Service Plays Saturday 10/12/19

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 4:00PM
182 Nevada -3.0(-110) Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) vs 181 San Jose St. triple-dime bet

Analysis: Just two weeks ago, we suffered one of the most embarrassing losses in my entire handicapping career. We gave out Nevada -2 vs Hawaii and they proceeded to lose 54-3. Now after that loss, we think we're buying Nevada stock low as they're off a bye, after head coach Jay Norvell had the following comments:
“It’s beyond disappointing and embarrassing to have that kind of performance,” said Norvell on Monday, less than 48 hours after a stunning 54-3 loss to the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in front of an ESPN2 nationwide audience and a dejected Homecoming crowd at Mackay Stadium.
“There’s a whole bunch of players and coaches over at Cashell Field House that got their eyes opened this morning,” Norvell said. “I guarantee you that.”
The Wolf Pack face what we feel is an overrated San Jose St team that benefited from +4 TO's vs Arkansas a few weeks ago, a very fortunate cover vs Air Force and +5 TO's vs New Mexico st

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOY

Arizona St -2

[Born Tactician]

Ralph Michaels "Game of the Month" Nevada Wolfpack (-3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 157 Mississippi State Bulldogs -6.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: CFB 4u: 149 Utah Utes -13.5 -112 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: CFB 4u: 140 Boise State Broncos -11.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: CFB 3u: 119 Michigan Wolverines -21.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: CFB 3u: 126 Oklahoma/Texas un75.5 -110 (Saturday, October 12th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 4:00PM
693 MON / 694 WIN UNDER 48.0 Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)double-dime bet

Analysis: Weather Play UNDER here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

SATURDAY 10-12-19 =

UFC : LUIS PENA -165...($750) via Pinnacle

UFC : RYAN SPANN -140...($600) via 5Dimes

UFC : MAX GRIFFIN -145...($600) via BetOnline

UFC : GERALD MEERSCHAERT +140...($600) via 5Dimes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 187 UAB Blazers -11.5 -110 (Saturday, October 12th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 7 college football picks, bets, nuggets

College football season is in full swing, which means it's time for "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica to continue their prognostications.
In this file, they break down Week 7 of the season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets, games to stay away from and even a special money-line underdog parlay to jump on.
Here we go with Week 7 picks. The Bear is 9-0 the last two weeks. Enjoy Week 7.
The plays

Stanford Steve (2-3 last week, 17-11-2 overall)

The Bear (4-0 last week, 14-11-1 overall)


Charlotte 49ers at Florida International Panthers (-5.5, 61)
Stanford Steve: The 49ers are off a bye week and the Panthers are fresh off a win over UMass. Both teams are still looking for their first win in conference play. Charlotte is 0-4 vs. FIU, losing the last three by a total of nine points, which includes two one-point losses. The 49ers' new regime under Will Healy leads C-USA and ranks in the top 30 in FBS in scoring at 35.8 PPG and rushing yards per game at 219. They also have had great success when getting to the red zone, scoring 14 TDs on 17 trips. I think the 49ers can win the game, but we'll take the points.
Pick: Charlotte +5.5. Charlotte 31 FIU 29

North Texas Mean Green at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-3.5, 58.5)
Stanford Steve: Both teams start conference play off a bye after playing some good competition in nonconference play. Plenty of people thought the Mean Green would win their side of Conference USA, but they have plenty of doubters now after they got handled by the Houston Cougars. Houston started a new quarterback and gave it to North Texas, returning a punt and a kickoff for a touchdown and winning 46-25. You have to think head coach Seth Littrell, who was a hot commodity in the offseason, got his team grounded during the bye week and got their attention. They have plenty of talent, led by quarterback Mason Fine, who has already thrown for 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns. I like the Mean Green to cover on the road.
Pick: North Texas +3.5. North Texas 28, Southern Miss 27

Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers (-12.5)
The Bear: The introduction of quarterback John Rhys Plumlee has added a dimension to the Rebels offense that Rich Rodriguez can utilize. Factor in the loss of linebacker Cale Garrett for the Tigers and Missouri's task is a bit tougher. Outside of the game against Alabama, Ole Miss' defense hasn't played too poorly, and I'd imagine they are probably kicking themselves for close losses to Memphis and Cal. I think the Rebels hang around here.
Pick: Ole Miss +12.5

USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11)
The Bear: The Trojans outgained Washington in Seattle two weeks ago but were done in by three Matt Fink interceptions and one 89-yard run by Salvon Ahmed (his other 16 carries netted 64 yards). Kedon Slovis is back for USC at quarterback, and he's got some weapons at wide receiver if injuries to Notre Dame's Shaun Crawford and Daelin Hayes affect the Irish defense against a much better offensive unit than they faced last week in Bowling Green. Will the return of Irish running back Jafar Armstrong boost a unit that managed just 322 total yards against Virginia and 321 at Georgia? If the Trojans can avoid the game-altering turnover they suffered at Washington -- and the ones Virginia did itself in with two weeks ago -- they can hang around here.
Pick: USC +11

Iowa State Cyclones (-10) at West Virginia Mountaineers
The Bear: According to our power rankings, Iowa State is a top-20 team. West Virginia is outside the top 70. The Cyclones haven't run it very well this year, but the Mountaineers haven't fared too well against the run, nor have they forced too many turnovers. Quarterback Brock Purdy could give them fits. Iowa State ate apart a much better West Virginia offense last year, and if the Mountaineers continue to throw interceptions, it will likely mean a second straight double-digit home loss.
Pick: Iowa State -10
Stay-away games

The Bear


Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes (-2, 43.5)
Last week Miami fell behind Virginia Tech 28-0 and turned the ball over four times in its first 13 plays. Last year in Charlottesville, N'Kosi Perry completed five of his six passes -- two were to Cavaliers. The Hurricanes' season appears to be spiraling downward. And yet the Canes are 2-point favorites? Run away. Run far away from this one.

Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (PK, 59)
The Cougars allowed 67 points to UCLA. Not much else needs to be said.

Colorado State Rams (-3, 66.5) at New Mexico Lobos
A true test of the adage, "If there's a game on a Friday night, you have to bet it." No, you don't.

Kent State Golden Flashes (-14.5, 57.5) at Akron Zips
Kent State spent two of the last three weeks getting beat up by Auburn and Wisconsin. Sure, in between the two it pummeled Bowling Green. But do you really want to lay more than TD? Or feel good about taking the Flashes with a punchless Akron team?
Stanford Steve


Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (-1, 58.5)
A 12:30 p.m. Pacific kickoff time in Tempe and the Sun Devils haven't played against any kind of offense... and on the other side you have a new defensive coordinator for Wazzu after an interesting resignation. Go have fun with that game.

UMass Minutemen at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-32, 62.5)
The worst 4-1 team in the country is giving 32 points to the worst team in college football, not named Akron. No thanks.
Stanford Steve's no-brainer over to take


Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon Ducks (-21, 58.5)
I like the situation here for the Ducks. I know they have hated rival Washington up next in Seattle, but last week had to leave a bad taste in the Ducks' mouth, as they beat Cal 17-7 despite three first-half turnovers. The offense is now as healthy as its been and you have to feel they want to get out to a good start vs. the undermanned Buffaloes, build up a lead and maybe coast to the end, leaving the back door open for plenty of points. The last time the Buffs played in Eugene, it was quarterback Steven Montez's first career start -- and Colorado won as a monster underdog, so he will not be fazed by the atmosphere, but I think his defense might be. For the record, the road team is 5-14 in Pac-12 conference road games on Friday night. I like the over.
Pick: Over 58.5. Oregon 42 Colorado 21 (over 58.5)
The Bear's money-line parlay of the week

Eight-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 returns $67.41.
Oregon -1600
Indiana -5000
Toledo -3500
Michigan -2500
Georgia -2500
LSU -500
Alabama -800
Clemson -3500
The Bear's underdogs to play on the ML and/or in a parlay or round-robin

Louisville +195
Temple +185
Northern Illinois +210
Michigan State +330
Ole Miss +400
USC +320
Arizona +180
The Bear: If you had to play one or two, who ya got?

Connecticut +34 at Tulane or Massachusetts +32 at Louisiana Tech
Stanford Steve's weeknight teaser

UL Monroe +6.5
Oregon -10.5
Virginia +12
Bear Bytes

What is Florida up against?
Dating back to 2010, the last 12 ranked teams to pull a home upset and face another ranked team as an underdog the following week are 1-11 SU, 4-8 ATS. The only win came in 2014 with Ole Miss at A&M the week after the Rebels upset Alabama.
Aggies typically don't win these games
Texas A&M is 2-9 since 2000 at Kyle Field as a ranked team vs. a top-10 opponent. Among teams that have played at least four games meeting that criteria, only Tennessee (1-7) has a worse record in that span.
Dogging it
Texas has been an underdog each of the last six years vs. Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry Game and has covered all six games, winning three times outright. OU did cover in the Big 12 Championship Game last year.
Texas vs. Oklahoma in Red River Rivalry Game:
2018, Texas +7.5, Won by 3
2017, Texas +9.5, Lost by 5
2016, Texas +11, Lost by 5
2015, Texas +16.5, Won by 7
2014, Texas +15.5, Lost by 5
2013, Texas +13, Won by 16
Unchartered territory
The only time since 1978 that Florida State has been a 20-point dog was in Bobby Bowden's final regular-season game. The Seminoles were +25 at Florida in 2009. FSU lost that game 37-10 to the Gators.
Humbled Huskies?
Washington is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven Pac-12 road games as a favorite. That includes three outright losses as a a favorite of at least 12.5 points. The last time Washington went to Tucson, in 2016, the Huskies needed OT to win as a 14-point favorite against an Arizona team that finished 3-9.
Tidal wave
The only other time Tulane has been a 30-point favorite over an FBS team came in 1998 when the Green Wave were a 37-point favorite over UL Lafayette. Tulane is favored by 34 over Connecticut.
Devil of a time
In its last 10 games as a favorite, Duke is 0-10 ATS and lost nine of them straight-up. Going back further, in the Blue Devils' last game 17 games as a favorite, they are 2-15 ATS with 13 outright losses. That will be tested this week vs. Georgia Tech.
Golden era
Kent State is a 14.5-point favorite vs. Akron. It's the biggest favorite Kent State has been over an FBS team since 2013 when the Golden Flashes were an 18-point favorite over Miami (OH).
Give a hoot
Since 2015, Temple is 17-5 ATS with 11 outright wins as an underdog. Included in that is a 20-17 win over Maryland earlier this year as a 5.5-point underdog.
U got it?
Utah has lost four of its last six Pac-12 road games in which it was favored. Included in that is a 30-23 loss at USC in September.
Spartans usually bounce back after a loss
Excluding the 2016 3-9 outlier season for Michigan State, in the Spartans' last 11 games immediately following a double-digit loss they have 10 wins and one loss, by a field goal last year at Nebraska.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best bets for Week 7 college football games

Every Thursday during the season, Bill Connelly, Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson and Phil Steele will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for the seventh full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Connelly: 12-6-1 (2-1 last week)
Kezirian: 22-17 (5-4 last week)
Johnson: 16-14-1 (3-2 last week)
Steele: 13-19 (4-1 last week)
Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.
Thursday's game


ULM Warhawks (-3.5) at Texas State Bobcats

Johnson: I have seven sides that I really like this week, so I will keep these brief and offer up my personal projections on each game. I'm still a believer in this Texas State team, and coming off of a bye week following back-to-back wins isn't a time to shy away. I have this projected nearly a 50-50 game with the Bobcats +0.3, so getting the hook on a key number like three is automatic here.
ATS pick: Texas State +3.5
Friday's game


Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes (-2)

Kezirian: Miami will not begin this game as flat as it did against Virginia Tech, where it dug itself a 28-0 hole. However, I am not convinced the Hurricanes have much offensive firepower. Aside from the brand name and a catchy "turnover chain," there is not much to like with this inconsistent team. The defense has been somewhat impressive, but it has really shut down only weak teams. They could not get a stop to seal a win over UNC, and clearly the defense was porous against the Hokies.
N'Kosi Perry will start at quarterback in place of Jarren Williams. He looked better than Williams but not enough for me to change my opinion. I just love the situational spot for the Cavaliers. Virginia squandered chances to upset Notre Dame but now enters this game off a bye and is still undefeated in ACC play. I think UVA wins, but the better option is a teaser, especially with such a low total of 44. I envision a one-score game, so I will play my first college teaser in about two years.
Pick: Teaser of Virginia (+8) and Minnesota (-1.5)
Saturday's games


Florida Gators at LSU Tigers (-13.5)

Kezirian: Following Florida's impressive win over unbeaten Auburn, I was hoping this line would be closer to 10; unfortunately, no such luck. I still think this is a strong play, given the situation. The Tigers cruised to a home win over Utah State, and the Gators battled and grinded to beat Auburn. We have seen teams in these situations run out of gas the following week, and I think that happens here. Additionally, I just feel LSU is superior on both sides of the ball and it finally has an offense that can cover a big spread against a quality opponent.
The game might be close at halftime, but LSU should pull away and win by more than two touchdowns. It's just tough for me to envision Florida's backup quarterback playing that well in a night game at Death Valley.
ATS pick: LSU -13.5
Connelly: I guess if I'm going to write about how we've been underrating the Gators, I should put my Best Bets record where my mouth is. I'd obviously feel far more comfortable with this line at 14 points, but this is still another game in which the projection is far tighter than the line: SP+ projects LSU to win by 7.7, nearly six points lower.
Four of Florida's six results have come within a touchdown of the SP+ projection, and the two that didn't were examples of Gators overachievement -- they were projected to win by 18.6 against Tennessee and won by 31, and they were projected to win by 2.3 against Auburn and won by 11 (despite four turnovers).
It's easy to see how this pick goes awry, of course; LSU passes far better than anyone else Florida has played, and while the Tigers' tempo isn't exactly Josh Heupel-level, it's far faster than normal. If the Tigers find advantages, they could exploit them repeatedly. But Florida can score, too, and I'm going to keep thinking oddsmakers are underselling the Gators until they give me a reason not to.
ATS pick: Florida +13.5

South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs (-24.5)

Kezirian: This is a good spot to back South Carolina. The Gamecocks are off a bye and have a strong enough defense to prevent a complete blowout. Georgia is undoubtedly among the nation's best teams, but I have been fairly underwhelmed with the Bulldogs in certain areas. Their offensive line has struggled in some short-yardage situations against inferior opponents, and the offense seems to sputter more often than one would imagine. All of this is in relation to their lofty standards.
With a big number like this, Georgia's tendency to chew clock in the second half of one-sided games might allow a backdoor cover. They obviously have the talent to blow out the Gamecocks, but I think this is a good time to take the 'dog against the Dawgs.
ATS pick: South Carolina +24.5
Connelly: This pick is far more about South Carolina than Georgia -- the Dawgs are probably going to win pretty comfortably. But the Gamecocks were better than their score indicated the past two games.
I calculate an adjusted scoring margin for each game based on the key predictive indicators that go into SP+; the 20-point loss to Missouri should have been more like a seven-point loss, and the 17-point win over Kentucky was close to something far more dominant. And that was with freshman quarterback Ryan Hilinski dealing with an elbow injury. It was improving into Kentucky week, and the Gamecocks got a bye week after that.
South Carolina is a solid top-40 team, and SP+ projects Georgia with about a 19-point advantage. SP+ is hitting 60% against the spread in games in which it and the line are five or more points apart; they're at 5.6 in this one. If you're monitoring this in-game, pay attention to how well Georgia is running the ball. The Dawgs obviously have an awesome run game, and South Carolina's run front, though pretty efficient so far this year, is pretty banged up and thin. If D'Andre Swift is gaining seven or eight yards at will, this becomes far less of a best bet.
ATS pick: South Carolina +24.5

Oklahoma Sooners (-11) vs. Texas Longhorns (in Dallas)

Kezirian: Tom Herman is 13-3-1 ATS as an underdog, and he has covered in six straight Red River Rivalry games. As much as I love Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma has played soft defenses this year and been able to name the score. This Texas defense will show much more resistance, and I am not convinced Jalen Hurts is a polished passer. I trust his poise -- he played in huge games with Alabama -- but we will learn a lot about his passing ability Saturday. I also think the Longhorns might be a better team. I was thoroughly impressed with their performance in the loss to LSU, and I trust Herman and Sam Ehlinger to have enough to cover.
ATS pick: Texas +11

Penn State Nittany Lions (-3.5) at Iowa Hawkeyes

Steele: Kinnick Stadium at night can be a house of horrors for visiting teams. Iowa knocked off No. 2 Michigan in 2016 at night, and in 2017 beat No. 3 Ohio State 55-24. In its past eight home matchups against top-10 teams, Iowa is 4-4 straight up but has lost only one of those games by more than three points; they are getting 3.5 points here. Iowa was very uncharacteristic with a minus-3 turnover margin last week, but that was on the road and QB Nate Stanley had zero interceptions before last week. The Hawkeyes defense is giving up only 254 yards per game and held Michigan to 10 points last week. Iowa has taken on the tougher schedule, has the more veteran QB and pulls yet another upset in Kinnick.
ATS pick: Iowa +3.5
Score: Iowa 20, Penn State 17
Johnson: I project this game to be a pick 'em. Quarterback Nate Stanley mustered only three points for Iowa in Ann Arbor in their matchup against Michigan, but it was arguably the worst game of his career. The Hawkeyes' defense was in check (they've given up only 44 points through five games this season), and I think the best comparison to Iowa is a Pittsburgh team that Penn State struggled to put away at home earlier in the year. Iowa is better than Pittsburgh anyway, and the Hawkeyes are playing this one at Kinnick.
The current market number implies that the Nittany Lions are roughly 7-point favorites on a neutral field, and that just isn't the case at all, in my opinion. The Hawkeyes getting over a field goal is one of my biggest bets of the college football season.
ATS pick: Iowa +3.5

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (-7.5)

Kezirian: I am not overreacting to last week's losing pick on Nebraska, as I suffered through the Huskers' failed cover against lowly Northwestern. I am just merely evaluating the data points, which portray a team that cannot string together four quality quarters. The Huskers are shaky on offense, and QB Adrian Martinez constantly looks skittish and lacks receivers who can get open. He is questionable for this game, but backup Noah Vedral is familiar with the offense, having transferred from UCF.
The defense has been respectable at times, but this team just is not good enough to face an undefeated Minnesota team on the road and keep this within one score. I realize the Gophers lack flash and have had some miraculous wins to remain undefeated, but they are still significantly more reliable and polished than Nebraska.
ATS pick: Minnesota -7.5
Steele: Martinez is questionable, but as Doug notes Vedral knows the offense well after spending time with Scott Frost at UCF. The Huskers could sneak in some reps for Luke McCaffrey (Christian's brother), who is one of the top athletes on the team. Vedral was thrust into action last week and led the winning drive against Northwestern. Nebraska has also taken on the much tougher schedule up to this point. Minnesota blew out Illinois last week and had 239 more yards; Nebraska beat Illinois by only four points despite outgaining the Illini 690-299.
Minnesota is 5-0 and No. 26 in the rankings and might start to feel a little pressure as the Gophers are beginning to earn national attention. Despite the soft schedule, only one of the Gophers' wins has been by more than seven points.
ATS pick: Nebraska +7.5
Score: Minnesota 31, Nebraska 30

Washington Huskies (-6.5) at Arizona Wildcats

Steele: Washington has a young defense, and through three Pac-12 games this year, they are giving up 387 yards per game (compared to the 305 they gave up last year). The Huskies are allowing 4.3 yards per carry, which is the highest of the Chris Petersen era. Quarterback Jacob Eason has been great in nonconference games, completing 78% of his passes with a 10-1 TD-INT ratio. However, in three Pac-12 games he is completing 54% with just a 1-2 TD-INT ratio. Washington is 1-2 in conference play and traveling for a second straight week. Arizona is atop the Pac-12 South standings, and last week dynamic QB Khalil Tate returned and threw for 404 yards in the win over Colorado. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the previous 10 matchups, winning eight of the past nine outright.
ATS pick: Arizona +6.5
Score: Arizona 31, Washington 30

Maryland Terrapins (-3) at Purdue Boilermakers

Steele: Maryland has been somewhat predictable in the past two years. When matched up against an average to below-average rush defense, the Terrapins look unstoppable. Maryland has topped 165 yards rushing in nine games the previous two years and put up 50.8 PPG in those contests. But when facing a solid rush defense, the Terps struggle. Purdue lost its top two defenders this year and is allowing opponents to gain 56 yards per game above their season average.
My computer has Maryland topping 200 rushing yards in this game. Though QB Josh Jackson is out for Maryland, Tyrrell Pigrome started at Texas in 2017 and against Ohio State last year, and the Terps put up 51 points in each of those games. Purdue has a weak rushing attack, averaging just 51 yards per game on the ground and 1.9 yards per carry. The Boilermakers lost starting QB Elijah Sindelar against Minnesota, and unlike Maryland, there is a significant drop-off without him under center. The Boilermakers have totaled eight first downs in each of Jack Plummer's two starts, and averaged only 154 yards per game. Purdue is banged up on the offensive line and at receiver this week, to go along with its QB and defensive injuries.
ATS pick: Maryland -3
Score: Maryland 34, Purdue 17

North Texas Mean Green at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-4)

Connelly: We'll consider this North Texas' last stand as far as SP+ is concerned. It projected the Mean Green as one of the better teams in Conference USA, and they've oscillated between rewarding that faith (42-point win over UTSA, solid six-point loss at Cal) and making it seem totally unfounded (22-point loss to SMU, 21-point loss to D'Eriq King-less Houston). They've been as high as 54th and as low as 91st so far; SP+ favors UNT by 2.1 in this one, but it doesn't have a great read on the Mean Green just yet.
Southern Miss, however, has been a far more steady entity. The SP+ projection has been within nine points of the final margin in all five games so far, and if that were to continue, that suggests a range of outcomes from about USM by 7 to UNT by 9. Most of that range falls within covering North Texas.
ATS pick: North Texas +4

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles (PK)

Steele: Last week's results give up some solid line value here. Ball State is playing well this year and is coming off a big road upset over Northern Illinois but has to go back on the road this week. Last week, Ball State trailed the Huskies 17-3 at the half and was outgained 388-269 but came out on top. Eastern Michigan was coming off a bye week and looked sluggish in its 42-16 road loss to Central Michigan. On Sept. 14, the Eagles went on the road and beat Illinois 34-31 in a game they led 31-17. The next week at home, they struggled to beat an FCS team, as most teams suffer a letdown after a big upset.
The Eagles have won five of their past six MAC home games on the gray turf of Rynearson Stadium, while Ball State is 3-14 straight up on the road in MAC play the past five years. Eastern Michigan has wins over Ball State by 42 and 22 points, respectively, in the teams' past two meetings. The Eagles were the underdog earlier in the week, so they will feel like a home underdog and are in a must-win situation.
ATS pick: Eastern Michigan (PK)
Score: Eastern Michigan 34, Ball State 28

Toledo Rockets (-26) at Bowling Green Falcons

Johnson: I have been fortunate enough to stay away from this Bowling Green trainwreck to this point in the season (0-4 ATS against FBS opponents). It's one thing to lose 52-0 on the road to Kansas State and Notre Dame, but it's another to lose by 42 at Kent State. The Falcons are in a battle with UConn and UTEP for the right to be the third-worst team in college football this season. Considering I haven't shown any value in recent weeks to bet on Bowling Green despite its troubles, I have to trust my numbers here and take the 26 points.
I project the Falcons at +22.7 in the matchup, and that doesn't account for the fact that quarterback Grant Loy could be taking over for Darius Wade under center (he looked better against the Irish last Saturday, and clearly Wade wasn't effective in his five starts this season). Bowling Green has never been a home underdog of 26 points or more, and I think they'll keep it within the number.
ATS pick: Bowling Green +26

Memphis Tigers (-6) at Temple Owls

Johnson: I thought the opener on Sunday afternoon at Temple +3.5 was very close to fair. My projection is +3.3, so a move to +6 against the better defense playing at home with extra days to prepare coming off of a Thursday night game has me a little perplexed. Memphis was actually outgained by 40 yards last week against UL Monroe despite winning the game 52-33. The Tigers are the better team, but they shouldn't be laying a touchdown on the road in Philadelphia.
ATS pick: Temple +6

San Jose State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack (-2)

Johnson: This line implies that San Jose State is the better football team on a neutral field. I know the Spartans won outright as a massive underdog in Fayetteville, Arkansas, and they covered as a favorite against a lowly New Mexico team this past Saturday (but were plus-nine in turnovers in those two contests), but I still project the Wolf Pack as the superior team. Coming off of a 51-point home loss to Hawaii is no joke, and that's certainly playing a role in the market reaction to Nevada. My projection is Wolf Pack -6.4, and I'm willing to bet that after an extra week to prepare and sit on the Hawaii loss, we get their best effort.
ATS pick: Nevada -2

USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11)

Johnson: With Kedon Slovis getting cleared to play against the Irish this Saturday, I think the Trojans are a buy at +11. He's definitely an upgrade over third-string quarterback Matt Fink, and my projection comes in at +8.7. I'm still not overly impressed with the Notre Dame results to this point, and I'm fine going back to the well betting against the Irish after splitting the two Virginia bets two weeks ago. The Cavaliers led the game outright at halftime, but two Bryce Perkins fumbles for Irish touchdowns and five turnovers in all swung that game Notre Dame's way. I expect the Trojans to keep the turnovers in check with Slovis under center and the game in single digits.
ATS pick: USC +11

Wyoming Cowboys at San Diego State Aztecs (-3.5)

Johnson: I didn't understand the Colorado State money coming in last Saturday against the Aztecs pushing the line from +7.5 down to +6.5. I jumped in to lay the short number and never really needed to sweat. I disagree with the market valuation of San Diego State here. I make this line -6.3, and I'm fine betting against a Wyoming football team getting outgained by 55.3 yards per game despite its 4-1 record.
ATS pick: San Diego State -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 7:00PM
197 Fresno St. 3.5(-110) Westgate vs 198 Air Force double-dime bet

Analysis: We like the road dog here who has extra time to prep for the option. The Bulldogs are on a 10-1-1 ATS run as an underdog and there only two losses this season came against USC in the opener by 8 and in OT to an unbeaten Minnesota team. Meanwhile, Air Force is off an emotional loss to Navy last week. Navy only had a 376-354 yard edge but did out-rush Air Force 214-108 and had a 6.5-5.0 yards per play advantage. Air Force QB Donald Hammond was 10 of 25 for 205 yards and ran for 77 yards. Navy did score on a fumble return TD on the final play of the game. Outright upset!

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 7:30PM
204 Iowa 3.5(-110) Westgate vs 203 Penn St. double-dime bet

Analysis: Last week Penn St had 24-8 first down and 460-104 yard edges including 196-(-19) on the ground in their 35-7 win over Purdue. The Nittany Lions had 10 sacks, one shy of the program’s single-game record. On the other side, Iowa QB Nate Stanley had his worst game of his career throwing 3 INT’s and the Hawkeyes lost 10-3 at Michigan. Remember, coming into that game Stanley had thrown 60 TD’s and only 16 INT’s in his career and we expect a bounce back here. Penn St has not played a team in the Top 40 of our power ratings so far this season and their toughest opponent (Pitt) nearly beat them outright. We have a pair of top 5 defenses here and Iowa is 14-6-2 ATS (70%) as a home dog since 2000.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM
128 Temple 5.5(-110) Westgate vs 127 Memphis single-dime bet

Analysis: Temple has a couple extra days to prep after a Thursday Night win at East Carolina. Temple had 29-21 first down and 490-327 yard edges including 237-98 on the ground but ECU got a back-door cover TD with :29 left. Meanwhile, ULM (Memphis’ opponent) had 30-25 first down and 575-535 yard edges in a 52-33 loss to Memphis last week. Memphis did have a 8.9-6.5 yards per play advantage but only led 39-33 with around 6 minutes left. While Memphis’ D is much improved this year, Temple still has the better D and is getting a TD at home. This total of only 50.5 (Memphis lowest this season) says this game will be lower scoring and that is in Temple’s wheelhouse.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM
126 Texas 11.0(-110) Westgate vs 125 Oklahoma single-dime bet

Analysis: Last week OU looked sluggish in a win over Kansas. Meanwhile, West Virginia had a 463-427 yard edge over Texas, but the Mountaineers were -3 in TO’s. Texas did have a 216-96 rushing yard edge. Yes, OU is No. 1 in the country in Yards Per Play Differential (+4.5). However, Oklahoma has not played a team in the Top 50 of our power ratings so far. Texas is 6-1 ATS vs Oklahoma in their last 7 meetings (all as a dog) and have covered those games by an average of 11.4 ppg. Texas head coach Tom Herman is 13-3 ATS in the underdog role in his career winning 10 of those games outright. If you go back to his days as an O.C. at Iowa St, the last 27 times Herman’s been a part of a coaching staff and in the underdog role, the teams are incredibly 24-3 ATS!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 (1-2 last week, 6-9 overall)

Notre Dame -10
Iowa +3.5
LSU -13 (says his biggest college game of the year so far)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr chuck

Navy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 145 New Mexico State Aggies +10.5 -113 (Buy Half Point to -115, otherwise play +10) (Saturday, October 12th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

college

7-arizona+6.5
4-nevada-2.5
3-army-4.5
3-cinn-7
2-florida+13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert ferringo

college

4-baylor-10.5
2-louisv+6.5
2-g.tech+17.5
2-s.car+24
2-arkansas+7
2-houst+7.5
2-lsu-13
2-ndame-10.5
1-ball.st+1
1-rutg+28
1-mich.st+10.5
1-bama-17
1-a.force-3
1-flor.state+27.5
1-sd.state-3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Sprietzer

7 Nevada -2.5
3 Temple +5.5
3 Iowa +3.5
2 North TX +3.5

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - CFB

4 Unit Play. Take #120 Illinois +23 over Michigan (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, ABC)
3 Unit Play. Take #123 Navy PK over Tulsa (7:30 PM, Saturday, October 12, ESPN U)
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Texas +10.5 over Oklahoma (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, FOX)
3 Unit Play. Take #128 Temple +5.5 over Memphis (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, ESPN 2)
3 Unit Play. Take #129 Nebraska +7.5 over Minnesota (7:30 PM, Saturday, October 12, FS1)
3 Unit Play. Take #138 West Virginia +10 over Iowa St (4:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, ESPN)
3 Unit Play. Take #145 New Mexico St +10 over Central Michigan (3:00 PM, Saturday, October 12. ESPN 3)
6 Unit Play. Take #152 Arizona +6.5 over Washington (11:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, FS1)
3 Unit Play. Take #175 UNLV +15 over Vanderbilt (4:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, SEC Network)
7 Unit Play. Take #191 Army -4.5 over Western Kentucky (7:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, Stadium)
4 Unit Play. Take #200 Notre Dame -10.5 over USC (7:30 PM, Saturday, October 12, NBC)
3 Unit Play. Take #204 Iowa +3.5 over Penn St (7:30 PM, Saturday, October 12, ABC)
2 Unit Totals:
The following plays are from a totals system that we've been tracking this season. Still making tweaks as we go along but we're going to take a shot with these all for two units each this week and see how it goes. The system has only had one losing week since the start of the season and cashed last week.
2 Unit Play. Take #115/116 Rutgers vs Indiana Over 49.5 (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, Big 10 Network)
2 Unit Play. Take #127/128 Memphis vs Temple Over 49.5 (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, ESPN 2)
2 Unit Play. Take #129/130 Nebraska vs Minnesota Over 50 (7:30, Saturday, October 12, FS1)
2 Unit play. Take #139/140 Hawaii vs Boise St Under 60.5 (10:15 PM, Saturday, October 12, ESPN 2)
2 Unit Play. Take #151/152 Washington vs Arizona Under 59.5 (11:00 PM, Saturday, October 12, FS1)
2 Unit Play. Take #183/184 Alabama vs Texas A&M Over 61 (3:30 PM, Saturday, October 12, CBS)
2 Unit Play. Take #205/206 Wyoming vs San Diego St Over 38 (10:30 PM, Saturday, October 10, CBS Sports Network)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 122 Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6.5 -115 (Saturday, October 12th)


+EV: CFB 4u: 202 Clemson Tigers -26.5 -115 (Saturday, October 12th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sporta

126 Texas +10’

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAYS:
Texas +10.5
Washington State +1.5
Utah -14
Michigan State +10.5
Army -4.5

SINGLE PLAYS:
Navy PK
Temple +5
Baylor -11
BYU -5
Hou +7.5
Florida +13
Texas A&M +17
UAB -12
FIU -5.5
Fresno +3.5
Iowa +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV Wolf

under 24.5 AF 1st H
under 20 mich st 1st H
temple +6
iowa +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
Playbook data play
houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma

Oklahoma

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 123 Navy Midshipmen -1 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: NHL 2u: 062 Los Angeles Kings +142 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: NHL 3u: 073 Winnipeg Jets +106 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: NHL 2u: 068 Detroit Red Wings +165 (Saturday, October 12th)

+EV: NHL 2u: 080 Colorado Avalanche -146 (Saturday, October 12th)

[golden contender]

Saturday card has the 100% Underdog Game of the Year, a Executive Level TIER 1 Total, the BIG 12 Game of the Month with a solid overall football card and MLB Championship series system plays. NCAAF Comp play below.

The College football comp Play is on Houston plus the 7 to 8 points here today at 3:30 eastern. Houston has covered the last 3 as a home dog and has rest in this game after blowing out North Texas on the road 2 weeks ago. The Cougars have covered 6 straight off a dog win and have won the last 2 in the series. Cincinnati is off a big upset win over Central Florida and from the database we see that conference road favorites off a home dog win and cover by more than 6 are 2-17 to the spread long term vs an opponent off a dog win in game 9 or earlier of the season. That big win for the Bearcats catapulted them into the top 25 and teams who enter the top 25 are on a 1-9 spread run. Cincy has failed to cover 3 of 4 on the road if the total is 49 to 52 and 4 of the last 5 if they won 4 of the last 5, as well as 4 of the last 5 off a dog win. Take the points with Houston. On Saturday a powerful card is up with the College Football Dog of the year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Total, the BIG 12 Game of the Month and more. We also have our MLB Championship series system plays. See us on facebook to jump on. For the College Football free play. Take Houston plus the 7-8 points. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

Texas Longhorns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA’s

7 star TEMPLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

18-0 ATS College Football Perfect System Club Play!

Texas A&M

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

44-18 ATS NCAA CONFERENCE BEST BET OF THE WEEK
Michigan State

47-14 ATS NCAA Highly Profitable System Play
Marshall

55-25 ATS Elite Info MAC Superplay
Ohio

14-1 ATS & 16-2 ATS NCAA Saturday Night Steamroller
Fresno State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GIANNI THE GREEK formerly "vegas runner"

4% ARIZONA +7
3% ea:
TEMPLE +4.5
CINCY/HOUST U 52
ORE ST/UTAH UNDER 60
WISC/MICH ST UNDER 20 FIRST 1/2
LA TECH/UMASS OVER 62.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

5% Army -4.5
3% Oklahoma -10.5
3% UAB -12
3% Penn State -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Stone

"First ever no rating release to print money"

Texas +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Jacobs

"Highest rating since 2008"

Florida +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SkyBluePicks

Michigan State +10

USC +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Mill - LSU

No limit - Iowa

Perfect play - USC

INNER circle - Mich st

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - Texas AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

*****8-U NCAAF TOP PLAY SATURDAY*****

GOY Texas +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza (VSI)

College Football Saturday 7-Unit Play

Arizona +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

California Sports

Game: (181) SAN JOSE STATE at (182) NEVADA
Date/Time: Oct 12 2019 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: NEVADA -3.0 (-108)

View Analysis

#182 5% Nevada -3 San Jose St 4 PM (Good to a 5% play up to -5. At -5.5 or higher a 4% play)

At the beginning of the season my power rating number for this game was Nevada -15 and even now it is Nevada -9.5. LY the Wolf Pack went to San Jose and were -14.5 wining 21-12. We are now getting Nevada at their low point having gotten blown out 77-6 4 games ago and getting mauled 54-3 vs Hawaii in their last game. On the flipside you may look at San Jose St and say they are 3-2 thanks to a win against No Colorado but if you look at the wins against Arkansas & New Mexico they were PLUS 11 Turnovers!! The Spartans in the L3Y are 1-15 SU away and are 0-3 ATS off a 10+ point win the L3Y. Here some comments from Nevada HC Jay Norvell; It’s beyond disappointing and embarrassing to have that kind of performance,” said Norvell on Monday, less than 48 hours after a stunning 54-3 loss to the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in front of an ESPN2 nationwide audience and a dejected Homecoming crowd at Mackay Stadium. “There’s a whole bunch of players and coaches over at Cashell Field House that got their eyes opened this morning,” Norvell said. “I guarantee you that.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

4* Mich St +10.5 -110
3* Iowa +4 -110
3* LSU -13 -105
2* Texas A&M +17 -105
2* USC +11 -106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BILL MARZANO

Alabama has scored at least 42 points in every game this year and averages 51.8 points a game. Tua Tagovailoa has 23 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. Meanwhile Texas A&M is averaging 32.8 points per game. Both quarterbacks are going to have big days in the passing game. Ole Miss put up 31 on this Bama defense, and the Aggies will find some holes too. Take the Over.

BILL MARZANO The Badgers are going to make a statement here. This is the most dominating defense right now. They will shut down a Spartans offense that has been inconsistent thus far. Michigan State's defense is always tough, but the Badgers have one of the best running backs in the nation in Jonathan Taylor, who is averaging 7.2 yards per carry. The Badgers will control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football. Take Wisconsin.

BILL MARZANO Georgia Tech continues to be on top of my fade list as the Yellow Jackets are 0-5 against the spread this year. Their offense is among the worst in the FBS. They rank 124th (out of 130) in total yards, 125th in passing yards and 127th in points scored. They have been getting gashed on the ground, allowing a whopping 245.8 yards, which is 128th. Duke is playing well and averaging a robust 40.3 points in its last four games. Georgia Tech has lost both road games by average of 30.0 points. Take Duke.

[Phillies35]

Is Gianni the Greek the same as NFAC ?

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
25 nevada
10 asu
7 uab
7 teaer fla atl / c mich

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly GodFather

11-Oct-2019: CFB 145 New Mexico State over 57
11-Oct-2019: NFL 255 Seattle Seahawks Over 46
09-Oct-2019: CFB 204 Iowa +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Totals Club

2*Tennessee Over
2*Wisconsin Under
2*Clemson Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* Wisconsin -10
100* Maryland -3.5
100* Duke -17
100* Over 47 Marshall/ODU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Florida Atlantic -10.5

Temple
New Mexico State
Missouri
Nevada

[Can'tPickAWinner]

nhl1x pro

Vegas Golden Knights , regular time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

8u CFB PLAY THIS SATURDAY!!

Ball St +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe
BEWARE.. on the really bad run 3-11 last 14 paid plays

NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #125-126
Oklahoma -10 over Texas


NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #135-136
Maryland -3.5 over Purdue


NCAA Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #147-148
Arizona State -1 over Washington State
Arizona State/Washington State Over 61


NCAA Football
11:00 PM EST
Rotation #151-152
Arizona +6 over Washington
Arizona/Washington Over 59.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* Maryland -3
10* Oklahoma -9.5
10* Kent State/Akron over 54
10* Louisville +7
20* Oregon State +14/+15
10* South Carolina +25
10* Georgia State +4.5
10* Arkansas +7
10* USC/Notre Dame over 55.5
10* Northern Illinois/Ohio over 49.5
10* San Jose State +3.5
10* Hawaii +13
10* Washington/Arizona over 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks


Marquee Picks For 10/12/19

4★ Fresno St. +3 over Air Force (NCAAF)

4★ Memphis/Temple OVER 49.5 (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TonyK 3G-Sports

5* LSU -13
4* Boise -12.5
4* West Virginia +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://1)
117 Toledo / 118 Bowling Green UNDER 65.0 Westgate (https://pregame.com/game-center) single-dime bet

Analysis: Weather forecast: 47 degrees and 14mph wind. Toledo games average 57.4 total ppg, Bowling Green games average 55.4 total ppg. How is this line so high?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp

Four smaller CFB totals for now:
119 Michigan Over 48 (0.5 units)
125 Oklahoma Over 76 -115 (0.5 units)
147 Washington State Over 60 (0.5 units)
199 USC team total Over 22.5 -140 (0.75 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Computer

CFB PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

-

PENN STATE -4* 71%

OKLAHOMA -3* 61%

WASHINGTON ST -5* 86%

LOUISVILLE -2* 56%

SOUTH FLORIDA -3* 62%

KENTUCKY -4* 75%

OVER/UNDERS



-
UNDER Alabama/Texas AM -3* 69%
UNDER Texas Tech/Baylor -5* 84%
UNDE Charlotte/FIU -4* 71%
OVER Florida St/Clemson -3* 66%
OVER Penn St/Iowa -2* 59%
UNDER South Carolina/Georgia -3* 61%


MONEYLINES
-



PENN STATE -4* 71%

[BONTRAGER]

winningsportsplays.com

J.R. Stevens

(CFB - GAME OF THE YEAR)
[158] Houston +8/ML +250

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
From vegas insider

TEXAS
TEX AM
IOWA
WASH ST
MICH ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet
Iowa
texas
arizona
fla st
wyoming

from vegas insider

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

5* Florida Atlantic-11’
4* Army -4’
4* FIU -5
3* Texas +10’
3* Iowa +3’
3* Boise St -13
3* Arizona +6’


4* Under 47’ Old Dominon / Marshall
3* Over 61 Alabama/ Texas A&M
3* Over 54 Iowa St / West Virginia
3* Under 49’ Nebraska/ Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Franklin Sportsmasters 10* Hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Fresno St+3

3* Texas+10.5

3* Army-4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ELITE SPORTS

Arizona UNDER 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

5* Nevada-2.5

3* Iowa +3.5

3* LSU-13

3* Arizona+6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks For 10/12/19

4 Unit Iowa +3.5 over Penn St. (NCAAF)

3 Unit Charlotte +5 over Florida International (NCAAF)

3 Unit Navy -1 over Tulsa (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

full card

SATURDAY 10-12-19 =
UFC : LUIS PENA -165…($750) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

UFC : RYAN SPANN -140…($600) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

UFC : MAX GRIFFIN -145…($600) via BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127)

UFC : GERALD MEERSCHAERT +140…($600) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

152) ARIZONA +7 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($800) – BIG MOVE via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

150) UNDER 60 UTAH-OSU…($600) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

128) TEMPLE +4.5…($600) via Pinnacle

171) UNDER 51.5 CINCI-HOU…($600) via Cantor

1778) UNDER 20 MSU-WISC (1st Half)…($600) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

195) OVER 63 UMASS-LATECH…($600) via Pinnacle

206) SAN DIEGO ST -3.5…($750) via Pinnacle

197) FRESNO ST +3.5…($600) via Westgate

192) W KENTUCKY +5…($600) via Cantor

133) GEORGIA ST +4,5…($600) via Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)

1133) UNDER 32 GEO ST-CC (1st Half)…($600) via Grande

184) TEXAS A&M +17…($500) Wynn & Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/) at 17.5

155) SOUTH CAROLINA +22…($500) via Cantor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pointwise phones

4- michigan st , texas
3- wake forest , UAB , florida, washington st , navy
2-houston , alabama , temple

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Consensus Picks

CONS:10/12/19

CFB
6 #152 Take Ari +6.5 ov Was,
8 #157 Take MissST -6.5 ov Tenn,
6 #182 Take Nev -2.5 ov SJSU,
6 #193 Take UNCC/FIU UNDER 60.5
7 #199 Take USC/ND OVER 58.5,
6 #204 Take Iowa +3.5 ov PennST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

7* Iowa
4* LSU
3* Temple, Utah

[FATMANWINS]

anybody see kelso 200 ? TIA

[TAWJR]

3 sites nothing up

[TAWJR]

Underdog

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard


MLB PLAYOFF DIAMOND GEM
4%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals +131

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
8 Unit Play Take #141 Ball State +1.5 over Eastern Michigan (2:00pm est):


(+1.5 at Stations and Westgate casinos)


I think this Eastern Michigan team has taken a big step backwards this year. The Eagles lost a lot of players from last year and they can be difficult to replace for a team that doesn't recruit well like EMU. The signs this team is down this year has shown up in their last two games as they needed a miracle punt block to with 10 seconds left to beat FCS foe Central Connecticut State. There's no excuse for that performance by EMU as CCSU is an average FCS program in a game they were favored to win by 32.5 points. One of the wins this year by CCSU was a 3 point win over Fordham in a game they caught their fair share of breaks. That same Fordham team played Ball State the following week and was blasted by the Cardinals 57-29. Eastern Michigan then had two weeks to prepare for last week's game against Central Michigan but it made no difference as they were hammered in that game 42-16 by the Chippewas.


This was expected to be Ball State's best team under 4th year head coach Mike Neu and it's starting to look that way. The Cardinals played two power five teams (NC State and Indiana) earlier in the year and they quietly covered the point spread in both of those games. Last week they went on the road and beat traditional MAC conference power Northern Illinois for the first time in over a decade. This is an experienced Ball State squad who is gaining confidence every week and the seniors in this group will be looking for revenge this week as they have failed to beat Eastern Michigan each of the past three seasons. They have a solid quarterback to go along with an improving run game.


Take Ball State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham

Mississippi St -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

12:00 pm est ncaaf
rutgers vs. Indiana

pick: Indiana -27.5 (-105)

risk: 11 units

12:00 pm est ncaaf
mississippi state vs. Tennessee u

pick: Mississippi state -6.5 (-105)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
cincinnati u vs. Houston u

pick: Cincinnati u -7 (-113)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
michigan state vs. Wisconsin

pick: Wisconsin -10 (-109)

risk: 11 units

4:00 pm est ncaaf
iowa state vs. West virginia

pick: Iowa state -10 (-111)

risk: 11 units

4:08 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. St. Louis cardinals

pick: Washington nationals (-139)

risk: 11 units

6:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Utsa

pick: Uab -12 (-110)

risk: 11 units

7:00 pm est ncaaf
north texas vs. Southern miss

pick: Southern miss -3 (-108)

risk: 11 units

7:30 pm est ncaaf
penn state vs. Iowa

pick: Iowa +3.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

8:08 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Houston astros

pick: New york yankees (+146)

risk: 11 units

[FATMANWINS]

kelso
200 kent st

[Klondike]

Rainman 10? TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

MLB
Astros ML (-155)

NCAAF
Arizona +6.5
South Florida +4.5
Michigan State +10

NHL
Canucks ML (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al demarco
15 Dime Release
LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 10/10
MISS. STATE -7
MISS. STATE @ TENNESSEE | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
Volunteers coach Jeremy Pruitt is still trying to strike the right chord with this team. Tennessee has struggled on both sides of the ball all season. While Mississippi State has had its issues defensively, the one constant it can hang its hat on has been the running game with Kylin Hill. The senior is one of the top backs in the country, and he should feast on a weak Volunteers defense.

44-25 IN LAST 69 CFB ATS PICKS | +1745
8-1 IN LAST 9 TENN ATS PICKS | +690


Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
TUE 10/8
MISS. STATE -6.5
MISS. STATE @ TENNESSEE | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
This is a bad Volunteers team, and my projections show the Bulldogs winning by two touchdowns. Mississippi State is coming off a bye while Tennessee just took a punishing loss to Georgia. Lay it before this line moves any higher.

15-5 IN LAST 20 CFB ATS PICKS | +948
3-1 IN LAST 4 MISSST ATS PICKS | +189

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass first report : 300 Oklahoma , 300 so Carolina , no limit ball state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure
MONEY
9:13 AM
TEXAS +10
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and get another prime Tom Herman underdog spot as they are +10 dogs in Dallas. Jalen Hurts upside is the reason this line isn't -7 where my model has it. I like Ehlinger to keep Texas within the number. Take the points.

4-2 IN LAST 6 CFB ATS PICKS | +181

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 5:49 PM
TEXAS +10.5
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
My numbers have this game as Oklahoma -7. The Longhorns' pass defense is one of the worst in the nation, but this team is battle-tested with a narrow loss to LSU by a just a touchdown. Texas has a shot at the upset and will test a Sooners defense that has yet to be tested. Oklahoma is 1-6 against the spread in the last seven meetings. Take Texas.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 10/10
OKLAHOMA -10.5
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
Normally for rivalry games you want to throw the records and -- for the most part -- logic out of the window. However, in this game the Longhorns come into the Cotton Bowl with a beat-up backfield that doesn't look to be 100 percent. That's a troubling sign. Plus, the Texas secondary is also banged up -- not what you want to hear when you're facing the high-flying Sooners' aerial attack. Take Oklahoma.

44-25 IN LAST 69 CFB ATS PICKS | +1745
6-3 IN LAST 9 TEXAS ATS PICKS | +271

2-1 IN LAST 3 OKLA ATS PICKS | +86


Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
THU 10/10
TEXAS +10.5
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Sooners' offensive line struggled mightily last week against Kansas -- which generated a ton of pressure bringing just four. Texas defensive coordinator Todd Orlando is one of the best in the business and will expose an overrated Sooners' OL. Texas will also play keep away with quarterback Sam Ehlinger's work on the ground and through the air. Take those points, but you won't need them because the Longhorns will win this one outright.

15-10-2 IN LAST 27 CFB PICKS | +403
6-2 IN LAST 8 OKLA ATS PICKS | +375


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
WED 10/9
TEXAS +11
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Red River Showdown in neutral territory has drawn a Texas-size line, even though the Longhorns have covered in six of the last seven clashes. Texas QB Sam Ehlinger might be a half-notch below counterpart, Jalen Hurts, but is still All-America worthy. Oklahoma’s OTs are ailing, so the offense might not be operating on all cylinders. If the Showdown evolves into a shootout, Ehlinger has the goods and the supporting cast to keep pace.


Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
WED 10/9
OKLAHOMA -11
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS | 10/12 | 12:00 PM EDT
I have two philosophies when it comes to this game: One is to never bet against Texas coach Tom Herman as an underdog. The other is to take the dog in a rivalry game. I'm going against both of those philosophies here. Simply put, I just don't think Texas can keep pace with the Sooners unless Oklahoma messes up. To this point, the Sooners haven't given me a reason to believe they will. Lay the points with Oklahoma.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS | +290
7-0 IN LAST 7 OKLA ATS PICKS | +700

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens
20 Florida
20 Psu
10 mich st
10 Nevada
10 Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

3 Units - #903 NY Yankees (+145) vs Houston *8 EST
Short and Sweet. I like a rested team with Tanaka on the hill vs Greinke in this one. Greinke will give up hits and Tanaka should shut down the potent Astro's attack. Entire world on Houston here we are going contrarian. NY swept Houston in June and put up 30 runs in 4 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco
5% Washington State pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Master Sports

MLB
4* #905/906 Washington/St. Louis OVER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE BUDIN - CEO
Saturday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Duke at home over Georgia Tech. The Blue Devils are -17 as I put my site live at 8:15 eastern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michal Rusk


NEBRASKA +7.5
NEBRASKA @ MINNESOTA | 10/12 | 7:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Nebraska opened as a small road favorite. Now this line has flipped to Minnesota being favored by more than a touchdown. The market is still taking into consideration the Huskers' embarrassing primetime loss to Ohio State two weeks ago. The public doesn’t forget that easily. But last season Nebraska thumped the Gophers by 25 points. There is too much cushion for the Huskers not to cover on the road Saturday night. Take Nebraska.

20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
CONNECTICUT +34
CONNECTICUT @ TULANE | 10/12 | 3:45 PM EDT
THU 10/10
The last time these two teams faced each other, Tulane was just a 1-point favorite. This line is out of whack due to the fact that UConn has only covered twice in its last seven games while Tulane has covered five out of its last six. UConn has had an extremely tough season so far. But the Huskies are well groomed for a Tulane team that's not even borderline top-five in the AAC. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves here. Tulane wins convincingly, but not by five touchdowns.

20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
AKRON +14.5
KENT ST. @ AKRON | 10/12 | 3:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Akron is one of the lonely four in college football that has yet to cover a game. As more than a two-touchdown underdog at home, Akron provides plenty of value on Saturday. The Zips haven't lost to Kent State since 2014. This line is a huge overreaction to their slow start this season. The hook on top of 14 makes it even more enticing. Akron keeps this one within two scores.

20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
OVER 47.5
OLD DOMINION @ MARSHALL | 10/12 | 2:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Old Dominion is one of only four teams in college football that hasn't cashed an Over yet. This total, which opened at 43.5, is a huge misplay on Vegas’ end. Marshall hasn’t had a total this low since November of last year. Other than last week versus Western Kentucky, Old Dominion hasn’t had a total this low in more than five seasons. With both defenses ranking outside the top 50, I don’t see this total being an issue. Over is the play.

20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
GEORGIA TECH +17.5
GEORGIA TECH @ DUKE | 10/12 | 12:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
This is a classic case of a team that enters enemy territory in October without a cover on the season. Georgia Tech comes in as one of the least desirable teams in college football. That is why I am on the Yellow Jackets, who are grabbing just 37 percent of the bets. I am thrilled to fade the public in this spot. Let’s not forget that when these two faced each other last season, Georgia Tech was the favorite. That was also with Daniel Jones, now starting for the New York Giants, leading Duke. This is way too many points to pass up in this contest. Duke by single digits.

20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdog

San jose st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 SC
3 LSU

MLB Playoffs- 3 Yanks UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:45 PM
E. MICHIGAN -1.5
BALL ST. @ E. MICHIGAN | 10/12 | 2:00 PM EDT
No other game on Saturday's college football schedule provides more value than this one, according to my model. Eastern Michigan is covering 70 percent of simulations, so you're getting excellent value here. Ball State's only wins this season have come against Fordham of the FCS and a bad Northern Illinois team. Eastern Michigan took out Big Ten member Illinois a month ago in Champaign. In addition, the Eagles have won the last three meetings, outscoring the Cardinals, 146-75, including a 42-20 blowout in Muncie last season. Take Eastern.

15-5 IN LAST 20 CFB ATS PICKS | +948
2-1 IN LAST 3 EMICH ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 BALLST ATS PICKS | +90


Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
THU 10/10
E. MICHIGAN -1
BALL ST. @ E. MICHIGAN | 10/12 | 2:00 PM EDT
Eastern Michigan has been inconsistent and is coming off a no-show against Central Michigan. But the Eagles are one of the MAC West Division's better teams and should be a little bit more of a favorite against a Ball State club that could be in a letdown spot following its road win over Northern Illinois.

18-11-2 IN LAST 31 CFB PICKS | +580

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline football

Sat, Oct 12
10:30
CFB
400%
S.Diego St -3'
over Wyoming

..
3:30
CFB
300%
Wash St pk
over Arizona St


4:00
CFB
300%
Baylor -10'
over Texas Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline baseball

Sat, Oct 12
4:10
250%
St.Louis +125
over Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* - Iowa
3* - StLouis Cards RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

MLB

Houston -150 1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie
east mich over 57
cinn over 51
clemson -27

[predator]

Checking to see if they posted millionaires club and sports bank??? Thx

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited /Marco
5 Fresno State + 3
4 San Diego State-3’

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Adding:

10* Navy -1
10* Old Dominion/Marshall over 46
10* North Texas/Southern Miss over 58.5
10* Western Kentucky +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 300 yanks over , 500 Houston , 500 Wisconsin , 400 unlv , 400 Missouri , 400 LSU , no limit wash state , no limit 1200 Nebraska

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PickersMx
Mushu 150 Dimes (already started)
Central michigan -10.5

La Barba 100 Dimes
Wisconsin -10 (Started)

Lady Picker 80 Dimes
Wake Forest -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports 10/12


Navy
Iowa
Texas
Fresno St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rainman

10* UAB 5* FLA ATL; 3- Wisc; Reg- Iowa; Ol Miss

[born2retire]

Timeless Sports Action

Nevada -3
Lsu -13.5
Fresno st +3
Army -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Wins

Take Notre Dame -10.5 vs USC
Take Florida +14 vs LSU
Take Utah -14.5 vs Oregon St.