Friday 3-6-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Mar 06 '20, 5:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | VMI vs Samford
Play on: Samford +4 -105 at YouWager

1* Free Sharp Play on Samford +4 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Mar 06 '20, 9:35 PM in 12h
NCAA-B | Missouri State vs Indiana State
Play on: Missouri State -1½ -110 at sportsbook

1* Free Play on Missouri State -1½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Friday's Tip Sheet, Betting Odds and Preview - ACC
David Schwab

As the regular season winds to a close in the ACC, two of Friday night’s early betting matchups feature a pair of games between unranked teams jockeying for a better position in that conference’s final standings.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will be on the road against the Clemson Tigers. At the same time in Raleigh, the North Carolina State Wolfpack play host to the in-state rival Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

ACC Matchup

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson Tigers
Date: Friday, March 6, 2020
TV-Time: ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Littlejohn Coliseum
Location: Clemson, SC
Opening Odds: TBA

Betting Matchup

Georgia Tech finds itself in the middle of the ACC standings at 10-9 straight-up in conference play. It improved to 5-1 both SU and against the spread in its last six games with Wednesday’s 73-57 home victory against Pittsburgh as a six-point favorite. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of those six games. The Yellow Jackets are 16-14 SU overall with a 19-10 record ATS.

Jose Alvarado led the way on Wednesday night with 23 points. Sophomore guard Michael Devoe added 13 more as the team’s leading scorer this season (15.9 points).

The Tigers lost for the second time in three games (SU and ATS) with Wednesday’s 70-58 defeat against Virginia Tech as slight 1 ½-point road underdogs. The other loss was to Georgia Tech 68-59 on Feb. 25 as 2 ½-point underdogs on the road. Clemson is 9-10 in ACC play with a SU record of 15-14 (16-13 ATS) overall. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last nine contests.

Scoring just 66.6 points per game, this lineup still has four players averaging at least nine points a game. Junior forward Aamir Simms leads the way in points (13.0) and rebounds (7.1).

Betting Trends

-- The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 SU with a 2-3 record ATS in their last five road games. The total has gone OVER in their last four games on the road.

-- The Tigers have a SU 6-1 record in their last seven games at home while going 4-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight home games.

-- Georgia Tech’s recent win at home snapped a SU five-game losing streak to Clemson and it now has the slight 3-2 edge ATS over the last five meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three games between the two.


ACC Matchup

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina State Wolfpack
Date: Friday, March 6, 2020
TV-Time: ACC Network, 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: PNC Arena
Location: Raleigh, NC
Opening Odds: TBA

Betting Matchup

With Tuesday’s 93-83 loss to North Carolina as eight-point road underdogs, the Demon Deacons will be one of the bottom seeds in the ACC Tournament regardless of the outcome in this season finale. They are 6-13 SU in conference play despite recent stunners over Duke and Notre Dame as home underdogs in their previous two outings. Wake Forest (3-16 SU, 16-13 ATS) has gone 2-3 ATS in its last five games with the total going OVER in its last four contests.

Brandon Childress leads a trio of players in double figures with 15.4 points a game. The senior guard scored 24 points in Tuesday’s losing effort.

Braxton Beverly and North Carolina State is listed as a home favorite against Wake Forest.
Braxton Beverly and North Carolina State is listed as a home favorite against Wake Forest. (AP)
Monday’s 88-69 loss to Duke as 12-point road underdogs was the Wolfpack’s seventh SU loss in their last 11 games. They have gone 3-8 ATS over that same span with the total going OVER in six of the last eight games. NC State is 9-10 SU in ACC play and 18-12 (13-16-1 ATS) overall. In early December, it beat Wake Forest 91-82 to cover as a 5 ½-point road favorite.

The Wolfpack are averaging 74.4 PPG behind guard CJ Bryce (13.4 points) but allowing 70.3 points on defense.

Betting Trends

-- The Demon Deacons have lost nine of their last 10 road games as underdogs with the total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in eight of those contests. They are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.

-- The Wolfpack are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games when closing as favorites. They have a 2-4-1 record ATS in their last seven games giving points at home. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.

-- With the earlier win this season, NC State is 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five games against Wake Forest. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

827E MICHIGAN -828 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

829KENT ST -830 AKRON
AKRON is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

831BUFFALO -832 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.

833OHIO U -834 MIAMI OHIO
OHIO U is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival in the current season.

835IONA -836 ST PETERS
ST PETERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

837NIAGARA -838 CANISIUS
CANISIUS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

839FAIRFIELD -840 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

841SIENA -842 MONMOUTH
MONMOUTH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

843COLUMBIA -844 PRINCETON
COLUMBIA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the current season.

845BROWN -846 HARVARD
BROWN is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs since 1997.

847CORNELL -848 PENNSYLVANIA
CORNELL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

849YALE -850 DARTMOUTH
DARTMOUTH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers in the current season.

851RICHMOND -852 DUQUESNE
RICHMOND is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more in the current season.

853GEORGIA TECH -854 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.

855WAKE FOREST -856 NC STATE
WAKE FOREST is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

857W MICHIGAN -858 C MICHIGAN
W MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

859BALL ST -860 N ILLINOIS
BALL ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.

861VA COMMONWEALTH -862 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

865S ILLINOIS -866 BRADLEY
S ILLINOIS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

869MISSOURI ST -870 INDIANA ST
MISSOURI ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

871VMI -872 SAMFORD
SAMFORD is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

873THE CITADEL -874 WOFFORD
THE CITADEL is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more in the current season.

873THE CITADEL -874 WOFFORD
THE CITADEL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 6

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E MICHIGAN (16 - 14) at TOLEDO (15 - 15) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 175-217 ATS (-63.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
TOLEDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
TOLEDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TOLEDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
TOLEDO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all home games this season.
TOLEDO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
TOLEDO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
TOLEDO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
TOLEDO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
TOLEDO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 4-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KENT ST (19 - 11) at AKRON (23 - 7) - 3/6/2020, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 3-2 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-2 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUFFALO (19 - 11) at BOWLING GREEN (21 - 9) - 3/6/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 4-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OHIO U (15 - 15) at MIAMI OHIO (12 - 18) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO U is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
OHIO U is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 4-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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IONA (11 - 15) at ST PETERS (16 - 12) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
ST PETERS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ST PETERS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST PETERS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
IONA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
IONA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-1 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NIAGARA (11 - 19) at CANISIUS (11 - 19) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CANISIUS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 4-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 4-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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FAIRFIELD (11 - 19) at MANHATTAN (12 - 16) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 4-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SIENA (18 - 10) at MONMOUTH (18 - 12) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 4-0 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 4-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLUMBIA (6 - 22) at PRINCETON (13 - 12) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBIA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PRINCETON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PRINCETON is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
PRINCETON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBIA is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 4-1 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BROWN (13 - 12) at HARVARD (20 - 7) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-2 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CORNELL (6 - 19) at PENNSYLVANIA (14 - 11) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
CORNELL is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 111-144 ATS (-47.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 111-144 ATS (-47.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-1 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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YALE (22 - 6) at DARTMOUTH (12 - 15) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 150-112 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 150-112 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
YALE is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 100-69 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 66-40 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
YALE is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 73-108 ATS (-45.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 73-108 ATS (-45.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 25-50 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 5-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 5-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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RICHMOND (23 - 7) at DUQUESNE (21 - 8) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
DUQUESNE is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 80-112 ATS (-43.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
RICHMOND is 2-1 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
RICHMOND is 2-1 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGIA TECH (16 - 14) at CLEMSON (15 - 14) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGIA TECH is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 4-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WAKE FOREST (13 - 16) at NC STATE (18 - 12) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 120-163 ATS (-59.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NC STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 4-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 4-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W MICHIGAN (13 - 17) at C MICHIGAN (13 - 17) - 3/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 5-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BALL ST (17 - 13) at N ILLINOIS (18 - 12) - 3/6/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
BALL ST is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N ILLINOIS is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
N ILLINOIS is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 4-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VA COMMONWEALTH (18 - 12) at DAVIDSON (15 - 14) - 3/6/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DAVIDSON is 222-163 ATS (+42.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 218-166 ATS (+35.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 107-69 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-1 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ILLINOIS (16 - 15) vs. BRADLEY (20 - 11) - 3/6/2020, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
S ILLINOIS is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BRADLEY is 3-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BRADLEY is 4-2 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSOURI ST (15 - 16) vs. INDIANA ST (18 - 11) - 3/6/2020, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
MISSOURI ST is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSOURI ST is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MISSOURI ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
MISSOURI ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MISSOURI ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MISSOURI ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 3-3 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 5-1 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VMI (8 - 23) vs. SAMFORD (10 - 22) - 3/6/2020, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
VMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAMFORD is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAMFORD is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAMFORD is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAMFORD is 5-0 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
SAMFORD is 6-0 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


THE CITADEL (6 - 23) vs. WOFFORD (16 - 15) - 3/6/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
THE CITADEL is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
THE CITADEL is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WOFFORD is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 3-2 against the spread versus THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 5-1 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, March 6

Saint Peter’s rallied back from down 17 with 8:19 left in their 75-74 win at Iona in MAAC opener, back on Jan 3, their first win over the Gaels in 11 tries. Iona won its last three visits to Jersey City, by 8-14-9 points. Saint Peter’s won 10 of last 12 games, is 14-5, can tie for regular season MAAC title if they win/Siena loses. Peacocks are winning despite turning ball over 23.9% of time (#349), shooting 43.9% inside arc (#345). Iona is 9-10 in MAAC, but won three of their last five road games; last time they finished below .500 in MAAC was 2009.

Siena won its last eight games, wins top seed in MAAC tourney with win here; Saints they won last three road games, by 3-7-2 points. Three of their last five wins were by 3 or fewer points. Monmouth won four of its last five games, is 12-7 in MAAC- they can tie for 2nd if they win/St Peter’s loses. Hawks are continuity team #17 that forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#29). Siena beat Monmouth 75-72 at home Jan 3, after trailing by 10 early in 2nd half; Saints lost 10 of last 12 series games, losing last six visits to Monmouth, by average of eight points.

Richmond won three in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 13-4 in A-14, squarely on bubble. Spiders won three of last four road games; they’ve got #25 eFG% in country, are continuity team #36. Duquesne won its last three games (two in OT), is 11-6 in A-14, their best conference record in over 20 years. Dukes did lose two of last three home games; six of their last seven games were decided by 5 or fewer points. Richmond won 18 of last 20 games with Duquesne, winning seven of last eight visits here, but Dukes did win 74-68 in Richmond LY.

Clemson lost 68-59 at Georgia Tech ten days ago, going 2-20 on arc. Tigers had won five in a row over Tech before that- Yellow Jackets lost their last 13 games in Littlejohn, last four by 7+ points. Tech won five of last six games overall, is 10-9 in ACC, losing four of last five road games- this is it for them- they’re ineligible for ACC tourney. Jackets have #12 eFG% defense in country, but they turn ball over 22.8% of time (#342), shoot only 30.8% on arc (#291). Clemson won four of its last six games, upsetting Louisville/Florida State in last two home games.

NC State made 12-22 on arc, won 91-82 at Wake Forest Dec 7; Wolfpack won four of last five series games, winning last two meetings in Raleigh, by 9-20 points. Wake split its last six games after starting ACC play 3-10; Deacons lost their last seven road games- their last road win was Jan 4 at Pitt. Wake scored average of 89.8 ppg in last four games; they’re getting 24.7% of their points on foul lune (#3). State lost four of its last six games; they’re 9-10 in ACC, 2-3 in last five home games- they’ve lost twice to North Carolina, also lost at Boston College- bad losses.

Missouri Valley tournament, St Louis
Bradley won five of its last seven games, with last two wins in OT; Braves are shooting 36.9% on arc (#28), have #45 eFG% defense in country. Southern Illinois lost five of its last six games; they’re 10-8 in Valley, scoring 59.7 ppg in last three games. Bradley beat SIU twice TY, by 19-2 points; teams split last 14 meetings. This is their first Arch Madness meeting in 11 years. Salukis won their first tourney game four of last six years. Bradley won Arch Madness LY; they won their last three first-round games, by 9-2-3 points.

Indiana State/Missouri State split pair of double digit road wins TY; Bears won eight of last nine series games. ISU won four in row, 8 of last 11 games, with last loss to Mo State; Sycamores are shooting 38.1% on arc (#10), have #65 eFG% in country. Bears are 2-2 since beating ISU Feb 16; they’re experience team #95 that went 9-9 in Valley- they’ve made 35.1% of their 3’s (#78). Mo State won its first tournament game five of last seven years; Indiana State lost in first round at Arch Madness last three years, by 11-7-22 points.

Mountain West tournament, Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack)
San Diego State is 29-1; they trailed last four games at halftime. Aztecs won their second MW tourney game 10 of last 11 years- they beat Boise State twice this year, by 18-17 points. Aztecs won five of last seven series games; they’re 3-0 vs Broncos in MW tourney. SD State had tough game with Air Force yesterday, trailing by 8 early in 2nd half; they played three guys 31:00+. Boise is 4-3 in its last seven games, is 12-7 in MW- they’re experience team #16. Broncos beat host school by 6 Thursday, also playing three guys 31:00+.

Utah State survived tough game with New Mexico last nite; they trailed by 11 with with 9:15 left. State played three starters 34:00+. Aggies won 10 of its last 12 games overall; they probably need this win to feel good about Selection Sunday. State is #39 continuity team that has neutral floor wins over LSU, Florida. Wyoming went 2-16 in conference this year, but they’ve pulled upsets on consecutive nights here, are playing for third night in row. Cowboys lost twice to Utah State TY, by 23-20 points; they’ve lost last four series games, closest of which was 16 points.

Ohio Valley tournament, Evansville, IN
Belmont won its last ten games, finished 15-3 in OVC; they swept Eastern Kentucky TY, with wins by 31-13 points. Bruins won their last nine games with EKU, with last six series wins by 11+ points. Belmont has new coach who made NCAAs with Lipscomb in ‘18; Bruins have #7 eFG% in country, shooting 35.5% on arc (#62), 57.2% inside it (#4). EKU went on a 29-6 run in last nite’s win; they forced 26 turnovers (+13). Three guys played 30:00+. Belmont is 7-5 in OVC tourney since joining league, splitting last four first-round games; they last won OVC title in 2015.

Murray State/Austin Peay split pair of games, with Murray winning rematch by 14 at hone six days ago; Racers won seven of last eight series games- this is their first meeting in OVC tourney in 11 years. Murray won its last three games, allowing 60.3 ppg, but they did lose three of last five games away from home. Austin Peay won five of last seven games; they played only one guy 30:00+ in their 11-point win over Eastern Illinois last nite. Under McMahon, Murray State is 8-3 in OVC tourney, winning last two titles, but they had Ja Morant last two years.

WCC tournament, Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)
San Francisco won four of last five games, finished 9-7 in WCC; Dons are experience team #90 with a new coach that gets 36% of its points on arc (#60), but making only 33.7% of their 3’s (#156). LMU is now 5-12 in WCC; they play slow (#349) pace, shoot only 30% on arc (#321). Lions are experience team #293, continuity team #340- they did win three of last four road games. LMU was 28-32 on line in its win over San Diego last nite; three guys played 32:00+. LMU is now 3-5 in WCC tourney under Dunlap; Dons are 1-4 in this event the last four years.

Pepperdine beat Santa Clara twice TY, by 4-14 points; they upset Broncos in this event two years ago. Pepperdine won three games here LY, losing to Gonzaga in semis; Waves won first WCC tourney game four of last five years. Pepperdine lost four of its last six games, finishing 8-8 in WCC. Waves haven’t defended the arc well TY (39.7%, #347); they’re experience team #219 that isn’t real deep (bench minutes #299). Santa Clara lost six of its last eight games, with both wins over woeful Portland; Broncos are experience team #311 that is shooting 35.5% on arc (#64).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, March 6

Trend Report

869 MISSOURI ST @ 870 INDIANA ST
Play Against MISSOURI ST using the Money Line in Road games after scoring 80 points or more
The record is 1 Wins and 6 Losses Last 3 Years(-13.2 units)
4.9 out of 5

873 THE CITADEL @ 874 WOFFORD
Play Against THE CITADEL using the Money Line in All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 6 Wins and 27 Losses Last 3 Years(-24.9 units)
4.9 out of 5

869 MISSOURI ST @ 870 INDIANA ST
Play On MISSOURI ST using the Money Line in All games after allowing 60 points or less
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses This Season(9 units)
4.8 out of 5

839 FAIRFIELD @ 840 MANHATTAN
Play On FAIRFIELD using the Money Line in All games as an underdog
The record is 3 Wins and 17 Losses This Season(13.7 units)
4.8 out of 5

855 WAKE FOREST @ 856 NC STATE
Play On NC STATE using the Money Line in Home games after allowing 80 points or more
The record is 10 Wins and 2 Losses Last 3 Years(13.35 units)
4.7 out of 5

871 VMI @ 872 SAMFORD
Play On SAMFORD using the Money Line in All games after a conference game
The record is 44 Wins and 12 Losses Last 3 Years(30.8 units)
4.6 out of 5

849 YALE @ 850 DARTMOUTH
Play Against DARTMOUTH using the Money Line in All games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
The record is 3 Wins and 10 Losses Last 2 Years(-15.25 units)
4.6 out of 5

857 W MICHIGAN @ 858 C MICHIGAN
Play Against W MICHIGAN using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 4 Wins and 9 Losses Last 2 Years(-16.8 units)
4.4 out of 5

869 MISSOURI ST @ 870 INDIANA ST
Play Against MISSOURI ST using the Money Line in All games after scoring 80 points or more
The record is 4 Wins and 8 Losses Last 3 Years(-18.2 units)
4.4 out of 5

839 FAIRFIELD @ 840 MANHATTAN
Play On FAIRFIELD using the Money Line in All games after a conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 30 Losses Last 2 Years(21.2 units)
4.4 out of 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

543ATLANTA -544 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

545OKLAHOMA CITY -546 NEW YORK
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

547SAN ANTONIO -548 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

549UTAH -550 BOSTON
UTAH is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

551MIAMI -552 NEW ORLEANS
MIAMI is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

553ORLANDO -554 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

555INDIANA -556 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

557MEMPHIS -558 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

559PORTLAND -560 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.

561MILWAUKEE -562 LA LAKERS
MILWAUKEE is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 6

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ATLANTA (19 - 44) at WASHINGTON (22 - 39) - 3/6/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 166-219 ATS (-74.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 24) at NEW YORK (19 - 43) - 3/6/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 48-62 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (26 - 34) at BROOKLYN (27 - 34) - 3/6/2020, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (39 - 22) at BOSTON (42 - 19) - 3/6/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (40 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 36) - 3/6/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (27 - 35) at MINNESOTA (19 - 42) - 3/6/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MINNESOTA is 393-465 ATS (-118.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (37 - 25) at CHICAGO (21 - 41) - 3/6/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 10-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (31 - 31) at DALLAS (38 - 25) - 3/6/2020, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (28 - 35) at PHOENIX (24 - 38) - 3/6/2020, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (53 - 9) at LA LAKERS (47 - 13) - 3/6/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
LA LAKERS are 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 153-196 ATS (-62.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, March 6

Trend Report

559 PORTLAND @ 560 PHOENIX
Play Against PHOENIX using the Money Line in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game
The record is 14 Wins and 64 Losses Last 3 Years(-52.9 units)
5 out of 5

545 OKLAHOMA CITY @ 546 NEW YORK
Play On OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 17 Wins and 5 Losses This Season(17.6 units)
5 out of 5

549 UTAH @ 550 BOSTON
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 52 Wins and 164 Losses All Time(106.8 units)
5 out of 5

557 MEMPHIS @ 558 DALLAS
Play Against DALLAS using the Money Line in Home games on Friday nights
The record is 3 Wins and 13 Losses Last 3 Years(-19.35 units)
4.9 out of 5

543 ATLANTA @ 544 WASHINGTON
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 45 Wins and 15 Losses This Season(28.5 units)
4.7 out of 5

543 ATLANTA @ 544 WASHINGTON
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games
The record is 28 Wins and 7 Losses This Season(20.3 units)
4.7 out of 5

551 MIAMI @ 552 NEW ORLEANS
Play Against NEW ORLEANS using the Money Line in Home games in March games
The record is 1 Wins and 10 Losses Last 2 Years(-14.55 units)
4.6 out of 5

549 UTAH @ 550 BOSTON
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 107 Wins and 289 Losses All Time(171.3 units)
4.6 out of 5

557 MEMPHIS @ 558 DALLAS
Play On MEMPHIS using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 29 Wins and 19 Losses This Season(27.5 units)
4.5 out of 5

551 MIAMI @ 552 NEW ORLEANS
Play Against NEW ORLEANS using the Money Line in Home games after allowing 115 points or more
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses This Season(-18.15 units)
4.4 out of 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

65ST LOUIS -66 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 4-16 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

67CHICAGO -68 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-35 ATS (-24.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

69VEGAS -70 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 17-25 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

71ARIZONA -72 CALGARY
CALGARY is 2-8 ATS (-9 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

73COLORADO -74 VANCOUVER
COLORADO is 20-7 ATS (13.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

75TORONTO -76 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 6

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ST LOUIS (40-17-0-10, 90 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (26-28-0-12, 64 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 205-200 ATS (+422.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 292-285 ATS (+610.1 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 38-22 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 296-211 ATS (+28.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 16-5 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
NEW JERSEY is 1-10 ATS (+20.5 Units) on Friday nights this season.
NEW JERSEY is 3-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 5-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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CHICAGO (30-28-0-8, 68 pts.) at DETROIT (15-48-0-5, 35 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 7:38 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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VEGAS (37-23-0-8, 82 pts.) at WINNIPEG (34-28-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 83-74 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 13-17 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WINNIPEG is 20-27 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 7-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 7-5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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ARIZONA (33-27-0-8, 74 pts.) at CALGARY (35-26-0-7, 77 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a division game this season.
ARIZONA is 26-23 ATS (+58.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 27-28 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-4 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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COLORADO (40-18-0-8, 88 pts.) at VANCOUVER (34-26-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 20-15 ATS (+36.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights this season.
VANCOUVER is 260-262 ATS (-124.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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TORONTO (35-24-0-8, 78 pts.) at ANAHEIM (27-32-0-8, 62 pts.) - 3/6/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 36-40 ATS (-25.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-34 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-17 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 584-486 ATS (-116.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 309-246 ATS (+38.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 468-484 ATS (-77.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 286-262 ATS (+594.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 20-8 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 2-12 ATS (+15.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, March 6

Trend Report

71 ARIZONA @ 72 CALGARY
Play Against ARIZONA using the Money Line in All games after a division game
The record is 5 Wins and 16 Losses This Season(-14.55 units)
2.9 out of 5

71 ARIZONA @ 72 CALGARY
Play Against ARIZONA using the Money Line in All games after a division game
The record is 5 Wins and 16 Losses This Season(-14.55 units)
2.9 out of 5

67 CHICAGO @ 68 DETROIT
Play On DETROIT using the Money Line in All games on Friday nights
The record is 4 Wins and 15 Losses Last 2 Years(10.65 units)
2.2 out of 5

67 CHICAGO @ 68 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 38 Losses This Season(-26.15 units)
2.2 out of 5

67 CHICAGO @ 68 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 38 Losses This Season(-26.15 units)
2.2 out of 5

67 CHICAGO @ 68 DETROIT
Play On CHICAGO using the Money Line in Road games in non-conference games
The record is 8 Wins and 3 Losses This Season(9.05 units)
2.1 out of 5

67 CHICAGO @ 68 DETROIT
Play On CHICAGO using the Money Line in Road games in non-conference games
The record is 8 Wins and 3 Losses This Season(9.05 units)
2.1 out of 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, March 6


St. Louis @ New Jersey

Game 65-66
March 6, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.566
New Jersey
9.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-180); Under

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 67-68
March 6, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.845
Detroit
10.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+140); Under

Vegas @ Winnipeg

Game 69-70
March 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.394
Winnipeg
10.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-140); Under

Arizona @ Calgary

Game 71-72
March 6, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.793
Calgary
12.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-145); Under

Colorado @ Vancouver

Game 73-74
March 6, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
9.129
Vancouver
10.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+110); Over

Toronto @ Anaheim

Game 75-76
March 6, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
10.815
Anaheim
10.048
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-165
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-165); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: March 6-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis March 6, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has an 11-race card set to go this evening. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 8 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Mr Varsity (8-1)-Drops to a spot to shine for Team Plano. Using and hoping the morning line odds are accurate.
4-Gorgeous For Real (6-1)-Also drops into a good spot and tuned up with a nice qualifier. Looking for a big try in 1st start coming off the bench for small barn with a good batting average.
5-Almost Cut My Hair (5-1)-Went off as a lukewarm chalk in last and started slowly. Looking for Svendsen to be more aggressive from this post and put in play early. Could beat this field at a fair price.
8-Coz And Effect (7/2)-Stuck outside again but did rally with a big effort from the 9-hole last week. Best to respect again, could stay good and brush by with another strong surge.

Race 9

1-Reys N A Ruckus (12-1)-Price shot who seems to fit with these. Will toss last and look for a return to recent form. Races well when forwardly placed, could make the most of the post draw and trip out.
6-Platinum Time (9/2)-Might be overlooked at the windows and could leave and get a good seat. Recent form has been sharp and may offer a nice return.
7-California Rock (3-1)-Has been extremely consistent all meet and will respect chances in quest for 3rd straight pictures. Using but looking toward others to pump up the Pick 4 payout.

Race 10

2-Getter Queen Flush (6-1)-Has been racing well and now gets some needed post relief. Best to not overlook, should be in the hunt at a square price.
5-Magnifique (3-1)-Makes 2nd start at this level since dropping out of Opens and being out of action since 1/3. Draws well and Plano should have this mare dialed on high.

Race 11

1-Pancetta (5/2)-Drops to the lowest level of the meet. The 1-25 record is an issue, but this is a spot to wake up and was Plano's choice over #5.
2-In For The Chase (3-1)-Dropped and popped last week from the 9-hole and now is right back at the same class. Does lose Svendsen but Magee can provide a good steer.
4-My Friskie Boy (10-1)-Has been in the mix versus this kind. Longo can save ground and look to pop with one big move down the lane at a juicy price.

0.20 Pick 4

1,4,5,8/1,6,7/2,5/1,2,4
Total Bet=$14.40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies for 3/6/20 March 6, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, March 6, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers: View Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/day-makers/jeff-siegels-two-top-plays-on-march-6th-2020/)

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Workout200306.pdf)

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RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Rookie Mistake; 8-Jetovator

Forecast: Rookie Mistake, a solid third after a bit of a slow start in the recent Baffle Stakes, tackles older foes today while dropping a class and is a fit on speed figures. A maiden winner over the local lawn in January, the D. O’Neill-trained son of Square Eddie should be able to settle behind the leaders and then provide his run from the quarter pole home. Jetovator overcame a bit of early trouble to graduate over this course and distance in late January and has trained steadily since, so we suspect the son of Grazen has further improvement in him. Drawn comfortably outside in a race lacking in early speed, the Peter Eurton-trained colt should be on or near the lead throughout in this first-level allowance sprint for state-bred runners. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two, so we’ll include both in our rolling exotic with a very slight edge on top to Rookie Mistake.
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RACE 2: Post 1:32 PT. Grade: B
Single: 5-Lil Sydney

Forecast: At first glance this looks like a treacherous affair, a 14-runner race for bottom-rung maiden claimers. You can spread (and still not be right) or you can take a stand and try to be right. Lil Sydney is a first-time gelding removing blinkers and dropping in class, so the M. Glatt-trained son of Sidney’s Candy has every right to leave his previous form behind in his first outing in 11 months. He’s actually worked better than the work tab gives him credit and appears to be a better type now than when we last saw him almost a year ago. In this league a little will go a long way so let’s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 4-1.
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RACE 3: Post 2:05 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Lucky Romano; 4-Tromador

Forecast: Tromador drops to his lowest level ever after exiting a much tougher restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming turf sprint and at this level the lightly-raced colt may have found his friends. He’s fast enough on pure speed figures off his grass form and in fact won a maiden $40,000 affair sprinting on this main track two runs back. Lucky Romano makes a monumental trainer change to M. Glatt, picks up F. Prat, and seems certain to receive plenty of play based on these two factors alone. The Lucky Pulpit gelding, a runner-up in two valuable state-bred stakes early in his career but way below that form since, should settle in just off the pace and then have every chance to wear down the leaders when it counts. These are the two we’ll be including in our rolling exotics but you may find the need to go a bit deeper.
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RACE 4: Post 2:35 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Desert Smoke; 2-Smiling Shirlee

Forecast: Smiling Shirlee, exiting a series of competitive state-bred events, shows up in a softer-than-par entry level Cal-bred allowance main track two-turn affair for fillies and mares and should be short price to regain her winning form. Missing at 6/5 when fourth, beaten three lengths in on a recent grass dash, the daughter of Smiling Tiger finished second in the Soviet Problem Stakes at Los Alamitos three runs back and we don’t expect today’s one mile distance will be an issue, especially against this group. She should be along in time under J. Rosario. Desert Smoke just won a $10,000 claimer in gate-to-wire fashion with a nice speed figure and if she can turn in two alike the E. Truman-trained mare projects to be prominent throughout and have every chance. We’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics and then press with Smiling Shirlee on top.
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RACE 5: Post 3:08 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Zero Down; 5-Tropical Terror; 7-Brace for Impact

Forecast: Zero Down lands a comfortable inside draw for his first try around two turns, removes blinkers (love that angle) and could inherit the role as the controlling speed if the “send” strategy is employed. With the rails up 30 feet, this appears to be an ideal spot for a theft. We always say that even if a sprinter really doesn’t want to run long, he has a good chance of handling the trip first time he gets a chance and in this case the son of Square Eddie projects to have every opportunity. Tropical Terror looks the most dangerous of the off-the-pace types, and after finishing in the frame in his last three the J. Cassidy-trained colt may be ready to break on through. Brace for Impact has improving speed figures, and while he’s suspect at this distance the B. Headley-trained gelding could be dangerous with the switch to grass. Toss him in on a ticket or two.
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RACE 6: Post 3:38 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Concur; 5-Impression; 6-Captivate

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this $25,000 main track miler for older horses while slightly preferring the class dropper Concur on top. Likely to draft into a nice second-flight, ground-saving position from his rail post, the veteran son of Curlin drops to his lowest level ever, has a prior win over the local main track, and offers a bit of value at or near his morning line of 6-1. Impression looked good earning a sharp number when a winner in a slightly softer spot two races back but then was in too tough when overmatched in a first-level allowance event last time out. Back where he belongs today, the B. Spawr-trained veteran does his best running on the front end, so we’re anticipating that regular rider T. Pereira will let him roll from the bell in attempt to become the controlling speed. Captivate is another tackling softer today with the expectations of an improved effort. He’ll be close to the pace throughout, and if Impression can’t outrun him early the son of Warrior’s Reward could find himself on the lead in a race in which the closers may be a bit suspect.
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RACE 7: Post 4:08 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Tig Tog; 9-Sugary

Forecast: Tig Tog moves up a notch after a clever win over this course and distance last time out and with J. Rosario staying aboard in a race in which the pace flow compliments this deep closers style, the Irish-bred mare in the J. Sadler should be ready for a similar effort. Given another proper patient ride and with some help up front, she could get up in time. Sugary looked fairly decent winning a $32,000 claiming turf miler in late January and returns for that same price while being given an extra furlong to work with. A winner of three of her last four but not being raised in class, the seven-year-old mare clearly is for sale, but if she has at least one good one left she should be hard beat once again. We’ll slightly prefer Tig Tog on top but use both in all of our rolling exotics.
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RACE 8: Post 4:38 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Hoffa’s Union; 4-Justin’s Quest; 8-Lambeau

Forecast: The nightcap is a competitive entry-level allowance main track middle distance affair with several possibilities. We’ll try to get by using three, including the dangerous come-backer, Hoffa’s Union. The P. Miller-trained colt, so well regarded after being purchased privately following a 15 length debut main win that he was unsuccessfully wheeled back in the Wood Memorial Stakes-G1, makes his first start since last July following a string of sharp drills at San Luis Rey Downs that should have him fit and ready. With F. Prat taking the call, the son of Union Rags looks extremely live and well-meant. Justin’s Quest returns off the bench for Baltas and has trained well enough to expect a good effort. He’ll be prominent throughout and has back numbers that make him competitive. Lambeau, third at 70 cents on the dollar in a similar spot last month, might have been a tad short in his first outing since November but won’t have that excuse today. Solid in the speed figure department and retaining V. Espinoza for a barn that sports strong stats with second off layoff runners, the son of First Samurai will be making just his four career start, so there’s plenty of room for further development.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

My Tampa Bay Derby All-Stakes Pick 4 Ticket March 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
This far into the Derby prep season, the newcomers could take over with the Triple Crown as their target.

It’s been accepted in many corners of the nation’s racing map that 2-year-old Breeders’ Cup types of 2019 don’t necessary instill a lot of confidence.

The Tampa Bay Derby on Saturday is a good way to find out where some of the up-and-comers stand. And it’s nothing close to being easy to handicap. The suggested All-Stakes Pick 4 ticket (races 8-11) uses the headliner, which is the last of the sequence, as on of two “spread” races. The arithmetic on the ticket this week is 3x2x5x5 for a $75 ticket.

Those five selected on the Tampa Bay Derby leg are Spa City, Chance It, Market Analysis, Sole Volante and Letmeno. Here’s a look at their chances:

Spa City: An up and comer who debuted early in the week of Christmas and has shown considerable improvement in each of his subsequent starts and comes off a dandy of a maiden win – 1 length victory in a 1 1-8-mile race at Gulfstream. He can stalk and get the distance.

Chance It: It’s hard to find any faults as he’s won four of six (and second in the other two). He’s been two turns just one, and it was a smashing win against Florida-breds. Of course, he’s in open company today for this but really has shown a lot of heart when eyeballed. His connections will learn a lot today.

Market Analysis: He’s had just one start and he won all-out going seven furlongs at Gulfstream. He’s bred to go the distance and will be close-up throughout if he runs back to his only start.

Sole Volante: The choice if you believe there will be a speed battle between a cadre of runners. He’s the deep closer and comes in off a 2.5-length, going-away win of the Sam Davis Stakes here. Florent Geroux picks up the mount, which might be an indication of what kind of future trainer Patrick Biancone believes this one has. If any horse in his field, or for that matter, in this crop of 3-year-olds screams out “distance,” this is the one. He’ll get his biggest class challenge.

Letmeno: Was third in his only start over this strip. It was his first one since September and looks good going two turns. He’ll be the priciest of this group and is capable of running a big one. If speed falters he can pick up some, if not all, of the pieces. Has the good price and some promise and is worthy of inclusion

Here’s a suggested play in the Tampa Bay Downs All-Stakes Pick 4 on Saturday:
8) #1 Big Dollar Bill, #3 Trophy Chaser, #5 King for a Day.
9) #3 Magic Star, #7 Starship Jubilee.
10) #1 Ivyetsu, #6 Walk In Marrakesh, #8 Outburst, #10 Secret Stash, #12 Micheline.
11) #2 Spa City, #4 Chance It, #5 Market Analysis, #7 Sole Volante, #8 Letmeno.

50-cent Pick 4 ticket: 1-3-5 with 3-7 with 1-6-8-10-12 with 2-4-5-7-8 ($75).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Aqueduct - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Timing
Stalker goes for a white hot Gargan barn and ran well on debut, when trying a demanding 1 1/8 miles, so on the cutback, off that experience builder, he should be primed; look out.


#4 Hostile Witness
Logical contender has run solid figures in his last two and now starts as a first-time gelding, which can often wake a horse up in a big way, and there's value here as well; do not ignore.


#3 Icy Dude
Dicey ML favorite was a deep closing 2nd at Laurel, which is a knock in and of itself, as Rice sends the B team there, and his two local runs weren't much at all; making him prove it.


Race Summary
That 7-2 ML on the pick seems more than fair, as the debut was promising, he should only improve off it, and he sure doesn't meet much here, so play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since he won't have to move forward that much to handle a group like this.


Aqueduct - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Spin Your Partner
Delacour firster (12%) goes for one of the most underrated barns around, has a slew of works for her unveiling, while really picking it up of late, and meets just one to fear; looks very live.


#3 Amos
Stiff ML favorite was a distant but clear 2nd in the slop last time in her first for Micelli, and that would make her a big threat here, but 0-for-8 there's also no real upside here; second-best.


#1 Flattering Eyes
The best of the rest was 2 3/4 lengths behind the 3 last time, in a lifetime-best run, so while that is positive, you have to wonder if she regresses off that performance; underneath, if at all.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 2, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, especially since no one but the 3 should be, and if that's the case you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you can get some guaranteed value by keying her to end the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since she looks like a solid prospect, which means she may be throwing down a race the rest of these, the chalk included, simply won't be able to handle.


Aqueduct - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#13 Brian's Last Song
Pletcher charge was bet hard on debut at the Spa, chased, then tired to be a meek 4th and now hasn't been seen since, but this barn is 31% off this extended break, 34% dropping in to the MCL ranks, plus Lezcano is here, and this one returns as a first-time gelding; love his chances.


#5 Wesworld
Dangerous stalker was a good 3rd against better at 4-1 on debut for Ward, in what was a fast race for the 40k level, so the slight class drop will help, and experience always does too, not to mention there figures to be a hint of value in this corner as well; seems the main danger.


#2 Dawn's Early Light
Tricky read didn't run an inch in the slop going longer for 40k last time, and now dips in for 25k, which is belong the claim price of 30k three-back, and the worry is the good 4th against MSW foes was just two starts ago, which says something went amiss last time; tread very lightly here.


Race Summary
You certainly won't get rich on the 13, though that 9-2 ML seems like fair value, as he has more upside than most here, goes for a potent barn, and has the first-time gelding angle working too, so play him aggressively in all the slots at 4-1 or better if the tote allows, though you can get some guaranteed value by keying him to end the late Pk5/Pk4, since he looks primed off the shelf, and this is a very deep r ace, where the public might spread, which would give you that much more leverage if you narrow down to him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 Irish Knockout
Proved that the big debut run at 47/1 was no fluke when a close second last time out. The price gets much shorter today, but she's probably the right one.


#2 Three Bops
Has really turned a corner since adding blinkers, but she does tend to give away ground in the lane, so that's a worry late.


#6 Pipers Gold
Showed some mild late interest in the debut and now she adds Lasix for this second start. It's not impossible to think she might wake up a bit here.


Race Summary
Irish Knockout has looked legit in both starts, and she figures to get a really good run of things from close range.


Charles Town - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#6 Cheese Louise
Stretches out for the first time, but she is likely to show some pace in a spot without a ton of other speed signed on. The price should be better today, too.


#5 Commcat
Figures are there for her to play with these, but she doesn't finish with a whole lot of energy and is probably overbet here.


#2 C V's Campfire
Finisher should be plugging along late for an underneath piece, but she'd feel overbet at anything like the 8/5 ML offering.


Race Summary
Cheese Louise tries to handle two turns today, but she might be in line for a decent trip as she does so. I'd want something close to the 9/2 ML offering to dive in.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Dionysus' Chalice
Turned in a really solid effort last time out, and while he's no sure thing to repeat that one, he's right there if he does.


#6 Ellie's Lil Man
He can win this, but he's probably a bit overbet considering his spotty form. I'd want better than the 8/5 ML price to find out which guy is going to show up tonight.


#2 Rocket Road
Finisher offers a bit of underneath intrigue at a square price, but he's probably going to find one or two of these a bit too tough.


Race Summary
Dionysus' Chalice should get a forward trip and fits with these off that last run. If he doesn't take a big step back tonight, he can get over the top here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Meadowlands - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 SILK Z TAM
Has ingredients for an upset in seasonal debut.


#9 FINNISH YOUR WAY
Rallied for third from same post, makes third start as 4yo.


#2 DANGEROUSPRECEDENT
Controlled slower pace in repeat win at this level.


Race Summary
Silk Z Tam starts fresh after $43k sophomore season, gets first-time Lasix and fits the race condition well. He’s worth a price shot at 12-1, or at least a use in a 2-3-9 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 SHES GOT PIZAZZ
Sat pocket trip behind winning fave, held okay, switches pilots.


#4 MONOPOLY
Hustled away from post 8, tired in stretch, takes class drop.


#1 ESQUIRE
Edged top one for second despite first-over trip, barn hitting at high percentage.


Race Summary
Shes Got Pizazz rushed to the lead in blustery conditions, yielded to the 8-5 winner on the backstretch and held well for third despite being in a bit tight in deep stretch. Play 2-1 and 2-4 exactas.


Hawthorne - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#10 PARK OFFICIAL
Had excuses in last pair, gets class relief, post the concern.


#3 LIL ORPHAN ELMER
Beat 2-3/4 lengths in solid heat despite ‘poor position.’


#5 MOSH PIT
Must show more to warrant 5-2 favoritism with 1-30 mark since 2019.


Race Summary
Park Official was trapped 3-deep inside a lively outer flow, showed some interest when free in the stretch and flattened out late. He figures tough on the class drop if he can get position from post 10. Play a 3-5-10 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 Carolyn's Smile
Gave way on turf last out and should get a great pace setup in her return to the dirt; will be flying late.


#4 Don't Eatthe Apple
Filly has been in front in all three of her races, has a good chance to sprint clear. Will be difficult to catch this time out.


#1 Avuncular
Was in front in her only start, which came at Belmont last July; has the talent but might need one off the bench.


Race Summary
Carolyn's Smile has a decent late move in dirt sprints and this pace should be hot and heavy. Turning back from a longer distance should make her doubly tough here.


Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Pardon My Heart
Came on well in good efforts in her last two, and just a small amount of improvement means she graduates from the maiden ranks today.


#1 Take Ten
Moved into contention much earlier than usual and was caught late; can save ground and needs a well-timed moved this time around.


#8 Elle M's Souri
Had a tough go of it in her 1st local start as she lost her rider on the far turn; jockey Gaffalione will 'cowboy up' and get back aboard today, and she'll be tough if she ran run back to her last two of 2019, when she was 2nd in both.


Race Summary
Pardon My Heart has made consistent improvement from the early portion of her career and can get a good run here. She's a steady closer and can grind it out.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Dixieincandyland
Make her 1st of the year after ending 2019 with a strong maiden win in a blazing 1:00 4-5 for 5.5 furlongs. Has trained well for Kenneally and looks ready to resume for afternoon duties in fine fashion.


#7 Awsum Roar
Has done well on the front end or from just off the lead; had sharp wins in six of her last eight and is always a threat. Makes 1st off the claim for Dobles, who is 28 percent in first after claim.


#4 Miss Auramet
Was a clear winner last out and has been in very fast races in three of her last four; will be tough on the front end.


Race Summary
Dixiecandyland had a very rapid win in her latest and can will have little choice but to battle for the lead from the inside post; workouts indicate she's ready.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 2

Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3



Claiming $27,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $9,200 • Post: 3:10P


FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 21 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * EMPRESARIA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MA NGIARELA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PINTORELLA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FIESTA DE REYES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



5

EMPRESARIA

6/5


4/1




6

MANGIARELA

2/1


7/1




3

PINTORELLA

3/1


8/1




4

FIESTA DE REYES

8/5


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

MANGIARELA

6


2/1

Stalker

69


64


47.8


54.0


44.5




3

PINTORELLA

3


3/1

Stalker

74


62


40.6


54.0


48.5




5

EMPRESARIA

5


6/5

Trailer

77


72


42.4


74.0


71.5




4

FIESTA DE REYES

4


8/5

Trailer

74


64


34.8


66.2


60.7




2

EL PICO DE LESLI

2


7/2

Trailer

69


58


26.0


49.0


39.5




1

MACHUCHAL MAJORETT

1


4/1

Trailer

72


62


21.7


42.2


33.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct



Aqueduct - Race 3

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers



Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 2:25P


FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HOT BROWN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HOT BROWN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FREUDIAN FATE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



5

HOT BROWN

4/1


5/2




4

FREUDIAN FATE

2/1


5/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

HOT BROWN

5


4/1

Front-runner

85


83


84.9


71.4


67.4




4

FREUDIAN FATE

4


2/1

Stalker

81


79


80.4


75.3


71.3




1

BIG BOY MO

1


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


81.8


65.9


57.9




2

APEX PREDATOR

2


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

74


68


78.4


53.0


43.0




7

KID D'ORO

7


9/5

Trailer

78


65


76.4


62.5


55.0




6

BANK GALA

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


67


71.8


59.6


47.1




3

DISCIPLANARIAN

3


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

85


81


56.2


63.6


55.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 BRAIN GAME 2/1




# 6 AUTISM WARRIOR (T) 3/1




# 3 MALIBU MAGIC (T) 10/1




BRAIN GAME has a very good shot to take this race. With a sound 58 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. The average Equibase class rating of 52 makes this entrant hard to beat. He ought to be given a chance given the strong speed numbers. AUTISM WARRIOR (T) - Looks quite good for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in longer quarter horse races recently. He must be carefully examined given the competitive speed figures. MALIBU MAGIC (T) - Players should note that this equine runs with second time Lasix today. The speed rating of 66 from his last contest looks very good in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



03/06/20, GP, Race 7, 4.14 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $51,000.
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Camp Randall
10-1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Hough Stanley M.
JTE
34.32
1.75/$1


099.63
2
Real Money
6-1
Gaffalione T
Casse Mark E.
SL
36.32
1.52/$1


099.18
3
Macho Blue
9/5
Lopez P
Gallegos Jose A.


34.32
1.75/$1


099.04
6
By the Sey Shore
7/2
Saez L
Trombetta Michael J.
F
34.32
1.75/$1


096.91
4
Sarasota County
8-1
Rendon J
Hickey William J.


34.32
1.75/$1


094.70
1
Jake Rocks
9/2
Maragh R
Miller Herbert
W
34.32
1.75/$1


094.22
5
What's to Blame
8-1
Lebron V
Dobles Elizabeth L.
C
34.32
1.75/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 23.33, ROI 0.91/$1
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
3
Macho Blue
9/5
Lopez P
Gallegos Jose A.
JE
43.33
1.41/$1


099.41
2
Real Money
6-1
Gaffalione T
Casse Mark E.
SL
36.00
1.18/$1


096.75
1
Jake Rocks
9/2
Maragh R
Miller Herbert
W
36.00
1.18/$1


096.04
6
By the Sey Shore
7/2
Saez L
Trombetta Michael J.


36.00
1.18/$1


095.19
7
Camp Randall
10-1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Hough Stanley M.
T
36.00
1.18/$1


094.30
5
What's to Blame
8-1
Lebron V
Dobles Elizabeth L.
FC
36.00
1.18/$1


093.41
4
Sarasota County
8-1
Rendon J
Hickey William J.


36.00
1.18/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.19, ROI 0.55/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Oaklawn Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#12 OFFICER DONELL (ML=15/1)
#1 BRAVURA CREEK (ML=12/1)


OFFICER DONELL - Took a class drop last race out at Oaklawn Park. Smith keeps him at the same level in today's race. I think that's a good move. BRAVURA CREEK - Using this rider/handler combination is a good decision. Ran last time out against much better horses at Oaklawn Park. The move to a lower level should suit him well. Look for this gelding to show lots better in this event. Last event at Oaklawn Park finishing seventh on a track listed as good is no indication of his true talent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BABADOOOK (ML=7/2), #11 KURTS RAIDER (ML=9/2), #8 STORM CLASSIC (ML=5/1),

BABADOOOK - Hard to back the chalk when he continues to lose as the favorite. KURTS RAIDER - No picnic to play this entrant this time. Make him show you something in a short distance contest before you wager on him in a race of 6 furlongs. STORM CLASSIC - This gelding hasn't had any promising efforts in short distance races in the last sixty days.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #12 OFFICER DONELL to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,12]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:49pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 RESCUE FIVE (ML=9/2)
#4 DIONYSUS' CHALICE (ML=7/2)


RESCUE FIVE - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the class ability to make his presence felt. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. This speed horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at going gate to wire in victory. DIONYSUS' CHALICE - Faces state bred foes today after finishing second versus 'open' company on February 19th. PP lines show this thoroughbred with three improving Equibase speed figures. Thorpe should be on a horse ready to win in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ELLIE'S LIL MAN (ML=8/5), #1 OWEN'S WAY (ML=4/1), #2 ROCKET ROAD (ML=6/1),

ELLIE'S LIL MAN - Last raced on Feb 5th at Charles Town, finishing fourth. Unlikely to perk up off of that effort in today's race. This gelding garnered a speed fig in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. OWEN'S WAY - Looked good on February 5th, finishing third, but no morning blow outs since is a bit troublesome. Poor early position in the early part of the last route event will probably make it tough to make an impression today in this sprint clash. ROCKET ROAD - Placed much too far in the rear in the first part of the last route event will probably make it tough to make an impression today in this sprint race.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 RESCUE FIVE is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 DREAM SATURDAY 7/2




# 3 BREZNO 3/1




# 4 PROVEN WARRIOR 4/1




DREAM SATURDAY looks solid to best this field. With a reliable 83 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. This gelding with Miranda in the saddle makes him a solid choice. Shows sound speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. BREZNO - I like the rider on this gelding - quite good chance to win the contest. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last competition. PROVEN WARRIOR - Must be given a chance here if only for the very good speed rating earned in the last competition. He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of horses in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



03/06/20, TAM, Race 6, 3.15 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.03 CLAIMING. Purse $18,200.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered) (Condition Eligibility). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 4 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8-9) - Super High 5
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
3
Big Gillette
9/2
Gallardo A A
Bennett Mary Ann
JFE
38.00
1.26/$1


096.93
1
Bunster
3-1
Centeno D
Carrasco. Jr. Victor
L
32.73
1.13/$1


095.98
5
Zitman
12-1
Morales P
Rigattieri John


38.00
1.26/$1


095.95
13
My Cowboy
6-1
Spieth S
Rini Anthony F.
T
32.73
1.13/$1


095.26
8
Global Entry
7/2
Quinonez A
Arriagada Juan
S
32.73
1.13/$1


094.21
2
Rough Night(b-)
6-1
Camacho S
Ryan Derek S.


32.73
1.13/$1


094.06
7
Wicked Boy
5-1
Hernandez H
Wilson Tony


32.73
1.13/$1


093.91
6
Delta Levy
10-1
Castanon J L
Granitz Anthony J.


38.00
1.26/$1


093.53
11
Enduring Honor
12-1
Spieth S
Ryan Derek S.


32.73
1.13/$1


093.04
14
Blue Pigeon
8-1
Garcia W A
Sweezey J. Kent


38.00
1.26/$1


092.69
12
Jimmy D
12-1
Camacho S
Hinsley David H.


32.73
1.13/$1


092.65
10
Front Line Paige
12-1
Suarez A
Swick Don
C
35.51
1.08/$1


092.60
9
Josie's Riddle
20-1
Feliciano R
Feliciano Benny R.


38.00
1.26/$1


092.55
4
Whistle Me Home
30-1
Ferrer J C
Guciardo Kathleen A.


32.73
1.13/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 35.14, ROI 0.92/$1
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
3
Big Gillette
9/2
Gallardo A A
Bennett Mary Ann
JE
37.50
1.22/$1


098.86
13
My Cowboy
6-1
Spieth S
Rini Anthony F.
F
33.33
1.08/$1


098.59
1
Bunster
3-1
Centeno D
Carrasco. Jr. Victor
WL
41.54
1.16/$1


097.56
8
Global Entry
7/2
Quinonez A
Arriagada Juan
S
33.33
1.08/$1


097.30
5
Zitman
12-1
Morales P
Rigattieri John
T
33.33
1.08/$1


095.74
6
Delta Levy
10-1
Castanon J L
Granitz Anthony J.


37.50
1.22/$1


095.55
2
Rough Night(b-)
6-1
Camacho S
Ryan Derek S.


33.33
1.08/$1


095.55
11
Enduring Honor
12-1
Spieth S
Ryan Derek S.


33.33
1.08/$1


094.41
12
Jimmy D
12-1
Camacho S
Hinsley David H.


33.33
1.08/$1


094.30
7
Wicked Boy
5-1
Hernandez H
Wilson Tony


33.33
1.08/$1


094.29
10
Front Line Paige
12-1
Suarez A
Swick Don
C
37.50
1.22/$1


093.95
14
Blue Pigeon
8-1
Garcia W A
Sweezey J. Kent


37.50
1.22/$1


093.76
4
Whistle Me Home
30-1
Ferrer J C
Guciardo Kathleen A.


37.98
1.04/$1


092.78
9
Josie's Riddle
20-1
Feliciano R
Feliciano Benny R.


33.33
1.08/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.59, ROI 0.67/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Orlando -2 Over Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, March 6, 2020


3/06 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 PM ET

NBA (549) UTAH JAZZ VS (550) BOSTON CELTICS

Take: (550) BOSTON CELTICS

Reason: Your free play from Jim Feist for Friday, March 6, 2020 is in the NBA contest between the Utah Jazz and the Boston Celtics. Your free play is on 550. Celtics -2.5 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: FAIRFIELD +5½ over Monmouth

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Ohio Bobcats/Miami-Ohio Redhawks under 141

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins Roz's FRIDAY, MARCH 6, 2020 Free Pick
CBK
3/06 04:00 PM CB (841) SIENA VS (842) MONMOUTH
Take : Monmouth

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Francisco Dons - 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Northern Illinois Huskies - 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Cornell Big Red +12 over Pennsylvania

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play Thursday, March 5, 2020



CBK

3/05 08:30 PM CB (721) PORTLAND VS (722) SANTA CLARA
Take : Santa Clara

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Friday Selection Is

BALL STATE +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : HARVARD -11 over Brown

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Friday

Wake Forest +7'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Friday's Free Pick: Monmouth Hawks - 1 1/2

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Huddle Up Sports Free Play: VCU +3'

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Arthur Ralph

FRIDAY: NBA Okl CITY -7

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The Last Call Friday's Free Play: Phoenix Suns + 3 1/2

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 3/6 CBB NBA ATLANTA UNDER 246

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: INDIANA ST +1½ over Missouri St

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Friday: St Peter's Peacocks - 4

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Friday: Milw/LAL OVER 227½

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Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for Friday is on the

MIA HEAT

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John Anthony Sports

Free Selection:

ORL MAGIC

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Hollywood Anthony

Your Friday Free Play from Hollywood Anthony

BOS CELTICS

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1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Celtics -2
2. Gameday Network CBB – Pepperdine -2.5
3. VegasSI.com NBA – Wizards -3
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – Wake Forest +8
5. Sports Action 365 CBB – Cornell +12
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Thunder -7
7. Lou Panelli CBB – Drake over 131
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CBB – Canisius -6
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Spurs +3
10. William E. Stockton CBB – Bowling Green under 156.5
11. Vincent Pioli CBB – Murray St -1.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Bucks +1
13. SCORE CBB – Murray St -1.5
14. East Coast Line Movers CBB – Valparaiso +5
15. Tony Campone CBB – Cornell +12
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Spurs +3
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Iona +4.5
18. VIP Action CBB – Drake +9.5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Wizards -3
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Wyoming +15.5
21. NY Players Club CBB – The Citadel over 150.5
22. Fred Callahan CBB – Yale -7
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – Pelicans -1.5
24. Michigan Sports CBB – Bradley -5.5
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Wyoming over 132

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Top Shelf Sports Pick (http://www.vegasinvestmentpicks.com/)
NHL
ST. LOUIS BLUES ‑190

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Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NBA
ORLANDO MAGIC ‑2

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Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NCAA Basketball
HARVARD CRIMSON ‑10

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R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
NBA
ORLANDO MAGIC/MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES u234

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Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
NBA
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES/DALLAS MAVERICKS o226

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Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
NCAA Basketball
RICHMOND SPIDERS ‑120

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Team Underground (https://undergroundsportsconnection.com)
NCAA Basketball
PEPPERDINE WAVES ‑3

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Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NCAA Basketball
WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS +7

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Ace / V.I.P. (http://vegasinvestmentpicks.com)
NBA
ATLANTA HAWKS +3

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Assassin Sports Betting (https://www.patreon.com/assassinsportsbetting)
NBA
INDIANA PACERS ‑145

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Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
NHL
ANAHEIM DUCKS +155

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EW SPORTS PICKS (https://ewsportspicks.com/)
NBA
LOS ANGELES LAKERS ‑1 ‑110

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ATSsports (http://ATSSPORTS83.cappertek.com)
NBA
WASHINGTON WIZARDS ‑130

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DONNY ACTION (https://donnyaction.wordpress.com/)
NBA
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +2.5

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Best Sports Capper (http://bestsportscapper.com/)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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First Half Sports (http://firsthalfsports.com)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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MVP Lock Club (http://www.mvplockclub.com)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Picks 2 Play (http://picks2play.com/)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Pinnacle Sports Picks (http://www.pinnaclesportspicks.com)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Power Play Wins (http://www.powerplaywins.com/)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Total Winner Sports (http://totalwinnersports.com)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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VIP Sports Lock Club (http://vipsportslockclub.com/)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Wise Guy Insider (http://wiseguyinsider.com)
NCAA Basketball
UTAH STATE AGGIES ‑15

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Matt Josephs Mar 06 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Brown vs Harvard
Play on: Brown +10½ -109 at pinnacle

Harvard has won six straight since losing to Brown back on February 8th. This team has won all but one of those contests by single digits including three at home. They have a backcourt deficiency especially if Christian Juzang is out as they are already without Bryce Aiken. Juzang put up 10 points in 26 minutes in Harvard's one point loss at Brown. The Bears have lost three straight and four of their last five after a five game win streak. Numerically, this offense isn't great, but they've won at Columbia and Penn in conference play. I think this is way too many points as the Bears have guards that can make things interesting.

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Dave Price Mar 06 '20, 7:05 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Valparaiso vs Loyola-Chicago
Play on: Loyola-Chicago -5 -118 at pinnacle

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Loyola-Chicago -5
The Key: Loyola-Chicago has a big rest advantage over Valparaiso tonight. They had yesterday off while Valparaiso had to play the late game against Evansville last night. And they needed to go to the wire with the Purple Aces in a 58-55 win as 7.5-point favorites. That’s an Evansville team that went 0-18 in MVC play this year. The Ramblers have the Crusaders’ number in going 7-0 SU & 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven matchups. The Crusaders are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games off a win. Take Loyola-Chicago.

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Brad Diamond Mar 06 '20, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hawks vs Wizards
Play on: UNDER 245½ -104

1* ATLANTA/Washington UNDER the total
FREE NBA TOTAL ALERT...BDS

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Brandon Lee Mar 06 '20, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Spurs vs Nets
Play on: Nets -3 -110 at Bovada

10* FREE NBA PICK (Nets -3)
I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn laying a mere 3-points at home against the Spurs. I think we are getting some value here with the Nets. Brooklyn covered as a 7.5-point dog at Miami and then won outright a few days later at Boston as a 6.5-point dog. They scored 51 in the 4th quarter against the Celtics to force OT in that game.
Few teams are going to play well on no rest after a game like Brooklyn had against Boston and that's why the Grizzlies were my biggest play of the day in that matchup. Memphis went on to win 118-79.
I think that result has the Nets showing value here, as it really take a lot away from their previous two performances. You look at their recent schedule and you see a team that is just 1-5 SU in their last 6 games. Not exactly an easy back as a favorite. Also, I think there's value with Brooklyn still with the injury to Irving. The perception is that's a big loss and it looks even worse given their recent struggles, but in reality the Nets have been a better team this season without Irving on the floor.
As for the Spurs, San Antonio is a major disappointment and given their ugly 11-20 record on the road, I don't know how you trust them here. Keep in mind Spurs are down big man LaMarcus Aldridge, as well as his backup Jakob Poeltl.
Last time out the SA barely escaped with a 104-103 win at Charlotte. I think it's also worth noting that it can't be easy here for the Spurs to be back on the road. San Antonio had to play 6 straight on the road before the break and another two when they got back. Not to mention this might be the least exciting road trip you could put together playing the Hornets, Nets and Cavs in 6 day stretch. Give me the Nets -3!

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Ray Monohan Mar 06 '20, 7:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Red Wings
Play on: Blackhawks -1½ +155 at GTBets

Blackhawks -1.5
The Blackhawks (31-28-8) 6-3 in their last 10 travel to Detroit tonight to take on the Red Wings (15-48-5) 1-8-1 in their last 10 at Little Caesars Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30pm ET.
The Blackhawks are finding some late in the season magic. They've scored 18 goals in their modest 4-game winning streak, and are making a case for a wild-card in the Western Conference. Patrick Kane loves playing against the Wings and he'll lead this team tonight. He has 43 career points in 48 games vs. the Wings. DeBrincat is starting to get going as well, which will cause the Wings to have to worry about secondary scoring in this one too.
If you didn't already know there will be no playoffs for Detroit this year. They're already officially eliminated from the post-season. A dark twist of fate for hockey-town. They're also bleeding goals. The Wings have allowed at least 4 goals in 8 of their last 10.
Chicago are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games this season. 4-1 SU in their last 5, and 4-1 SU in their last 5 against Detroit. The Wings have lost 10 of their last 11, are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games, and 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at home. To boot the Red Wings have scored 2 goals or fewer in 9 of their last 11 games.
It's hard to think the Wings can compete in this one when they rank nearly at the bottom of the NHL in goals & goals against. (3.75GAA) The Hawks make it 5 in a row vs. the Wings with a nice win on Friday night.
Hawks -1.5. (4-2 or 5-2 win)
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
TGIF 5* FREE NHL PL Play

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Dustin Hawkins Mar 06 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Ball State vs Northern Illinois
Play on: UNDER 125½ +100

1 Dimer on Ball State vs Northern Illinois under 125½ +100

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Totals Guru Mar 06 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Ball State vs Northern Illinois
Play on: UNDER 126½ -109

Free Total Annihilator On Ball State vs Northern Illinois under 126½ -109

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John Martin Mar 06 '20, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Wolves
Play on: Wolves +2½ -110 at betonline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5
The Timberwolves are playing much better with De’Angelo Russell running the show. They pulled the 139-134 upset in New Orleans as double-digit dogs before coming back home and taking down the Bulls 115-108 as 2-point favorites. The Orlando Magic have lost three straight coming in. The Magic lost second-leading scorer Evan Fournier (18.8 PPG) to injury late in the loss to the Heat and he is doubtful to play for them tonight. And the Timberwolves should want revenge from a 125-136 loss in Orlando on February 28th just a week ago. Give me the Timberwolves.

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Jack Jones Mar 06 '20, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Pacers vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls +3 -103 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Chicago Bulls +3
The Chicago Bulls have been playing well at home here of late. The Bulls are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home games with wins and covers against the Mavericks and Wizards, as well as a 2-point loss to the Thunder as 7.5-point dogs.
Look for the Bulls to continue their solid play at home now that they are getting healthier. They are without Zach Lavine, but they recently got back three of their best players in Wendell Carter Jr., Lauri Markkanen and Otto Porter Jr. Coby White is averaging 28.0 points per game in his last six games and one of the best rookies in the NBA.
The Pacers just played the Bucks and lost by 19 on the road. I always like fading teams after playing the best teams in the NBA because they have a hard time getting motivated for their next opponent. And I’ll gladly fade the short-handed Pacers, who will be without Malcolm Brogdon and could be without Victor Oladipo, T.J. Warren and Doug McDermott, who are all listed as questionable. They just lost Jeremy Lamb to a season-ending injury as well.
The Bulls also want revenge from an overtime loss at Indiana, which was their 3rd loss in three meetings this season. They will be motivated to avoid the season sweep. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home meetings with Indiana. Bet the Bulls Friday.

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Frank Sawyer Mar 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | VCU vs Davidson
Play on: Davidson -4½ -107 at pinnacle

Take the Davidson Wildcats minus the points versus the VCU Rams. Davidson (15-14) has lost their last two games with their 80-63 loss at Richmond as a 5.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Wildcats have then covered the point spread in 37 of their last 54 games after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Davidson returns home where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. VCU (18-12) has lost six of their last seven contests with their 80-77 upset loss to Duquesne on Wednesday. The Rams have then failed to cover the point spread after a loss. VCU has also failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 33 games as an underdog. Lay the points with Davidson. Best of luck — Frank.

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Doc's Sports Mar 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | VCU vs Davidson
Play on: Davidson -4 -107 at pinnacle

Free College Basketball Prediction from Doc’s Sports: Take #862 Davidson -4 over VCU (9 p.m., Friday, March 6) VCU has fallen off the rails down the stretch with a 5-game losing streak before getting back on track against a terrible George Washington team last weekend. Now they close out the season on the road against Davidson, a team with talent. Davidson needs this win at home to improve their seeding in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament and will get revenge for an 11-point loss in Richmond earlier this season.

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Jimmy Boyd Mar 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Loyola Marymount vs San Francisco
Play on: San Francisco -6 -110 at YouWager

1* NCAAB - Free Pick on San Francisco -6
Easy play here on San Francisco in their 2nd round matchup against Loyola Marymount. The Dons are at a huge rest advantage. Lions had to play yesterday against San Diego in the 1st round of the WCC Tournament, while the Dons had a bye.
San Francisco won both meetings in the regular season, but did only win by 2 as a 5.5-point favorite in the regular-season finale, which I think is playing into the value here.
What people overlook with that result is the Dons were able to win on the road despite Loyola shooting 54% from the field and SF only connecting on 42%. That's a real good sign that this one could get ugly in a hurry.
San Francisco has covered 40 of their last 59 away from home when coming in having won two or more in a row (Don's riding a 3-game win streak). They are also 9-3-1 ATS last 13 as a neutral site favorite. Lions are 1-6 ATS last 7 off a win. Take San Francisco!

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Dennis Macklin Mar 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Boise State vs San Diego State
Play on: San Diego State -9 -106 at pinnacle

DMack's Free Play for Friday, March 6, 2020 is on the San Diego State Aztecs
The basketball Gods smiled on Boise this week by the Broncos get sent home to prepare for a minor tournament after facing the Aztecs here. The Broncos were smoked on this floor by UNLV on Saturday night, but beat the Rebels 67-61 last night in a game that saw the hosts down two starters to injury. SDSU needs to wake up and has trailed their last four games at the half. The Aztecs pounded by twice (18, 17) during the year and Boise just does not match up well against the SDSU scheme. Look for the Aztecs to flip the switch here and win going away by 20.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Mar 06 '20, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Suns
Play on: Blazers -2½ -110 at YouWager

1* on Blazers -2½ -110

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Mike Lundin Mar 06 '20, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Avalanche vs Canucks
Play on: Avalanche -125 at pinnacle

AVALANCHE @ CANUCKS FREE PICK
*23-7 (77%) ALL FREE PICKS 2020*
The red hot Colorado Avalanche had won seven on the bounce prior to a 4-3 OT loss to Anaheim Wednesday night and they're a perfect 7-0 in their last seven games as a road favorite. Here they'll visit a reeling Vancouver team that is coming off four straight defeats while allowing an average of 4.5 goals per game. The Avs rank fourth in the NHL with their 3.4 goals per game average and I like the price we get on the visitors in this contest.
Free pick on Colorado Avalanche.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

22-11-1 run with Complimentary Basketball plays

Gave you a complete mismatch with Santa Clara last night, and tonight I deliver another with the Wofford Terriers against The Citadel Bulldogs in Southern Conference action.

This will be a massacre, as Wofford has shown its mettle during a tough 8-10 SoCon schedule, and 16-15 season. The Bulldogs had just six wins during their 29-game schedule, but were a dismal 0-18 in conference play.

The Citadel - which is mired in a 1-7 ATS skid, all against SoCon teams - has one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 83.5 points per game, 84.1 points away from home and 83.2 in its last five.

That won't cut it against a Wofford team that will be looking to establish its presence early and coast to a rather easy win.

Wofford won the two regular-season meetings - including a 23-point victory on the Bulldogs' home court. It's been more than a month since The Citadel lost by single digits.

This is a blowout waiting to happen. Lay the chalk.

3* WOFFORD

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Jack Brayman

My free play for tonight is on the late card, as I like the Santa Clara Broncos against the Pepperdine Waves.

The oddsmakers aren't giving the Broncos the respect they deserve, mostly because they finished conference play with a 6-10 mark. But after last night's win in the opening round, they're now 20-12 overall.

Yes, Santa Clara went through a rough stretch of losing six in a row, but snapped that by ending the regular season with a five-point win over Portland, and then dominating the Pilots last night.

Pepperdine won both regular season meetings, and it's awfully hard to beat a team three times, especially with this conference when you're not from Spokane, Washington ... ahem, Gonzaga.

While the Broncos are warmed up with a game under their belts, the Waves have lost two straight, and haven't shown me much consistency on defense that relates to them being ready for a 20-win team like Santa Clara.

Value is with the underdog here.

3* SANTA CLARA

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Stephen DeAngelo

Another easy complimentary winner Thursday—my third in a row—as the Hornets covered the number in their two-point loss to Denver. Tonight, it’s back to the college hardwood, where I’m on an 8-3 roll with freebies, as we’ll grab the points with Boise State against San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference tournament semifinals in Las Vegas.



I know the Aztecs easily handled Boise State in both regular-season meetings, cruising 83-65 as an 11-point home favorite and 72-55 as a 5½-point road chalk. But since that latter clash on Feb. 16, San Diego State just hasn’t been as dominant as it was through the first 25 games of the regular season. First came a 66-63 home loss to UNLV as a 14-point chalk—the Aztecs’ only defeat so far—and that was followed by lackluster come-from-behind wins over Colorado State (66-60), Nevada (83-76) and Air Force (73-60).



SDSU trailed at halftime in each of those four games and cashed in just one of them (extending late at Nevada to barely get the cover in a 7-point win as a 5½-point favorite). And while the Aztecs did post a 13-point win over Air Force in yesterday’s quarterfinal matchup, the score was deceiving as they trailed with 15 minutes to go and never came close to cashing as a 17-point favorite.



Conversely, Boise State looked great in its quarterfinal matchup with UNLV, winning 67-61 and avenging a 76-66 loss to the Rebels in its most recent game in the same arena. The Broncos have been playing tremendous defense for more than a month, allowing just 64.5 points per game in their last 11 contests, holding five of those foes to 62 points or fewer.



The key for Boise in this one, of course, will be can its offense generate enough points to compete against SDSU, cover the number and perhaps challenge for the upset? I think the answer is yes, because while the Aztecs have been one of the top defensive teams in the country all season long, that defense has been lagging of late, allowing 65.5 ppg in the last four. That might not seem like a lot, but it is for a team whose season average is 59.2 ppg allowed.



If Broncos can reach that 65-point average that SDSU has been surrendering lately, the Aztecs would have to tally 75 points to cash in this one. I just don’t see that happening, given the way Boise’s defense has been playing, given that both teams are in a back-to-back situation (which usually leads to lower-scoring games), and given that the Aztecs have topped 73 points just once in their last five contests.

4* BOISE STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Friday comp play is the Thunder minus the points over the Knicks.

One thing I know for certain is Spike Lee will not be there to watch this game, but the other thing I feel pretty certain about is the Knicks will get hammered in this spot by the Thunder.

OKC just stopped a 2 game slide with a win at Detroit, but they did not cover in that victory as the Thunder has dropped 5 in a row against the spread.

New York has actually won 2 of their last 3 at home and have covered in all 3 of those games, and while the points may look tempting, I think tonight is the spot where the Knicks get run over.

Oklahoma City did win the first series meeting, 127-109 back in January and they have defeated New York now in 6 of the last 7 series meetings while covering in the last pair and in 5 of the last 6.

Good spot for the struggling Thunder to get things back rolling in the right direction.

Lay it with OKC.

2* OKLAHOMA CITY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Friday comp play goes out on the Lakers in their showdown against the Bucks.

This game could well be your NBA Finals preview and I expect Los Angeles to get the job done on their home floor.

Milwaukee did win the first meeting of the season between the teams just before Christmas, 111-104 on their home court, as the Bucks made it 6 straight series wins over the Lakers with covers in each of the last 5 victories.

Based on the above numbers it would be of the league's best interest to see Los Angeles actually show they can win one of these games against Giannis and company and tonight I do believe LeBron and AD and company are equal to the task.

Cannot knock either team at all this season as they sport the best pair of record in all of the NBA, but my money says that the Lakers show tonight why plenty of talking heads believe they will win this year's championship.

I am siding with Los Angeles at home over Milwaukee on Friday night at Staples Center.

3* L.A. LAKERS