Service Plays Tuesday 4/14/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Fonner Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 Flashin the Cash
Deserving favorite may have failed at short odds in her last two but she was 2nd both times, and either of those runs might lap this field today; imposing.


#10 Charming Diva
Class riser was a solid 2nd last time with a fast figure, and while the pick seems out of reach, that run can net her a big piece underneath; logical EX partner.


#5 Nola's Sugarplum
Major underlay was facing better at Hou and DeD, but it's not like she did any running there either, so if this 7-2 ML holds, she's not playable; tread lightly.


Race Summary
That 5-2 ML on the pick might well be 4-5 by post, so make an aggressive win and place bet if the tote allows, though you can get some added value by singling her to kick off the early Pk5, as the public usually doesn't like to employ that angle at the start of the sequence, since there's a mental block about being eliminated in the opening leg, which means you can take the free square here and spread in the remaining four legs, as she's got this group over a barrel.


Fonner Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 Miss Elise
Stalker got the job done off the layoff last time against MSW foes, and while tackling winners is never easy, she meets a field with plenty of speed, her win was fast (for this group) last time, and she figures to offer a hint of value as well; call right back.


#4 Shade of Justice
Fellow stalker has a 15-1-4-5 record, so you know she's not all that interested in winning a horse race, but the flow here really suits her style, and, if nothing else, she's against winners, so while she's not too trustworthy, she figures to make a dent; using.


#2 G G Holiday
ML favorite aired against a big field in the MSW ranks last time and rates as the one to catch, but there's a lot of speed to her outside, and this group won't blink when she tries to scoot clear of them off the far turn; thinking she comes unglued in the lane.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's plenty of it here for the 7 (and the 4) to track, which should only help her chances off the far turn, so give her a look in all the slot, and especially in the early Pk5 a well, since she has every right to build off that return win, and if she does, she'll have every right to double up.


Fonner Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#9 Wild Drive
Pace presser did well to draw outside for her style, exits a fine 3rd at the level, sees plenty of inside speed to gauge, and could offer a hint of value as well; call to post the mild surprise.


#2 Overanalyzer
The definite favorite has won two straight, in very fast time, and looks like a handful on the class rise, but with some speed to his outside, he may stumble here; still, looms plenty scary.


#8 Scooter's Boy
Stretch runner should get enough pace to rally into, and he's another with two straight wins, though he was all-out last time and now faces a much tougher crew; using underneath only.


Race Summary
The price should be right on the 9, and he's eligible to trip out nicely here too, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win in the 5-1 range or so would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences, especially with a potentially strong favorite in the 2 lined up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Will Rogers Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#11 Lady Laura
Really looks like a solid single to kick off the Late Pick-4, as she's probably quick enough to stay in touch early at this 6f trip, and she'd be a real handful with anything like that two-back run at Sam Houston.


#8 Quick Calisia
Has run a couple of good ones in a row in the off going over the local surface, and if the top choice can't work out a trip or fails to fire, this one is most likely to take advantage.


#6 Latejana
Has not shown much ability through six races, but she's going to be an attractive number for a capable barn, and her last was at least a little bit better. Underneath at a number?


Race Summary
Lady Laura looks tough if she can bring her Sam Houston form with her to the local footing, and she has enough tactical pace to find a spot from her wide draw.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Tapsolution
Think he might be the right one off the even debut effort. He didn't flash a ton of pace that day but was within range of a :21.3 quarter, so he can probably find a really nice trip right up near the top on the move around two turns.


#8 Just Ask Joel
Another that figures to be near the top in the early going after showing a bit of tracking sprint pace at Sam Houston. Wide draw may force his rider's hand just a bit?


#1 Box Seat
Finisher took to the local oval when second, but he was also 3/5 on the board that day and will probably need a bit better to score today.


Race Summary
A couple of Asmussen runners lead this bunch, and both can get decent trips near the top as they move around two turns. The better draw goes to Tapsolution, and he's also coming out of a better spot.


Will Rogers Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#4 Call Me
Willing to take a bit of a swing in a spot where a handful of the main players all look the same -- capable but relatively uninspiring. This guy ran on with a little bit of interest and galloped out well in his sprint comeback, and there are some back route races that would keep him in the mix. Grinding sort of effort from midpack?


#1 Sugoi
A bit interested in this guy off the nice maiden win last time out, but he'll have to prove he can reproduce something similar on the dirt. Turfway to Will Rogers shippers at 10:1-0-1 in the last three years for whatever that's worth.


#5 Mr Midtown
He's actually an interesting fit here even before that huge-figure win last time out when wiring a bunch in the off going, but that big number is going to depress his price to a degree where he will almost surely be an underlay. He gets a good race shape, but I'd need every bit of the 12/1 ML on the hike.


Race Summary
Call Me should be a price that will justify the risk of hoping that he can improve significantly in this second start off the bench while trying two turns. Sugoi and Mr Midtown seem capable but iffy, while the most obvious players on paper are #7 Lindante, #8 Momma's Baby Boy and #10 Kirk of Diamonds. Fun race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Fonner Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#4 Run for Matty
Made up the kind of ground you don't normally see on a bull ring when he went from 10th after a quarter-mile to 4th at the finish, making up more than 10 lengths. The addition of blinkers likely will keep him closer to the action early.


#7 Jomo
Opened up three length but lost that lead and finished 2nd in his only start here; capable of a strong race on the front end.


#9 Youwonderwhyidrink
Comes off his best effort in four starts and continued improvement would make him a big player; clearly a chance at getting his number on the board.


Race Summary
Run for Matty was hopelessly beaten early but made a strong run into respectability in his debut, gets blinkers for this one and has a big chance of improvement.


Fonner Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 Love At Night
Has an impressive 10 of 12 record at Fonner Park and most recently drubbed Nebraska-breds by seven in the Orphan Kist Stakes. Won the edition of this race last year and followed with a win in the Swihart Memorial. Can handle open company.


#9 Eaton's Memory
Goes after her 3rd straight win and done well in traveling from track to track; her last came vs. N4L claimers at Sam Houston. Can be close-up throughout this one.


#7 I'mabarnkat
Won three of five at Houston and has been on or near the front in most of her races; was claimed in her latest and makes her first for Gourneau.


Race Summary
Love At Night tremendous over the local oval and fillies and mares that try to keep up early will compromise their chances; can get another Fonner victory.


Fonner Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 Itsallaboutyou
Ran well vs. allowance company at Remington and trainer Black is hitting 22 percent at Fonner; will have to get going earlier than normal but she has the class to take her home here.


#6 Holding Fast
Won at this level two back and then follow with a 3rd in the Tondi; trainer Martinez at 32 percent on the season and can get this one to run another big one.


#7 Ourbestfriend D L
Was 2nd in the Tondi after setting the pace; had been at Oaklawn and will be tough if she runs back to her latest.


Race Summary
Itsallaboutyou can benefit from a fast pace and can make a lot of ground on these; one to look for in the homestretch.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 4

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)



Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $7,150 • Post: 2:45P


FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ABSTRACT PAYNTER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ABSTRACT PAYNTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CONCRETE FINISHER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GONE DANCING: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investmen t is at least +20.



1

ABSTRACT PAYNTER

5/2


2/1




2

CONCRETE FINISHER

3/1


6/1




5

GONE DANCING

6/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

ABSTRACT PAYNTER

1


5/2

Alternator/Front-runner

63


56


56.5


56.6


52.6




5

GONE DANCING

5


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

62


52


49.0


44.8


36.3




3

DANZING RIVER

3


6/1

Trailer

0


0


33.2


32.2


19.2




4

EVIE'S PRINCE

4


7/2

Trailer

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




2

CONCRETE FINISHER

2


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

61


55


62.3


49.4


45.4




8

FAR LEFT

8


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


45.5


26.5


12.5




7

PRESLEY CHIME

7


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


31.7


31.8


19.8




6

IWANT SGT RECKLESS

6


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


21.8


21.8


10.3




9

DAYTIME WHISTLER

9


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


19.2


19.2


2.7




10

BUENO

10


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


16.1


16.1


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park



Fonner Park - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / Daily Double



Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:09P


RUNZA S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. PURSE $10,000-ADDED. NO NOMINATION FEE. $25 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. WEIGHTS: THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $9,000 TWICE IN 2019-2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS., OF $9,000 IN 2019-2020, 5 LBS. MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED ON THE SCALE. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2019-2020 WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED EQUAL WEIGHTS. CLOSED THURSDAY, APRIL 2 WITH 16 NOMINATIONS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * KOOL KATE: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse has the highest TrackMaste r Power Rating. LOVE AT NIGHT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MATAPAN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. I'MABARNKAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



1

KOOL KATE

5/2


3/1




6

LOVE AT NIGHT

7/2


8/1




3

MATAPAN

6/1


8/1




7

I'MABARNKAT

10/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

LOVE AT NIGHT

6


7/2

Front-runner

78


79


85.8


81.0


73.0




3

MATAPAN

3


6/1

Front-runner

87


86


76.8


78.4


70.4




8

BETTY JEAN

8


15/1

Front-runner

79


72


69.7


72.4


59.4




2

DIXIE FLYER

2


8/1

Front-runner

84


82


69.4


72.4


60.4




7

I'MABARNKAT

7


10/1

Stalker

88


80


92.0


77.6


72.6




9

EATON'S MEMORY

9


9/2

Stalker

84


81


82.2


72.0


60.0




4

STELLA MARIE

4


12/1

Stalker

80


73


72.4


74.4


59.4




1

KOOL KATE

1


5/2

Trailer

100


99


68.3


89.1


85.1




5

CHUB'S CHARMER

5


10/1

Trailer

79


69


31.2


70.4


57.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Will Rogers Downs - Race #6 - Post: 3:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,580 Class Rating: 60

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 IN THE NIC OF TIME (ML=5/1)


IN THE NIC OF TIME - This should be an easier task than what he was asked last time out against 'open' company. You have to consider the solid works of late.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WOODS OF CONGAREE (ML=5/2), #9 POPPY'S OATS (ML=3/1), #5 BURBACH (ML=4/1),

WOODS OF CONGAREE - Last raced on Apr 7th at Will Rogers Downs, finishing fifth. Unlikely to advance off of that effort in today's race. POPPY'S OATS - If you keep selecting these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed often. Would have to improve off that fifth place finish last time to make an impact here. BURBACH - Not likely that the speed fig he recorded on Mar 31st will hold up in this affair.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 IN THE NIC OF TIME is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9200 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 EXECUTIVE DECREE 5/1




# 2 BANDWIDTH 12/1




# 3 HEISAYANKEE 8/1




I think EXECUTIVE DECREE is a competitive choice. Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 93 speed figure which is one of the strongest in this field. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Wise running at this distance are the best in this group of horses in this race. If you examine closely, this one has some longshot possibilities. BANDWIDTH - Have to assume this equine will make a good showing again this time around. He should be given a shot given the strong speed numbers. HEISAYANKEE - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of respectable win percentage - 24 percent - at this distance & surface. Has decent early pace and will almost certainly fare strongly versus this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 4/14

Tue Apr 14, 2020 8:26 am
Justaboutright came in 3rd and Erebuni did nothing. Here's one from Fonner Park and two picks from Will Rogers. Goodluck.

Fonner Park Race 3
#7 Miss Elise $5 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 7-4-1

Will Rogers Race 5
#9 Shell Fire $10 w/p/s

Will Rogers Race 8
#5 Tapsolution $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-8-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
HORSES – Australia A Race 2: #7 to WIN


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
HORSES – Will Rogers Downs Race 8: #2 to WIN


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
HORSES – Australia B Race 1: #7 to WIN


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
HORSES – Will Rogers Downs Race 7: #2 to WIN


5.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 9: #5 to WIN


6.
Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
HORSES – Australia C Race 6: #10 to WIN


7.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
HORSES – Australia B Race 3: #11 to WIN


8.
Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
HORSES – Will Rogers Downs Race 5: #2 to WIN


9.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
HORSES – Australia B Race 6: #13 to WIN


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
HORSES – Will Rogers Downs Race 1: #10 to WIN


11.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
HORSES – Australia A Race 7: #16 to WIN


12.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
HORSES – Australia C Race 1: #4 to WIN


13.
SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
HORSES – Australia B Race 4: #4 to WIN


14.
East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
HORSES – Will Rogers Downs Race 3 : #3 to WIN


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
HORSES – Australia C Race 3: #6 to WIN


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 2: #6 to WIN


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
HORSES – Australia C Race 6: #7 to WIN


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 9: #5 to WIN


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
HORSES – Australia A Race 5: #10 to WIN


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 4: #10 to WIN


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
HORSES – Australia B Race 7: #6 to WIN


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 2: #3 to WIN


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
HORSES – Australia B Race 6: #9 to WIN


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
HORSES – Australia A Race 4: #11 to WIN


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
HORSES – Fonner Park Race 8: #8 to WIN

[Johnson_33157]

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