Service Plays Tuesday 3/31/20

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: March 31-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis March 31, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has changed days and its start-time for the rest of the meet. First post will now be at 3:30 PST on Tuesday and Wednesday through April 22. East Coast harness players will relish the earlier start time and the handle should be a big one. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 7, the guarantee has been raised to $50,000 and the actual pool will likely be much larger.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

5-Dancingonthesand (4-1)-Has had trouble taking a picture at this class but is in the mix at the wire. This could be the time to cash the biggest check as half the field is stepping up in class.
6-Velocity Mcsweets (2-1)-Makes the 3rd start off the bench after winning as an odds-on favorite on 3-20. Looks like the one to beat and should be bet hard again.
7-Alwaysalittlemore (5/2)-Likes to get on the engine and today it shouldn't be a big challenge. This mare is a cut above those with an inside post draw and if Plano gets the top easily, he could steal a 1/4.

Race 8

2-Vicious Aloicious (5/2)-Roland's choice over #1 and #5 drops to a soft spot. Morning line chalk deserves to be part of the ticket and Roland will put in play. But Smith barn is ice cold and 6-year-old is camera shy, (11-113) lifetime.
3-Twomickeytrip (6-1)-Mickey should offer a nice price and is also dropping to a spot to shine. This could be a wake-up call for Team Longo and can be forwardly placed from this post.
7-Hi Ho's Little Rev (7/2)-Beaten odds-on chalk couldn't catch Beckys Dreamboat over the weekend when dropped to this level. Becky isn't around tonight and it's best to respect.
10-Dontdoubtthelakers (8-1)-The Smith barn's other entry and Roberts steers again. May have met an easier field than last time. Veteran should be able to get a good early seat and might be able to close into quick fractions at a big price.

Race 9

1-Senga Nitro (3-1)-Drew the rail again and should be in the hunt. Hard to ignore from this post and could offer a fair price.
2-Herecomesthethundr (6-1)-Broke on Saturday on an off track and is only 1-20 on a wet surface. Makes 3rd start off the bench and now Roland stakes a spin. Looking for a lot better and the price should be right too.
3-He Grins Again (5/2)-Beaten chalk lacked a closing kick and that has been the case in last 3-third place finishes. Probably won't offer any value but hard to leave off the ticket with this post draw and will look to others as well.
6-Crusin For You (5-1)-Svendsen's choice over #4 steps up after a game win. Last effort was the best in quite a while and will string a long at what could be a solid price.

Race 10

2-Greekona (6-1)-Finished 2nd to #8 in last and except for #4 this is the same crew. If the chalk can't find her fastball this mare could trip out and should be a better price than last week.
8-Dontcloseyoureyes (5/2)-Hung out the 1st quarter from the 10-hole and then took control. Brushed off a challenger, pulled away and couldn't have been any better. Gets a little post relief and has a big shot for 3rd straight picture.

0.20 Pick 4

5,6,7/2,3,7,10/1,2,3,6/2,8
Total Bet=$19.20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Fonner Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#7 Morning Shadow
Pace presser was 5th in a state-bred stales off the claim last time, so the drop here makes sense, and the fact there's only cheap inside speed really helps his cause; look out.


#4 L B Gold
The chalk has been in good form and beat the pick when 3rd in the stakes, but there's no speed here, and the race flow won't be as helpful to him as to 'Shadow; second-best.


#1 Super Charlie
Logical sort has the form to play here and wasn't far behind 'Gold at the level last time, but the rail is dicey, and therefore this 3-1 ML makes him an underlay; underneath only.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the 7 but the fact he lost to the 4 last time, and the 1 has solid form too, means he may well be the third choice, and that means $9 or so would be very fair on a runner who seemingly gets all the best of it in terms of race flow, so play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well (which should have a big pool), since a win would knock out a lot of budget players right off the bat.


Fonner Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#3 October Won
MSW dropper got the comeback out of the way 17 days ago off the April layoff, will love this very reduced level, and meets a very weak field on paper; imposing.


#7 Obvi
Price player is another who likely needed his comeback, and that 6th at the level last time was in a solid race, so if she improves she has a chance; exotics appeal.


#2 Ours to Hold
Tricky read didn't run an inch in her local bow for Gonzalez, and while she did have trouble, the fact she left Broberg too says she's going the wrong way; tread lightly.


Race Summary
Swing aggressively in the win pool if you sniff that 5-2 ML on the pick, as even 7-5 would seem fair here, but her real value comes in the early Pk5 (which should have a big pool), as you can single her and spread in the deeper surrounding legs, as this one looks like a name the score type of affair.


Fonner Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Ship Stalker
Delta invader also goes off the claim for Gonzalez, a huge 33% move, and yeah, he didn't fire for lesser last time, but that was in the slop, and there's plenty of fast track races showing that would make him a big player here; upset special.


#9 Southernaire
Fellow Delta runner and the pick's stablemate enters off a sharp-and fast win-last time, and a repeat wins this, but note he does leave the restricted ranks to tackle better, and figures to be bet off the board as well; plenty scary, but no lock.


#7 Golden Bullet
Newcomer was last seen regressing at Remington in November, so the layoff may have done him good, and if it did then his previous runs put him in the mix here, and he now goes off the claim for a 16% Compton barn as well; worth a look.


Race Summary
That 10-1 ML on the pick makes the risk-reward well worth it, especially since the dud was on an off-track and there's several other races showing that would make him a threat here, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5 as well (which should have a big pool), since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would knock out a good portion of the tickets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Fonner Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 Prince Olaf
Slight edge with a better draw than the guy furthest outside, and though nine-star maidens aren't usually my favorite play, he might offer a fair enough price to take a shot.


#10 Drastic
Nearly scored from the wide draw last time out, and he's going to have to overcome another one today. His early speed probably allows him to work out a trip, but the draw does lessen the margin for error.


#3 Talk Big Money
Has been a good fit with the local company and turned in a good runner-up effort at this level last time out. Another who should be in a good spot early on.


Race Summary
Prince Olaf and Drastic both have some early pace to use, but the former may be a bit better price and is probably just a touch quicker early.


Fonner Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#8 Classic Czar
Might appreciate the added ground today after rallying a bit late going shorter. He's got some room to step forward in this second start off the break..


#5 Giant Gamble
Versatile type figures to be right up near the top in the early going, and he may offer a playable price still in today's spot.


#7 Reversaloffortune
Finished nicely from spying range to score in the local debut, and something similar probably puts him right in the mix again.


Race Summary
Classic Czar may be the right one to give a look here, as the wide draw can be negated by his finishing style, allowing him to get over closer to the inside before the first turn.


Fonner Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Scooter's Boy
Just drilled an easier bunch by five last time out, and a repeat of that effort would leave the rest of these running for second at something far shorter than the 9/2 ML offering.


#3 Popcorn for Eddie
Looks like the main danger if the top choice regresses off the last one, as this guy won with similar last time out. Not out of it.


#8 Lovethatcause
Has enough speed to sit a trip from the outside, and but he doesn't always finish with a ton of energy and might be a bit of an underlay.


Race Summary
Scooter's Boy probably goes favored here. His last was razor sharp, and I'm not sure anyone can touch him today if he manages to bring a similar effort.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Cal-Expo - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 MYSTIC RULER
Found room in mid-stretch, full of run, back on short rest.


#2 GORGEOUS FOR REAL
20-time winner earned top recent speed figs against better.


#6 CONTEMPORARY LEGEND
Steps up off victory, could be put into play earlier.


Race Summary
Mystic Ruler returns on 2-day’s rest, but he fits the condition well and closed with a flourish for second after he angled out in mid-stretch to find running room. Play 4-2 and 4-6 exactas.


Cal-Expo - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#8 LA DIVA DE ROSA
Mild, first-over bid off pace-setting fave, 9-day rest benefits her.


#7 GORDY AGAIN
In tight at key juncture, ran third behind class-dropping winner.


#6 ROCKINAROUNDHEAVEN
Even-paced in return, major player on best at a price.


Race Summary
La Diva De Rosa was parked outside the favorites and faded last week, but she finished in the money in 3 of 4 prior starts and meets several contenders who raced Saturday. Taking a stand against morning-line favorite Marilyn, who couldn’t hold on as lone speed and now starts from post 9.


Cal-Expo - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#8 DONTCLOSEYOUREYES
Plays catch-me-if-you-can in pursuit of $100,000 Club.


#6 YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER
Third behind top one after improved try prior.


#4 DOUBLE MYSTERY
Trouble seems to follow her, use underneath in gimmicks.


Race Summary
Dontcloseyoureyes won 4 of her last 6 starts at this level from post 7 outward. No reason to think she won’t clear to the lead early in this field and continue her winning ways. Play 8-4 and 8-6 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Will Rogers Downs - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 Right On By
Her two-turn races mostly have been good and she held for 3rd last out in her 1st over the strip; likely to dig in more in her return.


#4 Undivided
Ran on for 2nd in her 1st attempt in three months; capable of a running a big one vs. these.


#6 Smart Rachel
Can get brave on the front end and as stablemate of the top choice here will likely be sent; could hang on for a major piece of it.


Race Summary
Right On By can get a perfect stalking trip here and is likely to improve on her 1st one of the track.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 Ornamental Iron
Barely missed going a half-mile at Fonner Park, gets more ground and can be expect to run well in her 2nd off the claim.


#2 Award It
Didn't fire in the Bold Ego Handicap at Sunland but is in a much easier spot today; solid player all the way around the track in his one.


#3 Indian Gem
Hung late in her 1st over over this track and has the ability to carve out a good trip.


Race Summary
Ornamental Iron has the speed to be in the mix throughout and can battle all to the way to the wire today.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Broadway County
Closed with a rush and just missed here last time and can make a solid run vs. these.


#2 Reachreachreach
Beat the top choice last time and will be tough right back; has the ability to adjust to the pace.


#7 Our Musical Moment
Has won five of her last seven and was up in time in a good spot at Sam Houston; has speed but also can posses a closing move. Dangerous.


Race Summary
Broadway County was badly outrun at Oaklawn two back and welcomed the trip to this spot last time; she responded with a good 2nd and can improve today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park



Fonner Park - Race 9

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta



Claiming $2,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $3,700 • Post: 7:36P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MACANDALES is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MACANDALES: Today's race is a route, horse is a Front-runner and is in post position one. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



1

MACANDALES

4/1


3/2




3

WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT

10/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

MACANDALES

1


4/1

Front-runner

88


76


71.4


78.4


73.4




3

WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT

3


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

94


86


66.4


72.0


68.0




10

BRONK

10


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


66


61.7


62.0


52.5




2

HYPER DRIVE

2


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

78


68


36.4


65.8


61.3




8

AIR ASSAULT

8


6/1

Trailer

78


72


25.5


67.0


60.0




7

HEWHOFILLSMYHEART

7


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


72


70.2


29.3


14.3




4

RAIN RAY

4


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


64


64.8


64.8


48.8




5

SHAWNEE KID

5


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

82


73


57.5


52.6


36.1




6

DORCHEAT ZARB

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

84


66


55.4


57.0


41.0




9

DAZZLE MAN

9


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

79


66


37.9


42.7


27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 8

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)



Handicap • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $17,050 • Post: 4:45P


FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. NO ENTRY FEE. NO NOMINATION FEE. WEIGHTS TO BE ASSIGNED AT THE DRAW. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SHRED THE RULES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf ) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KATS SECOND SILVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ELKHORN POET: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY WISE CAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



7

SHRED THE RULES

5/2


9/2




5

KATS SECOND SILVER

3/1


5/1




3

ELKHORN POET

5/1


7/1




4

MY WISE CAT

4/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

EURAMASTER

6


8/1

Front-runner

94


94


89.8


77.8


68.3




3

ELKHORN POET

3


5/1

Front-runner

99


94


84.8


84.8


80.3




4

MY WISE CAT

4


4/1

Front-runner

91


95


76.8


84.4


75.4




1

STARWARD

1


20/1

Front-runner

54


59


70.0


47.4


32.4




5

KATS SECOND SILVER

5


3/1

Stalker

95


98


89.0


90.0


82.0




7

SHRED THE RULES

7


5/2

Trailer

99


92


71.1


88.9


82.9




2

CATALE STORM

2


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

90


73


74.0


62.6


51.1




8

TIMELY REPLY

8


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

97


93


44.3


74.2


66.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8580 Class Rating: 49

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 A LA OMEGA 7/2




# 8 BURBACH 4/1




# 3 SHAWN AGAIN 5/2




A LA OMEGA looks to be a respectable contender. A solid 80 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge against this group. Nolen and Wethey have won 19 percent of their races giving this equine a decent chance. This rider and handler team has produced some sharp return on investment numbers at this track. BURBACH - Has been running solidly lately and will most likely be on the lead early on. SHAWN AGAIN - This equine has to be in good form coming back to the track so quickly. This equine is prominent in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 70

FOR CERTIFIED NE BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 SUPER CHARLIE 3/1




# 7 MORNING SHADOW 7/2




# 4 L B GOLD 5/2




SUPER CHARLIE looks respectable to best this field. He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this group of animals. Could beat this group given the 60 Equibase Speed Figure posted in his last outing. The average class rating of 69 makes this one difficult to beat. MORNING SHADOW - Has run admirably when racing a dirt sprint race. With a solid return on investment of +15 this conditioner has shown quite good results with entries running at this distance and surface. L B GOLD - Earned a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most competitive class figs of this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 3/31" Got some picks from Race 5 at Wil Rogers.

#6 Dakoma Rose $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 6-3-7 Dakoma Rose/Quick Calisia/Shadowing