Saturday 12-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Saturday's Early Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

New Mexico Bowl (ESPN, 2:00 p.m. ET)
Central Michigan vs. San Diego State

-- The Central Michigan Chippewas (8-5 straight up, 9-3-1 against the spread) of the Mid-American Conference will face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Mountain West Conference in the New Mexico Bowl in Albuquerque, N.M.

-- The Chippewas will be making their 12th bowl appearance in school history, and first since falling in the Idaho Potato Bowl against Wyoming on Dec. 22, 2017 by a 37-14 score. CMU has dropped four consecutive bowl appearances since topping Kentucky in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl back on Dec. 26, 2012. They're 3-8 SU all-time in bowl games in school history.

-- The Aztecs have posted 17 bowl appearances, going 8-9 in their previous appearances. Like Central Michigan, this will be their first-ever appearance in the New Mexico Bowl. The Aztecs enter on a two-game bowl losing streak, falling in last season's Frisco Bowl against Ohio by a 27-0 score. They topped Houston by a 34-10 score in the Las Vegas Bowl on Dec. 17, 2016 for their most recent bowl success.

-- CMU is coming off a disappointing 26-21 loss against Miami-Ohio in the MAC Championship Game at Ford Field on Dec. 7. That loss snapped a three-game win and cover streak to close out the regular season, and the Chips are still 6-2 ATS across the past eight games despite the non-cover vs. Miami. The Chippewas were 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in four non-conference tilts, including a 42-28 win over New Mexico State in their final non-conference tilts on Oct. 12.

-- San Diego State blew their chance at a conference championship, falling 17-13 against Nevada at home on Nov. 9, and 14-11 at Hawaii on Nov. 23. They scored 20 or fewer points in each of their final five games, while allowing 17 or fewer points in each of their final six. As such, the 'under' connected in each of their final six contests of the regular season. They are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in three non-conference tilts, and these two teams have a common opponent - New Mexico State. The Aztecs spanked the Aggies 31-10 back on Sept. 14 to cover a 16.5-point spread, recording their largest margin of victory of the season.

-- Central Michigan ranks 27th in total yards per game (447.4), 40th in passing yards per game (258.9), 40th in rushing yards per game (188.5) and 44th in points scored (31.9). Defensively the Chips ranked 38th in total yards allowed (351.8), 84th in passing yards allowed (235.2) and 21st in rushing yards allowed (116.7), while checking in 62nd in the country with 26.8 points per game allowed.

-- San Diego State ended up ranked 115th in the nation with 330.1 total yards per game offensively, while finishing 99th in passing yards (194.8) and 99th in rushing yards (135.3). They also posted just 19.0 points per game to finish 119th in the country. On the defensive side of the ball, the Aztecs were dominant, allowing just 288.7 total yards per game to rank fifth, while checking in 53rd with 216.3 passing yards allowed and second with only 72.4 rushing yards per contest. They also yielded only 12.8 PPG to finish fourth in the nation.

-- Aztecs DB Luq Barcoo was tied for second in the country with eight interceptions, while ranking first with 24 passes defensed and he was tied for No. 1 with 16 pass breakups.

-- San Diego State QB Ryan Agnew (calf) is expected to be ready after leaving the regular-season finale due to injury. However, leading RB Juwan Washington (lower body) is a question mark, so RB Chase Jasmin might have to do more of the heavy lifting.

-- Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in the past six non-conference games and 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall. However, they're 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning sides and 0-4 ATS in the past four neutal-site games.

-- San Diego State is 5-2 ATS in their past seven games as a favorite, but they're just 5-13 ATS in the past 18 games on a grass surface and 3-8 ATS in their past 11 appearances in the month of December.

-- The Chippewas have hit the over in six of the past eight games overall, and the over is 4-0 in their past four as an underdog. The over is also 4-1 in their past five non-conference tilts.

-- The under has connected in four in a row for the Aztecs as a favorite, and 4-1 in their past five neutral-site battles while going 20-8-1 in the previous 29 non-conference tilts.

-- The under is 4-1 in San Diego State's past five bowl games.

-- Kickoff is slated for 2:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


Cure Bowl (ABC, 2:30 p.m.)
Liberty vs. Georgia Southern

-- The FBC Mortgage Cure Bowl will feature a battle between the independent Liberty Flames (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (7-5 straight up, 5-7 against the spread) at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.

-- Liberty will be appearing in its first-ever bowl game in just their second-ever season at the FBS level. Head coach Hugh Freeze earned a contract extension on Dec. 10 after securing the historic bowl berth for the Flames.

-- The Eagles are the bowl veterans, although this is just their third-ever postseason appearance. They picked up an exciting 23-21 win over Eastern Michigan in last season's Camellia Bowl. They also blasted Bowling Green by a 58-27 count in the 2005 GoDaddy Bowl, so they've never lost a bowl game in their brief history.

-- Liberty started off the season 0-2 SU/ATS, but rattled off five straight wins to get to the precipice of bowl eligibility in late October. A disappointing loss at Rutgers on Oct. 26 spoiled their momentum, but they routed Massachusetts (who didn't?) by a 63-21 score to gain eligibility in style. They fell at BYU and at Virginia on Nov. 9 and Nov. 23, but crushed New Mexico State by a 49-28 count to end the season on a high note, covering a 14.5-point spread.

-- Georgia Southern opened 1-3 SU in their first four outings of the regular season, and they covered just once in the first six games to open the year. The Eagles recorded their most impressive victory of the season with a 24-21 win at Appalachian State on Halloween night, a treat for Eagles fans everywhere. That also likely spoiled any chance App State had of appearing in the Cotton Bowl, although they were still in the running late.

-- Like CMU and San Diego State above, Liberty and Georgia Southern also had a common opponent in New Mexico State. The Eagles routed NMSU 41-7 to cover a 13.5-point spread on Oct. 26, and Liberty pounded them in the finale as mentioned above.

-- Liberty ranked 34th in the country with 443.3 total yards per game, while also posting 290.5 passing yards per game to end up 21st in the land. They're 32nd in points scored with 33.7, while they struggled with 152.8 rushing yards per game to finish 72nd in the nation. Defensively the Flames were very average, ranking 88th with 422.4 total yards per game allowed, 74th against the pass (229.8), 100th against the run (192.9) and 77th in points allowed (29.1).

-- Georgia Southern was a dismal 112th in total yards per game (333.6), 130th in passing yards per contest (72.8) and 63rd in points scored (29.2). However, the triple-option Eagles rank eighth in the nation with 260.8 rushing yards per contest. The Eagles ranked 53rd in total yards per game allowed 377.3, they were 91st against the pass (240.2) and 38th against the rush (137.1) while yielding 28.6 PPG to check in 72nd in the land.

-- Liberty is 17-7 ATS in the past 24 as an underdog, while going 0-4 ATS in the past four non-conference tilts.

-- Georgia Southern is 1-4 ATS in the past five games following a cover in their most recent appearance.

-- The Flames hit the over in four of the past five games overall, but the under is 5-1 in Liberty's past six games as an underdog.

-- The Eagles hit the over in four of their final five games in the regular season, while the over is 4-1 in the past five against winning teams. The over is also 9-3 in Georgia Southern's past 12 games on a grass surface, while going 5-1 in the past six after a straight-up win and 4-0 in the past four after a cover.

-- Kickoff is slated for 2:30 p.m. Eastern on CBSSN.


Boca Raton Bowl (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Southern Methodist vs. Florida Atlantic

-- The Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl features a battle between the Southern Methodist Mustangs (10-2 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) of the American Athletic Conference and the Florida Atlantic Owls (10-3 straight up, 9-4 against the spread) of Conference USA at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Fla.

-- SMU has a rich bowl history, and they'll make their first appearance in the Boca Raton Bowl. After going 1-4-1 SU in their first six bowl appearances the Mustangs are 6-4 SU across the past 10 appearances, including 4-2 in the past six. They're 0-1 in their only bowl appearance against a Conference USA foe, falling 51-10 to Louisiana Tech in their most recent bowl showing in the 2017 Frisco Bowl.

-- FAU doesn't have a lengthy bowl history, but it has been successful. They debuted Dec. 21, 2007 with a 44-27 win over Memphis, an AAC opponent, before posting a 24-21 win over Central Michigan in the 2008 Motor City Bowl. In their only previous Boca Raton Bowl showing they routed Akron by a 50-3 score on Dec. 19, 2017.

-- SMU fired out of the box with eight straight victories to open the season, while going 5-0 ATS in the first five contests. The 'over' also went 7-0 in the first seven battles, and 9-0-1 in their first 10 contests. Their only losses came in a 54-48 slugfest at Memphis on Nov. 2, and a 35-28 showdown at Navy on Nov. 23. The Mustangs did limp home with a 1-4 ATS mark in the final five games.

-- The Mustangs ranked ninth in the country with 495.3 total yards per game on offense, while ranking 12th in passing yards (309.3) per contest. They're also 41st in the land with 185.9 rushing yards per game and 43.0 points per game to end up seventh in the nation. Defensively the Mustangs allowed 438.6 total yards per game to rank 102nd, while ranking 121st in passing yards allowed (284.9) and 100th in points allowed (31.8 PPG).

-- SMU QB Shane Buechele threw for 3,626 passing yards with 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions while completing 63.2 percent of his passes. RB Xavier Jones ran for 1,249 yards and 21 touchdowns while WR James Proche ended up with 102 receptions, 1,139 yards and 14 combined touchdowns.

-- The Owls will be playing their first game with interim head coach Glenn Spencer at the helm after Lane Kiffin bolted for the vacant Ole Miss head coaching position.

-- FAU ranked 32nd with 443.5 total yards per game on offense while ranking 30th in passing yards (278.4). They were also 16th in the country with 35.2 PPG. Defensively the Owls were 48th with 371.3 total yards per game allowed, 81st against the pass (233.6) and 41st against the run (137.7). They also ranked 33rd while allowing 22.3 PPG.

-- Owls TE Harrison Bryant posted 1,002 yards while capturing the Mackey Award, recognized as college football's best tight end.

-- SMU posted a 4-0 ATS mark in their past four non-conference games, but they're 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.

-- FAU is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning overall mark. They're also 5-0 ATS in the past five neutral-site contests.

-- The over is 9-3 in SMU's past 12 games overall, and 6-2 in the past eight as a favorite. The over is also 6-0 in the past six non-conference games, but the under is 4-0 in the past four neutral-site battles and 5-0 in SMU's past five bowl games.

-- The over is 5-1-1 in FAU's past seven as an underdog, while the under is 7-1 in their past eight appearances in the month of December and 8-3 in the past 11 games on a grass surface.

-- This is the first-ever meeting between SMU and FAU on the gridiron.

-- Kickoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Late Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

Camellia Bowl (ESPN, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Florida International vs. Arkansas State

-- The Florida International Golden Panthers (6-6 straight up, 4-8 against the spread) of Conference USA will take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5 straight up, 5-7 against the spread) from the Sun Belt Conference in the Camellia Bowl in Montgomery, Ala. in the Cramton Bowl.

-- The Golden Panthers are bowling for a school-record third straight season under the leadership of head coach Butch Davis. They are 2-2 overall in their four previous bowl games, having won the 2010 Little Caesars Pizza Bowl over Toledo in 2010, while losing the Beef O' Brady's Bowl to Marshall in 2011, both under Mario Cristobal, now at Oregon. They lost the Gasparilla Bowl to Temple in 2017 under Davis, before rebounding with a 35-32 last season in the Bahamas Bowl, again over Toledo.

-- FIU barely qualified for the postseason, but a big late victory turned their season. They started out 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS, with only a win over FCS New Hampshire in the first four games. They throttled Massachusetts 44-0 on Oct. 5, a common theme for most teams this season, to get their first win against an FBS team. They followed that up with their first conference win of the season Oct. 12 against Charlotte, a bowl team, while running their record to 4-3 SU on Oct. 19 with another C-USA win over Texas-El Paso. However, a 50-17 humbling at Middle Tennessee, and a 37-7 whitewashing on the road against rival Florida Atlantic had them in another 0-4 ATS tailspin, and a 5-5 SU hole heading into Nov. 23 against Miami-Florida. However, they stunned the Hurricanes 30-24 at Marlins Park for one of the biggest, if not the biggest, wins in school history to attain bowl eligibility before a 30-27 overtime loss at Marshall in the season finale. FIU ended the season 6-1 SU at home, but 0-5 SU on the road, something to remember here.

-- The Red Wolves wer beaten by SMU in their opener, 37-30, and they lost to another bowl team Georgia, 55-0, on Sept. 14 at Sanford Stadium in Athens. They rattled off two wins in a row against FCS Southern Illinois and at Troy, but fell to a pair of bowl teams, Georgia State and Louisiana, to go back under .500. However, a four-game win streak against Texas State, Louisiana-Monroe, Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern meant they were bowl again, although they enter this game on a losing streak after a 34-30 failure in Mobile against a bad South Alabama side.

-- Ark State has posted a 3-6 SU record in FBS bowl games, falling in the past two appearances. They lost to Nevada in the Arizona Bowl last season by a 16-13 score in overtime, and against Middle Tennessee by a 35-30 count in their only previous appearance in the Camellia Bowl. They're also 0-2 SU in two previous showings in a bowl game against C-USA teams, falling 31-19 to Southern Miss in the 2005 New Orleans Bowl, too.

-- Offensively, the Red Wolves were strong, especially in the pass game. They ranked 44th in the nation with 432.2 total yards per game, and 14th with 305.3 passing yards per contest. Rushing, they're a dismal 110th with 126.8 yards per contest, but it all equated to 33.7 points per game to rank 31st. Defensively, ugh, the Red Wolves were 127th in the country with 481.9 total yards per game, and 104th against the pass (257.3), 123rd against the run (224.6) and they allowed 34.8 points per game to rank 117th.

-- FIU's strength is against the pass, ranking sixth in the country with just 178.5 pass yards allowed per game. That's because their rush defense was atrocious, allowing 205.1 yards per game on the ground to rank 111th. Overall they allowed 26.7 points per game to check in 61st. Offensively, FIU was balanced, although not in a good way. They ranked 97th with 371.3 total yards per game, 91st in pass yards (203.5), 61st in rushing (167.8) and 84th in points score (26.5).

-- The Golden Panthers are 7-2 ATS in the past nine against winning teams, but they're just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games. They're 11-5 ATS in the past 16 as an underdog, too.

-- The Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in the past six non-conference games, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five neutral-site affairs. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games, while also going 1-5 ATS in the past six vs. C-USA teams.

-- FIU has hit the over in five of the past six against winning teams, while going 5-2 in their past seven as an underdog.

-- For Ark State, the over is 5-2 in their past seven as a favorite, but the under is 4-1 in the past five games in December, and 36-17-1 in the previous 54 non-conference tilts.

-- These teams have a history, as they were each previously SBC members together. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, with the under cashing in five in a row.


Las Vegas Bowl (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Boise State vs. Washington

-- The Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl will pits the Boise State Broncos (12-1 straight up, 7-5-1 against the spread) from the Mountain West Conference and the Washington Huskies (7-5 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) of the Pac-12 Conference at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas (technically Whitney, Nev.).

-- The game marks the final one for head coach Chris Petersen at Washington, and it comes against the program where he made a name for himself in Boise. He went 92-12 across eight seasons with the Broncos from 2006-13 before taking the gig with the Huskies in 2014.

-- Boise State has an interesting bowl history, and they'll likely be glad to be back in the fair weather of Las Vegas. They were trailing 7-0 with 5:08 to go in the first quarter last season in the First Responder Bowl before the remainder of the game was cancelled due to inclement/severe weather, with the bowl designated a no contest.

-- The Broncos will be making their fifth appearance in the Las Vegas bowl, previously named the Maaco Bowl. These teams met in bowl game on Dec. 22, 2012, with the Broncos coming away with a 28-26 win under Petersen. In their four previous appearances the Broncos are 4-0 with wins over Utah (2010), Arizona State (2011), Washington (2012) and Oregon (2017). Overall they're 12-6 SU in their previous 18 FBS bowl appearances dating back to Dec. 30, 1999.

-- The Huskies have dropped three bowl games in a row under Petersen, and they're 1-4 SU across their five appearances under his leadership. They're also just 5-13 SU in their past 18 bowl games after a 10-3 SU run from 1978-92 under Don James.

-- Boise State ranks 38th with 441.5 total yards per game, and they're 35th in passing yards (267.4) while ranking 52nd in rushing yards (174.2). The Broncos are also 14th in the nation with 36.8 points per game. Defensively they rank 35th with 347.5 total yards per game allowed, while clamping down against the rush with 113.1 yards per contest allowed. They also gave up just 20.6 PPG to check in 24th.

-- Freshman QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is a question mark due to a shoulder injury, but QB Chase Cord and QB Jaylon Henderson have proven to be more than capable, if/when needed. Henderson started four games, passing for 1,032 yards and 11 touchdowns with just two interceptions, while Cord cut the mustard, too. He appearance in eight games, throwing for 670 yards, nine touchdowns and just three intereceptions while also running for 100 yards and two scores. RB George Holani, also a freshman, rolled up a team-best 979 rushing yards with seven touchdowns

-- Washington was a mediocre 73rd in total yards per game (397.3), while ranking 55th in passing yards (245.1), 76th in rushing yards (152.2) and 47th in points scored (31.5) per game Defensively they allowed 358.3 total yards per outing to rank 39th, while checking in 64th against the pass (225.1) and 33rd against the run (133.3). They also allowed 20.4 points per game to finish 23rd in the land.

-- Boise State is 7-0 ATS in their past seven games as an underdog, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six as a bowl underdog. They're also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 bowl games overall, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 neutral-site battles.

-- Washington is 6-2 ATS in the past eight as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS in the past five non-conference tilts. However, they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games and 1-4 ATS in the past five neutral-site affairs.


New Orleans Bowl (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)
Appalachian State vs. Alabama-Birmingham

-- The R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl features the Sun Bowl champion Appalachian State Mountaineers (12-1 straight up, 9-4 against the spread) against the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (9-4 straight up, 7-6 against the spread) at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, La.

-- The Mountaineers had a tremendous season, including wins on the road against Power 5 teams North Carolina and South Carolina. They head to New Orleans looking for a 13-win season, and they'll also be looking to stay unbeaten in bowl games. They are 4-0 SU in two Camellia Bowl appearances, a Dollar General Bowl appearance and a 45-13 dismantling of Middle Tennessee in last season's New Orleans Bowl.

-- The only blemish on App State's record was a 24-21 loss on Halloween night agaisnt Georgia Southern. Since then they won five in a row, covering four of those outings. That run includes the win over South Carolina, as well as a 56-27 at Georgia State (a bowl team), and a 45-38 win over Louisiana (also a bowl team) in the Sun Belt title game. Overall the Mountaineers beat bowl teams Charlotte, North Carolina, Louisiana (twice) and Georgia State.

-- For the Blazers, they're a heavy underdog after getting demolished by Florida Atlantic (a bowl team) in the Conference USA title game in Boca Raton, Fla., essentially a road game. They have QB Tyler Johnston III (knee) on the injury report due to a knee injury. He led the team with 1,949 passing yards in 2019.

-- UAB fell 49-6 to FAU in the title game, splashing cold water on a 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS run to close out the regular season, including a 20-14 win over bowl team Lousiana Tech. They had a rare over in the C-USA title game, too, as they closed out the regular season on a 4-1 'under' run.

-- The Blazers struggled offensively, ranking 105th in total yards per game (352.9), 101st in passing yards (193.4) and 68th in rushing yards (159.5) while posting 23.6 PPG to rank 100th in the country. Defensively the Blazers had it on lockdown most of the season, allowing just 295.2 yards per game to rank eighth, while checking in 14th against the pass (186.8) and 13th against the rush (108.3). They also allowed just 20.8 points per game to rank 26th in the nation.

-- For App State, they ranked 42nd in total yards (435.5) while ranking 87th in passing yards (206.3) and 17th in rushing yards (229.2). Overall, they scored 39.4 points per game to finish ninth in the nation. Defensively, the Mountaineers were solid across the board, ranking 26th in total yards (335.9), 30th in passing yards (199.7), 37th in rushing yards (136.2) and 22nd in points (20.2) allowed per game.

-- The Mountaineers are led by SBC offensive player of the year RB Darrytnon Evans, who posted 1,323 yards on the ground while posting a total of 17 touchdowns.

-- App State is 8-1 ATS in the past nine non-conference battles, 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record and 22-8 ATS in the past 30 overall. They're also 17-8 ATS in the past 25 as a favorite.

-- UAB is 2-5 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning record while going 1-4 ATS in the past five as an underdog.

-- App State has hit the over in seven of the past eight against winning teams while going 6-2 in the past eight non-conference battles.

-- The under is 9-4 in UAB's past 13 against winning teams, and 10-3 in their past 13 as an underdog. The over is 4-1 in the past five appearances in December, while the over is 8-3 in their past 11 against SBC foes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Iowa State Cyclones Preview and Predictions 12-28-2019

CAMPING WORLD BOWL STORYLINES

1. Notre Dame meets Iowa State for the first time Dec. 28 in the Camping World Bowl in Orlando, Fla. after both finished their regular seasons with several highlights, but came up short in key moments. The Fighting Irish, making their ninth bowl appearance in 10 seasons, suffered a heartbreaking 23-17 loss at Georgia early in the season and a baffling blowout loss at Michigan (45-14) before closing with five consecutive victories - averaging 43.8 points. Iowa State (4-10 in bowls) has wins over Texas and TCU, but its five losses came by a total of 18 points - including a 42-41 squeaker against Oklahoma, which made the College Football Playoff.

2. The game features two very productive quarterbacks in Notre Dame senior Ian Book and sophomore Brock Purdy of the Cyclones, a pair that combined for 60 touchdown passes and just 15 interceptions. Book struggled at times early on, but threw for 12 scores without an interception in the last three games to become the first Irish signal caller to throw for 2,500 yards, rush for 500 and pass for at least 30 TDs (33) in a single season - and he could elect to come back for a fifth year. Purdy has 3,760 yards passing, completing 66.3 percent of his attempts, and 27 touchdowns to go along with eight rushing scores but did have a season-low 185 yards through the air in the regular-season finale against Kansas State (27-17 loss).

3. Both teams have had their moments on defense as the Fighting Irish allowed 20 or fewer points seven times while Iowa State held nationally-ranked Iowa to 17 and Baylor to 21 in a pair of tough losses. Notre Dame (325.8 yards against, 21st in the nation), which totaled eight sacks against Virginia in September, suffered injuries on the defensive line but still has plenty of talent as junior linebacker Drew White leads the way with 75 tackles and freshman defensive back Kyle Hamilton boasts four interceptions. Senior linebacker Marcel Spears Jr. leads the Cyclones (362.2 yards per game against, 43rd nationally) with 85 tackles and junior defensive back Greg Eisworth was named first-team All-Big 12.

TV: Noon ET, ABC. LINE: Notre Dame -3.5

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (10-2): Book's completion percentage is a bit low (59.3), but he is 213 yards from 3,000 through the air and has thrown just six interceptions - four in two games before none over the last three. The Irish average 4.9 yards per carry and junior Tony Jones Jr. leads the way with 722 yards and five scores on the ground while the team's defense has allowed just 12 rushing TDs - second-fewest in the nation - despite giving up 162.1 yards per contest, which puts it in the middle of the rankings nationally. Senior Chase Claypool (59 catches) needs 109 yards receiving to reach 1,000 with 12 touchdowns - eight in the past four games - and junior tight end Cole Kmet is also a threat with 41 receptions for 482 yards (12, 155 in the last two contests) and six scores.

ABOUT IOWA STATE (7-5): Purdy has 43 touchdown passes in two seasons at the helm of the offense and threw for 315 yards against Washington State in a 28-26 loss at the Alamo Bowl last season, but had two interceptions. Freshman running back Breece Hall boasts four 100-yard rushing games - including one against Oklahoma - and has 842 yards along with nine touchdowns overall for an offense that was ninth out of 10 teams in the conference on the ground (140.3). Purdy has an abundance of talented pass catchers, led by senior Deshaunte Jones (72 receptions, 832 yards, two TDs), sophomore Tarique Milton (33, 689, three), sophomore tight end Charlie Kolar (48, 675, seven) and senior La'Michael Pettway (51, 622, six).

PREDICTION: Notre Dame 34, Iowa State 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Memphis Tigers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Predictions 12-28-2019

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC STORYLINES

1. Memphis is enjoying its finest season in program history but the man that guided the 15th-ranked Tigers to a school-record 12 wins and an American Athletic Conference crown will not be there for the Cotton Bowl Classic against No. 12 Penn State on Dec. 28. Head coach Mike Norvell accepted the open position at Florida State moments after the Tigers claimed the AAC title with a win over Cincinnati on Dec. 7. Offensive line coach Ryan Silverfield was named the team's new head coach less than a week later and will lead the team, which has lost four straight bowl games, against the Nittany Lions.

2. Penn State head coach James Franklin had been linked to the Florida State job but is settled in State College after inking a pricey six-year extension while guiding his team to a New Year's Six bowl for the third time in the past four years. His staff is undergoing some changes as well after offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne left to become the head coach at Old Dominion. Penn State is making its first trip to the Cotton Bowl since 1975, when it knocked off Baylor.

3. The matchup to watch is the Tigers' eighth-ranked scoring offense (40.5 points per game) against the Lions' seventh-ranked scoring defense (14.1), led by linebacker Micah Parsons. He will be keeping his eye on junior quarterback Brady White, who entered bowl season ranked ninth among FBS passers with 3,560 yards to go along with 33 touchdowns. White has plenty of support in the form of running back Kenneth Gainwell, a freshman who piled up 1,425 rushing yards and 532 through the air while scoring 15 times.

TV: Noon ET, ESPN. LINE: Penn State -6.5

ABOUT MEMPHIS (12-1): White struggled a bit in the AAC title game by completing a season-low 45 percent of his passes, and he's tossed five of his nine interceptions over the past four games. Senior wide receiver Antonio Gibson, who caught the decisive TD pass in the last win, has been utilized more as a runner as the season progressed and rushed 11 times for 130 yards - 65 on one scoring dash - against the Bearcats. Junior Damonte Coxie is White's favorite target with 68 catches for 1,144 yards and senior linebacker Austin Hall leads the defense with 69 tackles while recording 2.5 sacks and a fumble return for a TD.

ABOUT PENN STATE (10-2): Sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford was enjoying a solid first year as the team's starter until he was hurt early in a loss at Ohio State on Nov. 23, and freshman Will Levis finished out that game and played the finale against Rutgers the following week. Both signal-callers are backed by a handful of running backs that saw featured roles, with sophomore Journey Brown emerging late with three 100-yard games in November. Parsons had a team-high 95 tackles while junior defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos - who declared for the NFL draft but will suit up for the Cotton Bowl - had 8.5 sacks.

PREDICTION: Penn State 30, Memphis 26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Louisiana State Tigers Preview and Predictions 12-28-2019

CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL STORYLINES

1. LSU not only survived but thrived through a brutal schedule and earned the No. 1 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings, setting up a matchup with No. 4 Oklahoma in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl in Atlanta on Dec. 28. The Tigers knocked off five teams that were in the top 10 at the time of the matchup, including a 37-10 domination of CFP hopeful Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. That win allowed the Sooners to sneak into the Playoff as the lone one-loss team among the four participants after it survived a showdown with Baylor for the Big 12 title.

2. The Peach Bowl features two of the best offenses in the nation led by quarterbacks who were invited to the Heisman Trophy ceremony in New York. LSU's Joe Burrow beat out Oklahoma's Jalen Hurts and Ohio State's Justin Fields and Chase Young for the award after a record-setting campaign that saw him finish second in FBS in passing yards (4,715) and lead the way in touchdown passes (48). "Thirteen-and-0," Burrow told ESPN about what's been most meaningful in a season in which he also took home the Walter Camp Award, Maxwell Award, Davey O'Brien Award, Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award and SEC Offensive Player of the Year. "All the records are great, but I have great people and great coaches around me, and a lot of great players. I'm sure you see it on Saturdays. It's not just me out there. And, the cohesion between the coaches and the players is great. We have a great program going on right now."

3. The Sooners are making their fourth appearance in five seasons in the playoffs but are still looking for their first win after falling in the semifinals to Clemson (2015), Georgia (2017) and Alabama (2018). The Tigers appeared in three BCS National Championship Games, including a win over Oklahoma in 2003, but are making their first appearance since the CFP began after rebuilding their offense into a juggernaut behind Burrow, offensive coordinator Steve Ensminger and passing game coordinator Joe Brady, who won the Broyles Award as the top assistant coach in FBS. "This award should say Joe Brady/Steve Ensminger," Brady told reporters after receiving the award. "I'm only at LSU because of Steve Ensminger. I'll never forget that. ... There is not a greater person to work for than Steve Ensminger and there is not a greater person that cares more about LSU and the success of this program."

TV: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: LSU -13

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (12-1): The Sooners have been an offensive powerhouse under coach Lincoln Riley but added defense to the package this season and led the Big 12 with an average of 330.6 yards allowed after letting opponents rack up 453.8 in 2018. "It was just great to see what happens when we decide to just do our job to the best of our abilities and trust the coaching," senior defensive lineman Neville Gallimore told reporters after the defense carried the team in the Big 12 title game. "Having (first-year defensive coordinator Alex) Grinch instill that in us, I'm not going to say it makes that easy, but we're fighting and we know the expectations that we have for our defensive group is so high that it's nothing for us to not listen to all sides. Our focus is trying to play our best ball in crunch-time situations or whatever the situation may be." The offense can still hang with any team in the country and Hurts, who was part of three CFP teams with Alabama and served as the starting quarterback on the 2016 squad before transferring, is the school's third straight Heisman Trophy finalist after Baker Mayfield (2017) and Kyler Murray (2018) took home the last two awards.

ABOUT LSU (13-0): Burrow and Brady weren't the only individuals recognized for the Tigers' brilliant season as wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase took home the Biletnikoff Award as the nation's top wide receiver, safety Grant Delpit won the Thorpe Award as the top defensive back and Ed Oregeron was named the National Coach of the Year. That individual talent led the team to its best regular season since it also went 13-0 before falling to Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game following the 2011 season, but Burrow said he believes the group's success lies in its team-first approach. "We have a bond that can't be broken," Burrow said. "You're going to have to kill us to beat us, I think. That's just the kind of people we are. We built that bond the last two years in the offseason, coming in on Saturdays, working hard, doing it in the weight room."

PREDICTION: LSU 42, Oklahoma 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clemson Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Preview and Predictions 12-28-2019

PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL STORYLINES

1. Ohio State was expecting the top seed in the College Football Playoff and the potential to face defending national champion Clemson in the championship game, but the Buckeyes will get their shot at the Tigers earlier than anticipated. The committee slid the Buckeyes to the No. 2 seed, setting up a semifinal showdown with the third-seeded Tigers in the Fiesta Bowl on Dec. 28 in Glendale, Ariz. It's the second time in four years Clemson and Ohio State have squared off in a semifinal matchup in the Fiesta Bowl after the Tigers routed the Buckeyes 31-0 in 2016.

2. The Tigers are trying to become the first repeat national champion since Alabama rolled to back-to-back titles in 2011 and 2012. Clemson has won 28 consecutive games over the past two seasons, and while the knock on the Tigers is their relatively weak schedule, it didn't hold them back in last year's playoff. The question is how the Tigers will respond if they find themselves in a close game after winning their past eight games by an average of 42.1 points.

3. Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields hopes to be out of the bulky brace he's had to wear on his left knee when he faces Clemson. Fields got the job done with the brace in a 34-21 victory over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship, passing for 299 yards and three touchdowns, but his mobility was limited and he wasn't as sharp as usual. The Tigers' defense is known for wreaking havoc in the backfield - they rank 10th nationally in tackles for loss (7.8 per game) and tied for 22nd in sacks (2.85) - so Fields will need to be mobile.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Clemson -2

ABOUT CLEMSON (13-0): Strength of schedule aside, the Tigers might be the most well-rounded team in the nation, leading the country in total defense (244.7 yards per game) and ranked third in total offense (547.7). Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been phenomenal over the past six games following a rocky start to the season, passing for 20 touchdowns with no interceptions, and running back Travis Etienne gives the Tigers a big-play threat on the ground, too. Clemson had allowed more than 14 points only once all season before last week's 63-17 victory over Virginia in the ACC Championship Game.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (13-0): The Buckeyes can also lay claim to the most-rounded title as they rank second nationally in total defense (247.6) and fifth in total offense (531). Fields is the focal point on offense, but running back J.K. Dobbins might be the Buckeyes' most important offensive player, and will need to have a good game for Ohio State to have success against the nation's leader in passing efficiency defense. The Buckeyes get after the quarterback even better than the Tigers, leading the nation with 51 sacks, including 16.5 from national leader Chase Young, and the pass rushers will need to hurry Lawrence to keep the Tigers out of their offensive rhythm.

PREDICTION: Clemson 30, Ohio State 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New Year's Six opening odds and early action: Bettors pile on LSU in College Football Playoff vs. Oklahoma
Patrick Everson

Joe Burrow led LSU to a 13-0 SU record (8-5 ATS) and the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff. The Tigers opened -11.5 vs. Oklahoma at PointsBet USA and were bet up to -13 by Monday.

The College Football Playoff qualifiers are set, as is the field for the rest of the New Year’s Six bowl games. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

Peach Bowl

No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 1 Louisiana State Tigers (-11.5)

Louisiana State rumbled through the regular season, including an impressive win at Alabama, and continued rumbling in the Southeastern Conference title game Saturday. The Tigers (13-0 SU, 8-5 ATS) pounded Georgia 37-10 as 7.5-point neutral-site favorites, playing in the same stadium that will host this CFP semifinal on Dec. 28.

Oklahoma had a much bumpier road to the CFP, losing at Kansas State as 23.5-point chalk on Oct. 26, followed by narrow wins in its next three outings. That included falling behind 28-3 at Baylor before rallying for a 34-31 victory. In Saturday’s Big 12 championship game, the Sooners (12-1 SU, 5-8 ATS) got another crack at Baylor and again had a fight on their hands, winning 30-23 in overtime as 9-point faves.

“The high opener and almost immediate adjustment are indicative of each team’s body of work, as well as their respective performances on Saturday,” Chaprales said of a line that’s already shot to Tigers -13. “LSU is a wrecking ball, and it’s clearly going to take an inflated number to oppose them.”

Fiesta Bowl

No. 3 Clemson Tigers vs. No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (+2.5)

Ohio State dropped from No. 1 to No. 2 in the CFP rankings after needing a comeback to beat Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game. The Buckeyes (13-0 SU, 9-4 ATS) trailed 21-7 at halftime, but pitched a second-half shutout en route to a 34-21 victory laying 16.5 points.

Clemson had no such issues in the Atlantic Coast Conference championship matchup, as it secured its fifth straight CFP berth. The Tigers (13-0 SU, 10-3 ATS) hammered Virginia 62-17 laying 29 points in the neutral-site contest.

“This line would have likely been closer to a pick’ em had Ohio State not looked so shaky for a good chunk of the Big Ten title game,” Chaprales said. “That’s reflected in the fact that the first move was toward the Buckeyes.”

Indeed, after opening Clemson -2.5, the line ticked to -2 at PointsBet. This matchup is also Dec. 28, following the Oklahoma-LSU game.

Cotton Bowl

No. 17 Memphis Tigers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (-7)

Penn State dropped two of its last four games – tough road contests against Minnesota and Ohio State – but still snagged a New Year’s Six berth. The Nittany Lions (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) finished the regular season with a 27-6 home win giving 38.5 points against Rutgers.

Memphis earned a New Year’s Six spot by virtue of being the highest-ranked team from the Group of 5 conferences. The Tigers (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS) got a late touchdown to outlast Cincinnati 29-24 as 9-point favorites in the American Athletic Conference title game.

“The public will be on Penn State, and the only question is how much higher the number will need to get before we see some sharp resistance on Memphis,” Chaprales said.
This matchup opens the New Year’s Six slate, a noon ET kickoff on Dec. 28.

Orange Bowl

No. 24 Virginia Cavaliers vs. No. 9 Florida Gators (-12.5)

Florida has two more-than-respectable losses this season, to Southeastern Conference title game participants LSU and Georgia, and has been a solid pointspread play all year. The Gators (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) finished the regular season with a 40-17 victory over Florida State giving 17 points at home.

Virginia made a four-game run through November to earn a spot in the Atlantic Coast Conference final, then hit the wall against Clemson. The Cavaliers (9-4 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) got trucked 62-17 catching 29 points in the neutral-site contest, but still mustered a berth in this Dec. 30 tilt.

Gators money showed up quickly at PointsBet, pushing the line up a full point to Florida -13.5.

“It’s tough to envision much public support for a Virginia team that just got smashed by Clemson,” Chaprales said in assessing this Dec. 30 meeting. “Which is to say, it wouldn’t be surprising to see this line rise even higher.”

Rose Bowl

No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers vs. No. 6 Oregon Ducks (+2.5)

Oregon is perhaps left to wonder what could have been, if it hadn’t inexplicably lost at Arizona State as 13-point chalk in the penultimate regular-season game. The Ducks (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) still reached the Pac-12 title game, where they spoiled Utah’s CFP hopes with a 37-15 victory as 6.5-point pups.

Wisconsin had its own inexplicable loss, at Illinois as a 28.5-point favorite in mid-October, followed a week later by a blowout setback at Ohio State. The Badgers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) rebounded to reach the Big Ten title game and a rematch with the Buckeyes, and Wisconsin stunningly led 21-7 at halftime. But the Badgers didn’t score the rest of the way, losing 34-21 while cashing as 16.5-point ‘dogs.

“An intriguing matchup in what figures to be one of the highest-handle bowl games, apart from the playoff matchups,” Chaprales said of this New Year's Day clash. “Early action has all come in on Wisconsin, which would indicate this number could be trending toward 3.”

Sugar Bowl

No. 7 Baylor Bears vs. No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-7.5)

Georgia certainly had a shot at a CFP berth by reaching the SEC final, but was no match for now-No. 1 playoff seed LSU. The Bulldogs (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) tumbled 37-10 as 7.5-point underdogs.

After blowing a huge lead at home to Oklahoma in a regular-season loss, Baylor got a shot at redemption and possibly a CFP bid in the Big 12 title game. The Bears (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS) played the Sooners tough Saturday, but fell 30-23 while cashing as 9-point ‘dogs.

“Deja vu for Georgia, which clearly didn’t want any part of the Sugar Bowl last year, and it showed,” Chaprales said, alluding to the Bulldogs’ 28-21 loss to Texas laying 12.5 points. “I’d imagine the public will be interested in a Baylor squad that’s steadily cashed tickets this season and figures to have the motivational edge.”

The Bears head into this New Year's Day game having cashed five in a row and in eight of their last 10 outings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Playoff - Part 1
Matt Blunt

With last week's piece dissecting the conference championship games touched on a few things, the actual selections it suggested – Hawaii against the spread (ATS) and Wisconsin (ATS) – ended up splitting the board. It was a week that saw favorites and underdogs go dead even at 5-5 ATS in the championship games, and while personally I was on the wrong side of that break even split between favorites and 'dogs, it was interesting to see that it did shake out with a .500 record.

And thanks to those results, we've now got the CFB Playoff for this year lined up and it should be a great one no matter how it shakes out. It is interesting to note that there is quite an extended rest between the semi finals and the title game, so keep that in mind when the time comes, as one of LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, or Oklahoma will be your 2019 champion.

Speaking of which, this week's piece aims to help us find which one of those four programs will end up hoisting the trophy, and because of it there will be a change of format. Hopefully it's easy to follow and you can find value in any or all of the information presented, and I do have one thing to mention in that regard.

If you do find value in any of this information and want to share it with the masses out there in the “time vaccum” known as social media, how about giving a little credit where it's due. It doesn't have to be to me personally, but at least to this site because they are the ones willing to put this stuff out there and up on their platform. I've heard it's happened multiple times in the past this year, and while I'm all for sharing of knowledge to help us all become better bettors, there is always a better way to do so in terms of giving credit when it's due. And if you don't find value in the information, that's fine too.

Which does lead me to one of the most popular historical perspective to get bandied about over the next month and it is one that's got very little value from my perspective too. That is the fact that no #1 or #3 seed in the CFB Playoff is something I'm sure you'll hear plenty of in the coming weeks and maybe there is something to that. That would be a negative for LSU and Clemson this year, but I believe the other historical perspectives I'm about to present are much more actionable and they'll be broken down by category in the format change.

Let's get to it, as I've split this piece in two so as to cover everything. And remember, there is always a first time for everything.

*All numbers are pulled from regular season data only (including conference championship games) for the CFB Playoff teams that particular season

ATS Records

2019: LSU: 8-5; Ohio State: 9-4; Clemson: 10-3; Oklahoma: 5-8 ATS

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 8-5; Clemson: 7-6; Notre Dame: 6-4-2; Oklahoma: 5-7-1
2017: Clemson: 8-4-1; Oklahoma: 8-5; Georgia: 9-4; Alabama: 5-7
2016: Alabama: 9-4; Clemson: 6-7; Ohio State: 6-6; Washington: 7-6
2015: Clemson: 6-7; Alabama: 7-6; Michigan State: 5-7-1; Oklahoma: 9-3
2014: Alabama: 5-8; Oregon: 9-4; Florida State: 3-10; Ohio State: 8-5

Point #1: In the history of the CFB Playoff, every National Champion had at least 5 ATS losses

Positive for: LSU and Oklahoma
Negative for: Ohio State and Clemson

Call it a statistical anomaly or whatever you want, but the best money earner in the market for the season hasn't equated to national titles in the history of the playoff. In the five years we've had it, the best regular season ATS record was pulled off by the 2014 Ohio State Buckeyes (8-5 ATS) while since then it's been records of 7-6, 6-7, 5-7, and 7-6 ATS that have come out on top.

Point #2: The team with the best regular season ATS record has been the runner-up in each of the last three years, and four of the five seasons overall

Negative for: Clemson

No need to spend too much time on this point, as it suggests the defending champs from Clemson will be the ones to get past the Buckeyes in the semis but fall short in the final with their 10-3 ATS record this year. Clemson opened up as a slight favorite as the #3 seed and you know that won't be taken too lightly by the market. But we are simply trying to find the eventual champion, so in terms of this piece, this is actually considered a negative for Dabo Swinney's program. Just another piece of ammunition for his absurd rhetoric train though.

3rd Down Conversion Rate Percentage – Offense

2019: LSU: 49.67; Ohio State: 56.97; Clemson: 47.30; Oklahoma: 49.24

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 52.55; Clemson: 43.95; Notre Dame: 44.32; Oklahoma: 51.18
2017: Clemson: 45.99; Oklahoma: 43.06; Georgia: 45.70; Alabama: 40.43
2016: Alabama: 48.80; Clemson: 51.09; Ohio State: 48.65; Washington: 44.83
2015: Clemson: 46.70; Alabama: 35.43; Michigan State: 50.53; Oklahoma: 44.58
2014: Alabama: 52.91; Oregon: 49.70; Florida State: 46.05; Ohio State: 51.52

Point #1: In each of the last two CFB Playoffs, and three of the last four, the team with the WORST 3rd down conversion rate percentage has won the title

Positive for: Clemson

We go from a negative to a positive here for the Clemson Tigers, as they are the “worst” of the bunch in staying on the field offensively and keeping drives going on 3rd down. Recent history has treated these teams kindly as the Tigers found themselves in this same spot a year ago at 43.95%, and knocked off the best team (Alabama was 52.55% in 2018) in the dominating fashion in last year's title game.

Point #2: The team with the best 3rd down percentage has only won the national title once – Clemson in 2016

Negative for: Ohio State

Another brief and simple point here, that doesn't exactly work out in Ohio State's favor, as their 56.97% rate is actually the best we've ever seen from any team in the CFB Playoff era. Whether or not that translates into this point being one that gets tossed to the curb this year remains to be seen, as that conversion rate is superb, but also one that's going to be seemingly hard to keep up with the level of competition the Buckeyes will have to go through.

3rd Down Conversion Rate Percentage – Defense

2019: LSU: 29.65; Ohio State: 28.65; Clemson: 30.60; Oklahoma: 31.61

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 30.34; Clemson: 27.60; Notre Dame: 37.82; Oklahoma: 45.18
2017: Clemson: 28.19; Oklahoma: 38.67; Georgia: 32.95; Alabama: 32.92
2016: Alabama: 30.53; Clemson: 30.17; Ohio State: 30.77; Washington: 31.11
2015: Clemson: 24.86; Alabama: 28.88; Michigan State: 35.06; Oklahoma: 40.00
2014: Alabama: 36.90; Oregon: 41.97; Florida State: 40.98; Ohio State: 36.90

Point #1: Every National Champion in the CFB Playoff era has been either the best, or 2nd best in Opponent 3rd down conversion rate percentage

Positive for: LSU and Ohio State

The old adage that “defense wins championships” tends to be true in the CFB playoff, as teams that are the best of the best in this category tend to find themselves with holding a trophy at the end of it. Considering the only other year we had two of the four teams with a sub-30% opponent 3rd down rate was back in 2015, and they both made it to the title game - Clemson and Alabama squaring off in their first epic championship meeting, that bodes well for both LSU and Ohio State to have a shot at the trophy this year.

In fact, only one team with a sub-30% rate failed to make the title game – Clemson in 2017 – so based on this history, it's hard not to expect a #1 vs #2 matchup in the Final. Those two programs met 12 years ago in the title game when it was also held in New Orleans with LSU winning as the #2 seed, and Buckeyes fans would love to return the favor.

Point #2: The team with the better number in this category when we reach the title game has won four of five national championships – only outlier was in 2015

Positive for: Yet to be determined

This is yet to be determined obviously, but with about two weeks between the semi-finals and the title game, this is something to definitely keep in mind. 2015 was the only outlier but it was also the only year where both finalists were in that sub-30% range which is to say that both were lights out in that regard and Alabama just happened to be a bit better on that day.

Heisman Trophy Winners

2019: Yet to be determined

2018: Kyler Murray
2017: Baker Mayfield
2016: Lamar Jackson
2015: Derrick Henry
2014: Marcus Mariota

Point #1: No Heisman winning QB has gone on to win the National Title, and playoff teams with the Heisman winner are 1-for-4 in terms of winning it all.

Positive for: Ohio State (potentially)
Negative for: LSU (likely)

The rest of the statistical categories will come in Part 2 of this piece, but for those that don't mind ending Part 1 on a bit of fluff, I thought I'd put this in.

Considering that LSU QB Joe Burrow is the overwhelming favorite to win the Heisman Trophy this year currently, LSU fans may prefer that not to be the case. But as I said at the opening, there is a first time for everything, and maybe this will be that year that Burrow and LSU break that trend.

That being said, if a non-QB wins the trophy – say DE Chase Young for Ohio State – it's actually turned out to be a positive for that team in terms of their title hopes. RB Derrick Henry was the only Heisman winner to win a title that same year (2015), and should Young pull out the award, Buckeyes fans will be happy to hear it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Playoff - Part 2
Matt Blunt

And so it continues, as there are more statistical categories that I believe have been historically relevant in producing a CFB Playoff winner, and if you have already gone through Part 1 (insert link here) of my breakdown, there is still more to come. No need to labor with the introduction because of it, so let's keep on plugging away:

*All numbers are pulled from regular season data only (including conference championship games) for the CFB Playoff teams that particular season

Takeaways Per Game

2019: LSU: 1.7; Ohio State: 1.9; Clemson: 2.2; Oklahoma: 0.7

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 1.7; Clemson: 1.5; Notre Dame: 1.7; Oklahoma: 0.8
2017: Clemson: 1.4; Oklahoma: 1.3; Georgia: 1.4; Alabama: 1.5
2016: Alabama: 1.8; Clemson: 1.8; Ohio State: 2.1; Washington: 2.4
2015: Clemson: 1.9; Alabama: 1.8; Michigan State: 2.2; Oklahoma: 2.2
2014: Alabama: 1.5; Oregon: 2.0; Florida State: 2.0; Ohio State: 2.2

Point #1: No team with a Takeaways per game number of 2.0 or greater has made the Title game in the last four years

Negative for: Clemson

More fuel for the fire of Dabo Swinney's rhetoric train here, as on the surface being the best at taking the ball away from your opponent is always a positive. But that hasn't been the case recently in the CFB Playoff as it appears some 'regression to the mean' shows up at the worst time for these teams. There have only been four teams of the past 16 to even have a shot at overcoming this fact, so sample size isn't exactly great, but these are the facts and recent history isn't on Clemson's side here. Swinney does like speaking about “the first time since...” so here's another thing you can have at in that regard.

Point #2: No team with a Takeaways per game number below 1.4 has ever made the Title Game

Negative for: Oklahoma

This far through the piece and the Oklahoma Sooners have yet to really show up on the positive or negative side of anything so far, but they break that goose egg with a negative trend here. Sure, there could be some positive regression to the mean for Oklahoma in the semi-finals, and they'll need it as hefty 'dogs vs LSU.

Winning the turnover battle by multiple possessions may be the only way the Sooners get by a powerhouse like LSU later this month, and it's really only been this same Oklahoma Sooners program that qualifies in this particular role. But history does have a way of repeating itself, and given that the Sooners have forced a grand total of one turnover in their two semi-finals defeats the past two years, turning over LSU this season won't be easy.

Giveaways Per Game

2019: LSU: 0.9; Ohio State: 1.1; Clemson: 1.2; Oklahoma: 1.5

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 0.9; Clemson: 1.3; Notre Dame: 1.2; Oklahoma: 1.0
2017: Clemson: 1.2; Oklahoma: 0.9; Georgia: 1.0; Alabama: 0.5
2016: Alabama: 1.5; Clemson: 2.0; Ohio State: 0.8; Washington: 0.9
2015: Clemson: 1.9; Alabama: 1.4; Michigan State: 0.9; Oklahoma: 1.3
2014: Alabama: 1.4; Oregon: 0.6; Florida State: 2.2; Ohio State: 1.5

Point #1: Team with the worst Giveaway per game margin has made the Title game in three of the past four years

Positive for: Oklahoma

Ended the last section with the first negative for Oklahoma, so how about a “positive” for the Sooners here. They come into the 2019 CFB Playoff with the most giveaways per game on average of the four teams, and oddly enough that's done well for “teams” in the past.

I put teams in quotations because it's actually been just one program who's accounted for all the success these teams that are loosest with the football have had in the Playoff – Clemson. So there you go Dabo Swinney, a positive for your 2019 team crew in that you enter the playoff for the first time you've been involved in it without the worst giveaway per game margin (or tied) of everyone involved.

But it's hard to think that this is nothing more then dumb luck at times, especially with Clemson accounting for all of those Title game appearances. The Tigers have been a dominant force in the college football landscape for years now, and they have shown they can overcome their mistakes time and time again. Not so sure Oklahoma is as capable to do so, but a historical positive is a historical positive right?

Point #2: Three out of the five Playoffs have seen the team with the lowest Giveaway margin make it to the Title game; However, only one team with a sub-1.0 margin has won it all – 2017 Alabama

Positive for: LSU
Negative for: LSU

Based on that historical fact, LSU fans may be able to have a Happy New Year, but will feel already done with 2020 by the middle of January.

Protecting the football is always one of the best paths for success for any team, and there is nobody better at it in this year's playoff then the LSU Tigers. But whether or not it becomes the pressure of the moment in the Title game, along with being up against another phenomenal team, going the distance rarely seems to happen for the squads that rank the best here.

The 2017 Alabama team was the only one to take it the distance in that regard, and if you remember that 2017 title game, there were some extenuating circumstances. For one, the Tide went up against a familiar conference foe in Georgia, one that was beating them for essentially the entire game before crumbling late.

A LSU foe in this year's title game could end up falling to a similar fate, but Ohio State and Clemson both have guys on their roster who have felt the CFB Playoff pressure before. What that means (if anything) is hard to quantify, but it never hurts to have that knowledge floating around in the back of your mind.

Penalties Per Game

2019: LSU: 6.2; Ohio State: 5.6; Clemson: 5.5; Oklahoma: 6.8

Past numbers

2018: Alabama: 5.5; Clemson: 5.2; Notre Dame: 5.0; Oklahoma: 6.1
2017: Clemson: 5.1; Oklahoma: 6.2; Georgia: 6.7; Alabama: 5.5
2016: Alabama: 5.4; Clemson: 6.7; Ohio State: 6.2; Washington: 5.4
2015: Clemson: 5.8; Alabama: 6.6; Michigan State: 5.3; Oklahoma: 6.2
2014: Alabama: 5.0; Oregon: 8.1; Florida State: 6.6; Ohio State: 5.8

Point #1: The team with the fewest penalties per game has NEVER won the national title

Negative for: Clemson

Again, we've got past results that seem counter-intuitive to what you would believe would happen, as staying disciplined on the football field is always key to success. But this is another case where regression to the mean could be playing out here, especially on such a high profile stage, as these CFB Playoff teams that enter the tournament with the fewest amount of penalties per game just can't translate it into success.

In fact, where there has been a clear cut leader in that regard – every year but 2016 when Alabama and Washington were tied – those teams haven't even made it through to the title game. Turns out that's another negative for Dabo Swinney's Clemson team this year, as I know now that I for sure won't be getting any Christmas cards from him or fans of his program this year.

Penalty Yards Per Game

2019: LSU: 59.5; Ohio State: 53.5; Clemson: 43.6; Oklahoma: 74.1

Past numbers with champion in Bold

2018: Alabama: 48.5; Clemson: 45.6; Notre Dame: 45.5; Oklahoma: 61.5
2017: Clemson: 45.8; Oklahoma: 61.8; Georgia: 58.8; Alabama: 46.6
2016: Alabama: 41.8; Clemson: 59.2; Ohio State: 48.8; Washington: 46.1
2015: Clemson: 47.7; Alabama: 59.6; Michigan State: 43.6; Oklahoma: 61.2
2014: Alabama: 39.7; Oregon: 74.9; Florida State: 51.2; Ohio State: 50.5

Point #1: The team with the fewest penalty yards per game has NEVER won the national title

Negative for: Clemson

This statement was close to ending last year, but it's another relative anomaly when you really think about it. But again, it probably goes back to the whole regression to the mean idea, and that on the biggest stage, those little things said teams may have gotten away with more often then not every Saturday become magnified and exposed.

I'm sure Dabo Swinney and his wonderful use of various rhetoric techniques will be working over the officials every chance he gets, but the history doesn't lie here. After all, he always argues that nobody pays enough attention to the ACC and maybe he's right. Maybe that includes the officials as well who have arguably let his team get away with more then they should throughout the year.

Point #2: EVERY national champion has had between 45.6 and 59.6 penalty yards per game

Positive for: LSU and Ohio State
Negative for: Clemson and Oklahoma

Probably nothing more then a statistical anomaly or looking too much into the numbers, but when that range has been perfect in determining the eventual national champion, I'm not sure you can ignore it. Considering that this is a positive for the top two teams in this year' playoff, it's got to be considered.

Final Tally

Positives For: LSU (4); Ohio State (3); Clemson (1); Oklahoma (2)
Negatives For: LSU (1, with 1 more likely); Ohio State (2); Clemson (6); Oklahoma (2)

I know that there are plenty of ways to pick apart this piece, especially if you like a particular team already.

Knocks against it are sample size, last year's teams have nothing to do with this year's, and even you could view it as confirmation bias in some cases. But regarding the latter, I would like to say that I did not know what to expect to find when backtracking these numbers, so I don't believe there was anything I was looking to confirm going into it. Again, if you find this information valuable great, if not, that's just as good.

But after this trek back through history, the picture does seem somewhat clear in how to bet this year's playoff at least in terms of the futures market. After all, the straight up winner in all 15 CFB Playoff games we've had in history are 12-3 ATS. So pick the outright winner correct and 80% of the time the spread won't matter. Especially when the three point spread losses have come by 3.5 points (2018 semi between Alabama and Oklahoma), 0.5 points (2017 title game between Alabama and Georgia), and 1.5 points (2015 title game between Alabama and Clemson).

The two teams with more historical positives then negatives from these pieces are #1 LSU and #2 Ohio State. To me, those will be your two combatants in the national title game, and with futures prices in the +150 and +225 respectively, you take both and as long as that's the matchup, you'll come out ahead.

And given that if you've followed along with my “Upset Alerts” pieces all year long, you'll know how long my stubborn ass thought it was best to go against Ohio State week after week, there is some pain in saying this, but it is the Ohio State Buckeyes who are my pick to win it all.

Ohio State outperformed market expectations all year long – much to my chagrin – and getting bumped from #1 to #2 in the final rankings - for really doing nothing wrong other then having a slow start in the Big 10 Championship - has to be all the extra motivation they really need to make a title run.

Hopefully they ride that wave of motivation and many of the historical angles I've laid out to a title this year, beating the LSU Tigers 35-31 to win it all.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

237IOWA ST -238 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

239MEMPHIS -240 PENN ST
PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

241OKLAHOMA -242 LSU
LSU is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game in the current season.

243CLEMSON -244 OHIO ST
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

243CLEMSON -244 OHIO ST
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday, December 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (7 - 5) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 2) - 12/28/2019, 12:00:00 P
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (12 - 1) vs. PENN ST (10 - 2) - 12/28/2019, 12:00:00 P
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) vs. LSU (13 - 0) - 12/28/2019, 4:00:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (13 - 0) vs. OHIO ST (13 - 0) - 12/28/2019, 8:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OHIO ST is 199-151 ATS (+32.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 199-151 ATS (+32.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 180-136 ATS (+30.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CLEMSON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEMSON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEMSON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Dec 28- Camping World Bowl, Orlando
Iowa State is 7-5, with three losses by 1 or 2 points, losing by point at both Baylor/Oklahoma. Under Campbell, Cyclones are 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog, 2-0 TY- they were held under 100 RY in four of their five losses. Cyclones are 2-3 in last five bowls, with both wins by a point; underdogs were 4-0 ATS in those games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Notre Dame won its last five games since a 45-14 loss at Michigan; they’re +8 in turnovers their last three games. Irish covered their last five games as a single digit favorite, 2-0 TY. ND won three of last five bowls; this is first time in five years the Irish are favored in a bowl. Favorites won/covered this bowl the last three years; average total in this game the last five years: 54.2.

Cotton Bowl, Arlington, TX
Memphis won its last seven games, had a great 12-1 year, but their coach already bolted to Florida State- they beat Ole Miss 15-10 in only Power 5 game TY. Tigers scored 34+ points in 10 of their last 12 games. Tigers lost their last four bowls, losing last two by total of four points; they’re 18-12-2 ATS in last 32 games as an underdog, 0-0 TY. Penn State split its last four games after an 8-0 start, giving up 430.8 ypg, including 383 to Rutgers; PSU is 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Nittany Lions lost three of last four bowls; average total in their last five bowls: 63.4. Favorites covered Cotton Bowl six of last eight years, with average total of 35.5 last four years.

Peach Bowl, Atlanta
Oklahoma is 58-9 SU last five years, but 1-4 in bowls, giving up 37+ points in all four losses; they were a double digit favorite in every game TY, until now. OU’s best pass rusher got suspended; his backup is hurt. Since 2012, Sooners are 5-2 ATS as an underdog; over last 11 years, they’re 3-1 as a double digit dog. Sooners’ last four games went under. LSU is 13-0, with two wins by less than 14 points; 45-38 (-6) over Texas, 46-41 (+5.5) over Alabama; they never beat Crimson Tide when Hurts played there. Burrow won Heisman; there have been distractions. Tigers are 5-3-1 ATS as a double digit favorite TY. LSU won/covered three of its last four bowls, scoring 35.5 ppg. Underdogs won three of last four Fiesta Bowls SU; average total in last five, 61.2.

Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, AZ
Clemson won national title two of last three years, beating Ohio State 31-0 in semis three years ago (Buckeyes’ only loss in last five bowls); Tigers won four of last five bowls, scoring 30+ in all four wins. Clemson is 13-0 TY, covering seven of eight games after a 21-20 escape over UNC, when Tar Heels went for 2-point conversion with 1:17 left, instead of tying PAT. Tigers were favored by 24+ points 12 times TY, by 16 in the other game; they threw ball for 344.8 ypg in last four games. Buckeyes won every game TY by 11+ points, with closest win 28-17 over Penn State. Over last 11 years, Ohio State is 10-1 ATS when getting points. Favorites won/covered three of last four Fiesta Bowls; average total in last five, 51.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season


Saturday, December 28

Notre Dame @ Iowa State

Game 237-238
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
100.685
Iowa State
100.427
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
Even
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+3 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Penn State

Game 239-240
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
98.245
Penn State
105.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 6 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-6 1/2); Under

Oklahoma @ LSU

Game 241-242
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
105.498
LSU
123.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 13 1/2
76
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-13 1/2); Under

Clemson @ Ohio State

Game 243-244
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
127.867
Ohio State
123.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 5
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bowl Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

Saturday, December 28

IOWA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME (Camping World Bowl)...ISU dropped 4 of last 5 vs. line TY but was 2-0 as dog, and Matt Campbell now 18-8-1 getting points since taking over Cyclones in 2016. Irish 2-5 vs. spread last 7 bowls.
Iowa State, based on team trends.


MEMPHIS vs. PENN STATE (Cotton Bowl)...Tigers weren’t a dog TY, and 3-3-1 in role since 2017. Memphis 0-4 SU and vs. line last four bowls. James Franklin just 2-4 vs. spread last six this season and 2-2 SU and vs. line last four bowls.
Penn State, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA vs. LSU (CFP Peach Bowl)...OU 4-4 vs. line in last eight bowls, 2-1 last 3 as bowl dog. In rare dog role, OU is 3-1 for Lincoln Riley. LSU 9-4 vs. line TY, 11-4 last 15 on board. Tigers 10-5 “over” since late 2018.
Slight to LSU, based on team trends.


CLEMSON vs. OHIO STATE (CFP Fiesta Bowl)...Dabo 9-1 vs. spread last ten bowl/playoff games since 2012, including pair of wins and covers vs. OSU. Clemson on 13-3 spread run since late 2018. Buckeyes 9-4 vs. line TY, 1-2 vs. spread last three bowls.
Clemson, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LSU vs. Oklahoma
Brian Edwards

LSU Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Venue: at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Time/TV: Saturday, December 28, 4:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: LSU -13.5, Over/Under 76

Before making it to Atlanta for its Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl showdown against Louisiana State in the College Football Playoff semifinals, No. 4 Oklahoma lost four key players that’ll be missed against the unbeaten and top-ranked Tigers.

First, SoonerScoop.com reported that three players were suspended on Dec. 18. At his first media event in Atlanta on Dec. 23, OU head coach Lincoln Riley confirmed the suspensions but refused to elaborate on the reasoning behind those players being ‘out’ vs LSU.

The trio of suspended players includes DE Ronnie Perkins, second-string RB Rhamondre Stevenson and backup freshman WR Trejan Bridges. Perkins, a sophomore who has played in all 13 games, has recorded 28 solo tackles, 10 assists, 7.5 tackles for loss, six sacks, six QB hurries and one forced fumble.

Stevenson has appeared in all 13 OU games. The junior RB has 515 rushing yards, six TDs and an 8.1 yards-per-carry average. Bridges is a five-star recruit who didn’t figure to play much vs. LSU anyway. The true freshman has only seven catches for 82 yards.

Making matters worse, SoonerScoop reported on Dec. 20 that starting sophomore safety Delarrin Turner-Yell suffered a broken collarbone at practice. Three days later, Riley confirmed the injury and said, “Right now our expectation is that [Turner-Yell] will not play, but we’ll how see the week goes.”

LSU (13-0 straight up, 8-5 against the spread) dominated Georgia 37-10 to win the SEC Championship Game, easily cashing tickets as a seven-point favorite. Joe Burrow, who won the Heisman Trophy a week later, completed 28-of-38 passes for 349 yards and four touchdowns without an interception.

Justin Jefferson had seven receptions for 115 yards and one TD, while Terrace Marshall Jr. hauled in five catches for 89 yards and two TDs. Clyde Edwards-Helaire had 57 rushing yards on 15 attempts, in addition to catching seven balls for 61 receiving yards.

LSU darted out to a 14-0 lead at the end of the first quarter, hooking up its backers on first-quarter bets as a 3.5-point ‘chalk.’

UGA’s Rodrigo Blankenship briefly stopped the bleeding with a 39-yard field goal to get the Bulldogs on the board, but Cade York extended the Tigers’ lead to 17-3 with a 41-yard FG with 2:22 left until halftime.

York added a 28-yarder early in the third quarter for a 20-3 LSU lead. Then Burrow found Marshall for a four-yard scoring strike with 2:18 left in the third. The Tigers added an eight-yard TD pass from Burrow to Jefferson to make it 34-3, and the blowout was on before the fourth quarter started.

LSU freshman CB Derek Stingley intercepted Georgia QB Jake Fromm twice and had five tackles.

Edwards-Helaire is ‘questionable’ vs. LSU due to a hamstring injury suffered at practice earlier this month, although head coach Ed Orgeron stated Friday that he “believes he’ll play.” Edwards-Helaire has rushed for 1,290 yards and 16 TDs, averaging 6.6 yards per carry. He leads the SEC in all-purpose yards with 1,903.

As of early Friday, most books had LSU listed as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 76. The Sooners were +425 on the money line. For first half-wagers, the Tigers were favored by 7.5 points.

Back on Dec. 8., the Westgate SuperBook opened LSU as a 12.5-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 76.5. The total dipped as low as 75.5 points about a week ago, before inching back up to 76. The Tigers have bounced around in the -13 to -14 range over the last several weeks.

Orgeron’s team is 5-4-1 ATS in its 10 games as a double-digit favorite this year. The Tigers have won 10 of their 13 games by margins of 14 points or more. They won 45-38 at Texas, 46-41 at Alabama and 23-20 vs. Auburn in Baton Rouge.

Although those three final scores were the closest games LSU played, Florida probably gave the Tigers their toughest test in Redstick on Oct. 12. When LSU scored each of its three first-half TDs, the Gators answered each one with a TD drive of their own.

With the game tied 21-21 at halftime, Florida took the opening kick of the second half and promptly marched down the field and took the lead. Kyle Trask hit Van Jefferson for a two-yard TD pass and a 28-21 advantage.

Edwards-Helaire scored on a five-yard TD run to get LSU back even. After getting a stop, the Tigers went back in front 35-28 on a 33-yard TD run from Tyrion Davis-Prince with 3:15 left in the third stanza.

After UF came up empty on a red-zone trip when Stingley intercepted Trask in the end zone, LSU went up 42-28 on Burrow’s 54-yard TD pass to Ja’Marr Chase. The final score was 42-28 after the Gators came up short of the end zone on a fourth-and-goal play from LSU’s one with less than two minutes remaining.

LSU posted other wins over bowl-bound teams, winning 55-7 vs. Georgia Southern, 36-13 at Mississippi State, 42-6 vs. Utah State and 50-17 vs. Texas A&M.

Burrow produced monster numbers that led to run-away win in the voting for the Heisman. The grad transfer from Ohio State completed 77.9 percent of his passes for 4,715 yards with a 48/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He keeps plays alive with his elusiveness in the pocket, and he’s not hesitant to tuck it and run for first downs. Burrow was especially effective at doing that on several big plays in the second half at Alabama. He has 289 rushing yards and three TDs.

Chase has 73 receptions for 1,498 yards and 18 TDs despite missing one game injured. Jefferson has 88 catches for 1,207 yards and 14 TDs, while Marshall has 37 grabs for 545 yards and 10 TDs. Marshall missed three games with a broken bone in his foot sustained in a 66-38 win at Vanderbilt on Sept. 21.

LSU leads the nation in total offense, is second in passing yards and third in scoring with its 47.8 points-per-game average.

Oklahoma (12-1 SU, 5-8 ATS) is facing an SEC opponent in the CFP semifinals for the third straight season. After coming up short to Georgia in a 54-48 double-overtime thriller at the 2017 Rose Bowl, the Sooners lost 45-34 to Alabama at last year’s Orange Bowl. However, they covered the spread in backdoor fashion as 13.5-point underdogs.

Lincoln Riley’s team is mired in a 2-7 ATS slump, but that factoid has zero relevance since the Sooners are underdogs for the first time this season. During Riley’s three-year tenure, Oklahoma has compiled a 3-1 spread record and collected a pair of outright wins in four games as an underdog.

This is only the second time on Riley’s watch that OU has been a double-digit underdog. As previously noted, the Sooners took the money vs. ‘Bama last year.

Oklahoma won its first five games by margins of 18 points or more. The Sooners improved to 7-0 with wins vs. Texas (34-27) and vs. West Virginia (52-14). They went into Kansas State as a 23.5-point road favorite and found itself down 48-23 after the Wildcats scored on a two-yard TD run by James Gilbert with 12:54 remaining.

OU wouldn’t quit, though. Twenty-two seconds later, Jalen Hurts found CeeDee Lamb for a 70-yard scoring strike. Then with 5:36 remaining, a one-yard TD run from Hurts, in addition to a three-yard pass to Lamb for a two-point conversion, trimmed the deficit to 48-38. The Sooners made it a one-possession game when Gabe Brkic buried a 39-yard field goal with 1:45 left.

OU initially seemed to be in business when it recovered the ensuing onside kick, but replay reviews showed that a Sooner had touched the ball before it had gone 10 yards. Therefore, K-State ran out the clock and captured a 48-41 upset victory.

With one loss, Riley’s bunch remained in the hunt for a CFP berth, albeit with zero room for error. Therefore, Oklahoma fans had to deal with a lot of anxiety when four of its next five games were of the one-possession variety.

After an open date following the loss at Kansas State, OU won a 42-41 decision over Iowa State as a 14-point home favorite. Next, Riley’s team went to Waco to face undefeated Baylor as an 11-point road ‘chalk.’

The Bears raced out to a 31-10 halftime lead. Oklahoma pulled to within 31-17 on Hurts’s three-yard TD pass to Austin Stogner midway through the third quarter. With 12:58 remaining in the final stanza, Hurts found Theo Wease for a 19-yard scoring connection. Hurts’s fourth TD pass and third of the second half was a two-yard scoring strike to Brayden Willis with 5:25 left to tie the game at 31-31.

Oklahoma escaped unscathed with a 34-31 win when Brkic’s 31-yard field goal was true with 1:45 remaining.

Back in Norman the following week, Oklahoma raced out to a 21-0 lead on TCU. The Horned Frogs wouldn’t go away, though, scoring 10 unanswered point to slice the deficit to 11 by halftime. Then with 10:15 left in the third, TCU got to within 21-17. After Hurts scored on an eight-yard TD run, the Sooners were in front by 11 points.

On the verge of putting the game on ice early in the fourth, Hurts was intercepted for a 98-yard pick-six. With the Frogs trailing by just four points, OU’s defense didn’t allow them to get any closer over the final 12 minutes, holding on for a 28-24 triumph.

Many felt OU would get a tough test in Stillwater in its regular-season finale, but that didn’t happen. The Sooners controlled the second half and pulled away for a 34-16 win at Oklahoma State. They covered the rich spread, too, as 14-point road ‘chalk.’

Going into Championship Weekend earlier this month, Oklahoma needed Oregon to beat Utah and LSU to take care of UGA. Obviously, it had to take care of its own business with a rematch vs. Baylor at Jerry World in the Big 12 Championship Game.

Riley’s team took a 10-0 first-quarter lead thanks to a six-yard TD run from Kennedy Brooks and a 44-yard FG from Brkic. Baylor owned the second quarter, however, despite losing starting QB Charlie Brewer to a concussion. The Bears took a 13-10 advantage into intermission.

A pair of 24-yard FGs from Brkic and an 18-yard TD pass from Hurts to Nick Basquine put Oklahoma ahead 23-13 with 10:31 left. At this point, another QB injury had Baylor using third-string signal caller Jacob Zeno, a true freshman who had only appeared in one game previously and is being redshirted.

With 9:41 remaining, Zeno found Trestan Ebner for an 81-yard TD pass to trim the deficit to three. When John Mayers hit a 27-yard FG with 3:25 left, Baylor was back even at 23-23. The game would go to overtime.

In the first extra session, Stevenson found paydirt on a five-yard TD run. Then the Oklahoma defense got a stop to conserve a 30-23 victory and give the Sooners the No. 4 slot in the CFP.

For the season, Hurts has connected on 71.8 percent of his throws for 3,632 yards with a 32/7 TD-INT ratio. He paces the Sooners with 1,255 rushing yards and 18 TDs, averaging 5.7 YPC. Hurts was one of four finalists for the Heisman.

Hurts’s collegiate career has been legendary. He led Alabama to the CFP finals as a freshman and a sophomore, scoring the go-ahead TD on a run at crunch time vs. Clemson as a freshman, only to see Deshaun Watson throw a game-winning TD pass with two seconds remaining just moments later.

Then as a sophomore, Hurts was yanked to start the third quarter of the CFP finals against Georgia in Atlanta. He didn’t pout and played the role of the ultimate teammate as Tua Tagovailoa led the Crimson Tide to a 26-23 comeback win over UGA in overtime. As a junior in 2018, Hurts was relegated to Tagovailoa’s backup, but he continued to be a great teammate and was ready when his number was called at last year’s SEC Championship Game.

When Tagovailoa was injured late in the third quarter, Hurts was the catalyst in leading Alabama back from a 14-point deficit to beat UGA 35-28. That propelled the Tide to another CFP berth, but they lost 44-16 to Clemson in the finals. Atlanta was the venue where he lost his job in January of 2018, and it was the place of his resurrection of sorts 11 months later. Therefore, it’s only fitting that his fourth career appearance in the CFP comes against an SEC foe in a familiar city, The ATL.

For his career, Hurts has a 65.6 completion percentage, 9,260 passing yards and an 80/19 TD-INT ratio. He has 3,231 rushing yards and 41 TDs, in addition to five receptions for 40 yards and one TD.

Lamb is his favorite target, hauling in 57 receptions for 1,206 yards and 14 TDs. Chareston Rambo has 42 catches for 734 yards and five TDs.

Brooks has 976 rushing yards, five TDs and a 6.7 YPC average. He suffered a head injury vs. Baylor earlier this month, but he’s good to go vs. LSU and will have to carry the load on the ground.

The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight games for the Sooners to improve to 7-5-1 overall. This is OU’s fourth-highest total of the year and its highest since an Oct. 12 win over Texas. When Oklahoma topped the Longhorns 34-27, the 61 combined points dropped way below the 77.5-point tally. Totals have been an overall wash (2-2) when the Sooners have had totals in the 70s. In its season opener, OU had its highest total in a 49-31 win over Houston that saw the 80 combined points push to the 80-point number.

The ‘over’ is 8-5 overall for LSU, but the ‘under’ has cashed in back-to-back games. This is the highest total the Tigers have seen in 2019. The previous high was 72 points in a home game vs. Utah State, which ended up being their third-lowest combined score. LSU beat the Aggies 42-6, with the 48 combined points falling ‘under’ the 72-point tally.

Kickoff on ESPN is scheduled for Saturday afternoon at 4:00 p.m. ET.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

-- Mississippi State starting QB Garrett Shrader is ‘out’ of the Music City Bowl vs. Louisville due to an eye injury. According to multiple reports, Shrader and junior LB Willie Gay were involved in an altercation that caused the injury. Further testing on Shrader’s eye revealed damage to his orbital bone, although he isn’t expected to need surgery. Nevertheless, he’s ‘out’ against the Cardinals and senior QB Tommy Stevens will get the starting nod. The Bulldogs are favored by four points at most books. Gay, who was suspended for eight regular-season games due to an academic issue, is expected to play.

-- Justin Wilcox announced on Dec. 23 that nine California players won’t play vs. Illinois in the Redbox Bowl. Three of those players are starters and a fourth was going to start against the Fighting Illini. Fifth-year senior safety Ashtyn Davis is ‘out’ after undergoing what Wilcox dubbed as “minor surgery.” In 11 games, Davis had 33 solo tackles, 24 assists, four passes broken up, two forced fumbles, two interceptions and one tackle for loss. Starting WR Jordan Duncan has been “excused” from the team to handle personal matters, according to Wilcox. Duncan is a two-year starter who has 25 receptions for 364 yards and two TDs. Junior LB Telvin Paul (28 tackles, three sacks) and safety Trey Turner III (32 tackles and four PBU) are the other starters who are ‘out.’ Illinois is dealing with a slew of injuries, too, most notably starting QB Brandon Peters and Butkus Award semifinalist Jake Hansen. The Golden Bears are favored by six or 6.5 points at most spots.

-- The ‘under’ is on a 7-1-1 run for Kansas State in its last nine games. The Wildcats face Navy with a total of 52 points.

-- Miami, Fl. fired OC Dan Enos today. Reports of his pending dismissal surfaced hours before yesterday’s Independence Bowl in Shreveport, where La. Tech dealt out cream-cheese treatment to the Hurricanes in a 14-0 win as a seven-point underdog. The Bulldogs cashed money-line tickets in the +220 neighborhood.

-- Eastern Michigan improved to 24-5-2 ATS in its last 31 games as an underdog in last night’s gut-wrenching loss to Pitt at the Quick Lane Bowl. The Eagles lost a 34-30 decision when Pitt took its first lead of the game on a TD with 47 ticks left. Nevertheless, the Eagles easily took the cash as 12-point underdogs. They fell to 0-3 SU but 3-0 ATS in bowl games during Chris Creighton’s tenure. EMU hasn’t won a bowl game since 1987.

-- Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman has hired FSU’s Kendal Briles as the Razorbacks’ next offensive coordinator. That’s two quality coordinator hires for Pittman, who also scored former Missouri HC Barry Odom as his new DC.

-- Reports out of Gainesville indicate that Florida Gators star DE Jabari Zuniga has been practicing and will play vs. Virginia in the Orange Bowl. Since Zuniga suffered a severe ankle sprain at Kentucky in Week 3, he’s tried to make comebacks in key games at LSU vs. UGA, only to suffer setbacks each time. When healthy, Zuniga is one of the nation’s top pass rushers.

-- Florida, a 14 or 14.5-point ‘chalk’ vs. UVA, is 5-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clemson vs. Ohio State
Joe Nelson

Clemson Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Clemson and Ohio State meet in Saturday’s Fiesta Bowl in a pairing of undefeated teams for the College Football Playoff semifinals. Both teams are far from home in Glendale but both programs have College Football Playoff Championships in the five years of the existence of the playoff format and this is perhaps the most highly anticipated game of the bowl season as dominant 13-0 programs face off.

Venue: At State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona
Time/TV: Saturday, December 28, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: Clemson -2, Over/Under 63
Last Meeting: 12/31/2016 Fiesta Bowl CFP Semifinals Clemson (+1) 31, Ohio State 0

Three seasons ago these teams met in this same stadium in the 2/3 matchup of College Football Playoffs. The spread was nearly even and Clemson delivered a blowout win 31-0 with a huge production edge of 470-215. Deshaun Watson and J.T. Barrett had a pair of interceptions each but the Clemson running game had a clear edge while the Tigers were able to hit a few big plays in the air. Clemson would go on to beat Alabama in the championship game for the first of now two titles for Dabo Swinney.

Clemson also beat Ohio State in the 2013-14 Orange Bowl a year before the playoff format and Clemson enters this game on a 29-game winning streak, completing a perfect 15-0 championship season last year and this year again unblemished with only one close call back in late September in Chapel Hill with a one-point escape.

The Tigers didn’t look like a dominant team early in the season as coming off brilliant championship performance last season, quarterback Trevor Lawrence battled interceptions early in the season. The Tigers closed the season on a dominant run with Lawrence combining for 16 touchdowns and no interceptions in the final five games of the season. 1,500-yard rusher Travis Etienne has often been overlooked despite an amazing 8.2 yards per carry average this season as the Tigers scored 605 points this season for more than 46 points per game.

Clemson is the #3 seed however having played through a light ACC schedule and high-quality wins are absent from the schedule with the best results coming over 7-5 Texas A&M, 9-4 Virginia, 8-4 Wake Forest, 7-5 Louisville, and 6-6 North Carolina. The Tigers did technically beat seven bowl teams when you add Charlotte and Boston College to the mix but behind Clemson it was a clear down year for the ACC. The Tigers beat two SEC teams but Texas A&M and South Carolina both had disappointing seasons and like many ACC teams, Clemson also played a FCS foe to pad the numbers.

Swinney is 9-5 straight up and 10-4 against the spread in his bowl and playoff games but after starting 1-3 both SU and ATS, the Tigers have been on a roll in the postseason under his watch with the only ATS loss in that span being the 2017-18 Sugar Bowl vs. the eventual national champion Alabama. Clemson has actually been an underdog in nine of the past 10 postseason games with the lone exception last season’s 30-3 win over undefeated Notre Dame in the semifinals.

In contrast to Swinney’s amazing resume, Ohio State head coach Ryan Day will be a head coach for the first time in a postseason game. Day filled in for Urban Meyer for three wins early last season and is now 16-0 as a head coach for the Buckeyes for an amazing start to his career. Day has only been with the program since 2017 as an assistant with past experience in the NFL as well as with Temple and Boston College. Despite his success, his first season will ultimately be judged on this game alone with the Buckeyes back into the playoffs after narrowly missing out as Big Ten champions the past two seasons.

Controversially Ohio State was flipped from the #1 seed in the playoff rankings to the #2 seed, passed up by LSU following the respective Big Ten and SEC championship wins. LSU was more impressive vs. a higher rated foe on championship Saturday but Ohio State’s overall resume bested LSU’s in many of the counts that the selection committee values.

On championship Saturday four teams that Ohio State defeated in the regular season were playing in championship games as the Buckeyes wound up with nine wins over bowl teams. Ohio State was penalized for a poor first half vs. Wisconsin in Indianapolis as well as not getting as much credit for beating a highly regarded Wisconsin team twice compared to if they defeated two distinct similarly highly rated teams. Ultimately Ohio State has five wins over teams rated higher in the playoff rankings than Clemson’s best win over #24 Virginia, including four wins vs. the top 14.

Day was not the only new piece for the Buckeyes, led by Georgia transfer Justin Fields at quarterback. Fields left Georgia last season after not getting a great opportunity behind Jake Fromm. In his first season as a starting quarterback he delivered an incredible campaign finishing third in the Heisman voting with an amazing line of 40 touchdowns and one interception while also rushing for nearly 500 yards. J.K. Dobbins eclipsed 1,800 yards rushing and along with star defensive end Chase Young, that trio comprised half of the top six in the Heisman voting. Ohio State outscored foes 633-163 on the season with dominant numbers, though the defense allowed 17 or more points in each of the final four games following seven straight games allowing 14 or fewer points.

Ohio State has not been an underdog in the postseason since winning the initial College Football Playoff championship game 42-20 vs. Oregon in January 2015. The Buckeyes have been the Rose Bowl champion the past two seasons and this is the first playoff trip since the ugly loss in Glendale vs. Clemson.

Ohio State has been an underdog six times since the start of the 2012 season going 6-0 S/U and ATS including winning 62-39 vs. Michigan last season in the only instance getting points since the 2014-15 national championship. Clemson has rarely been in the small favorite role under Swinney going 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS as a favorite of 3 or fewer points, though all but one of those games was a regular season contest.

Clemson wound up 10-3 ATS this season including 10-2 ATS in FBS games, going 7-0 ATS in FBS games since October started for an incredible run, as a lot of folks fared well supporting the Tigers even at inflated prices including a 30-point spread in the ACC Championship. Ohio State wound up 9-4 ATS this season but lost ATS in three of the final four games including missing the spread in big games vs. Penn State and in the Big Ten championship after an 8-0 ATS run September to early November, with the Buckeyes also faring extremely well in first half numbers.

The victor of this game will head to New Orleans for the national championship in what could be a very hostile environment depending on the Peach Bowl outcome but either team will be a serious threat for the title as this semifinal figures to live up to the billing and hype as one of the best playoff pairings in the history of the format.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

Camping World Bowl (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Notre Dame vs. Iowa State

-- The independent Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) face off with the Iowa State Cyclones (7-5 straight up, 5-6-1 against the spread) from the Big 12 Conference in the Camping World Bowl in Orlando, Fla.

-- The FightIng Irish have a rich bowl history, but surprisingly they're 18-19 in their 37 bowl games overall, including an 18-14 loss against Florida State back on Dec. 29, 2011 in this very stadium in the then-named Champs Sports Bowl. They were also tossed aside 30-3 by Clemson is last season's Cotton Bowl in the first-round of the College Football playoffs.

-- The Cyclones of Iowa State do not have as great of a bowl record as Notre Dame. They didn't even play in their first bowl game, surprisingly, until 1971. They were 0-4 in the 70's, and they didn't break through for their first bowl victory until 2000 in the Insight.com Bowl against Pittsburgh, 37-29, behind QB Sage Rosenfels. That was one of just four wins in 14 bowl tries, including a loss last season in the Alamo Bowl against Washington State. This will be the second-ever trip to Florida during bowl season, with Iowa State losing 28-12 in the Hall of Fame Classic in 1978 against Texas A&M in Tampa.

-- Notre Dame had an extremely challenging schedule, and after 10 wins they likely were hoping to land in a more prestigious bowl with a better opponent. But this is a nice matchup for them, and with a chip on their shoulder they could be a dangerous opponent. Their only losses this season came at Georgia, 23-17 on Sept. 21, and at Michigan by a 45-14 count on Oct. 26. They have wins over bowl teams Louisville, Virginia, USC, Virginia Tech and Navy, and they enter on a five-game winning streak while covering the past four.

-- Iowa State was tripped up 27-17 at Kansas State in their rinale, and they dropped each of their past two true road games, including a 42-41 shootout loss at Oklahoma, a playoff team, on Nov. 9, in a highly entertaining game. They also suffered a setback against Oklahoma State at home, Iowa at home and on the road against Baylor. While they have five losses overall, three losses were by a total of four points, and all five setbacks were by a total of just 21 points. They'll fight right to the bitter end, and have the offensive firepower to stay in it.

-- The Fighting Irish ranked 45th in total offense with 431.3 yards per game, while posting 253.0 passing yards to check in 49th in the nation. They were also 46th in the country with 178.3 rushing yards per contest while ranking 13th with 37.1 points per contest. Defensively the Irish were stout, allowing just 325.6 total yards per outing to rank 21st, while ending up third with 163.7 passing yards per outing. If they fail anywhere, it's against the run, as they yielded 161.9 rushing yards per game, but they allowed just 18.7 points per outing to rank 14th.

-- The Cyclones ranked 20th with 459.0 total yards per game, while ranking ninth with 318.3 passing yards per outing. On the run they were just 96th, posting 140.7 yards per outing, while averaging 34.1 PPG to check in 26th. Defensively they were so-so, but in a pass-happy Big 12, their numbers were pretty good. They were 44th in total yards allowed at 362.2, while ranking 71st against the pass with 228.3 yards per game. On the ground, Iowa State allowed just 133.8 yards to rank 33rd, and they coughed up 25.3 PPG to rank 52nd.

-- Iowa State QB Brock Purdy rolled up 3,760 passing yards with 27 touchdowns and nine interceptions, and he also ran for eight scores. Notre Dame's Ian Book can also sling it, posting 2,792 yards with 33 touchdowns and just six interceptions while running for 537 yards and four more touchdowns. With those two under center on both sides, we could have quite the aerial show.

-- The Fighting Irish have covered four in a row, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four non-conference tilts, too. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games, with that non-cover last season in the Cotton Bowl vs. Clemson.

-- The Cyclones are 19-6-1 ATS in the past 26 as an underdog, but just 2-5 ATS in the past seven non-conference games, and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six overall. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four neutral-site games, and 1-5 ATS in the past six appearances in the month of December.

-- It's all under, all the time, for the Cyclones lately. The under is 21-10-2 in their past 33 games overall, and 6-2-1 in the past nine non-conference tilts. The under is 7-0-1 in their past eight neutral-site games, and 6-0-1 in the past seven bowl tilts. The under is also 4-0-1 in the past five in a bowl as an underdog, while going 9-2-1 in the past 12 against winning teams.

-- The under is 5-1 in Notre Dame's past six neutral-site battles, while going 5-2 in their past seven as a favorite.


Cotton Bowl Classic (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

Memphis vs. Penn State

-- The Cotton Bowl Classic features a battle between the high-flying Memphis Tigers (12-1 straight up, 8-5 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference against the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tex.

-- Penn State was so-so offensively, ranking 64th with 403.7 total yards per game and 69th with 228.7 passing yards per contest. On the ground they managed 175.0 yards per outing to check in 49th, while averaging 34.3 points per game to end up 24th in the land. Defensively they were a lockdown team, ranking 23rd in total yards allowed (330.5), 78th with 232.5 passing yards allowed and just seventh in points per game allowed at 14.1. Against the run, a key for Penn State in this game, they were fifth overall with just 98.0 rushing yards per game allowed.

-- Memphis, the top Group of Five entrant, can really score. They're 10th in the nation with 480.7 total yards per game, 26th in passing yards (284.5) and 34th in rushing yards (196.2), while posting 40.5 points per game to rank eighth in the country. Defensively they can hold their own, ranking 49th with 372.3 total yards allowed, 34th against the pass (200.7) and 79th against the rush (171.6) while allowing 24.4 points per game to check in 76th.

-- Tigers freshman RB Kenneth Gainwell is a handful, as he rumbled for 1,425 yards on the ground while gathering 12 touchdowns. QB Brady White can sling it, too, though, going for 3,560 passing yards, so they're anything but one dimensional.

-- Nittany Lions QB Sean Clifford led the way with 2,521 yards, hitting WR KJ Hamler for 858 of those yards. Yetur Gross-Matos posted eight sacks. Clifford (leg) and Gross-Matos (arm) are each listed on the injury report, but both fully expected to play.

-- Memphis is hoping to turn things around in bowl games. They won their first two postseason appearances in 1971, and then 2003. However, they 2-7 since, including four straight bowl losses. They fell 37-34 to Wake Forest in the Birmingham Bowl last season.

-- Penn State has a lengthy bowl history, and most of it good. However, they haven't been great lately, going 3-6 SU in the past nine, including a loss to Kentucky in last season's Citrus Bowl. They have won two of five bowl trips under current head coach James Franklin. The last time they faced an AAC team in the postseason they lost to Houston in the TicketCity Bowl in the Cotton Bowl, 30-14, back on Jan. 2, 2012.

-- The Tigers are colkd against the number, going 4-9 ATS in the past 13 as an underdog, 1-6 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games and 0-4 ATS in their past four bowl appearances. In addition, they're 1-10 ATS in the past 11 games in the month of December.

-- Conversely, Penn State is 4-0 ATS in the past four December showings, while going 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 non-conference tilts. They're also 20-9-2 ATS in the past 31 against winning teams, but just 1-4 ATS in the past five as a favorite.

-- For Memphis, the over is 7-3 in the past 10 games overall, while going 12-4 in the past 16 non-conference tilts and 6-2 in the past eight against winning teams. The over is also 10-2 in the past 12 as an underdog.

-- The over has hit in each of the past four neutral-site games for Penn State, while going 4-1 in their past five bowl appearances. The over is 8-1 in their past nine non-conference battles, too, while going 4-1 in the past five vs. AAC foes. The under is 7-3 in the past 10 overall for Penn State, however.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

601BROWN -602 DUKE
BROWN is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs since 1997.

603YOUNGSTOWN ST -604 IUPUI
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

603YOUNGSTOWN ST -604 IUPUI
Jerrod Calhoun is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers (Coach of YOUNGSTOWN ST)

605LONG BEACH ST -606 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

607C MICHIGAN -608 PURDUE
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609WISCONSIN -610 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

611WI-MILWAUKEE -612 N KENTUCKY
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.

613FLA INTERNATIONAL -614 MINNESOTA
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

615COLL OF CHARLESTON -616 DREXEL
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 70-46 ATS (19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

617WI-GREEN BAY -618 WRIGHT ST
WRIGHT ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons.

619MARIST -620 COLUMBIA
COLUMBIA is 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.

621TOLEDO -622 BRADLEY
BRADLEY is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

623NORTHEASTERN -624 TOWSON ST
NORTHEASTERN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

625DETROIT -626 OAKLAND
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

627E MICHIGAN -628 UNLV
E MICHIGAN is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

629LOUISVILLE -630 KENTUCKY
LOUISVILLE is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game since 1997.

631E WASHINGTON -632 WEBER ST
WEBER ST is 54-28 ATS (23.2 Units) in home games vs. winning teams since 1997.

633HOFSTRA -634 JAMES MADISON
HOFSTRA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

635E KENTUCKY -636 E CAROLINA
E KENTUCKY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

637LA-MONROE -638 BUTLER
BUTLER is 146-107 ATS (28.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% since 1997.

641CS-FULLERTON -642 UCLA
CS-FULLERTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

643N COLORADO -644 PORTLAND ST
N COLORADO is 27-15 ATS (10.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

645SACRAMENTO ST -646 MONTANA ST
MONTANA ST is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) off a close road loss by 3 points or less since 1997.

647CS-NORTHRIDGE -648 BOISE ST
Leon Rice is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) at home when the total is 150-154.5 (Coach of BOISE ST)

647CS-NORTHRIDGE -648 BOISE ST
Mark Gottfried is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game (Coach of CS-NORTHRIDGE)

647CS-NORTHRIDGE -648 BOISE ST
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

649CAL POLY-SLO -650 SAN DIEGO ST
CAL POLY-SLO is 5-27 ATS (-24.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

651UNC-WILMINGTON -652 DELAWARE
DELAWARE is 22-10 ATS (11 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

653NIAGARA -654 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

655BELMONT -656 W KENTUCKY
BELMONT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

657SEATTLE -658 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

659ORAL ROBERTS -660 BYU
ORAL ROBERTS are 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997.

661PEPPERDINE -662 SAN JOSE ST
SAN JOSE ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

663UC-RIVERSIDE -664 FRESNO ST
UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

665N ARIZONA -666 MONTANA
MONTANA is 24-13 ATS (9.7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

667IDAHO -668 IDAHO ST
IDAHO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

669PACIFIC -670 UC-IRVINE
UC-IRVINE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the total is 129.5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

669PACIFIC -670 UC-IRVINE
PACIFIC is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

1651AMERICAN -1652 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

1655NEW ORLEANS -1656 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

1655NEW ORLEANS -1656 MEMPHIS
Penny Hardaway is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread (Coach of MEMPHIS)

1657C ARKANSAS -1658 MARQUETTE
C ARKANSAS are 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

1659N ALABAMA -1660 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

1661BUCKNELL -1662 LASALLE
LASALLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

1663TEXAS SOUTHERN -1664 ARIZONA ST
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game since 1997.

1665FAIRFIELD -1666 WAGNER
FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a dog in the current season.

1667LONGWOOD -1668 GEORGE WASHINGTON
LONGWOOD is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

1669MORGAN ST -1670 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game since 1997.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 28


Brown @ Duke

Game 601-602
December 28, 2019 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
47.136
Duke
77.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 30
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 27 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-27 1/2); Over

American @ Georgetown

Game 1651-1652
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
American
48.496
Georgetown
69.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgetown
by 21
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgetown
by 16 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
Georgetown
(-16 1/2); Under

Central Michigan @ Purdue

Game 607-608
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
52.497
Purdue
68.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 16 1/2
123
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 21
142
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+21); Under

Long Beach St @ Florida

Game 605-606
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
44.755
Florida
66.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 21 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 23
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Long Beach St
(+23); Under

Youngstown St @ IUPUI

Game 603-604
December 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
50.029
IUPUI
42.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Youngstown St
by 8
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Youngstown St
by 3 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Youngstown St
(-3 1/2); Over

WI-Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky

Game 611-612
December 28, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
WI-Milwaukee
46.487
Northern Kentucky
57.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 11
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 6 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Kentucky
(-6 1/2); Over

St Peter's @ Hampton

Game 1653-1654
December 28, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Peter's
49.908
Hampton
41.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Peter's
by 8
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Peter's
by 1 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(-1 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Memphis

Game 1655-1656
December 28, 2019 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
42.853
Memphis
70.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 27
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 23 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-23 1/2); Over

Wisconsin @ Tennessee

Game 609-610
December 28, 2019 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
62.048
Tennessee
68.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 6 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3 1/2
120 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-3 1/2); Over

Central Arkansas @ Marquette

Game 1657-1658
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
42.464
Marquette
63.429
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 21
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 25
161
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+25); Under

North Alabama @ Florida State

Game 1659-1660
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Alabama
45.494
Florida State
68.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 23
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 24 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
North Alabama
(+24 1/2); Under

Bucknell @ LaSalle

Game 1661-1662
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bucknell
44.157
LaSalle
55.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LaSalle
by 11 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LaSalle
by 6 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
LaSalle
(-6 1/2); Over

Northeastern @ Towson

Game 623-624
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northeastern
51.606
Towson
54.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Towson
by 3
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Towson
by 2
134
Dunkel Pick:
Towson
(-2); Over

Green Bay @ Wright State

Game 617-618
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
51.064
Wright State
57.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 7
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 11
158
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+11); Under

Toledo @ Bradley

Game 621-622
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
54.814
Bradley
58.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bradley
by 4
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bradley
Pick
137
Dunkel Pick:
Bradley
Over

Coll of Charleston @ Drexel

Game 615-616
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coll of Charlesto
51.160
Drexel
52.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drexel
by 1 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coll of Charlesto
by 3 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+3 1/2); Under

Marist @ Columbia

Game 619-620
December 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
38.854
Columbia
45.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbia
by 6 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbia
by 11
128
Dunkel Pick:
Marist
(+11); Under

Eastern Michigan @ UNLV

Game 627-628
December 28, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
47.902
UNLV
54.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UNLV
by 6 1/2
123
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UNLV
by 4
127 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(-4); Under

Texas Southern @ Arizona State

Game 1663-1664
December 28, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
45.939
Arizona State
66.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 20
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 16 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-16 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Oakland

Game 625-626
December 28, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
41.733
Oakland
53.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 11 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 8 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-8 1/2); Under

Louisville @ Kentucky

Game 629-630
December 28, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
71.115
Kentucky
69.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 1 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 1 1/2
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(+1 1/2); Over

LA-Monroe @ Butler

Game 637-638
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
51.151
Butler
70.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 19 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 23
123
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+23); Over

Longwood @ George Washington

Game 1667-1668
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Longwood
42.868
George Washington
47.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
George Washington
by 4 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
George Washington
by 8
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Longwood
(+8); Under

FIU @ Minnesota

Game 613-614
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
56.996
Minnesota
67.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+12 1/2); Under

East Washington @ Weber State

Game 631-632
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Washington
52.208
Weber State
53.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Weber State
by 1 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 3
151
Dunkel Pick:
Weber State
(+3); Under

Eastern Kentucky @ East Carolina

Game 635-636
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Kentucky
37.620
East Carolina
51.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 13 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Carolina
by 10
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(-10); Under

Fairfield @ Wagner

Game 1665-1666
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
46.020
Wagner
46.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wagner
by 1
123
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield
by 2
127 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(+2); Under

Hofstra @ James Madison

Game 633-634
December 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hofstra
54.071
James Madison
48.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hofstra
by 5 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hofstra
by 2 1/2
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hofstra
(-2 1/2); Under

Cleveland State @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 639-640
December 28, 2019 @ 4:12 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
45.145
Illinois-Chicago
51.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 6 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 11 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
(+11 1/2); Over

CS-Fullerton @ UCLA

Game 641-642
December 28, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
CS-Fullerton
44.844
UCLA
56.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 12
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 14
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
CS-Fullerton
(+14); Over

Northern Colorado @ Portland St

Game 643-644
December 28, 2019 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
54.277
Portland St
55.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland St
by 1
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Portland St
(+2); Over

Northridge @ Boise State

Game 647-648
December 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northridge
46.680
Boise State
57.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 11 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 8 1/2
151
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-8 1/2); Under

Sacramento St @ Montana State

Game 645-646
December 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
50.958
Montana State
46.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento St
by 5
119
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento St
Pick
126 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento St
Under

Niagara @ Syracuse

Game 653-654
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Niagara
44.219
Syracuse
62.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 18 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 22
147
Dunkel Pick:
Niagara
(+22); Under

Cal Poly @ San Diego St

Game 649-650
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Poly
39.046
San Diego St
71.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 32 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 27
126
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-27); Over

NC-Wilmington @ Delaware

Game 651-652
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Wilmington
39.875
Delaware
52.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Delaware
by 13
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Delaware
by 12
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware
(-12); Over

Belmont @ Western Kentucky

Game 655-656
December 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Belmont
61.135
Western Kentucky
60.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Belmont
by 1
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Belmont
(+2); Under

Seattle @ St Mary's

Game 657-658
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
46.101
St Mary's
70.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 24 1/2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 19
134
Dunkel Pick:
St Mary's
(-19); Under

Oral Roberts @ Brigham Young

Game 659-660
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oral Roberts
53.128
Brigham Young
71.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 18
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 14
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-14); Under

Pepperdine @ San Jose St

Game 661-662
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pepperdine
50.526
San Jose St
46.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pepperdine
by 4 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pepperdine
by 8 1/2
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+8 1/2); Over

Cal Riverside @ Fresno State

Game 663-664
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Riverside
50.826
Fresno State
55.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 5
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 8
122
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Riverside
(+8); Over

Idaho @ Idaho State

Game 667-668
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
38.156
Idaho State
43.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
by 5 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho State
by 7
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(+7); Over

Northern Arizona @ Montana

Game 665-666
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
49.895
Montana
51.371
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 1 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 7 1/2
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+7 1/2); Over

Pacific @ UC-Irvine

Game 669-670
December 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pacific
49.789
UC-Irvine
59.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UC-Irvine
by 10
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UC-Irvine
by 7 1/2
128
Dunkel Pick:
UC-Irvine
(-7 1/2); Over

Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount

Game 1669-1670
December 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan State
37.923
Loyola Marymount
51.379
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 13 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 9 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola Marymount
(-9 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROWN (5 - 5) at DUKE (10 - 1) - 12/28/2019, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
DUKE is 146-102 ATS (+33.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
DUKE is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
DUKE is 230-175 ATS (+37.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


YOUNGSTOWN ST (7 - 6) at IUPUI (4 - 9) - 12/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPUI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPUI is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-0 against the spread versus IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-0 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONG BEACH ST (4 - 10) at FLORIDA (7 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


C MICHIGAN (7 - 5) at PURDUE (7 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WISCONSIN (6 - 5) at TENNESSEE (8 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 163-127 ATS (+23.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WI-MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) at N KENTUCKY (8 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
N KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 166-130 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 166-130 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 218-171 ATS (+29.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA INTERNATIONAL (9 - 3) at MINNESOTA (6 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in December games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLL OF CHARLESTON (6 - 6) at DREXEL (7 - 6) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 72-38 ATS (+30.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 4-2 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-2 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WI-GREEN BAY (5 - 8) at WRIGHT ST (10 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 4-2 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 5-1 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (1 - 8) at COLUMBIA (3 - 9) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MARIST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MARIST is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 1-0 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 1-0 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (8 - 4) at BRADLEY (8 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTHEASTERN (6 - 6) at TOWSON ST (6 - 6) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOWSON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
TOWSON ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN is 3-1 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (2 - 10) at OAKLAND (5 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OAKLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E MICHIGAN (9 - 2) at UNLV (5 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 168-211 ATS (-64.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
UNLV is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in December games since 1997.
UNLV is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISVILLE (11 - 1) at KENTUCKY (8 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 3:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E WASHINGTON (7 - 4) at WEBER ST (4 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) in December games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 54-28 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 2-1 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOFSTRA (9 - 4) at JAMES MADISON (7 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOFSTRA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
HOFSTRA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 104-143 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 104-143 ATS (-53.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
JAMES MADISON is 3-2 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 4-1 straight up against JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E KENTUCKY (3 - 9) at E CAROLINA (5 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
E KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
E KENTUCKY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
E KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
E KENTUCKY is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 85-118 ATS (-44.8 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA-MONROE (4 - 6) at BUTLER (11 - 1) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 165-122 ATS (+30.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BUTLER is 174-104 ATS (+59.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND ST (4 - 9) at IL-CHICAGO (5 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 127-97 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in December games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
IL-CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CS-FULLERTON (3 - 10) at UCLA (7 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-FULLERTON is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CS-FULLERTON is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
UCLA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N COLORADO (7 - 4) at PORTLAND ST (6 - 6) - 12/28/2019, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
N COLORADO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND ST is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N COLORADO is 3-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 3-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRAMENTO ST (7 - 2) at MONTANA ST (6 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CS-NORTHRIDGE (3 - 10) at BOISE ST (8 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 86-117 ATS (-42.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BOISE ST is 111-74 ATS (+29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CAL POLY-SLO (2 - 10) at SAN DIEGO ST (12 - 0) - 12/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL POLY-SLO is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNC-WILMINGTON (5 - 8) at DELAWARE (10 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE is 3-0 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-0 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NIAGARA (2 - 8) at SYRACUSE (7 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BELMONT (8 - 4) at W KENTUCKY (7 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BELMONT is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BELMONT is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BELMONT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
BELMONT is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEATTLE (7 - 7) at ST MARYS-CA (11 - 2) - 12/28/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) in December games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ORAL ROBERTS (7 - 5) at BYU (10 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 258-200 ATS (+38.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 164-126 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BYU is 164-126 ATS (+25.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BYU is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
BYU is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games in December games since 1997.
BYU is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
BYU is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PEPPERDINE (7 - 6) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 10) - 12/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 60-90 ATS (-39.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UC-RIVERSIDE (8 - 5) at FRESNO ST (4 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1997.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ARIZONA (6 - 3) at MONTANA (4 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 2-2 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 4-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (4 - 7) at IDAHO ST (3 - 6) - 12/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 75-46 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
IDAHO is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO ST is 3-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PACIFIC (12 - 3) at UC-IRVINE (7 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PACIFIC is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PACIFIC is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
PACIFIC is 1-0 straight up against UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AMERICAN (4 - 6) at GEORGETOWN (9 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 122-161 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 122-161 ATS (-55.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST PETERS (3 - 5) at HAMPTON (4 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 136-102 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 136-102 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
HAMPTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
HAMPTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMPTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HAMPTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 1-0 against the spread versus HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 1-0 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW ORLEANS (4 - 7) at MEMPHIS (10 - 1) - 12/28/2019, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


C ARKANSAS (3 - 9) at MARQUETTE (9 - 2) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ALABAMA (5 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (10 - 2) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
N ALABAMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BUCKNELL (4 - 8) at LASALLE (8 - 3) - 12/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUCKNELL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUCKNELL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games this season.
BUCKNELL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
BUCKNELL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
BUCKNELL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
LASALLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
LASALLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 1-0 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 2-0 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS SOUTHERN (3 - 8) at ARIZONA ST (8 - 4) - 12/28/2019, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FAIRFIELD (3 - 7) at WAGNER (3 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAGNER is 1-0 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
WAGNER is 2-0 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONGWOOD (5 - 7) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (5 - 6) - 12/28/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MORGAN ST (5 - 8) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (6 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 51-78 ATS (-34.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 113-150 ATS (-52.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 113-150 ATS (-52.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 28

Northern Kentucky won its last six games with Milwaukee, winning last three meetings here, by 6-2-13 points. NKU won three of last four games, is 6-4 vs schedule #144; they’re experience team #79 that 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with only loss by 2 in double OT to Texas Southern. Norse turns ball over 21.8% of time (#292). Milwaukee lost its last five games, is 3-7 vs schedule #261; they’re experience team #103 that is 0-5 vs top 200 teams, with three losses by 7 or fewer points. Panthers are shooting 41.9% inside arc, have #312 eFG%.

Charleston won seven of its last nine games with Drexel; teams split last four meetings played here (underdogs 3-1 ATS). Cougars lost five of last seven games, are 5-6 vs schedule #74; they’re experience team #102 that lost two of three true road games, winning at Marshall, losing by 1 at UCF, 7 at Richmond. Charleston is 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with wins by 19-12 points. Drexel is 6-6 vs schedule #252, despite turning ball over 24.1% of time (#337). Dragons are experience team #262 that 0-5 vs top 200 teams, with three losses by 8 or fewer points.

Home side won five of last six Northeastern-Towson games; teams split last four meetings played here. Underdogs covered three of last four series games. Northeastern hasn’t played in nine days; they’re 6-6 vs schedule #286; they’ve made 41.2% of their 3’s (#3), have #4 eFG% in country. Huskies are experience team #9 that three of five true road games, losing at Eastern Michigan, UMass, Towson won four of last six games after a 1-4 start; Tigers are 0-6 vs top 200 teams, with three losses by 6 or fewer points- their eFG% is #260 in country.

Oakland won eight of last nine games with Detroit, winning last two meetings here, by 9-10 points. Grizzlies lost their last four games, are 4-8 vs schedule #53; three of their last five losses were by 2 or 3 points. Oakland is experience team #237 that is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#291), making only 26% of its 3’s (#348). Detroit lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-10 vs schedule #114, losing all six of their true road games. Brad Calipari is shooting 45.3% on arc; team as a whole only 32.9%. Titans are shooting 39.6% inside arc (#349).

Kentucky beat Louisville five of last six years, winning last two meetings by 29-13 points; Cardinals lost their last five visits to Lexington, losing 90-61 here two years ago. Louisville hasn’t played in 10 days; they’re 11-1 vs schedule #244, with only lost to Texas Tech on a neutral floor. Cardinals have four top 100 wins, all by 13+ points. Kentucky lost its last two games after an 8-1 start; they’re shooting only 27.8% on arc (#323). Wildcats split their only top 100 games, with 69-62 win over Michigan St, 71-65 loss to Ohio St- they’re #341 experience team in country.

Weber State-Eastern Washington split last ten meetings; EWU won its last two visits to Ogden, by 5-3 points. Eastern is 5-4 vs schedule #65, while playing #2 tempo in country. Eagles lost four of six true road games; they’re experience team #294 that is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 8-16-16 points. EWU is shooting 34.6% on arc, getting 36.9% of their points on arc (#60). Weber is 1-7 vs schedule #40, with three non-D-I wins; their only D-I win was by 5 at Utah Valley. Opponents are shooting 58.1% inside arc (#339) against the Wildcats.

Hofstra won five of last six games with James Madison, beating JMU 76-67 in CAA tourney last March; Pride won their last three visits here, by 5-16-17 points. Hofstra won seven of its last nine games, is 8-4 vs schedule #307; they’re experience team #5 whose bench plays least minutes in country- they split six true road games. JMU hasn’t played in eight days; they’re 6-4 vs schedule #276, forcing 2nd-fewest turnovers in country. Dukes are 2-3 vs top 200 teams, with wins over Charlotte/ODU. JMU are experience team #311 that gets 39.5% of its points on arc (#25).

Ill-Chicago won five of last seven games with Cleveland State; teams split last four meetings played here. Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven series games. UIC hasn’t played in eight days; they won three of last five games after a 1-6 start- getting Ottey back at G has helped. Flames are turning ball over 24.1% of time (#336). Cleveland State lost last five games, scoring less than 60 points in three of last four; Vikings are 3-9 vs schedule #79, turning ball over 26.3% of time (#348), making only 23.1% of their 3’s, worst %age in country.

Portland State lost its last five games with Northern Colorado; Bears won last three visits to Portland, by 14-7-13 points. Northern hasn’t played in eight days; they won last three games, are 5-4 vs schedule #196, 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with only loss to Gardner-Webb. Bears lost four of five true road games, winning by 21 at Wyoming. PSU hasn’t played in nine days; they’re 4-6 vs schedule #157, the #27 experience team that is 0-5 vs top 200 teams, with three losses by 8 or less points. PSU split its only two D-I home games, beating Northridge by 6.

Home side won last five Montana State-Sacramento State games; Hornets lost their last seven visits to Bozeman. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Sac State hasn’t played in 10 days; they’re 5-2 vs schedule #239, splitting four true road games- their losses are at Colorado, Santa Clara. Hornets are experience team #48 with #10 eFG% defense- opponents have made only 25.5% of their 3’s (#5). MSU lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-5 vs schedule #148, turning ball over 23.1% of time (#322). Bobcats won only D-I home game, vs South Dakota St.

Delaware won its last four games with NC-Wilmington, winning last two meetings here, by 4-20 points. Underdogs are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight series games. Delaware lost three of its last four games after an 8-0 start; they’re experience team #172 that has played schedule #304 with a bench that has played minutes #351. Blue Hens are shooting 36.5% on arc (#55). UNCW lost its last five games, is 2-8 vs schedule #120, turning ball over 22.1% of time (#300). Couple of kids left team recently; Seahawks lost all four true road games, by 15+ points each.

Montana won its last nine games with Northern Arizona; NAU lost its last four trips to Missoula, by 7-18-18-2 points. Montana lost three of last four games, is 3-7 vs schedule #20; they’re #243 experience team that is 3-0 at home vs D-I teams, but lost to an NAIA team at home- their eFG% is #282 in country. NAU is 5-3 vs schedule #170; they’re continuity team #27 whose coach quit LY to become an assistant at Arizona. Lumberjacks split four true road games, winning at Cal-Riverside, Utah Valley; they’re shooting 35.9% on arc (#77).

Idaho State won its last three games with Idaho, winning last two visits to Moscow, by 3-17 points. Underdogs covered last four series games. ISU lost last three games, is 1-6 vs schedule#101, with two non-D-I wins- their lone D-I win was at Air Force; Bengals are turning ball over 24.8% of time (#344). Idaho lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-7 vs schedule #292, with only wins over VMI/Bakersfield; Vandals are experience team #135 that is shooting only 28.2% on arc (#318), turning ball over 21.6% of time (#281)- their eFG% is #281.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

557MEMPHIS -558 DENVER
DENVER is 28-50 ATS (-27 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

559INDIANA -560 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

561TORONTO -562 BOSTON
TORONTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games playing with 2 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

565NEW YORK -566 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 13-30 ATS (-20 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the last 3 seasons.

567CLEVELAND -568 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

569BROOKLYN -570 HOUSTON
BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

571ATLANTA -572 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

573ORLANDO -574 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 54-32 ATS (18.8 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

575DALLAS -576 GOLDEN STATE
DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the current season.

577DETROIT -578 SAN ANTONIO
DETROIT is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

581LA LAKERS -582 PORTLAND
LA LAKERS are 450-530 ATS (-133 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

583UTAH -584 LA CLIPPERS
UTAH is 77-55 ATS (16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, December 28

Grizzlies–Nuggets
Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games; they covered last four games as a road underdog. Four of their last five road games went under. Denver won seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-10 ATS as a home favorite. Five of their last six games went over.

Grizzlies lost six of last eight games with the Nuggets; they’re 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Denver. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Pacers-Pelicans
Indiana won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine road games. Five of their last six road games went under. New Orleans is off a 3-1 road trip; they lost their last seven home games. Pelicans’ last five games went under.

Pacers won six of last nine games with New Orleans; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Six of last eight series games went under.

Raptors-Celtics
Toronto lost its last two games after a 6-1 run; they’re 2-5 ATS in last seven road games. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Boston won its last five games; they’re 6-2 ATS in last eight home games. Celtics’ last three games went over.

Raptors lost four of last five games with Boston, losing by 16 to them at home Wednesday; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Beantown. Over is 5-1 in last six series games..

76ers–Heat
Philly lost for of last seven games; they’re 4-9 SU in last 13 road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Miami won eight of its last ten games; they covered three of last five home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

76ers won six of last eight games with Miami; they’re 3-1 ATS in last four visits to South Beach. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Knicks–Wizards
New York lost three of its last four games; they covered four of last five road games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Washington lost eight of its last ten games; they lost for of last five home games. Six f their last seven games went over.

Knicks lost four of last five games with the Wizards, losing by 6 at home to Wizards Monday. NY is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan. Five of last six series games went under.

Cavaliers–Timberwolves
Cleveland won three of last four games (4-0 ATS); they’re 2-7 ATS in last nine road games, eight of which went over the total. Minnesota snapped an 11-game skid Thursday; they’re 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight home games. Wolves’ last five games went under.

Cavaliers lost three of last four games with Minnesota; they covered four of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Seven of last eight series games went over.

Nets–Rockets
Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS in last nine games following a SU loss; they’re 4-4 ATS as a road underdog. Four of their last six road games went over. Houston won six of its last eight games; they’re 0-4 ATS in last four home games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Nets won last two games with Houston, after losing previous five; they covered their last five trips to Houston. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Hawks–Bulls
Atlanta lost its last nine games; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five road games. Hawks’ last seven road games went over. Chicago split its last six home games; they’re 5-3 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

Hawks lost three of last four games with the Bulls; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to Chicago. Three of last four series games went over.

Magic–Bucks
Orlando split its last six games; they covered six of their last eight road games. Magic’s last four road games went over. Milwaukee won 22 of its last 24 games; they covered six of last eight home games. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Magic lost seven of last nine games with the Bucks; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee. Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

Mavericks–Warriors
Dallas split its last eight games; they’re 4-1 ATS as a road favorite. Over is 10-4 in their road games. Golden State won/covered its last four games, all at home; under is 9-1 in their last ten home games. Warriors are 2-3 ATS if they played the night before.

Mavericks won their last two games with Golden State, by 35-48 points; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five trips to the Bay Area. over is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Pistons–Spurs
Detroit lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-7-1 ATS as a road underdog. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. San Antonio lost four of last seven games; they’re 2-9 ATS as a home favorite. Four of their last five home games went over.

Pistons lost eight of last ten games with the Spurs (3-7 ATS); they’re 1-3 ATS in last four visits to San Antonio. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Suns–Kings
Phoenix lost its last eight games; they’re 5-4 ATS as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Sacramento lost its last five games; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five home games. Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

Home side won last five Phoenix-Sacramento games; Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Sacramento. Four of last five series games went under.

Lakers–Trailblazers
Lakers lost their last four games; they’re 0-6 ATS in last six games, 0-4 in last four on road. Four of their last five road games stayed under. Portland lost its last two games after a 5-1 run; they’re 6-9 ATS at home. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Lakers won three of last four games with Portland; they covered four of last five visits to Oregon. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Jazz–Clippers
Utah won six of its last seven games; they’re 2-5 ATS as a road underdog. ver is 7-3 in their last ten games. Clippers won seven of last ten games; they covered four of last five games as a home favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Jazz won six of last eight games with the Clippers; they’re 4-2 ATS in last six series games played here. Three of last four series games went under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, December 28

Trend Report

Memphis @ Denver
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Indiana @ New Orleans
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Cleveland

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games

Brooklyn @ Houston
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

New York @ Washington
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Washington
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing New York
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Atlanta's last 25 games
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Milwaukee is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Dallas @ Golden State
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Golden State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas

Detroit @ San Antonio
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit

Phoenix @ Sacramento
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Phoenix's last 24 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

LA Lakers @ Portland
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
Portland
Portland is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 28


Memphis @ Denver

Game 557-558
December 28, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
111.583
Denver
124.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 12 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-8 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Boston

Game 561-562
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.664
Boston
125.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
216
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+6); Over

Indiana @ New Orleans

Game 559-560
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
118.091
New Orleans
121.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-1); N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 563-564
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
123.793
Miami
121.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+1 1/2); Over

New York @ Washington

Game 565-566
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.989
Washington
110.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-1 1/2); N/A

Atlanta @ Chicago

Game 571-572
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
108.658
Chicago
113.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+7 1/2); N/A

Brooklyn @ Houston

Game 569-570
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
113.790
Houston
119.628
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 6
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10
233
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+10); Over

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 567-568
December 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
106.264
Minnesota
115.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 9
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-6 1/2); N/A

Orlando @ Milwaukee

Game 573-574
December 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.736
Milwaukee
130.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 14 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 11
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-11); N/A

Detroit @ San Antonio

Game 577-578
December 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.808
San Antonio
118.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+4 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Golden State

Game 575-576
December 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
126.656
Golden State
112.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 14
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 10 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-10 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Sacramento

Game 579-580
December 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.534
Sacramento
111.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+1 1/2); N/A

LA Lakers @ Portland

Game 581-582
December 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
121.247
Portland
113.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 3 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-3 1/2); Under

Utah @ LA Clippers

Game 583-584
December 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
115.268
LA Clippers
126.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 11 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (12 - 20) at DENVER (21 - 9) - 12/28/2019, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 175-130 ATS (+32.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
DENVER is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (21 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 23) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 10) at BOSTON (22 - 7) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 121-93 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (23 - 11) at MIAMI (23 - 8) - 12/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 148-193 ATS (-64.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (8 - 24) at WASHINGTON (9 - 21) - 12/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 248-198 ATS (+30.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-56 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (9 - 22) at MINNESOTA (11 - 19) - 12/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 91-120 ATS (-41.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 221-269 ATS (-74.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (16 - 14) at HOUSTON (21 - 10) - 12/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (6 - 26) at CHICAGO (12 - 20) - 12/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (14 - 17) at MILWAUKEE (28 - 5) - 12/28/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (20 - 10) at GOLDEN STATE (9 - 24) - 12/28/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 92-57 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-75 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-64 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (12 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (12 - 18) - 12/28/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 867-747 ATS (+45.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 367-307 ATS (+29.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 445-369 ATS (+39.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DETROIT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (11 - 20) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 19) - 12/28/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (24 - 7) at PORTLAND (14 - 18) - 12/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (19 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 10) - 12/28/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 77-55 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

by: Josh Inglis


GETTING HOT IN THE IGLOO

On Saturday, two of the hottest teams before the break will square off in Pittsburgh as the Penguins host the Predators. The Pens have dominated their Western Conference opponents this year to the tune of 14-4-1 and have won seven of their last eight at home.

Goalie Tristan Jarry may be the best goalie in hockey this year as his 1.86 goals against average is tops in the league. That number gets even smaller when Jarry suits up at home as the netminder owns a 1.46 GAA at home this year across 10 games. We are taking the Pens ML on Saturday as the Predators recent success may give us a better number.


LIGHTNING LAMP-LIGHTERS

Sunday, the league’s best Over team at home (14-4-1 O/U) will take on the Detroit Red Wings who have allowed 30 goals in their last seven road games. The Tampa Bay Lightning hit the Over in four of their last five games before the holidays as the team sits third in goals per game.

The Lightning’s offense has run through its power play which is converting at 32.5 percent (1st) since November and is second in the league in expected goals for. The only problem in playing the Over is trusting the Wings’ offense as it sits near the bottom of the league in every offensive category. The safer bet is with the Tampa team total Over 3.5 as the Wings have allowed four or more goals in four straight and six of their last seven road games.

If there is any value in the Puck Line, don’t hesitate to take it, but we think it will be as low as it ever goes with this mismatch of talent, especially with Detroit playing the backend of a back-to-back.


GOALIE PROFILE: BEN BISHOP, DALLAS STARS

Ben Bishop went into the break having given up 10 goals in Dallas’ final two games. The usually steady goaltender has dropped four straight starts and should face the Avalanche on Saturday.

Colorado will be on a back-to-back which should help the struggling veteran who is 1-0 versus the Avs this year having made 36 of 37 saves in a 4-1 win on November 5. Bishop still owns a 1.90 goals against at home this year and we think the goalie is worth trusting in a good spot for a Dallas Stars Money Line play.


TRENDS

• Putting your money on home dogs has been a losing endeavour over the last month in the NHL. Away favorites have hit at an incredible 66 percent since late November, up from their 56 percent rate across the entire season. If you are looking for a more aggressive play (Puck Line), away favorites have covered at 50 percent ATS over the last 30 days which is big bucks with the great value of Puck Lines.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

57NASHVILLE -58 PITTSBURGH
NASHVILLE is 11-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

59NY RANGERS -60 TORONTO
NY RANGERS are 73-67 ATS (-0.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more since 1996.

61MONTREAL -62 TAMPA BAY
MONTREAL is 8-2 ATS (8.2 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

63DETROIT -64 FLORIDA
DETROIT is 1-20 ATS (-21 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

65COLORADO -66 DALLAS
COLORADO is 12-4 ATS (9.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

67WASHINGTON -68 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 5-17 ATS (-14 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

67WASHINGTON -68 CAROLINA
Rod Brind Amour is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game (Coach of CAROLINA)

69LOS ANGELES -70 VANCOUVER
LOS ANGELES are 14-40 ATS (-21.4 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

71ARIZONA -72 VEGAS
ARIZONA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

73PHILADELPHIA -74 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 5-12 ATS (-9.3 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, December 28

Trend Report

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Colorado is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina's last 15 games
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Washington is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Florida Panthers
Florida is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Florida is 8-14-2 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games
Detroit is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Florida
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Pittsburgh is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Nashville is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Nashville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Nashville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Montreal is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
NY Rangers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Rangers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
NY Rangers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Toronto
NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Rangers's last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home
Vancouver is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Los Angeles
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Los Angeles's last 15 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Vancouver
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Vancouver

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 9 games at home
Vegas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Vegas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Vegas
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
San Jose is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
San Jose is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Jose is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-20-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Jose
Philadelphia is 2-10-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, December 28


Colorado @ Dallas

Game 65-66
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
9.394
Dallas
10.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-125); Under

NY Rangers @ Toronto

Game 59-60
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.630
Toronto
13.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-220
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-220); Over

Montreal @ Tampa Bay

Game 61-62
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
13.562
Tampa Bay
11.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+165); Under

Detroit @ Florida

Game 63-64
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
10.900
Florida
9.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-300
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+250); Under

Nashville @ Pittsburgh

Game 57-58
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
11.662
Pittsburgh
10.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(+105); Over

Washington @ Carolina

Game 67-68
December 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
11.121
Carolina
12.124
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-125); Over

Los Angeles @ Vancouver

Game 69-70
December 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
11.437
Vancouver
10.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-175
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+155); Under

Arizona @ Vegas

Game 71-72
December 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.851
Vegas
9.168
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+110); Under

Philadelphia @ San Jose

Game 73-74
December 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.137
San Jose
9.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (18-13-0-6, 42 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (22-11-0-4, 48 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 67-58 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 16-21 ATS (-17.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-6 ATS (+8.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-5 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NASHVILLE is 296-233 ATS (+27.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 6-1 ATS (+7.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 6-1 ATS (+7.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-32 ATS (-21.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 38-40 ATS (-18.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (18-15-0-4, 40 pts.) at TORONTO (21-14-0-4, 46 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 14-10 ATS (+27.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-27 ATS (-8.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
TORONTO is 160-158 ATS (-52.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 79-111 ATS (-55.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 34-28 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (18-13-0-6, 42 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (18-13-0-4, 40 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-7.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-8 ATS (+13.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 23-18 ATS (+48.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-5 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-2 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONTREAL is 7-2 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-8 ATS (-10.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-8 ATS (-11.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 420-433 ATS (-97.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 195-217 ATS (-82.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (9-26-0-3, 21 pts.) at FLORIDA (18-13-0-5, 41 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-29 ATS (+56.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 9-29 ATS (+56.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 320-301 ATS (-115.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 3-20 ATS (+36.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 3-19 ATS (+36.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 3-16 ATS (+28.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 135-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 207-187 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (23-12-0-3, 49 pts.) at DALLAS (20-14-0-4, 44 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 2-8 ATS (+11.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.1 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 264-175 ATS (+40.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 235-162 ATS (+28.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
COLORADO is 13-7 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
COLORADO is 201-175 ATS (+377.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-5 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 6-5-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (27-7-0-5, 59 pts.) at CAROLINA (22-14-0-2, 46 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 27-12 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-23 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-12 ATS (+9.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-11 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-14 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 75-53 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-9.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 120-133 ATS (-68.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-7-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (16-20-0-4, 36 pts.) at VANCOUVER (19-15-0-4, 42 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 1-14 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 404-391 ATS (-107.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 7-3 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 7-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (21-14-0-4, 46 pts.) at VEGAS (20-15-0-6, 46 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 23-17 ATS (+47.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-18 ATS (+48.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-7 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-30 ATS (+72.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 20-21 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 20-21 ATS (-11.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 23-30 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 7-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (21-11-0-5, 47 pts.) at SAN JOSE (16-20-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/28/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 266-284 ATS (-99.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 447-394 ATS (-122.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 72-69 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 1-10 ATS (-12.6 Units) in December games this season.
SAN JOSE is 37-43 ATS (-17.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 195-165 ATS (-70.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 18-28 ATS (-21.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 5-12 ATS (-8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 5-12 ATS (-8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Bowls & CBB Picks 12/28

100* Over 123 Wisconsin/Tennessee
100*Over 60 Memphis/Penn State
100* Notre Dame -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Central Michigan +20½ Over Purdue

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: NORTHEASTERN (CBB) +2½ over Towson St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Saturday's Free Selection: Brooklyn Nets/Houston Rockets over 233

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins Roz's SATURDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2019 Free Pick

CBK
12/28 07:00 PM Take : (669) PACIFIC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Cal-Fullerton + 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Saturday's Free Selection: Brooklyn Nets + 9 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Pacific Tigers +7½ over UC Irvine

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play Saturday, December 28, 2019



CBK
12/28 02:05 PM Take : (543) NORTHERN COLORADO

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is

TENNESSEE -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : CS-FULLERTON +14 over UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Saturday

Denver -9 NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Saturday's Free Pick: Sacramento Kings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Purdue -20 NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Free Play SAT: CBB Minnesota - 12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: NC-WILMINGTON (CBB) +12 over Delaware

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: Eastern Washington Eagles - 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: San Antonio -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park



Sunland Park - Race 5

1st Half $1 Daily Double/$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta



Claiming $6,250 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 2:06P


FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DIVE BAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LEADING PROSPECT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. QUIEN ES: Today is a sprint and this is t he horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



6

DIVE BAR

7/2


4/1




7

LEADING PROSPECT

3/1


9/2




2

QUIEN ES

7/2


9/2
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

QUIEN ES

2


7/2

Front-runner

74


70


67.4


67.6


60.1




6

DIVE BAR

6


7/2

Front-runner

78


73


65.6


69.4


64.4




5

MY BULL

5


10/1

Front-runner

0


0


49.2


47.8


35.8




7

LEADING PROSPECT

7


3/1

Stalker

70


74


65.4


68.4


62.9




1

RISK IT ALL

1


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

77


70


41.0


51.6


41.1




3

MR. SILVER EXPRESS

3


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


73


55.0


63.0


56.5




4

STORM THE BEACH

4


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75


65


24.8


50.6


41.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 3

Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4



Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:35P


FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 13 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ANY CHANNEL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ANY CHANNEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PRECIOSA BORICUA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



3

ANY CHANNEL

2/1


5/2




4

PRECIOSA BORICUA

5/1


4/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

PRECIOSA BORICUA

4


5/1

Front-runner

63


55


55.0


50.4


43.4




3

ANY CHANNEL

3


2/1

Alternator/Front-runner

66


65


61.6


54.2


49.7




2

FARANDULERA

2


6/1

Stalker

59


42


41.4


42.2


35.2




5

CIELO SANTO

5


7/2

Trailer

53


51


25.2


52.0


45.0




6

CARIBENA

6


3/1

Trailer

55


45


13.8


54.0


46.0




1

ENTENDIDA

1


5/2

Alternator/Trailer

63


58


46.2


46.2


39.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Stakes - 16.0f on the Turf. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 109

H. ALLEN JERKENS S. - THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15. $1,000 TO ENTER. $100,000 GUARANTEED. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS: 122 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 5/2




# 7 CAROM 7/2




# 9 HEZA KITTEN 15/1




AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) seems to be the bet in here. His 98 average has this colt with among the best speed figures for this event. Has respectable front-end speed and will most likely fare well versus this group of horses in this race. Should be given a chance - I like the figures from the last race. CAROM - Ortiz has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 22 percent rate. HEZA KITTEN - Garnered a quite good speed rating last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $70000 Class Rating: 98

B-CONNECTED S. - FOR LOUISIANA BRED THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A SWEEP STAKE. NO NOMINATION OR START FEE, $700 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION OF $1,400 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRIES WHICH WILL INCLUDE ALL FEES. WITH $70,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED PER THE PURSE STRUCTURE FOR STAKE RACES IN THE CONDITION BOOK. WEIGHT: THREE YEARS OLD 122 LBS. OLDER




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 BENDING SAINT 5/2




# 7 DOUBLE BARREL MAN 7/2




# 3 STAR FITZSTALL 6/1




I give my vote to BENDING SAINT here. Has to be carefully examined versus this group displaying competitive figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 104 under similar conditions. Thornton has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 25 percent rate. Thornton will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early for this event. DOUBLE BARREL MAN - Ought to be carefully examined in this contest if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last contest. He should definitely be given a chance given the decent speed figures. STAR FITZSTALL - He has a formidable distance/surface win record - 1 out of 4. Should be carefully examined based on the very good Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 5:13pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 PRORIKA (ML=3/1)
#8 KOWBOYS GAL (ML=6/1)


PRORIKA - The Dec 12th clash at Golden Gate Fields was at a class level of (82). Dropping down the class ladder drastically, so she should be in a good position to win. This horse has increased her Equibase speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is extremely important. KOWBOYS GAL - Mare is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a nice effort today. This one could be a potential overlay today at morning odds of 6/1. Finished fifth in last race at Golden Gate Fields but was close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JOYOUS (ML=5/2), #7 BLUEBERRY PRINCESS (ML=4/1), #2 DONVERAS CAT (ML=9/2),

JOYOUS - This less than sharp equine has no victories at Golden Gate Fields. Run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race at Golden Gate Fields at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. BLUEBERRY PRINCESS - In any contest of 5 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in sprint races lately. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - PRORIKA - Having the best speed fig last race of 75 at Golden Gate Fields on Dec 12th. This filly has an excellent chance to win here.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #6 PRORIKA to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:12pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 GOLD ENDEAVOR (ML=7/2)
#10 HAIL TO THE CHIEF (ML=3/1)
#1 SUBLIMINALCRIMINAL (ML=4/1)


GOLD ENDEAVOR - A big drop in Equibase class figure points from his November 23rd race at Churchill Downs. Based on that element, I will give this animal the advantage. This animal is in the top spot in earnings per start (EPS). He looks solid in today's contest. HAIL TO THE CHIEF - This jock and trainer have a fabulous winning pct when they are put together. A big drop down in class rating points from his Nov 23rd race at Churchill Downs. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. SUBLIMINALCRIMINAL - Good win percentage this jock and trainer duet have been putting together. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last time out. With the benefit of a fast track, has a good shot today. I like the fact that this colt's last speed rating, 80, is tops in this field. McPeek moves this colt to the dirt today. Look for a pretty big improvement from the most recent race on the grass.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TRADIN UP (ML=6/1), #7 HAVE A PLAN (ML=8/1), #13 DRAKESBORO WILDCAT (ML=8/1),

TRADIN UP - This horse hasn't been near the winner at the wire of late. Pace makes the race and the shortage of speed means this rallier will have to rally without any help. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed fig than in the last race to vie in this dirt route. HAVE A PLAN - I'm foreseeing a less than stellar try out of him today. DRAKESBORO WILDCAT - Lackluster winning percent (4) with first timers for this sire, Get Stormy.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #9 GOLD ENDEAVOR on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [9,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct



12/28/19, AQU, Race 2, 12.58 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $12,500 or less not considered in allowances) (1. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
5
Getoffmyback
7/2
Alvarado J
Sciacca Gary
JSF


098.5691
7
Data Driven
4/5
Correa J
Rodriguez Rudy R.
E


097.4016
4
Liam Lets Go
12-1
Carmouche K
Cannizzo David A.
C


097.3202
3
Brimstone
12-1
Diaz. Jr. H R
Toscano. Jr. John T.
L


097.0839
1
Mad Munnys
9/2
Franco M
Rodriguez Rudy R.




095.6157
8
Big Thicket
12-1
Cancel E
Persaud Randi




095.5557
6
Bootlegger (FR)
15-1
Carroll D
Brown Bruce R.




089.9860
2
Professor Snape
30-1
Camacho. Jr. S
Tournas Peter
W


After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.


Pgm#
Profit
HiWin$
ROI
Win%
Wins
Races
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


5
24.40
10.40
1.19
46.15
30
65
Third Race After 45 Days Off


4
4.60
21.00
1.01
36.40
83
228
Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


3
4.60
21.00
1.01
36.40
83
228
Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


1
4.60
21.00
1.01
36.40
83
228
Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


8
29.20
21.00
1.17
40.48
34
84
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today


6
4.60
21.00
1.01
36.40
83
228
Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


2
4.60
21.00
1.01
36.40
83
228
Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.91, Win% 36.24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



12/28/19, SA, Race 8, 2.51 PT
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Frankel Stakes
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta /$2 Rolling Double - 0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) - $0.50 Late Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11) / $0.10 Superfecta - $1 Super High 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
2
Excellent Sunset (IRE)(b-)
7/2
Rosario J
Baltas Richard
TEW


098.9650
6
Harmless
6-1
Cedillo A
Hess. Jr. Robert B.
FL


097.9487
7
Mirth
5/2
Smith M E
D'Amato Philip




096.8507
4
Streak of Luck
5-1
Valdivia. Jr. J
Chew Matthew
S


095.6003
5
Curlin's Journey
6-1
Fuentes R
Keen Dallas E.




095.4146
3
Don't Blame Judy
5-1
Espinoza V
Kruljac J. Eric




095.3847
1
Tiny Tina
6-1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
JC


094.4478
8
Ms Peintour
20-1
Blanc B
Koriner Brian J.




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.


Pgm#
Profit
HiWin$
ROI
Win%
Wins
Races
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


2
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


6
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


7
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


4
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


5
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


3
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


1
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


8
91.80
44.00
1.23
33.33
67
201
Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today


Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.75, Win% 25.86
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser


Rating
Pgm#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags


100.0000
2
Excellent Sunset (IRE)(b-)
7/2
Rosario J
Baltas Richard
TW


099.9838
7
Mirth
5/2
Smith M E
D'Amato Philip
SE


098.0997
6
Harmless
6-1
Cedillo A
Hess. Jr. Robert B.
L


097.3798
4
Streak of Luck
5-1
Valdivia. Jr. J
Chew Matthew




096.9080
3
Don't Blame Judy
5-1
Espinoza V
Kruljac J. Eric




096.5654
1
Tiny Tina
6-1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
JC


096.2933
5
Curlin's Journey
6-1
Fuentes R
Keen Dallas E.
F


095.2022
8
Ms Peintour
20-1
Blanc B
Koriner Brian J.




After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.


Pgm#
Profit
HiWin$
ROI
Win%
Wins
Races
Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse


2
65.40
19.00
1.14
34.85
84
241
Not Third Race After 45 Days Off


4
65.40
19.00
1.14
34.85
84
241
Not Third Race After 45 Days Off


3
65.40
19.00
1.14
34.85
84
241
Not Third Race After 45 Days Off


1
23.40
18.00
1.03
35.13
124
353
No 5f Workout Since Last Race


5
65.40
19.00
1.14
34.85
84
241
Not Third Race After 45 Days Off


8
4.00
15.60
1.01
34.97
57
163
Last Race Was Different Jockey


Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.85, Win% 36.45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

Free Pick on Memphis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -7 +100 at Mirage

Take the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers in the Cotton Bowl. Penn State (10-2) has won two of their last three games with their 27-6 win over Rutgers on November 30th as a 38.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Penn State is also 20-9-2 ATS in their last 31 games against teams with a winning record. Memphis (12-1) has won seven straight games after winning the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 29-24 win over Cincinnati as a 9-point favorite on December 7th. But the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games in December (including their last four bowl games). And Memphis has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog. Lay the points with Penn State (then check back for our 25* CFB Playoff Semifinals Game of the Year and our 25* CFB Playoff Total of the Year for tonight!). Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -6½ -110 at betonline

On Saturday Cotton Bowl comp play is on Penn.St The Lions are 17-1 Ats off a win and no cover. They are the better team here and the winning team has covered 16 straight in the Cotton Bowl. American Athletic teams like Memphis are 1-11 at as a dog of 7 or less and interim coaches have failed to cover 13 of 16 in Bowl action as a dog off a win. Penn ST fits a system that plays on favorites with a record that is than their opponent. Play on Penn. ST. For the Free pick. Play on Penn.ST.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

1* on Memphis +7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Memphis +7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Dec 28 '19, 1:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Wisconsin vs Tennessee
Play on: UNDER 124 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Wisconsin vs Tennessee under 124 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Dec 28 '19, 3:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Detroit vs Oakland
Play on: Detroit +8½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Detroit +8½ -109
Neither the Detroit Mercy Titans (2-10) or the Oakland Golden Grizzlies (5-8) own a winning record. Tonight, they’ll face off against one another.
Detroit Mercy just ended an eight-game losing streak with a big win over SIU-Edwardsville. Two of the Titans’ losses on that streak came by eight points or fewer. Detroit has scored 71 points or more in three of their last four games.
On average, the Titans are scoring 66.8 points while allowing 79.9 points per game.
Antoine Davis has led Detroit in scoring in all but two games this season, and is coming off a 35-point performance. This year, Davis is averaging 25.3 points per game.
Oakland enters tonight’s contest as losers of four straight and of six of their last seven games. Additionally, three of the Golden Grizzlies’ wins have come by 10 points or fewer. Most recently, Oakland fell to Fairfield by two points in overtime.
On average, the Golden Grizzlies are scoring 62.5 points while allowing 64.8 points per game.
Only two Oakland players are averaging double-digit points. Despite shooting just 25.9% from three, Xavier Hill-Mais leads the way with 15.6 points and 7.6 rebounds per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Dec 28 '19, 4:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma vs LSU
Play on: OVER 75 -110

FREE PLAY on Oklahoma/LSU over 75 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Grizzlies +9 -105 at Bovada

10* FREE NBA PICK (Grizzlies +9)
I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies as a 9-point road dog against the Nuggets. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with a Memphis team that has really been playing well over the last few weeks. Grizzlies are a respectable 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Denver on the other hand had their 7-game winning streak snapped with an ugly 112-100 loss at home to the Pelicans on Christmas Day. Even in the winning streak the Nuggets weren't dominating teams. Denver is a mere 4-8-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
Nuggets have failed to cover in each of their last 5 games when listed as the favorite and are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Memphis on the other hand has covered 4 straight as a road dog and are 7-2 in their last 9 off a SU win by more than 10 (won 110-97 at OKC on Thursday). Give me the Grizzlies +9!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Dec 28 '19, 7:05 PM in 9h
NHL | Canadiens vs Lightning
Play on: Lightning -175 at jazz

1* Free Sharp Play on Lightning -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Dec 28 '19, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -4½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from one of their worst losses of the season. They lost 98-132 at Detroit earlier this month and now they host the Pistons. Look for them to get the win and cover at home tonight.
The Spurs are playing well right now as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They played both the Rockets and Mavs down to the wire on the road, beat the Grizzlies by 30 on the road, and also topped the Nets by 13 at home.
The Pistons are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Injuries are starting to pile up on the Pistons. They will be without two of their best players tonight in F Markieff Morris and G Luke Kennard.
The Pistons are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Detroit is 15-34-3 ATS in its last 52 games as an underdog. San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Spurs Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

I know there is a question lingering - like with many bowls that have big-name teams - and that is will the prominent team show up? Does it want to be there?

Will the Irish come to play?

They've slumbered through the week - they went out Monday night, were sluggish on Tuesday, barely grazed sharpness on Wednesday... it's not been the type of week coach Brian Kelly would have expected.

But these are still the Irish, and they still represent a legacy of football and will show up with pride.

And even at 80 percent - both mentally and physically - the Irish are better than Iowa State and talented quarterback Brock Purdy.

The biggest reminder, to the team, has been every reporter in attendance asking the players: "Do you even care about this game?"

It's incensed and fired up the Irish, who are allowing just 163.7 passing yards per game, and will have to apply pressure to Purdy, who averages 37.1 passing attempts per game. It's a perfect showdown, as Notre Dame's biggest strength this season matches up well with Iowa State's.

Notre Dame's top-down defense ensures coverage stay in front, so the Irish secondary stays in sound position to stop the pass. And that is trouble for Purdy, who isn't a big-play guy as much as he is a dink-and-dunk quarterback. He likes the quick dumps, and with the Irish playing tight, it wouldn't surprise me to see Notre Dame's linebackers pick one or two.

The Cyclones are no defensive juggernaut, as they've forced a mere 13 turnovers this season, and rank 99th in third down stops at 42.6 percent. They're going to struggle to stop the run, and that's where the Irish will end up winning this game. Key short-yardage first downs, and downfield runs against shoddy tacklers.

Don't buy into Notre Dame not coming to play. The Irish win this one and cover.

And be aware, as I always insist with football favorites in this range, we're buying the half point. So if this game is in between -3 and -4.5 points, I want you purchasing the half point down.

5* NOTRE DAME

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen DeAngelo

For Saturday’s freebie in college football bowl action, we’ll grab the points with Memphis against Penn State in the Cotton Bowl.



It’s not every day that a team that went 12-1 and is riding a seven-game winning streak is a touchdown underdog in a bowl game. But that’s the situation Memphis finds itself here in its first game since head coach Mike Norvell bolted for the Florida State job. The fact Norvell won’t be on the Memphis sidelines is one reason the oddsmakers aren’t giving the Tigers much of a shot today. Two other reasons: 1) Memphis, which won the American Athletic Conference title, didn’t face the same caliber of competition as Penn State, and 2) The Tigers’ explosive offense hasn’t run up against a defense as good as Penn State.



All are very valid points. But here are the counterarguments: Norvell left Memphis on good terms, so it’s not like the players felt jilted. At the same time, those players would love nothing more than to take down a marque program like Penn State and show their former coach what he left behind. And while there’s no denying that Penn State has the stronger strength of schedule, having played Michigan, Minnesota and Ohio State, there’s also no denying that the Nittany Lions lost two of those three games (Minnesota and Ohio State). And they barely held on to beat Michigan (at home).



As for Penn State’s defense, it’s legit. But other than Ohio State, the Nittany Lions didn’t face an opponent as explosive as Memphis, which averaged 40.5 points and 480 yards per game (scoring 42 points or more eight times). Meanwhile, even though Penn State’s defense is superior (especially against the run), it’s not like the Tigers’ stop unit is inept. They allowed just 20 points per game; gave up more than 30 points just three times; and they were stout against the pass, yielding 201 passing yards per game (6.6 yards per pass). By comparison, Penn State surrenders 232 passing yards per game (7 yards per pass).


Throw in the fact Penn State failed to cash in each of its last three games as a favorite (and four of its last five), and I’ll gladly side with a very live, very motivated and very disrespected underdog.

3* MEMPHIS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

The focus today will obviously on the college football bowl games, especially the pair of National Semifinals, but don't forget that the annual Bluegrass State battle jumps ball today at 3:45 at Rupp Arena as #4 Louisville will take on #19 Kentucky.

Chris Mack's team will make the short trek across I-64 to take on Coach Cal's team and my money will be on the Redbirds to get the better of the Wildcats.

Both teams have been off since before Christmas, as the 'Ville has responded with a pair of blowout wins and covers since losing their lone game of the year on the 10th of December to Texas Tech.

UK comes into this game off back-to-back setbacks to both Utah and Ohio State as the Wildcats are just 7-4 on the season. They also happen to be on a 2-7 pointspread slide over their last 9 games.

The Cardinals come in having covered in 5 of their last 6 games and are in prime position to end their series skid to the Wildcats in today's meeting. This is just coach Chris Mack's second meeting as the Cards head coach against Kentucky and last year his team was soundly beaten, 71-58, as Big Blue has now won the last pair and 8 of the last 10 series meetings. Kentucky has also covered in the last pair and 7 of the past 8 meetings.

That changes today as this is a Louisville team that can go very deep into the month of March. The Redbirds rank # 3 in the nation in field goal defense, as they are holding opponents to 35% from the floor. They also boast a very balanced scoring attack led by junior Jordan Nwora who brings in an over 21 points per game scoring average. Center Steven Enoch posts over 11 points per game, while Dwayne Sutton and Ryan McMahon are both very close to 10 points per contest.

Trust the depth and talent of the Cardinals to end their series skid at 2 as they come up with the big road win in Lexington.

Play Louisville.

4* LOUISVILLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

My free winner for Saturday is on the Pacific Tigers against the Cal Irvine Anteaters, as this is far too many points to give one of the nation's top rebounding teams.

It's the final game of the calendar year for the Tigers, and coach Damon Stoudamire will have his troops aiming for another big road victory.

Pacific, which leads the all-time series with UC Irvine, 42-39, is 12-3 this season and roll into Bren Events Center riding a seven-game win streak.

Senior Jahlil Tripp recorded his third double-double of the season with 21 points and 13 rebounds in the Tigers' 11-point victory over Idaho State last Saturday, while Amari McCray nearly matched his career high in points, with 15.

Catching a touchdown-plus is a gift, as Pacific is atop the West Coast Conference and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin (11.2). The Tigers also lead the conference in scoring defense, holding opponents to a meager 59.8 points per game.

The Tigers have out-rebounded their opponents in 11-of-12 contests this season and are 10-0 when leading at halftime.

Irvine is in after dropping its last two games, losing to UTEP (67-61) and Illinois-Chicago (76-67). And now it faces the 19th-best scoring defense in the nation.

Take the road pup here.

5* PACIFIC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – Ohio St under 63
2. Gameday Network CFB – Iowa St over 53.5
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Memphis over 59.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Celtics -6.5
5. Sports Action 365 NBA – Bucks -11.5
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Pacers -1
7. Lou Panelli CFB – LSU over 75.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – Memphis +7.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Kings -2
10. William E. Stockton NBA – Nuggets -9
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Iowa St +4
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – BYU -14
13. SCORE CBB – Hofstra -2.5
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Memphis +7.5
15. Tony Campone CBB – UCLA -14.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Minnesota -14
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Pistons +5
18. VIP Action NBA – Lakers -4.5
19. South Beach Sports CFB – Memphis over 59.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – LSU over 75.5
21. NY Players Club NBA – Hawaks +9.5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Wizards +3
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – 76ers +1.5
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Jazz +8.5
25. National Consensus Report CFB – Iowa St +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Dec 28 '19, 4:00 PM in 35m
NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs Weber State
Play on: Eastern Washington -2 -114 at pinnacle

Don't miss ASAwins 10* TOP PLAY on the LSU / Oklahoma CFB Playoff match up on Saturday!
ASAwins CBB FREE PLAY ON Eastern Washington -2 over Weber State, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET
EWU has one of the most potent scoring teams in the country. In fact, they currently lead the nation in scoring at 89 PPG. They shoot nearly 47% from the field (60th nationally) and they are a solid 3 point shooting team as well. They will be facing a defense today in Weber State that ranks 330th at defending inside the arc, 339th at defending outside the arc, and 345th in eFG% defense. We expect Eastern to have a big day offensively which will be a problem for Weber State as they are 0-6 SU this year when allowing more than 69 points. The Wildcats, on the other hand, do not shoot the ball well ranking 287th making just 40% of their shots on the year. If they get to the FT line, they make just 62% which is good for 325th nationally. EWU has defended well this year allowing opponents just 41.8% from the field and only 30% from deep. While the Eagles are just 1-5 SU on the road this year, they’ve played a very tough schedule away from home including the likes of Gonzaga, Boston College, and Washington. The game they did win on the road was vs a decent Seattle team who rates very similar to this Weber State team. Weber is 3-1 at home but their 3 wins have come vs non-Division 1 teams (Bethesda, Westcliff, and West Coast Baptist). The only Division 1 team they faced at home this year was San Diego and the Wildcats lost that game by 15 points. These two Big Sky teams split their games last year with each team winning on the road. Weber has been held under 70 points in 7 of their 11 games this year and we don’t see how they can keep up in this game. Our projections have EWU getting to 80 points here which should be enough to cover this small number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -9 -109 at GTBets

Take the Denver Nuggets minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies. Denver (21-9) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Christmas Day with their 112-100 loss at home to New Orleans as a 9-point favorite. The Nuggets have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while that game finished below the 216 point total, Denver has then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Memphis (12-20) comes off a 110-97 upset win in Oklahoma City on Thursday as a 6-point underdog. The Grizzlies have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Memphis has also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 31 trips to Denver to face the Nuggets. Lay the points with Denver. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Grizzlies +9 -105 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Memphis Grizzlies +9
The Memphis Grizzlies have quietly gone 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are playing well right now with upsets in five of those six wins. And I think the Nuggets won’t be beating them by double-digits tonight. Denver is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games overall and has won just one of its last seven games by double-digits. The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs. The Nuggets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites. Give me the Grizzlies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Northern Colorado vs Portland State
Play on: Portland State +1½ -110 at Mirage

1 Dimer on Portland State +1½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Dec 28 '19, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -4½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from one of their worst losses of the season. They lost 98-132 at Detroit earlier this month and now they host the Pistons. Look for them to get the win and cover at home tonight.
The Spurs are playing well right now as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They played both the Rockets and Mavs down to the wire on the road, beat the Grizzlies by 30 on the road, and also topped the Nets by 13 at home.
The Pistons are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Injuries are starting to pile up on the Pistons. They will be without two of their best players tonight in F Markieff Morris and G Luke Kennard.
The Pistons are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Detroit is 15-34-3 ATS in its last 52 games as an underdog. San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Spurs Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Dec 28 '19, 10:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Pacific vs Cal-Irvine
Play on: Pacific +7 -110 at jazz

1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Pacific Tigers +7
Pacific is definitely worth a look here as a big road dog against the Anteaters. The Tigers come into this game at 12-3 and are riding a 7-game win streak. They are 3-1 on the road and the last time they were away from home they overcame a 9-point 2nd half deficit in a 74-66 upset win at UNLV.
Pacific only has one loss all season by more than 6 points and that was a mere 10-point loss to South Dakota. As for UC-Irvine, they are just 7-7 overall and 4-6 over their last 10. Last time out they were upset at Illinois-Chicago, losing 67-76 as a 4.5-point favorite. It was the third time this season they have lost outright when laying points.
One of the strengths of the Anteaters is their size and talent at the post position, but Pacific can really match up well with them, as they got size and athleticism across all five positions. Last year the Tigers beat Irvine 84-75 as a 3.5-point dog and are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Pacific!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan Dec 28 '19, 10:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: UNDER 223½ -109

Under 223.5
It's the Lakers 24-7 (16-15 ATS) vs. Trailblazers 14-18 (13-17-2 ATS) on Saturday night. This matchup tips off at 10pm ET from the Moda Center in Portland.
The Lakers come into this one losers of 4 straight, and now they get a Portland team that have beaten them 17 out of the last 20 meetings. In case you live under a rock LeBron James is injured. He has a groin contusion and is questionable to play Saturday. He aggravated the injury when he collided with Patrick Beverly in the first quarter of the Lakers' Christmas Day loss.
The reason for the high over/under on this game? Easy. Last time these two teams met was a track meet, with the Lakers coming out on top 136-113.
I liked the UNDER in this game before I read LeBron is questionable, if he misses this game (possible) then I'll really like it, and wish it was one of my premium plays. Throw in NO LeBron James and you've erased the track meet scenario This will be a half-court game with a lot of running the shot clock down.
With him and Davis (Always with the knee issues) in the game but injured I expect a slower paced tempo as well. Time will tell. At the end of the day for this total to go over you need Rajon Rondo and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to really light it up when AD, Kuzma and LeBron are off the floor...that leaves me unimpressed.
Some trends to consider. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Blazers last 9. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games as a road favorite, and 4-1 in Lakers last 5 road games. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Portland's last 16 games played in December, and UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games played on a Saturday.
Play the UNDER 223.5.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
Saturday 5* FREE NBA O/U Play