Service Plays Sunday 1/19/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Cal Sports

Game: (313) Tennessee Titans at (314) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 51.5 (-110)

View Analysis


#314 5% OVER 51.5 Tennessee/Kansas City 3:05 PM
(with the play posted on Sunday there are often line moves. Play as a 5% play up to 52.5. At 53 or higher play as a 4%)
While weather is such an important issue and things can change in 7 days the early forecast is very good for an Over with mid 30’s and light winds. The Chiefs put ip 51 after one of the wort first quarters in play-off history. While Houston was the #29 team in pass D the Titans are not much better at #24. The Titans also don’t get enough credit for the offensive turnaround as they finished #1 in 8.0 yards per pass with KC #4. Overall on offense we have the #2 and #4 teams in yards/play. Tennessee fished the season with 9 of their last 12 games going Over and that includes both Play-off games failing to go over BUT versus the NFL’s #1 and #3 defenses.

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Vernon Croy

7 Unit San Francisco -7.5 over Green Bay (Sunday, January 19 at 6:40 PM ET)

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Doc Sports

6 Tennessee +7.5

2 San Fran -7

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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 19 2020 3:05PM
314 KAN -1.0(-120) William Hill vs 313 TEN triple-dime bet

Analysis: Two team 6 point teaser

SF -1.5 with KC -1

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Hank Goldberg

KANSAS CITY -7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
1:35 AM
The Chiefs' 24-0 deficit to Houston last week was fluky. When they got going, they were unstoppable. They put up 51 versus the Texans and they'll get in the 30s against Tennessee. With Patrick Mahomes in total control, Damien Williams has scored four touchdowns the past two weeks, and Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are rolling. This is the Titans' fourth straight road game; that will take its toll. Lay the points.

29-13-3 IN LAST 45 NFL ATS PICKS | +1464
3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +300

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +90

SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
1:32 AM
The Packers have been to the West Coast twice this season and got blown out both times. They weren't great last week, they escaped. The 49ers shut down Dalvin Cook and they'll contain Aaron Jones. I like San Francisco to cover this one and, as things stand now, win the Super Bowl.

29-13-3 IN LAST 45 NFL ATS PICKS | +1464
8-4 IN LAST 12 GB ATS PICKS | +366

2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +89

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

12:34 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
The 49ers showed in their win over the Vikings that the defense is back in top form, and that's bad news for a Packers offense that couldn't muster 200 yards in the regular-season meeting between the two teams. Points should be hard to come by for Aaron Rodgers and Co., but I do think the 49ers can score enough to cover this number. Green Bay's weakness on defense is defending the run, and Kyle Shanahan's team ran more than it threw during the regular season before dominating the Vikings last week. I don't think we're getting 37-8 again, but I can see something like 27-13.

13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +643
35-6 IN LAST 41 GB ATS PICKS | +2827

14-8 IN LAST 22 SF ATS PICKS | +520

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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)

YESTERDAY 2:23 PM
TENNESSEE +7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
The last team to beat the Chiefs was Tennessee, and the Titans are better than they were in the Nov. 10 meeting. Derrick Henry has had one of the best consecutive three-game runs in NFL history and all three were against AFC division winners. The Chiefs' defense is not the ideal squad to slow Henry down. I’m on the hot Titans to keep rolling in the AFC Championship Game.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +463
14-9 IN LAST 23 KC ATS PICKS | +408

11-8 IN LAST 19 TEN ATS PICKS | +204


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG

YESTERDAY 10:45 PM
KANSAS CITY -7.5
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
It might come as a surprise that four wild-card teams have survived three road games to reach the Super Bowl. However, all were storied franchises — the New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Giants and Green Bay Packers — and most were led by accomplished coaches. Not that Tennessee and coach Mike Vrabel are slouches, but it’s a big ask for the Titans to maintain their lofty level. Since K.C. lost to the Titans 35-32 in QB Patrick Mahomes’ return from an injury hiatus, the Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS. The visitors have all of 154 net passing yards in the playoffs in a one-dimensional offense featuring incomparable RB Derrick Henry. That cannot continue indefinitely. QB Ryan Tannehill must play a bigger role for another upset, and here is doubting the offense he operates can keep up with the Chiefs’ scoring machine.

62-35-5 IN LAST 102 NFL PICKS | +2351
10-4 IN LAST 14 KC ATS PICKS | +555

12-7 IN LAST 19 TEN ATS PICKS | +429

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Virgobbi Sports

Championship round:

Ten +7.5 (-112)
sf -7 (-104)

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DR. CHUCK FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (311) Green Bay Packers at (312) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco 49ers -7.0 (-120)

View Analysis

This is just value deluxe....3x this spread isn't made up without a change of venue or injuries...and the SF d-line is A MENACE!
Rodgers didn't get hassled nearly enough against Seattle, but did survive the usual tough Russ Wilson comeback attempt and with a little help from the refs...the 49ers now don't have to invite the Seahawks for a rubber match winner take all game 3....thank God the NFL had their winner picked...and trust me the young coach/QB combo ain't LaFleur based!
Bosa and Ford will have ARod running left, right, back, and up the middle ALLLLLLL day....ARod Over rushing yards should be a very very solid prop play if you're looking for additional angles here...and we will have many more prop plays ready to go as well for this weekend as those are largely where the value normally lies deep in the NFL playoffs.

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TEDDY COVERS

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (311) Green Bay Packers at (312) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Green Bay Packers 7.5 (-109)

View Analysis

3% Take Green Bay (#311)

If you’re making your bets this weekend based on regular season stats, you won’t end up on the Packers side on Sunday. Green Bay, despite their 13-3 regular season record, did not dominate their opponents week in and week out, and that stat sheet doesn’t look anywhere near as good as the 49ers. That’s why San Fran has been bet up from the -7 opener – wiseguys bet statistical profiles, not players.
The Packers were never a ‘blowout’ team at any point this season. Only five of their 14 wins came by more than one score, and the only teams Green Bay beat by more than two scores were Oakland and the Giants. Defense isn’t sexy; neither is running the football. With the notable exception of a couple of road games on the West Coast, the Packers defense was outstanding all year, while Aaron Jones rushed for more than 1000 yards and 16 touchdowns. Green Bay might not be a juggernaut, but they’re no pushover either. In this pointspread range, that matters, because we’re not asking the Packers to blow anybody out this week – just to hang tough.
The first meeting between these two teams was a 49ers blowout. It’s surely worth noting that game hinged on two early impact plays – Rodgers fumbled on the Packers first drive, letting the Niners get a quick 7-0 lead. Then Aaron Jones was marked inches short on a 4th down try and the rout was on.
That was then, this is now. The Packers haven’t lost since that defeat at San Fran, building momentum and confidence in the process. The 49ers are 1-6-1 ATS this season laying a TD or more; the lone spread victory coming against Kirk Cousins and the Vikings last week. It’s surely worth noting that Green Bay dominated that same Vikings team ON THE ROAD in Week 16, clinching the division in the process.
But more than any other factor, I just can’t lay more than a touchdown in a high-stakes playoff game with Jimmy Garoppolo against Aaron Rodgers. Garoppolo is fine when he’s playing with a lead, but I don’t trust him or his receiving corps to make big plays when facing adversity in a game of this magnitude. He’s thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns in his last four games combined; Rodgers has only four INT’s all season. The Packers went 7-2 SU and ATS against .500 or better opponents this season, and I trust their pedigree and experience far more than San Fran’s. Too many points! Take the Packers.
Line Parameter: 3% at +7.5 or higher, 2% at +7 or lower

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Tom Stryker

Packers-49ers under

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Vegas Synergy

4% SF 49ers -7/-7.5

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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Plays
Titans +7.5
49ers -7.5

Single Play
Packers-49ers under 45

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Mike Tierney

UNDER 46
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:31 PM
By his standards, Aaron Rodgers’ endured a pedestrian season. He was dragged down by perhaps his weakest receiving group ever and an inconsistent ground attack. No performance was worse than against San Francisco, whose defense weathered a breakout of injuries to rule the league. It is healthy again, so Packer points will be scarce. The 49ers could seize an early lead and, revisiting their approach from last weekend, bleed the clock with the run game as QB Jimmy Garoppolo launched only 19 passes. Only some late Rodgers magic would threaten the Under.

62-35-5 IN LAST 102 NFL PICKS | +2351
8-3 IN LAST 11 SF O/U PICKS | +475

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Prez

5% chiefs/Titans over 51.5

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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST

12:45 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
When the 49ers whipped Green Bay earlier this season, the Packers were coming off a bye while San Francisco was missing key defenders. Those defenders are back, with the 49ers getting reinforcements last week at every level of their defense. They also had an extra day to prepare for this rematch. This will be closer than 37-8, but it's another double-digit win for the 49ers.

56-38-3 IN LAST 97 NFL ATS PICKS | +1416
14-5 IN LAST 19 GB ATS PICKS | +849

13-7-1 IN LAST 21 SF ATS PICKS | +528

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Bill Marzano

TENNESSEE +7
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
1:09 PM
In the NFL, its hard to beat a team twice in the same season, but that's exactly what the Titans will have to do if they are going to reach the Super Bowl after beating the Chiefs in an epic 35-32 game in early November. The Titans have a few numbers that are in their favor. The Chiefs are just 2-7 their last nine home playoff games, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is just 1-8 all-time vs the Titans in his career. Derrick Henry is an absolute beast, running over opposing defenses and putting up 188 in the first meeting with two touchdowns, and he will have another huge game here against the Chiefs defense. The Titans' defense has really stepped it up, holding the Patriots to just 13 points and the Ravens to 12. The Titans will have a shot to win this game outright, let alone cover the spread.

8-1 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +690
2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +89

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

12:34 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
The 49ers showed in their win over the Vikings that the defense is back in top form, and that's bad news for a Packers offense that couldn't muster 200 yards in the regular-season meeting between the two teams. Points should be hard to come by for Aaron Rodgers and Co., but I do think the 49ers can score enough to cover this number. Green Bay's weakness on defense is defending the run, and Kyle Shanahan's team ran more than it threw during the regular season before dominating the Vikings last week. I don't think we're getting 37-8 again, but I can see something like 27-13.

13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +643
35-6 IN LAST 41 GB ATS PICKS | +2827

14-8 IN LAST 22 SF ATS PICKS | +520
TENNESSEE +7
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:42 PM
Your default position on lines this big in conference title games should be to take the underdog, which is 10-3 ATS in the last 20 years when the spread is seven-plus points, unless you have a great reason not to. And as awesome as the Chiefs offense is, their questionable rush defense (29th in DVOA and yards per attempt) matches up perfectly for the Titans to keep this game close. The stats say these teams are pretty close in general, and my projection has the line at Chiefs -1.5 on a neutral, so I think we're getting some solid value with Tennessee here.

13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +643
3-1 IN LAST 4 KC ATS PICKS | +191

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Micah Roberts

SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:10 PM
The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against winning teams, but the lone loss over that span came Nov. 24 at San Francisco in the 49ers' 37-8 win. That's Green Bay's last loss, and San Francisco comes into this game just as strong -- and maybe stronger. The 49ers should be able to control the line on both sides of the ball and get the cover.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +463
3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +300

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Spartan

3* Packers +7.5

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog NFL Pick:

Game: Tennessee Titans (313) @ Kansas City Chiefs (314)
Time: Sunday 01/19 3:05 PM Eastern
Pick: OVER 52.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://wunderdog.com/idevadman/click.php?id=21&action=4)

[golden contender]

Championship Sunday i here in the NFL and we have our Playoff Total of the Year going along with a TIER 1 Side. We also have the NBA Total of the Week with a Perfect Total system. NCAAB Comp Play below.

The Free Play for Championship Sunday is on Davidson as they have played the much tougher schedule and are a veteran group. Fordham has lost 8 of 9 and their only wins have been against early season Cream puffs. They have failed to cover the last 6 here at home. Long term they have a 2-22 spread mark in home dog losses. Davidson has covered 13 of 16 when they win as a road Favorite and the winning team in the series has covered all 8 times. Play on Davidson. On Championship Sunday our 100% Play off total of the Year is up along with an Executive Level TIER 1 side and the Perfect system NBA Total of the Week. Those with us last week in Divisional round cashed big. More damage today. See us on facebook to jump on. For the free play. Go with Davidson. Rob V- GC Sports

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Jeff Ma

Kansas City -7 Tennessee
San Francisco -7.5 Green Bay

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MTI

4.5-Star Titans +7 over CHIEFS The Chiefs are talking like they are already in the Superbowl just like the Ravens were in the opening round of the playoffs. The Chiefs are feeling invincible after their stunning, record-breaking, come-from-behind win over the Texans. The Titans, however, are a lot better than the Texans. We expect this one to come down to the final drive. We are taking the points.

The Chiefs are at home off a big win and the Titans have benefitted from a positive takeaway margin in each of their two playoff games. This actives a play-AGAINST system for which the Chiefs qualify. Teams that are at home on grass off a double-digit win are 0-22 ATS vs a team that has committed an average of fewer than 1.7 turnovers per game and had fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games. The SDQL text is:

H and surface=grass and NDIV and p:F and p:margin >= 10 and op:TOM<0 and opp:TOM<0 and oA(TO) < 1.7 and date >= 20101200

Teams in this spot have been an average of a 4.4 point favorite, but they have lost by an average score of 33.4 points to 16.9 points.

The Titans qualify for a play-ON system that states, road dogs of more than six points on grass vs a non-divisional opponent are 16-0 ATS with at least normal rest when they are off a game as a dog and they are facing a team that had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time in their last game and did not suffer a four-plus turnover margin. The SDQL text is:


A and surface=grass and NDIV and phttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/biggrin.gif and line > 6 and op:TOP/60 < 26 and rest>=6 and op:TOM<4 and season >= 2007

The Titans themselves are 9-0 ATS (10.00 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they had less than 100 passing yards, 8-0 ATS (10.25 ppg) when they are off a road game and they allowed at least five third down conversion in each of their last two games, and 9-0 ATS (11.89 ppg) as a dog on grass off a road game facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 4.00 punts per game. The SDQL for the third of this trio is:

team=Titans and D and surface=grass and p:A and oA(punts)<4 and date>=20120923

Tennessee has been in this spot three times since the start of the 2018 season; they beat the Patriots, Chiefs and Ravens straight up as a significant underdog.

The Chiefs have had a lot of trouble covering a number at home vs a non-divisional opponent that does not turn the ball over. Since October 2016, Kansas City has hosted eight non-divisional opponents that have turned the ball over less than 1.25 times per game. They are 0-8 straight up and in their last three qualifying games from this season - vs the Colts, Texans and Packers - they lost all three straight up.

We are grabbing the points and sprinkling a bit on the moneyline as well.

MTis FORECAST: Titans 23 CHIEFS 20

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MTI

4.5-Star Packers at 49ers OVER 46.5 Aaron Rogers got the Packers one game away from the Super Bowl and Green Bay is going to rely on him again. Rogers has a raft of good receivers available to him, any of which could get six-plus catches and 100-plus yards. We are on the over.

In their game vs the Seahawks, Green Bay held the Seahawks to only three third down conversions while getting a fresh set of downs on third down nine times.

This, and the fact that they are a significant dog here, qualifies the Packers for a playoff-only system that is perfect in the history of the database. In the playoffs, six-plus point road dogs are 14-0 OU when they are off a home game in which they held their opponent to four or fewer third down conversions. The SDQL is an efficient:

A and line>=6 and p:H and po:3DM<=4 and playoffs=1

Last week against the Seahawks, Aaron Jones was targeted twice, but he only had four receiving yards. This activates a career-perfect performance indicator involving Mr Jones. Since has was drafted in 2017, Green Bay is 12-0 OU off a home game the previous week in which they completed at least 50% of their passes and Jones had less than 20 receiving yards. The SDQL text is:

team=Packers and Aaron Joneshttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/tongue.gif:receiving yards<20 and p:H and p:CP>=50 and NB and season >= 2017

In addition, the Packers are 8-0 OU (+8.62 ppg) on the road on grass after a game in which they scored zero field goals, 9-0 OU (+8.22 ppg) on the road vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a home game in which they converted at least five third downs, and 8-0 OU (+11.38 ppg) without extra rest when they are off home win in which they had a 40-plus yard reception. The SDQL for the third of this trio is:

team=Packers and maxhttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/tongue.gif:longest reception>=40 and rest<7 and p:HW and season >= 2016

Lastly, we have strong evidence that a big road dog vs an elite defensive team is a strong OVER play. Road dogs by at least a TD are 8-0 OU vs a team that has allowed an average of fewer than 320 yards of offense per game, flying over the total by an average of 21.88 ppg. The SDQL is:

A and line>=7 and p:F and oA(o:TY) < 320 and date>=20180114

Green Bay is going to come out aggressively and the 49rs have the offensive firepower to keep up.

MTis FORECAST: 49ERS 31 Packers 28

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FOOTBALL JESUS podcast/ text

NFL KC/Titans UNDER Game total

and in late game he has jimmy garoppolo UNDER 22 ½ pass completions

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BIG AL'S NFL GAME OF THE MONTH:

San Francisco 49ers

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Colin Cowherd


Kansas City Chiefs -7
(28-23)


San Francisco 49ers -7.5
(33-23)

**San Francisco would be the only game he would bet**

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Mike Missanelli


Packers
Chiefs

[Clos$$$]

Good morning all hope you had a winning day yesterday. Cant anyone help me on find where I can go to find Service plays in CBB/NBA. TIA

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Emory Hunt

SAN FRANCISCO -7.5
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:16 AM
Rematch games are very tricky, especially when you consider how poorly the Packers played in the first meeting between the two. I would expect the Packers to rely more on their ground game in this one. If that's the case, then they'll have an excellent chance to keep this one close, but I struggle to see that happening. Take the 49ers.

64-42 IN LAST 106 NFL ATS PICKS | +1740
2-1 IN LAST 3 GB ATS PICKS | +91

KANSAS CITY -7
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:13 AM
As much as the Titans will want to come into Arrowhead and dictate the tempo and pace of the game with their ground attack, Kansas City's improved defense will get Tennessee to break tendencies at times, putting the ball in Ryan Tannehill's hands often. On the flip side, the downfield pressure of the Chiefs' passing game could be just enough for them to cover this spread. Take Kansas City.

64-42 IN LAST 106 NFL ATS PICKS | +1740
17-10 IN LAST 27 KC ATS PICKS | +618

6-3 IN LAST 9 TEN ATS PICKS | +270

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Big Al total play

Titans/Chiefs OVER the total

NBA ELITE
Spurs

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Mississippi Kid
Italy Soccer
Lecce/Inter Milan Over 3 -127 2U

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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB
1u Tennessee/KC under 52

[rocky57]

The 'R' Factor (The Swami - NHL)
9 Units - NY Islanders/Carolina Under 5.5 (-115) USDICE
9 Units - Winnipeg/Chicago Under 6 (-108) USDICE

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Rain man:
5 stars Kansas City
3 stars San Francisco

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The Sharp Plays

Last update 9:12am ET. Next update for 2pm ET.

If you aren't comfortable betting, don't or modify.

1 unit on Siena -3 over Niagara ///LJP Score 4OPEN

1 unit parlay on Siena -3, S Dakota -1.5 over S Dakota St, Kansas City -7 over Tennessee. Parlay pays 5.81 units.

RH club -20 units+

[citybeat]

Matt Rivers
SUNDAY
MyBlank Check release is on Rutgers at home against Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights are -4 1/2 at 4:25 this morning here in Miami where I'm based.

[FATMANWINS]

ats
7 frisco

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Scott Spreitzer
7-Unit Play: Take 312 49ers -7.5 over Packers (6:40 p.m., Sunday, January 19)

I'm laying the points with the 49ers on Sunday. First addressing the number being higher than 7. It took significant respected money to send the number from 7 to 7.5. And there are a couple reasons we aren't scared off of it. The first reason happens to be power ratings. I had the Vikings power rated slightly higher than Green Bay before last week's games were played and SFO had no problem sending Minnesota packing. We note the spread winner in 31 of the last 36 conference championship games simply won the game outright -- you win, you cover. Also, NFL chalk of more than 3 and less than 10 have been outstanding in AFC and NFC championship games, while underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points have covered just 16 of 54 in same season revenge, provided the opponent is off a home win. Defensively, SFO is healthy and we saw what they're capable of doing last week. The lack of offense wasn't because Kirk Cousins lived down to his prime time reputation, it was due to the outstanding Niner defense that slammed the door on the run and play-action. That's exactly what Green Bay's offense is all about. Having a healthy Dee Ford on the field means no double-teaming of Nick Bosa and the rest of the game also picks up speed on the pass rush. Offensively, it's no secret and it's not complex what SFO wants to do. But Green Bay is 23rd against the run and there's no secret formula to improve those numbers without giving up something in pass defense. Add it up and we have a play on the 49ers minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

3-Unit Play: Take Over 53 Titans-Chiefs (3:05 p.m., Sunday, January 19)

I'm playing the Over between the Titans & Chiefs on Sunday. We had the Over in KC last week and cashed in the first half. I don't expect 52 points at halftime this week but we do like the Over by game's end. Tennessee wants to run the football with Derrick Henry. Most feel that keeps the clock moving and shortens the game, bringing the potential for less scoring. However, in the second half of the last two seasons, KC has played to the Over in 6 straight games, allowing over 32 ppg against teams that run for more than 4.5 yards per carry on the season, while topping 37 ppg themselves. We saw these teams put 67 points on the board in their November 10 meeting even with Tennessee's rushing success. And no RB has found success against KC over the last 6 games. In fact, the Chiefs have held the last 6 opponent's top RB to an average of 42 yards on roughly 11 carries. Fail to run here and Tannehill will have to put the ball in the air more often than not. We expect it. Meanwhile, KC's offense should once again find success after gaining 530 yards against the Titans in the regular season meeting. Mahomes threw 3 TD passes and for nearly 450 yards. And finally, Tennessee's defense doesn't have the depth to hang with all of Mahomes' weapons. I'm playing the Over between the Titans & Chiefs on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allegheny Analysis Regular play 49ers

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Killer Sports NBA
Denver -1

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Root

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - titans

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Bob Balfe:

Kansas City -7
Tennessee/Kansas City over 52
Green Bay +7 1/2

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King Creole
3* KC-Over
3* SF-Under

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Lee Sterling
35 2TT (6pt) KC and SF
30 SF
25 KC

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Strike Point Sports

CBB Sunday


4 Iona -6.5
4 Grand Canyon +2.5
4 Cal +8.5

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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
UCLA-8

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
5* Nuggets-1.5
3* Chiefs-7
South Dakota St-PK NCAABB

NATIONAL SPORTS REPORT
4* Heat-1
3* Packers/49ers UNDER 46.5

PRIMETIME SPORTS PICKS
4 Unit --> Kansas City -7 over Tennessee (NFL)
3 Unit --> California-Bakersfield -17 over Chicago St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> North Dakota St. -7.5 over North Dakota (NCAAB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg
SF -7
SF -1 and KC -1 teaser
D. Adams under 85.5 yards
A. Rodgers under 238.5 yards
P. Mahomes over 1.5 TD passes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

CBB Sunday

3 South Dakota st +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* GOY Kansas City-7

[Calidreaming]

Burns NHL play on Pitt
Big Al NHL play on Winnipeg
Burns NBA blue chip total on Denver Under

[Gobigo]

Ok went 2-0 yesterday have 2 plays today
Titans +7 and San Fran -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin

CALI-CARTEL

50 DIME
CONFERENCE TITLE
GAME LOCK

San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

TENNESSEE +265
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
12:00 PM
I'm taking a little bit of a punt here, as I believe the Titans and Derrick Henry will provide a lot more trouble for Kansas City than the spread and this moneyline suggest. At +265, the Titans only need to win this game a little more than 27 percent of the time. Tennessee wins this game closer to 40 percent of the time than 25.

39-31-2 IN LAST 72 NFL PICKS | +503
TENNESSEE +7
TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | 1/19 | 3:05 PM EST
11:57 AM
In a game that features Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense, it's somewhat incredible to think that the game will come down to Chiefs run defense, but that's exactly what will decide this game. The Chiefs have been poor against the run this season, but that problem has been masked late in the season when it has been facing poor rushing teams. That will not be the case on Sunday against Derrick Henry and the Titans. The Tennessee offense will lead to a cover at a minimum.

13-7-1 IN LAST 21 NFL ATS PICKS | +536
4-1 IN LAST 5 TEN ATS PICKS | +293

GREEN BAY +8
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1/19 | 6:40 PM EST
11:55 AM
San Francisco spanked Green Bay during the regular season and looked fantastic against the Vikings last week, and all of that has led to this line climbing too high. Aaron Rodgers isn't Aaron Freaking Rodgers anymore, but he's still Aaron Rodgers, and the Packers passing attack has improved as the season has gone on and Davante Adams has gotten healthier. I fully expect the 49ers to win this game, but I have a hard time passing up this many points in a conference championship game.

13-7-1 IN LAST 21 NFL ATS PICKS | +536
10-2 IN LAST 12 SF ATS PICKS | +791

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST

11:37 AM
DENVER -1.5
INDIANA @ DENVER | 1/19 | 8:00 PM EST
The Nuggets are deep enough to cover this despite their injuries, especially at home where they're 17-5. Guys like Monte Morris, Jerami Grant and Michael Porter Jr. continue to excel when given bigger minutes. Back Denver to improve to 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven vs. winning teams.

53-37-2 IN LAST 92 NBA ATS PICKS | +1243
36-24-3 IN LAST 63 DEN ATS PICKS | +965

26-20 IN LAST 46 IND ATS PICKS | +417

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Machines picks
pacers + 2
s dak st +2
san Fran over 46. All 10 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allegheny Analysis regular play Ill. State under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Full Court Press Top play Rutgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

3* SF -7.5

Top Opinion - TN +7

[cracker]

Goodfella GOY
9ers -7(-120)

[Tmo82]

Bob Valentino 150 dime packers +7.5

[DropDimes]

Ok went 2-0 yesterday have 2 plays today
Titans +7 and San Fran -7

Whose plays are these?

[Tmo82]

Mitchell Newman

Today's Release...
Selection: Sunday's release is a 75 Dime play on Kansas City over Tennessee.

[Tmo82]

Jack Brayman

TODAY'S WINNER
Today's Play: 40 Dime UNDER Titans-Chiefs


Stephen DeAngelo

SUNDAY'S WINNER
The pick: 50 DIME - 49ERS (over Packers in NFC Championship Game

[Tmo82]

Chris Jordan

Today:
600♦ OVER 49ers-Packers



Kirby Maxwell

TONIGHT'S WINNER
My 40 Dime play is the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS in their NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers. The line is -7.5 points at 5:30 am pacific. And as long as the bookmakers are offering you a line between -6 and -7.5, I

[Tmo82]

Matt Rivers

SUNDAY
My Blank Check release is on Rutgers at home against Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights are -4 1/2 at 4:25 this morning here in Miami where I'm based.



Al DeMarco - GM


SUNDAY


15 DIME play on San Francisco against Green Bay. The 49ers are -7 1/2 at 4:45 am pacific.

Sean Michaels

SUNDAY
50 DIME two-team, six-point teaser on Kansas City and San Francisco.


Steve Budin - CEO

Sunday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on San Francisco at home over Green bay. The 49ers are -7 1/2 as I put my site live at 4:45 am eastern. At this price (and anywhere down to -6), my years of experience as a bookmaker has me advising you to buy down the 1/2-point on San Francisco.

[Tmo82]

Chuck O'Brien

Sunday Selection
100 Dime Play: Kansas City
Line as of 7:15 AM Eastern: Kansas City -7

Special Instructions: Buy down the 1/2-point on Kansas City if your price is anywhere between -6 and -7 1/2.

[Tmo82]

Bob Valentino

Today's winner...
150 Dimer is the Green Bay Packers plus the points over the San Francisco 49ers. At 10:05 pm eastern time on Saturday night, Green Bay is +7 1/2 points in Vegas and offshore. Note: If the line you happen to get on Green Bay is between +6 to +7 points I advise you on buying the half-point up on the Packers, at +7 1/2 you leave it alone.

About this game....

No doubt the meeting between these teams in Santa Clara on November 24th in which San Francisco dominated Green Bay in every facet of the contest as they humiliated the Packers 37-8 holds some bearing when it comes to analyzing this NFC Championship Game, but playing a game during the regular season and playing a game in the postseason are two very different animals.


Rather than just go with what I witnessed in the regular season, I am am going to go the other way and look for Green Bay to make the needed adjustments in this title game that will give them a look at winning this one outright this time around.


In the November meeting, Green Bay was only a +3 point underdog, but we all know how that game turned out, as it was 23-0 in favor of the Niners before you had even settled into your sofa and mixed a cocktail. Aaron Rodgers had arguably his worst game of any I can recall in his career. Green Bay was limited to 198 yards of total offense as A-Rod passed for a paltry 104 yards on the day. The running game with Aaron Jones was stopped cold - Jones gaining just 38 yards on the day.


It's obvious to say that must change today if Green Bay is to have any shot, but it's easier said than done as the Niners defense is operating at full health once again, and they did a pretty convincing job last week in their Divisional Round win over Minnesota, 27-10.


Green Bay's fatal mistake on November 24th was going in thinking they could win the 5-on-5 battle of the lines for the day. It did not work, and it won't work today. Instead expect there to be double-teaming going on today. Expect a moving pocket for the slippery Rodgers and expect the Packers to make the points work to their benefit.


Granted, the 49ers defense rates the edge over the Packers defense, but Green Bay's defense has been their real calling card this season in winning 13 games during the regular season. Yes, the Pack did allow Seattle back in the game last week after being up 21-3 at the half, but last I checked Russell Wilson has played in a pair of Super Bowls and has won one of them.


The same cannot be said for Jimmy Garoppolo - who while he passed his first postseason hurdle last week, did throw a costly pick just before the half that allowed Minnesota to hang around at 14-10 at the break.


Listen, I am not going to knock the 49ers at all, they deserve all due credit as Kyle Shanahan has been masterful as has quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. They beat the snot out of the Packers in the first go-round, and I can see them beating the Packers here in the second go-round to if we are being honest, BUT Aaron Rodgers wears a Super Bowl ring and giving him +7 points in a shot at redemption is something I am very interested in.


Going with the underdog Packers to be there come the final snap of this game with the points.



Note from Bob V....

Friday night 60 Dime Winner on St. Louis plus the points in their home cover against Dayton in college hoops.


Saturday afternoon Top-Rated 100 Dime Winner # 9 of 14 on VCU hammering St. Bonaventure.


On to Championship Sunday in the NFL.


Last Sunday I gave you my 12th Ever NFL 150 Dime release on Green Bay in their home win and cover over Seattle.

It's 150 Dime Time once again!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

nba

4 under 213.5 denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

4* Kansas City
3* Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Info Sports
PI NFL: 6-STAR OVER 46.0 Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers 6:40est
REASON: The e-Power Ratings have a projected TOTAL of 52.4 pts for tonight’s game. Our recommendation is to play the OVER as a 6-Star Top Play on Sunday.

PI NFL: 5-STAR UNDER 52.0 Tennessee Titans v. Kansas City 3:05est
REASON: The e-Power Ratings have a projected TOTAL of 43.6 pts for today’s game. Our recommendation is to play the UNDER as a 5-Star Top Play on Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SkyBluePicks

San Francisco 49ers -8

[2forthemony]

Any VSI hoops?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe ncaab

3 under-137.5-Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens
20* TITANS
10* 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

150 DIME
BANKROLL BUILDING
GAME OF THE YEAR
#4 IN A ROW

This Line Off By 7 Points

49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

Subject to change

Spurs Pick
Spurs Moneyline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Freddy Wills has released a premium pick. The play is on, Packers +8 2.2% play . Good luck!

Freddy Wills has released a premium pick. The play is on, Titans +7 3.3% play . Good luck!

Freddy Wills under 46.5 sf/gb 5.5*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive
NFL
350%
Kansas City -7
over Tennessee



6:40
NFL-
250%
Green Bay +8

[Bankroll19]

PickersMx.com

Mushu

200 Dimes - Kansas City Chiefs -7

[swaminator]

Larry Ness' NFL 10* Playoff Game of the Year (30-12 NFL 10* run!)
Green Bay Packers
playoffs reg 1-0 top 3-0 goy 0-1 = 4-1

[Tmo82]

Brandon Lang

150 DIME
BANKROLL BUILDING
GAME OF THE YEAR
#4 IN A ROW

This Line Off By 7 Points

49ers

Brandon Lang

Sunday Selection -

My 150 Dime selection is San Francisco over Green Bay. The current line on this game is San Francisco -7 1/2 in Vegas and offshore at 7:10 am eastern. Be sure to shop around for the best line available. If your price is anywhere from -6 to -7 1/2 points buy down the 1/2-point down on San Fran.

NOTE:
I loved the Titans 2 weeks ago against the Patriots.
I loved the Titans last week against the Ravens.
Today I like the Titans over the Chiefs and it wouldn't shock me if they delivered yet another outright win today.
BUT....BUT....BUT ....BUT.....I love the home team in the NFC.
Now, here are some other reasons why the late game today is an absolute blowout.
ANALYSIS
Discount Double Check meets All State Mayhem.First time they met Mayhem created just that, mayhem.Final score 38-7.Rodgers 20 of 33 for 104 yards. Packers 1 for 13 on 3rd down. He was sacked 5 timers, his top running back had 33 yards and his #1 receiver had 7 catches for 43 yards.Average yards per completion.....wait for it....wait for it...wait for it......1.9 yards.You can't get the ball downfield if you don't have time and Mr. State Farm with the 70's pornstar mustache had zero time to throw all day long.So what makes anyone in their right mind think this rematch is going to be any different?Since that November 24th meeting did Green Bay sign any new players? Getting any injured players back? Any new coaches?


The answer is an emphatic NO!!!!!
Yes, their best offensive lineman Bryan Bulaga played only 8 snaps in that blowout but trust me, it won't matter if he plays the whole game today against this D'line.Perhaps people think Aaron Rodgers is just going to show up and the Niners defense is just going to lay down and let him do what he wants?????This defense is even healthier for this meeting having gotten Kwon Alexander, Dee Ford and Jaquiski Tartt back last week versus Minnesota.
And as we saw last week in destroying Cousin's and the Vikings, they are back playing at peak form the way they were early in the season.Now back to Green Bay.You don't struggle on the road in week 17 to beat the powerhouse Detroit Lions and Hall of Fame QB David Blough 23-20 and win this game today.They never should have won that game. Never got a first round bye and we should have NEVER had this rematch in the NFC Championship game.But Russell Wilson decided to play like shit in the first half last week and because of his shitty play, the 21-3 hole was to big to dig out of and he gifted the Pack the win and now we get these two again.You know why you get blowouts in the playoffs? Because teams that have no right advancing get lucky and advance.We saw it last week with the Vikings getting blown out by the Niners when we should have had Saints/Niners.We saw it last week with the Texans getting blown out by the Chiefs when we should have had Bills/Chiefs.Now this week we are going to see Packers/Niners when we should have Ali/Frazier 3.....Seattle and San Francisco, in a 3rd epic game.it was a blowout the first time they met and it will be a blowout again today as the Niners defense sets the tone with yet another destructive effort.Congrats San Francisco, you are going to Miami.Niners 31-16.

[swaminator]

Marc Lawrence 5* NFL Playoff Game Of The Year! - Sunday

Green Bay

[Bear's Fan]

Maddux - Lines when released
10 SF OV 46'
10 KC OV 52'
10 Tease SF/KC

10 Ind+1
10 Den OV 212'
10 So Dakota -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Liener

3000* NFL Chiefs -7
100* NFL Over 46.5 Niners/Packers
100* CBB Rutgers -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Biz

KC Under 53
Green Bay +7.5
Teaser: Tenn +14 and KC -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIDWEST NFL HANDICAPPING


Teaser
KC -1/SF -2


PROPS
Pat Mahomes OVER 1.5 TDs
Davonte Adams OVER 83 Yards
Aaron Jones UNDER 67 Yards
Jimmy G UNDER 241 Yards
KC/TENN UNDER 1.5 FGs
KC Longest FG

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #862. Take UCLA -8.5 over California (Sunday @ 8pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac

314) Kansas City -6.5 (-120) - Buy 1/2 PT...($800) via Heritage


314) Under 51.5 Tenn-Kc...($600) Bovada at 52


311) Green Bay +8...($800) via Pinnacle (Sprinkled +310)


311) Under 47 GB-SF...($800) via William Hill & Wynn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

Strong Opinion KC -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV wolf

Sf. Tt first Half over 13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PGF
Tannehill under passing yards
tannehill under pass attempts
Sf TT O13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

frankie diamonds
Sf u47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

college kids
SF -6 -130 2%
SF / tenn teaser 7pt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

8ball
SF -7
tenn +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cousin Sal



Titans +7.5
49ers -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 20 Tenn & San Fran

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 19 2020 3:05PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
314 KAN -1.0(-120) William Hill (https://pregame.com/game-center) vs 313 TEN triple-dime bet

Analysis: Two team 6 point teaser

SF -1.5 with KC -1


PROPS to be added Friday/Sat!


Here are my NOTES:


Props are not yet widely available.........I will post on PROPS Sunday AM!




PROPS, with many of these not widely available, and many have moved, I will outline the key props I have bet. I will call ALL of these strong leans at the Current Numbers!


Bets I made:


Ten/KC


Tannehill UNDER 234 pass yards
KC Longest FG -150
Titans UNDER 1.5 Fgs -120
Shortest TD UNDER 1.5 -140


Gb/SF


Jimmy G UNDER 242 pass yards
GB Adams OVER 81 Pass Yards
GB Jones UNDER 67 Rush Yards
I also lean to Rodgers UN pass yards......

[dawggy]

TEDDY COVERS


BASKETBALL PLAYS


Game: (569) Indiana Pacers at (570) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Jan 19 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Indiana Pacers 1.5 (-108)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

3% Take Indiana (#569)
The Nuggets were able to steal a game at Golden State on Thursday Night without three starters. They got a nice roll of the dice from their three point shooters, with Will Barton, Michael Beasley and Michael Porter Jr combining to hit 15-23 from three point range.
But Denver isn’t going to win many games against quality foes without Jamal Murray, Gary Harris and Paul Millsap in the lineup. Murray is their best perimeter scorer and top assist man. Harris is their best ‘on-ball; defender, leading the team in steals. Millsap does all the dirty work in the paint; their efficient low post stud. Even for a deep team like the Nuggets, this trio of injuries all coming at the same time is nothing short of devastating. And after facing the likes of Charlotte and Golden State shorthanded, tonight’s game against Indiana is a legitimate step up in class.
The Pacers have suffered through their own run of injuries, but they’re on the ‘much healthier’ side of the equation right now, with only Jeremy Lamb ‘questionable’ for this evening. Sure, Victor Oladipo remains out, but he’s been out all year and the Pacers are quite used to playing without him; 27-15 SU in his absence.
And make no mistake about it – there’s ENORMOUS upside for this Pacers team over the back half of the campaign. They’ve won four in a row coming into tonight’s game (3-1 ATS), and have been moneymakers as short underdogs all year: 70% ATS as a dog of +7 or lower. When these two teams played in a 124-116 Nuggets win in Indianapolis earlier this month Harris, Millsap and Murray combined for 102 minutes, 40 points, 16 rebounds and 13 assists. Those will be hard to replace tonight, and the Pacers are a ‘beet-on’ team right now, plain and simple. Take Indiana.
Line Parameter: 3% at +1 or higher, 2% at pk or if the Pacers go off as the favorite.

[TAWJR]

Underdog. Tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Green Bay = 2U

San Francisco = 0

OVER = 0

UNDER = 2U

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-1 Green Bay +8 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 3-1 UN46.5 (QUALIFIES AS "JUST MISSED" PREMIUM PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco

5% KC and 3% Denver under in NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brett Anderson

Packers +8

45-34 last 79 NFL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker CBB
Peabody’s picks:
Loyola Chicago Super pick
Drake

We take:
Illinois st Super pick
Southern Illinois
Peabody’s pick:
California super pick

We take:
UCLA super pick

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Vegano 1/19

NFL
49ers/Packers OVER 45 (from Twitter 1/14)

NHL
Jets +100
Rangers -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tri Lambda

Two plays today,

Under [311] Green Bay Packers vs. [312] San Francisco 49ERS

San Francisco 49ERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy - CBB (Sunday)

7-Unit College Basketball Play (8 p.m.) that goes Sunday night

UCLA -8.5