels (67-82)
Yarbrough is 0-0, 3.64 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 7-4
5-inning record: 4-3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11 Over/under: 5-6

Sandoval is 0-2, 5.23 in his five starts; they may use an opener. Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 0-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 2-3

Tampa Bay won eight of last ten games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

Angels lost their last six games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3-1 last ten games.

White Sox (65-83) @ Mariners (61-88)
Nova is 1-3, 7.32 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 6.87 in four starts vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 14-16
5-inning record:12-12-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-30 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Sheffield is 0-1, 4.19 in four starts. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 1-2-1

White Sox lost 13 of last 18 games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4 last ten road games.

Seattle lost eight of last 11 games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-4 last 11 games.

Interleague
Red Sox (78-70) @ Phillies (76-71)
Porcello is 1-3, 8.50 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 16-13
5-inning record: 16-12-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29 Over/under: over 10-3 last 13

Vargas is 0-2, 5.40 in his eight Philly starts. Team in his starts: 3-5
5-inning record: 4-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-8 Over/under: 3-5

Red Sox lost five of last seven games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven road games.

Phillies won four of last seven games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 last five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpires
Pitt-Chi: Four of last five Bellino games went over.
Atl-Wsh: Over is 8-5 in last 13 Welke games.
LA-NY: Last four Carapazza games went over.
Mil-StL: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Cuzzi games.
Cin-Az: Seven of last nine Gibson games went under.
SD-Colo: Over is 5-0-1 in first 5 innings of last 6 Libka games.
Mia-SF: Underdogs won last eight Reyburn games.

NY-Tor: Over is 4-2-2 in last eight Gonzalez games.
Balt-Det: Over is 8-4-1 in last 13 Segal games.
Min-Clev: Three of last four Bacon games went under.
Hst-KC: Under is 10-4 in last 14 Visconti games.
A’s-Tex: Three of last four TGibson games went over.
TB-LAA: Over is 9-4 in last 13 Hoberg games.
Chi-Sea: Under is 2-1 in Tosi games.

Bos-Phil: Five of last seven Morales games went under.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
Colo 17-72……26-66……43
LA 20-67……25-73……45
Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
StL 17-68…..20-70……37
SD 19-68……21-68…..40
SF 10-71……15-66……25
Wash 22-69…..21-67……43

Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
Det 21-71……18-65……..39
Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
Twins 28-71……18-68……46
NYY 21-66……27-75……48
A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
TB 24-70…..22-70……46
Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 79-59 NL, favorites -$1,183 under 65-62-5
AL @ NL– 65-61 NL, favorites -$1,563 over 68-56-7
Total: 144-119 NL, favorites -$2,746 Over 131-120-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 15

Trend Report

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Toronto is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 17 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees's last 19 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 17 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Baltimore is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Baltimore is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Washington Nationals
Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
Atlanta is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games at home
St. Louis is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
St. Louis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Milwaukee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs

Texas Rangers
Texas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games
Texas is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Texas's last 18 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oakland's last 18 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas

Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 14 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Diego is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Miami is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Angels is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
LA Angels is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Angels

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Seattle is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Chi White Sox
Seattle is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Seattle is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Chi White Sox is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chi White Sox's last 16 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle

New York Mets
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NY Mets is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
NY Mets is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
NY Mets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games when playing NY Mets
LA Dodgers is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
LA Dodgers is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three NFL Picks 9/15

100* Packers -2.5
100* Broncos +2
100* Titans -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins

PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Yankees are 16-0 SU as a favorite after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and it is not a series opener.

PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Red Sox are 0-14 SU as a dog off a win as a dog in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not a series opener.

TOTAL TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Royals are 12-0 OU as a home dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they struck out at least ten times.

PITCHER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Brewers are 0-8 SU when Chase Anderson starts on the road before 4:00 local time.

MONSTER TRENDS:

-- The White Sox are 4-0 SU in franchise history as a dog with Ivan Nova when they scored more than six runs in his last start and they won. Chicago was an average of plus 158 on the moneyline in these four wins and Nova produced a quality start in every one of them.

-- The Cubs are 8-0 SU as a home 200+ favorite after they won by five-plus runs and it is not a series opener. winning by an average of 6.38 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 15


Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 605-606
September 15, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
109.661
Los Angeles
114.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 5
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 7
155
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+7); Under

Chicago @ Las Vegas

Game 607-608
September 15, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.275
Las Vegas
108.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 4 1/2
175
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (19 - 16) at LOS ANGELES (22 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-113 ATS (-42.3 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (21 - 14) at LAS VEGAS (21 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
LAS VEGAS is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LAS VEGAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.
LAS VEGAS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (12-12, 5.83 ERA) vs. Phillies LH Jason Vargas (6-7, 4.31)

Porcello has allowed six runs and two homers over four innings in each of his last two starts - losses to the New York Yankees on Sept. 8 and Minnesota on Sept. 3. The 30-year-old native of New Jersey has served up 30 home runs this season - the second-highest total of his career behind the 38 he permitted in 2017. Bryce Harper is 1-for-9 with a homer and three strikeouts against Porcello, who is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA in five career starts versus the Phillies after suffering a loss at Fenway Park on Aug. 21 in which he allowed three runs over five innings.

Philadelphia is 3-5 in Vargas' starts after he allowed four runs - two earned - on six hits and three walks in three innings in the team's victory over Atlanta on Tuesday. The 36-year-old Californian owns a 1.50 WHIP with 26 strikeouts and 16 walks in 41 1/3 frames since joining the Phillies at the trade deadline. Boston's active roster is batting .231 versus Vargas, who is 3-3 with a 3.48 ERA in eight career starts against the Red Sox but hasn't faced them since 2017.

WALK-OFFS

1. Red Sox RF Mookie Betts (major league-leading 131 runs) and Philadelphia LF Corey Dickerson missed Saturday's game with sore left feet. Dickerson also sat out Thursday's contest in Atlanta.

2. Harper has gone 8-for-37 with two home runs, five RBIs, five runs and eight walks in 13 games this month.

3. Boston pitchers are 1-for-19 with two sacrifices and 10 strikeouts this season after Eduardo Rodriguez went 0-for-2 with a sacrifice as he struck out twice on Saturday.

PREDICTION: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (NR) vs. Blue Jays RH T.J. Zeuch (0-0, 5.40 ERA)

Montgomery returns to the rotation for the first time in 16 1/2 months, having undergone Tommy John surgery after making only six starts last season. The 26-year-old was 2-0 with a 3.62 ERA when his elbow issues cropped up in 2018, which followed a promising rookie campaign that saw him post a 9-7 mark and 3.88 ERA in 29 starts. Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-5 versus Montgomery, who beat the Blue Jays with six innings of one-run ball last year and was 1-0 with an 0.79 ERA against them in 2017.

Zeuch, who threw a no-hitter at Triple-A Buffalo last month, goes for his first career victory as he prepares to make his third major league appearance and second start. A first-round draft pick in 2016, the 6-7 sinkerballer made his first start versus Boston on Tuesday, giving up three runs and six hits while getting seven ground-ball outs over 4 1/3 innings. Zeuch came on in relief at Atlanta in his major league debut, striking out four while yielding two runs and three hits across four innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Yankees 1B Luke Voit is 7-for-15 with two homers, six RBIs and eight runs scored during a four-game hitting streak.

2. Blue Jays LHP Tim Mayza needs Tommy John surgery after suffering a torn ligament in Friday's game.

3. Gardner has 20 career home runs against Toronto, his most against any opponent.

PREDICTION: Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Asher Wojciechowski (2-8, 5.51 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Edwin Jackson (3-9, 9.76)

Wojciechowski is pitching for a spot in Baltimore's 2020 rotation and struggled in his last outing, allowing four runs and six hits in two innings to suffer a loss against the Texas Rangers last Sunday. The 30-year-old is winless in his last eight starts and owns an 0-5 record with a 7.05 ERA while surrendering 11 home runs in 37 total innings during that span. Wojciechowski is making his first career appearance against Detroit and is 1-4 with a 5.63 ERA in six road starts this season.

Jackson made his lone career All-Star appearance during his first tour with Detroit in 2009 but is not quite as sharp in his second stint with the team and was ripped for six runs on as many hits - two homers - against the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The well-traveled veteran failed to complete three innings in two of his last three turns and allowed at least four earned runs in five consecutive starts. Jackson earned a win over the Orioles as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays on June 12, when he allowed two runs and four hits in five frames.

WALK-OFFS

1. Orioles RF Trey Mancini homered in each of the first two games of the series.

2. Tigers DH Miguel Cabrera (knee soreness) was removed from Saturday's game in the seventh inning and is day-to-day.

3. Detroit 2B Harold Castro is 9-for-18 in his last four games.

PREDICTION: Orioles 8, Tigers 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.63 ERA) vs. Indians RH Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.17)

Berrios comes in off one of his best outings of the season to break out of a slump, limiting hard-hitting Washington to two hits over seven scoreless innings for a win. The 25-year-old Puerto Rico native had given up 33 runs (29 earned) on 47 hits across 32 1/3 innings over his previous six starts, serving up eight homers in the process. Carlos Santana is 6-for-17 with three extra-base hits and six walks in his career versus Berrios, who is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in four starts against Cleveland in 2019.

Bieber has won both of his starts this month after holding the Los Angeles Angels to one run and five hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings Tuesday. The 24-year-old California native boasts 241 strikeouts to go along with just 38 walks across 195 2/3 innings this season but has served up 27 homers - four versus Minnesota. Eddie Rosario is 4-for-14 with a pair of homers against Bieber, who is 2-0 with a 3.22 ERA in four appearances (three starts) versus the Twins in 2019.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Twins need one homer from Rosario or two from Sano to become the first team to have four players with 30 in a season since the 2009 Philadelphia Phillies.

2. Santana needs one homer and one RBI to top his career highs in 2016 when he finished with 34 blasts and knocked in 87 runs.

3. The teams have each won nine games in the season series and the Twins can win it Sunday for the first time since 2015.

PREDICTION: Indians 4, Twins 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves LH Max Fried (16-5, 4.02 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Anibal Sanchez (8-8, 4.04)

Fried looks to rebound after one of his roughest outings of the season Tuesday in Philadelphia, as he allowed four homers - three in the first inning - and surrendered five runs on seven hits over five innings to lose for the first time since July 6. The 25-year-old had given up more than three earned runs once in his previous seven starts, pitching to a 2.90 ERA with 51 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings in that span. Fried is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against the Nationals this season, dominating Washington on Sept. 5 in Atlanta while allowing just one hit with no walks and nine strikeouts over seven shutout innings.

Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his past four starts, but overall has an ERA almost a run higher (4.55) in the second half than he compiled before the All-Star break (3.66). The 35-year-old suffered a tough loss Tuesday at Minnesota after allowing just two runs on four hits with five strikeouts in seven innings, but it was better than his Sept. 4 outing against the New York Mets in which he gave up seven runs on eight hits over five innings. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in four starts this season against the Braves, with whom he went 7-6 with a 2.83 ERA a season ago.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Nationals dropped to 12-43 when scoring three runs or fewer.

2. Atlanta 1B Freddie Freeman, who left Friday’s game with soreness in his right elbow from a bone spur, started Saturday and went 0-for-4 with a walk.

3. Both teams are chasing franchise records for most homers in a single season: Atlanta has tied the 2003 mark of 235, while Washington is three away from the 215 homers it hit in 2017.

PREDICTION: Braves 6, Nationals 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros LH Wade Miley (13-5, 3.74 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (9-13, 5.06)

Miley owned a 3.06 ERA at the end of August - third-best in the AL at that time - but has seen that mark skyrocket over two abysmal starts. The native of Louisiana took the loss against Oakland on Tuesday after getting pounded for seven runs while retiring just one batter, five days after being tagged for five runs without recording an out in a no-decision versus Seattle. Miley, who went 7-0 with a 2.54 ERA in July and August before his September swoon, is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA in six career starts against the Royals.

Junis has seen his fortunes take a turn for the worse as well, surrendering at least four runs in each of his last four starts. The 26-year-old registered seven strikeouts in five frames but gave up a first-inning grand slam in Tuesday's road loss against the Chicago White Sox, permitting a total of five runs on six hits - two home runs - and three walks. Bregman is 2-for-7 with a homer against Junis, who gave up five runs - including three homers - over 5 1/3 innings of a loss at Houston on May 6.

WALK-OFFS

1. Bregman's 36 homers are the most by an Astro since 2014 (Chris Carter).

2. Kansas City has dropped seven straight at home against Houston.

3. Houston OF Yordan Alvarez, who has registered 75 RBIs in 76 games, needs seven more to tie the club record for a rookie set in 1991 by Jeff Bagwell (82 in 156 games).

PREDICTION: Astros 7, Royals 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (6-7, 4.97)

Anderson has completed six innings only twice in 24 starts this season, working exactly four frames in each of his last three outings. The 31-year-old allowed two runs on three hits and two walks in Miami on Tuesday and is 1-2 with a 5.77 ERA in 13 road appearances (11 starts). Yadier Molina (6-for-19, homer) and Marcell Ozuna (7-for-19, homer) have fared well against Anderson, who yielded one run over 3 1/3 frames in two relief outings against the Cardinals in the first month of the season.

Wacha hasn't won any of his nine starts since June 21 despite holding the opposition to fewer than three earned runs seven times, including each of his last six turns. The Texas A&M product suffered his third loss over that span Tuesday in Colorado after permitting two runs over four innings. Wacha has produced two of his better starts of 2019 versus the Brewers, allowing one run in six frames of a no-decision in his season debut on March 31 and two over six innings in a win at Milwaukee on April 17.

WALK-OFFS

1. Grandal has drawn seven walks in his last four games and needs two more to join Prince Fielder as the only players in team history with 100 in a season.

2. St. Louis 1B Paul Goldschmidt has hit eight homers against Milwaukee this year and needs one more on Sunday to break the club record for most in a single season versus the Brewers.

3. Milwaukee 2B Keston Hiura (hamstring) made his first appearance since Aug. 30 on Saturday, striking out as a pinch-hitter in the ninth inning.

PREDICTION: Brewers 5, Cardinals 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.21 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (13-8, 4.15)

Williams labored in his last start at San Francisco on Monday, picking up his second straight no-decision after allowing four runs and eight hits over 5 2/3 innings. That ended a string of three consecutive quality starts for the 27-year-old, a 14-game winner last season who posted a 4-2 record last month despite a bloated 6.68 ERA. Kyle Schwarber is 7-for-20 with three homers and Anthony Rizzo 7-for-21 versus Williams, who split a pair of decisions with a 10.64 ERA against the Cubs this season.

Although Quintana lasted only three innings and was rocked for six runs (four earned) and seven hits at San Diego last Tuesday, he managed to escape with a no-decision. The 30-year-old Colombian is 9-1 over his last 13 starts dating to June 29, helped by an offense that has produced at least six runs 11 times during that span. Quintana has won all four starts and registered a 2.00 ERA against the Pirates this season, holding the team to a collective .216 batting average, but he must be wary of Newman (6-for-12).

WALK-OFFS

1. Bryant is 8-for-17 with three homers and nine RBIs in five games since receiving a cortisone shot in his knee.

2. The Pirates were without CF Starling Marte (wrist), 1B Josh Bell (groin) and C Jacob Stallings (back) on Saturday. Marte missed his sixth straight game.

3. Rizzo is 5-for-8 with a grand slam and six RBIs in the series.

PREDICTION: Cubs 7, Pirates 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Sean Manaea (1-0, 0.75 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Jonathan Hernandez (1-0, 1.93)

Manaea has been dominant since returning from shoulder surgery earlier this month, allowing a run and three hits in 12 total innings over two starts. He has 15 strikeouts in that span, including 10 in seven frames against Detroit on Sunday. Elvis Andrus is 10-for-21 against Manaea, who is 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA in nine career starts versus Texas.

Hernandez will be making his second career start, the first of which saw him give up three runs (one earned) in 2 2/3 innings at Baltimore on Sept. 7. He is also 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA in four relief appearances. Yohander Mendez followed Hernandez against the Orioles with 2 1/3 innings, striking out six, and is a candidate to eat up some innings in relief Sunday afternoon.

WALK-OFFS

1. Athletics RHP Mike Fiers left Saturday's game with nerve irritation in his right arm.

2. Odor has hit safely in seven of his last eight contests to raise his average from .194 to .207.

3. Oakland has won 19 of the last 25 meetings.

PREDICTION: Athletics 7, Rangers 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres RH Cal Quantrill (6-7, 5.12 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Chi Chi Gonzalez (1-6, 6.56)

Quantrill lost his fourth straight start Monday, allowing eight runs on 10 hits over 4 1/3 innings in a 10-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The 24-year-old rookie has allowed a total of 24 runs and 26 hits over his last three starts covering 13 2/3 innings. “I’m just not pitching very well right now,” Quantrill told reporters. “There’s no one more frustrated than me. I have to figure out what's going on. I’m not giving the Padres a chance to win and that stinks.”

Gonzalez recorded his first major-league victory in nearly four years Tuesday after giving up one run with no walks over six innings against St. Louis. The 27-year-old native of Florida lost his first six decisions but has pitched well in his last two outings, allowing a total of three runs and seven hits over 12 1/3 innings. “He’s thrown the ball great the last two outings,” manager Bud Black told reporters. “The thing that I’ve liked is he’s kept the same demeanor, the same work ethic in between starts.”

WALK-OFFS

1. Colorado has won consecutive series for the first time since recording four straight from May 21-June 2.

2. Padres OF Wil Myers has hit safely in 13 of his past 14 games since Aug. 31, batting .404 with three home runs and 12 RBIs over that span.

3. Colorado RHP Jesus Tinoco recorded his first career save Saturday.

PREDICTION: Rockies 12, Padres 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Elieser Hernandez (3-5, 5.24 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00)

Hernandez settled for his third straight no-decision after allowing three runs and four hits over five innings against Milwaukee on Tuesday. The 24-year-old Venezuelan is 3-2 with a 4.26 ERA in 11 games (seven starts) at home this season compared to 0-3 with a 6.55 mark in nine contests (seven starts) on the road. Hernandez is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA in three career relief appearances versus San Francisco.

Cueto made a triumphant return from Tommy John surgery on Tuesday, holding Pittsburgh to one hit over five scoreless innings in his first major-league start since July 28, 2018. “It’s clear evidence that this man really worked hard,” Giants manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “You see him, he’s in tremendous shape. He was very determined to come back.” Neil Walker is 9-for-48 with two homers against Cueto, who is 4-2 with a 5.09 ERA in 10 career starts versus Miami.

WALK-OFFS

1. Marlins OF Garrett Cooper missed Saturday’s game due to a left knee contusion and is listed as day-to-day.

2. San Francisco purchased the contract of INF Cristhian Adames and recalled OF Mike Gerber from Triple-A Sacramento.

3. Miami claimed LHP Josh Smith off waivers from Cleveland and announced he will join the team in Arizona on Monday.

PREDICTION: Giants 6, Marlins 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH Ryan Yarbrough (11-3, 3.51 ERA) vs. Angels LH Patrick Sandoval (0-3, 5.28)

Yarbrough has not lost since June 13, when he surrendered five runs and five hits in six innings against the Angels. The 27-year-old Floridian, who has gone 6-0 in seven starts and eight relief appearances since the setback, fell to 2-1 with a 6.23 ERA in three career games (one start) versus Los Angeles. Yarbrough did not factor in the decision at Texas on Tuesday after permitting three runs and three hits in seven frames.

Sandoval remains in search of his first major-league victory as he makes his seventh overall start and fourth at home. The 22-year-old Californian suffered the loss against Cleveland on Monday after giving up three runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings. Sandoval, who will be facing Tampa Bay for the first time, has completed five frames only once in his first six starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. D'Arnaud went 4-for-9 with four RBIs over the first two games of the series and has driven in at least one run in five of his last six contests.

2. Los Angeles OF Brian Goodwin recorded two of his team's six hits Saturday after going 0-for-20 over his previous five games.

3. Tampa Bay recalled RHP Jose De Leon from Triple-A Durham on Saturday, tying the franchise mark for most players on the active roster of 37 set in 2013.

PREDICTION: Rays 7, Angels 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Trevor Bauer (10-12, 4.55 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zac Gallen (3-5, 2.66)

Bauer's winless streak reached six starts Tuesday as he settled for a no-decision in Seattle despite allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 6 1/3 innings. The 28-year-old Californian last won Aug. 9, when he registered 11 strikeouts while permitting one run and three hits in seven frames against the Chicago Cubs for his lone victory in eight turns since being acquired from Cleveland - and 10 outings overall. Bauer has made two career starts versus Arizona, going 0-1 while yielding six runs over 13 2/3 innings.

Gallen is coming off a road loss to the New York Mets on Tuesday in which he gave up three runs and five hits over six innings. The 24-year-old rookie from New Jersey has gone 2-0 in his last four turns at home, allowing a total of four runs in the outings and none over 12 frames in the victories. Gallen, who never has faced Cincinnati, has registered at least eight strikeouts in four of his last five starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez is two RBIs away from reaching the century mark for the second straight season.

2. Arizona OF Ketel Marte leads the team with a .326 batting average but has gone 1-for-9 over his last three games.

3. Cincinnati was officially eliminated from the NL Central race with Saturday's setback.

PREDICTION: Reds 6, Diamondbacks 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: White Sox RH Ivan Nova (10-12, 4.69 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Justus Sheffield (0-1, 4.43)

Nova allowed three runs and six hits - including a season high-tying three homers - with five strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings of a victory over Kansas City on Tuesday. The 32-year-old Dominican yielded a total of 10 runs over 8 1/3 frames in losses at Atlanta and Cleveland in his previous two turns. Nova is 0-1 with a 6.87 ERA in four career starts versus Seattle after permitting seven runs in 2 1/3 innings of a setback on April 7.

Sheffield allowed one run, seven hits and three walks with four strikeouts in six innings of Seattle's victory over Cincinnati on Tuesday. The 23-year-old Tennessean worked five scoreless frames in the Mariners' loss to the Cubs in Chicago on Sept. 2. Sheffield, who was selected 31st overall in the 2014 draft by Cleveland before being shipped to the New York Yankees in the trade involving Andrew Miller in 2016, yielded three runs over 2 2/3 innings in three relief appearances with New York in 2018 before being acquired in the offseason deal for James Paxton.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mariners rookie LF Shed Long has gone 6-for-14 while recording three straight multi-hit performances, matching the total from his first 26 contests.

2. Chicago C Zack Collins is 6-for-53 in his first 18 games after going 2-for-4 with an RBI double on Saturday.

3. Anderson is attempting to join Hall-of-Famers Frank Thomas (.347 in 1997) and Luke Appling (.388 in 1936; .328 in 1943) as the only members of the White Sox to win batting titles.

PREDICTION: White Sox 6, Mariners 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (13-3, 3.14 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (11-7, 4.21)

Buehler bounced back from a rough outing against Colorado on Sep. 2 by dominating at Baltimore on Tuesday, when he scattered four hits over seven scoreless innings and struck out 11. The 25-year-old did not allow a run in four of his last six starts and is up to a career-high 201 strikeouts in 166 1/3 innings. Buehler was not at his best against the Mets on May 29, serving up five runs and seven hits in five innings without factoring in the decision.

Wheeler is expected to be one of the best pitchers available on the free agent market this winter and is improving his stock with a string of strong outings. The 29-year-old allowed one earned run for the third straight start when he dominated the Arizona Diamondbacks over seven innings on Tuesday, scattering seven hits and striking out seven to pick up the win. Wheeler is seeing the Dodgers for the first time this season and is 6-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 13 starts at home.

WALK-OFFS

1. Dodgers 1B Max Muncy is 0-for-7 with three strikeouts in two games since returning from a fractured wrist.

2. Mets 1B Pete Alonso is 0-for-15 over the last five games.

3. New York RHP Seth Lugo struck out the side in a scoreless inning on Saturday to mark his ninth straight scoreless appearance - totaling 14 innings.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 2, Mets 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (1-0): Wilson was 14-of-20 for 196 yards and two scores in the opener while defensive end Quinton Jefferson, a Pittsburgh native, fueled the defense with a career-best two sacks. Star pass rusher Jadeveon Clowney recorded two tackles and a sack during his team debut and is working on assimilating himself into the unit after recently being acquired from Houston. "He's been great attitude-wise," Carroll said at a press conference. "His mentality has been great. He's been upbeat, positive and he's been trying to stay out of the limelight. He's being very humble, that has been his approach. ... He's really happy about being here."

ABOUT THE STEELERS (0-1): Pittsburgh never got untracked against the Patriots and running back James Conner was a non-factor with 21 yards on 10 carries. Wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster is the new primary target with Brown gone, and he had six receptions for 78 yards while newcomer Donte Moncrief was a big disappointment with three catches for seven yards while being targeted a team-high 10 times. Rookie linebacker Devin Bush stood out with 11 tackles in his debut, but the unit recorded only one sack -- from linebacker Bud Dupree -- and didn't force a turnover.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Seahawks hold a 9-8 regular-season edge, but the Steelers have won two of the last three meetings.

2. Pittsburgh LB T.J. Watt (hip) was injured in the season opener and is questionable for Week 2.

3. Seattle CB Tre Flowers had a fumble recovery and a career-best 10 tackles in Week 1.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 27, Steelers 26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (1-0): Dalvin Cook has received an unfortunate nickname for the scarcity of his appearances in his young NFL career, but the 24-year-old made a statement with his 21-carry, 111-yard, two-touchdown performance in Minnesota's 28-12 victory over Atlanta. "We need the 'White Tiger' to be there for 16 games, right? He's been special when he's had the football in his hands, and we've got to have him out there," quarterback Kirk Cousins said. The 31-year-old Cousins threw the ball a career-low 10 times against the Falcons and has been held to 215 or fewer passing yards in five of his past six games. Adam Thielen reeled in Cousins' lone touchdown pass in the season opener while fellow wideout Stefon Diggs has scored in each of his last five games against the Packers, with three trips to the end zone highlighting last year's season series.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (1-0): Pro Bowl wide receiver Davante Adams was optimistic in his assessment of Green Bay's new-look offense under coach Matt LaFleur, with the team mustering 213 total yards and converting just two of its 12 third-down opportunities. "There's nowhere (to go) but up," said the 26-year-old Adams, who bids to record a touchdown in his fifth straight game against Minnesota after being limited to just four receptions for 36 yards versus the Bears. A sluggish ground game did the Packers no favors, as Aaron Jones and company rushed for 47 yards on 22 attempts for the second-lowest rushing average (2.1) in the league. Perhaps a return home can jump-start the 24-year-old Jones, as he has scored in three straight games at Lambeau Field and had 93 scrimmage yards and a rushing touchdown in last meeting versus the Vikings.

EXTRA POINTS

1. All 28 of Minnesota's points in the season opener were scored off turnovers.

2. Packers LB Blake Martinez, who led the team with seven sacks last season, has averaged 10.8 tackles in his last four meetings with the Vikings.

3. Minnesota S Harrison Smith, who had a team co-leading nine tackles last week, has three interceptions and 1.5 sacks in his past four encounters with Green Bay.

PREDICTION: Packers 24, Vikings 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-0): San Francisco recorded three sacks in the opener - including one each from first-round pick Joey Bosa and trade acquisition Dee Ford - and the upgraded defensive unit is hyping up offense as well. "I mean watching (Nick) Bosa get sacks, and watching the Dee Ford strip and get fumbles, it gets the offense going," tight end George Kittle told the team's website. "When your defense is playing like that, and (Richard) Sherman gets a pick-six, and Akhello (Witherspoon) with the pick-six. It just gets you fired up. ... When your defense makes those big plays, it just gets everyone excited. It gets the offense moving, it’s just good vibes really, it just gets you going." Kittle's eight catches for 54 yards led the receiving corps as quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (18-of-27, 166 yards, one TD, one INT) had an uneven season debut in his return from an ACL tear in his left knee.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-1): Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton threw the ball 51 times and finished with a career-best 418 yards to go with two touchdowns in his first game running Taylor's offense, and he feels good about where the offense is going. "We know what we're capable of, and then to go out and be productive in a game, especially our first one, it's big," Dalton told reporters. "It's big for confidence. What we're going to do here is going to work. Guys were pleased with the production; obviously we weren’t pleased with the result. With all the things we were able to do, I thought guys were happy with a lot of the stuff we did. It definitely gave us confidence." Wide receiver John Ross was Dalton's main target in Week 1 and established career bests of 158 yards and a pair of TDs on seven catches.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Bengals waived backup QB Jeff Driskel on Wednesday.

2. San Francisco RB Tevin Coleman (high ankle sprain) was ruled out for Sunday.

3. Cincinnati WR A.J. Green (ankle) is continuing his rehab from surgery and is not expected to play in Week 2.

PREDICTION: Bengals 31, 49ers 28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOBBY LIGS

Event: (607) Chicago Sky at (608) Las Vegas Aces
Sport/League: WNBA
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 5PM EDT
Play: Total Over 175.0 (-108)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DWAYNE BRYANT

Event: (269) New England Patriots at (270) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins 19.0 (-110)

1% of bankroll on MIAMI.

A few sports betting sayings come to mind here. One, "pros bet numbers, not teams." And, "the bets that are the hardest to make are the ones that usually cash." Or, "The bets that are too easy to make usually lose." Then there's, "no team is as good or as bad as their last game." All of those sayings fit the bill here.

Everybody saw Miami get absolutely destroyed at home by the Ravens in Week 1, 59-10. And everybody saw the Patriots dismantle the Steelers on Sunday Night Football, 33-3. As a result, we have a major overreaction here, which provides us with value on the home dog. The look-ahead line for this game was only Patriots -11!

The Dolphins stink. No doubt about it. But, if there's one game all season that this team will get up to play, it's this one today. This game today is Miami's Super Bowl. Dolphins head coach Brian Flores was New England's defensive play caller last season, so you know he's had this game circled. He knows New England's personnel and tendencies very well.

No matter how dominant the Patriots have been in the past, they have struggled to win in Miami. Despite being an average favorite of -7, the Patriots are 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six trips to Miami.

And, if you insist on banking on last weekend's results and laying the points here, you should know that since 1991, favorites of more than -17 are 19-1 SU but only 5-15 ATS. The Patriots were involved in five of those 20 games, going 5-0 SU but 0-5 ATS.

Hold your nose and play MIAMI.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (0-1): Foles is out until at least Week 11 with a broken collarbone, but Jacksonville has confidence in Minshew, who completed his first 13 passes and finished 22-of-25 for 275 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in his debut. Minshew benefits from a workhorse back in Leonard Fournette and a receiving corps that showed off its newfound depth against the Chiefs. Jacksonville’s defense was humbled by Kansas City’s high-powered attack, allowing 491 total yards, and will have to do a better job of pressuring the quarterback against another high-powered offense.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (0-1): Houston has a dynamic duo in the passing game with quarterback Deshaun Watson and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, but the newly constructed backfield tandem also got the job done last week. Carlos Hyde rushed for 83 yards just nine days after being acquired from Kansas City and Duke Johnson recorded 90 yards from scrimmage in his debut for the Texans. The defense surrendered 510 total yards to the Saints and had a hard time getting pressure in the backfield, recording just one sack and no tackles for loss.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Hopkins has made seven or more catches in four straight home games against the Jaguars, including 12 grabs for 147 yards in the most recent meeting.

2. Jacksonville DE Calais Campbell has registered 7.5 sacks in his last four games against Houston.

3. Texans DE J.J. Watt has notched 16 sacks versus the Jagaurs, his second-highest total against any opponent.


PREDICTION: Texans 27, Jaguars 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (1-0): Brown, who forced an offseason trade from Pittsburgh to Oakland after six straight seasons with at least 101 catches, was ineligible to play in last week's opener but Brady looked fine with the cast at hand, throwing for 341 yards and three touchdowns passes. Starting running back Sony Michel, who rushed for 169 yards in two meetings versus Miami last season, managed only 14 on 15 carries last week, but backups Rex Burkhead and James White combined for 70 yards rushing while adding five receptions apiece. Julian Edelman had six catches for 83 yards and Phillip Dorsett hauled in a pair of scoring passes, while the defense limited the Steelers to 32 yards rushing.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (0-1): In the wake of the last week's humbling loss, in which Miami set franchise records for points and total yards (643) allowed, media reports swirled that multiple players spoke to their agents and expressed a desire to be traded. "It's never good to be embarrassed like that, especially at this level," said veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who finished 14 of 29 for 185 yards with a touchdown and interception in his Dolphins debut. "What we talked about: Nobody is going to feel sorry for you and your situation." Miami will try to establish its ground game behind Kenyan Drake, who ran the final 52 yards on a lateral in last season's stunning win over the Patriots.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Brady can tie George Blanda (209) for the second-most regular-season wins in NFL history, behind only Adam Vinatieri (215).

2. Dolphins CB Xavien Howard picked off Brady twice in the last meeting.

3. Edelman has 24 receptions and two TDs in his last three versus Miami.

PREDICTION: Patriots 30, Dolphins 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE COLTS (0-1): Jacoby Brissett made his first start since 2017 in last Sunday's loss to the Chargers and performed admirably, completing 21-of-27 passes for 190 yards and two TDs with no interceptions. "He made good decisions, he was accurate and he made those decisions quick," offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni told the media. "He had to because they had good edge rushers on the edge coming after him. So I can't say enough of how poised he was in those situations. He played like a veteran. He played like he had played for 10 years." T.Y. Hilton, who had 155 receiving yards and two TDs in the one of the meetings with the Titans in 2018, hauled in eight catches for 87 yards and two scores in Week 1.

ABOUT THE TITANS (1-0): Defensive end Cameron Wake had 2.5 sacks -- one for a safety -- at Cleveland and the 37-year-old was awarded AFC Defensive Player of the Week for his efforts, which included his 100th career sack. Rookie wideout A.J. Brown stood out on the offensive end with three catches for 100 yards, while running back Derrick Henry had a 75-yard TD catch and 84 yards and a score on the ground. Mariota sat out one meeting with the Colts last year and threw for a season-low 85 yards in the other encounter, a 38-10 loss at Indianapolis.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Titans will retire Steve McNair's No. 9 and Eddie George's No. 27 in a halftime ceremony Sunday.

2. Mack ran for 119 yards and a TD in the most recent game with Tennessee, a 33-17 victory in Nashville, Tenn.

3. Indianapolis has won 18 of the last 21 meetings.

PREDICTION: Titans 27, Colts 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (0-0-1): Arizona is young at quarterback and coach with first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury learning the NFL after a long stint in the college ranks but there is plenty of veteran help around with Larry Fitzgerald on offense and Terrel Suggs on defense. Suggs spent the first 16 seasons of his career in Baltimore before leaving in the offseason and recorded a pair of sacks in the opener to push his career total to 135 1/2. "I have no clue what’s going to happen on Sunday," Suggs told reporters. "I don’t know what kind of reception; I don't know how I'm going to feel. This is a very unique situation for me. This is something that in 17 years I've never experienced."

ABOUT THE RAVENS (1-0): Arizona won't be the only team with a rookie first-round pick from Oklahoma on the field Sunday as Baltimore wide receiver Marquise Brown takes the field for his second game. Brown made an immediate impact in his debut with a 47-yard touchdown grab on his first catch and an 83-yard TD reception on his second catch. "We knew it was there," offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley told reporters of the connection between Jackson and Brown. "Everybody was kind of, 'Wait till the game to really see that thing happen.' But we knew what those guys are capable of and the connection they had just being out in the locker room and stuff. It was good to see it translate to the field."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ravens CB Jimmy Smith will miss several weeks but is not expected to need surgery after suffering a knee sprain in Week 1.

2. The Cardinals placed RT Marcus Gilbert (knee) on injured reserve and signed OL Jordan Mills.

3. Arizona WR Michael Crabtree, who spent last season in Baltimore, is expected to make his team debut on Sunday after being inactive for Week 1.

PREDICTION: Ravens 35, Cardinals 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE BILLS (1-0): Rookie linebacker Tyrel Dodson will have to wait a while to make his NFL debut as he received a six-game suspension from the league for violating its personal conduct policy. The 21-year-old from Texas A&M, who pled guilty to misdemeanor disorderly conduct on Wednesday after facing three charges for an incident involving his girlfriend in May, was on the commissioner's exempt list for Week 1 and won't be eligible to return to the team until Oct. 28. Brown proved to be a big-play threat for Buffalo last week, making a 28-yard catch to go with his game-winning touchdown reception.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-1): New York's defense could be in for another difficult day, as Buffalo recorded six plays of 20 or more yards last week, but defensive coordinator James Bettcher has confidence in his players' ability to bounce back. "I love the character of this group because there is no crumbling at the knees," he told reporters. "There is no pointing fingers, there's a lot of ownership and there is a lot of accountability in this group." With wide receiver Sterling Shepard (six catches, 42 yards) in concussion protocol, more may be expected of tight end Evan Engram, who set career highs last week with 11 receptions and 116 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Giants recorded 470 total yards in their season opener but were just 2-for-11 on third down.

2. Buffalo has allowed fewer than 210 passing yards in nine consecutive games, its longest such streak since 2004 and the longest run in the NFL since Seattle's 13-game stretch from 2013-14.

3. New York placed LB Kareem Martin (knee) on injured reserve and signed WR TJ Jones, who was released on Aug. 31 after leading the team in receptions during the preseason.

PREDICTION: Bills 24, Giants 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (1-0): While Elliott (13 carries, 53 yards, 1 TD last week) was the focus of much of the media attention during his contract holdout, Dak Prescott showed he can carry the offense by throwing for 405 yards and four touchdowns to earn a perfect quarterback rating (158.3). Amari Cooper and newcomer Randall Cobb each hauled in scoring passes from Prescott while second-year wideout Michael Gallup had a monster game, setting career highs with seven receptions for 158 yards. Dallas did allow 151 yards rushing and 470 total yards to the Giants, but the defense recorded three sacks and three interceptions in the last meeting with Washington.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (0-1): Washington already has a serious injury concern as running back Derrius Guice, who missed his entire rookie season with a knee injury, hurt his other knee in the opener and underwent surgery Thursday that could sideline him for up to two months. Veteran Adrian Peterson, who rushed for more than 1,000 yards last season but was inactive in Week 1, will take over as the primary ball carrier behind Keenum, who was a bright spot in his Redskins debut by throwing for 380 yards and three touchdowns. Rookie wideout Terry McLaurin had five catches for 125 yards, but the defense allowed Philadelphia to convert 11 of 17 on third down.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Prescott has 10 TD passes and zero interceptions in his last five NFC East road games.

2. Redskins TE Jordan Reed, who is in the concussion protocol but hopes to play, has 51 catches in 10 games versus Dallas.

3. Elliott was held to 33 yards rushing at Washington last season but had 121 yards and a TD in the rematch in Dallas.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 27, Redskins 19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (1-0): No one within the franchise has been concerned about the holdout of running back Melvin Gordon, and that became more evident when Austin Ekeler recorded 154 scrimmage yards (58 rushing, 96 receiving) and scored three touchdowns (including the game-winning 7-yard run in OT) in the opener. "In the past, I still made plays on the field," Ekeler told reporters after his big performance. "People are acting like I came out of nowhere. I made plays, but it was more limited because Melvin was here." Defensive ends Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram both had sacks in the opener while veteran linebacker Thomas Davis racked up a team-best 14 sacks in his club debut.

ABOUT THE LIONS (0-0-1): Stafford passed for 385 yards and three touchdowns against the Cardinals, with Danny Amendola (seven receptions, 124 yards, one touchdown) and rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson (six, 131, one) making huge contributions. "He's a beast," Amendola told reporters of Hockenson, who accumulated the most yardage by a rookie tight end in his debut in NFL history, surpassing Monty Stickles of San Francisco in 1960. "He's been working really hard. He got a taste of what the NFL is all about and he's a great player, great teammate, and I'm excited to see what he does." Linebacker Devon Kennard posted a career-best three sacks while safety Tracy Walker had an interception and a career-high nine tackles.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Chargers have won seven of the last eight meetings.

2. Amendola's 100-yard outing in the opener was the ninth of his career.

3. Los Angeles TE Hunter Henry (knee) is expected to be sidelined 4-to-6 weeks.

PREDICTION: Chargers 31, Lions 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (1-0): Even without Hill, Kansas City’s offense has plenty of prowess with Mahomes throwing to Watkins (nine catches, 198 yards, three touchdowns in Week 1) and Kelce. Damien Williams and recent acquisition McCoy split time in the backfield, and the latter is expected to take on a bigger role after averaging 8.1 yards on 10 carries last week. The secondary still is a concern for the Chiefs, who surrendered 347 passing yards in a 40-26 win at Jacksonville and were picked apart by rookie Gardner Minshew in the second half.

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (1-0): Oakland did an excellent job of protecting Derek Carr against Denver, as the team did not surrender a sack. Carr found a new favorite target in Tyrell Williams, who snagged six passes for 105 yards and a touchdown, and rookie Josh Jacobs rushed for 85 yards and two touchdowns. The Raiders were able to wreak havoc in the backfield against the Broncos, collecting three sacks and five tackles for loss, but they’ll have a bigger challenge this week.


EXTRA POINTS

1. The Chiefs have scored 25 or more points in an NFL-record 22 consecutive games.

2. Mahomes has thrown at least two touchdown passes in 12 straight contests.

3. Jacobs was the first player since LaDainian Tomlinson in 2001 to record at least 100 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in his NFL debut.


PREDICTION: Chiefs 34, Raiders 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE SAINTS (1-0): Brees stressed the company line about treating this as just another game, but he admitted the sting of the NFC title game loss will never go away. "Still haven't, never will," Brees told reporters when asked how long it took to forget the blown call and OT loss. "But, when you say forgotten about you have to find a way to compartmentalize it to the point where you can move on in a positive way. I found a way to do that, but as far as just the events, you live and learn and sometimes things don't go your way and you've got to find a way to come out better on the other side." Star running back Alvin Kamara ran for 97 yards and had 72 receiving yards in Week 1, while Michael Thomas was Brees' top target with 10 catches for 123 yards.

ABOUT THE RAMS (1-0): Todd Gurley was hampered by a knee issue at the end of last season and managed only four carries in the NFC title game, but he looked pretty good in Week 1 while mostly sharing the touches out of the backfield with Malcolm Brown. Gurley finished with 97 yards on 14 carries while Brown added 53 yards and scored twice, and both will be taking aim at a New Orleans defense that allowed Houston to pile up 180 rushing yards on only 23 carries. Quarterback Jared Goff followed up his difficult Super Bowl performance with an uneven opener, completing 23-of-39 passes for 186 yards with a TD and an interception against Carolina.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Rams S Eric Weddle (concussion, laceration) is expected to play Sunday.

2. Saints WR Ted Ginn Jr., who is questionable due to an illness, caught all seven balls thrown his way in Week 1 for 101 yards.

3. The Rams have won the last three meetings at home, two of which took place when the franchise was in St. Louis.

PREDICTION: Rams 30, Saints 28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE BEARS (0-1): Chicago allowed Trubisky to be sacked five times by Green Bay and now faces a defense that features one of the NFL's top pass rushers in Von Miller, but tackle Charles Leno Jr. is confident in his ability to protect his quarterback this week. "I'm not saying I got a handle (on it)," Leno told reporters. "I've still got to go out there and do my job and perform. But going against those guys (Khalil Mack and Leonard Floyd) in practice every day. I mean, how much more difficult is it going to get?" Tight end Trey Burton has practiced on a limited basis this week after missing the season opener with a groin injury and hopes to play in Week 2.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (0-1): Courtland Sutton got off to a good start in his quest to avoid a sophomore jinx as he made seven catches for a game-high 120 yards. "I thought he made some catches in traffic and had strong hands," Flacco told reporters of the 23-year-old. "I thought he did a good job getting some yardage after the catch also. It wasn't like he was wide-open, but he's a big, physical guy that I can feel comfortable throwing the ball to in some of those situations." Cornerback Bryce Callahan, whose 2018 season ended in Week 14 due to a foot injury, missed this year's opener with - according to coach Vic Fangio - the "same issue" but was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Broncos LB Todd Davis practiced on Wednesday for the first time since suffering a calf injury on July 18 and hopes to make his season debut this week.

2. Chicago on Wednesday claimed TE J.P. Holtz off waivers from Washington and waived DT Abdullah Anderson, who was signed to the team's practice squad the following day.

3. Denver placed Tim Patrick (hand) on injured reserve and signed fellow WR River Cracraft, who was waived earlier this month after appearing in eight games for the team last year.

PREDICTION: Bears 27, Broncos 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ABOUT THE EAGLES (1-0): While it's transparent that wideout Alshon Jeffrey (receiving and rushing touchdown) and tight end Zach Ertz will have significant impacts on the passing game, it's not exactly clear how Philadelphia's congested backfield will play out this season. Speedy rookie Miles Sanders and veteran Darren Sproles each had 12 touches in the opener while offseason acquisition Jordan Howard amassed 55 scrimmage yards on just 17 plays. "Sometimes it's the hot hand," Eagles coach Doug Pederson said, "but sometimes it's based on game plan and who is in at that particular time." Defensive tackle Fletcher Cox, who is nursing a toe injury, has registered 3.5 sacks in his past four games against Atlanta and had 7.5 of his 10.5 sacks last season on the road.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (0-1): Julio Jones, who found the end zone in the fourth quarter to salvage his season-opening performance, has recorded five 100-plus-yard efforts in six all-time meetings with Philadelphia. Another such performance would be Jones' 50th of his career and likely push his receiving yard total (10,762) past former teammate Roddy White (10,863). Fellow wideout Calvin Ridley also scored a late touchdown against Minnesota and returns to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, where he collected six receiving scores in eight games during his rookie season in 2018. Tight end Austin Hooper continues to provide a trusted outlet for Ryan after reeling in a team-leading nine catches in the opener.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ryan has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 16 consecutive contests dating to Atlanta's 18-12 loss to Philadelphia in the 2018 season opener.

2. The Eagles agreed to terms with Akeem Spence and placed fellow DT Malik Jackson (foot) on injured reserve.

3. Atlanta's Jamon Brown will play RG in place of first-round pick Chris Lindstrom, who was placed on injured reserve with a broken foot.

PREDICTION: Eagles 28, Falcons 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Ryan Yarbrough, Tampa Bay Rays (11-3, 3.51 ERA, $186): When we did this column on Friday there was no shortage of streaking pitchers but today there is hardly anybody to choose (besides three of the throwers we already discussed in our Double Play Picks). Yarbrough probably fits the bill closer than anybody else despite giving up 10 runs over his last 19 innings pitched.

Over the long term, the Tampa Bay southpaw is indeed streaking with the Rays 12-2 over his last 14 outings and Yarbrough posting a 2.34 ERA with a 0.78 WHIP over that span. His control has been exceptional with just four walked batters through 65 innings over his last 11 starts.

Today, Yarbrough and the Rays are taking on the Angels and their own young lefty in Patrick Sandoval. The Halos are 0-5 in Sandoval's last five starts and 0-6 in their last six home games. With Tampa Bay 13-3 over their previous 16 contests they hold good value on the moneyline at -160.

SLUMPING

Trevor Bauer, Cincinnati Reds (10-12, 4.55 ERA, $-314): Ever since his last game with Cleveland before the trade to Cincinnati, Bauer has looked pretty awful. The Reds are 2-6 in Bauer's eight starts with the franchise. Over his last nine starts overall Bauer is just 1-5 with a 8.08 ERA and a WHIP of 1.71.

Bauer will try to turn things around this afternoon against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is 1-6 in their last seven games and are batting just .223 over their previous 25 contests.

The Under is 5-1-1 in the Reds last seven games, 6-1-1 in the D-Backs previous eight and 6-0-1 in Arizona starter Zac Gallen's last seven outings. Cincy may actually be a bit undervalued at +135 and the Under 8.5 is worth a look as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 15

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LA DODGERS (96 - 54) at NY METS (77 - 71) - 1:10 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 196-133 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 26-31 (-14.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 77-71 (-6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 8-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 117-118 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 145-153 (-52.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 8-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
NY METS are 38-48 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 221-271 (-73.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-2 (+1.1 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. NY METS since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WHEELER is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.88 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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ATLANTA (93 - 57) at WASHINGTON (81 - 66) - 1:35 PM
MAX FRIED (L) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 93-57 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 43-30 (+12.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 46-29 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
ATLANTA is 45-24 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 53-36 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 71-45 (+18.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 58-34 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 44-27 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 25-13 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FRIED is 21-7 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 17-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 13-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 163-146 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 82-71 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-51 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-45 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-23 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-22 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 11-7 (+3.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.6 Units)

MAX FRIED vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FRIED is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.022.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 7-11 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.439.
His team's record is 7-15 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-13. (-6.2 units)

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MILWAUKEE (79 - 69) at ST LOUIS (83 - 65) - 2:15 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 83-65 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 39-24 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-27 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-27 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-51 (+5.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 525-374 (+61.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 277-182 (+66.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 181-140 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-36 (+18.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-77 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-10 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 131-94 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-37 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-8 (+1.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.5 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WACHA is 5-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 7-6 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-3.4 units)

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PITTSBURGH (65 - 84) at CHICAGO CUBS (80 - 68) - 2:20 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 28-57 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 11-31 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-24 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-7 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-17 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 14-9 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1870-1900 (-270.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 949-936 (-163.3 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 147-125 (-26.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 235-228 (-55.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 905-824 (-152.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 10-5 (+3.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.664.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.5 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
QUINTANA is 5-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 7-2 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

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SAN DIEGO (68 - 80) at COLORADO (64 - 85) - 3:10 PM
CAL QUANTRILL (R) vs. CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 68-80 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-44 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 32-43 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 85-71 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-27 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 88-87 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
COLORADO is 64-85 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 23-32 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 10-19 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 10-8 (+2.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.6 Units)

CAL QUANTRILL vs. COLORADO since 1997
QUANTRILL is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MIAMI (52 - 96) at SAN FRANCISCO (71 - 78) - 4:05 PM
ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 71-78 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-24 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-53 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-37 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-30 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-25 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. MIAMI since 1997
CUETO is 4-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+6.5 units)

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CINCINNATI (69 - 80) at ARIZONA (76 - 73) - 4:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. ZAC GALLEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 69-80 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 29-45 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 19-38 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ARIZONA is 76-73 (+3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-32 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 38-41 (-21.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 943-847 (-110.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 269-269 (-68.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 14-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 50-53 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 (+1.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BAUER is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

ZAC GALLEN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (98 - 52) at TORONTO (58 - 91) - 1:07 PM
NESTOR CORTES (L) vs. TRENT THORNTON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-9 (+1.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

NESTOR CORTES vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

TRENT THORNTON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
THORNTON is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.28 and a WHIP of 1.465.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (48 - 100) at DETROIT (44 - 103) - 1:10 PM
ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 95-215 (-72.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 (-11.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 44-110 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-50 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 55-144 (-62.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-146 (-44.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-80 (-28.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-21 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSON is 17-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 44-102 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 4-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
DETROIT is 10-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
DETROIT is 20-52 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 32-80 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 4-18 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 92-136 (-37.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 40-69 (-26.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

EDWIN JACKSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
JACKSON is 6-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.5 units)

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MINNESOTA (91 - 57) at CLEVELAND (86 - 63) - 1:10 PM
JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 91-57 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 (+11.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MINNESOTA is 50-24 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 400-403 (+53.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 74-40 (+24.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 409-450 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 17-13 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 177-137 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-26 (-19.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-64 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 124-96 (-21.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-68 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-35 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-9 (+0.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BERRIOS is 5-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.016.
His team's record is 6-5 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.7 units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (97 - 53) at KANSAS CITY (55 - 94) - 2:15 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 39-33 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 64-43 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-18 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 100-53 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MILEY is 35-15 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 55-94 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 4-17 (-13.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 21-42 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-32 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 (+1.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MILEY is 4-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

JAKE JUNIS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JUNIS is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 11.30 and a WHIP of 2.163.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (89 - 60) at TEXAS (74 - 76) - 3:05 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 10-5 (+3.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MANAEA is 4-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.130.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LYNN is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.566.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (89 - 61) at LA ANGELS (67 - 82) - 4:07 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. PATRICK SANDOVAL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 99-79 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 179-133 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 85-71 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
TAMPA BAY is 72-50 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-19 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 111-66 (+30.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 67-82 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-37 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 19-30 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-50 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-51 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-59 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RYAN YARBROUGH vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
YARBROUGH is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PATRICK SANDOVAL vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 82) at SEATTLE (61 - 88) - 4:10 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. JUSTUS SHEFFIELD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NOVA is 6-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 103-105 (+1.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-24 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 65-83 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-44 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NOVA is 15-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 11-6 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 14-24 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SEATTLE is 975-893 (-126.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 482-467 (-106.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SEATTLE is 428-382 (-70.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
NOVA is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.87 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

JUSTUS SHEFFIELD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (78 - 70) at PHILADELPHIA (76 - 71) - 1:05 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 78-70 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 22-25 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 20-27 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 42-35 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 26-39 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 11-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 191-121 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 60-47 (+6.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 890-937 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 466-468 (+51.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
VARGAS is 46-27 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 100-62 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-5 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PORCELLO is 2-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.233.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. BOSTON since 1997
VARGAS is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.5 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LARRY NESS
MLB | Sep 15, 2019
Twins vs. Indians
Indians-185

My free play is on the Cle Indians at 1:10 ET. The Twins have led the AL Central for most of 2019 but the Indians were able to pull even with them in the division in Aug. However, the Twins are now back up by 5 1/2 games, after sweeping a Saturday doubleheader (set up by a Friday rain out) 2-0 and 9-5. Minnesota used five pitchers for a shutout in the opener and then rallied from three runs down in the nightcap. The Twins now go for the three-game sweep of the host Indians, who can hardly afford to lose three in a row to open the team's NINE-game homestand. The Indians may not be able to catch the Twins but they are still "right in" the wild card race, trailing the Rays by 2 1/2 games and the A's by three games (three teams playing for TWO spots). Taking the mound tonight will be Randy Dobnak (0-1, 2.25 ERA) and Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.17 ERA). Dobnak is a late switch from Jose Berrios and he will make his third start and seventh appearance of the 2019 season. The 24-year-old has faced Cleveland on two occasions this season, tossing four scoreless innings of relief on Aug 9 (Indians won 6-2) and allowing two runs on three hits in two innings of a game he started and lost 5-2, last Sunday. Bieber, the MVP of the 2019 All Star game, ended August on an 0-3 run in four starts (team was 0-4). However, he was hardly 'lit up' in that stretch (3.19), so it should come as no surprise that he's rebounded by opening September 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Bieber is a 'big time talent," who has 241 strikeouts to go along with just 38 walks over 195.3 innings this season (1.00 WHIP & .217 BAA). Bieber has started against the Twins three times in 2019, going 2-0 (3.10 ERA) with the Indians winning ALL three. How about a FOURTH straight win here? That's the bet! Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing



Parx Racing - Race 4

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta /10 cent Superfecta



Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 2:16P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SHACKLED ROMANCE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHACKLED ROMANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. PINATUBO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MYSTERY WITNESS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or ro ute)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.



9

SHACKLED ROMANCE

5/2


3/1




1

PINATUBO

10/1


5/1




4

MYSTERY WITNESS

12/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

SHACKLED ROMANCE

9


5/2

Front-runner

87


85


86.8


71.4


67.9




1

PINATUBO

1


10/1

Front-runner

83


67


75.2


70.8


62.8




10

SUCCEED QUIETLY

10


15/1

Front-runner

64


58


65.3


51.6


35.1




3

NO HITTER

3


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

71


64


63.2


63.4


50.9




4

MYSTERY WITNESS

4


12/1

Stalker

81


79


76.4


70.4


65.9




5

AWE MUN

5


20/1

Stalker

75


65


51.2


58.0


45.5




2

THREATLOVESMIDNITE

2


9/5

Alternator/Stalker

83


74


74.4


66.0


58.0




7

BRAZEN PRINCE

7


15/1

Trailer

74


67


38.9


53.3


42.3




8

TIZPROCESS

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


66


48.4


56.4


41.9




6

BILL'S MAFIA

6


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


60


45.2


32.6


11.6




11

T. C. TOMBOY

11


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


63


23.1


45.2


27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pocatello Downs



Pocatello Downs - Race 7

$2 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $2 Trifecta ($1 Box) / $2 Half Daily Double



Stakes • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $25,700 • Post: 4:00P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, ARC DISTAFF CHALLENGE FINALS S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES WHO QUALIFIED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO ENTER FINALS. (HAIR TESTING AS A CONDITION OF ENTRY). (FEES. $80.00, - $55 TO JOCKEY (INCLUDES $5 VALET FEE) - $25 TO INSURANCE). WEIGHTS: 126 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LOVE TO REASON BR: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ESTELLINE: Horse ranks in the top three i n TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DUCK DASH N GO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.



9

LOVE TO REASON BR

5/1


3/1




5

ESTELLINE

6/5


6/1




1

DUCK DASH N GO

4/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

DUCK DASH N GO

1


4/1

Fast

80


88


2.6


0.0


0.0




2

WAVIN N RICH

2


20/1

Fast

73


72


3.1


0.0


0.0




3

BETROTHEN

3


15/1

Average

82


82


5.5


0.0


0.0




4

LOOK SECRET

4


12/1

Average

86


82


4.7


0.0


0.0




5

ESTELLINE

5


6/5

Average

97


89


3.9


0.0


0.0




6

KISSIN KATE BARLOW

6


12/1

Average

80


78


4.8


0.0


0.0




7

LOCO OCHO

7


8/5

Average

79


79


4.5


0.0


0.0




8

ROYALLITTLEWAGON

8


15/1

Slow

81


77


6.3


0.0


0.0




9

LOVE TO REASON BR

9


5/1

Average

99


97


3.6


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7350 Class Rating: 50

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS. ALLOWED 1 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BURNING HEART 3/1




# 9 BLACK LIGHTING 20/1




# 6 SILK SHAKER 4/1




I give the nod to BURNING HEART here. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the latest company kept. In this field, this one is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. BLACK LIGHTING - Will almost certainly compete strongly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. SILK SHAKER - Look for a solid pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. With Diaz getting the mount, watch out for this equine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Century Downs - Race #10 - Post: 6:05pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,100 Class Rating: 76

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 GEE FOR THREE (ML=8/1)
#8 MR. IRRELEVANT (ML=8/1)
#4 HOLLYWOOD SQUARE (ML=5/2)


GEE FOR THREE - Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a sharp outing in the last race within the last 30 days. This entrant could be tough this time, especially since Williams rode last out and now should be more familiar with this one. You have to really like that recent race speed figure, 73, which is the highest most recent race speed figure of this bunch. Racing at a similar level as last race on August 25th at Century Mile. I think Hedge has found a good spot for him, and I like his chances in this race. MR. IRRELEVANT - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (seventh). Should improve in this race, with some respectable odds. HOLLYWOOD SQUARE - Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a strong effort last time around the track within the last 30 days. I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form. This thoroughbred has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 63 to 67 to 69 right in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LOCKED AND LOADED (ML=9/2), #5 THE CODE IS GRAY (ML=5/1), #3 CANAVERAL BAY (ML=6/1),

THE CODE IS GRAY - Hard to put any money on this gelding on the win end. Likes to finish in the money though. CANAVERAL BAY - This horse didn't do much for me last time out finishing ninth. Don't expect improvement in today's event. When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to earn a better speed rating than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 GEE FOR THREE to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,8] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $250000 Class Rating: 103

SUMMER S. - GRADE 1 FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 TALKING 12/1




# 7 ZOOLOGICAL 20/1




# 3 PROVEN STRATEGIES 6/1




TALKING looks very good to best this group especially at such a decent 12/1. Make a note that this horse runs with second time Lasix today. Thomas has a sound 25 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. ZOOLOGICAL - He has a formidable distance/surface win record - 1 - 1. He has put up respectable numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 SIMMARD SHENANIGAN (ML=2/1)


SIMMARD SHENANIGAN - This filly ran well in her last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that she was well clear of the 3rd horse, and looks like a major contender in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RUSSIAN MELODY (ML=7/2), #2 KRIS D'ORO (ML=9/2), #8 DAM LOCKS (ML=6/1),

RUSSIAN MELODY - This pony gave a lackluster effort last out finishing sixth. Don't see any hint of any betterment in today's event. KRIS D'ORO - Don't think this less than sharp equine is worth 9/2 in this race. DAM LOCKS - Hard to put any money on this filly on the front end. Likes to finish in the money though.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SIMMARD SHENANIGAN - Coming off her last race with the top speed figure of 62 at Colonial Downs. She is the filly to beat today.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #3 SIMMARD SHENANIGAN to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park



09/15/19, MTH, Race 6, 3.31 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,500.
(PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Win, Place and Show - Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta - Daily Double (Races 6-7)/50-Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) - 50-Cent Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
5
First Degree
5-1
Juarez N
Thomas Jonathan
W


099.1320
12
Default Rate
4-1
Diaz. Jr. H R
Brown Chad C.




098.9924
6
Ronithelimodriver
3-1
Lopez P
Servis Jason
J


098.4030
1
Paradise Pride
12-1
Ferrer J C
Trombetta Michael J.
SC


096.5933
13
Jasiri
30-1
Betancourt J R
Nambo Cesar
FEL


096.4956
4
Celtic Striker
10-1
Hernandez H
Handal Raymond




096.2910
2
Makoto
6-1
DeCarlo C P
Duarte. Jr. Jorge




095.3399
11
Magic Carpet
6-1
Centeno D
Servis Jason




095.0146
7
Bomoseen
6-1
Suarez A
O'Connell Kathleen




092.1374
9
Casper Joe
30-1
Garcia W A
Rivera. Jr. Luis Romer




092.0514
10
Alite
20-1
Torres J
Mazza Joseph W.




091.8917
8
Tempus(b+)
30-1
Hernandez C J
Hills Timothy A.




089.5189
3
Sand Dune
30-1
Castillo I
Hogan William J




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to MTH.


Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


12
17.40
1.30
48.28
14
29
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


1
2.20
1.01
42.50
34
80
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today


13
17.40
1.30
48.28
14
29
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


11
17.40
1.30
48.28
14
29
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


9
2.20
1.01
42.50
34
80
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today


10
17.40
1.30
48.28
14
29
[All Dirt] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


8
14.20
1.42
58.82
10
17
[Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers On From Off


* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



09/15/19, GP, Race 3, 1.45 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 OrLess Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
7
Newmans Fast Girl
5-1
Reyes L
D'Angelo Jose Francisc
T


098.8358
3
Mambo Dancer
7/2
Jaramillo E
Lutchman Padarath
JL


098.5621
11
Total Treasure
20-1
Panici L
Kopaj Paul




097.1519
1
Miss Mariu
9/2
Torres C A
Barboza. Jr. Victor




096.7334
2
Azarch
12-1
Jimenez A
Catanese. III Joseph C
W


096.5053
4
Poesia
5/2
Rios J M
Delgado Alexis
FE


096.1675
9
Kindhearted Kota
20-1
Zayas E J
Sano Antonio
C


094.3964
10
West Horizen
15-1
Santos A
Negrete Javier




093.4611
6
She's No Joke
20-1
Meneses M
Brownlee David R.




092.2690
8
Extra Salsa
15-1
Sanchez H
Fuller-Vargas Laurine
S


090.9014
5
Si Te Vas
20-1
Cruz M R
Jackson Gary G.




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.


Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


3
90.00
1.29
37.58
59
157
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today


11
90.00
1.29
37.58
59
157
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today


1
29.20
1.07
36.62
78
213
[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed


2
21.80
1.04
32.31
84
260
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race


4
21.80
1.04
32.31
84
260
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race


9
21.80
1.04
32.31
84
260
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race


10
43.60
1.31
32.86
23
70
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


5
21.80
1.04
32.31
84
260
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race


* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.