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Can'tPickAWinner
01-21-2020, 10:44 AM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-21-2020, 10:46 AM
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/3d/Super_Bowl_LIV.png
(https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjl9-L1hJXnAhVQMt8KHex6CykQjRx6BAgBEAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FSuper_ Bowl_LIV&psig=AOvVaw2j_AAa9-ECmwwrWINTSDlu&ust=1579707919417217)


(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIV)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-21-2020, 10:46 AM
CARMINE BIANCO FOOTBALL PLAYS

SUPERBOWL 5% TOP PLAY PLUS 7 PROP BETS
Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-108)


View Analysis


NFL - San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs
Write up and Prop bets will be posted later.
The play is Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
01-21-2020, 10:47 AM
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG

10:54 AM
KANSAS CITY -1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
As impressive as the 49ers were in the conference finals, Kansas City was more so. Green Bay entered as an underwhelming No. 2 seed in the NFC, while Tennessee had outplayed its No. 6 AFC status. The Chiefs swarmed to peerless Titans RB Derrick Henry and achieved the impossible -- slowing him down. They can take a page from that playbook against run-oriented San Fran. Though the Niners did not need to throw, can an offense that attempted eight passes (against the Packers) be trusted? Meanwhile, the Chiefs can lay claim to the most dangerous offense ever -- really, a dozen TDs in two playoff games? -- and the QB matchup is not a close call. This is K.C. coach Andy Reid’s time to complete his eventual case for Hall of Fame recognition.

63-36-5 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS | +2341
11-4 IN LAST 15 KC ATS PICKS | +655

2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +90

Can'tPickAWinner
01-21-2020, 10:47 AM
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST

12:49 AM
KANSAS CITY -1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
The 49ers have a great defense, but they haven't played an offense like the one they're about to face in Super Bowl 54. On the other side of the ball, Kansas City's run defense is far better now than it was over the first 10 weeks. I'm projecting K.C. to score in the high 20s and prevail in an entertaining Super Bowl.

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +390
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +90

3-2 IN LAST 5 KC ATS PICKS | +84

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2020, 06:25 PM
DR. CHUCK SUPERBOWL

Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 53.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Get it down quick....this is a couple of defenses that are NOT terrible...but the offensive schemes of each head coach...genius Andy Reid and up and coming genius Kyle Shanahan will be the focus here to a huge degree. Different from last year where Belichick had the jump on McVay, and Wade Phillips was able to make New England happy with just enough points....this is AT LEAST first team to 30!
Vegas is telling you 27-26 Chiefs over 9ers in the big game...and yes there will be jitters and quarter and half decades of time since appearances for the teams, respectively, the jitters are not limited to the 22 guys playing offense...
If you watched the 2 games today and think 27-26 is NOT a wild.underreaction to what we saw today...kudos to you if you like the Under and have a confidence....34-31 might be where I have the floor of this Super Bowl!!

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 10:58 PM
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Feb 2 2020 6:30PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
101 SFX / 102 KAN OVER 28.0 William Hill (https://pregame.com/game-center)double-dime bet

Analysis: The OVER is NOT on the game.

1. Play 2nd Half OVER 27 (-100) , 2 stars!


Other Official props:


2. 2nd half -140 to outscore 1st half, 2 stars.


3. Jimmy G UNDER 249 pass yards 2 stars (William Hill has this as I type)


4. Shortest TD UN 1.5 yards, -150.


5. Mahomes OVER 29 Rush Yards-115


6. UNDER 2.5 players Attempt a pass, -125

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 10:58 PM
Hank Goldberg
HAMMER

YESTERDAY 12:45 PM
SAN FRANCISCO +1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
This game reminds me a lot of Super Bowl XXV. Buffalo had the highest-scoring team in the league when Bill Belichick and Bill Parcells came up with a defense Jim Kelly couldn't figure out. All the Giants did in that 20-19 win was run the ball with O.J. Anderson. Patrick Mahomes is going to see a defense he's never seen before. There is so much speed on that 49ers defense. Kansas City won't be able to stop San Francisco's run game. The 49ers will be able to eat up the clock. This field is not a fast track. Andy Reid is going to be cautious, the Chiefs will get off the blocks slow, they always do. Kyle Shanahan screwed up in the Super Bowl when he was Atlanta's offensive coordinator. He won't screw up this time.

31-13-3 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS | +1664
4-0 IN LAST 4 KC ATS PICKS | +400

3-1 IN LAST 4 SF ATS PICKS | +188

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 10:59 PM
Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU

12:59 PM
UNDER 54.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
The game plan for San Francisco is simple -- deflate the football. As was the case in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers will try to run as much as possible to keep Patrick Mahomes and Co. off the field. Will it result in a win? That's not the point here. Possessions will be more limited than some expect and the Under will hit.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 10:59 PM
Adam Chernoff KC-1

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 10:59 PM
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

YESTERDAY 1:03 PM
SAN FRANCISCO +1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
Patrick Mahomes drops back to pass a lot, but it's not often that he's under pressure. This is good for the Chiefs because, while Mahomes is amazing, like most QBs, he's not nearly as effective when pressured. Well, there aren't many defenses in the NFL better at pressuring the QB than San Francisco, and I expect Mahomes will struggle a lot more in the Super Bowl than we're accustomed to seeing. Give me the 49ers' defense and a rushing attack that should be able to exploit the Chiefs' defense.

13-9-1 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +318
10-3 IN LAST 13 SF ATS PICKS | +681

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 11:00 PM
Marc Lawrence

San Fran + 1

Can'tPickAWinner
01-24-2020, 11:00 PM
Big Al’s

5 star San Francisco

Kryptonsportsnetwork
01-28-2020, 10:54 AM
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/3d/Super_Bowl_LIV.png
(https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjl9-L1hJXnAhVQMt8KHex6CykQjRx6BAgBEAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FSuper_ Bowl_LIV&psig=AOvVaw2j_AAa9-ECmwwrWINTSDlu&ust=1579707919417217)

NO Team can Stop the Vengence of KC Chiefs! Alot to prove here! IF KC does win the Money is off thier Back, and ANDY Reid! Period! Mahomes could be better than Staubach, Brady, and Bradshaw! all rolled into one!
I predict this years win KC 37-29! Next Year also KC -Balt 44-41! ..... Mahomes evolves thoughout the game, and the 5 stars will prevail. Old Defenses from the last Century and Shanahan's Dad won't work against Mahomes! He will tear up SF D like he did with the Titans, and stop the run, like they did with the Titans! Piece of the Puzzle! In this Best Senario, the World want KC -60-40% to win!!
Andy Reid will be holding the Tophy at 7Pm in Miami , Pacicic Time, 4 Pm Eastern! Go Chiefs..... SF cannot stop, McCoy, Watkins, Kelce, Hill, or Williams! THey will be tired by the end of 2nd quarter SF!
KC has lead in 1st Half, opens it up in Third quarter! God did not mae a D to Stop Mahomes! He sent the Pope a T-Shirt!!::clap::::clap::::haptime::::clover::::clov er::::clover::::clover::::clover::

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:36 AM
8ball

5% San Fran +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:37 AM
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Feb 2 2020 6:30PM
101 SFX / 102 KAN OVER 28.0 William Hilldouble-dime bet

Analysis: The OVER is NOT on the game.

Play 2nd Half OVER 27 (-100) , 2 stars!


Other Official props:


3 STARS:


Mahomes OVER 29 Rush Yards-115 UPGRADE THIS PLAY TO 3 STARS as the number remains out there. THIS IS MY PROP BET OF THE YEAR!!


2 STARS:


1. 2nd half -140 to outscore 1st half, 2 stars.


2. Jimmy G UNDER 249 pass yards 2 stars (William Hill has this as I type)


3. Shortest TD UN 1.5 yards, -150.


4. UNDER 2.5 players Attempt a pass, -125

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:37 AM
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

YESTERDAY 6:51 PM
SAN FRANCISCO +1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
The 49ers represent the worst possible matchup for the Chiefs. Their defense can get pressure on Patrick Mahomes with their elite front four, leaving seven men in coverage to help take away deep shots, and it's hard to see a 300-yard day from the talented QB as a result. On the other side of the ball, the 49ers can dominate on the ground, making things difficult for what's been a mediocre rush defense all year with presnap motion that helps to open holes on the second level. Even if Mahomes proves too tough to slow down considerably, Jimmy Garoppolo showed against the Saints and twice against the Cardinals he's capable of coming through in a shootout. It's a tough call, but I believe 49ers win.

14-7 IN LAST 21 NFL ATS PICKS | +638
15-8 IN LAST 23 SF ATS PICKS | +620

2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +95

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:37 AM
Brandon Lang

150 Dimes KC-1

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:38 AM
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Feb 2 2020 6:30PM
101 SFX / 102 KAN OVER 28.0 William Hilldouble-dime bet

Analysis: The OVER is NOT on the game.

Play 2nd Half OVER 27 (-100) , 2 stars!


*************


Some other bets I made FYI (not widely available)


Team winning coin toss DEFERS -600
End of 1st half does NOT end in a QB kneel -150
Mostert UN 17 rushes
UNDER 13 Penalties
SF Greenlaw UN 5.5 Tackles/Assists+120
SF 1st half UN 13.5 points




**************


Jan 28 UPDATED, 2 stars:


1. Jimmy G more pass yards in the 2nd half -135, 2 stars

We have to expect he starts out handing the ball off, and SF focuses on the run EARLY


2. KC Robinson UN 22 receptions yards -115, 2 stars






Other Official props:


3 STARS:


Mahomes OVER 29 Rush Yards-115 UPGRADE THIS PLAY TO 3 STARS as the number remains out there. THIS IS MY PROP BET OF THE YEAR!!


2 STARS:


1. 2nd half -140 to outscore 1st half, 2 stars.


2. Jimmy G UNDER 249 pass yards 2 stars (William Hill has this as I type)


3. Shortest TD UN 1.5 yards, -150.


4. UNDER 2.5 players Attempt a pass, -125

Can'tPickAWinner
01-29-2020, 08:38 AM
Spartan

2* KC -1
1* Over 54

Iceman25
01-29-2020, 10:08 AM
Is Lang confirmed? Better safe then sorry...TIA

Roadie
01-30-2020, 06:38 PM
Anyone have the Hank Stram Super Bowl system. It’s been cold last few years but would like to see what they like this year. Thanks

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 08:58 PM
CARMINE BIANCO FOOTBALL PLAYS

SUPERBOWL 5% TOP PLAY PLUS 7 PROP BETS
Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-108)


View Analysis


NFL - San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs
Write up and Prop bets will be posted later.
The play is Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

PROP BETS - I've listed 7 props below. I treat these as 0.5% type plays to give you something to follow within the game. I may add a couple more closer to gameday. Enjoy and Good Luck guys.
Damien Williams - Over 50.5 -116 Rushing
George Kittle - Over 5.5 -136 Receptions (If 6 with + money is available take it instead)
Jimmy Garappolo - Over 0.5 -127 Interceptions
Patrick Mahomes - Under 0.5 -121 Interceptions
Robbie Gould - Over 7.5 -122 Kicker Points
Patrick Mahomes - Over 35.5 -125 Pass Attempts
Patrick Mahomes - Over 2 -128 TD Passes

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 08:58 PM
Goodfella:

3* NFL SUPER BOWL MAX BET

49ers +2 (Buy 1/2)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 08:58 PM
TAW Sports

Kc an Over

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 08:59 PM
Brad Feinberg

(props)

Sammy Watkins under 50.5 yds, Greg kittle under 6.5 receptions,under 2.5 players to attempt a pass & under 13 penalties

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 08:59 PM
Nevada sports service.

Chiefs -1

Can'tPickAWinner
01-30-2020, 11:57 PM
FOOTBALL JESUS

49ERS

over the rushing yards on Patrick Mahomes

rocky57
01-31-2020, 01:20 AM
H&H Sports (NFL) - 5* San Francisco 49ers +2

citybeat
01-31-2020, 09:52 AM
KEVIN DOLAN
Football Plays


5% SUPERBOWL SLAMMER
Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: San Francisco 49ers +112

swaminator
01-31-2020, 10:54 AM
Anyone have the Hank Stram Super Bowl system. It’s been cold last few years but would like to see what they like this year. Thanks

since you asked Roadie, I'll post it here too- it was in the newsletters forum- GL!

Hi Cpaw- I'll post my results for this here. You can delete or move it-
thanks for all the GREAT work for the 2019 season!- GL! Swami

Stram passed away in 2005...here is his super bowl formula for picking the winner.
I've seen different results = 42-7-2 from an article at covers with a 3 yr hiatus noted.
another The record for this Super Bowl system is at 34-10-2 as of Super Bowl 46 (2012)..Ray Monahan
if anyone has a more accurate record, please let us know.

SF / KC
SF = 44
KC = 8

** I could not determine the net penalty yds winner ..4 pts

Give 10 pts to a team if they have won a SB in the last three seasons. NA
Give 8.0 pts to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first SB in franchise history.NA
Give 8.0 pts to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes. SF
Give 7.0 pts to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs.SF
Give 7.0 pts to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season. SF
Give 5.0 pts to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average. SF
Give 4.0 pts to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns. KC
Give 4.0 pts to the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season. KC
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number. **
Give 3.5 pts to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt. TIE
Give 3.5 pts to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season. SF
Give 3.5 pts to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns. SF
Give 3.0 pts to the team that has recorded the most sacks. SF
Give 2.5 pts to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts. SF
Give 2.0 pts to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year. SF
Give 1.5 pts to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average. SF
Give 1.0 pts to the team with the better completion percentage. SF

swaminator
01-31-2020, 11:02 AM
fyi, The Stram System lost in 2015, not sure about '16. '17 , but it won in 2018 and 2109- GL

KeyserSoze
01-31-2020, 01:44 PM
I'd eliminate #2 (Give 8.0 pts to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first SB in franchise history.NA) I think it is meaningless with this being the 54th Super Bowl. All things being equal what benefit would the Jets have if they played the Detroit Lions in the Super Bowl next year?

Mizzou
01-31-2020, 03:51 PM
Brandon Lang

150 Dimes KC-1

Heard Lang on the radio, he did like the Chiefs and had some valid reasons.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-31-2020, 11:38 PM
Doc Sports superbowl

6 Kc-1

1 over.5-220 receptions by Kyle juszczyk

Can'tPickAWinner
01-31-2020, 11:38 PM
Phil Steele inside the pressbox
Best Bet SF 30 -27

Can'tPickAWinner
01-31-2020, 11:38 PM
Chuck Edel SF+1'

Can'tPickAWinner
02-01-2020, 07:13 AM
Super Bowl(BOB BALFE) VIP

6:30 PM EST
Rotation #101-102
49ers/Chiefs Under 54

Before we get wrapped up in the bright lights and the title of the Super Bowl we have to realize this is just another football game. The 49ers have the #1 Defense in all of football. The Chiefs are one of the best teams at defending wide receivers. We have two talented QB’s in this game, but let’s not forget they are indeed still very young. San Francisco has a front four that does not blitz and they still get pressure on the QB. This is a defense that is great on 3rd down and doesn’t allow teams into the red zone much. This is also a team that allows the least amount of big plays. The Chiefs Defense is not as good, but they do have great pass rushers and they don’t allow a lot of big plays to wide receivers. I don’t think either team is going to hit for many long homerun type passing plays. The 49ers run the ball a lot which chews up the clock. Jimmy Garoppolo has not been called upon to do much and when he does it is quick passes to the tight ends or running back. The 49ers strength is the ability to get the ball out quick to the TE or RB’s in addition to their rock solid running game. The Chiefs offensive advantage edge will be Patrick Mahomes to move the chains with his legs. San Francisco is so good at keeping everything in front of them. The longer a drive takes the more likelihood a team will turn the ball over, create a dumb penalty or settle for a FG. I don’t think this is going to be a defensive battle, but I do think it’s very odd that Vegas would make a total this low. They do know the public was going to pound the over and that is exactly what they are doing. In my opinion this is one of those games that we will sweat out and the under will cash by just a few points. Both teams have a lot of veteran defenders that are being overlooked because of the big named offensive players being showcased. Vegas is not in the business of handing away money on the grandest stage of them all. Enjoy the game. Take the Under.

WeWantMoehr
02-01-2020, 12:40 PM
Alan Harris

7 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs -1 over San Francisco 49ers (3:30 PM, Sunday, February 2, FOX)
The Kansas City Chiefs will look for their first Super Bowl win since Super Bowl IV and their first since the NFL/AFL merger when they take on the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL on Sunday night. The Chiefs have posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record and they are also a perfect 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games where they were listed as the favorite. They have also covered the number in each of their last four games off a game where they scored 30 points or more and they are an impressive 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. The 49ers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have failed to cover the number in seven of their last ten games following a straight up win by fourteen points or more and they are an awful 4-12 ATS in their last sixteen games following game where they passed for fewer than 150 yards. Throw in the fact that the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between the two teams and we're laying the point with them here to get the win and cover in Miami on Sunday night.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-01-2020, 06:12 PM
Indian Cowboy
6-Unit Play. #101. Take Under 54.5 San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-105) (Thursday @ 6:30pm est)
Great 3 Straight Winning Weeks in Football and our top play as you know is always 6* typically and we have posted 3 Straight Winning Weeks. Let's make it 4 in a Row to close out the year. We have 8 Selections this Super Bowl and we went 2-0 last year. We usually have 8 Selections any way per the IC-8 Football Card so we are excited about this week as a whole. Don't forget, 7*CBB goes off today at 8:30pm and we come off a 7*CBB Winner yesterday, 7-1 NBA Run and 3-0 NHL Run and we have posted +12,000 between NBA/CBB/NHL so take some money and time and sign up for the entire Season Package in all 3 Sports. Note, Niners rushed for 285 yards against Packers. Jimm G only passed for less than 70 yards last game as well. You have a Niners team that their strength itself is on defense. This is a team that held Minnesota to 10 points and held Green Bay to 20 points - though I think their defense checked out late and sort of let Rodgers and the Packers save face a little. Note, this team held Baltimore to 20 points as well and they are very good when it comes to overall schemes and they will have a great plan here set up for the Chiefs. You have a Chiefs team that really came on strong on the defensive side of the ball giving up 3 to the Bears on the road, 3 to Denver, 16 to New England, 9 to the Raiders and 17 to the Chargers. Yes, they gave up 31 to the Texans in the first part of the Playoffs but I credit that to this team just having an incredible amount of jitters and they were better against the Titans giving up 24 points. Do you know who might be an even better Quarterback than Jimm G - Ryan Tannehill. He certainly has more exeperience than Jimmy and if the Titans passed for 210 against Kansas City, I don't see the Niners passing for as much here. Titans were only able to rush for 85 yards against Kansas City as well, think about that. The vaulted Titans running game only got 85 yards on the KC Run Defense. Personally, I think the side can go either way, but per the Total, we like the Under here in this contest.

2-Unit Play. How long will it take Demi Lovato to sing the National Anthem: Over 2 Minutes and 4 Seconds (Demi is emotional about the loss of Kobe, and she has been waiting for this moment for some time, I think it's worth the Over).

2-Unit Play. Will there be a Score in the First 5 Minutes of the Game (NO) (-105). (I think it will be a Defensive contest from the beginning and folks will be surprised at the limited to no scoring early on). These teams are going to feel each other out I believe early on.

2-Unit Play. Jimmy Garoppolo Under 18.5 Completions (Even)
Mahommes was 11/19 for less than 135 Yards passing against the Vikings, I think he will find it difficult to Pass here against the Chiefs who will scheme very well and I also think at the sam time the Niners will try not to put too much pressure on Jimmy G until the very end.

2-Unit Play. Total Interceptions by Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 (-105) (Mahommes has not thrown an Interception this Post-Season, he's too mobile and at worst, he throws it away).

2-Unit Play. Total Completions by Patrick Mahommes Over 24.5 (-130) (I don't see the Chiefs being able to run the ball as successfully on the Niners, so I see a lot of short plays and short completions for the Chiefs so the yards might not be there but the completion total will).

2-Unit Play. Total Number of 49ers to Have a Rushing Attempt Over 5 (+110). You are talking about Kyle Shannahan who will throw more variations than you can imagine at the Chiefs to throw them off, I like this one to go over, this is his specialty.

2-Unit Play. The San Francisco 49ers will have more Rushing Yards than the Chiefs -49.5 Yards (Even). Even laying the 50 yards here, I still think the Niners will have substantially more passing yards as they protect Jimmy G as much as they possibly can as long as they possibly can.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-01-2020, 06:13 PM
Mike Missanelli

49ers

Can'tPickAWinner
02-01-2020, 06:14 PM
Tony Bruno

KC

golden contender
02-01-2020, 11:09 PM
Super Bowl Sunday and we have a 6* in the big game with Multiple Systems and Super bowl specific indicators one is perfect and dates to 1967.There is the bonus total and several props too. In the NBA we have a double perfect 5* and a Powerful NCAAB Side. College hoops Comp play below.

The NCAAB Free Play is on Niagara at 1:00 eastern. The Purple Aces look to even the score today and avenge an earlier loss at Quinnipiac. The Bobcats are a lousy 4-9 ats a a road favorite. Niagara has covered the last 4 as a home dog, 4 of 4 after scoring 50 or less points and 5 of 6 on Sunday. Take the 2-3 points here with the revenging home dog. On Sunday we have the 6* Super Bowl side with Totals and Bonus props. The side has multiple super bowl systems and an indicator that dated back to 1967. There is a 5* NBA Double perfect system side and College hoops. See us on facebook. For the NCAAB free play. Play on Niagara. Rob V- GC Sports

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:56 AM
Top Consensus Sports

PROPS:
MARQUEE SINGLE: Which Team Will Score First in the Game? 49ers (-105)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Total Field Goals Made in the Game (O/U 3.5)? OVER (-125)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Will There be Three Unanswered Scores in the Game? NO (+145)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Total Receptions by KC’s Damien Williams (O/U 3 rec) OVER (-110)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Largest Lead of the Game (O/U 13.5 Points)? UNDER (+130)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Total Pass Attempts by SF’s Jimmy Garoppolo (O/U 30 att)? UNDER (-110)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Which Team Will Have the Longest Kickoff Return? Chiefs (-125)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Will There be a Lead Change in the 2nd Half (OT not included)? YES (+130)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Will There be a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown? YES (+190)
MARQUEE TRIPLE: Solo & Assisted Tackles for KC’s Tyrann Mathieu (O/U 5 tkls)? OVER (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:56 AM
Brad Powers
2* : Under 55

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:56 AM
Bezobets


NFL: 49ers/Chiefs OVER 10 1st Quarter @ 1.909/-110 (2 Units)
PROPS:
Combined Yardage of Made FGs: OVER 122.5 @ 1.833/-120 (1 Unit)
*-Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


Mahomes Interceptions Thrown: UNDER 0.5 @ 1.833/-120 (1 Unit)
*-Nitrogen
Mahomes Rushing Yards: OVER 32.5 @ 1.833/-120 (1.5 Units)
*-5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)
Joe Montana Shown While Playing With KC: YES @ 1.833/-120 (2 Units)
*-BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127)/sportsbetting (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_1401)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
Potato Kmish

10* SF +1.5
5* Under 54

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
Jimmy Moore

5* San Francisco 49ers +1 (6:30 est) FOX (101)

Frankly I am surprised Kansas City is the favorite here since in my analysis San Francisco has the advantage in most every area except QB/Passing offense. There is no doubt the 49ers defense is the better, there is no doubt the 49ers run game is better and I would strongly argue the coaching is better on the San Francisco side of the field. Pretty simple equation here - the better running game and better defense more often than not is the winner in a Superbowl. Play San Francisco in the Superbowl to win with Jimmy. Thank you and good luck.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
Scott Kellen

49ers +1

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
Victor King

3* 49ers-Chiefs over 54

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
KIEV O'NEIL

KC Chiefs -1 – small play
Over 27 points - second half – 3 stars
Under 27ish - first half – 1.5 stars

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:57 AM
Elite Sports Picks (This Week 2-4)

Marist +7.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:59 AM
Scott spreitzer

7 u sf+1
3 u under 54.5

2 u props

1st drive no score

d samuel o 56.5 rec yds +100

mostert most rushing yds -140

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 07:59 AM
Freddy Wills has released a premium pick.

The play is on, Chiefs -118 5.5% NFL POD.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 08:00 AM
VegasEliteSports

Rockets *5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 08:01 AM
Double Dragon Sports

8-UNIT MEGA
49'ERS +1 vs chiefs (Sun. - 6:30pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 1/31/20 - 1pm
**All times Eastern

rocky57
02-02-2020, 09:35 AM
Early Service Play Tally from the Sports Monitor @ 9:30am est.

Chiefs 25
49ers 20
Under 10
Over 11

Will update closer again around noon

Thanks

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 09:50 AM
Bob Valentino


14th-Ever
150 DIME
NFL Release of My Career


chiefs

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 10:06 AM
Brad Feinberg
KC -1.5

FATMANWINS
02-02-2020, 10:17 AM
ats
4 kc

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 10:22 AM
ROOT

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)- niners

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 10:40 AM
Tony Finn

SUPER SUNDAY LIV POINTSPREAD
Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -115



SUPER SUNDAY LIV TOP TOTAL
Game: (101) San Francisco 49ers at (102) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Feb 2 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 54.0 (-108)

Note this first update of my Super Bowol package will next release a more indepthThe story of Patrick Mahomes is as interesting and intriguing as that of Jimmy G. Neither enter this game without some pimples. The subjective nature of which story is more, or most interesting, depends on which set of circumstances tickles your fancy.


Kansas City has arrived. And they are led by arguably the most gifted and talented quarterback since... "since" references what you choose it to be. Kansas City was a part of Super Bowl I and Super Bowl 4. For the most part the same personnel that dressed in Super Bowl I vs Green Bay dressed in Super Bowl four versus the Vikings.

The 49ers have played in, and won, all five of their Big Sunday affairs. five Super Sunday contests.

First let’s review Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs third-year quarterbacack is being called the best quarterback in the game today. The truth is the information I would use to argue this point is the same percentage gibberish I could argue he isn't. And who he is in the GOAT container is not relevant to Sunday's event.

Who he "will be" until further notice will, however, be a result of the final score.

We still don't know everything about Mahomes. Heck we don't even know allot. Not yet, not at this stage of his career. What we do know? He is the most accurate quarterback when throwing a football than anyone in the history of the game, ever.

The yards that Mahomes has completed 10,316 are not relevant to this game. His, 84-to-17 touchdown-to-interception ratio has never even been imagined for a 23 or 24 year old. Nor has a more efficient prototypical pro set pocket signal caller having rushing touchdowns in 34 regular season/post season starts assisting his teammates in competing in two consecutive Conference Championship Games. Oh, and throw in a Super Bowl as well.

Mahomes' collective postseason numbers include a record of 3-1 in the four games inside of an Andy Reid offense . One that has averaged 37 ppg. The son of a major league baseball pitcher - his genius with a football has recorded nine touchdowns without an interception and since retiring for a short hiatus to a knee injury the KC QB has completed 112-of-162 passes with a 13-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

What Mahomet’s doesn't have Jimmy Garoppolo has a pair of. This beingt the quarterback for a team that won two Super Bowls. The caveat to his Super Sunday rings is that he didn't play... he watched.

Jimmy is, according to my wife, better looking than he is a game breaking threat behind center. Think of the number of good quarterbacks, excellent game-managers, who didn't have the running game or the defense to even get those players to the postseason, yet along the big game. Accuracy isn't Garrapolo's ally. Jimmy G ranked eighth on the 2019-20 season list of game interceptions.

I would throw some love in the direction of the 49ers fan base and tell them that the 50th bowl game in the history of the Super Bowl won't be much different than all of the games. I say throw love at Jimmy G and coach Shanahan. As uncompromising as play-caller and head coach Kyle Shanahan an A+ for the 2019-20 campaign.

If you watch enough TV, the SportsCenter crew beat the Kansas City defense like a dead horse before each of the team’s rushing attack. Derrick Henry was supposed to bulldoze, run through and over the Chiefs. He and the Tennessee Titans didn't however.

The Chiefs have limited long completions against and just 3.8 yards per carry during their last six games. That would rank among the top-10 rush defenses if computed out for the entire season.

The running game has been a big part of the Niners postseason success, but for the most part they have played with a lead. And Raheem Mostert, Tevin

The Chiefs butt slaps and high-fives for what their defense has become. The KC defense held their last six regular-season foes to 11.6 points a game. Their pass rush is greatly upgraded with the return from injury of premier defensive lineman Christopher Jones and the late-season signing of veteran Terrell Suggs, who ranks eighth all-time on the NFL sack list with 139.

San Francisco’s success lives and breathes with the success of the defense. Again holding Minny to just seven first downs. n first downs while keeping Aaron Rodgers way in check. Make no mistake. The best tight-end in the league and in this game is Kelce. If George Kittle isn’t the best tight end in the NFL or voted as such, then the people that have not wastch then I don't know who could or would Tyreek Hill is a premier big-play threat. Mecole Hardman is another speed burner who needs to be watched.




SUPER BOWL LIV REPORT (update on props -- all 15 propositions have been given a confidence rating between 1-10 -- WITH 10 (ten) being the strongest in both confidence and value for the group)

1. WILL THERE BE A 4TH QUARTER LEAD CHANGE
10091 Yes (+240) -- confidence rating of 7


Using historical data or past performance to measure the probability of a single occurrence today, or Sunday, are untrustworthy predictive. What do we know? The oddsmakers expect this game to be close. In addition 21% of all NFL final scores are within three-points of the closing line and 46% within a touchdown. The Mahomes led Chiefs executed come-from-behind wins in two-straight playoff games. QB Jimmy Garoppolo led the 49ers to a league-high four fourth-quarter comebacks. Combine what we know and chances are better than not we have more than one opportunity to witness a fourth-quarter lead change.


2. ALTERNATE POINTSPREADS


206 CHIEFS - 14½ +420 ---- confidence rating of 5


The last game of 2019-20 is a long shot to emulate or be executed as were most games in the regular season. Going back to Week 13 when Mahomes was close to 100 percent following the midseason knee injury the Chiefs won four of their last seven games by 15 points or more. And in four of those seven games Mahomes and the Chiefs were trailing after the first quarter and in four of KC's last seven games they have trailed at the end of the first quarter. This 49ers team is not build to play from behind. And the earlier that KC can pressure Jimmy G and Shanahan to be less run-first the easier it for the Niners offense to play themselves into mistakes. When desperate times call for desperate measures the Chiefs have been that team that has taken advantage and converted desperately measured mistakes into large margins of victory.



3. FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT BY RAHEEM MOSTERT (SF)


66032 UNDER 3.5 YARDS +110 ---- confidence rating of 5


The 200-plus yard game that Mostert produced versus Green Bay in the conference finals was a direct result of a defensive front that had hemorrhaged rushing yards most of the season. It was also a creation of late game defenders tackling, or attempting to, tackle the ball rather than the running back with the hope of causing a fumble.





4. FIRST RECEPTION BY: DeMarcus ROBINSON* (KC)


(IF NO RECEPTION - "UNDER" IS WINNER)


66072 UNDER 10½ UNDER - 110 ---- confidence rating of 5


Robinson was only relevant to Mahomes and the offense in games where Hill was inactive. If Robinson catches a pass in this contest it is most likely to be from the slot in a possession situation in which he would have to produce YAK to be created with more than 10 yards.





5. LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM


10051 OVER 14½ OVER - 130 ---- confidence rating of 5


This is a correlated prop to the play on KC for game and in connection with pointspread prop of -14.5. The result of winning one has a high probability of producing three winning props.





6. TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: Jimmy GAROPPOLO* (SF)


10101 OVER 239½ - 110 --- ---- confidence rating of 7


Very few scenarios in this game, and with any NFL game total that rests in the mid-50's have had one of the two quarterbacks throw for less than 280 yards yet alone 240.





7. WILL THERE BE A 2 POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT?


10085 YES +120 ---- confidence rating of 5


The last game of the 2019-20 season and the history of this game, as well as the oddsmakers over-under place the probability of a two point attempt closer to -140 than +120.




8. TOTAL QB SACKS BY: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS DEFENSE 10277 OVER 2½ OV +130 ---- confidence rating of 6


The 49ers pressured the quarterback this season more than any team in the league, on 29 percent of defensive snaps/passing plays. They registered 48 regular season sacks (3 per game) and HC Reid and his OC called the fifth most passing plays in all of football this season.





9. TOTAL PASS ATTEMPTS BY: Patrick MAHOMES* (KC)


IF NO PASS ATTEMPTS - "UNDER" IS THE WINNER


10299 OVER 37½ OV - 110 ---- confidence rating of 5


If this game plays out as a regular season event Mahomes would fall right above the props 38 pass attempts. Regardless of quarterbacks playing with the lead or behind, in modern day NFL offensive schemes, Super Bowls have more pass attempts than the average Sunday regular season game.





10. LONGEST RECEPTION BY: Damien WILLIAMS* (KC)


IF NO RECEPTION - "UNDER" IS THE WINNER


10343 OVER 14½ OV - 110 ---- confidence rating of 8


If Williams doesn't have 6 or more receptions and 10 targets in this game it means that San Fran didn't blitz or show blitz early on. And if I were a betting man (cough) I would bet that this situation is in fact not the way this game plays out, especially early on. Williams and Mahomes, according to my Intel, spend extended and extra time coordinating screen pass schemes the last two weeks leading up to Sunday's game.





11. TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: Damien WILLIAMS* (KC)


IF NO RUSHING ATTEMPT - "UNDER" IS THE WINNER


10331 OVER 52½ OV - 110 ---- confidence rating of 6


There is substantial evidence from game results of Shanahan and his defensive coordinator that as much as the media mouths want to convince us that the Niners will gamble defensively it is much more likely that the Niners D-backers play off the KC receivers and fall into the category of taking advantage of the numbers, passing attempts and such, rather than gamble on creating a turnover in the Kansas City backfield. In a nutshell forcing Mahomes and company into sustained drives as opposed to losing with defensive gambles allowing quick hitting scoring plays.





12. TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: Damien WILLIAMS* (KC)


IF NO RECEPTION - "UNDER" IS THE WINNER


10341 OVER 29½ OV - 110 ---- confidence rating of 6


Initially I wanted to rate this closer to 8 than 6. But after doing the math and the number of props vs. percentage of bankroll it was the first to take a rate cut. Williams is carrying the weight of Super Bowl LIV propositions investments for a reason. I expect, through my sources and the historic patterns of Andy Reid's play calling for Williams to have a big game.





13. TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: DeMarcus ROBINSON* (KC)


IF NO RECEPTION - "UNDER" IS THE WINNER


10400 UNDER 1½ UN EVEN





14. WHO WILL HAVE MORE? UTAH/UCLA - 2/2/20 - CLOSES AT 12:00 PM PST ON 2/2/20


No--------- 10621 UTAH+UCLA - 8½ - 110 1ST HALF POINTS


Yes to this prop ------- 10622 Deebo SAMUEL* (SF) - 110 RECEIVING YARDS ---- confidence rating of 5


In conference play, which is greatly different and typically less-than the results of non-conference action the Bruins and Utes have averaged 30 first half points per game. The unexpected physicality of rookie Deebo Samuel began to become evident as the season wore on. And he became a trusted pair of hands for Jimmy G. Samuel's production in the postseason (5 receptions on 9 targets) was a result of game situation. A pair of contests in which San Fran was playing with a lead and were run-first. I expect Shanahan and Jimmy G to have the mentality that there is no fourth and short beyond their own 40 yard line not worthy of punting and Shanahan to be much more willing to throw the ball then in their Divisional and Conference victories.





15. PLAYER TO BE NAMED MVP


12016 Damien WILLIAMS* (KC) 14/1 ---- confidence rating of 8


Williams was banged up throughout training camp. In truth he wasn't close to 100 percent until essentially a four-game absence that saw him return in Week 16 versus the Bears. At Soldier Field against a good Bears defense, and front seven, Williams ran for 65 yards on 16 carries and caught three passes for 27 yards and a touchdown.


Williams followed that with a Week 17 start versus the Chargers and gained 124 yards on the ground and 30 through the air. A win over Los Angeles that saw him score two TD's. The two postseason contests came after a bye week that allowed Williams to gain additional health with extended recovery. In those two victories Williams scored three touchdowns.


It is also worth noting that in the four games outlined above he gained the confidence of the coaching staff and when asked HC Reid told the local media that Williams was the lead back and was doing the little and big things that was expected of him when training camp began in August. Also it came in four games in which the Chiefs either held a substantial lead in the final quarter or KC was down by double digits and Mahomes and Reid were executing play action routes that didn't break for 3 or more seconds, deep routes per se, and Williams was either a decoy or the Chiefs were in an empty set offensively.


If Kansas City earns a victory on Sunday and Williams combines for 100 plus yards by ground and by air and scores two touchdowns, especially if they are of the rushing variety, he is as likely the SB LIV MVP as Mahomes is with two or three passing TD's. And at 14-1 vs. even-money, respectfully, I do not have to outline were the value lies.


-----------------------------


SB LIV GAME SUMMARY FORECAST


National Football League Super Bowl events are meticulously planned, prepped, overwhelmingly publicized and for no better term pimped to anyone and everyone that is willing to buy or assist in the viewership by doing nothing more than watching. As much the league wants us to remember each and every Super Sunday, preferably with Total Recall, this isn't the case. If you ask a gaggle of fans from a specific franchise that was involved in a specific SB event chances are they will remember a large portion of the contest. But even said group will have distorted plays, facts and situations as they saw it. Not how it necessarily transpired.


The story lines in this contest are somewhat fabricated to make a more intriguing storyline. San Francisco’s defense and a front four that doesn't need help via the blitz to get to the quarterback. A Kansas City offense that is designed by one of the best play callers in the history of the game, Andy Reid, that is engineered by the player many are calling the next best thing since sliced bread, Patrick Mahomes.


It would take far too long to paint a picture of each quarterback, each team and how they both bled , sweat and mourned to the football higher-power with the aim of being NFL champions. Rather, a brief breakdown on how each found their way to Miami.


The Chiefs stumbled out of the blocks in both of their postseason contests. In the Divisional win vs. the Houston Texans the Chiefs fell behind 24-0 before eventually taking superior talent and positioning it in the time and space that would allow the Kansas City coaching staff and players to grind out a win. And that is almost exactly what they did to earn a Divisional win. The Chiefs were down 17-0 to the Tennessee Titans before big play after big play earned the Conference Championship.


The 49ers playoff route came in near perfect fashion. Jimmy G was set up for success almost instantly kickoff transpired. Vikings running back Dalvin Cook wasn't the same running back as we saw in the regular season. He played injured in the NFL Divisional round and the 49ers held the talented tailback to just 21 yards rushing. Conversely the Niners took advantage of a Green Bay defense in the conference title event that hemorrhaged rushing yards most of the year. Mostert gained 220 yards rushing and scored four touchdowns in the San Fran win.


With the two come-from-behind wins for the Chiefs the bookmakers understood their responsibility to position one of the highest totals in Super Bowl history. And the public, across the first 10 days of betting leading up to Sunday's game have done their part and pushed the over-under to as high as 55 points.


As easy as it is to suggest that the Niners had the easier route to Miami it is hard to have an argument that such a perception isn't fact. Kirk Cousins is a game manager. When he was signed by the Vikings they didn't have an illusions of anything more. And the Packers Rodgers is in the golden years of his career and didn't have the skill set weapons that would allow him to do much more than he did.


Making claim that Kansas City attempted to piss away the Super Bowl opportunity by finding fortune in their two comeback wins is not difficult to counter.


Kansas City has the most talent at quarterback in all of the NFL. Andy Reid's offense doesn't require that the tight end do anything more than catch the ball when thrown to and having the talent to be a decoy when he is not throw to. Tyreek Hill is a premier big-play receivers. And while many will argue Hill processes elite speed and doesn't have elite skills to be anything more than a "run fast and hope he catches the ball wide out" are wrong.


This Kansas City offense is the fastest in all of football. Hill in combination with Mecole Hardman and even veteran Sammy


Watkins will concern most all defensive coordinators. But Reid and his staff develop their receivers. Hill, has made incredible strides in his route running and reliable hands.


Damien Williams is more than just a good backup. His skill set is near perfect for Reid's scheme. Williams scored three touchdowns in the Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans, the first on a 17-yard pass from Patrick Mahomes and the others on short runs. He also played 62 of the 64 offensive snaps. LeSean McCoy and Darwin Thompson are non factors at this point unless Williams suffers an in-game injury.


Williams is for all intent and purpose a hidden weapon, stealth if you will, and has received little headlines as Super Sunday has snuck up on us. Williams was hurt coming out of training camp and it took him the majority of the season to work his way back into the role he was expected to handle from Week 1 and forward.


In defense of the major media mouths Williams being held in middling regard makes sense. Williams wound up leading the Chiefs in the regular season in rushing but it is difficult to put All-Pro verbiage around a player with just 498 yards and seven total touchdowns on the season.


Kansas City’s offensive line is underrated ranking fourth in the metric defensive-adjusted value over average. It is Andy Reid that is the Hall of Fame coach in this game, or soon to be. And without putting numbers around what the KC defense did in the second half of the season and comparing that to the Niners stop unit let's give the edge defensively to the Niners and call it good.


This game is more than the talent and assets that the San Fran 49ers bring to Sunday's game... it is what they themselves have to face and conquer versus Mahomes and company.


Take a leap of faith and assume my measurements are correct. Starting with the quarterbacks the 49ers faced this season and which can be compared to Mahomes. I believe it is fair to use Drew Brees, Matt Ryan and Russell Wilson as the examples. The Saints scored 46 points against the 49ers. The Falcons produced 29 points and an outright victory. And a young receiving corps of the Seahawks working with Russell Wilson averaged 24 points per game in this year's home and home series.


I believe it also fair to state that Garoppolo is a game manager. Giving him credit for being a two time Super Bowl quarterback is an extreme stretch. He has never taken a snap in a SB Sunday event. He isn't as mobile as Mahomes, Jimmy doesn't have the arm strength or the touch. In addition Garoppolo doesn't have the weapons that Mahomes does. Feel free to leave the Kansas City backup receivers inactive for Sunday's affair. The combination of Williams out of the backfield, Kelce under the backers and Hill and Watkins roaming the secondary is, in truth, unfair.


This Kansas City team is where they are because of the improvement the defense made and the continued growth of Mahomes and Hill. The defensive coordinator change made by Reid is deserving of its due, as well.


Before putting my expectations and forecast to bed please understand that the total in this game is a no-play. Meaning that, all things being equal, the right side of the oddsmakers over/under is south of 51, not north of 55. I spent a period of three days tweaking numbers and adjusting specific variables to find justification to support the under. However, I could not do so. And attempting to pull, push and stretch numbers to fit my preconceptions is something I simply don't do. The truth is going north of 55 isn't as difficult to argue as it attempting to justify south of 51. But next time you have nothing important to tackle take a look at the Kansas City totals in the regular season and see how many of those closed in the range of 55.


If you happened to take the time to look you now know that a game that is tailored around the notion that "defense wins championships" that the oddsmakers have shaded the total for this Sunday contest.


That said, and my belief that this total under regular circumstances would be a definite no-go, it is the Super Bowl and I have been asked to take a position to the north or to the south. With the request I recommend a correlated play to who I believe is the better team. And without taking a giant step, still head and shoulders more talented offensively, are the Chiefs. The correlation of side and total in this Super Bowl; if you believe as I do that Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are the winners in this Super Sunday affair which in turn creates a high probability that the Chiefs cover the most logical final game stats have the final score north of 55. And visa versa; if the 49ers are to earn the victory it is because they found away to turn KC over at minimum a trio of times and the Niners win because KC couldn't locate the end zone.


In my reality and from what my eye-test tells me each and every time I watch Garoppolo live or on film, his is positioned behind this line of scrimmage and in front of a San Fran defense to not lose. The underlying peripherals to what Shanahan and Jimmy G execute on Sundays is a non-aggressive balanced attack that gives the defense a chance to win the game as much as that of the offense.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:00 AM
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST

10:47 AM
VANCOUVER +1.5
VANCOUVER @ CAROLINA | 2/02 | 2:00 PM EST
My model says that the Canucks cover the spread 75 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value playing them at this spread. Vancouver has won five straight contests and seven of its last eight, with six of those victories coming by two or more goals. The Canucks also have played well on the road of late, winning four of their last five. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have dropped four of their last six contests. Take Vancouver +1.5 goals at -171.

9-4 IN LAST 13 NHL ATS PICKS | +328

Duncan
02-02-2020, 11:13 AM
Up And Up Sports

49ers +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:16 AM
5 Star Baller

NFL: 49ers +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:16 AM
TD Power Call (10-1 playoffs)

KC & Under

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:28 AM
From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Accu Picks

NBA
3* #535/536 Denver/Detroit OVER 215

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:28 AM
The Sharp Plays

Bettor #4 is in action with only one for today and it is on Siena -1.5 over St. Peters. It is a medium play for him.

Siena achieves an LJP score of 3U

B*mb07
02-02-2020, 11:30 AM
Dime Man - Pitt Marist
Champagne - Monmouth S Dakota

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:35 AM
SkyBluePicks

San Francisco 49ers +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:38 AM
Doc Sports ncaab

4 iowa-4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:39 AM
Jason Sharpe ncaab

3 northern kentucky-4

rocky57
02-02-2020, 11:45 AM
SharpAngleSports (James Salinas - NFL) - Kansas City Chiefs -1

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 11:47 AM
ncaab asssassin

super bowl :: no play
sb props :: kelce OVER 5.5 red -175
sb props :: Emmanuel sanders O40.5 yds
parlay :: maholmes MORE yards than Garoppolo and Liverpool (2/15) ML over Norwich city ( PAYS -120 ) ** only 3 unit play **
ncaab :: Wisconsin Milwaukee +5
ncaab :: Wisconsin GB +5
ncaab :: siena -1
nba :: pelicans +6
nhl :: Montreal -130

Calidreaming
02-02-2020, 11:57 AM
Big Al and Ben Burns NHL plays on Carolina
Big Al NBA play on Pistons
Burns CBB play on Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:00 PM
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Feb 2 2020 6:30PM (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://0)
101 SFX / 102 KAN OVER 28.0 William Hill (https://pregame.com/game-center)double-dime bet

Analysis: The OVER is NOT on the game.

Play 2nd Half OVER 27 (-100) , 2 stars!
********


SATURDAY 2/1 UPDATE:


KC Rushers UNDER 4.5-125 3*!!
This is the number of KC players to get a rush attempt in the game.


Mahomes and Williams will get one
Backup RB Thompson has a good chance to get one
It looks like the other RB, McCoy is going to be a healthy SCRATCH


That means 2 recievers AND Thompson have to get rushes to beat us, rather UNLIKELY !


LOVE under 4.5 here






I LOVE this prop, bet ASAP!

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:08 PM
Bondi

4* KC

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:08 PM
Billy Coleman off the Northcoast Community Line:
4.5*Denver -2.5
3* Iowa -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:18 PM
Al DeMarco

Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner

KC Chiefs

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:24 PM
VSI

5 over UCLA game

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:25 PM
Paul Leiner

3000* NFL Over 54 Niners / Chiefs
100* CBB Duquesne -9.5
100* CBB St John's -1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:26 PM
Mike Jacobs

20,000 Unit Super Bowl Play


Kansas City Chiefs -1 over 49ers




5,000 Unit Bonus


Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 over SJU

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:29 PM
Midwest NFL Handicapping

SF +7.5/UNDER 59.5


PROP
-Mahames OVER 30 Yards Rushing
-Mahomes OVER 25.5 completions
-Mahomes 3rd Quarter TD Pass
-Kelce OVER 6.5 Rec
-Sammie Watkins OVER 3.5 Rec
Tyran Matheau INT +350
-SF First Quarter +.5
-SF First Half +.5
-More Points Scored Second Half
-Damien Williams OVER 3.5 Receptions
-Damien Williams UNDER 160 Rushing Yards
-Gatorade PURPLE (Kobe Tribute) +600
-49ers WILL score in the first quarter +100
-LESS Than 2.5 players to throw a pass +500

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:33 PM
Lee Sterling

30 KC

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:58 PM
Robert Ferringo cbb

3-Unit Play. Take #831 Miami (+7.5) over Pittsburgh (Noon, Sunday, Feb. 2)
Call me crazy, but I think that Miami might actually be better off without Chris Lykes and his poor attitude. They certainly looked better when they blew out Virginia Tech their last time out and I think that they will be competitive against the Panthers here on the road. Miami beat Pitt the first meeting this year and the Panthers haven't exactly been world beaters lately, losing four of their last six and with one of the wins coming by just two points against a weak Boston College squad. Pitt is a young team and they are coming off a big game at Duke. I don't know how focused they will be for this game. Miami has played by far the most difficult schedule in the ACC and one of the most difficult schedules in the country. This team is better than its record and I think that they could win this game.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #831 Miami (+11.5) over Pittsburgh (Noon) AND Take #843 Illinois (+10) over Iowa (1 p.m.)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:59 PM
Bill Marzano

DENVER -140
DENVER @ DETROIT | 2/02 | 12:30 PM EST
10:33 AM
This number is low, and that makes me a little nervous, but I'm still going to go with Denver here. The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 14 games overall, while the Pistons have dropped five in a row - all by double digits. The Nuggets should be able to dominate this game in the paint and expose the Pistons. Denver's defense has been solid all season as it ranks fifth in the league, allowing 106 points per contest.

18-11-1 IN LAST 30 NBA PICKS | +582
UNDER 136.5
MIAMI (FLA.) @ PITTSBURGH | 2/02 | 12:00 PM EST
10:30 AM
These teams met just a few weeks ago and the Hurricanes came away with a 66-58 win. I think we will see another low-scoring game today. The Panthers are really good defensively, allowing just over 62 points per contest. They rank second in the ACC and 26th in the nation in turnover margin. Pittsburgh has struggled offensively, averaging just over 66 points, and both teams have had issues on the boards. Look for the Panthers to really step it up defensively in this game and keep Miami under 60 points.

31-21 IN LAST 52 CBB O/U PICKS | +787

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:59 PM
Larry Hartstein

NEW ORLEANS +5
NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON | 2/02 | 2:00 PM EST
12:35 PM
The Pelicans are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games, and they should have a solid rebounding edge over Houston today with Clint Capela (heel) sitting out. Grab the points.

65-52-2 IN LAST 119 NBA ATS PICKS | +789
44-28 IN LAST 72 NO ATS PICKS | +1352

10-6 IN LAST 16 HOU ATS PICKS | +341

TORONTO -10.5
CHICAGO @ TORONTO | 2/02 | 3:00 PM EST
12:27 PM
This is a big number, but the Bulls are down four starters and Toronto enters on a 10-game win streak. Chicago is 0-2 on its current road trip and lost by 15 at Brooklyn last time out. Back the Raptors to improve to 18-8 ATS in their last 26 as home favorites.

65-52-2 IN LAST 119 NBA ATS PICKS | +789
39-20-2 IN LAST 61 CHI ATS PICKS | +1716

10-5 IN LAST 15 TOR ATS PICKS | +454

MILWAUKEE -11
PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE | 2/02 | 2:00 PM EST
11:03 AM
Not only are the Bucks coming off a rare home loss, but they also are looking to avenge last year's two-game sweep at the hands of Phoenix. The Suns will be short-handed in the frontcourt without Dario Saric (ankle). Lay it.

65-52-2 IN LAST 119 NBA ATS PICKS | +789
44-28 IN LAST 72 PHO ATS PICKS | +1366

KANSAS CITY -1.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:24 PM
This is obviously a very tough call, given San Fran's strong defensive front and dominant postseason form. But I keep coming back to one player: Chris Jones. He played 28 snaps in the AFC title game, and the Chiefs generated three sacks and seven QB pressures while he was on the field. Now fully recovered from his calf injury, Jones is expected to play nearly every snap Sunday. The 49ers were the best in the NFL at limiting deep throws this season, but they haven't faced an offense with this kind of speed. And San Fran plays zone coverage nearly 80 percent of the time. Patrick Mahomes dissects zone defenses. Look for Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and/or Sammy Watkins to break a big play or two, and for Tyrann Mathieu to make key defensive plays in a Chiefs' win.

57-39-3 IN LAST 99 NFL ATS PICKS | +1411
14-7-1 IN LAST 22 SF ATS PICKS | +628

5-1 IN LAST 6 KC ATS PICKS | +395

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 12:59 PM
Elite Sports Picks
Marist +7.5 over Canisius (NCAAB)

Insider Sports Report
4* St. Johns -1.5 over Georgetown (NCAAB)
3* Saint Peters PK over Siena (NCAAB)
3* Kansas City -1.5 over San Francisco (NFL)

National Sports Service
5* Monmouth -1.5 over Rider (NCAAB)
3* San Francisco/Kansas City UNDER 54 (NFL)

Primetime Sports Picks For 02/02/20
4 Unit --> Wright St. -5 over Wisconsin-Green Bay (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Denver -2 over Detroit (NBA)
3 Unit --> Kansas City -1.5 over San Francisco (NFL)

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 02/02/20
4★ Monmouth -1.5 over Rider (NCAAB)
3★ Miami-Florida +6.5 over Pittsburgh (NCAAB)
3★ San Francisco/Kansas City UNDER 54 (NFL)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 01:16 PM
Jack Winningham

San Francisco +1

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 01:18 PM
Jason Sharpe

4 over 216 bulls

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 01:24 PM
Sports Unlimited/Marco

5 Under 54
3 KC -1

philinnyc
02-02-2020, 02:08 PM
Big Al Mcmordie--San Francisco
Big Al Mcmordie--UNDER San Fran/KC
Larry Ness--Kansas City
Ben Burns: Kansas City
Ben Burns: UNDER San Fran/KC

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:39 PM
Miller locks

6:30 pm est nfl
san francisco 49ers vs. Kansas city chiefs

pick: San francisco 49ers (+108)

risk: 11 units

6:30 pm est nfl
san francisco 49ers vs. Kansas city chiefs

pick: Over 53.5 (-101)

risk: 11 units

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:40 PM
Dwayne Bryant

3% 49ers +1.5 (playable down to pick 'em)

This game reminds me so much of the Broncos-Seahawks Super Bowl from six years ago. Denver, led by QB Peyton Manning, owned the league's #1 offense in terms of yards per game and points per game. Seattle owned the NFL's #1 defense in terms of yards per game and points per game. Denver was the small favorite, and everyone was betting on them because the public loves offense. But the Seattle defense ruled the day with a resounding 43-8 win.

I'm not calling for a blowout like that Broncos-Seahawks game, but I once again expect the better defense to win out over the public team with the popular offense. The funny thing is, the 49ers offense gained 30 more yards and scored 28 more points than KC's offense during the regular season. But the Niners are known for their suffocating defense, and their offense doesn't have a big-name QB like KC's Patrick Mahomes. Also, passing attacks are much sexier than ground-and-pound offenses. So the 49ers offense mostly goes under the radar. I expect the Niners offense to play with a massive chip on its shoulder here, and they're going against a subpar KC run defense.

I'm expecting a close game in which the team that has the ball last has a chance to win. But when it's all said and done, I trust the better defensive team 99% of the time. After all, "defense wins championships," and I expect that to hold today.

PLAY SAN FRANCISCO.

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:40 PM
Sportsline Computer

Vancouver +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:40 PM
Lv wolf
1st H SF+.5
1st H under 26.5

props
mosert under 79 rush
Mahomes under 36 pass attempts
under 1.5 yrd. Td rush -180
touchback starts game -185

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:41 PM
Seabass : 400 iona, 300 Quinnipiac, 400 miami/ pittsburgh over, 400 Bucks, 500 pistons, 400 Hurricanes puckline

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:41 PM
TSP PROP
Super Bowl Prop Bet is Tyreek Hill OV76.5 (-110) receiving yards. Prices will vary by book. Before the site went down, Bookmaker had +103. I expect San Francisco to press on Kelce which should open up the other players. I think Hill's speed and the routes he runs will cause issues for the zone defense of San Francisco. If KC is winning, they will be using Hill to open up the game early and expand that lead. If KC is losing then the passing game will be a necessity and Hill could get cheap yards on the bend but don't break setup SF will take later in the game. So whether winning or losing, I think it plays good for Hill. Hopefully he opens the game with an 80 yard reception!

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:42 PM
STATFOX SB PICK:
Estimate 1: 31-29 KC and Over
Estimate 2: 25-23 SF and not seeing an edge onO/U

he number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In past simulated games, SF covered the spread 46 times, while KC covered the spread 37 times.
Edge against the spread = None
In past simulated games, SF won the game straight up 36 times, while KC won 48 times.
In past simulated games, 12 games went under the total, while 4 games went over the total.
Edge against the total = [COLOR=#28A745 !important]Under

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 03:50 PM
Cousin Sal-
SF +1.5




- Jimmy G. MVP (+280)
- Chiefs by 7-10 (+750)
- 49ers by 7-10 (+800)
- Mahomes under 29.5 rushing yds. (-110)
- Jimmy G. 1st TD -1.5 yds. over Fury/Wilder rounds
- Gatorade color - yellow (Kobe) (+400)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 04:16 PM
Larry Ness


Kansas City

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 04:18 PM
Vernon Croy

7-Unit Play San Francisco/Kansas City GAME TOTAL UNDER 54.5
2-Unit Play PROP: 1st PLAY OF THE GAME WILL BE A RUN PLAY
2-Unit Play PROP: WILL THE 49ERS CONVERT A 4TH DOWN (YES -120)

WeWantMoehr
02-02-2020, 04:21 PM
Matt Rivers

Individual Play Props

Patrick Mahomes - MVP - Yes (+115)


Patrick Mahomes - Total TD Passes - Over 2.5 (-125)

Patrick Mahomes - Total Completions - Over 25.5 - Yes (-115)

Patrick Mahomes - Total Rushing Yards - Over 34.5 (-115)

Tyreek Hill - Total Receiving Yards - Over 75.5 (-115)

Travis Kelce - Total Receptions - Over 6 1/2 (-110)

Jimmy Garoppolo - Total Completions - Over 19.5 (-130)


Team Props

Will either team score in the first 6:30 - Yes (-135)

Will either team score 3 straight times without the
other team scoring (conversions excluded) - No (+140)

Will either team score in the final 2 minutes of the first half - No (+240)

Total sacks by both teams - Over 4.5 (-150)

First-Half Points for Kansas City - Over 13.5 (-130)

Will Chiefs convert a 4th down attempt - Yes (-105)
(conversions by penalty do not count)

Will there be a two-point conversion attempt - Yes (Even)

Will there be a successful two-point conversion - Yes (+195)

Will the game be tied after 0-0 (tie determined after conversion) - Yes (-135)

Largest Lead of the Game - Under 14 1/2 Points (-130)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 05:03 PM
Worlds Worst Picker NFL Supers
Peabody super picks:
Kc super pick
Kc under super pick

We take:
49ers super pick
49ers over super pick

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 05:03 PM
Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE

4:32 PM
KANSAS CITY -1.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
You've heard that "defense wins championships" for years, and that's certainly true. Teams like the 49ers are the paradigm of what it takes to win games like this. But there's an X factor in Super Bowl LIV that cannot be accounted for in that simple phrase, and his name is Patrick Mahomes. The 2018 NFL MVP is a true difference maker, and no matter how well San Francisco prepares for Kansas City's offense, a veteran coach like Andy Reid and other-worldly playmaker like Mahomes should be able to adjust. The Chiefs have been my eventual NFL champions since they came back from 24 down to beat the Texans ... by 20. The 49ers are good, but KC's offense is a whole 'nother level than ones they have faced this season.

47-29-2 IN LAST 78 NFL ATS PICKS | +1487
13-6-2 IN LAST 21 KC ATS PICKS | +622

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 05:04 PM
LJP Score:

San Francisco =0

Kansas City = 2U

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1D

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 4-3 on Kansas City -1 (QUALIFIES AS OTHER SHARP CONSENSUS)

TOTAL is 4-3 UN53 (QUALIFIES AS OTHER SHARP CONSENSUS)

Can'tPickAWinner
02-02-2020, 05:39 PM
Kelso

200 dimes Kansas City
100 dimes under
100 dimes Kansas City & under