Service Plays Tuesday 3/17/20

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

CARMINE BIANCO

SOCCER PLAYS
Game: (207841) Caykur Rizespor at (207842) Goztepe
Date/Time: Mar 17 2020 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 2.5 (-118)
Rizespor at Goztepe

The play is Under 2.5 -118 (good to 2.3 split line of 2.0 and 2.5)
While the sporting world rightfully takes an extended hiatus with the COVID19 virus affecting nations worldwide there are still a few leagues that are in action albeit with games being played in empty stadiums. Turkey's Super Lig is one and Tuesday's game between Rizespor and Goztepe is a make up fixture of a match that was originally cancelled due to weather conditions. The form of each side was trending in opposite directions at that time of the cancellation but both are currently regressing in a spot where the visitors with a 2-2-8 away record and a point below the relegation line will be looking for any type of points here. They've been held off the scoresheet in 4 of their past 8 away SL games and have averaged .83 GPG away from home. Goztepe will look for a form reversal here against one of the leagues worst away sides but while currently sitting 8th in the SL standings the rank
12th at home with a paltry 1.27 GPG scored. They've been held scoreless their past 3 Super Lig games. With both sides looking to pick up any type of point(s) here we'll look for a tighter game throughout and it'll be a play on the Under 2.5 here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Mahoning Valley - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Sally Strong
Cowans firster goes for a potent barn and shows a slew of AM drills, brings Machado in for the ride (35% for this barn), and won't have to be a monster in this weak field; looks live.


#8 Ronni's Day
Price player improved greatly when 4th in her second start, has plenty of speed, and drew a nice outside attack post, which should play perfectly with her running style; do not ignore.


#9 Judge Reese
Closer was 2nd and 4 lengths ahead of 'Day last time, so she's a bug threat here, but at 0-for-8 she's got no upside, and her price will be an underlaid one; trying to beat out of the EX.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 3, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, and if that's the case you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you can get some built-in value by keying her to kick off the Pk4, since the proven runners here aren't much, and she looks like she could be OK.


Mahoning Valley - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#4 Dancing Willard
The chalk has aired in two straight and meets a modest crew on the rise, which means he may name the score once again; imposing.


#3 Often Enough
Stretch runner didn't fire last time but has some solid runs to fall back on, and there's plenty of speed here to set him up; exotics appeal.


#2 Calboyzeke
Versatile sort can settle a bit, which will come in handy here, and the runs two and three-back give him a chance for a piece; can get a share.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the 4, but if that 2-1 ML holds he'd be a huge overlay, as he looks more in the 6-5 range, so play him aggressively to win and place if the tote allows, though you can single him in the Pk4 to get a bit more value, since he looks way too tough for this group.


Mahoning Valley - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Alycar Flash
Outside stalker/presser drew perfectly for his style, has run well in all three starts at the level, and may not even be favored; look out.


#5 Got Grit
Stretch runner didn't fire last time after two big runs, but he's been facing better, the pace works here, and he'll be a price; can bounce back.


#2 Persuasion
Tricky read was 3rd behind the pick last time yet is favored on the ML, and he's the inside speed too, which won't help; tread lightly here.


Race Summary
You aren't seeing that 7-2 ML on the pick, as he really should be favored here, but even if he's 5-2 that seems fair, as he best on paper, and some of his biggest rivals have some questions, so play him to win and place, and key him in the Pk4 as well, since either of his last three would make him very tough to deny.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Fairmount Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#5 Megan's Honor
Working well for the debut, and he lands in a pretty modest spot for this first trip to post. Figures to get bet a bit.


#2 Wildwood Secret
Looks like the 'other' Becker runner today, but that bullet work in advance of this has him looking ready to roll at first asking.


#4 Imperial Temple
Ran well enough here behind an easy winner a couple weeks ago, but the guess is one of the Becker debuters will prove just a bit too tough for him today.


Race Summary
Megan's Honor and Wildwood Secret both seem ready to go at first asking for a capable barn. Hoping Imperial Temple takes a lot of action as I think he's very vulnerable today.


Fairmount Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#10 Commanding Midas
Pace will try to break for it from the outside, and that's the perfect draw for her in a spot with a handful of firsters drawn underneath her.


#7 Simply Fast
Forward player invades from New York with a right to be very tough with these, but she hasn't finished her races with a ton of energy and might not be able to finish them off late.


#3 Lori's Legacy
Sprint trip might be a prep for something longer down the road, but she might be good enough to land an underneath share at this abbreviated trip.


Race Summary
Commanding Midas has some speed from the outside, and the hope is that she finds the front and puts away the other pace to get brave late. She has drawn the rail in each of her last three races and gets outside today.


Fairmount Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#7 Diamond Maximus
Finisher has run well locally in the past, and if he can get back to something like that, he's a player for top honors here.


#1 Stormy Pacific
Dirt form stacks up really well with what it would take to win here, but that but he'd need to offer a better price than he has in recent races for me to consider.


#4 Knockyourblockoff
Pace probably needs to go for it in the early stages here, but there should be a bit of company near the top for him, potentially leading to a tricky trip.


Race Summary
Diamond Maximus might appreciate the return to the local footing where he has won a couple races in the past and has never missed the board in four starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Western Fair - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#7 ACEFORTYFOUR RIVER
Ranged up on turn, second best in solid first-out run.


#2 PATWEARSTHEPANTS
Led long way, held third despite equipment problems.


#5 ACEFORTYFOURLADYDI
Half sister to top one, debuts for 24-percent barn.


Race Summary
Acefortyfour River was flushed out of fifth near the half-mile marker, loomed boldly off the dueling leaders near the top of the stretch and surged late to finish second. She figures tough with a move forward off that well-bet debut. Play 7-2, 7-5 and 7-8 exactas.


Pompano Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 FIREWATER JAKE
Duplicate of race two back against sharp rivals makes him good value play.


#6 HE ROCKS THE MOON
Steady numbers, gets Hennessey, use in all gimmicks.


#5 SPIRITED ENCOUNTER
Rallied first-over to finish third on class drop to this level.


Race Summary
Firewater Jake can be excused for a non-threatening try from post 8 in 1:52.2, but his race two back could make him the first horse in today’s field to win this year. He saved ground behind the three favorites and finished a willing third while 4-wide. Play 1-5 and 1-6 exactas.


Pompano Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 ASK ME IFI CARE
Can maximize speed on class drop, knows how to win.


#7 HYPO FLIP
Three-race winning streak ended from post 9 on the class rise.


#4 ROCK N ROLL ROSIE
Hit board in 3 of last 4 starts, driver’s choice on a double call.


Race Summary
Ask Me Ifi Care, a 10-time winner last year, exits open company, draws inside and can make good use of her speed in this field. Play 2-4 and 2-7 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Will Rogers Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#5 Drowningndiamonds
Ran well in dirt races last fall and can be a tough customer on the front end.


#6 Covington Quality
Lost a photo in an allowance race in his latest and can stay close to the lead today.


#2 Allthewaywithtaye
Has taken five of his last six and comes in from Houston; low-priced fave.


Race Summary
Drowningndiamonds is a 10-year-old that is a little touch and go in his form but his best races make him a big player here.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Taruca
Was up in time for a solid sprint win at Houston last out and has some closing punch.


#2 Rockport Kat
Has closed with some energy in recent starts and was claimed in his latest; works have been good.


#6 Trumpence
Faltered in a strong stakes race last time and is back to a more comfortable level.


Race Summary
Taruca will get a rapid pace in front of him and can reel in this group in the final furlong.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#12 Eurodiamond
Faltered in two at Sam Houston and ended last year in good form; doesn't have the speed to get the lead, and that could work in his favor if he's allowed relax.


#2 Emily's Pegasus
Romped going longer two races back and Dioboro stable does well anywhere it goes.


#9 Isadora
Usually gets the lead and can carve out some favorable fractions; could be very difficult to catch.


Race Summary
Eurodiamond improved toward the end of last year and then didn't fire at all at Sam Houston; has the speed to stay in range.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park



Sunland Park - Race 5

.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)/$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta



Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 51 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:49P


FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SECRET SEAL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET SEAL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" des ignation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WAGES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

SECRET SEAL

5/1


5/2




2

WAGES

3/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

SECRET SEAL

5


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

44


49


61.5


47.1


44.1




2

WAGES

2


3/1

Stalker

55


48


49.2


42.0


36.5




4

GOOD FOR NOW

4


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

52


43


41.4


34.8


27.3




8

MCFANCY

8


7/1

Alternator/Stalker

49


46


33.2


33.0


22.5




6

MOVIN' ON BYE

6


9/2

Trailer

51


33


35.1


39.9


33.9




3

IMA RUBY

3


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

48


49


32.9


38.0


28.0




7

ROYAL QUEEN

7


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

48


35


26.8


27.4


13.4




1

SUTAH WHO

1


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

45


43


21.0


35.0


21.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 9

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) First Half of Late Daily Double



Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $9,350 • Post: 5:15P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ISADORA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ISADORA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



9

ISADORA

3/1


3/2
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

ISADORA

9


3/1

Front-runner

77


75


81.0


64.6


61.6




6

SILVER SAILOR

6


6/1

Front-runner

61


63


48.8


52.8


42.3




12

EURODIAMOND

12


5/1

Stalker

67


66


60.2


57.8


51.3




4

SHAKER BAKER

4


12/1

Stalker

61


60


26.9


49.5


38.5




5

CAMP WASHITA

5


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


63


59.2


54.8


50.8




10

SIN CITY

10


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

66


59


38.8


51.6


41.1




2

EMILY'S PEGASUS

2


12/1

Trailer

58


42


49.2


48.0


28.0




1

VEILED IN GOLD

1


12/1

Trailer

57


54


36.3


49.8


33.3




11

SHE'S GOT MOXY

11


20/1

Trailer

64


56


20.2


45.2


29.2




8

TEDDERS ANGEL

8


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

61


63


52.6


36.2


22.2




3

SERVICE BIZ ANNIE

3


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

52


46


37.5


41.0


22.0




7

TOCCETTA

7


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

48


45


21.0


42.2


20.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Sam Houston - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 JAZZ MUSIC (ML=6/1)
#6 MAJOR SHIPMAN (ML=7/2)
#1 WHENTHEPENNYDROPS (ML=3/1)


JAZZ MUSIC - Trainer, Diodoro, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Just missed hitting the board on Feb 29th at Sam Houston. With decent odds right here, he has my interest. MAJOR SHIPMAN - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a nice outing last time out within the last month. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should race well today. A repeat of that most recent race on Feb 29th where he earned a speed rating of 74 looks lofty enough to score in this event. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is extremely important. WHENTHEPENNYDROPS - The race may set up nicely for this gelding's powerful charge. I like this racer. Should be familiar with this class level since he ran against the same type last time out at Sam Houston.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THREE TIME CHARMER (ML=2/1), #10 THIRSTY WILDCAT (ML=8/1),

THREE TIME CHARMER - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the front end. Likes to finish in the money though. This morning-line choice hasn't been to the track in awhile. No drills since last race. Not likely that the rating he recorded on February 21st will be enough in this affair.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #2 JAZZ MUSIC to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,4,6,10] with [1,2,4,6,10] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $3300 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 KK DASHIN COUGAR 9/5




# 7 JESS AN KICKIN IDEA 3/1




# 4 MSWANDAS FASTDASH 7/2




KK DASHIN COUGAR is my choice. With Duenez getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Players should probably feel comfortable with this pick given Duenez's recent dividends at the window. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase speed figs which have been formidable - 51 avg - of late. JESS AN KICKIN IDEA - Carrizales has this filly racing well and is a very strong pick based on the strong Speed Figures earned in short races recently. With a solid return on investment of +16 this trainer has shown very good results with entries running at this distance and surface. MSWANDAS FASTDASH - Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be up on the lead early on. She has a good opportunity in this race as handler, Ellis, has sharp win rate with horses going this distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 17. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 TOUR ON 5/1




# 1 ELIZABETH'S FEVER 5/2




# 7 ARCTIC MUSIC 6/1




My pick in this race is TOUR ON. Has earned formidable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this race. ELIZABETH'S FEVER - Is a solid choice - given the 65 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. Has a sharp shot in this competition if you like back class. ARCTIC MUSIC - Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of very good win percentage - 19 percent - at this distance & surface. Ought to go to the lead and should never look back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 37

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 RONNI'S DAY (ML=8/1)
#6 JOIN THE PARTY (ML=10/1)


RONNI'S DAY - My partners and I have made bucks playing thoroughbreds with this type of early speed. Follow my advice and do the same. Look for this one to go to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds in today's race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the wire. JOIN THE PARTY - Like the way this mare's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Zielinski brings her right back. I suggest you stay with this hot mare. Mare is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A BIRD WALK (ML=5/2), #1 OPALESCENT (ML=5/2), #3 SALLY STRONG (ML=3/1),

BIRD WALK - Doesn't seem to have enough positive angles to bear out the price. OPALESCENT - Can't bet on this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race of late. This filly finished off the board on Jan 6th and wasn't close to winning last time out either. Substandard speed figure last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's event. SALLY STRONG - This questionable contender will in all probability be way back as this group crosses the wire.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RONNI'S DAY - Number one with a bullet (workout). This beautiful animal is going to top the charts today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #8 RONNI'S DAY on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Horse racing

Exotic with the highest combined power rating at Mahoning Valley is Race #5. Scheduled post time 2:36pm ET.

First = #1/1A Opalescent/Bird Walk, #9 Judge Reese

Second = #1/1A Opalescent/Bird Walk, #2 Cause of Love, #5 Discreet Energy, #9 Judge Reese

$2 Exacta cost is $12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Horse racing

Highest horse power rating at Mahoning Valley is Race #6, #4 Dancing Willard (2/1). Post is 3:04pm ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Northfield Park

Highest Power Rated Horse

Race 4

#5 - Its A Good Thing (5/2)