Service Plays Thursday 3/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Youngcatx21]

Any AFL plays?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: March 19-Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis March 19, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hopefully this crisis will be behind all of us in the near future. Unfortunately, harness tracks have been closing so subsequently my writing schedule will vary from the usual Friday-Monday analysis. Tonight, the Early 0.20 Pick 4 at Woodbine Mohawk Park will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

4-Beach Baby Bee (2-1)-Drew off by more than 4 lengths to beat 4 from this field in last start. Smoked the back half in 55.2, last quarter in 26.2 and looks like a must use.
5-Farmers Tan (7/2)-Jamieson's choice over #1 can leave to get the top and might enjoy the company. If #4 doesn't have his best fastball this guy could cash the biggest check.

Race 5

3-State Of Play (12-1)-Gets post relief tonight and has been racing well. Needs a good steer and Hudon has some choices. Could take a picture at a big price.
6-Legal Bettor (7/2)-Makes 1st start for Moreau after breaking stride when claimed as an odds-on favorite. Fits here and was a winner in 25% of starts in 2019.
7-Quan Blue Chip (5/2)-Makes 1st start for Moreau off a claim and has won 2-straight. Has been very sharp and Filion could get the top or 2-hole behind #8.
8-Leader Tonight (3-1)-Probably has the best gate speed and is another who has been racing well. May offer some value because of the post and if crosses over without using a lot of gas it could be picture time again.

Race 6

1-Casimir Rumrunner (10-1)-Makes 2nd start for the Fellows barn and 2nd try at Wbsb. Took the short way around last week and went the back half in 55.4. Might be better tonight, from this post could trip out and pop at a price.
3-P L Idaho (5/2)-Makes 3rd start back in the Moreau barn and draws inside. Should be a player but will likely offer no value and hasn't been able to finish off miles.
4-Kingofthejungle (3-1)-Drops to a spot to snag 1st win of the year. Has the gate speed to be put in play off the gate and control the race.

Race 7

1-Mr Contestant (2-1)-Won 1st start on 1-27 after joining the Boyd barn and has struggled since. Now takes a good drop in class and shouldn't have any excuses versus this crew but can't completely trust.
6-Mystery Bet (12-1)-Only 2 wins in last 31 starts and makes 2nd try for new barn. Trainer hands the lines to McClure. Even effort in last start with Jones in the bike and was off almost a month, will take a swing at 12-1 in the ML.
7-Graceful (5-1)-Muscle Hill mare has been rested since 10-31 and makes season debut after 2 qualifiers. Should like the company and has 3 wins in 13 starts at Wbsb.

0.20 Early Pick 4

4,5/3,6,7,8/1,3,4/1,6,7
Total Bet=$14.40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Golden Gate Fields - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Clifton Hollow
Stretch runner moves up in class but really improved in his second route last time, drew perfectly, here, has plenty of upside after just four starts, and meets two sketch ML favorites; look out.


#2 Billtown Banner
Dicey ML favorite has routed just once and it wasn't pretty, and while he's probably a better horse now, he has no edge on paper and and looks to be a big underlay at this price; second-best.


#3 Dare to Believe
Lifetime maiden is not only 0-for-22 but he hasn't run in 367 days either, and even his form back then wasn't overwhelming, so there's no reason to take this underlaid 2-1 ML price; no thanks.


Race Summary
That 7-2 ML on the pick seems way out of whack, as you could make a case he should be favored, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, though you can get some built-in value by keying him to kick off the early Pk5, as he seems primed for another big run, which might be too much for either of his main protagonists.


Golden Gate Fields - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 Deepingreen
Stiff class dropper has been running well against better, and while he lost to the heavy chalk last time, he appears to own a tactical edge here; can turn the tables.


#5 Dirt Road Red
Aforementioned heavy chalk beat the pick last time, but only by 3/4's of a length, so the margin is this, and he'll be chasing the whole way too; scary, but no lock.


#2 Praise Loudly
The biggest dropper of all has been in against eons better, but he also looks off form off his last two, so there's a chance he's going the wrong way fast; tread lightly.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the 3 but if they hammer the 5 then you might sneak out $6.00 and change, which seems fair in what is a five-horse race, especially since he was less than a length behind the chalk last time, so play him to win and place, if the tote allows, while using him in the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since budget players might be singling 'Red, even though he has little to no margin for error.


Golden Gate Fields - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Iron Alex
Stalker did well to draw a nice attack post in a race loaded with speed, has been running well at the level, and will offer a hint of value as well; love his chances here.


#3 Turnaround
Deserving heavy favorite has been running against better, and running faster, than the rest here, but there's plenty of speed here, which may sap him late; trying to beat.


#6 Legendary Night
Class dropper will like this reduced group and seems to be finding his form a bit lately, and while a win seems like a reach, he'll like the pace and can rally; exotics appeal.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's plenty here to help the chances of the 7, while potentially hurting those of the 3, so play him to win and place, and especially in the late pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is another spot where budget players will single the favorite, even though it's the pick who seems to be ripe to pull off the mild surprise.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 Cool Mo
Took a liking to the local footing and company with that 10-length maiden score last out. She'll need to step forward off that run, but she has some upside in this second start off the layoff.


#7 Silk Stocking
Outran the odds at 17-1 last time out, but it's still worth noting that she only beat one horse home in that very short field. Not totally sold, and she's not going to offer any kind of similar price this time around.


#6 Whiz Pass
Finisher tends to come up a bit short, but she's a useful underneath type who typically plugs along late for a piece.


Race Summary
Cool Mo impressed in the local debut, and she potentially has something even better to offer this time around.


Charles Town - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Reform School
Ran huge at 34-1 to close out the 2019 campaign in that stakes try at Laurel, and his 2-for-2 local record makes him a threat again here.


#5 Irish Roar
Should be right there in a pretty top-heavy race, and he has some ability to settle and finish which works in his favor.


#7 Fiber and Emily
Versatile type easily handled a short field in the local return, and he'll get a good run of things from close range here.


Race Summary
Reform School and Irish Roar are tough to get past here, but the former may offer a slightly better price off the layoff


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Hypothesis
Moves into open company, but his local form is really solid, and he figures to get another good run of things from close range.


#1 Zafir
Forward player could be in line for a tricky trip from the fence with some other pace signed up outside of him, but that local debut was sharp and something similar keeps him in the mix tonight.


#5 Majestic Seas
Another one who wants to be in the mix in the early going, he's likely to give away a bit of ground late and settle for an underneath share.


Race Summary
Hypothesis gets the call with a perfect 3-for-3 local record, and he is versatile enough to work out a trip depending on how the race unfolds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#7 CANFINDABETTORMAN
Rallied into blanket finish while 6-wide in the stretch.


#5 GRAND AVE LEGEND
Big middle move to win qualifier for 25-percent barn.


#9 RAIN MAN BLUE CHIP
Showed pulse in 3yo debut from same post after long layoff.


Race Summary
Cantfindabettorman finished ahead of several rivals he meets again tonight – and he did so while rallying widest in the stretch. He draws outside but can win with a duplicate run. Play a 5-7-9 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 CASIMIR RUMRUNNER
Free late, ran scare into odds-on winner, draws rail.


#5 P L IDAHO
Met pair of repeat winners in February, managing one runner-up finish.


#4 KINGOFTHEJUNGLE
Ran second in 3 of last 6 starts, won 5 of 17 last year.


Race Summary
Casimir Rumrunner looked for running room, swung 4-wide in mid-stretch and gobbled up ground on the 3-to-5 winner. He draws the rail and is the key to 1-4 and 1-5 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 DARTH FADER
Can’t go beyond in spot where he’s proven dominant this year.


#5 BERNIE
Willingly pursued top one from the pocket, has chance at much better price.


#1 SIZE ME UP
Finished in the money in four straight, but he’s 1-72 lifetime.


Race Summary
Darth Fader won 4 of his last 5 starts and will be another short price to do it again. He was in control throughout against a similar field that raced single file until the top of the stretch. Play a 7-5 exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Words of Devine
Has enough speed to save position while battling for the lead and can dig in on the turn-back in distance.


#4 Napa Rules
Is back to a shorter sprint after running longer; can be part of the up-front battle and could benefit from this distance.


#2 Queen Abarrio
Comes in off a maiden-claiming win and can get a stalking run here; tough if the front-runners falter at all.


Race Summary
Words of Devine is fast enough to get the best trip of the speed horses and can resist late.


Gulfstream Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Big Hambone
Was claimed in January and makes his 1st start for Walsh barn; has some good works and can mix it up in this spot.


#9 Uncle Curly
Was claimed when he won two back, steps up vs. better last time and is now back to a more comfortable level.


#4 Bye Bye Man
Has been in with stronger company and has a couple of good recent starts; late threat. Comes out of fast races.


Race Summary
Big Hambone had a bit of a breather and could be able to come back in good shape for a capable stable. Worth a look at this price.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Gioielli
Probably benefited from racing longer in her last two, moves over to the main track and can be a force from the beginning.


#3 Flora Fantasy
Ran on well and was up in time last out in her 1st for Joseph, Jr. barn; is back to the claim price and is a good bet for the exotics.


#5 Shes All Woman
Was fourth in four of her last five and has been with decent company; can stalk a fast pace and could be tough to hold off.


Race Summary
Gioielli drops back to a shorter distance and has the speed to battle; should be able to dig in vs. these.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town



Charles Town - Race 4

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 4-5) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)



Allowance • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 8:25P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OH BABY BABY: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer . SILK STOCKING: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. SO ARISTOCRATIC: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. LONGSTORYLUCY : Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. WHIZ PASS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



3

OH BABY BABY

4/1


5/1




7

SILK STOCKING

3/1


6/1




2

SO ARISTOCRATIC

5/1


7/1




5

LONGSTORYLUCY

9/2


9/1




6

WHIZ PASS

5/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

SO ARISTOCRATIC

2


5/1

Front-runner

79


69


71.8


59.4


49.9




4

COOL MO

4


7/2

Front-runner

68


69


55.6


55.6


45.1




7

SILK STOCKING

7


3/1

Stalker

78


78


59.6


59.6


50.1




3

OH BABY BABY

3


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


64


64.6


63.5


60.0




6

WHIZ PASS

6


5/1

Trailer

74


63


52.1


63.5


60.0




5

LONGSTORYLUCY

5


9/2

Trailer

75


61


51.6


62.0


56.0




1

MORNINGAFTERBLUES

1


15/1

Trailer

69


52


36.0


55.0


43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



Gulfstream Park - Race 5

$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 5-10)



Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 77 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 3:03P


(RAIL AT 48 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. CHANELIN is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * WORDMAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PALACE KID: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NEXTSTOP POKIPC: Horse had a bullet workout within the last s even days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



7

WORDMAN

8/5


3/1




4

PALACE KID

3/1


4/1




5

NEXTSTOP POKIPC

4/1


5/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

PALACE KID

4


3/1

Front-runner

79


71


89.9


66.3


61.8




2

WEEKEND DREAMER

2


6/1

Front-runner

0


0


70.2


34.6


23.6




1

BYCHANCE

1


15/1

Front-runner

0


0


64.0


37.5


26.5




3

CHANELIN

3


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


46.1


58.1


45.6




7

WORDMAN

7


8/5

Trailer

79


79


34.1


74.9


67.9




5

NEXTSTOP POKIPC

5


4/1

Trailer

87


61


29.4


68.3


63.3




6

GRAN HOMBRE

6


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


49.6


55.6


47.1




8

SUPER EDGAR

8


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


25.6


39.8


28.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 98

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL SINCE SEPTEMBER 19, 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $35,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 APOLLITICAL MOGUL 2/1




# 3 QUICK DASHIN PERRY 8/1




# 2 SPY FOR THE SENATE 5/1




APOLLITICAL MOGUL is the best bet in this race. Her 92 average has this filly with among the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures in this race. With Packer aboard her, this filly will most likely be able to break out quickly in this event. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. QUICK DASHIN PERRY - With a strong 95 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this competition. SPY FOR THE SENATE - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Pascoe have shown very solid results recently. Could provide positive dividends based on competitive recent speed figures with an average of 86.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 74

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 ANITA LUCKY BREAK (ML=5/2)


ANITA LUCKY BREAK - The jockey/trainer tandem of Sheroski and Stopherd has a strong return on investment together. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Sheroski gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This horse wins a lot of dough per start. I believe she can increase the lifetime total in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KITTEN'S PEEBLES (ML=8/5), #2 KEWANNE (ML=2/1), #1 YOUARESTILLTHEWON (ML=8/1),

KITTEN'S PEEBLES - Hard to put any money on this filly on the front end. Likes to hit the board though. Finished second in her most recent performance with a disappointing rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. KEWANNE - Not likely that the fig she recorded on February 19th will be good enough in this affair. YOUARESTILLTHEWON - Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 ANITA LUCKY BREAK is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



03/19/20, OP, Race 4, 2.54 CT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000.
FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
8
Lieutenant Powell
4-1
Loveberry J
Westermann Ronald L.
SFL
35.92
1.38/$1


099.78
3
Whenthedovescry
2-1
De La Cruz W
Stuart Shea
E
35.92
1.38/$1


098.05
2
Hamazing Vision
7/2
Baze T
Diodoro Robertino
T
39.39
1.52/$1


096.78
4
Promising Shoes
10-1
Vazquez R A
Villafranco Federico
JC
35.92
1.38/$1


096.76
1
I Am
3-1
Elliott S
Milligan Allen


39.39
1.52/$1


095.28
6
Dothebestyoucan
15-1
Felix J E
Hornsby Tammy


35.92
1.38/$1


095.07
5
It's Bellamy Time
30-1
Birzer A
Roberts Stanley W.


35.92
1.38/$1


094.85
9
Bogey
15-1
Canchari A L
Witt II Ernie
W
35.92
1.38/$1


094.67
7
Jack Be Quick
15-1
Eramia R E
Turner Patti


35.92
1.38/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.43, ROI 1.13/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #4 - Post: 2:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 GOING AWAY PARTY (ML=5/1)
#1 DICTION (ML=2/1)


GOING AWAY PARTY - Was in an $8,000 Claiming race at Golden Gate Fields last time out. That race had a class number of 95 and he is moving down right here. A certain win candidate. Finished sixth at Golden Gate Fields last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 5/1 in this event, he looks like a possible contender. DICTION - Faced tougher in the last race at Golden Gate Fields. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the 1st attempt on January 18th. Should be in tune with the horse even better in today's race. This gelding's last speed figure recorded on Jan 18th is tops in last race speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GRAND AIR (ML=9/5), #2 MAXINAMILLION (ML=4/1), #6 DYF (ML=8/1),

GRAND AIR - You always think this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he falls short frequently. MAXINAMILLION - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been sharp in short distance events lately. Last ran on May 24th at Golden Gate Fields, finishing third. Unlikely to perk up off of that outing today. DYF - Would have to get better off that sixth place finish last time out to make an impact here.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 GOING AWAY PARTY to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $48000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,600 SINCE FEBRUARY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 FRILLS 5/1




# 7 HEY NEGRITA 4/1




# 1 NO INTEREST 6/1




FRILLS is my choice. She looks very strong in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. With a very good 77 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. HEY NEGRITA - Must be carefully examined based on the solid speed figure garnered in the last contest. Contreras has this mare running well and is a very good choice based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figures recorded in sprint races lately. NO INTEREST - Has put up solid speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Vaunts formidable Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



03/19/20, GP, Race 3, 2.00 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000.
Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
6
Franco's Team
7/2
Rendon J
Garoffalo Jose
JSFL
35.71
1.02/$1


098.16
1
Fifty Cents
2-1
Rodriguez A A
Rodriguez Roderick R.
E
53.85
1.45/$1


096.70
2
Put It On Detti
20-1
Quiroz L
Collazo Henry
C
32.39
1.13/$1


096.51
3
El Gran Pichon
6-1
Vasquez M A
Ramirez Luis M.


35.71
1.02/$1


096.31
4
Candy Coma
8/5
Montalvo C
Ward Wesley A.
TW
35.71
1.02/$1


092.92
5
Ninth of April
30-1
Meneses M
Mc Allen John P.


35.71
1.02/$1


092.12
7
Youreoutofcontrol
20-1
Berrios H I
Passley Mark


53.85
1.45/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 31.43, ROI 1.14/$1
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
4
Candy Coma
8/5
Montalvo C
Ward Wesley A.
T
25.53
0.70/$1


099.79
6
Franco's Team
7/2
Rendon J
Garoffalo Jose
JSFL
25.53
0.70/$1


099.32
1
Fifty Cents
2-1
Rodriguez A A
Rodriguez Roderick R.
EW
34.43
1.12/$1


098.33
7
Youreoutofcontrol
20-1
Berrios H I
Passley Mark


25.53
0.70/$1


095.07
2
Put It On Detti
20-1
Quiroz L
Collazo Henry
C
50.00
1.30/$1


094.61
3
El Gran Pichon
6-1
Vasquez M A
Ramirez Luis M.


25.53
0.70/$1


093.86
5
Ninth of April
30-1
Meneses M
Mc Allen John P.


25.53
0.70/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.19, ROI 0.61/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jonathon Kinchen

Gulfstream Park late Pick 4

4:05 PM ET

SportsLine claims he is currently riding a hot streak. In the Fountain of Youth Stakes last month, Kinchen nailed an $80 win bet on Ete Indien that paid a healthy $344. And in last week's Beholder Mile, he gave out a $50 exacta that paid $550. Over the last three weekends, Kinchen has an ROI of 90.80 percent!

Overview
A vulnerable favorite in Race 8 makes Thursday's late Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park a solid wagering opportunity. I'm going to spread a little in the first two legs (Races 7 and 8) and get narrow in the last two legs (Race 9 and 10). Using the A-B-C-X method for multirace wagers, I'm able to press my strongest opinions while still staying within my budget.

Gulfstream Park 7th
2 Shanghaisweetheart (5-2) -- I feel like this one should get the lead with our other A horse, Keilani, sitting right outside of her. Shanghaisweetheart has hit the board in four straight races and had an excuse while sprinting in the worst effort of those four. She seems to have woken up a bit since switching to Victor Barboza Jr.'s barn.

6 Keilani (8-1) -- Has run well since joining the Sandra Matier barn. She projects to have a similar trip to the one she got the last two races. Had a bit of trouble in her last start which may have caused her to lose some momentum. Should sit a great trip and has a big chance to win if she can duplicate either of her last two efforts.

1 Myfrancesca (7-2) -- Deserves a look and fits with these, but I don't love the post.

8 Blue Chicory (10-1) -- Stretching out, drawn outside and has some back numbers that fit. Could jump up, but I prefer the others more. I would use her defensively at an acceptable price of 10-1 on the morning line.

A: 2,6
B: 1,8

Gulfstream Park 8th
2 Big Hambone (10-1) -- Brendan Walsh is one of the most under-appreciated turf trainers in the country. He claimed this horse, gave him a 45-plus day break, worked him on the turf March 4 and now runs him on the turf with Tyler Gafflione. I like what I see.

6 Youshouldbesolucky (4-1) -- There's a small chance this one gets loose with jockey Paco Lopez. Could get brave on the front end and hold on if the others don't fire.

9 Uncle Curly (6-1) -- This one had a terrible trip last time. He was wide throughout at the level right above this. He has some performances in his past that would handle this field easily. He might not be that horse anymore, but if he improves off his last race that could be good enough to beat these.

3 Sir Seamus (7-2) -- This will be his first start after being claimed from the Mike Maker barn. I typically don't like horses that are claimed from that sharp operation, but Carlos David, who used to be Jason Servis' assistant, is winning at a 25 percent clip in 2020.

A: 2,6,9
B: 3

Gulfstream Park 9th
3 Flora Fantasy (8-5) -- She's the best on paper for a high-percentage trainer. She would normally be a single for me in a six-horse field, but I can't get past Shes All Woman.

5 Shes All Woman (2-1) -- Her last two figures fit, and she was just behind Flora Fantasy in her last start. She also has the advantageous outside post.

A: 3,5

Gulfstream Park 10th
1 Mystical Moon (7-2) -- I love Mystical Moon and will single him in the Pick 4. He was comfortable in the "pocket" in his last start in deeper waters. The speed figure stands out against this group. The inside draw should assure that this one will save ground on both turns, and he just needs a smidge of racing luck to get clear sailing and get his picture taken.

A: 1
B: 3,4,5,7

Gulfstream Park Pick 4 Grid
All-A:
$3 Pick 4: 2,6 with 2,6,9 with 3,5 with 1 ($36)

Three-A, one-B:
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,8 with 2,6,9 with 3,5 with 1 ($6)
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6 with 3 with 3,5 with 1 ($2)
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6 with 2,6,9 with 3,5 with 3,4,5,7 ($24)

Two-A, two-B:
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,8 with 3 with 3,5 with 1 ($2)
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,8 with 2,6,9 with 3,5 with 3,4,5,7 ($24)
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6 with 3 with 3,5 with 3,4,5,7 ($8)

Total wager: $102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ryan Littlejohn

Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans

Race 1
1st 1 - Don Gulliermo
2nd 7 - Time to Rome
3rd 4 - Last Nite Out

Race 2
1st 2 - Tenpins Tempo
2nd 6 - Fame Feather
3rd 5 - Diamond Cutter

Race 3
1st 4 - Belmar Beauty
2nd 2 - Heart River
3rd 3 - Callhermrsgelner

Race 4
1st 9 - Napoleon's Empire
2nd 2 - Copper Fiddle
3rd 5 - Tom's Last General

Race 5
1st 1 - Ace Destroyer
2nd 4 - There and Back
3rd 7 - Catalogue

Race 6
1st 4 - Darling Vera
2nd 3 - Evil Lyn
3rd 1 Fashion Land

Race 7
1st 8 - Storied Trip
2nd 1 - Sincerity
3rd 3 - Wildabout Audrey

Race 8
1st 10 - Arabella Bella
2nd 1 - Lexington Grace
3rd 6 - Morning Molly

Race 9
1st 9 - Lil Ashley B.
2nd 1 - Crider Chase
3rd 6 - Lassie's Last Hour

Top Picks
Race 2 2 - Tenpins Tempo
Race 5 1 - Ace Destroyer
Race 9 9 - Lil Ashley B.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Horse racing

Highest Power Rated Horse at Gulfstream is in Race 7, the #2 Shanghaisweetheart (5/2).