Service Plays Monday 9/23/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports

9/23/2019

GUARANTEE NFL WASHINGTON OVER 41

BONUS PLAY NFL WASHINGTON +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 42.0 (-104)

View Analysis

Redskins have looked quite decent to above average on offense...despite being led by Case Keenum and a slew of receivers no one knows...no Jordan Reed yet and for the game in question...no Guice as the primary back either!
Skins came out HOT in both the losses they've suffered so far...but as the game normalized the better divisional opponent took over and other than garbage time TDs the game came down to the wire not in doubt...either week 1 or 2. The game they just played against the Boys yielded just 4.6 yards per play and featured just 9 drives. The defense Keenum has faced with his new team improved vastly from the Eagles to the Cowboys....and will now take a further step up facing the Bears on Monday night. What the Bears have lacked while they possessed the ball they have made up for by being even better than they were last year on the defensive end.
Bears defense has given up a total of 24 points despite going 1-1...and the Nagy/Trubisky combo ALMOST letting them down to the tune of 0-2 were it not for a season saving FG as time expired in Denver. Trubisky has looked anything but good and now gets a second straight road start no matter how lacking the opponent may be the spot ain't good for the Bears offense at all...and while the defense has allowed 24 points their offense has put just 19 points on the board for the Super Fans.
Vegas is certainly baiting us here with a stand alone game and knowing the action will be hot and heavy from come one come all bettors...and the majority of bettors aren't running to any windows to bet an Under....no matter what defenses are on display...and.when a total pops at 42 they are desperate!

I will have further analysis to come....but want to make sure everyone has a chance at such a great number!
41 and 41.5 (buy the hook) are both solid spots and key numbers as well....maybe not quite to the 5% range but the winner of this game likely has 20 points at most!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI

3 redskins +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

6 - Chicago/Washington GAME TOTAL OVER 41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert ferringo

nfl

5-over-41-chic-washington
1-wash+4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones

2 chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R J White

UNDER 41 CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT

THU 9/19
I've already hit the spread in this game, but I'm going to come back around and take the Under as well. Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears offense have looked pretty awful so far, and I don't know how you trust them on the road. But Chicago has one of the best defenses in the league, and you have to figure they'll show up in primetime. This should be just like the first two Bears game, with not a lot of scoring in the cards.

13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +90

ATLANTA +1.5
ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
The Falcons come into this game as the healthier team, with the Colts banged up in particular on defense. I like the matchup of Matt Ryan vs. Jacoby Brissett considering that we're on the side getting points. The Falcons defense ranks top eight in net yards allowed per pass attempt and yards allowed per rush attempt, so that defense has played well through two weeks despite tough matchups. The Falcons' receiving weapons should win out in this battle, and I like the Falcons in an indoor game when they go on the road.

13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
21-7-1 IN LAST 29 IND ATS PICKS | +1317

24-11 IN LAST 35 ATL ATS PICKS | +1176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

WASHINGTON +4


CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
The Redskins’ flailing defense is about to get some relief. Chicago has scored only 19 points -- three on the final play of its last game on a mile-long field goal. QB Mitch Trubisky has not caught onto coach Matt Nagy’s offense. No such team should be spotting four points to anyone aside from Miami. In fact, Washington QB Case Keenum, a placeholder for rookie Dwayne Haskins, has been better than Trubisky. An extra day to prepare could allow various injured Redskins enough time to mend. If the heightened home-field advantage on Monday night kicks in, the ’Skins, in desperation mode at 0-2, could win outright.

8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
13-5 IN LAST 18 WAS ATS PICKS | +743

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt


WASHINGTON +4


CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
This Bears defense is still every bit as good as advertised, which is good because the offense has been anemic and quarterback Mitch Trubisky seems to be regressing week to week. Trubisky has only thrown for 238 yards and doesn't have a passing TD so far en route to a 22.1 QBR. Washington had looked downright capable in the first half of games against Philadelphia and Dallas, only to fade in both down the stretch. This is a game for the Redskins to finally figure it out for four quarters, and for more questions about Trubisky to be asked in Chicago.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
13-7 IN LAST 20 WAS ATS PICKS | +511

9-7-1 IN LAST 17 CHI ATS PICKS | +124

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

3% Chicago (-3-) 8:15 PM ET Monday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh


BOSTON +1.5


BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 9/23 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:38 PM
Take the Red Sox on the run line Monday at -119, as they're covering in about two-thirds of my simulations. Boston has been eliminated but has been very competitive in this series, including a 7-4 win Sunday.

169-135 IN LAST 304 MLB PICKS | +2926
11-5 IN LAST 16 TB ATS PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


WASHINGTON +4


CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Matt Nagy does not believe in his quarterback. That was evident in Chicago's offensive gameplan against Denver on the road last weekend, and it will be clear again on the road against Washington. The Bears are going to win this game, but if his coach isn't willing to, why should I trust Mitch Trubisky as a road favorite?

9-3 IN LAST 12 NFL PICKS | +574
3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ATS PICKS | +194

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3* Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

3% Bears -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mti stl -145

[dawggy]

ROB VENO

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-103)

View Analysis

Game: (955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+110)

View Analysis

[dawggy]

Teyas Sports

9/23/2019

GUARANTEE NFL WASHINGTON OVER 41

BONUS PLAY NFL WASHINGTON +4




9/23/2019

GUARANTEE MLB BOSTON OVER 8 1/2 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS MLB PLAYS ARE FREE

BONUS PLAYS MLB BOSTON +175 NY METS OVER 8 1/2 ST. LOUIS -145 & UNDER 9

[golden contender]

Monday Night Football rare 6* play is up and backed with a league wide system that has won 25 straight times. We also have another MLB Power System Side. MLB Com p totals play below.

On Monday the MLB Comp totals play is on the Over in the Baltimore at Toronto game at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays over for road dogs off a home favored win despite scoring 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits vs a team like Toronto that is off a road dog loss. This system has cashed 83% overs ling term. The Jays have flown over 9 of 11 on Mondays, 6 of 8 vs the Division and the last 5 vs a righty. Buchholz has an Era over 9 in his last 3 starts. Look for this game to play over the total tonight. On Monday we have a Rare 6* Top play from a 25-0 System that goes on Monday night football. We also have another perfect system play in MLB Action where we are on a 42-15 run. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free play. Take the Jays and the Orioles over the 9.5 run total. RV- GC Sports

[havoc3011]

Millerlocks








8:15 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://0) NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. WASHINGTON REDSKINS

PICK: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +5 (-100)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:15 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://1) NFL
CHICAGO BEARS VS. WASHINGTON REDSKINS

PICK: UNDER 42 (-117)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:40 PM EST (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/x-apple-data-detectors://2) MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

PICK: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (-137)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

60 Dimes - Washington Redskins First Half +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

MLB
Mets ML (-230)

NFL
Bears/Redskins OVER 41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports Consensus

NFL
8u Bears/Redskins UNDER 41.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Mill/ Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #959/960 Boston/Tampa Bay OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI

4.5-Star Chicago at Washington UNDER 41 - The Bears qualify for a league-wide, multi-season system involving good teams playing their second straight road game. NFL teams that won more than ten games the previous regular season are 0-25 OU when they are off a road game and they are visiting a team that has averaged more than 35.5 passes per game season-to-date. The SDQL text is:

A and 10=20160103

The Redskins were outgained 474-to-265 by the Cowboys last week, so the Bears have to feel like they are not going to be shut down by the Redskins defense. This gives them the luxury of playing conservatively on offense and waiting for the Redskins to shoot themselves in the foot. Indeed. Teams that won more than ten games the previous regular season are 0-19 OU on grass when they are off a win as a road favorite and they are facing a team that allowed at least 395 yards in their previous game. The SDQL for this one is:

surface=grass and 10=395 and date>=20151000

Fitting in nicely to this line of reasoning is the fact that the Bears are 0-8 OU (-12.50 ppg) when facing a team with a lower regular season win line.

team=Bears and RSWL>o:RSWL and date>=20161204

The Redskins also qualify for a recently emerging system that states, Teams are 0-15 OU (-8.47 ppg) at home on grass after a loss as a home dog. This one has produced two UNDERS this season.


The Bears have scored a total of 19 points in their first two games this season. The Redskins have a chance here if they dont give the ball away, and this indicates a low scoring game. Washington is 0-8 OU facing a team that is averaging more first downs than offensive points. The SDQL here is:

team=Redskins and oS(7*RTD+7*PTD+3*FG)=20171123

In their last four games in this spot, the Redskins have scored: 10, 9, 13 and 16 points.

Finally, it is just worth mentioning that Washington is 0-11 OU as a dog on grass when they are off a TD-plus loss in which they did not have a field goal. The SDQL text is:

team=Redskins and D and surface=grass and p:margin<=-7 and p:field goals=0 and season >= 2010

In their two qualifying games from last season in this spot they scored 16 points in each game and won them both. We make the play the UNDER.

MTis FORECAST: REDSKINS 16 Bears 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

parlaypayoff

2-Teamer
Redskins +5.5
OVER 41 Bears/Redskins

[Phillies35]

Any NFAC ?

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago Bears -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

#490 4% WASHINGTON -4

On the Bears side we have the leagues best D, or at least to 3, while the Redskins have allowed 6.7 yards/play. When looking at the offenses the Skins surprised the Eagles jumping out to a 21-0 lead but gained just 377 the last 6 quarters.With Washington averaging just 38 YPG rushing and 2.5 YPC Case Keenum will be pressured often. Bears offense hasn't looked good but can make a case that GB and Den and a much better duo than the Redskins have faced.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Now, let's go forward to today's Pythagorean picks:

1* Star pick: Washington Redskins (point spread) - This is a straight bet, NOT a series bet. If the Redskins lose today, do not double up on them again next time. We will record the Redskins as a loss if they lose today, and a win if they win today on this 100% pure plain and simple straight wager.

All the best,
The Champ Team

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

mets/Miami Under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

100% NFL MONDAY NIGHT ELITE INFO WAGER

Redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Marquee

Bears Under 41

[B*mb07]

Executive 200% Bears -5 (up 225% this week) 6-3 this week lost top play 600% Az St

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (959) Boston Red Sox at (960) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 8 (-118)

View Analysis

Action v. Snell

Joulys Chacin should be the more primary starter tonight yet again for the Sox ( he has gone 2 to 3 innings in each offering with Boston)...with the lefty Snell on the mound for the Rays, with his second stint of the IL for the likely playoff bound Tampa Bay, who will go maybe 3 innings tonight and be on a certain pitch count as they hope to count on him for a significant role if the playoffs include a series!

Chacin has not had a ton of opportunity since coming over from the NL, but what he has done has been middling at best, and does not inspire confidence against a team who needs to shake off a loss yesterday and solidify a W. His metrics have either belied his stats or his stats belie his metrics...so the confusion abounds...he allowed 4 runs to the Giants and boasted a near sub-2.00 xFIP and allowed no runs to the Blue Jays boasting a near 7.00 xFIP.

Neither offensive lineup inspires a ton of confidence lately in the spot against the starter's handedness or away/home split, but the total here is now just a mere 8 runs!

The Red Sox have not gone Under in the last 6 games period...dead even with the Rays in their last 6 games period. The Sox games have averaged nearly 11 runs while the Rays games have averaged over 10 runs. ROI for both teams is a wild 75+%.

Craig Conroy behind the plate to day is a very SOLID Over umpire play...and I like the Sox to continue to be scrappy to end the season with a smidge of a new found spoiler glory. Mookie is back in the lineup and with the away team what I consider a possible live dog I like the Over even more at this tiny number...with all 18 half inning at bats potentially occurring. His games go Over at a 65% clip with a 17 Over 9 Under record this season, with a combined ERA of 5.4 and an average of 11.5+ runs in each game.

Last 40 AL games going back to 8/1 with a total 8.5 or lower (rare occurrence) have gone over 24 and Under just 16 times for a 12% ROI.



All analysis we have here with a solid cushion and the DH for both teams with an AL total scream to plus the umpire that despite the stud Snell getting back into the swing of things...runs will be scored early AND late and we can get to a 4-4 type game before this contest is 2/3 over!

Game: (955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-115)

View Analysis

Wainwright v. Young

Pitching, pitching, and more pitching here tonight in AZ. The Cards clinched a playoff berth and they do have their (ahem) ace(?) on the mound tonight to follow up in a game that is still very important to secure the division and avoid a one game tiebreaker and one game wild card potential situation. Waino is the right man for the job as he has had great success against the Snakes confirmed lineup for tonight...holding them to a .164 BAA and a .189 wOBA and 2.32 FIP! The Dbacks woes have continued and the season has taken a very grim turn....leading to a homestand against the Cardinals that looked a few weeks ago to be an amazing final week lookahead...now the home squad is only not eliminated because the official word cannot be used...but it's basically Over.

On the pro side we have the Cards who certainly have a letdow offense spot, not great against LHP of late...and Alex Young likely allowing this inflated number due to what appears to be some terrible recent starts....but so many of the runs were unearned and belie his metrics. He has allowed 8 runs in the previous 2 starts over not even 8 innings, but merely 2 earned runs.

Jeremy Rehak as the HPU is a great spot for an NL Under with 9 of 13 NL contests going Under and 10 of 14 Unders when a RHP faces a LHP.

This first 5 Under 5 runs is a solid gift and we shall take it and run and move on to Tuesday!

[Packerman]

Which is it. You have Chicago and then Washington

below is is what I saw on another site


Ralph Michaels 4% [NFL] (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins

Time: 8:15 PM EDT Chicago Bears -5.5 (-112)
Analysis:
#489 Chicago -5.5

On the Bears side we have the leagues best D, or at least to 3, while the Redskins have allowed 6.7 yards/play. When looking at the offenses the Skins surprised the Eagles jumping out to a 21-0 lead but gained just 377 the last 6 quarters.With Washington averaging just 38 YPG rushing and 2.5 YPC Case Keenum will be pressured often. Bears offense hasn't looked good but can make a case that GB and Den and a much better duo than the Redskins have faced.




RALPH MICHAELS

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago Bears -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

#490 4% WASHINGTON -4

On the Bears side we have the leagues best D, or at least to 3, while the Redskins have allowed 6.7 yards/play. When looking at the offenses the Skins surprised the Eagles jumping out to a 21-0 lead but gained just 377 the last 6 quarters.With Washington averaging just 38 YPG rushing and 2.5 YPC Case Keenum will be pressured often. Bears offense hasn't looked good but can make a case that GB and Den and a much better duo than the Redskins have faced.

[dawggy]

Which is it. You have Chicago and then Washington

below is is what I saw on another site


Ralph Michaels 4% [NFL] (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins

Time: 8:15 PM EDT Chicago Bears -5.5 (-112)
Analysis:
#489 Chicago -5.5

On the Bears side we have the leagues best D, or at least to 3, while the Redskins have allowed 6.7 yards/play. When looking at the offenses the Skins surprised the Eagles jumping out to a 21-0 lead but gained just 377 the last 6 quarters.With Washington averaging just 38 YPG rushing and 2.5 YPC Case Keenum will be pressured often. Bears offense hasn't looked good but can make a case that GB and Den and a much better duo than the Redskins have faced.

RALPH MICHAELS

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago Bears -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

#491 4% CHICAGO-4/ now -5-5



I'd like to APOLOGIZE to everyone om my mistake posting this play on Saturday. THE PLAY IS CHICAGO minus the points.

If you bet the other side I would suggest buying it back. Please email me if you do have to buy back and I will have credit issued for the 10% it cost on your wager (ralph@wagertalk.com)



On the Bears side we have the leagues best D, or at least to 3, while the Redskins have allowed 6.7 yards/play. When looking at the offenses the Skins surprised the Eagles jumping out to a 21-0 lead but gained just 377 the last 6 quarters.With Washington averaging just 38 YPG rushing and 2.5 YPC Case Keenum will be pressured often. Bears offense hasn't looked good but can make a case that GB and Den and a much better duo than the Redskins have faced.

BRYAN LEONARD

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 4%
Play: --

View Analysis

--BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH
Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 4%
Play: --

View Analysis

--

BASEBALL PLAYS

DIAMOND GEM GOW
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 4%
Play: --

View Analysis

--MARCO D'ANGELO

FOOTBALL PLAYS

MNF BEARS/REDSKINS WINNER
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 3%
Play: --

View Analysis

--Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 4%
Play: --

View Analysis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Over Redskin/Bears

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 Mets RL , 300 Red Sox , 400 dbacks game under , 400 2 team teaser redskins and the over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL(Bob Balfe)
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #489-490
Bears -5 over Redskins
Bears/Redskins Over 41
Mitch Trubisky has been historically bad in prime time matchups. Could it be he played against good defenses? Who knows, but tonight he is facing a Redskins Defense that is bad. To make matter worse the Redskins are very thin in their already bad secondary. Quinton Dunbar is hurt, Josh Norman has been beaten this year, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie just went on IR, they released Stroman earlier this year and the secondary has been lost. Trey Burton is working his way back to form for the Bears and I believe Trubisky has a rock solid night tonight. The Redskins are not as bad as their record. This team has put up points, but they can’t play four full quarters and have a tendency to give up any lead they have. I think the Bears are an overall better football team and over four quarters should pull away. I am not sold on Jay Gruden being a head coach in this league. The NFL had a conference call on holding penalties over the weekend because the Thursday Night Game was unwatchable. This weekend holding calls were down which is huge for offenses in this league. 41 points is low in the NFL and I would only consider taking an under with two good defenses. Washington’s Defense is not good. I think the Bears can put up 30 points tonight. Chicago played two pretty good defenses to start the year so I am not concerned just yet with them moving the football. I think this is a perfect scenario to play the side and total. Take the Bears and the Over.

MLB
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #959-960
Red Sox +1.5 runs over Rays -120
Cachin/Snell
The Red Sox season is over, but they would love to send Tampa golfing with them.The Rays are in a wild card showdown with the Indians.Boston is a good road team and they can put up runs.On any given night they can simply outscore you.This line is set so high because Tampa has so much to play for while the Red Sox don’t.Tampa is not playing their best baseball when it matters.I like the run line here because we are getting another run right off the bat and the Rays would bat one less time being the home team if they win the game.Take the Red Sox run line +1.5 runs -120.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports 9/23:

Was +5 (+102)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

Nfl
Bears 1h under 20.5 -125 500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TONY FINN

WEEK 3 MNF: REDSKINS v BEARS
Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago Bears -3.5 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY Chicago Bears -3.5 (play is good to -5)
4% confidence rating

(489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins

For those of you who are more comfortable knowing where a handicapper stands, without any blurred line, this is rarely and issue with me. Like most, I hang around the pool awhile before testing the water, but when it comes to picking a side or total in a particular matchup I have a feel which prop I will be supporting before digging into routine of breaking down team vs. team and player vs. player.

There is, very little to like about the Washington Redskins, in terms of believing and trusting that the management of the roster can execute a game plan that will get me, you, us the end result we are looking for. In the case of the Redskins it will, on most occasions this 2019 slate, result in adding a handicap to their total game score.

Neither of these two NFL franchises are going to be playing football after the holidays. Not at a professional level. Tossing the Nerf around the yard with the kids, family and friends maybe. Preparing for January postseason. Without question not this current Redskins group. And Chicago is a longshot without the defense scoring a touchdown per game in the team's 14 remaining events.

Chicago is the more capable of the Week 3 Monday night matchup. Chicago took down a spry Broncos group at Mile High last weekend and by all measure the Bears and the Broncos are more alike than either fan base wants to admit.

In short Washington has a middling offensive line. Their No 1 receiver and running back are a combined and the best receiver I write of, Jordan Reed, has been ruled out tonight due to head trauma. In my opinion it is unlikely that Reed will play another NFL snap.

And in defense for those whom are only 29 years old, there is a big difference between real years and NFL years. Reed's 29 years of age in your and my time and space is equal to how I myself feel after having a handful too many Mescals on any given night. The "how" in the equation references the next morning. And I am no spring chicken. How do you expect a 59 year-old with a no-doubt about-it CTE issue to feel after sharing a bottle of cactus juice with friends and family in the Fabulous Vegas open air until 2 a.m? Four hours later on the same patio in the same orbit with coffee pot in one hand and cup in the other?

Let me answer that for you.

Not great but never, and I am not just typing never... I mean NEVER...

Never too old not to remember the good convo and company just hours ago and do so with a smile. Followed by long slow drag of air into my lungs fighting a tinge the anxiety that I won't have the chance to do it again. "It" being spending time with friends, family, kids.. wife of 25-years that has put up with a liberal product of the 60's that would rather return to ponytail and Mexican dirt weed than face another Fox or CNN breaking news story that our president.. this morning alerted all of us who didn't know... that he [Trump] would be issued the Nobel Peace Prize if they awarded it fairly.

The previous paragraph alone should paint the picture of that "deep intake of air" and silent but real sigh of relief - that by the grace of God - I may get another chance to fulfil my desperate desire -- for another day and night to with those friends and family once more. I do my best to "hang" with the friends and family I am describing because they are good people.. far exceeding the percentage of humanity that resides in the blood in my veins. To a man, woman and dog... they are damn good people.

I have rambled on far too long about an analogy I can put in two sentences. I have drawn out the point I am attempting to make in this game analysis.. This squad of Redskins, from coach to practice squad , are a group of good people. They are just not as good a playing football or as young with fresh legs as those on the Chicago sideline.

Before I break the "not as good at football" statement -- straight to the F'ing truth.

Reed, AP, coach Gruden, his staff and all of the Skins that are dressing out when they should be.... enjoying life.

Join me, my family and friends poolside at the Finn residence. Enjoy simple but good food, drink and friendship.. You can root for the Skins while I root to feed my family and have the wherewithal to fund another Monday Night Football gathering...

Reed is an old... damn old 29. My CTE is from 12 years of football. The Washington All-Pro tight end's is from 12 years of football at the highest level and absorbing blows to the head, neck and legs from Herculean warriors whose sole aim in life, at that moment, is to hurt you.

The Redskins running back has exceeded the life expectancy of an NFL'er at his position by nearly a decade. The average NFL running back has a career that spans 4.5 years.

Yes. You read that correctly. Four-and-one-half-years (4.5 yrs).

AP will start as the Skins lead back tonight and do so at 34 years of age.

The Washington Redskins starters tonight are a group of middle-aged used-to-bee’s who are teamed up with a group of back-ups that are as a whole want-to-bees.

The Chicago Bears are the young, stronger and more athletic of the two teams in Landover tonight.

When pitting two teams that are, due to circumstances that are for the most part out of their control, a skill set, that is offensively challenged the group that is most capable of defending their 49 yards of turf is the most likely winner.

The Redskins can't run the football effectively. They are not staffed or equipped to - inside of the 60 minute football time clock - to average more than 3.9 yards per carry. They don't have a receiver on the team that an average NFL fan can name and they are starting their fifth different quarterback in a span of just over 20 games.

Toss this aforementioned football ingredients on the grass at FedEx Field tonight and the results are... equal to that salad you put in your fridge three-days ago.

I believe you get my point.

Terry McWho? Starts on the outside along with Trey Quinn and Paul Richardson Jr. in the slot and opposite side of rookie McWho [McLaurin].

I understand that you all have a deep desire for me to continue breaking down this game with hilarious tid bits and analogies between life and football but I respectively decline. In truth, I am under direct orders from the powers that are at WagerTalk to write less and win more.

This is as good a place to start as any.

When all is said and done tonight in Maryland the Bears will have earned 2019 victory number three. The Skins will still be winless. And without feeling it, knowing it or even believing it Chicago will have dominated the Skins in all phases of tonight's Monday Night Football party.
CHICAGO BEARS -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINN TUE EARLY PITCH AL PRIVATE PLAY
Game: (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Sep 24 2019 6:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-145)

View Analysis

Play on Minnesota Twins -1.5 runs (-145) -- run-line good to -175)
3% confidence rating

LIST PITCHER: Odorizzi vs Action

(917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Detroit Tigers

Full game analsyis posted shortly. Note that this mid-afternoon first pitch represents an opprotunity for the Twins to set the stage for what will in turn be a big game for the Tribe who are scheduled for a 6 p.m. ET first pitch, two hours after the first place Twinkies take the field against the Tigers i nD Detroit.

Game writeup posted shortly

MINNESOTA TWINS -1.5 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINN TUE EARLY PITCH AL PRIVATE PLAY II
Game: (925) Cleveland Indians at (926) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Sep 24 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-145)

View Analysis

PLAT: Cleveland Indians -1.5 runs (-145) runline play good to -175
3% confidence rating

LIST PITCHERS: Clevinger and Santiago

Game writeup posted shortly

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINN TUE EARLY PITCH AL PRIVATE PLAY II
Game: (925) Cleveland Indians at (926) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Sep 24 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-145)

View Analysis

PLAT: Cleveland Indians -1.5 runs (-145) runline play good to -175
3% confidence rating

LIST PITCHERS: Clevinger and Santiago

Game writeup posted shortly

CLEVELAND INDIANS -1.5