Service Plays Monday 12/30/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports football

3 illinois+6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE PHONES

4- Florida

2- Illinois

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE COKIN

Western Michigan +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole
CFB Monday 3* Bowl OU PLAY
Over 54.5 Virginia/Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer
5-Unit Play: Take 245 W. Michigan +3.5 over W. Kentucky (12:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30

First Responder Bowl

I'm taking the points with Western Michigan on Monday. C-USA has been a bankroll burner in the bowls thus far, losing 4 of their first 5 bowl games. The Broncos schedule rated tougher than did Western Kentucky's yet WMU owns the better key numbers. WMU also has bowl revenge on their side, if you will. No, they didn't lose to WKU last bowl season but they blew a game they could have and feel they should have won with a major letdown in the second half of a loss to BYU after leading at halftime. Bottom line: this one is power rated as WMU being the favorite, yet they're getting more than a field goal. I'm backing Western Michigan plus the points on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dec 30 Ralph Michaels 3% [CFB] (245) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (246) Western Kentucky

Time: 12:30 PM EST WESTERN MICHIGAN 3.5 (-114)
Analysis:

3% Western Michigan +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINNs REDBOX BOWL 5% BIG TICKET
Game (249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA
Date/Time: Dec 30 2019 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)
Play Rating: 5%
Play: CALIFORNIA -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Cal Golden Bears -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating
(249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA
The Bears (7-5) are in their second straight holiday bowl event and square off against the Fighting Illini (6-6) who are playing in their first bowl game since 2014
Cal lost to TCU in last year's Cheez-It Bowl -- a game that was a snooze-fest for those that watch football for offensive action. Last season's Cheez-game was in one of the lowest-scoring bowl games in the last 25 years. Illinois head coach Lovie Smith is on the verge of having his first winning season as the Illini bench boss.
This isn't being labeled as such but all things transparent it is... a home game for California. The Golden Bears have the versatility to be whomever they want on offense. They have a pair of quarterbacks that are interchangeable depending on their plan of attack and the opponent. Sophomore Chase Garbers and junior Devon Modster combined for 2,205 passing yards, 410 rushing yards, and 18 touchdowns. The bell cow in the offensive backfield is RB Christopher Brown Jr who’s is lightning of the offensive skilled players. The tailback posted 943 yards from scrimmage with 11 combined touchdowns.
Cal is, as the Illini are, defense-first. The Bears average 20.1 points and 323.0 yards per game
The Illini are lead by quarterback Brandon Peters, running backs Reggie Corbin, Dre Brown, and Ra'Von Bonner. Smith's offense averages 27.3 ppg. Illinois went over the 30-point mark in six regular-season games but have faced but one defense as skilled and capable as the Bears.
The underlying peripherals in this game significantly favor the Bears. I expect this game to be a back-and-forth affair for the most part. Both teams will score plenty and do enough on defense to keep their teams competitive. But this resurgent Illinois team will find a way to pull out a close win in the end.
The Illini rank near the bottom of most important offensive categories. They gained, on average, over 509 yards less against their opponents this year than the foe allowed on average.
Cal’s offensive efficiency, adjusted, places them in the plus-yardage category in each and every game this season. The Cal offense averaged only 323 yds per game but factoring in numbers, i.e. time of possession and others puts them on top of the Illini on both offense and defense. On the stop side of the ball the Bears have an overwhelming advantage. And the offense is, for the first time this season, intact, healthy and ready to send QB Garbers behind center to start in this RedBox event -- a game in which Cal controls from start to finish and the best team and eventual winner in this holiday contest is never in question.
CALIFORNIA BEARS -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ELITE SPORTS PICKS

Mississippi State/Louisville UNDER 63

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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Florida-14 NCAAFB

3* Mississippi State/Louisville UNDER 63

3* Valparaiso+1 NCAABB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Portland-4 NBA

3* Western Michigan+3.5 NCAAFB

3* Eastern Washington-7.5 NCAABB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks For 12/30/19

4 Unit --> Florida -14 over Virginia (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Northern Kentucky -5.5 over Wisconsin-Green Bay (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Portland St. -2.5 over Southern Utah (NCAAB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The rainman

10 stars: Florida
3 stars: California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling
30 Miss St
25 WKY
25 FLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

TOP DOG

9:19 AM
W. MICHIGAN +3.5
W. KENTUCKY VS W. MICHIGAN | 12/30 | 12:30 PM EST
The hook could make the difference in an even matchup. So could the time gap between the final regular-season game and the bowl for Western Michigan star RB LeVante Bellamy (23 TDs, 1,410 yards). Nagging injuries did not slow him down much, and he should be refreshed against the No. 21 defense in points allowed. In the postseason, if it’s a top-notch defense against a top-notch offense, usually side with the latter.

45-36-1 IN LAST 82 CFB ATS PICKS | +521

Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

YESTERDAY 5:55 PM
W. MICHIGAN +3.5
W. KENTUCKY VS W. MICHIGAN | 12/30 | 12:30 PM EST
FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- I wish I had a great reason to explain this pick, but in the end it boils down to me just fading Conference USA this bowl season. The conference is 2-4 so far, but its two wins were by its two best teams. The rest of the conference past FAU and Louisiana Tech has been soft all season. Now, that's not to say the MAC is filled with juggernauts, but this Western Michigan team is good enough to cover against a WKU team that's not as good as its 8-4 record would suggest.

23-18-3 IN LAST 44 CFB ATS PICKS | +307

Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

TUE 12/24
W. KENTUCKY -3.5
W. KENTUCKY VS W. MICHIGAN | 12/30 | 12:30 PM EST
FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- WMU has not played great - or consistent - defensively this season. While the Broncos have an offense capable of threatening any opponent, their defense usually is giving the opposing team free access to the end zone. Look for more of that here, as WKU is firing on all cylinders offensively and playing much better defense.

107-69-1 IN LAST 177 CFB ATS PICKS | +3178
3-2 IN LAST 5 WKY ATS PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

9:30 AM
LOUISVILLE +4.5
MISS. STATE VS LOUISVILLE | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
Mississippi State appeared to be the stronger team coming into this one. But with RB Kylin Hill sitting out as he prepares for the NFL Draft and their starting QB missing the game because of a fight with a teammate, the Bulldogs have too much smoke around them for me to feel comfortable picking them. Louisville has played inspired ball all season.

107-69-1 IN LAST 177 CFB ATS PICKS | +3178
3-1 IN LAST 4 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +189


Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

YESTERDAY 5:52 PM
UNDER 63
MISS. STATE VS LOUISVILLE | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
MUSIC CITY BOWL -- Yeah, this total is just too high. Mississippi State's defense had problems during the regular season, but that was due to suspensions and injuries. The unit comes into this game with everybody available. As for Louisville, its defense has been a problem at times, but this Mississippi State offense isn't strong enough to exploit it. At least, not as often as this total suggests it will.

26-19-1 IN LAST 46 CFB O/U PICKS | +500

Barrett Sallee

CFB GURU

MON 12/23
UNDER 63.5
MISS. STATE VS LOUISVILLE | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
MUSIC CITY BOWL -- Bulldogs running back Kylin Hill will play after declaring for the draft, but will it be more of a curtain call? Probably. Because of that, the Bulldogs will play a little sloppy on offense even though Louisville's defense has been shaky this year. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs defense gave up just 22.3 points per game in November. This won't touch 60 points.

54-27-2 IN LAST 83 CFB PICKS | +2418

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

9:25 AM
CALIFORNIA -6.5
CALIFORNIA VS ILLINOIS | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
It's been a feel-good season for the Fighting Illini, who went on a four-game winning streak at the most critical juncture - beating Wisconsin in the process. Where I have concern is on the defensive side of the ball, as Illinois hasn't been able to prevent opponents from making the big play. Cal's defense is fundamentally sound and plays with extreme discipline.

107-69-1 IN LAST 177 CFB ATS PICKS | +3178
6-3-1 IN LAST 10 CAL ATS PICKS | +266


Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

THU 12/26
ILLINOIS +6.5
CALIFORNIA VS ILLINOIS | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
REDBOX BOWL -- The Illini have done well this season as an underdog, going 6-1 ATS, including straight up wins against Wisconsin, Purdue and Michigan State. Now they're nearly a touchdown dog against a Cal team scoring only 20 points per game that is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this season, and 4-7-1 ATS when favored since last season.

23-18-3 IN LAST 44 CFB ATS PICKS | +307

Barrett Sallee

CFB GURU

MON 12/23
UNDER 43
CALIFORNIA VS ILLINOIS | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
REDBOX BOWL -- The Under is 7-4 in Cal games and 8-4 in Illinois games this season. Illinois' defense hasn't been stellar, but it's not like Cal's offense has done a lot to instill confidence this season. Combine trends with what's typically a sloppy track at Levi's Stadium, and you get a low-scoring, sloppy game.

54-27-2 IN LAST 83 CFB PICKS | +2418

[Iowethe man]

Chris Fallica
The Bear: 38-40-1 overall (2-6 bowls)

Louisville over 63
Kansas state +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

9:34 AM
FLORIDA -14.5
FLORIDA VS VIRGINIA | 12/30 | 8:00 PM EST
I really like the Gators in this game. I thought they were one of the tougher teams in the SEC, let alone the East Division. They can run the ball, they play good defense and they have efficient QB play. Virginia does have a tremendous talent in QB Bryce Perkins, but at times, its offense seems a bit one-dimensional. Look for the Gators to make a statement in this one.

107-69-1 IN LAST 177 CFB ATS PICKS | +3178
8-4 IN LAST 12 FLA ATS PICKS | +361


Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

YESTERDAY 5:49 PM
FLORIDA -14.5
FLORIDA VS VIRGINIA | 12/30 | 8:00 PM EST
ORANGE BOWL -- We've seen it all year long with Virginia. When the Cavs run into a team with a strong front seven and a good pass rush, they struggle mightily. That was the case in losses to Notre Dame, Miami and Clemson. In Miami they'll be facing a Florida defense that ranks third nationally in sack rate. I don't know where Virginia's points come from.

23-18-3 IN LAST 44 CFB ATS PICKS | +307
4-1 IN LAST 5 FLA ATS PICKS | +290


Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU

MON 12/23
FLORIDA -14.5
FLORIDA VS VIRGINIA | 12/30 | 8:00 PM EST
ORANGE BOWL -- Games are won at the line of scrimmage, and Virginia can't block anybody. Is that suddenly going to change against a talented, fast and aggressive Gators front seven? Absolutely not. Even if this game is sloppy early, Gators quarterback Kyle Trask will find a way to lead his squad to a late cover.

54-27-2 IN LAST 83 CFB PICKS | +2418
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 FLA ATS PICKS | +188

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

RedBox Bowl 5% BIG TICKET

Cal -6

PLAY: Cal Golden Bears -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating

(249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA

The Bears (7-5) are in their second straight holiday bowl event and square off against the Fighting Illini (6-6) who are playing in their first bowl game since 2014

Cal lost to TCU in last year's Cheez-It Bowl -- a game that was a snooze-fest for those that watch football for offensive action. Last season's Cheez-game was in one of the lowest-scoring bowl games in the last 25 years. Illinois head coach Lovie Smith is on the verge of having his first winning season as the Illini bench boss.

This isn't being labeled as such but all things transparent it is... a home game for California. The Golden Bears have the versatility to be whomever they want on offense. They have a pair of quarterbacks that are interchangeable depending on their plan of attack and the opponent. Sophomore Chase Garbers and junior Devon Modster combined for 2,205 passing yards, 410 rushing yards, and 18 touchdowns. The bell cow in the offensive backfield is RB Christopher Brown Jr who’s is lightning of the offensive skilled players. The tailback posted 943 yards from scrimmage with 11 combined touchdowns.

Cal is, as the Illini are, defense-first. The Bears average 20.1 points and 323.0 yards per game

The Illini are lead by quarterback Brandon Peters, running backs Reggie Corbin, Dre Brown, and Ra'Von Bonner. Smith's offense averages 27.3 ppg. Illinois went over the 30-point mark in six regular-season games but have faced but one defense as skilled and capable as the Bears.

The underlying peripherals in this game significantly favor the Bears. I expect this game to be a back-and-forth affair for the most part. Both teams will score plenty and do enough on defense to keep their teams competitive. But this resurgent Illinois team will find a way to pull out a close win in the end.

The Illini rank near the bottom of most important offensive categories. They gained, on average, over 509 yards less against their opponents this year than the foe allowed on average.

Cal’s offensive efficiency, adjusted, places them in the plus-yardage category in each and every game this season. The Cal offense averaged only 323 yds per game but factoring in numbers, i.e. time of possession and others puts them on top of the Illini on both offense and defense. On the stop side of the ball the Bears have an overwhelming advantage. And the offense is, for the first time this season, intact, healthy and ready to send QB Garbers behind center to start in this RedBox event -- a game in which Cal controls from start to finish and the best team and eventual winner in this holiday contest is never in question.

CALIFORNIA BEARS -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Monday Night Top of the Ticket Orange Bowl Blowout!

Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

15-0 ATS & 67-30 ATS NCAA BOWL DOUBLE SYSTEM PLAY

Illinois

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Chuck

4% Illinois +7
4% Western Michigan-Western Kentucky over 54

[B*mb07]

MARCO D'ANGELOFOOTBALL PLAYS


FIRST RESPONDER BOWL
Game: (245) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (246) Western Kentucky
Date/Time: Dec 30 2019 12:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: WESTERN MICHIGAN 3.5 (-114)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

3% W. MICHIGAN +3.5
W. Michigan is what I like to refer to as a 200 Club member meaning they they run and pass for over 200 yards per game. These teams present big problems for defenses to prepare as what do you try to take away. Stop the run they will hit you with the passing attack drop back to stop the pass and they run it down your throat. W. Michigan has the #17 offense gaining 6.5 YPP. In what should be a high scoring game I have to back the better offense. My numbers have W. Michigan winning 31-24 in the First Responders Bowl.

COLLEGE BOWL HIGH ROLLER PLAY
Game: (249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA
Date/Time: Dec 30 2019 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: CALIFORNIA -6.0 (-108)

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

4% CALIFORNIA -6

Two major factors have us lining up on California. First off California has played a much tougher schedule than Illinois. The California defense is good as they allowed 20 or fewer points in 9 of their 12 games. California won their first 4 games of the season before losing their next 4 games in a row. The losing streak started when starting QB Chase Garbers was injured in the Arizona St game. Garbers returned to start the final two games of the season both victories. Fact is this Cal offense is totally different with Garbers at QB. The site of this Bowl Game greatly favors California. I know that the PAC 12 has had it’s troubles in the Bowls but I feel this is a mismatch with Garbers back at QB. My numbers have California winning 31-17 as my BOWL HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

[Calidreaming]

C Jordan 1000 play on Illinois

[pascal5757]

Jut a reminder in case someone didn't see this.. I really hate a THEIF...

I know this section is for Service Plays. But I feel I need to get this information out there. To keep someone else from this scammer..

He is saying he is a sportsbook without all the hassles of "offshore". 24 Hour payout, etc,

The website looks good. Everything seems great. I lost a little the first week. Then I won a little the next week. Everything seemed good. Last week I killed it. Requested about half my winnings on Monday. That's when it all went south. The lies and the excuses. And still haven't been paid.

So, it you see this number or this email. Stay away..

832-304-0274
email: sportsguru503@gmail.com
website: wagerhub888.com

I hope this keeps at lease one guy from being screwed by this guy.

Pass along to all fellow gamblers and other forums

[TAWJR]

Old news move on. Scammer

[golden contender]

Monday card has 3 Big Bowl plays ones is a rare 6* from a 16-1 System, we have 3 NCAAB Plays one is the 100% Revenge Game of the Year and a 5* 2X Perfect NBA Play. NCAAB Comp play below.


The NCAAB Comp Play is on Villanova. Game 726 at 6:30 eastern. Villanova has owned Xavier here going 6-0 straight up and ats and they are 5-0 at home. Xavier is once again playing well early on. However they are 0-16 ats in their last 16 regular season road dog losses. Play on Villanova. Big Monday is up and there is a rare 16-1 6* Bowl release one of 3 on the day as well as 3 Powerful NCAAB Plays one of which is the Revenge Game of the Year. In the NBA we have a Double perfect 5* side. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NCAAB Free play. Play on the Wildcats -5. Rob Vinciletti- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* Over 54 WKU/W. Mich
100* Illinois +6.5
100* Miss St -4
100* Over 127 Pitt/Canisius

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

NBA
3* #516 Minnesota +2

------------------------------------
Jim Feist

NCAA BK
3* #723 Hofstra pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV WOLF
Western Michigan 3.5
Virginia 14.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac
western mich 3.5 $600

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner

Dec NBA ATS 20-20

UTAH -10
DETROIT @ UTAH | 12/30 | 9:00 PM EST
11:35 AM
The Jazz seem to have hit their stride, winning seven of their last eight games. The only loss was by just three points in Miami. The Pistons have been a disaster on the road, where they are 4-10 ATS. To further complicate matters, they are expected to be without F Blake Griffin (knee), G Luke Kennard (knee) and F Markieff Morris (foot) for this one. Look for Utah to cover this lofty line at home.

36-23 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +1070
12-9 IN LAST 21 DET ATS PICKS | +206

MILWAUKEE -6.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 12/30 | 8:00 PM EST
11:30 AM
The Bulls have won five of their last eight but defeated Atlanta twice, beat Washington by one point and topped Detroit in that span. That’s not exactly impressive. Meanwhile, the Bucks have won five of six despite having G Eric Bledsoe (lower leg) and F Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) miss time. And four of the victories were by at least 11 points. With Bledsoe expected back for this game, look for the Bucks to cover.

36-23 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +1070
12-7 IN LAST 19 CHI ATS PICKS | +428

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline football

Mon, Dec 30
12:30
BOWL
250%
W.Michigan +3'
over W.Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #729. Take Over 153.5 Austin Peay vs. Georgia (Monday @ 7pm est)

We roll with the Over here as we think Austin Peay will get up for this game against Georgia a power 5 SEC school. By the way, great win once again with Liberty and another 2-0 Basketball Sweep yesterday for +600 for a great 8-1 Basketball Run for +2770 right now. Austin Peay posted 53 points against a top 10 defense in West Virginia but also posted 72 points against a team like Vanderbilt who has a decent defense and Vandy scored 90 points. Georgia faces a team here in Austin Peay who is one of the worst they have faced and they did not shoot well against Southern and it sets up nicely here for Georgia to bust open a great offensive performance here and hence this game is likely to go over the posted total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Western Michigan +3.5
10 Western Michigan/Western Kentucky over 53.5
10 Illinois/California over 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist
Hofstra pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB monday

4 Unit Play. Take Chicago State +33.5 over Missouri (8p.m., Monday, December 30 SECN+)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BMC 1000 Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Western Michigan = 0

Western Kentucky = 1OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 UN55 (DNQ)

12:30pm ET



Current Results: 5 (0-0 +0.0 units), 4 (2-1 +0.9 units), 3 (5-3 +1.7 units), 2 (10-10 -1.0 units), 1 (6-6 -0.6 units)

Current Results: Premium Plays (1-0 +1.0 units), "Just Missed" Premium Plays (1-2 -1.2 units), Other Sharp Consensus (0-0 +0.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

Yest: -1.2

Ytd: +12.6
---
4-Unit Play. Take #730 Georgia (-12.5) over Austin Peay (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 153.5 Austin Peay at Georgia (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
If you look at the scores from yesterday's action something should jump out. Yesterday featured a lot of teams from power conferences flexing their muscle against teams from lower leagues. That's exactly what I think is going to happen here and this game shouldn't even be close. Georgia has a future NBA player on its roster. They also have three other upperclassmen starters that should be able to toss around the guys from Austin Peay. The Govs are really beat up, with three of their top five players out. So they are basically just going to hope that Terry Taylor can outscore Anthony Edwards (both guys average over 20 per game). I don't see it happening. Austin Peay has no size and they are one of the worst defensive teams in college basketball. This is a game where I think Tom Crean is going to keep the pedal to the metal all game and win this one by 25+.

1-Unit Play. Take #734 Akron (-9.5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. #736 James Madison (+3) over Northeastern (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #744 Delaware (-2) over Charleston (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This Delaware team is a legit sleeper in the CAA this year. They are 11-3 so far this season and just getting better. They have played a weak schedule so far this season. But they have beaten a bunch of teams that are comparable to Charleston. Oakland, Southern Illinois, UT-San Antonio and Stony Brook all come to mind. Transfer Nate Darling has been a revelation. And he pairs well with returning starting guards Ryan Allen and Kevin Anderson, who combined to average 27 points per game last year. The Blue Hens also added another impact transfer when Dylan Painter (Villanova) became eligible at the break. He gives them another big man to work with and I think that they will be able to pound Charleston on the inside. Charleston has Grant Riller, and that's really it. They haven't been great on the road this year and they are facing a completely Delaware team than the one they tooled on last year.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 142.0 Davidson at Vanderbilt (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Vanderbilt is playing at a significantly faster pace this year compared to the last several seasons. Jerry Stackhouse is an NBA guy and a Carolina guy and he wants to get out and run. The Commodores played a Richmond team that is pretty similar to Davidson in terms of offensive capability. That game was 93-92. I don't think that this one will be quite that low scoring but I will be surprised if both teams don't hit 70. Davidson's pace numbers are slow. But when they face better competition they are always a bit more willing to get out and go. The Wildcats are coming off a low-scoring grinder against Loyola Chicago. I think that they will bounce back offensively here and push this one 'over'.

2-Unit Play. Take #755 Chicago State (+33.5) over Missouri (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Chicago State has actually covered its last two games and four of their last five games. Missouri has zero motivation for this game and they don't really score enough to run away from a team like the Cougars. Chicago State is awful. But I don't know that Missouri is going to run them off the court by 40 points tonight.

2-Unit Play. Take #760 Mississippi State (-7.5) over Kent State (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
I like Kent State. They are a real solid team from a real solid conference. But today's not their day. The Golden Flashes are much better at home than on the road. And they are facing a pissed off Bulldogs team that is coming off an ugly loss to New Mexico State. The Bulldogs just got Nick Weatherspoon back and they have had a week to prep for this final tune-up before SEC play. Their defense will be too much in this one and they should pull away late.

3-Unit Play. Take #763 Indiana State (-7) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Home court means everything in the Missouri Valley. And this young SIU team is going to get a taste of what that means in this game. This Southern Illinois team has been really, really unimpressive this year. They are starting three freshmen and just have too much to replace from last year's gritty veteran group. Of their six wins, five have come against teams rated No. 300 or worse and they haven't won a road game yet this year. Indiana State played a brutal schedule to start the season. But since then they have won seven straight and I like the direction this team is headed. Southern Illinois is an incredible 8-0 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings. They have swept this series four straight years! I think it is time for ISU to get some revenge.

7-Unit Play. Take #766 DePaul (-1) over Seton Hall (8:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
I really like this DePaul team and I think that they are going to be up for this game in a major, major way. This is the best DePaul team we've seen in several years and they actually have NCAA Tournament potential thanks to several impact transfers. DePaul has size, athleticism and experience, and they already beat a decent Texas Tech team here at home. Seton Hall is playing without two of its three best players. Without Myles Powell they are playing without one of the best players in college basketball. And while their big men and senior point guard Quincy McKnight can hold down the fort by relying on their defense, there simply isn't enough offensive pop for this team. DePaul does most of its damage from the perimeter and in transition. That should help limit Seton Hall's massive frontcourt. And in a game decided by the guards I like the home team's edge.

3-Unit Play. Take #778 Weber State (-10) over Idaho (9 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This game should not be close. Weber State is just 4-8 this year and they lost their conference home opener. They are not in the mood to mess around here. Weber State has such a poor record because they've faced one of the top schedules in college basketball. I don't see a Big Sky title contender here. But they should be able to throttle a bad Idaho team. The Vandals are coming off a gut-wrenching loss to rival Idaho State (who is also terrible) and I think that they could have a letdown here. Idaho does not have a road win this year and really hasn't even been close. I think Weber State is better than it has played and I think Idaho is exactly as bad as it has played. I see a 20-point decision here.

3-Unit Play. Take #8740 South Carolina (-21) over Stetson (3 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This should be a bloodbath. South Carolina has big wins over Virginia and Clemson in its last two games. I don't think they will letdown here. Stetson is one of the worst teams in college basketball. They've played one other team from a major conference (Ohio State) and lost by 35. And their only two other games against good teams (Kent State and FIU) they lost by 24 and 16, respectively. South Carolina is just way too big and way too strong. They have faced three teams this year rated No. 275 or worse. They won by 22, 34 and 27 points. The Gamecocks can pick their score.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #761 Louisiana Tech (-2) over Southern Miss (8 p.m.) AND Take #760 Mississippi State (-2.5) over Kent State (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #778 Weber State (-5) over Idaho (9 p.m.) AND Take #763 Indiana State (-2) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #734 Akron (-4.5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m.) AND #736 James Madison (+8) over Northeastern (7 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe ncaab 12-30

4 Unit-Loyola-Chicago-3...
4 Unit-under-145.5 Wisc Milwaukee
3 Unit-Portland state-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass first report: 700 western Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn


This RedBox Bowl game analysis had a typo, stating Illinois rather than California in the closing. I have corrected the brain-you-know-what. My apologies for any confusion.


Happy New Year and thanks for supporting me and the WagerTalk team.
______________


PLAY: Cal Golden Bears -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating


(249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA


The Bears (7-5) are in their second straight holiday bowl event and square off against the Fighting Illini (6-6) who are playing in their first bowl game since 2014


Cal lost to TCU in last year's Cheez-It Bowl -- a game that was a snooze-fest for those that watch football for offensive action. Last season's Cheez-game was in one of the lowest-scoring bowl games in the last 25 years. Illinois head coach Lovie Smith is on the verge of having his first winning season as the Illini bench boss.


This isn't being labeled as such but all things transparent it is... a home game for California. The Golden Bears have the versatility to be whomever they want on offense. They have a pair of quarterbacks that are interchangeable depending on their plan of attack and the opponent. Sophomore Chase Garbers and junior Devon Modster combined for 2,205 passing yards, 410 rushing yards, and 18 touchdowns. The bell cow in the offensive backfield is RB Christopher Brown Jr who’s is lightning of the offensive skilled players. The tailback posted 943 yards from scrimmage with 11 combined touchdowns.


Cal is, as the Illini are, defense-first. The Bears averaged 20.1 points and 323.0 yards per game


The Illini are led by quarterback Brandon Peters, running backs Reggie Corbin, Dre Brown, and Ra'Von Bonner. Smith's offense averages 27.3 ppg. Illinois went over the 30-point mark in six regular-season games but have faced but one defense as skilled and capable as the Bears.


The Illini rank near the bottom of most important offensive categories. They gained, on average, over 509 yards less against their opponents this year than the foe allowed on average.


Cal’s offensive efficiency, adjusted, places them in the plus-yardage category in each and every game this season. The Cal offense averaged only 323 yds per game but factoring in numbers, i.e. time of possession and others puts them on top of the Illini on both offense and defense. On the stop-side of the ball the Bears have an overwhelming advantage. And the offense is, for the first time this season, intact, healthy and ready to send QB Garbers behind center to start in this RedBox event -- a game in which Cal controls from start to finish and the best team and eventual winner in this holiday contest is never in question.


Both teams will surprise and score more than projected and do enough on defense to keep their teams competitive. But this resilient and surging Cal team will find a way to pull away from Illinois in a closely contested first half and close out a victory by margin in the end.


CALIFORNIA BEARS -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Millionaires- Virginia +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jr odonnell
CFB BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
Florida

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog Pick:

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs (281) vs. Louisville Cardinals (282)
Time: Monday 12/30 4:00 PM Eastern
Pick: OVER 64

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog Pick:

Game: Austin Peay Governors (729) @ Georgia Bulldogs (730)
Time: Monday 12/30 7:00 PM Eastern
Pick: UNDER 154

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

PARLAY* NCAA Football: Mississippi State ML + California ML @ 2.053/+105 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Yale +7.5 @ 1.909/-110 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Xavier +6 @ 1.909/-110 (3 Units)
NCAA Football: Virginia +14.5 @ 1.909/-110 (2 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLDS WORST PICKER

Bowl Picks

Peabodys Super Picks: Virginia
Peabodys Regular Picks: Western Michigan

Play On: Florida, California Mississippi State
Play On: Western Kentucky, Illinois Louisville

[Player1]

WORLDS WORST PICKER

Bowl Picks

Peabodys Super Picks: Virginia
Peabodys Regular Picks: Western Michigan

Play On: Florida, California Mississippi State
Play On: Western Kentucky, Illinois Louisville

CPAW, are you able to clarify this post?
It doesn't show which side Peabody is on for Cal v. Illinois or Mississippi State v. Louisville.

Thank you very much for your help and all that you do here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Music City Bowl
Miss State-4.5 2U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLDS WORST PICKER

NCAA BB

Peabodys Super Picks: Delaware
Peabodys Regular Picks: Xavier Northern Kentucky Davidson

Play On: College of Charleston
Play On: Villanova Wis-Green Bay Vandy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST

1:11 PM
LOUISVILLE +4.5
MISS. STATE VS LOUISVILLE | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
MUSIC CITY BOWL -- This is a good spot for Louisville, which gets a quasi home game with the venue about a three-hour drive from its campus. First-year coach Scott Satterfield is ahead of schedule on what was believed to be a long-term rebuilding project. He won seven games and is also 3-0 in bowls. The Bulldogs got a much-needed win in the Egg Bowl, but it seems coach Joe Moorhead isn't embraced by the program's supporters. What's more, they could be dealing with a distraction after starting quarterback Garrett Shrader was injured in a fight with a teammate last week.

73-58-3 IN LAST 134 CFB PICKS | +868
4-3 IN LAST 7 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +64


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG

11:12 AM
MISS. STATE -5.5
MISS. STATE VS LOUISVILLE | 12/30 | 4:00 PM EST
MUSIC CITY BOWL -- The 11th-hour switch from QB Garrett Shrader to Tommy Stevens is no deal-breaker for Mississippi State. Stevens is a veteran who began the season in the role. Each team loses a standout who opted for the NFL Draft, but pro-to-be RB Kylin Hill elected to play, which boosts the Bulldogs’ morale. He will pound away at Louisville's suspect rushing defense. The Bulldogs are 3-1 since the return of three key players who were suspended for the previous eight contests.

45-36-1 IN LAST 82 CFB ATS PICKS | +521
2-1 IN LAST 3 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

3* Florida -14’

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Hood
For the bowl games, I am seeing one bet worth wagering. I am going to go with Mississippi St/Louisville OV64.5. I would advise a 0.50 unit wager. The game currently achieves an LJP score of 3U. Remember, bet what is comfortable. I know we will return to profits but I don’t know when that turn will get underway. So I will play slow, light and smart and hopefully it began with the last bet!.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline hoops 250% Xavier, Montana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn
4% ELON over 140 CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass second bowl update : 400 illnois , 400 Mississippi state game under , 600 Florida game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Illinois = 0

California = 2D

OVER = 3U

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-0 California -6 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

4:00pm ET

LJP Score:

Mississippi St = 2D

Louisville = 0

OVER = 3U

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 UN63 (DNQ)

4:00pm ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

California UN 47.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass hoops : 400 Yale game over , 400 magic game under , 600 nets game over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Veron Croy

4 under 216.5 det/Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

4 under 231 phx/port

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 over 227.5 mia/wash

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

2 Utah -9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris

4 over 227.5 mia/wash

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

4 Brooklyn -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

NBA

10 Milwaukee/Chicago over 217.5
10 Detroit +10
10 Milwaukee -6.5

CBB

10 780 TCU -8.5
10 776 Montana -4.5
10 752 Illinois Chicago -4
10 727 UW Green Bay +5.5

[Knuckle Sandwich]

This was posted across the street on Saturday and then again today.

8-3 so far...

-------------------------------------------------------

DOUBLE DRAGON


11 unit Hydra Clemson PK -135
11 unit Hydra Oklahoma +14

IOWA ST. +4 (-120) FLORIDA -14 (-120) TEXAS +7
Wake Forest +4
OKIE ST. +7 (-135)
PENN ST. -7
UNC -5.5
IOWA -PK (-130)
AIR FORCE -PK (-135)
W. MICH +4 (-120)
LOUISVILLE +4
FSU +4.5
VT -2.5
WYOMING +7
KANSAS ST. +3 (-130)
This was originally posted on Saturday

[B*mb07]

Sports Unlimited
3% HARVARD +6
We are getting an inflated line here as Vegas has this number inflated because Harvard is playing on back to back nights. As an Ivy League team Harvard is use to playing on back to back nights. We also find that Harvard is 9-1 ATS as a Road Underdog the last 2 seasons. My numbers have Harvard winning by 1-3 points as my College Basketball Upset Shocker Play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Feist


Gom
Northeastern -2.5