Service Plays Tuesday 1/21/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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John Bollman

BOSTON -148
VEGAS @ BOSTON | 1/21 | 7:00 PM EST
9:40 AM
The Bruins are just 4-3-3 in their last 10 games but they are 16-2-9 at home this season. The Golden Knights are just 5-4-1 in their last 10 games but they are 11-9-4 on the road. They just fired their head coach and they are going through a bit of a transition phase right now. Tuuka Rask is still out with a concussion but Jaroslav Halak has been reliable with a 2.62 GAA and .918 save percentage this season. The Bruins have already beat the Knights in Vegas this season and they are 4-1 all time against the Knights. Take the Bruins at home.

19-5 IN LAST 24 NHL PICKS | +1315
3-2 IN LAST 5 LV ML PICKS | +96

5-4 IN LAST 9 BOS ML PICKS | +79

OVER 5.5
FLORIDA @ CHICAGO | 1/21 | 8:30 PM EST
9:39 AM
The Panthers are 29-16 with the over this season and they have scored four goals in six of their last seven games including a 5-4 game last night. The Panthers will be starting their backup goalie who has a 3.35 GAA and .888 save percentage. The Panthers lead the league in goals scored per game at 3.67 and they are 11th in goals against per game on the road at 3.41. The Hawks are dead last in home power play effectiveness but the Panthers have the 23rd best road penalty kill. Get this over at 5.5 before it goes up.

19-5 IN LAST 24 NHL PICKS | +1315
3-0 IN LAST 3 CHI O/U PICKS | +300

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TONY FINN BASKETBALL PLAYS

BIG TICKET: ESPN GAME of the MONTH
Game: (603) Kansas State at (604) Kansas
Date/Time: Jan 21 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Kansas -15.0 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Kansas Jayhawks -15 (good to -19)
5% confidence rating (603) Kansas State at (604) Kansas
There are as many as 10 different spots in the College Basketball season in which I make adjustments to the power rankings of the 353 Division I schools/teams. And note that I have different criteria for the Power 6 and Mid-Majors that I use for my official and documented releases. Recently I did my fourth power ranking/rating update and there was a shakeup to the Top 100. That shakeup was primarily the discrepancy from the Top 20 teams that fill those ranked slots to the Bottom-20 of my Top-100. It’s important for me to note that the team's within the Top-100 remained 90 percent intact with some moving up and some moving down, be because of that team's remaining schedule, past performance and/or injury, or all of the aforementioned. It is also at this time of the year when I make three power ratings in total. There is a cream soda list which essentially, in terms simple enough I don't have to write a novel outlining the convoluted formula that essentially is C in the A+B Oesterie-Masser conjecture numbers theory. Back to the point of the trio of team ratings. I also assign a number to teams when playing teams within their conference and one outside of the conference during the typical conference schedule (January through conference tournaments). The two mentioned in this paragraph have been more time consuming to assemble and at times propagate to the group I work with on these, what some would call abstracts because a number of the conferences I cover now begin competing inside of their conference as early as November. My Intel source that covers the Big 12, in particular, the schools in the northern portion of the conference has issued me a weekly breakdown of those five and it is not an exaggeration to state he has been spot-on with the criteria I ask for pertaining to a number of particulars. I will have a team breakdown added to this game analysis in the next few hours. But for now, I believed it important to get the game, the teams, a couple of notes on what each club faces and offer you, the WagerTalk faithful, the opportunity to get the best number, which figures to be early Tuesday morning. The current number of 15 isn't likely to get any better. Not in Vegas, with your local or at a large number of offshore shops. This Big 12 play that includes the public Kansas Jayhawks in combination with laying what I typically call wood (a big number, or greater than 10) or 15 points, is in my orbit a double-negative. I am recommending that you back a public team vs. a non-public squad in combination with a handicap that requires we start the game two touchdowns-plus behind the eight-ball. However, this double negative is a true-blue dub-neg; a positive statement in which two negative elements are used to produce a positive force. The why in the rarity of this play is three-fold. First, as Finn client, you will be found fading public elements five times more than backing them. Second, it doesn't take a large number of variables to make a public team, a public target, by a number of forces, that would never be accused of the things they can be accused of in this situation. Bill Self would never be ridiculed for putting a combination of the second and third rotation in the game with five minutes left in the second stanza affording those that supported the dog (Kansas State) in this contest a backdoor cover. A poorly called game by an official that leans to the visiting team that is not just an underdog but a large one, e.g. the Kansas State Wildcats. When a team, in league play, is receiving 15-points or more there is a reason. In this situation it isn't just because the Hawks are at the Phog and are the public team... it is because this Kansas State team is not equipped to defeat KU in Phog Allen Fieldhouse. My adjusted numbers for this contest, which is my chart with power ratings inside of conference play has the Jayhawks 23 points better, or my number in this game should be Kansas -23. The root power ratings I have for this game has the Jayhawks as 26 point favorites. When my number is off the oddsmakers number, or game day handicap as far as this one is, I do two things. First I investigate seeking something I missed. This could be an injury or a player returning from injury. This could be a travel switch or delay. It can be a situation with the coaching staff.. etc. There is not a virus or deflecting factor in this game that make this anything but a big play. I will complete this game analysis with a matchup break down in the next few hours. You can either check back or read my work in the email that will accompany the update.

KANSAS JAYHAWKS -15

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Doc Sports CBB Tuesday

5 Unit Play. Take #602 Villanova -3.5 over Butler (7p.m., Tuesday, January 21 CBSSN)

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Strike Point Sports CBB Tuesday

7 Unit Play. #629 Take Wake Forest (+9.5) over Clemson (8 p.m., Tuesday, January 21)

[cracker]

Goodfella 3*
Florida +3

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Top Rank Sports Picks (Yesterday 1-1, Last 28 Picks 12-16)

4* Air Force +12.5
3* Miami FL +17.5
3* New Mexico -11

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National Sports Service (Yesterday 1-1, Last 107 Picks 57-50)

4* Air Force +12.5
3* Kansas -14.5
3* Nebraska +15

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Inside Sports Report (Yesterday 1-1, Last 119 Picks 52-67)

Bowling Green -8
Texas A&M +8.5
New Mexico -11

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Elite Sports Picks (Yesterday 1-0, Last 41 Picks 19-22)

Maryland -7.5

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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Red Dog Sports

NCAA BK
3* #602 Villanova -4

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SHARP TOTALS CLUB

3* Eastern Michigan/Bowling Green Over 133
2* Nebraska/Wisconsin Under 131

[Calidreaming]

Big Al Mountain West CBB on Wyoming
Burns CBB pick on Mizzou

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Bezobets

NCAA Basketball: Duke -18.5 @ 1.893/-112 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Illinois +6 @ 1.909/-110 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: TCU +1.5 1st Half @ 1.952/-105 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Wisconsin -15.5 @ 1.893/-112 (2 Units)

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Allegheny Analysis Nova under 130

[wardywins]

Cpaw check inbox

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Nick Vegano NHL 1/21

Blackhawks/Panthers OVER 6 -105

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Jason Sharpe ncaab

4-northwestern+7.5

3-Mississippi +6.5

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KEN THOMSON | CBB SIDES TUE, 01/21/20 - 7:00 PM
606 Purdue -5.5 (-108) Pinnacle vs 605 Illinois

triple-dime bet
Analysis:
Whether this number drops or not....I'm on PURDUE for one reason only......PAYBACK!!


EMBARRASSED in Champagne by Illinois 63-37 just 16 Days ago.....The BOILERMAKERS & their FANS at MACKEY ARENA did not FORGET! HC Matt Painter will have the boys READY!


PURDUE by DOUBLE DIGITS!


UPDATE TUESDAY 7:55 AM PACIFIC TIME™- Up to minus 6 some places - still 5.5 at South Point, Coast, Caesar's & Circa in Las Vegas


UPDATE- 12:48 PM PACIFIC TIME TUESDAY- LINE IS STEADY BACK AT 5.5 PRETTY MUCH EVERYWHERE


Big TEN teams now (41-7) at home this season straight up including (9-1) straight up and (8-2) ATS last ten games


Pick Made: Jan 20 2020 5:17PM PST

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jonny numbers vegaskillers

butler +4

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jesse prante vegaskillers

new mexico -10.5

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uncle fitz vegaskillers

duke-miami under 151

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Vernon Croy

NCAA

8 Units Florida +3

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Indian Cowboy

3 Lac +1.5

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Root

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - LSU

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Robert Ferringo cbb

3-Unit Play. Take #602 Villanova (-3.5) over Butler (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
After a brilliant start to the season that vaulted them into the Top 5, Butler has started to spin out a bit. They have lost each of their last two games, including a blowout loss at DePaul on Saturday, and now face one of their toughest games yet at Villanova. The Wildcats have won 10 of 11 and are wrapping up a four-game homestand. They didn't play particularly well against Connecticut on Saturday and struggled with UConn's size. Butler isn't able to beat them up the same way. The Wildcats have dominated this series recently, going 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four meetings and going 7-3 SU in the last 10. This looks like two teams going in opposite directions. I'll go with the hotter team with the home court edge.

2-Unit Play. Take #606 Purdue (-6) over Illinois (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
Purdue is not a good team. However, I think that this is a good spot for them. The Boilermakers are completely different when they play on their home court. Just ask Michigan State and Virginia, two teams that Purdue blew out by a 29 points apiece. This one won't quite be that ugly. Illinois has won four straight. But three of those games were at home. Illinois has not been very good away from home all season long. And when you throw in the fact that Purdue has a clear revenge motivation for a 26-point loss in Champagne on Jan. 5 this one sets up well for the Boilermakers.

1-Unit Play. Take #612 LSU (-2.5) over Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
This could be a little bit of a letdown spot for Florida. That 69-47 final score in their win over Auburn on Saturday wasn't indicative of what kind of game that actually was. And now that they are forced to on the road I think that they would struggle tonight. I think it is doubtful that LSU is going to shoot 25% from the field like Auburn did (14-for-55) and they likely won't go 4-for-23 from 3-point range. LSU has very quietly won six straight. They've won a lot of close games during that streak and they are going to hit a wall at some point. But I think they can steal one more here.

2-Unit Play. Take #614 Kentucky (-11.5) over Georgia (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
The Wildcats aren't going to be taking the Bulldogs lightly in this one. Georgia took Kentucky to the limit in Athens on Jan. 7. They won't forget about it. Georgia has lost three of its last four games and this team has been terrible on the road this season. I think the Wildcats are going to have a better idea of how to defend Anthony Edwards seeing him a second time. And Kentucky is kind of due for a blowout win at home. The Cats are coming off a solid road win at Arkansas last time out and I think that this young team is starting to gain a bit of confidence and momentum after winning five of six.

2-Unit Play. Take #627 Oklahoma State (+6) over Iowa State (8 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
I actually think that Oklahoma State is going to win this game outright. I know that's a bold call on a team that's been as bad as the Cowboys lately. Oklahoma State has lost five straight games both SU and ATS. They've only won two games in their last 10 and most of those losses have been completely and total blowouts. However, they've played a pretty brutal schedule. And I just think they are due to put something together at some point. Iowa State hasn't been any better than the Cowboys. They've lost five of their last six and six of eight overall. Nothing they've done in the last several weeks instills much confidence that they are going to get a blowout win here. I think that Oklahoma State is the better team. They just haven't played well. I think they will pick up their first win of league play here.

2-Unit Play. Take #629 Wake Forest (+9.5) over Clemson (8 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
This line seems a bit thick on a Tigers team that doesn't exactly run opponents out of the gym. In fact, they only have two wins by more than seven points this year versus Top 150 opposition. Wake Forest is dumb. They play dumb basketball and they are a turnover waiting to happen. But they have also played well against teams that are a lot tougher than Clemson. I don't think that Clemson has the firepower to turn this one into a blowout.

2-Unit Play. Take #636 Marquette (-8) over St. John's (9 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
There is not a lot to like about this Marquette team. But they do still have Markus Howard and they are still pretty damn solid at home. St. John's is finally coming back down to earth and they have lost five of their last six games. They are in a clear letdown spot after nearly knocking off Seton Hall at home on Saturday, and I think the Johnnies are going to struggle here in their road trip to Marquette and DePaul.

2-Unit Play. Take #639 Mississippi (+6.5) over Tennessee (9 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
Ole Miss is another team that I just think is due. They've lost five straight games. But, again, the game in which they played poorly was at Texas A&M. I think the Rebels are a bit desperate right now and it should come out in their play tonight. Tennessee is not good. They are in a clear rebuilding season and the loss of Lamont Turner was pretty much a death knell for their season. Over the last two months they have exactly one win over a Top 150 team by more than seven points. The Vols also have a date with Kansas on deck here and they may be looking past the Rebels in this one. This one feels like too many points.

3-Unit Play. Take #643 San Jose State (+11.5) over New Mexico (10 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
New Mexico is completely off the rails right now. They have a ton of drama going on inside and outside the locker room. J.J. Caldwell is suspended and is suing the school. Carlton Bragg has been kicked off the team. And now Vance Jackson is hurt. It is basically JaQuan Lyle and a bunch of nobodies. Over the last two weeks they were blown out by 33 at Colorado State and by 21 at UNLV. Those are two bad teams and they absolutely ran through the Lobos. San Jose State actually beat New Mexico in the first meeting, taking them down 88-85 at home. I think they can find a way to hang around here. SJSU stinks. But there is so much going on with the Lobos right now that I think expecting a 13- or 15-point blowout from them is asking too much.

5-Unit Play. Take #646 Utah State (-13) over Air Force (11 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 21)
This is a revenge game for the Aggies. And it is a must-win. Utah State has come off the rails after a promising start to the season. They have lost four of their last five games overall and they have been sinking in the league standings. They need to get it going. They got absolutely blitzed in Colorado Springs on Jan. 7. The Aggies were up 11 points with under four minutes to play and were up at halftime. They got outscored 56-26 the rest of the way. That is not going to happen here. Air Force is not the same team on the road and they are coming off a sloppy 13-point home loss to Colorado State on Saturday. Utah State hasn't demolished anyone in awhile and that's what they are capable of when they play on their home gym. That's exactly what I see happening here.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #631 VCU (-6.5) over St. Joseph's (9 p.m.) AND Take #646 Utah State (-8) over Air Force (11 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #614 Kentucky (-6.5) over Georgia (7 p.m.) AND Take #627 Oklahoma State (+11) over Iowa State (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #636 Marquette (-3) over St. John's (9 p.m.) AND Take #639 Mississippi (+11.5) over Tennessee (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #627 Oklahoma State (+11) over Iowa State (8 p.m.) AND Take #639 Mississippi (+11.5) over Tennessee (9 p.m.)

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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB

Duke -17.5

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Jim feist

Dog game of month
Tcu +3


Inner circle
Akron -4

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Seabass: 300 Penguins, 300 Maryland, 300 NewMexico, 300 Utah St, 400 Duke, 400 LSU, 600 Wyoming, 1000 * Kentucky game under, 1000 * Clippers

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Marco

4% TCU +3

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Mississippi Kid
4U ATP/WTA Tennis ML Parlay
#893 Tsitsipas -500
#918 Agut -900
#2665 Osaka -500
#2601 Barty -700
#2314 Sabalenka -425
425/520

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PickersMX

Lady Pickers
100 Dimes
Kansas -15

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Bill bailey

lock
wichita state

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Greg shaker

lock
san diego state over

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Sports authority

top
wichita state
oklahoma state

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Sports bank

top
utah state
oklahoma state

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Top consensus

akron
wichita
new mexico
iowa state

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Bill marzano

purdue under 126.5
kansas under 126.5
maryland under 130.5

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Larry hartstein

dallas -1.5

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Micah roberts

texas tech -3

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Michael rusk

maryland over 127
lsu under 143
buffalo over 154

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Mike tierney

texas am +10
miami florida +18
kansas state +16.5

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Stephen oh

dallas under 232.5

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Zack cimini

marquette -8
lsu -3
northern illinois +9.5