Service Plays Saturday 12/21/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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NBA
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus

LIBERTY +points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

Emory is the founder and CEO of Football Gameplan, which has been supplying analysis of all levels of football since 2007. Born and raised in New Orleans, Hunt played running back at the University of Louisiana-Lafayette and coached high school football before starting Football Gameplan. Hunt is a regular contributor to CBS Sports HQ, where he breaks down CFB and NFL games with Danny Kanell and Raja Bell.

SAN DIEGO ST. -3.5
C. MICHIGAN VS SAN DIEGO ST. | 12/21 | 2:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
NEW MEXICO BOWL -- Defense will be the name of the game in this underrated bowl, and the Aztecs have been stellar on that side of the ball. Central Michigan could create opportunities with trick plays, but it will be tough for the Chippewas to consistently move the ball. San Diego State bullies teams up front and will slowly pull away.

96-58-1 IN LAST 155 CFB ATS PICKS | +3296
4-0 IN LAST 4 SDGST ATS PICKS | +400

3-1 IN LAST 4 CMICH ATS PICKS | +190

FAU +3.5
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
WED 12/11
BOCA RATON BOWL -- SMU's defense faded over the last quarter of the season, and that is a concern in this matchup of explosive offenses. FAU has played better defense in the second half of the season, and its offense is just as explosive as SMU’s. That’s why I like the over in this game, but I'll lean toward the better defense against the spread.

96-58-1 IN LAST 155 CFB ATS PICKS | +3296
5-0 IN LAST 5 FAU ATS PICKS | +500

2-1 IN LAST 3 SMU ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 3:30PM
211 SMU -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 212 Fla. Atlantic double-dime bet

Analysis: FAU is playing with an interim head coach (Lane Kiffin off to Ole Miss) that has no chance at the permanent gig (Willie Taggart was hired yesterday). Therefore, there could be a "substitute teacher" affect here. Besides, SMU has played the much tougher schedule.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

APP. ST. -16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
10:00 AM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- Both UAB and Appalachian State have been solid defensively, but we saw the Blazers' offense struggle a bit at the end of the season. The Mountaineers have one of the more explosive offenses in the nation, as their line does a great job in all aspects. Defensively, their athleticism is enough to give UAB's rushing attack fits.

97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
7-1 IN LAST 8 APLST ATS PICKS | +590


BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
9:47 AM
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- This could be considered the Chris Petersen Bowl. Obviously, the Huskies will want to win for their departing coach, but when you look at the matchup, Boise State is a much better team all the way around. Plus, we know the Broncos play up to the competition, especially when facing big-name programs in bowl games.

97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
11-2 IN LAST 13 BOISE ATS PICKS | +885

6-3 IN LAST 9 WASH ATS PICKS | +266

ARKANSAS ST. -2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
9:43 AM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- FIU has been an enigma all season. The lone quality opponent against which they looked impressive was Miami. Outside of that game, it's been tough to get a true read on the Panthers. Arkansas State weathered the storm during a tough Sun Belt Conference slate, nearly pulling off a few upsets. Vegas views these squads as similar based on the point spread, but I think the gap between them is much wider.

97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARKST ATS PICKS | +90


LIBERTY +5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
9:35 AM
CURE BOWL -- This should be one of the more entertaining games of the early bowl season. It's a contrast in styles between the explosive downfield passing game of Liberty and the spread option attack of Georgia Southern. Neither defense has shown enough to see them getting consistent stops. But what the offenses have shown is a propensity to go up-and-down the field. It should be a tightly contested shootout.

97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
3-0 IN LAST 3 GAS ATS PICKS | +300

3-0 IN LAST 3 LIB ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:10 PM
WASHINGTON -3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- This could be the most entertaining game on the opening bowl slate, but it unquestionably has the best story line. Although Boise State might have the better team and has covered seven straight as an underdog, it's impossible to go against Chris Petersen in the Chris Petersen Bowl. The Washington coach is stepping down following a second consecutive disappointing season, but he still led the Huskies to two Pac-12 titles and a playoff berth. Moreover, he still found a way to beat rival Washington State to end this season, and he'll go out with a win over the program he made a Group of Five darling.

69-54-3 IN LAST 126 CFB PICKS | +910
7-1 IN LAST 8 WASH ATS PICKS | +586

3-0 IN LAST 3 BOISE ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

LIBERTY +5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:56 PM
CURE BOWL -- I'm always inclined to go with the underdog in big bowl games, and it won't get bigger for a Liberty squad that hasn't made a bowl prior to this year. What's more, Flames wide receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden (1,333 yards, nine touchdowns) is a freak show who will take over the game.

45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628
ARKANSAS ST. -2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:52 PM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- The Red Wolves have one of the best wide receivers in the country in Omar Bayless (1,473 yards, 16 touchdowns), and are going against Conference USA's best pass defense. Who wins out? In Group of Five matchups, always go with the best player, not the best scheme.

45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628
UAB +16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:50 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- The Mountaineers have had a great season, but the quick turnaround between the end of the season and bowl season will be difficult to navigate considering coach Eliah Drinkwitz moved on to Missouri. Because of that, the offense will struggle a bit against a tough UAB defense that will be looking to make a statement. The Mountaineers will get the win, but that's too many points to lay.

45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best bets for early slate of college football bowl games

The College Football Playoff field is set, as are the rest of the bowl matchups. That means plenty of opportunities to bet over the course of bowl season.

ESPN betting analysts Preston Johnson, Doug Kezirian, Bill Connelly and Phil Steele are here to offer up their best bets. We'll keep updating as matchups approach, so follow along!
Regular-season records
Connelly: 30-16-2 (1-4 last week)
Steele: 31-41-1 (2-3)
Johnson: 35-25-1 (2-2)
Kezirian: 46-36-1 (1-2)
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted. All times Eastern.
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl


Buffalo Bulls (-6.5, 52.5) vs. Charlotte 49ers

(2 p.m. Dec. 20 on ESPN at Thomas A. Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas)
Connelly: Both of these teams got hot late in the season. Charlotte won its last five and rose from 111th to 98th in SP+ to reach its first bowl, and Buffalo won five of its last six (the Bulls outgained Kent State by 95 yards in their lone loss) and rose from 113th to 84th. That the Bulls improved by more is the reason for them to be favored, but unless Charlotte goes into full "happy to be here" mode, six points is a lot.
This is a pretty interesting matchup of strength vs. strength (Charlotte O vs. Buffalo D) and weakness vs. weakness (Buffalo O vs. Charlotte D). If the 49ers find success against an aggressive, all-or-nothing Bulls pass defense, they could win outright. SP+ projects a 30-28 Buffalo win.
Pick: Charlotte +6.5
Steele: I am on the Joe Moore Award committee for choosing the top offensive line in the country, and Charlotte's unit got high praise on our conference calls during the season. Buffalo also has a solid offensive line, paving the way for 254 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per carry while allowing just eight sacks. The Bulls lost their starting QB in Week 5, and though Kyle Vantrease has thrown for just 155 yards per game in his seven starts, the team is 6-1 ATS in those games. Charlotte has the stronger pass game, but Buffalo has a good-sized edge on defense. Both teams rank near the bottom of my special-teams rankings.
My power ratings have this one close to the line, so with the strong offensive lines, I will look to the over (the past five Bahamas Bowls have averaged 66.2 points per game).
Pick: Lean over 52.5
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl


Utah State Aggies (-4.5, 65) vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

(7:30 p.m. Dec. 20 on ESPN2 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas)
Steele: This one figures to be a shootout, with Utah State allowing foes 33 yards per game above their season average and Kent State yielding 96 yards per game above. The Golden Flashes have a very underrated QB in Dustin Crum, who threw 18 TDS with just two interceptions and is the team's leading rusher with 560 yards. Aggies QB Jordan Love is an NFL prospect, but he had a 32-6 TD/INT breakdown last season with a tremendous supporting cast. With just one other returning starter on offense, this season he has only 17 TDs vs. 16 INTs, and Utah State has gone from 48 PPG to 28 PPG. Kent State has covered six in a row as an underdog versus non-Power 5 teams and is getting a full touchdown here. (The line was Utah State -7 before three players were cited for marijuana use Tuesday.)
Pick: Lean Kent State +7
Celebration Bowl


Alcorn State Braves vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies (-2.5, 51.5; Westgate)

(Noon Dec. 21 on ABC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta)
Steele: This is the fifth Celebration Bowl, which pits the champions from the MEAC and SWAC. North Carolina A&T is 3-0 in this bowl game, including a 24-22 win over Alcorn State last season. With Noah Johnson rushing for 1,080 yards, Alcorn State averaged 285 yards per game rushing and 6.2 yards per carry last season. Johnson went down with a season-ending injury this season, but his replacement, Felix Harper, was the SWAC Offensive Player of the Year.
The Aggies' defense is coming off a game in which it held NC Central to 9 total yards of offense in a 54-0 shutout. My computer and average game grades both have NC A&T winning by 10 points, so there is some definite value here.
Pick: Lean NC A&T -2.5
New Mexico Bowl


Central Michigan Chippewas vs. San Diego State Aztecs (-3.5, 41)

(2 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico)
Johnson: Maybe the memory of the Aztecs' 27-0 loss to Ohio in last year's Frisco Bowl is still fresh in everyone's minds, as it isn't too often that a MAC school dominates a bowl game. My projection here is San Diego State -6.2, and though the turnaround season from Central Michigan is a great story (1-11 to 8-5 and a MAC title game appearance), it probably speaks more to the lack of talent in the MAC than the actual abilities of the team relative to the rest of the country. Remember: Central Michigan lost 61-0 to Wisconsin earlier this season.
Not only am I getting the more talented team (starting quarterback Ryan Agnew is probable), but I'm specifically buying Rocky Long's defense, which ranks ninth in the country in defensive efficiency (4.6 yards per play) and first in rushing yards allowed per play (2.7). With Long having multiple weeks to prepare his defense for a Chippewas offense that has been playing MAC competition the past few months (124th-ranked strength of schedule), I'm thrilled to buy low here at a cheap number.
Pick: San Diego State -3.5
Steele: San Diego State games have topped 41 points just twice this season -- and they average 32 PPG. Central Michigan has the edge on offense, with RBs Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis, but the Aztecs' defense is No. 6 in the country, holding foes to 110 yards per game below their season average. When you think of San Diego State, you think of RBs who rush for 2,000 yards (two of them in past four years), but this year the top RB is Juwan Washington, with just 500 yards and a poor 3.3 yards per carry. The Aztecs have a significant edge on special teams at No. 17 in my rankings, with Central Michigan at No. 76, and that hurt them in the MAC title game. Central averaged just 13.6 points per game versus the five toughest defenses. I like the Aztecs to win, but they are laying more than a field goal, so I will lean with the under.
Pick: Lean under 41
Cure Bowl


Liberty Flames vs. Georgia Southern Eagles (-5, 58.5)

(2:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on CBS Sports Network at Exploria Stadium in Orlando, Florida)
Connelly: How much is a hot streak worth to you when a bowl break is involved? Georgia Southern began the season 1-3 and was ranked in the 100s in SP+ in late October, but excellent performances against Appalachian State, ULM and Georgia State not only drove the team to bowl eligibility but also lifted it to 89th in SP+. That's not bad, but do you lose your form with three weeks off?
Liberty, meanwhile, has basically been the same team for the past two months. The Flames were 91st in SP+ after six weeks and 87th at the end of the regular season. Their balanced and dangerous offense is the best unit in this game, and the connection of quarterback Stephen Calvert to receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden could have a field day against a shaky Georgia Southern pass defense. SP+ projects a near toss-up (Liberty by 0.2), which is almost a touchdown's difference with the betting market.
Pick: Liberty +5
Steele: Liberty is 7-5 despite facing the weakest schedule in the country. Hugh Freeze took over a 6-6 team and transformed Stephen Calvert from a QB that had 21 TDs and 18 INTs last season to a 26-5 ratio this season. Despite the schedule, Liberty allowed foes 4.7 yards per carry rushing and 26 yards above their season average. That does not bode well against the Georgia Southern option offense that ran for 261 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. The Eagles took on LSU and Minnesota in nonconference play, and their defense held foes to 63 yards per game below their season average. This is Liberty's first bowl, and I will go with the team that has the much stronger defense and has played the far tougher schedule.
Pick: Georgia Southern -5
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl


SMU Mustangs (-3, 70.5) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

(3:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ABC at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida)
Steele: SMU is led by Texas transfer Shane Buechele (3,626 yards, 33 TDs, 9 INTS), and FAU is led by Oklahoma transfer Chris Robison (3,392 yards, 26 TDs, 6 INTs). The Owls won the Conference USA title this season, and their two nonconference losses were to Ohio State and UCF. SMU has just two losses this season, but the Mustangs were on the road to Memphis and Navy, who each had double-digit wins. The Owls have the better defense statistically, but the Mustangs had 50 sacks and took on the tougher schedule. I have been riding FAU all season, and though this team is a home underdog, head coach Lane Kiffin has accepted the job to coach Ole Miss. This should be a very competitive, high-scoring game.
Pick: Lean over 70.5
Camellia Bowl


Florida International Panthers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5, 63)

(5:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama)
Steele: Arkansas State has a dangerous offense. Despite losing QB Logan Bonner after four games, backup Layne Hatcher stepped in and threw for 314 yards per game, and wide receiver Omar Bayless is among the nation's receiving leaders with 1,473 yards and 16 TDs. The Red Wolves' defense was hurt by injuries all season and lost four defensive tackles for the season, leaving them vulnerable to the run (they allowed 224 rushing yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry). FIU is led by running backs Anthony Jones and Napoleon Maxwell, who combined for 1,411 yards rushing. Should the Red Wolves stack the box, QB James Morgan is an NFL prospect who has hit 62% of his passes with a 39-10 TD/INT ratio in two seasons. Butch Davis is 6-3 in bowl games, and Blake Anderson is 1-4.
Pick: FIU +2.5
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl


Boise State Broncos vs. Washington Huskies (-3.5, 49.5)

(7:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ABC at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas)
Steele: Chris Petersen started his head-coaching career at Boise State in 2006 and was there until 2014, when he left for Washington. Boise State should have both talented QBs (Hank Bachmeier and Jaylon Henderson) available. The Broncos' defense is led by defensive end Curtis Weaver (13.5 sacks), and the unit held foes to 67 yards per game below their season average. QB Jacob Eason topped 300 yards passing once all season versus FBS foes and will be without his top receiver in tight end Hunter Bryant and left tackle Trey Adams, who are opting to sit this one out. The Huskies are holding opponents to 71 yards per game below their season average. I could make a case for both teams here, so with two solid defenses, I will lean with the under.
Pick: Lean under 49.5
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl


Appalachian State Mountaineers (-16.5, 48) vs. UAB Blazers

(9 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans)
Steele: UAB coach Bill Clark took over a team that had not played football for two years and guided it to a bowl game. The Blazers were C-USA champs last season, and this season, with a very inexperienced team, the Blazers got to the C-USA title game. UAB QB Tyler Johnston missed four games, and RB Spencer Brown had five games with two carries or fewer down the stretch. UAB should be healthier for this game, and its defense holds opponents to 294 yards per game. UAB's schedule is 127th in my rankings, but App State has played the 106th-toughest schedule. App State QB Zac Thomas and RB Darrynton Evans are both dynamic, but UAB has some big play WRs in Austin Watkins and Kendall Parham. App State was outgained in four of its wins this year, with a first-down deficit of 106-63. The talent gap is not as large as the spread, and Clark will have his Blazers motivated, while the Mountaineers have a head coach in his first career game.
Pick: UAB +16.5
Kezirian: UAB is arguably the biggest farce this bowl season. The Blazers rank 106th out of 130 in ESPN's Football Power Index and are bowl-eligible only because they've beaten the nation's worst teams. Seven of their eight FBS wins came against opponents that rank in the triple digits of FPI. They also beat Louisiana Tech at home, but the Bulldogs were relegated to a third-string quarterback and lost by six points in Birmingham. FPI ranks Conference-USA dead last among all 10 FBS conferences. The eight bowl-eligible schools are misleading.
Meanwhile, the Blazers face a ranked App State squad that sits 30th in FPI. It is a solid team that won at both North Carolina and South Carolina, and its lone loss came against a triple-option offense (Georgia Southern) in windy conditions. The Mountaineers did lose head coach Eliah Drinkwitz to Missouri, but the school promoted offensive line coach Shawn Clark to head coach. He is not the interim coach, so that bodes well for stability and avoiding potential distractions.
It's a big number, but App State was 5-4 ATS this season when favored by double digits, so the Mountaineers can certainly handle it. I have faith in a blowout, much like we saw in UAB's 49-6 loss in its conference title game.
Pick: App State -16.5
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl


UCF Knights (-17, 61.5) vs. Marshall Thundering Herd

(2:30 p.m. Dec. 23 on ESPN at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida)
Steele: UCF was 13-0 in 2017 and 12-0 last season, coming up short versus LSU in the Fiesta Bowl. This season, the Knights are 9-3 and playing in the Gasparilla Bowl, and they could be in for a letdown. However, UCF could come out with a vengeance in nearby Tampa and make a statement. QB Dillon Gabriel had more TD passes (27) than McKenzie Milton did last season (25). UCF has a significant edge on offense, with plenty of explosive playmakers, and the Knights were No. 4 in the country averaging 537 yards per game. Marshall comes in No. 73 in that category, averaging 397 yards. Marshall was on course for the C-USA title game but lost to Charlotte and finished 7-1 in C-USA play. UCF is the stronger team and should win this game, but I am leaning with the 'dog here, as Marshall is 10-3 ATS the past 13 times it has been an underdog, and the Knights are on a 2-7 ATS run overall. Marshall head coach Doc Holliday is 6-0 straight-up and ATS in bowls.
Pick: Lean Marshall +17
SoFi Hawai'i Bowl


Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. BYU Cougars (-1.5, 64)

(8 p.m. Dec. 24 on ESPN at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu)
Steele: Most bowls have a split crowd, but Hawai'i will be playing in its home stadium. BYU QB Zach Wilson went 18-of-18 passing in a 49-18 bowl win last season. Wilson missed four games midseason but has returned to form. BYU was the only team in the country to open with four Power 5 opponents and pulled upsets of Tennessee and USC. Hawai'i lost twice at Boise, including in the Mountain West title game. BYU beat that same Boise team, but it was against a backup QB. Hawai'i is 4-4 straight-up and 3-5 ATS in this bowl. Hawai'i went to the run-and-shoot, and head coach Nick Rolovich goes with the hot hand at QB between Cole McDonald and Chevan Cordeiro. In its last six regular-season games, Hawai'i averaged 188 yards per game rushing, and the offensive line allowed just 22 sacks on 588 pass attempts. BYU's defense has recorded just 12 sacks. Hawai'i beat a pair of Pac-12 teams at home this season, and BYU is just 1-5 as a favorite this season.
Pick: Lean Hawai'i +1.5
Kezirian: Who doesn't love betting the Hawai'i Bowl? It is an "island game" (pun intended), serving as your lone college football action on Christmas Eve. On that merit alone, it often finds a way into your betting portfolio, but I still think there is value on BYU's offense. The Hawai'i defense ranks 103rd out of 130 schools in defensive efficiency. The Warriors played better down the stretch, but I am going to chalk that up to facing weak offenses. Their final three regular-season opponents (UNLV, San Diego State and Army) have offensive efficiency that ranks worse than 90th. This is still a defensive unit that can get torched by BYU. I also think Hawai'i should score and considered the game total over, but I am slightly more confident in isolating BYU's team total. There is a chance that BYU's physicality could bother Hawai'i, much like we saw Boise State do in the Mountain West title game when the Warriors mustered only 10 points.
Pick: BYU team total over 33 points (FanDuel)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 4:30PM
453 BUF / 454 NEP UNDER 38.0 William Hill triple-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 2:00 PM
207 Cent. Michigan 3.5 (-110) Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) vs 208 San Diego St.

double-dime bet


Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:41AM PST



FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 7:30 PM
216 Boise St. 3.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 215 Washington

double-dime bet

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:42AM PST



FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 9:00 PM
217 UAB 17.0 (-115) Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437) vs 218 Appalachian St

double-dime bet

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:43AM PST



FEZZIK | CFB TOTAL SAT, 12/21/19 - 3:30 PM
212 Fla. Atlantic / 211 SMU Under 70.0 William Hill

double-dime bet

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:44AM PST



FEZZIK | CFB TOTAL SAT, 12/21/19 - 5:30 PM
214 Arkansas St. / 213 Florida Intl Under 63.0 Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

double-dime bet

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:45AM PST

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris



4 Unit Play. Take #208 San Diego St -3.5 over Central Michigan (2:00 PM, Saturday, December 21, ESPN)


2 Unit Play. Take #207/208 Central Michigan vs San Diego St Under 41


3 Unit Play. Take #209 Liberty +4.5 over Georgia Southern (2:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, CBS Sports Network)


2 Unit Play. Take #209/210 Liberty vs Georgia Southern Over 58


4 Unit Play. Take #212 Florida Atlantic +3 over SMU (3:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, ABC)


2 Unit Play. Take #211/212 SMU vs Florida Atlantic Over 69.5


5 Unit Play. Take #213 Florida International +2.5 over Arkansas St (5:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, ESPN)


2 Unit Play. Take #213/214 FIU vs Arkansas St Over 60.5


3 Unit Play. Take #216 Boise St +3.5 over Washington (7:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, ABC)


2 Unit Play. Take #215/216 Washington vs Boise St Under 49.5


3 Unit Play. Take #218 Appalachian St -16.5 over UAB (9:00 PM, Saturday, December 21, ESPN)


2 Unit Play. Take #217/218 UAB vs Appalachian St Over 47.5


4 Unit Play. Take #452 San Francisco 49ers -6.5 over Los Angeles Rams (8:15 PM, Saturday, December 21, NFL Network)


3 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #452 San Francisco 49ers -0.5 AND Over 39


4-Unit 6- Point Teaser. Take #454 New England Patriots -0.5 AND Over 31 (4:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, NFL Network)


4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #454 New England Patriots -0.5 AND #476 Philadelphia Eagles +7.5 (4:30 PM, Saturday, December 21, NFL Network)


6 Unit Play. Take #455/456 Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 50 (1:00 PM, Saturday, December 21, NFL Network)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

lv wolf
under 38 new england

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers

1- San Diego -3.5
1- Liberty
2- SMU -3
2- FIU +2
1 - Washington -3
1- UAB +17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': CFB bowl picks, bets, nuggets

What's in store for this holiday season in college football?
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica break down the bowl season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets (Bear Bytes!) and money-line parlays to jump on.
The guys are ready to continue their prognostications and will continue to do so throughout the bowl season. By the way, make sure to watch their bowl picks special!
The plays

Stanford Steve (3-1 conference championship week, 39-30-3 overall)

The Bear (2-2 conference championship week, 36-34-1 overall)

Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl


Buffalo Bulls (-6.5, 52.5) vs. Charlotte 49ers

(2 p.m. ET, Friday on ESPN at Thomas A. Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas)
The Bear: Both teams got hot late, albeit against the weaker part of their schedules, but I'll ride with Charlotte here. During their five-game win streak, the 49ers won three as a 'dog. Running back Benny LeMay, quarterback Chris Reynolds and the offense did pretty well all season outside of games against Clemson and Western Kentucky. While Charlotte could be just happy to be here, I think being here in the school's first bowl game isn't enough; the 49ers want to win it. That, coupled with the MAC's struggles in bowls, leads me to taking the points.
Pick: Charlotte +6.5
Stanford Steve: A good first game to get us started in bowl season. Both these teams led their conferences in rushing yards per game, meaning the game could be low-scoring. It's pretty obvious what the public thinks, as the over/under has dropped six points from the number where it opened. I really respect these two head coaches, even though Lance Leipold has more experience in bowls. I just feel as if the Bulls are giving too many points to a team that has an offense as competent as the 49ers'. I'll take the points.
Pick: Charlotte +6.5; Buffalo 24, Charlotte 21.
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl


SMU Mustangs (-3, 70) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

(3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday on ABC at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida)
Stanford Steve: We all know that Lane Kiffin left Boca Raton to go coach Ole Miss, and with that I think there is a little emptiness on the side of the Owls in this matchup. They lost coaches and are playing a bowl game in their home stadium for the second time in three years because they beat up on a bad UAB team. On the other side, you have a Mustangs team who I feel is superior at every position on the field, and, no offense to FAU interim coach Glenn Spencer, has even more of an advantage in the head coaching battle. Plus, SMU is loaded with transfers, and I feel as if the Ponies will be plenty motivated to play in a bowl game to close out a great season under Sonny Dykes. I'll lay the three points.
Pick: SMU -3; SMU 45, FAU 20.
Camellia Bowl


Florida International Panthers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5, 63)

(5:30 p.m. ET, Saturday on ESPN at Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama)
The Bear: FIU's win over Miami got the Panthers to six wins and bowl eligibility. It also led them to a bit of a letdown the following week as they lost to Marshall. But there isn't a coach out there who gets his team ready for bowl games better than Butch Davis. Davis' teams are 8-1 ATS in bowls, and I expect the offense, led by quarterback James Morgan and a pair of running backs, to be able to put up points on a defense that ranks outside the top 100 in expected points.
Pick: FIU +2.5
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl


Boise State Broncos vs. Washington Huskies (-3.5, 49.5)

(7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday on ABC at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas)
Stanford Steve: What a weird season for Washington. Usually an outstanding home team, the Huskies blew games in conference in which they led, and it ended up costing them a spot in the Pac-12 title game. This is Chris Petersen's last game as Washington head coach, and he has to be feeling he'd rather be coaching against any team other than Boise State. With that being said, I do believe Petersen will have his guys ready to go and plenty motivated. For the most part, the boys from Boise overachieved this season, playing and winning games with three quarterbacks, and I do like the talent they have on the defensive line, but I will lay the points and take the favorite.
Pick: Washington -3.5; Washington 27, Boise State 20.
Walk-On's Independence Bowl


Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Miami Hurricanes (-6.5, 49.5)

(4 p.m. ET, Dec. 26 on ESPN at Independence Bowl in Shreveport, Louisiana)
The Bear: Miami went from blowing a fourth-quarter lead vs. Florida in the season opener to losing to Georgia Tech, Duke and FIU. Thus, the reward for a 6-6 season is a trip to Shreveport in what is essentially a road game against a Louisiana Tech team that should have been in the C-USA title game but was not because of suspensions, which cost it the game at UAB. Miami has players sitting out for the draft, and I find it hard to see a lot of motivation here for the Canes. On the flip side, this is about the best possible reward for Louisiana Tech -- a name opponent in basically a home game to salvage some of what could have been a conference title-type season.
Pick: Louisiana Tech +6.5
Camping World Bowl


Iowa State Cyclones vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4, 55)

(Noon ET, Dec. 28 on ABC at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida)
The Bear: Iowa State's season felt as if it was close and unfulfilled. The Cyclones lost one-point games in their two biggest games -- vs. Iowa and at Oklahoma -- then put up a bad offensive effort (1-for-13 on third down) in the season finale at Kansas State. Now Iowa State gets a Super Bowl-type game against Notre Dame. Thousands are going to flock to Orlando for this one. And it's almost like a Catch-22 type game for the Irish; if they win, well, good, you were supposed to beat Iowa State. But if they lose, it's how could you lose to Iowa State? I expect Brock Purdy and the ISU offense to have some success against Notre Dame's defense and do enough vs. Ian Book and the Irish offense to at the very least take this one to the final gun, if not win outright.
Pick: Iowa State +4
The Bear's 'dogs to take on the money line

Since 2008, underdogs are 208-193-5 ATS in bowl games (52%). Of the 208 'dogs that covered, 152 (73%) of them won outright. So don't be afraid to throw a little on the ML as well. Here are some 'dogs to consider taking to win outright.
Boston College +220
Charlotte +205
FIU +115
Florida State +175
Hawai'i +105
Iowa State +155
Louisiana Tech +190
Michigan +225
Oregon +120
Bear Bytes

Pac-12 problems
Over the past three years, the Pac-12 is 4-17-1 ATS in bowl games. That includes a 1-9-1 mark as a favorite. Pac-12 teams are 4-12 straight up in bowl games over the past two years.
Big SEC favorites no good?
Since the 2016 national championship game, there have been eight SEC teams favored by at least six points in a bowl game. Five of the eight lost outright, including each of the past two losers of the SEC title game: Auburn in 2017 and Georgia in 2018. Before that, 12 straight SEC favorites of at least six points won outright.
Heal(y)-ing power
Charlotte has won each of its past three games outright as an underdog.
MACtion!
The MAC is 2-15 SU in bowls in the past three years, and 3-8 ATS over the past two years. Dating to 2013, the past five MAC teams that were favored by at least six points went 1-4 outright, including a pair of 30-point losses. One of the four teams to lose outright was Toledo, which lost 35-32 to FIU in the 2018 Bahamas Bowl as a 7-point favorite.
Yes Kent do
Kent State has covered each of its past five games as an underdog, winning the past three outright. Dating to last year, Kent State has covered each of its past six games as an underdog vs. non-Power 5 teams.
Bowl blues for The U
Miami is 1-8 SU in its past nine bowl games. In that span, the Canes have lost four of the five bowl games in which they were favored. Miami is also 2-9 ATS in its past 11 bowl games.
No blue turf, no matter
Boise State is 7-2 ATS with five outright wins as an underdog in bowl games. That includes an outright win over Oregon in the 2017 Vegas Bowl as a 7-point 'dog. The Broncos have won five of six and 10 of their past 13 games against Pac-12 opponents.
SEC vs. Big Ten is an auto play?
Since 2015, Big Ten teams are 3-9 straight up against SEC teams in bowl games (2-10 ATS, 1-4 ATS as a favorite, 1-6 ATS as a 'dog).
X + Y = Clemson?
Since 2013, Ohio State is 5-2 in bowl games. The Buckeyes are 0-2 vs. Clemson and 5-0 against everyone else. Since 2012, Clemson is 8-2 in bowl games. The Tigers are 2-2 vs. Alabama and 6-0 against everyone else. Clemson is 9-1 ATS in those 10 games.
Don't be afraid to back Big 12 'dogs
Since 2016, there have been 17 Big 12 underdogs in bowl games. They are 10-7 ATS with eight outright wins, including winning five of the seven games outright in which they were a 'dog vs. SEC teams.
Irish a mixed bag in bowls
Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS in its past seven bowl games. The Irish are 5-4 in their past nine bowl games after losing 10 of their previous 11. Notre Dame's past 14 bowl games have either been decided by four points or fewer (three times) or by at least 13 points (11 times).
A(mes) for effort
Iowa State's two bowl games under Matt Campbell have been decided by a combined three points. Iowa State is 13-3 ATS with six outright wins in its past 16 games as an underdog. The two times this season Iowa State was an underdog each resulted in a one-point loss (vs. Iowa and at Oklahoma).
Close bowl games a staple under James Franklin
Penn State's five bowl games under Franklin have each been decided by seven points or fewer (21 combined points).
Coach O gets the money
As a head coach, Ed Orgeron is 14-2-1 ATS against top-10 teams not named Alabama. At LSU, he's 7-1-1 ATS with nine outright wins in that spot.
Leach struggles in bowls
Mike Leach is 1-8 ATS in his past nine bowl games (1-7 as a favorite). Leach's teams have lost five of the nine games outright.
Support the troops!
Since 2013, Air Force, Army and Navy are 9-2 both outright and ATS in bowl games. That includes four outright wins in five games as an underdog.
Iowa on an incredible run
Since 2015, Iowa has been favored by less than six points 13 times. The Hawkeyes have won all 13 games. Seven of those wins came when Iowa was favored by a field goal or less. Iowa is 9-4 ATS in those 13 games. Nine of the 13 wins have come away from Kinnick Stadium.
Points aplenty
Wake Forest's three bowl games under Dave Clawson have seen 71, 107 and 60 total points scored. All three games resulted in Wake Forest wins. The three bowl games in which Clawson coached Bowling Green saw 57, 49 and 85 points.
Sun Belt, fun belt
Since 2017, Sun Belt teams are 7-3 in bowl games. Two of the three losses were by Arkansas State, coming by a combined eight points.
SEC is Gundy kryptonite?
Oklahoma State is 7-2 in its past nine bowl games (6-3 ATS). Mike Gundy is 1-3 both ATS and straight up vs. SEC teams in bowl games as a 'dog. The one win came last year as a 9-point underdog vs. Missouri.
Butch owns the bowls!
Between his stints at Miami, North Carolina and FIU, Butch Davis is 8-1 ATS in bowl games. The only non-cover came in 2017 when the Golden Panthers lost 28-3 to Temple as a 7-point 'dog in a game which they lost their starting quarterback in the first quarter.
Don't be afraid to lay a big number
UCF is a 17.5-point favorite vs. Marshall. In the past 15 years, the three bowl favorites of at least 17 points all covered, winning 50-3, 58-14 and 48-20.
Rhule-ing class
In its past eight games as an underdog, Baylor is 8-0 ATS with five outright wins. In 48 games as an underdog, Matt Rhule is 34-14 ATS with 16 outright wins.
Ducks win outright -- or get blown out
In its past 17 games as an underdog, Oregon is 5-12 ATS (3-4 under Mario Cristobal). All five of the covers were also outright wins.
Power 6?
After winning its first bowl game last year, the AAC didn't cover any of its final six games.
Back the Badgers in bowl?
Wisconsin has won five straight bowl games, going 4-0-1 ATS.
Lovie time?
Cal was favored only three times all season vs. FBS teams. The Bears didn't cover any of the three and lost two of them outright. Illinois was 6-1 ATS with three outright wins as an underdog this year. The three wins for Lovie Smith's team all came as 'dogs of at least 9.5 points.
Au-burning money?
Auburn has failed to cover each of its past seven bowl games in which it has been a favorite of at least six points, losing outright in both instances under Gus Malzahn, in 2014 vs. Wisconsin and 2017 vs. UCF.
Texas is back ... as an underdog
Tom Herman is 3-0 in bowl games, winning outright as an underdog in all three games.
Low Tide?
Alabama is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 bowl games, losing four times as at least a 5.5-point favorite. The Tide also lost the last non-CFP bowl they played, as a 16-point favorite vs. Oklahoma.
The factory
Eastern Michigan's two bowl games under Chris Creighton have been decided by a combined six points. The Eagles covered but lost both games.
For Boston
Eight of Boston College's past 10 bowl games have been decided by seven points or fewer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

SUPER STAT GEEK

YESTERDAY 2:08 PM
BUFFALO +6.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
The Bills defense dominated the Patriots offense in their first meeting, but a blocked punt changed the game, and turnovers by the Bills certainly didn't help. They've done a good job addressing that latter issue, giving the ball away just six times in 10 games since the Patriots loss. The Pats offense wasn't impressive against the Bengals, again feasting off turnovers, and they've now gained less than 300 yards in four of their last five games. This is going to be a low-scoring game (just look at the total), which makes it harder for either team to win by multiple scores. As long as the Bills protect the ball, this is going to be a close game.

22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
12-6-1 IN LAST 19 BUF ATS PICKS | +543

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

LIBERTY +4
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:46 PM
CURE BOWL -- An option offense loses some of its advantages in bowl season. During the season it benefits from teams not facing their style of play often, and only having a week to prepare for it. Well, Liberty's had nearly a month to get ready for this one. And Liberty's pass offense should find plenty of success against a Georgia Southern pass defense that has a propensity for allowing big plays. Take the dogs.

50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142
SMU -3
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:44 PM
BOCA RATON BOWL -- One of the things about bowl season you have to consider is a team's motivation. Well, how motivated to you expect FAU to be? Not only has their coach left for Ole Miss, but FAU is playing this game in its home stadium. Not exactly the kind of reward you hope for in a bowl trip. Plus, while FAU won C-USA, the AAC is a much better conference, and SMU performed very well in it. The Mustangs have just a little too much on the offensive side of the ball for the Owls.

50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142
5-0 IN LAST 5 FAU ATS PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

YESTERDAY 6:42 PM
WASHINGTON -3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- As everybody knows, this will be Chris Petersen's last game at Washington, and he's going against the program he made. Well, call me crazy, but I have a hard time believing Washington is going to send Petersen out with a loss, and in turn, without a cover. Washington struggled in Pac-12 play, but it dominated in nonconference against teams like BYU and Hawaii. Boise State's better than those teams, clearly, but it's not a huge difference. Give me the size and talent in a highly-motivated Washington team.

50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142

Bill Marzano

VETERAN HANDICAPPER

YESTERDAY 12:32 PM
BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- Boise State will win outright. It's fitting that Washington coach Chris Petersen's last game will be against the team he guided to a 92-12 record over eight seasons. The Broncos had a great season and would love to finish it with their seventh straight win. Boise State, which won the last meeting 16-13 in Petersen's much-anticipated return, is perfect ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Huskies are just 1-4 in their last five Bowl games.

33-20 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1068

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

5 units San Diego State -3.5 over Central Michigan (Saturday, December 21 at 2:00 PM ET)

6 units BUFFALO/New England GAME TOTAL UNDER 37 (Saturday, December 21 at 4:30 PM ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

4-Boise st+3.5

2-patriots-6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma

LARams +6.5
SanDiegoSt -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best bets for early slate of college football bowl games

The College Football Playoff field is set, as are the rest of the bowl matchups. That means plenty of opportunities to bet over the course of bowl season.

ESPN betting analysts Preston Johnson, Doug Kezirian, Bill Connelly and Phil Steele are here to offer up their best bets. We'll keep updating as matchups approach, so follow along!
Regular-season records
Connelly: 30-16-2 (1-4 last week)
Steele: 31-41-1 (2-3)
Johnson: 35-25-1 (2-2)
Kezirian: 46-36-1 (1-2)
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted. All times Eastern.
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl


Buffalo Bulls (-6.5, 52.5) vs. Charlotte 49ers

(2 p.m. Dec. 20 on ESPN at Thomas A. Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas)
Connelly: Both of these teams got hot late in the season. Charlotte won its last five and rose from 111th to 98th in SP+ to reach its first bowl, and Buffalo won five of its last six (the Bulls outgained Kent State by 95 yards in their lone loss) and rose from 113th to 84th. That the Bulls improved by more is the reason for them to be favored, but unless Charlotte goes into full "happy to be here" mode, six points is a lot.
This is a pretty interesting matchup of strength vs. strength (Charlotte O vs. Buffalo D) and weakness vs. weakness (Buffalo O vs. Charlotte D). If the 49ers find success against an aggressive, all-or-nothing Bulls pass defense, they could win outright. SP+ projects a 30-28 Buffalo win.
Pick: Charlotte +6.5
Steele: I am on the Joe Moore Award committee for choosing the top offensive line in the country, and Charlotte's unit got high praise on our conference calls during the season. Buffalo also has a solid offensive line, paving the way for 254 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per carry while allowing just eight sacks. The Bulls lost their starting QB in Week 5, and though Kyle Vantrease has thrown for just 155 yards per game in his seven starts, the team is 6-1 ATS in those games. Charlotte has the stronger pass game, but Buffalo has a good-sized edge on defense. Both teams rank near the bottom of my special-teams rankings.
My power ratings have this one close to the line, so with the strong offensive lines, I will look to the over (the past five Bahamas Bowls have averaged 66.2 points per game).
Pick: Lean over 52.5
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl


Utah State Aggies (-4.5, 65) vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

(7:30 p.m. Dec. 20 on ESPN2 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas)
Steele: This one figures to be a shootout, with Utah State allowing foes 33 yards per game above their season average and Kent State yielding 96 yards per game above. The Golden Flashes have a very underrated QB in Dustin Crum, who threw 18 TDS with just two interceptions and is the team's leading rusher with 560 yards. Aggies QB Jordan Love is an NFL prospect, but he had a 32-6 TD/INT breakdown last season with a tremendous supporting cast. With just one other returning starter on offense, this season he has only 17 TDs vs. 16 INTs, and Utah State has gone from 48 PPG to 28 PPG. Kent State has covered six in a row as an underdog versus non-Power 5 teams and is getting a full touchdown here. (The line was Utah State -7 before three players were cited for marijuana use Tuesday.)
Pick: Lean Kent State +7
Celebration Bowl


Alcorn State Braves vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies (-2.5, 51.5; Westgate)

(Noon Dec. 21 on ABC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta)
Steele: This is the fifth Celebration Bowl, which pits the champions from the MEAC and SWAC. North Carolina A&T is 3-0 in this bowl game, including a 24-22 win over Alcorn State last season. With Noah Johnson rushing for 1,080 yards, Alcorn State averaged 285 yards per game rushing and 6.2 yards per carry last season. Johnson went down with a season-ending injury this season, but his replacement, Felix Harper, was the SWAC Offensive Player of the Year.
The Aggies' defense is coming off a game in which it held NC Central to 9 total yards of offense in a 54-0 shutout. My computer and average game grades both have NC A&T winning by 10 points, so there is some definite value here.
Pick: Lean NC A&T -2.5
New Mexico Bowl


Central Michigan Chippewas vs. San Diego State Aztecs (-3.5, 41)

(2 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico)
Johnson: Maybe the memory of the Aztecs' 27-0 loss to Ohio in last year's Frisco Bowl is still fresh in everyone's minds, as it isn't too often that a MAC school dominates a bowl game. My projection here is San Diego State -6.2, and though the turnaround season from Central Michigan is a great story (1-11 to 8-5 and a MAC title game appearance), it probably speaks more to the lack of talent in the MAC than the actual abilities of the team relative to the rest of the country. Remember: Central Michigan lost 61-0 to Wisconsin earlier this season.
Not only am I getting the more talented team (starting quarterback Ryan Agnew is probable), but I'm specifically buying Rocky Long's defense, which ranks ninth in the country in defensive efficiency (4.6 yards per play) and first in rushing yards allowed per play (2.7). With Long having multiple weeks to prepare his defense for a Chippewas offense that has been playing MAC competition the past few months (124th-ranked strength of schedule), I'm thrilled to buy low here at a cheap number.
Pick: San Diego State -3.5
Steele: San Diego State games have topped 41 points just twice this season -- and they average 32 PPG. Central Michigan has the edge on offense, with RBs Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis, but the Aztecs' defense is No. 6 in the country, holding foes to 110 yards per game below their season average. When you think of San Diego State, you think of RBs who rush for 2,000 yards (two of them in past four years), but this year the top RB is Juwan Washington, with just 500 yards and a poor 3.3 yards per carry. The Aztecs have a significant edge on special teams at No. 17 in my rankings, with Central Michigan at No. 76, and that hurt them in the MAC title game. Central averaged just 13.6 points per game versus the five toughest defenses. I like the Aztecs to win, but they are laying more than a field goal, so I will lean with the under.
Pick: Lean under 41
Cure Bowl


Liberty Flames vs. Georgia Southern Eagles (-5, 58.5)

(2:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on CBS Sports Network at Exploria Stadium in Orlando, Florida)
Connelly: How much is a hot streak worth to you when a bowl break is involved? Georgia Southern began the season 1-3 and was ranked in the 100s in SP+ in late October, but excellent performances against Appalachian State, ULM and Georgia State not only drove the team to bowl eligibility but also lifted it to 89th in SP+. That's not bad, but do you lose your form with three weeks off?
Liberty, meanwhile, has basically been the same team for the past two months. The Flames were 91st in SP+ after six weeks and 87th at the end of the regular season. Their balanced and dangerous offense is the best unit in this game, and the connection of quarterback Stephen Calvert to receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden could have a field day against a shaky Georgia Southern pass defense. SP+ projects a near toss-up (Liberty by 0.2), which is almost a touchdown's difference with the betting market.
Pick: Liberty +5
Steele: Liberty is 7-5 despite facing the weakest schedule in the country. Hugh Freeze took over a 6-6 team and transformed Stephen Calvert from a QB that had 21 TDs and 18 INTs last season to a 26-5 ratio this season. Despite the schedule, Liberty allowed foes 4.7 yards per carry rushing and 26 yards above their season average. That does not bode well against the Georgia Southern option offense that ran for 261 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. The Eagles took on LSU and Minnesota in nonconference play, and their defense held foes to 63 yards per game below their season average. This is Liberty's first bowl, and I will go with the team that has the much stronger defense and has played the far tougher schedule.
Pick: Georgia Southern -5
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl


SMU Mustangs (-3, 70.5) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

(3:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ABC at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida)
Steele: SMU is led by Texas transfer Shane Buechele (3,626 yards, 33 TDs, 9 INTS), and FAU is led by Oklahoma transfer Chris Robison (3,392 yards, 26 TDs, 6 INTs). The Owls won the Conference USA title this season, and their two nonconference losses were to Ohio State and UCF. SMU has just two losses this season, but the Mustangs were on the road to Memphis and Navy, who each had double-digit wins. The Owls have the better defense statistically, but the Mustangs had 50 sacks and took on the tougher schedule. I have been riding FAU all season, and though this team is a home underdog, head coach Lane Kiffin has accepted the job to coach Ole Miss. This should be a very competitive, high-scoring game.
Pick: Lean over 70.5
Camellia Bowl


Florida International Panthers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5, 63)

(5:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama)
Steele: Arkansas State has a dangerous offense. Despite losing QB Logan Bonner after four games, backup Layne Hatcher stepped in and threw for 314 yards per game, and wide receiver Omar Bayless is among the nation's receiving leaders with 1,473 yards and 16 TDs. The Red Wolves' defense was hurt by injuries all season and lost four defensive tackles for the season, leaving them vulnerable to the run (they allowed 224 rushing yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry). FIU is led by running backs Anthony Jones and Napoleon Maxwell, who combined for 1,411 yards rushing. Should the Red Wolves stack the box, QB James Morgan is an NFL prospect who has hit 62% of his passes with a 39-10 TD/INT ratio in two seasons. Butch Davis is 6-3 in bowl games, and Blake Anderson is 1-4.
Pick: FIU +2.5
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl


Boise State Broncos vs. Washington Huskies (-3.5, 49.5)

(7:30 p.m. Dec. 21 on ABC at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas)
Steele: Chris Petersen started his head-coaching career at Boise State in 2006 and was there until 2014, when he left for Washington. Boise State should have both talented QBs (Hank Bachmeier and Jaylon Henderson) available. The Broncos' defense is led by defensive end Curtis Weaver (13.5 sacks), and the unit held foes to 67 yards per game below their season average. QB Jacob Eason topped 300 yards passing once all season versus FBS foes and will be without his top receiver in tight end Hunter Bryant and left tackle Trey Adams, who are opting to sit this one out. The Huskies are holding opponents to 71 yards per game below their season average. I could make a case for both teams here, so with two solid defenses, I will lean with the under.
Pick: Lean under 49.5
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl


Appalachian State Mountaineers (-16.5, 48) vs. UAB Blazers

(9 p.m. Dec. 21 on ESPN at Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans)
Steele: UAB coach Bill Clark took over a team that had not played football for two years and guided it to a bowl game. The Blazers were C-USA champs last season, and this season, with a very inexperienced team, the Blazers got to the C-USA title game. UAB QB Tyler Johnston missed four games, and RB Spencer Brown had five games with two carries or fewer down the stretch. UAB should be healthier for this game, and its defense holds opponents to 294 yards per game. UAB's schedule is 127th in my rankings, but App State has played the 106th-toughest schedule. App State QB Zac Thomas and RB Darrynton Evans are both dynamic, but UAB has some big play WRs in Austin Watkins and Kendall Parham. App State was outgained in four of its wins this year, with a first-down deficit of 106-63. The talent gap is not as large as the spread, and Clark will have his Blazers motivated, while the Mountaineers have a head coach in his first career game.
Pick: UAB +16.5
Kezirian: UAB is arguably the biggest farce this bowl season. The Blazers rank 106th out of 130 in ESPN's Football Power Index and are bowl-eligible only because they've beaten the nation's worst teams. Seven of their eight FBS wins came against opponents that rank in the triple digits of FPI. They also beat Louisiana Tech at home, but the Bulldogs were relegated to a third-string quarterback and lost by six points in Birmingham. FPI ranks Conference-USA dead last among all 10 FBS conferences. The eight bowl-eligible schools are misleading.
Meanwhile, the Blazers face a ranked App State squad that sits 30th in FPI. It is a solid team that won at both North Carolina and South Carolina, and its lone loss came against a triple-option offense (Georgia Southern) in windy conditions. The Mountaineers did lose head coach Eliah Drinkwitz to Missouri, but the school promoted offensive line coach Shawn Clark to head coach. He is not the interim coach, so that bodes well for stability and avoiding potential distractions.
It's a big number, but App State was 5-4 ATS this season when favored by double digits, so the Mountaineers can certainly handle it. I have faith in a blowout, much like we saw in UAB's 49-6 loss in its conference title game.
Pick: App State -16.5
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl


UCF Knights (-17, 61.5) vs. Marshall Thundering Herd

(2:30 p.m. Dec. 23 on ESPN at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida)
Steele: UCF was 13-0 in 2017 and 12-0 last season, coming up short versus LSU in the Fiesta Bowl. This season, the Knights are 9-3 and playing in the Gasparilla Bowl, and they could be in for a letdown. However, UCF could come out with a vengeance in nearby Tampa and make a statement. QB Dillon Gabriel had more TD passes (27) than McKenzie Milton did last season (25). UCF has a significant edge on offense, with plenty of explosive playmakers, and the Knights were No. 4 in the country averaging 537 yards per game. Marshall comes in No. 73 in that category, averaging 397 yards. Marshall was on course for the C-USA title game but lost to Charlotte and finished 7-1 in C-USA play. UCF is the stronger team and should win this game, but I am leaning with the 'dog here, as Marshall is 10-3 ATS the past 13 times it has been an underdog, and the Knights are on a 2-7 ATS run overall. Marshall head coach Doc Holliday is 6-0 straight-up and ATS in bowls.
Pick: Lean Marshall +17
SoFi Hawai'i Bowl


Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. BYU Cougars (-1.5, 64)

(8 p.m. Dec. 24 on ESPN at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu)
Steele: Most bowls have a split crowd, but Hawai'i will be playing in its home stadium. BYU QB Zach Wilson went 18-of-18 passing in a 49-18 bowl win last season. Wilson missed four games midseason but has returned to form. BYU was the only team in the country to open with four Power 5 opponents and pulled upsets of Tennessee and USC. Hawai'i lost twice at Boise, including in the Mountain West title game. BYU beat that same Boise team, but it was against a backup QB. Hawai'i is 4-4 straight-up and 3-5 ATS in this bowl. Hawai'i went to the run-and-shoot, and head coach Nick Rolovich goes with the hot hand at QB between Cole McDonald and Chevan Cordeiro. In its last six regular-season games, Hawai'i averaged 188 yards per game rushing, and the offensive line allowed just 22 sacks on 588 pass attempts. BYU's defense has recorded just 12 sacks. Hawai'i beat a pair of Pac-12 teams at home this season, and BYU is just 1-5 as a favorite this season.
Pick: Lean Hawai'i +1.5
Kezirian: Who doesn't love betting the Hawai'i Bowl? It is an "island game" (pun intended), serving as your lone college football action on Christmas Eve. On that merit alone, it often finds a way into your betting portfolio, but I still think there is value on BYU's offense. The Hawai'i defense ranks 103rd out of 130 schools in defensive efficiency. The Warriors played better down the stretch, but I am going to chalk that up to facing weak offenses. Their final three regular-season opponents (UNLV, San Diego State and Army) have offensive efficiency that ranks worse than 90th. This is still a defensive unit that can get torched by BYU. I also think Hawai'i should score and considered the game total over, but I am slightly more confident in isolating BYU's team total. There is a chance that BYU's physicality could bother Hawai'i, much like we saw Boise State do in the Mountain West title game when the Warriors mustered only 10 points.
Pick: BYU team total over 33 points (FanDuel)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big al

central Michigan CFB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. Mike does not consider himself a pet lover. But he likes 'dogs, preferring to evaluate each game from the underdog's point of view. Mike used that philosophy to post a sparkling 63-46 ATS mark for the entire 2018 NFL season. Over the past three seasons, Mike is 197-162 in the NFL, returning over $1,800 to $100 players.


UAB +16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:21 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- In the largely unpredictable bowls universe, spreads do not get much larger than this. App State overcame the departure of its head coach a year ago and won its bowl by 32 points under an interim. Pulling off the feat twice in a row would be impressive now that Eli Drinkwitz has fled to Missouri. There's no doubt that UAB has an inferior roster, but the Blazers rose to the occasion last year, taking its bowl game by 24 points. Take UAB.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-0 IN LAST 3 APLST ATS PICKS | +300

BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:16 PM
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- Aside from Boise sending out a weaker team than usual, most signs point to a straight-up win for the Broncos. They have covered seven games in a row as an underdog and in seven of the past 10 bowls. Washington is on a 1-4 ATS bowl slide, and Chris Petersen is coaching his farewell game -- against his previous school. Boise switched QBs in midseason and won its last six outright. Two significant Huskies -- TE Hunter Bryant and left OT Trey Adams -- sit out to wait for the NFL draft.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
4-2 IN LAST 6 BOISE ATS PICKS | +180

2-1 IN LAST 3 WASH ATS PICKS | +89

FIU +2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:11 PM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- Though Arkansas State is appearing in its ninth straight bowl, the postseason-angle checkmark goes to FIU; Panthers coach Butch Davis is 6-3 in bowl games at three different schools. FIU counter productive Ark State QB Layne Hatcher with the No. 6 pass defense in the FBS. Three opponents were held to fewer than 100 aerial yards by FIU. Take the Panthers.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
SMU -3.5
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:06 PM
BOCA RATON BOWL -- The departure of coach Lane Kiffin negates FAU’s home-field edge. With Kiffin headed to Ole Miss, the most high-profile figure in this game is SMU QB Shane Buechele, who directs the nation’s No. 6 scoring offense. The matchup has all the makings of a shootout, and Buechele and his sidekicks, RB Xavier Jones and WR James Proche, are more dangerous than their counterparts on the Owls. Take SMU.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-1 IN LAST 4 SMU ATS PICKS | +195

LIBERTY +4.5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:00 PM
CURE BOWL -- Georgia Southern is so run-oriented that it carved out the most impressive stat in football: zero interceptions thrown. But the Eagles throw fewer than 12 times per game, and the additional practice time afforded bowl teams has allowed veteran Liberty coach Hugh Freeze to plan for the option offense. The Flames’ prolific passing attack strikes quickly and can overcome a disadvantage in time of possession. Give me Liberty.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-1 IN LAST 4 GAS ATS PICKS | +190

SAN DIEGO ST. -3.5
C. MICHIGAN VS SAN DIEGO ST. | 12/21 | 2:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:54 PM
NEW MEXICO BOWL -- Props to Central Michigan for winning eight games under new coach Jim McElwain after a one-win season. The Chippewas overachieved, though, and its offense has not confronted a defense like San Diego State’s, which allows a minuscule 12.8 points per game. The Aztecs are bowl-tested, having partaken in the postseason 10 straight years. Their offense is spotty, but they only need to score 24 points.

49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
2-1 IN LAST 3 SDGST ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS and over-under picks. He's a wallet-fattening 216-179 in his popular "Six Pack" college football column the past four years. And he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his expertise in every single sport. In the 2018-19 NBA season, Fornelli went 86-67, returning $1,229 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine.


HOUSTON -3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/19
Jameis Winston is in the midst of one of my favorite QB seasons of all time, but in the last two weeks he's lost Mike Evans and now Chris Godwin. I think Godwin's the bigger loss for what Tampa wants to do on offense, and it will have an impact on the Bucs here. It's scary to take the Texans as a favorite (only 8-15-1 ATS since 2017), but Tampa's been horrible at home itself, going 0-4-1 ATS there this season. With both Will Fuller and Kenny Stills back, the Houston offense is at max capacity, which will help it get this cover.

32-23-1 IN LAST 56 NFL PICKS | +668
5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +386

2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ATS PICKS | +95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

Bill Marzano takes a basic approach to handicapping: He follows each sport daily, analyzing stats and trends, injuries and personnel. He homes in on refs and umps to get an edge. And he uses all the resources he's compiled over the years. Marzano believes in patience and doesn’t play games every day or just because he’s up or down or on a streak. He likes run lines, puck lines and isn’t afraid of a two- or three-game parlay. Marzano excels in every major sport and absolutely dominates the NHL. Over the past four years, he's returned a documented profit of $10,091 to $100 NHL players.


APP. ST. -16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:45 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- The Mountaineers come into this Bowl game at 12-1 and with an interim head coach, but I don't think that will make a difference. The Mountaineers are 4-0 their last four Bowl games. UAB was just destroyed by FAU in the C-USA title game, 49-6. The Mountaineers have the 9th-ranked offense in the nation, averaging a robust 39.5 points per game. UAB is struggling offensively and starting QB Tyler Johnston hasn't thrown a TD pass in three straight games, but has tossed four INTS.

33-20 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1068
BUFFALO +6.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:37 PM
The Bills lost a tough 16-10 meeting earlier this year and I think this game will be very similar -- a low-scoring, defensive battle that will be decided by a field goal either way. This is the best team the Bills have had in years and they have a shot to stun the Patriots.

6-3-1 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +272
4-1 IN LAST 5 NE ATS PICKS | +287

UNDER 37
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:35 PM
The Patriots have dominated this series and have a chance to wrap up their 11th consecutive AFC East crown and a first-round bye. This should be a low-scoring game. The Bills are right behind the Patriots for top scoring defenses. The Patriots' offense is struggling to score consistently and the Bills' offense isn't putting up a ton of points, either.

5-4-1 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

Micah Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sports book industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos' book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, Roberts has covered the Las Vegas sports betting industry for VegasInsider.com, Gaming Today, and Sporting News. In 2016, Micah became a SportsLine expert and promptly crushed college football for SportsLine members, going 70-44-3 (61 percent) on the season.


UNDER 37
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:39 PM
The last three meetings have stayed Under the total, including the Patriots' 16-10 win in September. The Bills have gone 7-0-1 to the Under in their last eight road games. In their 14 games this season (10-4 ATS), 11 of them stayed Under the total. Tom Brady’s offense is still struggling. Under is the play.

23-13 IN LAST 36 NFL O/U PICKS | +870
3-0 IN LAST 3 NE O/U PICKS | +300

L.A. RAMS +6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:36 PM
The 49ers have lost two of their last three games, the last coming at home against the Falcons. All three of their losses have been in the final seconds. The Rams are a tough team to figure out. Just when it looks like they have things together, they lay an egg at Dallas last week. The 49ers won 20-7 in the October meeting, but are now 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC West teams. Take the points.

5-2-1 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +278
4-3 IN LAST 7 LAR ATS PICKS | +73

OVER 50
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:28 PM
There’s a chance of rain Saturday in Tampa, with winds blowing at 13 mph. This is part of the reason this total was bet down from 53. The Buccaneers have gone Over the total in 11 of their last 12 games and have won their last four due to the high-level play of Jameis Winston. He is auditioning for a new contract. The Bucs' defense allows 31 ppg at home. Over is the top play.

23-13 IN LAST 36 NFL O/U PICKS | +870
5-1 IN LAST 6 TB O/U PICKS | +390

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

A CBS Sports NFL editor, R.J. twice has cashed huge in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. In 2017 he tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. In 2015 he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. R.J. consistently crushes the NFL for SportsLine members: All-time he's 265-218-22 on ATS picks, returning $2,335 to $100 players. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV.


TAMPA BAY +3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:48 PM
Sure, Jameis Winston is down his top two receivers, but he showed last week that he can throw to anyone, with Breshad Perriman catching three touchdowns. Yes, that came against a bad Lions defense, but why should we be scared of this Texans unit? They've given up 390-plus yards in four of their five games since the bye, and that includes home games against offenses in the Patriots and Broncos that haven't exactly looked great otherwise. With the underdog 11-3 ATS in Texans games and unlikely to stop Winston, I'll take the Bucs and their improving defense to pull off the shocker and get this win, though I'm happy to take the three points.

22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
19-8-3 IN LAST 30 TB ATS PICKS | +1008

L.A. RAMS +6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:41 PM
The 49ers have been playing a lot of close games lately. If you throw out the last second fumble TD against the Cardinals and count that as a close game (Arizona was winning with a minute left), six of the 49ers' last seven games have come down to the wire. In a divisional game against a Rams team that has played better in the second half despite getting smoked by the Cowboys last week, this feels like another close one that could go either way. With Dee Ford out, the vaunted 49ers pass rush loses a little bit of bite and helps this stay within the number.

22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
27-12-1 IN LAST 40 LAR ATS PICKS | +1346

12-8 IN LAST 20 SF ATS PICKS | +320

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Freddy Wills

Washington -3 -115 5.5% NCAAF POD

FIU +110 2.5%

San Diego State -3 3.3%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun Sports CFB
Appalachian State -16.5

I think it's funny how most people here are nothing but beggars but offer nothing in return and yet they feel justified in bashing people like me and a few others who actually post picks on a regular basis. I love trends and systems and, therefore, the service I subscribe to will always fit that bill for me. Of the ones I subscribe to J.R. Stevens and MTi are my favorites and the best and most consistent I have seen. J.R. Stevens is great at picking underdogs and MTi plays a mix of totals and sides at about a 65%-35% split based on my experience. There are days when these guys might have 10-12 picks but you have to understand they cover multiple sports each day where many strong systems can exist, so it shouldn't really surprise anyone when this happens. You also have to understand system players are PROFIT players, typically INVESTORS and not gamblers or degenerates. Britney DeLuca is also great if you love totals. I'm not sure I have seen anyone better, especially when it comes to her biggest pick each day. Of the ones I subscribe to Marc Lawrence is the worst in terms of performance but I still like his service because, again, he brings a lot of trends and systems to the surface which can help avoid pitfalls. When you pick a service, any service, you really should understand what their style of picking is first and see if it matches your own style or philosophy. If you like to play to favorites then you probably won't be happy with a service that specializes in underdogs or totals, just like if you like to play totals you probably won't be happy with someone who specializes in favorites or underdogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg

bills
49ers

[pascal5757]

I know this section is for Service Plays. But I feel I need to get this information out there. To keep someone else from this scammer..

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So, it you see this number or this email. Stay away..

832-304-0274
email: sportsguru503@gmail.com
website: wagerhub888.com

I hope this keeps at lease one guy from being screwed by this guy.

Pass along to all fellow gamblers and other forums

[rocky57]

Well said my friend....Here is to a Profitable Winning Bowl Season... Good Luck!!

Thanks can'tpickawinner and 5757....Sorry for the clutter but just needed to Thank these 2 gentleman..

[golden contender]

Saturday card has the NFC Total of the year with a 23-0 system, a TIER 1 Exclusive play, a 6^ TOP Rated Bowl play and NBA and NCAAB Platinum Supreme moves. Several Top plays overall. Boca Bowl Comp Play below

The Boca Bowl comp play is on Florida Atlantic +8 at 3:30 eastern. The Owls lead the nation in Turnover margin this season and are .a perfect 4-0 vs winning teams. They are 4-1 with rest and Bowl home dogs off a win have covered 11 of 14 times. Smu is 0-4 as a bowl favorite and 0-5 on the road if the total is 69 or higher. The Mustangs are 0-5 ats off a conference win of 10 or more and have failed to cover 4 of 5 as a road favorite. Take the points with the home team in this game. On Saturday we have a Huge football card with the NFC Total of the Year a TIER 1 Executive Level Play, NBA AND NCAAB Platinum Supreme moves and a Big Bowl card led by a top 6*. Football overall ranked top 3 on multiple networks. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Fee Bowl pick. Take the Points with Florida Atlantic. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOCS CONS:12/21/19

NFL
8#455 Take Hou/TB OVER 50.5
6#453 Take Buff ML +240 ov NE (more picks released 10 AM PST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE PHONES

4- Boise St
3- Florida International, Eastern Michigan (Thurs)
2- BYU (Tues), Appalachian St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Perfect Situation Las Vegas Bowl Blowout!

Boise State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mastermind Sports

10* top play Gonzaga

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsmasters

Top Play California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sharp premium way too early information. will update thru the day as more data comes


LJP Score:

North Carolina A&T = 0

Alcorn St = 1OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

12pm ET

LJP Score:

Central Michigan = 0

San Diego St = 2OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 1-0 SDSU -3 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

2pm ET

LJP Score:

Liberty = 0

Georgia Southern = 2OPEN

OVER = 2OPEN

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 2-1 OV56 (DNQ)

2:30pm ET

LJP Score:

SMU = 0

Florida Atlantic = 1OPEN

OVER = 1OPEN

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

3:30pm ET

LJP Score:

Florida Int = 2OPEN

Arkansas St = 0

OVER = 3OPEN

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-2 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 UN62 (DNQ)

5:30pm ET

LJP Score:

Washington = 3OPEN

Boise St = 0

OVER = 2OPEN

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

7:30pm ET

LJP Score:

UAB = 0

App St = 2OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 1-0 App St -16.5 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 OV47 (DNQ)

9:00pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Millionaires—-Utah St
No Limit—San Francisco
Perfect Play—-Indiana
Perfect Play—-Villanova
Inner Circle—-Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Boise St +3.5 for 3*
Florida Int and Atlanta Falcons 2 Team Teaser = FIU +7.5 and Falcons -1 (Sunday)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root Football

Mill- Fl Atlantic

No limit- TAMPA Bay

Perfect play- Washington ncaa

Inner circle - LA RAMS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling (1-0 bowls)

30 under FIU
25 NE, SF, App St

[Iowethe man]

Goodfella Confrence Total of year

3* Patriots Under 38

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

3% Buffalo/Patriots Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco

4% Houston/Tampa Under 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

4* San Diego State
3* FIU, Buffalo Bills

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan
3* Tampa bay +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ELITE SPORTS PICKS

SMU/Florida Atlantic OVER 64.5 NCAAFB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Florida International+2 NCAAFB

3* San Diego State-3.5 NCAAFB

3* Bucs+3.0 NFL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

5* Washington-3 NCAAFB

3* Liberty+5.5 NCAAFB

3* Bills/Pats UNDER 37 NFL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks For 12/21/19

4 Unit --> Florida International +2 over Arkansas St. (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Buffalo +6.5 over New England (NFL)

3 Unit --> Charlotte +6 over Utah (NBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Great Lake Sports

NBA
3* #573 Houston -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp totals for Saturday

276 Philadelphia first half Under 23 -117 (0.5 units)
Note on line: if your number is 22.5, I would reduce position to 1/3rd of a unit

481 Green Bay first half Over 22.5 -115 (0.75 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence late phones

3's in Bowls
Marshall
Hawaii

3 on Cincci in CBB

NFL
10* Tenn
4*Philly
3's on Cardinals and Bears
lean Buffy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 4:30PM
453 BUF / 454 NEP UNDER 38.0 William Hill triple-dime bet

Analysis: … Ram SF -6.5, 46
Rams In 1st meeting, Rams were dominated, lost 7-20
Despite it being a good spot for Rams
Rams had 10 days to prepare…..
SF ws off a MNF game vs. Clev
Despite that SF dominated
Winning Stats (331 yards, to 157)
Now the spot is better for SF SF was flat in loss to Atl
Blew a 9 point 4Q lead, gave up lead with :02 left
SF decimated at DLINE HOWEVER!
DL Cluster Injuries
DL Moore OUT, (11/25), DJ Jones OUT (12/14)
DE Dee Ford DT Julian Taylor ALSO OUT
… Buf NE -6.5 38.5
LIKE UNDER
Similar Game To Buf/PIT
Two Top 5 Defenses:
NE 1, Buf 3
Two Struggling Offenses:
Buf 22, NE 14
But Ne’s Offense has been MUCH worse late
Brady 5 straight games with QBR below 40!
I expect a copy of 1st meeting: Ne 16, BUF 10
NE 224 yards, 3.5 YPP
Buf 375 yards, 5.3 YPP
NE got a blocked punt TD

This total is 38 simply due to all the NE points they have gotten w/ T’os
+24 YTD!




… Hou TB +3, 50
Winston down 3 receivers now!?
Mike Evans 1333 yards OUT
Godwin 1157 yards OUT
Scotty Miller Hamstring? OUT
That would leave them with just 1 WR with over 90 yards……. (Perriman 409)
The Big Question: Will TBay get pressure on Watson
Tbay No 13 in Sacks (36YTD)
LEAN UNDER AGAIN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tri Lambda

Florida Atlantic Owls
Boise State Bronco
Under [451] Los Angeles Rams vs. [452] San Francisco 49ERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB Saturday

4 Unit Play. Take #644 Providence (pk) over Texas (2p.m., Saturday, December 21 FOX) This line is begging you to take Texas, but we will not bite and take the Friars in a true home game. Texas has played a weak schedule thus far for their impressive record.

4 Unit Play. Take #718 Florida -3.5 over Utah State (2:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 FS1) Florida is always a tough team to beat inside the state and they need this game more than does Utah State. The Gators played their best game of the season last time out against Providence and expect them to follow that up with another impressive victory on Saturday. The Aggies struggled with USF last time out and this is a much tougher opponent. Utah State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. Florida is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

8 Unit Play. Take #722 Butler -2 over Purdue (2:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 BTN) TOP COLLEGE HOOPS PLAY Purdue lost a ton of scoring last year when Carson Edwards left, and they will have trouble keeping pace with Butler in this game. The Bulldogs have a ton of quality wins this season included bating Stanford and Florida. Purdue beat Virginia but they have struggled in their other big games losing to Florida State, Texas, Marquette, and Nebraska. Butler is better than all 4 of those teams. Butler dominated Indiana last year before losing on a freak play to end the game and they have a bad taste in their month from that Crossroads Classic. Butler is 45-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 67 neutral site games. Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

4 Unit Play. Take #738 Ohio State -3 over Kentucky (5:15p.m., Saturday, December 21 CBS) Kentucky is really struggling to shoot the ball this year especially from the 3-point line. Ohio State got back on track last time out and expect them to win this game by 6-8 points. Kentucky just has not found the chemistry needed to be success this season at this point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLD WORST PICKER

EARLY NCAA BB

Peabodys NCAABB Pick:
Spread: Indiana
Play On: Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Midwest NFL Handicapping

SF -7
BUFF +7 (Buy Hook)
HOU -2.5 (Buy Hook)


Buffalo +12.5/UNDER 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Biker Bankers 49rs under 45
Rams +6'
Pats -6'
TB under 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 5:30PM
213 Florida Intl 1.0(-110) Westgate vs 214 Arkansas St. single-dime bet

Analysis: Two reasons we like the Golden Panthers here, first our power ratings say the wrong team is favored here. Second, we have the coaching edge with FIU head coach Butch Davis 7-2 ATS in bowl games while Arkansas St head coach Blake Anderson is 1-4 ATS. Also note that FIU won last year’s bowl game without starting QB James Morgan who should be motivated to play in this year’s game.



Bowl Leans Today:

Small Lean (208) San Diego St -3.5 over Central Michigan. 2:00pm ET.

Lean (209) Liberty +6 over Georgia Southern. 2:30pm ET.

Small Lean (215) Washington -3.5 over Boise St. 7:30pm ET.
Lean (218) Uab +17 over Appalachian St. 9:00pm ET.

NFL Lean of Day (453/454) Buffalo/New England UNDER 37.5. 4:30pm ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

North Carolina A&T = 2U

Alcorn St = 0

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

12pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Central Michigan +4
10 SMU/Florida Atlantic under 69.5

NBA

10 LA Clippers/San Antonio over 223.5
10 Atlanta/Brooklyn over 228

CBB

10 610 Villanova +2
10 632 Miami OH +2.5
10 639 Texas State +3
10 707 Oregon State -6
10 737 Kentucky +4
10 742 California +1
10 752 Utah +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

Yest: -0.2
Ytd: +31.6
---


2-Unit Play. Take #610 Villanova (+2.5) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 21)
Being the No. 1 team in the country has been a curse so far this season. And I think we could see another upset of the top team here today. Villanova is well versed in playing in games like these. And they will have a massive home court advantage. They are also getting the Jayhawks at an early start time. I know the Wildcats and their faithful will be ready to go.


2-Unit Play. Take #605 Harvard (-6) over George Washington (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 21)
This George Washington team is bad. They have losses to teams like Morgan State and UM-Kansas City this year, as well as a home loss to American. Harvard has been off for two weeks. I would normally worry about rust. But I think that this team needed the break. They needed to get healthy and Tommy Amaker is a great coach that I'm sure got everyone back on the same page. Harvard posted a 34-point blowout win over UMass their last time out. They should be able to do it again here.


2-Unit Play. Take #615 Illinois (-2.5) over Missouri (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I don't like how one-sided the betting action is in this rivalry game. But Illinois is obviously the better team. They got off to a shaky start to the season but they are settling in. Their last two losses have come by a combined three points. Other than that they'd be on an eight-game winning streak. Missouri has lost three of five. And other than that surprise win at Temple they haven't done much to impress me. I'll back talent here.


2-Unit Play. Take #626 Oakland (-5) over Fairfield (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Oakland has lost three straight games. But they are finally back at home, playing their first home game in over a month, and they are taking a major step down in class. The Grizz have won each of their three home games by double-digits and I think that they will do the same here.


1-Unit Play. Take #630 Northern Illinois (-6.5) over UW-Green Bay (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Two of Green Bay's four wins have come against D-II competition. The other two have come against weak sister teams ranked in the bottom third of college basketball. Green Bay plays fast and can score. But they don't even bother to play defense. And I think that their offense will run into some resistance against a solid Northern Illinois defense. I think Eugene German will have a day here and NIU should get a solid win to close out the nonconference.


2-Unit Play. Take #633 Missouri State (+2) over Oral Roberts (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I think the wrong team is favored here. We don't know much about this Oral Roberts team because their schedule has been so bizarre. They have faced four D-II teams and four teams ranked in the Top 50. I do think that this Missouri State team is more talented and I think that they are a little undervalued here. This team has played at Xavier, LSU and VCU so they won't be rattled by a trip to ORU. I think they start to show some progress and win this one outright.


1-Unit Play. Take #644 Providence (Pk) over Texas (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I know I am a glutton for punishment. And this Friars team has been completely off the rails. But at some point they should snap out of it. And, frankly, Texas might be the one team that I trust even less than Providence.


2-Unit Play. Take #664 South Alabama (-5) over Coastal Carolina (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I think that this USA team is better than it has played. They got upset at home in their last time out against Appalachian State. I don't think it will happen again here and I don't see them losing two straight home games to open up Sun Belt play.


1-Unit Play. Take #668 UT-San Antonio (-3) over Illinois State (4 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #696 Arkansas (-13.5) over Valparaiso (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Very quietly, Arkansas has positioned itself as one of the best teams in the SEC. They are talented, they are athletic, and they are playing good, disciplined basketball on both ends of the court. I think that they are set up for another blowout here in a semi-neutral site. Valpo is in over its head here.


2-Unit Play. Take #706 DePaul (-5.5) over Northwestern (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Northwestern is better than I thought they would be. This team is big. But they are still really, really young. This is only their third true road game and they were blown out by 14 at Purdue in their last road game. I really like this DePaul team. They have excellent guard play and they have a good, positive vibe in this program for the first time in a long time. This is a big game between Chicago rivals and I expect the Blue Demons to make full use of their home court advantage.


4-Unit Play. Take #710 BYU (-17.5) over Weber State (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
The Cougars


2-Unit Play. Take #718 Florida (-3.5) over Utah State (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Florida is starting to look more and more like the team that everyone was expecting in the preseason. I was never as in love with this team as everyone else; I think it is a joke to think of them as a national title contender. However, I do think that this is a good spot for them. They are playing close to home against a Utah State team that doesn't really travel that well. I like this Aggies group, especially now that they are at full strength. But I just think that this number is short and Florida will have a little too much for them.


4-Unit Play. Take #722 Butler (-2) over Purdue (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Purdue just isn't the same team when they don't play on their home court. And I think that Butler is going to be sky high for this game. The Bulldogs have been the more impressive team to this point of the year and they have the best player on the court in Kamar Baldwin. I think that the Bulldogs made some addition by subtraction in the offseason and this team looks much better for it.


1-Unit Play. Take #725 Akron (+3.5) over Liberty (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
This Akron team is kind of sneaky good. They have won five in a row and I like what John Groce is doing with this group. They have actually impressed me more in their losses than in their wins. I am not as enamored with Liberty as the mainstream college basketball media is. They haven't played anyone this year and haven't shown me much. I think they are the next unbeaten team to lose.


4-Unit Play. Take #734 Oklahoma State (-3.5) over Minnesota (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
The Cowboys have played an interesting schedule. This is their sixth straight game against Top 100 competition. They have been really, really good at times and really, really bad at others. I still like the makeup of this team, though, and I think that they will come to play today. Minnesota is in a letdown spot here. They upset Ohio State in The Barn last Sunday right when OSU was poised to become No. 1. They aren't going to pull two upsets in a row, especially in what is essentially a road game here. Dick Pitino is not a good coach and I just don't thin he has enough talent on this team outside Marcus Carr and Dan Oturu.


3-Unit Play. Take #738 Ohio State (-3) over Kentucky (5 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Ohio State is the more veteran, more experienced team and I think that they are going to be ready to play in this one. I don't really like this Kentucky team. They have raw talent, but they don't have high-end guys and they don't have a lot of pure skill. Kentucky has not played well off its home court and they are coming off a loss to Utah earlier this week that I think will have rattled their confidence. Ohio State has been waiting weeks for this game and I think that they will max out here. Give me the Buckeyes.


7-Unit Play. Take #744 Arizona (-11) over St. John's (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
We still don't know if Mustapha Heron is going to play for St. John's. He had a bad ankle sprain two weeks ago and missed the Red Storm's last game. If he doesn't play then the Red Storm don't have a chance here. I still think they are going to get blown out regardless. Arizona hasn't played since last week's tough loss to Gonzaga at home. They are going to want to take that frustration out on someone. St. John's has only played two games outside of its home floor this year. One of them was a 13-point loss to Arizona State. I think this will be another double-digit loss.


1-Unit Play. Take #752 Utah (+6.5) over San Diego State (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
If Utah can beat Kentucky - which they did earlier this week as an 11-point underdog - then they can beat San Diego State. So I will certainly take the points here. I really like this SDSU team and they have done a masterful job incorporating their talented transfers. But this number seems steep against a Utah team that already has four Top 100 wins. Utah is really young and could have a letdown here. But I will still take the points and hope they go on a rush.
4-Unit Play. Take #8546 Miami (-17.5) over Coppin State (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
This game is a mismatch. Juan Dixon is a hell of a nice guy and a legend in the Baltimore-D.C. area. But I don't know that he can coach very well and he has another bad team here with the Eagles. Coppin State has faced two Top 100 teams: Virginia Tech and Davidson. They lost those games by 32 and 36 points. Miami is flaky. But I don't see any reason why they would win this one by fewer than 25 points.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #641 Western Kentucky (+10.5) over Rhode Island (2 p.m.) AND Take #744 Arizona (-6) over St. John's (10 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #610 Villanova (+7.5) over Kansas (Noon) AND Take #8546 Miami (-12.5) over Coppin State (2 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #725 Akron (+8.5) over Liberty (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #752 Utah (+6.5) over San Diego State (6:30 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

75 Boise St. + 3.5
75 Buffalo + 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham

NCAABB
Indiana -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Bruno

patriots
49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The top LJP score for early action is Colorado St +2.5 over Tulsa in NCAABB. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection. The second highest LJP score across all sports is Tampa Bay +3 over Houston in the NFL. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Lake Sports


5*. NCAA BB ARKANSAS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:00 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Tampa bay buccaneers

pick: Houston texans -3 (+102)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
smu vs. Florida atlantic

pick: Smu -7 (-109)

risk: 11 units

4:30 pm est nfl
buffalo bills vs. New england patriots

pick: New england patriots -6.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

9:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Appalachian state

pick: Uab +17 (-105)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline football

Sat, Dec 21
1:00
NFL
300%
Tampa Bay +3
over Houston

2:30
BOWL
250%
Liberty +5'
over Ga.Southern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

lv wolf
geo southern -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Asa cbb


10* Butler -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLDS WORST PICKER

Complete NCAA BB for Saturday

Peabodys NCAABB Super Picks:
Spread: Northern Arizona Ohio State Eastern Illinois
Play On: Pepperdine Kentucky Grand Canyon

Peabodys NCAABB Regular Picks:
Spread: Indiana Georgia Southern Texas Arkansas State
Play On: Notre Dame UT Arlington Providence UL Monroe

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt fargo cbb

Enforcer
Middle tenn st +5
Ultimate dog
UNC wilmignton +15.5
10 gow
Oregon st -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt fargo

10 cfb gow
Boise st +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim feist


Situational gom
Boise st +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5 Star Baller

CFB: San Diego State -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Wiseguy Plays

New England Patriots -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : bowls 400 c Michigan game under, 400 liberty , 800 fla Atlantic , 300 fla international, 300 Appalachian st , 500 Washington , 700 rams , 1000 rams game under , 300 bucs game under , 400 bills , 1000 bills game under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

tony finn



CURE BOWL: GEORGIA SOUTH v LIBERTY
Game: (209) Liberty at (210) Georgia Southern
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 2:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Georgia Southern -4.5 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: Georgia Southern -4.5 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating
(209) Liberty at (210) Georgia Southern
GEORGIA SOUTHERN -4.5
FINNs BOCA RATON BOWL: FAU v SMU
Game: (211) SMU at (212) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 65.0 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: UNDER the TOTAL of 65 (good to 63)
4% confidence rating
(211) SMU at (212) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UNDER the TOTAL of 65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TONY FINN FOOTBALL PLAYS

FINNs NFL SATURDAY GAME of the WEEK
Game: (451) Los Angeles Rams at (452) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco 49ers -6.0 (-108)

View Analysis

PLAY: San Francisco 49ers -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating
(451) Los Angeles Rams at (452) San Francisco 49ers
SAN FRAN 49ERS -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

CBB Texas +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sharp premium update on game #2

LJP Score:

Central Michigan = 0

San Diego St = 2OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 1-0 SDSU -3 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

2pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Phone service:

4* Butler -2
3* Oklahoma -9 1/2
3* Chicago +3

This is as direct as it gets

ASA SATURDAY BASKETBALL UPDATE - 1 NBA & 2 CBB picks on Saturday...

#565 ASA 3* PLAY ON Chicago Bulls +3 vs. Detroit Pistons, Saturday at 7 PM ET

The Bulls have struggled offensively but should find some open looks against a Pistons team that is 19th in defensive efficiency ratings on the season and 26th their last five games. The Bulls defensive efficiency numbers are trending up right now as Chicago holds the #1 ranked DEFF unit their last five games. Chicago has covered 5 straight on the road including two wins and the other three losses were by a total of just 12 total points. Detroit is coming off a big loss to Boston last night and have not done well when playing without rest this season going 1-4 SU and ATS. The Pistons have a negative differential of -12PPG when playing the second night of a back to back. We will play on the rested Bulls over the Pistons here.



#646 ASA 3* PLAY ON Oklahoma -9.5 over UCF, Saturday at 2 PM ET

OU is finally back home for the first time since November 26th. They are coming off a very tough 3 game road trip in which they went 1-2. Their most recent 2 games were both losses @ Wichita State and @ Creighton so this team is hungry for a win. UCF, on the other hand, hasn’t been away from home since December 1st. They just finished a 4 game home stand all vs teams ranked 194th or lower (NJIT, Sacred Heart, UWGB, and Bethune Cookman). In fact, the Knights have played only 1 team this season ranked inside the top 100 and that turned into a 79-70 home loss vs Miami FL. Their strength of schedule ranks 300th in the nation while Oklahoma’s ranks 25th. The Sooners have already beaten 3 teams ranked in the top 65 (Minnesota, Oregon State, and Missouri) and all 3 of their losses have come vs top 50 teams. UCF was excellent last year with a 24-9 record losing to Duke in the round of 32 in the NCAA tourney. This is not the same team as they lost 6 of their top 7 players from last year. Despite playing the much tougher schedule, OU has edges in FG%, 3 PT%, FT%, and defensive FG%. The Sooners are 3-0 at home this year and 2 of those wins came by 18+ points. After their 2 tough road losses vs very good teams, OU is ready to lay it on someone today. UCF is that someone. The Sooners by double digits.



#722 ASA 4* PLAY ON Butler -2 over Purdue, Saturday at 2:30 PM ET

Two in-state heavyweights to at it on a neutral court in Indianapolis today. While it’s obviously a big game for Purdue, we feel it’s even bigger for Butler as they are often overlooked and get to face off against their in-state big brother. Both teams are fantastic defensively which is why the total on this game sits below 120. However, the Bulldogs are the better shooting team hitting almost 50% of their shots (18th nationally) while Purdue ranks close to 200th in that same category. The Bulldogs have only one loss on the season and that was by a single point @ Baylor who ranks 10th in Ken Pom’s power ratings. They already have 5 outstanding wins over Florida, Stanford, Missouri, Ole Miss, and Minnesota, all ranked in the top 100. The Boilers already have losses vs Marquette, Florida State, Nebraska, and Texas and Butler ranks higher than all 4 of those teams (11th in the power rankings). The one thing that Purdue has the advantage is rebounding but that will be tempered today as starting center, 7’3 Matt Haarms, looks like he will sit with a concussion. Haarms is also their 2nd leading scorer. We definitely like Butler to win today and with the line sitting at just -2 we like the Bulldogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

150 dime

LA Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner
3000*Rams/niners over 44.5
100*texans -3
100*Boise st +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
NFL
3*RAMS +6.5
3* Under46 SF/LA
NBA
3*Spurs +6
NHL
3*Boston ML (-157)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

CBB TOTALS 8-7
Dec NHL Moneyline 8-3 Puckline 5-6

ST. LOUIS -122
ST. LOUIS @ SAN JOSE | 12/21 | 10:30 PM EST
12:14 PM
These teams appear heading in opposite directions. The Sharks are struggling, having dropped seven of their last eight overall (1-6-1). Meanwhile the Blues have won eight of their last 11 games and continue to play well on the road. St. Louis is the better team and much more physical. Blues money line (-122) is the play.

14-6 IN LAST 20 NHL ML PICKS | +616
2-1 IN LAST 3 STL ML PICKS | +80

COLORADO -1.5
CHICAGO @ COLORADO | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
12:10 PM
The Avalanche have dropped two of their last three after a nine-game point streak. Colorado has won all three meetings this year against the Blackhawks, outscoring them 16-6 in the process. Chicago is just 5-9-2 in its last 16 games. Avalanche puck line (+114) is the play.

13-9 IN LAST 22 NHL PICKS | +390
MILWAUKEE -13
MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
11:59 AM
This is a lot of points to be laying on the road, but the Bucks have played well on the road and this game figures to be a mismatch. The Knicks have played much better since they canned their coach. But they lost by 15 points last night in Miami and find themselves in a tough back-to-back spot against one of the top teams in the NBA. The Bucks won the last meeting, 132-88. Take Milwaukee.

23-18 IN LAST 41 NBA PICKS | +329
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ATS PICKS | +90

DAYTON -5
COLORADO VS DAYTON | 12/21 | 6:30 PM EST
11:53 AM
Dayton is out for revenge after losing a tough game to Colorado in the NIT in March and has now lost three of the last four meetings to the Buffaloes. The Flyers have lost just once this year, and that was to Kansas in a game they should have won. This team is very good -- athletic, deep and experienced. Dayton leads the country in field-goal percentage (53.7) and assists per game (20.1) and ranks sixth in scoring (84.8) and 18th from beyond the arc (39.6 percent). Meanwhile the Buffs are struggling offensively, turning the ball over a ton and are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. Take Dayton.

38-29-3 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS | +571
OREGON -25.5
TEXAS SO. @ OREGON | 12/21 | 10:30 PM EST
11:38 AM
This is a really good Oregon team that is getting better in each game. The Ducks have big wins already over Michigan, Seton Hall and Memphis and are 82-4 at home against non-conference opponents. One of those losses was last year to Texas Southern, so look for Oregon to take this game seriously. The Ducks have tremendous size and should be able to dominate this game in the paint and on the boards. Gonzaga hammered Texas Southern by 39 points; look for Oregon to do the same. Lay the points.

38-29-3 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS | +571
OREGON ST. -6.5
OREGON ST. @ TEXAS A&M | 12/21 | 8:30 PM EST
11:30 AM
The Beavers are off to their best start since the 1984-85 season and should have no problem beating up Texas A&M. They can score, averaging 80.9 points per game, while the Aggies have had a tough time offensively, ranking 344th in the country in scoring at 57.0 points per game. The Beavers also have good size and are great at blocking shots. Points will not be easy for the Aggies. Take Oregon State.

38-29-3 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS | +571
OVER 163
E. WASHINGTON @ GONZAGA | 12/21 | 5:00 PM EST
11:11 AM
This has been a one-sided series dominated by the Zags, who have won 24 straight meetings. They are riding the longest active home winning streak in the nation (29), and while I do expect them to win this game easily, I think the better play is on the total. This should be a fast-paced game with a lot of points from both teams. Eastern Washington leads the nation in scoring offense (90.7 points per game) while the Zags are fourth (86.4). Over is the play.

38-29-3 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS | +571
TEXAS +1
TEXAS @ PROVIDENCE | 12/21 | 2:00 PM EST
11:03 AM
This spread is trending in the wrong direction. I made Texas a 3-point favorite and was willing to lay it. The Longhorns have won five straight and have four players averaging double digits in scoring. Texas also is allowing just 60.2 points per game and has covered 10 of its last 14 games as a road dog. Take the better overall team here, Texas.

38-29-3 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS | +571

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 213 FIU +2.5 over Arkansas St. (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)

CAMELLIA BOWL

I'm grabbing the points with FIU on Saturday. FIU suffered a letdown against Marshall following their big win over Miami and that's a good thing because now HC Butch Davis can get his team focused on what he does best -- bowl preparation. Davis led the Panthers to a SU bowl win last season and he's covered 8 of 9 bowls as a HC. Meanwhile, ASU HC Blake Anderson is 1-4 ATS in bowl action. The offensive attack for FIU led by QB James Morgan and a solid RB corps should do damage against a beatable defense. I'm taking the points with FIU on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cokin
3* Creighton +3.5
3* Texas Arlington +2.5
3* Eastern Illinois +4
3* Arkansas State +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Florida Int = 1D

Arkansas St = 0

OVER = 2D

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-2 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 UN62 (DNQ)

5:30pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac


SATURDAY 12-21-19 =


UFC : "Korean Zombie" Chan Sung Jung -160...($800)


UFC : Alexandre Pantoja -210...($600) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) & BetDSI


451) Under 45 Rams-49ers...($800) via Cantor


454) New England -6.5...($600) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)


455) Under 51 Houston-Tampa Bay...($800) - BIG MOVE


via Cantor, Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/), & Sportsbook.com - BUY 1/2 PT at 50.5


455) Houston ML (-150)...($600) via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)


BMC


SATURDAY 12-21-19 =


454) Under 38 (-120) Buff-Ne...($500) via Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437) - Buy 1/2 PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

100 dime- APP ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

7 Hou -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

3 under 230 atl/bk

2 under 236.5 hou/PhD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 under 208.5 uta/cha

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

2 Char +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris

4 over 228.5 wash/philly

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

3 Sac -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lv wolf all ncaab

Tex st +3-115 n Arizona +9.5 cinci +3.5 Greensboro-7.5 UCLA +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy- 7-Unit Play. #065 Take Tampa Bay Lightning -115 Over Washington Capitals (Saturday @ 7:00pm est)

Nice 6* unit winner on the Penguins yesterday which brings us on a 7-0 run, and 10-0 top play run. Note, we are now +5500 on the NHL Season, a Season High, we have two Football Plays today after starting the week 1-0 with Utah State/Kent State Over, we have our 8*NFL on Sunday along with 4 NFL Plays as well, so we look to go 6-1 in the Football Week. You can grab the rest of the Football Season using promo code "Bowl20" for just $199 (an additional discount from what is on the website right now). By the way, with +5500 in NHL, +2700 in NBA and +2000 in CBB (back/back winners and 5-1 Run), we are now +10,100 in 2019 NBA/CBB/NHL and our goal is +21,000 or better. Save money and sign up for the entire season in all 3 sports as we continue to just crush it all the way to the Summer. Today we roll with the Lightning on the road to get the job done. This is a great spot for them to do well here has they come off a tough loss at home, and this is also a rapid revenge spot having lost to the Capitals last week 5-2 at home. This will be the final meeting between these two teams in the regular season and Tampa looks to avoid the sweep having lost the first two meetings. If you are the Lightning you have got to be ticked, blowing the lead at home to Dallas. The lightning came into the season as Stanley Cup contenders and favorites out of the East but the Capitals have stolen their thunder as the Capitals are the best team in the East so far this season. Vasilevskyi has struggled to be consistent and so have the Lightning so this is a big game for them to pull off a big win and show they are still contenders in the East. The Capitals are in a tough spot as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back to back with travel, so they could get fatigued as the game goes on while Tampa comes in rested. Two heavy weights will go at it tonight and I like the Lightning in this spot coming off a home loss and having revenge. Road team is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Lightning are 43-21 in their last 64 road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Adding:

CBB

10 749 Cincinnati +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

3* FIU +1
3* Under 48’ Washington/Boise St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports

Week 16:

LAR +7 (-106)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today’s Selections –
The top LJP score for early action is Colorado St +2.5 over Tulsa in NCAABB. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection. The second highest LJP score across all sports is Tampa Bay +3 over Houston in the NFL. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection.
The top LJP score for the 3pm ET update is Buffalo/New England OV37.5. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection.
The top LJP score for the 6pm ET is Murray St -2 over Evansville. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.75 unit play on Murray St -2!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The top LJP score for the 6pm ET is Murray St -2 over Evansville. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.75 unit play on Murray St -2!

[swaminator]

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports
25* NFL NETWORK GAME OF THE YEAR (*79%* 18-5 NFL GOY run!) — Saturday
LA RAMS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

update for the 2 late games

LJP Score:

Washington = 4U

Boise St = 0

OVER = 1D

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 1-1 Wash -3.5 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

7:30pm ET

LJP Score:

UAB = 0

App St = 3U

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 1-0 App St -16.5 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 OV47 (DNQ)

9:00pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason sharpe 5 * Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas sports wire 4* boise

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Washington = 4U

Boise St = 0

OVER = 1D

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 3-1 Wash -4 (JUST MISSED PREMIUM PLAY)

TOTAL is 1-0 OV48(DNQ)

7:30pm ET

wash is now a 3* play

SIDE is 4-1 Wash -4 (JUST MISSED PREMIUM PLAY)