Service Plays Sunday 4/19/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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Gulfstream Sunday Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 Analysis

April 18, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk

Gulfstream Park will have a mandatory payout in its Rainbow Six wager on Sunday. Races 6-11 on the program comprise the Rainbow Six, which has a 20-cent minimum base amount. Analysis has been made with the expectation of races remaining on their originally scheduled surfaces.

Race 6 (3:23 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile (turf)

BAREEQA (9-5) should be a legitimate favorite coming off her victory Feb. 17 in the Mary Todd Lincoln overnight stakes. She’s won 4 of 9 over the course for high-percentage connections. If you extend beyond the BAREEQA, the floodgates open with similar-looking contenders and can swell your ticket cost rapidly. BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD (9-2) and SCATNAP (7-2) are logical players, while prices CODRINGTON (10-1) and SISTER GEMA (15-1) also deserve some attention. Depending on your budget size or strength of opinions in other races, it’s either BAREEQA or spread.

Race 7 (3:53 pm ET): CLM at 1 mile

BROOKES ALL MINE (2-1) has finished first or second in 5 straight starts and was recently claimed back by trainer Gerardo Quiroz. He’s consistently been a dirt miler at the $8000 level and should be trusted. Options here include GRACE’S DRAMA (7-2), a late runner twice behind BROOKES ALL MINE in recent months, and TIZ POSSIBLE DEAR (5-2), who finished behind that pair last out in her first attempt at the mile trip. I’ll feel safe to single here.

Race 8 (4:25 pm ET): ALW at 1 mile (turf)

Todd Pletcher-trained stablemates NO WORD (3-1) and MYSTIC LANCELOT (7-2) should have the edge in this allowance. NO WORD flashed promise at age 2, but has not been out since September. The barn excels off layoffs, so there’s less concern here than with some. MYSTIC LANCELOT chased a talented runner in Gufo last out over 1-1/8 miles and should appreciate the shorter trip based on pedigree and past performances. Price player LIFE ON TOP (15-1) hinted at talent in his maiden win from a wide draw in January before a disappointing run in the Grade 3 Palm Beach.

Race 9 (4:55 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile

Top contenders TRAPPEZOID (3-1) and YES I SEE (5-2) both are deep closers and capable of winning this from off the pace. But if they’re too be defeated, you’ll want an early pace threat to go along with them to round out solid coverage. BLAKEY (6-1) could be the most effective on the front end.

Race 10 (5:25 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile (turf)

Also-eligible ZABAVA (6-1) is the horse to beat if the class-dropper draws into the field for trainer Mike Maker. With or without that one, this is a competitive group. PAKHET (12-1) and ALL QUALITY (6-1) are Mark Casse trainees, and that barn typically has Keeneland-meant turf runners with conditions to do damage this time of year. SERANITSA (9-2) returns to Gulfstream, where she’s had some past success, and shows up in the barn of Brendan Walsh, who has had a good 2020 on turf. CARIBA (7-2) could win, but figures to be overbet off a runner-up by a nose and barn change to Christophe Clement. BERING STRAIT (4-1) finished alongside CARIBA last out despite a poor draw that day. She could turn the table.

Race 11 (5:55 pm ET): MSW at 1 mile (turf)

RENATA (7-2) draws a more favorable post in her second start after overcoming a wide go to finish second in a promising March 29 debut. There’s not a lot of proven Gulfstream open-company maiden special weight turf form in this race. But she’s age 3 against elders, so there’s some concern. The 4-year-old ROYAL MANDATE (6-1) needed her last from a tough post draw at Tampa and showed good life after nearly 4 months on the shelf.

Suggested Tickets:

Smaller Budget: 3 with 4 with 5,4,12 with 3,8,7 with 13,1,4,6,8,12 with 4,9 = $21.60
Larger Budget: 3,4,5,7,9 with 4 with 5,4,12 with 3,8,7 with 13,1,4,6,8,12 with 4,9 = $108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

esports-betting-tips net


Evil Geniuses - CR4ZY : 1 @ 1.38 *(DOTA 2 BTS Pro Series (USA))
Quincy Crew - Thunder Predator : 1 @ 1.48 *(DOTA 2 BTS Pro Series (USA))


Total Odds : 2.04 @ bet365

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#9 Saucy Tune
Price player will like getting out of the state-bred MSW ranks, and getting back to the turf too, and that close 6th on debut against better on the grass was solid, and she won't have to improve much to have a say here; upset special.


#3 Camellia Girl
The chalk will be bet hard on the drop for Clement, and she finally draws a good post too, but she has been a disappointment thus far, and the fact she's gone from MSW to 50k to 25k is not a good sign; trying to beat on top.


#6 Myfirstexwife
Logical contender has run well of late and fits on figures, but she also has seemingly reached a plateau, and it still hasn't been good enough, so with little to no room for improvement, she's tough to like on top; underneath only.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 9, and it's not like the favorite is any great shakes either, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since a win would add plenty of value to the sequence right off the bat, and there's every right to believe she runs a carer-best race.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 Blakey
Class riser walloped N3L foes last time, may shake out as a Lone F, and meets a field riddled with deep closers; love his chances here.


#8 Yes I See
ML favorite drops slightly in class and has the best figures here, but his decided lack of early speed won't help; runs out of room in the lane.


#3 Trapezoid
Fellow deep closer looked good beater lesser last time and is another who will rally on, but the early pace won't help his chances; tread lightly.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and, aside from cheap speed from the 1, there's no one else here capable of running with the 7 early, and we know he enters this in fine form as well, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some real value by keying him in the mandatory payout Rainbow 6, as well as in the late Pk5/Pk4, as he looks to be getting all the best of it here, and should be a decent price to boot.


Gulfstream Park - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#8 Bright Street
Motion charge was DOB on debut but ran better than it looked to be a close 8th, meets a field there for the taking, and gives the impression she's now cranked for this; bombs away.


#2 Let Them Eat Cake
Speedy sort got to the turf and really improved last time, could be the controlling speed, and has every right to move forward off that very sharp grass debut; looms the one to catch.


#9 Royal Mandate
Tampa invader exits a big figure 2nd in her return and turf debut, and she could be tighter second-off the break, but the wide draw and rise in class are worrisome; still, plenty scary.


Race Summary
The 8 got the perfect experience builder in her debut, and they didn't pay 460k for her without really liking what they saw, so she's got every right to blow up in a big way here, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to end the mandatory payout Rainbow 6, as well as the late Pk5/Pk4, as a win would blow all the sequences up, and the gut says she's going to fire a much bigger shot than she did in her unveiling.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Queens Embrace
She's been on a real tear with three straight wins, and if she can run back to her last, this is her race to lose.


#4 Real Doozie
Didn't miss by much behind the top choice when they met last out, but she was 31/1 that day and now we're talking maybe 7/2 or 4/1 for the rematch? No thanks.


#7 Volador
Can get a pretty good go of things from close range, and she woke up quickly with some easier company on the local lawn last time out.


Race Summary
Queens Embrace should be tough with these, as she has held solid form while climbing the class ladder in recent starts. Something like her last handles these.


Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Global Brand
Really expected better from her last time out when she was a complete no-show at 5/1 when stretching out, but the pedigree is there for her to be a good one, so I'm not giving up hope just yet.


#5 Tilsa
Thomas barn does just about everything right, and they win a lot of races like this locally. Debuter has a turfy enough pedigree to think she's a good fit here.


#7 Sassy Sass
Bred to be a good one, she'll also make her career debut in this two-turn turf try. Clement barn has connected at nearly 40% at the meet and should have this one ready.


Race Summary
Global Brand was a major disappointment for me last out, but I'm not willing to believe we've seen a true representation yet. She can bounce back here over the local footing. #1 First Course fit here, but the 3/1 ML favorite's form seems too unreliable for me to dive in at that kind of number.


Tampa Bay Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 Band Sweetheart
Will offer only a fraction of the 35/1 price from the debut, but she looked good that day when hanging around for third behind an easy winner. The blinkers go on today, and if they move her up even a little bit she's the one.


#3 Bahama Pearl
Not totally sure what to make of her given the two good tries came with claiming company and the one bad one came at this level. That said, she's quick and can probably win this if she likes the footing.


#1 Belleinthecity
Moves to the turf off the November 2018 layoff, but she's bred to handle the surface and has shown a bit of talent in the past. Wouldn't want too short a number from the fence off that kind of break.


Race Summary
Band Sweetheart gets blinkers added after an encouraging debut run last time out, and she presumably has some upside in this second start.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 Willie Wanna Rush
Popped a head in front and then finished 4th in a futurity trial; can score on this dip to maiden claiming.


#4 Yalitza Paricio
Has had good training sessions leading up to her debut and looks like she's ready for the real deal.


#1 Checkupon James
Was just a half-length behind while in 4th at the end of his debut, which against maiden special weights; could make a solid run along the rail.


Race Summary
Willie Wanna Rush was in a much tougher spot than this at 1st asking and has the ability to graduate here.


Remington Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Won Tres Seis
Was up in time two back and was claimed, then made a strong late move for 4th in his 1st for the Johnson barn; fits with these and should like the 440 yards.


#3 Chasing Valiant
Lost a photo at Sunland in his latest and ran in some tough races last year; could be a tough runner in his 1st local start of the season.


#1 Giant Courage
Was 4th in his 1st of the year and has been close in his last two; looks like he prefers the longer sprints.


Race Summary
Won Tres Seis usually has a solid late move and can get the 440; looks like a good claim and he can be a factor at this level.


Remington Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#3 Kuhl Cash
Was 3rd going 550 two back and broke his maiden going this distance of 660 last year; looks like a natural for the longer events.


#2 Lotta Smoking
Was 2nd going 870 and turns back to 660 on the straightaway; likes the longer distances and can give it a solid go here.


#8 First Lota Pyc
Held on for 3rd going 330 last time and has a good chance on or close to the lead going longer; can be competitive at this year.


Race Summary
Kuhl Cash's only success came at this unusual 660-yard straight run down the stretch; he has the speed to be a factor early and has shown he had the necessary endurance to finish it up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



Remington Park - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10) (.50 Cent Minimum)



Claiming $30,000 • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $12,100 • Post: 8:36P


QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CHASING VALIANT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WON TRES SEIS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BOUT TREE FIDDY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LS CONCHO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

CHASING VALIANT

5/2


9/2




4

WON TRES SEIS

3/1


6/1




5

BOUT TREE FIDDY

6/1


8/1




7

LS CONCHO

20/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

GIANT COURAGE

1


9/2

Slow

83


74


6.2


0.0


0.0




2

POLITICAL CANDY

2


5/1

Average

83


75


4.9


0.0


0.0




3

CHASING VALIANT

3


5/2

Average

92


91


4.5


0.0


0.0




4

WON TRES SEIS

4


3/1

Average

93


86


4.2


0.0


0.0




5

BOUT TREE FIDDY

5


6/1

Average

86


85


4.5


0.0


0.0




6

ONE CHORD SONG

6


15/1

Average

80


65


4.9


0.0


0.0




7

LS CONCHO

7


20/1

Average

88


82


4.5


0.0


0.0




9

ASIDE THE FIRE

9


10/1

Average

84


83


4.6


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: GOLS CHARMING ELAN (20/1) [Jockey: Ziegler Zack - Trainer: Mancillas Juliana].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 10

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minumum wager)



Allowance • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 9:54P


QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BALLAST POINT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HEAR TFULLOFSTARS (T): Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.



1

BALLAST POINT

1/2


9/2




4

HEARTFULLOFSTARS (T)

15/1


5/1




7

R CHA CHA (T)

15/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

BALLAST POINT

1


1/2

Fast

96


95


3.1


0.0


0.0




2

IMA SEPARATIST

2


12/1

Average

90


82


4.9


0.0


0.0




5

RIDGEFIELD ROCKET (T)

5


8/1

Average

92


83


4.4


0.0


0.0




6

EL KOREANO (T)

6


8/1

Average

86


81


4.7


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: LOUD MOUTH (T) (6/1) [Jockey: Payeras Edgar - Trainer: Knapp Steve], HEARTFULLOFSTARS (T) (15/1) [Jockey: Rojas Fernandez E K - Trainer: Alvarez Edwin], R CHA CHA (T) (15/1) [Jockey: Garcia Erick - Trainer: Papaprodromou George

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 MADAME JEANETTE 9/5




# 2 UNCHANGED 7/2




# 7 CEE SAM'S GIRL 5/1




MADAME JEANETTE is the best wager in this race. Has been consistently running well lately. Naranjo has this filly running well and is a decent pick based on the formidable Equibase Speed Figs recorded in sprint races recently. I like the rider on this filly - very good chance to win the race. UNCHANGED - Looks like a sound candidate for the exotics. As of late Morfin has provided gamblers with a very good winning percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races. CEE SAM'S GIRL - Could provide positive profits based on competitive recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 61. She has very good class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be given consideration here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



04/19/20, OP, Race 5, 3.06 CT
04/19/20,OP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $16,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Gumwrapper
10-1
Mojica O
Deville Carl J.
FL
47.83
1.67/$1


098.86
13
Bobby Axelrod
5/2
Vazquez R A
Miller Peter
S
55.26
2.06/$1


098.25
6
Baringer Spring
7/2
Cohen D
Matthews Randy


47.83
1.67/$1


096.96
9
Greater Cairo
4-1
Vazquez R A
Moquett Ron


36.47
1.35/$1


096.35
11
Rocket Strike
8-1
Talamo J
Cox Brad H.
J
34.94
1.19/$1


096.15
4
Rob the Rich
6-1
Thompson T J
Jones J. Larry


34.94
1.19/$1


095.90
10
Litany
9/2
Hill C
Hartman Chris A.


36.47
1.35/$1


095.40
14
Revenio(b+)
12-1
Borel C H
Zito Nicholas P.
W
35.35
1.22/$1


094.34
12
Cool Edge
12-1
Richard R
Diodoro Robertino
T
34.94
1.19/$1


093.52
1
Good Sugar
20-1
Roberts C
Haran John
E
35.35
1.22/$1


093.47
8
Jerry's Got Aces
10-1
Birzer A
Von Hemel Don


47.83
1.67/$1


092.74
2
Northern Highline
20-1
Roman K
Smith Kenny P.


34.94
1.19/$1


091.90
5
Big Bad Bud
20-1
Elliott S
Holthus Paul E.


35.35
1.22/$1


091.37
3
Wilshire Diamond(b+)
15-1
Canchari A L
Morse Randy L.
C
35.35
1.22/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.71, ROI 0.92/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (http://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=gp0419zm.htm&exp=04/21/2020&pds=GP_-_04/19/2020&var=RACE_DATE=04/19/2020;TRACK_CODE=GP&SAP=FREEPICS)



http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:53pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 MIGHTY FAST (ML=7/2)


MIGHTY FAST - Have to give this colt a good shot. Ran a solid race last time around the track within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 STRONG ENDING (ML=9/5), #8 INGREIDO (ML=9/2), #6 PRIVILEGIO (ML=6/1),

STRONG ENDING - A pattern of decreasing speed figures 76/73/63 for this pony. Hard to wager on at 9/5 odds after the most recent efforts. Recorded a substandard speed figure in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on April 3rd. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. INGREIDO - This animal just hasn't looked sharp recently. Recorded a quite unimpressive speed rating last time out in a $12,500 Maiden Claiming race on March 18th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that number. PRIVILEGIO - This pony ran a pedestrian speed figure last out. He shouldn't run much better and will probably lose in today's race running that fig.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 MIGHTY FAST is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



04/19/20, TAM, Race 8, 4.15 ET
04/19/20,TAM,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 19. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
12
Betweenhereandcool
8-1
Gallardo A A
Guciardo Kathleen A.
JE
37.59
1.23/$1


097.12
10
Seventysevenwilow
6-1
Spieth S
Minieri Joseph


36.96
1.19/$1


096.99
11
English Laughter
2-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Connelly Teresa
S
43.24
1.33/$1


096.76
2
Devastating Move
5-1
Lopez J E
Galvan Baltazar
T
37.59
1.23/$1


096.69
3
Entertainer(b+)
10-1
Camacho S
House Gary F.


36.96
1.19/$1


096.41
7
Hondo Gusto
30-1
Garcia G
Calcano Carlos A.


37.59
1.23/$1


095.49
8
Unspoiled Moments
12-1
Marin A A
House Gary F.
C
36.96
1.19/$1


095.45
1
My Little Rockstar
12-1
Garcia J A
Westlye Kenneth
W
36.96
1.19/$1


094.86
5
Perp
9/2
Garcia W A
Caruso Nick Joseph
F
28.75
1.29/$1


094.85
4
Perfect Joe(b-)
30-1
Allen M
Allen Lisa


36.96
1.19/$1


093.52
6
Back Page
20-1
Cotto. Jr. P L
Ali Alnaz
L
28.75
1.29/$1


090.46
9
Malekith
30-1
Delgado D
Carvajal. Jr. Luis


36.96
1.19/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 37.93, ROI 1.21/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 61

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 FIRE N THE WHOLE 6/1




# 4 ALWAYS RELENTLESS 20/1




# 6 FLYING JESSIE GIRL 12/1




I think FIRE N THE WHOLE is a very good choice. Foals of this sire have given players respectable profits in their first starts. It's a good signal that Olmstead is using Packer on this one. ALWAYS RELENTLESS - Offspring of this sire have produced very good profits recently in their first asking contest. Has very good early speed and will probably fare admirably against this group of horses. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Stein have shown strong results recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


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Oaklawn Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 GREATER CAIRO (ML=4/1)
#7 GUMWRAPPER (ML=10/1)


GREATER CAIRO - You should overlook that last race at Oaklawn Park on a muddy track where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this race under normal track conditions. GUMWRAPPER - A horse coming back this rapidly after a solid race is a good sign. Note that although this colt finished second in his last race, he was well ahead of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. I think this colt is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the vacation and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 BOBBY AXELROD (ML=5/2), #6 BARINGER SPRING (ML=7/2), #10 LITANY (ML=9/2),

BOBBY AXELROD - This gelding hasn't been getting the job done as the favorite. BARINGER SPRING - This horse hasn't shown very much in the last couple affairs. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay. LITANY - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a sprint event to be worth the risk at short odds in a sprint. Finished seventh in his most recent effort with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #9 GREATER CAIRO to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Park Wagering Strategies - 4/19/20 April 19, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Gulfstream Park
Sunday, April 19, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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RACE 1: Post 12:55 ET. Grade: C
Use: 2-The Velvet Beast; 4-Trevess; 5-Dinner At Five; 12-Books; 16-Victory Crusade
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Forecast: The Sunday opener has been taken off the turf, resulting in a field that contains too many unknowns to play with any degree of confidence. We’ll pass; rolling exotic players should spread as deeply as they can afford to. Among those to consider include The Velvet Beast (first-timer with okay works); Trevess (runner-up effort two races back in an off-the-turf charts well here); Dinner At Five (hit the board twice vs. tougher over this main track last year); Books (second-timer was well-backed in straight maiden affair in debut); and Victory Crusade (main-track only entrant shows some decent drills).
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RACE 2: Post 1:24 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Suz; 5-Four K’s

Forecast: Four K’s plummets to the bottom, removes blinkers, switches to D. Davis and returns to the main track in this $6,250 abbreviated sprint for older fillies and mares. The W. Ward-trained daughter of Field Commission may be most effective going short and has won over this main track in the past. A recent bullet half mile workout (:48 3/5, fastest of five) should have her fit and ready for first start since January. Suz didn’t leave cleanly when fading to third in a similar event earlier this month but if she breaks well from the rail the veteran mare could find herself as the controlling speed. In the frame in 14 of 20 career starts, the D. Schettino-trained mare is worth including in rolling exotic play at least as a back-up.
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RACE 3: Post 1:53 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Mighty Fast; 7-Strong Ending

Forecast: Strong Ending drops for the third consecutive race to the bottom-rung $12,500 maiden claiming level, not a healthy sign by any means. But this return to dirt should suit him well and in a race without much speed he’s likely to secure a comfortable pace-stalking position outside. At 9/5 on the morning line, the son of Strong Mandate won’t be offering much wagering value, but we’ll use him in rolling exotic play while also including Mighty Fast, a lightly-raced son of Flat Out with gradually improving figures. His pace-pressing style that he displayed in his three previous outings – all sprints - suggest the possibility of becoming the controlling speed in a field without much zip.
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RACE 4: Post 2:23 ET. Grade: X
Use: 3-Lalali; 7-Princess Ulele

Forecast: Lalali, just claimed for $20,000 and returning for $12,500, is listed at 8/5 on the morning line in this main track sprint reserved for 3-year-old fillies, a type of maneuver that is normally considered suspicious. But this barn is aggressive with its claiming stock so we’re going to assume the daughter of Handsome Mike is in here to steal a purse. Princess Ulele, nicely drawn outside, drops to her lowest level ever and should be running on late. She’s not particularly fast on speed figures but has a prior win over this main track and will be dangerous if our top pick, for whatever reason, fails to fire.
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RACE 5: Post 2:53 ET. Grade: B
Use: 2-Eternal Peace; 3-Pop a Choc

Forecast: Pop a Choc pressed the pace outside and remained a strong factor until deep stretch before weakening to wind up third in a promising run over this course and distance last month. The M. Casse barn has solid stats with second-time starters, so we’re anticipating this daughter of Bernardini will be fitter and stronger in this maiden special weight turf miler that came up a tad light. It’s likely that E. Zayas will employ gate-to-wire tactics. Eternal Peace ran a bit better than the line will show when fifth in her debut more than a year ago and could easily be a better type this time around for R. Attfield. The daughter of War Front shows a bullet half mile turf drill (:48 2/5, fastest of 19) at Payson Park eight days ago to have her on edge and based on the speed figure earned last year she’s a solid fit. We’ll prefers Pop a Choc on top but use both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 6: Post 3:23 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Bareeqa; 5-Scatnap

Forecast: The sixth race is a bit of scramble and requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Bareeqa, a starter ($25,000) stakes winner last time out in mid-February, takes a class drop into the starter ($16,000) optional claiming ranks, switches to L. Saez, and seems well-placed to score right back. The 7-year-old mare, a 12-time winner during her career including four wins over the local lawn, likes to settle and blast home, and with a decent pace and good racing luck she should be along in time. Also worth including is another old pro, Scatnap, herself a 10-time winner overall, four of which were accomplished on the Gulfstream Park grass course. She can be tough on the front end or from a stalking position, so H. Berrios, who takes over for the injured P. Lopez, can choose his path depending upon the race flow. We’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics and then press keying Bareeqa on top.
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RACE 7: Post 3:53 ET. Grade: B+
Single: 4-Brookes All Mine

Forecast: Brooks All Mine, first off the claim for a low profile outfit, returns at the same $8,000 price after finishing second in a similar event late last month. The veteran mare, first or second in five of six starts over the local main track, can win on the lead or from just off the pace, and in a race that should produce modest early fractions the daughter of It’s No Joke should find herself comfortably placed throughout. The switch to E. Zayas is monumental, so let’s make her a win play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to her 2-1 morning line odds.
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RACE 8: Post 4:25 ET. Grade: B+
Single: 5-No Word

Forecast: No Word, away since finishing a close fifth in the Pilgrim S.-G3 at Belmont Park last fall, certainly can fire fresh, having won his debut at Saratoga in his previous start, and the T. Pletcher-trained 3-year-old has done some excellent work at Palm Beach Downs to have him fit and ready. L. Saez, the barn’s go-to rider this meeting, should have the son of Silent Name within range to the head of lane before cutting him loose. At 3-1 on the morning line we’ll make him a strong play both in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 9: Post 4:55 ET. Grade: B
Use: 3-Trappezoid; 8-Yes I See

Forecast: Trappezoid seeks his third straight win and is protected this time in a starter $8,000 optional claimer after just winning an open $12,500 extended sprint in good style with very strong speed figure. The son of Trappe Shot likes to settle and produce a late run and was an easy winner over this track and distance two runs back. E. Zayas will give him the patient ride he requires. Yes I See is a deep closer with numbers that fit and exits a series of tougher races, so we’re expecting the 9-year-old veteran to make some noise from the quarter pole home. With 14 career victories on his resume, the old pro is simply too much racehorse to dismiss for a streaky P. Walder barn that may be on the verge of heating up.
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RACE 10: Post 5:38 ET. Grade: B+-
Single: 3-All Quality

Forecast: All Quality, sixth beaten two lengths in a similar first-level allowance turf miler last month, is due for some good luck after encountering a brutal trip that cost her whatever chance she may have had. Drawn poorly and fanned very wide into the clubhouse turf to lose all position, she advanced readily into the lane, attempted to rally in the final furlong but was placed in tight quarters and was forced to steady sharply. The lightly-raced daughter of Quality Road switches to L. Saez, leaves from a must better post position, and shows a very healthy recent work tab to have her on edge. A 6-1 on the morning line, the M. Casse-trained filly offers good wagering value both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 11: Post 5:55 ET. Grade: B
Use: 2-Let Them Eat Cake; 4-Renata; 9-Royal Mandate

Forecast: Renata ran very well at 14-1 over this course and distance in her debut last month, lagging to the head of the lane and then accelerating inside in the final furlong to miss by a half-length before galloping out to the clubhouse turn well in front. She faces a similar field today and probably won’t need to improve much, if at all, to graduate. We’ll also include Let Them Eat Cake, a progressive daughter of Animal Kingdom who might inherit the role as the controlling speed from her good inside draw after leading the way until deep stretch under similar conditions last month and working well since, and Royal Mandate, a solid runner-up with a strong figure at Tampa Bay Downs in her sophomore (and turf) debut last month.