Thursday 9-26-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson
Sep 26 '19, 10:10 AM in 17h
PGA | Bronson Burgoon vs Harris English
Play on: Bronson Burgoon -105 at BMaker
Free Play on Bronson Burgoon -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Sep 26 '19, 3:45 PM in 7h
MLB | Rockies vs Giants
Play on: Rockies +122 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Rockies +122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Duke Sep 26 '19, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Memphis
Play on: Navy +11 -116 at pinnacle

Navy/Memphis 8:00: Navy has had success in this series at 4-0 ATS including last year's come from behind win 22-21. This year, Navy is a much better team with QB Malcolm Perry putting together a rare pass game to compliment the historically strong run game in the triple option. Memphis is surely a tough contender this year and looked awesome thus far on both sides of the ball and off a bye week; however, Navy a tough team to prepare for, especially the simulation of the triple-option by the scout team - not near the speed, mesh and blocking patterns the Midshipmen hit you with in a game. We'll look for Navy to continue to be a dangerous in September (10-4 ATS) and on Thursday (6-2 ATS).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Sep 26 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Indians vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +185 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on White Sox +185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Sep 26 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Indians vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +183 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox +183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 4
Joe Williams

College Football Week 4 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 47-11
Against the Spread 30-27-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 37-21
Against the Spread 26-31-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 29-27-2

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 250-39
Against the Spread 146-136-7

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 209-76
Against the Spread 132-146-7

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 138-148-5

The largest underdogs to win straight up
San Jose State (+20, ML +800) at Arkansas, 31-24
UCLA (+18, ML +700) at Washington State, 67-63
Buffalo (+14, ML +450) vs. Temple, 38-22
Pittsburgh (+10, ML +320) vs. UCF, 35-34
Colorado (+7.5, ML +295) vs. Arizona State, 34-31
SMU (+7.5, ML +240) at TCU, 41-38

The largest favorites to cover
Clemson (-41.5) vs. Charlotte, 52-10
Ohio State (-38.5) vs. Miami-Ohio, 76-5
Alabama (-37) vs. Southern Miss, 49-7
Wake Forest (-30) vs. Elon, 49-7
Indiana (-27.5) vs. Connecticut, 38-3
LSU (-24) at Vanderbilt, 66-38

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- The big story in the AAC was in the Steel City, as UCF was tripped up by Pittsburgh, 35-34. As such, the Knights saw their 25-game regular-season win streak dating back to Nov. 2016 snapped. Not only was it the first loss for UCF, it was their first non-cover, too. The 'over' has hit in their past two after two 'under' results to start. ... SMU picked up a nice 41-38 road victory against TCU, as the Mustangs moved to 4-0 SU for the first time since 1984, and they also improved to 4-0 ATS with the 'over' 4-0. ... Tulsa didn't cover, but they were able to top Wyoming, 24-21. They're 2-2 SU/ATS, which is rather inconsistent, but the 'under' has connected in each of their four outings to make them a favorite of total bettors. ... Tulane opened the week with a 38-31 victory over Houston, improving to 3-1 SU/ATS. It also started the weekend off with the first bad beat (see below).

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Appalachian State picked North Carolina up the 34-31 win at Kenan Stadium, blocking a potential game-tying field goal to secure the road win. After opening 2-0 SU/ATS, the Tar Heels are 0-2 SU/ATS across the past two. ... Florida State posted a much-needed 35-24 victory against Louisville. While it still wasn't a complete game, as the Seminoles blew a 21-0 lead after 15 minutes, they were able to come back in the fourth quarter for their first cover of the season after opening 0-2-1 ATS. It was also FSU's first 'under' result after three overs. ... N.C. State held off Ball State, 34-23 in a game which saw the total end as a bit of a bad beat (see below). ... It wasn't quite a bad beat, but Clemson topped Charlotte, 52-10. With just over six minutes to go, leading 45-10, the Tigers scored a touchdown to not only flip the side to Clemson -41.5, but the total of 60.5 also went over. ... Miami-Florida survivied a scare from Central Michigan, winning a low-scoring 17-12 game. As such, the Hurricanes are 2-2 SU/ATS and the total is 2-2 as well. The Canes are the picture of mediocrity.

BIG TEN

-- Ohio State roughed up Miami-Ohio by a 76-5 score after shaking off the Redhawks. It was just 7-5 after 15 minutes, but the Buckeyes scored 42 points in the second quarter to blow it wide open. The Buckeyes have managed at least 42 points in each of their four outings, and they have covered three in a row since failing to cover against FAU in the opener. The 'over' is also 2-0 in the past two, thanks to 127 points of offense. ... After a dismal offensive performance last week Michigan State was able to bounce back, winning at Northwestern, 31-10. The Spartans defense has been stingy, allowing just 11.0 PPG through for outings. ... In the marquee game of the day in the conference it was Wisconsin humbling the so-called great Jim Harbaugh and Michigan, 35-14. The Wolverines fell behind 28-0 at halftime and were never really in the game. The Badgers are 3-0 SU/ATS. On a positive note for the Wolverines, they were the first team to score against the Badgers in 2019 after 10 consecutive scoreless quarters to begin the season.

BIG 12

-- Kansas was back to their losing ways, falling to West Virginia by a 29-24 score. However, the Jayhawks put up a strong fight and proved their no longer going to be an easy out. KU has scored 24 or more points in three of their four outings. ... Oklahoma State picked up a cover at most shops with their 36-30 loss at Texas, but the Longhorns were able to pick up the much-needed marquee win. It won't get any easier for the Longhorns, as they visit Morgantown next week before their annual Red River Rivalry game against Oklahoma. ... Iowa State smashed Louisiana-Monroe by a 72-20 count. The Cyclones were impressive on offense, posting at least 13 points in every quarter, while outscoring the visitors 45-7 in the second half. ... It wasn't impressive, but Baylor topped Rice 21-13 in a low-scoring battle. The Bears might be 3-0 SU, but they're 1-2 ATS so far. It was their first 'under' result after a pair of overs to start. In fact, the Bears entered averaging 59.5 PPG. They're allowing just 14.7 PPG through three games.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic socked around FCS Wagner at FAU Stadium by a 42-7 count. This game featured a little bit of a bad beat for total bettors (see below). ... UAB went for a 35-3 victory against South Alabama, picking up the eary cover. While it wasn't a bad beat, over bettors (48) were a little unhappy with the result. There were 31 points on the board at halftime, but a total of just seven points in the third quarter and no points in the fourth. ... Old Dominion fired out to a 10-0 lead after 15 minutes at Virginia, and they held a 17-7 victory at the break. It was shades of ODU's win last season against Virginia Tech. However, the Cavaliers outscored the Monarchs 21-0 in the final 30 minutes, covering a 14-point second-half line while the 'under' came in for the game and the second half. ... Louisiana Tech picked up a 43-31 win against Florida International. Perhaps the biggest surprise in this game was the 'over' (51) cashing after a scoreless first quarter. FIU, picked to finish second in C-USA preseason polls, is now 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. This was also a good ol' fashioned C-USA bad beat (see below).

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- It was a rough week for the MAC, as the league went 3-6 SU in games against non-league opponents. However, Toledo was able to pick up and impressive road win at Colorado State, 41-35. However, the Rockets just missed the cover at both shops by a half-point. ... Kent State hammered Bowling Green in the conference opener for both. The Golden Flashes entered the game with a total of 49 points in their first three outings. Their cover was the first since Aug. 29, their opener. The 'over' has cashed in the past two for Kent State, too. ... Buffalo earned a little bit of respect back for the league with a 38-22 win over Temple as 14-point underdogs. It was their first cover after opening 0-3 ATS.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- New Mexico outlasted New Mexico State in a crazy 55-52 victory in Albuquerque. When the Lobos and Aggies hook up there are plenty of points sure to follow. The 'over' is a perfect 3-0 for UNM so far, as they have averaged 36.0 PPG on offense while yielding 46.3 PPG on defense. ... San Jose State scored a huge victory for their program, topping Arkansas by a 31-24 count. It was the first win against a Power 5 opponent since 2006 for the Spartans. The 'under' has cashed in all three games for San Jose State so far, ans they're a respectable 2-1 SU. The cover was their first of the season, too. ... Nevada posted a nice 37-21 road win over UTEP, moving to 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The 'over' is also 3-1 in four games for the Wolf Pack. ... Utah State earned the 23-17 victory at San Diego State to move to 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. ... Boise State remained perfect at 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS after topping Air Force on Friday night by a 30-19 score. After UCF's lost to Pitt, the Broncos are now likely the top Group of Five entrant.

PAC-12

-- The game of the day might have been in Pullman. Well, if you like offense, that is. Washington State was comfortably ahead by a 49-17 score midway through the third quarter, and UCLA looked dead in the water. However, the Bruins, who scored 42 total points over their first three games, and exactly 14 points in each, rattled off 50 points in the final 22 minutes to outlast the Cougs 67-63. It was an unbelievable game, and QB Anthony Gordon of Washington State tossed a school record nine touchdown passes and lost. ... California stayed unbeaten with a road victory at Mississippi, 28-20. It was a controversial ending, as it appeared the Rebels scored to cut the lead to 28-26. However, the receiver looked to have two feet down in the end zone and the play wasn't even reviewed. The Rebels were stuffed on the next play and time ran out, handing the Rebels a tough loss on their home field. ... Colorado outlasted Arizona State, 34-31, despite the fact they lost star WR Laviska Shenault to an injury early on, as well as pro prospect DT Mustafa Johnson. The Buffaloes are now 3-1 SU/ATS, bouncing back from their overtime loss against Air Force.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Tennessee was hammered by their rivals in Florida, 34-3. It was rather surprising since the Gators were down to their backup quarterback after losing QB Feleipe Franks last week. The Gators are now 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS, and the 'under' has cashed in three of their four outings. ... One of the more overlooked games, it seems, was Auburn-Texas A&M. The Tigers fired out to a 14-0 lead and held on for the 28-20 win over the Aggies as the total pushed at most shops. The Tigers are now an impressive 4-0 ATS, and their offense still hasn't started to hit on all cylinders. ... Alabama posted the 49-7 win over Southern Miss, earning the late cover. How late? See bad beats below, as the Tide were involved for the second straight week. ... Georgia-Notre Dame was the game everyone was talking about, and the battle actually lived up to the hype. The Irish had their chances late, but they fell 23-17 in between the hedges. The Bulldogs have allowed just 10.0 PPG, and the 'under' is 3-1 in four games for UGA, and 3-0 in their three outings vs. FBS opponents.

SUN BELT

-- Georgia State spiked the ball as time ran out in regulation, and Texas State celebrated on the field. They thought they won 27-24, but after review, it was determined they had :01 left. They booted the field goal to send the game to overtime. With a total of 62.5, OT was the last thing under bettors wanted to see. GSU scored a TD to take a 34-27 lead, and they just needed defense for the cover and under. Neither happened, as the Bobcats scored to tie it 34-34. After a missed field goal by TSU, the Panthers had a chance to win it and missed their field goal, too. In 2 OT, the Panthers again misfired, while the Bobcats sunk them to win 37-34. It was a push at most shops. ... Troy notched a 35-7 road victory against Akron. The Trojans have scored at least 35 points in all three of their games, but this was their first cover and 'under' result. The Trojans have scored at least 35 points in all three of their games, but this was their first cover and 'under' result. The Zips are now 0-4 SU/ATS.

Bad Beats

-- In the Ball State-N.C. State game, there was a total of 59. At 34-16, the Cardinals scored a touchdown at 4:49 to go, making it 34-23. They recovered the onside kick and appeared to be in business. They drove inside the red zone with less than three minutes to go, but their QB forced one into coverage, it was tipped and picked off. Instead of a sure field goal to make it 34-26, and a one-possession game, and more importantly, 'over', the 'under' came through.

-- The Crimson Tide were leading 42-7 with 5:43 to go in the third period, and that score held up for the next 19 minutes. The Crimson Tide, favored by 37, appeared like they were going to win by 35. However, they ended up punching in a touchdown with 1:37 to go to get the late cover. For the second straight week the Tide were involved in a bad beat in the final moments of a blowout.

-- In the Wagner-FAU game, the Owls held a 42-7 lead late. The Seahawks got the ball down inside the FAU 5-yard line. They were stuffed several times and ended up turning the ball over on downs, failing to get it into the end zone. A touchdown would have pushed the total over (55.5), but the game ended up with a total of 49 points on the board.

-- In that Houston-Tulane game, the Green Wave were favored by four points. The game was tied 31-31 with less than 10 seconds left, and appeared headed for overtime. However, Tulane struck for a 53-yard touchdown with :03 remaining to win it 38-31, sinking those holding Cougars tickets.

-- The end of the FIU-Louisiana Tech game was gross if you were a Golden Panthers backer, catching six or seven. FIU scored a touchdown with :51 left to cut the Bulldogs lead to 36-31. It appeared you were in line for a nice backdoor cover, and a bad beat if you were a Louisiana Tech side bettor. However, just five seconds later the Bulldogs scooped up the onside kick and returned it 30 yards for the touchdown. It was like losing twice if you held an FIU ticket.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 4
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fourth big weekend of the college football season. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Tulane (-4½) 38, Houston 31: The Thursday night underdog certainly looked promising in AAC action as D’Eriq King sparked Houston to a 28-7 edge just a few minutes into the second quarter. Tulane answered to get within 14 where the margin held past halftime. Tulane hit a 48-yard pass play to close to within seven early in the third quarter and then early in the fourth, the Green Wave tied the game by completing a 93-yard drive while Houston had a pair of punts and the team’s second missed field goal of the game to start the second half. Tulane added three with about six minutes remaining to take the lead while Houston put together a lengthy drive looking for the win in regulation. The Cougars reached the Tulane 4-yard-line with 30 seconds remaining but ultimately had to settle for a short tying field goal with 21 seconds remaining. A fake kneel-down from Tulane led to an 18-yard gain to give the Wave a chance for a late score and Jalen McClesky made a catch in traffic around the 25-yard-line and scampered into the end zone in the final seconds as Tulane improbably won the game and slid past the favorite spread in a dramatic finish.

Louisiana Tech (-7) 43, FIU 31: With James Morgan back in action, FIU’s offense finally clicked and this game turned into a shootout in the second half after a 13-10 Bulldogs lead at the break. Louisiana Tech still led by just three heading into the fourth quarter after these squads traded leads in the third quarter. FIU’s defense held Louisiana Tech to three consecutive field goals to fall behind by 12, but they didn’t add points of its own until the final minute, scoring what looked like the underdog covering score with 51 seconds to go for a five-point margin. The ensuing on-side kick attempt went awry however as it was caught and returned for a short kickoff return touchdown for the Bulldogs to give the favorite the cover right back.

Syracuse (-3½) 52, Western Michigan 33: The production in this game wound up nearly even and the score was close to that as well late in third quarter as back-to-back Western Michigan scores turned a 38-19 Orange edge into a 38-33 margin heading into the fourth quarter. The Broncos forced an early fourth quarter punt and had the ball approaching midfield before a huge swing as they were stopped going for it on 4th-and-1 from the their own 41. Syracuse needed only a few plays to find the end zone inheriting great field position, pushing the lead to 12. The Broncos reached Syracuse territory on the next possession, but failed on 4th-and-10 from the Syracuse 28. Syracuse added another touchdown with about three minutes remaining in the game to pad the final score.

New Mexico (-4) 55, New Mexico State 52: These rivals were tied at 31-31 at halftime, but New Mexico took charge in the third quarter with three scoring drives to lead by 10 heading into the final frame, a lead the Lobos extended to 17 early in the fourth quarter. The Aggies didn’t mail it in by scoring a touchdown halfway through the fourth and then getting back in the game with an interception. New Mexico State added a quick touchdown to trail by only three in the final minutes, a score that shifted the spread outcome. New Mexico had to covert a 4th down to close out the game before eventually taking knee inside the New Mexico State 10-yard-line.

California (+3) 28, Mississippi 20: Pac-12 officials added another chapter to their infamous legacy in this non-conference game at Ole Miss. The Bears were in control and had a 28-13 edge well into the fourth quarter despite a big yardage edge for the Rebels. Mississippi made a late charge with an 88-yard touchdown drive to get within a single score with 4:29 remaining. Cal opted to punt on 4th-and-1 near midfield as the Rebels had the ball back with an opportunity to tie. Without timeouts, John Rhys Plumlee engineered a great drive and the pivotal play occurred on 3rd-and-goal from the Cal 3-yard-line. Plumlee hit Elijah Moore who turned to the ball with his feet in the end zone before being tackled. The official spotted the ball short of the end zone and there was not a stoppage for a review on what certainly looked like a potential touchdown. With only seconds on the clock, Mississippi scrambled to the line to run a play and a disorganized 4th down sneak was stuffed as time expired and the Bears held on the for the win, avoiding the possibility of overtime.

Alabama (-36½) 49, Southern Miss 7: If Nick Saban wants fans to stay all four quarters of Alabama games, he just needs to make sure they have action on the spread as another Tide game featured a very late spread-result shifting score. Southern Miss trailed just 28-7 at the half, but Alabama pushed the margin to 42-7 by the fourth quarter, not quite enough on the heavy favorite number. Southern Miss burned substantial clock on a fourth quarter drive, but facing 4th-and-14 near midfield, they simply opted to punt. Alabama didn’t seem likely to go the length of the field in that situation, but Jaylen Waddle returned the punt 41 yards to put the Tide in great field position with still seven minutes remaining. Alabama opted to go for it on 4th-and-5 and Taulia (not Tua) Tagovailoa hit a 20-yard pass for the first down and a few plays later Jerome Ford rushed into the end zone to flip the spread result inside of two minutes.

West Virginia (-5) 29, Kansas 24: The Mountaineers led by only three heading into the fourth quarter, but managed to pull away with a pair of long drives, though resulting in only nine points with a short field goal and a touchdown but with a missed two-point try. That 12-point margin loomed large on the potential spread outcome on a line that landed right at -5. Kansas would indeed get a touchdown with about two minutes remaining to hit that five-point margin and the Jayhawks defense forced a punt to at least get the ball back though with only 32 seconds and no timeouts. Kansas picked up two modest gains and on the final play delivered a lateral play that for a moment had a chance, ultimately reaching the West Virginia 12-yard-line before the Mountaineers were able to clinch the win.

Florida State (-6½) 35, Louisville 24: Florida State jumped out to a 21-0 lead in this contest, but early leads have consistently melted away for the Seminoles this season. Louisville would score the next 24 points to lead by three as an underdog early in the fourth quarter. With Wisconsin-transfer Alex Hornibrook in the game, the Seminoles struck a 60-yard pass play for the go-ahead score halfway through the final frame. The Florida State defense stepped up with a three-and-out and a 15-yard penalty helped the cause to give the Seminoles great field position. Florida State eventually opted to kick a field goal from 4th-and-1 but a roughing the kicker call gave the Seminoles 1st-and-goal at the one and a potential 6-point lead became an 11-point margin. On its last possession, Louisville’s offense reached the Florida State 39 before running out of time.

Clemson (-41) 52, Charlotte 10: Charlotte’s numbers vs. Clemson were certainly better than some have posted vs. the Tigers, but the 49ers still trailed 31-0 before the halfway point of the second quarter. Down 45-3 in the third, Charlotte got a muffed punt to get the ball at the Clemson 12 and they cashed in, bringing the margin to 35 points. Clemson backup quarterback Taisum Phommachanh was picked off on the next drive to end a scoring threat as the 49ers had a chance to hold on to the cover but late in the game a Phommachanh pass got 15-yards added to it with a penalty and Michel Dukes broke free for a 24-yard touchdown run to inch past the spread.

Texas State (-3) 37, Georgia State 34: Texas State broke a 17-17 tie with a field goal late in the third quarter before an exciting finish in this Sun Belt opener. Georgia State had a 13-play touchdown drive to take the lead with about eight minutes to go, but Texas State answered with a touchdown drive completed on a 20-yard rush to go back up by three. Georgia State had a shot to win in regulation reaching 1st-and-goal form the 2-yard-line, but an untimely false start pushed the team back. Pass interference on Texas State gave that yardage back, but cost time and ultimately that proved to be the issue as the Panthers had to settle for the tying kick. After matching touchdowns in the first overtime, both teams would miss mid-40s field goals in the second overtime and Georgia State would do it again to start the third round. Despite a combined -20 yards from both teams in the second and third overtimes, Texas State kicker Joshua Rowland finally nailed the fourth field goal attempt of overtime from 35-yards as Texas State got its first win and the game finished on the number.

Oregon (-12½) 21, Stanford 6: Oregon’s high scoring offense was held in check in this game, but they took a 14-3 lead into halftime after getting a touchdown on a drive with two 3rd-and-long conversions while a Stanford drive into Oregon territory ended empty before halftime. The Ducks went ahead 21-3 in the fourth quarter following an interception while Stanford only answered with a field goal to trail by 15, not quite enough on the double-digit underdog spread. The Ducks had a bad snap on a field goal attempt to cost the team three points, but on two late possessions, Stanford was unable to spoil the cover despite holding Ducks to minimal production and having a nearly 2-to-1 edge on the ground.

Texas (-7) 36, Oklahoma State 30: Texas appeared to have a 21-13 edge heading into halftime, but the Longhorns muffed a punt return with 45 seconds to go ultimately handing the Cowboys a touchdown to get within one. The lead for Texas was five through three quarters, but early in the fourth the Longhorns took control with a touchdown drive and a successful two-point conversion for a 13-point edge. That should have been the final margin, but again Texas fumbled on a punt reception and with fewer than four minutes remaining Oklahoma State was handed great field position. Oklahoma State converted a 3rd-and-10 for 33 yards on a scramble from freshman quarterback Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys got the spread-stealing score with 1:37 remaining. Texas was in danger of having to give the ball back after barely recovering the on-side kick attempt and needed a Sam Ehlinger bootleg scramble to pick up the win-sealing 3rd down.

Nevada (-13½) 37, UTEP 21: Nevada and UTEP were tied 21-21 late in the third quarter before a field goal put the Wolf Pack ahead by three heading into the fourth quarter. Nevada added two fourth quarter scores to slip past the hefty road favorite number with the first score coming on a short field off an interception.

Toledo (-5½) 41, Colorado State 35: Following a missed Colorado State field goal, Toledo extended an eight-point lead to 11 points with a fourth quarter field goal with only about six minutes remaining in the game. Colorado State answered going 71 yards in fewer than two minutes and with a successful two-point conversion the Rams only trailed by three. Facing 4th-and-1 from its own 45-yard-line, Toledo broke a 35-yard-run and a penalty was tacked on to hand the Rockets 1st-and-goal. Colorado State still had a timeout as Toledo wasn’t able to drain all of the remaining time and ultimately wound up kicking a short field goal to lead by six with 31 seconds to go. On 1st down, Colorado State went 29 yards and spiked the ball to give themselves a shot, on the final play of the game Rams receiver EJ Scott was stopped at the 2-yard-line as Toledo held on.

UCLA (+18) 67, Washington State 63: Only a 100-yard kickoff return touchdown hallway through the second quarter slowed the bleeding for UCLA trailing 35-17 at halftime and then watching the Cougars score a pair of touchdowns to lead by 32 with fewer than 22 minutes remaining in the game. Headed for an 0-4 start, the Bruins didn’t fold and took advantage of a fumble to add back-to-back touchdowns to bring the margin back to 18. After holding Washington State to its first of only two punts on the night, UCLA went 94 yards on 1st down to trim the deficit to 11 points. Washington State fumbled again and Bruins scored in four plays to close to within three. After trading touchdowns, the second punt of Washington State’s night went 69 yards for a return touchdown as the Bruins had the lead. Washington State quarterback Anthony Gordon then connected for his ninth touchdown of the game to put the Cougars back in front and the Washington State defense got a stop on 4th down in the red zone with just over two minutes remaining. Incredibly on 1st down, a 14-yard gain for Washington State resulted in another fumble and UCLA used the short field to take the lead back with just over a minute remaining. A sack on 1st down led to another Cougars fumble for the sixth turnover of the day helping to propel the astonishing Bruins comeback.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (2 - 0) at MEMPHIS (3 - 0) - 9/26/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
NAVY is 175-131 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 175-131 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 99-60 ATS (+33.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 83-45 ATS (+33.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 83-45 ATS (+33.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 5

Trend Report

Thursday, September 26

Navy @ Memphis
Navy
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 5

Thursday’s game
Underdogs covered all four Navy-Memphis games, with Middies winning three of four- last two were decided by total of four points. Teams split last two meetings here. Navy has played only one I-A game this year, running for 315 yards in a 42-10 win over ECU; over last decade, Navy is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog, 10-7 as a double digit dog. Memphis allowed total of 16 points in winning pair of I-A games; Tigers covered nine of last ten games as a home favorite- they’re 10-4 n last 14 games as a double digit favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5


Thursday, September 26

Navy @ Memphis

Game 103-104
September 26, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
80.425
Memphis
94.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 14
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 5
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 26

Matchup Skinny
Edge

NAVY at MEMPHIS ...Mids have played Memphis tough, 3-1 SU and 4-0 vs. line since joining AAC in 2014. Navy 20-10 as visiting dog since 2009, 13-6-1 last 20 as dog overall.
Navy, based on series and team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Navy at Memphis
Joe Nelson

After an exciting finish last Thursday in the AAC West, the division will be in the spotlight again this week to open up the final college football weekend of September. Memphis and Navy played to a one-point game last season before divergent paths the rest of the way and this will be a big division test between still undefeated teams.

Navy Midshipmen at Memphis Tigers
At Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, September 26, (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Memphis -10½, Over/Under 54
Last Meeting: 2018, at Navy (+6½) 22, Memphis 21

With a run of six straight bowl seasons heading into the 2018 season there was little reason to expect that Navy wouldn’t bounce back from an opening week loss at Hawai’i, falling 59-41 last September in the run vs. pass non-conference test. Navy did just that with a 22-21 escape hosting Memphis but that would be the highlight of a stunning 3-10 season for the Midshipmen.

Ken Niumatalolo is 89-58 in his career at Navy since taking over Navy for the 2007 bowl game and since moving to AAC play the squad is 21-12 in conference games including 1-0 this season with a 42-10 win over East Carolina on September 14. Climbing back to the postseason looks realistic for Navy though there are not many soft spots in a deep American Athletic Conference path while non-conference games with Air Force, Notre Dame, and Army remain.

Senior quarterback Malcolm Perry has led the offense in both passing and rushing with 254 passing yards in two games for more than is usually expected from the option attack. Perry saw the field significantly in most games last season and he was the primary quarterback in the Memphis game with 36 rushes for 166 yards as well as a pair of completions. At 5’9” he is certainly among the smallest FBS quarterbacks in the nation.

Memphis started last season 4-4 coming off a 10-win season in 2017. The Tigers would rally for four straight November wins in conference play to claim a second consecutive AAC West title (shared with Tulane and Houston last season), where they lost for a second straight season to UCF in the championship game in Orlando. The Tigers are 29-14 under Mike Norvell who started in 2016, including a 3-0 start this season, but Memphis has not yet won a bowl game in his tenure.

Norvell was a discussed coaching candidate for some major conference openings last off-season and starting this season he notched his first win over Mississippi for the Tigers with a 15-10 opening result. That win will help keep the Tigers in the top Group of 5 bid conversation if they remain perfect even if a banner year for Ole Miss doesn’t look likely. Memphis won’t have to play UCF in the regular season this year but the East draw is difficult with a road game ahead at Temple plus games at South Florida and home against Cincinnati in the season finale as Navy ironically is in the ‘West’ division despite being among the easternmost programs in the nation.

Memphis has a chance for a great season with junior quarterback Brady White back and off to a productive start while the Tigers have 681 rushing yards in three games. The difference this season for Memphis could be on defense with great returning experience and so far positive early returns with only 40 points allowed in three games. Last year Memphis allowed more than 27 points per game in conference play and nearly 32 points per game overall.

Navy has outrushed foes by nearly 600 yards so far this season but Memphis is one of the few teams that can keep pace with the Midshipmen on the ground with Navy only having a 264-233 edge in rushing in last season’s meeting with Henderson’s big runs leading to 9.7 yards per attempt for the Tigers in that game. Memphis has had at least 177 rushing yards in all three games including putting up 312 in the last contest vs. South Alabama.

Last season:

Navy led 9-7 at halftime getting a touchdown with seven seconds remaining in the half but failing going for two. Memphis took over in the third quarter with a pair of long runs from Darrell Henderson who went for 78 and 59 for scores as the Tigers led 21-9. Perry added his second touchdown run early in the fourth quarter as Navy climbed within five on a short-field score after a fumble.

The Navy defense forced a 3-and-out and the Midshipmen turned in a 13-play 56-yard touchdown drive to take the lead with just over two minutes to go. After Navy missed again on the two-point try, Memphis only needed a late field goal and White led the Tigers to the Navy 34-yard-line before the drive stalled and the Tigers came up short on 4th down. Memphis had a 378-316 edge in yards but a 4-1 deficit in turnovers.

Historical Trends:

-- Navy is 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS in this series as division opponents since 2015.

-- Historically few teams have been as good as Navy in the road underdog role with an amazing 84-42-1 ATS mark since 1980 including a 56-23 ATS record since 1994 and a 23-12 ATS mark under Niumatalolo.

-- When getting 10 or more points as a road underdog Navy is 30-11 ATS since 1994 (9-4 under Niumatalolo since 2008), though splitting last season in that role.

-- Under Norvell, Memphis is 20-4 S/U and 14-10 ATS at home including going 6-1 S/U and ATS at home last season.

-- Since 2004 Memphis has performed well as heavy chalk with a 27-14 ATS record when laying 10 or more points with only two S/U upset losses at that high of a price, one of which was the 2015 home meeting with Navy.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 3 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 6-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 6-9

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 9-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 30-16-1
Against the Spread 20-26-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 23-23-1
Against the Spread 15-31-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 21-26

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Giants (+5.5, ML +210) at Buccaneers, 32-31
Saints (+5, ML +200) at Seahawks, 33-27
Lions (+4, ML +180) at Eagles, 27-24
Texans (+3, ML +145) at Chargers, 27-20

The largest favorite to cover
Cowboys (-22.5) vs. Dolphins, 31-6
Vikings (-9) vs. Raiders, 34-14
Packers (-7) vs. Broncos, 27-16
Chiefs (-4.5) vs. Ravens, 33-28
Rams (-4.5) at Browns, 20-13

Stacking Dimes

-- The New York Giants (+5.5, ML +210) rallied for the 32-31 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium in the first-career start for rookie QB Daniel Jones, the No. 6 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. He replaced two-time Super Bowl winner QB Eli Manning, and his selection was viewed as a bit of a reach by some. However, if Sunday's game is any indication, the G-Men appear to have made the right decision in selecting him, as well as making the change in Week 3. He completed 23-of-36 passes for 336 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions while adding four runs, 28 yards and two more touchdowns, including the game-winner late in the fourth quarter.

The Legend of Danny Dimes grows after a tremendous preseason. He went into the huddle at one point of the second quarter and said, "Let's f***ing score!", which was surprising to his teammates, as he reportedly had never been overheard swearing in the past. Elias Sports Bureau reports that since the 1970 merger only Jones and former Detroit Lions QB Eric Hipple are the only players to pass for two TDs and run for two TDs in his first-career start.

Brown Out

-- The Cleveland Browns were much better in their second home game of the season against the Los Angeles Rams than they were in Week 1 against the Tennessee Titans, but the results were the same - a loss and a non-cover. The entire secondary for the Browns was inactive, but they nearly tied the game up in the closing seconds. The Browns, who were blown out 43-13 in Week 1 by the Titans, moved inside the 5-yard line of the Rams in the final ticks. However, QB Baker Mayfield scrambled to the right and was picked off on the final play, falling 20-13 in a surprisingly low-scoring game. The public helped the books take a huge bath as a result of the favorite Rams covering the 4.5 points.

Total Recall

-- The over went 9-6 between Thursday's game and Sunday's entire slate, quite a bit different than Week 2 when the under connected in 13 of 16 outings.

The highest total on the board was the Baltimore Ravens-Kansas City Chiefs (52) ended up covering fairly handily with 61 total points. That was the only total in the 50's. The second-highest total was the Houston Texans-Los Angeles Chargers (49) game, which went just under with 47 points. QB Philip Rivers was picked off in the red zone to end the threat of overtime, and the threat of an over ticket. The two games with totals at 48, the aforementioned Giants-Bucs game, and Atlanta Falcons-Indianapolis Colts games each saw 'over' results.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Tennessee Titans-Jacksonville Jaguars (38) game, which easily hits the under with a total of 27 points. It started out looking like it might be high-scoring, as QB Gardner Minshew led the Jags to a 14-0 lead after 15 minutes. However, a scoreless second quarter, and a total of three points in the third put the nail in the coffin for those holding 'over' tickets.

-- The 'under' is 2-0 through the first two primetime games of Week 3, with the low Monday Night Football contest between the Chicago Bears-Washington Redskins (41) still pending. The 'over' is 1-8 (11.1%) during the early 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- The biggest injury of the weekend occurred in that Giants-Bucs battle, as New York RB Saquon Barkley suffered a high-ankle sprain after getting his foot caught under a tackler in the second quarter. He was on crutches and in a walking boot on the sidelines in the second half. The injury didn't keep him from hobbling over and celebrating with his teammates following the win.

-- Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (quadriceps) entered Sunday's game questionable against the Falcons due to a quad injury, and he aggravated the ailment.

-- Patriots WR Julian Edelman (chest) left with a chest injury suffered against the Jets. He had X-rays which came back negative.

-- Chiefs RB LeSean McCoy (ankle) exited early due to an ankle injury for the team which was already missing starter RB Damien Williams (knee).

Looking Ahead

-- The Browns travel to meet the Ravens in a battle between the top two teams in the AFC North. The Browns have posted a 4-1 ATS mark in their past five road games, although they're 6-16-1 ATS in the past 23 inside the division. They did a good job shutting down the running game of the Rams in Week 2, but facing QB Lamar Jackson is a whole other animal. The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in the past four at home, and 0-4 ATS in the past four inside the division. While Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series, the road team is 13-5-1 ATS in the past 19 meetings. The 'under' is also 4-1 in the past five, and 6-2 in the previous eight battles in Charm City.

-- The Patriots have dominated the Bills in the past, but it's a new day in Buffalo. We'll see if it's the same old results. Buffalo has fired out to a 3-0 SU record, and they're 2-1 ATS with the 'under' hitting in each of their first three. New England is 20-8 ATS in the past 28 games on the road, while going 7-3 ATS in their past 10 inside the division. They've really made Western New York their home, going 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 trips to Buffalo. The road team is also 20-7-1 ATS in the past 28 in this series.

-- In another divisional matchup, Jones and the Giants will look to carry over their momentum from Tampa back to MetLife Stadium against the 'Skins. Washington has covered just once in the past six games inside the NFC East, although that one cover happened in Week 1 in Philadelphia. They're 5-2 ATS in their past seven games on the road, too. The G-Men have posted a 5-2-1 ATS mark in the past eight against the NFC, including their outright win against the Bucs. If you're a fan of totals, the 'under' is 13-3 in the past 16 battles in New Jersey, and 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.

-- The Seahawks and Cardinals hook up in the desert on Sunday afternoon. QB Kyler Murray and the Cards are searching for their first win, going 0-2-1 SU. However, they are 2-1 ATS in the first three, including a pair of 'over' results at home. This series has been all about the road team, as the visitors are 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine in this series. Seattle has an impressive 4-1-1 ATS mark in the past six trips to the desert, too. The 'under' is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Glendale, too.

-- The Vikings and Bears get together in the Windy City, and Chicago looks to maintain its dominance against the number. The Bears are 13-3 ATS in the past 16 at home against the Vikings, and 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings overall. The under has hit in four of the past five at Soldier Field with 11 unders in the past 15 meetings overall.

-- On Monday Night Football the winless Bengals and winless Steelers square off at Heinz Field. The Bengals have posted a 2-0 ATS mark in their two games so far on the road, and they have covered their past six away games dating back to last season. Cincinnati is also 7-2 ATS in the past nine divisional matchups. Pittsburgh has dominated, going 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 home games against the Bengals, but it's a new day with QB Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) already done and QB Mason Rudolph under center.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Close Calls - Week 3

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread or total in the fourth quarter last week in Week 3 of the NFL regular season.

Green Bay Packers (-7) 27, Denver Broncos 16 (41½): Denver looked poised to go into halftime tied 10-10 in Green Bay with the ball back just ahead of the two-minute-warning. Joe Flacco was sacked however, and his fumble was recovered at the 5-yard-line. The Packers scored two plays later to take a 17-10 edge into the break, even with the closing spread that was a half-point higher earlier in the week. The second half also started with a Denver fumble and Green Bay scored quickly on the short field to suddenly lead 24-10. Denver would eventually answer in the third quarter, but the extra-point attempt hit the upright as Bronco backers could not catch a break in a game that was even statistically. Later in the third a 59-yard drive for the Broncos ended in an interception that was granted on replay review. Green Bay eventually added a field goal halfway through the fourth to seal win as well as getting the total just ‘over’.

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) 33, Baltimore Ravens 28 (52): Results wound up varying on the big AFC showdown between 2-0 squads as a line that was as high as -7 eventually landed at -4 with numbers in-between certainly possibilities depending on the timing and location. The Chiefs dominated the first half with a 23-6 edge and the margin didn’t change in the third quarter with both teams adding touchdowns. Baltimore made a run in the fourth however adding 10 points in succession to climb within a single score, down by eight. The Chiefs were able to add a field goal with about four minutes remaining, but Baltimore was able to add a late touchdown just ahead of the two-minute warning to get within five. The two-point conversion try loomed large for many and Baltimore was not able to convert.

Buffalo Bills (-6) 21, Cincinnati Bengals 17 (43½): The Bills dominated the turnover-prone Bengals early in this game getting to 14-0 unconventionally with eight points on an early touchdown and on short field drives Cincinnati stayed in the game by holding the Bills to two second quarter field goals (plus another missed field goal try). The Bengals finally got on the board with about six minutes to go in the third quarter after swapping interceptions, suddenly only down seven despite a big disparity in production. The Bengals forced a punt and turned in their best drive of the day going 82 yards in 11 plays to tie the game early in the fourth quarter. Another defensive stop and a field goal put the Bengals in the lead for an improbable comeback, but Buffalo was able to respond with a Frank Gore touchdown inside of the two-minute warning. Cincinnati was a threat for the outright win on its last drive, reaching the Buffalo 28 in the final seconds before an Andy Dalton interception.

Indianapolis Colts (-1) 27, Atlanta Falcons 24 (48): The Colts were in charge up 20-3 at halftime but Atlanta scored two touchdowns consecutively around only one Colts possession to climb within three early in the fourth quarter, with the second score on a 16-play drive that took nearly 10 minutes of game clock. The Colts converted several drives to get back on the board halfway through the fourth with a 10-point edge. Atlanta would add a late touchdown to get within three, a touchdown that cleared the ‘over’ in the final five minutes, but the Colts wouldn’t surrender the ball back and held on for the narrow win.

New England Patriots (-20½) 30, New York Jets 14 (43): Those brave enough to lay three touchdowns with the defending Super Bowl champions were rewarded with a dominant showing that led to a 30-0 lead late in the third quarter. A muffed punt would put the Jets on the board late in the third quarter and then in the fourth quarter with rookie Jarrett Stidham in the game, a pick-six put the Jets back within the spread, hitting the ‘over’ in the process as well. The Jets defense posted 14 points while the offense had only 105 yards but the 16-point margin left the underdog with a win despite the mismatch.

Dallas Cowboys (-22½) 31, Miami Dolphins 6 (46½): With a 10-0 early lead a Dallas rout seemed to be underway, but Miami would manage a pair of field goals and turned in a few defensive stops as a respectable 10-6 deficit was the halftime score. Dallas scored a touchdown coming out of halftime to regain control of the game and added another seven late in the third to lead by 18. One more touchdown would put Dallas ahead of the historic spread, but Dallas had to settle for a field goal attempt which they missed. Miami was able to cross midfield on a late drive but failed on 4th down and with fewer than four minutes remaining Dallas added the critical touchdown for those on the heavy favorite. Miami reached the Dallas 40-yard-line looking to play spoiler but only got a yard on a 4th-and-2 rush.

New York Giants (+5) 32, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31 (48): The Buccaneers took a commanding 28-10 lead with 16 points in the final eight minutes of the second quarter but in settling for three field goals on those four scores they kept the door open for the Giants. On the first play from scrimmage in the second half the Giants connected for 75 yards on the first touchdown pass for Daniel Jones, who earlier in the game ran in for a score in his first NFL start. The New York defense was ignited and turned in three straight punts and an interception with New York able to climb within three with another touchdown drive. A Jones fumble with about 10-minutes to go seemed to halt the momentum but Tampa Bay only got another field goal to lead by six, where the spread was commonly sitting before falling to -5. After swapping punts, the Giants had the ball back with just over three minutes to go and quickly reached the red zone. The drive stalled from there facing 4th-and-5 from the 7-yard-line with Jones eventually calling his own number for the tying score, with the extra-point putting New York in position for win #1. Tampa Bay went 59 yards in the final minute but kicker Matt Gay, who had made four field goals but also missed two extra-points in an eventful day, missed the game-winner from only 34 yards.

Houston Texans (+3) 27, Los Angeles Chargers 20 (49): The Chargers led 17-7 at halftime but Houston scored a pair of touchdowns around a Philip Rivers fumble to take a 21-17 lead. The Texans extended that advantage to 27-17 in the fourth quarter before a Chargers field goal brought the margin back to seven. Overtime looked like a possibility as Rivers led the Chargers down to the Houston 24-yard-line in the final minute before a penalty and a pair of incomplete passes ended the threat.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) 24, Pittsburgh Steelers 20 (44½): The 49ers did their best not to go 3-0 with turnovers on four of their first five possessions but Pittsburgh managed only two field goals behind Mason Rudolph despite the extra chance and good field position. San Francisco was able to get on the board with a field goal before halftime to trail only 6-3 in what ordinarily would be much worse circumstances given that many mistakes. Fortunes changed after halftime and San Francisco scored a short field touchdown after a Rudolph interception. Both teams added touchdowns to keep the 49ers up by four on a spread that was commonly -6½ after Ben Roethlisberger was ruled out. A mostly stagnant Pittsburgh offense was able to go 81 yards in just a minute early in the fourth with a 32-yard pass interference call a big factor. Next a promising San Francisco response ended in another fumble in the red zone as Pittsburgh appeared poised to get its first win. The Steelers would fumble just three plays into the next drive on a 1st down rush and needing only 24 yards the 49ers went back in front, though they didn’t get past the spread despite an edge of nearly 200 yards in the game. The final touchdown put the scoring at 44, past early week totals around 43 though by Sunday most books had the price at 44 or higher.

Los Angeles Rams (-4) 20, Cleveland Browns 13 (48½): The underdog Browns led 6-3 at halftime Sunday night with the Rams missing a field goal and having a fumble in the first half. Both teams scored on their opening possessions of the second half and Cleveland was granted a golden opportunity to pull further in front with a Jared Goff interception near midfield. Cleveland managed two yards and punted and then the Rams scored a touchdown to take the lead a few minutes into the fourth quarter. That touchdown put Los Angeles up by four to match the closing spread though the Rams were commonly -3 before a late rise. The infamous 4th-and-9 draw from Freddie Kitchens followed as the Browns came up empty on the next possession and the Rams were able to add three more to lead by seven. On 3rd-and-3 with fewer than three minutes to go Goff inexplicably threw deep into coverage for an interception to give the Browns an unexpected late opportunity. Baker Mayfield led an uneven drive down to the Los Angeles 4-yard-line, aided greatly by a roughing the passer call and an earlier illegal contact call that wiped out a sack. Three incomplete passes followed before a game-ending interception in the endzone on 4th down.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

101PHILADELPHIA -102 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4

Thursday, September 26

Philadelphia @ Green Bay

Game 101-102
September 26, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
131.681
Green Bay
133.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at GREEN BAY (3 - 0) - 9/26/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 195-139 ATS (+42.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 4

Trend Report

Thursday, September 26

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Green Bay's last 13 games
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Philadelphia Eagles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 4 odds:
Patrick Everson

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)

Green Bay is also out of the gate 3-0 SU and has come through for bettors all three weeks, as well. The Packers took care of Denver on Sunday, going off as 7-point home favorites and claiming a 27-16 victory.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia has struggled in the early going, dropping two in a row while failing to cash in any of its three games. On Sunday, the Eagles (1-2 SU) were 4-point home faves against Detroit, trailed 20-10 at halftime and couldn’t quite get there in a 27-24 loss.

Philly also isn’t in a good spot for a short turnaround, playing Green Bay under the Thursday night lights.

“The Eagles are very banged up right now,” Murray said. “The Packers are 3-0 but weren’t overly impressive on offense today. Denver turnovers gave them some short fields to work with.”

This game also saw no early movement Sunday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report - Week 4
September 23, 2019
By Matt Blunt

Week of September 23rd

If you were able to catch last week's piece you'll know that the angle of backing those winless ATS teams out on the road in Week 3 turned out to be profitable once again.

Seven different teams fit that role for Week 3, and with Chicago's outcome still pending tonight, the other six (Carolina, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Miami, NYG, NYJ) ended up going 5-1 ATS. Only the hapless Dolphins failed to cover the number on Sunday, while three of those teams (Carolina, New Orleans, NYG) managed to pull off the outright victory as well.

Going against the Rams was a result that most oddsmakers across the country wanted to see cash, but LA was having none of it. It's hard to say if LA went out and got that game on SNF vs the Browns, or if Cleveland just remains too undisciplined for their own good. The Browns over-thought some playcalling decisions as well, and yet, they still had a 1st and goal to tie the game with under a minute left. Fading the money earners just didn't work out on Sunday night.

This week we are staying in the NFL, and while something like discussing the fact that division games are on a 4-10 O/U run so far in 2019 – keep that in mind for the Cleveland/Baltimore, New England/Buffalo, Washington/NYG, Seattle/Arizona, Minnesota/Chicago, and Cincinnati/Pittsburgh games next week – there are actually two more specific spots involving two of the seven 3-0 SU teams in this league that need to come to light. With Detroit being 2-0-1 SU there are actually eight remaining unbeaten squads, but it's two that entered 2019 as legit Super Bowl contenders that present solid betting angles. So let's get right to them.

Who's Hot

Games featuring an AFC team vs. NFC team with the home side as underdogs are a perfect 5-0 to the 'Under' in 2019

Non-conference games tend to lack the hatred something like rivalry or even conference tilts bring has there can be lingering memories from recent playoffs etc that add extra elements to those games. But unless you are one of the few teams that have met New England in the Super Bowl in recent years, AFC/NFC games tend to lack the animosity that can be associated with 'under' plays. There isn't the same type of familiarity in terms of understanding what the opposition prefers to run, and coaching staffs prefer to focus on more immediate concerns like divisional rivals because the easiest path to a playoff berth is by winning one's division.

So while you will hear thoughts about non-conference games being ones that can fly 'over' the number more often given that lack of hatred, that's not particularly been the case this year (6-8 O/U overall this year) in general. But more specifically, when the home team is catching points in these non-conference tilts, you only want to look low. Week 4 brings us only one specific spot where this run will be tested, as it does involve Patrick Mahomes and the high-powered, undefeated, Kansas City Chiefs.

KC is laying about a TD in Detroit on Sunday, and the total has already seen the vig get a few more cents added to the 'over' side of things. Both teams do own a 2-1 O/U record on the year as well, and with KC averaging 33.7 points per game and Detroit averaging 22.3 points per game offensively, just having both sides hit those averages would see an 'over' ticket cash.

However, defensively, neither side gives up more then 21.3 points per game on average, and given the specific home/road splits here, KC's defense comes in at 18 ppg allowed on the road, with Detroit clocking in at 10 ppg at home. Extremely small sample size for those numbers to be sure, but if you zoom out and look at the scenario on the whole – home underdog against a non-conference team – you can see why 'unders' in these games do tend to make a lot of sense.

First off, as a home underdog, you know you are up against it in terms of talent, skill, etc and there are certain generic strategies in that role that can/should be employed. Shortening the game by controlling time of possession and moving the sticks with the running game is one of those, and it doesn't matter who the Chiefs opponent is or where they are playing, limiting KC's time with the ball is something all 29 other teams are looking to do against KC. Detroit may not have the best running game in the league, but Stafford's dink-and-dunk approach throwing the ball plays into that as well.

Furthermore, offensively execution tends to come a bit tougher in hostile territory for these road favorites. Whether it be crowd noise, general discomfort, or the home dog defense 'rising up' to play over their heads against a better squad, KC's offense might not work as smoothly as some may think. KC might have scored 61 points in their last two games combined, but you take out the 2nd quarter, and the Chiefs just have 10 total points in all of those six other frames. They've been blanked in four of those quarters so it's not like they can't be held down as it is.

So chances are we see this total likely go higher before it goes down, but with that hook sitting there on a key number like 53 and plus-money on the 'under' to boot, it may not hurt to get at least a partial unit down on this 'under' in Week 4 and go from there.

Who's Not

Backing home favorites in the first five weeks of the season, prior to playing a road game on Thursday Night Football
(2-9 ATS and SU last three years)

Thursday Night football games continue to generally be slopfests in terms of quality of play as the short week is just tough to overcome for all involved. Maybe one day that will change and we can get rid of them all together (highly doubtful) and have weekly MNF double-headers or something instead, but until then, I'll gladly try to use an angle like this to cash.

Simply put, when teams are laying chalk at home the Sunday prior, and then have a quick turnaround WITH travel for TNF, it's those Sunday games that tend to get glossed over. Not only are home favorites in that role 2-9 against the number, but ALL NINE ATS losses have been outright losers as well. That's really quite shocking when you step back and think about it.

It's not like they are loaded with losses by two or three-point home favorites either. Last year we saw Minnesota lose to Buffalo (27-6) laying 16.5 points prior to a road TNF game, and even the great New England Patriots fell victim to this trend back in 2017 when they lost at home to Carolina (33-30) as nine-point home chalk.

And while it may feel like after last week's piece, I am picking on LA Rams fans/backers, I can assure you that I'm not. But this week, it's the undefeated Los Angeles Rams who find themselves in this dreaded role, currently laying -10.5 at home to a visiting Tampa team prior to the Rams travelling to Seattle for a divisional game on TNF in Week 5.

Considering Tampa's likely to be quite salty this week after blowing that big lead at home to the New York Giants with a rookie QB starting, it's not hard to figure the Bucs will be out to be at their best this Sunday. Offensively, they are more then capable of keeping up with LA should the game be a back-and-forth affair, and Tampa themselves know how hard it is being in the role that LA finds themselves in, as the Bucs got burned by being in that spot in Week 1 as small home chalk to the 49ers.

That Bucks loss in Week 1 started the 0-3 ATS and SU run this trend has been on just this year alone with Philly losing at home yesterday as the latest victim. So my apologies go out to Rams supporters this week for the second week in a row. You proved me wrong last week, and hopefully as the year goes on the Rams will find themselves in a favorable 'play on' role for one of these pieces, but it's taking the points or nothing with Tampa Bay for me this weekend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 26

PHILADELPHIA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Birds 3-7 vs. line last 11 reg season games. Pack “under” 9-3-1 last 13 since mid-2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Packers, based on “totals” and team trends

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Josh Inglis


HOLD ON TIGHT

The Arizona Cardinals have been getting crushed by opposing tight ends through three games. In total, the Cardinals have allowed 20 catches for 318 yards and four scores to the position. The player most responsible for this is safety D.J. Swearinger. The man who was unwanted in Washington has a PFF grade of 45.9 and has allowed over a 70 percent completion rate.

Up next in the plus matchup is Seattle Seahawks TE Will Dissly, who has three touchdowns on 11 catches over his last two games. With quarterback Russel Wilson proving he can sling it with the best — 706 yards passing in his past two outings — Dissly has a great chance to go Over any of his props this week.

His prop markets will open soon and we like the Overs on his reception total at less than five, receiving yards at less than 56 and will certainly be playing his anytime score prop, which will be plus money.


PRIME TIME 6-POINT TEASER

Last week we hit our three-team, 6-point, prime time teaser (+160) with three Unders. This week’s prime time games may be forcing us in the other direction.

PHI/GBY Over 39: The Philadelphia Eagles own the sixth-worst defense in points per play but have a Top-10 scoring offense which works well for this teased total. Their defense is averaging three touchdowns against some poor offenses — Washington, Atlanta and Detroit. We see Wentz and Rodgers putting up some points on Thursday.

DAL/NO Over 41: Combined, the Dallas Cowboys and the New Orleans Saints have eclipsed this total in four of their six games. Dallas is a Top-3 offense in yards per game while scoring three red-zone touchdowns a game this year.

The Saints showed they aren’t ready to roll over and die with Teddy Bridgewater under center and are still a threat to put up points on the turf in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, especially against a Dallas team who has faced the Dolphins, Redskins and Giants.

CIN/PIT Over 37.5: This one scares me the most, but ultimately this is a great matchup for points as the Cincinnati Bengals No. 3 passing offense squares off against the Pittsburgh’s second-worst passing defense. With both teams in the bottom-eight in yards per rush attempt, look for the Bengals and Steelers to settle Monday’s match through the air. Maybe even look for the special team or defensive score prop (+225)


CAPITAL NONE

We need to put this one out there while the stink of the Washington Redskins is still fresh in our olfactory senses. The hot mess that is the Redskins has been bad, but especially bad in the first quarter this year.

In their last 12 games, the team with taxation but no representation has scored a total of ...one touchdown in the opening frame. If you watched Monday Night Football, then you know that a TD isn’t happening anytime soon with that quarterback play, a short week and a divisional game on deck.

Washington Under 0.5 first-quarter touchdowns is too costly at -175 while its first-quarter team total of 3.5 is tempting, but not at -152. If you can find better odds for those bets or don’t mind the juice, take them.

We’re going to grab the first-quarter Under 7.5 (+105) as we hope the Redskins try to hide their passing game and Daniel Jones struggles early after last week’s roller coaster.


KICKING IT IN L.A.

Tampa Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston has left some things to be desired when it comes to execution. The former first-overall pick sits 25th in QBR, below Marcus Mariota and Josh Rosen.

The Bucs have scored a touchdown on just 27 percent of their red-zone trips this year — only better than the Miami Dolphins. This is made even worse by the fact that Tampa Bay is averaging the 10th most red-zone scoring attempts per game. We won’t say no to you if you want to play the Buccaneers’ first score FG (+137).

It makes sense that Jameis and his offense are tied for the lead the league in field goals attempted per game at three. The Los Angeles Rams are also averaging three three-point tries a game which makes the Over 3.5 field goals (-120) a great play, in our opinion. With two struggling offenses and a pair of defenses that are allowing the most and third-most field goal attempts a game, this is our spot for this week’s kicking prop.

SAY IT AIN’T SO, SONY

We’re going back to fading Sony Michel after cashing on his Under 83.5 rushing yards last week. Sometimes you have to stick with what’s working, or not working in Sony’s case.

The running back has still forced one missed tackle on 45 rushing attempts with 1.67 yards after contact per attempt and blue skies aren’t on the forecast for last year’s 900-plus yard runner. Michel saw just 22 percent of the offensive snaps last week in a nothing game against the Jets.

With Rex Burkhead getting more action (74 percent) and facing a Buffalo Bills rushing defense that is allowing just 88 rushing yards a game, we’re going back-to-back weeks on the Michel’s Under and will take it as low as 55 yards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TNF - Eagles at Packers
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

The Eagles (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) are one of three teams in the NFL that has not covered a game yet this season, along with the Chargers and Dolphins (who meet this week). All three games for Philadelphia this season have been decided by five points or less, including last Sunday’s 27-24 home setback to Detroit. The Eagles failed to cash as four-point favorites to drop to 1-7 ATS in Carson Wentz’s last eight starts since Week 10 of 2018.

Philadelphia played without its top two wide receivers with DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery sidelined, while Wentz threw for 259 yards and two touchdowns. Both scoring strikes went to Nelson Agholor, who led Philadelphia with eight receptions, but the Eagles dropped to 0-2 ATS at Lincoln Financial Field this season. The Eagles allowed a 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown by the Lions, but Philadelphia blocked a field goal late and had an opportunity to tie the game, but turned the ball over on downs.

The Packers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) are one of three NFC teams to own 3-0 records through three weeks, as Green Bay will face another one of those unbeaten squads in Week 5 with a trip to Dallas. Green Bay avoided a letdown spot after beating division rivals Chicago and Minnesota the first two weeks by pulling away from Denver last Sunday, 27-16 to cash as seven-point home favorites.

Green Bay’s defense has stepped up through the first three weeks by allowing a total of 35 points, which is the second-fewest given up in the league behind New England’s 17 points. Aaron Rodgers is not putting up normal Aaron Rodgers numbers through three weeks as the Packers’ All-Pro quarterback has not broken the 300-yard passing mark in any of the three games. Rodgers connected with Marquez Valdez-Scantling on a 40-yard touchdown early, but the Green Bay signal-caller finished with 235 yards, while the Packers rushed for only 77 yards on 23 carries.

SACRIFICIAL LAMBEAU

Green Bay continues to own a solid home-field advantage at Lambeau Field by posting a 7-2-1 record since the start of 2018. Taking it a step further, in the last 16 games in Green Bay (including the playoffs) that Rodgers has started and finished, the Packers are 14-1-1 SU and 12-4 ATS, with the only loss coming to Arizona last season as a 13 ½-point favorite. The caveat of starting and finishing the game applies since Rodgers played the opening three series in the Week 17 finale against Detroit last season in a meaningless 31-0 defeat.

SILENT DOGS

The Eagles sit in the underdog role for the first time this season, as Philadelphia posted a 3-2 ATS mark when receiving points last season. However, all three of those covers came with Nick Foles at quarterback, which included a victory as a 13 ½-point underdog against the Rams and the narrow playoff victory at Chicago. In fact, the Eagles went 0-2 ATS as a ‘dog with Wentz under center as Philadelphia was blown at New Orleans and was squeezed in an overtime setback at Dallas. However, the last underdog cover produced by Wentz did come in a Thursday night road game in a 28-23 triumph at Carolina in 2017.

SERIES HISTORY

The Eagles won five consecutive matchups with the Packers from 2003 through 2006, which included a divisional playoff victory in the 2003 postseason. However, Green Bay has turned the tables since then by winning five of six matchups from 2007 through 2016, although only three of the last 10 meetings have come at Lambeau Field.

Green Bay topped Philadelphia in a Monday night matchup at Lincoln Financial Field in the previous showdown in 2016 as the Pack pulled away for a 27-13 victory as four-point underdogs. The Packers entered that night on a four-game skid, but that win at Philadelphia sprung Green Bay on a six-game winning streak and a trip to the NFC championship before falling at Atlanta. Rodgers outdueled Wentz that night as Green Bay held the ball for over 35 minutes and the Green Bay quarterback threw for 313 yards and two touchdowns. Green Bay owns a 4-0 record against Philadelphia with Rodgers starting, while Wentz makes his first ever start at Lambeau Field.

FIRST HALF/SECOND HALF NUMBERS

The Packers have started well in all three games by outscoring their opponents, 45-23, while covering in all three first halves. The ‘under’ has cashed in the second half in all three of Green Bay’s games, as the Packers have scored only one touchdown after halftime this season.

The Eagles have not covered in the first half this season in three games, while going 2-1 ATS in the second half with both covers coming at home against the Redskins and Lions.

HOORAY FOR THURSDAY

Philadelphia has won the last four Thursday night contests since 2016, including three with Wentz as the starting quarterback. The Packers own a 4-2 mark on Thursday night since 2015, as Green Bay is 2-1 in this stretch at Lambeau Field. The underdog/’under’ combination has hit in all three Thursday games this season, while the winning team has not scored more than 20 points in any of those contests.

TOTAL TALK

Including the 24-20 loss at Atlanta in Week 2, the Eagles have now seen the ‘under’ produce a 4-0-1 record in their last five road games dating back to last season. Chris David is aware of that current streak but he believes the total run could be short-lived for Philadelphia based on previous tendencies.

David explains, “The book on Philadelphia has been a quick read under head coach Doug Pederson since he took over in 2016. You get great defensive efforts at the Linc, but the unit hasn’t travelled well. The current trend is leaning ‘under’ but two of those games were in the playoffs and the other matchup was a meaningless Week 17 matchup. In the other two contests, the Birds allowed 24 and 23 points.”

“Including those five games, Pederson has coached in 26 road games with Philadelphia. My attention is on the 21 other results and you’ve got data that’s hard to ignore. The Eagles went 8-13 in those games while allowing 25.6 PPG and that translated into an eye-opening 15-5-1 ‘over’ (75%) record. Coincidentally, the team total for Green Bay is hovering between 25 and 26 points. Knowing the Eagles are banged-up on defense and they haven’t looked sharp on that side of the ball, I’m expecting Green Bay to get on the board on the short week.”

“As far as the game total, I’d likely lean ‘over’ 46. Green Bay’s defense has looked great so far and it leads the league in takeaways (8) but I believe the overall numbers have been helped by the opponents they faced, in particular the offensive units. Wentz hasn’t been sharp for the Eagles and not having a healthy wide receiver corps has hurt, but he’s clearly better than the first trio that the Packers have faced in Trubisky, Cousins and Flacco.”

Historically, this series has been one-sided to the ‘under’ with the low side cashing in eight of the last 10 meetings.

For those looking for Thursday Night trends, the Eagles have watched the ‘over’ cash in their last three mid-week games dating back to 2016. Green Bay has watched it’s last two Thursday games go ‘over’ and the Packers put up 27 and 35 points, winning both decisions.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson provides his view on the Packers’ hot start, “Ranking 28th in yards per play offense (behind teams like Pittsburgh and Tennessee) the Packers don’t have a typical 3-0 profile even with a future Hall of Fame quarterback. The defense has good overall numbers but has allowed 4.9 yards per rush and in facing Chicago, Minnesota, and Denver, the Packers are yet to take on an elite offensive team or opposing quarterback.”

“The case can be made that the Packers are a phony contender with three narrow wins in which they have been out-gained by their opposition overall but have benefitted from posting the best turnover differential in the NFL at +6. Others will say that the team is only going to improve with more time under Matt LaFleur given some significant roster and system changes in the off-season and that this is a budding Super Bowl threat that is 3-0 without coming close to its potential yet,” Nelson notes.

Focusing on Philadelphia, Nelson makes some interesting points regarding the Eagles, “The scoring differential for the Eagles is just -2 through a 1-2 start and in contrast to the Packers, the Eagles have had one of the best run defenses in the NFL, allowing just 2.9 yards per rush, 2nd best in the league through three weeks. Philadelphia’s offense has disappointed so far through a schedule that isn’t likely to have featured elite defensive teams, 24th in the NFL posting 5.2 yards per play. That figure is 0.4 yards per play better than Green Bay but the Packers have faced teams with strong defensive reputations.”

PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Completions – Carson Wentz (PHI)
Over 23 ½ (-110)
Under 23 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Carson Wentz (PHI)
Over 1 ½ (-120)
Under 1 ½ (Even)

Total Receiving Yards – Nelson Agholor (PHI)
Over 46 ½ (-110)
Under 46 ½ (-110)

Total Gross Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 264 ½ (-110)
Under 264 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 1 ½ (-150)
Under 1 ½ (+130)

Total Receiving Yards – Davante Adams (GB)
Over 81 ½ (-110)
Under 81 ½ (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT

The Packers opened as two-point favorites when CG Technologies released their weekly odds back in June. Green Bay is currently a four-point favorite with the total sitting at 46. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-50’s at kickoff and there is no threat of rain at Lambeau Field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Betting Trends through Week 3:

Road Teams: 31-16-1 ATS
Home Teams: 16-31-1 ATS

Favorites: 20-27-1 ATS
Underdogs: 27-20-1 ATS

Home Faves: 10-21-1 ATS
Home Dogs: 6-10 ATS

Road Faves: 10-6 ATS
Road Dogs: 21-10-1 ATS

Over/Under: 22-26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 26

https://i.imgur.com/02XTjwN.png (http://www.freeimagehosting.net/commercial-photography/)

http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/clear.gif (http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=2250421)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901MILWAUKEE -902 CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 14-21 SU (-14.4 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

903LA DODGERS -904 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 10-24 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in the current season.

905COLORADO -906 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-25 SU (-22 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

907PHILADELPHIA -908 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) as an underdog of +200 or more in the last 3 seasons.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 43-56 SU (-27.1 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

911MIAMI -912 NY METS
NY METS are 29-19 SU (12.3 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

913MINNESOTA -914 DETROIT
DETROIT is 2-18 SU (-17.6 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better in the current season.

915BOSTON -916 TEXAS
BOSTON is 64-86 SU (-30.5 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

917CLEVELAND -918 CHI WHITE SOX
CLEVELAND is 22-5 SU (17.5 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in the current season.

919HOUSTON -920 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 19-37 SU (-21.7 Units) when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.

921OAKLAND -922 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 39-16 SU (24 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 26


National League
Brewers (88-70) @ Reds (73-85)
Anderson is 1-0, 2.50 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 5.51 in three starts vs Cincy this year. Team in his starts: 13-13
5-inning record: 12-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: 13-13

Castillo is 2-2, 3.51 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 4.71 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 17-14
5-inning record: 19-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-31 Over/under: 11-19-1

Brewers won 17 of last 19 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3-1 last eight games. Milwaukee clinched a playoff spot last night.

Cincy is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-7 last 15 home games.

Dodgers (101-56) @ Padres (70-87)
Kershaw is 2-3, 5.40 win his last five starts; he is 2-0, 3.46 in four starts vs SD this year. Team in his starts: 20-7
5-inning record: 17-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: over 13-4 last 17

Lucchesi is 0-2, 12.91 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 4.24 in three starts vs LA this year. Team in his starts: 13-16
5-inning record: 15-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29 Over/under: under 5-1 last six

Dodgers are 9-4 in last 13 games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-0 last six games.

San Diego lost 10 of last 12 games; under is 5-4 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3-1 last eight games.

Rockies (68-90) @ Giants (76-82)
Freeland is 0-2, 6.05 in his last four starts; he is 6-3, 3.13 in 11 starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 8-13
5-inning record: 8-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-21 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight

Beede is 1-3, 5.23 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 11.12 in two games (1 start) vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 9-10
5-inning record: 5-12-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-19 Over/under: under 7-4 last 11

Rockies lost five of last seven games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3 last 12 games.

Giants lost four of last six games; under is 5-1 in their last six home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 last 12 games.

Phillies (79-79) @ Nationals (89-69)
Vargas is 1-1, 7.50 in his last four starts; he is 1-3, 1.32 in seven games (4 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: 4-6
5-inning record: 5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: 4-6

Strasburg is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 5.40 in two starts vs Philly this year. Team in his starts: 20-12
5-inning record: 15-12-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-32 Over/under: under 4-1 last five

Philly lost seven of last eight games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4-1 last 11 games.

Washington won six of last seven games; under is 12-5-2 in their last 19 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-2-2 last 13 games.

Cubs (82-76) @ Pirates (67-91)
Quintana is 0-0, 16.61 in his last three starts; he is 4-0, 3.38 in five starts vs Pittsburgh this year. Team in his starts: 18-12
5-inning record: 16-10-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-30 Over/under: last four over

Musgrove is 2-0, 3.68 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 2.16 in three starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 14-16
5-inning record: 15-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Cubs lost their last eight games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Pirates lost nine of their last 11 games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

Marlins (55-103) @ Mets (83-75)
Yamamoto is 0-3, 6.57 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 5-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-14 Over/under: 11-3

Wheeler is 2-0, 1.69 in his last five starts; he is 2-0, 1.20 in two starts vs Miami this year. Team in his starts: 16-14
5-inning record: 12-13-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-30 Over/under: under 3-0 last three

Miami lost 11 of last 15 games; over is 8-3-2 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3-1 last nine games.

Mets won six of last eight games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2-1 last eight games.

American League
Twins (98-60) @ Tigers (46-111)
Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Zimmerman is 0-3, 12.51 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Minnesota this year. Team in his starts: 4-18
5-inning record: 3-16-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: over 3-0 last three

Twins won nine of last 12 games; over is 6-5 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-3 last six games.

Detroit lost seven of last eight games; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven games.

Red Sox (83-75) @ Rangers (75-83)
Johnson is 0-2, 4.82 in seven starts. Team in his starts: 2-5
5-inning record: 4-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7 Over/under: 2-4-1

Minor is 0-2, 11.70 in his last two starts; he is 1-3, 3.44 in nine games (5 starts) vs Boston. Team in his starts: 16-15
5-inning record: 16-9-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-31 Over/under: under 8-4 last 12

Red Sox won five of last eight road games; over is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0 last four games.

Texas lost nine of last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3 last 12 games.

Indians (93-65) @ White Sox (69-88)
Civale is 0-0, 2.30 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 5-4
5-inning record: 3-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-9 Over/under: 2-6-1

Cease is 1-0, 1.88 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 5-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-14 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

Indians won seven of last nine games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3-1 last eight road games.

Chicago lost eight of last 11 home games; over is 6-1 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-4 last eight games.

Astros (104-54) @ Angels (71-87)
Miley is 1-2, 22.10 in his last four starts; he is 3-1, 4.67 in four starts vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 22-10
5-inning record: 17-12-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 12-32 Over/under: over 5-0 last five

Barria is 0-3, 7.30 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts vs Houston this year. Team in his starts: 10-7
5-inning record: 9-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-17 Over/under: over 3-0 last three

Astros won nine of last ten games; they’re 17-7 in road series openers- over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 last five games.

Angels lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 10-13 in home series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 last nine games.

A’s (95-63) @ Mariners (66-92)
Manaea is 3-0, 1.14 in four starts; he is 5-4, 3.90 in 10 starts vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 3-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 1-3

Hernandez is 0-3, 10.06 in his last four starts; he is 26-14, 2.85 in 52 games (51 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 4-10
5-inning record: 4-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14 Over/under: under 4-1 last five

Oakland won 11 of last 14 games; they’re 11-13 in road series openers- under is 13-8 in their last 21 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-5 last 11 games.

Seattle won six of last ten games; they’re 12-12 in home series openers- under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-3 last six games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
Colo 17-72……26-66……43
LA 20-67……25-73……45
Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
StL 17-68…..20-70……37
SD 19-68……21-68…..40
SF 10-71……15-66……25
Wash 22-69…..21-67……43

Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
Det 21-71……18-65……..39
Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
Twins 28-71……18-68……46
NYY 21-66……27-75……48
A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
TB 24-70…..22-70……46
Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 83-63 NL, favorites -$1,467 over 68-67-5
AL @ NL– 66-66, favorites -$2,100 over 71-58-8
Total: 149-129 NL, favorites -$3,567 Over 139-125-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 26

Trend Report

Cincinnati Reds
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 21 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Texas Rangers
Texas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Texas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
San Diego is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Francisco's last 23 games when playing Colorado
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Francisco is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Colorado is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Colorado's last 23 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Colorado is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Washington Nationals
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

New York Mets
NY Mets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
NY Mets is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home
NY Mets is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Mets is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Miami is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Miami is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Chi White Sox is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox

Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games at home
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Angels is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Angels is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Angels is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Houston is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Seattle's last 21 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Seattle is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Oakland is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Oakland's last 21 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 26


Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
September 26, 2019 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 17.969
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 14.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-150); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 913-914
September 26, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(TBD) 15.810
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 12.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-200); Over

Boston @ Texas

Game 915-916
September 26, 2019 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Lakins) 14.077
Texas
(Minor) 15.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-130
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+110); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 903-904
September 26, 2019 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 14.665
San Diego
(Lucchesi) 15.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+190); Under

Colorado @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
September 26, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 15.879
San Francisco
(Beede) 14.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+110); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 907-908
September 26, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Vargas) 14.505
Washington
(Strasburg) 17.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-240
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-240); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 909-910
September 26, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Quintana) 14.050
Pittsburgh
(Musgrove) 15.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+155); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 911-912
September 26, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Yamamoto) 14.942
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 17.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-295
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-295); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 917-918
September 26, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 14.456
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 15.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+175); Over

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 919-920
September 26, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 17.881
LA Angels
(Barria) 14.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-220
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-220); Under

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 921-922
September 26, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 16.352
Seattle
(Hernandez) 13.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-240
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-240); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes



Finger Lakes - Race 5

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 5-6-7) * PICK 4 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 5-6-7-8)



Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 2:58P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OK HONEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SISTER ALEXA: Horse has run a Good Race within the l ast 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FILLY RIDE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



6

OK HONEY

6/5


3/1




2

SISTER ALEXA

5/2


4/1




3

FILLY RIDE

6/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

OK HONEY

6


6/5

Alternator/Stalker

68


72


60.6


63.0


61.0




3

FILLY RIDE

3


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

69


54


58.1


46.8


39.8




2

SISTER ALEXA

2


5/2

Trailer

68


63


42.0


62.2


57.7




1

STEADY ROCK

1


9/2

Trailer

62


62


39.8


38.2


29.2




4

MAIZELOVESBROWNIES

4


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

57


46


63.2


31.2


21.7




5

HOT POSSEBILITY

5


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

54


42


41.6


37.6


28.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



Remington Park - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)



Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 9:55P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 26, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HOLIDAY MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. COOKIES ARE GOOD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MIDAS CAT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. INTIMIDATING: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). KING PTOLEMY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



3

HOLIDAY MAN

15/1


5/1




5

COOKIES ARE GOOD

3/1


5/1




8

MIDAS CAT

12/1


9/1




4

INTIMIDATING

12/1


9/1




12

KING PTOLEMY

9/2


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

WAR EAGLE'S RETURN

9


8/1

Front-runner

85


81


73.6


69.8


56.3




3

HOLIDAY MAN

3


15/1

Alternator/Front-runner

88


79


76.0


71.4


66.9




4

INTIMIDATING

4


12/1

Alternator/Front-runner

90


83


58.4


77.0


60.0




12

KING PTOLEMY

12


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

83


76


59.2


75.4


64.4




6

ZILKER

6


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


72


40.2


71.8


55.3




8

MIDAS CAT

8


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

89


80


33.8


65.6


58.1




2

LEFT COAST DREAMS

2


4/1

Trailer

87


77


57.4


71.8


57.3




5

COOKIES ARE GOOD

5


3/1

Trailer

92


89


55.4


78.8


74.8




1

SPRINGTIME MOJO

1


6/1

Trailer

86


83


51.6


72.0


62.0




10

KILLER PARTY

10


30/1

Trailer

0


0


35.8


65.0


46.0




11

CASH KITTEN

11


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

94


74


69.7


70.2


56.7




7

SUPERSTYLE

7


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

76


65


58.6


70.8


49.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 85

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 UNDAUNTED 8/1




# 7 HIP HIP JORGE 2/1




# 6 DANZAR 4/1




UNDAUNTED is the top bet in this contest and is a decent value bet given the line at 8/1. Has to be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. This colt has some longshot angles I like to wager on. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the group of horses recently. HIP HIP JORGE - Ought to compete soundly in the early speed contest which bodes well with this field. Earned a reliable Equibase speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. DANZAR - This colt should be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. Keep this colt in your exotics as Zayas has given backers some double digit profits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belmont Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:33pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 INALIENABLE RIGHTS (ML=8/5)


INALIENABLE RIGHTS - The ROI when Carmouche and Englehart get together is outstanding. This horse brings in a lot of dough per start. Tops in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LAURA'S POSSE (ML=9/5), #5 GYOZA (ML=3/1), #3 ALL CLEAR (ML=6/1),

LAURA'S POSSE - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to back him. GYOZA - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in short distance affairs recently. ALL CLEAR - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to support him.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #1 INALIENABLE RIGHTS to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 JOHN'S PROMISE 5/2




# 1 ELIAV 4/1




# 6 MEETMEATTHEWIRE 15/1




I think JOHN'S PROMISE is a strong choice. Marin will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this race. Gorham has a formidable 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. ELIAV - Lately Lake has provided gamblers with a decent winning percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,100 Class Rating: 75

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 LIGHTHOUSE POINT (ML=2/1)


LIGHTHOUSE POINT - I am keen on that latest contest on September 2nd at Belterra Park where he ran second. Sophisticated selectors will tell you that this thoroughbred has strong speed. Just look at his last rating, 70. That one looks good in this field. Last raced at Belterra Park with a poor post position. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CAUSEWAY CANDY (ML=6/5), #3 NAUTICAL LEGACY (ML=7/2),

CAUSEWAY CANDY - A thoroughbred that breaks his maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next time out. Finished first in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. NAUTICAL LEGACY - Registered a mediocre speed rating last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on September 16th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LIGHTHOUSE POINT - Put a prime wager on this gelding. Number one in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #4 LIGHTHOUSE POINT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



09/26/19, CD, Race 5, 6.56 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $102,000.
Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $8,995 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) - Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
2
Rare Form
8-1
Chuan M
Romans Dale L.
JFEW


098.3422
4
Secretary At War
4-1
Geroux F
Cox Brad H.
T


098.2949
12
Parlor
3-1
Lanerie C J
Kenneally Eddie
S


097.5072
13
Multiplier
5-1
Graham J
Mott William I.




096.8611
1
Marzo
5-1
Gaffalione T
Maker Michael J.
L


095.7506
3
Longden (GB)
15-1
Castanon J L
Harty Eoin G.




095.4557
9
Ezmosh(b+)
10-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe




095.1537
8
Cowboy Culture
8-1
Leparoux J R
Casse Norm W.
C


094.9739
10
Souter (GB)
10-1
Baze T
Glatt Mark




093.3094
5
Afleet Ascent
20-1
Lezcano A
Hernandez Rey




093.2116
11
Minecraft Maniac
20-1
Canchari A L
Anderson Doug L.




093.0380
6
Holiday Stone
10-1
Cannon D
Kenneally Eddie




091.4393
7
Coal Truth
30-1
Morales E
Anderson Doug L.




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.


Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


2
46.60
1.71
30.30
10
33
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish


4
40.60
1.68
20.00
6
30
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12
14.80
1.19
17.95
7
39
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


13
14.80
1.19
17.95
7
39
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


1
56.60
1.66
27.91
12
43
[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed


3
28.60
1.10
15.71
22
140
[All Surfaces] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


9
40.60
1.68
20.00
6
30
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


8
28.60
1.10
15.71
22
140
[All Surfaces] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


10
40.60
1.68
20.00
6
30
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


5
32.80
1.59
17.86
5
28
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


11
14.80
1.19
17.95
7
39
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9


6
32.80
1.59
17.86
5
28
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


7
40.60
1.68
20.00
6
30
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
2
Rare Form
8-1
Chuan M
Romans Dale L.
JEW


099.6599
12
Parlor
3-1
Lanerie C J
Kenneally Eddie




099.4820
4
Secretary At War
4-1
Geroux F
Cox Brad H.
T


098.6909
13
Multiplier
5-1
Graham J
Mott William I.




098.3261
8
Cowboy Culture
8-1
Leparoux J R
Casse Norm W.
C


098.3151
1
Marzo
5-1
Gaffalione T
Maker Michael J.
L


097.5704
9
Ezmosh(b+)
10-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe




097.4956
10
Souter (GB)
10-1
Baze T
Glatt Mark
F


096.8761
6
Holiday Stone
10-1
Cannon D
Kenneally Eddie
S


096.3363
3
Longden (GB)
15-1
Castanon J L
Harty Eoin G.




095.5681
5
Afleet Ascent
20-1
Lezcano A
Hernandez Rey




094.3858
11
Minecraft Maniac
20-1
Canchari A L
Anderson Doug L.




093.5913
7
Coal Truth
30-1
Morales E
Anderson Doug L.




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.


Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


8
34.20
1.19
34.78
32
92
[All Dirt] Best Closer


1
56.60
1.66
27.91
12
43
[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed


9
14.20
1.65
45.45
5
11
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Blinkers On From Off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



09/26/19, GP, Race 6, 3.46 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
6
Danzar
4-1
Zayas E J
Casse Mark E.
FEWL


098.3436
8
Parkland Strong
3-1
Lopez P
Abreu Fernando
J


095.3973
7
Hip Hip Jorge
2-1
Torres C A
Casse Mark E.
S


095.0726
3
Churchills Victory
6-1
Vasquez M A
Alter Happy




094.9788
1
Undaunted
8-1
Reyes L
Lichoa Alfredo
C


091.8387
2
Diamond Chalice
10-1
Panici L
Gabriel. Jr. Leo G.




091.7715
4
Mr Dave
12-1
Lugo C D
Penna. Jr. Angel A.




090.6048
5
War Act
20-1
Gomez D F
Cioffi Antonio




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.


Pgm#
Profit
ROI
WPC
Win#
Occ
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


6
88.60
1.32
39.86
55
138
[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today


8
49.00
1.17
37.16
55
148
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today


7
64.40
1.13
36.80
92
250
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


3
40.20
1.14
35.25
49
139
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


1
88.60
1.32
39.86
55
138
[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today


2
40.20
1.14
35.25
49
139
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


4
40.20
1.14
35.25
49
139
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


5
40.20
1.14
35.25
49
139
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

NFL & MLB Picks 9/26

100* Packers -4.5
100* Giants -125
100* Over 9 Indians/White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn
Free Play: Cleveland w/Civale -195 Over Chicago Wsox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CLEVELAND/CHICAGO WHITE SOX OVER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: Oakland Athletics/Seattle Mariners over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins Roz's THURSDAY, Septmeber 26, 2019 Free Pick
MLB
9/26 12:45 PM MLB (905) COLORADO ROCKIES (K FREELAND - L) VS (906) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (T BEEDE - R)
Take : Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Oakland Athletics - 230

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Thursday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates + 120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Free Pick: the Oakland Athletics w/Manaea -235 over Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play Thursday, September 26, 2019


9/26 11:05 AM MLB (915) BOSTON RED SOX (T LAKINS - R - ) VS (916) TEXAS RANGERS (M MINOR - L)
Take : Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is

Oakland/Seattle UNDER 9 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take SAN FRANCISCO/COLORADO OVER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Thursday

Pittsburgh Musgrove

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: New York Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports Free Play: Washington Strasburg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

FREE play THURS Mets w/ Wheeler

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: Cleveland Indians - 185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: OAKLAND/SEATTLE UNDER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Oakland Athletics - 200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: Navy/Memphis OVER 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Astros -1.5
2. Gameday Network MLB – Rockies +105
3. VegasSI.com MLB – Mets -1.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Reds -120
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Twins over 9.5
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Athletics -1.5
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Pirates under 9
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Red Sox +105
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Reds -120
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Nationals -1.5
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Dodgers -1.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Mets -1.5
13. SCORE MLB – Athletics -1.5
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Rockies +105
15. Tony Campone MLB – Red Sox under 11
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Indians -185
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Athletics -1.5
18. VIP Action MLB – Mets -1.5
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Dodgers -1.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Twins -145
21. NY Players Club MLB – Rockies +105
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Reds -120
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Pirates under 9
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Nationals -1.5
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Twins over 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
MLB
CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NCAA Football
NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS/LOS ANGELES ANGELS ‑115 o9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)
MLB
CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑1.5 ‑130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Shadow Sports Syndicate (http://www.TheShadowSportsSyndicate.com)
MLB
CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Line Mover Sports (http://linemoversports.cappertek.com/)
NCAA Football
NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, September 26, 2019


9/26 12:45 PM PT / 3:45 PM ET

MLB (905) COLORADO ROCKIES VS (906) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Take: (906) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Reason: Your free play for Thursday, September 26, 2019 is an early game between the Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants. Your free play is on the GIANTS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Going to look for plenty of running plays in tonight's Navy-Memphis game, as this Thursday night tilt from Bluff City holds just Under the posted total.

It is a known commodity that the Midshipmen employ the triple-option attack, and in so doing tend to see their games have the clock running more often than not. They come into this game at the Liberty Bowl having held Under in both of their games played to date. That puts Navy on a 5-2 Under run dating back to last season, with each of their last 3 games having held Under the posted total.

Memphis just held Under the total in their last game at South Alabama, as the Tigers have opened this new season with Unders in 2 of their first 3 games. The Tigers have been relying on their running game, as Taylor may be out, but Gainwell and Watkins have picked up the slack - both rushing for over 100 yards in the Tigers last win over the Jaguars.

Over the last 2 season's, these teams have held Under the total, last year being a 22-21 final score in their meeting in Annapolis.

Look for plenty of rushing attempts in this game, and look for the Under to be the play for the third season in a row.

Navy-Memphis Under.

2* NAVY-MEMPHIS UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Everybody is raving about the revamped Green Bay defense, as the Packers have only surrendered 35 total points in getting out to a 3-0 straight up and against the spread mark, with 2 of the 3 games having held Under the total.

The lone Over thus far did come on Sunday when Aaron Rodgers and the offense increased on their point total for the third straight game in their win at home over Denver.

Green Bay scored 10 points in their opening win at Chicago. Followed with 21 points at home against Minnesota and then got to 27 points in their most recent win over Denver.

Since the Philadelphia defense has allowed 27, 24 and 27 points through their first 3 games, I think it is reasonable to expect the Packers get in the 28 point price range tonight at home.

That being the case, an Over play is worth the look to me, as banged-up Philadelphia has posted 32, 20 and 24 points in their first 3 games, with 2 of those 3 games landing Over the total.

I know all about the Philadelphia injury situation, I still feel that Carson Wentz is going to find a way to put some points up on the Lambeau Field scoreboard as he desperately tries to help his team keep pace with Rodgers and the Packers offense.

The total as I type my analysis is hovering in the neighborhood of 46 points, and this one will just squeeze past that total when the games goes final.

Eagles-Packers land Over on Thursday.

3* PHILADELPHIA-GREEN BAY OVER